TAMPA, Fla. (AP) — Tampa Bay Lightning captain Victor Hedman revealed Tuesday that his absence in the final weeks of the season was caused by a need to address his mental health.
Hedman, in a statement released by the Lightning, did not provide specifics about what he has been dealing with. He didn't play in Tampa Bay's final 22 games of the season, including the seven playoff matchups in a first-round loss to the Montreal Canadiens.
Hedman, 35, had been around the team in recent weeks, even taking part in some skates. But the defenseman's last game was in mid-March.
“Over the past couple of months, I made the decision to step away and focus on my mental health,” Hedman said. "It was not an easy decision, but it was the right one.
“I’ve always believed that being a leader means doing what’s best for the team. In this case, it also meant doing what was necessary to take care of myself, so I can be the best player, teammate, husband and father I expect to be.”
Hedman missed significant time earlier in the season with an elbow injury that required surgery in December. He returned before the Olympics and played for Sweden until tweaking something in pregame warmups before the quarterfinal against the U.S., which kept him from participating.
He told reporters at Tampa Bay's exit-interview day that he leaned on best friend and former Lightning captain Steven Stamkos, as well as Ottawa goaltender Linus Ullmark, who also spent time away from the Senators to address his mental health.
He played in only 33 games this season, by far the fewest of his career, because of the injury and this subsequent absence.
Hedman thanked his teammates, the Lightning organization, his family and his therapist for their support and said he’s “in a much better place today.”
“This is something that exists in our game more than people see,” Hedman said. “If this moment helps make it easier for others to take care of themselves when they need to, that matters.”
Apr 29, 2026; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Arizona Diamondbacks first baseman Ildemaro Vargas (6) celebrates in the dugout after Arizona Diamondbacks third baseman Nolan Arenado’s (28) (not pictured) home run against the Milwaukee Brewers in the fifth inning at American Family Field. Mandatory Credit: Michael McLoone-Imagn Images | Michael McLoone-Imagn Images
Vargas, who just saw his 27-game hitting streak end over the weekend, has been on a tear this season.
Over 22 games in April, Vargas slashed .372/.393/.663 with a 1.056 OPS. He recorded 32 hits (five home runs), 19 RBIs and three walks to 11 strikeouts. He was easily one of Arizona’s biggest standouts a month into the season.
Keeping Santana in the minor league system is not an option for Arizona at this stage of his career. He is obviously out of options at age 40, and he’s not going to be a player the team is quick to DFA based on an eight-game sample size, either. His defense and veteran presence in the clubhouse are both valuable, as much as fans or observers may not be able to tangibly measure that type of impact.
Santana will get playing time when he’s healthy, and that reality is inevitable. Ultimately, Santana playing and hitting well would benefit the D-backs, but the cost of reducing two other productive players’ playing time may not be worth the offensive production Santana can still provide.
Frontloading an inning or two from a relief pitcher before allowing the starter to throw bulk frames could allow the D-backs to get their starter past the fifth or sixth inning more frequently, and could, in theory, allow the offense to get set up with an initial lead.
Because for as comeback-reliant as Arizona has been in recent seasons, it’s still no easy task to string together patient, thorough at-bats when staring down a multi-run deficit.
Granted, utilizing an opener is not necessarily an effective method when it comes to avoiding excessive bullpen taxation, but it might lead to better in-game situations and set up the offense with more favorable scores.
“Seeing that tribute hit home, because he loved the Yankees – he loved this team, he loved this franchise, he loved the fans,” Judge said. “To do that there in the first, I was chuckling around the bases, thinking about what he was probably saying.”
Michael Kay and Suzyn Waldman laid bouquets across home plate before first pitch as both teams observed a moment of silence for Sterling, who passed away on Monday at 87.
After the final out, a recording of Sterling’s signature “Yankees win, theeee Yankees win!” call was played. Judge said he hopes to see that continue as a permanent stadium tradition.
“If you look at all of the great players, they tend to lean out over time,” Angels general manager Perry Minasian said. “Freddie Freeman, David Ortiz, a lot of guys.”
Trout changed his workout program, an adjustment that has carried into the 2026 regular season. In the past, he would do an upper-body workout twice a week, a lower-body regimen twice a week, and then take Wednesday, Saturday and Sunday off. Instead, he’s working out daily, but sometimes to activate his physiology instead of lifting heavier weights — he might do as few as eight reps of the same exercise and call it a day.
Trout hired a nutritionist and focused on eating less junk food on the couch before he goes to sleep, and along the way, his weight dropped to 230 pounds, which is about 8-to-10 pounds less than in previous seasons. He noticed an immediate difference late in the winter with how his legs and knees felt. As spring training games started, Trout had a goal to get back to a sprint speed of 30 feet per second — a target he hit a couple of times.
There are no “good” injuries in baseball. Losing a player to the IL is never a fun time. But there’s still a relative hierarchy – not every injury is an equally big bummer. On Monday, we got one of those big bummers. The Tigers placed Tarik Skubal, the two-time reigning AL Cy Young winner, on the injured list. He’s slated to undergo surgery to remove loose bodies in his pitching elbow, as Evan Woodbery of MLive first reported.
Skubal had dealt with occasional pains in his arm throughout the season, as The Athletic’s Cody Stavenhagen reported. In his start last Wednesday, Skubal grimaced and grabbed his elbow in the seventh inning, sending a bevy of concerned Tigers staffers to the mound. He waved them off and struck out the side, but when his arm didn’t recover as much as expected in the aftermath of that start, the team had imaging done, revealing the need for surgery. This injury could alter the balance of power in the AL Central this year. More than that, it could change the trajectory of Skubal’s career. So let’s walk through the implications for the team, league, and player as we try to make sense of this unfortunate bit of news.
The White Sox and outfielder Randal Grichuk are in agreement on a major league deal, reports Robert Murray of FanSided. The Sox will need to make corresponding moves to open space for the Paragon Sports International client on the active and 40-man rosters.
Grichuk elected free agency just three days ago after being designated for assignment by the Yankees. The 34-year-old had broken camp on a minor league contract to work in a short side platoon role. He was essentially the last man on Aaron Boone’s bench and took more than two-thirds of his 33 plate appearances versus lefty pitching.
PHOENIX, ARIZONA - NOVEMBER 01: Jonah Heim #28 of the Texas Rangers celebrates after beating the Arizona Diamondbacks 5-0 in Game Five to win the World Series at Chase Field on November 01, 2023 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Good morning.
MLB dot com’s Benjamin Rosenberg writes that the Texas Rangers are getting it done in relief without having a lot of strikeouts or flamethrowers.
Matt Snyder writes that with Tarik Skubal out, the AL Cy Young race is wide open with Jacob deGrom among the new favorites.
And, the DMN notes that former Rangers World Series catcher Jonah Heim has begun his journeyman era by (sort of) going back to where it began as he rejoins the Athletics no longer in Oakland.
PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - APRIL 18: Felix Reyes #29 of the Philadelphia Phillies reacts after flying out to center field for the final out in the fourth inning against the Atlanta Brave at Citizens Bank Park on April 18, 2026 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Heather Barry/Getty Images) | Getty Images
It was a bit of a surprise when the Phillies promoted Felix Reyes to the majors on April 18th. It was a major surprise when he batted cleanup in his first ever MLB game. It was downright shocking that he took Chris Sale deep in his first at bat.
However, everything that’s happened since is not too much of a surprise.
Reyes earned his call up by hitting .333 with 6 home runs through his first 18 games in Triple-A this season. But at the same time, he had an eye-popping 51.9% outside the zone swing rate coupled with a 16.1% whiff rate. That chase rate is Reyes’ biggest weakness and it’s now being exploited to a major degree in the majors.
Reyes has swung at 55.6% of pitches he’s seen outside of the strike zone through his first eight MLB games. That would be far and away the highest in MLB if Reyes qualified, as the current leader is the Rockies Ezequial Tovar with a 48% rate. Since that first at-bat, Reyes is 3-27 (.111) with two singles and a double. He’s struck out 7 times and has yet to draw a walk. He provided a nice spark in one game but has been wholly ineffective since and has looked overmatched at times.
If the Phillies were to decide to option Reyes back to the minor leagues, the internal options to replace him aren’t very enticing. The first choice would be Otto Kemp, the man who was demoted to allow Reyes to come up in the first place. Kemp started the year 2-20 with 9 strikeouts before being sent to Triple-A. Since his demotion, Kemp is hitting .237 with a .625 OPS in 12 games with the Iron Pigs.
Another option would be Bryan De La Cruz who signed a minor league deal with the Phillies in November. De La Cruz has played 32 games with Lehigh Valley and is hitting .222 with a .672 OPS. He would need to be added to the 40-man roster if the Phillies were to decide to promote him to the majors. As of right now, the Phillies do have one spot remaining on the 40-man that could theoretically be used on De La Cruz. He also has an opt-out clause in his contract that can be triggered to make him a free agent at some point in the next couple of months if he does not make the roster.
Looking outside the organization, there’s players such as Mark Canha and Randall Grichuk that the team could take a flier on. Obviously, there are not many options when it comes to finding help for your roster in early May.
So, is it time to end the Félix Reyes experiment? If so, who should take his spot on the Phillies bench?
ANAHEIM, CALIFORNIA - MAY 03: Clay Holmes #35 of the New York Mets is congratulated in the dugout after he was pulled in the seventh inning against the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium of Anaheim on May 3, 2026 in Anaheim, California. (Photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Though the Mets have not been bitten nearly as severely by the injury bug on the pitching side of things, they have struggled to find answers outside of the top 3 in their rotation. Clay Holmes has dazzled and Freddy Peralta and Nolan McLean have been mostly solid, but all of Kodai Senga, David Peterson, and Sean Manaea have been ineffective. Christian Scott has returned to the big leagues to replace Senga in the rotation and had a nightmarish first start, but rebounded in his next outing. The bullpen has been a mixed bag, but trending positive with Tobias Myers continuing to provide consistent quality in long relief and Carl Edwards Jr. joining him in that role. Brooks Raley continues to be outstanding and both Luke Weaver and Devin Williams have had hiccups over the past two weeks, but have had more good outings than bad ones.
Player
Last week
This week
Huascar Brazobán, RHP
Carl Edwards Jr., RHP
—
Clay Holmes, RHP
Craig Kimbrel, RHP
Sean Manaea, LHP
Nolan McLean, RHP
Tobias Myers, RHP
Freddy Peralta, RHP
David Peterson, RHP
Brooks Raley, LHP
Christian Scott, RHP
Kodai Senga, RHP
Austin Warren, RHP
Luke Weaver, RHP
Devin Williams, RHP
We’ll start with Kodai Senga, who has been so bad, that he likely wasn’t making his next start whether he was injured or not. He is now on the injured list with lumbar spinal inflammation and that is the only way he avoided a poop emoji. And it’s probably the only way he avoided another potential stint in the minor leagues too. Christian Scott, back from missing all of 2025 due to Tommy John surgery, has replaced Senga in the rotation. Nerves got the better of Scott in his first start against the Twins in which he issued five walks in just 1 1/3 innings. With the Mets in the position they are in, Carlos Mendoza pulled the plug early while the game was still in striking distance. It’s honestly a miracle Scott only gave up one run. But he looked much better in his outing in Anaheim in which he made one mistake to Jorge Soler, but otherwise pitched well. His defense didn’t do him any favors and ultimately he yielded three runs, only two of which were earned, in five innings of work. Most importantly, he struck out eight batters and walked none—a complete 180 from his first start.
In relief of Scott on Friday, the bullpen was perfect, paving the way for the comeback victory by the Mets. Huascar Brazobán got the win in that game for a scoreless sixth inning of work. Brazobán has been consistently excellent all season and though it wasn’t a clean sheet for him this time, the good outings outweighed the bad ones. One of those bad ones also came in relief of Scott in his abbreviated start against the Twins; Brazobán gave up a game-tying grand slam to Ryan Jeffers, but he inherited the bases loaded situation. And the Mets came back to win the game. He also gave up a run in the Game 1 loss to the Rockies last weekend over two innings of work. But he is spotless so far in the month of May. Carlos Mendoza has consistently turned to Brazobán with inherited runners rather than a clean inning, where he is more successful. But more often than not, he still gets the job done.
Speaking of guys who have been getting the job done, Brooks Raley had a clean sheet this week across five appearances and 4 2/3 innings of work. He earned his fifth hold of the season in relief of Scott on Friday with a scoreless seventh and sealed yesterday’s win with a scoreless ninth. He pitched a scoreless inning apiece in two losses—one to the Rockies and one to the Nationals. He also pitched 2/3 of an inning in last Wednesday’s 3-2 victory over the Twins that ended the legendary losing streak and got into a bit of a jam, but none of those runners would come around to score.
It was Luke Weaver who helped Raley escape that jam, getting the key final out of the eighth after issuing a walk to load the bases. Weaver came back out for the ninth as well and struck out three batters to pitch a scoreless inning and snap the Mets’ 12-game losing streak, earning a win in the process. Weaver bookended this 12-game span with two strong outings in the Angels series over the weekend. In yesterday’s game, he formed the bridge between Clay Holmes and Brooks Raley with 1 1/3 scoreless innings and in Friday’s win, he pitched a 1-2-3 eighth with two strikeouts. Weaver only had one bad outing in the past couple of weeks, but it was a costly one. He gave up a go-ahead two-run homer to CJ Abrams on Thursday, which ended up costing the Mets the game and the series.
Similarly, Devin Williams had a strong couple of weeks outside of one extremely costly outing. In the series opener against the Twins, Williams blew a save, leading to the Mets’ 12th straight loss in the most soul crushing way imaginable. But his outings did improve from there. After the Mets jumped back out ahead of the Twins in the rubber game last Thursday thanks to Bo Bichette’s clutch bases-clearing double, Williams came in the game with one out in the ninth and struck out the first batter he faced, but then allowed three straight hits to bring the Twins within two and put the tying run on base. But he held on to strike out the next batter to end the game. His other outings were less eventful. He pitched a scoreless inning against the Rockies and another against the Nationals—both games the Mets went on to lose, but not because of Williams. He then finally got a save opportunity again on Friday in Anaheim and pitched a 1-2-3 ninth inning to cap off that comeback victory.
Williams was not the only one to not distinguish himself in last Thursday’s game against the Twins. I already mentioned Scott’s terrible start and Brazobán giving up the grand slam, but three of the four runs that crossed the plate from Jeffers’ grand slam were charged to Craig Kimbrel, who loaded the bases on a couple of singles and a walk. Kimbrel pitched two scoreless innings after that—one in the series opener against the Nationals to help complete that shutout victory and a scoreless ninth inning in Anaheim on Saturday to help send that game to extras.
Tobias Myers also appeared in all three games Kimbrel appeared in. He immediately followed Scott last Thursday after he was unable to make it out of the second and pitched 2 1/3 innings, over which he gave up one unearned run and struck out three. Myers preceded Kimbrel in the series opener against the Nationals with two scoreless innings, contributing to the shutout. On Saturday Myers scattered three hits over 2 2/3 scoreless innings of work to cap off his clean sheet for this meter.
Austin Warren ended up taking the loss on Saturday for allowing the walk-off hit in the tenth. But Warren pitched a combined three scoreless innings across two outings before that, not allowing a baserunner in either outing and even striking out the side against the Twins after Devin Williams blew the save, leaving the bases loaded, leading to MVP chants being thrown his way.
Both that heroic effort and the walk-off loss came in relief of Nolan McLean, whose start in the Twins series played out like many of his other starts this season. He was basically unhittable early and then fatigued in the middle innings. But in the end, he logged another quality start, giving up three runs on five hits and striking out a whopping ten batters in 6 2/3 innings. McLean did not go as deep into the game in Saturday’s extra-inning loss. He lasted just four innings, over which he gave up three runs on six hits while striking out six and walking one. Still, even after that start, his season ERA starts with a 2.
The Mets’ best starting pitcher lately has not been McLean, but Clay Holmes, whose season ERA starts with a 1 and is among the best in baseball. He shut the Nationals out for six innings in that series opener, giving up just three hits with six strikeouts and one walk. He then followed that up with another sparkling performance on Sunday to help secure the series victory in Anaheim. He gave up just one run on four hits in 6 2/3 innings. That performance earned him his fourth win of the season and a well-deserved fireball for his cumulative body of work so far this season.
Freddy Peralta’s past two starts were good ones—they just happened to both be games the Mets lost, but that is much more the fault of the offense than of Peralta. He took the loss against the Rockies in the series opener, despite limiting the damage to just two runs on seven hits through 5 2/3 innings of work. He was even better against the Nationals, with just one of the three runs he surrendered being earned in six innings of work. He struck out 14 batters and walked 6 across the two outings.
Sean Manaea finished the game in relief of Peralta last Friday and allowed a pair of insurance runs to the Rockies, which turned out to be consequential as the Mets fell just one run shy of a comeback. Manaea did strike out seven batters in 3 1/3 innings in that outing though. But the real disaster for Manaea—and the reason he earned a poop emoji for this meter—came a few days later when the Nationals absolutely bludgeoned the Mets by a dozen runs. Six of the Nationals’ 14 runs were charged to Manaea.
Carl Edwards Jr., who used to pitch for the Nationals and was freshly called up, did mop-up duty in that game. After Manaea exited, Edwards Jr. pitched the final 2 2/3 innings of the game and was charged with one run on three hits. He struck out an impressive six batters in the outing. Edwards Jr. also pitched the bulk of long relief in Game 2 of last weekend’s doubleheader, started by Kodai Senga, in which the Mets were shut out by the Rockies. Edwards Jr. pitched 3 1/3 scoreless innings with five strikeouts.
Seven of the Nationals’ runs in Wednesday’s beatdown were charged to David Peterson, who started that game and fell to 0-4 on the season with his disastrous performance. His other outing was less of a disaster; he appeared in long relief after Myers in the rubber game against the Twins and was charged with one run on four hits in 3 1/3 innings, earning his first hold of the season. Unfortunately for Peterson, who seems to vastly prefer being in the rotation, he’s had more success out of the bullpen so far this year and will likely remain there for the time being.
May 2, 2026; Bronx, New York, USA; Baltimore Orioles third baseman Blaze Alexander (23) reacts after a called throw strike was confirmed during the fourth inning against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images | Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images
The Orioles went into New York this past Friday trying to prove they were better than their middling record. Instead, they walked away on the wrong end of a four-game sweep, looking more like a team trying to avoid a last-place finish than one contending for a playoff spot.
Each of the four losses in New York followed a similar script. The O’s always fell behind early, as they were outscored 14-2 in the first three innings across the four games. And every time we saw the Orioles’ bats shrink under the pressure of that early hole. The Baltimore bats put up 37 Ks while going 4-for-27 with runners in scoring position.
Rough opening frames from Oriole starters are nothing new. A month ago, I wrote about how terrible 2nd innings plagued the O’s over their first ten games. Since then, it hasn’t gotten any better. Heading into their final game against the Yankees, the Orioles had a 4.59 ERA in innings 1-3 (compared to the league average of 4.03). The 2nd inning is still their biggest downfall, as they have a league-worst 7.68 ERA and 1.015 opponent OPS. Of Orioles starters to make 3+ starts this year, only Trevor Rogers has a 2nd-inning ERA below 5.00.
These struggles to open games are something the O’s will have to improve if they want to undo the damage of another disappointing start to the season. Some of that improvement should come from positive regression; the O’s have an opposing BABIP of .314, whereas the league average is .285. However, much of the improvement will have to come from better execution—the likes of which we expected but have rarely seen from Rogers, Kyle Bradish, Shane Baz and Chris Bassitt.
However, these struggles from the starters have exposed a flaw in the construction of this lineup. Mike Elias and the rest of the front office built this offense to be a battering ram, the type of overwhelming force that gets the Orioles ahead, keeps them ahead, and papers over any deficiencies in the rotation.
The problem with this particular battering ram is that it comes with a lot of swing and miss. Of the 10 qualified Orioles hitters, seven have a swing and miss rate below the 50th-percentile, with Jeremiah Jackson, Coby Mayo, Blaze Alexander and Samuel Basallo all below the 30th percentile. The strikeout rates aren’t any better. Six of the 10 Orioles’ qualified hitters rank in the 40th percentile or below in strikeout rate, with Gunnar Henderson sitting down at the eighth percentile with a 31.4% K rate.
The profile of this offense shouldn’t come as a surprise. Pete Alonso, even for all his offensive output, has always had a fair amount of swing-and-miss in his game—as evidenced by his career average of 159 Ks per 162 games. We’ve seen similar levels of aggression from Gunnar throughout his Oriole career, whose career 23.6% strikeout rate is just a tick above Alonso’s. Adding another big-time power hitter like Samuel Basallo to the lineup was always likely to bring more whiffs as well. It is simply the price you pay for having guys with 30+ HR potential in your lineup.
Having a high-slugging, high-strikeout lineup isn’t a problem in and of itself. The problem arises when you ask those sluggers to try and methodically chip away at a deficit and help the Orioles get back into game they’re trailing. Heading into the series finale in New York, the O’s were third in baseball with 510 ABs when behind. In those situations, they rank 20th in batting average, 22nd in on-base percentage and dead last with 157 strikeouts.
Through this season’s first 35 games, the O’s have only had two hitters who have consistently shown the patience needed to claw yourself out of early holes. Taylor Ward and Adley Rutschman area the only Orioles who are above average in both strikeout rate and whiff rate this season. They go about it different ways, with Ward seeing the most pitches of any Oriole and leading baseball with a miniscule 10.9% chase rate. Adley is a little less selective, but makes up for it by making contact on damn near everything he swings at—as evidence by his 12.2% swing-and-miss rate.
The Orioles have built the whole offensive ethos of their franchise on the value of the three-run home run. And yet, too often, it feels like everyone in the lineup wants to be the guy to hit the Weaver and not enough players want to be the guys on base. The Orioles aren’t great at playing station-to-station baseball, as seen by the fact that 48% of their RBIs come via the long ball (majoe league average is 41.8%). And yet, it is that type of station-to-station approach that you need if you want to score come-from-behind victories.
The O’s have 15 more games this month against current Top 5 teams in the AL—including nine against the Yankees and Rays. Which means they have at least 15 more changes to prove that the double disfunction of their starting staff and lineup is more fluke than reality. But just like Colton Cowser against non-fastballs, this team has a clear flaw that so far has doomed them to a massively underwhelming start to the 2026 season.
SEATTLE, WASHINGTON - APRIL 10: Tatsuya Imai #45 of the Houston Astros delivers a pitch during the first inning against the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on April 10, 2026 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Jack Compton/Getty Images) | Getty Images
With apologies to Shohei Ohtani and the faithful attending tonight’s contest at Daikin Park, the more significant season barometer will actually be registered approximately 23 miles southwest this evening when the Space Cowboys take the field against the Albuquerque Isotopes at Constellation Field.
The likes of Josh Hader, Nate Pearson, & Tatsuya Imai are each expected in the mix, returning to action and not a moment too soon. For Imai in particular, getting “comfortable” a few days prior to his 28th birthday is paramount in Houston’s ability to steadily climb the A.L. West standings.
In large measure, the divisional crown will not be measured against Ohtani’s “Unicorn” flashes, but rather, against its rivals within. Control the division, and control your destiny.
In May alone, the Astros have 11 combined games against the Mariners and Rangers. The final week of the regular season concludes with a 6 game road swing against Seattle and those pesky A’s.
Show of hands if you thought by the third homestand that Spencer Arrighetti would have 3 more wins on the year than ace Hunter Brown. Each year, there are surprises. Remember the start Tyler Mahle had a year ago with the Rangers? He finished last April with an ERA of 0.68.
Maybe even a “Spencer” (of a different variety), recall Schwellenbach who opened with the Braves allowing only a single run to be scored during the course of 20 innings? Sugar Land may play as significant of a role in the “resist the rebuild” movement as any. Barring a mega in-season trade, the Astros are a glorified mash unit, waiting to heal and deal.
While the calls for Espada to be removed have a foreboding undertone, who’s available on the managerial docket that would galvanize the fan base and reverse course? Dave Martinez? Skip Schumaker? Yawn.
I’d rather have Julia Morales if we’re going that route, at least she knows the clubhouse and has a grasp on the organizational pulse.
The Astros are far from dead and buried. In fact, they might be ripe for an in-season trade. You know the history. Verlander, Greinke, Bagwell, Carlos Beltran in 2004 or even Randy Johnson in 1998.
As the Brewers continue to occupy 4th place in their division, the tantalizing possibility of Freddy Peralta or Brandon Woodruff linger in the air.
Michael Conforto has been an afterthought for most of this Cubs season.
The team didn’t sign him until late February. He got some playing time early on because of the injury to Seiya Suzuki, but since Suzuki’s return April 10, Conforto has played in just 10 games, starting just four of those. He didn’t play at all in the weekend series against the Diamondbacks.
Then Craig Counsell sent him up to bat in the bottom of the ninth Monday for Matt Shaw. Shaw had pinch-run for Moisés Ballesteros in the eighth, and what I was thinking in that tie-game situation was, “Well, if Conforto gets on, they’ll have to run Nicky Lopez for him.”
Conforto took care of that potential issue by smashing a walk-off home run into the left-field bleachers, giving the Cubs their sixth consecutive win and 12th straight at Wrigley Field, 5-4 over the Reds.
Let’s rewind to the beginning of this back-and-forth affair.
Late Monday morning, the Cubs moved the starting time of this game up 30 minutes to 6:10 p.m. CT in anticipation of some rain and storms that were supposed to hit around 9 p.m. Instead, it started raining just about 6:10, the rain lasting an hour, so the game wound up starting at 7:50. Give the Cubs credit for the attempt, anyway. The sun came out as the rain was ending, producing these beautiful views:
Edward Cabrera got in trouble in the first two innings with hits and walks, but squeezed out of both jams. Then he served up a home-run ball to JJ Bleday leading off the second, and in the third issued a two-out walk. That was followed by Ke’Bryan Hayes smashing one out of the yard to give the Reds a 3-0 lead.
The Cubs couldn’t do anything with Reds rookie right-hander Chase Petty over the first three innings, with just a double by Alex Bregman in the first and single by Nico Hoerner over that time.
An annoying little rainshower parked itself over Wrigley Field in the fourth. That, entirely coincidentally, was when the Cubs rallied. Bregman led off with a walk and Ian Happ also drew a base on balls.
That was the longest Cubs home run of 2026 to date, and the sixth-longest by anyone this year. As you can see at that link, Suzuki also had the previous longest Cubs homer this year (441 feet on April 21 vs. the Phillies). Another note on the home-run distance (Bluesky link):
And one last note on Suzuki’s homer from BCB’s JohnW53:
Suzuki’s home run was the Cubs’ seventh this season with two on base, among 45 total homers — 15.6 percent. That is significantly higher than their final percentage in each of their five previous seasons:
2025: 27 of 223 — 12.1 2024: 19 of 170 — 11.2 2023: 15 of 196 — 7.7 2022: 12 of 159 — 7.5 2021: 17 of 210 — 8.1
The rain stopped, this time for good, and Cabrera then pulled off a nice play in the fifth. With one out, Elly De La Cruz singled. Cabrera picked him off [VIDEO].
The play went to review, but as you can see, De La Cruz was clearly out. In the sixth, Cabrera got some help from his defense — this slick stop by Michael Busch [VIDEO].
Cabrera’s three runs in six innings was the Cubs’ 15th quality start in their 35 games. They began the day tied with the Pirates for seventh most QS. Dodgers had 21; Braves and Royals, 17; and Mariners, Tigers and Yankees, 16.
Hoby Milner and Phil Maton threw a scoreless seventh, with Maton entering to throw to Sal Stewart after Milner walked De La Cruz with two out. Maton, who has pitched much better since his return from the IL, got Stewart to ground out to end the inning.
The Cubs, though, could not score in the fifth, sixth or seventh, and then Ben Brown gave up a run in the eighth. Uncharacteristically a bit wild, Brown walked Nathaniel Lowe leading off the inning. Leadoff walks, as most managers will tell you, are never good. The Reds sent Blake Dunn in to run for Lowe, and Dunn immediately stole second. That was important, as Spencer Steer’s single scored Dunn to give the Reds a 4-3 lead.
The Cubs had a good scoring chance in the eighth. Ballesteros led off with a walk and, as noted earlier, Shaw ran for him. Shaw was immediately erased on a force play by Bregman. A wild pitch moved Bregman to second and after Happ struck out, Suzuki ran a 3-1 count before being intentionally passed. Busch walked to load the bases, but Carson Kelly also struck out, ending the inning.
Ryan Rolison, who’s had an up-and-down year for the Cubs so far, was definitely “up” in this game. He struck out all three Reds he faced in the top of the ninth, throwing 14 pitches.
As you can see in the clip, Dane Myers almost made a spectacular catch against the ivy, but the ball went in and out of his glove, and PCA raced around the bases, safe easily at third. A note on the triple:
For Conforto, it was his first career walk-off home run. That entire ninth inning was something. Triples are perhaps the most exciting play in baseball, and PCA running the bases is always fun to watch. The walk-off homer wakes up and excites a crowd no matter who hits it. I’m really happy for Conforto, who has settled very well into his bench role on this team — now batting .323/.436/.548. It’s only 39 plate appearances for Conforto, but he has definitely made important contributions.
This was the first game of the season in which the Cubs erased two deficits. They had erased one in 12 earlier games. They are 10-3 when they have erased at least one. They lost the first two, won eight in a row, lost last Monday at San Diego, then won Sunday and tonight.
I have written this before and I’m going to say it again: There is something special about this team. Every single player on the roster has made significant contributions to winning. That, I believe, is the mark of a really good team. They all pick each other up — and in this team’s case, even in the face of major pitching injuries. The season to date has been really enjoyable. Let’s hope that continues … all the way through October.
As I mentioned at the beginning of this recap, this was the Cubs’ sixth win in a row. They did not win six in a row all of last year. Now they have two streaks at least that long in 2026 — and we are only 35 games into the season.
Last note: The Cubs are on a 16-3 run since April 14, the best record in MLB in that span, and have scored the most runs over that period, 117 (6.2 per game). They’ve allowed 78 runs over the 19 games, or 4.1 per game.
The Cubs and Reds meet again at Wrigley Field Tuesday evening. Jameson Taillon will start for the Cubs and Andrew Abbott goes for Cincinnati. Game time is 6:40 p.m. CT (this time for sure, it will be cool but dry this evening) and TV coverage will be via Marquee Sports Network.
SEATTLE, WASHINGTON - MAY 04: Tucker, the Seattle Mariners clubhouse dog, plays during batting practice before the game between the Seattle Mariners and the Atlanta Braves at T-Mobile Park on May 04, 2026 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images) | Getty Images
A combination of day games and morning news gave me a brief, impromptu break, but I’m back.
Before this season started, I thought the Braves might need to operate more like their 2019-2021 lot in life (nothing is guaranteed) than their 2022-2025, “Our roster is good enough to do whatever” framework. The Braves have done their best to make a mockery of that thought, as they have baseball’s best record and run differential, and can still avoid losing a single series if they win the next two in Seattle.
For the season, the biggest chase is a playoff spot. Then, we can talk about winning the division. If that’s secure, I guess the next thing to think about is a first-round bye. And then we’re really just talking best record in MLB.
The Braves currently have playoff odds of 95 percent. Seven teams have increased their odds more over the course of the season so far, but only the Yankees started in a similar place and have increased their odds more than the Braves. Basically, it’s possible that the Braves will still be in for a fight just to grab a playoff spot, but I’m not sure it’s that likely unless there’s another multifaceted collapse in terms of both injuries and approach.
The Braves currently have the third-highest division odds, and no team has gained more in this regard. Those division odds are about 83 percent right now, so again, I don’t think it’s unrealistic at all to say their fight will in the end, be for the division, but you could also set your sights higher.
They have the third-highest odds of a bye, but second in the NL — i.e., someone would have to supplant them from the field, aside from the Dodgers. This could be the most interesting “race” down the stretch… if everything goes okay for the Braves going forward.
With the wins they have banked, they now project for the third-most wins in MLB as a central estimate. If everything goes right, maybe this is a “race” where they either lead the rest of the way with excitement, or they try to chase down, say, the Dodgers.
Which of these do you think will be the story down the stretch — say, in late August?
Dinger Tuesday and here, and we need a big day in a bad way. Today's looks are heavily factoring in familiarity, which isn't usually priced in for MLB player props.
Aaron Judge will be aided by a great hitting setting, and righties are hitting Jacob deGrom this year. Meanwhile, Juan Soto needs to go off in Coors and should get that coveted fifth plate appearance because of his move to the leadoff spot.
These are my favorite home run props for Tuesday, May 5.
Best MLB home run props today
Player to hit a HR
Odds
Aaron Judge
+240
Juan Soto
+344
Home run pick: Aaron Judge (+240)
The New York Yankees just saw Jacob deGrom one start ago, and that familiarity won’t be fully priced into their HR lines. Add in 17-mph winds blowing out to left, and the conditions only improve. It’s not every day you get +EV on Aaron Judge at +240, but that’s what the Covers projections show.
At first look, he has a split disadvantage vs. deGrom, but the Texas Rangers starter is much tougher on lefties. Right-handed hitters are hitting .324 vs. him compared to .139 vs. LHHs.
The fair price sits closer to +200. Lefty bats like Jazz Chisholm Jr. (+470), Trent Grisham (+390), and Ben Rice (+350) also project as +EV, but I want a right-handed slugger, and the Yankees have the best one projecting for 0.37 HRs today
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Where to watch: YES, Rangers Sports Network
Home run pick: Juan Soto (+344)
Michael Lorenzen is the best pitcher to fade today, and his poor numbers are legit.
Of all starters on the slate, his BlastContact% ranks among the worst, and his HR/FB rate is also near the bottom of the league. He’s actually giving up more homers on the road than at Coors, but that should flip sooner rather than later.
Only David Peterson and Carmen Mlodzinski have allowed harder contact this year.
Juan Soto is hitting leadoff and gets the boost of extra plate appearances. He’s +344 to go deep, and his bat-tracking numbers (swing speed, square-up%) rank in the Top 10 over the last 10 days. He just saw Lorenzen back on April 24th, and that familiarity should carry over.
Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
Where to watch: Rockies.TV, SNY
Josh Inglis' 2026 Transparency Record
HR picks: 9-57, -9.9u units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
ARLINGTON, TEXAS - APRIL 29: Elmer Rodriguez #71 of the New York Yankees throws a pitch during the first inning against the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field on April 29, 2026 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The Bombers will remain in the Bronx for their next series before hitting the road again. The upcoming series is not just the second half of their stay at home, following a four-game series against the Baltimore Orioles in which they scored at least seven runs in all four games and came away with a series sweep, but it’s also the second of the last three series in which they face the Texas Rangers. However, this time, it will be on their own home turf, and the pitching matchups will be exciting for fans in attendance.
Tuesday: Elmer Rodríguez vs. Jacob deGrom(7:05 pm ET)
The last time Rodríguez was on the mound was in that last series in Arlington, and it wasn’t just any start. The 22-year-old right-hander pitched four full innings in his Major League debut and collected three strikeouts, but ended up giving two runs in the final game of the series, while Nathan Eovaldi pitched a gem and the Yankees were shut out. Considering the small workload for Rodríguez, it’s hard to say the kind of impact he could have in his first start at home, but there’s no doubt he will be fired up and looking to make sure that he gives the home fans a show.
However, in order to give the Yankees faithful a good performance, he’s going to have to push past someone who has terrorized all of Major League Baseball — and was the lead man for the other New York team — for a long time: Jacob deGrom. The last time deGrom was on the mound was also when the Yankees visited Texas, pitching six innings with five strikeouts, no walks, and only three hits. He has been very strong through the year thus far, too, with a 2-1 record and a 2.01 ERA through six games with 40 strikeouts in 31.1 innings pitched. So, even though he sits at 38 years old, the kind of problems deGrom can bring to an opposing lineup is serious.
Wednesday: Will Warren vs. Nathan Eovaldi (7:05 pm ET)
Will Warren has been about as good at the backend of the rotation as anyone on the Yankees’ staff could ask for, and that continued in his last start against the Orioles. He pitched 6.1 innings with three hits, one earned run, one walk, and nine strikeouts in a 7-2 victory. He remains a perfect 4-0 with a 2.39 ERA and 46 strikeouts in 37.2 innings this season. Warren did not pitch against the Rangers last time the two teams faced each other, but the pitcher he’s across from did, and it was the best outing of the series by any pitcher on either squad.
Nathan Eovaldi, the former Yankees hurler, posted seven shutout innings with four hits and seven strikeouts against the Bombers in his last outing, and he’s familiar with Yankee Stadium. Despite having a somewhat surprising 4.76 ERA on the season, it feels as if every time Eovaldi takes the mound against his former team, he finds another gear. In fact, of any team that Eovaldi has pitched against at least 10 times in his career, he has the fourth-lowest ERA against the Yankees. So, with that being said, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see the 36-year-old get back to that standard as he looks to bring down his season ERA as well.
Thursday: Ryan Weathers vs. MacKenzie Gore (12:35 pm ET)
The final matchup between these two teams for the series comes between two pitchers who are somewhat of the same archetype. Ryan Weathers, a 26-year-old left-handed pitcher who stands at 6-foot-1 on the mound with a new team this season, is going up against MacKenzie Gore, a 27-year-old left-handed pitcher who stands at 6-foot-2 on the mound with a new team this season — and both were previously on NL East teams as well.
Weathers had a decent last outing against the Orioles, trying to maintain a starting role in the organization with the impending returns of Gerrit Cole and Carlos Rodón and, as of now, competing with Warren for that final spot. He pitched five innings with three hits and three runs given up (one earned). He also walked two batters and struck out five. It was an outing that he likely would have wanted to see go a little bit better, but he received the win in the decision column, so it was a good enough buffer outing. Overall, Weathers still sits with an ERA just over 3.00, with 45 strikeouts in 38.2 innings pitched, a very solid place to be at the backend of a rotation.
His opponent, Gore, hasn’t had the start with his new team that he would have liked to have coming out of spring training. His 4.67 ERA through seven starts and 34.2 innings pitched is a bit of a concern, and his last five games have been a bit of a slog to try and find any rhythm at all. In four of his last five, he has collected at least five strikeouts, with the highest total being nine in a 3-0 win against the Mariners on April 8th. However, that was almost a month ago, and in his last three games, he has allowed at least three runs. In his last start, Gore pitched only 3.2 innings (with 94 pitches) against the Tigers and gave up those three earned runs on just four hits. So, the Yankees are catching him at a vulnerable time. This game could be a pivotal one in the series, taking advantage of the weakest pitcher they’ll see from the Rangers this time out will be crucial.
May 4, 2026; Denver, Colorado, USA; New York Mets center fielder Carson Benge (3) celebrates his solo home run in the sixth inning against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images | Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images
Meet the Mets
The Mets scored four runs on four hits on May the 4th in a 4-2 victory over the Rockies at Coors Field. Carson Benge hit a home run to lead off the sixth inning and made another sparkling defensive play to spark the victory.
Juan Soto batted lead off for the Mets, marking just the third time he has done that in his career. Mendoza explained the move as ‘trying to create traffic’.
While Soto has not been a problem for the Mets this year, Laura Albanese wondered if him leading off could be the answer.
Keith Hernandez rejoined the SNY booth after recovering from back surgery.
Joel Sherman wrote that David Stearns’ flimsy words won’t save Carlos Mendoza, but then outlined some things that might.
Anthony DiComo analyzed what we’ve learned about the Mets so far.
Tim Britton explored the things the 2026 Mets can learn from the 2024 squad.
AJ Minter will likely return this weekend or early next week.
Marc Levine will be honored with a Mets Hall of Fame Achievement Award.
Around the National League East
The Braves have topped the latest MLB Power Rankings for the first time in three years.
Atlanta activated Sean Murphy from the IL and designated Jonah Heim for assignment to make room on the roster.
Aaron Nola’s room for error is shrinking, but his fastball issues persist, writes Cole Weintraub.
Todd Zolecki looked at potential topics for the Phillies to address in upcoming meetings.
The Marlins called up catcher Joe Mack, their fourth ranked prospect, to make his major league debut. They sent down Agustin Ramirez as their corresponding move.
The Phillies blanked the Marlins 1-0. Nola tossed six shutout innings on extra rest as the Phillies improved to 6-1 under their interim skipper.
The Braves fell 5-4 to the Mariners after surrendering five runs in the bottom of the sixth inning.
Around Major League Baseball
John Sterling passed away yesterday at the age of 87. The longtime radio voice of the Yankees, who was known for his creative home run calls and called over 5,400 games for the Bronx Bombers during his career, retired in 2024.
Buster Olney spoke about why Sterling was perfect for the Yankees and their fans.
Jared Greenspan cataloged the top hitters, pitchers, relievers, and rookies in the first month of the season.
The two OPS leaders in the NL right now are not who you might expect.
The first MVP poll of 2026 revealed some expected favorites along with some early-season surprises.
Reigning two-time AL Cy Young Award winner Tarik Skubal will undergo arthroscopic surgery to remove loose bodies from his elbow and is expected to miss two to three months.
Mark Feinsand examined how the injury will affect Skubal’s free agency and the Tigers.
The metrics prove that Yordan Alvarez is pretty much good at all things hitting.
The Orioles signed veteran reliever Lou Trivino in an effort to bolster their bullpen.
The White Sox added journeyman outfielder Randal Grichuk to their roster.
The Brewers activated Jackson Chourio and Andrew Vaughn from the IL. In corresponding moves, they optioned Perkins to Triple-A Nashville and designated outfielder Greg Jones for assignment.
Ben Rice was out of the lineup yesterday after exiting the team’s previous game with a bruised hand.
The Rays beat the Blue Jays 5-1.
The Red Sox used a five-run seventh to defeat the Tigers 5-4.
The Yankees obliterated the Orioles 12-1 to complete the four-game sweep. Michael Kay paid homage to Sterling with his home run call on Aaron Judge’s latest blast.
The White Sox blanked the Angels 6-0, as Munetaka Murakami tied Aaron Judge in homers with a majestic blast.
The Dodgers’ offense came to life in an 8-3 win over the Astros, as Yoshinobu Yamamoto returned to form with eight strikeouts in the victory.
The Cubs walked off the Reds 5-4 thanks to a pinch hit, two-run ninth inning homer from old friend Michael Conforto. It was the Cubs’ 12th straight win at Wrigley Field.
The Royals defeated the Guardians 6-2.
The Cardinals doubled up the Brewers 6-3.
The Giants outlasted the Padres 3-2.
Yesterday at Amazin’ Avenue
Chris McShane previewed the team’s series against the Rockies.
Allison McCague brought us the position player meters for the week.
This Date in Mets History
On this date in 2004, I was one of 19,974 fans in attendance at Shea Stadium to witness Mike Piazza hit his 352nd home run as a catcher, breaking Carlton Fisk’s record for most home runs by a backstop.
Playoff Tyler! | Photo by Jesse D. Garrabrant/NBAE via Getty Images
WHOOPS.
My bad, everyone.
I missed the window to actually get this post up in between the Philadelphia 76ers advancing to the second round to face the New York Knicks on Saturday and Game 1 of that Eastern Conference semifinal series on Monday. I totally had time to do it on Sunday night and Monday morning…. just totally did not realize that the series was starting up that quickly, and here we are.
This is going to be a shorter post than our first round entry in keeping track of the NBA Playoffs through a Marquette magnifying glass. That is due to Oklahoma City eliminating Oso Ighodaro and Phoenix in four games as well as Detroit rallying from down 3-1 to bounce Jamal Cain and Orlando in seven games. We got very close to being able to keep an eye on the Magic, as they had a 20 point lead at halftime of Game 6…. and then they lost by double digits and then lost Game 7 by 20 points.
That leaves us with just one former Marquette player involved in the NBA Playoffs, and as we’ll get to in a second, “involved” is a stretch of a word to use……
Tyler Kolek — New York Knicks
Kolek and New York advanced out of the first round with a 4-2 series win over the Atlanta Hawks. After Atlanta got a 107-106 win in Game 2 and a 109-108 win in Game 3, that series got out of hand in a hurry. New York won the next three games by 16, 29, and 51 points. That Game 6 wasn’t even as close as the 140-89 margin suggests it was as the Knicks were up 61 at one point in the third quarter not to mention it was 40-15 at the end of the first quarter and 83-36 at the half.
As mostly expected, our man Tyler Kolek was not that involved in the series. He appeared in just three of the games for a total of 19 minutes. We can’t help but notice that he played in the three games that the Knicks won by increasingly larger margins, so perhaps head coach Mike Brown should have been giving the former Big East Player of the Year a little bit more run, eh? Kolek averaged 2.7 points and 1.7 assists per game in his limited action, but his series against Philadelphia in the second round is off to a better start. One-for-one in games played, eight points and four assists in 10 minutes, and he got to celebrate the 137-98 win with Timothee Chalamet, who passed on going to the Met Gala with his girlfriend to be at Game 1 at The Garden.
New York was led by Jalen Brunson and OG Anunoby in the first round series against Atlanta, with both men averaging at least 21 points per game. Brunson had the team lead in assists, barely beating out Karl-Anthony Towns, 6.2 to 6.0 per game. Towns was the leading rebounder for the Knicks with 11.3 per game to go with his nearly 19 points a night, and it’s kinda weird that a guy that was averaging 19/11/6/2/2 in a playoff series isn’t getting the spotlight.
As mentioned, Kolek’s Knicks are facing Philadelphia in the second round or the conference semifinals if you want to be fancy about it. The 76ers beat Boston in seven games maaaaaaaybe helped along by Jayson Tatum missing Game 7 with a knee injury of some sort…. and maaaaaybe helped along by head coach Joe Mazzulla starting Baylor Scheierman, Luka Garza, and Ron Harper, none of whom scored in a combined 35 minutes of action in a Game 7 that ended up decided by nine points. Weird!
The Sixers are 100% Tyrese Maxey’s team at this point as he averaged 27 points, five rebounds, and over six assists per game against the Celtics. Joel Embiid recovered from his appendectomy to play in the final four games of the series and average 28 points, nine rebounds, and seven assists a game. That’s pretty much vintage Embiid right there, but as always, the question is whether or not the 32 year old will remain available all playoffs long. He hasn’t played 60 games in an NBA season since 2022-23 and has never played in 70 games in a season. He only appeared in 38 this year for the Sixers, so we’ll have to wait and see how this series goes. It certainly seemed like KAT was able to abuse Embiid in an inside-outside game way in Game 1, which is perhaps a bad sign for Philly but a great sign for you and me trying to see a Marquette guy win an NBA title this year.
Which reminds me: Are the Knicks the favorite in the Eastern Conference right now? Detroit nearly got bounced in the first round by #8 seed Orlando, the Sixers knocked the #2 seeded Celtics out, and the Knicks are the #3 seed. Nobody’s taking Cleveland seriously as the #4 seed except for people in Ohio, and that’s because James Harden Melts Down In What Turns Into The Final Game Of The Season is looming out there for the Cavaliers. Interesting to think about, at the very least.
Game 1: Monday, May 4; Knicks 137, 76ers 98 Game 2: Wednesday, May 6, 6pm Central, ESPN Game 3: Friday, May 8, 6pm Central, Prime Video Game 4: Sunday, May 10, 2:30pm Central, ABC Game 5*: Tuesday, May 12, TBD, TBD Game 6*: Thursday, May 14, TBD, TBD Game 7*: Sunday, May 17, TBD, TBD
After what has felt like months of waiting, the 2026 NHL Draft Lottery is officially here. Heading into the lottery, the Vancouver Canucks have the best odds of landing first overall for the 2026 NHL Entry Draft. It is safe to say that there is plenty of excitement in the market as the Canucks have never selected first overall.
While Vancouver finished 32nd overall, that does not guarantee they will win first overall. In fact, they have a better statistical chance of falling to third rather than winning the draft lottery. Below is a quick explanation of how the lottery works and what needs to happen for the Canucks to win.
Only the bottom 11 teams are eligible to win the first overall slot. This is because teams can only move up a total of 10 spots. Below are the 11 teams and their odds of winning the first overall pick.
Vancouver Canucks 18.5%
Chicago Blackhawks 13.5%
New York Rangers 11.5%
Calgary Flames 9.5%
Toronto Maple Leafs (conditional to BOS) 8.5%
Seattle Kraken 7.5%
Winnipeg Jets 6.5%
Florida Panthers 6.0%
San Jose Sharks 5.0%
Nashville Predators 3.5%
St. Louis Blues 3.0%
New Jersey Devils 2.5%
New York Islanders 2.0%
Columbus Blue Jackets 1.5%
St. Louis Blues 0.5%
Washington Capitals 0.5%
The draft lottery consists of two drawings. As per the NHL, "The first draw locks in the No. 1 pick (and potentially another pick). The second draw determines the rest of the order. If the winner of the first draw wins the second draw, there is a redraw."
As for the draw itself, there are 1,000 eligible combinations. Vancouver has been assigned 185 combinations. Below is a list of the Canucks winning combinations.
The 2026 NHL Draft Lottery is scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 4:00 pm PT. The event will be broadcast on Sportsnet. After the event is complete, the NHL will be posting a video of the draw on YouTube.
Photo Credit: @Canucks on "X"
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SACRAMENTO, CA - NOVEMBER 9: Zach LaVine #8 and DeMar DeRozan #10 of the Sacramento Kings talk during the game against the Minnesota Timberwolves on November 9, 2025 at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2025 NBAE (Photo by Rocky Widner/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images
The lottery drawing for the 2026 NBA Draft was always going to have massive stakes. A.J. Dybantsa, Darryn Peterson, and Cameron Boozer have been hyped as an elite trio at the top of the class going back to their high school days, and their presence caused a tank-off for the ages this season. Add in a breakout freshman year from North Carolina forward Caleb Wilson, and the draft now offers major prizes at all four spots drawn in the lottery.
The tanking was so bad this season that the NBA is ready to push through lottery reform starting next year. The bottom three teams will suddenly have worse odds than those in the 4-10 range, and the floor for the worst teams has fallen out of the top-10. The odds are going to be flattened so much throughout the order that the results will feel completely random. Bad teams better cash in now on this lottery, because the chances of landing a top pick are going to be greatly diminished in the near future.
At this point, anyone who follows the draft closely has already run hundreds of lottery simulations. But who actually deserves lottery luck? We’re here to answer that. This is all very subjective, but there are still right answers. Here’s how the lottery will play out if there’s any justice in the drawing.
14. Charlotte Hornets
Odds at top-4 pick: 2.4%
The Hornets feel like the East’s team of the future after closing the season with the best net-rating in the league after Jan. 1. Landing a power forward who can defend and space the floor or a bigger rim protecting center would be ideal with this pick. Michigan’s Yaxel Lendeborg and Aday Mara would both be a great fit here, but if they’re both gone, I’d also like their teammate Morez Johnson Jr. in this spot.
13. Miami Heat
Odds at top-4 pick: 4.8%
The Heat never tank, and for that I was tempted to move them into the top-four. The odds are just extremely long for that to happen. If there’s a miracle coming Miami’s way, a Giannis Antetokounmpo trade feels more likely than a jump into the top-4.
The Mavs moved up from No. 11 in the lottery to the No. 1 overall pick last year for Cooper Flagg. Could the Warriors get the same bit of luck? Golden State has a convincing case for deserving some good luck after getting screwed over by Jimmy Butler’s torn ACL. It would be wonderful to see Steph Curry play meaningful basketball again before he retires, and a top pick could help him get there whether Golden State trades it or keeps it. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Warriors move up, and I think it would be kind of cool. They just missed the cut-off for the top-4 picks in these rankings.
10. Milwaukee Bucks
Odds at top-4 pick: 13.9%
The Bucks owe a pick swap to Atlanta, who also has the rights to New Orleans’ pick, so Milwaukee can only land in the top-4 if the Hawks are ahead of them. The Bucks moving up might be the most explosive possible outcome for the lottery that doesn’t involve OKC landing a top pick. Taylor Jenkins is the new head coach here, and Giannis trade rumors are likely to be kicking into high gear again this summer. Landing a top pick might make Giannis more likely to stay. I could see it happening.
9. Dallas Mavericks
Odds at top-4 pick: 29%
The Mavs cashed in on a 1.8 percent chance to land Cooper Flagg last year. Do they really deserve more lottery luck after that? This pick will be extremely important for Dallas regardless of where it ends up because the team doesn’t control its first round pick until 2031 after this year due to a series of deals made to build around Luka Doncic. Whoops. Flagg needs a co-star in the worst way, but getting super lucky two years in a row would feel like a little much.
8. Memphis Grizzlies
Odds at top-4 pick: 37.2%
The Grizzlies tore down the roster because they thought they were stuck in the middle, but it certainly feels like they sold high on both Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr. Memphis has a good young core already emerging led by Zach Edey and Cedric Coward, and I feel confident this front office will find more good players in this draft (they also own Phoenix’s pick at No. 16 this year) even if they don’t move up. The Grizzlies have put themselves in position to get lucky, and no one can hold it against them if they do.
7. Utah Jazz
Odds at top-4 pick: 45.2%
Utah was at the forefront of tanking shenanigans this year by resting their best players in the fourth quarter of close games. They were already fined for this, and their main goal was just to keep their pick inside of the top-8, otherwise they would have to send it to the Thunder (seriously). You can make a case that a lot of teams deserve lottery luck this year, but the Jazz aren’t one of them. The good news for Utah is that they should be a lot more competitive next year with a core of Lauri Markkanen, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Keyonte George. They can land a premium talent in this range like Illinois’ Keaton Wagler or Arizona’s Brayden Burries even if they don’t move up.
6. Brooklyn Nets
Odds at top-4 pick: 52.1%
The Nets toed the line of gunning for a top pick without outright tanking the way Utah and Washington did. Brooklyn hasn’t gotten any lottery luck since moving off its Kevin Durant, Kyrie Irving, and James Harden core from a few years ago, and next season they don’t own their first-round pick because Houston has swap rights. The Nets have a great young head coach in Jordi Fernandez, and they have a very good veteran wing in his prime in Michael Porter Jr. who enjoyed a career renaissance under Fernandez this year. You can’t be mad if the Nets land in the top-4.
5. Washington Wizards
Odds at top-4 pick: 52.1%
Congrats to the Wizards: they were the worst team in the NBA with 17 wins, and because of that they can’t fall further than fifth in this draft. That still isn’t exactly a cause for celebration though because to me it feels like there’s a big drop off in talent between pick No. 4 and pick No. 5. It felt like Washington tanked hard and rested players at every opportunity, but they were never fined for it. It almost feels like the Wizards know they aren’t getting lucky after trading for Anthony Davis and Trae Young mid-season to accelerate their timeline. Getting a top pick would completely change Washington’s two-timelines approach, especially with rumors that AD doesn’t want to be there. The Wizards fell to their pick floor last year when they landed at No. 6, and I could see it happening again.
4. Chicago Bulls
Odds at top-4 pick: 20.3%
The Bulls have the fourth-worst cumulative record in the NBA over the last nine seasons, but they haven’t landed a top-3 pick over that time, and the only time they moved up they got stuck with Patrick Williams. Chicago actually has a little bit of hope right now after firing Arturas Karnisovas and landing the Portland Trail Blazers’ pick at No. 15 overall (which finally conveyed from the 2021 Lauri Markkanen trade), but ultimately they’ll need some lottery luck to actually start to build something sustainable. The Bulls have refused to tank for years, and spent the entirety of the AK era pushing for a play-in tournament bid to try to backdoor into the playoffs. This roster is pretty bleak beyond Matas Buzelis, Josh Giddey, and the hope that last year’s lottery pick Noa Essengue can provide something in his second season. If the league really wants to punish tanking, the Bulls deserve to move up into the top-4.
3. Atlanta Hawks
Odds at top-4 pick: 43.2%
The Hawks made a brilliant trade during the 2025 draft to earn New Orleans’ unprotected first-round pick, and they can add it into their swap rights with the Bucks for a convincing chance at moving up. The Hawks have a nice foundation in place and just stole a couple games from the Knicks in the first-round of the playoffs, and moving up in the lottery would make this a fantastic season for the franchise. The Hawks still feel like they’re searching for a No. 1 option even after Jalen Johnson’s rise this year, and landing a player like Darryn Peterson or A.J. Dybantsa could set them up with success for a long time. Atlanta absolutely whiffed on its No. 1 overall pick in 2024 with Zaccharie Risacher, but that front office has been fired, and the team has made a lot of good moves since then. It would be fun to see the Hawks move up.
2. Indiana Pacers
Odds at top-4 pick: 52.1%
The Pacers gave the NBA a thrill on their underdog run to the 2025 NBA Finals. Indiana was on the doorstep of a championship when Tyrese Haliburton tore his Achilles in Game 7, and the result was a lost season this year in his absence. The Pacers have more at stake in this lottery than any other team after trading their top-4 protected first-round draft pick for Ivica Zubac at the trade deadline. If this pick lands at No. 5 or lower, it belongs to the Clippers. It’s easy to imagine a world where Pacers immediately become the class of the East again next season with a healthy Haliburton, a full season of Zubac, and a top-4 pick like Dybantsa, Peterson, Boozer, or Wilson. I’d like to see them rewarded after putting together such an inspiring run before Haliburton’s injury.
1. Sacramento Kings
Odds at top-4 pick: 52.1%
Don’t lump the Kings in with all the other tankers this year. Sacramento badly wanted to win this season; they just failed spectacularly at doing so. A roster led by Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan, Domantas Sabonis, and Russell Westbrook was ill-conceived from the start, but not because the Kings were trying to lose on purpose. Sacramento has been very bad for a very long time, and it feels even more painful right now after watching Haliburton and De’Aaron Fox go on to enjoy success with other teams after they were drafted in Sacramento. The Kings haven’t had the No. 1 overall pick since 1989 when they drafted Pervis Ellison despite finishing in the lottery 19 of the last 20 years. I think Sacramento fans deserve a little luck at this point. I’m also just worried the gap between Sacramento and the rest of the West is going to get even more stark in the coming years with the new lottery odds. In a season where tanking brought the NBA great shame, the Kings put forth a real effort every night. Plenty of other teams tried to manipulate the odds to their favor. The Kings were just flat out bad.