Sixers can see real reasons for optimism now, but they're still not close to contention

Sixers can see real reasons for optimism now, but they're still not close to contention  originally appeared on NBC Sports Philadelphia

The Sixers don’t have to haul aside the rubble of endless injuries and meaningless losses to see a bright future now.

However, they sat Sunday night with the humiliation of a second-round playoff sweep capped by a 30-point Game 4 loss to the Knicks. New York fans flooded Xfinity Mobile Arena and had much to celebrate. 

“We got beat by a really good team that was better than us tonight,” Sixers head coach Nick Nurse said. “Nobody wants to lose the way we did tonight without doubt. No one wants it to end that way, but our team went through a lot of ups and downs and I think we hung in there really well for the season. A lot of good things happened.”

Even after a serious improvement upon last season’s 24-win disaster, the Sixers appear to need more on many fronts to morph into true contenders. More three-point shooting, more defensive rebounding, more availability from their veteran stars. And, to put it bluntly, more good players. 

Compared to their Eastern Conference foes, the Sixers’ depth was an enormous problem. Quentin Grimes had one big playoff performance as the team’s sixth man, scoring 18 points in Game 5 of the Sixers’ fantastic first-round series win over the Celtics. Three bench players 23 years old or younger received postseason rotation minutes in Dominick Barlow, Justin Edwards and Adem Bona. 

Sixers president of basketball operations Daryl Morey traded away Jared McCain in February and added no one. Judging a front office’s work is always complex, but it’s clear the Sixers’ deadline was disappointing to the organization as a whole, players included. 

We’ll see if the Sixers opt to change anything at the top. The Athletic’s Tony Jones reported that Morey and Nurse’s jobs are “expected to be evaluated entering the offseason” and that “ownership has not made final decisions on either and is likely to take a few days to assess before making any major calls.”

For better and for worse, it seems likely the Sixers will retain the same core players. 

Joel Embiid, 32, dealt with a slew of health woes and was generally great when he suited up. Paul George, 36, served a 25-game suspension for violating the NBA’s anti-drug policy and then played quite well on both ends of the floor for most of the postseason. The Sixers have committed long-term contracts to both.

“I’m as confident as I’ve ever been,” Embiid said. “Obviously, (the knee) was the biggest concern and I’m not thinking about it. As long as we keep doing what we’ve been doing, I won’t have to think about it anymore. I’m looking at next year, obviously being more available, and being more available might mean being a high seed as a team. 

“The personal goals don’t matter. I know that if I’m available and I play as much as possible, everything else is going to follow. … I’ve accomplished everything else. I’m in a good mental place. It sucks losing, but I just know that moving forward, I’ll be better for my team.”

Tyrese Maxey became an All-Star starter for the first time. He played through a nagging right pinky finger injury in the playoffs and was limited by the Knicks’ constant blitzes, but the Sixers have a legitimate superstar as their lead guard who topped the NBA in minutes per game. 

“I thought he had an amazing year,” George said of Maxey. “He got better. I thought he really added to a foundation that was already great. He’s one of the best scorers. He’s just been consistent for us all year with what he’s dealt with, with what we’ve been through. The next step for him … he’ll have to figure out and adjust to how these playoffs have been. They’re trying to get the ball out of his hands, and him having to learn to play make from there. 

“He’s set a precedent that he can average 30 and he’s an elite scorer and shooter. So I’m pretty sure, going into next year, that’s going to be what’s on teams’ boards, trying to stop Tyrese. … I’m sure he’s going to sit with his trainers, his workout people, and they’re going to look at, ‘How can we be better? What can we do better?’ I think that conversation will come up then.”

Maxey shared his exit interview press conference with VJ Edgecombe, who’s already a very valuable two-way player at 20 years old.

Embiid said Edgecombe “has a chance to be extremely special” and “is going to be a monster.” 

“I really love my teammates and I really love all the good things they say about me, but I’ve got to keep putting in the work and I’ve got to keep getting better so whatever they say will come to pass,” Edgecombe said. “I’m glad to be here in Philly. … Losing just now, it’s tough, but we’re going to be good for sure.” 

Indeed, the Sixers have real reasons for optimism. The team’s leaders in the locker room are right to focus on internal growth and believe better days are ahead.

The gap between the Sixers and the Knicks team that coasted to the Eastern Conference Finals on Sunday was not small, though. 

“I think the biggest thing is this was a step in the right direction,” Maxey said, “going from last year where we didn’t even make the playoffs to this year where we (got) to the second round. Again, no moral victories, but at some point you’ve got to take away something positive. And we got a lot of experience. … Once you get this taste of playoff experience, you don’t want to go backwards. … And just staying together, man. Keeping the camaraderie high, keeping the vibes high. 

“The vibes with this group are really good, especially with the young guys. Really liked each other, really did things together. So we’ve got to keep that vibe going and keep that culture building. If we can keep building that culture, then I think the sky is the limit for this team.”

Mets vs. Tigers: 5 things to watch and series predictions | May 12-14

Here are five things to watch and predictions as the Mets and Detroit Tigers play a three-game series at Citi Field starting on Tuesday.


5 things to watch

A Juan-derful resurgence?

Juan Soto remains one of the best hitters in baseball, but he’s coming off an awful nine-game road trip. Soto was just 4-for-33 (.121) with two RBI in Anaheim, Denver and Phoenix with a woeful .231 on-base percentage and .503 OPS. He was 0-for-10 in the series against the Diamondbacks.

In general, the Met attack is poor (more on that in a moment), and it’s near-impossible for the club to soar without Soto near his full powers. And because of his rep and contract, he’s perpetually in the spotlight. 

Maybe the homestand brings better results – Soto is batting .341 with a 1.010 OPS at Citi Field this season. 

Just plain offensive

Yes, the Mets are dealing with injuries to Francisco Lindor, Luis Robert Jr. and Jorge Polanco, who were supposed to be key lineup cogs this season. But the undermanned version of their lineup is unimposing, to say the least, and they must wring more runs from it if they hope to rebound from their 15-25 start.

Overall, the Mets are averaging the second-fewest runs (3.48) in MLB. Only the woeful Giants (3.25) score less. The Mets have an MLB-worst .341 slugging percentage, 48 points below league average. And their OPS (.628) is also the lowest, 21 points below San Francisco’s and 81 points below average. 

They scored a total of five runs in dropping the Diamondbacks series, mustering only 12 hits. 

Ugh. 

Bo Bichette batted .194 on the road trip, including an 0-for-10 no-show in Arizona. Mark Vientos has offered the occasional power spurt, but he was 3-for-20 over the final five games of the trip. 

Detroit righty Jack Flaherty should get a start in the series, which brings us to a suggestion – be patient, Mets hitters. Flaherty has walked the third-most hitters in the majors this year and is averaging 6.89 free passes per nine. Let him clog the bases against himself.

Professor McGonigle 

Tigers infielder Kevin McGonigle is one of the most impressive rookies in the majors, and his exploits will almost certainly impact this series. He’s an important part of their offense, especially with Gleyber Torres, Javy Báez and Kerry Carpenter out with injury.

The 21-year-old McGonigle, who has been batting leadoff or second, leads all rookies in hits, has an .830 OPS and more walks (23) than strikeouts (21). He’s also batting .429 with runners in scoring position, fourth in MLB, and was the AL Rookie of the Month for March/April.

New York Mets center fielder Carson Benge (3) hits a single in the sixth inning against the Washington Nationals at Citi Field
New York Mets center fielder Carson Benge (3) hits a single in the sixth inning against the Washington Nationals at Citi Field / Wendell Cruz - Imagn Images

Carson City

The Mets have a pulchritudinous rookie of their own in Carson Benge,and he might be emerging before our very eyes. Benge’s overall numbers aren’t so gorgeous (.207 average, .603 OPS), but he’s looked more and more comfortable as the season has progressed.

He’s always provided defense at all three outfield positions and he’s got speed, too (six-for-six in steal attempts). And he let none of that lapse while he struggled offensively. 

He’s a tougher out now, and the Mets, obviously, could use his blooming offense this week. Benge was 7-for-26 (.267) on the road trip with a .367 on-base percentage and a .500 slugging. He had three doubles, a home run and five RBI over the nine games. 

Cook at home

The Mets have endured a funky schedule so far, having gone west on three separate trips. That can’t be good for the body clock, right? But they only travel to the West Coast once more, next month, meaning their travel should get easier the rest of the way. 

So it’s time to start taking advantage of home-field advantage, starting with this Detroit series. The Tigers are 7-16 on the road, the worst away mark in baseball. 

The Mets are just 6-12 at Citi Field so far, the second-worst home record in baseball. They were a robust 49-32 at home last year. 

Sure would be good to create some atmosphere in Queens by playing well against Detroit, especially with the first installment of the Subway Series against the Yankees looming this weekend.

Predictions

Who will be the series MVP?

Juan Soto

He’s just too good, with too much of a track record, for his woes to go on too much longer. 

Which Mets pitcher will have the best start?

Freddy Peralta

Peralta, who starts the series opener Tuesday, seems to be heating up with a 1.62 ERA over his last three starts, though the Mets probably would like him to deliver more innings per start – he’s pitched six innings only twice in eight outings.

Which D-Backs player will be a thorn in the Mets' side?

Riley Greene

Greene, a two-time All-Star who has a 21-game on-base streak, is tied for second in MLB with 13 doubles, is 10th in batting (.317) and has a .908 OPS. 

Why NBA Draft Lottery results couldn't have gone better for Celtics

Why NBA Draft Lottery results couldn't have gone better for Celtics originally appeared on NBC Sports Boston

The Boston Celtics did not participate in Sunday’s 2026 NBA Draft Lottery because they were one of the 16 teams that made the playoffs, but they still ended up being one of the winners from the event’s results.

Pretty much everything that could have gone right for the Celtics actually came to fruition.

Outside of the Pacers losing their pick to the Clippers (more on that below), there weren’t any earth-shattering results from the lottery.

Let’s dive into how the outcome of the draft lottery benefits the Celtics directly and indirectly.

Indiana Pacers’ trade fiasco

The Pacers gave up a ton of assets to acquire Clippers center Ivica Zubac at the trade deadline in February, including their 2026 first-round draft pick protected for spots 1-4 and 10-30. Despite finishing with the second-worst record in the league, there was only a 52 percent chance of the Pacers keeping their pick entering the lottery.

Indiana ultimately lost out, as its pick slid to No. 5 overall and will convey to the Clippers. This means the Pacers, who already have a fantastic roster if Tyrese Haliburton makes a successful return from an Achilles tear, will not add an elite young player to the mix.

If the Pacers were able to add a player like AJ Dybantsa or Cam Boozer, they probably would have been a top-two or -three team in the Eastern Conference going into next season, and that would have made reaching the NBA Finals a lot tougher for the Celtics and other East contenders.

The Pacers should still be a threat, no doubt. But their roster could have looked a lot scarier had they gotten some lottery luck.

NBA Draft LotteryJeff Haynes/NBAE via Getty Images
The Pacers fell to No. 5 in the lottery and have to send their pick to the Clippers.

Potential Giannis Antetokounmpo suitors had no lottery luck

ESPN’s Shams Charania wrote Monday that the Bucks “are open for business on trade calls and offers” for superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo.

Almost none of the potential suitors for Antetokounmpo improved their situation in the lottery, and that’s good news for the Celtics if they decide to get involved this summer.

The Golden State Warriors have been speculated as a potential Antetokounmpo destination in the past, and they need to maximize their increasingly small window to compete while Stephen Curry remains an elite player. The Warriors ended up with the No. 11 pick.

The Miami Heat are always discussed as a potential landing spot for superstar players whenever rumors pop up, even though it’s been a while since they pulled off a blockbuster deal. The Heat don’t like to tank and are typically in the playoff mix. But the Heat had no lottery luck and will pick at No. 13 in Round 1.

The Bucks had a small chance to earn a top-four pick despite not controlling their own 2026 first-rounder, but they had no such luck and will pick at No. 10. That pick is probably not going to be good enough to land an impact player who can pair with Antetokounmpo and help Milwaukee compete in the East.

The Hawks are often thrown into Antetokounmpo mock trade proposals as a third-team or as a potential Antetokounmpo spot. They did not get a top-four pick and ended up with No. 8 overall. Is the No. 8 pick good enough to construct a package for Antetokounmpo?

Two Western Conference teams landed in top three

If you really think that Dybantsa, Cam Boozer, Caleb Wilson, Darryn Peterson or other players in this draft have superstar potential, then it would benefit the Celtics for those players to go to Western Conference teams.

The Wizards won the lottery and will pair an elite young talent with Trae Young and Anthony Davis next season, but the Utah Jazz moved up in the lottery for the first time in franchise history and will pick at No. 2. The Memphis Grizzlies landed at No. 3 and the Clippers are at No. 5.

Two of the top three picks and three of the top five being owned by Western Conference teams is good for East contenders like the Celtics.

OKC Thunder didn’t get lucky

The Thunder had a 1.5 percent chance to win the No. 1 pick because they own the Clippers’ 2026 unprotected first-rounder. It wasn’t likely that OKC would move up, but we’ve seen crazy outcomes before, including last year when the Dallas Mavericks won the lottery with only 1.8 percent odds.

The Thunder didn’t have any luck and will pick at No. 12. It’s still a good pick for a team that might win a second straight title this season and has an absolutely loaded roster headlined by reigning league MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. But could you imagine how much better OKC would be if it got Dybantsa, Boozer or Peterson?

Any team with championship aspirations in the near future, like the Celtics, didn’t want to see the Thunder get lucky Sunday afternoon. And for the first time in a while, OKC was unlucky.

The Mavericks 2025-26 season review: February

LOS ANGELES, CA - FEBRUARY 12: Kyrie Irving #11 of the Dallas Mavericks celebrates during the game against the Los Angeles Lakers on February 12, 2026 at Crypto.Com Arena in Los Angeles, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

With January in the books as the best month of the Mavs’ season, February rolled in and was anything but. Dallas continued to stick around in a lot of games, often keeping things close before coming up short. A generally abysmal record and some bad (but obvious) news were the call for the month, but the Mavericks also made an unexpected move to change the entire dynamic of their future.

February Record: 2-8 (21-38 overall)

The only saving grace for the Mavericks in February was that it is the shortest month on the calendar. Dallas lost six straight games to open the month, as part of a 10-game losing streak dating back to the end of January. At this point, the feeling amongst the fanbase seemingly shifted to “tank mode.” Gone were the hopes of a PlayIn bid, replaced by the notion that losing for a better draft pick was much more appealing. The Mavs managed back-to-back wins over two of the limited squads that were performing worse than Dallas, the Indiana Pacers and Brooklyn Nets, before dropping their last two to close out the month.

Anthony Davis is traded to the Wizards

On February 4, and in typical Mavs’ fashion where virtually no one saw it coming, Anthony Davis was traded to the Washington Wizards. There were a few rumors here and there, mainly about a deal with the Atlanta Hawks that never materialized, but the prevailing thought had become that Davis was staying until at least the off season. The Wizards were certainly not on anyone’s radar. With everyone thinking Davis’ hand injury against the Utah Jazz less than a month prior was going to keep him off the market, Michael Finley and Matt Riccardi did the improbable and got off the contract of Davis, removing another pillar of the ill-fated Luka Doncic trade. Better still, they managed to move DeAngelo Russell who had fallen into Jason Kidd’s doghouse long before, in the deal as well. Also on the way out were Jaden Hardy and the injured Dante Exum. Dallas gave themselves a tremendous amount of financial flexibility going into the offseason, and did it in a single move no one really saw coming.

Marvin Bagley shows out

The return Dallas received in the Davis trade didn’t exactly leap off the page, although it really didn’t need to. Dallas needed to get off of Davis’ contract and also needed to turn the keys over to Cooper Flagg. Khris Middleton was arguably the biggest incoming name, however Marvin Bagley made a strong bid to stick around and perhaps was the best piece Dallas got in the deal. In his first game with Dallas, he scored 16 points, pulled down 12 rebounds and blocked four shots in a loss to the San Antonio Spurs. He came off the bench in all but four of his appearances with the Mavs, but often outplayed started Daniel Gafford in those games. He ended the season having scored 20 or more points in four contests with the Mavs. Bagley may yet have a future in Dallas after having proved to be a very capable back-up and spot starter.

Kyrie Irving announces he is out for the season

Although the announcement was widely expected, on February 18, Kyrie Irving confirmed that he would be out for the remainder of the season. It would have been nice to see Irving get back on the court and to play with Cooper Flagg in a few meaningless games at the end of the season. He could have tested out his recovery quietly when no  one was really looking, but instead opted for the safer path and that is fine. Irving added months to his recovery timeline and will be ready for the start of next season with what will surely be a new-look Mavs squad.

With the forgettable games of February in the rearview, Dallas was in a position to finish out the season by taking a look at some of their new players. As much as the season was essentially lost by this point, the Mavs still had plenty to play for as Flagg made his closing arguments for Rookie of the Year honors.

I invite you to follow me @_80MPH on X, and check back often at Mavs Moneyball for all the latest on the Dallas Mavericks.

What having the 10th overall pick means for the Milwaukee Bucks

MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - MAY 06: General manager Jon Horst of the Milwaukee Bucks looks on during a press conference to introduce Taylor Jenkins as the new head coach of the Bucks at Milwaukee Art Museum on May 06, 2026 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The dust has settled on the NBA Draft Lottery. The Milwaukee Bucks will be picking 10th on draft night this June. Now that the initial excitement (or disappointment, although if that’s how you’re feeling, that’s on you for getting your hopes up in the first place) has worn off after a good night’s sleep, let’s talk more about exactly what having the 10th pick will mean for the Bucks.

Obviously, this is a golden opportunity for the Bucks to add some excellent young talent. Given the lack of prospects worth rallying behind in Milwaukee in recent years, the anticipation of this draft is through the roof. The pressure is there, too, for the front office at least. It’s no secret that Jon Horst’s draft track record hasn’t been awesome (even if identifying future 10-year role player Sam Merrill with the 60th pick is pretty cool). It’s time for the man in the office to right the ship and make everyone forget about D.J. Wilson, MarJon Beauchamp, and AJ Johnson.

It’s been a decade since this team’s last lottery pick. Who knows when the next one will be. This one has gotta be a hit.

If the Bucks enter a rebuild this summer, a lot will be riding on the prospect they select because they’ll immediately become a major centerpiece of the team’s core. Luckily, there are numerous potential star bets in the lottery this year, which we’ll get to shortly. If Milwaukee keeps the big fella around and looks to compete next year, this pick will still be important because this roster could really use some new life breathed into it, no matter what.

Ultimately, it doesn’t matter which direction they choose; Milwaukee’s approach to this draft shouldn’t shift. The goal here is simple: identify the best prospect available at 10 and draft them. Throw context out of the window. This franchise is in no spot to get picky about guys based on little things like what position they play. Just go out, get a guy, and figure the rest out later.

So, which guy should the Bucks be targeting here? Unfortunately, landing at the 10 spot means the class’ biggest studs—AJ Dybantsa, Cam Boozer, Darryn Peterson, and Caleb Wilson—will not be in play. Other top dogs like Darius Acuff Jr., Keaton Wagler, and Kingston Flemings will probably be gone as well by the time Milwaukee gets on the clock.

The lack of consensus at the 10th pick is a little scary. It leaves Horst more room to try to get fancy and mess things up. The last thing the Bucks (and their fans) need is another Thon Maker.

Don’t fret, though, because this class is good enough even outside of the top five to where screwing up should be a lot tougher. Van already outlined some of the names fans should expect to see on the board for the Bucks, including Mikel Brown Jr., Yaxel Lendeborg, and Aday Mara. All three are very enticing options for different reasons.

Brown Jr. has the highest ceiling of the trio as a flashy combo guard who can get buckets in bunches and spearhead an offense. He’d be a nice fire to Ryan Rollins’ ice in the backcourt.

Mara would step into the NBA as the tallest player not named Victor Wembanyama, and his elite intersection of passing feel, rim protection, and post scoring would put him in a position to be a uniquely dominant force.

Lendeborg is a flat-out winner. He is nearly 24 (red flag), but a winner nonetheless, and that’s what matters. He wouldn’t be the upside swing some may want to see the Bucks take, but he’d make the team better.

The potential game-changers projected to be available at 10 don’t end there. Brayden Burries, Labaron Philon, Nate Ament, Hannes Steinbach, Dailyn Swain, Ebuka Okorie, and Morez Johnson Jr. all stand out as names worth tagging too. 

The Brew Hoop team will be diving further into individual prospects in the coming weeks. For now, though, some general truths hang in the air. This isn’t your average draft class—more teams will walk out winners than usual. Milwaukee needs to be one of those winners. This pick shouldn’t get traded (once it’s legally able to be traded, that is). And, above all, this is a super exciting time to be a Bucks fan, even in the wake of a rough season.

The Milwaukee faithful haven’t had a reason to get this excited about the draft in a minute. Enjoy the experience, and keep an eye out for Brew Hoop’s coverage of it! 

2026 NL Central Power Rankings: Week 7

May 6, 2026; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; Milwaukee Brewers shortstop Joey Ortiz (3) forces out St. Louis Cardinals left fielder José Fermín (15) and throws to first to complete the double play during the ninth inning at Busch Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-Imagn Images | Jeff Curry-Imagn Images

Welcome to week 7 of our 2026 NL Central Power Rankings — let’s rank some teams!

1. Chicago Cubs (27-14); 5-2 this week; 86.5% chance to make postseason (FanGraphs)

The Cubs stayed hot this week, stretching their win streak to 10 with a four-game sweep of the Reds before finally losing over the weekend, dropping two of three against the Rangers in Texas.

Michael Conforto and Seiya Suzuki led the offense with two homers each this week, with one of Conforto’s coming as a walk-off winner against the Reds. Conforto added three doubles and three walks, hitting .500/.588/1.143 for the week. Michael Busch led the team with eight hits, including a homer, while Pete Crow-Armstrong had seven hits, including a homer.

Shota Imanaga picked up the win with 10 strikeouts and just one run allowed across six innings in his start this week, while Ryan Rolison picked up a pair of wins in relief, striking out five over 2 1/3 innings. Javier Assad totaled five scoreless innings in two relief outings, earning a win and striking out two. Phil Maton, Ethan Roberts, and Trent Thornton also had scoreless weeks for the bullpen.

After an off day on Monday, the Cubs continue the road trip in Atlanta against the Braves before returning to Chicago for the weekend, where they’ll play on the “road” against the White Sox on the South Side.

2. Milwaukee Brewers (22-16); 4-1 this week; 55.8% chance to make postseason

The Brewers had a great week, splitting two games with the Cardinals on each side of a rainout Tuesday before sweeping a three-game set against the Yankees over the weekend, stretching their win streak to four.

Brice Turang remains one of the best hitters in the league, as he led the team with two homers this week, including a walk-off homer on Sunday afternoon against New York. The return of Jackson Chourio and Andrew Vaughn also loomed large this week, as Chourio led the team with eight hits, including three doubles, and Vaughn added three hits, including a homer and a double. Jake Bauers also homered on Saturday night.

Jacob Misiorowski continues to mow down opposing hitters, as he went six scoreless innings in Milwaukee’s win on Friday night, striking out 11 and allowing just two hits and two walks. Aaron Ashby added two more wins to give him an MLB-leading seven on the season, as he totaled five innings in relief, allowing just one unearned run and striking out seven over three appearances. Brandon Sproat also had a scoreless, albeit inefficient, four-inning start against St. Louis, striking out five.

Milwaukee gets Monday off before beginning a nine-game stretch without an off day that stretches to next Thursday. That stretch begins with three games against the Padres in Milwaukee before a six-game road trip takes them to visit the Twins and Cubs.

3. St. Louis Cardinals (23-17); 3-3 this week; 25.3% chance to make postseason

The Cardinals had a pair of series splits against the Brewers and Padres this week, going 1-1 against the Brewers (with a rainout in the middle) before a 2-2 series split in San Diego over the weekend.

Alec Burleson and Jordan Walker each slugged a homer this week, while Iván Herrera led the team with nine hits, including three doubles, driving in four. Nolan Gorman, Nathan Church, and JJ Wetherholt each added five hits on the week, with Gorman and Church each picking up a pair of doubles.

Kyle Leahy made a pair of solid starts, totaling 10 1/3 innings with 10 strikeouts and just one run allowed. Matthew Liberatore also had a quality start, going six innings with one run allowed and six strikeouts, while Michael McGreevy went six scoreless with nine strikeouts to pick up the win in his start. The bullpen was solid as a whole, as Justin Bruihl, JoJo Romero, Jared Shuster, George Soriano, and Ryne Stanek all had scoreless weeks, totaling 11 2/3 innings with 13 strikeouts.

St. Louis gets Monday off before continuing the road trip to Sacramento, where they’ll face the A’s for three games. They then head back home to host the Royals over the weekend.

4. Pittsburgh Pirates (22-19); 3-3 this week; 58.5% chance to make postseason

The Pirates had a .500 West Coast road trip this week, taking two of three over the D-backs in Phoenix before dropping two of three to the Giants in San Francisco.

Brandon Lowe led teh Pirate offense with seven hits this week, including two homers, a triple, and a double, driving in six and scoring five runs. Oneil Cruz, Konnor Griffin, Joey Bart, and Marcell Ozuna dded a homer each, while Spencer Horwitz added six hits, including three doubles and a triple, driving in six.

Paul Skenes had another strong start against Arizona, going eight scoreless innings with just two hits allowed, striking out seven. Bubba Chandler went 10 innings over two starts, allowing four runs and striking out seven, while Braxton Ashcraft (7 IP, 1 ER, 6 K) and Mitch Keller (6 IP, 2 ER, 4 K) each turned in a quality start and earned the win. Mason Montgomery, Evan Sisk, and Gregory Soto all had scoreless weeks for the bullpen, and Soto also earned two saves over 3 1/3 scoreless frames.

The Pirates now head back home, where they’ll host the Rockies and Phillies for three games each following an off day on Monday.

5. Cincinnati Reds (22-19); 2-5 this week; 16.4% chance to make postseason

After jumping out to an early division lead, the Reds have struggled in May. They lost their first eight games of the month, including sweeps at the hands of NL Central rivals in the Pirates and Cubs. They finally put together a pair of wins to win their three-game set with the Astros over the weekend.

The Reds had no problem hitting homers this week, putting together nine as a team, including two apiece for both JJ Bleday and Spencer Steer. Elly De La Cruz led the team with 11 hits, driving in four. Blake Dunn, Ke’Bryan Hayes, Nathaniel Lowe, Matt McLain, and Sal Stewart each added a homer.

Andrew Abbott made a pair of scoreless starts this week, totaling 11 2/3 innings with nine strikeouts. Chase Burns picked up the other win for Cincy, going six innings with one run allowed and a pair of strikeouts. In relief, Jose Franco, Pierce Johnson, and Luis Mey all had scoreless weeks, totaling eight innings with four strikeouts across the three of them, as Johnson also picked up the only save of the week.

Cincinnati gets the day off on Monday before welcoming the Nationals to town for three games this week. They’ll then hit the road, though they won’t go very far as they visit the Guardians and the Phillies.

What’s behind Gunnar Henderson’s early season struggles?

MIAMI, FL - MAY 07: Baltimore Orioles shortstop Gunnar Henderson (2) enters the dugout in between innings during the game between the Baltimore Orioles and the Miami Marlins on Thursday, May 7, 2026 at LoanDepot Part in Miami, FL (Photo by Peter Joneleit/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

While this Orioles team entered the season with plenty of questions, the shortstop position wasn’t one of them. Gunnar Henderson’s name was etched in stone as perhaps the most dependable piece of Craig Albernaz’s lineup. Now healthy and fresh off of a solid showing at the World Baseball Classic, it felt like 2026 was poised to be a big year for Birdland’s star player.

Unfortunately, that hasn’t been the case through the season’s quarter pole. Henderson is struggling. On the year, he owns a .211/.269/.421 batting line and a 91 wRC+. Since April 15 he has an OPS of just .580. During that time his batting average has dipped into the .190s twice, including this past weekend.

Henderson is well aware of how much he has scuffled. He told the media recently that he had “been pretty terrible for about a month now” and went on to explain the things he is doing to get out of his ongoing skid.

No one is going to question Henderson’s work ethic or desire to succeed for the Orioles. He wears his heart on his sleeve, for better or worse. But he will continue to be under the microscope anyway because, more than any other player on the roster, his ability to performe is tied directly to the team’s fortunes. If he starts hitting like he is capable of, the Orioles are going to score a lot more runs and win a lot more games.

So, what exactly is going on with Henderson?

We know he missed time with an oblique injury right at the start of 2025, and then he revealed during the winter that he also had a shoulder impingement as well that lingered. Could there be residual effects from those things? Maybe, but that isn’t obvious from what we can see. Henderson’s bat speed (74.2 mph) and sprint speed (28.2 feet/second) are down from last year, but not too dramatically, and both are still well above league average. At the very least, any sort of minor injury is not the only reason why he has seen all of his outputs crater.

What seems more likely is that Henderson’s approach has changed quite a bit coming into 2026. He’s way more aggressive. His 32.4% first pitch swing rate is the highest it has been since 2023. And the 34.4% chase rate is the highest of his career.

Orioles hitting coach Dustin Lind said as much when he spoke to the press on Sunday. He described Henderson as “not controlling the zone,” and went on to explain that the team encourages a shift in approach with two strikes that focuses on contact above all else. Maybe Henderson missed that memo. He is striking out 30.1% of the time, by far the worst rate of his career.

As you would expect for a player that is swinging and striking out more than ever, his walk numbers are in the tank. He has a 7.1% walk rate right now. Usually he walks at a 9-10% clip, which makes a big difference, especially for someone that is being placed in the lead-off spot regularly.

Rather than acting like a table setter, Henderson is swinging for the fences. His average launch angle is 15.3 degrees this year. His career average launch angle is 9.9 degrees. Would it shock you to learn that he is also hitting more fly outs than ever before? At 39.7%, he is posting the highest fly out rate of his career. That is part of why his .252 BABIP this year is so much lower than his career .315 number.

Another change in approach: Henderson is pulling everything. More than half (50.9%) of his batted balls are yanked to the right side of the field. His career average for pulled contact is 39.8%. This feels connected to the increased launch angle and the aggressiveness in that each tendency feels aimed at increasing power outputs.

To that point, Henderson is homering more than he did in 2025. He’s already got nine home runs this season, compared to 17 all of last year. This current pace would get him to 36 long balls for the year. And his home run per fly ball rate of 19.6% is much better than 2025 (12.3%), closer to what he posted in 2023 (19.3%) and 2024 (23.9%).

But those home runs have come at the expense of just about every other productive avenue of offense Henderson is usually responsible for. He is on pace for fewer doubles, triples, walks, and stolen bases than he had in 2025, which was already considered something of a disappointing year for him. His fWAR is projected to be 3.2. Still solid overall! But nowhere near the MVP-type of output that many of us hoped for and a steep regression from the 7.9 fWAR he posted in 2024 and even the 4.8 fWAR from 2025.

The Orioles aren’t going to do anything drastic with Henderson. He is not at risk of being sent to the minors or riding the bench for a week to change his mindset. The team needs him in the lineup, even in the midst of this slump. But it also doesn’t make sense for them to bang their head against the wall with him and repeat the same issues day after day.

For starters, he shouldn’t be the lead-off man right now. It’s not a role that is setting him up for success. Slide him down to third or fourth. That will give him more chances with runners on base, putting pressure on the pitcher and possibly giving him more pitches in the zone.

Next, do what you can to ditch the power-first approach that seems to be stuck in his brain. Henderson’s ability to hit 35+ home runs in a season is great, but it’s not worth losing everything else about him that has made him so valuable. If the 37 home runs he hit in 2024 turns out to be an anomaly so be it. He is much better off hitting 20-25 bombs with a .340 on-base percentage and 25 stolen bases than what we are watching right now.

And perhaps the final piece to all of this is making it clear to Henderson that the weight of the world is not on his shoulders. Between Pete Alonso, Adley Rutschman, Taylor Ward, and Samuel Basallo, plus any other hitters that eventually turn it around, there are other capable players on the roster that can bear the brunt of any one day. Whether that sort of mental load is contributing to Henderson’s struggles or not is unclear, but it feels worth the team’s time to make that clear to the player. If these Orioles are going to bounce back, they don’t need Henderson to be perfect, they just need him to play his game. Maybe the 4-for-9 he posted this past Saturday and Sunday were just the start of a big turnaround.

Would you give Brandon Marsh an extension?

May 3, 2026; Miami, Florida, USA; Philadelphia Phillies center fielder Brandon Marsh (16) stands in the dugout against the Miami Marlins during the fourth at loanDepot Park. Mandatory Credit: Rhona Wise-Imagn Images | Rhona Wise-Imagn Images

Let’s jump straight to the question of the day: would you give Brandon Marsh a contract extension beyond this season?

Is this a question based on yesterday’s performance? Perhaps, but let’s think this one through a little bit. The team’s outfield depth is near nonexistent in the minor leagues outside of maybe Dante Nori. There isn’t much available on the free agent market coming up in the next several seasons in the outfield, so basically, Marsh might be their best option for left field.

That does make it a little more imperative that he improve against left handed hitters. It would be difficult to justify paying a platoon player significant money if it came down to it. Yet they have put themselves in this position by not creating the depth necessary to withstand these kinds of issues. They will almost undoubtedly continue using Justin Crawford in center field, but what about the corners in the future?

Is Brandon Marsh part of that future?

Minor League Recap: Kahlil Watson homers twice in Clippers victory

Columbus Clippers Travis Bazzana (12) throws the ball to first base during home opener at Huntington Park on Tuesday, March 31, 2026, in Columbus, Ohio. | Samantha Madar/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Columbus Clippers 9, Iowa Cubs 4

Clippers improve to 20-19

Columbus teed off on offense Sunday, scoring nine runs on 16 hits as a whopping six different players had multi-hit games.

Leading the charge was Kahlil Watson, who impressively went 3-for-5 with two home runs and a stolen base, raising his season OPS to .899.

Angel Genao also had his best game since his promotion, going 3-for-5 with a triple, a double and two runs scored. After a slow first couple games, he’s now batting .333 with a 1.009 OPS at Triple-A.

Milan Tolentino had a big game as well, going 3-for-4 with a double and a stolen base while Nolan Jones went 2-for-5 with a double, Stuart Fairchild went 2-for-5 with two stolen bases and Kody Huff went 2-for-4 with a walk.

The Clippers got a strong showing on the mound as well, with Logan Allen having his best game of the season. Allen allowed one run on five hits with five strikeouts and one walk in 7.0 innings.

Cody Heuer allowed a pair of runs and Steven Perez allowed one more run before finishing off the game.

Akron RubberDucks 0, Richmond Flying Squirrels 6

RubberDucks fall to 17-16

Akron’s offense struggled mightily in this one as no one had an extra base hit.

Zac Cozart led the way, going 2-for-3 with a walk and a stolen base. Alex Mooney went 1-for-4 with two stolen bases and Jake Fox and Christian Knapczyk both went 1-for-3 with a walk.

Starting pitcher Josh Hartle pitched well enough, allowing three runs (two earned) on six hits with five strikeouts and a walk in 5.1 innings.

Jack Jasiak allowed three more runs and Reid Johnson pitched a scoreless final frame.

Lake County Captains 4, Great Lakes Loons 7

Captains fall to 15-17

It was a slow day for Lake County as Ryan Cesarini had the lone extra base hit, going 1-for-5 with a double.

Jace LaViolette had a decent game, going 2-for-5, although he struck out three times. Bennett Thompson stayed scorching hot, going 2-for-4 with a hit by pitch while Luke Hill went 2-for-3 with a walk.

Tommy Hawke went 1-for-4 with a walk and a stolen base while Dean Curley and Nolan Schubart both walked twice.

Starting pitcher Jackson Humphries had his typical enigmatic game. He allowed two runs (zero earned) on one hit with three walks and six strikeouts in 4.0 innings.

Michael Kennedy attempted to provide long relief and got shelled for four runs in 0.2 frames to ensure the loss.

Hill City Howlers 4, Fredericksburg Nationals 11

Howlers fall to 18-15

Hill City’s losing streak moved to four games on Sunday as its young pitching got shelled.

Starter Chase Mobley allowed five runs on four hits in 2.0 innings because he walked a whopping seven batters and struck otu two.

Keegan Zinn then attempted long relief and got shellacked for five more runs in 2.1 frames.

Offensively, Jose Pirela had a good game, going 3-for-4 with a double. Robert Arias walked twice and had a sacrifice fly and Yaikel Mijares went 2-for-4 with two doubles. Johan Rodriguez went 2-for-4 with a double as well.

Monday Morning Texas Rangers Update

May 10, 2026; Arlington, Texas, USA; Texas Rangers center fielder Evan Carter (32) is greet at the dugout by manager Skip Schumaker (55) and coaches after hitting a two-run home run during the eighth inning against the Chicago Cubs at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Raymond Carlin III-Imagn Images | Raymond Carlin III-Imagn Images

Good morning.

Evan Grant writes that, after a series win over the Chicago Cubs on Sunday, the Texas Rangers finished a 40 game gauntlet to begin the season with an opportunity to ascend.

Kennedi Landry writes that the Rangers were treated to a vintage Jacob deGrom performance in the series-clinching finale win over Chicago.

ESPN notes that along with ten strikeouts yesterday, deGrom collected the 1,900th K of his career. deGrom is now the second fastest to reach that total by appearances and innings.

Grant writes about manager Skip Schumaker’s thoughts on the support from his mother Marlene as the Rangers enjoyed a Mother’s Day win on Sunday.

Landry writes that Marlene Schumaker watches every Rangers game which means she’s probably just as impressed with Jacob Latz and as tired of seeing the Rangers waste opportunities with the bases loaded as you are.

Grant notes that Corey Seager is probably due for a day off to reset after suffering through an extended slump in the first quarter of the season.

And, Landry writes that handling the little things to boost their thin margin for error is a way that the Rangers can improve going forward.

Have a nice day!

2026 NBA Draft: Where Arizona players are projected to go following draft lottery

arizona-wildcats-nba-draft-lottery-2026-brayden-burries-koa-peat-jaden-bradley-veesaar-mock-projections
CHICAGO, IL - MAY 10: Brayden Burries and Koa Peat pose for a picture during the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery on May 10, 2026 at Navy Pier in Chicago, Illinois. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Jeff Haynes/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

The NBA Draft Lottery is finished and we now know which teams will be picking in what order. This means there is pretty much 20/20 vision as to where Arizona standouts Brayden Burries and Koa Peat will be heading. It would be the third consecutive year that a Wildcat was taken in the NBA Draft and the second straight year that one was taken in the first round.

If Burries and Peat are taken, they would be players six and seven taken in the Tommy Lloyd era. Overall, they would be the eighth and ninth players under Lloyd to make it to the NBA.

Last year it was Carter Bryant going to the San Antonio Spurs in the first round, while the year before it was Pelle Larsson taken by the Miami Heat in the second round. Bennedict Mathurin, Dalen Terry, and Christian Koloko were taken in the 2022 NBA Draft. Undrafted free agents Keshad Johnson and Caleb Love have also played in the NBA.

While Burries and Peat are the standouts from Arizona who have entered this year’s draft, Jaden Bradley is also projected to be taken in the second round.

Here are some projections as to where all three players could be taken on various mock drafts. Analysis from each site is included in italics when provided:

Brayden Burries

ESPN: No. 9 to Dallas Mavericks

Burries endeared himself to teams over the course of the season as a steady two-way contributor with room to grow as a scorer. Scouts see an intriguing upside as he continues to improve as an on-ball playmaker, but he is a solid enough shooter to play the 2, giving him appealing versatility. He is older than other freshman guards in the lottery and not as toolsy or flashy, but he might be closer to directly impacting winning.

New York Times: No. 9 to Mavericks

Burries was the leading scorer on one of the top three teams in the country, despite a slow start that saw him average just 7.8 points in his first five games. From that point, he averaged 17.3 points while shooting 51 percent from the field, 41 percent from 3 and 81 percent from the foul line in his final 34 games. He’s also an aggressive rebounder who grabbed 5.5 boards per game in that time, while averaging 2.4 assists as a solid ball mover who didn’t take many bad shots.

The question is about separating from his man consistently, as he’s more of a power guard who uses the threat of his shot to keep defenders off-balance. Burries turned into a really good defender by the end of the year and averaged 1.5 steals. For Dallas, Burries would be a terrific complement to Cooper Flagg and Kyrie Irving as they look to make a jump next year.

CBSSports: No. 9 to Mavericks

Burries is a strong and aggressive two-way guard who can get downhill with force, provide a formidable three-point shooter, and simultaneously defend his position. He’s also more physically ready to make the transition to the NBA game than most of the other one-and-done guards in the draft. Alongside Cooper Flagg, the Mavs not only have young talent, but young two-way talent.

Koa Peat

ESPN: No. 24 to New York Knicks

Peat opted to declare for the draft and has an opportunity to play his way up the boards with a strong predraft process. Some teams viewed him as an excellent candidate to return to school and improve his stock, an option that remains available to him. Scouts view his perimeter shooting as a critical swing skill that will impact his trajectory, as he is not particularly effective scoring outside 15 feet at this stage of his career. But his strength and quickness relative to his size, coupled with a solid offensive feel and ability to guard the perimeter, give him a chance to find a niche in the right situation.

New York Times: No. 16 to Memphis Grizzlies

Peat prompts a wide range of opinions from NBA scouts. On the plus side, he has won everywhere he’s been and is one of the most decorated players in his age group. He won state titles and four gold medals with Team USA in youth events, then helped carry Arizona to a Final Four. He averaged 14.1 points while shooting 53 percent from the field and is a tough, physical rebounder. He passes well and makes excellent decisions to keep his team in the flow of the offense, be it in short rolls out of ball screens or on the wing. If you need him to score, he can do that as we saw in the NCAA Tournament, where he averaged 17.2 points and 7.6 rebounds while shooting 48.5 percent from the field and taking a bigger offensive load. Or, he can slide into a role as a tough, physical defender who takes on different matchups and then makes quick reads.

Yet, the flaws jump off the page. He’s not really a shooter, as he’s only taken 20 3-point attempts and made seven of them while hitting just 62.3 percent of his attempts at the foul line — basically in line with his averages at lower levels. Defensively, he’s not overly fast, and there are possessions when you see him get beaten laterally by quicker players, although I did think he was a good defender by the end of the season.

CBSSports: No. 14 to Charlotte Hornets

Peat is another polarizing prospect because he’s strong, physical, can finish, rebound, short-roll to get downhill, and even play-make a bit, but doesn’t shoot. He was pivotal to Arizona’s Big 12 championships and Final Four run, and loaded with winning intangibles. That DNA is very much in line with what we saw Charlotte prioritize last year, when they nailed the 2025 draft with Kon Knueppel, Ryan Kalkbrenner, and Sion James.

Jaden Bradley

ESPN: No. 51 to Washington Wizards

New York Times: No. 48 to Orlando Magic

It’s also worth noting that former Arizona Wildcat Henri Veesaar is projected, in most mock drafts, to go to the Los Angeles Lakers at No. 25. Tune in on June 23 to see where the next “Wildcats in the NBA” will be heading.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Monday, May 11

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We finished off the week in the black, and with the good weather coming, this is the week to flip those early-season losses to profit, and we need four units this week to do so. It's home run and MLB player props all week, right here. 
 
Kazuma Okamoto just took Drew Rasmussen deep last week, and with the way he's swinging it over the last 14 days, he has to be on the card at today's price.

We're adding him to Julio Rodriguez and Pete Alonso in my favorite home run props and MLB picks for Monday, May 11. 

  • UPDATE: Added another HR pick + parlay.

Best MLB home run props today

Player to hit a HROdds
Mariners Julio Rodriguez +520
Orioles Pete Alonso+490
Blue Jays Kazuma Okamoto+410
💲Today's HR parlay+11808

Home run pick: Julio Rodriguez (+520)

I will fade the Houston Astros every chance I get. Their starters are weak, and the bullpen is near the bottom of the barrel. Today, they’re turning to Peter Lambert, who is pitching above expectations and coming off a season-high 104 pitches. The quality could dip today, and right-handed hitters have done most of the damage against him.

Julio Rodríguez will not close at +520 to homer. This number could fall to +400, and I’d still bet it. The right-handed slugger is slashing .348/.375/.717 over his last 11 games with four home runs and five more extra-base hits. His production away from home has also stood out.

If he doesn’t get to Lambert early, the Houston bullpen still ranks among the worst in home runs allowed and has been used heavily over the last two weeks.

  • Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Space City Home Network, Mariners.TV

Home run pick: Pete Alonso (+490)

The Polar Bear has treated us well this season, and today vs. New York Yankees southpaw Ryan Weathers is another great spot to smash the Dinger button on the Baltimore Orioles slugger. Weathers missed his last start due to an illness and ranks in the bottom 40 among all MLB starters in both BlastCont% and HR/FB rate

There is also a familiarity factor here, as Weathers' last start came against the Orioles, who stacked four runs on him with Pete Alonso taking him deep on a 114-mph laser. The fair price for this four-bagger is around +400, per the projections at Covers. 

  • Time: 6:35 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: MASN, YES

Home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+410)

Kazuma Okamoto is sporting a tidy 1.254 OPS over the last 10 days with five home runs and seven extra-base hits. One of those bombs came against the Tampa Bay Rays and Drew Rasmussen last Tuesday. The Tampa Bay righty owns one of the worst HR/FB rates among MLB starters, ranking 29th worst.

Okamoto is squaring everything up right now, and with the Toronto Blue Jays’ second-fastest swing behind Vladimir Guerrero Jr., he’s doing real damage.

The rookie owns the 17th-best SqUpCon% in baseball over the last two weeks and owns the fastest swing among the Top 35 hitters in that metric. All of his Over props are live today, and the familiarity angle works in his favor.

  • Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Rays.TV, Sportsnet 1
Josh Inglis' 2026 Transparency Record
  • HR picks: 12-65, -3.14 units

Today’s HR parlay

Mariners Julio RodriguezBet Now
+11808
Orioles Pete Alonso
Blue Jays Kazuma Okamoto

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Three Positives From the Week of May 3rd

An average week for the Guardians felt like it had a lot more losses than what it really did. That means that some positive moments are definitely needed.

Bazzana Hits Big

After making his Major League debut on April 28th, Guardians’ top prospect Travis Bazzana was struggling to collect his first hit. While he walked twice in two of his first three games, he went hitless in that same amount of time. He collected his first hit, a single, on May 2nd. He began hitting more consistently after that, and it culminated in his first Major League home run on May 8th versus the Minnesota Twins. So far this season, he’s hitting .233/.425/.333 with eight walks and four RBIs.

Aleman Finding Success Early

The Guardians announced on Friday that they would be calling up pitcher Franco Aleman to give the bullpen a boost. He did exactly that in his debut on Sunday, pitching two innings while striking out one and giving up two hits. He did not allow any runs to score, and he kept the Guardians in a spot where they had a chance to at least tie the game (which they did not do). While it’s too early to tell if he can keep this success up throughout the season, he has been extremely promising in Triple-A Columbus so far this season. He’s managed a 0.00 ERA across 12 innings, giving up just one unearned run on three hits. He’s struck out a whopping 18 hitters and walked only four.

Guards Make Big Trade

In a shocking move, the Guardians announced on Saturday that they would be acquiring catcher Patrick Bailey from the San Francisco Giants for Minor League pitcher Matt “Tugboat” Wilkinson and a 2026 compensation pick. While he’s only hitting .141/.207/.176 so far this season, he’s averaging a .224/.281/.328 line in his career. He is known for his success behind the plate, however, getting calls outside of the zone without being challenged. The Guardians definitely needed a boost at that catcher’s spot after sending Bo Naylor back to the minors.

Social Media Spotlight

My favorite post from the week comes from the official Guardians account. After Travis Bazzana hit his first Major League home run, the team posted an upside down video of it captioned “For our folks in Australia”.

Angels vs Guardians Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Los Angeles Angels visit Progressive Field for Game 1 of a three-game series with the Cleveland Guardians.

Joey Cantillo and his filthy changeup have been tough to beat, and my Angels vs. Guardians predictions expect Cantillo to dominate this Angels lineup. 

Read on for my MLB picks for Monday, May 11. 

Who will win Angels vs Guardians today: Guardians -1.5 (+130)

The Cleveland Guardians send Joey Cantillo to the mound tonight against a Los Angeles Angels lineup that ranks 24th in wRC+ over the last two weeks and owns the worst walk rate in baseball. 

Cantillo's changeup grades at the 88th percentile in run value, and his 95th-percentile release point makes him difficult to square up consistently. 

Without a named starter, the Angels figure to deploy their bullpen tonight, and Los Angeles relievers have surrendered home runs at the highest rate in baseball over the last two weeks. 

With too much juice on the moneyline, take Cleveland to cover the run line instead. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: Cantillo has been one of the better bets in baseball this season, going 6-2 in his starts while generating +4.51 units for bettors.

Angels vs Guardians Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (+104)

Wind blowing in off Lake Erie on a chilly May night sets the table for a low-scoring affair.

Cantillo has held opponents to a .294 BABIP with a 75% strand rate in 2026 despite pedestrian underlying stuff. 

The Angels rank 24th in wRC+ over the last two weeks and own the worst walk rate in baseball, while Cleveland has been equally futile offensively, posting a 91 wRC+ over that same stretch.

Neither lineup has shown the consistency to threaten this number, and Los Angeles has gone Under the total in eight of their last 10 games.

Phil Naessens' 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 5-11, -5.05 units
  • Over/Under bets: 6-8, -3.30 units

Angels vs Guardians odds

  • Moneyline: Angels +144 | Guardians -150
  • Run line: Angels +1.5 (-144) | Guardians -1.5 (+117)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-127) | Under 7.5 (-117)

Angels vs Guardians trend

The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+10.25 Units / 21% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Angels vs. Guardians.

How to watch Angels vs Guardians and game info

LocationProgressive Field, Cleveland, OH
DateMonday, May 11, 2026
First pitch6:10 p.m. ET
TVABTV, Guardians.TV
Angels starting pitcherTBD
Guardians starting pitcherJoey Cantillo
(2-1, 3.43 ERA)

Angels vs Guardians latest injuries

Angels vs Guardians weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: Series Preview

MIAMI, FL - MAY 07: Baltimore Orioles catcher Samuel Basallo (29) gets high fives in the dugout after scroring a run during the game between the Baltimore Orioles and the Miami Marlins on Thursday, May 7, 2026 at LoanDepot Part in Miami, FL (Photo by Peter Joneleit/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

To kick off the week, the Yankees will head back to the East Coast for a three-game set with the Orioles. For the most part, the American League in 2026 can reasonably be described as “unimpressive,” a description the Yankees are mostly exempt from, but describes Baltimore’s season fairly well. At 18-23, they are already in a nine-game hole in the East, and could be headed for a forgettable season, similar to 2025, after they made the postseason in two consecutive seasons.

The Yankees, after opening the month of May with some exemplary baseball, are coming off of a sweep at the hands of the Brewers. Now having fallen out of first place, being overtaken by the red-hot Rays in the East, they’ll need to beat up on the O’s in order to regain status in their division.

Monday: Ryan Weathers vs. Brandon Young (6:35 pm ET)

Ryan Weathers will take the hill to open up the series on Monday. Although he has been up and down at times, his first season in pinstripes has started off quite well on the whole. In 38.2 innings thus far, the lefty has managed a 3.03 ERA and 3.60 FIP, while striking out more than a batter per inning. He most recent start also came against Baltimore, in which he struck out five in as many solid innings of work. He’s also completed at least five innings in his last five outings, a streak he’ll look to continue on Monday.

The Yankees will square off with 27-year-old Brandon Young on the mound for Baltimore. A rookie last season who had an ERA north of 6 last season in 12 starts, he’s made strides in his sophomore campaign. The right-hander has split time between triple-A and the Majors in 2026, but has stuck around for a few turns through the rotation currently. His last outing saw him go six hard-earned innings against the Marlins, giving up three runs and striking out five.

Tuesday: Will Warren vs. TBD (6:35 pm ET)

Will Warren is slated to start on Tuesday, and has enjoyed a mostly terrific 2026 season. Despite that, he may still have a bad taste in his mouth, coming off of his only bad start this year, when he gave up six runs in four innings against the Rangers. On the bright side, prior to that start, he had a sub-2 ERA across his four previous outings, and he has now struck out six or more batters in five straight starts. He’ll look to right the ship after his first blemish on an otherwise excellent 2026.

The O’s have yet to announce a starter, though it could possibly end up being Trevor Rogers returning from the injured list. Rogers was incredible in 2025, posting a sparkling 1.81 ERA in 18 starts last season for Baltimore, though he has not gotten off to the start they hoped for this year. He’s likely run into some tough luck, running a decent 3.72 FIP, but he also hasn’t pitched since April 25, hitting the shelf with an illness.

Wednesday: Max Fried vs. TBD (6:35 pm ET)

The series’ final game will likely see Max Fried on the rubber for New York. After beginning his eight-year deal with a tremendous 2025, Fried has picked up right where he left off in 2026. Despite slightly decreased strikeout numbers, Fried is more than getting by with a 2.74 FIP m and has been one of baseball’s most valuable pitchers to this point in the season. He has cemented himself as one of the most reliable starters around, and the Yankees will get to enjoy just that on Wednesday.

Baltimore does not have an official starter announced for Wednesday either, but righty Kyle Bradish is the probable starter according to RosterResource. After a breakout campaign in 2023, Bradish has had difficulty staying on the field, as his 42 innings this season are already the most he’s had since that ‘23 season. Although health is the top priority, it has been a disappointing start to the year, as he hasn’t gotten a ton of length, and has allowed multiple runs in all but one start. He pitched against the Bombers on May 2nd, and allowed five runs and a pair of homers in four innings.