ABU DHABI, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES - MAY 25: Luigi Suigo, #19 of U18 EA7 Emporio Armani Milan selected to All-Tournament Team after Adidas NextGen Euroleague Finals Championship game between U18 EA7 Emporio Armani Milan vs U18 Zalgiris Kaunas at Mubadala Arena on May 25, 2025 in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. (Photo by David Grau/Euroleague Basketball via Getty Images)
The “Italian Wemby” saga has finally come to an end.
NEWS: Luigi Suigo has withdrawn from the NBA Draft and committed to Villanova, Sigma Sports and Excel Sports tell DraftExpress.
The 7'4, 289-pound 19-year-old will be a physical outlier in the Big East who can pass, space the floor, protect the rim, and finish effectively. pic.twitter.com/S9HeU5kreq
After weeks of hype, anxiety and anticipation, the 19-year-old center from Tradate, Varese, Italy has finally made it official: he’s a Villanova Wildcat for the 2026-27 season. Suigo flirted with the NBA Draft process, hoping to get a top-20 guarantee from a team. But after receiving feedback, he has decided to play in college next season with the hopes of improving his stock.
The 2026 NBA Draft is considered by many to be one of the best in years, so from Suigo’s perspective it makes sense to wait a year. With even a relatively-successful season at Villanova, Suigo would position himself well for a weaker 2027 NBA Draft. From a Villanova standpoint, this unlocks another ceiling level for Kevin Willard and co.
Up to this point of the offseason, Willard has been able to retain two of his best players from a year ago, in addition to adding depth, experience and talent at all forward and guard spots. The one question mark was in the middle, with only redshirt-freshman Nico Onyekwere returning. That question has been answered in emphatic fashion with the commitment of Suigo.
The 7’3” big man had until June 13 at 5 PM to withdraw his name from the NBA Draft, and he took almost all of that time to make his decision. But the wait and gamble was worth it for Villanova, who secures an NBA-caliber center who will be able to add floor spacing on offense, while also providing elite rim protection on the other end. The happiest person in the building right now might be incoming senior Kwame Evans Jr., who gets to strut his stuff more as a pure forward with this addition.
There’s still work to be done with the depth up front, with both the international route and the high school route reportedly being considered. But otherwise, the roster appears set for a top-25 ranking and a return to national relevance for the Wildcats.
Across the city, televisions or projectors have been propped up on porches allowing passersby to watch from the sidewalk. Fans have also huddled around bars and restaurants, peeking at screens indoors.
Earlier in the week, the city streamed Game 4 on dozens of LinkNYC screens, marking the first time live sports were broadcast on kiosks, Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s office said. More than 2,000 kiosks act as modernized phone booths, providing free WiFi and phone calls across the city.
“This weekend, we’re running it back,” Mamdani said. “More than a hundred kiosks will turn our sidewalks into watch parties and our streets into celebrations. Knicks in Five.”
“The Knicks belong to all New Yorkers, whether you’re watching from the Garden or not,” Mamdani said in a statement.
LinkNYC, launched in 2016, replaced the city’s old pay phones. At the time, former Mayor Bill de Blasio sought to convert the old, ubiquitous phone system into a modernized technology in the era of smart phones and internet. What came was free WiFi, tablets to access city maps, USB charging and free domestic calling.
Touted as the world’s fastest free public WiFi, the kiosks have now served over 21 million residents and visitors, according to LinkNYC, which is operated by CityBridge, a joint venture from Intersection Media and Boldyn Networks.
The kiosks have two 55-inch displays on either side, which provide real-time updates or advertising. (The screens, however, don’t have speakers.)
When recent temperatures soared to feeling nearly 100 degrees with humidity, for example, LinkNYC kiosks displayed directions to nearby public cooling centers. Temperatures have cooled somewhat, but kiosks will show the Knicks on Saturday evening.
“LinkNYC was built to connect New Yorkers to what matters most,” Nick Colvin, CEO of LinkNYC said in a statement, “and few things have united this city quite like this historic Knicks run.”
Game 5 starts at 8:30 p.m. local time in New York.
Eduardo Cuevas is based in New York City. Reach him by email at emcuevas1@usatoday.com or on Signal at emcuevas.01.
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JUNE 10: OG Anunoby #8 of the New York Knicks celebrates after scoring the go-ahead basket against the San Antonio Spurs in the final seconds with Karl-Anthony Towns #32 and Jordan Clarkson #00 during the fourth quarter in Game Four of the 2026 NBA Finals at Madison Square Garden on June 10, 2026 in New York City. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images) | Getty Images
At first, you don’t see him. Like the rest of the 19,812 people in the Garden, or the 23.2 million viewers watching elsewhere, you’re following the ball. Jalen Brunson takes one jabbing step forward before Victor Wembanyama and De’Aaron Fox rush to converge on him, and then he uses the momentum from springing back to jump and lightly launch the ball on a rainbow arc toward the basket. There are a few milliseconds where nobody on the floor appears to move or react and then, as they reflexively all fall in toward the basket, OG Anunoby is there.
It’s hard to track even in replay because Anunoby is moving so fast there isn’t a point you can pause the tape and his body won’t be blurred. All the regular metaphors don’t work. He’s not an arrow, nor a missile (easy, warmonger), maybe the closest is a diving bird of prey, but then we can’t know for sure if a raptor factors in faith with its instincts.
In about five strides, starting from the end of the scorer’s table where he inbounded to Brunson, Anunoby catches up with the ball. By then Stephon Castle and Dylan Harper are also jumping after him, so that three long arms are tangling toward pebbled orange leather. Anunoby is not first because he’s fast, or because he didn’t hesitate to start his thundering run toward the rim, or because he’s stronger or more athletic. They’re all factors, but the main reason is that each component — the long stride, knowing when to lift from the floor, the ability to soften touch just enough to tip a ball rather than swat it with momentum’s full force — is reflexive. Practiced alone or in sequence hundreds of times. In games, in actual practice, in his head, stakes varying but stakes not really a factor. He did it all not knowing whether Castle or Harper would throw him off course with their bodies, or whether the ball might bounce wide. He did it because Anunoby’s career arc that led to, well, that arc, has been one of effort, willingness and the ability to take himself out of any given moment as its main actor, even if he is. Benevolence, you could say (Karl-Anthony Towns did: “The right hand of god, can’t spell god without OG”), but mostly, very mortal work.
OG Anunoby didn’t officially play in the AAU tournament where he was discovered and recruited by Indiana University. He was on the floor grabbing steals, sprinting up and down the court, dunking, hitting threes, and of course, tipping the ball, but his name wasn’t listed in any of the Atlanta tournament’s programs. Tom Crean, Indiana’s then-coach, was posted at the baseline with his assistants to watch a couple other highly touted prospects and found themselves instead captivated by Anunoby. They flipped through the tournament’s compiled player guides and found no record of him.
Anunoby had initially been scratched because of a broken wrist that ended his junior year at Jefferson City early, so his name wasn’t in any of the tournament material. Crean tracked him down through the tournament’s director and invited Anunoby to campus, then recruited him.
There is the sense with much of the NBA draft and scouting pipeline that beyond the more highly touted names, you have to go searching. Not only for talent, but for fit, style, skill, all weighed against a young athlete’s health and longevity, prospects must be “future-proofed.” Even the very best at this kind of scouting get it wrong, and the very best also acknowledge how much luck and timing play a part. When you really start to consider the conditions necessary for a person to get drafted, and then land on a team that will have a complementary development program or a plan for that person at all, it becomes even more of a wonder who makes it and who sticks around in the league.
Anunoby wound up being drafted by the Toronto Raptors because he was coming off a devastating ACL injury that ended his sophomore year at Indiana after 16 games. Masai Ujiri, then the Raptors President, admitted it, saying on draft night that “If he doesn’t have that injury, I don’t think we have a shot.” Anunoby had slipped to 23rd.
Even if the Raptors weren’t expecting Anunoby, they were ready for him. A group that had doggedly lost in only the most wrenching ways for seasons, even before the three sequential postseason defeats that coined the term “LeBronto”, the locker room Anunoby joined had a particularly honed hard-nosed ethos with the bone-deep understanding of what it means to chip away. The Raptors were pests. For an athlete who used to call his high school coaches relentlessly to let him into the gym, and then call the middle school coaches when the high school coaches stopped answering, the fit felt like home.
The Raptors’ style was all ugly intangibles, cumulative play that pushed high-touch, share-the-ball offense that while not blistering, was as relentless as the defense that sparked it. All of it backed by high-IQ decision-making, driven by floor savant Kyle Lowry.
There is perhaps more elegance in the way the 2025-2026 NBA Finals Knicks are playing — have evolved throughout the postseason to play — but there is also a familiar DNA coursing through the team. Jalen Brunson is the engine and the ballast, Karl-Anthony Towns the wily big able to shift opponents around him at whim; Mikal Bridges the ace shooter, and Josh Hart the Swiss Army knife skillset deploying what’s needed beyond the boxscore. If trying to mirror this Knicks team with that Raptors group, then Anunoby is the player he was comp’d to in his own draft’s scouting: Kawhi Leonard. And yet, he’s more.
In his rookie season, Anunoby started his first NBA game on November 14th because Norman Powell suffered a hip injury that had him out for four games. A month later, Anunoby led all starter rookies in offensive and defensive rating, had the best turnover-to-assist ratio for a non-guard position, and held the third highest true shooting percentage.
“Sometimes, as a young player, you think too much and you try to get everything right. But when he comes in, he just plays,” Raptors coach Dwane Casey said at the time. “That young man is doing a good job.”
Anunoby cut his professional teeth on basketball that required repetition, work for the sake of the work. Those Raptors also had the kind of self-awareness that only comes after suffering big losses together, the sort of knocks that force the ego out of you. The team had plenty on the court, then lost DeMar DeRozan, and just before his second season began in Toronto, Anunoby’s father, his namesake, died. Anunoby was away from the team twice that fall, for a memorial for his father in Jefferson City and then for his burial in Nigeria.
As in life, lows — and loss — can bring clarity. There was a deep level of care and regard for each other within that Raptors group. It only crystallized as the season continued. The saying “play for each other” is leaned on a lot in basketball, but with how changeable NBA rosters are teams don’t consistently do it; unlikelier still that when watching, you can actually see it happening. Anunoby also missed Toronto’s championship run with what felt like the flukiest appendicitis timing on earth; there’s a sensation watching him win for, play for his Knicks teammates now that it’s that past version of Anunoby merging with the present one, finally unleashing the moves and motivation he had to put on ice in 2019.
Of course, that’s oversimplifying it. As The Athletic’s senior Raptors writer Eric Koreen laid out, Anunoby has come this far, improved to this point, because he works steadily on what needs improvement until he fixes it. It sounds simple, but it’s a rare and mercurial trait. It’s common for a player to add one skill to their utility belt at a time – a passable three-point shot, or getting better playing through contact – and be finished for a while. Anunoby has worked with the same quiet persistence on his entire toolkit, and has flashed one or more of those sharpened and polished improvements in each game of this series.
Going all the way back to his ghostly appearance in that AAU game, where he was a presence without a name, Anunoby has always been good at unsettling his defensive mark. He’ll hang out in the corner, lulling opponents to think the defense is set, only to pop in and deflect the ball, or suddenly be behind them, a brick wall of a screen they turn right into. He’s been menacing Stephon Castle, De’Aaron Fox, even Victor Wembanyama the same way. But Anunoby’s also guarded every NBA superstar with the cool unflappability on display now.
It’s been beautiful to see so many more people get acquainted with Anunoby’s nonplussed demeanour, a trait that’s either a long-running bit or goes back to Anunoby Sr., who told his children to choose their words precisely and that “if you have to talk, you should say something that doesn’t take away from the conversation, but enriches it.”
There’s so little space given to one of the most common emotional phenomena felt as a fan, which is when a favorite leaves you. Whether the departure is drawn out or abrupt, amicable or acrimonious, the only constant is the recognition that it’s all part of the NBA’s larger machine. A churning system. A system that, in its speed and mechanisation, enforces the idea that you are not supposed to care so much about what happens to a person whose footwork you memorised like steps to a dance.
Perhaps that’s the silver lining in losing a favorite player to a trade, that when they go on to bigger things, on much larger stages, you see flashes that take you back in your own fandom. Still, it’s disingenuous to Anunoby to suggest that what he’s showing in this series is somehow out of nowhere, or wholly unexpected. It’s just as false to point to the draft, or development, as ways to get the same result in a new form.
NBA arcs aren’t replicable, as much as GMs and scouts pine for that to be true. There are beautiful, fleeting moments where an athlete’s past lines up with the present to flash a clear view back to potential as it unfolded, but that clarity is all in retrospect.
The chain of events that led Anunoby to what could be his second title and first played-in Finals run are so individually keyed to his development: the physical setbacks, the group he grew with in Toronto, patience he had playing behind Pascal Siakam, then Kawhi Leonard; arriving in New York and to some degree starting again — then again with Mike Brown. His competitive profile is just as tied to his lived experience, his family and upbringing, the dual confidence and necessity to be of service to others instilled in him by his father and mom, a Nigerian national track athlete, who he lost at just a year old.
It’s the singularity that makes him — any athlete’s arc that traces these unique-as-fingerprint highs — so special, that makes watching it happen all the more astonishing. It’s only going to happen once.
Win or lose, when the NBA Finals are over, Victor Wembanyama is going to need a nap on his comically large bed.
The San Antonio Spurs’ superstar center has carried his team throughout the playoffs, but despite his “alien” persona, Wemby is very much human.
He looked it in the second half of Game 4, when San Antonio blew a 29-point lead to the New York Knicks with a fatigued Wembanyama slogging through 23 of 24 minutes.
With the finals swinging back to San Antonio, an extra day off between games allows the 7-footer to recharge his batteries before tonight's do-or-die Game 5 showdown.
My NBA picks are taking Wemby to best his scoring prop on Saturday, June 13.
Victor Wembanyama prop pick for Game 5
Victor Wembanyama best bet: Over 28.5 points (-105 at bet365)
Victor Wembanyama scored 16 of his 24 total points in the opening half of Game 4, shooting 54.5% from the floor while collecting all three of his free-throw chances.
A glance at his shot chart in that opening 24 minutes shows a very efficient and analytics-friendly fire rate. He either attacked at the rim or let it fly from beyond the arc, shooting just 1-for-5 from deep in the first half.
Once the Wu-Tang Clan had finished igniting the Big Apple crowd during the halftime break, fatigue seemed to settle in for Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs. On top of more careless turnovers, the team’s shot selection was passive and leaned on long 3-pointers rather than the aggressive action that built the big lead.
Wembanyama’s energy got lower with every miss, and he seemed bothered by stiff defense from the New York Knicks. That pushed him further out on possessions. The second half shot chart shows Wemby drifting for mid-range jumpers, finishing just 3-for-14 in the closing two frames for eight points.
We’ve seen this from a gassed Wembanyama in these last two rounds, but we’ve also seen him return with well-rested vengeance.
He scored 26 points in Game 1 of the NBA Finals after a three-day break and dropped 32 points after a two-day gap ahead of Game 3. Wembanyama also poured in 41 points (27 in regulation) in Game 1 of the Western Conference finals following a three-day buffer between series.
The most telling part of those efforts was Wembanyama’s numbers after halftime, scoring a collective 61 points on 16-for-35 shooting while getting to the foul line for 24-for-26 success from the stripe.
When aggressive, there’s very little the Knicks have done to bottle up San Antonio’s star center. And in the wake of his off nights, head coach Mitch Johnson has made a focused effort to get Wembanyama going early on.
With the Spurs’ season on the line in Game 5, expect Wembanyama to leave it all on the floor. I see him landing on the high side of his shot attempts, with fresher legs helping him finish those looks and carry that production deep into the second half.
Victor Wembanyama same-game parlay
I might be one of the rare ones who likes San Antonio to survive Game 5. The two-day break gives Wemby rest and also allows the young Spurs to put the Game 4 collapse behind them.
New York’s comeback benefited from some lucky bounces, friendly rims, and self-inflicted wounds from San Antonio. Wembanyama will get aggressive from the opening tip, both attacking the rim and cleaning the glass.
Models call for 29+ points and as many as 15+ boards tonight.
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The ball gets away from New York Knicks Patrick Ewing (R) as teammate Anthony Mason (L) blocks out New Jersey Nets Armon Gilliam (C) during the first half of their NBA game 20 December 1994 in New York. (Photo by MARK D. PHILLIPS and - / AFP) (Photo by MARK D. PHILLIPS/AFP via Getty Images) | AFP via Getty Images
For the past 25 years, any remotely good New York Knicks team would eventually get compared to the 1990s Knicks. Makes sense, considering they were the most modern-era squad close to going the distance after New York last celebrated a title in 1973.
If you’re like me, you weren’t around back then. If you’re like my father, you weren’t either. So yeah, the ‘90s are the golden Knicks benchmark for contemporary NYK teams because that is what happens when a franchise spends 50-plus years mostly selling fans hope but ultimately dealing them pain. Alas.
Now, however, this comparison can’t make any more sense.
The 2026 Knicks will play Game 5 of the freaking NBA Finals against the San Antonio Spurs tonight, heading into it up 3-1, one win from their first championship since forever, and with a chance to topple the heights reached by both the 1994 and 1999 Knicks mobs.
As stupid as it might have sounded just two months ago, the Knicks are the favorites to hoist the Larry O’Brien trophy when all is said and done, with FanDuel giving them -500 odds to the Spurs’ +385 entering Saturday’s matchup. See it to believe it!
The 1994 Knicks were the true big one. Patrick Ewing, John Starks, Charles Oakley, Anthony Mason, Derek Harper, all of them led by Pat Riley on the sideline, and coming off a 57-win regular season. The Finals run? Seven games against Hakeem Olajuwon’s Rockets. The ending? A title being close enough to hurt Knicks fans forever.
Then came 1999, the weirdest miracle run. After a shortened regular season following an infamous lockout, the Knicks entered the playoffs as a true underdog with the No. 8 seed out East, beat Miami, beat Atlanta, beat Indiana, and reached the Finals against 2026 dance partners the Spurs. By then, Ewing was hurt, and that was as damaging as what happened five years earlier, with neophyte Tim Duncan and admiral David Robinson pulverizing New York’s hopes in five outings.
These Knicks feel a bit different from those two historic squads in NYK lore. Those two Finals-bound teams were tough as nails, and while the current Knicks can put the clamps on anybody, there’s a distance there, and it’s fair to say that the Julius Randle-RJ Barrett stage of the roster was closer to that than the current version of it.
Jalen Brunson, as the face of the franchise, gives the Knicks the late-game guard those ‘90s teams never really had, in a clear contrast to the forward-and-big-heavy talent crammed into the past iterations of the winning Knicks.
Yes, Karl-Anthony Towns is in the paint these days, but you can’t even start to compare as he’s more of the finesse variety and gives New York a shooting touch who changes everything on the floor.
OG Anunoby and Mikal Bridges are two of the best two-way wings in the Association and clear-cut models of modern basketball, compared to the grittier and darker and dirtier 1990s wrestling-ball.
Perhaps Josh Hart—with a s/o to Jose Alvarado too—is the latest remnant of that nearly glorious era, only just born 20 years after he should, but lucky to find his way to New York, blossomed into the Energizer Bunny we came to know and love.
The ’90s teams built the standard for Knicks toughness and togetherness, but they will always be remembered for coming oh-so-close, as endearing as they are and will ever be to our hearts.
The 2026 Knicks, however? Oh, boy, these dudes have a chance to cross all t’s and dot all i’s.
One more win, and the 2026 Knicks will forever stop being compared to the 1990s Knicks. They will pass them, put themselves on par with the golden ’70s Knicks, and force new comparisons for the near and distant future.
NEW YORK, NY - MAY 19: Evan Mobley #4 of the Cleveland Cavaliers shoots a three point basket against the New York Knicks during Game One of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals on May 19, 2026 at Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Brian Babineau/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images
This is shaping up to be a busy summer in the NBA with the inevitable Giannis Antetokounmpo trade likely coming after the Finals wrap up. That could be the first domino in what is a transaction-heavy offseason. It remains to be seen what role the Cleveland Cavaliers will play in that busy summer.
The Cavs don’t have many assets they could send out to help boost them into the championship-level tier. One of the players they could dangle in trades is 24-year-old Evan Mobley.
The front office has indicated that Mobley is not on the trade block. While that may be true for the time being, we know that things can change quickly in the NBA.
Earlier this week, we asked Cavs’ fans whether or not they’d be open to trading Mobley for a short-term upgrade. Players like Giannis, Jaylen Brown, and Jaylen Williams were given as examples of players Mobley could be traded for.
According to those surveyed, most would prefer to stick with Mobley.
This is an understandable position to take. Mobley has proven to be an All-NBA player and Defensive Player of the Year, while still having the potential to develop further. There’s a world where Mobley evolves into a top 10-15 player.
At the same time, the Cavs’ window to win a championship is narrow after trading Darius Garland for James Harden. There’s a two to three-year time frame that you could realistically hope to compete. Moving Mobley for someone who gives them a better chance to win now isn’t the craziest idea.
What can we say about Jalen Brunson that hasn’t already been said about Tecmo Bowl Bo Jackson?
Absolutely unstoppable.
Brunson’s late-game heroics have the New York Knicks knocking on the door of their first NBA title since 1973 when they visit the San Antonio Spurs in Game 5 of the NBA Finals.
Find out more in my best NBA picks for Saturday, June 13.
Jalen Brunson prop pick for Game 5
Jalen Brunson best bet: Under 5.5 assists (+110 at bet365)
Jalen Brunson is coming off his best passing performance of the NBA Finals, dishing out seven assists on a potential 15 dimes in the New York Knicks' ridiculous Game 4 comeback.
This is a notable swing in passing production, with Brunson registering just nine potential assists in each of the first three games of the series and finishing with totals of two, six, and five helpers versus the San Antonio Spurs.
Those seven assists in Game 4 marked the first time in the past six postseason games that Brunson finished Over his assists total. It also has this prop market skewing toward six dimes, with Over 5.5 carrying a hefty ask and some books up to 6.5 O/U.
This sudden shift in sharing the basketball wasn’t really Brunson’s doing but was more a result of the Knicks having to scrap their initial offensive schemes for Game 4, as well as suddenly hot shooting from New York in the second half.
Coach Mike Brown was aiming to run the ball through center Karl-Anthony Towns and have Brunson play off-ball more in Game 4 to create space for his shots, but KAT got whistled for two quick fouls in the opening minute.
That had Brunson back as the primary ball handler for a good chunk of time. His 115 touches were a series high after posting 95, 95, and 109 touches in the opening three contests.
Game 5 has Brown going back to his game plan of running Towns as a facilitator at the high post and involving Brunson in screen action away from the ball. That prevents his dribble-heavy slop from Game 3’s loss and exposes the switching issues that plagued the Spurs during the Knicks’ rally on Wednesday.
Brunson's early projections sit above six assists for Saturday, which is nothing new. His projections have repeatedly landed north of this number during the playoffs, yet the Under on assists is 6-2 in his last eight postseason showings.
The prop markets are overcorrecting to a unique game scenario in Game 4. I feel confident that Brunson will be focused on firing up shots and won’t give up the ball with the game on the line.
You can find the Under 5.5 assists paying out as big as +118 or go low on the taller total at Under 6.5 (-160).
Jalen Brunson same-game parlay
Brunson’s seven assists in Game 4 had a lot to do with Towns’ foul trouble. New York wants to take the ball out of his hands and create space for his shots as a cutter.
That scheme will lead to more 3-point looks, with Brunson bagging three triples in each of the past two games, and the game script saying the Knicks are fighting from behind.
Brunson has been big on the boards, with five rebounds in each of his last three outings while putting himself in place for an average of 10.0 rebounding chances in those games.
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BALTIMORE, MD - JUNE 12: Manager Craig Stammen #14 of the San Diego Padres looks on in the sixth inning during the game between the San Diego Padres and the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday, June 12, 2026 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Hannah Foslien/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images
Griffin Canning took the mound for the San Diego Padres to open the first game of the first series of their nine-game road trip and was looking to have a solid outing. He was unable to do that despite the Padres handing him a one-run lead in the first inning and San Diego lost the opening game of the three-game series against the Baltimore Orioles, 7-3. Canning labored through five innings, allowing seven runs on six hits with five walks and six strikeouts. He allowed two home runs, which resulted in three of the seven runs for the Orioles and never looked comfortable in his outing. Canning walked the leadoff batter in three of his five innings and only faced the minimum number of batters in two of his five innings.
Despite the short outing from his starter, Padres manager Craig Stammen only needed Wandy Peralta and David Morgan to cover the final three innings of the game. Peralta threw 1.2 scoreless innings and allowed one hit with two walks and three strikeouts. Morgan threw 1.1 scoreless innings and allowed one hit with two striekouts.
The San Diego offense scored a run in the first and second innings of the game and got contributions from most of the lineup. Jackson Merrill, Ty France, Will Wagner and Freddy Fermin were the only starters not to record hits in the game. France did score a run and Wagner drew two walks. The biggest story on the offensive side was Manny Machado finishing the game 2-for-4 with a run scored. Both of his hits were doubles that were hit into the outfield gaps, splitting the outfielders. It could mean Machado is seeing pitches better, is more prepared for velocity or is maybe giving the analytics a shot. Either way, if he can continue driving the ball throughout the rest of the series and road trip the Padres should benefit. Gavin Sheets was the other bright spot for the San Diego offense. He finished his day 2-for-4 at the plate with two RBI.
The Padres will have a chance to even the series with the Orioles today at 1:05 p.m.
Samad Taylor has made it back to the big leagues and he appears to be taking full advantage of the opportunity. He recorded another hit in the series opener against Baltimore and has given some life to a fledgling San Diego offense.
There is typically a reason or a story behind why someone got a tattoo and the Padres players are no different. Some want to commemorate significant events; others just thought the idea was cool. Jeff Sanders of the San Diego Union-Tribunecompiled some information on the tattoos in the San Diego clubhouse.
Baseball News:
Milwaukee Brewers ace Jacob Misiorowski completed a “Maddux” throwing a complete game on less than 100 pitches, with a 15-strikeout shutout performance against the Philadelphia Phillies.
SAN ANTONIO, TX - JUNE 12: Jose Alvarado #5 of the New York Knicks is interviewed during 2026 NBA Finals Practice and Media Availability on June 12, 2026 at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE(Photo by Michael Gonzales/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images
The New York Knicks visit the San Antonio Spurs tonight at Frost Bank Center for Game Five of the NBA Finals. New York leads the series 3-1 and is one win away from its first championship since 1973, while a Spurs victory tonight would send the series back to Madison Square Garden.
Inquiring minds want to know: can San Antonio recover from the embarrassment of Game Four? The Spurs have led by double digits in every game of this series and were ready to even things up on Wednesday before blowing a 29-point lead.
New York continues to shoot themselves in both feet by losing first quarters and digging double-digit holes. The Knicks have lost the first quarter in all four games, and in each of their wins, they trailed inside the final two minutes. And yet, they have been the steadier team in the clutch. They rallied from an impossible deficit to win Game Four, 107-106, thanks to MVP-worthy efforts from Jalen Brunson, OG Anunoby, and Karl-Anthony Towns. For the losers, Victor Wembanyama recorded 24 points, 13 rebounds, and three blocks, while rookie Dylan Harper added 21 off the bench.
The Spurs’ formula is simple: spread the floor, push the pace, and let Wembanyama erase mistakes at the rim. When they’re humming, they can bury opponents under a barrage of threes and transition opportunities. To wit, on Wednesday they set a Finals record for most first-half three-pointers. The idea of New York rallying to win was inconceivable to anyone watching because no one had ever rallied from that far down in a Finals game.
Rally, they did. The Knicks found a way to win by focusing on singles, bunting to get on base, and crashing the boards while San Antonio made one bone-headed decision after another. They should have killed the clock, but instead hoisted bricks too early; they stopped attacking the paint; they missed free throws; they gave the ball away like it had an open herpes sore; etc.
Thus, the game was a tale of two records—14 made threes by the Spurs in the first half, and a 30-point turnaround for the Knicks in the second.
The expected starters for the Spurs are Fox, Castle, Vassell, Julian Champagnie, and Wembanyama. For the Knicks, Brunson, Mikal Bridges, Josh Hart, Anunoby, and Towns. The injury report is clean for both sides. Both teams have had two full days off between games. San Antonio gets the benefit of returning home, but neither side enters with a meaningful rest advantage.
Since the start of the finals, I have collaborated with J.R. Wilco of Pounding the Rock on Fraternizing with the Enemy pieces. They have been a blast to write. Beyond that, it’s introduced me to the Spurs community and, boy, they have some takes. A common one is that the Spurs are a vastly more talented team and would be ahead 3-1 in the series if not for the impetuousness of youth. Or the Knicks don’t win the games, the Spurs lose them. Some blame Mitch Johnson and want him fired if they lose the Finals, while others counter that abandoning a young coach after the failure is not the Spurs Way. Others cast disdain upon post-win rampaging through the city, which does curdle the stomach, but conveniently neglect to mention how a 17-year-old was beaten into a coma by a Spurs fan.
Imagining myself as a San Antonio fan, I can see myself tied into knots trying to make sense of what has transpired. As a Knicks fan, I have done the same—and perhaps you, too, have experienced moments of irrational justification in defense of our beloved ‘Bockers. Here’s how I see the series so far: these teams are evenly matched, each with edges in various spots. The Knicks tend to start slowly, but build momentum throughout the game, whereas the Spurs come out running and gunning, then gradually lose steam. San Antonio is green, no denying that, and have made mistakes that show their inexperience, while the Knicks are mostly 30ish-year-old vets in their prime who have been already earned the scars necessary to win championships. And Mike Brown is a better coach than Mitch Johnson.
That’s how I see the series. Would love to hear your takes in the comments blow.
Prediction
ESPN gives New York a 43% chance to win. All hail the underdogs! They will need to withstand what will certainly be an aggressive opening push from a team facing elimination on its home floor. For once, however, we expect our heroes to come out on the right foot. They need to limit live-ball turnovers that fuel San Antonio’s transition game, crash the glass, distribute the ball, make their shots, etc. This series has repeatedly swung toward the team that stays composed when things get weird, and right now the Knicks have all the juice. They close it out tonight by five. Get the banner printed and ready to hang.
Game Details
Who: New York Knicks (3-1) vs San Antonio Spurs (1-3) Date: Saturday, June 13, 2026 Time: 8:30 PM ET Place: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX TV: ABC Follow: @ptknicksblog and bsky
CORAL GABLES, FL - JANUARY 28: Stanford guard Ebuka Okorie (1) drives to the basket while defended by Miami guard Tru Washington (10) in the first half as the Miami Hurricanes faced the Stanford Cardinal on January 28, 2026, at the Watsco Center in Coral Gables, Florida. (Photo by Samuel Lewis/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
Ebuka Okorie’s elite trait is his ability to get to the basket at will. Ranking in the 99th percentile per 100 possessions for attempts at the rim, Okorie understands how to deploy his game-breaking first step and jitterbug agility to get by perimeter defenders. While he graded out better as an isolation scorer, Okorie was also solid in pick-and-roll actions.
His relentless play style naturally resulted in an elite free-throw rate. Okorie finished with a nation-leading 226 free throws – 7.3 per game – and converted on an impressive 83.2 per cent of his attempts.
Despite Stanford’s lack of top-end talent, Okorie still averaged 23.2 points and 3.6 assists on 46.5 per cent shooting. Opposing teams resorted to shading-type coverages that often were used to slow down offensive threats like Brandon Ingram, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Anthony Edwards in the NBA playoffs. Yet Okorie still thrived with the ball in his hands and averaged nearly 31 per cent of Stanford’s points.
While Okorie could stand to improve in certain spots on the floor, he’s still a legitimate three-level scorer. Okorie isn’t an above-the-rim type of athlete, but he can seemingly shift into an unlimited number of gears with the ball in his hands.
Areas for Improvement
Rim efficiency
Okorie may be the best – or most consistent – at applying downhill pressure, but the freshman isn’t necessarily the most effective when he gets into the paint. While nearly 90 per cent of his rim-attempts are unassisted, Okorie converted on roughly 55 per cent of those dribble-drives. That ranks him as an average finisher among NCAA players.
Against the California Golden Bears on Jan. 24, Okorie was held to 1-of-16 from the field, with nearly half of his shots coming at the rim. Fortunately for Okorie, his knack for getting to the basket still resulted in 14 free throws. If Okorie sees even a slight uptick in efficiency, that might be the swing factor that catapults him into a draft-day steal at 19.
Defensive Ceiling
Like some of the other scoring guards available in this part of the draft, Okorie has question marks surrounding his defence. If it weren’t for this potential red flag, his intriguing offensive profile would have been enough to lock him into the lottery. Like with Christian Anderson, opposing lead guards will hunt Okorie down with a laser focus. A silver lining to not having Immanuel Quickley push his luck with his injury during the playoffs, was not having to worry about the Cleveland Cavaliers attacking him on switches. With Jamal Shead, the Raptors mostly switched without concern. Drafting Okorie at 19 would complicate that luxury.
Okorie did convert some of his doubters when he measured with a 6’7.75” wingspan at the NBA Draft Combine. How quickly and consistently Okorie can adapt to the league’s physicality will determine his overall ceiling.
Potential fits with Toronto
Microwave scorer off the bench
The Raptors averaged 33.5 bench points per game, which ranked 24th in the league. That needs to improve, particularly on a roster that includes Brandon Ingram and Quickley’s injury concerns. Ingram had a bounce-back season from a health perspective, but another lower-body injury hampered the Raptors’ chances at getting past the first round of the post-season. Quickley has missed 60 regular-season games (and all seven playoff games this past year) since being acquired by the Raptors. Okorie represents offensive insurance should the team run into bad injury-luck again this season.
With the Raptors at full-strength, Okorie becomes a fascinating member of a bench unit that exceeded expectations in the playoffs. Even though it pushes Ja’Kobe Walter to the three spot, an Okorie and Shead backcourt off the bench is a fun dynamic.
ARLINGTON, TEXAS - JUNE 05: Travis Bazzana #37 of the Cleveland Guardians follows through after hitting the ball during the fifth inning of a game against the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field on June 05, 2026 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by John E. Moore III/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The most difficult time in an MLB career is now for Guardians’ young hitters.
Baseball is a game of constant adjustments, and those adjustments are almost never more volatile than after a new MLB player has their first hot stretch in the show. Today we’re going to discuss what to expect going forward with some of the young hitters on the Guardians roster this season. Specifically, we’re going to look at the youngest hitters currently playing almost every day on the roster: Chase DeLauter, Travis Bazzana, Brayan Rocchio, Angel Martínez, and Kyle Manzardo. In looking at them, I’d like to take you through the early careers of some veteran players that ended up becoming superstars, and consistent MVP contenders. We’re also going to break down results vs. process and what to look for that may cause concern.
First, let’s look at some examples of some modern superstars in their rookie season, and a very recent Rookie of the Year winner. For this section, we’re just going to look at the results because this will establish an important premise we need for later on. First, let’s take a look at Bryce Harper in 2012. Bryce Harper started the first 8 games of his career with a .924 OPS. The next 12 games it was .625. The next 20 games it was 1.144. For the next 55 games his OPS was .563, and he finished that season putting up a 1.044 OPS in the final 44 games. We can already see that even a multitime MVP/All-Star/Silver Slugger winner that broke into the league as one of the most highly anticipated MLB prospects in a very long time had a lot of ups and downs in their first season.
Another MVP and Rookie of the Year recipient, Ronald Acuña Jr., had a similarly up and down Rookie of the Year campaign. He got off to a very hot start, hitting to a 1.289 OPS in his first 5 games, but quickly cooled off. In his next 22 games, his OPS was only .609, and in the 16 games after that it was a respectable, but underwhelming for the young star, .764. After that, he went on a tear over the next 53 games, with an OPS of 1.134, before cooling off for the final 15 games with an OPS of just .652.
Lastly, let’s look at the reigning AL Rookie of the Year winner Nick Kurtz’s 2025 season. Unlike the others, he got off to a very slow start. In his first 23 games, his OPS was just .558. The next 22 games it was 1.107, and the 22 after that it was an unbelievable 1.478. He then cooled off for a bit. His next 14 games only saw him have an OPS of .693. The next 17 games it was 1.227. After that, for 15 games he cooled off again down to an OPS of .708, and he ended the season with a 1.228 OPS in the final 4 games.
In just these three examples, we see extreme swings within each hitter. Sometimes lasting only a few weeks, but sometimes lasting multiple months. We can’t determine a lot from OPS results on their own because they are incredibly noisy. A lot of factors can cause big swings in a sample size even as large as 20 games. It could be having several games in a 20 game stretch where you face the top 2 pitchers in every team’s starting rotation. It could be the hitter overswinging or chasing out of the zone more. It could even be a week of cold humid weather causing a handful of balls that would be extra base hits under normal conditions getting knocked down by the wind and being outs instead.
All of this is to say that these OPS results alone don’t tell us much apart from “it might be time to take a look under the hood and see if we’re doing something wrong,” and these examples are just to illustrate that even the best hitters go through major ups and downs, especially as rookies.
There’s going to be a lot of data to look at coming up, so first I want to briefly explain how it’s all organized. For each of the five Guardians players we are looking at today, I’ve given each their own table. Each player has had their season broken down into 4-5 buckets of games purely by OPS results. For each bucket, we are going to be highlighting 7 statistics (not including the OPS) for each bucket. The stats are grouped into 4(ish) layers. We start with Layer 1: Swing Decisions. Next is Layer 2: Contact Ability. The next layer I have listed as Layer 2.5: Bat Speed. This is put between layers 2 and 3 because it doesn’t truly fit with either one, but is an important bridge that connects the two layers. Next is Layer 3: Contact Quality, and last is Layer 4: Results. Now that we have established how all the data we will be looking at is organized and what statistics we are looking at, I will put the tables for all 5 players below. The individual statistics will have definitions and explanations at the end for clarity.
We can see that each of these young hitters is going through ups and downs. The first thing I think we can all see is the difference between the true rookies (Chase and Bazzana) and the young hitters that already have a few seasons under their belts. We can see in general that the rookies’ numbers are overall significantly more erratic, and the stat where that stands out the most in my mind is bat speed.
Both Chase’s and Bazzana’s average bat speeds swing wildly, with differences up to and even over 2 mph. But if we look at Manzo, Angel, and Rocchio, they are consistently within a 1 mph range. If we look in layers 1 and 2, we can see that the 3 young hitters with more experience have similarly clustered numbers in those categories, with maybe 1 outlier, and this is where we can also see Chase separating himself from Bazzana a bit.
Chase’s Whiff and Chase rates in his most recent 3 buckets are all much more tightly clustered and a decent chunk lower than his first bucket, but Bazzana is seeing some spiking in chase and in whiff for his most recent two buckets. I believe this already illustrates very well how volatile early career MLB adjusting is for hitters, and shows how just a couple seasons of experience flattens out underlying metrics quite a bit.
This is not to say that an even more experienced hitter won’t go on a stretch where their chase rate skyrockets 12 points, but more that those outliers become more rare. This example, though, is the first of one of our previously listed types of slumps – one caused by plate approach deterioration.
When talking about our Rookie of the Year examples earlier, we mentioned one potential type of slump we see hitters go through is because they start over swinging or chasing more out of the zone. That could be considered a plate approach deterioration slump. In bucket four, Travis Bazzana’s Chase% and Whiff% have both increased significantly, and we see the OPS result within that bucket has gotten quite poor. It would be reasonable to think that’s a likely cause of the slump. Swinging at more pitches out of the zone leads to more swings and misses, and when you do make contact on those pitches, it is often weaker contact. Less and weaker contact in general leads to fewer walks and hits, and that of course leads to lower OPS numbers.
Is this cause for concern? Well, the short answer is probably not. Ultimately, this bucket is just 10 games. This very easily could just be a bad couple weeks, and he could make some adjustments and get the numbers back under control. Variations like this in a rookie season are incredibly normal, and they don’t really become a concern unless the same numbers do not improve or get worse over an extended period of time.
Now that we’ve seen how approach deterioration can lead to a slump, we can move on to the next layer. If we look at Chase’s second and third buckets, we can see Chase% difference is only 0.5, and Whiff% difference is only 2.6. The Z-Contact% difference is a bit larger here, but both numbers are still fairly close together. So the approach looks very consistent, but the OPS difference is massive. Over 850 points! What’s going on here?
This brings us to our next potential type of slump – a contact quality slump. When looking at these two buckets, we can see the Hard-Hit% difference is massive, as is the average exit velocity, and the xwOBA difference. What we’re seeing here is significantly worse contact quality. This is where it gets a little less visible in traditional stats. We see the lower velocity, but what causes it? This is where variance comes into play. Sometimes in baseball, being an extra 5-10 milliseconds too late or too early can be the difference between a home run and a foul ball. Sometimes, the contact point on the ball being just a few millimeters to high or too low can be the difference between a HR and a warning track flyout, or the difference between a hard low liner between infielders for a hit and a ball hit into the ground more that loses enough speed for the fielder to reach it and get a forceout. These small differences aren’t always immediately obvious either, but being just out of sync with your swing path or slightly off timing wise can result in massive differences in results as well.
So what we may be seeing here is Chase was maintaining a consistent approach over the span of both buckets, but in the second bucket the swings started being a lot more flush with the ball and resulted in much higher contact quality and better results.
The last example I want to look at today is Manzardo’s bucket two and three. We look at his swing decisions, and he’s chasing 5.5% less. Now we look at contact ability: he’s swinging and missing 11.1% less and making significantly more contact in the zone. The contact quality looks significantly better too. Hard-Hit% skyrockets, average exit velocity takes a big jump, and xwOBA increases by nearly 100 points. This looks like a huge improvement across the board, but when we look at the OPS, it’s actually gone down almost 100 points. How is that possible?
Well this brings us to the final example of slumps we see – a luck slump. Sometimes in this sport, you can do everything right and still not see successful results in the box score. Now we’re looking more at the factors that are largely considered out of the hitter’s control – things like strong winds or exact batted ball placement. Sometimes, a hitter will hit a long flyball that on a normal day is a home run, but because it’s extremely humid or cold and windy, the ball just dies on the warning track. Other times, a batter might hit a scalding line drive, and a fielder will make a diving catch and rob the hitter of a hit or even an extra base hit.
When we look at those two Manzardo buckets, this type of result is consistent with these and similar factors, and ultimately these are the type of slumps that should be the least concerning. What we’re effectively saying here is the hitter is doing everything in their power very well, but just hasn’t gotten positive results. For some, this can feel like the most annoying type of slump because it really is largely out of the hitter’s control. But since it is outside of the hitter’s control, all you can do is hold the line and hope the luck swings back your way.
With young hitters, we see a lot less consistency in layers 1 and 2, and we see that especially in the rookie hitters. Now I have one more data table to share. This one is by far my favorite. I’m not going to go in depth on this data as much as the previous set, but I want to share this to illustrate the larger point. The next table is from José Ramírez’s 2024 campaign.
It is obviously incredibly unfair to hold most other players to the standard of José Ramírez, but I think his buckets here are a great example of how as good hitters develop and learn the league, you start to see layers 1 and 2 have much tighter distributions. Better hitters will have very few outliers in these layers, and you start to see a lot more variance in layer 3. We see this trend beginning to show itself also in the non rookie hitters we looked at before.
So what should we expect from these young hitters going forward? For the rookies, it’s very possible we see a lot of ups and downs going forward. After all, that’s what happened with the three Rookie of the Year winners we looked at before. One of the most important things we’ve learned is that not all of the downs are created equally. The next time we see one of these hitters going into a little bit of a downswing, we can break it down, see what type of slump we’re looking at, and determine how concerning the slump is.
I believe that as long as the young hitters can stay focused on getting that consistency in their approach and can minimize the layer 1 and 2 slumps, they’re taking a very important first step into solidifying themselves as legitimate big leaguers.
Stats:
Chase%: The percentage of pitches a batter sees outside the ABS strike zone that they swing at
Whiff%: The percentage of pitches a batter swings at and does not make contact
Z-Contact%: The percentage of pitches in the ABS strike zone a batter makes contact with when swinging
Hard-Hit%: The percentage of batted balls with exit velocities of 95 mph or higher
NEW YORK, NY - JUNE 10: Mikal Bridges #25 of the New York Knicks looks on during the game against the San Antonio Spurs during Game Four of the 2026 NBA Finals on June 10, 2026 at Madison in New York, New York. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE(Photo by Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images
It’s been five years since Mikal Bridges walked off the court in disappointment after the Phoenix Suns lost Game 6 of the NBA Finals against the Milwaukee Bucks.
Now, Bridges finds himself one win away from finishing the job with the New York Knicks, as they are up 3-1 against the San Antonio Spurs with three chances to clinch.
It’s been a long journey for Bridges, who is about to wrap up his eighth season in the NBA. Just two seasons after helping the Suns reach the Finals, he was traded to the Brooklyn Nets in a package for Kevin Durant, moving him to NYC.
That’s where Bridges’ career really began to take off as he averaged 21.2 points per game in 109 games across two seasons with the Nets. His value grew exponentially, so when the Nets found themselves in need of a reset, they traded him to the Knicks for five future first-round picks.
Since the trade, many have criticized the deal, saying the Knicks gave up too much for someone who likely won’t see an All-Star game in his career. He ranks fourth on the Knicks in scoring behind Jalen Brunson, Karl-Anthony Towns and OG Anunoby, but he brings more value to the team than scoring.
Bridges’ defense, consistency and toughness are why the Knicks traded their entire future. They had a championship in mind when they made the trade, and the prophecy can be fulfilled if they can win one more.
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - MARCH 16: Assistant Coach Vince Legarza of the Phoenix Suns looks on during the second half against the Los Angeles Lakers at Crypto.com Arena on March 16, 2025 in Los Angeles, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Meg Oliphant/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Taylor Jenkins has made another round of hires as Milwaukee’s head man—per reporting from Hoops Hype’s Mike Scotto—bringing in Vince Legarza & Brad Jones as assistant coaches. Legarza’s name may ring a bell for Bucks fans, as he was hired as an assistant under Mike Budenholzer in his final season in Milwaukee; he then followed coach Bud to Phoenix the following year. But the connections don’t stop there, with Legarza and Jenkins having worked under Budenholzer in Atlanta. The NBA: a very small world.
As far as Brad Jones is concerned, he was an assistant for Jenkins with the Grizzlies, having been with the organisation (in some capacity) since 2018. Jones has had quite the journey to get to this point. Way back in 2010, he was named head coach of the Austin Toros (San Antonio’s D-League affiliate), leading them to the title in 2012. In 2013, he got a shot with the Utah Jazz as an assistant coach, which was then followed by his appointment as the GM of the Iowa Wolves (Minnesota’s D-League affiliate) as well as a scout for the big team. Then, as I mentioned, he wound up with the Grizzlies, and here we are.
As Zac wrote about previously, Darvin Ham, and Patrick St. Andrews—both of whom have already had extensive coaching experience in the Cream City—are back under Jenkins, while Joe Boylan arrives for his first stint. The coaching bench seems to be rounding out quite nicely!
JUPITER, FLORIDA - MARCH 19, 2026: Blaze Jordan #84 of the St. Louis Cardinals hits a double during the fifth inning of a spring training Spring Breakout game against the Washington Nationals at Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium on March 19, 2026 in Jupiter, Florida. (Photo by Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images) | Diamond Images/Getty Images
Last week, I did my best to quantify how the Cardinals’ minor league pitching talent was developing so far this year. When looking at both team level statistics and individual breakouts, I concluded that 2026 has been a net positive for the pitching pipeline. Today, I want to do the same review for the Cardinals’ minor league hitters following the same structure.
Team Statistics Overview
For the team level statistics, I am focusing on age, K%, BB%, and isolated slugging. The average age is weighted by the number of plate appearances.
There has been an explosion of home runs at the four lowest levels of the minor leagues, so I also looked at leaguewide statistics to normalize the Cardinals performances.
Changes in Prospect Grades
I am highlighting players that, in my opinion, have significantly changed their prospect grade based on their performance this year. My intent was to be very conservative about moving players since we are still relatively early on in the year. For example, Joshua Baez is having an impressive season in the power department but has not answered questions around his contact ability. For me, he is performing as expected for a player that was ranked in the top-50 on many of the national prospect lists. I am also only focused on players that, in my opinion, are roughly top-50 overall prospects in the organization. Tre Richardson III is obliterating the Midwest League and has obviously improved his prospect status, but he is not listed here as I do not believe he has reached “real prospect” territory.
Overall, the goal remains to determine if, as a whole, the hitting prospects in the Cardinals system are over or underperforming reasonable pre-season expectations. Finally, I am including the FanGraphs preseason ranking for each prospect for reference.
Memphis Redbirds
The first section in the table shows the year-over-year changes to the age, K%, BB%, and HR% for the International League as a whole. The second section of the table shows the Cardinals-specific performance in 2025 and 2026. Finally, the Cardinals vs. League section shows the Redbirds performance relative to the league year-over-year. The scores are scaled so that 100 is average and higher is better.
The International League environment is much the same as it was last season. The Redbirds have an excellent offense yet again, but this year it is built on power rather than contact. The 2025 Memphis team had contact wizards like Cesar Prieto, Bryan Torres, Jose Fermin, Nathan Church, and JJ Wetherholt propelling them to a strikeout rate 19% better than league average. With that group mostly in St. Louis, the team has seen a massive power uptick going from below league average in isolated slugging to 12% better than the league average.
Prospects holding steady
Joshua Baez (7), Leonardo Bernal (9), Cesar Prieto (27)
Prospects trending up
Jimmy Crooks (4) will be graduating from the prospect category soon, but he still counts for a few more days. His power explosion in Triple-A has clearly increased his stock. Crooks hit 13 home runs in just 39 games en route to a 151 wRC+ at Memphis. He improved his exit velocity metrics across the board while increasing his Barrel% from 7.9% to an elite 18.2%. Blaze Jordan (26) has improved his Triple-A wRC+ from 83 to 137 and now looks like a real prospect rather than a potential bench bat. Throughout his minor league career, Jordan has struggled upon initial promotion to a new level and then come back the next year to torch the league before earning another promotion and repeating the process. Hopefully he gets a shot at St. Louis in the second half immediately to start to get the adjustment period underway. Bryan Torres (47) was never going to get prospect love as a late-20s independent league alum, but he just keeps hitting. Even if he settles in as a bench player, that will be a huge win for the organization. ZiPS gives him a projected rest-of-season wRC+ of 112, so there is reason to believe the bat can continue to play.
Prospects trending down
Colton Ledbetter (46), acquired in the Brendan Donovan trade as a toolsy lottery ticket, has not been able to make consistent contact. The only player to strike out as much as Ledbetter in Triple-A since 2006 (37%) and go on to have a meaningful major league career was Joey Gallo.
Springfield Cardinals
Outside of Rainiel Rodriguez, the Springfield roster is lacking any prospect firepower on the offensive side. While the Cardinals are running good strikeout and walk numbers, the isolated slugging is 14% below league average.
Prospects holding steady
Rainiel Rodriguez (3), Chase Davis (50)
Prospects trending up
With the amount of focus on the Cardinals’ minor league system, it is tough to find an under the radar prospect these days. Ryan Campos (NR) might be the guy. He hasn’t gotten much love from the prospect-watching community. He is listed at 5’8″, has not hit for power, and has struggled to throw out runners. I think the general lack of loud tools has obscured the fact that Campos can really hit. For reference, here is how Campos’s Double-A stat line stacks up with two former lefty-swinging Springfield Cardinals.
Prospects trending down
Deniel Ortiz (NR) was injured in the first game of the year and is now back on a rehab assignment.
Peoria Chiefs
Peoria has had an offensive explosion more than doubling the team ISO year-over-year. The group of hitters is also half a year younger on average. Sure walks are down and strikeouts are up, but just look at that power!
Prospects holding steady
Jesus Baez (20)
Prospects trending up
Tai Peete (14) has battled injuries but has done enough when on the field to materially improve his stock. His wRC+ has increased from 79 to 117. While he is still striking out more than 30% of the time, he has gotten to a new level in the power department. While there is not publicly available statcast data for the Midwest League, Baseball America has highlighted Peete as one of the players to most improve their exit velocity metrics. This improved contact quality has helped Peete increase his isolated slugging from .187 to .256. Jack Gurevitch (48) had absurd exit velocity numbers in Palm Beach before being promoted to Peoria. His 50th, 90th, and max exit velocities were all the 99th percentile. Gurevitch has continued to mash at Peoria while also reducing his strikeout rate from 30.5% to 24.1%. He probably needs to get promoted to Double-A and continue mashing to start getting national attention, but the results and the metrics have been exceptional. Won-Bin Cho (49) is finally hitting for the power (.241 ISO) that made him famous as an amateur. However, he is in his third crack at High-A, so he will have to continue this success in Springfield to entice me to join the bandwagon.
Prospects trending down
None
Palm Beach Cardinals
Ryan Mitchell is the only top-50 position player prospect currently on the active roster. While the 2026 roster is a bit older than last year’s version, the walk, strikeout, and ISO metrics are all improved relative to the league.
Prospects holding steady
Ryan Mitchell (13)
Prospects trending up
None
Prospects trending down
Yairo Padilla (8) hurt his shoulder in spring training and has yet to see the field.
Florida Complex League
Prospects holding steady
Juan Rujano (29)
Prospects trending up
Sebastian Dos Santos (52) and Miguel Hernandez (NR) probably had the most buzz in spring training this year among the group of players coming up from the Dominican Summer League. While both had excellent pro debuts last year, it is hard to get too excited scouting DSL stat lines. Dos Santos is not quite at the Rainiel Rodriguez level from last year, but his 150 wRC+ and six home runs through 26 games are excellent for a middle infielder. Hernandez had a bad first couple weeks, but has been excellent the last month and has wRC+ of 100 with five home runs through 25 games. Both players are setting themselves up for a potential debut in Low-A later this season, which would start to put them on the prospect radar in earnest.
Prospects trending down
None
Conclusion
All things considered, it has been a pretty solid start to the year for the position player prospects in the system. The excellent showings from Crooks, Jordan, and Torres are already having an impact at the major league level. Campos looks like a future major leaguer in some capacity. The Gurevitch, Peete, Cho power explosion in Peoria has been encouraging. Dos Santos and Hernandez could lead the next wave of international talent. The only real disappointments so far have been the injuries to Padilla and Ortiz.
Looking at team statistics in the aggregate, the increase in power is substantial. The combined isolated slugging has risen from .124 last year to .171 so far this season. Every team except for Palm Beach is younger than the league average. While strikeouts are up a bit, the system as a whole is still above average on that front as well.
The Cardinals system has not had the Rainiel Rodriguez or Joshua Baez level breakout from any player yet. Right now, I would give the position player group a passing grade, but there is a lot of baseball to be played. How will Ortiz and Padilla (assuming he is back at some point) finish the year? Can Dos Santos or Hernandez earn a shot at Palm Beach? Will Emanuel Luna or another player from the DSL make a statement in their debut season? If some of these higher-upside players can make strides in the second half, we will be feeling much better about the position player depth heading into the offseason.
