Being transactional was a thing that JJ Picollo said this organization wanted to be when he took over the operations side as POBO/GM. We now have almost four years of trades to see if at least that part of transacting is going well as we near the 2026 trade deadline. I am not going to go through every swap he has made, Josh Taylor for Adalberto Mondesi is not worth rehashing, but I would like to walk through all of the consequential ones.
There have been two standout successes in the trades. Let’s start there and work our way down.
Aroldis Chapman for Cole Ragans and Roni Cabrera
Aroldis Chapman was traded away at the deadline in 2023, so the Royals gave up 3 months of a good reliever in a season that was already over for them. They got back a pitcher who nearly won the Cy Young 15 months later and was a big reason they were in the playoffs in 2024. Ragans injury issues have colored this a bit, but getting 8+ WAR out of a rental reliever is very good and he still might come back and be good at some point to accummulate some more. Roni Cabrera is also of interest here. He is about to turn 21, so still young, and he is having an okay year in single-A ball. He may still end up on the big league team at some point though it is likely to be closer to 2030 if it happens. This is a very good trade that still has a chance to be spectacular if Cole can get healthy and stay that way or Cabrera turns into a solid everyday guy at some point in the future.
Freddy Ferminfor Ryan Bergert and Stephen Kolek
I know people like Freddy Fermin and he was nice to have around for a couple of solid seasons. He was also a backup catcher who was over 30 when the Royals traded him. It just was not that much to give up, especially with Carter Jensen coming along. They got back two legitimate young starters for a backup catcher. Bergert is hurt because he pitches baseballs for a living and that is what happens to those types of people. He will be back at some point, and I assume be decent or better again. Stephen Kolek has made 15 starts for the Royals so far and looks like the type of guy you want in the 4th spot in the rotation with possibly some upside for more. Solid trade, no notes.
David Sandlin for John Schreiber
This is not one that will go down in history as some huge deal, but Schreiber has been a consistent and mostly useful part of the bullpen for almost three years now and this bullpen has been desperate for good innings through portions of that time. David Sandlin has just gotten to the MLB ranks with the White Sox recently and also been sent back down because it has not gone well. He is a 25-year-old starter who is still walking way too many batters though his AAA numbers this season are okay. I think the Royals will not regret this move and having Schreber has been worth it. Not amazing, but a moderate win to this point.
Angel Zerpa for Isaac Collins and Nick Mears
This has to be considered better for the Royals than the Brewers so far, but not in a good way really. Isaac Collins and Nick Mears are both sitting on 0.0 fWAR, so that is not what the Royals were trying to get. However, Angel Zerpa is out with TJ after just 12 bad innings for Milwaukee. The verdict is not out yet. I still think this was the right trade and will end up better for the Royals, though it could also just end up being a disappointment for both sides. I do want to say that I love this style of move from JJ though. This is what I want transactional to look like in a lot of ways.
Mason Barnett, Will Klein, and Jared Dickey for Lucas Erceg
The Royals definitely gave up some value here. Mason Barnett and Will Klein have been useful bullpen arms the last two seasons. Barnett is a middle reliever with limited upside, not actually good enough to worry about losing so far. Klein has been very good over almost 50 innings for the Dodgers between last year and this, so maybe realizing the potential we saw by finally bringing down the walk rate. Jared Dickey is putting up a mediocre AAA season. Meanwhile, Lucas Erceg has been a massively important part of the bullpen for the Royals. This year he has struggled, but for a year plus, including helping getting to and through a round of the playoffs, he was the fireman or closer. Kansas City has so far gotten the better end and I think it was the right deal.
Walter Pennington for Michael Lorenzen
Not a flashy trade. It was a useful one though. Pennington briefly made it to the big leagues, 18 total innings, but did not stick and is now a free agent. The Royals did not really give up anything or so it seems anyway. Lorenzen was a capable 5th starter for basically a season worth of work. Picollo deserves a golf clap here.
Michael A. Taylor for Steven Cruz and Evan Sisk
Michael A. Taylor was very much Kyle Isbel before Kyle Isbel. He was older and he was fine. Trading a year of Taylor for Cruz and Sisk made sense with what the team had and needed. Sisk did nothing for the Kansas City part of the Royals organization except help get Bailey Falter I guess. That might actually be a negative. Steven Cruz has been bad at times and good at others and overall kind of meh. I guess the Royals kind of lost this trade? I don’t feel all that bad about it. Sort of a draw in my mind. What are you supposed to get for an aging center fielder who is not very good at hitting?
Whit Merrifield for Max Castillo and Samad Taylor
This organization waited way too long to trade Merrifield and by the time he did move, the value was not super high. Thus, they got back little. Max Castillo basically did nothing for the Royals, or anyone else, after the trade. Samad Taylor played briefly for the Royals at replacement level and then was traded to Seattle for a player to be named later. That player, once named, was Nataneal Garabitos who seems to be gone from affiliated ball at this point. JJ did not win this trade. Again, it is kind of a got what you could and that wasn’t much, so it did not work out really. Hard to get super mad at it, but also disappointing.
Jonathan Bowlan for Matt Strahm
Now we are into the legitimately bad territory. This looked like it made sense going into this year. Unfortunately, you traded a bullpen arm for a more established bullpen arm and then the pitcher you traded outperforms the one you acquired, that is bad. Strahm is more expensive and older and you have fewer years of control. This could turn around a bit as Strahm has been better as of late and could be traded before the deadline. Bowlan has also not been some revelation in Philadelphia. He has been pretty good. This is looking like one where JJ is going to take an L.
Cayden Wallace and 39th draft pick for Hunter Harvey
Hunter Harvey was really good for the Royals he just wasn’t available the vast majority of the time. Only 16 innings across parts of two seasons is not worth trading for no matter how good those innings are. Cayden Wallace is still in AA for Washington, though playing well this year so far. A sandwich pick like that has value. This was not good for KC.
Brady Singer for Joey Wiemer and Jonathan India
Again, the thought process here made a lot of sense. The Royals had starters, they did not have a leadoff hitter. India just played very badly or was hurt. Joey Wiemer never really did anything of consequence. Giving up a consistent starter and getting back below replacement level production is objectively bad. Is this mostly bad luck? Possibly, but it was bad nonetheless.
Now to answer the question. I think JJ Picollo has been a bit above average on trades since taking over that duty for the Royals. The wins outweigh the losses and even some of the losses are bad in hindsight more than in real time. There are only three I just don’t think you can argue anything other than JJ lost the trade. Seven are either clear wins or the Royals are at least ahead for now. So, if you ignore all the players for cash and other minutiae, I think the record on trades is positive for this Royals leadership team. Hopefully over the next few weeks they bank a few more wins.