Category: Baseball

Good morning folks and happy Friday.

The Mariners were officially eliminated from playoff contention yesterday with the Rangers boxing them out in a 3-1 win over the Mets. The M’s also lost in a 6-4 contest to the Angels. With that, we officially turn our gaze towards what will likely be a long offseason.

In Mariners news…

• In case you missed it, the Mariners placed infielder Brock Rodden on the injured list with patella tendon inflammation and called up Leo Rivas for the final series of the season.
• Kate Preusser spoke to Josh Naylor about his disappointing first full season as a Seattle Mariner.
• Josh Hader’s recent collapse against the Mariners illustrates just how shaky the Astros bullpen is heading into the postseason, writes Chandler Rome at The Athletic.

Around the league…

• Cubs outfielder Pete Crow-Armstrong became just the 7th player ever to join the 40-40 club.
• With their win over the Royals yesterday, the White Sox clinched their ticket to the postseason. However, you will not see Luis Castillo on the playoff roster since he was placed on the injured list with a shoulder injury.
• Phillies left-hander Jesús Luzardo threw a bullpen session yesterday and was feeling good enough that the team thinks he could be back for the postseason.
• This is not surprising but good confirmation to have.

• Dan Szymborski at Fangraphs did yet another statistical analysis on whether participation in the World Baseball Classic impacts regular season performance.
• In recent years, it’s been extremely rare for a player who qualifies for the batting average title to go homerless in a season. Yet, the Rays’ Chandler Simpson is on track to do just that, writes Davy Andrews at Fangraphs.
• Yes, pitchers really are throwing harder than they ever have before.

• We need more Joey Vottos on television.

Yesterday afternoon, while the Orioles were enjoying their day off, they were eliminated from the postseason race. The Chicago White Sox defeated the Kansas City Royals 9-1 to clinch the third Wild Card spot. This was just a formality; the Orioles have been out of the race for a few weeks. I know this was a very frustrating year for the Orioles and a down year for the American League, but it’s still something that they were not eliminated until there were just four days left in the regular season.

Despite being eliminated, the Orioles have one final series to play. And they are playing another team with nothing to play for this weekend. Unfortunately, the New York Yankees have nothing to play for for the opposite reason as the Orioles. They have clinched the first Wild Card spot and have been eliminated from the AL East, so their spot in the playoffs is set in stone.

The Orioles have been terrible against the Yankees so far this year. Over the first three series of the season, they are 2-8 and have been swept twice. Even against a Yankees team will mostly be trying to stay healthy and set up for the Wild Card round, it would be nice to see the Orioles rise up and get a series win to finish off the year. Or heck, why not a sweep? After sweeping the Blue Jays to wrap up their home schedule, they could end the season on a six-game winning streak. A sweep would also get them back to .500. And while .500 is far from the goal for this team, it’s better than being a loser.

So what have the Yankees been up to since the Orioles last played them? After they beat the Orioles 6-1 to complete a sweep on August 20th, they have gone 19-12 to maintain their comfortable hold on that top WC spot. They were unable to make up any ground on the division-leading Rays.

The big news for the Yankees in September was the return of their star, Aaron Judge. Judge have been on the IL since May 31st with a broken rib. He was back in action on September 8th, but lasted just seven games before going back on the IL with an injured calf. There was a bit of a kerfuffle yesterday when Yankees manager Aaron Boone said that Judge would not be ready for the Wild Card round. Judge didn’t like the declaration, but it does seem highly likely he won’t be playing in that series.

The Yankees have arguably the best starting rotation in the American League, led by Cam Schlittler (32 GS, 1.89 ERA) and Max Fried (20 GS, 2.80 ERA). Lefty Ryan Weathers has been quite good, but has been on the IL for about a month. And you know the rotation is deep when Gerrit Cole is the fourth guy I mention.

Despite spending most of the year without Judge, the Yankees offense is also up there near the top of the league. This is largely due to Ben Rice, whose power and on-base skills have flourished in his third big-league season. He is sitting on 41 home runs, which is tied with Pete Alonso and others for the top mark in the AL.

Games 1 & 2: Friday, Sept 25th, 4:05 PM

Where to watch: MASN/YES

With a major Nor’easter set to slam New York this weekend, MLB has elected to move Saturday’s game to Friday to avoid the inevitable rainout. It’s a smart move, and hopefully the storm won’t also affect Sunday’s game.

These games are being played as a single-admission doubleheader, which might make you compare the Orioles and their rainout this week against the Blue Jays. The Orioles opted to turn their final two home games into a split-admission doubleheader, charging fans twice if they wanted to see both games. The Yankees did no such thing. And I gotta say, when I read that I was a little irked. If the Yankees are making you look greedy in comparison, that’s a bad look.

With their spot in the postseason secure, the Yankees are playing it loose and have not announced any pitchers for this weekend’s series. I imagine that any regular Yankees starter you see will have a short tune up in preparation for the playoffs.

The Orioles have announced their pitchers. For game one, it will be Trevor Rogers, making what could be his final start as an Oriole. I hope not! Rogers is coming off of an incredible start against the Brewers. He held the best team in baseball to just one run on three hits. He pitched eight innings and struck out 10.

Game two’s starter will be Brandon Young. Young also had a nice start against the Brewers, a two-run, six-inning game with nine strikeouts. I half expected them to skip Young’s final start. But maybe it’ll be a short one. Albert Suárez is back with the Orioles for the final series.

Game 3: Sunday, Sept 27th, 3:20 pm

Where to watch: MASN/YES

Shane Baz will take the mound to close out the season for the Orioles. Baz got the win against Toronto on Monday with a 6.2 IP, three-run effort. Baz’s 4.11 ERA puts him at an exact average ERA+ of 100. Baz has done a pretty good job of proving he’s better than his numbers last year with the Rays. Since May 15th, his ERA is 3.66.

Baz has faced the Yankees twice this year. In May, he allowed five earned runs in 5.2 innings. In August, it was three runs in 6.1 innings. Better! He also struck out 10 that night.

How many games do you think the Orioles will win to close out the season?

The New York Mets (73-86) will wrap up their 2026 season against the Washington Nationals (75-84) in a battle for last place in the National League East (and, depending on how you look at it, either the chance to avoid the misfortune of finishing in the cellar or the opportunity to cement better lottery odds in the MLB Draft). The Mets own a 6-4 lead in the season series against their division counterparts this year, with the two sides splitting a four-game set at Nationals Park in May. The Mets have won four straight after dropping four of the first six.

The Mets had the opportunity to play spoiler against the Rangers and ran with it over their three-game set at Globe Life Field, and they mostly succeeded in putting a dent in Texas’ playoff hopes. They took two out of three which, combined with the Astros taking two of their last three games, put both Texas-based teams in a first-place tie at 79-80 (no, that is not a typo). With Houston holding the tiebreaker, that effectively means the Rangers are now in second place with three games to go. The Mets took the first three against old friends Jacob deGrom and Brandon Nimmo, with a 6-3 victory on Monday and a 7-2 win on Tuesday, before falling 3-1 in the finale to be denied a sweep. Still the win did get the Mets to 73 victories on the season, meaning that, at the very least, they would not reach 90 losses on the season, which was no sure thing given the 12-game losing streak in April.

One of the big blasts in the series with a pinch hit, ninth inning grand slam off the bat of Brett Baty. The blow came after the Rangers intentionally walked Juan Soto for the third time in the game, setting a new Mets’ club record for a single game. It was Baty’s second grand slam of the year, the most on the club, and continued a torrid stretch for the young infielder. Since August 1, Baty leads all Mets’ hitters with a 159 wRC+ while slashing .301/.383/.559 in 38 games—that OBP is also tops on the club since the start of August. His 23 runs batted in since August 1 are also tied for a club lead alongside Bo Bichette and Francisco Lindor. Baty, like many of the young players on the club, are fighting to prove they belong on the club next year, and with his late-season surge, he’s likely established some sort of role on the 2027 Mets (if not as a starter, then at the very least a super utility player, perhaps like a Jeff McNeil type who can slot into essentially any position when needed and will accumulate 400+ at-bats despite not having a solid starting role).

The big news that broke right before the first game of the series win was the announcement that Andy Green had been signed to manage the team for three years after serving as interim skipper since late June. Since taking over, Green has put together a 39-39 record, which some would argue is not nearly definitive or inspiring enough to offer Green the role without going through a formal interview process. However, all that aside, the players, both new and established, have really taken to Green and enjoy playing for him. He got a resounding vote of confidence from both Soto and Lindor, and Steve Gelbs, in a pre-game discussion on the hire, said one veteran Mets player called Green the best manager he’s ever played with. For a team looking for stability and dreading the idea of another offseason of upheaval, being able to establish this sort of stability before heading into an uncertain offseason is a big win. Whether Green’s honeymoon is prolonged or ends rather abruptly remains to be seen.

The Nationals enter this series after taking two of three from the Tigers, which followed their series win against the Cardinals. In all, they’ve won eight of their last 11 games, which has helped hold off the Mets and keep them in fourth place in the NL East. For the Mets to overtake Washington—New York does hold the tiebreaker, though the two clubs cannot finished tied unless a game is rained out and not made up—they would have to sweep the series. Losing any game this weekend would guarantee the Mets their first last place finish since 2003—I will point out that these two clubs tied for last place in 2020, though I am all for pretending 2020 did not exist.

James Wood is looking to wrap up a solid third year in the majors, one that saw him pick up his second straight All-Star nod. Wood missed some time with an oblique injury and just returned on September 2, and has struggled since his return, posting a 78 wRC+ with no home runs and a .242/.333/.303 slash line in 18 games. Comparatively, he leads the club with a 141 wRC+ for the whole season, with 30 home runs and a .262/.385/.505 slash line in 132 games. CJ Abrams is also wrapping up a terrific year, one that saw him make the All-Star team for the second time in his career, as he enters play hitting .262/.338/.500 while leading the club in home runs (33) and runs batted in (103) and placing second in runs scored (92). One thing to watch out for: light-hitting Nasim Nuñez sits at 49 stolen bases, and will very likely be gunning for number 5o during the weekend. Nuñez’s accomplished the feat despite posting a miniscule 52 wRC+ and slugging just .242 on the year, the lowest by any major league player with over 475 plate appearances since the 1973 season.

Friday, September 25: TBD vs. Andrew Alvarez, 6:45 PM EDT on WPIX

TBD

The Mets have not officially announced who will take Christian Scott’s spot on Friday, though it’s likely they go with either Justin Hagenman or a traditional bullpen game. Scott’s season came to an end when he was placed on the IL with left knee inflammation.

Alvarez (2026): 108.0 IP, 107 K, 48 BB, 5 HR, 3.17 ERA, 3.13 FIP, 74 ERA-

Alvarez is enjoying a really solid rookie campaign after a brief cup of coffee in the majors with Washington last year. The former 12th round pick has become one of Washington’s most dependable pitchers this year, making 16 starts and eight relief outings across his 108 innings. He has the third-best ERA among Nats pitchers, and his 2.99 ERA as a starting pitcher is the best on Washington’s staff. He is coming off two really strong starts in a row—his last time out, he pitched six shutout innings of five-hit ball against the Cardinals, and before that, he hurled seven one-hit innings against the Angels. Despite the positive result, he did not factor in the decision in either game. He struck out eight batters in each of those outings.

Saturday, September 26: Jonah Tong vs. Jake Irvin, 4:05 PM EDT on SNY

Tong(2026): 25.2 IP, 25 K, 13 BB, 2 HR, 4.21 ERA, 3.80 FIP, 103 ERA-

After one of the best starts of his young major league career, in which he allowed just one unearned run over six innings, Tong reverted back to his troubling trends and took a step back against the Phillies. He lasted just 4 2/3 innings against Philadelphia, allowing four earned runs on five hits to pick up the loss. He also walked four batters, which is unfortunate after he walked just one in each of his previous two starts. He ended up throwing 95 pitches, which is his most in any of his major league starts in 2026, and tossed 61% of those for strikes. Tong will look to make a positive final impression as he hopes to position himself for a spot in the club’s 2027 rotation.

Irvin (2026): 101.2 IP, 104 K, 46 BB, 18 HR, 5.40 ERA, 4.97 FIP, 127 ERA-

Irvin has had another mediocre year for Washington, though he has pitched better as of late. His last start was one of his better ones this year, as he allowed two earned runs on three hits over 5 1/3 innings. The most encouraging sign was that he didn’t walk a batter while striking out eight. It’s his first time now allowing a walk since his start on April 25, which comes after he walked 13 across his previous four starts. The eight punch outs are also the second-most in a start this season. The Mets have faced Irvin twice this year and have put up seven runs (six earned) in ten innings against him, with the Mets winning both of those games.

Sunday, September 27: Sean Manaea vs. DJ Herz, 3:05 PM EDT on SNY

Manaea(2026): 144.2 IP, 141 K, 43 BB, 23 HR, 4.67 ERA, 4.44 FIP, 114 ERA-

There was a point in Manaea’s outing against the Rangers when it seemed he might be heading for an early exit. He allowed three runs across the first four innings and struggled in the fourth, hitting two batters and loading the bases twice before allowing two runs. However, he buckled down and shut the door in the fifth and sixth innings, which positioned him for a win after New York re-took the lead in the sixth. In all, he allowed three earned runs on three hits, with nine strikeouts and two walks in six innings. The nine strikeouts were his second-most in a start. With Manaea under contract for one more year, his recent turnaround will give the team a lot to think about as they ponder the best way to use Manaea in 2027.

Herz (2026): 4.0 IP, 4 K, 2 BB, 1 HR, 9.00 ERA, 5.85 FIP, 211 ERA-

Herz made his season debut on September 21 after missing the entire 2025 season following Tommy John Surgery. The left-hander was slated to return earlier, but a flexor muscle train shut him down in June, and he finally recovered enough to make it back to the big league level after tossing 88 2/3 innings for Washington in 2024. In his first major league outing in almost two full years, Herz allowed four earned runs on five hits over four innings against the Tigers, which resulted in a loss. He struck out four, walked two, and threw 63 pitches in his return.

How about your already championship-caliber team receiving the boost of one of baseball’s top prospects with their backs against the wall, fighting for the title in the highest level of minor-league ball? There was more behind the Comets’ turnaround to beat the Aviators in the Pacific Coast League Championship Series than the addition of Josue De Paula ahead of Game 2, but it certainly didn’t hurt their goals, joining an already stacked outfield.

Player of the Day

Although it took one of the better examples of a collective effort that you’ll see, particularly in a game of this magnitude, a special shout-out in this section to Zach Ehrhard is a must. The standout young outfielder finished this title-clinching win in a two-for-five performance; with it, the Comets’ leadoff bat managed to hit .500 in 12 at-bats in this Championship Series.

Wrapping up a marvelous campaign in Triple-A, Ehrhard was involved in three of his team’s five runs, scoring a pair and driving in one with a double—the only Comets hitter with multiple extra-base hits in a game in which they didn’t even need to hit a home run.

Triple-A Oklahoma City

Although Cole Irvin was the starter, by all intents and purposes, the Comets treated this one like a bullpen game—removing the veteran southpaw after 2.1 scoreless innings and a little over 30 pitches—relying on a talented group that kept the zeroes on the board until the eighth. This standout performance included scoreless frames from Kyle Hurt and Bobby Miller.

By the time the Aviators got on the board with a pair of runs off Seth Halvorsen in the bottom of the eighth, the Comets were already up 5-0, carrying a commanding lead in this one from start to finish. On top of Ehrhard, whom we already mentioned, Mike Sirota once again showcased his incredible plate discipline this season with three walks in five plate appearances.

That first run of the game came from the veteran Ryan Fitzgerald, one of four Comets with multiple hits on the night. Since catcher Eliezer Alfonso—who was hitting right behind Fitzgerald in the lineup—reached base on a catcher’s interference in the ninth, every single Comets hitter would get on base at least once in this game.

De Paula, who had already contributed with a pair of walks in Game 2, got his first hit since his temporary return to the minors, including driving in the Comets’ fifth and final run.

May this be a little preview of the impact he can provide for the big league team, eventually back for a playoff role based on the immediate impact he brought to the squad.

Transactions

The Comets placed right-handed pitcher Ryder Ryan on the Development List.

Thursday’s scores

• Las Vegas 2, Oklahoma City 5

The Red Sox begin the postseason on Tuesday and have scored just 5 runs over the last 5 games. In other words, now would be a great time for the team’s best offensive contributor to return to a lineup that desperately needs a spark. But unless a miracle happens over the weekend, things aren’t looking good. Willson Contreras took batting practice on Tuesday, only for his hand injury to worsen in the subsequent days. He’s still struggling to grip a bat and admitted to tearing up out of frustration. “I’m doing everything that I can to come back and play with the boys and be there with the boys,” he said. “But sometimes you have to listen to your body.” (Tim Healey, Boston Globe)

At least Ceddanne Rafaela has returned. He should be able to give a little lift for the lineup, though he does present a conundrum for Chad Tracy, as the Sox now have too many outfielders and DHs to fit into the lineup at once. With Roman Anthony, Rafalea, and Wilyer Abreu essentially locked into starting spots, Tracy has to decide whether to prioritize Duran’s glove and legs over the platoon DH production of Mickey Gasper and Jahmai Jones. (Sean McAdam, MassLive)

And all of this is occuring against the backdrop of this weekend’s storm. And if you think we’re done dealing with that now that MLB has moved Sunday’s game to today, we’re not. There is still a possibility that one or more of this weekend’s games is moved to Tropicana Field in St. Pete. (Conor Ryan, Boston.com)

With the depressing news about Contreras, the team could probably use a pep talk. If so, Pedro Martinez — as someone who still believed in this team in the darkness of May — is available. “I just feel good about approaching the Yankees this time around. And [the Red Sox] are young, yes. We don’t have the highest expectations about them, but man, for some reason, I just feel so positive,” said the right arm of God. “I just feel so excited that this young group of guys that we have out there are able to do something special. I don’t see anything wrong with these kids, and I don’t see why they shouldn’t give everybody knuckles. Not just the Yankees, but everybody.” (Ian Browne, MLB.com)

If the Sox are going to give everybody knuckles, then Ranger Suarez is probably going to be a part of it. The offseason signing has an outstanding postseason resume, and his final 2026 stats are more or less in line with the numbers he’d been putting up in Philadelphia, even if he sounds slightly disappointed in his performance. “Obviously I think I could have done better,” he said of his season. “But I was happy I was able to finish the season strong.” (Peter Abraham, Boston Globe)

The Guardians celebrated a playoff berth last night with a 1-0 win over the Red Sox, but the White Sox beat the Royals so Cleveland’s division lead remains one game with three to play.

Zack Meisel wrote a fun article with different player’s perspectives on the journey to the playoffs.

The Astros and Rangers both won last night. I would say the Astros have the advantage to win the division because they have three left with the Athletics and Texas has three against the Twins.

The Padres have 89 wins, the Cubs 88, and the Phillies 87 heading into the final series of the season. The Diamondbacks are teetering on the edge of elimination with 85 wins. The Phillies hold the tiebreaker over the Padres and the Cubs hold the tiebreaker over the Padres and Phillies. The six seed in the NL will play Atlanta.

Heading into the final weekend of the 2026 Major League Baseball season, two divisions are still up for grabs and there's chaos in the National League wild card race.

Entering Friday's games, the Cleveland Guardians have a one-game lead on the Chicago White Sox (who have clinched at least a wild-card spot) in the American League Central, while the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers are tied at 79-80 atop the AL West, with Houston holding the tiebreaker.

In the NL wild card, the San Diego Padres, Chicago Cubs and Philadelphia Phillies are just about locked in for the three spots – but it's wide-open as to where the trio will finish in the standings. The Padres enter Friday with the best record of the three.

The MLB playoffs get underway on a Tuesday, Sept. 29 with quadruple-header featuring four wild card series games. The best-of-five division series begins Saturday, Oct. 3.

Here's the latest look at the postseason bracket and standings:

Good morning, LSB.

The Rangers bounced back with a series salvaging and perhaps season salvaging win over the Mets.

Kennedi Landry writes about Texas sending the season into the final weekend with the win.

Evan Grant eulogized the Rangers on Wednesday but now says not so fast my friend.

Jeff Wilson says the Rangers seized their second chance after the Astros faltered in Seattle.

Kevin Sherrington is just amazed that this thing is somehow still alive.

The DMN has an attendance update now that the Rangers are done at Globe Life Field for the season. Or are they?!

And Josh Hamilton is the latest guest on Grant’s podcast.

That’s all for this morning. The Rangers start up the final series of the season tonight in Minnesota with Jacob deGrom on the mound for Texas.

Happy Friday and Go Rangers!

Today marks the beginning of the last series of the regular season across Major League Baseball. After this weekend, 18 teams will head home for the winter while the other 12 teams will officially begin the hunt for a championship with the MLB postseason beginning on Tuesday. 

The Phillies of course are right in the thick of the postseason field, even if they have not as of yet clinched their spot officially. They are engaged in an extremely tight race for the three Wild Card slots in the National League, with the Phillies, Cubs, and Padres all separated by no more than two games. That’s who currently occupies the three slots with the Arizona Diamondbacks still alive and fighting for their lives on the outside looking in. This weekend will determine who is officially in as well as seeding. The latter of course will determine who plays where and when. The impending nor’easter hitting the east coast of the country will be a factor in all of this as well, as the Cubs are playing in Boston and have already had one of their games retooled into a doubleheader in anticipation of heavy rain all weekend. 

There are numerous possibilities on where the Phillies will be by the end of the weekend. They could be playing one of the Cubs, Padres, Braves, or possibly the Diamondbacks. They could be playing in Atlanta, in Chicago, in San Diego, in Arizona, or even at home. There’s still a slight chance they could be one of those teams heading home for the winter, although that is unlikely considering the Padres and Diamondbacks play each other this weekend, making the math difficult for both teams to make the postseason while keeping the Phillies out.

So, where will the Phillies stand at the end of this final series of the regular season? 

The Orioles were officially eliminated last night. The White Sox beat the Royals 9-1, just as they were supposed to, and clinched a Wild Card spot. Munetaka Murakami drank champagne and told us, lo and behold, he’s Japanese. And the Orioles, meanwhile, watched, helpless to their fate. At 78-81, the best they can do now on the season is finish .500.

Next year needs to be different, but the people are mostly going to be the same people. We’re not getting a new manager or a new GM: Craig Albernaz is back for a second season, and Mike Elias is staying put. Don’t hold your breath for another splashy winter, either. The club could and should, as our own Tyler commented, sign a front-line starter. But as for the lineup, they’ve already committed five years and $155 million to Pete Alonso, who, to be fair, has more than held up his end with 41 homers, an .871 OPS, and a newly-minted Most Valuable Oriole award. But it’s hard to picture ownership doing that twice, especially after trading Adley Rutschman at the deadline. So the reinforcements have to come from inside the house.
 

And we’d better hope that they do, if we fans are to have a prayer of watchable baseball next year. This season, despite working with an all-new hitting staff, the Orioles’ offense was great undiversified: a whole lot of swinging and not much else. As we enter the final weekend of the ’26 season, the offensive stats are gloomy. The Birds are hitting .233 as a team. Even accounting for the league-wide offensive downturn, that’s 28th of 30 teams in baseball, and only the Mariners are worse in the American League. Baltimore’s .707 OPS ranks 23rd in the majors and 11th of 15 in the AL. The home runs, to be fair, didn’t go missing: 194 of them, counting for 10th in MLB and fourth in the AL. But 41 of those belong to Pete Alonso. Take him out and the rest of the roster hit 153, which is about where the Blue Jays and Guardians finished, at the bottom. A lineup that can’t hit for average and gets on base at a .313 clip needs every one of those homers to come with runners on, and many didn’t.

If outside reinforcements aren’t forthcoming, this puts a lot of weight on the existing lineup. I want to highlight just a few key bats. Only one had a year to feel good about, and he’s the one we expected the least from.

Coby Mayo

Mayo came into the season a young hitter who hadn’t made it yet. Impressively, considering his peers who were higher-rank and round He’s leaving it as the only one who clearly did: .225/.293/.463 with 24 homers in 130 games, good for a 112 OPS+. The power is real. The on-base percentage is a problem, since under .300 is thin even for a slugger. If he gets that closer to .320 and keeps the pop, he’s a 30-homer bat in the middle of the order. He doesn’t need a bounceback; he just needs a repeat performance.

Tyler O’Neill

Gah,how dreary. Back in December 2024 outfielder Tyler O’Neill signed a three-year, $49.5 million deal that’s looking worse and worse, and he’s got one more year left on the deal. So far, the Orioles have gotten 139 games of .206-ish baseball for their troubles. O’Neill hit .199 with nine homers in 54 games in 2025, and .212/.300/.377 with 10 homers in 85 games this year (a 92 OPS+). His 2026 started with a concussion stint after he fainted from dehydration in April, and it ended on the IL with shoulder inflammation. The talent is there, but now he’s had 19 trips to the injured list across his career.

Colton Cowser

Cowser came into spring with a real shot at the everyday center field job. Then he hit .167/.255/.188 over his first 23 games, struck out more than 30 percent of the time, and spent the rest of the year platooning in center with Leody Taveras. To his credit, he added a leg kick, worked his way back, and finished at .223/.313/.365 with 13 homers (93 OPS+). Thanks to his defense, that was still worth 2.4 bWAR. Cowser has the lowest bar of anyone here. With his glove, a league-average bat makes him a solid regular. But the high-contact guy of his days back at Sam Houston State has gone MIA for now.

Jordan Westburg

Westburg didn’t play at all in 2026. He had an oblique issue in the spring, then elbow pain that a PRP injection didn’t fix, and he had Tommy John surgery in May. Elias says a return “as a full player in the early part of 2027 is very much in play.” The worry is what the talented Westburg’s floor really is. The third baseman broke his hand in 2024, a string of injuries held him to 85 games in 2025, and now he’s missed a full season. Healthy, he’s a 2024 All-Star who can play third or second. Whether he’ll be healthy is the real question.

Jackson Holliday

Holliday’s season went sideways before it started. He had hamate surgery in February, didn’t debut until May 19, and missed the final week with inflammation in his other wrist before undergoing surgery this week. In between, he hit .229/.300/.340 with seven homers, an 83 OPS+, in 98 games. Hamate injuries are notorious for sapping power even after the bone heals, so it’s fair to call this a lost year. Still, that’s three big-league seasons without a league-average bat, and his name came up in trade talks this summer. He turns 23 in December. That’s young, but the grace period won’t last forever.

Gunnar Henderson

Here’s the guy I was really thinking about when I wrote this. In 2026, Henderson hit .225/.310/.405, a 102 OPS+. That’s a precipitous drop from 2025 (.787 OPS) and tumble off a cliff from 2024, when he hit 37 homers, posted a 155 OPS+, and got into the MVP conversation. This year, Gunnar still put up 3.4 bWAR, because he played 157 games at shortstop and the glove was good. But the Orioles need more. They need Gunnar to be the best player on the team, especially now with Adley gone. There will be a lot of soul-searching about what happened to Gunnar Henderson’s lost offensive season this year, and what can be done for 2027. If the Orioles do get the 2024 Henderson back, the whole lineup looks a whole lot scarier. If they don’t, nothing else on this list can make up for it.

So, reasons for optimism?

The best-case scenario is that everyone here but Mayo has already been better than he was in 2026, and Mayo’s best is happening right now. Westburg’s absence and Holliday’s wrists are about injuries, not skill, and that kind of bad luck doesn’t usually hit twice in a row. The bad case is that every fan says “he’s been better before” about every slumping player, and the Orioles have now spent two years waiting for the young core to take the next step together. I’d bet on the core, but I don’t know if I’d bet much.
 

Did anything of note happen at Wrigley Field on Thursday afternoon? On a day that looked absolutely beautiful and at a generally pleasant time of the year to be at the Friendly Confines, I hope a few of you were there for this one. For anyone who was, I’m genuinely jealous. I’ve spent many days and many nights in that park and have almost universally loved my time there. I’ll forever miss it.

It started with Pete Crow-Armstrong walking and stealing second to reach the 45/40 plateau. A season that is truly for the ages. So many words have been said about his season that anything I can come up with will be repetitive. But, I tip my hat to the youngster. His stardom was apparent quickly upon taking the field for the first time in the Cubs organization and with each stop, seemingly each passing month, that star has burned brighter and brighter. The friendship and bond that has developed between PCA and Seiya Suzuki has been terrific. So it is no surprise that Seiya found himself musing that he believed that Pete is capable of 50/50. No pressure, kid. That would be an incredible encore.

Maybe it shouldn’t be surprising, then, that Seiya hit a homer on Pete’s big day. It was the homer the Cubs needed. For those who weren’t watching the Marquee broadcast, you missed an uncanny statistic. I believe the stat was starting from August 1. The Cubs are 0-13 when they fail to homer. With Thursday’s win, they are 26-13 when they do. That’s an incredible number. They got the long ball and finally the pitching staff got the memo. That is, clearly the Cubs were good for two runs per game this weekend. They scored exactly two and no more in all three games. Matthew Boyd got the message and held the Marlins to one and two relievers made it hold up.

It’s the Marlins and not any of the five other NL teams that will eventually be in the playoffs, but it’s not nothing that over 27 regulation innings in this series, the Cub pitching staff held the Marlins to five total runs. You could spend the next week whining about what the Cubs aren’t. Or, you can imagine what this team is technically capable of and just enjoy the ride.

It wasn’t just Seiya behind the offense, though. And it wasn’t just a big day for Pete. There was definitely a feeling that Ian Happ was playing his last regular season home game as a Cub. I get that there is a significant longevity difference between Happ and Suzuki, but it was hard not to have the impression that it was Ian’s last game at home for the Cubs, but not for Seiya. Maybe I’m reading too much into something that wasn’t there. Ian is the longest-tenured Chicago athlete right now and received his due respect from the Wrigley faithful. Hat tip to Ian for the leadoff triple in the sixth inning that led to the decisive run. Nico Hoerner came up with the key hit to get him home and then Boyd, Daniel Palencia and Ryan Zeferjahn held it down.

What if, bear with me, Zeferjahn is good? You don’t have to squint a lot to see it. Now would be as good a time as ever for that to be true. Further, his team control stretches beyond this year and with no significant change to the free agency system could belong to the Cubs through the end of the decade. The stuff definitely can play. The only question is if he ever puts it all together. All the skills are there. It’s only a matter if he can find the sequencing and learn the skills of a leverage reliever, particularly the skills of a leverage reliever in a media crucible like Chicago.

For that matter, Daniel Palencia could also be with the Cubs through the end of the decade. With all of the Jed Hoyer can’t build a bullpen and the Cubs can’t develop relievers memes, it’s possible that he traded for both with the Cubs finishing the development on Palencia after obtaining him. Maybe not. Maybe one or neither never get there. But they could. The Cubs just might have two dynamic relievers in house. The conversation about development of pitchers can be one where people move the goal posts. How much involvement entails development? Palencia played six games total, 14.1 innings outside of the Cub organization. Did they not theoretically develop him?

Anyway, that’s an argument for another day. But I’m happy to devil’s advocate on behalf of the Cub organization. They are definitely not a top tier draft and development organization. But it’s disingenuous to say they are a bottom tier one either. There are definitely misses, but there are a lot of hits too. There are less home runs than you’d like. I won’t argue with that. But there are plenty of hits in draft and development too.

I was happy to see the team pop some corks. It’s a good experience for the team. It was so apropos that Craig Counsell took only a short amount of time to address the team in the locker room after the game. And he called out one group in the organization. It was the training staff. Talk about a group that had to work overtime this year and surely lost a lot of sleep at times.

On to Boston. Let’s look at the numbers.

Three Positives:

• Boyd. Seven innings, one run. The hero the team needed. He started Opening Day and then he was the guy on the hill when they clinched a postseason appearance for a second straight year since he got here.
• Seiya Suzuki seemed to have let some of the stress out of the park with his game tying homer.
• Ian Happ with a triple leading off the sixth, leading to the second run.
• Hat tips to Nico Hoerner, Daniel Palencia and Ryan Zeferjahn.

Game 159, September 24: Cubs 2, Marlins 1 (88-71)

Reminder: Heroes and Goats are determined by WPA scores and are in no way subjective.

THREE HEROES:

• Superhero: Matthew Boyd (.318). 7 IP, 27 BF, 5 H, 2 BB, 1 R, 3 K (W 10-5)
• Hero: Seiya Suzuki (.178). 2-3, HR, BB, RBI, R
• Sidekick: Ryan Zeferjahn (.167). IP, 3 BF (Sv 3 Cubs, Sv 7 total)

THREE GOATS:

• Billy Goat: Michael Busch (-.123). 0-4
• Goat: Carson Kelly (-.114). 0-3
• Kid: Dansby Swanson (-.106). 0-3

WPA Play of the Game: Seiya Suzuki’s solo homer with one out in the fifth inning tied the game. (.163)

Marlins Play of the Game: Jacob Marsee singled with two outs and a runner on second in the third inning, giving the Marlins an early 1-0 lead. (.120)

Cubs Player of the Game:

Game 158 Winner: Dansby Swanson received 23 of 43 votes.

Rizzo Award Standings: (Top 5/Bottom 5)

The award is named for Anthony Rizzo, who finished first in this category three of the first four years it was in existence and four times overall. He also recorded the highest season total ever at +65.5. The point scale is three points for a Superhero down to negative three points for a Billy Goat.

• Alex Bregman +26
• Pete Crow-Armstrong +25.5
• Shōta Imanaga +15
• Ben Brown +13.5
• Michael Conforto +12
• Jameson Taillon -13
• Dansby Swanson -15
• Nico Hoerner -16
• Caleb Thielbar -17.5
• Seiya Suzuki -18

Scoreboard Watching: The Phillies lost. They are now a game behind the Cubs and the Cubs own the tie breaker. That puts the Cub magic number at 2 as to the Phillies. The Padres were playing late as I was writing. They were up 4-0. It looks like they’ll remain one ahead of the Cubs (with the Cubs still owning the tie breaker). That puts the Cub magic number at 4 as to the Padres. The Phillies have kept the Diamondbacks alive with their late struggles. The Diamondbacks are just two back of the Phillies.

Up Next: Phillies host the Rays who have locked up home field advantage through the AL playoffs. The Padres host those Diamondbacks who are trying to crash the party. That’s going to be a wild weekend. The Cubs travel to Boston where the Red Sox are already locked in as Wild Card two in the AL and will visit their old pals from New York for a best of three Wild Card series. Just for fun, the Cubs get to play a double header on Friday. If Google hasn’t misled me, 70% of doubleheaders in 2026 resulted in splits. I was surprised to see that historical data shows sweeps happen about as often as splits with the data bouncing around year to year. Sweeps have a slight historical edge.

We check back with Fangraphs. They have the teams splitting two close ones. Clay Holmes (6-8, 3.25) starts the first game. Clay is 0-2 with a 9.39 ERA in three September starts. The Cubs gave him a full week off before making this start. He was 2-2 with a 1.55 ERA in five August starts. We need August Holmes back. He didn’t face the Red Sox this year. David Peterson (9-8, 4.96) starts game two. David is 2-1 with a 4.05 ERA this month (4 starts) and was 1-0 with a 2.83 ERA in August (5 starts, one relief appearance). As I said the last time, Peterson a a Cub has either been excellent or terrible with nothing between really.

MLB.com is only listing one of the two Red Sox starters. That is Brayan Bello (6-7, 4.49). He’s made 25 appearances for the Sox, 10 of them starts. Last time out, he allowed one run to the Rays over eight innings. He’s been terrific in two September starts (1 run in 13 innings). He did have a relief outing where he allowed four runs in three innings of work. He’s bounced in and out of their rotation all year and he’s done well with it. It appears that Alec Gamboa is likely to start the other game. Gamboa is 1.0 with a 1.16 ERA over 31 innings. He’s made two starts in 20 appearances. His longest outing of the year is just four innings and he’s topped out at 63 pitches and that was back in July. He’s not thrown even 30 pitches this month. So this is a true opener, albeit a fairly dominant one.

The Cubs will not see the front end of the Red Sox rotation. It’s very likely they won’t see anyone with any kind of nagging injuries. I wouldn’t imagine they’ll put any of their relievers into particularly strenuous positions, though most of them will probably work at least a little to stay on rotation. Prepare for a weird weekend and both teams griping about the decision making.

Hopefully, the Cubs can find some wins in all of this.

Happy Friday, everyone. We’re heading into the final Tigers’ series of the season, and as devastating as it is to be done in September, we have the final bow of Justin Verlander to look forward to this weekend. It’s sure to be an emotional outing at the park (which we can only call Comerica a little bit longer), so hopefully if you have the opportunity, you’ll get out and enjoy the final few games we have left this year. Meanwhile, division rivals the White Sox have clinched the Central, which is a pretty wild feat if you consider how terrible they were the past two years, so you almost have to give them props for the bounceback. (Wouldn’t it be nice?)

We’ve got lots of fun stuff to watch if you’re at the office and don’t want to think about anything but baseball, including podcast episodes featuring Max Clark and Justin Verlander, so plenty to occupy you heading into the weekend, when we’ll be celebrating all things JV.

So let’s get right into it.

Detroit Tigers News

• In case you missed this bit of delightful news yesterday.

• The delightful Max Clark joined the Tigers’ podcast this week.

• Some really lovely sentiments here from Hao-Yu Lee.

• Insert wide-eyed emoji here.

• If you want to get deep with Justin Verlander before his final game this weekend, he joined Mookie Betts for a one-hour podcast chat that’s available on YouTube.

MLB News

• It’s hard not to like this guy.

• And on the note of the White Sox, I think this fact would be really incredible if they weren’t the division rivals of the Tigers.

• An interesting discussion starter…

Martin Perez came from pretty much out of nowhere, including his own DFA earlier in the season, to chip in handily for the Braves. While he was more fortunate-and-or-availing-himself-of-the-defense than good (73 ERA- but a 104 FIP- and a 107 xFIP-), the Braves weren’t exactly awash in non-Chris Sale effective starters for much of the season, so Perez was far more helpful than not.

Given that, he was probably in the mix for serious innings consideration in any non-Sale, non-Tyler Mahle postseason game… until he hit the shelf with back tightness that hasn’t responded to treatment. The prognosis is unclear, as the earliest he could return would be NLDS Game 3, though there have been suggestions that this is really more of a NLCS-if-we-get-there situation.

Will the Braves miss Perez? That’s the question, I guess. I’m not sure they will, for two reasons.

First, the initial playoff around is a three-game set. There’s a 50 percent-ish chance that it gets settled in two games (the Sale and Mahle games) either way.

Next, the Braves have so many long men that unless you figure Perez was going to be left out for a traditional start, I’m not sure his pitching can’t just be replicated by guys the Braves likely wouldn’t use in the first two games except in a blowout situation anyway. Remember the 73/104/107 line? Well, Brent Suter has an 84/88/86 line on the season and a 44/84/90 line as a Brave. He routinely throws two-plus innings, and has done a fair bit of three-inning outings as well. Ray Kerr’s sample this season is tiny, but his line is 42/95/91 returning from Tommy John Surgery, and he has a 110/106/91 career line. In eight outings, he’s thrown at least three innings three different times. Some combination of Suter and Kerr might be even better than Perez, with the flexibility of inserting a righty in between them if needed.

Where the Braves could miss Perez is if they go Johnny Wholestaff in Game 3 and come out victorious. That might mean eating a loss, or at least an unfortunate pitching situation in the very next game they play… and without Perez, they might need to resort to JR Ritchie or something just to get through that one. But, those chances don’t seem very high compared to all the other outcomes that could happen.

So, with that — how ominously does his injury loom in your mind?

The Yankees will host the Wild Card Series starting next Tuesday -- likely against the Red Sox -- but there are plenty of question marks surrounding the team's roster heading into the postseason.

From potential returns to fringe players, manager Aaron Boone and the rest of the organization will have their work cut out for them to figure out the ideal 26-man roster going into the three-game series.

The Yanks still have three games against the Orioles this weekend, and while they are not playing for anything, they will look to rest starters, overworked bullpen arms, and even try out players at different positions to give them some versatility. 

Going into our predicted roster, we're going to assume everyone stays healthy and the team will go up against the rival Red Sox...

Starting Pitchers (3)

Cam Schlittler: RHP
Max Fried: LHP
Gerrit Cole: RHP

This is the easiest prediction, as Boone has pretty much spelled out that Schlittler, Fried, and Cole will take the mound in the three-game series. Now the order can be debated -- we'd go with the obvious Schlittler-Fried-Cole order -- but saving Schlittler to either save the Yankees' season or close out the series is not a bad idea.

Bullpen (9)

David Bednar: RHP
Brent Headrick: LHP
Paul Blackburn: RHP
Tim Hill: LHP
Will Warren: RHP
John Schreiber: RHP
Ryan Yarbrough: LHP
Carlos Rodon: LHP
Carlos Lagrange: RHP

Here's where things can get interesting. 

GM Brian Cashman didn't acquire a reliever at the deadline, as the price was too steep -- according to him -- and the plan always seemed to move one, two, or three of their starters to the 'pen once Cole, Fried, and Rodon came back from injury. 

The combination of Warren and Ryan Weathers seemed like good bets to get on the roster, giving Boone a righty and a southpaw who can give multiple innings. But with Weathers' injury, he seems out of the running to make the roster until the ALDS. If Weathers were healthy enough, I'd replace Yarbrough or Hill with him. 

That gives Rodon a chance to fill Weathers' role alongside Warren. Clarke Schmidt would also have been on the roster if he didn't recently land on the IL. 

Lagrange is another interesting name. The flamethrower could be called up this weekend to give him some run before the postseason. The Yankees optioned Luis Gil following Thursday's win, so an arm will have to replace him. Yankees pitching coach Matt Blake told the media recently that the organization has had "a lot of talks" about promoting Lagrange.

That's good enough for me, and I could be going out on a limb, but Lagrange's stuff is too good to not see what he's got. 

Outfielders (4)

Cody Bellinger
Spencer Jones
Trent Grisham
Heliot Ramos

Infielders (9)

Ben Rice: 1B/DH
Paul Goldschmidt: 1B
Luis Garcia, Jr.: 1B
Austin Wells: C
Ali Sanchez: C
Jazz Chisholm, Jr.: 2B
George Lombard, Jr.: SS
Anthony Volpe: 2B/SS
Ryan McMahon: 3B

Utility (1)

Jose Caballero: 3B/2B/SS/OF

Let's get the obvious omission out of the way. 

I don't believe Aaron Judge will be on the roster, nor should he. Simply, I don't trust him playing in the outfield right now, and if he has to DH, that clogs up first base and the DH spots. It's also not like he was mashing the ball when he returned from his rib injury (4-for-23 with 13 strikeouts, one walk, and one home run). 

Let Judge rest up, and hopefully he's well enough to play the outfield in the ALDS should New York advance. 

I feel the same about Giancarlo Stanton. He clogs up the DH/1B spot and would only be useful in a pinch-hit opportunity. That leaves Ramos, Jones, Bellinger, and a returning Grisham to man the outfield. Caballero can also play out there in a pinch.

As for the infield, Amed Rosario is the odd man out. He's redundant with McMahon and Caballero able to play third base. And Volpe learning the position gives the Yankees another right-handed option. 

23 Years Ago

Moments like these always make me feel old—I never would have guessed this happened so long ago.

Carlos Delgado hit four home runs against the Tampa Bay Devil Rays (before they changed their name). This rare feat has occurred only six times in American League history and just 18 times in MLB history. Delgado became the 15th player ever to accomplish it and remains the only Blue Jay to do so. The most recent player to achieve this was J.D. Martinez in 2017 with the Diamondbacks.

The game took place at the Skydome, where the Jays won 10-8.

Delgado’s homers:

• Delgado’s first home run was a three-run shot in the opening inning, with Frank Catalanotto and Vernon Wells on base. That gave the Jays an early 3-0 lead.
• His second home run was a solo shot in the fourth inning, making it 4-1 Jays. Later that inning, Orlando Hudson hit a ground-rule double to extend the lead to 5-1.
• Delgado’s third was a solo home run leading off the sixth inning, tying the game at 6.
• His fourth home run came in the eighth inning, again tying the game—this time at 8. The Jays would go on to score two more runs that inning: Eric Hinske tripled and scored on a Bobby Kielty sacrifice fly, and Mike Bordick homered in the next at-bat.

On the pitching side:

• Pete Walker started the game and pitched five innings (plus two batters into the sixth, surrendering a home run and a triple), allowing three earned runs. He appeared in 23 games that year, making seven starts with a 4.88 ERA. Over his eight-year career, four were with the Jays. He became Toronto’s bullpen coach in 2011 and the pitching coach in 2012. I wonder what his career would have been like if it had today’s Pete Walker as a pitching coach. Likely not that much different, but you never know.
• Vinnie Chulk came on in relief, recording a flyout before allowing a walk, a triple (3 RBI, Marlon Anderson), and a home run (Toby Hall). He surrendered three earned runs while recording just one out. Chulk spent the first four years of his eight-year career in the Jays’ bullpen.
• Dan Reichert recorded the final two outs of the sixth, pitched the seventh (allowing a solo home run), and got two outs in the eighth while yielding another run. He finished with 2.1 innings pitched, allowing five hits, two walks, and two earned runs, with three strikeouts. Reichert’s five-year MLB career concluded that season with the Jays, posting a 6.06 ERA in 15 appearances.
• Trevor Miller got the final out of the eighth and pitched the ninth to earn the win. Miller had a 13-year career, appearing in 79 games for the Jays that year with a 4.61 ERA. He played for eight MLB teams and returned to Toronto in 2011 for six more appearances.

Delgado finished with six RBI, 16 total bases, and a .724 WPA. The four home runs brought his season total to 41; he’d finish with 42, the second-highest mark of his career. He remains the Jays’ all-time home run leader with 336 and ended his MLB career with 473.

Other notable performances included Reed Johnson (2-for-4, .201 WPA), Eric Hinske (1-for-4 with a triple and walk, .193 WPA), and Orlando Hudson (1-for-3 with a home run, .109 WPA).

The win improved the Jays to 84-75, securing third place in the AL East, 14.5 games behind the Yankees, where they would ultimately finish the season.