Canadiens Need Big Performance In Game 2

After losing the first game of their second-round series against the Buffalo Sabres 4-2, the Montreal Canadiens need to bounce back and do what they did in the first round: find a way to win on the road. Given Lindy Ruff’s coaching style, it should be less of a challenge than it was against the Tampa Bay Lightning when Jon Cooper was hell-bent on keeping Anthony Cirelli stuck to Nick Suzuki.

Martin St-Louis didn’t seem worried at all when he spoke to the media on Thursday. The coach said he was at the helm of a confident group that has a short-term memory and knows how to move on from a loss. They always bounced back from a defeat against Tampa, and that served them well, but they’ve put themselves in a situation where alternating wins and losses won’t work by losing the first game of the series.

Canadiens’ Demidov Needs Help
Canadiens’ Dobes Not To Blame
Canadiens Suffer Game 1 Defeat As Opportunistic Sabres Draw First Blood

On Thursday, even though the Habs had an optional skate, Cole Caufield spent over an hour on the ice, working on his shot. The sniper knows his team is counting on him, and it’s obvious that he’s desperate to find the back of the net.

If the Sabres had an impeccable record historically in the first game of a series, it’s not the case for the second game. Buffalo is 12-29 in Game 2 over the years for a .293 win percentage, although they are 7-10 (.412) when the game is played at home. However, their record is much better when they lead 1-0 in the series; they’re 15-11 overall (.577) and 9-3 (.750) when the series started at home.

Meanwhile, the Canadiens have done well historically in the second game of a series with an 82-44 record for a .651 winning percentage. When the game is played on the road, they are 24-23 (.511). However, those numbers plummet when they are trailing 1-0; overall, they have a 17-33 (.340) record, and it’s even lower on the road, where they are 9-23 (.281).

Caufield is not the only player who will be looking to bounce back in this second game. Lane Hutson, who had his worst game of the playoffs on Wednesday, will be looking for redemption in Game 2. As for the defense corps, it will have to do a better job in front of Jakub Dobes so he can see shots coming. It will be interesting to see if St-Louis decides to make any changes to his lineup. The Canadiens looked like they were getting used to the Sabres’ style of play in the third period when they dominated 11-1 in shots, but they were unable to score on Alex Lyon.

To get a better result, they’ll have to take the Sabres’ goalie’s line of sight away by putting bodies in front of the net. Of course, that’s easier said than done with Buffalo having such a big-bodied blue line that will work hard to clear the front of the net, but if the Habs battle hard enough, those big bodies will also get in Lyon’s line of sight.

Despite having good advanced stats numbers, the second line didn’t find the scoresheet, and Montreal desperately needs some offense from its top six. Ivan Demidov and Alex Newhook could do with a more offensive center on their line. Jake Evans is a good player, but he lacks a finishing touch. If the Canadiens manage to get the win tonight, they’ll come back to Montreal having won home-ice advantage, but that’s not an easy task.

Puck drop is set for 7:00 PM, and you can catch it on HBO MAX, TNT, SN, TVAS, and CBC. Jean Hebert and  Trevor Hanson are set to officiate, while Ryan Daisy and Shandor Alphonso will be the linemen. After the game, the Canadiens will finally head back to Montreal and get ready for Game 3, which is scheduled at 7:00 PM on Sunday night. 


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Golden Knights vs Ducks Props & NHL Playoffs Game 3 Best Bets

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The Western Conference Semifinals shift to Orange County tonight as the Vegas Golden Knights and Anaheim Ducks meet in Game 3. 

My Golden Knights vs. Ducks player props are eyeing Leo Carlsson to flourish, along with Jack Eichel and Chris Kreider. 

Read more in my Golden Knights vs. Ducks predictions and NHL picks for Friday, May 8. 

Best Golden Knights vs Ducks props for Game 3

PlayerPickBET99
Ducks Leo CarlssonOver 3.5 SOG+110
Golden Knights Jack EichelOver 0.5 assists-140
Ducks Chris KreiderOver 0.5 assists+175

Game 3 Prop #1: Leo Carlsson Over 3.5 SOG 

+110 at BET99

Leo Carlsson continues to do his thing in these playoffs for the Anaheim Ducks. He’s notched nine points in only eight games played, and the youngster has cashed the Over in SOG in seven of eight in the postseason. 

Carlsson put four pucks on net in Games 1 and 2, and he found the back of the net in Game 2 as the Ducks walked away with a victory. In three home games in the playoffs, Carlsson is averaging 3.33 SOG. 

Game 3 Prop #2: Jack Eichel Over 0.5 assists

-140 at BET99

Jack Eichel had an impressive 63 helpers during the regular season, and he’s added another nine in the playoffs, serving as one of the Vegas Golden Knights’ top playmakers. Eichel set up his team’s lone goal in Game 2. 

The American has hit the Over in helpers in four of his last five contests, and he’s already grabbed five assists in only three road games in the playoffs. 

Game 3 Prop #3: Chris Kreider Over 0.5 assists

+175 at BET99

The Ducks got production from Chris Kreider in Game 2 as he set up one of their two goals. The winger has compiled five helpers in the postseason and three in his last three contests. Kreider notched two helpers in the series-clincher against the Edmonton Oilers at home.

In fact, he’s hit the Over in assists in two of three games at the Honda Center in the playoffs, and 21 of his 28 regular-season helpers were on home ice.

Playing on the top line with lethal finishers like Carlsson and Troy Terry, he has a really high chance of tallying another assist in Game 3. 

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Yankees Birthday of the Day: Art López

Art López could always hit. Despite an injured throwing arm that limited his effectiveness in the outfield, a diminutive stature, and little fanfare, he played until the age of 36, winning championships in six different countries. A hit tool can carry a ballplayer quite a long way, and despite his brief MLB career, the man had a fascinating life.

Arturo “Art” López Rodríguez 
Born: May 8, 1937 (Mayaguez, Puerto Rico)
Yankees Tenure: 1965

López grew up in Mayaguez, a city on the west coast of Puerto Rico. In addition to excelling in volleyball, he took an early interest in baseball, playing third base in sandlot games and closely following the Puerto Rican Winter League. The López family moved to New York in the late ‘40s, settling in in the Bronx, where young Art attended Morris High School. He quickly became a Yankees fan, later recalling the autographs he secured from the likes of Phil Rizzuto and Vic Raschi.

As was the norm in that era, López played not only high school ball but softball and stickball with neighborhood kids. A burgeoning baseball career was temporarily interrupted by four years of service in the Navy. Upon his return, he joined the Central Park League, playing amateur ball around New York, including a stint under manager John Candelaria Sr. (father of the longtime MLB pitcher who played for the Yankees in 1988 and ‘89).

López hit well enough to draw the attention of Yankees scout Art Dede, who invited him to a showcase at Yankee Stadium in addition to watching him play in several Central Park League games. In one of those games, López threw his bat in frustration after a strikeout but later homered. “When you strike out, don’t throw the bat,” Dede chided him after the game. Three days later, the scout showed up at López’s home and offered him a pro contract.

The outfielder steadily rose through the Yankees’ system, hitting .338 at Single-A in 1963 and .315 at Triple-A the following season. After an outstanding spring training performance that netted him the James P. Dawson Award for best performance by a Yankees rookie in 1965, López made the Opening Day roster for his beloved Yankees. He debuted in the season’s first game, pinch-running for a 33-year-old Mickey Mantle and coming around to score. He’d end up splitting the season between New York and Triple-A Toledo, recording just seven hits and one walk in 51 plate appearances in what would end up being his only MLB action.

After another season spent back in the minors, López accepted an offer from the Tokyo Orions that would make him the first Puerto Rican to play pro ball in Japan — even if the Orions initially thought they were signing his Yankees teammate, Hector López.

Despite the confusion at the outset of the deal, it turned into a happy ending. It was here that the erstwhile Yankee would play his best baseball. In four seasons with the club (which changed its name to the Lotte Orions in 1969), López hit .300 with 91 home runs, making two All-Star teams and helping lead the 1970 Orions to the pennant. He played two more years for the Yakult Atoms before handing up his spikes at the age of 36.

López reached out to Yankees owner George Steinbrenner inquiring about employment opportunities from his former club but never heard back. Instead, he launched what would be a long and fruitful second act in banking and insurance, eventually earning three master’s degrees and going into education. On the occasion of his 89th birthday, join us in wishing a very happy birthday to a man whose brief stint in pinstripes was just one chapter in an extraordinary life.


See more of the “Yankees Birthday of the Day” series here.

Ducks Won Game 2 vs Golden Knights with a lot of Money Sitting in the Press Box, Future of Key Players in Question

The Anaheim Ducks are two games into the second round of the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs, a spot not many predicted them to be in at the start of the 2025-26 season. They will bring a 1-1 series back to Orange County, where they’ll host the Vegas Golden Knights on Friday evening.

The Ducks’ path to the playoffs has been long and winding, but the personnel that has them where they are is only eclipsed in confusion by the personnel that hasn’t.

Exactly a year ago, the Ducks hired Joel Quenneville as their next head coach. In attendance at his introductory press conference were Ducks players Troy Terry, Frank Vatrano, and Ryan Strome.

The latter two surprisingly had an extremely difficult time carving a role out for themselves on the Ducks depth chart in 2025-26 after playing such prominent roles over the previous three seasons for the organization.

Ducks Prospect Tarin Smith Commits to University of Minnesota for 2026-27

Takeaways from the Ducks 3-1 Win over the Golden Knights, Series Tied 1-1

Strome entered the season with an oblique injury that cost him the first 15 games of the season for Anaheim. He only suited up for 33 games after the injury and scored just nine points (3-6=9). He was moved to the Calgary Flames at the trade deadline in exchange for a seventh-round pick.

Vatrano, like Strome, had difficulty impacting games from lower in the Ducks’ lineup for the first half of the season. He sustained a shoulder injury in late December and took some time away from the team due to personal reasons.

He played very little down the stretch of the regular season, often serving as a healthy scratch, in a greatly limited role, and finished with nine points (5-4=9) in 50 games. Vatrano is in the first year of a three-year, $18 million contract extension that, due to deferred salary, carries an AAV of $4.57 million.

Another Ducks player who has struggled mightily this season is young, talented forward Mason McTavish. McTavish endured an extended contract negotiation after coming off his ELC that lasted well into Ducks training camp.

The two sides agreed to terms on a six-year contract with a $7 million AAV, but McTavish missed roughly half of camp, setting him back when it came to learning the intricacies of a new system, a new coaching staff, and several new players. He finished the regular season with a career-low 41 points (17-24=41) in 75 games and was healthy scratched a couple of times late in the year.

Surprisingly, defenseman Ian Moore has been a staple of the fourth line, playing right wing, for the latter part of the season and was a fixture in that position in the Ducks’ opening-round six-game series win over the Edmonton Oilers.

Through the Ducks’ first eight games of the playoffs, Vatrano has yet to suit up, serving as a healthy scratch.

Kirby Lee-Imagn Images
Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

The Ducks lost Game 1 of each of their series, and just like he did in the first round, Ducks head coach Joel Quenneville made a last-minute lineup adjustment after running through morning skate and warmups with a seemingly set lineup for Game 2.

In the first round, it was a simple swap of first and third-line left wingers, Chris Kreider and Cutter Gauthier. In the second round, the adjustment was far more dramatic.

Again, after running through typical line rushes, Quenneville scratched Ian Moore and Mason McTavish in favor of physical forward Ross Johnston and high-motor, versatile forward Jansen Harkins.

“It’s never easy. Never an easy decision,” Quenneville said after Game 1. “It’s not punishment, it’s that we want to have more troops in this series. We think we’re going to need everybody. That was basically the reason.”

The Ducks won Game 2 by a score of 3-1, and Quenneville typically doesn’t change a winning lineup unless injury or outside circumstances dictate.

Vatrano was signed to his contract extension on Jan. 5, 2025, and McTavish signed his on Sept. 27, 2025. At the time of their signings, both players were seen as important pieces of the Ducks’ present and future. Less than 18 months later, they’re healthy scratches in the second round of the playoffs, the organization’s most important games in nine years.

The duo represents $13 million in actual annual money and an annual cap hit of $11.57 million; a lot of money was sitting in the press box for Game 1 and projects to be in Game 2 as well. Questions about their futures with the Ducks franchise moving forward are, and will likely remain, understandably in question.

Though Vatrano’s contract seems unappetizing for opposing teams coming off the year he had in 2025-26, in the three prior seasons, he scored 22, 37, and 21 goals for the Ducks. He’s 32 years old and has two years left on his contract.

The Ducks were able to move on from Strome, who was outscored by Vatrano in his first three seasons with the Ducks and had a higher cap hit, at the deadline, without having to retain. A limited free agent class could drive a team to inquire about Vatrano, and the Ducks likely wouldn’t have to part with assets or retain to move on from him.

If the Ducks intend to move on from him, McTavish’s trade value likely isn’t close to what it was at this time last year. However, his combination of youth (23 years old), size, skill, previous success, and lingering draft pedigree likely indicates it may not be completely diminished.

There is some precedent in this scenario. Ducks general manager Pat Verbeek previously moved on from Trevor Zegras when his value was at its lowest. While the trade brought back Ryan Poehling to join the roster, Eric Nilson at the 2025 Draft, and another 4th round pick on the way, it’s fair to question the timing of the deal, as seemingly more could have been had if Zegras had played any amount of games under Quenneville or Verbeek had simply waited until free agency was over and teams were more desperate to add.

This upcoming summer became far more interesting when it comes to the future of the Ducks organization, as they’ll have several high-profile decisions to make, whether that be the projected big-money extensions for Leo Carlsson and Cutter Gauthier, extensions for RFA blueliners Pavel Mintyukov and Olen Zellweger, potentially re-signing veterans Radko Gudas, John Carlson, and Jacob Trouba, and now the futures of Frank Vatrano and Mason McTavish.

For the Ducks at this present moment, their focus is presumably narrowed on the current task at hand: success in their second-round series against the Vegas Golden Knights.

It can be assumed that the second the Ducks’ season is over, Verbeek will be one of the busier GMs in the NHL, as he aims to further build on this season’s success and flesh out the roster on their journey to becoming a perennial Cup-contending team for the foreseeable future.

The Ducks’ contending window is now fully open, and a multitude of high-profile decisions are on the ever-nearing horizon.

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Takeaways from the Ducks 3-1 Loss to the Golden Knights, Vegas Leads Series 1-0

Spurs vs Timberwolves Props & NBA Playoffs Game 3 Best Bets

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The Minnesota Timberwolves are howling with homecourt advantage after splitting the first two games of their Round 2 series with the San Antonio Spurs.

Game 3 tips off in the Target Center tonight, and I'll sink my teeth into the player prop odds, feasting on any value in the game-to-game adjustments.

Here are my best Spurs vs. Timberwolves props and NBA picks for Friday, May 8.

Best Spurs vs Timberwolves props for Game 3

PlayerPickbet365
Timberwolves Mike Conley Jr.Over 3.5 assists+120
Timberwolves Rudy GobertOver 1.5 blocks+105
Spurs Victor WembanyamaOver 12.5 rebounds-110

Game 3 Prop #1: Mike Conley Jr. Over 3.5 assists

+120 at bet365

The Minnesota Timberwolves can’t afford to keep coughing up the ball and setting up the San Antonio Spurs with extra possessions. The Spurs flipped 22 T-Wolves’ turnovers into 19 points during their Game 2 squash.

Veteran point guard Mike Conley Jr. was responsible for only one of those turnovers in his 16 minutes of action, in which he also recorded three assists.

I expect Conley's floor time to pick up tonight, given his steady hand and multiple injuries to Ayo Dosunmu (questionable for Game 3) and the lack of depth in the backcourt. 

Minnesota’s style will be slower, trying to keep this game in a half-court set, rather than running with San Antonio. That suits the aging legs of Conley just fine, allowing him to create shots for his teammates.

Conley dished out six dimes over 24 minutes in Game 1 of this series and also had six helpers in the Game 6 win over Denver in Round 1.

I believe Conley will serve a big playmaking role, and I love the plus-money return on Over 3.5 dimes.

Game 3 Prop #2: Rudy Gobert Over 1.5 blocks 

+105 at bet365

Minnesota center Rudy Gobert failed to register a block in Game 2, which speaks more to the style of the Spurs’ offense than anything. San Antonio scored in transition and on fast breaks, not allowing the T-Wolves’ shot swatter to set up in the paint.

If Minnesota is to avoid another blowout, it can’t let the Spurs set the tempo and must force them into a half-court battle. That means protecting the perimeter and funneling drives into Gobert's length at the rim.

The multi-time Defensive Player of the Year recorded two or more blocks in three of the final four games against Denver and finished with one swat in the series opener against San Antonio.

With the Timberwolves slowing things down and making an effort to get back on defense, I like Gobert to turn away at least two field goal attempts tonight.

Game 3 Prop #3: Victor Wembanyama Over 12.5 rebounds

-110 at bet365

At this point, we almost have to blindly bet Victor Wembanyama to top his rebound total. The Spurs’ 7-footer is cleaning the glass like Windex, grabbing 15 boards in each of the first two games of the series.

Wembanyama wrangled 15 rebounds in just 26 minutes thanks to the T-Wolves’ shit shooting in Game 2, which skews his stats a bit. Focusing on his 15 rebounds over 40 minutes in Game 1, those came from 23 rebounding chances at a pace that will likely mirror the tempo of Game 3.

Minnesota must be careful about its aggressiveness on the offensive glass, or it could allow the Spurs to push the pace with numbers in transition. As a result, don’t expect San Antonio to face much resistance on the defensive boards.

Wemby has snatched 13 or more rebounds in three straight games and in 10 of his last 14 outings. His game models range from 11.2 to 15.3 boards in Game 3, and I’m leaning toward the higher end of those projections tonight.

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Roman Kantserov Will Sign ELC With Blackhawks, Begin NHL Career In 2025-26

Early in the morning on Friday, it was announced by Metallurg of the KHL that Roman Kantserov would terminate his contract in an effort to come to North America to play in the National Hockey League with the Chicago Blackhawks. 

Kantserov had one of the best seasons by a 21-year-old (or younger) in the KHL. He led the league with 36 goals in 63 games while also showing off his ability to be tenacious and strong on every single shift he takes. 

It is unclear what positions Anton Frondell and Frank Nazar will play in 2026-27, but Kantserov is sure to play on the wing in the top six alongside one of them or Connor Bedard. Right away, thanks to his ability to score in bunches, it should be an improved group simply based on his addition alone. 

The Blackhawks selected Kantserov in the second round (44th overall) of the 2023 NHL Draft. Now they have convinced him to leave his KHL squad to pursue opportunities in the world's best hockey league. 

Kantserov will turn 22 just ahead of the 2026-27 season, so he fits in perfectly with his future teammates, who are all young and ready to take a step in their development. 

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Anaheim Ducks are learning to thrive in playoff pressure heading into Game 3 vs. Golden Knights

ANAHEIM, Calif. — The Stanley Cup playoffs can change a team. The high stakes and the frenzied crowds annually inspire hockey players who can handle them to ever-higher levels of grit, guile and greatness.

The Anaheim Ducks are the latest young team growing and thriving under the weight of its first taste of postseason pressure.

Although they ended their franchise’s seven-year playoff drought, the Ducks were not a good defensive team during the regular season, too often settling for indifferent backchecking and mediocre goaltending that frequently didn’t hurt them because of their offensive excellence. Anaheim allowed the fourth-most goals in the NHL, easily the most given up by any playoff team, before surrendering 21 goals to similarly wide-open Edmonton in the first round.

But when the Ducks had to protect a 2-0 lead over the playoff-tested Vegas Golden Knights with less than seven minutes left in Game 2 of the second round, they showed how much the postseason means.

During one frantic goalmouth scramble, three penalty-killing Ducks dived to the ice to block multiple shots — Mikael Granlund even made one block with an outstretched toe — while goalie Lukas Dostal went side to side with extraordinary desperation, jokingly saying he was “playing more soccer goalie than hockey goalie out there.”

The extra playoff exertion was palpable, and their teammates on the bench leaped to their feet in excitement. Anaheim hung on for a 3-1 win, evening the series and adding another layer of experiential bedrock to the foundation of a young team that intends to be in Stanley Cup contention for years to come.

“A lot of us are going through it together for the first time ... and the whole experience is just bringing us closer together,” Ducks forward Troy Terry said. “I think what you’re seeing, we can feel in our room, just how much we’re coming together at this time of year. Whether it’s a blocked shot, a goal, whatever it is, you can feel the closeness. All of us have just been so hungry for this opportunity. We were all well aware of what it would take to be successful in the playoffs, but you never really know until you get in these positions.”

The playoffs resume with the Montreal Canadiens visiting the Buffalo Sabres before Anaheim hosts Vegas in Game 3.

Much of the Golden Knights’ core has been together for years, building the camaraderie and accountability necessary to give its best effort in the postseason.

This is all new to the Ducks, and they’re embracing it. Anaheim only has allowed four goals in two games by Vegas, and they include an empty-netter in Game 1 and a meaningless power-play goal with 5.6 seconds left in Game 2.

“I know this team had some growing pains we had to go through, but all year long we said, ‘I just can’t wait to get to the playoffs so we can see just how good these guys can be,’” coach Joel Quenneville said. “Across the board, I would have to say for sure we’re playing the best hockey we’ve shown all year.”

Anaheim went 3-0 at Honda Center in the first round against the Oilers. Orange County fans haven’t seen hockey in May since 2017, when the Ducks made the Western Conference finals.

Montreal Canadiens at Buffalo Sabres

When/Where to Watch: Game 2, Friday, 7 p.m. EDT (TNT, HBO MAX).

Despite some lapses, the Buffalo Sabres played to their speedy, up-tempo attacking identity in winning Game 1 against Montreal.

It’s the Canadiens’ turn to rediscover their identity while adapting to a different-styled foe following a 4-2 loss.

However resilient and capable Montreal was in the first round while grinding out a seven-game win over the slower, heavier and tight-checking Tampa Bay Lightning, the Canadiens need to switch gears against Buffalo.

“I can’t say that I learned anything yesterday, but I will tell you that I know we can play with them,” Canadiens coach Martin St. Louis said. “We’re just going to have to do some things a bit better.”

A better start would help, as the Sabres built a 2-0 lead in the first period. Although Montreal outshot Buffalo 11-1 in the third period, most of them came from the perimeter.

Otherwise, the outcome -- from the Canadiens’ perspective -- was decided on a few unfortunate breaks.

Defenseman Lane Hutson fell and coughed up the puck in a turnover that led to Buffalo’s opening goal. Mike Matheson’s clearing attempt was then batted down by Buffalo’s Ryan McLeod, setting up Bowen Byram’s goal that made it 4-1 midway through the second period.

“It’s a little bit different, but we know what to expect now,” forward Cole Caufield said in comparing Tampa and Buffalo.

After scoring a team-leading 51 goals in the regular season, Caufield placed the emphasis on himself to regain his touch amid a four-game point drought.

“As a whole, not where I want it to be. I expect more out of myself, and my teammates do too,” he said. “Just trying to get better every game and just trying to make a difference.”

Montreal has yet to win or lose two straight this postseason, and it’s coming off a series against Tampa Bay in which all seven games were decided by one goal — including four in regulation.

The Sabres also believe they can be better following an outing in which they were limited to a playoff-low 16 shots.

“Some of our puck decisions, I thought, weren’t up to the level that we had,” coach Lindy Ruff said, noting a four-day break between games might have played a factor.

“I hate to say rust — but you haven’t been up and running, your game tempo isn’t quite there,” he added. “Some of our puck decisions led to opportunities, what I call giving up free offense. It wasn’t from lack of effort.”

Dallas to learn its draft position at NBA Draft Lottery Sunday

When the Dallas Mavericks concluded their 2025-2026 campaign — one of the worst seasons in franchise history with a 26-56 record — all eyes turned to the NBA draft. Fans are hoping the team can notch a top pick like they did last season when their 1.9% chance to get the No. 1 pick turned into reality in May.

At 3 p.m. E.T. on Sunday, they’ll have a chance, and a better one than they had last year, to repeat history.

Dallas has the 8th-best odds of claiming the No. 1 overall pick, coming in at 6.7%. The Mavericks have a 29.0% chance t0 move into the top four picks. Mavericks legend Rolando Blackman and co-general manager Matt Ricardi will be representing the team in Chicago for the lottery. The duo also represented the Mavericks at last year’s draft lottery.

It is most likely the team will remain at No. 8 (32.9%) or drop one slot to No. 9 (31.1%), and there is a slim chance the team drops to No. 10 (6.6%). If the team gets incredibly unlucky, there is a 0.4% chance they could fall to 11, and a less than 0.1% chance they fall to 12.

Cut all the math out of it and it comes to this — if you flip a coin twice and it comes up heads both teams, that’s about the likelihood of Dallas jumping to the top 4.

All 14 non-playoff teams are entered into the lottery every year to decide which teams get the top four picks. After the lottery, the rest of the first round goes in reverse order of record. The worst three teams each get a 14% chance of securing the No. 1 overall pick and the odds go down from there.

This system has been ever evolving since its inception in 1985 and will likely change next season, as ESPN’s Shams Charania recently reported on changes to the draft lottery odds to disincentivize tanking in the league.

This may be the last year the lottery looks like this. So take a second, dip away from your family, mothers, spouses, and children on Mother’s Day, and gather round the television to watch the NBA’s deputy commissioner, Mark Tatum, announce the results of the 2026 Draft Lottery at 3 p.m. E.T., since apparently there was no other time they could’ve scheduled this.

This Week in Mets Quotes: The Mets on their cromulent week of professional baseball

May 7, 2026; Denver, Colorado, USA; New York Mets designated hitter Juan Soto (22) gestures in the fifth inning against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images | Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

Your 2026 New York Mets: It just didn’t go our way there

“It was close. Especially from our angle, I couldn’t tell. And whatever they called on the field, I was pretty sure it was going to stand. And we called down and [replay analyst] Harrison [Friedland] said the same thing — there’s not an angle there where you could really tell whether it was fair or foul, and it just didn’t go our way there.” -Carlos Mendoza [MLB]

I feel like a theme of this season is a lot of ‘hoping’ and ‘feeling’

“I was hoping it was foul, but after they called it fair and after looking at it, they decided it was a home run.” -Craig Kimbrel [MLB]

“With first and third, I was just trying to get a strikeout. And I felt like I did. Felt like [Willi Castro] went on the check swing, and it turned into a ball. Which turned into a grand slam.” -Craig Kimbrel [MLB]

… the other theme is players giving quotes along the lines that ‘it’s difficult not being there for the team’

“It is difficult, but at the end of the day, some things you can’t control. I’ve just got to keep going, keep working, just trying to get better to get back as soon as possible, and just trying to help the team. But it’s difficult not to be there.” -Jorge Polanco [New York Daily News]

My twice quoting that I “respect the decision” has people asking a lot of questions already answered by quote

“I respect the decision. Obviously, coming third time through the order and you have a lead there and you obviously want to hold it. I left those pitches arm-side for the four-pitch walk there, but I respect the decision.” -Christian Scott [MLB]

Huge go head home run by Ronny Mauricio but /Insert notecard that ‘Poochie died on the way to his home planet’ reference/

“It feels great to be able to help the team in a situation like that — obviously a situation where my hit put us ahead. We’re coming out here, we’re working, we’re doing everything we have to do to get out in front. It feels excellent.” -Ronny Mauricio [MLB]

While the Thursday’s loss was disappointing, let’s have a palate cleanser and acknowledge that the Mets did win two series on the road this past week

“We can’t sit here and think about the past. It’s one day at a time. But it’s good to see the guys playing loose, with confidence, just playing their games.” -Carlos Mendoza [MLB]

“You want to have good games in this ballpark. It’s a good place to hit. It’s a big outfield. The ball carries. Juan starting off with a home run was good for everybody just to feel like it’s going to be a good day. And it definitely was.” -Marcus Semien [MLB]

“To punch first in the first inning … it’s always great.” -Juan Soto [MLB]

“I think it’s what I was personally expecting. I think this is who we are. We just have to keep it that way — that’s it. Without thinking about the past.” Freddy Peralta [MLB]

“They’re playing the game the way they’re capable. There’s a lot of smiles on their faces. It’s good to see them having fun.” -Carlos Mendoza [MLB]

I mean, Benge is the current owner of a wRC+ of 74, but he is healthy, so this is factually correct

“[Carson Benge] can play. He can play.” -Carlos Mendoza [MLB]

…and it’s probably a good sign when we cleared runway so that the team can learn if a top prospect panics when they continuously fail…

“Even when it was really, really hard for [Carson Benge], I never sensed any type of panicking. He handled it pretty well. He continues to show a lot of good signs on and off the field.” -Carlos Mendoza [MLB]

…but in all seriousness, he did make a real nice play last Sunday and might be starting to hit

“I dove still not knowing but I know I was going to try to make a play for my guys.” -Carson Benge [MLB]

So to all you mother’s out there, happy birthday

“There’s so many times that she’s [his mother, Alana Hix] driven my truck. She probably has more miles on it than I do. There’s so many times that she’s driven my truck. She probably has more miles on it than I do.” -Austin Warren [MLB]

“She’s been there every step of the way.” -Austin Warren [MLB]

Swaggy V is coming back (wRC+ 89)

“I feel good. I just want to keep on it and keep putting good at-bats together.” -Mark Vientos [MLB]

“We’ve seen it. We haven’t seen that in a while, but when [Vientos] gets hot, man, he can carry a team.” -Carlos Mendoza [MLB]

“The injuries for sure suck. I’m not too happy about those. I just feel like if I trust my process and my routine throughout the season, eventually I’m going to come through and I’m going to do my thing.” -Mark Vientos [MLB]

Just wanted to note this fun story about a fan that celebrated attending his 10,000 MLB game by Matt Monagan

“My father took me to Yankee Stadium on May 26, 1963. I was 10 1/2 years old. The Yankees won the first game, the Senators won the second game.” -Mike Casiano [MLB]

Congrats on Luis Torrens on getting his first extension of his career

“I’m really happy about it. Ever since I got here to the Mets, everyone has treated me great. I feel like I’m a part of the family, and there’s great value in that.” -Luis Torrens [MLB]

Just in case you missed it, probably due to Steve Gelb’s viral moment when he reported on the vending machine’s at Great American Ballpark in 2024, we have a new segment ‘Let’s Be Frank with Steve Gelbs’

“To me, this is a classic beer-and-dog baseball game hot dog. For that reason … I’m going to give it a 5.5.” David Wright [MLB]

It’s amazing that it’s been a whole decade since this happened

“Oh, [Bartolo Colon] works. He takes pride in it. He works his butt off. Out of his five-day cycle, he probably hits three out of the five days, and probably takes 40 to 50 swings a day. He’s a strong guy. He’s got tremendous hand strength. When he squares it up, it goes. So we’re not surprised he hit a home run. We’re surprised he hit it in a game.” -Pat Roessler assistant hitting coach [MLB]

Wishing Pete and Brandon the best with their new teams

“I feel like that having that respect from the guys I was with every day, the guys that I was going to battle every day with, so to speak — whether it be from the manager and other players — having that respect is obviously nice,” Alonso said before the Orioles opened a four-game series at Yankee Stadium. “But there’s no final conversation from a brass or ownership standpoint.” -Pete Alonso [ESPN]

“[If he was surprised by not having a final conversation] No, not really because I think things were kind of progressing in the way with Baltimore, and they were just like, ‘OK, all right.’ The No. 1 thing through the whole process … it’s kind of when you’re going through free agency and things are coming across, when things are so good you really don’t want to mess that.” -Pete Alonso [ESPN]

Is It Time For The Washington Nationals To Move CJ Abrams Off Shortstop?

WASHINGTON, DC - MAY 05: CJ Abrams #5 of the Washington Nationals fields against the Minnesota Twins at Nationals Park on May 5, 2026 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images) | Getty Images

2026 has been a breakout season for CJ Abrams on the offensive side of the ball, posting a .401 OBP, .960 OPS, and hitting 9 home runs entering play today. He is hitting the ball harder than ever, and his improved approach at the plate has led to a career-low strikeout rate and a career-high walk rate.

The one area Abrams has not made a stride this season is defensively, as in 36 games at shortstop this season, he ranks in the 1st percentile of Outs Above Average at -6. Many hoped Abrams could make improvements at short this season under the new regime, but unfortunately, that hasn’t been the case, as he is currently on pace for the worst defensive season of his career.

The most difficult balls for Abrams this season have been ones he has to charge in on, as he’s had at least -4 OAA on those types of batted balls the last 3 years, and is up to -5 OAA on them already this season. He has been better on balls hit to his left this season, posting a -1 OAA so far this season compared to -6 in 2025, but the overall body of work at shortstop has been lackluster yet again for him.

While Abrams has been subpar at shortstop defensively, the other half of the Nationals’ middle infield, Nasim Nunez, has shone defensively, with his 3 Outs Above Average ranking in the 95th percentile in all of baseball. Nunez has struggled offensively in 2026, providing most of his value in the little things, such as bunting and baserunning, but his defensive prowess makes him a valuable ballplayer regardless.

With Abrams lack of defensive success at shortstop and Nunez, a natural shortstop, thriving at second base, it’s fair to question why the Nationals don’t just flip the two defensively. Nunez would easily be the best defensive shortstop the Nats have had since Trea Turner, and his offensive shortcomings would be more tolerable because he’s defending so well at one of the most important positions on the field.

Moving Abrams off shortstop sooner than later makes sense for the Nats long term with the abundance of shortstops they have coming up through the minor league system, including but not limited to Eli Willits, Ronny Cruz, and Seaver King.

King is the closest of that group to reaching the big leagues, currently going scorched earth to Double-A pitching, and he is well-regarded for his smooth actions at shortstop with a strong arm to go with it. Willits is a few years away from debuting in the majors, but he is already standing out at Low A for his defensive abilities.

Moving CJ Abrams to second base also slightly cheapens up a possible extension for him, as the going rate for second basemen is lower than for shortstops in the league. Problems could arise if Abrams uses his claim to shortstop in negotiations, saying he won’t sign an extension if he’s moved off his position, but after years of poor defensive play at short, Abrams doesn’t deserve to have his claim to the position completely unchallenged.

Let’s not press any panic buttons yet on Andrew Painter

May 7, 2026; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies pitcher Andrew Painter (24) throws a pitch during the third inning against the Athletics at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-Imagn Images | Bill Streicher-Imagn Images

The first inning of Andrew Painter’s start against the Athletics was a painful one. The first four batters all reached base safely and all scored thanks to home runs by Shea Langeliers and Brent Rooker. The pitch to Langeliers was a bad one, one that got appropriately punished, but the home run to Rooker wasn’t a horrible pitch at all. He just was able to get his hands in enough, fast enough, that he pulled the ball into the seats.

Reaction to this start wasn’t exactly the kind that would lend itself to people being happy with Painter, justifiably so. He just wasn’t good.

Of course, there were some over the top reactions…

At least there are Mets fans out there keeping the perspective squarely where it needs to be.

There are reasons to have some concern with where Painter is at right now, but for me, that’s a matter of perspective. Should there be panic buttons being pressed over what he has done so far? Should there be larger concerns about his future role on the team? Are we going to have to sweep him aside into the dustbin labeled “bust” for those prospects that failed?

For at least one of those questions, it’s far too early for that. Even the most cynical Phillies fan that is around can admit that labeling Painter a bust already is foolhardy. Seven games into a major league pitching career is simply not enough to make major determinations about anything this season, let alone the ones that follow. There has to be time for adjustment to the routine of being a major league pitching, adjusting to the lineups that are getting the scouting reports, learning how to be a complete pitcher rather than a guy with good stuff. Putting to bed the idea that Painter is somehow a bust should be easy enough.

However, there could be some legitimate concerns about Painter’s ultimate ceiling as a prospect. When coming up, he was billed as someone who might have an arsenal would lay waste to lineups across the game. The scourge known as Tommy John surgery has now cast into doubt if that ceiling can ever be reached, particularly when considering his stuff has taken a legitimate step back. Check any scouting report from before his 2023 injury on Baseball Prospectus:

Painter’s report presents some Rorschach test qualities for modern prospect evaluation. Both Jeffrey Paternostro and I saw him live last year and thought he was very good but not great from an eye-scouting perspective…A data-driven look at Painter will show him as a potential ace. His fastball velocity actually plays up due to carry and extension, and while he doesn’t have great visual command he fills up the top edges of the zone with pitches batters cannot drive and often cannot even make contact on. The breaking balls work well in concert with each other as a diving curve and sweeping slider—two distinct breaking balls in the same velocity band is a feature, not a bug, and those are two good breaking ball shapes—and the changeup may not be used often but has good potential. He sliced and diced through Low-A, High-A, and Double-A without any real challenge, and it’s not impossible that he makes the MLB rotation out of spring training—as a 19-year-old.

Compare that to what see now:

Since his return in the 2024 AFL, Painter’s stuff has moderately declined compared to 2022…While even this version of Painter is a good pitching prospect, there’s nothing special there to separate him from dozens of other pitchers with solid arm speed, a developing but underutilized changeup, and some capacity for spin. At the same time, we can’t fully ignore that this was his first full season back from Tommy John, and therefore it makes sense to build in a reasonable chance of further shape and command bouncebacks.

Not the trajectory anyone was really look for in his career, but this is what happens when the return from that kind of surgery doesn’t happen in a linear fashion. As we’ve seen in his debut month, his stuff and command both look as though they are trying to get back to where once were, but it’s fair to wonder if they ever will. Does the ceiling that many were projecting for him even exist any longer? Maybe, maybe not.

Is it fair to wonder if maybe the expectations of his ultimate ceiling should be throttled down? Absolutely. While it might be seen by some as another organizational failure to develop a front of the rotation starter from within, the fact is that the team does have Cristopher Sanchez and Jesus Luzardo in place for at least the next five years to handle the top two spots in the rotation. Needing to have Painter be that frontline starter is no longer a necessity….but it still would be nice if he could get there.

But let’s not hit the panic button yet on him. He’s still only 23 years old and has made seven appearances thus far in the majors. He does need to be better, which means he and the coaching staff need to figure out what is going wrong lately, particularly when it pertains to his fastball. However, there is plenty of time for him to adjust to whatever the league sees and become something better than what he has shown in his last two starts.

Royals Regroup After Guardians Split, Rotation Depth Tested by Injuries

The Kansas City Royals just wrapped a pivotal series against the Cleveland Guardians, and there is plenty to unpack, from a wave of pitching injuries to the emergence of some intriguing names from within the organization.

Jacob Milham and Jeremy Greco open with the injury news reshaping the Royals’ rotation outlook. Cole Reagins, Noah Cameron, and Carlos Estevez are all dealing with health concerns, and the guys break down what each absence means for roster construction and how the front office might respond, whether through internal call-ups, bullpen games, or a move at the trade deadline. Minor league starters Ryan Ramsey and Stephen Kolek are squarely in the conversation, and both get a thorough evaluation.

The bullpen remains a strength, and the debut of reliever Eric Cerantola is one of the episode’s highlights. Jacob and Jeremy dig into his strikeout profile, pitch extension, and how his release point and tunneling could make him a legitimate weapon. Meanwhile, Lucas Erceg’s recent outings get a fresh look, and the hosts draw a fascinating comparison to Mason Miller, who is quietly putting together one of the most dominant relief seasons in the league.

In the outfield, Isaac Collins, Kyle Isbel, and Lane Thomas are all part of a broader conversation about how Kansas City’s depth is evolving. Prospect Kendry Chourio’s workload management and timeline for a potential promotion also get attention, as does David Shields’ continued development in the system.

The episode rounds out with a look ahead to the upcoming series against the Detroit Tigers, a breakdown of the Royals’ bullpen metrics since April, and a nod to Bobby Witt Jr.’s MLB The Show takeover.

Need your Royals fix? Head to royalsreview.com for news, analysis, and to engage with Royals fans around the world! Follow us online:

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– Jeremy Greco: @hokius.fromthehawkseye.com
– Jacob Milham: @jacobmilhkc.bsky.social

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Padres’ Luis Campusano goes on injured list with broken toe, Rodolfo Durán recalled for MLB debut

SAN DIEGO — Padres catcher Luis Campusano was placed on the 10-day injured list with a broken left toe, and 28-year-old Rodolfo Durán was called up to make his major league debut.

San Diego also transferred right-hander Joe Musgrove to the 60-day injured list as his return from Tommy John surgery continues to go slower than hoped.

Campusano fouled a ball off his foot. The veteran backup catcher had been off to an impressive start this season, batting .288 with a .958 OPS in his tandem with Freddy Fermin.

“Just got a little fracture in his big toe,” Padres manager Craig Stammen said. “It’s one of those things that he could potentially play through, depending on pain tolerance and all that. ... I think it’ll be good to be able to get past it in the IL stint instead of trying to play through something.”

The injury allows Durán to reach the majors for the first time after a minor league career that began in 2015. The Dominican catcher started out in the Phillies organization and spent time in the minors with the Yankees and Royals before signing with the Padres in January 2025.

Durán is batting .238 with a .785 OPS in 23 games for Triple-A El Paso this season. He was in the Padres’ lineup batting ninth and catching right-hander Michael King for San Diego’s homestand opener against St. Louis.

“This is a pretty cool call-up for him and all of us,” Stammen said of Durán. “We really loved what we saw from him in spring training this year and what he did last year in Triple-A. I expected him to be a great catcher. He’s got a great arm, but his bat has come alive the last two years. We definitely see him as a big league catcher.”

Musgrove hasn’t pitched since the NL playoffs in October 2024. He only made one appearance in spring training, and he still hasn’t started throwing again.

“He’s just focused on getting healthy, doing whatever he needs to do on a daily basis,” Stammen said.

Nebraska Baseball Weekend Preview: Iowa

Series Preview

Iowa Hawkeyes (29-18, 12-12 B1G) at #25 Nebraska Cornhuskers (34-14, 17-7 B1G)

Location: Hawks Field at Haymarket Park, Lincoln, NE

Dates: May 8th-10th

Times (all CDT): Friday @ 6pm , Saturday @ 2pm, Sunday @ 2pm

Coaches: Rick Heller (13th season, 785-602-2) & Will Bolt (7th season, 204-140-1)

TV/Stream: Friday is on Nebraska Public Media, Sunday will be on BTN, All games on B1G+

Radio: All Nebraska games on Huskers Radio Network, Huskers.com, Huskers App

Well, where have we seen a talented but dazed Husker team take on a “mid” Iowa team before? It’s a nightmare we’ve seen time and time agains in seemingly every sport. After having a lot of “luck” metrics go their way for the entire season, the Huskers seemingly had every break go against them in Columbus last week. So far, a return home has righted the ship in a big way after some struggles away from home. Will the final few (regular season, fingers crossed) home games give them their mojo back? (Shout out, Mojo Hagge!)

Iowa has piled up wins by beating up on the weak sisters of the poor, with the 222nd ranked non-conference schedule. They are not as good as their overall record (which still isn’t great) might make you think. In conference, they’ve been swept by the 2 California teams, and lost to Michigan State. They’ve beaten bottom feeders Maryland, Indiana and Penn State, but have also won series against Minnesota and most recently Illinois.

Barring being swept by Nebraska and then Purdue, Iowa should be in the group that that plays in Omaha for the right to play in the final tournament against the top 4 seeds. I wouldn’t get too attached to that “sweep” thought though. Things rarely go as planned when the Hawkeyes come to town.

Pitching Preview

Game 1: RHP Carson Jasa (8-2, 3.68 ERA) vs. RHP Tyler Guerin (2-2, 6.80 ERA)

Game 2: RHP Ty Horn (2-2, 4.06 ERA) vs. RHP Maddux Frese (4-2, 2.56 ERA)

Game 3: RHP Gavin Blachowicz (4-2, 3.08 ERA) vs. TBD

Coach Bolt and Co. have found their Friday night starter in Carson Jasa. They were protecting him in a way earlier in the year, putting him in a slightly less stressful day in Saturday, usually battling a less superior pitcher on the other team. Now he is “The Man”, and despite picking up the loss, he pitched very well. One ball just trickling out of Case Sanderson’s glove on a tough play was maybe the difference in the game. Going more than 6 innings has to be a goal going forward.

Welcome back to the rotation Ty Horn. He has rediscovered that little bit extra of his fastball that he was without for his last few Friday starts. That along with the confidence/attitude readjustment, and the giving his all on every pitch instead of worrying about going through an order a third time unlocked the Ty we saw at the end of 2025. Bolt said with only one mid week game left, Ty affecting multiple games a week wouldn’t be as important, so made the decision to replace the suddenly struggling Katskee easier.

Bolt also said he thought Gavin Blachowicz just fit better on Sundays when deciding where to place Horn. Blachowicz suffered from a couple bad breaks, especially the 3 RBI triple that Drew Grego just couldn’t quite get ahold of. Even-so, Blachowicz has been the most even keeled starter, even without his best stuff, so expect Championship Sundays to get back on track.

Iowa has been searching for a starting rotation all season. They’ve finally arrived back where they started on Friday nights with Tyler Guerin. The 6’6” righty had a bad start to the season, then regrouped mostly in the bullpen before starting the past 3 weekends. He doesn’t go long, rarely getting to 70 pitches, and is very prone to walking pitchers. Iowa has a lot of relievers it trusts, so the leash isn’t long for its starters.

Maddux Frese has been a revelation over then last month for the Hawkeyes. Not only is he pitching effective, allowing 2 runs or less in 4 of his last 5 starts, but he is going deep into games, with quality starts in each of those 4 games as well. He’s not a big strikeout guy, in fact he gets most of his outs via fly balls. That can be an adventure, depending on the wind at Haymarket Park. Logan Runde has been the third pitcher for the team over the entire year, but has struggled of late, so the team is considering a couple other options, depending on how the series goes for Sunday.

Scouting Report

This weekend will be a battle between the top 2 hitting teams in the conference. Last week Nebraska was #1 and Iowa was #2, but as you can imagine after Columbus, the two have flipped. It’s a rare Iowa team in that the offense carries the pitching staff. Probably been 2019 since that happened.

The best hitter on the Hawkeyes is easily in the mix of top 5 batters in the conference depending on the criteria. That is second baseman Gable Mitchell, who thankfully is finally a senior. He has taken the conference lead in hits and batting average away from Mac Moyer after last week. He has 75 hits, and is batting .393. At 5’9, 185 lbs, he’s not a big home run threat with 5 on the year, but can pile up doubles, with 14 on the year, and a B1G leading 4 triples as well. He will run on occasion, stealing 11 of 15 bases.

Caleb Wolf is almost a Mitchell clone. The diminutive first baseman is the same size as Mitchell and second on the team in batting average at .370. Wolf also has 12 doubles and 3 home runs.

In fact, the whole team has a similar stat line of piling up singles and doubles, and not really worrying about home run power. The team leader in home runs has only 6, and that is short stop and usual leadoff man Kooper Schulte. Schulte also leads the team with 17 doubles on the season while batting .286.

Iowa likes to run, stealing the second most bases in the Big Ten to Minnesota at 85. Outfielder Kellen Strohmeyer leads the team, going 17 for 17 on the season.

Iowa has numerous arms they turn to during a weekend, with 7 pitchers having over 12 appearances out of the pen on the season so far. Their most trusted arm is do everything reliever Kyle Alivo. He is tied for the team lead with 3 saves, and has thrown 38 innings in mostly relief. That includes a big time outing in his last appearance, going for 5 innings with 8 strikeouts Saturday against Illinois.

Freshman lefty Brolan Frost leads the pen with a 2.94 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. He has made 15 appearances, for 18.1 innings. He’s been used a lot more recently, throwing an inning in one game against Illinois and then coming in for a single left handed batter in another. Expect to see something similar this weekend.

Grad transfer Joe Husak leads the team in appearances with 19 on the season. He has a 5.19 ERA and has struck out 23 batters in 26 innings of work. He should be in multiple games against Nebraska if the score is close.

As always, Iowa is an elite defense. They are currently #1 in the B1G and #3 in the country with a 98.5 fielding percentage.

Series History

Iowa leads the all time series 29-26 against Nebraska. In their last meeting, the Hawkeyes won 2 out of 3 in Iowa City last season.

On Deck

  • Jeter Worthley has been hit by 18 pitches this season, tied for 9th most in a season in Husker history. He is 2 behind Riley Silva’s 2025 season for 8th.
  • Drew Grego has 38 RBIs on the season, 4th most by a Husker freshman in history. He’s 3 away from Daniel Bruce and 10 behind Alex Gordon.
  • With one more hit, Dylan Carey will tie Paul Meyers for 7th all time in hits. He is also only 2 behind Michael Pritchard for 6th place.

Guardians fan turned a foul ball catch into the ultimate party foul

Catching a foul ball at an MLB game is a core memory moment, but it can be just as memorable to blow it as spectacularly as this fan did on Thursday afternoon.

Extending for the bare one-handed catch, this man not only managed to flub the catch, but he spilled his beer all over the woman sitting next to him, notably drenching the ballpark nachos in the process. I’m not going to throw too much shade at the attempted catch, because a jumping one-hander at full extension is rough. I’m not sure many people would have made that grab.

However, I will slam this man for not having situational awareness of his concessions situation. I looked up the prices of food and drink at Progressive Field in Cleveland, and he’s drinking the 25 oz stadium beer, which is $12 for a domestic. I’ll go with the low-end and assume he’s not drinking craft. The loaded nachos, they’re $15. I appears there may also be hot dogs on the tray, but I won’t count there only because there appears to be some roughness to the foil — meaning they may have already been eaten.

If we zoom in on the beer right as he’s about the make the catch we can clearly see how much the man had already consumed, thanks to sunlight shining through the translucent cup.

Therefore, he lost two-thirds of his beer and ruined the nachos trying to make the catch for a financial loss of $23 on the attempt. The embarrassment from flubbing this catch on live TV, well, that’s worth a lot more in emotional damage.