Box Grades: Scrappy Spurs fall just short in frustrating loss

May 10, 2026; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; San Antonio Spurs guard Dylan Harper (2) goes to the basket against the Minnesota Timberwolves in the first quarter of game four of the second round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs at Target Center. Mandatory Credit: Bruce Kluckhohn-Imagn Images | Bruce Kluckhohn-Imagn Images

I will attempt to refrain from commenting too much on the play that defined last night’s game and will instead try to focus on the optimistic fact that this young and inexperienced Spurs team very nearly scored a road playoff win against a very good (and extremely desperate) opponent without the support of their best player for nearly three quarters. Especially considering how critical Victor Wembanyama’s role is in this particular matchup, it was impressive to see how effective the team managed to be for long stretches. In any case, for the moment I’ll set my broader feelings about the game aside and focus on the box score, which has a number of striking highlights:

Note: Now that we’ve moved into the postseason, the reference period used for grading changes from the set of regular season games since 2012-2013 to the set of postseason games since 2012-2013. Unless otherwise noted below, this set DOES include play-in games. As of the end of May 10, 2026, this group include 1,183 games.

Factors that decided the game

  • Both teams had numerous mild edges in this game, though they were often offsetting. For example, Minnesota won the offensive (+2) and defensive (+6) glass, but San Antonio had three fewer turnovers.
  • San Antonio also fouled less and earned a FTA margin of +5. However, the Timberwolves’ big advantage in FT% (+13.13 percentage points) drove the Spurs FTM differential down to just +1.
  • San Antonio had a +2.99 percentage-point edge in FG%, which should have put them in a great position to win. Unfortunately, Minnesota offset this with two big advantages. First, they attempted eight more total shots, and thus had a FGM margin of +1.
  • Second, the Spurs’ overall edge in shooting efficiency emphatically did not extend to the three-point line, as the Timberwolves had a 3P% margin of +13.96 percentage points. As a result of all this, Minnesota outscored San Antonio by six from the field despite their FG% deficit.

Rare Box Score Stats

  • San Antonio and Minnesota combined for 53 shots from distance in this game, which is unusually low but for from unheard of in today’s game. In fact, there have been three other cases in the 2026 playoffs alone (i.e., excluding the play-in) where two teams combined for a 3PA total as low or lower (that’s about once in every 15-16 games). However, what is amazing is how quickly this outcome has gone from being completely expected to notably rare. As recently as the 2016 playoffs, an absolute majority of true playoffs had a 3PA total of 53 or less, and wen the Spurs won the title in 2014 this share was north of 84%. Prior to that, games with more than 53 three-point attempts were exceptionally rare, with no instances in several years.
  • This is just the 11th postseason game since 2013 (that’s about 1-in-108, or 0.93% of games) in which the winner had a FG% margin at least as bad as -2.99 percentage points and a 3P% margin as good or better than +13.96 percentage points.
  • This was also just the ninth postseason contest in the same period in which the loser shot at least as 47.67% from the field and at least as bad as 23.08% from distance. Oddly enough, one of the other cases happened yesterday as well, as the 76ers shot 50% from the field and 22.86% from distance.
  • Though San Antonio’s blocks were (for obvious reasons) way down in this game, they did have 13 steals and thus combined from a total of 16 stocks (steals + blocks), which is 10 more than the Timberwolves’ total of six. Since 2013, only seven other postseason winners (about 1-in-169) have had a stock differential as bad or worse.

What are Team Graded Box Scores?

Very briefly, these box scores grade winner-loser differentials for basic box score statistics, with the grade being based on the winning team’s differential relative to other NBA winners during a defined reference period. Think of it like a report card for understanding how a given winner performed relative to other winners. The reference period used runs from the start of the 2012-2013 season to the latest date of play, including only games in the same season category (i.e., regular season and playoff games are not compared to each other).

Data Source: The underlying data used to create these box scores was collected from Basketball Reference. In all cases, the data are collected the morning after the game is played. Although rare, postgame statistical revisions after data collection do occur and may affect the results after the fact.

Giants-Dodgers series: Comparing teams as rivalry heats up this week

Baseball's greatest rivalry is back on display for four games.

The San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers will face each other in a four-game series beginning Monday, May 11 at Dodger Stadium.

The Dodgers are looking to defend home field in LA, just as the Giants did weeks ago in the Bay. San Francisco won two during a three-game series with Los Angeles on April 21-23 at Oracle Park.

On the field, the two go into the series with opposite records. While the Dodgers are 24-16, the Giants are 16-24. While Los Angeles is tied for first in the NL West, San Francisco sits in fourth place.

It's the Giants, though, who have the all-time series lead, although slim at 1,290-1,288-17 during regular-season meetings. It's Los Angeles with the edge in the postseason, beating San Francisco, 3-2. The last laugh goes to the Giants, who have one more championship than the Dodgers, 10 'chips to nine.

However, the Dodgers are favored to win in 2026, and tie them at 10. Los Angeles has won back-to-back World Series in 2024 and 2025. The Dodgers' run of three World Series wins in the last six seasons is how the Giants climbed the ranks during their run of three World Series wins between 2010 and 2014.

Who has the better stadium: Giants or Dodgers?

The two are comparable in many ways. Even in stadiums.

Oracle Park is beautiful. The weather. The ocean breeze. The crab sandwiches. What's there not to love about the San Francisco ballpark. Bleacher Report's Tim Kelly called Oracle Park the best stadium in MLB.

"It's impossible to look at what was originally called Pacific Bell Park and not think of Barry Bonds hitting a myriad of milestone home runs, many of which ended up in the possession of the kayakers who populate McCovey Cove in right field," Kelly wrote.

Dodger Stadium is iconic in its own right. It's been the home of the Dodgers since 1962. The stadium can get electric and make for one of the best atmospheres in baseball. It was ranked No. 8 best ballpark by Bleacher Report.

He wrote: "The scenery leading you up to the stadium is incredible, and even if the path to your seat is a bit rocky, there's such a simplistic feel to watching a game on a sunny day at Dodger Stadium with the '76' gas station sign spinning in the distance. Once you hear the recording of Vin Scully saying 'It's time for Dodger baseball,' all feels right in the world."

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This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Dodgers host Giants in MLB's greatest rivalry: comparing the teams

2026 NBA Mock Draft, Vol. 1: Wizards land AJ Dybantsa with first overall pick

With the NBA Draft Lottery in the rear view mirror, we now know the official order for the 2026 NBA Draft. Indiana may have been the biggest loser, as its pick went to the Clippers after falling outside the top-4, with Brooklyn and Sacramento also going home disappointed.

Washington was the biggest winner, as it became the first team since 2019 to land the top pick after finishing with the league's worst record. And with Memphis landing the third overall pick, the question is how this affects their approach with Ja Morant, who could be on the move this summer.

Below is the first Rotoworld mock draft of the spring, with writers Raphielle Johnson and Kurt Helin making their picks and providing some analysis.

NBA: Draft Lottery
This is the second year in a row that the team with Anthony Davis on its roster has gotten the No. 1 pick.

1. Washington Wizards: F AJ Dybantsa, BYU

The Wizards winning Sunday's lottery makes this the first time since 2019 that the team with the league's worst record won the right to select first overall. While the franchise has loaded up on young wings in recent drafts, they aren't in a position where they can afford to pass on a talent like Dybantsa. The former BYU star was effective on and off the ball offensively, and he has the length and athleticism needed to be a factor on the wing defensively. - Raphielle Johnson

2. Utah Jazz: G Darryn Peterson, Kansas

Jazz fans may have dreamed of BYU's Dybantsa, but they are going to love having the explosive Peterson next to Keyonte George in the backcourt for years to come. Peterson said he now understands what caused his cramping issues, and if true, and he finds his explosiveness again, he is the best shot creator and maker in the draft. - Kurt Helin

3. Memphis Grizzlies: G Kingston Flemings, Houston

At this point in the draft process, there appears to be a feeling in some circles that Dybantsa, Peterson and Boozer have separated themselves from the pack. However, Memphis has shown a willingness in the past to go after "their guy" and disregard conventional wisdom. With Ja Morant's future with the franchise undetermined, and that may be generous, Flemings would be a good fit for the new era of the franchise. - Johnson

4. Chicago Bulls: F Cameron Boozer, Duke

The last time the Bulls drafted No. 4 was 2020, just after Arturas Karnisovas had taken over as the head of basketball operations in Chicago, and he rolled the dice on an athletic but very raw player in Patrick Williams. New head of basketball ops, Bryson Graham, is not going to make that same mistake. If Boozer — the player with the highest floor in this draft — is available at No. 4, Graham is going to take him. - Helin

5. LA Clippers (from Indiana): F Caleb Wilson, North Carolina

Indiana falling out of the top-4 means the Clippers land a lottery pick, which is a huge deal for the franchise. Wilson's lone season at North Carolina was shortened due to a fractured right thumb, but his athleticism makes the 6-foot-10 forward a highly intriguing prospect in this draft class. While there is room for him to grow as a shooter, Wilson has the tools to make an immediate impact as a finisher and defender. - Johnson

6. Brooklyn Nets: G Keaton Wagler, Illinois

Wagler came out of nowhere this season to become a top-10 pick. He had a standout season at Illinois, averaging 17.7 points, 4.9 rebounds, and 4.3 assists a game, while shooting 41% from 3-point range. - Helin

7. Sacramento Kings: G Darius Acuff Jr., Arkansas

The Kings head into the offseason finding themselves in the same spot they were in last summer, in desperate need of addressing the point guard position. Acuff ended his freshman season at Arkansas with a flourish, leading the Razorbacks to an SEC tournament title and a Sweet 16 appearance. While finishing in traffic and on-ball defensive ability are concerns, Acuff's on-ball playmaking makes him an intriguing prospect for any team in need of help at the point. - Johnson

8. Atlanta Hawks (from New Orleans): G Mikel Brown Jr., Louisville

Trae Young has been sent to the nation's capital and Brown could be the point guard of the future in Atlanta. Brown is lightning-quick and a player who is going to look better in the NBA, with a more open floor and shooting all around him. - Helin

9. Dallas Mavericks: C Aday Mara, Michigan

Used mainly in a reserve role in his two seasons at UCLA, Mara was a high-level performer as the starting center on Michigan's national championship team this past season. At 7-foot-3, he was effective as both a facilitator and shot-blocker for the Wolverines. While the Mavericks still have Dereck Lively II, his offensive ceiling is not on par with Mara's. - Johnson

10. Milwaukee Bucks: G Brayden Burries, Arizona

The Bucks need all the backcourt help they can get, and Burries may not be flashy, but he does a lot of things well — he can play on and off the ball, can knock down catch-and-shoot jumpers but also attack closeouts, and he gets downhill off screens and has a midrange pull-up game. - Helin

11. Golden State Warriors: F Nate Ament, Tennessee

With head coach Steve Kerr agreeing to a two-year extension, there's some clarity regarding the franchise's approach to the 2026-27 season. However, there's still a need to add pieces that can both fit alongside the team's established veterans and potentially develop into key options for the future. The 6-foot-10 Ament can score at all three levels, and playing alongside someone like Draymond Green would help his development as a defender. - Johnson

12. Oklahoma City Thunder (from LA Clippers): F Yaxel Lendeborg, Michigan

Lendeborg looks ready to step in and be an NBA rotation big man, although with the Thunder, cracking that rotation will be the hardest part. Lendeborg has the kind of versatility NBA teams crave. - Helin

13. Miami Heat: F Karim Lopez, New Zealand Breakers

Will the Heat go "big game hunting" this summer? If so, moving up in the lottery would have given lead executive Pat Riley a more attractive chip to sweeten a potential deal with. While he does need to clean up his perimeter shooting and playmaking, Lopez is a talented forward with upside that's likely to land him on the back end of the lottery. - Johnson

14. Charlotte Hornets: F/C Hannes Steinbach, Washington

One of the best rebounders in this draft. He's a little raw and needs some development, but has great hands and a good touch, and scored 18.5 points per game while pulling down 11.8 rebounds at Washington. - Helin

15. Chicago Bulls (from Portland): C Jayden Quaintance, Kentucky

Due to a torn ACL suffered during his lone season at Arizona State, Quaintance was limited to four games at Kentucky before being shut down in early January. His medical reports will obviously be reviewed by any team evaluating the 6-foot-10 pivot, and the Bulls are in a position where they need to strongly consider drafting a post player. Quaintance's athleticism and rim protection abilities are why he's projected to be a first-rounder despite the knee concerns. - Johnson

16. Memphis Grizzlies (from Orlando via Phoenix): G Labaron Philon Jr., Alabama

He was Mr. Everything for Alabama, averaging 21.5 points and 4.8 assists per game while shooting 38.9% from 3-point range despite playing through injuries. He has to show he can work off the ball, too. - Helin

17. Oklahoma City Thunder (from Philadelphia): G/F Dailyn Swain, Texas

Swain began his college career at Xavier, following head coach Sean Miller to Texas for the 2025-26 campaign. At 6-foot-8, 220 pounds, he has excellent size for a pro wing and improved as a scorer throughout his three seasons in college. Oklahoma City has plenty of depth, but the inability to pay everyone may open up minutes in the rotation for a player like Swain. - Johnson

18. Charlotte Hornets (from Phoenix via Orlando): G Cameron Carr, Baylor

Carr is a bit of a project (and he's got to add a lot of muscle), but he's a pure scorer from all over the court who averaged 18.9 points per game while shooting 37.4% from beyond the arc. - Helin

19. Toronto Raptors: C Chris Cenac Jr., Houston

Given Jakob Poeltl's struggles throughout the season after injuring his lower back during training camp, the Raptors can use additional depth in the frontcourt. After drafting Collin Murray-Boyles last summer, adding Cenac to the mix would help address that issue. While the stats won't jump off the page, the 6-foot-10 frontcourt player made strides throughout his lone season at Houston. - Johnson

20. San Antonio Spurs (from Atlanta): F Koa Peat, Arizona

Peat has the size and physicality the Spurs like in their players; he's 6-foot-8, crashes the boards hard, and can do some playmaking. But his shot needs a lot of work, which is why he's a bit of a project. - Helin

21. Detroit Pistons (from Minnesota): G Bennett Stirtz, Iowa

Despite winning 60 regular-season games for the first time in 20 years, the Pistons still have a clear need for shooting around star point guard Cade Cunningham. Stirtz, who ran the point for Ben McCollum at Drake and Iowa, is one of the best shooters in this draft class. - Johnson

22. Philadelphia 76ers (from Oklahoma City via Houston): G Christian Anderson, Texas Tech

You can't go wrong drafting the best shooter in the class, and Anderson is that guy, hitting 42.5% from 3-point range this season. - Helin

23. Atlanta Hawks (from Cleveland): G Isaiah Evans, Duke

Between CJ McCollum's free agency and Jonathan Kuminga's team option, the Hawks have some important matters to address this summer. And with former first-overall pick Zaccharie Risacher not panning out as the franchise had hoped, adding a shooter like Evans would not be a bad idea. The former Duke standout shot 36 percent from three and 86 percent from the foul line as a sophomore. - Johnson

24. New York Knicks: F/C Morez Johnson, Michigan

He was at the heart of the Wolverines' championship team, he's physical, and he plays bigger than he looks thanks to a 7'2" wingspan. He's going to be a defensive guy in the NBA who can score a little, and he can step in and help right away. - Helin

25. Los Angeles Lakers: F Allen Graves, Santa Clara

The biggest question hanging over the Lakers is what LeBron James will decide to do: retire, re-sign with the team or sign elsewhere? Regardless of what he decides, the Lakers need to strengthen the bench through the draft and free agency. The 6-foot-9 Graves, who entered the transfer portal after his freshman season, could land in the first round despite starting just four games at Santa Clara. At this stage of his career, Graves' strengths are perimeter shooting and on-ball defense, although he does need to limit the fouling. - Johnson

26. Denver Nuggets: C Tarris Reed Jr., UConn

Reed helped himself (and the Huskies) with a strong NCAA tournament. He's more of a defender than a scorer at the next level, but he might be able to help off the bench as a rookie. - Helin

27. Boston Celtics: C Henri Veesaar, North Carolina

The 7-foot Veesaar transferred to North Carolina after two seasons at Arizona, taking on a larger role for the Tar Heels. His production jumped significantly as a starter, putting up 17 points per game. The Celtics are in a position where they can afford to strengthen the center position, even with Neemias Queta enjoying the most productive season of his career. - Johnson

28. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Detroit): F Tounde Yessoufou, Baylor

It's easy to love watching Yessoufou play: very high motor, very physical and he averaged 17.8 points per game while grabbing 5.9 rebounds per night as a freshman. He hunted mismatches and overpowered players in college; will that translate to the NBA? - Helin

29. Cleveland Cavaliers (from Atlanta via San Antonio): G Ebuka Okorie, Stanford

Along with Boozer and Wilson, Okorie was one of the best freshmen in the ACC this season. An honorable mention All-American, the 6-foot-2 guard averaged 23.2 points per game on 46.5 percent shooting from the field and 83.2 percent shooting from the foul line. Cleveland doesn't necessarily need a point guard with James Harden and Dennis Schröder in the fold, but a talented scorer of Okorie's caliber could prove difficult to pass on. - Johnson

30. Dallas Mavericks (from Washington via Philadelphia and Dallas): G Meleek Thomas, Arkansas

Thomas was an impressive offensive player for the Razorbacks, averaging 15.6 points per game while shooting 41.6% from 3. Jason Kidd will have to help him mature his game and decision-making, but he has potential because he can flat-out score. - Helin

Arizona Diamondbacks News, 5/11: Defeat the Mets!

Baseball: New York Mets mascot Mr. Met wearing mask in stands during game vs Washington Nationals at Citi Field. Flushing, NY 8/12/2020 CREDIT: Erick W. Rasco (Photo by Erick W. Rasco /Sports Illustrated via Getty Images) (Set Number: X163326 TK1 )

Recaps

[Arizona Sports] Eduardo Rodriguez nearly earns complete game in win vs. Mets – Torey Lovullo and starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez made a deal after the eighth inning of Rodriguez’s gem during a 5-1 win over the New York Mets on Sunday. Rodriguez had thrown 91 pitches and held the Mets to one run, so he asked to go back out for 10 more pitches to try and earn his first career complete game. Lovullo obliged. A strikeout and a bloop single later, Lovullo predictably heard the ire of booing fans at Chase Field as he collected the baseball from Rodriguez at 100 pitches, and Rodriguez received a standing ovation for a series-clinching performance.

[Dbacks.com] Not satisfied with an 8-inning gem, E-Rod talks his way into starting the 9th – The 33-year-old spun 8 1/3 dominant frames, not allowing a hit until the sixth inning. He scattered four knocks – none of which registered as hard-hit (95-plus mph) per Statcast – and walked three, but allowed just one run. His outing marks the sixth consecutive game in which a D-backs starter has gone at least six innings, the longest current streak in the Majors. “You see a guy on the mound that doesn’t give you a lot of emotion,” bench coach Jeff Banister said of Rodriguez pregame. “But under the hood, this guy is competing as much as anybody that we’ve got on the field.”

[New York Post] Mets’ no-show offense, brutal defense sink them in loss – The Mets disrespected all mothers on their day by not playing nice. A no-show lineup has become the norm, but Sunday they added shoddy defense — or run prevention, if you prefer — into the equation and departed the desert with sand in their pants in a 5-1 loss to the Diamondbacks. It was a second straight game the Mets (15-25) scored only one run after scoring only once in nine innings Friday before adding two in the 10th to win. The Mets lost the series, completing a 5-4 road trip that also included stops in Anaheim and Colorado. Juan Soto, the team’s best hitter, went 4-for-33 (.121) on the road trip with one homer.

Team news

[Dbacks.com] McCann’s wife Jessica the glue that holds it all together – There’s not a day that goes by that the Diamondbacks catcher doesn’t marvel at what she’s done to hold their family together. “For lack of a better term, mothers married to professional baseball players are essentially single parents for nine months out of the year,” McCann said. “It’s been especially tough for her recently since the boys have started school. It used to be that they were at least with me full-time. Now they’re back home. And when they’re home, I mean, she’s truly the definition of a single parent. She’s home alone and taking the kids to school, sports, birthday parties, you know, everything by herself.”

[SI] What D-backs’ Huge Series Win vs Mets Told Us — And What it Didn’t – Lovullo has tried to avoid taking credit for the turnaround of the rotation, but it’s a fact that the starting pitcher group has performed at a high level since their “one-way” meeting with their manager. That continued in a massive way against the Mets. [But] How much success was owed to Mets’ struggles? It’s a good sign that the D-backs’ pitching was able to capitalize on poor offense. It’s also worth noting they held Juan Soto and Bo Bichette to a combined 0-for-20 in the series. But the Mets’ offensive track record does put a bit of an asterisk on the overall pitching results.

[AZ Central] Lovullo dealing with illness, but not missing work – For a while Sunday morning, it was unclear whether Lovullo was going to be able to manage the game. Battling an illness, he did not do his usual pregame session with reporters and did not decide he was managing until less than an hour before the game. “Rough morning — real early this morning all the way up until about 7:30, 8 o’clock,” Lovullo said, adding that he decided to manage after a team doctor assured him he wouldn’t get anyone sick. The club announced about 20 minutes before first pitch that Lovullo would manage. Bench coach Jeff Banister said he found out around 6:30 a.m. that Lovullo was not feeling well. Banister was ready to step in for Lovullo.

And, elsewhere…

[MLB] Here are MLB’s top Mother’s Day moments – Each Mother’s Day, players swing pink bats and don pink gear to pay tribute to mom. They also sometimes honor mom with a memorable moment, like when Brandon Nimmo talked about his mom during an interview and cranked a walk-off bomb several innings later. Here’s a look at that special home run and a few other recent Mother’s Day memories.

[New York Post] Yasiel Puig homers twice in debut for Canadian baseball team weeks before facing possible prison sentence – Puig signed with the Maple Leafs of the Canadian Baseball League late last month and Sunday was his first game with the semi-pro team.  All of this occurred 20 days out from a sentencing hearing slated for May 26 in the U.S. District Court for the Central District of California in Los Angeles.  He was found guilty of obstruction of justice and providing false statements to federal investigators who had been looking into an illegal sports gambling operation. He is potentially facing 15 years in jail, though he could receive a more lenient sentence for the situation.

[AP] Turang’s homer off Bednar in 9th helps Brewers complete sweep with 4-3 win over Yankees – Brice Turang homered off David Bednar with two outs in the ninth inning, and the Milwaukee Brewers completed a three-game sweep of the New York Yankees with a 4-3 victory Sunday. Milwaukee had not swept the Yankees in a series of at least three games since August 1989. The Brewers improved their interleague record since 2022 to a major league-best 116-65. They are 14-7 against American League teams and 8-9 against National League squads this season. [Fun fact: Brewers reliever Aaron Ashby currently leads all MLB pitchers in wins, with seven]

2026 Cubs Heroes and Goats: Game 41

The results of these Cubs games are getting more stratified. Four of the last five losses have felt pretty lopsided. Even in that other game, the Cubs allowed nine runs. You do expect to lose nearly 100 percent of the games in which you allow nine runs. Also, the Cubs have only lost five of their last 25 games. The Cubs either feel a little overmatched, or they find a way to win the game. When those proportions are 4 to 1, you have to feel pretty good about your chances to make a very deep run in the season.

As a blogger, the way these losses are going doesn’t make a lot to talk about. This feels like a just throw it away and move on, just like Saturday’s game. The larger concern out of this, to the extent that there is one, is the offense getting stifled for two straight games. I’m not ready to worry about it. Certainly, before Sunday’s game we talked about it. When healthy, Jacob deGrom has been a borderline Hall of Fame pitcher. The only question that will ever exist with him is if the body of work is large enough to justify his inclusion.

Even with the two shutouts over the weekend, the Cubs still own the top team on base percentage in baseball. Their slugging still sits fifth. The net result has their team OPS at fourth overall. By pretty much any objective measure, they have a top five offense. The offense failed them this weekend. But I do not think this was some kind of gateway drug to a punchless offense and a lot of losses. There are more tough games ahead, but I expect the team to bounce back quickly.

Your mileage may vary, and all of our expectations are probably drifting upwards, but none of us suddenly thought this team was heading for 110ish wins.

Three Positives:

  • Nico Hoerner had a single, a double and a stolen base. He should have been on Team USA. He’s a great bench player for a team like that.
  • Phil Maton faced four batters, retiring them all and striking out two.
  • Michael Busch had a single in three plate appearances.

Game 41, May 10: Rangers 3, Cubs 0 (27-14)

Reminder: Heroes and Goats are determined by WPA scores and are in no way subjective.

THREE HEROES:

  • Superhero: Jameson Taillon (.111). 5.1 IP, 22 BF, 4 H, 2 BB, ER, 4 K (L 2-2)
  • Hero: Phil Maton (.082). 1.1 IP, 4 BF, 2 K
  • Sidekick: Nico Hoerner (.071). 2-4, 2B

THREE GOATS:

  • Billy Goat: Moisés Ballesteros (-.130). 0-4
  • Goat: Daniel Palencia (-.110). 0.2 IP, 4 BF, 2 H, 2 ER, K
  • Kid: Seiya Suzuki (-.110). 0-4

WPA Play of the Game: Evan Carter hit a two-out, two-run homer in the eighth inning to increase the Ranger lead to three. (.114)

*Cubs Play of the Game: Jameson Taillon faced Josh Jung with no outs and runners on first and second in the first inning, the game scoreless. He coaxed a double play ball, contributing to a scoreless first. (.085)

Cubs Player of the Game:

Game 40 Winner: Ethan Roberts received 40 of 91 votes.

Rizzo Award Standings: (Top 3/Bottom 3)

The award is named for Anthony Rizzo, who finished first in this category three of the first four years it was in existence and four times overall. He also recorded the highest season total ever at +65.5. The point scale is three points for a Superhero down to negative three points for a Billy Goat.

  • Michael Conforto +13
  • Michael Busch +11
  • Shōta Imanaga +10
  • Dansby Swanson/Jacob Webb/Caleb Thielbar/ -6
  • Matt Shaw -9
  • Seiya Suzuki -15

Current Win Pace: 106.68 wins

Up Next: A rare off day Monday, following 10 games in a row and 23 games in 24 days. Tuesday night, they face the Braves (28-13) in Atlanta. Colin Rea (4-1, 4.03, 38 IP) makes his sixth start (ninth appearance) of the year. Last time out, he allowed one run on six hits and three walks over 5.1 innings. He’s been better at home (2.66 v 5.60) but also better at night (2.77 v 675) than during the day time.

30-year-old Grant Holmes (2-1, 4.34, 37.1 IP) makes his eighth start of the year. The first round (22nd overall) pick of the Dodgers (2014) allowed five runs in five innings in a start against the Rockies. Better away (3.63 v 5.40) than home. Also better during the day than at night (3.86 v 4.56).

The Braves are tough.

Find a way and get back in the win column.

Go Cubs

Atlanta Braves Best and Worst MLB draft picks of the “modern” format

DENVER, CO - SEPTEMBER 12: Chipper Jones of the Atlanta Braves bats against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on September 12, 1996 in Denver, Colorado. The Rockies defeated the Braves 16-8. (Photo by Sporting News via Getty Images via Getty Images) | Sporting News via Getty Images

The modern MLB Draft format only really started in 1987, as there used to be multiple drafts in each year, with January and June drafts plus secondary drafts for each. That means we are entering the 40th draft under the current format, though the number of days and rounds has changed at times in those 40 years.

I thought with this being the 40th draft, now would be a good time to take a look back at some of the best and worst picks that the Atlanta Braves have made during that time. The majority of the best picks will be all over the place, while the majority of the worst picks will come from the top two rounds.

The only qualification for making this list is the player had to have signed as a part of that draft. For that reason, you won’t find Anthony Rendon on the best picks list. For the same reason you won’t find Carter Stewart on the worst picks list.

Best Picks

1. Chipper Jones, SS, 1990 – It’s not easy for a #1 overall pick to make this list, let alone top it – but Chipper Jones wasn’t ordinary by the standards of the top overall selection. The Hall of Famer, and one of the faces of the Braves dynasty run was an MVP, Batting Champion, and World Series winner who hit .303/.401/.529 with 468 homers as a career-long Brave.

2. Freddie Freeman, 1B, 2007 – It’s easy to forget that Freddie Freeman wasn’t the Braves top pick in the 2007 class, or even the most hyped prospect out of that group thanks to Jason Heyward. However the Braves second rounder has carved out a future Hall of Fame career, hitting .299/.385/.509 with 370 homers, an MVP, Gold Glove, and 3 World Series rings – including one World Series MVP. Though he if now in his fifth season with the Dodgers, Freeman’s contributions to the Braves and helping lead them from rebuilding organization to 2021 World Series champs won’t be forgotten anytime soon.

3. Brian McCann, C, 2002 – The second round pick in 2022, Brian McCann took over the Braves catching job in 2005 and held it through the 2013 season, before leaving to sign with the Yankees. He returned home to play his final season as a Brave in 2019, posting a career .262/.337/.452 slash with 282 homers. The seven-time All Star even won a World Series ring with the 2017 Astros. McCann reached the Hall of Fame ballot in the 2025 voting, but was removed after receiving just 1.8% of the vote.

4. Adam Wainwright, RHP, 2000 – The 29th pick in the 2000 draft never saw Atlanta, thanks to being traded to the Cardinals for JD Drew after the 2003 season. Still he deserves to be ranked high on this list as a player who will be getting considered for a possible spot in the Hall of Fame. Waino spent his entire career in St. Louis, going 200-128 with a 3.53 ERA and 1.24 WHIP with 2202 strikeouts over 2668.1 innings. He might have had even better counting stats, but missed all of 2011 and parts of 2015 and 2018 with injuries, along with the shortened 2020 season. He retired after the 2023 season at the age of 41.

5. Craig Kimbrel, RHP, 2008 – Craig Kimbrel was actually drafted out of his Alabama JUCO twice by the Braves, though he didn’t sign as a 33rd round pick in 2007. He did sign as a third rounder in 2008, and went on to become arguably the greatest closer in franchise history. A current Met, he has a career 2.63 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 440 saves, and 1293 strikeouts over 830 innings pitched. Out of his 440 saves, 186 came in a Braves uniform, and he pitched to a 1.43 ERA and 0.91 WHIP with the team. He was traded to the Padres just before Opening Day in 2015, right at the start of the Braves rebuild – a move that netted the Braves another member of this list with the Competitive Balance Round A pick that was part of his return. He will likely be considered for the Hall of Fame once that time comes for him.

6. Kevin Millwood, RHP, 1993 – An 11th round pick in 1993, Kevin Millwood reached the bigs in 1997, and had his breakout in 1999 when he finished third in Cy Young voting. He was a bit more up and down over the next three seasons with the Braves, before they flipped him to the Phillies after the 2022 season for catcher Johnny Estrada. Overall he went 169-152 with a 4.11 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, and 2083 strikeouts in 2720.1 innings, earning 29.8 bWAR. Millwood was an All Star just once, in 1999, but twice received Cy Young votes, and led the AL in ERA with Cleveland in 2005.

7. Jason Schmidt, RHP, 1991 – An eighth round pick in 1991, Jason Schmidt became a top prospect for the Braves. He hadn’t quite broken out yet in 22 big league games, when the Braves flipped him to the Pirates in 1996 for Denny Neagle. Schmidt ended up going on to win 130 games with a 3.96 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, and 1758 strikeouts over 1996.1 innings. He was a three-time All Star, and led the NL in ERA in 2003 when he finished second in the Cy Young voting with the Giants. Overall he posted 29.5 bWAR, which turned out to be a steal in the eighth round.

8. Andrelton Simmons, SS, 2010 – Andrelton Simmons was taken in the second round in 2010, and by 2012 had become the Braves starting shortstop. Although he was a career .263/.312/.366 hitter with 70 homers, he was a highlight machine that became the best defensive shortstop – and possibly even player, in baseball. That led to Simmons posting 36.5 bWAR. Like Kimbrel he was traded in 2015, after the season, to the Angels as the Braves got further into their rebuild.

9. Jermaine Dye, OF, 1993 – A 17th round pick in 1993, Jermaine Dye quickly became a top prospect for the Braves. They brought him up in 1996 and saw him slash .281/.304/.459 with 12 homers in 98 games. Unfortunately the Braves were in win-now mode at that time, and after the year sent him to the Royals in the deal that brought in Michael Tucker and Keith Lockhart. Dye went on to slash .274/.338/.488 with 325 homers in 14 big league seasons with four teams. He was a two-time All Star that finished fifth in AL MVP voting in 2006, when he hit 44 homers with 120 RBI for the White Sox. Dye, who put up 20.3 bWAR, also won a Gold Glove, Silver Slugger, and was the World Series MVP in the White Sox 2005 title run.

10. Austin Riley, 3B, 2015 – The player acquired with the Competitive Balance pick received in the Craig Kimbrel trade is Austin Riley. The 41st pick in the 2015 draft, a former two-way high school star, Riley has been a two-time All Star and Silver Slugger, as well as winning the 2021 World Series. For his career Riley is hitting .267/.332/.486 with 174 homers – and won’t turn 30 until the start of next season. He has already produced 22.5 bWAR for the Braves.

11. Ryan Klesko, LHP, 1989 – A fifth round pick in 1989, future Braves slugger Ryan Klesko is actually listed as being drafted as a left-handed pitcher. That is because he was seen as a guy with real potential on the mound, though his impressive power ended up continuing his development as a bat. Klesko slashed .279/.370/.500 with 278 homers over parts of 16 big league seasons. The one-time All Star, who won a ring as a member of the 1995 Braves, put up 26.9 bWAR – a number that would surely be higher if not for his well below average defense bringing that total down. Klesko hit 20+ homers in four of the five seasons he played 100+ games with the Braves, before being traded to the Padres after the 1999 season in the deal that brought Reggie Sanders, Wally Joyner, and Quilvio Veras to Atlanta.

12. Michael Harris II, CF, 2019 – The third round pick in 2019 rose quickly through the minors out of high school to win the Rookie of the Year in 2022 – despite losing his 2020 season to the Covid shutdown. After posting OPS marks of .853 and .808 in his first two years, injury and issues with his swing resulted in marks of .722 and .678 in his next two years. Harris did come back on in the second half of last year, and presently has a .841 OPS this year, while also being one of the top defensive centerfielders in the league. For his career he is a .275/.309/.454 hitter with 80 homers, and is still in just his age-25 season with 15.2 bWAR produced.

13. Spencer Strider, RHP, 2020 – A fourth rounder in that weird 2020 draft, Spencer Strider has quickly established himself as one of the best pitchers in the game. After finishing second in the Rookie of the Year to a teammate, and fellow member of this list in 2022, Strider finished fourth in the Cy Young voting in 2023. Unfortunately Tommy John hit him after just two starts in 2024, and he spent 2025 trying to get himself back into form. An injury has kept him to just one start, which had to be at Coors Field, so far this year as we wait to see what version of Strider is really in there right now. Overall he is 39-24 with a 3.77 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and 632 strikeouts in 458.1 innings.

Honorable Mention:

Marcus Giles, 2B, 1996 (53rd round), Kris Medlen, RHP, 2006 (10th round), Mike Stanton, LHP, 1987 (13th round), Tommy Hanson, RHP, 2005 (22nd round), Adam LaRoche, 1B, 2000 (29th round), Jonny Venters, LHP, 2003 (30th round), Spencer Schwellenbach, RHP, 2021 (2nd round), Drake Baldwin, C, 2022 (3rd round)

AJ Smith-Shawver, JR Ritchie, and Hurston Waldrep have not done enough to qualify for the list, but this group could move their way up in the coming years – just like other recent draftees Schwellenbach and Baldwin can.

Worst Picks

1. Mike Kelly, OF, 1991 – The year the Braves turned around to start their great 90s-00s run, they were given the second overall pick. They went for a college star from a top program, with a pick they were hoping could front the lineup with Chipper Jones. However things didn’t quite work out for Kelly, as he produced just 0.3 fWAR over 327 big league games. That 1991 draft produced guys like Manny Ramirez, Shawn Green, Cliff Floyd, Aaron Sele, and Doug Glanville among others. One of those guys would have helped that special run much more than Kelly did. It is worth noting that the Braves picked second because the AL and NL alternated years with the top pick for the worst team, and if they picked first they likely would have taken generational pitching prospect Brien Taylor – whose career never really got going due to an injury in a bar fight.

2. Tyler Houston, C, 1989 – Houston was the second overall pick in 1989, and he produced 1.4 fWAR over 700 big league games. Similar to Lilliquist, that’s just not enough impact this high, and he was selected second when Frank Thomas and Charles Johnson were among the Top 10 picks. That doesn’t even include Mo Vaughn and Chuck Knoblauch in the first round.

3. Derek Lilliquist, LHP, 1987 – The sixth pick in the famous Ken Griffey Jr. class had a 262 game big league career over the course of eight seasons, including 41 starts for the Braves and producing 4.7 fWAR. The reason he made the list is because a couple of picks later Kevin Appier was selected. A few of the other players in that first round include Craig Biggio, Delino DeShields Sr., Mike Remlinger, Travis Fryman, and Pete Harnisch. When you’re picking that high, you’re hoping for a little more impact than a guy who ended up being a journeyman reliever.

4. Sean Gilmartin, LHP, 2011 – This was a questionable pick right from the start, as the Braves used the 28th pick on a soft tossing lefty that was a college ace. Gilmartin did appear in 81 big league games over six seasons with three different teams, pitching to a 4.34 ERA in 112 career innings. There were plenty of other options in that first round including Blake Snell, Trevor Story, Joe Musgrove, Michael Fulmer, Jackie Bradley Jr., Andrew Chafin, and Joe Panik.

5. Jason Hursh, RHP, 2013 – The 31st pick in 2013 was seen as a questionable pick at the time, as most thought he would end up being a reliever. That ended up being exactly what happened, as he ended up moving to the bullpen within two years of being drafted. Hursh appeared in 11 big league games with the Braves, during the 2016 and 2017 seasons – while the team was rebuilding, and pitched to a 8.25 ERA in 12 innings. The very next pick ended up being Aaron Judge, while Sean Manaea, Michael Lorenzen, and Corey Knebel were among the other first rounders taken after Hursh.

6. Jamie Arnold, RHP, 1992 – The 21st pick of the 1992 MLB Draft, Arnold actually appeared in 50 big league games with the Dodgers and Cubs after becoming a free agent after the 1998 season – though he racked up a 5.73 ERA in those games. The reason he makes this list is because the next two picks in that draft were Rick Helling and Jason Kendall, a pair of players that put up 61.9 bWAR over their careers. Charles Johnson again went within the next 10 picks, this time signing with the Marlins.

7. Matt Lipka, SS/OF, 2010 – The 35th pick in 2010 was a former two sport star in high school that the Braves wanted to continue developing as a contact and speed oriented prospect. It never worked out, as he topped out at Triple-A and never truly settled into one defensive position. Some of the other options here included Noah Syndergaard, Nick Castellanos, and Taijuan Walker.

8. Ryan Cusick, RHP, 2021 – A year after taking Jared Shuster in the first out of Wake Forest with mixed reactions, the Braves doubled down on Wake arms. Cusick was met with an even tougher reaction when announced, and so far he hasn’t really done much to prove the team right. As of now he is in Triple-A with the Phillies organization, but he owns a career 5.55 ERA in his minor league career. The Braves were widely expected to take Gavin Williams with this pick, but he came off the board one pick earlier by Cleveland, and they pivoted to Cusick over Jackson Merrill and Carson Williams among others. This would rank higher on the list if not for the fact the Braves traded him to then-Oakland as part of the deal that brought Matt Olson in to replace Freddie Freeman.

9. Braden Shewmake, INF, 2019 – The Braves surprised people when they took Texas A&M infielder Braden Shewmake with the 21st pick in the 2019 MLB Draft. That pick was one I was known to be very critical of at the time, and to date he has played in 39 career big league games since the start of 2023 – though he is on the Astros active roster at the moment. Shewmake has a career .447 OPS, though he is five for 16 with a pair of homers this year. Anthony Volpe and Michael Busch were the best players in the remainder of that first round, though Gunnar Henderson was the first pick of that second round.

10. Cole Phillips, RHP, 2022 – The Braves used a second round pick on an injured prep pitcher in 2022 named Cole Phillips. He was seen as a potential first rounder that spring, before his injury happened. He wasn’t expected to pitch until at least mid-to-late 2023, but has never pitched in a professional game almost four years later. Some of the other second rounders that year included Jacob Misiorowski, Roman Anthony, and Chandler Simpson.

11. Joey Devine, RHP, 2005 – The Braves used the 27th pick in 2005 on a college closer that they thought they could quickly get to the big leagues to help fix a bullpen that was a problem at the time. Devine was actually rushed to the big leagues, making his debut in August, but never did much in a Braves uniform. He did have one great season in Oakland, pitching to a 0.59 ERA in 42 appearances, but only pitched in 93 games as injuries took their toll on him. The Braves could have taken Colby Rasmus, who went with the very next pick, or fellow first rounders Clay Buchholz or Jed Lowrie instead.

12. Beau Philip, INF, 2019 – Philip is the rare second round pick to make this list, but that is because he was seen as a head scratching pick at the time. Most expected Philip to go somewhere between the fifth and seventh rounds, but the Braves took the Oregon State product with the 60th pick. He played 352 games in the Braves system, posting a career OPS of just .615. Some of the names drafted after him in that second round include Kyle Stowers, Josh Smith, and Jared Triolo. The only reason Philip isn’t even higher on this list is the fact that he took an underslot bonus of $700k to sign, which saved the Braves about $450k – money that was used to sign Michael Harris.

13. Jared Shuster, LHP, 2020 – The 25th pick in the weird 2020 MLB Draft, Shuster was a pick who was met with mixed reactions from the jump when the Braves took him out of Wake Forest. He has pitched in 66 big league games, including four with the Cardinals this year, though has a 5.12 ERA in 149.1 career innings – including 11 starts with the Braves in 2023, before going to the White Sox in the Aaron Bummer deal. After Shuster, Tyler Soderstrom was the next pick, and Jordan Westburg, Austin Wells, and Carmen Mlodzinski also came off the board in the next six picks.

Yankees Rivalry Roundup: The first place Tampa Bay Rays

BOSTON, MA - MAY 10: Junior Caminero #13 of the Tampa Bay Rays celebrates with third base coach Brady Williams #4 as he rounds the bases after his home run during the first inning at Fenway Park on May 10, 2026 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo By Winslow Townson/Getty Images) | Getty Images

I’d prefer to not talk about the entire weekend as it pertains to baseball. The Yankees got utterly spanked in Milwaukee, suffering their second sweep of the season. For that reason alone there was very little to cheer about the past few days.

But to make it worse, the godforsaken Tampa Bay Rays continued their infuriating start. Oh. Look at me. I have a +20 run differential through 39 games and am somehow playing .667 ball. Their a couple blowout losses from a neutral run differential.

Nothing like being in second place in the AL East because of the Rays’ loathsome devil magic. I cannot accurately describe how much Tampa infuriates me.

Tampa Bay Rays (26-13) 4, Boston Red Sox (17-23) 1: Boston is useless. The one time we need them to do something, they shrivel up and die. Tampa split the first two games of this weekend set and wasted no time in the rubber match. Junior Caminero hit a solo shot in the first. In the third, a pair of singles plated two more runs and, lo and behold, that’s all the Rays needed on the day.

On the mound, Nick Martinez continued his mesmerizing season. 5.2 innings of one-run ball lowered his season ERA to 1.70, just a speck lower than his career 4.04 mark. After he departed, three Rays relievers combined to hurl 3.1 scoreless frames. Of course. Ladies and gentlemen, the first place Tampa Bay Rays.

Toronto Blue Jays (18-22) 1, Los Angeles Angels (16-25) 6: Jays fans rejoice. Y’all managed to score a run off Angels ace Jose Soriano. And in the first inning, no less. Kazuma Okamoto doubled in Daulton Varsho and the Jays had the Angels on the ropes early. But then, Soriano did Soriano things. One of the early season favorites for the AL Cy Young Award, Soriano allowed not a run the rest of the way, departing after 7.2 frames.

At the dish, former Yankee Oswald Peraza provided all the offense the Angels ended up needing. His two-run home run in the top of the fifth made it 2-1 Angels. They added two more that inning, with lone runs in the sixth and ninth cementing their win over last season’s Junior Circuit champs.

As an aside, if I tried, I don’t think I could describe how much Peraza learning to hit major league pitching makes me want to gnaw on the floorboards. After Sunday, Peraza is hitting .282 with an .815 OPS. Last year, in his most extended stint as a Yankee, he hit .152 with a .452 OPS in 71 games. You can’t predict baseball, Suzyn.

Other Games

Cleveland Guardians (21-21) 4, Minnesota Twins (18-23) 5: This one was tight into the middle innings, at which time the Guards and starter Gavin Williams fell apart. Double, single, double, single off Williams in the fifth made it 3-1 Minnesota. Not finished, after Williams managed to get two outs, the Twins added two more run-scoring singles to extend the lead to 5-1. Give Cleveland credit. They clawed their way back into it, with runs in the fifth and sixth cutting the lead in half. Then in the eighth, they scratched another run across and even put the winning run in scoring position. Alas, Rhys Hoskins grounded out to end the threat. That was their last best chance.

Detroit Tigers (19-22) 6, Kansas City Royals (19-22) 3: The American League Central, mediocrity is thy name. Detroit and the Royals faced off on Sunday Night Baseball and, after fighting one another to a draw early, the Tigers’ offense broke through in the late innings for the win. The big blow came off the bat of Gage Workman. Coming in to tonight with zero career home runs in limited action, the Tigers’ #99 channeled his inner Aaron Judge when called on to pinch-hit in the sixth. His tw0-run dinger broke a 3-3 tie and sent the Tigers to victory.

Seattle Mariners (19-22) 1, Chicago White Sox (19-21) 2: The Mariners offense managed to score early, scraping a lone run across in the first. Then, it went into hibernation, making nary a dent in the run column the rest of the way. Predictably, one run was not enough to win, though it looked like it might for most of the game. But in the bottom of the eighth, recent Yankee friend Randal Grichuk tied the game with a solo home run before a Miguel Vargas sacrifice fly later in the inning scored the eventual game-winning run. Tough times in Seattle, with Cal Raleigh hitting .161 with a .573 OPS after Sunday’s game.

Texas Rangers (19-21) 3, Chicago Cubs (27-14) 0: Listen, beating the Chicago Cubs these days is a big deal. No duff. It helps that Texas sent Jacob deGrom out for Sunday’s game. The multi-time Cy Young Award winner was in vintage form, stymieing the Cubs for seven shutout innings with 10 strikeouts, allowing a paltry three hits and no walks. A fourth inning fielder’s choice put Texas on the board. An Evan Carter two-run home run in the eighth provided the insurance and closed out the scoring.

Mariners vs Astros Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Seattle Mariners have struggled on the road this season, winning just seven of 18 games.

While they’re favored to get a win tonight, my Mariners vs. Astros predictions expect the home team to keep it close.

Let’s break down my daily MLB picks for May 11.

Who will win Mariners vs Astros today: Astros +1.5 (-135)

The Houston Astros have been very effective against right-handed pitching. They rank third in wOBA and OPS, trailing only the Yankees and Braves in those categories — the two highest scoring teams in the majors.

Their problem is not generating runs, but preventing them. That shouldn’t be an issue today with Peter Lambert on the mound.

He has allowed just six runs through 22 1/3 innings of work, and just held the powerhouse Dodgers scoreless over seven innings.

While there are signs he’s due for a little bit of regression, the Seattle Mariners (21st in runs per game, 27th in average) are unlikely to force the issue.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Peter Lambert owns a 22.2% hard-hit rate, the lowest among today’s projected starters 

Mariners vs Astros Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-115)

George Kirby owns a rock-solid 1.10 WHIP, 57.6% ground-ball rate, and Lambert’s the only probable pitcher who has allowed hard contact less frequently this season.

Kirby’s ability to limit barrels and keep the ball down makes him incredibly difficult to produce offense against.

He has conceded three runs or fewer in seven of eight starts this season, and has given up two or less in five straight.

Lambert is sitting down a career-high 9.27 batters per nine innings by way of strikeout. That should serve him well against a Mariners squad that owns the second-highest K rate against righties.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 16-6, +7.53 units
  • Over/Under bets: 9-12, -4.11 units

Mariners vs Astros odds

  • Moneyline: Mariners -140 | Astros +120
  • Run line: Mariners -1.5 (+115) | Astros +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5

Mariners vs Astros trend

The Seattle Mariners have hit the game total Under in 12 of their last 19 away games (+5.50 Units / 26% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Mariners vs. Astros.

How to watch Mariners vs Astros and game info

LocationDaikin Park, Houston, TX
DateMonday, May 11, 2026
First pitch8:10 p.m. ET
TVFS1
Mariners starting pitcherGeorge Kirby
(4-2, 2.94 ERA)
Astros starting pitcherPeter Lambert
(2-2, 2.42 ERA)

Mariners vs Astros latest injuries

Mariners vs Astros weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mariners News: Cal Raleigh, Jacob Wilson, and Oneil Cruz

CHICAGO, IL - MAY 10: Cal Raleigh #29 of the Seattle Mariners catches during the game between the Seattle Mariners and the Chicago White Sox at Rate Field on Sunday, May 10, 2026 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Lawrence Brown/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Good morning! A frustrating 2-1 loss to the Chicago White Sox last night saw a Logan Gilbert gem erased in the eighth inning, and a lack of Mariner run support gave Chicago the series win.

George Kirby will take the mound tonight at 5:10 PM in a new four-game series against the Houston Astros. The Mariners will hope to bring the success of their previous Astros series into this one and wake up some of the lineup’s important bats. Who are you hoping to see as a difference maker in this series?

In Mariners news…

Around the league…

Orioles-Yankees series preview: Hoping this one goes better

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - MAY 04: Adley Rutschman #35 of the Baltimore Orioles in action against Paul Goldschmidt #48 of the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on May 04, 2026 in New York City. The Yankees defeated the Orioles 12-1. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Orioles were on the wrong end of a four-game sweep the last time they played New York. Baltimore is guaranteed to avoid the same fate in this series as the Yankees are only in town for three.

Baltimore lost three in a row before picking up a 2-1 win on Sunday. The Orioles found a way to win despite another low offensive output. Baltimore has only eclipsed four runs in two of their last 10 games. The Yankees won each of the last four matchups by at least five runs.

Samuel Basallo and Adley Rutschman have attempted to keep the ship afloat while several Orioles struggle. Pete Alonso appeared to experience a jolt during his return to New York. Gunnar Henderson has yet to find his groove, but this series would mark a fine time to get things going.

Rico Garcia remains a bright spot for a bullpen that has been asked to carry a heavy load. Bassitt technically didn’t start on Sunday, but he turned in his best appearance of the year. Perhaps that appearance will help set the tone for a rotation that has disappointed to this point of the season. A healthy Trevor Rogers should help the cause as well.

The Yankees will look to take out some frustration on the Orioles after getting swept out of Milwaukee. The Brewers beat New York 4-3 during the series finale on Mother’s Day.

Game 1: Monday, May 11, 6:35. MASN

RHP Brandon Young (3-1, 4.35 ERA) vs. LHP Ryan Weathers (2-2, 3.03 ERA)

Brandon Young is the only starter that the Orioles have officially named for this series. Young settled after an early hiccup and delivered a quality start his last time out against the Marlins. The Orioles need Young to turn in consistent outings with Cade Povich joining Rogers, Dean Kremer and Zach Eflin on the injured list. The righty did not face the Yankees in the previous series.

The Orioles tallied three runs against Weathers last week but only one of the three runs were earned. Alonso tagged a solo homer in the fourth, but Weathers cruised to his second victory of the season.

Game 2: Tuesday, May 12, 6:35. MASN

TBD vs. RHP Will Warren (4-1, 3.46 ERA)

The Orioles have yet to announce a starter for Tuesday’s game. Trevor Rogers recently told reporters that he does not expect to go on a rehab assignment after hitting the 15-day IL with an illness. Rogers would be eligible to come off the injured list for this appearance, and he recently threw a bullpen that could lineup with a start on Tuesday. Trey Gibson is currently with the team after pitching two innings of relief on Friday.

Warren coasted to his fourth victory against the Orioles last week. The Yankee starter tossed 6.1 innings while limiting Baltimore to three hits, two runs (one earned), and one walk. Warren struck out nine batters, but Alonso did manage to take him yard.

Game 3: Wednesday, May 13, 6:35. MASN

TBD vs. LHP Max Fried (4-2, 2.91 ERA)

Kyle Bradish could start Game 3 after tossing seven strong innings on Friday. The righty struck out 10 batters while limiting the Athletics to three runs, but Baltimore’s offense failed to pick him up after a frustrating fifth inning. Still, the results were the most encouraging that Bradish has delivered this season. The Orioles would absolutely love for Bradish to reestablish himself as a top-of-the-rotation arm, and he could have an opportunity to do just that in the series finale.

Baltimore had a chance to really get to Fried last week, but they let him off the hook with some poor performances with runners in scoring position. Fried still allowed three earned runs over 5.1 innings, and he followed that outing with another pedestrian outing against the Brewers. Fried is still no joke on the mound, but the Orioles must take advantage if they catch him during another rough patch.

How do you think the Orioles will do in this three game series against the Yankees? Give us your prediction in the comments below!

What’s The Plan For Senators UFA Lars Eller?

When the Senators signed veteran centre Lars Eller last summer, he was viewed as a ready-made replacement for their outgoing fourth-line centre, Adam Gaudette.

At 36 years old, Eller arrived with a reputation as a reliable two-way player, a strong defensive presence and a Stanley Cup pedigree that clearly appealed to Senators GM Steve Staios. The previous year, he had brought in Cup-winning veterans Michael Amadio, Nick Cousins, and David Perron.

Eller checked a lot of boxes. He skates and defends better than Gaudette, but it always felt like a tall order to expect him to replace the secondary offence Gaudette provided in 2024-25, when he scored 19 goals for Ottawa.

Steve Warne discusses Drake Batherson's hopes for a contract extension this summer.

Eller actually got off to a solid start in that area, posting six points in October. But his offensive production slowed dramatically after that. He finished the season with just 15 points in 68 games. In fairness, part of that dip was injury-related. Eller missed 14 games after breaking his foot blocking a shot against the Columbus Blue Jackets in December.

Now, with his one-year, $1.25 million contract set to expire on July 1, Staios has another veteran decision to make.

Postmedia’s Bruce Garrioch recently reported that the expectation is that the Senators will move on from Eller this summer.

It’s understandable why head coach Travis Green appreciated having Eller in the lineup. He still skates well and remains one of Ottawa’s most trustworthy defensive forwards. Coaches love the guys they can trust, and Eller rarely hurt the Senators structurally.

But the Senators would probably like to see more impact from the position, whether it’s more edge and physicality or more offence.

And that’s where Stephen Halliday may enter the fray as a plan B.

In Staios’ first act in what’s sure to be a busy offseason (spoiler: they all are), Halliday recently signed a two-year extension for almost half the money (including bonuses) that Eller made this season.

While the 23-year-old still has work to do defensively, he already looks capable of providing significantly more offence than Eller can at this stage of his career.

For a Senators team that doesn’t really have that 100+ point superstar carrying the attack, the offence has to continue as it has, by committee, and the Sens can’t afford to ice too many low-event forwards.

As a sidebar, the Senators would love to see one of their drafted players come up and establish themselves as a full-time NHLer. The prospect cupboard needs restocking, as there are very few players who are slam-dunk NHL prospects, let alone future stars.

That can partially be blamed on poor drafting, but also on the organization’s pre-Andlauer era misread that it was ready to contend and time to sacrifice some of their future to make splashy, go-for-it deals.

Ottawa’s 2020 draft class produced several NHLers, but since then, Halliday is the only drafted prospect to appear in more than four NHL games with the club.

That doesn’t automatically mean Halliday is ready for a full-time NHL role. But internally, it’s Halliday or bust, because there’s no other obvious forward in Belleville ready to make the jump to Ottawa this fall.

Whether it’s Halliday or a more impactful forward brought in through free agency, it feels like the Senators need a different look in Eller's spot.

Prediction: Eller is a respected teammate and a good soldier, but after his year in Ottawa, it feels like Staios is more likely to try something new this fall rather than run it back.

By Steve Warne
The Hockey News

This article was first published at The Hockey News Ottawa. Check out more great Sens features from The Hockey News at the links below:  

Batherson Wide Open To Signing Extension: 'Ottawa Feels Like Home'
Dylan Cozens Will Represent Canada At World Championships Next Week
Will The Senators Re-Sign 38-Year-old UFA Claude Giroux?
Halliday Reacts To New Deal With Ottawa: 'Super Excited I Got A Chance'
Another NHL Chance For Former Senators GM Pierre Dorion?

Dodgers vs Giants Prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for May 11

The Los Angeles Dodgers (24-16) and San Francisco Giants (16-24) meet for the second series this season. San Francisco won the first series, 2-1, but these teams have been heading in different directions since April 23.

The Giants are coming off an extra innings win in the 12th versus the Pirates that sealed the series in favor of San Francisco. The Giants are 3-6 this month and 3-9 over the last 12 games. San Francisco has lost seven straight road games.

The Dodgers lost their last two games each to the Braves by a score of 7-2. Los Angeles' offense only managed two hits in Sunday's loss and turn to Roki Sasaki to pitch. The Dodgers are 2-4 this season when Sasaki pitches as they've totaled 12 runs in the four losses opposed to 20 in the two wins. Los Angeles is 7-8 since playing San Francisco.

Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Giants at Dodgers

  • Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
  • Time: 10:10 PM EST
  • Site: Dodger Stadium 
  • City: Los Angeles, CA
  • Network/Streaming: MLB TV

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Giants at the Dodgers

The latest odds as of Monday:

  • Moneyline: Los Angeles Dodgers (-194), San Francisco Giants (+59)
  • Spread: Giants +1.5 (-131), Dodgers -1.5 (+109)
  • Total: 9.5

Probable starting pitchers for Giants at Dodgers

  • Monday's pitching matchup (May 11): Roki Sasaki vs. Trevor McDonald
  • Dodgers: Roki Sasaki

2026 stats: 28.2 IP, 1-3, 5.97 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, 26 Ks, 15 BB

  • Giants: Trevor McDonald

2026 Stats: 7.0 IP, 1-0, 1.29 ERA, 0.29 WHIP, 8 Ks, 0 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not!

  • The Giants’ Luis Arraez is hitting .310 with 45 hits and 56 total bases over 145 at-bats
  • The Giants’ Willy Adames is hitting .209 with 33 hits and 49 strikeouts over 158 at-bats
  • The Dodgers’ Andy Pages is hitting .333 with 49 hits and 84 total bases over 147 at-bats
  • The Dodgers’ Kyle Tucker is hitting .248 with 36 hits and 34 strikeouts over 145 at-bats

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Giants at Dodgers

  • The Giants are 17-23 ATS this season
  • The Dodgers are 19-21 ATS this season
  • The Giants are 20-17-3 to the Under this season
  • The Dodgers are 22-18 to the Under this season

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Dodgers and the Giants

Rotoworld Bet Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Monday's game between the Dodgers and the Giants.

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Dodgers on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Dodgers at -1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Over on the Game Total of 9.5

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)

Jose Meza, Brooks Auger shine in Great Lakes win

ATLANTA, GA - MAY 02: A Dodgers cap and baseball mitt on the durgout steps during the Friday evening MLB baseball game between the Atlanta Braves and the Los Angeles Dodgers on May 2, 2025 at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by David J. Griffin/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Dodgers affiliates fought multiple opponents on Sunday — opposing offenses, and rain.

Player of the day

Great Lakes right fielder Jose Meza was in the middle of all three scoring innings for the Loons in Sunday’s win. He walked with the bases loaded in the third inning, hit a two-run double in the fourth, then doubled home another in the seventh.

Mesa tied his season high with four RBI (also done on April 21), and added a single in the eighth to match his season high of three hits (also April 5 and April 28).

Triple-A Oklahoma City

The series finale between the Comets and Salt Lake Bees (Angels) was canceled due to inclement weather.

The teams do not meet again in the first half of the season, so Sunday’s game will not be made up later this year.

Double-A Tulsa

A five-run seventh against Roque Gutierrez and Christian Suarez spelled doom for the Drillers in a rainy road loss to the Arkansas Travelers (Mariners).

Down three in the ninth, Tulsa got two-out walks by Kendall George and Josue De Paula, then a single by Kyle Nevin for one run before the game was delayed with the tying runs on base. Zyhir Hope was due to bat to see if the comeback could be completed, but the weather never cooperated and the game was called with two outs in the ninth.

You might remember Elijah Hainline from making some highlight defensive playsin the middle infield as one of the high-number crew who suited up for several games during spring training. Tulsa’s shortstop on Sunday made waves at the plate, with two singles, a double, a stolen base, scored two runs, and drove in another. He had three multi-hit games during this series in Arkansas.

High-A Great Lakes

Meza delivered all four RBI by the Loons in their win over the Lake County Captains (Guardians), but Great Lakes scored seven runs in total. One of those other three runs came home on a balk, and the other two scored on a fielding error at third base.

Great Lakes thus far has eased Brooks Auger back from the injured list, missing about a month after a pulled groin in spring training. He’s lasted between two and three innings in his three starts so far, but the results are there, including five strikeouts in 2 2/3 scoreless frames on Sunday, allowing only two singles. In three games, Auger has allowed only one run in 7 2/3 innings, with 14 strikeouts against only two walks and a phenomenal 38.7-percent strikeout-minus-walk rate.

Jose Hernandez, promoted on Saturday, started at first base Sunday and was 0-for-3 with a walk and hit by pitch in his High-A debut.

Class-A Ontario

Jesus Tillero had a rough start, allowing eight runs while recording 10 outs in the Tower Buzzers’ loss to the Rancho Cucamonga Quakes.

Third baseman Chase Harlan had two hits, extending his hit streak to nine games. Jaron Elkins had two hits as the designated hitter on Sunday and stole two bases. Elkins, who stole 63 bases last season, has 16 steals in 19 attempts this season in 30 games.

Transactions

Triple-A: Right-hander Wyatt Mills was called up to the Dodgers bullpen, and Paul Gervase was optioned back to Oklahoma City.

Sunday scores

The week ahead

  • Oklahoma City at Albuquerque (Rockies)
  • Tulsa vs. Springfield (Cardinals)
  • Great Lakes vs. West Michigan (Tigers)
  • Ontario vs. San Jose (Giants)

Shaq spars with Charles Barkley and Kenny Smith: ‘Knicks going to the finals’

An image collage containing 3 images, Image 1 shows Kenny Smith and Charles Barkley sitting at a broadcast desk during the 2022 NBA All-Star Saturday Night, Image 2 shows New York Knicks guard Jalen Brunson (11) reacts after hitting a three-point shot, Image 3 shows Shaquille O'Neal in a dark suit jacket and glasses, looking to his right
Knicks Shaq

Will the Knicks ride the wave or get a reality check in the Eastern Conference finals?

They embarrassed the 76ers in the second round of the NBA playoffs after a sweep was solidified with a 144-114 route on Sunday, and the “Inside the NBA” crew began discussing a potential NBA Finals appearance for Mike Brown’s surging group.

“It gets real again in the next round for the Knicks,” Kenny Smith said as the Knicks will face the Cavaliers or Pistons in the Eastern Conference finals. “Cleveland and the Pistons have caused problems for the Knicks this year.”

Kenny Smith (l.) and Charles Barkley (r.) disagreed with Shaq about the Knicks’ chances in the conference finals. NBAE via Getty Images

Smith added that the next round will look very similar to the Hawks series, which the Knicks won in six games.

Shaquille O’Neal, though, doesn’t think anyone in the East can contend right now with the Knicks, who have won seven straight games after falling behind 2-1 against Atlanta.

“They’ve shown me they are ready,” O’Neal said. “And I have to disagree with both guys, I think they’ll breeze through whoever the next opponent is if they play like this.”

Charles Barkley said the Knicks “had a cakewalk” to the Eastern Conference finals, calling the Hawks “not ready for primetime” while the 76ers dealt with injuries.

“Whoever they play next is a very difficult series,” Barkley said.

“Knicks going to the finals,” O’Neal said, interrupting Barkley.

It’s been total annihilation in the Knicks’ last seven games as they’re firing on all cylinders, tying a record for 3-pointers in an NBA playoff game on Sunday with 25.

Jalen Brunson reacts after hitting a 3-pointer during the Knicks’ Game 4 win over the 76ers on May 10, 2026. Jason Szenes for the New York Post

The Knicks also have the best point differential (+194) in NBA playoff history through a team’s first 10 playoff games, besting the 2017 Golden State Warriors, who added Kevin Durant to a team that went 73-9 in the regular season the year prior.

The wild ride will come to a halt for the next week or so as the Knicks await the winner of the Cavaliers vs. Pistons series, which Detroit currently leads 2-1 with Game 4 in Cleveland on Monday night.