Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for July 23

Arizona (53-49) and St. Louis (52-49) meet for the fourth time in the past week as the two set up for a makeup game. The Diamondbacks won the previous series taking two out of three and are 4-2 overall against the Cardinals this season.

Arizona has won back-to-back games and moved to 4-2 in the second half of the year. The Diamondbacks' offense has been cooking lately with 21 runs in the last two games and 40 in the past six (5th). Arizona is hitting .290 (5th) and ranks top five in OPS, OBP, and SLG to start the second half.

St. Louis snapped a four-game losing streak with a 1-0 win against the Angels. The Cardinals are 2-4 in the second half and have scored the sixth-fewest runs (19) in that span. St. Louis has the fifth-worst batting average (.214) and the third-fewest home runs (3).

Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Diamondbacks at Cardinals

  • Date: Thursday, July 23, 2026
  • Time: 5:15 PM EST
  • Site: Busch Stadium  
  • City: St. Louis, MO
  • Network/Streaming: MLB TV

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Diamondbacks at the Cardinals

The latest odds as of Thursday:

  • Moneyline: St. Louis Cardinals (+101), Arizona Diamondbacks (-122)
  • Spread: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-206), Cardinals -1.5 (+168)
  • Total: 7.5

Probable starting pitchers for Diamondbacks at Cardinals 

  • Thursday's pitching matchup (July 23): Brandon Pffadt vs. Michael McGreevy
  • Diamondbacks: Bradon Pfaddt 

2026 stats: 59.0 IP, 4-1, 4.58 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 44 K, 18 BB

  • Cardinals: Michael McGreevy

2026 Stats: 108.0 IP, 4-7, 2.92 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 71 K, 24 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not

  • The Diamondbacks’ Gabriel Moreno is hitting .302 with 78 hits, 7 home runs and 34 RBI over 258 at-bats
  • The Diamondbacks’ Tim Tawa is hitting .217 with 23 hits and 26 strikeouts over 106 at-bats
  • The Cardinals’ Jordan Walker is hitting .289 with 110 hits, 22 home runs, and 76 RBI over 381 at-bats
  • The Cardinals’ Nathan Church is hitting .228 with 58 hits and 56 strikeouts over 254 at-bats

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Diamondbacks at Cardinals

  • Arizona is 56-46 ATS, ranking fifth-best
  • St. Louis is 57-44 ATS, ranking fourth-best
  • Arizona is 53-43-6 to the Under, ranking fourth-best
  • St. Louis is an MLB-best 55-40-6 to the Under
  • Arizona is 27-22 ATS on the road, ranking sixth-best 
  • St. Louis is 29-23 ATS at home, ranking fifth-best

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Cardinals and the Diamondbacks

Rotoworld Bet Best Bet

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Thursday's game between the Cardinals and the Diamondbacks:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Diamondbacks on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Diamondbacks at -1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Under on the Game Total of 7.5

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TWINS AT GUARDIANS: Williams vs. Bradley, discussion

CLEVELAND, OHIO - JULY 20: Rhys Hoskins #8 of the Cleveland Guardians celebrates after hitting a solo homer during the first inning against the Minnesota Twins at Progressive Field on July 20, 2026 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Here’s the Twins lineup

Here’s the Guardians lineup:

Let’s go, Guardians!

A Reason For The Rangers To Be Patient For Now

Danny Wild-Imagn Images
Danny Wild-Imagn Images

There are many ways to use the Knicks' success story to the Blueshirts advantage.  Ticketholder Mark Linde writes from his New Jersey estate with insightful ideas.

"The big lesson for the Rangers from the 'Down The Hall' Knicks is NOT TO RUSH THINGS. Here's the genuine reason why:

"A few years ago the Knicks had a good nucleus of young players. But instead of building on that growing foundation, they blew it upon a trade for an aging star Carmelo Anthony. The

Rangers now have a nice, young, promising group.

"That tells me that management should stay the course and build around it – even if it takes a few more years than you like.

-"The obvious, larger question is whether or not Chris Drury is the right man to remodel this franchise and whether Mike Sullivan is the coach to mold a new winner?"

Royals vs. Tigers prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for July 23

The Royals (43-60) open a four-game series in Motown tonight against the Tigers (48-54). Kansas City sits in last in the AL Central but they have won their last three games. Detroit is now 6.5 games behind the White Sox in the division and 4.5 back of the final Wild Card spot.

 

As mentioned, the Royals take the field tonight having won their last three after a sweep of San Francisco. Yesterday they rallied for a dramatic 5-4 victory. Kansas City trailed 3-0 entering the bottom of the seventh before mounting the comeback. The rally started with a double by Vinnie Pasquantino. Moments later, Salvador Perez blasted his 14th homer of the season, tying the George Brett for franchise home run record with the 317th homer of his career. After Nick Loftin drove in another run, Lane Thomas delivered the decisive blow, a two-run single that turned a 3-3 tie into a 5-3 Royals lead. Closer Steven Cruz surrendered a ninth-inning home run but recorded the final out to secure his first major league save and Kansas City's third consecutive victory.

 

Detroit closed its series in Chicago with a 5-1 win over the Cubs yesterday to take the series. on Wednesday. The Cubs got a first inning home run from Seiya Suzuki but that was it as Keider Montero allowed just two additional hits over 5.1 innings to secure his seventh win of the season. Spencer Torkelson and Hao-Yu Lee each went yard to provide the bulk of the offense for the Tigers. The win was Detroit’s sixth in their last ten games.

 

Tonight’s pitching matchup features Randy Dobnak (0-0, 1.93 ERA) for Kansas City against rookie standout Troy Melton (5-1, 1.80 ERA) for Detroit.

 

Veteran right-hander Randy Dobnak has appeared in three games this season, posting an impressive 1.93 ERA across 14 innings. However, he has walked eight batters while striking out seven, so command has been an issue at times. His last appearance was on July 18 against San Diego. Dobnak allowed one run over 4.1 innings walking four while striking out three. The Tigers hand the ball to one of the biggest surprises in the American League this season, Troy Melton. He takes the ball with a stellar 1.80 ERA, a 0.87 WHIP, and 50 strikeouts in 55 innings. In July, the 25-year-old Melton has thrown 17.1 inings and allowed one earned run.

 

Lets dive into tonight’s matchup and find a sweat or two.

 

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

 

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

 

Game Details and How to Watch: Royals vs. Tigers

 

  • Date: Thursday, July 23, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM EST
  • Site: Comerica Park
  • City: Detroit, MI
  • Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, Royals.TV, Tigers.TV

 

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

 

The Latest Odds: Royals vs. Tigers

The latest odds as of Thursday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Kansas City Royals (+182), Detroit Tigers (-224)
  • Spread: Royals +1.5 (-111), Tigers -1.5 (-108)
  • Total: 8.5 runs

 

Starting Pitchers and their Stats: Royals vs. Tigers for July 23

  • Royals: Randy Dobnak
    Season Totals: 14.0 IP, 0-0, 1.93 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 7K, 8 BB
  • Tigers: Troy Melton
    Season Totals: 55.0 IP, 5-1, 1.80 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 50K, 15 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not! Royals vs. Tigers

  • Salvador Perez has picked up at least one hit in 6 of his last 7 games (6-24)
  • Perez homered last night to tie George Brett as the Royals’ all-time HR King with 317
  • Carter Jensen was 1-12 in KC’s recent series against San Francisco
  • Vinnie Pasquantino was 3-9 against San Francisco
  • Kevin McGonigle is riding a 5-game hitting streak (6-19)
  • Dillon Dingler was 7-16 against the Cubs earlier this week
  • Zach McKinstry was 2-6 in the series against the Cubs earlier this week
  • Hao-Yu Lee has hit safely in 7 straight games (8-26)

 

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top Betting Trends & Insights: Royals vs. Tigers

  • The Royals are 44-59 on the Run Line this season
  • The Tigers are 53-49 on the Run Line this season
  • The OVER has cashed 50 times in games involving the Royals this season (50-52-1)
  • The OVER has cashed 43 times in games involving the Tigers this season (43-55-4)

 

Expert picks & predictions: Royals vs. Tigers

Rotoworld Bet Best Bet

 

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

 

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

 

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s game between the Royals and the Tigers:

  • Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Tigers on the Run Line.
  • Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total UNDER 8.5.

 

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
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  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
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Celebrating 55 years of being a Yankees fan

BRONX, NY - JUNE 6: Bobby Murcer of the New York Yankees meets with young Yankees fans who received bats as souvenirs of the day, prior to a game at Yankee Stadium on June 6, 1971 in the Bronx, New York. The Yankees held a second Bat Day on July 18, 1971. (Photo by Louis Requena/MLB via Getty Images)
BRONX, NY - JUNE 6: Bobby Murcer of the New York Yankees meets with young Yankees fans who received bats as souvenirs of the day, prior to a game at Yankee Stadium on June 6, 1971 in the Bronx, New York. (Photo by Louis Requena/MLB via Getty Images) | MLB via Getty Images

Being a Yankees fan is in my blood. My late father Bill was a diehard Yankees; his favorite player was Mickey Mantle. There was no way his first-born and only son was not going to be a Yankees fan. 

He took me to my first game 55 years ago, the anniversary of which just passed last Saturday.

It was July 18, 1971, a Bat Daydoubleheader against the Chicago White Sox on a Sunday afternoon. I remember being thrilled because the bat I got was a Bobby Murcer model – my favorite player at the time. My dad taught me how to keep score, something I still do to this day whenever I go to a game. Still have all the scorecards, too. 

The Yankees swept both games of the twin bill. In the opener, they rallied for three runs in the bottom of the ninth off knuckleballer Wilbur Wood to win, 3-2. Murcer had a two-run single to tie the game and Ron Swoboda’s RBI single won it. Then in the nightcap, Mike Kekich threw a one-hitter in a 6-1 victory. The lone hit Kekich allowed was a solo fifth-inning home run to Mike Andrews. Roy White backed Kekich with a two-run home run, a double and a steal of home. 

I’ve been hooked on the Yankees ever since. 

Reaching 55 years from my first Yankees game got me thinking about all the ballgames I’ve attended over the years, all the moments and players I’ve been fortunate to witness.  

I have seen the Yankees play at the original Yankee Stadium, the remodeled version, and the current one. I saw them play home games at Shea Stadium in 1974 and 1975. I have seen them on the road at the SkyDome in Toronto; Camden Yards in Baltimore; old RFK Stadium in Washington, D.C.; and what was once U.S. Cellular Field in Chicago. 

In all, I have been to 117 Yankees games and my record is 69-48. That includes one Opening Day (2011) and four other home openers (1985, 1997, 1998, 1999). 

Ten of the victories came in walk-off fashion, including:

  • Graig Nettles hitting a home run in the bottom of the ninth off Mickey Lolich to give the Yankees a 2-1 win over the Detroit Tigers and complete a doubleheader sweep on June 24, 1973.
  • Don Baylor going deep in the bottom of the ninth to beat the White Sox, 5-4, and win the home opener April 16, 1985.
  • Paul O’Neill and David Justice clubbing solo home runs in the bottom of the 10th inning to beat the Boston Red Sox, 4-3, on April 22, 2001. (O’Neill threw his bat in frustration, not realizing that the ball sailed out.)
  • Alex Rodriguez hitting a two-run home run in the bottom of the 12th inning to defeat the Atlanta Braves, 4-3, on June 28, 2006.
  • Starlin Castro homering in the bottom of the ninth to beat the Colorado Rockies, 9-8, on June 22, 2016.

Then there was Kerry Dineen. He only played in 16 games in his MLB career and had 12 hits and a pair of RBIs. On May 21, 1976, hours after being called up from Triple-A Syracuse, he delivered the game-winning hit in the bottom of the 12th inning to beat the Red Sox, 6-5. This came one day after the famous brawl between the teams when Lou Piniella barreled into catcher Carlton Fisk and Boston pitcher Bill Lee injured his shoulder during the fracas. 

Some games were memorable because of what the opposition did. 

Twice, I almost saw opposing pitchers no-hit the Yankees. On September 12, 1981, Bob Ojeda of the Red Sox didn’t allow a hit through eight innings and faced only one batter over the minimum. But Rick Cerone and Dave Winfield led off the ninth with consecutive pinch-hit doubles to break up the bid. Boston still won, 2-1.

Then September 28, 2006, Daniel Cabrera of the Baltimore Orioles came within two outs of a no-hitter, only to have Robinson Canó single to ruin it. On his next pitch, Cabrera got a game-ending double play to complete a 7-1 win. 

There was the much-anticipated nationally televised pitching showdown between Pedro Martinez and Roger Clemens on Sunday night, May 28, 2000. It lived up to the hype and ended with Trot Nixon hitting a two-run home run in the top of the ninth off Clemens for a 2-0 Boston win. 

Most of the memorable moments, though, were done by the Yankees. 

I saw them crush the Milwaukee Brewers in the first game of a doubleheader, 19-2, to clinch the American League East Division title on September 25, 1996. I also saw Don Mattingly have his No. 23 retired prior to the game against the Montreal Expos on August 31, 1997.

I was there to see A-Rod hit his 600th career home run August 4, 2010 against the Toronto Blue Jays. Also saw him get career hit Nos. 2,998 and 2,999 against the Miami Marlins on June 18, 2015, and saw Ichiro Suzuki get his 4,000th career hit between Japan and MLB on August 21, 2013 against the Blue Jays.

On August 25, 2011, Robinson Canó, Russell Martin, and Curtis Granderson hit grand slams in a 22-9 win over the Oakland A’s – the first time a major league team hit three grand slams in the same game. What made being there more special was the fact my daughters were with me for their first game. I have been able to pass on my love for the Yankees to them, the way my dad did with me.

More recently, we were at Ben Rice’s three-home run game against the Red Sox on July 6, 2024 – coincidentally my dad’s birthday.

It has been a lot of fun going to games these past 55 years and cheering for the Yankees. Getting to cover and write about the Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders now has only enhanced that fandom.

What “impact” bats might be available for the Phillies at the Trade Deadline?

Jul 20, 2026; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; San Francisco Giants left fielder Heliot Ramos (17) celebrates while running the bases against the Kansas City Royals after hitting a solo home run in the fourth inning at Kauffman Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images | Denny Medley-Imagn Images

All things being equal, the team and the fanbase would most like to see the Phillies add an impact bat at the Trade Deadline.

But as always, supply and demand remain the greatest obstacle to landing an impact bat. There aren’t that many, if any, offensive stars available and the ones that are would likely require more than what the Phillies have in their war chest of prospects to offer.

With 11 days left until the Trade Deadline, I see seven clear sellers: the Mets, Giants, Rockies, Blue Jays, A’s, Royals and Angels. There are several other players not on these teams who are hitting the rumor mill, too.

Among those seven teams, here are the players who would qualify as “impact” bats, with my best guess that they could possibly be traded to the Phils in parantheses. There are other bats that will be available. Some will provide moderate upgrades and some will provide little-to-no improvement. But these are the big boys.

Heliot Ramos – Giants (65%)

The Giants have perhaps the two most intriguing and realistic players at this year’s deadline. The first of them is right-handed hitting corner outfielder Helio Ramos, who has hit nine homers with an OPS of .759 in 64 games this season. He was an All Star two years ago for the Giants when he slugged 22 homers in 121 games, and started 157 games for San Francisco last year with a .728 OPS and 21 dingers.

Ramos would help with one of the team’s biggest deficiencies — hitting left-handed pitching. This year he has a .315/.351/.556 slash line against southpaws, and for his career has posted an .857 OPS against them.

I think this is the guy they want.

Luis Arraez – Giants (40%)

Arraez is not a middle-of-the-order power bat, but he would help with one other area of extreme weakness — getting on base.

Entering their weekend series against the Yankees, the Phils’ .303 OBP is second-worst in Major League Baseball. They simply don’t get on base enough to be consistent. Arraez has a career .363 OBP and so far this season has been getting on base at a .359 clip. He’s also hitting .320, has an .805 OPS and has been worth 2.9 WAR at second base.

Adding Arraez would require the Phillies to trade one of their infielders away, most likely Bryson Stott or Alec Bohm, or move Trea Turner to the outfield. I think most Phils fans would be willing to go there.

Mike Trout – Angels (5%)

Trout is still owed a ton of money ($37 million a season through 2030), he’s an oft-injued 34-year-old, has a full no-trade clause and seems totally disinterested in leaving Los Angeles. The only way this happens is if he tells the Angels he wants to get dealt, and there are no indications he’s ready to do that.

But should that change, the Phillies should absolutely inquire what it would take to land him. His .234 batting average isn’t great, but his .388 OBP is elite, and he’s slugged 18 home runs in 84 games this year. On paper, it would make a lot of sense.

Byron Buxton – Twins (4%)

He’d be a perfect fit. Full stop. He’s got speed, power, and is a fantastic defender. He would cost a million prospects, and they would all be worth it. He’s been healthy for two years now, so the concern of him getting injured again has lessened a bit.

The problem is that he tells everyone in no uncertain terms that he is not leaving Minnesota. So the only reason I include him here is because people have been known to change their minds. So, he joins Mr. Trout in the happy-to-lose crew until they decide they’re tired of losing.

Francisco Lindor – Mets (3%)

Reports indicate that if Lindor is going to be dealt, it won’t be until the off-season. But New York should consider it now, given teams are always a little more desperate at the Trade Deadline and clubs competing for a World Series title would get an extra two months of the star shortstop.

Lindor has not had a great season, but neither has anyone else in New York. His 0.8 WAR pales in comparison to his WAR totals since joining the Mets, but he also missed about 50 games with an injury. Is that six-win player still in there? The Phillies should at least be calling to see. If he is available, Trea Turner would have to move someplace else, but whatever happens would be worth it.

Bo Bichette – Mets (1%)

It’s really hard to envision a scenario in which the Phillies trade prospect capital and take on whatever is left of Bichette’s insane $42 million contract.

Maybe they’d do it if Bichette was having a good season, but highly doubtful for a guy with a 0.3 WAR and .677 OPS this year. But, he is a potential impact bat, so he’s included here.

Hunter Goodman – Rockies (0%)

There are some solid left-handed hitters on Colorado (first baseman TJ Rumfield and outfielders Mickey Moniak and Jake McCarthy), but the National League’s best right-handed power hitter is catcher Hunter Goodman. He currently leads all NL hitters in slugging percentage (.563) and has smashed 31 home runs in just 397 PAs.

No doubt teams will be calling the Rockies about him, and it’s doubtful Colorado will deal the 26-year-old. However, one never can count out that franchise doing something stupid. I doubt the Phillies have the prospects to land him, and you’d have to figure out what to do with J.T. Realmuto, but there’s no doubt Goodman would be the most impactful bat out there. It’s just not going to happen.

Shea Langeliers – Athletics (0%)

Just like Goodman, it’s hard to envision the A’s trading away their best hitter. But this is the A’s, we’re talking about.

Langeliers started for the American League in last week’s All Star Game and is crushing the ball to the tune of an .830 OPS, a 122 OPS+ and 23 HRs. Oakland outfielders Tyler Soderstrom and Lawrence Butler have both shown promise in the past, but are not “impact” bats right now, and both hit left-handed.

It’s unlikely the Phils could meet the prospect price for Langeliers and there is, again, the issue of what to do with Realmuto. Make him baseball’s most expensive back-up?

Rockets Chip Engelland hire could change the team

OKLAHOMA CITY, OK - MAY 30: Assistant Coach Chip Engelland of the Oklahoma City Thunder before the game against the San Antonio Spurs during Game Seven of the NBA Western Conference Finals on May 30, 2026 at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by David Dow/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

If Amen Thompson could shoot. If Alperen Sengun could shoot. If pigs could fly…

Well, that wouldn’t benefit the Houston Rockets in any immediate way.

It’s been one of the two biggest questions surrounding this team. If you’re talking Rockets, it’s “do they have a franchise player?”, and it’s “Can Thompson and Sengun co-exist if neither is a strong three-point shooter?”. Those are closely related questions, in that if either of the two did develop into a reliable shooter, they’d likely be an unimpeachable franchise-caliber guy.

Luckily, the Rockets just gave them the best possible chance of making it happen by hiring famed shooting coach Chip Engelland.

Rockets hire league’s most esteemed shooting coach

Look at this glorious post from my dear internet friend Paulo Alves.

That’s as close to proof of concept as you’re going to get. Either it’s a remarkable coincidence, or Engelland has methods for teaching basketball players how to improve their three-point shooting that are better than the other available methods.

I am no shot doctor. To my eye, Sengun’s form on standstill jump shots is fine. He doesn’t have the fluidity to hit contested, off-the-dribble threes, but that’s not the goal. The goal is for defenses not to want him to be open from beyond the arc. That should be low-hanging fruit for Engelland.

Thompson shoots threes like a petulant child eating broccoli. He doesn’t want to, but he knows he has to. He deserves (a sliver of) credit for willingly putting up threes instead of Ben Simmons-ing his game, but he’s got a long road to three-point respectability. If Engelland can get him there, it’ll be his crown jewel.

Hey, you know what else? Everyone on this roster would benefit from being a better shooter. Everyone in the NBA could benefit from being a better shooter. It’s unlikely that Engelland will waste any time (for varying reasons) on Kevin Durant, Fred VanVleet, or Steven Adams, but everyone else is fair game.

Jabari Smith Jr. is good, and a few percentage points away from excellent. Tari Eason is…eh?, and a few percentage points away from good.

How about Reed Sheppard? He hit 39.4% of his 7.0 threes per game last year. If he could hover around 45% on comparable volume, he’d be among the best shooters in the NBA.

The Houston Rockets are winning the 2026-27 NBA championship, correct?

Rockets will benefit from hire

Jokes aside, expectations should be slightly tempered.

The process of rebuilding a jump shot is presumably tedious. The Rockets may reap more rewards in 2027-28.

Moreover, we can’t attribute every improvement under Engelland’s watch to Engelland alone. Every player in the NBA wants to improve their shot and is trying to do so whether they’re working with him or not. Some of these guys would have improved anyway, although I do think it’s fair to point to the mountain of evidence as near-proof that Engelland does something.

This is a fantastic hire. It’s encouraging that Tilman Fertitta was willing to shell out. Engelland was presumably expensive. Once the Rockets start to see results, it could have a profound impact on the team.

Imagine if one of their two best young players could shoot.

Sabrina Ionescu teases 3-point contest rematch with Warriors star Steph Curry

Sabrina Ionescu teases 3-point contest rematch with Warriors star Steph Curry originally appeared on NBC Sports Bay Area

If there is one thing Warriors star Steph Curry and four-time WNBA All-Star selection Sabrina Ionescu have in common, it would be their elite shooting prowess from 3-point range.

The two sharpshooters previously faced off in a 3-point competition during the 2024 NBA All-Star Weekend, where Curry slightly edged out Ionescu with a 29-26 final score.

The New York Liberty star won the 2025 WNBA 3-Point Contest the following year, but told the New York Post’s Madeline Kenney that she is uncertain about participating in the competition during this season’s WNBA All-Star Weekend.

However, Ionescu teased she would consider a rematch with Curry for another NBA-WNBA cross-league 3-point contest.

Curry widely is considered as the greatest shooter in NBA history, holding the all-time league record for the most career 3-point shots made in the regular season with 4,248. Cleveland Cavaliers star James Harden is the closest player to Curry’s total with 3,390 career 3-point field goals made.

Throughout his 17-year NBA career so far, the four-time NBA champion is shooting 42.2 percent behind the arc, making him one of the best 3-point marksmen the game of basketball has ever seen.

Ionescu, a Bay Area native, also is considered one of the best 3-point shooters in the WNBA. Throughout her seven-year career so far, Ionescu is averaging 34.8 percent from 3-point range, as well as 16.6 points per game.

The four-time All-WNBA selection missed the first two weeks of the 2026 WNBA season due to a left ankle injury she sustained during a preseason game, but since then, Ionescu has appeared in 15 contests, averaging 14.8 points, 3.7 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game.

It remains uncertain whether or not Ionescu will defend her 3-point title, and whether or not a rematch between the 2024 WNBA champion and the Warriors star is on the horizon. But if both events were to come to fruition, fans undoubtedly would be tuning in.

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Flyers Land Matvei Michkov Alternative in 2023 Re-Draft

Looking back on the 2023 NHL Draft, the Philadelphia Flyers were arguably lucky to have drafted Matvei Michkov in the first place, and in a new do-over, they are not as fortunate this time around.

The Athletic prospect expert Scott Wheeler just released his 2023 re-draft, three years on from what has shaped up to be, so far, a pretty decent class, especially at the top.

There are no real surprises to start off: Connor Bedard, Leo Carlsson, Adam Fantilli, and Will Smith each go to their respective, current teams with the first four picks.

Then the re-draft truly begins at Pick 5, where Matvei Michkov goes to the Montreal Canadiens, two spots ahead of where he originally fell to the Flyers three years ago.

"It’s easy to forget that we’re only a season removed from him having 63 points in 80 games as a rookie, the Flyers’ second-leading scorer, and the fourth-place finisher in Calder Trophy voting, but last year some of his issues caught up with him. It’s now on him to get his game right in some important areas," Wheeler said of Michkov.

"I still think he has point-per-game, first-line wing offense, but he was closer to the few names behind him here for me than the few names in front of him — and remains a complicated risk-reward slotting."

Ok, so with Michkov off the table, going where many had expected (or hoped), who do the Flyers end up drafting instead? Stylistically, this player is a direct replacement.

Will Flyers Afford Jiricek Same Time, Patience As Drysdale?Will Flyers Afford Jiricek Same Time, Patience As Drysdale?The Philadelphia Flyers have only one path to getting the most out of David Jiricek: doing the same thing they did with Jamie Drysdale.

With the seventh overall pick in 2023, Wheeler has the Flyers drafting New York Rangers winger Gabe Perreault, who was originally drafted 23rd, with Michkov off the board.

Ironically, the Flyers had the chance to draft Perreault much later than the seventh pick a few years back, but they opted to go with defenseman Oliver Bonk with the 22nd pick instead.

Wheeler originally ranked Perreault seventh in his final rankings in 2023, and in those rankings, he was given quotes such as: “He’s likely going to be the fourth player from the national program picked because his game is believed to be less projectable. I’m less and less convinced of that," “He’s a better skater than he gets credit for," and "There might not be a player in this draft class who thinks the game offensively at his level.”

"Those are direct from my final draft ranking in 2023, and they hold true today. I don’t write a 'prospects I was right about' piece opposite my 'prospects I was wrong about' but … I’m going to be right about Perreault," Wheeler asserted. "I nailed this one, and I’m proud of it. If you watched some of his games late in the year with the Rangers, you’ll know."

Perreault, 21, played 49 games for the rival Rangers last season, scoring 12 goals, 15 assists, and 27 points with an even plus-minus rating of 0, all while recording just 10 penalty minutes and scoring at a 16.4% clip.

Jamie Drysdale Is Poster Boy for What Modern Flyers Should BeJamie Drysdale Is Poster Boy for What Modern Flyers Should BeDespite his lofty draft status, Philadelphia Flyers defenseman Jamie Drysdale had to work endlessly to become the player he is now, and that is what every Flyers player should strive to be.

Purely in terms of hockey sense and the way he sees the game offensively, Perreault is up there with Michkov, and in Wheeler's do-over, the Flyers do well securing their alternative with Michkov off the board to the Canadiens.

And as for the Flyers' second first-round pick in this re-draft, Bonk does not make an appearance in the top-32 for Wheeler.

Instead, with the 22nd pick, the Flyers actually go with one of their own, drafting goalie Egor Zavragin 65 slots earlier than they had in the real thing.

Also notable: Denver Barkey moves all the way up to 31, where Colorado takes him. That would be a nightmare if it had happened in real life.

MLB Strikeout Props & Pitcher Best Bets for Today, July 23

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There are only 10 teams in action today, but there are still some hurlers worth putting our money on, with multiple MLB player props showing value.

Shane Bieber might get hit around, but he will have a great leash. Brandon Pfaadt doesn't miss bats and is an Under candidate, and Ian Seymour has plenty of outs for his walk prop.

These are my favorite MLB strikeout props for Thursday, July 23.

Best MLB strikeout props and starting pitcher picks today

Player PickOdds
Blue Jays Shane BieberOver 4.5 strikeouts+125
Diamondbacks Brandon PfaadtUnder 3.5 strikeouts-111
Rays Ian SeymourOver 1.5 walks allowed+115

Strikeout prop: Shane Bieber Over 4.5 strikeouts (+125)

I have a lot of exposure to the Tampa offense today, but Shane Bieber getting extended might be the sneaky angle. His projected pitch count around 90 is already showing some value on the Over punchouts.

Bieber has been getting hit hard, but the recent strikeout numbers are encouraging with 10 Ks over his last 10+ innings.

He can still be a strikeout-per-inning pitcher when the stuff is there, and he has already reached 97 pitches in one of his five starts this season. A six-inning leash is very realistic. He still owns a 27% CSW rate over some rocky outings. 

The Rays are heading home, creating a getaway-game angle that should help Bieber. He is also much tougher on left-handed hitters, and Toronto's only available lefty out of the bullpen is Brendon Little and his 17.61 ERA.

The Blue Jays also used six relievers last night, which only increases the chance Bieber gets every opportunity to work deep.

Do I think Bieber can get hit? Yes. Do I think he has enough leash to reach six innings and strike out five at plus money? Also yes.

If the stuff is there, this could cash comfortably. If he gets hit, the volume still gives him a chance. I'm playing this to +100.

  • Time: 3:07 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Rays.TV, Sportsnet

Strikeout prop: Brandon Pfaadt Under 3.5 strikeouts (-111)

Brandon Pfaadt is the definition of a pitch-to-contact starter. He is averaging just half a strikeout per inning this season and rarely gets to those deep two-strike counts needed to pile up Ks.

Nick Martinez leads MLB in pitches per plate appearance among qualified starters at 3.5, but Pfaadt isn't far behind at 3.6. He is not one of the league leaders in making hitters work, and that doesn't translate into strikeouts.

His K/9 ranks in the Bottom 25 among MLB starters, and his Bottom 15th percentile whiff rate is nothing to chase.

The innings can be misleading because Pfaadt gets deep by letting hitters put the ball in play early, not by overpowering them. The projections show value on his Under 3.5 strikeouts, but they are based on a 91-pitch workload that feels aggressive.

Pfaadt has thrown 87, 77, and 72 pitches over his last three starts and hasn't recorded more than 16 outs in any of them. I'm playing the Under 3.5 Ks down to -120.

  • Time: 5:15 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Cardinals.TV, DBACKS.TV

Walks allowed prop: Ian Seymour Over 1.5 walks allowed (+115)

Ian Seymour has not gotten deep over his last two starts, throwing 61 and 78 pitches, but he has hit this Over in both of those games.

His control away from the Trop is also favorable, as his BB/9 on the road sits at 4.8 vs. 2.6 at home. That's 11 walks in 18 road innings.

Toronto might not be the best BB% team in baseball, but this offense is more than struggling and has to see pitches today vs. a struggling pitcher with control issues. 

THE BAT is projecting 85 pitches and 1.74 walks, making the break-even price around -115/-120.

  • Time: 3:07 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Rays.TV, Sportsnet
Josh Inglis' 2026 Transparency Record
  • Prop picks: 4-5, -1.23 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Defensive wing Jordan Walsh reportedly extends with Boston on three-year, $16 million deal

Jordan Walsh already was going to be back in Boston next season, the team had picked up his $2.4 million option, but now he is going to be a fixture on the wing there for years.

Walsh and the Celtics agreed to a three-year, $16 million extension, something first reported by NBA insider Chris Haynes and since confirmed by other reports. The first two years of this deal are fully guaranteed, with the third being a team option. This locks Walsh in with Boston for at least three more years at a very affordable price for a rotation player.

Walsh played in 68 games last season for the Celtics, averaging 5.4 points and four rebounds a game, and his 3-point shot has improved, with him knocking down 38.4% from beyond the arc last season. However, his defense was really his calling card. He is a high-level on-ball defender on the wing, which is where Joe Mazzulla leaned into him.

Walsh is a credit to Boston's player development program. He was drafted No. 38 in the second round and traded to the Celtics a week later, and they signed him to a minimum contract and brought him along slowly (he played just nine games his first year). By last season, he had a steady role with the Celtics.

While Jaylen Brown is out the door, Celtics president Brad Stevens has been locking up a group of affordable wings who can play a role for the team. Walsh joins Ron Harper Jr. as getting a new, longer-term deal this summer, Boston still has Hugo Gonzalez on a rookie contract for three more years, and a year from now they can extend Baylor Scheierman.

8 backup plans for the Sixers if they whiff on LeBron James

MADRID, SPAIN - JUNE 02: Mario Hezonja of Real Madrid gestures after losing the Spanish basketball League Liga ACB Endesa Quarter Finals Game 1 between Real Madrid and La Laguna Tenerife at Movistar Arena on June 02, 2026, in Madrid, Spain. (Photo By Irina R. Hipolito/Europa Press via Getty Images) | Europa Press via Getty Images

The Sixers have one open roster spot at the moment, and it’s fairly obvious whom they’re saving it for. But if LeBron James chooses to sign elsewhere in free agency, then what?

The free-agent market has largely been picked over at this point. A handful of big names are still unsigned, although James Harden and Draymond Green are just biding their time until LeBron decides before they re-sign with the Cleveland Cavaliers and Golden State Warriors, respectively. Neither are legitimate possibilities for the Sixers.

The Sixers already split their non-taxpayer mid-level exception between Dean Wade and Anfernee Simons, and they spent a portion of their bi-annual exception on Ariel Hukporti. As a result, they are now hard-capped at the $209 million first apron from now through June 30, 2027. They only have enough space under the first apron ($3.4 million) to offer a one-year, veteran-minimum contract to any free agent.

With that said, Dalen Terry is on a fully non-guaranteed contract, while only $250,000 of Jabari Walker’s $2.6 million salary is guaranteed. Regardless of what happens with LeBron, the Sixers could still make a few moves around the margins this offseason.

Here’s a look at some of their best remaining free-agent options.

Nick Richards, C

The Sixers aren’t really planning on going into the season with Hukporti, Adem Bona and Johni Broome as their only backups to the oft-injured Joel Embiid… are they?

Perhaps they believe the 7-foot Hukporti has some untapped upside, but he was the New York Knicks’ third-string center last year. Not having a veteran option to push Bona for the primary backup job could come back to bite the Sixers if (when?) the oft-injured Embiid misses time.

Nick Richards is likely the best remaining solution in free agency. The 28-year-old isn’t anything flashy, but he’s a steady presence who averaged 9.5 points, 8.1 rebounds and 1.0 blocks in only 24.3 minutes per game with the Charlotte Hornets and Phoenix Suns between the 2023-24 and 2024-25 seasons.

Richards fell down the Suns’ pecking order last season, but he put up 9.4 points, 7.6 rebounds and 0.9 blocks in only 22.4 minutes per game across 20 appearances with the Chicago Bulls after they acquired him ahead of the trade deadline. However, if you thought advanced analytics hate Jaylen Brown, you should steer clear of Richards’ Dunks and Threes page.

Mario Hezonja, SF

Eleven years after the Orlando Magic selected Mario Hezonja with the No. 5 overall pick in the 2015 draft, Super Mario is reportedly headed back stateside, as Donatas Urbonas of BasketNews was first to report.

Hezonja has spent the past four seasons with Real Madrid and is fresh off being named the MVP of the Liga Endesa in Spain. In 80 games across all competitions this past season, he averaged 15.0 points, 4.3 rebounds, 2.1 assists and 1.8 made threes in only 23.1 minutes per game.

Hezonja came into the NBA looking like a prototypical shooting wing, but he shot only 31.9 percent from deep over five years between the Orlando Magic, New York Knicks and Portland Trail Blazers. He shot above 39.0 percent from beyond the arc in both 2022-23 and 2023-24 during his first two seasons with Real Madrid, although his percentages dipped over the past two years.

Wing is one of the Sixers’ weakest positions behind Jaylen Brown, unless Justin Edwards takes a major leap forward or they land LeBron in free agency. Hezonja is no LeBron, but the former top-five pick would be a relatively low-risk, high-upside gamble, especially on a minimum deal.

DeMar DeRozan, SF

Since only $10 million of DeMar DeRozan’s $25.7 million contract was fully guaranteed in 2026-27, the Sacramento Kings opted to waive him as they attempted to get their 25-win team below the luxury-tax line. On a minimum deal, he’d be a steal anywhere.

DeRozan is an anachronistic player. He rarely shoots threes and tends to dominate in the mid-range, but he also averaged 18.4 points per game while shooting 49.7 percent overall in his age-36 season last year. However, he’s been one of the league’s worst defensive players over the past few seasons, according to some advanced metrics.

The Sixers already have to figure out how to split touches between Brown, Embiid, Tyrese Maxey and VJ Edgecombe in their starting lineup, not to mention Simons and Labaron Philon Jr. off the bench. One could argue that the last thing the Sixers need is another high-usage player, especially one who’s a defensive liability. But if nothing else, DeRozan could soak up minutes during the regular season to avoid Maxey and Edgecombe getting overworked.

DeRozan did overlap with Nurse in Toronto for a few years before Nurse took over as head coach, so the two have plenty of familiarity with one another. The Miami Heat are also viewed as “a real possibility” to sign DeRozan if they whiff on LeBron in free agency, according to Barry Jackson of Anthony Chiang of the Miami Herald, so he might wind up being the consolation prize for whichever team loses the King James race.

Kelly Olynyk, C

Kelly Olynyk played sparingly behind Victor Wembanyama and Luke Kornet this past season. But he’s only one year removed from a four-year stretch in which he averaged 10.3 points, 5.3 rebounds and 3.6 assists in only 23.3 minutes per game across four teams.

Olynyk turned 35 in April, so he isn’t suited for a major role at this point of his career. He could potentially fill the Andre Drummond job of stopgap starting center whenever Embiid misses time, but he’d otherwise compete with Bona, Hukporti and Broome for minutes behind the big fella.

Olynyk is a career 36.9 percent shooter from deep, so the Sixers could have a legitimate five-out look with him on the floor. Bona and Hukporti both likely have the edge on him defensively at this stage of their respective careers, but Olynyk’s long-range shooting could help him carve out a role regardless.

Spending five of their 15 roster spots on centers wouldn’t be great from a positional allocation standpoint, although the Spurs just did so and made it to the NBA Finals. But if the Sixers aren’t confident in the Bona-Hukporti-Broome trio as Embiid’s backup options and they can’t land Richards, Olynyk may be the next-best realistic option.

Jae’Sean Tate, SF

Jae’Sean Tate has spent all six of his NBA seasons in Houston, and his role has gradually declined each year. This past season, he averaged a career-low 2.8 points and 1.6 rebounds in 8.8 minutes per game.

In Houston, Tate was buried behind Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant and Josh Okogie since Alperen Şengün, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason and Steven Adams soaked up most of the frontcourt minutes. In Philly, Edwards might be Tate’s only real competition to be Brown’s primary backup.

The 30-year-old Tate is a career 30.9 percent three-point shooter on low volume, which is the main drawback from the Sixers’ perspective. However, he’s been a plus defender for most of his career.

Given the Sixers’ lack of wing depth, Tate could be a welcome addition on a minimum deal.

Ochai Agbaji, SG/SF

In the last few years of Daryl Morey’s tenure, he turned the Sixers into the Land of Second Chances for recent first-round picks. Could Mike Gansey do the same with Ochai Agbaji?

The Cleveland Cavaliers selected Agbaji with the No. 14 overall pick in the 2022 draft. Two months later, they shipped him to the Utah Jazz as part of their blockbuster trade for Donovan Mitchell.

Agbaji never found his footing in Utah, which led the Jazz to trade him to the Toronto Raptors midway through his second season. He averaged 10.4 points, 3.8 rebounds, 1.6 made threes and 1.5 assists in 27.2 minutes per game during his lone full season in Toronto, but he was once again on the move this past season as part of a tax dump.

Shooting has always been Agbaji’s swing skill, and he shot a career-worst 26.6 percent from deep this past season between Toronto and Brooklyn. The 26-year-old may never live up to his predraft pedigree, but he has great size and athleticism for a wing. He isn’t much of a threat on the ball or as a passer, but the Sixers could do far worse than signing him to a minimum deal and plugging him into a low-usage, three-and-D role.

Amir Coffey, SF

Behold, another desperate attempt to plug the Sixers’ hole at the wing.

Amir Coffey spent the first six seasons of his NBA career with the Los Angeles Clippers before splitting this past season between the Milwaukee Bucks and Phoenix Suns. He’s a streaky long-range shooter, but he did knock down nearly 40 percent of his three-point attempts between the 2023-24 and 2024-25 campaigns.

Like Tate and Agbaji, Coffey isn’t much of a threat on the ball either as a scorer or a passer, but the Sixers wouldn’t ask that of him. He isn’t a standout defender by any means, but he isn’t a glaring target, either.

The 29-year-old has played sparingly in the playoffs, although he did average 18.7 minutes per game during the Clippers’ first-round loss to the Dallas Mavericks in 2023-24. He could be some veteran insurance for the Sixers in case Edwards doesn’t take another step forward this season.

Bruce Brown Jr., SG

Bruce Brown Jr. might be waiting for Peyton Watson’s future to get resolved before he re-signs with the Denver Nuggets. But if he gets priced out there because of apron concerns, he’d be a welcome addition in Philly.

Over the past four seasons, Brown has averaged 9.8 points, 4.1 rebounds, 2.7 assists and 1.0 steals in 26.2 minutes per game while shooting 47.1 percent overall and 35.2 percent from deep. Though he stands only 6’4″ and 202 pounds, he’s able to defend anything from point guards to small forwards.

Among the remaining wing options on the market, Brown might be the best passer by far. Coffey has the edge on him as a long-range shooter, although Brown did drill 38.5 percent of his looks from deep last year.

As an added bonus, Brown signing with the Sixers would likely lead to a lot of diaper-wetting in Denver.

Hammers Add Hamilton Native To AHL Roster

The Hamilton Hammers announced on Thursday that they have signed left-shot defenseman and Hamilton native Brandon Scanlin to an AHL deal:

Scanlin, who played three seasons at the University of Nebraska-Omaha, signed with the New York Rangers organization following the conclusion of the 2021-22 collegiate season. 

Over his five years with the Islanders' cross-town rivals, Scanlin has played in 255 AHL regular season games. He did play one NHL game with the Rangers during the 2023-24 season. 

MLB Player Props & Best Bets for Today, July 23

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Very small slate, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t opportunities to attack! There are still plenty of solid looks across the board for us to cash in on for the day.

Let's dive into my favorite MLB player props and MLB picks to attack on Thursday, July 23.

Best MLB player props today

Player PickOdds
Blue Jays Shane BieberOver 2.5 Earned Runs-116
Rays Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Total Bases-110
Diamondbacks Brandon PfaadtUnder 3.5 Strikeouts-111

Shane Bieber Over 2.5 Earned Runs (-116)

The Tampa Bay Rays offense is one of the highest rated on this five game slate, as they draw Toronto Blue Jays right hander Shane Bieber, one of the lowest rated pitchers on Batters-Box.

Over his last five starts, Bieber owns a 5.70 ERA, 7.35 xERA, and 1.73 WHIP. During that stretch, opposing hitters have generated a 53% hard hit rate and nearly a 12% barrel rate against him.

Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has been seeing the ball extremely well over the last week, posting a 144 wRC+, .373 wOBA, and .850 OPS. With the way Bieber has been pitching lately, this feels like a great spot to fade him this afternoon.

I would play this prop down to -120 if I had to.

  • Time: 3:07 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: RAYS, Sportsnet

Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110)

Rays superstar Junior Caminero enters Thursday with one of the highest matchup ratings on Batters-Box, while covering 71% of Bieber’s pitch mix.

On top of that, he has strong trends when elite on the road, surpassing this prop 60% of the time when elite, while also leaving the yard 30% of the time across 20 elite road games.

This season, through 33 elite rated games, Caminero has gone over this prop 54.55% of the time while leaving the yard 24.24% of the time.

The Rays slugger has been on an absolute tear over his last 30 at-bats against right handed pitching, posting a .375 BA, 1.042 OPS, .457 wOBA, while generating a 52.6% hard hit rate and 10.5% barrel rate.

As for Bieber, right handed hitters have been crushing him this season, producing a 55% hard hit rate, 12.5% barrel rate, and 60% elevation rate. On top of that, they own a .402 xBA, .732 xSLG, and .470 xwOBA against him.

Caminero is one of my favorite looks on the board today, and I would pay this down to -120.

  • Time: 3:07 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: RAYS, Sportsnet

Brandon Pfaadt Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-111)

Everyone’s favorite pitcher during the 2023 MLB playoffs, Arizona Diamondbacks right hander Brandon Pfaadt, is who we are fading this evening by taking the under on his strikeout prop.

Sure, the young right hander has pitched well over his last few starts, but he still owns just a 15% strikeout rate across his last 5 outings.

Meanwhile, the St. Louis Cardinals have been fantastic at making contact at home, sporting a 77.5% contact rate. Over their last 6 games, that number sits at 76.7%.

With a sub 20% strikeout rate at home this season, I expect the Cardinals to minimize the whiffs and put plenty of balls in play against the Diamondbacks right hander.

Play this down to -115 at the most.

  • Time: 5:15 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: CARD, ARID
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  • Prop picks: 330-620, -4.2 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Should Sox pursue Zach Neto? Assessing rumored trade target

Should Sox pursue Zach Neto? Assessing rumored trade target originally appeared on NBC Sports Boston

Could the Boston Red Sox land their shortstop of the future at this year’s MLB trade deadline?

Los Angeles Angels shortstop Zach Neto has been linked to Boston as a potential trade target, and the discourse is growing louder with the Aug. 3 deadline looming. The Red Sox could use an upgrade to their middle infield, and the 25-year-old Neto fits what they’re looking for as a premier right-handed bat.

Boston reportedly tried to trade for Neto in the offseason, but L.A.’s price was too high. Now, with the Angels cruising toward another last-place season, it sounds like they’re open for business (via ESPN):

“(John) Mozeliak, brought in as a consultant and interim general manager about a month ago, is very open to trading controllable players if the right offers materialize, according to people who have spoken with him in recent days. …

“Mozeliak could be tempted to take advantage of what is expected to be a major sellers’ market, especially with the knowledge that the Angels are not a year away — or two, or potentially even three — from legitimate contention.”

Is Neto the kind of player the Red Sox should be pursuing ahead of the deadline? We assessed the potential move below:

Slugging shortstop

We advocated for a Neto trade back in May because of the power he’d bring to one of the league’s worst lineups. The 2022 first-round draft pick tallied 23 homers in 2024, 26 in 2025, and has 19 so far this year. He posted a WAR over 5.0 in each of the last two seasons.

So, what’s the catch?

Neto has struck out an American League-leading 141 times this season for a K rate of 31.5 percent. Then there’s the defense at shortstop, where he ranks near the bottom of the league in Outs Above Average (-8).

Where does he fit?

Neto has exclusively played shortstop throughout his four-year big-league career, so it’s safe to assume that’s where he’d play in Boston. That would raise obvious questions about Red Sox veteran shortstop Trevor Story, who’s expected to return from injury later this season and is under contract through 2027.

While Neto would be an upgrade over Boston’s current shortstop options, top prospect Franklin Arias could reach the MLB club as soon as next season. Would Arias shift over to second base? And if so, would it be wise to force another top infield prospect to change positions upon reaching the majors given what the club just went through with Marcelo Mayer?

Contract situation

Neto and the Angels avoided arbitration with a $4.15 million deal for 2026. He’s under team control through 2029.

What would he cost?

The price has probably come down since the offseason, but as a talented 25-year-old shortstop under contract for the next three years, Neto will still cost a pretty penny.

The Angels are likely years away from fielding a competitive ballclub, so they’re expected to want a package of top prospects in return. Since Arias is almost certainly off the table, Boston could offer a package headlined by one of their top pitching prospects — Anthony Eyanson or Kyson Witherspoon.

Verdict

A decent Plan B or C.

If the Red Sox are going to give up the farm for a big bat, we’d prefer one of the power-hitting catchers we’ve already covered — Hunter Goodman (Rockies) or Shea Langeliers (Athletics). If they’re off the table, or Neto would cost significantly less, we’d make the move for the Angels shortstop.

While Neto would undoubtedly help the Red Sox this season, it’s understandable to feel uneasy about his long-term future with the club. His alarming strikeout rate and poor defense are legitimate red flags. That said, beggars can’t be choosers, and Neto would instantly become the best hitter in Boston’s lineup alongside Willson Contreras.