This Week in Purple: Empty Chairs at Empty Lockers

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - AUGUST 07: Brenton Doyle #7 of the Chicago White Sox catches a fly ball against the Cleveland Guardians during the fifth inning at Rate Field on August 07, 2026 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Colorado Rockies started their week on a high note by completing their sweep of the Kansas city Royals. Unfortunately, they were then promptly swept themselves by one of the best teams in baseball in the Tampa Bay Rays. Now the Rockies are on the road for a nine game road trip, starting with a series against the St. Louis Cardinals. The Rockies dropped a close game on Friday against the redbirds. They scored just two runs despite having plenty of baserunners. Then on Saturday, Jake McCarthy was the star of the show. He went 4-for-5 with two home runs and a perfect bunt single in a Rockies victory.

Meanwhile, we are just under one week out from this year’s trade deadline. The Rockies turned four Major League players into eight different prospects from a variety of organizations. Let’s take a quick look at how everyone fared in their first outings wearing new uniforms.

RHP Seth Halvorsen to Los Angeles for RHP Nick Frasso and OF Landyn Vidourek

Right-handed pitcher Seth Halvorsen was on the 15-day injured list when he was traded to the Los Angeles Dodgers. He has since been activated and sent to Triple-A Oklahoma City Comets. The Dodgers organization quickly put Halvorsen into a late inning role with their Triple-A team and he’s done well so far. In six appearances and 6.1 innings Halvorsen has yet to give up an earned run. He’s allowed four hits and two walks while tallying eight strikeouts and going 2-for-2 in save opportunities.

Right-handed reliever Nick Frasso made five appearances with the Triple-A Albuquerque Isotopes, giving up just one earned run in 5.2 innings with eight strikeouts and only one walk. Frasso was then called up to the Rockies’ roster to make his Major League debut. Frasso was called upon for his first big league action in the 11th inning against the Tampa Bay Rays and gave up two runs—one earned—on two hits. He fared much better in his second appearance, which came against the St. Louis Cardinals, pitching a scoreless inning with two strikeouts.

Toolsy outfielder Landyn Vidourek hasn’t quite found his swing with the Low-A Fresno Grizzlies, but he has consistently gotten on base and even slugged his first two home runs for the Rockies organization. In his first 16 games he is hitting .163/.379/.306 with a double, 11 RBIs, 17 walks, and 20 strikeouts.

OF Brenton Doyle to Chicago White Sox for RHP Mason Adams and INF Carlos Vielma

Two-time Gold Glove winner Brenton Doyle is already adjusting to outfields away from Coors Field. In his five games following the deadline, Doyle has already recorded an outfield assist, been part of a double play, and made some of the spectacular catches we’ve grown accustomed to from him. However, his bat has yet to take off. Doyle is 2-for-9 with no extra-base hits, though he does have a steal.

Right-handed starter Mason Adams made his Rockies organizational debut with the Triple-A Albuquerque Isotopes last night. He spun four scoreless innings with five strikeouts and a walk while giving up three hits while making his first appearance in the notoriously hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League.

16-year-old infielder Carlos Vielma is off to a strong start in his first four games with the Rockies’ Dominican Summer League DSL-Colorado. Vielma has gone 8-for-15 to start his time with the organization with a double, four runs, four RBIs, and one walk to two strikeouts.

RHP Antonio Senzatela to Milwaukee for LHP Mark Manfredi and INF Juan Martinez

Long-time Rockies pitcher Antonio Senzatela’s first 1.1 innings and two appearances with his new club were scoreless and hitless with a strikeout and a walk. His third and most recent appearance was less successful. On Friday against the Minnesota Twins he gave up two earned runs on three hits and was saddled with the loss.

Left-handed reliever Mark Manfredi had a difficult PCL debut with the Albuquerque Isotopes. In his first appearance with the Rockies organization he lasted just 0.2 innings and gave up four earned runs on two hits and two walks, although he did strike out two hitters. Manfredi’s second appearance was much better. He pitched 1.2 innings and gave up just one earned run on two hits and a walk with two strikeouts.

Switch-hitting infielder and a stand-out for the Brewers at this year’s Arizona Complex League, Juan Martinez already has two triples in four games with the Low-A Fresno Grizzlies. Martinez is 5-for-18 to start his time with the Rockies organization and has two RBIs.

RHP Victor Vodnik to Miami for RHP Aiden May and INF Connor Norby

Hard-throwing righty Victor Vodnik has hit some bumps with his new team in Miami with many of the same issues that troubled him with the Rockies. In two appearances and three innings of work, Vodnik has given up three earned runs on two hits, two walks, and a hit batter.

New right-handed starter Aiden May looked excellent in his debut with the High-A Spokane Indians despite being on a hard pitch count of 75 pitches. May was largely flawless through his first four innings of work. He didn’t give up any earned runs and allowed just one hit and one walk. May gave up a single in the fifth inning and an earned run was credited to him after being allowed to score by the bullpen. He finished the night with six strikeouts in 5.2 innings.

Infielder Connor Norby was the only player acquired with MLB experience despite his struggles with the Baltimore Orioles and Miami Marlins. Norby seems to have taken to his new home with the Rockies organization well. Assigned to the Triple-A Albuquerque Isotopes after the deadline, Norby has played all four games so far at second base. Meanwhile, his bat has shown signs of life. Norby is 6-for-18 with a double, two home runs, three RBIs, two walks, and four strikeouts. He’s alsso swiped two bags.

With that being said, here’s what our staff here at Purple Row had to say this week:

To Read: Rockpiles

To Read: News

Weekly Discussion Topics

Now that the dust has fully settled on the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline, who do you think will find the most success in their new home? Let us know in the comments!


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Chicago Cubs news — Gausman, PCA, Suzuki, Ramirez

Today’s Reflections

Welcome, Kevin Gausman, to the family! And DO NOT scare us like that!

I’m sure I’m not the only one when, on his 14th pitch as a Cub Friday, Gausman took a line drive off his ankle by Kansas City’s Salvador Perez and he was hobbling around. The thought in my head couldn’t be avoided: “Of course. We, as Cub fans, can’t have nice things.”

But Gausman shook off the zinger and got out of the inning allowing just the run set up by the ricocheted liner out into short right field. Gausman cruised through seven innings, including four 1-2-3 innings. He, of course, gave up the complimentary Cubs Starter solo home run (I want to retire this phrase!), but in total, Gausman allowed only four hits and a walk while striking out four. The nearly-perfect performance (66 of his 96 pitches were for strikes) was a joy to watch. Keep it up, Kevin.

Offensively, most of the damage was from the top three in the order. PCA was 1-for-3 with two walks, two runs scored, two RBI and a stolen base. Seiya Suzuki followed, going 2-for-5 with two RBI. Alex Bregman finished the top three going 1-for-4 with a walk and an RBI.

At the other end of the lineup, Pedro Ramirez went 2-for-4 with a home run and two runs scored. Michael Busch added a pair of hits in three at-bats.

BIG complaint — Caleb Thielbar needs a break. He’s been a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde, but Friday he allowed two runs on three hits in 0.1 IP. Two games before that against the Dodgers, Thielbar allowed four hits, including a home run, and gave up four runs in 0.1 IP. And two games prior to that against the Cardinals, he gave up a solo home run in 1.0 IP. Yes, those were sandwich around two good performances, but he needs a reset. The two home runs mentioned above are two of 10 that Thielbar has given up this year.

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Friday’s Game Stories:

Assorted Stories:


Food For Thought:

With her rich vocals, captivating guitar style, and hefty catalog of well-crafted original songs, she has entertained audiences in true southern style, and has garnered 21 music industry nominations, including 3 for “Song of the Year.” An indisputable triple threat – as singer, songwriter, and guitar player – her own unique blend of “country flavored southern fried blues” appeals to fans across the genres.

A seasoned veteran of the road, Kight has no plans to slow down. She’s writing and recording more new songs and performing more live shows, taking her roots music to the fans. No matter the city or the venue, wherever she’s making music, she’s at home. It’s what she does. It’s what she loves.

Please be reminded that Cub Tracks and Bleed Cubbie Blue do not necessarily endorse the content of articles, podcasts, or videos that are linked to in this series.

The infuriatingly perfect Alex Sarr statistical doppelgängers

The statistical comps for Alex Sarr are somewhat worrisome. | Getty Images

It’s August, which means it’s time for the annual statistical doppelgänger series.

Refresher: over the next few weeks, I’ll be running Wizards players through an algorithm built atop a database of every player season from 1977-78 to present. The algorithm compares players across 14 statistical categories and determines which player seasons from NBA history are most similar. The system is dubbed: The Statistical Doppelgänger Machine.

The Machine was borne from the desire to do something other than the eyeball comps, which often relied on superficial similarities like skin color, height, and perceived style. Mileage may vary, but I personally got tired of hearing about the next Magic, next Larry, or next Jordan.

If you look at these two through The Statistical Doppelgänger Machine, they’re practically twins. | Getty Images

Results from The Machine have been interesting through the years, at least to me. While position isn’t one of the factors, it weirdly tends to produce comps from the same general grouping. The outputs are sometimes surprising — different styles and perceived player types producing similar results.

This year’s Wizards produced one result so on the nose it kinda pisses me off, which you’ll see below. One comp (that I’ll be writing about in a few days) was so startling that I went back and double-checked to make sure I’d run the process correctly.

Enough preamble. Today, let’s talk the non-rookie player most likely to become a bona fide NBA star: Alex Sarr.

The second overall pick in 2024 (he’d go No. 1 in a re-draft, in my opinion), Sarr improved markedly in his second season. At least when he could stay on the floor. Last season, he managed just 48 games and 1,300 minutes. As a rookie, he made it 67 games and 1,800 minutes. For those who don’t feel like doing the math, that means he missed about 30% of the team’s games his first two seasons.

My guess is that he would have played more if the Wizards had been trying to win, but it’s impossible to know for sure. It’s similarly difficult to know how seriously to take aspects of his performance. When I analyzed his performance ekg in May, I noted the decline in his production as the season wore on. Was that decline indicative of his true abilities or a symptom of a team committed to losing?

That’s impossible to know and is one of the perils of prolonged tanking.

To the doppelgängers:

  1. Kristaps Porzingis | 2015-16 | New York Knicks | Age: 20 — This comp is perfectly annoyingly infuriating, mainly because it just might fit too well considering Sarr’s history of missed games and the fact that he’s dealing with a fractured right foot this summer. Porzingis was an enormously talented big man (7-3) whose career has been pocked with an array of leg and foot injuries. This comp season was Porzingis’ rookie year. He played 72 games, which was his career high.
  2. Jared Sullinger | 2014-15 | Boston Celtics | Age: 22 — This comp is less worrisome, primarily because it’s more easily dismissed. This was first of consecutive good seasons from Sullinger. His career cratered when his weight ballooned. That seems unlikely to be an issue with Sarr.
  3. Bobby Portis | 2017-18 | Chicago Bulls | Age: 22 — The production per possession was eerily similar between the two, though Sarr’s overall performance grades out better in my PPA metric. One major difference: Portis was one of the worst defenders I’ve ever seen who actually tried, and Sarr was a very good defender when he was trying.
  4. Marvin Bagley III | 2020-21 and 2021-22 | Sacramento Kings and Detroit Pistons | Ages: 21 and 22 — Like Sarr, a second overall pick in his draft. Unlike Sarr, he went ahead of generational stars like Luka Doncic and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. It’s arguable that Stephon Castle could go No. 1 in a redraft, but Sarr would still land second. I want to dismiss this comp, though I’m not sure we should. Some key differences: defense (Bagley wasn’t a rim protector and was weak defending in space), and playmaking (Sarr averaged more than twice as many assists on a per possession basis). You might want to say “shooting,” but Bagley shot 34.3% from deep in the first of these two comp years on 4.7 attempts per 100 team possessions and then his shot got worse. And Bagley’s health has been a major issue throughout his career.
  5. Chet Holmgren | 2023-24 | Oklahoma City Thunder | Age: 21 — Hey great, another injury-prone big man. This was Holmgren’s rookie year because he missed what should have been his first season with a broken foot. He played all 82 games, missed 50 games the following season with a hip fracture, and appeared in 69 regular season games last season. He’s been a terrific defender and versatile offensive threat, who’s been good enough to merit a maximum contract extension that starts this season.

If you’re not happy with these comps, well…the names don’t get a whole lot better, in part because the next few are different seasons from the same names — Sullinger, Bagley, Holmgren each have other seasons in the top 10 “similar” seasons. One fairly promising name lanes ninth: Jaren Jackson Jr.

I qualified “promising” because while Jackson has sublime defensive abilities (he was Defensive Player of the Year in 2023), I also think he’s gotten overrated overall. His high usage and below average offensive efficiency puts a drag on the team’s offense, and his rampant fouling undercuts his defensive value. Sarr doesn’t foul nearly so much.

One way I’ve looked at doppelgänger results is to see how long it takes to get to a Hall of Famer. In Sarr’s case, it’s a while — a Chris Webber season from his time with the Bullets shows up in the 190s. But seasons from Thomas Bryant and Andray Blatche show up sooner.

If you’re not worried enough by the presence of Porzingis and Bagley in the top five, the extended list is chock full of talented players who had disappointing careers due to injuries, attitude, or limitations. At the risk of sending all you readers off to stare into the abyss, the list includes names like Jabari Parker, Jahlil Okafor, and Michael Beasley — in addition to Bryant and Blatche. sigh

Okay, that’s enough on Sarr and his comps. The next player through the machine has some bizarre and wildly encouraging comps.

Open Thread: NBA’s rule change on buzzer beaters yields increase in attempts

I saw this post recently.

“NBA’s rule change last season to not count last second heaves as missed FGs for players had a big effect on their behavior.

A new research paper by 2 Texas Tech professors, James W. Kemper & Noah Liptack, found players took that shot 94% of the time last season after taking it 58% in the decade prior.

The paper said the most reluctance to shoot, before the rule change, was ‘concentrated among efficient shooters and players in contract years.’”

While it should come as no surprise that not penalizing players for last second shots led to an increase of attempts, the amount of change (58% to 94%) is quite drastic. That said, the 36% rise was over a decade, when three-point attempts were less common.

As a math teacher, I found the methodology and formulas interesting as well.

Play-by-play. We use ESPN play-by-play data (ESPN, 2026) for the NBA and WNBA
covering the 2015–16 through 2025–26 seasons, obtained via the sportsdataverse hoopR
(NBA) and wehoop (WNBA) packages (Gilani, 2021; Gilani & Hutchinson, 2021).1 For
every possession, these records report the players involved, the event type, the game clock,
the period, the running score, and shot coordinates. Together, they let us reconstruct what
each offensive player chose to do in the final seconds of a quarter and recover the model’s
statistical state variables—specifically, the time remaining t, the shot distance d, and the
score margin m.

Their conclusion offers a comprehensive overview of not just basketball, but risk-taking as a whole:

“By removing the individual statistical penalty for end-of-quarter shots, we observed an immediate, near-universal alignment of player behavior with collective team success. These findings transcend basketball, offering a broader cautionary tale for organizational economics: poorly calibrated performance evaluations inevitably breed strategic subversion. When designed correctly, eliminating distorted metric penalties serves as a highly effective lever to align individual incentives with overarching organizational goals.”

You can review the report in its entirety HERE.


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Tigers seek series win over Giants on Sunday

The Detroit Tigers evened up their three-game road series against the San Francisco Giants with an 8-0 victory on Saturday evening at Oracle Park. Jackson Jobe threw five scoreless innings in his triumphant return from Tommy John surgery and the offense used a six-run seventh to blow things open.

For the final episode of the nine-game West Coast road trip, right-hander Troy Melton will climb the hill looking to seize the series. The 25-year-old’s two games have both been seven-inning, shutout efforts, allowing 6 hits and four walks while striking out nine for a 2.66 FIP and a 0.71 WHIP — good enough to earn his sixth and seventh wins of the season.

While Melton continues his impressive run this summer, his strikeout numbers peaked in mid-July when he K’d nine batters in two straight games over 11 innings of work. Over his last three starts, however, his numbers have fallen to five, five and four, respectively, stretching across 19 frames, but he is still getting the job done.

For the Giants, fellow righty Logan Webb climbs the hill in the midst of what is a bit of a down year by his standards. The 29-year-old, who accrued at least 4.1 fWAR per season over the past five years, suffered through a rough July, in which he posted a bloated 6.59 ERA and extremely mediocre 4.76 FIP over 28 2/3 innings, giving up 29 hits (four home runs) and eight walks while striking out just 17 and hitting a couple of batters for a 1-2 record over that stretch.

However, Webb opened up August with a strong showing against the Texas Rangers in Arlington, tossing six frames of shutout ball on five hits and a walk while striking out eight. Has the three-time All-Star turned the corner? Find out on Sunday afternoon in the series finale.

Detroit Tigers (57-60) vs. San Francisco Giants (49-68)

Time (ET): 4:05 p.m. ET
Place: Oracle Park, San Francisco, California
SB Nation Site:McCovey Chronicles
Media: Detroit SportsNet, MLB.TV, Tigers Radio Network

Game 118: RHP Troy Melton (7-1, 1.58 ERA) vs. RHP Logan Webb (7-7, 3.74 ERA)

PlayerGIPK%BB%GB%FIPfWAR
Melton1274.022.58.142.93.781.2
Webb20125.019.86.151.13.302.5

MELTON

WEBB

Guardians News: Another Day, Another Stupid Bunt

CLEVELAND, OH - JULY 01: Austin Hedges (27) of the Cleveland Guardians bunts during a MLB game against the Texas Rangers on July 01, 2026 at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Yes, Collin Holderman had an awful night and the Guardians lost to the White Sox, but the headline is that the Guardians actually tried to squeeze bunt RHYS HOSKINS home.

In the SECOND inning, with one out and Rhys Hoskins on third and Travis Bazzana on first, Austin Hedges laid down a squeeze bunt to try to score Hoskins. Hoskins, running through a vat of January-tempered molasses, was tagged out. It was truly dumbfounding strategic thinking… clearly coming from the dugout. Stephen, baby, STOP THIS. It’s idiotic.

If the Guardians can find a way to win this afternoon, I will agree to forgive everything that has come before. That’s how important this game is. 2:10PM. Another bad starter who will somehow handle Cleveland’s lineup, looks like.

Please, Vogt, do not intentionally give the other team outs. The guys are doing a good enough job of that on their own.

AROUND MLB:

Tigers won, Twins lost.

Yankees Rivalry Roundup: Rays win again, but Red Sox finally lose

SEATTLE, WASHINGTON - AUGUST 08: Richie Palacios #1 of the Tampa Bay Rays reacts after hitting a two-run single during the sixth inning against the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on August 08, 2026 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Jack Compton/Getty Images) | Getty Images

It wasn’t to the same degree as Friday night, but for the second straight day, the Yankees beat the Braves with some dramatics. Ben Rice’s eighth-inning home run ended up proving the difference, despite an Atlanta rally attempt in the ninth inning. George Lombard Jr. and Spencer Jones also had nice days, as the Yankees eked out another needed one-run win, this time on Old-Timers’ Day.

As that was happening, there was plenty of other baseball action on Saturday. Let’s check in on some of it in today’s edition of the Rivalry Roundup.

Tampa Bay Rays (70-46) 3, Seattle Mariners (56-62) 2

The Rays used a bullpen game to pick up a win over the Mariners, as seven Tampa Bay pitcher combined to hold Seattle to just two runs. That makes five wins in a row and 15 victories in the last 19 games for the Rays, who maintained a 4.5-game AL East lead over the Yankees.

It was an unfortunate ending to the day for a Seattle fan, as they had their own Old-Timers’ Day of sorts at T-Mobile Park, celebrating its 50th years as a franchise by honoring its voted 50 best Mariners. The festivities included a ceremonial first pitch from aging former skipper/Yankees icon Lou Piniella, and Alex Rodriguez’s first time back in Seattle as an honored guest (he got a nicer hand than when he returned as a player, for sure). But the modern players continued to disappoint, falling four games behind 60-58 Houston in an ugly AL West race.

The Mariners took an initial lead thanks to a Josh Naylor solo homer in the second, but Victor Mesa Jr. hit one of his own to tie things back up in the fourth. That was the extent of the offense for a little while, as George Kirby was decent for the M’s, while a collection of Rays’ pitchers held things down as well.

The Rays eventually broke that deadlock in the sixth inning after Kirby had left. A Brendan Donovan error, a single, and a walk loaded the bases up for the Rays for Richie Palacios. Tampa Bay’s second baseman came through, lining a single to right that scored two runners.

Seattle got one run back in the seventh thanks to a second Naylor homer. In total, they finished with more hits than the Rays and they had their chances, but they couldn’t add any more. They got one last life line in the ninth inning via a lead-off Julio Rodríguez single, but Naylor couldn’t make it a hat trick, and Donovan later grounded into a game-ending double play.

Other Games

  • The Athletics (46-71) 7, Boston Red Sox (64-52) 3: Hallelujah, the Red Sox have lost a game — just their fifth L since July 4th. It seemed like this would be an addition to their ridiculous streak, as they scored two runs in the first inning, but the A’s then scored the next seven. Jonah Heim — whose two-run single give the Athletics their first lead — and Donovan Walton each had two RBI days, while pitcher Gage Jump overcame the bad first inning to strike out 11 in a very nice six innings. Boston did bring the tying run to the plate in the ninth, but this time for once, an opponent was able to snuff them out. They’re now a game and a half behind the Yankees for the top Wild Card spot, though well in front of Texas (who beat Baltimore 5-1) for the the lowest of the three spots.
  • San Diego Padres (61-57) 3, Houston Astros (60-58) 2: The Astros scored one run and had the go-ahead one at the plate in the ninth inning, but their comeback was too little, too late. The two teams traded a run each early, but a Jackson Merrill homer gave the Padres a lead in the third, and they added another in the fourth, and that lead held up for most of the game. Michael King had a plenty good day on the mound for San Diego, allowing just one run in six innings. Houston went on to threaten in the ninth, but didn’t have enough to completely rally. Their AL West lead was trimmed to half a game by the victorious Rangers.
  • Chicago White Sox (60-56) 6, Cleveland Guardians (58-60) 3: After a scoreless first five innings, the final couple were action-packed as the first-place White Sox added cushion to their edge on Cleveland. Chicago won thanks mostly to a five-run sixth inning. The Guardians had just scored the game’s first two runs in the top of the sixth, but the ChiSox answered in a big way in the bottom half. Munetaka Murakami homered, while Tristian Peters and Chase Meidroth also had big RBI hits in the frame.

Orioles news: Offense still missing, defense still terrible

ARLINGTON, TX - AUGUST 07: Pete Alonso #25 of the the Baltimore Orioles looks on during the game between the Baltimore Orioles and the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field on Friday, August 7, 2026 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Tenley Wright/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Hello, friends.

Though the Orioles were within a half-game of a playoff spot just a few days ago, they’ve veered hard in the opposite direction and now it feels like it’s pretty close to where you can turn out the lights. Losing two out of the first three against the Rangers, the team they’re now chasing, has brought any positive thoughts anyone may have had to a screeching halt. Check out Tyler Young’s recap of last night’s game for more of the not-so-lovely totals from a 5-1 loss.

The final score obscures that this was yet another great starting pitching outing wasted by the team. Kyle Bradish allowed just a pair of unearned runs across six innings, and the unearned runs were, in true 2026 Orioles fashion, just about the most ridiculously stupid plays that you can imagine. The kind of stuff they’ve been doing all year as if they were rolling them off an assembly line, perfectly crafted exactly the same way.

Two plays of this nature last night prominently involved Gunnar Henderson. The first of these was a classic “contact play with a drawn-in infield,” the kind of thing where Orioles runners are routinely getting thrown out, only on a ground ball right at Henderson, he wasn’t able to throw home in time to stop what was then the tying Rangers run from scoring. Later in that same inning, Henderson was unable to cleanly field a grounder and he committed a throwing error while trying to stop a runner who was aggressively going home. The first of these was not scored an error, the second one was. Both were not good.

If Henderson was hitting like he did two years ago and experiencing these lapses in the field, that would be one thing. Unfortunately for the team’s success this season, he’s not. Manager Craig Albernaz has taken Henderson to batting leadoff in some recent games, which I guess is hoping it sparks something by doing something different. Nothing is working. Henderson dropped a .590 OPS in July and is sitting on a .496 so far in August. The only reason that number isn’t lower is because he’s walked seven times; Henderson has yet to get an extra-base hit this month and he only has two hits in total.

As with so many other aspects of the team’s struggles this year, no one with any influence over the situation seems to have any idea what to do about it all. Henderson in particular seems like he slots into the classic Yogi Berra “ninety percent of the game is half-mental” and that’s the part where it’s going wrong for him. It seems to me that blunting that spiral of failure is one of the most important things that Albernaz could do in his first season as a manager and it’s not getting blunted. He probably didn’t imagine that was going to be on his list of problems when he took this job. Here it is all the same.

It’s almost a joke to bring up the wild card standings after all of this, but the fact remains that the Orioles are three games out of a spot with 45 left to play. They can get back to two games if they win today. Their next series against this is the Twins, who they also must pass. I think they are going to need to go 28-17 at a minimum from here on. That feels impossible. It will feel more possible if they were somehow able to rip off a six game winning streak. They’re going to have to start hitting again to do that.

Cade Povich and Kumar Rocker are the scheduled starting pitchers for a 2:35 game as the Orioles try to avoid being swept almost entirely out of the playoff picture.

Orioles stuff you might have missed

Orioles show again that good starting pitching isn’t everything (Baltimore Baseball)
This was written in response to Friday’s loss, and with just a few tweaks could apply perfectly to Saturday’s loss as well.

Broken Orioles offense shows just how far they’ve fallen (The Baltimore Sun)
It’s really disgusting since the start of August. I’m talking 11 runs in seven games disgusting.

As he gets closer to his MLB debut, Michael Forret rejoins the Orioles organization (Steve on Baseball)
Steve Melewski with some thoughts on recently-reacquired pitching prospect Michael Forret, who will be starting again for the Tides today.

Catching lightning in a bottle: A history of Rutschman-like trades (FanGraphs)
Jay Jaffe looks at the history of teams acquiring a new starting catcher midseason. It has not, historically, led to a World Series win.

Birthdays and Orioles anniversaries

The most recent Orioles victory on this day came two years ago. They beat the Rays, 4-1, to improve to 69-48 on the season. Just four of the 13 players who appeared for the Orioles in that game are on the active roster today. Zach Eflin’s seven shutout innings helped a lot, and each of Colton Cowser and Cedric Mullins homered in the win.

There is one lone former Oriole who was born on this day: Chuck Essegian, who made one pinch-hit appearance for the 1961 Orioles, turns 95 years old today. Happy birthday to him. Essegian played for a total of six teams across six years in the majors.

Is today your birthday? Happy birthday to you! Your birthday buddies for today include: actor Sam Elliott (1944), baseball Hall of Famer Ted Simmons (1949), actress Melanie Griffith (1957), singer-songwriter Whitney Houston (1963), football Hall of Famer Deion Sanders (1967), actress Gillian Anderson (1967), and actress Anna Kendrick (1985).

On this day in history…

In 48 BC, in a battle that involved over 75,000 men and where Julius Caesar was outnumbered over 2:1, Caesar defeated Pompey in the Battle of Pharsalus in modern-day Greece. After Caesar’s victory, Pompey fled to Egypt, and Caesar had the upper hand in the Roman Civil War.

In 1854 AD, Walden by Henry David Thoreau, the memoir of the transcendentalist, was first published.

In 1945, the United States dropped a second atomic bomb on Japan, killing around 35,000 people in Nagasaki.

In 1969, five people including actress Sharon Tate and coffee heiress Abigail Folger were killed in Los Angeles by members of the Manson Family.

In 1974, Richard Nixon resigned the presidency due to his coverup of the Watergate break-in.

**

And that’s the way it is in Birdland on August 9. Have a safe Sunday. Go O’s!

Mets Daily Prospect Report, 8/9/26: The kids are alright

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - APRIL 07: Ronny Mauricio #0 of the New York Mets reacts after his tenth inning pinch hit game winning single against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Citi Field on April 07, 2026 in New York City. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Triple-A: Syracuse Mets (38-37/17-20)

SYRACUSE 13, COLUMBUS 7 (BOX)

This was quite the high scoring affair, with the two teams combining for 20 runs on 23 hits and 13 walks. Trailing coming into the inning, Syracuse put up a six-spot in the bottom of the fourth, taking the lead and never looking back.

·  3B Vidal Bruján: 2-4, 2 R, 2B, BB, E (9)

·  SS Ronny Mauricio: 4-4, 4 R, 2 2B, HR (13), 5 RBI, BB, E (9)

·  LF MJ Melendez: 2-4, R, 2B, RBI, BB, CS (4)

·  1B Christopher Morel: 1-4, 2B, 2 RBI, K

·  DH Andy Ibáñez: 0-3, 2 RBI, 2 K

·  RF Jose Ramos: 2-5, 2 R, 2 HR (1, 2), 2 RBI, 2 K

·  CF D’Andre Smith: 1-3, R, HR (1), RBI, BB, K

·  C Hayden Senger: 2-4, R, 2B, PB (10)

·  2B Zack Short: 0-2, 2 R, 2 BB

·  RHP Tobias Myers: 3.1 IP, 4 H, 4 R, 3 ER, 2 BB, 4 K

·  RHP Brian Metoyer: 0.2 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 2 BB, 1 K, HBP, W (1-0)

·  REHAB ALERT RHP Austin Warren: 2.0 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 2 K, H (2)

·  RHP Jonathan Pintaro: 0.2 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 2 K

·  RHP Kevin Herget: 2.1 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 0 BB, 1 K

ROSTER ALERT: New York Mets optioned 1B Eric Wagaman to Syracuse Mets.

Double-A: Binghamton Rumble Ponies (27-42/16-22)

BINGHAMTON 6, HARTFORD 4 (BOX)

The Rumble Ponies didn’t exactly get a strong performance out of Gabe Davis, with the right-hander allowing three runs in three innings, but the bullpen was solid and kept the team in the game. Finding themselves down by a run going into the eighth inning, Mitch Voit and Emilien Pitre both singled and were then driven in by a Jefferson Rojas triple. Suddenly finding themselves on top by a run, Douglas Orellana was called in for the save and the right-hander threw a 1-2-3 ninth, shutting down the Yard Goats for his third save and Binghamton’s sixth straight win.

·  SS Mitch Voit: 2-3, 2 R, BB, K, SB (6)

·  2B Émilien Pitre: 2-4, R

·  3B Jefferson Rojas: 3-4, R, 3B, 3 RBI, SB (1)

·  1B Jacob Reimer: 1-4, RBI, 2 K

·  C Chris Suero: 1-2, R, 2B, BB, K, HBP, SB (28), PB (10)

·  DH Billy Amick: 1-3, R, HR (4), 2 RBI, BB, 2 K

·  LF Corey Collins: 0-4, 2 K

·  CF JT Benson: 0-3, K

·  RF Yohairo Cuevas: 0-3, K

·  RHP Gabe Davis: 3.0 IP, 5 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 1 BB, 3 K

·  RHP Zach Peek: 1.0 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 1 K

·  RHP Brendan Girton: 1.0 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 0 BB, 1 K

·  RHP Bryce Conley: 3.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 4 K, W (2-5)

·  RHP Douglas Orellana: 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 1 K, S (3)

ROSTER ALERT: Binghamton Rumble Ponies activated RHP Bryce Conley.

ROSTER ALERT: Binghamton Rumble Ponies placed LHP Felipe De La Cruz on the 7-day injured list.

High-A: Brooklyn Cyclones (25-40/20-20)

GAME ONE

WILMINGTON 6, BROOKLYN 5 / 7 (BOX)

This one was a messy affair with multiple lead changes, but the Blue Rocks outlasted the Cyclones. Luke Gabrysh wasn’t particularly great, allowing three runs in four innings, but fellow trade deadline additions Sammy Stafura and Aidan Smith both had good games, Stafura going 3-4 with a double and Smith going 2-4 with a homer.

·  SS Sammy Stafura: 3-4, 3 R, 2 2B

·  LF Aidan Smith: 2-4, R, HR (13), 3 RBI, 2 K

·  RF Trey Snyder: 0-4, 3 K

·  3B Cole Mathis: 0-3, R, BB, 2 K

·  1B Ronald Hernandez: 1-3, 2 K

·  CF John Spikerman: 1-2, BB, SB (20)

·  DH Carter Dierdorf: 0-2, RBI, BB, 2 K

·  2B Antonio Jimenez: 0-3, 2 K

·  C Chase Meggers: 0-3, K, E (2)

·  RHP Luke Gabrysh: 4.0 IP, 4 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 2 BB, 9 K

·  RHP Parker Carlson: 2.0 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K

·  RHP Joe Scarborough: 0.2 IP, 0 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 4 BB, 1 K, WP

GAME TWO

WILMINGTON 4, BROOKLYN 0 (BOX)

The Cyclones offense put up a good fight in game one but didn’t show up in game two. Wilmington right-hander Riley Maddox threw 6.2 shutout innings, getting removed for some reason (presumably because he hit 90 pitches, but God, what are we are finding acceptable nowadays? He was cruising and the majority of those 90 pitches were low stress pitches) with one out to go, which was recorded by Jacob Roberts. Brooklyn logged just three hits, all singles, and drew one unintentional walk.

·  RF Aidan Smith: 1-3, 2 K

·  CF Trey Snyder: 1-3, K, SB (2)

·  LF Yonatan Henriquez: 0-3, 2 K

·  1B Ronald Hernandez: 0-3

·  3B Jamari Baylor: 0-3

·  DH Carter Dierdorf: 0-2, BB, K

·  C Daiverson Gutierrez: 0-3, K, E (11)

·  SS Antonio Jimenez: 0-2

·  2B Eddinson Paulino: 1-2

·  RHP Jose Chirinos: 5.0 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 3 ER, 3 BB, 3 K, L (1-6)

·  RHP Ryan Dollar: 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 0 K

Single-A: St. Lucie Mets (33-33/16-24)

GAME ONE

ST. LUCIE 3, DAYTONA 1 / 7 (BOX)

Down by a run, the St. Lucie Mets plated three runs in the bottom of the fourth thanks to a Julio Zayas homer. Twenty-twenty-six draftees Aiden Robbins and John Smith III got on base in front of Zayas with consecutive singles, and viola. The Tortugas’ sole run came an inning prior, in the third, on a home run that Caden Wooster allowed.

·  SS Elian Peña: 1-3

·  CF Aiden Robbins: 1-2, R, BB

·  RF John Smith III: 1-3, R

·  DH Julio Zayas: 1-3, R, HR (9), 3 RBI

·  C Yovanny Rodriguez: 0-3, K

·  2B Vladi Gomez: 0-3, E (4)

·  LF Wyatt Vincent: 1-2, E (1)

·  1B Reed Stallman: 0-2

·  3B Dylan Carey: 0-1, BB

·  RHP Nathan Hall: 1.2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 3 K, WP

·  RHP Caden Wooster: 1.2 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 3 BB, 3 K

·  RHP Ernesto Mercedes: 2.0 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 3 K, W (2-3)

·  RHP Miguel Mejias: 1.2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 1 K, S (4)

GAME TWO

DAYTONA 15, ST. LUCIE 7 / 7 (BOX)

In the first few innings, the score changed hands multiple times but both teams found themselves evenly matched at 6-6 as we moved into the middle innings. The St. Lucie bullpen completely imploded, allowing three runs in the fifth, four in the sixth, and two more in the seventh- those last two I guess are forgivable, as they were allowed by Julio Zayas.

·  CF Bohan Adderley: 1-4, R, K, SB (3)

·  2B Vladi Gomez: 1-2, 2 R, 2 BB, 2 SB (5, 6)

·  C Ryan Tayman: 1-4, RBI, K, PB (2)

·  1B-P Julio Zayas: 0-3, R, BB, 2 K

·  DH Yovanny Rodriguez: 1-2, RBI

·  1B Reed Stallman: 0-1

·  RF Kuhio Aloy: 1-4, R, HR (1), 2 RBI, K

·  LF Simon Juan: 2-3, 2 R, 2B, HR (9), RBI, K

·  SS Kooper Schulte: 1-3, RBI, 2 K

·  3B Dylan Carey: 0-3, K

·  RHP Jonathan Jimenez: 1.1 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 1 K, HBP

·  RHP Tyler McLoughlin: 2.2 IP, 5 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 2 BB, 2 K

·  LHP Wilmer Lugo: 0.2 IP, 1 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 4 BB, 0 K, L (0-1)

·  LHP Luis Sotillo: 1.0 IP, 1 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 2 BB, 1 K, WP, HBP

·  RHP Julio Zayas: 1.1 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 0 BB, 0 K

Rookie: FCL Mets (24-33)

NO GAME (SEASON OVER)

STAR OF THE NIGHT

Ronny Mauricio

GOAT OF THE NIGHT

Wilmer Lugo

MLB Predictions and Moneyline Picks for Sunday, August 9

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Sunday brings another full slate of MLB action with plenty of opportunities to find value on the moneyline.

Our MLB moneyline predictions for Sunday feature a good mixture of short favorites and long underdogs in favorable matchups as we look for more ways to build your bankroll.

Read on for our MLB picks for Sunday, Aug 9. 

MLB moneyline picks for August 9

MatchupPick
RedsReds
vs
NationalsNationals
Reds
-122
BravesBraves
vs
YankeesYankees
Braves
+122
AthleticsA's
vs
Red Sox Red Sox
Athletics
+223
Blue JaysBlue Jays
vs
PhilliesPhillies
Blue Jays
+150
MetsMets
vs
PiratesPirates
Mets
+122
AngelsAngels
vs
MarlinsMarlins
Marlins
-138
TwinsTwins
vs
BrewersBrewers
Twins
+213
CubsCubs
vs
RoyalsRoyals
Cubs
-150
GuardiansGuardians
vs
White SoxWhite Sox
Guardians
-100
RockiesRockies
vs
CardinalsCardinals
Cardinals
-150
OriolesOrioles
vs
RangersRangers
Rangers
-138
TigersTigers
vs
GiantsGiants
Tigers
-113
DodgersDodgers
vs
DiamondbacksDiamondbacks
Diamondbacks
+117
RaysRays
vs
MarinersMariners
Rays
-108
AstrosAstros
vs
PadresPadres
Astros
+113

Prices courtesy of Polymarket as of 8-9.

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Expert MLB moneyline picks for August 9

Reds vs Nationals: Reds (-122)

Reds win probability: 55%

Cincinnati brings momentum behind a bullpen that is flat-out locking teams down, while Washington’s offense is sputtering down the stretch. With Brady Singer giving the Reds a dependable baseline on the mound, back Cincinnati’s bullpen to outlast the Nationals at a very reasonable road price.

Braves vs Yankees: Braves (+122)

Braves win probability: 45%

The Bronx faithful are getting restless as the Yankees offense is sputtering big time, managing a dismal .200 average and high strikeout numbers across the past 14 days.  Atlanta provides huge value catching plus-money with Grant Holmes on the bump, especially against a cold New York lineup that is failing to produce timely hits.

A's vs Red Sox: Athletics (+223)

Athletics win probability: 31%

Boston’s steep -233 line pushes past anything I am comfortable laying, forcing us to grab the Athletics as massive underdogs.  The Athletics will need J.T. Ginn to pitch out of his mind and keep Boston’s raking bats quiet, but catching a huge +223 payout makes this the only eligible play for this game.

Blue Jays vs Phillies: Blue Jays (+150)

Blue Jays win probability: 40%

Philadelphia at -170 is another market I am uncomfortable laying this much juice, so I am going with Toronto at +150 as the prediction. Veteran starter Shane Bieber steps onto the bump for the Blue Jays, giving them a veteran arm capable of silencing Philadelphia’s home crowd and pulling off the road upset.

Mets vs Pirates: Mets (+122)

Mets win probability: 45%

The Mets boast a late-inning relief corps that is utterly lights-out right now with a 1.85 ERA. Pitching Sean Manaea against Jared Jones gives New York a fantastic opportunity as road underdogs, particularly with Pittsburgh’s lineup struggling to cross the plate over the past two weeks.

Angels vs Marlins: Marlins (-138)

Marlins win probability: 58%

Los Angeles is riding the struggle bus at the plate with a dismal .600 team OPS over their last fortnight. Miami hands the ball to Ryan Gusto in a cozy home spot, making the Marlins a strong home favorite to control the action against a completely stalled Angels offense.

Twins vs Brewers: Twins (+213)

Twins win probability: 32%

Milwaukee’s heavy -223 line exceeds my comfort zone, shifting the play to Minnesota at better than 2/1 underdog odds. Young lefty Connor Prielipp gets the starting nod against Jacob Misiorowski. If the Twins can generate early traffic against Milwaukee’s pitching staff, this long shot offers massive plus-money value on the card.

Cubs vs Royals: Cubs (-150)

Cubs win probability: 60%

The Cubs are raking at an elite clip across the last 14 days, pacing the top five in MLB offense with a .345 wOBA. Matthew Boyd takes the mound facing a Royals squad that is severely lagging offensively, making Chicago a prime favorite right at a reasonable price. 

Guardians vs White Sox: Guardians (-100)

Guardians win probability: 50%

With both divisional rivals struggling to score, this pick 'em matchup comes down to baseline execution. Joey Cantillo gets the start for Cleveland, giving the Guardians enough run-prevention stability to pull out a narrow victory against a White Sox team that is currently lacking offensive firepower.

Rockies vs Cardinals: Cardinals (-150)

Cardinals win probability: 60%

Colorado’s bullpen is leaking oil with ugly WHIP numbers, making road trips a high-wire act for the Rockies. St. Louis sends Michael McGreevy to the mound at home, setting up the Cardinals as a solid home favorite to capitalize on Colorado's ongoing relief and defensive metrics.

Orioles vs Rangers: Rangers (-138)

Rangers win probability: 58%

Baltimore’s bats are cold as ice, slumping to a dismal .190 team batting average over their past two weeks. Texas hands the ball to electric starter Kumar Rocker at Globe Life Field, making the Rangers a solid lay-the-juice home play against an abysmal Orioles lineup.

Tigers vs Giants: Tigers (-113)

Tigers win probability: 53.1%

Detroit is absolutely raking right now, leading all of Major League Baseball with a blistering 147 wRC+ over the last 14 days. Troy Melton leads the charge against Logan Webb, providing elite offensive support at nearly even odds to secure a big road victory in San Francisco.

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks: Diamondbacks (+117)

Diamondbacks win probability: 46.1%

The Dodgers bullpen is leaking oil in a big way, posting an ERA over 6 while walking over 13% of batters over the past two weeks. Catching Arizona as a plus-money home dog behind Eduardo Rodriguez gives us tremendous value against a Dodgers relief corps that simply cannot find the strike zone lately.

Rays vs Mariners: Rays (-108)

Rays win probability: 51.9%

Tampa Bay features a dominant late-inning bullpen that keeps opponent scoring under lock and key. With Seattle’s bullpen posting a disastrous 5.95 ERA over their last fortnight, the Rays hold a distinct late-game advantage at near pick 'em odds to close out a tough road win.

Astros vs Padres: Astros (+113)

Astros win probability: 47%

Houston is firing on all cylinders right now, pairing a raking lineup (134 wRC+) with a stingy 2.36 bullpen ERA. Getting the Astros at plus-money against San Diego offers exceptional value on a team that is outperforming almost everyone in baseball over the past two weeks.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Padres won't apologize for trying to win as other MLB teams are content with mediocrity

PHOENIX — Come on, you weren’t really fooled, were you?

Did you actually believe those rumors that the San Diego Padres were going to trade All-Star closer Mason Miller?

The trade talks with the New York Yankees about Miller and setup man Adrian Morejon?

The speculation they would be packaging Miller to dump one of their star players with a bloated contract?

Or the wild notion they would just completely give up at the trade deadline, and orchestrate a sell-off for prospects?

Please.

The Padres and A.J. Preller, their president of baseball operations, don’t operate that way.

They are always in, pushing their chips into the middle of the table, no matter what the cost.

Remember when owner Peter Seidler was alive? He was bidding on everyone from Trea Turner to Aaron Judge, jumping in and offering Judge a 10-year, $400 million contract at the last minute, even though they already had a right fielder in Juan Soto, who they intended to keep.

The payroll was slashed when Seidler passed, going from $256 million in 2023 to $173 million the following season and now $219 million, but it still didn’t slow down Preller’s aggressiveness, who dozes off occasionally at night, just long enough to charge his cell phone.

So the Padres, hovering around .500 at the trade deadline, went shopping while other wild-card contenders facing the same odds sat idly by. Preller brought former Cy Young winner Robbie Ray and All-Star starter Casey Mize to the San Diego party.

Sure, they don’t have a shot to catch the Los Angeles Dodgers. They are in a fight for their lives just to knock off the Arizona Diamondbacks or Philadelphia Phillies in the wild-card race. Still, no matter the odds, no matter their offensive struggles, no matter their flawed starting rotation, they went all-in.

Once again.

“We’re trying to win," says Preller. “We don’t apologize for it. We’re trying to win championships. We’re trying to get to the postseason and do it year after year."

Certainly, they’ve become October regulars. The Padres have reached the postseason four times in the last six years, but have yet to reach the World Series since 1998, and are still searching for their first title in the 57-year history of the franchise.

The way they see it, if they can survive going with just two traditional starters for weeks, Fernando Tatis Jr. going two months until hitting his first homer, Manny Machado’s batting average not climbing above .200 until July, second baseman Jake Cronenworth out two months with a concussion, and center fielder Jackson Merrill hitting .219 with a .628 OPS the first half, anything is possible.

“We’re definitely in a much better spot than we were," Padres starter Michael King tells USA TODAY Sports.  “We went through a stretch where it was just Walker [Buehler] and I that were even throwing bullpens in between starts. No one else could because just about every day was a bullpen game."

And yet, the crazy part is that it actually worked, even with Randy Vasquez last week becoming the only starter besides King to pitch six innings in a game since June 3.

“Those guys dominated,’’ King says. “There were some games that I was like, 'This is unfair right now because teams weren’t seeing the same guy twice, and then they’d see the 'A game' at the back end of games. [Jeremiah] Estrada comes in throwing 98. [Adrian] Morejon comes in throwing. Mason [Miller] comes in throwing 103.

“It was a beautiful thing."

Now, the Padres can go with the conventional approach, having King, Ray, Mize, Vasquez and Buehler as their starting five, with perhaps Joe Musgrove and Nick Pivetta joining them in late August or early September, making them a legitimate threat.

Give the Padres a lead after six innings, and the game is over.

“The offense is coming around, the rotation is rounding out, and the bullpen is our strength," Preller says, “so it's kind of the way we set it up at the beginning of the year. Just getting here has been a bit of a challenge, but hopefully we’re in a spot now where we have a chance to finish strong.’’

They wouldn’t be the Padres if their path to October was smooth. Mize gave up a career-high eight earned runs in his Padres’ debut. Ray, who had yielded a 1.09 ERA in his last eight starts, followed up by giving up four earned runs and allowing 12 baserunners in five innings in his debut.

So much for making great first impressions.

Still, there’s no panic, and if you ask the Padre veterans, they’re motivated more than ever to reward the front office for their faith. If Preller and the incoming new ownership believes in them enough to add payroll and go for it at the deadline, why not confirm their beliefs?

“This group has been together for six years," Preller said. “They’ve been through a lot of pennant races. They’ve been through a lot of these trade deadlines. So I think they understand that as an organization, if we’re in it, we feel like we have a good team, we’re going to try to do what we can to supplement our club.

“I think they expect that, and I think they appreciate playing for an organization that’s trying to win.’’

So go ahead, let the Tigers, who are still in the AL Central race, surrender and dump two-time Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal and Mize. Let the Washington Nationals, Miami Marlins, St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds bow out of the NL wild-card race by their actions at the trade deadline.

The Padres, no matter how poor their odds are of surviving (32.1% according to Fangraphs), simply aren’t built that way.

If they have a shot, they’re going to take it.

“We felt good coming into the year," Tatis said, “but we struggled. We had injuries. We had a lot of things go wrong. But they didn’t give up on us.

“Now, here we are, I’ll take my chances with this team."

Says Padres manager Craig Stammen: “We had to fight through a lot times. We went through a tough stretch. We went through a rut offensively. That tailed into a (eight-game) losing streak. But we just continued to fight. And since then, we’ve played pretty good baseball.

“We’re probably playing our best right now."

Will it be good enough?

We’ll see.

Realistically, there are three teams battling for the final two wild-card berths:

The Phillies, Diamondbacks and Padres.

It’s hard to imagine the Phillies won’t be a playoff team, leaving the Padres and D-backs fighting it out for the final spot. The season concludes with the D-backs and Padres playing one another in a three-game series at Petco Park, with the two teams tied in their season series.

And when they meet again, the Padres will have new ownership in place, with José E. Feliciano and wife Kwanza Jones expected to be officially approved by their fellow owners within two weeks. They are purchasing 45% of the team with Feliciano becoming the new control person.

They’d love to be watching their new team play in October, too.

“We’ll take our chances,’’ Preller says, “against anyone.’’

They always do.

Around the basepaths

– While All-Star second baseman Luis Arraez has been a savior to the Philadelphia Phillies’ offense since his arrival, the trade with the San Francisco Giants was nearly squashed.

The Phillies and Giants’ one-for-one deal of Arraez for prospect Ramon Marquez was dead late Sunday night, only for the San Francisco Giants to re-engage late in the night.

The trade discussion expanded to include Phillies reliever prospect Marty Gair and Giants reliever Caleb Killian when the two sides finally agreed to a deal, pending physicals.

And now, the Phillies couldn’t be more ecstatic by the immediate results.

Arraez, the first player to lead the league in hitting to be traded at the deadline, is everything the Phillies could have possibly imagined as their new cleanup hitter with a .922 OPS the first four games.

“He’s going to be great there," Padres starter Robbie Ray, Arraez’s former teammate in San Francisco, tells USA TODAY Sports. “He’s the definition of a professional. Obviously, he is who he is at the plate. It’s no secret with the batting titles. He works hard, and he cares. He puts the effort in and you can see it. It’s no like he’s just out there Cadillac-ing it.

“He’s the ultimate professional. They’re going to love him.’’

– Kudos to Phillies All-Star Bryce Harper, because if he doesn’t volunteer to move from first base to the outfield to make room for Arraez, the trade doesn’t happen. “I love first base. I love being on the infield …’’ Harper told reporters. “But I want to win. I want to win more than anybody. Hopefully it helps. I think it’s helped us obviously get the guy that we needed … Any chance that we have an opportunity to win, I’d do anything for this organization. And they know that."

– Rival executives still can’t understand why the Detroit Tigers didn’t wait until the last few hours of the trade deadline to move ace Tarik Skubal, driving the price up even further for the Dodgers or perhaps forcing the Milwaukee Brewers to raise their offer. "Their return package was fine," one executive said, "but why not wait? They could have at least bluffed to see if they could get more."

– The Tigers also are being criticized by their peers for even trading Skubal and Mize, knowing how weak the AL Central is this year. They have the second-best record in the American League since June 1 (34-22), and have outscored the opposition by 119 runs in that stretch. They entered Saturday just 2 games back in the wild-card race, and 3 ½ games out in the division. “It’s going to be embarrassing to them if they make the playoffs,’’ one GM said, “knowing that if they got in with Skubal and Mize, they could be playing in the World Series. They gave up any chance to go deep."

– While the Athletics announced that GM David Forst’s departure was a mutual agreement, the truth is that it was an old-fashioned firing with their 45-70 record and second-half collapse. Forst was on the final year of his contract, anyway, and had told friends privately that he was not going to relocate to Las Vegas when the team moved there in 2028. The A’s will immediately begin a search for a full-time GM. Dave Stewart, the former four-time 20-game winner and World Series MVP whose number is retired by the A’s, certainly is deserving of serious consideration. Stewart, a former GM with the Arizona Diamondbacks and assistant GM with the Toronto Blue Jays, is an A’s special assistant, and after working with the minor leaguers for the past two years, knows the organization as well as anyone.

– The National League MVP award could come down to simply whether Shohei Ohtani takes the mound again for the Dodgers. If Ohtani, who hasn’t pitched since July 3, returns to the mound, he’ll win his fifth MVP award. If Ohtani stays as a DH, and Cubs center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong continues to play like he is, he’ll become the first Cubs player to win the MVP since Kris Bryant in 2016.

– Just how hot are the Boston Red Sox? They are 32-5 since June 25, and 27-3 since July 3. And from July 7-Aug. 6, they went 16-0 against four likely postseason teams: the Yankees, Rays, Dodgers and White Sox. Incredibly, they 15 ½ games behind the Yankees in the AL East standings on June 24. They are just one-half game back of the Yankees headed into Saturday night. And to think, they are doing all of this with outfieler Roman Anthony last playing May 4 and Cy Young runner-up Garret Crochet last pitching on April 25.

– New Dodgers starter Tarik Skubal was impressed enough with the Dodgers having their own players-only plane, but was blown away by their clubhouse. "I can’t believe how big that is," Skubal said. "I went to look for the hot tub, and wound up in the batting cage."

– Congratulations to Gary Matthews Sr., Ralph Garr, Reggie Smith and Andre Thornton, who will be inducted September into the Negro Leagues Baseball Hall of Fame Museum.

– While Atlanta was rebuffed in its attempt to land Jacob deGrom of the Texas Rangers, who was unwilling to waive his no-trade rights, they were among the teams that also tried to land San Francisco Giants All-Star pitcher Logan Webb. The Giants declined to move him with two years still remaining on his contract. "He's a guy that I think we all see as somebody that can mentor the next wave of pitchers that come through San Francisco," Buster Posey, president of baseball operations, told reporters. "And yes, I do think there's still a chance, as bad as this year has been, that we can be a team that's in contention."

– The Boston Red Sox tried to convince the Cincinnati Reds to trade shortstop Elly de la Cruz, but never came close to acquiring him.

– Kudos to Rasiel Guevara and Jerry Crasnick of the Major League Baseball Players Association for launching a history project celebrating the union’s 60-year anniversary with podcast interviews ("Stitch x Stitch") from former greats. They are releasing a new podcast with Cubs Hall of Famers Ferguson Jenkins, Andre Dawson and Lee Smith.

– If Aaron Judge does return for the Yankees, just how productive will he be after being out since May 31? Certainly, they’re not the same team without the big guy. They are 29-28 in his absence, ranking last in batting average (.219), last in on-base percentage (.283) and 27th in OPS (.669), averaging 3.9 runs a game compared to 5.2 before Judge went on the IL.

– It’s time for the Yankees to trade former prized prospect Jasson Dominguez, but rival clubs insist that his trade value has plummeted.

– Veteran pitcher Shelby Miller has been impressing scouts watching him in the Arizona Complex League, and believe that he could help the Chicago Cubs in the bullpen if they have a need in September. Miller, who signed a two-year, $2.5 million contract in the spring, is coming from undergoing surgery last October for a torn right UCL and flexor tendon.

– Infielder Marcelo Mayer, dumped by the Boston Red Sox at the trade deadline and subjected to erroneous off-the-field gossip rumors, is thrilled that he’s now with the San Francisco Giants and is eagerly looking forward to working with infield guru Ron Washington.

– Fans of the Cubs, White Sox, Bulls and Blackhawks frequently see insurance agent Jeff Vukovich’s TV and radio ads, but what they don’t realize is that he is one of the most successful amateur baseball coaches in the country. Vukovich just led the Lombard Orioles to their fourth National American Baseball Federation championship since he began coaching the team in 1992, with former major-league pitcher Tim Stoddard as his pitching coach the past 10 years. Vukovich has had 60 players drafted from his team, and 14 who reached the major leagues during his tenure, including Jerry Hairston Jr., J.A. Happ, George Kontos and Colin Holderman.

– Chicago White Sox manager Will Venable looked like a lock virtually all season for the American League manager of the year award. Then, along came the Red Sox historic surge, and now Red Sox interim manager Chad Tracy is the favorite heading into the final six weeks.

– The Seattle Mariners insist they were never interested in trading starter George Kirby, but did listen to offers for starter Emerson Hancock.

– Los Angeles Angels interim GM John Mozeliak says that he hasn’t conveyed to ownership that he wants to stay in the same role, but it certainly sounds like he wants to keep the job. "It’s fun being back in the game," he said. "I didn’t realize how much I missed it."

– Is there anyone out there who doesn’t believe that Skubal will be signing a free agent contract with the Los Angeles Dodgers? He’s already talking like a lifelong Dodger. "I don’t really sympathize with people that blame the Dodgers for anything they’ve done," Skubal says. "They’ve developed a really good organization. They draft well. They acquire talent really well. They retain talent. It’s a winning organization. … I don’t really sympathize with people that are complaining, because the Dodgers do all the right things."

Yet, while Skubal is correct saying that any team could have traded for him, the truth is that only the Dodgers have the financial might and prospect capital to acquire Skubal without really taking a gamble. If it somehow doesn’t work out, the Dodgers still are perfectly fine, just like with Kyle Tucker struggling in right field on a $60 million-a-year contract and starter Blake Snell pitching only 64 innings since signing his five-year, $182 million contract. But if Skubal didn’t work out for the Milwaukee Brewers, who finished runner-up in the trade talks, and they didn’t advance deep into October, it would be a disaster.

– Did the Pittsburgh Pirates, who have a $106 million payroll, really need to have the New York Mets pay $8.1 million of reliever Luke Weaver’s remaining $13.4 million to make the deal? The Pirates are paying Weaver just $228,414 this season. And you wonder why fellow owners get incensed wondering what the Pirates are doing with all of their revenue sharing proceeds, with the Dodgers kicking in an estimated $200 million into the pool.

– On the flip side, after engineering a firesale at the trade deadline a year ago, the Minnesota Twins added $8.35 million to their payroll with their three trades.

– The Chicago Cubs can thank the New York Mets’ medical department for acquiring Clay Holmes. Holmes was on his way to the Arizona Diamondbacks until the Mets flagged the medical reports of one of their prospects, and pivoted to the Cubs.

– The most bewildering team in baseball is the Seattle Mariners. How in the world can they be 56-61 with that starting rotation and all of that star power, even with AL MVP runner-up Cal Raleigh looking like a shell of himself compared to a year ago.

– What an unbelievable day for the Lombard family with George Lombard Jr. hitting a home run in his first game with the Yankees, and younger brother, Jacob, homering in his first professional game with the Class A Jupiter Hammerheads of the Miami Marlins organization.

– Kudos to Astros GM Dana Brown, knowing that job is in severe jeopardy, by not mortgaging the future by trading prospects to save his job. "I have a job and I have to live with myself," he told reporters. "If I’m not here next year, I’m going to be somewhere else, and I want to come across as a person that values the organization you’re working for. I think it’s the right thing to do."

– Congratulations to Atlanta first baseman Matt Olson, who will start his 900th consecutive game Sunday. It’s the second-longest streak since 2000, and the eighth-longest streak in baseball history.

– Perhaps the most surprised player at the trade deadline was Red Sox outfielder Jarren Duran, who conceded that he was sure he wouldn’t be wearing a Red Sox uniform after Aug. 3. "To be honest, I thought I was going to be released," Duran told reporters. "I am the worst player in MLB statistically. I hate looking at the numbers but when you’re going bad, you look at the numbers and it was pretty obvious how bad I was. I thought I was going to be released.

– There were 18 starting pitchers traded at the deadline, including eight who would start the first three games of a potential playoff series.

– The Orioles' trade of Adley Rutschman, their former No. 1 pick in the 2019 draft, certainly is an admission that they made a huge blunder in the draft. They passed on Bobby Witt Jr., who has become one of the greatest players in the game with the Kansas City Royals.

– The Cleveland Guardians a a huge haul at the deadline, acquiring All-Star pitcher Foster Griffin from Washington, outfielder Jo Adell from the Angels, first baseman Nathaniel Lowe from the Reds, and reliever Craig Yoho and outfielder Blake Perkins from the Milwaukee Brewers. So how di the Guardians respond? They got swept by the woeful Mets at home.

– San Francisco Giants third baseman Matt Chapman is expected to undergo season-ending surgery for a sports hernia this week, all but ending any shot of the Giants trading him away during the winter. Chapman, who still has four years left on his six-year, $151 million contract, hit just .235 with seven homers and 42 RBI.

– Red Sox third baseman Caleb Durbin, who was being booed out of Boston when he was hitting .172 with a .499 OPS in his first 49 games, has suddenly turned into Wade Boggs. He’s slashing .309/.369/.517 with 10 homers and 27 RBIs his last 58 games.

– If the Red Sox win the pennant, they owe a playoff share to Cardinals GM Chaim Bloom, who traded Sonny Gray and Willson Contreras to his former team.

– The Brewers certainly put in a competitive offer for Skubal, including three top 100 prospects centered around prized shortstop Luis Pena, the 18th-best prospect in baseball, but came away empty-handed. It will come back to haunt them, says Hall of Famer CC Sabathia, who ended the Brewers’ 26-year playoff drought in 2008 when he was acquired from Cleveland. "The No. 1 thing I thought about was that the Brewers kind of blew it," Sabathia said on his show, "MLB According to CC." "I felt like (Los Angeles) was the only spot he could go to that would ruin the Brewers season. The Brewers have been the best team kind of all summer, but I think this trade kind of breaks their back."

– Congratulations to Ozzie Guillen, the only White Sox manager to win a World Series since 1917, who became the first White Sox manager to have his number (13) retired Saturday night.

– It’s only fitting that beloved Giants broadcaster Mike Krukow’s final game will be in their season-finale against the rival Los Angeles Dodgers, with Krukow growing up in the Los Angeles area. Dodgers Hall of Fame broadcaster Vin Scully’s final game in 2016 was against the Giants, growing up in New York as a New York Giants’ fan.

– Heartbreaking to see Tommy John send a farewell letter to the Yankees on Old-Timers’ Day Saturday to say his good-byes, and thanking the late Dr. Frank Jobe, late Yankees owner George Steinbrenner, and the Yankee organization. John, 83, is in hospice care in Florida.

Follow Bob Nightengale on X: @Bnightengale

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Padres won't apologize for trying to win as other MLB teams are content with mediocrity

Rays vs Mariners Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Tampa Bay Rays are +115 underdogs to pull out the broom when they face the Seattle Mariners in Game 3 of their three-game series.

While the Rays haven't announced a starter yet, my Rays vs. Mariners predictions and MLB picks expect the Rays' bats to fuel a series sweep of the  Mariners at T-Mobile Park. 

Who will win Rays vs Mariners today: Rays (+115)

The Tampa Bay Rays offer strong value as road underdogs despite their uncertain starting situation following Saturday’s Griffin Jax’s scratch. 

Emerson Hancock gets the nod for the Seattle Mariners, but his high 51.2% Zone% and 42.9% HardHit% percentages create major vulnerabilities against Tampa Bay's high-exit-velocity bats like Junior Caminero (.378 xwOBA) and Jonathan Aranda. 

Tampa Bay’s versatile pitching staff has shown it can successfully navigate bullpen games, while Seattle continues to struggle with swing-and-miss issues in key spots. 

I expect Tampa Bay’s offensive efficiency on in-zone contact to seal the underdog road victory.

Play this to +100. 

Covers COVERS INTEL:  The Tampa Bay Rays hit a second-best .277 with a .766 OPS this season with runners in scoring position.

Rays vs Mariners Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 Runs (+100)

T-Mobile Park's pitcher-friendly dimensions, combined with high strikeout rates across both lineups, point toward a low-scoring series finale.

Hancock gives Seattle a decent enough foundation on the mound, using a 42.3% ground-ball rate to limit extra-base damage and keep multi-run home runs in check. 

Meanwhile, both offenses feature high swing-and-miss risk, highlighted byCal Raleigh (32.4% K%) and Carson Williams (33.3% K%) that consistently stall rally opportunities in key spots for both clubs. 

Expect effective ground-ball pitching and an elevated strikeout rate to keep overall run production below the 7.5 line.

Take this one to -110. 

Phil Naessens' 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 10-13, -0.96
  • Over/Under bets: 10-11, -2.55 units

Rays vs Mariners weather

Seattle is expecting a humid afternoon with light winds blowing out to right field. 

Rays vs Mariners odds

  • Moneyline: Tampa Bay +108 | Seattle -113
  • Run line: Tampa Bay -1.5 (+178) | Seattle +1.5 (-203)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-113) | Under 7.5 (-100)

Rays vs Mariners trend

Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 road games. Find more MLB betting trends for Rays vs. Mariners.

How to watch Rays vs Mariners and game info

LocationT-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
DateSunday, August 9, 2026
First pitch4:10 p.m. ET
TVRays.TV, Mariners.TV
Rays starting pitcherTBA
(X.XX, X.XX ERA)
Mariners starting pitcherEmerson Hancock
(6-6, 3.33 ERA)

Rays vs Mariners latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Sunday Posted & Toasted Notes: Tired OG, rookie deals, no third big

A bird of prey in Qanater El Khayreya, Qalyubia, Egypt, on July 24, 2026. (Photo by Ahmed Mosaad/NurPhoto via Getty Images) | NurPhoto via Getty Images

Nearly a week to put together a large enough amount of links and notes; that’s how it goes…

  • Jalen Brunson continues to embrace his status as King of New York, appearing at the famed Rucker Park during Nike’s NYvsNY streetball tournament in early August, Thanos-cast and all included.
  • OG Anunoby has had enough.
  • Do you know who could become available as the Knicks keep looking for a third-string center? Old pal Taj, whose $3.82 million non-guaranteed contract makes him a potential waiver candidate in Memphis, says HoopsHype’s Michael Scotto. Too bad Thibs is no longer around…
  • According to SNY’s Ian Begley and the New York Post’s Stefan Bondy, Gersson Rosas left the Knicks on good terms just to pursue opportunities that offer greater executive responsibility elsewhere.
  • Mitchell Robinson and Josh Hart, still friends.
  • Per the NYP, Knicks assistant Carson Shanks will not return to New York after three seasons with the organization.
  • Tyler Nickel’s Knicks future briefly became a talking point after reports suggested he could explore returning to college. Hours later, we learned the kid is expected to go pro and join the organization. Hooray!
  • Not so much luck for the drafted-and-stashed German Knickerbocker Jack Kayil. Auf Wiedersehen!
  • Stephon Marbury opened up about the personal tragedies that pushed him to leave the NBA for China. Chunk of the full interview:

“I was dealing with a lot. I was super depressed. My dad was rushed to the hospital, and my dad passed away while I was on the court. And then my dad died, then my coach died like a week later, my aunt died, and then my mom checked in the hospital on her deathbed. So it was like a lot. And then my situation with the Knicks, it was going bad. And my brand, Starbury, I was being attacked… I was just like super depressed. I was in a state of wanting to kil- myself, feeling like I wanted to kil- myself, not wanting to be here because of dealing with the stress and pressure of losing people that I love.”

  • Josh Hart has been named a Scouting America Ambassador. Hart earned Eagle Scout honors in high school and said scouting taught him discipline and accountability.
  • SI’s Steven Simineri painted a dark picture for Knicks benchman Kevin McCullar Jr.
  • Is Stephen Curry thinking about requesting a trade out of Golden State? Doesn’t sound like it. “I think honestly, you figure it out in real time,” he said.
  • Lonnie Walker IV is returning to the NBA after spending last season with Maccabi Tel Aviv. He’s now a Denver Nugget. Is this the opposite of what happens in football when players play a season or two in Saudi Arabia, then try to return once their bags are filled?
  • A proposed February trade would have sent Domantas Sabonis to Toronto in exchange for Knickerbocker legend and current Raptor RJ Barrett. It failed because the Raptors couldn’t move Jakob Poeltl’s contract. Welp.
  • Shaquille O’Neal believes Kobe Bryant belongs alongside Michael Jordan and LeBron James in the GOAT debate.
  • Brandon Clarke’s death was officially ruled an accidental overdose involving heroin and cocaine.
  • Russell Westbrook isn’t thinking about his future too much.
  • Kevin Love has been in contact with the 76ers since LeBron James chose Philadelphia, as he wants to join Philly for one final run alongside his old mate. ESPN, however, poured cold water on Love’s forehead by noting there is no guarantee the veteran forward will receive a roster spot.
  • Former NBA guard Royce White announced he also intends to declare for the 2027 WNBA Draft, hours after Enes Kanter Freedom made a similar announcement. It took WNBA commish Cathy Engelbert a day to respond and announce the league will meet next week to discuss and clarify what qualifies a player as a woman for the WNBA.
  • Ben Simmons is… back?

Today on Pinstripe Alley – 8/9/26

NEW YORK, NY - AUGUST 08: Diana Munson is escorted to the field by Austin Wells #28 of the New York Yankees during the New York Yankees Old Timers' Day before the game against the Atlanta Braves at Yankee Stadium on August 8, 2026 in New York, New York. (Photo by New York Yankees/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The good vibes resonated all around Yankee Stadium on Saturday. Old-Timers’ Day has that kind of effect on fans regardless, but unlike in many of the previous recent Old-Timers’ Days (Josh noted that they were 2-8 in their last 10 of ‘em), the modern Yanks showed up. Gerrit Cole was up to the task of dueling fellow veteran Cy Young Award winner Chris Sale, and outside of one inning, he was nails. And while the flurry of singles in that frame put the Yanks behind 2-1, they had a rally in their bones, thanks to George Lombard Jr. and Spencer Jones. A big RBI triple from Jones plated Lombard to tie it up (Jones’ second ribbie off Sale), Jones scored the go-ahead run on a balk, and Lombard later homered as well. Ben Rice also had a tack-on solo shot that proved vital in the 5-4 win.

Because it was Old-Timers’ Day, I do want to touch on what was my favorite moment of the day. It’s encapsulated by the image above, with Austin Wells walking Diana Munson out to the field. She talked to YES Network’s Meredith Marakovits in the pregame about how touched she was by Wells’ recent tribute to the late captain, and she was so excited to meet him. Well, you’re basically seeing that moment above. I loved it, plain and simple.

Today on the site, Matt will run through the Rivalry Roundup and celebrate what would be the 107th birthday of former Yankees championship manager Ralph Houk. Scott will give the live report from Carlos Rodón’s rehab start at Triple-A Scranton, John will have the Social Media Spotlight, and then we’ll have baseball!

Today’s Matchup:

New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Braves

Time: 1:35 p.m. EST

TV: YES Network, BravesVision

Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Questions/Prompts:

1. How will Cam Schlittler fare against the Braves today?

2. Which living Old-Timer do you wish would come back more often? (Let’s discount Derek Jeter from this particular discussion.)

Braves vs Yankees Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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Cam Schlittler looks to build on his AL Cy Young case when the New York Yankees look to complete the sweep against the Atlanta Braves this afternoon.

I’m taking New York at -138 on the back of Schlittler, but don’t overlook Atlanta starter Grant Holmes.

I’ll break today’s pitcher’s duel in the Bronx in my Braves vs. Yankees predictions and MLB picks for Sunday, Aug. 9.

Who will win Braves vs Yankees today: Yankees (-142)

Cam Schlittler is a -115 favorite in the latest Cy Young odds, and that’s the main reason I’m taking the New York Yankees to top the Atlanta Braves this afternoon.

Despite a misstep in his last start, Schlittler owns a 2.78 ERA over his last six outings and ranks in the 98th percentile in pitching run value, as well as the 89th percentile in xERA (2.95) this year.

Schlittler will also be backed up by a bullpen that boasts the second-lowest ERA in baseball (3.15).

Take the Yankees up to -145.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Nearly half of Schlittler’s 171 strikeouts have come off his four-seamer, and the Braves own the fifth-highest swing% and 10th-highest swinging-strike% against that pitch vs. righties.

Braves vs Yankees Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-116)

We know Schlittler will be hard to hit, but don’t underestimate Braves starter Grant Holmes, either. The right-hander carries a minuscule 2.52 ERA over his last eight appearances and is fresh off a scoreless six-inning start vs. Miami.

The Yankees are down three big bats in Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger, and Giancarlo Stanton, so runs will be hard to come by for both clubs.

Playable to -130.

Chris Faria's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 7-4, +2.21 units
  • Over/Under bets: 4-7, -3.19 units

Braves vs Yankees weather

Yankee Stadium will see clear skies, warm temperatures, and light winds blowing out to center field, though it won't help much against two solid starters.

Braves vs Yankees odds

  • Moneyline: Atlanta +127 | New York -142
  • Run line: Atlanta +1.5 (-163) | New York -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.4 (+104) | Under 8.5 (-116)

Braves vs Yankees trend

Atlanta has hit the team total Under in 19 of its last 25 road games (+12.75 Units / 42% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Braves vs. Yankees.

How to watch Braves vs Yankees and game info

LocationYankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
DateSunday, August 9, 2026
First pitch1:35 p.m. ET
TVBravesVision, YES
Braves starting pitcherGrant Holmes
(7-4, 3.67 ERA)
Yankees starting pitcherCam Schlittler
(10-6, 2.26 ERA)

Braves vs Yankees latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.