Mets vs. Athletics: 5 things to watch and series predictions | April 10-12

Here are five things to watch and predictions as the Mets and Athletics play a three-game series at Citi Field starting on Friday night...


5 things to watch

Will the power output heat up with the weather?

With the exception of the relatively balmy weather on Opening Day (when the Mets smacked two homers and erupted for 11 runs), all of their home games so far (there have been six total) have been played in suboptimal conditions.

It was so cold on Tuesday and Wednesday against the Diamondbacks that the game times were shifted from 7:10 p.m. to 4:10 p.m.

This has created an environment where the ball is not carrying much, and resulted in a near total power outage during the recently completed three-game series against Arizona. Luis Robert Jr. hit a long solo homer on Thursday, but that was the only dinger hit by either the Mets or D-backs during the series.

Overall, the Mets -- who have also played four games at cavernous Oracle Park in San Francisco -- have hit just 10 home runs this season, which is more than just six teams.

Francisco Lindor, Bo Bichette, and Jorge Polanco have yet to go yard, but perhaps the overall deep freeze lifts during the series against the A's, with the temperature expected to be around 60 degrees for all three games. 

The Jorge Polanco situation

Polanco has been in and out of the lineup and limited to DH duty lately due to an Achilles issue that could require an IL stint.

With Polanco hobbled, it has been Mark Vientos and Brett Baty getting most of the starts at first base.

Beyond the defensive adjustments being made in light of Polanco's Achilles (and more important) is the fact that the lineup is shortened when he's not in it.

And Polanco's absence has been felt even more since the Mets are already without Juan Soto, which means two of the regular top four hitters in their lineup are missing on days when Polanco sits.

Can Kodai Senga keep it going?

Senga has been stellar to start the season, carrying over his spring training success.

In 11.2 innings over two starts (both on the road), Senga has allowed just four runs on nine hits while walking five and striking out 16.

New York Mets starting pitcher Kodai Senga (34) delivers a pitch against the San Francisco Giants during the first inning at Oracle Park.
New York Mets starting pitcher Kodai Senga (34) delivers a pitch against the San Francisco Giants during the first inning at Oracle Park. / D. Ross Cameron-Imagn Images

Senga's FIP (1.69) is more representative of how he's looked so far than his ERA (3.09).

But the most important thing is that he again looks healthy. And if it stays that way, it's fair to believe the results will follow.

During his four-year MLB career, Senga has a 3.00 ERA and 1.24 WHIP with a strikeout rate of 10.2. Translation? When he's healthy, he's an elite performer. 

Jeff McNeil's return

McNeil, who was traded to the A's during the offseason, will be at Citi Field as a visitor for the first time.

The infielder, who spent the first eight years of his career in Queens, has started to heat up after a slow start to the season.

Over his last six games, McNeil is slashing .389/.476/.444 in 21 plate appearances.

That includes a pair of two-hit games against the Yankees in the Bronx. 

The hot and cold A's

The A's are 5-7, but are coming off a series win over the Yanks.

Their offense has been all over the place and ordinarily all or nothing. 

For example, they scored 23 runs in two wins over the Astros earlier this week, but were shut out in their one loss to Houston.

And even while taking two out of three games in the Bronx, the A's mustered just seven runs total.

One thing to keep an eye on is the health of slugger Brent Rooker, who exited Thursday's game early due to a back injury.

Predictions

Who will the MVP of the series be?

Luis Robert Jr.

Without Soto, Robert has been the toughest out in the lineup and the biggest source of power, hitting .333 with an NL-leading .480 OBP.

Which Mets pitcher will have the best start?

Freddy Peralta

Peralta, who gets the ball on Sunday, has looked better than his results. Expect that to start to match up. 

Which A's player will be a thorn in the Mets' side?

Shea Langeliers

Langeliers is off to a strong start, with a 182 OPS+ over his first 45 at-bats.

Good Morning San Diego: Padres get first walk-off win under Craig Stammen; City Connect 2.0 uniforms debut on field tonight

Apr 9, 2026; San Diego, California, USA; San Diego Padres shortstop Xander Bogaerts (2) celebrates with teammates after hitting a walk-off grand slam home run against Colorado Rockies relief pitcher Valente Bellozo (not pictured) in the twelfth inning at Petco Park. Mandatory Credit: Denis Poroy-Imagn Images | Denis Poroy-Imagn Images

Xander Bogaerts had to have felt a little disrespected when the Colorado Rockies elected to load the bases on back-to-back intentional walks to Jackson Merrill and Manny Machado to load the bases with Jake Cronenworth on third base. Bogaerts took the first pitch of the at-bat for a ball and then belted the second pitch deep into the left field bleachers for the walk-off grand slam that gave the San Diego Padres a 7-3 win in the bottom of the 12th inning. Randy Vasquez started the game for San Diego and the late-game heroics covered up his third stellar start of the season. The right-hander worked into the sixth inning allowing one run, which came on a solo home run by Brenton Doyle, and did not allow a walk. Vasquez recorded eight strikeouts in the game. The Padres continue their series against the Rockies at Petco Park tonight at 6:40 p.m. and they will wear their City Connect 2.0 uniforms in a game for the first time.

Padres News:

  • The San Diego minor league affiliates were in action all week, but they had to compete with the weather as much as the opponent on the field. Cheri Bell of Gaslamp Ball provides details about which prospects are drawing attention in the Padres organization.
  • Adrian Morejon has had a rough start to the 2026 season and Thomas Conroy of Gaslamp Ball says he needs to get right quick if the San Diego bullpen is going to be the dominant force all of baseball expects it to be.

Baseball News:

  • Seven other teams joined the Padres in unveiling their new City Connect uniforms on Thursday. See all of the new looks here.
  • A’s pitcher Jeffrey Springs took a no-hitter into the seventh inning against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium and said he did not know anything about it.
  • MLB.com provided the most recent injury roundup. See who landed on the IL here.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Friday, April 10

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It’s another full slate of MLB games today, which means lots of opportunities for homers.

My MLB player props and home run analysis will include Kerry Carpenter and Josh Bell.

Read more in my MLB picks for Friday, April 10.

Best MLB home run props today

Player to hit a HROdds
Tigers Kerry Carpenter+440
Twins Josh Bell+490

Kerry Carpenter (+440)

Kerry Carpenter is only hitting .184 so far, but he’s already clubbed two home runs. That’s after going deep a career-high 26 times last season.

The slugger has smacked a homer twice in his last five contests. The Tigers take on a Marlins team sending Chris Paddack to the hill tonight.

Paddack has had a shaky start to the campaign. He’s already allowed two home runs in just 8 1/3 innings of work while posting an 8.31 ERA.

Opponents have a .475 xSLG against him, and Carpenter has already taken him deep, going 3-for-5 with a bomb. 

  • Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Marlins.TV, DSN

Josh Bell (+490)

Josh Bell is thriving early in his first season with the Twins.

The slugger is batting .317 with three home runs and 10 RBI, and he just went deep on Thursday evening against the Tigers, finishing the game 3-for-4.

Bell is up against a familiar arm tonight in Patrick Corbin, who won’t be happy to see Bell in the batter’s box. 

The veteran is 4-for-16 lifetime versus Corbin with three bombs. He’s already smacked one homer this season off a left-handed hurler, and Corbin allowed 21 home runs last season.

  • Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Twins.TV, SN
Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
  • HR picks: 4-11, +4.32 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Angels vs Reds Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Cincinnati Reds are off to a strong 8-5 start, trailing only the powerhouse Los Angeles Dodgers in total wins.

With rising talent Chase Burns set to take the mound, my Angels vs. Reds predictions have Cincinnati defending home field with a win in the series opener.


Let’s break down my MLB picks for Friday, April 10.

Who will win Angels vs Reds today: Cincinnati Reds (-170)


Cincinnati Reds starter Chase Burns has allowed next to nothing through two games, holding opponents to a .154 average, .213 wOBA, and .77 ISO.

Burns leads all of today’s starters with a 37.2 K%, a 42% whiff rate, and a 20.6% swinging strike rate. He is giving up little to no contact and sitting hitters down at an electric rate.

Los Angeles Angels starter Jack Kochanowicz is not nearly as capable at missing bats, and he allows a lot of good contact to lefties – something top of the lineup bats Elly De La Cruz and TJ Friedl could exploit.

Expect the Reds’ pitching advantage to shine through.

Covers COVERS INTEL:Chase Burns owns a 34.2% soft contact rate, the lowest of today’s starting pitchers.

Angels vs Reds Over/Under pick: Under 9 (-104)

Burns has been dominant to start the season. While he showed some vulnerability to lefties last year, the Angels’ lineup is right-handed heavy.

Most of their notable bats – including Zach Neto, Mike Trout, and Jorge Soler – are righties, working in Burns’ favor.

The Angels rank 22nd in wOBA and 27th in line drive rate against right-handed pitching. They’re not a team that should cause Burns problems. 

On the other side, Kochanowicz looks improved with a .211 average and .285 wOBA allowed. He draws a Reds offense sitting 28th in wOBA vs. righties.

With both sides struggling against righties and a good pitching matchup, the Under is appealing.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 0-2, -2.12 units
  • Over/Under bets: 0-2, -2.34 units

Angels vs Reds odds

  • Moneyline: Angels +163 | Reds -170
  • Run line: Angels +1.5 (-122) | Reds -1.5 (+117)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 (+122) | Under 9.5 (-127)

Angels vs Reds trend

The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+13.45 Units / 24% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Angels vs. Reds.

How to watch Angels vs Reds and game info

LocationGreat American Ballpark, Cincinnati, OH
DateFriday, April 10, 2026
First pitch6:45 p.m. ET
TVApple TV
Angels starting pitcherJack Kochanowicz
(1-0, 4.66 ERA)
Reds starting pitcherChase Burns
(1-0, 0.82 ERA)

Angels vs Reds latest injuries

Angels vs Reds weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

MLB Player Props & Best Bets for Today, April 10

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It’s a rockin’ Friday in Major League Baseball with 15 games on tap, starting with the Pirates and Cubbies in the afternoon and ending with the Rangers and Dodgers throwing their first pitch at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Read below for my favorite MLB player props for Friday, April 9, starting in Baltimore with a red-hot Gunnar Henderson.

Best MLB player props today

Player PickOdds
Orioles Gunnar Henderson1+ runs-120
Yankees Giancarlo Stanton1+ HR+330
Braves Ronald Acuna Jr.2+ total bases-135

Gunnar Henderson 1+ runs (-120)

It’s been a great week for Baltimore Orioles SS Gunnar Henderson, who has hits in five of his last six games.

That includes three home runs, a pair of doubles, and five runs batted in. He’s also scored at least one run in all but one game.

He’ll be facing San Francisco Giants’ SP Landen Roupp for the first time. Roup is coming off a brutal 9-0 loss to the Mets, where he was tagged for seven hits and seven runs.

Roupp's career WHIP of 1.425 is nothing to fear. Back Henderson to cross the plate at Camden Yards tonight.

  • Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Apple TV+

Giancarlo Stanton 1+ HR (+330)

Tampa Bay Rays starter Steven Matz is 2-0 and coming off his best start of the year, albeit against the Twins. He now gets a massive class test against the Yankees, a team that's tagged him pretty well in the past.

I’m going with Giancarlo Stanton to take him yard. The Yankees’ outfielder is hitting .326 out of the gate, but has just one home run on the year. It’s a nice spot for him to double that output.

Stanton is a career .316 hitter off Matz in 19 at-bats, with a pair of home runs and four RBI.

  • Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: MLBN

Ronald Acuna Jr. 2+ total bases (-130)

It’s been a slow start to the year for Ronald Acuna Jr, hitting just .204 with no homers in his first 49 at-bats, but there are signs of him heating up.

He rapped a pair of doubles against the Angels last time out, doubling his two-base total on the year.

He’s 1-for-3 in his career against Slade Cecconi, but this matchup is more about how the righty got rocked in his lone road start of the year. Cecconi was pelted for six hits and six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings in an 8-0 loss to the Mariners.

This feels like a good spot for Acuna to keep hitting the ball hard.

  • Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: CleGuardians.TV, BravesVision

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

MLB's Black population grows again two years after bottoming out

Major League Baseball, after sinking in 2024 to its lowest Black population in the sport since 1955, has now shown an increase in back-to-back years for the first time in about two decades, according to MLB’s research.

The African American population is 6.5% on this year’s opening-day rosters and injured lists, a rise from 5.7% in 2024 and 6% last year.

MLB officials are encouraged that developmental programs are starting to produce results, with 20 of the 62 African American players participating in their youth academies, Breakthrough or Dream Series or an invitational. It also includes nine former first-round picks.

There’s also optimism there will be gains in the future with just eight Black players older than 32, and 34 of the players 27 years or younger. There were 17 Black minor-league players on 40-man rosters on opening day, which was reduced to 16 when the Milwaukee Brewers called up outfielder Blake Perkins.

Still, it’s alarming that there are six teams who opened the season without a single Black player on their roster, double the total of last year.

Drake Baldwin was the 2025 NL Rookie of the Year.

The Chicago Cubs, San Francisco Giants, Boston Red Sox, San Diego Padres and Pittsburgh Pirates are all without a single African American player. The Padres also don’t have a Black player in the minors on their 40-man roster.

There are 11 teams with no more than one Black player on the roster, including the Los Angeles Dodgers, who will celebrate Jackie Robinson’s breaking the color barrier in 1947 on Wednesday against the New York Mets.

Two of the smallest-market teams have the most Black players in baseball, the Minnesota Twins and Cincinnati Reds. The Twins have six Black players on their roster, including two Black starting pitchers_Taj Bradley and Simeon Woods-Richardson. The Reds have five Black players on the roster.

Together, the Twins and Reds comprise of 17.7% of the African American population in baseball.

While MLB continues to try to develop more Black pitchers and catchers, with an annual Dream Series each year in Tempe, Arizona, Atlanta’s Drake Baldwin remains the only everyday Black catcher. Baldwin, the 2025 NL Rookie of the Year winner, is the first everyday African American catcher since All-Star Charles Johnson, who last played in 2005.

“It’s definitely a position you don’t see many Black players," Baldwin told USA TODAY Sports, “so it’s kind of nice to break that stereotype and gives you the motivation to keep going.’’

And although there are 13 pitchers on every MLB team, there currently are only 13 Black pitchers in the league. Reliever Joe Ross, who made the Diamondbacks’ opening-day roster, was designated for assignment last week.

“My why is being able to grow the numbers of African American players within our sport," Reds starter Hunter Greene told USA TODAY Sports in December, “or at least give the opportunity to the Black community. It's up to the kids to want to continue to pursue baseball. But it's clear as day, I'm 10 toes down in my why. …I've seen my impact in real time."

While the Black population in baseball is slightly growing, MLB continues to see gains internationally, with 26.1% of its players born outside the United States, spanning 16 countries and territories. Japan has 14 players in MLB, its most since 2010. Canada has 17 players, the country’s most since 2013, including Black Canadians Josh and Bo Naylor. The Dominican Republic has 93 players in the big leagues, leading all foreign nations.

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This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Black MLB players see growth again in 2026 population

Do the Astros Need to Make a Big Splash for a Pitcher?

“The best laid plans of mice and men often go awry.” — Robert Burns

Often the best judge of a general manager’s character is not what happens when things go according to plan, but what happens when those plans go sideways. In some sense, fans will want to hold Dana Brown accountable for not having contingency plans for some of these injuries and poor play, but some of that is not reasonable. The question is what happens from here.

I often wish I could be a fly on the wall when general managers and other executives talk. Dana Brown could be forgiven for feeling some desperation. It is hard to imagine so many plans going awry so quickly and so completely. On the one hand, the team sits at 6-7 and they have been in more dire straits before. Seemingly, they have been in worse position in each of the past three seasons at different points of the season. So, panic is not on the level of believing you are tumbling out of contention in mid-April.

The panic probably results from a number of calculated gambles that have all come up snake eyes. Jake Meyers pulled up lame in his first at bat of the game and could be disabled. When the Astros broke camp the assumption was that Zach Cole would be ready to step in and take over in that instance. He fell on his face this spring and then broke his foot in AAA. He is out a couple of months at least himself. The team can deploy Brice Mathews this year, but his K rate is close to 50 percent. That’s problem number one.

Problems two through infinity are all on the mound. The club hoped that Mike Burrows would step up and become a number two starter. That hasn’t happened yet. Tatsuya Imai looked good in his second start, but he is hardly a sure thing either. The only sure thing in the rotation is no longer a sure thing. Hunter Brown is on the shelf for at least a month.

The news went from bad to worse when Cristian Javier suddenly left the game before throwing a pitch in the second inning. He wasn’t off to a good start to begin with. Couple that with the sudden ineffectiveness of Bryan Abreu and you could be forgiven for looking past the 6-7 record and expressing more pessimism in the moment. For a general manager in the last year of a contract, this is the nightmare scenario. A normal general manager on a longer leash would exercise patience. A guy that wants to win now to keep his job must be sweating bullets.

I make no bones about the fact that I am a data driven guy. However, this commentary is not offered in the form of a lab because the labs have to remain pure to the search for truth and knowledge. This is more a gut feel. My gut is based on data and analytical thinking in part, but there is also an emotional bent to it. This feels like an avalanche. The temptation is to make some kind of trade to bring a jolt into a team reeling from sudden injury woes. That instinct would be a mistake.

Part of this is based on science. Vince Gennero used to be the president of SABR and he wrote a landmark book called “Diamond Dollars.” In that book he posited a lot of revolutionary ideas and one of those was the sweet spot of when to spend. Most good players are worth three to five wins. Six plus win players are rarely available and players worth less than three wins are probably not worth a major investment. That is true for free agency, but it is also true for trades.

The hot name right now is Sandy Alcantara. He is an impending free agent, so it is fairly certain that the Marlins will deal him before the deadline to recoup some value there. He is 2-0 with an ERA under 1.00 in the early part of the season, so it appears he is back to top form. The temptation is to think that a healthy Brown and Alcantara could team with Burrows and Imai to form a pretty good top four of a playoff rotation. That is assuming that it would be enough to get into the playoffs.

Gennaro posited that the sweet spot for making moves was when a team was somewhere around 85 wins. Those three to five wins would throw you into the playoffs. This is probably where commenters would point out that I picked them to win 85 games. This was based on a healthy Brown and a reasonably effective Cristian Javier and Bryan Abreu. This has the look of an 80 win team now. I’m not sure that warrants expending prospect capital to turn the tide.

This is the other half of the equation. The Astros don’t have a ton of hot prospects. Kevin Alvarez, Ethan Frey, Xavier Neyens, and Walker Janek qualify on that front. An Alcantara (or other similar player) would cost at least two of them. With Yainer Diaz looking overmatched, trading Janek has to be seen as a no go. That leaves you two of the three others (and probably one more prospect). In a system with few impact position player prospects, that would be extremely painful and Alcantara would be a pure rental.

Not making a trade does not mean surrendering. You have depth in Sugar Land that might help you stem the tide. Obviously, situations can change. Just a week ago we were feeling good about a 5-2 baseball team. It isn’t the losses that hurt. It is losing three players in the span of a week. This feels like 2025 all over again. It feels like fixing holes in a boat with chewing gum. That’s not the right time for desperation moves. The best move is to hope everything stabilizes. If it does then you can reevaluate a decision to add down the line. If it doesn’t then all the additions in the world won’t matter.

What are your first impressions of Jonathan Bowlan?

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - APRIL 1: Jonathan Bowlan #52 of the Philadelphia Phillies throws a pitch against the Washington Nationals at Citizens Bank Park on April 1, 2026 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images) | Getty Images

When the Phillies acquired Jonathan Bowlan in a trade over the winter with the Kansas City Royals in exchange for Matt Strahm, you would have been forgiven if it was the first time you were ever hearing about someone named Jonathan Bowlan. The 29-year-old had only appeared in 37 career MLB games to that point, spending the majority of his professional career in the minor leagues.

But the Phillies apparently saw something more in Bowlan, and despite an unglamorous spring, he has found himself primarily used as the third right-hander out of the Phillies bullpen after Jhoan Duran and Brad Keller thanks in part to the previous absence of Orion Kerkering. So far in 2026, Bowlan has allowed three runs on seven hits in five innings pitched. But he also has five strikeouts and has yet to walk a batter.

He’s flashed some impressive stuff, as Bowlan is averaging 97.5 MPH on his fastball, a full 2 MPH increase from 2025. He’s thrown his new sweeper ten times and has generated a swing and miss on nine of those pitches. In addition to adding that sweeper, the Phillies also have had Bowlan change his pix mitch so far, throwing his changeup more and his slider less than he has in the past. Again, this is in a miniscule sample size of just 84 total pitches, but it will be interesting if this mix is the plan going forward.

Meanwhile the man traded for Bowlan, Matt Strahm, has allowed three runs in 4.2 IP for the Royals with two walks and five strikeouts. But whereas Bowlan’s velocity is up two miles per hour, Strahm’s is down two miles per hour to 90.1 MPH from his already diminishing 92.3 MPH from last season. The direction of both relievers will be something interesting to track as the 2026 season goes on.

So, what are your first impressions of Jonathan Bowlan? Is there something here and he’s only scratching the surface of what the Phillies pitching program can pull out? Or is he just an unimpressive depth reliever? Has anything Bowlan’s done stood out in any way to you, good or bad?

Minor League Recap: Everyone loses

Columbus Clippers Travis Bazzana (12) throws the ball to first base during home opener at Huntington Park on Tuesday, March 31, 2026, in Columbus, Ohio. | Samantha Madar/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Columbus Clippers 0, Worcester Red Sox 5

Clippers fall to 7-5

Columbus managed just four hits on Thursday and Nolan Jones had two of them, going 2-for-4. The only other player to reach base safely twice was Kody Huff, who went 1-for-3 with a walk.

Starting pitcher Logan Allen was tagged for four runs on four hits with three walks and seven strikeouts in 4.2 innings pitched.

Will Dion had 1.1 scoreless frames of relief and Hunter Gaddis allowed one run on one hit with a hit by pitch in his one inning of rehab work.

The lone bright spot was Daniel Espino, who continues to pitch spotlessly, striking out two batters in a scoreless inning of work. I can’t wait until they start allowing him to pitch more than one inning at a time.

Akron RubberDucks 1, Harrisburg Senators 12

RubberDucks fall to 3-3

This one was uuuuuugly. Christian Knapczyk was the lone source of runs for Akron, hitting a fourth inning solo shot over former Guardian prospect Alex Clemmey.

Other than that, the only offensive bright spot was Jose Devers, who went 1-for-2 with a pair of walks.

Starting pitcher Khal Stephen was OK, allowing three runs (one earned) on seven hits in 3.2 innings pitched. He struck out five and walked two.

Reliever Jack Carey had an especially rough day, giving up five runs on three hits and two walks in just 0.1 innings.

Position player Guy Lipscomb got to pitch late in the game, giving up a pair of runs in one inning.

Lake County Captains 4, Dayton Dragons 7

Captains fall to 3-3

The top of Lake County’s batting order accounted for nearly all of the team’s offense in this game.

Jace LaViolette’s bat woke up from its ancient slumber as he picked up his first two career hits as a professional ballplayer. He went 2-for-5 with a double.

Jaison Chourio reached base safely three times, going 2-for-4 with a walk and two stolen bases.

Nolan Schubart walked twice and scored a pair of runs while both Anthony Silva and Garrett Howe went 1-fo-3 with a walk.

Starting pitcher Jackson Humphries was solid, allowing three runs on three hits in 5.0 innings with four strikeouts and two walks.

Miguel Virguez was tattooed for four runs on four hits and a walk in just 0.2 innings of work. Cam Walty cleaned up the mess with 2.1 innings of scoreless long relief and three strikeouts.

Hill City Howlers 3, Fredericksburg Nationals 8

Howlers fall to 3-3

Fredericksburg jumped all over starting pitcher Joey Oakie with four runs in the first inning and two more in the second, although three of the runs were unearned.

Oakie’s final line was 3.0 innings pitched, six runs, three earned on five hits with three walks and two strikeouts.

Jervis Alfaro was sensational in long relief, striking out seven in 4.0 scoreless innings of work.

Jose Pirela was a standout on offense, going 2-for-3 with a home run and a walk.

Luis De La Cruz also went 2-for-3 with a walk. No one else reached base twice or had an extra base hit.

Is the Polar Bear coming out of his offensive deep freeze?

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - APRIL 08: Pete Alonso #25 of the Baltimore Orioles looks on against the Chicago White Sox at Rate Field on April 08, 2026 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images) | Getty Images

[Warning: Mixed metaphors incoming. Polar bears don’t like the heat. But human ballplayers do go hot and cold, respectively and metaphorically.]

When the Orioles signed Pete Alonso last winter, they knew they what they were getting: the big, slow, mashing first baseman whose value resides entirely in the batter’s box. Not a fielder. Not a base stealer. A big bat, designed to hit dingers, strike fear in the hearts of opposing starters, and do little else.

So when Alonso dove headfirst into second base in the sixth inning of Wednesday’s come-from-behind win against the White Sox—belly flopping across the bag on a hustle double that ignited the go-ahead rally—it felt like a statement… maybe? … about this team and its character, surely, but more importantly, about what version of Pete Alonso we might come to expect.

One double is a rounding error in the career of this five-time All Star. (He’s hit 185, if you were wondering.) But it felt encouraging in context. The truth is, through the first twelve games of 2026, Alonso has been… ice-cold. Not, to prolong this strained image, like a Polar Bear romping in the Artic; more like, well, a first baseman you worry might be overpaid, granted a generous five-year, $155 million contract. He’s hitting .188 with a .264 OBP and .556 OPS.

Wednesday didn’t fix that. But maybe it was the start of improvement. Twelve games, as we know, is nothing.

Also, there are other things going right. Alonso is pounding the ball right now. He’s posting career-highs in exit velocity (95.1 mph) and hard-hit percentage (60.6%). He’s walking at normal rates, and he’s not chasing, either.

The story seems pitch-specific. Alonso is a hitter who loves to hit fastballs, and this year, results-wise, despite good contact, it’s not going well: his average off heaters is .185, although with an expected average (.241) about seventy points better. Interestingly, the launch angle on this pitch is way down: 5 degrees. So is his bat speed: 72.9 mph, down from above 75 in most seasons since MLB Statcast started keeping track. With a lot of ground balls off heaters, this helps to explain why his power is way down, as evidenced by a career .261 ISO (isolated power) and a .104 mark so far this season.

Also, his strikeouts are up: 28.3% versus a career 22.9%. This seems to be driven by swinging strikes against breaking balls, a 40.7% whiff rate that’s a career high in the way you don’t want. It seems Alonso is having difficult timing up offspeed and breaking pitches, and he’s seeing more of them, especially on the first pitch, than ever.

Alonso is struggling to hit lefties (.100 LH vesus .211 RHP splits, respectively), but he’s struggling to hit lefty fastballs most of all. He still doesn’t have a hit off this pitch, despite already seeing 26 of them so far. As for right-handed pitchers, his worst work is against changeups: he’s still hitting .000 off these.  

I’m curious about the bat speed, but otherwise, my best guess, these problems are fluky and small sample-size-based and shouldn’t continue. The weather is still cold, Alonso’s career lefty-righty splits are .231/.260, and power has always been his greatest strength. If I had to guess, I’d say he still hasn’t found his timing.

Back on Wednesday, that sixth-inning double came off an 86-mph sweeper from a right hander. This is a pitch Alonso hasn’t had much luck with all season. Instead, this time he put a charge into one to the gap, and then he ran. Hard and true, pulling out a double with a dive into the bag before later scoring on a wild pitch. It was inspiring hustle from the big man.

Pete Alonso’s designated role on this team is clubhouse leader and big bat. So far, he hasn’t found the latter, for interesting reasons. But there’s a lot more to him as a hitter and he’s certainly already earned a lot of trust with his impressive career track record and leadership role on this new team.

Once the power shows up, the Polar Bear will be an anchor of this lineup. He’s here to play.

The Orioles are now 6-6, back at .500 after Wednesday’s sweep-clincher over the White Sox, and they feel like a team that’s finding something. Whether Alonso ends up being a difference-maker in the traditional sense remains to be seen. But this week, when the moment called for effort over elegance, he delivered.

Friday morning Rangers things

ARLINGTON, TEXAS - APRIL 08: Jake Burger #21 of the Texas Rangers reacts to a victory over the Seattle Mariners at Globe Life Field on April 08, 2026 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Good morning, LSB.

The Rangers were off yesterday.

They spent the off day releasing their new city connect uniforms.

Evan Grant has details on the jersey paying homage to North Texas’ Mexican heritage.

Jeff Wilson says the Rangers are bringing back red.

Elsewhere Wilson also has notes on the Rangers’ big sweep before they take on the mighty Dodgers.

Grant takes a look at where the team stands before its long road trip.

Grant also had a long YouTube Q&A where he answered fan questions.

And finally Evan will be waiting tables at Rodeo Goat today to raise money for Mercy Street Dallas.

That’s all for this morning. The Rangers take on the Dodgers tonight 9 with Kumar Rocker getting the late start for Texas.

Happy Friday!

Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire: Francisco Alvarez on fire, top prospect Noah Schultz gets the call

Welcome to Waiver Wire Watch, our weekly fantasy baseball waiver wire guide. We'll be doing things a little differently this season, with Eric Samulski publishing the initial waiver-wire article on Friday afternoon. Then James Schiano updates it every Sunday to make sure you get the most up-to-date information.

The premise of the article is pretty straightforward. We'll give you some recommended adds each week based on recent production or role changes. When we list a player, we'll list the category where we think he’ll be helpful or the quick reason he’s listed. We hope it helps you determine if the player fits what your team needs. Not every "trending" player will be a good addition for your specific roster.

To qualify for this list, a player needs to be UNDER 40% rostered in Yahoo! formats. We understand you may say, “These players aren’t available in my league,” and we can’t help you there. These players are available in over 60% of leagues and some in 98% of leagues, so they’re available in many places, and that can hopefully satisfy readers who play in all league types.

⚾️ Baseball is back on NBC: MLB returns to NBC and Peacock in 2026! In addition to becoming the exclusive home of Sunday Night Baseball, NBC Sports will broadcast MLB Sunday Leadoff, “Opening Day” and Labor Day primetime games, the first round of the MLB Draft, the entire Wild Card round of the postseason, and much more.

MLB: Spring Training-Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers
Cleanup man Sal Stewart climbs further and Mets rookie Carson Benge debuts.

Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Hitters

Francisco Alvarez - C, NYM (40% rostered)

(POWER UPSIDE, ELITE PROSPECT PEDIGREE)

I'm making an exception as to our 40% rule with Alvarez literally at that roster-ship rate to include him on this list. Let's just say... tie goes to the 24-year-old catcher with elite batted ball metrics. He's come out of the gate red-hot with four home runs and a .300/.391/.625 through 14 games to start the season. That's a continuation of his second half last year when he had a .276/.360/.561 with eight homers in 41 games following a shocking demotion to the minor leagues. That torrid stretch came while he had a torn ligament in one of his thumbs and broken pinkie on his other hand. Now, he's totally healthy and showing the best in-zone contact rate of his career along with his highest pulled fly ball rate since 2023. He also just received a start at designanted hitter this past week when the Mets wanted to give him a night off behind the plate and is moving up towards the middle of their order. It's wheels up for the former phenom who was a fringe draftee in one-catcher formats. Yainer Diaz looks awful once again, Salvador Perez is ice cold, Adley Rutschman just went on the injured list, there is a spot in nearly every league for Alvarez at the moment.

Andrés Giménez - 2B/SS, TOR (33% rostered)

(BOUNCE-BACK CANDIDATE, STOLEN BASE UPSIDE)

Giménez was a hitter I covered this week in my article on swing or approach changes. The middle infielder has taken a more opposite-field approach this season. His stance is more closed, his feet are spread a little wider, and he's standing almost three inches further off the plate. That is another good way to make it easier to drive the ball the other way and avoid being jammed. Giménez’s Squared-Up Rate, which measures how often a batter makes contact on the sweet spot of the bat to maximize exit velocity on his swing type, is up 11% from last year. He is now 27th-best in baseball, right next to Chandler Simpson, Jacob Wilson, and Maikel Garcia. This is an approach that could lead to Giménez hitting .270 or higher with 20+ stolen-base upside while hitting in a good lineup. If he can also get back to 10 home runs, that’s a pretty usable season overall. Mauricio Dubon - 2B/3B/SS/OF - ATL (35% rostered) is also an interesting middle infield option. He's starting every day for Atlanta and hitting .333/.362/.556 with two home runs and nine RBIs. His hard-hit rate and exit velocities are up from his career norms, perhaps because it seems like he's being a bit more selective and looking to pull the ball. I like this more in deeper formats, but his position versatility makes him a solid bench piece you can use to plug various holes on your roster.

Carter Jensen - C, KC (33% rostered)

(PROSPECT PEDIGREE, POWER UPSIDE)

If you were one of the unfortunate few who lost Alejandro Kirk to injury last weekend, Jensen could be a great option. He has three home runs already this year with a 50% hard-hit rate. A 70% pull rate is probably not sustainable, but it does show us that he's actively looking to get the ball out front and do damage. His contact rates are down from last year, so he may need to dial it back a bit and make pitchers come into the zone more; however, I like the skills here. I also think Dillon Dingler - C, DET (26% rostered) could be an option. He had a solid season last year, but has come out this year and is hitting the ball harder with a better attack angle. He's being far more aggressive, which is leading to some swing-and-miss that could be an issue, but I love the quality of contact.

Colt Keith - 1B/2B/3B, DET (29% rostered)

(STRONG-SIDE PLATOON, BATTING AVERAGE UPSIDE)

Keith is another player I covered in that article this week on hitters who have changed their stance or approach. The 24-year-old has had the second-biggest jump in bat speed, up 2.8 mph from 70.7 mph to 73.5 mph. Keith has also made some changes to his batting stance, closing his stance off by eight degrees. He has also improved his Ideal Angle Attack Rate significantly, which might be why Keith has seen his line drive rate improve by almost 3%, and his hard-hit rate is up from 43.7% to 56.5%. I don't love that he sits versus lefties and can also be removed mid-game when a lefty comes in, but this is a former top prospect who is playing nearly every day and hitting the ball well. I think that's worth buying into.

Owen Caissie - OF, MIA (27% rostered)

(PROSPECT PEDIGREE, POWER UPSIDE)

We've had Caissie in the article both weeks so far, but his roster rate is still not high enough. Caissie was the key piece the Marlins acquired from the Cubs for Edward Cabrera this winter and has already made his presence known by going 11-for-34 (.324) with two home runs, 12 RBI, and one steal in his first 12 games. He has tremendous raw power and has been much better at not chasing out of the zone than he was in his brief MLB sample last season. There are some concerns about his swing-and-miss as a minor leaguer, but he made gains in Triple-A last year and appears to be carrying those over this year as well. It's too early for Statcast metrics to really matter; however, it's certainly not a bad thing that Caissie is third in baseball in barrels per plate appearance, right behind Freddie Freeman and Jordan Walker and ahead of Shohei Ohtani and Sal Stewart. If you have an IL spot open, it might be time to snag George Valera - OF, CLE (0% rostered). The 25-year-old former top prospect was supposed to be a regular starter in the outfield for Cleveland before he got hurt in spring training. He has now played five games in Triple-A on his rehab assignment and has looked good. It's probably not long before he gets called up and gets a shot to take his job back.

Josh Bell - 1B, MIN (27% rostered)

(STARTING JOB, COUNTING STAT UPSIDE)

When I wrote my preseason article on Process+ leaders, Bell jumped off the page. He and Andrew Vaughn were the only two hitters on the list who scored over 100 (better than league average) in all of Decision Value, Contact Value, and Power Value. The decision part shouldn’t surprise you for Bell since he has a career 11.2% walk rate and sub-26% chase rate. Bell also has a career 10% SwStr% and has been above an 85% zone contact rate every year since 2022, so he has at least league-average contact ability, if not slightly better. All of that is pretty appealing. Plus, he's now among the top 15 hitters in baseball in Pull Air rate, which means he's likely to hit for more power than we've seen from him in the past. That's a profile that works in most league types. Rhys Hoskins - 1B, CLE (1% rostered) is also worth looking at in deeper formats. He's off to a decent start in Cleveland, but we haven't seen tons of power. However, it's also been cold in a lot of the Northern part of the country. Hoskins is 16th in baseball in barrels per batted ball event, and even though we know it's too early to simply rely on that, it does tell us that his quality of contact has been good so far.

Mickey Moniak - OF, COL (19% rostered)

(REGULAR PLAYING TIME, POWER UPSIDE)

Moniak was a hitter I covered in a few offseason articles. Last year, he posted his best season yet, and not just in surface-level stats. His bat speed increased, his barrel rate jumped to nearly 14%, his hard-hit rate was a career-high 45%, and he made more contact than he ever had before. He has plenty of power and hits in arguably the best offensive environment in the game. Maybe he’s more of a .250-.260 hitter, given his league average overall contact, but he’s going to make that contact count. That's especially true this year since he's swinging more often than he ever has before, which gives him more chances to make impactful contact. I think he could be a 25-home run hitter while batting near the top of the lineup for the Rockies.

TJ Rumfield- 1B, COL (19% rostered)

(STARTING JOB, BATTING AVERAGE UPSIDE)

TJ Rumfield was on here last week and saw his roster rate rise from 5%. However, a week at Coors Field is likely going to lead to a big boost in production for him. Rumfield was traded from the Yankees to the Rockies this offseason and was able to win the starting first base job after Blaine Crim suffered a spring training injury. Rumfield is a career .271 hitter in the minor leagues and slashed .285/.378/.447 with 16 home runs in 138 games in Triple-A last year. We know that hitting in Colorado improves batting average, so there is a chance that Rumfield could be a solid batting average asset while playing in Coors. He's not going to hit for huge power, and the Rockies lineup around him isn't great, which could cap his counting stats and make him more of a deeper league target who you pick up and stream when he's in Colorado.

Garett Mitchell - OF, MIL (17% rostered)

(STARTING JOB, POWER/SPEED UPSIDE)

Mitchell was on here both weeks, but I think he should be rostered in more leagues, and I'd add him over Isbel. He's a former first-round pick and an intriguing prospect who has never played more than 69 games in a big league season due to injuries. He's healthy now and has gone 9-for-29 (.310) with three doubles, 13 RBI, and three steals to start the season. Mitchell has an 9.5% career barrel rate and the 11th-fastest bat speed in the big leagues, so he's not swinging a wet noodle. He also has the speed to swipe 20+ bases if he gets a full season of playing time. We doubt he'll get a full season of playing time, but he's healthy now, so it could be worth taking a gamble and riding the production as long as he's on the field. However, much like many of the names on this list, it seems like Mitchell will sit against left-handed pitching, so that needs to be part of your calculus. It's early, but he's top 25 in baseball in both barrels per batted ball event and exit velocity on fly balls and line drives, so I think there is some real power growth about to happen here.

Cole Young - 2B, SEA (16% rostered)

(REGULAR PLAYING TIME, POTENTIAL BREAKOUT)

Cole Young had an awesome spring training, hitting .281/.349/.667 with six home runs and three steals in 19 games. This season, his stance is now 35 degrees open, up from 8 degrees in 2025. He also narrowed his stance by over 10 inches, so his stance is narrower but more open. He’s now making contact over six inches further out in front of the center of his mass and is standing nearly four inches farther back in the box. That’s led to a 14% jump in pull rate and also has Young in the top 10 in Pull Air rate early in the season. That approach could make him around a 15 home run hitter, and it does create some swing-and-miss that may keep his average around .240, but when you pair that with an everyday player and the type of speed that has stolen 20+ bases in multiple minor league seasons, you have an interesting player as an MIF in fantasy formats. I'm also intrigued by Alex Freeland - 2B/3B/SS, LAD (1% rostered). Freeland has an exit velocity on fly balls and line drives of 100.8 mph, which is the 8th-highest in baseball. His hard-hit rate is up, and he's pulling the ball more, which are things we love to see. I don't love that he has a 55% groundball rate, but his contact rates are up from last year and more in line with what he did in the minors. He's still going to be the regular second baseman for the Dodgers for a few more weeks, and I think he could be a solid add now before a hot streak comes.

Kyle Isbel - OF, KC (16% rostered)

(STARTING JOB, STOLEN BASE UPSIDE)

Isbel is another repeat name on this list, but I truthfully don't buy it as much as I do with Caissie. His quality of contact has been good, with two home runs and a 91.3 mph average exit velocity, which is higher than anything he's ever posted. However, his swing path and attack angle don't look much different. His bat speed is up just about 0.7 mph, and he's swinging more outside of the zone and less inside the zone. His pull rate is down to 20%, so perhaps he's taking a more opposite field approach and letting the ball travel more. If that helps him get on base more often, that's worth noting because he has four steals already this season. I wouldn't go crazy here because I'm not sure this will last, but it's worth taking a small gamble on.

Mark Vientos - 1B/3B, NYM (14% rostered)

(REGULAR PLAYING TIME, PAST POWER UPSIDE)

With Juan Soto on the IL with a calf injury, Vientos is getting another shot in the Mets lineup and making the most of it, slashing .323/.353/.484 in 34 plate appearances with one home run and a 7/2 K/BB ratio. Vientos has the sixth-biggest jump in bat speed, up 2.1 mph from 71.2 mph to 73.3 mph; that’s entering a range of elite bat speed. However, his ideal attack angle rate has dropped 10%, his flyball rate has plummeted to 11.4%, while his hard-hit rate and exit velocities have also dropped. Vientos has the power to drive the ball out of any park, even if he’s not swinging for it, but I don’t love a 10% Pull Air rate from a player like Vientos. I'm OK taking a gamble in deeper formats because he has playing time, but I’m just not sure he’s going to do enough damage on his swings to really make a big impact.

Sunday Update: Vientos sat against right-handed pitchers on Friday and Sunday in favor of Jared Young. It seems his hold on playing time wasn't strong enough to outlast an 0-for-15 week.

Angel Martínez - 2B/OF, CLE (15% rostered)

(REGULAR PLAYING TIME, SPEED UPSIDE)

Martínez is a near-everyday player for the Guardians, has stolen a base in three consecutive games entering play on Sunday, and has hit second against the last four left-handed pitchers they've faced. This week, the Guardians are scheduled to face three lefties in a seven-game week which makes Martínez a decent deep league streaming option.

Jose Fernandez - SS, ARI (7% rostered)

(PLAYING TIME OPPORTUNITY, POWER UPSIDE

Fernandez was a popular waiver add two weeks ago after he hit two home runs in his MLB debut and also showed off elite speed. Then he got dropped in a lot of places after his playing time wasn't consistent. However, an injury to Carlos Santana has opened up some more at-bats for Fernandez, and he's gone 4-for-8 with a double, three runs scored, and one RBI while starting the last two games. The 22-year-old was not a top prospect in Arizona's system, but he made big strides in Double-A last year to cut his strikeout rate. He has elite bat speed and elite foot speed, so the raw tools here are exciting. He can also play all over the infield, which should give him a chance to earn playing time, but he has very little experience above Double-A and no long track record of minor league success, so there may be some bumps along the way.

David Hamilton - 2B/SS, MIL (4% rostered)

(OBP LEAGUE BOOST, STOLEN BASE UPSIDE)

We had Hamilton here last week, but he continues to steal bases, so we have to include him again. Hamilton has gone 6-for-23 (.261) to start the season with seven runs scored and four steals. He also has nine walks and a .485 on-base percentage, so he's getting on base and swiping bags, which has led him to be a huge fantasy asset for stretches before. He’s also a .222/.283/.359 career hitter in 550 MLB plate appearances, and Jett Williams is off to a good start in Triple-A, so it's unclear how long this lasts. One of my articles this week on swing changes also pointed me towards Javier Sanoja - 2B/3B/SS/OF, MIA (3% rostered), who is off to a good start in a part-time role in Miami. Sanoja has the fifth-biggest jump in Ideal Attack Angle rate, up to 53.1% from 32.3%, and his overall Attack Angle is up to 5 degrees from 2 degrees; an Ideal Attack Angle is between 5 and 20 degrees, so Sanoja is now in that range far more often, which is beneficial for him. He is intercepting the ball out in front of the plate almost four inches more this season, leading to a 62% pull rate, which is up from 39% last year. Sanoja has a 92.6% zone contact rate in his career, so if he is going to make more pulled contact and be more aggressive, his first pitch swing rate is up 12.8%, and he could get close to the .286 average he put up in the minors in 2024. Considering Miami likes to run, and Sanoja stole 37 bases in the minors in 2023, perhaps that could lead to some deep-league value.

Sam Antonacci - 2B/3B, CWS (4% rostered)

(PROSPECT PEDIGREE, OBP LEAGUE RISER)

The White Sox are calling up Antonacci to make his major league debut. A prospect riser over the past year, Antonacci made a name for himself with Team Italy in the World Baseball Classic and kept his momentum going with a .317/.509/.488 slash-line through 12 games at Triple-A this season. He exhibitted an extremely patient approach with one of the lowest swing rates in the minors in that small sample at Triple-A, but has a plus hit tool that allows him to make contact on the few pitches he does decide to swing at. Sometimes, these extremely patient approaches don't pay off at the major league level, but he's likely to run a high on-base percentage and is a fun deep league option given what we hope to be regualar playing time with multi-position eligibility.

Update: It seems as if the White Sox will not be calling up Antonacci after all. Or possibly aren't ready to announce it yet. Stand by.

Andrew Benintendi - OF, CWS (1% rostered)

(REGULAR PLAYING TIME, STRONG BATTED BALL QUALITY)

Benintendi is not off to a good start on the surface with a .176/.222/.235 slash line and a 44.4% strikeout rate. However, in deeper formats, I would still consider adding him (and holding Trent Grisham - OF, NYY (49% rostered) because they both have some intriguing things happening under the hood. For starters, Benintendi leads all of baseball in Pull Air Rate. I think his approach has been a bit extreme and likely won't maintain, but I like that Benintendi, who tied his career high in home runs last season, is looking to pull and lift the ball. Benintendi also has a 61% hard-hit rate and plays every day for the White Sox. This is a bit of a gamble that he's going to iron out an approach that has gone a bit too far to start the season, but it's a gamble I'd take now in deeper formats before the results start to come and the price goes up.

Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Pitchers

Joey Cantillo - SP, CLE (32% rostered)

Cantillo was a favorite of mine in a few of my offseason articles on starting pitchers. The left-hander rejoined the rotation at the end of last year and, in his final 10 starts of the season, posted a 2.48 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 54/22 K/BB ratio in 54.1 innings. He had a really strong 32.5% CSW and 13% SwStr% over that stretch as well. Much of that success is led by his changeup, which is a legitimately dominant pitch. That pitch was working for him on Wednesday when he dominated the Royals, and, truth be told, when that pitch is working, he can handle most lineups. There will be some volatility, but Cantillo has a really high ceiling.

Ryan Weathers - SP, NYY (27% rostered)

Weathers also has a high ceiling, and last week, I mentioned that I preferred Weathers to similarly trendy left-hander Kyle Harrison. We saw why on Thursday against the Athletics when Weathers allowed just one run in eight innings while striking out seven and walking nobody. The Yankees made many changes to Weathers' arsenal this year, and his arm angle dropped pretty drastically, so it makes sense that it's taken him a bit of time to adjust. However, I love that he's using the sinker far more to righties and that his sweeper has added horizontal run. Yes, I do believe there will be volatility, but the upside is tremendous.

Gregory Soto - RP, PIT (24% rostered)

We had Gregory Soto on this list last week before he recorded a save, but now he has one to his name, and the Pirates are surprisingly 7-5. Soto has allowed one run (a home run to Gunnar Henderson) on two hits in 7.1 innings with 13 strikeouts. We've seen him be an inconsistent reliever in the past, so I'm not expecting some massive breakout, but it's hard not to acknowledge that he looks great right now and is the clear 1A option in the Pirates bullpen situation. This is still not somebody I'm spending 30% of my budget on, but I would certainly pick him up and try to get some saves and strikeouts while he's running hot like this.

Sunday update: the Pirates passed over Soto for two save opportunities this weekend. On Friday, he pitched the eighth inning with Pete Crow-Armstrong due up third, but no other lefties. On Saturday, he threw just one pitch to retire the right-handed Carson Kelly in the seventh inning to help Justin Lawrence out of a jam. Dennis Santana earned the save Friday, then blew it on Saturday. This remains a closer-by-committee.

Jakob Junis - RP, TEX (21% rostered)

Junis recorded saves for the Rangers on Monday and Tuesday and is likely the leader in the clubhouse for saves right now. However,as I mentioned in the video I recorded about him this week, Junis is a command pitcher who leads with his slider and doesn't miss many bats. That's not a profile I expect to lead to a consistent closer. Cole Winn - RP, TEX (3% rostered) might be my preferred option in Texas in the short-term. Winn has thrown three scoreless innings, allowing one hit and striking out three. Winn also posted a 1.51 ERA in 41.2 innings last season for Texas. The issue for Winn is that he doesn't have elite stuff or strikeout rates, which could hurt his chances of earning a late-inning gig. However, if you're in really deep formats, he could be worth a gamble. I will say, long-term, I might gamble on Luis Curvelo - RP, TEX (0% rostered). He easily has the best stuff in the bullpen, with four pitches that all grade above-average by Stuff+, including a great sinker and slider. It may take him a while to earn save opportunities, but he has the pure stuff to take this job and keep it.

Landen Roupp - SP, SF (18% rostered)

I haven't given up on Roupp yet. His command wasn't great in his last start against the Mets, but his changeup is staying down in the zone and getting whiffs, and I like that he's using it more often. I think the entire pitch mix should bring back some of his strikeout upside, and he pitches in a great park for pitchers, so I think there is some upside here.

Noah Schultz - SP, CWS (17% rostered)

The White Sox are calling up Schultz to make his major league debut on Tuesday against the Rays. The top prospect in their system according to Baseball America, Schultz lost a bit of his shine last year when he suddenly could no longer find the strike zone. Yet, he came back this season on fire with 19 strikeouts and two walks over 14 1/3 innings before getting the call. His fastball sits at 96 mph from the left side and his sweeper is lethal. Past that, he'll mix a sinker, cutter, and changeup. He's a priority pick-up this week.

Didier Fuentes - SP, ATL (16% rostered)

We know the Braves' rotation is a bit of a mess right now. But it's also clinging to life. Reynaldo Lopez is healthy and pitching well. Bryce Elder seems to have taken a step forward, and Grant Holmes is seemingly avoiding the pitfalls of his elbow injury. However, if any of them get hurt or take a step back, Fuentes is waiting in the wings. He struck out eight in six innings in Triple-A this week, and is up over 80 pitches right now. He could be an elite add if he gets a job.

Bryan Baker - RP, TB (16% rostered)

I'm not quite sure why Baker's roster rate hasn't gotten higher. It's been a really tough start to the season for Griffin Jax, and Baker has stepped in to earn a save and an extra-innings win. He has some of the best Stuff+ grades in the Rays' bullpen, thanks to a strong slider and changeup, and I think Baker is clearly the primary guy in the Rays' bullpen right now. Jax's struggles also make Edwin Uceta - RP, TB (19% rostered) a good IL stash. He battled a "cranky shoulder" in spring training but should begin a rehab assignment in Triple-A shortly.

Sunday update: Baker nailed down another save on Friday night after Jax pitched the sixth inning. Then, on Saturday, he came in during the eighth inning against the middle of the Yankees' order with a one run lead. He promptly coughe up two runs. Hunter BiggeRP, TB (0% rostered) came in for the ninth inning after the Rays got one back and the game was tied. This appears to still be a closer-by-committee.

Bryan King - RP, HOU (9% rostered)

Bryan Abreu is really struggling right now. His velocity and pitch movement are simply not the same as what we've seen from him in the past. However, Josh Hader is just now starting to face hitters, and he'll then need to build up to a rehab appearance, and that will take a couple of weeks as well. That could mean that the Astros are searching for a closer for the next 3-4 weeks or more. It's hard to think Abreu is going to be that guy. King is a left-handed pitcher, but he's been counted on for that role a few times this year, and could do it again.

Sunday update: Astros’ manager Joe Espada gave Abreu a vote of confidence despite another ugly blown save on Saturday night. His velocity was still down, he still couldn't throw strikes, and didn't force one swing on a pitch out of the zone. Espada claims they're going to keep giving him opportunities, but it's hard to see a road forward for him at the moment.

Steven Matz - SP, TB (8% rostered)

A pleasant surprise so far, Matz looks like a completely adequate starting pitcher. He defeated the Yankees on Friday and struck out seven across five innings on his way to doing so. They sent out a lineup of nearly all right-handed batters to face the lefty Matz and he stymied them with a heavy diet of changeups and sinkers. That pair has been his bread and butter through three starts where he's pitched his way to a 3.94 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, and 27% strikeout rate. He's a solid streaming option this week too as he's lined up to face the White Sox.

Mick Abel - SP, MIN (8% rostered)

As we mentioned with Weathers, you can't completely abandon pitchers you believed in after just two starts. Yes, if you see a high-upside waiver-wire arm, feel free to make a move, but we shouldn't have been cutting Weathers or Abel just because. Abel has a really good fastball and a deep pitch mix that he has commanded well for multiple MLB starts. It didn't look great early on, but he made one relief appearance and then pitched in a blizzard. That context matters. On Thursday, he upped his changeup usage against lefties significantly, and the pitch posted a 32% CSW. His slider also missed bats against righties, and the fastball was solid. The start next week against Boston isn't ideal, but that Red Sox lineup hasn't looked deadly so far.

Foster Griffin - SP, WSN (7% rostered)

Griffin has had a pleasant return to the majors with a 1.76 ERA across three starts against the Phillies, Dodgers, and Brewers. The stuff isn't standout and he isn't missing many bats, but a six-pitch mix against right-handed batters has kept them guessing to this point. This is more of a deep-league dart throw if you need some innings. He's scheduled to face the Pirates in Pittsburgh this week before what will likely be a two-start week against the Braves and White Sox. Tread lightly.

Janson Junk - SP, MIA (6% rostered)

Sometimes you can't wait too long to see if a hot start is real or not. We heard that Janson Junk spent time in the offseason at Driveline, and then he came out in the first start and looked like a different pitcher. His four-seam fastball was almost two mph faster and with added vert, which made it a pretty nasty pitch. He also now has a kick change for lefties, which he can pair with a gyro slider for righties. I'm not 100% sure if this will actually work out, but he has looked like a new pitcher in his two starts, so I'm still taking a gamble in most formats to see what comes of this.

Sunday update: Junk allowed five runs — four earned — across five innings against the Tigers on Saturday. More telling than those poor results, his fastball velocity that we were excited about lagged back towards a 92 mph average as he was down over a full tick across the board. I'd recommend a holding pattern with him at the moment.

Spencer Arrighetti - SP, HOU (6% rostered)

Hunter Brown is likely to be out for at least a month, and very likely more, and Cristian Javier also left his game this week with an injury. It seems that Arrighetti is going to come up to start on Sunday and could settle into a spot in the Astros' rotation. He makes me a little nervous because he ended last season with an elbow injury and started this year delayed because of injury as well. However, you're not using a draft pick on him now, so you can put a modest waiver bid on him and see if he can remain healthy long enough to be useful for your team. I also like Ryan Weiss - SP, HOU (15% rostered), who looked really good in spring training before being moved into a long relief role to start the season. I know he got hit hard in his last time out, but I think Weiss could be a solid streamer if he gets into the rotation.

Sunday update: Arrighetti threw another start at Triple-A on April 9th and is tentatively lined up to face the Rockies at home on Wednesday. Through three starts in the minors, he struck out 20 batters across 14.1 innings

Blake Treinen - RP, LAD (4% rostered)

Edwin Díaz blew a save on Friday night in ugly fashion and his velocity has been down around 95 mph so far this season. Manager Dave Roberts told reporters the team has been monitoring that dip and made Díaz unavailable for their game on Saturday. When another save chance came up, Treinen got the call. Yet, he put two runners on — on a walk and then an error — before Alex Vesia (17% rostered) came on to shut the door. Tanner Scott (14% rostered) could be in the mix for saves as well should Díaz require a trip to the injured list.

Jacob Dudan to miss remainder of season with Tommy John Surgery

Jun 17, 2024; Omaha, NE, USA; The NC State Wolfpack bench watches action against the Florida Gators during the ninth inning at Charles Schwab Field Omaha. Mandatory Credit: Steven Branscombe-Imagn Images

NC State’s 2026 season took a significant hit as multiple sources have confirmed that JR RHP Jacob Dudan will require Tommy John Surgery for a torn UCL, ending his season and dealing a significant blow to the Wolfpack.

A potential 1st round pick in this year’s MLB Draft before the injury, this likely marks the end of Dudan’s Wolfpack career as he will still be a top three round draft pick come July. The junior from Huntersville was 4-1 with a 3.60 ERA this year over 50.0 innings, spanning eight starts. He had a 30.4 K% against a 5.9 BB% with hitters mustering just a .229 batting average against him.

The clear question here is around the workload that the team was placing on Dudan. Transitioning from his role as a high-leverage bullpen arm in 2024 and 2025, Dudan threw 100+ pitches in each of his last six starts, including 110+ in four of the last five. Given the high velocity and a heavy slider mix for the righty, it’s fair to question if he should have been allowed to work such high pitch counts.

With Dudan out, JR LHP Cooper Consiglio will likely slide into the weekend rotation, joining JR LHP Ryan Marohn and JR RHP Heath Andrews. That in turn pulls a valuable arm from an already thin bullpen for State.

Pirates vs Cubs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Chicago Cubs will look to improve their winning streak to three games when they host the Pittsburgh Pirates in an NL Central clash at Wrigley Field on Friday, April 10.

My top Pirates vs. Cubs predictions and MLB picks expect Chicago to pull off the victory, with the total going Over the number this afternoon.

Who will win Pirates vs Cubs today: Cubs moneyline (-140)

The Chicago Cubs will receive a boost with Seiya Suzuki making his season debut this afternoon, and the Cubbies have also been on the unlucky side to start the year.

Chicago ranks second in hard-hit rate and sixth in barrel percentage, so positive regression to a 25th-ranked BABIP is coming.

Additionally, Pittsburgh Pirates righty Carmen Mlodzinski has surrendered a 68.0% hard-hit rate through two starts, and three of his five offerings have negative pitch values.

Chicago starter Shota Imanga is also eyeing statistical correction with his 4.50 ERA above his 3.03 xERA and 3.48 xFIP.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Seiya Suzuki was third in wOBA on the Cubs in 2025, and he posted a monster .467 mark during his five-game rehab stint.

Pirates vs Cubs Over/Under pick: Over 6.5 (-113)

The wind is forecasted to be blowing in at the Friendly Confines, but Chicago isn’t truly going to live up to its Windy City moniker. 

As noted, the Cubs are positioned to have a breakout day at the dish, and have scored 24 runs across their past four games.

And, while Imanga has solid underlying numbers, the Pirates can also do damage.

Pittsburgh has a deeper and more potent lineup than in years past and ranks seventh in wOBA against lefties to start the season.

Neil Parker's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 3-4, -0.99 units
  • Over/Under bets: 1-2, -1.2 units

Pirates vs Cubs odds

  • Moneyline: Pirates +133 | Cubs -138
  • Run line: Pirates +1.5 (-156) | Cubs -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-113) | Under 6.5 (+108)

Pirates vs Cubs trend

The Cubs have covered the run line in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+7.25 Units / 43% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Pirates vs. Cubs.

How to watch Pirates vs Cubs and game info

LocationWrigley Field, Chicago, IL
DateFriday, April 10, 2026
First pitch2:20 p.m. ET
TVSportsNet Pittsburgh, Marquee
Pirates starting pitcherCarmen Mlodzinski
(0-0, 4.00 ERA)
Cubs starting pitcherShota Imanaga
(0-1, 4.50 ERA)

Pirates vs Cubs latest injuries

Pirates vs Cubs weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Yankees at Rays: 5 things to watch and series predictions | April 10-12

Here are five things to watch and predictions as the Yankees hit the road to take on the Rays from newly-renovated Tropicana Field.


5 things to watch

Offense looking for answers

The Yankees dropped their first series of the season, losing two of three games against the Athletics at Yankee Stadium. But it's not the fact that they lost, it's how it went down.

After Amed Rosario was the hero on Tuesday night, the offense went silent, dropping the final two games while scoring a total of two runs. After scoring two runs in the first inning of Wednesday's game, the Yanks picked up just two hits (and no runs) across the next 17 innings. 

While the players who have struggled to start the season continued to scuffle, the top of the order hasn't been great of late.

Aaron Judge was 1-for-9 with two walks and two strikeouts in the A's series. Giancarlo Stanton, Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Cody Bellinger had just four hits combined in the three games. 

Even Ben Rice, the team's hottest hitter, was just 2-for-10. As good as the pitching has been for the Yankees, they'll need more production from the hitters to achieve their goals.

Bottom of the order woes

A big part of the offensive outage has been the bottom of the order.

Ryan McMahon, Jose Caballero and Austin Wells are a combined 12-for-96 this season, including 2-for-18 in the three-game set against Oakland. That has forced manager Aaron Boone to shuffle the lineup in a number of ways. Rosario has started at third and second base recently, while McMahon and Caballero were given games off. 

McMahon even made his first MLB start at shortstop this week just to give a different look. Now, aside from Rosario's heroics on Tuesday, the lineup shuffling didn't work, but we should expect more this weekend. Boone confirmed Giancarlo Stanton will take one game off this weekend (likely Saturday) to give Judge a game at DH. 

How often will we see Rosario in the starting lineup? Can the bottom of the order improve, even a little, this weekend?

Luis Gil's season debut

After the Yankees broke camp with just four starters -- thanks to a number of off days -- the team is ready to bring Gil back.

Gil will make his season debut in the series-opener on Friday. The young right-hander was up-and-down in spring training, which resulted in him starting the season in the minors, but now it's time for him to try and reclaim his spot.

Feb 27, 2026; Fort Myers, Florida, USA; New York Yankees starting pitcher Luis Gil (81) throws a pitch against the Minnesota Twins in the first inning during spring training at Lee Health Sports Complex/Hammond Stadium.
Feb 27, 2026; Fort Myers, Florida, USA; New York Yankees starting pitcher Luis Gil (81) throws a pitch against the Minnesota Twins in the first inning during spring training at Lee Health Sports Complex/Hammond Stadium. / Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

As Gerrit Cole and Carlos Rodon work toward returns, and Will Warren and Ryan Weathers -- starters who can potentially be sent down once reinforcements arrive -- pulling their weight, Gil needs to get off to a good start.

He made one minor league start and allowed three runs in 4.2 innings. He struck out six but walked four, a problem that plagued Gil in 2025. 

Can Max Fried bounce back?

Fried got off to a scorching start to the season, not allowing a run in his first 13.1 innings. That momentum came to a halt against the Marlins on Sunday when he allowed three runs across 6.2 innings on a miserable, rain-delayed outing.

While still effective, the Yanks will need Fried to help them get back on track. The Yankees don't know what they'll get from Gil on Friday, so Fried on Saturday may be what stands between New York and a four-game losing streak.

Back at the Trop

The Yankees are well-acquainted with Tropicana Field, but it's been a while since they've actually traveled to St. Petersburg to take on their division rivals.

After spending their road games against Tampa Bay at their spring training facility last season, New York will finally return with all the quirks that come with the stadium that has housed the Rays since 1998. 

As Boone said prior to Thursday's series finale against the A's, he doesn't know what to expect when the team arrives.

Predictions

Who will the MVP of the series be?

Aaron Judge

The Yankees will see two southpaws this weekend and Judge has 11 home runs in 53 career games at Tropicana Field. 

Which Yankees pitcher will have the best start?

Max Fried

The last time Fried allowed three or more runs in back-to-back starts, you'll have to go back to mid-August of last season. Don't anticipate that happening this weekend.

Which Rays player will be a thorn in the Yankees' side?

Junior Caminero

Caminero has gotten off to a hot start, and it's easy to see him smashing a home run or two this weekend.