Nuggets vs Thunder Computer Picks: Our Best Player Prop Projections for February 27

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Our NBA player prop projections are back for tonight’s marquee matchup between the Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder.

Our Covers prediction model has led us to a few NBA prop bets that offer solid value. We’ve evaluated the numbers, and our Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions are based solely on our data-driven model.

Read on for NBA picks for Friday, February 27, and don't forget to check out Jason Logan's Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions for tonight's clash.

Nuggets vs Thunder computer picks for February 27

Nuggets NuggetsThunder Thunder
Johnson o11.5 points
-115
Gilgeous-Alexander u28.5 points 
-115
Strawther o2.5 rebounds
-135
Hartenstein o9.5 points
-112
Braun u1.5 made threes 
-145
Holmgren o16.5 points
-120

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Nuggets computer picks

Cameron Johnson Over 11.5 points (-115)

Projection: 14 points

Cameron Johnson has fit seamlessly into the Denver Nuggets' rotation, and this projects as a bounce-back scoring spot even though he’s fallen short of this number in four of his last seven.

Johnson does most of his damage from beyond the arc, and that’s where the opportunity lies. The Oklahoma City Thunder has allowed nearly 13 made threes per game over its last five contests, which fits into Johnson’s role. 

With the pace uptick and three-point volume in play, Johnson is in a good spot to reach at least 12 points tonight.

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Julian Strawther Over 2.5 rebounds (-135)

Projection: 3.4 rebounds

Julian Strawther has quietly been productive on the glass for Denver, and this sets up as another favorable rebounding spot for the former Gonzaga standout.

He’s grabbed at least three boards in two of his last three games, and the matchup helps. Oklahoma City has allowed 44 rebounds per game over its last five, creating steady opportunities for wings and guards to chip in on the glass.

Strawther averages around 25 minutes per night, which is more than enough runway to clear a modest rebounding number. With consistent floor time and a cooperative matchup, he’ll get there again.

span style="font-size: 14px;"🔥/span spanBet Strawther Now at bet365!/span

Christian Braun Under 1.5 made threes (-145)

Projection: 1.1 made threes

Christian Braun has hit two or more threes in just two of his last five games, and our model doesn’t project a breakout spot.

He’s shooting a career-low 28% from deep on 2.5 attempts per game this season, and efficiency has been the bigger issue than volume. With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander back, Oklahoma City’s perimeter defense tightens up, particularly against opposing guards.

The Thunder are allowing just three made threes per game to guards, limiting clean catch-and-shoot looks, and Braun's opportunities for a strong shooting night from downtown. 

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Thunder computer picks

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 28.5 points (-115)

Projection: 24.7 points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected back after missing nine games, but this number assumes a full workload, and that’s far from certain.

While the matchup may look favorable on paper, Oklahoma City has no reason to push its franchise player in his first game back. A managed minutes plan is the most logical approach, especially with the bigger picture in mind.

Gilgeous-Alexander has also scored fewer than 29 points in three of his last five appearances, and if his floor time is trimmed even slightly, he won’t clear his prop total.

span style="font-size: 14px;"🔥/span spanBet Gilgeous-Alexander Now at bet365!/span


Isaiah Hartenstein Over 9.5 points (-112)

Projection: 11.1 points


Isaiah Hartenstein has quietly become a reliable interior scorer for Oklahoma City, and tonight shapes up as another favorable spot.

He’s reached double figures in four of his last five games, finding consistent looks around the rim and in pick-and-roll action. The matchup helps: Denver is allowing nearly 50 points per game in the paint, leaving room for physical centers to operate inside.

Hartenstein should see roughly 25 minutes, and with SGA back to draw defensive attention, the quality of his touches could improve even further. 

span style="font-size: 14px;"🔥/span spanBet Hartenstein Now at bet365!/span

Chet Holmgren Over 16.5 points (-120)

Projection: 18.4 points

Chet Holmgren is coming off a quiet seven-point outing in Toronto and has cleared this scoring number just once in his last five, but this sets up as a strong rebound spot.

Holmgren’s versatility is the key. With SGA back in the lineup, Oklahoma City can fully re-engage its pick-and-roll and pick-and-pop actions, which are two areas where Holmgren thrives. 

The added defensive attention on SGA should create cleaner looks both at the rim and from mid-range and allow Holmgren to get back to getting buckets for OKC. 

span style="font-size: 14px;"🔥/span spanBet Holmgren Now at bet365!/span

How to watch Nuggets vs Thunder tonight

LocationPaycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
DateFriday, February 27, 2026
Tip-off9:30 p.m. ET
TVESPN

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Diego Pavia to throw at the NFL combine, betting big despite size concerns

INDIANAPOLIS (AP) — Quarterback Diego Pavia, runner-up in the Heisman Trophy voting, said Friday he will throw passes at the NFL scouting combine.

The quarterbacks are scheduled to go through drills on Saturday. Heisman winner and expected No. 1 pick Fernando Mendoza of Indiana said he would wait until his pro day on April 1 to throw passes.

Pavia said he will not go through additional on-field drills and will instead wait for Vanderbilt's pro day on March 18.

He is viewed as a later-round pick largely because of his size. Pavia measured at just less than 5-foot-10. Mendoza, by comparison, is 6-5.

But Pavia's confidence is not in short supply, something that has gotten him in trouble. He lashed out at Heisman voters in a social media post last year before later apologizing.

While saying Friday he didn't “care what people think about me,” Pavia emphasized he takes a cerebral approach to the game.

“I think my mind is just underrated, just the way I process," Pavia said. "I feel like I’m a fast processor.

“I’m humble, and I get my confidence from my process. And if you saw what, how much I put into this, you would see where I get my confidence from.”

Whether it's confidence or brashness, Pavia helped drive a Vanderbilt team — often a bottom-dweller in the Southeastern Conference — to a No. 9 ranking in The Associated Press poll at one point last season.

Now he hopes to transfer that play over to the NFL, and Pavia perhaps poked fun at himself regarding his on- and off-field reputation.

“(Vanderbilt) Coach (Clark) Lea always stressed that your frontal lobe isn’t fully developed until you’re 25, and I just turned 24,” Pavia said. “So I’ve got like 360 days to go.”

___

AP NFL: https://apnews.com/hub/nfl

Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions: Odds, recent stats, trends and best bets for February 27

The NBA’s top offense takes on the league’s best defense when Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (37-22) take on the defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder (45-15) at Paycom Center tonight.

 

The Thunder lineup gets a major boost with the return of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who is set to play after missing nine games with an abdominal injury. Losers of five of the nine games without the defending MVP, Oklahoma City also expects to have Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, and Alex Caruso back in the rotation after recent absences. Meanwhile, Denver continues to patch together a lineup minus Aaron Gordon (hamstring) and Peyton Watson (hamstring) and a limited Jamal Murray (illness). Nikola Jokic will be counted on heavily to carry this team. The perennial MVP candidate is averaging 28.8 points, 12.5 rebounds, and 10.4 assists this season.

 

The Nuggets knocked off the Celtics 103-84 Wednesday night in Denver. Jokic had yet another triple-double and Tim Hardaway Jr. came off the bench to score 14 for the winners. The Thunder lost in Motown to the Pistons, 124-116, Wednesday. Jaylin Williams scored 30 including five, three-pointers, and Cason Wallace added 23 in the win.

 

Lets take a closer look at the matchup and take into consideration lineups, injuries, and other factors affecting the line and total.

 

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds courtesy of DraftKings recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

 

After 24 years, the NBA is back on NBC and Peacock, combining the nostalgia of an iconic era with the innovative future of basketball coverage. The NBA on NBC YouTube channel delivers fans must-see highlights, analysis, and exclusive and unique content. 

 

Game Details and How to Watch Live: Nuggets at Thunder

 

  • Date: Friday, February 27, 2026
  • Time: 9:30PM EST
  • Site: Paycom Center
  • City: Oklahoma City, OK
  • Network/Streaming: ESPN

Rotoworld has you covered with all the latest NBA Player News for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

 

Game Odds: Nuggets at Thunder

 

The latest odds as of Friday courtesy of DraftKings:

 

  • Moneyline: Denver Nuggets (+250), Oklahoma City Thunder (-310)
  • Spread: Thunder -7.5
  • Total: 233.5 points

 

This game opened Thunder -8.5 with the Total set at 230.5.

 

Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NBA schedule!

 

Expected Starting Lineups: Nuggets at Thunder

 

Denver Nuggets

  • PG Jamal Murray
  • SG Julian Strawther
  • SF Christian Braun
  • PF Cam Johnson
  • C Nikola Jokic

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
  • SG Cason Wallace
  • SF Luguentz Dort
  • PF Chet Holmgren
  • C Isaiah Hartenstein

Injury Report: Nuggets at Thunder

 

Denver Nuggets

  • Jamal Murray (illness) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • Julian Strawther (toe) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • Spencer Jones (shoulder) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • Jalen Pickett (knee) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • Aaron Gordon (hamstring) has been ruled OUT of tonight’s game
  • Peyton Watson (hamstring) has been ruled OUT of tonight’s game
  • Tamar Bates (foot) has been ruled OUT of tonight’s game

 

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Alex Caruso (ankle) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • Isaiah Hartenstein (illness) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • Chet Holmgren (back) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • Isaiah Joe (lower body) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • Branden Carlson (back) has been ruled OUT of tonight’s game
  • Jalen Williams (hamstring) has been ruled OUT of tonight’s game
  • Ajay Mitchell (abdomen) has been ruled OUT of tonight’s game
  • Thomas Sorber (knee) has been ruled OUT of tonight’s game

Important stats, trends and insights: Nuggets at Thunder

  • The Thunder are 24-6 at home this season
  • The Nuggets are 21-11 on the road this season
  • The Thunder are 31-28-1 ATS this season / 15-15 at home
  • The Nuggets are 33-26 ATS this season / 20-12 on the road
  • The OVER has cashed in 37 of the Nuggets’ 59 games this season (37-22)
  • The OVER has cashed in 33 of the Thunder’s 60 games this season (33-27)
  • The Thunder have won and covered in their last 2 games against the Nuggets
  • OKC is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall
  • Tim Hardaway Jr. has scored at least 12 points in 6 of his last 8 games

 

Rotoworld Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NBA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

 

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s Nuggets and Thunder game:

  • Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline
  • Spread: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Thunder -7.5 ATS
  • Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total UNDER 233.5

 

Want even more NBA best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert NBA Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and over/under picks for every game on today’s calendar!

 

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our NBA Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

 

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Fantasy Basketball Weekend Must-Starts: Ryan Rollins continues to keep Bucks afloat

In head-to-head leagues, it all comes down to the weekend. You can have a comfortable lead in multiple categories or by a bunch of points, but if you don’t make the most of the weekend, you can walk out with a loss.

Only 13 teams play twice this weekend, including the Celtics, Nets, Cavaliers, Mavericks, Nuggets, Pistons, Lakers, Grizzlies, Bucks, Pelicans, Knicks, Thunder and Trail Blazers. Prioritize those teams if you’re looking to maximize your games played. The Suns are the lone team that doesn’t have a game on the schedule this weekend.

That’s often what it comes down to in standard points and category leagues, but that’s not always the case. Leagues with some sort of games cap or best ball formats like Yahoo!’s High Score leagues aren’t just looking for volume, though having two chances at a big night is a good strategy in best ball leagues.

Absolute must-start: Ryan Rollins, Milwaukee Bucks

The Bucks have been able to stay afloat without Giannis Antetokounmpo available, and Rollins has been a big reason for that. In 25 games without Giannis this season, Rollins has averaged 20.2 points, 4.9 rebounds, 6.1 assists, 1.2 steals and 2.8 triples per game. He has enjoyed a breakout season overall, but he has been even better since the All-Star break and will look to carry that into this weekend.

On the schedule for the Bucks are matchups with the Knicks on Friday and the Bulls on Sunday. New York is a tough matchup, but Chicago should be a favorable one for Rollins.

Guards:

Javon Small, Memphis Grizzlies

Ty Jerome (thigh) is expected to remain out on Friday, which means Small should be in line for another start. Cam Spencer, Walter Clayton Jr. and Scotty Pippen Jr. will also be part of the rotation in the backcourt, but Small has been red-hot recently and started the Grizzlies’ last game. He has averaged 15.8 points, 4.3 rebounds, 4.8 assists, 1.5 steals and 2.8 triples per game since the All-Star break and now gets matchups with the Mavericks and Pacers this weekend. Both teams have struggled defensively recently, so Small should stay hot.

Cason Wallace, Oklahoma City Thunder

The return of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (abdominal) may put a damper on Wallace’s recent run, but he’s been too good to not start him this weekend. Over his last three games, he has averaged 23.3 points, 7.3 assists, 1.7 steals and 3.7 triples per game. They take on Denver and Dallas this weekend, with the Mavs putting together one of the worst defenses in the league 6over their last 10 games. Ride the hot hand with Wallace until he cools off. He should still get ample opportunities with Jalen Williams and Ajay Mitchell still sidelined.

Dennis Schroder, Cleveland Cavaliers

With Donovan Mitchell (groin) and James Harden (thumb) sidelined on Wednesday, Schroder started and scored 26 points. Mitchell has already been ruled out for Friday’s game, and while Harden is still questionable, he is dealing with a fractured thumb, so there is a good chance they give him at least one more game to rest. They take on the Pistons on Friday and the Nets on Sunday, with Brooklyn being a far more favorable matchup. Schroder (ankle) is currently questionable as well, so if he is sidelined as well, Jaylon Tyson and Craig Porter Jr. should be strong options.

Forwards:

GG Jackson, Memphis Grizzlies

Jackson has been the focal point of the Grizzlies’ offense since moving into the starting unit in early February, and that will continue this weekend. Since becoming a full-time starter on Feb. 4, Jackson has averaged 17.4 points, 6.0 rebounds, 2.1 assists, 1.1 blocks and 2.2 triples per game. As mentioned previously with Javon Small, Jackson will get to take on two struggling defenses this weekend.

Saddiq Bey, New Orleans Pelicans

Coming off scoring a season-high 42 points against the Jazz on Thursday, Bey should absolutely be starting in lineups everywhere for Saturday’s rematch. While he likely won’t repeat that type of scoring performance, he proved what he can do against this team. A Sunday matchup with the Clippers won’t be an easy one, but he’ll get a second opportunity, which is a nice bonus. Still, he’d be worth starting even if it was just one game against Utah.

Gui Santos, Golden State Warriors

Though the Warriors only have one game against the Lakers this weekend, Santos has been too good to pass up. Los Angeles hasn’t been great defensively recently, and Santos has been on fire over the past month, averaging 15.4 points, 5.2 rebounds, 3.9 assists, 1.6 steals and 1.9 triples per game. As long as Stephen Curry (knee) remains out, Santos should be streamed confidently.

Centers:

Neemias Queta, Boston Celtics

The big man didn’t take the production hit that many were expecting when Boston traded for Nikola Vucevic, and he should stay hot this weekend. Matchups with two mid-tier rebounding teams in the Nets and 76ers should allow Queta to dominate the glass. Plus, Brooklyn has struggled mightily on defense as of late, with Philadelphia ranking in the middle of the pack.

Daniel Gafford, Dallas Mavericks

Dallas takes on the Grizzlies and Thunder this weekend. OKC has been a subpar rebounding team all year, but Memphis has been one of the worst rebounding teams in the league in February. Marvin Bagley (neck) is out for Friday’s game, which should mean extra minutes for Gafford to dominate the paint.

Kyle Filipowski, Utah Jazz

With Lauri Markkanen, Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jusuf Nurkic all sidelined, it’s finally time for Filipowski to shine. He should be considered a must-roster player for the rest of the season, and he has an excellent opportunity this weekend with Saturday’s rematch against the Pelicans. He has averaged 15.3 points, 6.5 rebounds, 3.3 steals and 1.3 triples per game over his last four games as a starter and should remain productive against New Orleans, who has been one of the worst rebounding teams in the league in Februrary.

Cavaliers vs Pistons Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

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Two of the best teams in the Eastern Conference do battle when Cade Cunningham and the Detroit Pistons host James Harden and the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Unfortunately, this might not be a true potential playoff preview, as Cleveland enters this game banged up and Detroit is a 6-point home favorite.

My Cavaliers vs. Pistons predictions explain why that’s not giving enough respect to the East’s No. 1 seed in this spot.

That and more NBA picks for this matchup set to tipoff at 7:00 pm ET at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit.

Cavaliers vs Pistons prediction

Cavaliers vs Pistons best bet: Pistons (-110)

It feels like people aren’t giving the Detroit Pistons enough respect. Cade Cunningham and Jaren Duren are stars, and the only team that has a better net rating than the Pistons this season is the Oklahoma City Thunder.

They’ve also been a great team at home this season, going 22-7 with an average margin of victory of 10.3 points.

Meanwhile, the acquisition of James Harden has been a home run for the Cleveland Cavaliers. Unfortunately, he’s questionable to play with a thumb injury while Donovan Mitchell is already out.

That’s too much to overcome against this really great Pistons team.

Cavaliers vs Pistons same-game parlay

Sure, the James Harden thing has worked for Cleveland so far. But he won’t help the fact that the Cavaliers allow the fifth-most points per game to opposing guards. Give me Cade to go Over 25.5 points, something he’s done in eight of his last 11 games.

The Pistons are also an elite rebounding team, ranking second in rebounding rate. Tobias Harris has hauled down six or more rebounds in seven of his last eight games, and with the Cavs potentially down their top two shooters, there could be plenty of boards up for grabs.

Cavaliers vs Pistons SGP

  • Pistons -6
  • Cade Cunningham Over 25.5 points
  • Tobias Harris Over 5.5 rebounds

Our "from downtown" SGP: Cade!

Cade is getting some MVP buzz down the stretch, and a big game against an East contender could bolster that case.

Cavaliers vs Pistons SGP

  • Cade Cunningham Over 25.5 points
  • Cade Cunningham Over 5.5 rebounds
  • Cade Cunningham Over 9.5 assists
  • Cade Cunningham Over 1.5 steals

Cavaliers vs Pistons odds

  • Spread: Cavaliers +6 | Pistons -6
  • Moneyline: Cavaliers +200 | Pistons -240
  • Over/Under: Over 227 | Under 227

Cavaliers vs Pistons betting trend to know

The Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 45 games for +10.75 Units and a 21% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Cavaliers vs. Pistons.

How to watch Cavaliers vs Pistons

LocationLittle Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
DateFriday, February 27, 2026
Tip-off7:00 p.m. ET
TVESPN

Cavaliers vs Pistons latest injuries

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Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

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Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to return for the Oklahoma City Thunder when they host the Denver Nuggets tonight.

The reigning MVP is no longer on the injury report after missing nine games with an abdominal strain. The question now is how much SGA will actually play.

My Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions and NBA picks are taking a measured approach to the reigning MVP's output on Friday, February 27.

Nuggets vs Thunder prediction

Nuggets vs Thunder best bet: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 28.5 points (-115)

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander hasn’t played since February 3, with the Oklahoma City Thunder going 5-4 SU in his absence, allowing the surging San Antonio Spurs to close the gap in the West.

SGA’s return is a major boost for OKC, but preserving his health is the top priority. He not only needs to meet the MVP qualifying threshold, but the Thunder have only a 1.5-game lead atop the conference.

While a full workload could yield 30+ points, most models range from 18.4 to 23.7 points if his minutes are capped. I expect OKC to play it safe against the Denver Nuggets tonight.

Nuggets vs Thunder same-game parlay

The Nuggets reminded the league they’re still a contender by blasting the Boston Celtics earlier this week, showing they rise to the challenge against the NBA’s elite.

After missing nine games, OKC will protect the MVP in his first outing back, and he’s unlikely to reach that scoring total.

With SGA limited, Chet Holmgren drew more defensive attention, and his numbers dipped. Even with Shai seeing reduced minutes, the 7-footer will benefit from extra space, with models projecting him for 20+ points tonight.

Nuggets vs Thunder SGP

  • Nuggets +8
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 28.5 points
  • Chet Holmgren Over 16.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Calling on Cam 

Cameron Johnson has looked great since returning from a six-week absence (knee bruise), averaging almost 12 points, four rebounds, and two assists in the last seven games.

Johnson's player projections all sit north of these prop totals tonight.

Nuggets vs Thunder SGP

  • Nuggets moneyline
  • Cameron Johnson Over 12.5 points
  • Cameron Johnson Over 3.5 rebounds
  • Cameron Johnson Over 1.5 assists

Nuggets vs Thunder odds

  • Spread: Nuggets +8 (-110) | Thunder -8 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Nuggets +250 | Thunder -310
  • Over/Under: Over 233.5 (-110) | Under 233.5 (-110)

Nuggets vs Thunder betting trend to know

The Nuggets are 38-25-1 ATS as underdogs over the past three years, including a 12-6 ATS mark when catching points this season. Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Thunder.

How to watch Nuggets vs Thunder

LocationPaycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
DateFriday, February 27, 2026
Tip-off9:30 p.m. ET
TVESPN

Nuggets vs Thunder latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

2026 NBA Draft Odds: Latest Lottery Projections & #1 Pick Favorites

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Both the NBA and college basketball seasons are winding down, which means 2026 NBA Draft odds are becoming a major topic of discussion. 

The NBA has come under fire for almost one-third of the league seemingly tanking — but with one of the deepest draft classes in years (including the "Big Three" prospects of Darryn Peterson, A.J. Dybansta, and Cam Boozer), the NBA's cellar dwellers have a lot to gain... by losing.

The NBA Draft Lottery is scheduled for May 10, where we'll find out which team selects first, but for now, here are the latest odds for which player will go No. 1-overall at the NBA Draft on June 24.

2026 NBA Draft odds to go No. 1

Odds from bet365, one of our best betting apps. Sign up with our bet365 promo code, or get one of our other sportsbook promos.

Playerbet365
Kansas Darryn Peterson-125
BYU AJ Dybantsa+130
Duke Cameron Boozer+700
UNC Caleb Wilson+10000
Houston Kingston Flemings+10000
Illinois Keaton Wagler+15000
Houston Chris Cenac Jr.+20000
Kentucky Jayden Quaintance+20000
Australia Karim Lopez+20000
Arizona Koa Peat+20000
Louisvilla Mikel Brown Jr.+20000
Tennessee Nate Ament+20000
Baylor Tounde Yessoufou+20000

2026 NBA Mock Draft: Top 5 Scouting Reports

The 2026 class is defined by a "Big Three" at the top, followed by high-upside versatile wings. Here is how the top of the board looks as we head toward March Madness.

1. Darryn Peterson | G | Kansas

2025-26 stats: 19.5 ppg, 47.4 3PT%

Bill Self has called Peterson the best recruit he’s ever landed at Kansas, as the 6-foot-5 combo guard has elite body control and a methodical scoring pace. He has dealt with minor hamstring and ankle issues this season, but remains the draft's best pure scorer as he can bully smaller guards in the post or pull up from 30 feet with ease.

2. AJ Dybantsa | SF | BYU

2025-26 stats: 25.1 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 52.8 FG%

Dybantsa is the most "pro-ready" scorer in the class. Standing 6-foot-9 with a 7-foot wingspan, he currently leads the nation in scoring — including an absurd 30 ppg in February. He is explosive in driving to the paint, and getting to the free-throw line a lot, and he has a strong mid-range game... plus he has greatly improved as a playmaker and ball handler as the season has progressed.

3. Cameron Boozer | PF | Duke

2025-26 stats: 22.7 ppg, 10.1 rpg, 58.3 FG%

The son of former NBA player Carlos Boozer, Cam is the most productive player in college basketball. He's not as flashy (or may not have quite as high a ceiling) as the flashy wings above him, but Boozer has the highest floor of any player in the draft to turn out as a highly productive player. He is an elite short-roll passer, a solid defender, and can also hit jumpers from a distance.

4. Caleb Wilson | F | North Carolina

2025-26 stats: 19.8 ppg, 9.4 rpg, 57.8 FG%

Possibly the most athletic player in the draft, has major hops and a relentless motor, which combine well with his elite speed at 6-foot-10. He's a raw player: He struggles to finish at the rim, is not a 3-point threat at all right now, and has issues in off-ball defense, but his potential is as high as any player in the draft.

5. Kingston Flemings | G | Houston

2025-26 stats: 16.8 ppg, 5.1 apg, 85.7 FT%

Flemings has been the biggest draft riser throughout the season. A true point guard, he is a skilled passer, and his incredible speed sees him wreak havoc by getting in the paint and he shines in the open court. His improved jump shot has helped him move from a projected late-lottery pick to the Top-5 conversation over the last few months.

NBA mock draft comparison table

PlayerSchoolStrengthComparison
Darryn PetersonKansasPure scoringDevin Booker
AJ DybantsaBYUShot creationTracy McGrady
Cameron BoozerDukePassing/IQAlperen Sengun
Caleb WilsonUNCAthleticismKenyon Martin
Kingston FlemingsHoustonSpeed/PassingDe'Aaron Fox

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Current 2026 NBA Draft Lottery odds

The three teams finishing with the worst record in the NBA all have equal odds of winning the first-overall pick. while the fourth and fifth-worst teams also have odds better than 10% to land No. 1.

TeamRecordNo. 1 odds
Sacramento Kings14-4714.0%
Indiana Pacers15-4514.0%
Brooklyn Nets15-4314.0%
Washington Wizards16-4212.5%
New Orleans Pelicans*16-4210.5%
Utah Jazz18-419.0%
Dallas Mavericks21-377.5%
Memphis Grizzlies21-366.0%
Chicago Bulls24-364.5%
Milwaukee Bucks26-313.0%

*New Orleans traded its unprotected 2026 first-round pick to Atlanta for Derik Queen at the 2025 draft.

NBA Draft betting trends

Here are some recent trends you'll want to keep in mind when betting on NBA Draft odds:

  • Positions have been reasonably well-distributed among the No. 1 picks. Over the past 21 NBA Drafts, nine have been forwards, seven guards, and five centers.

  • "One-and-done" college freshmen make up the overwhelming majority of recent top picks, being selected No. 1 in 16 of the past 19 seasons since high schoolers were ruled ineligible.

  • Among NCAA schools, Duke leads the all-time count with five No. 1-overall picks, including Paolo Banchero in 2022.

Popular NBA futures markets


History of first overall NBA Draft picks

Cooper Flagg's selection last year ended a two-year stretch of international players taken No. 1 — after just one such player (Andrea Bargnani, 2006) was selected in the previous 17 years. 

YearPlayerPosition
2025Mavericks Cooper FlaggSF
2024Hawks Zaccharie RiscacherSF
2023Spurs Victor WembanyamaC
2022Magic Paolo BancheroPF
2021Pistons Cade CunninghamPG
2020Timberwolves Anthony EdwardsSG
2019Pelicans Zion WilliamsonPF
2018Suns Deandre AytonC
201776ers Markelle FultzPG
201676ers Ben SimmonsPG/F
2015Timberwolves Karl-Anthony TownsC
2014Cavaliers Andrew WigginsG/F
2013Cavaliers Anthony BennettPF
2012Pelicans Anthony DavisPF
2011Cavaliers Kyrie IrvingPG
2010Wizards John WallPG
2009Clippers Blake GriffinPF
2008Bulls Derrick RosePG
2007Blazers Greg OdenC
2006Raptors Andrea BargnaniF/C
2005Bucks Andrew BogutC
2004Magic Dwight HowardC
2003Cavaliers LeBron JamesSF/PF
2002Rockets Yao MingC
2001Wizards Kwame BrownC
2000Nets Kenyon MartinPF

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Grizzlies vs Mavericks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

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A pair of tanking teams face off in the Lone Star State tonight, where the Dallas Mavericks host the Memphis Grizzlies.

Both teams are decimated by injuries, which is why my Grizzlies vs. Mavericks predictions expect Memphis forward Taylor Hendricks to continue shining in an increased role.

Here are my best free NBA picks for Friday, February 27.

Grizzlies vs Mavericks prediction

Grizzlies vs Mavericks best bet: Taylor Hendricks Over 9.5 points (-120)

The Memphis Grizzlies have been without leading scorer Ja Morant (19.5 ppg) since mid-January, and standout rookie Cedric Coward (13.3 ppg) is also sidelined.

That means plenty of shots for Taylor Hendricks, who was acquired in the Jaren Jackson trade, while Santi Aldama and Zach Edey are injured. Hendricks has stepped up, dropping 10+ points in four of his last six games.

The Dallas Mavericks' defense has collapsed with the departure of Anthony Davis and injuries to Cooper Flagg and P.J. Washington. Dallas ranks 28th in the NBA in defensive rating while playing at the sixth-fastest pace over the last month.

Grizzlies vs Mavericks same-game parlay

Rookie guard Walter Clayton Jr. also came over in that Jaren Jackson trade, and he has also thrived in a bigger role. Clayton has dropped 6+ assists in three of four games with Memphis.

The Griz have lost seven of their last eight games, but the Mavs have dropped 11 of their previous 13. I'll take the points with the visitors against a Dallas squad on the tail end of a back-to-back.

Grizzlies vs Mavericks SGP

  • Taylor Hendricks Over 9.5 points
  • Walter Clayton Jr. Over 4.5 assists
  • Grizzlies +4.5

Our "from downtown" SGP: Grizz!

There's plenty of volatility in these late-season games between teams that aren't trying to win.

Since we're betting on a couple of hungry young players on the Grizzlies, let's also back them to lead at half and pull off the minor upset. 

Grizzlies vs Mavericks SGP

  • Taylor Hendricks Over 9.5 points
  • Walter Clayton Jr. Over 4.5 assists
  • Grizzlies moneyline
  • Grizzlies 1H moneyline

Grizzlies vs Mavericks odds

  • Spread: Grizzlies +4.5 (-110) | Mavericks -4.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Grizzlies +165 | Mavericks -200
  • Over/Under: Over 239 (-110) | Under 239 (-110)

Grizzlies vs Mavericks betting trend to know

The Grizzlies have covered the first half spread in their last 10 games on the road (+10.00 Units / 88% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Grizzlies vs. Mavericks.

How to watch Grizzlies vs Mavericks

LocationAmerican Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
DateFriday, February 27, 2026
Tip-off8:30 p.m. ET
TVFDSN SE Memphis, MavsTV

Grizzlies vs Mavericks latest injuries

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Best NBA Player Props Today for February 27: Not the Last Straw

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There’s no better way to kick off the weekend than with some winning bets.

I’ve combed through the latest NBA odds and singled out my three favorites for today, including points props for two role players capitalizing on extra opportunities.

Check out all of my NBA picks for Friday, February 27.

Best NBA player props today

PlayerPickbet365
Bucks Kyle KuzmaOver 1.5 threes+150
Grizzlies GG Jackson Jr.Over 16.5 points-112
Nuggets Julian StrawtherOver 9.5 points-115

Prop #1: Kyle Kuzma Over 1.5 threes

+150 at bet365

It’s been an unusual season for the Milwaukee Bucks. With Giannis Antetokounmpo missing significant time, they’ve still managed to win eight of their last 10 games heading into tonight's matchup with the New York Knicks.

Kyle Kuzma has stepped up for Milwaukee, averaging 14.6 points over his last 12 contests and shooting 40% from 3-point range over his last five.

The Knicks' perimeter defense has been shaky this season, ranking 20th in opponent made threes per game. Kuzma has made 2+ threes in four of his last five starts, and he’s likely to do it again tonight.

  • Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: MSG, FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin

Prop #2: GG Jackson Jr. Over 16.5 points

-112 at bet365

The Memphis Grizzlies’ injury list reads like a horror story, and they desperately need scoring.

G.G. Jackson Jr. is averaging 17.4 points with a .667 eFG% over his last nine games, and tonight he faces a Dallas Mavericks team that’s nearly as depleted as the Grizzlies.

With the Mavs playing their second match in as many nights, I like Jackson to eclipse 16.5 points for the fifth time in six games.

  • Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: FanDuel Sports Network Southeast-Memphis, KFAA

Prop #3: Julian Strawther Over 9.5 points

-115 at bet365

The game of the night features the Denver Nuggets visiting the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is back after missing nine games, but in a matchup loaded with NBA stars, I'm focusing on a prop for a lesser-known role player.

Julian Strawther has capitalized on his increased opportunities. The Nuggets guard is averaging 15.6 points and shooting 37% from three over his eight starts, and he’s expected back in the starting lineup tonight.

OKC allows the fourth-most made threes per game, and Strawther has reached double digits in scoring in seven of his eight games while in an elevated role.

  • Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ESPN

These props are available now at bet365, one of our best betting sites.

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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Cavaliers announce another guard has broken their finger

CLEVELAND, OHIO - FEBRUARY 11: Keon Ellis #14 of the Cleveland Cavaliers dribbles down the court during the second half against the Washington Wizards at Rocket Arena on February 11, 2026 in Cleveland, Ohio. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Nick Cammett/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Cleveland Cavaliers have run into some bad injury luck after their impressive win over the New York Knicks on Tuesday. In that game, star guard James Harden broke the top of his thumb. The following night, Dennis Schroder and Dean Wade seemed to have injured their ankles. And now it’s been revealed that Keon Ellis has also broken his finger.

The team announced on Friday morning that X-rays have revealed that Ellis has a non-displaced solar plate avulsion in his left index PIP joint. The injury happened during Wednesday’s loss to the Milwaukee Bucks.

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Despite the injury, Ellis could play in Friday’s game against the Detroit Pistons. Both he and Harden are listed as questionable.

Even though this isn’t an injury that is expected to keep Ellis out of the lineup for a long period of time — if at all — it isn’t exactly coming at the most opportune time.

Head coach Kenny Atkinson has the difficult job of trying to figure out lineup combinations that work before the playoffs. He’s running out of time to do so, considering there are just 22 games left, and they could be without several key players for a portion of those games, including Donovan Mitchell who will miss Friday’s contest with a groin strain.

Ellis has fit in nicely with the Cavs in the nine games he played. He scored 14 points on 4-8 shooting from deep in the loss to the Bucks. The defensive specialist has averaged 6.4 points, 1.9 assists, 1.6 steals, and 1 block per game since coming to Cleveland.

Knicks’ Miles McBride still eyeing regular season return, but remains without timeline

The Knicks have been without one of the key pieces on their bench for just under a month now, and it appears they won’t be getting him back in the mix anytime soon. 

Speaking for the first time since undergoing core muscle surgery, Miles McBridetold reporters Friday in Milwaukee that he remains without a timeline for a return. 

McBride hopes he'll be able to get back before the end of the regular season, but is unsure. 

League sources told SNY NBA Insider Ian Begley earlier this month that a potential timetable for a return post-surgery would be six-to-eight weeks. 

The guard underwent the procedure on Feb. 6, penciling him in for an earliest return in the first week of April. 

The NBA playoffs are scheduled to begin on April 18.

McBride said that it is a slow process back, but he has begun shooting without jumping. 

In his absence, head coach Mike Brown has been leaning on trade deadline acquisition Jose Alvarado, who was picked up from the Pelicans just before the news of the 25-year-old's injury broke. 

Khris Middleton has until Sunday to decide on buyout from Mavericks, Nuggets interested

Khris Middleton has a decision to make, and a Sunday deadline to make it.

Dallas has given the veteran forward the choice of whether or not he wants a buyout to join a playoff team, reports Marc Stein of The Stein Line. Middleton has until Sunday to make his decision, which is the cut-off day to be waived and still be eligible for playoff rosters.

The Denver Nuggets are interested in Middleton, according to Stein and other reports, although other playoff teams may have contacted him as well. For the record, Cleveland, Golden State, and New York cannot sign anyone on the buyout market because they are over the tax apron.

Middleton started the season in Washington but was traded to Dallas as part of the Anthony Davis deal. In six games with the Mavericks Middleton has looked pretty good, averaging 14.5 points and 4.8 rebounds a game, shooting 38.1% from 3-point range. That said, nobody should confuse the 34-year-old with the younger version of himself, who was a three-time All-Star, a gold medal winner at the Tokyo Olympics, and the player who was a key part of Milwaukee's 2021 title run.

Middleton is set to be an unrestricted free agent next summer, unless he is waived and then signs a multi-year contract with a new team.

Cavaliers vs. Pistons predictions: Odds, recent stats, trends and best bets for February 27

 The Cleveland Cavaliers (37-23) travel to Little Caesars Arena tonight for a battle against the league-leading Detroit Pistons (43-14).

The Pistons lead the season series against the Cavs having won two of the first three games. Each team sits Top 4 in the Eastern Conference. The Pistons sit atop the East by 5.5 games over the Celtics while the Cavs are making noise, sitting in fourth, 7.5 games behind Detroit.

The storyline for tonight’s matchup is heavily influenced by a significant injury report for the Cavaliers, who are facing a severely shorthanded backcourt. Star guard Donovan Mitchell has been ruled out with a groin strain, while recent acquisitions James Harden (thumb) and Keon Ellis (finger) are listed with injuries alongside Dennis Schröder and Dean Wade. Cleveland will rely heavily on their strong frontcourt of Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen to dominate the paint and control the glass, while requiring secondary scoring from a depleted bench to compete with Detroit.

Detroit, which has won six of its last seven games and eight of their last ten, takes the court far healthier than the Cavs with only Isaiah Stewart (suspension) sidelined. The Pistons' balanced, high-intensity team relies on stellar defense and top-tier playmaking from Cade Cunningham, who has evolved into one of the East's premier players and the dominating interior presence of Jalen Duren.

Lets take a closer look at the matchup and take into consideration lineups, injuries, and other factors affecting the line and total.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds courtesy of DraftKings recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game Details and How to Watch Live: Cavaliers at Pistons

  • Date: Friday, February 27, 2026
  • Time: 7PM EST
  • Site: Little Caesars Arena
  • City: Detroit, MI
  • Network/Streaming: ESPN

Rotoworld has you covered with all the latest NBA Player News for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Game Odds: Cavaliers at Pistons

The latest odds as of Friday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Cleveland Cavaliers (+200), Detroit Pistons (-245)
  • Spread: Pistons -6.5
  • Total: 227.5 points

This game opened Pistons -7.5 with the Total set at 224.5.

Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NBA schedule! 

Expected Starting Lineups: Cavaliers at Pistons

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • PG James Harden
  • SG Sam Merrill
  • SF Dean Wade
  • PF Evan Mobley
  • C Jarrett Allen

Detroit Pistons

  • PG Cade Cunningham
  • SG Ausar Thompson
  • SF Tobias Harris
  • PF Duncan Robinson
  • C Jalen Duren

Injury Report: Cavaliers at Pistons

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • James Harden (thumb) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • Dennis Schroeder (ankle) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • Dean Wade (ankle) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • Keon Ellis (finger) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • Donovan Mitchell (groin) has been declared OUT for tonight’s game
  • Max Strus (foot)has been declared OUT for tonight’s game

Detroit Pistons

  • Isaiah Stewart (suspended) has been declared OUT for tonight’s game

Important stats, trends and insights: Cavaliers at Pistons

  • The Pistons are 22-7 at home this season
  • The Cavaliers are 17-12 on the road this season
  • The Pistons are 31-25-1 ATS this season / 14-15 at home
  • The Cavaliers are 25-35 ATS this season / 13-16 on the road
  • The OVER has cashed in 29 of the Cavaliers’ 60 games this season (29-31)
  • The OVER has cashed in 25 of the Pistons’ 57 games this season (25-32)
  • Each of these teams have won 8 of their last 10 games
  • Detroit has won 2 of the last 3 against Cleveland and has covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 against the Cavs
  • Jalen Duren has recorded double-doubles in each of his last 3 games (26.7ppg, 14reb/gm)
  • James Harden is averaging 8 assists per game since being traded to the Cavs

Rotoworld Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NBA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals.
 
Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s Cavaliers and Pistons’ game:

  • Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline
  • Spread: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Pistons -5.5 ATS
  • Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total UNDER 226.5

Want even more NBA best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert NBA Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and over/under picks for every game on today’s calendar! 

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our NBA Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

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Knicks vs Bucks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

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Apparently, the only thing that can stop Karl-Anthony Towns is his own team.

After blazing out of the All-Star break with efforts of 21, 25, and 28 points, KAT was iced out in the New York Knicks’ loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers on Tuesday.

Towns shot the ball only five times — making all five attempts — and finished with just 14 points over 28 minutes. What makes that stat even more baffling is that the rest of New York’s roster shot a collective 37% in defeat.

The Knicks can right that wrong by feeding Towns early and often when they take on the Milwaukee Bucks, who are without star Giannis Antetokounmpo. 

My Knicks vs. Bucks predictions and NBA picks are taking Towns to topple his scoring total on Friday, February 27.

Knicks vs Bucks prediction

Knicks vs Bucks best bet: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 18.5 points (-112)

The media is throwing gas on the fire after Karl-Anthony Towns’ lack of involvement on Tuesday. Before being limited to five FGAs, KAT averaged more than 15 shots in the first three outings back from the break.

The New York Knicks' big man has actually been hot all of February, upping his average points to 19.6 and shooting 55.4% from the field. 

He won’t have Giannis Antetokounmpo in pursuit against the Milwaukee Bucks after struggling in the first two matchups with Milwaukee (4 for 20 with Giannis). His projections sit between 19.2 and 20.2 points tonight, giving good value to Over 18.5.

Knicks vs Bucks same-game parlay

The Knicks need a win to get right after a dud in Cleveland and opening the post-break slate with a 2-2 record. No Antetokounmpo on either end of the floor helps that cause a lot.

Towns is projected for 20+ points and has the hot hand this month, including a 40.5% clip from beyond the arc.

With Giannis sidelined, Bobby Portis gets extra touches inside and will battle on the boards for second-chance looks. Game models are as high as 13 points.

Knicks vs Bucks SGP

  • Knicks moneyline
  • Karl-Anthony Towns Over 18.5 points
  • Bobby Portis Over 9.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Going to Town!

After getting the cold shoulder from his team earlier this week, the Knicks jumped on KAT’s back.

His scoring, rebounding, and block projections all sit above these prop totals, powering New York to a road win and cover.

Knicks vs Bucks SGP

  • Knicks -8.5
  • Karl-Anthony Towns Over 18.5 points
  • Karl-Anthony Towns Over 10.5 rebounds
  • Karl-Anthony Towns Over 0.5 blocks

Knicks vs Bucks odds

  • Spread: Knicks -8.5 (-110) | Bucks +8.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Knicks -330 | Bucks +265
  • Over/Under: Over 219.5 (-110) | Under 219.5 (-110)

Knicks vs Bucks betting trend to know

Karl-Anthony Towns has scored 19+ points in seven of his last 10 games, topping his O/U scoring prop in six of those outings. Find more NBA betting trends for Knicks vs. Bucks.

How to watch Knicks vs Bucks

LocationFiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
DateFriday, February 27, 2026
Tip-off8:00 p.m. ET
TVMSG Sportsnet, FDSN Wisconsin

Knicks vs Bucks latest injuries

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Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

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