NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JUNE 05: Payton Tolle #70 of the Boston Red Sox looks on before a game against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on June 05, 2026 in New York City. The Red Sox defeated the Yankees 5-3. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Happy Tuesday, OTM! While the Red Sox are only five games out of the third Wild Card in the American League, I think we’re all in agreement that this team probably isn’t going anywhere. It’s America’s pastime, though, and you need to find reasons to watch the games. Aside from just killing time on a summer night, individual performances are one reason to watch. Payton Tolle is in the running for Rookie of the Year, while Ceddanne Rafaela and Wilyer Abreu will be in the mix for Gold Gloves once again. Do you care about that stuff when you’re watching? I, for one, make sure to watch Tolle pitch, but don’t really care if he gets award recognition. It’d be cool if he did, because he rocks, but it doesn’t really move me either way. Maybe this isn’t the most relevant question today, but I like using this spot to ask questions I’m curious about, so let me know what you think.
Use this thread to talk about what you want and be good to one another.
NEW YORK, NY - JUNE 12: Bo Bichette #19 of the New York Mets celebrates with teammates at home plate after hitting a grand slam home run in the second inning during the game between the Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets at Citi Field on Friday, June 12, 2026 in New York, New York. (Photo by Evan Yu/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images
The Mets have played exactly .500 baseball in the month of June so far. Juan Soto continues to be the Mets’ most consistent hitter (no surprise there), but Bo Bichette may be finally heating up, as he spends his second straight week in the green. Meanwhile, Mark Vientos’ stock is way down, as he continues to lose more and more of his at-bats to Jared Young. Carson Benge has been excellent of late and this week also saw the return of Francisco Alvarez from a torn meniscus—many weeks ahead of schedule.
Player
Last week
This week
Francisco Alvarez, C
Brett Baty, UTIL
Carson Benge, OF
Bo Bichette, 3B
Vidal Bruján, INF
A.J. Ewing, OF
MJ Melendez, OF
Marcus Semien, 2B
Hayden Senger, C
Juan Soto, OF
Luis Torrens, C
Mark Vientos, 1B/3B
Eric Wagaman, 1B/DH
Jared Young, 1B/DH
Mark Vientos continues to struggle so badly that manager Carlos Mendoza recently said he will have to compete for at-bats. And Mendoza has been true to his word. Vientos has played in just 7 of the Mets’ last 12 games and has just one hit in the month of June. Vientos has struck out in seven of his 16 plate appearances. Jared Young has been taking most of Vientos’ at-bats and has been much more productive, posting a 114 wRC+ this month thus far over 46 plate appearances. Half of his ten hits have gone for extra bases, including three home runs, and his seven RBIs are the second-most on the team.
Though his struggles are not quite as pronounced as Vientos’, Brett Baty is trending down as well, posting a 44 wRC+ in the month of June thus far. Baty has just eight hits in his last 42 plate appearances, only one of which went for extra bases. Baty walked three times, drove in three runs, and scored two runs. MJ Melendez has been seeing a bit more playing time as a result and he has held his own with an uninspiring but respectable 99 wRC+ in 32 plate appearances. He has shown some pop; three of his five hits were for extra bases, including a home run. He also drew four walks, which is somehow the second-most on the team over this 12-game stretch.
Bo Bichette leads the team in both RBIs (12) and hits (16) in the past 12 games. His 159 wRC+ for the month of June also leads the team. Of course, the highlight of this hot stretch for Bichette was his huge night in the series opener against the Braves, in which he went deep twice, including an opposite field grand slam against Spencer Strider that put the Mets ahead—ultimately for good. It may be too little too late for the Mets, but if the team is going to turn things around, Bo Bichette finally heating up would be a major reason why.
Juan Soto staying productive would be another major reason why. Though not quite as raging hot as he was at the end of May, Soto still put up a solid 121 wRC+ over 51 plate appearances. He racked up 11 hits, including two home runs and two doubles. He scored five runs and drove in five runs. And as usual, he led the team in walks with seven. Heading into Monday’s series opener in Cinncinati, Soto was up to third in the National League in OPS and had gone over 30 plate appearances without a strikeout.
Carson Benge has settled in to being quite the productive everyday player for the Mets, as his run of good play has gone on for almost two months now. In June, he holds an excellent 137 wRC+ in 51 plate appearances. The Mets outfield trio all had a good couple of weeks; A.J. Ewing put up a 130 wRC+ in 46 plate appearances. Both Mets rookie outfielders had 13 hits apiece—second only behind Bichette for the team lead. Benge’s nine runs scored lead the team. He also walked three times and drove in five runs. Ewing also walked three times. He drove in three runs, scored six runs, and stole three bases—the only Met to swipe multiple bags over the past two weeks.
Francisco Alvarez made a borderline miraculous return from a torn meniscus many weeks ahead of schedule and got off to a quick start, but has cooled off since. Overall, he had three hits including a home run in his first 14 plate appearances since being activated. Meanwhile, Luis Torrens had six hits—half of which went for extra bases—in 27 plate appearances, good for an 89 wRC+. Torrens scored five runs and drove in two runs. When Alvarez was activated, Hayden Senger, who went hitless in two plate appearances, was sent back down to Triple-A.
Marcus Semien hasn’t been what I would call raging hot, but he has at least lifted himself out of awful territory, hovering close to league average with the bat for the past month or so. In June so far, he has an 85 wRC+ in 48 plate appearances. He actually leads the team with four home runs, which represent half of his total hits over this 12-game span. They also represent all four of his runs batted in and four of his five runs scored. Semien also walked three times and stole a base.
As the last men off the bench, Vidal Brújan and Eric Wagaman have not seen many at-bats. Wagaman reached once via a hit by pitch and struck out in his other two plate appearances. Brújan did not reach base in either of his two plate appearances.
Now that the NBA Finals are over, the biggest story in basketball is the future of Milwaukee Bucks superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo.
Antetokounmpo has played the first 13 years of his career with the Bucks and led the franchise to a championship in 2021 — its first since 1971.
But it appears his time in Milwaukee could be comingto an end, and with the 2026 NBA Draft set to begin next Tuesday, a deal could potentially happen in the short term.
The two teams most often mentioned in Antetokounmpo trade rumors over the last few weeks have been the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics.
The Heat are seemingly always in the mix when a huge star is rumored to be available. The Celtics need an upgrade at center and have the ability to put together a compelling trade package. And unlike several other contenders, the C’s still control a bunch of their future first-round picks.
So, which team has the edge in the race for Antetokounmpo? What’s the latest on this situation? The Boston Globe’s Gary Washburn provided an update on Monday’s edition of NBC Sports Boston’s Boston Sports Tonight.
“I don’t think (Giannis) is going to be a Celtic, and that’s just from what I’m hearing,’ Washburn said. “I think the Celtics are gauging what it would take to get Giannis to Boston and trying to figure out whether they want to move Jaylen Brown.”
Washburn later added: “I do think Miami has the edge on this, but I do think Boston is kinda sniffing around and finding out could you even acquire Giannis without sacrificing Jaylen? That would be a big question. What is exactly Milwaukee looking for? Who is the third team involved? Because it’s gonna have to be a third team involved.”
There’s no question that Antetokounmpo is still an elite player entering his age 32 season. His record speaks for itself: Two league MVPs, 10 All-Star appearances, nine All-NBA appearances (seven first team), a Finals MVP and one championship, among other accolades.
Antetokounmpo is also two years older than Brown and more injury prone. The Bucks star played in only 36 games last season and has appeared in 70-plus games in a single season only once since 2019. Antetokounmpo also has advanced past the first round of the playoffs just once since 2022, and outside of the 2021 title, the Bucks have been perennial playoff underachievers.
We also have plenty of evidence that the duo of Brown and Jayson Tatum is championship-caliber. They have played in five Eastern Conference Finals and two NBA Finals (one title in 2024) together.
Either way, it’ll be fascinating to watch the Antetokounmpo sweepstakes play out. A top-five player being traded always shifts the balance of power in the league.
Jun 15, 2026; West Sacramento, California, USA; Pittsburgh Pirates shortstop Nick Gonzales (3) runs to first base during a fielding error against the Athletics during the fourth inning at Sutter Health Park. Mandatory Credit: Dennis Lee-Imagn Images | Dennis Lee-Imagn Images
The Pittsburgh Pirates have had an up-and-down season, recently falling under .500 at 36-37, while spending a good chunk of the year so far several games above. But one of the big changes this year was the return of offense to Pittsburgh, and one of the biggest reasons for that is Nick Gonzlaes.
Well, the first group of Major League Baseball All-Star voting has been released, and the 27-year-old Gonzales sits in fifth place for the third baseman voting. The current voting is as follows:
Gonzales is second on the team in batting average, hitting .296 on the season with 2 homers and 31 RBIs. He has an OPS of .711 and a WAR of 1.0. He’s also stolen 4 bases.
The Los Angeles Dodgers’ Shohei Ohtani and the Houston Astros’ Yordan Alvarez are the leading vote-getters for the National League and American League, though Ohtani leads all players with 1,165,133 votes.If they both still lead when Phase 1 of the voting is complete on Jun 25 at noon, both players will receive automatic starting spots in the All-Star Game. The 2026 Major League Baseball All-Star Game will take place on Tuesda, July 14, at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia.
Gonzales is the only Pirates player in the top five of any of the position voting, though cases could be made for Brandon Lowe, Oneil Cruz and Ryan O’Hearn, who are all having good seasons at the plate for the Buccos.
Congrats to Gonzales for his early showing. Though he’s going to have to get some votes in Phase 2 to catch up to the rest of the the third-basemen. Still, the Pirates will likely have a position player in the game, so it very well could be Gonzales.
Warriors superstar Steph Curry is such an elite shooter that, sometimes, even Hall of Fame players can forget how good of an all-around offensive player he is.
That’s the case with Naismith Memorial Hall of Famer Isiah Thomas, who, before the 2026 NBA Finals wrapped up on Saturday night, delivered an odd breakdown comparing Curry’s path to success with his and that of New York Knicks star Jalen Brunson.
“Here’s where it separates. Curry did it at 6-foot-3, more or less, shooting, scoring. Brunson and I, if Brunson becomes a champion, right? We did it scoring and assisting,” Thomas said last Friday on FanDuel TV’s “Run It Back.” “That is something totally different and that’s why it’s so unique in terms of what you’re watching because he can assist and then he scores. Curry was more just a scorer, so there are two different ways of doing it.
“Now, with Brunson and I being smaller, we cannot measure ourselves by this analytics category criteria that has been established in the basketball world that only fits and suits the 6-foot-6 and above player. So, if you’re 6-foot-6 and above, these analytics numbers and criteria fits you but if you’re trying to win as a small player, we cannot play to that criteria of statistical analyzation. So we need to figure out how we can win without being measured by the 6-foot-6-and-above guy. And Brunson has settled into that. So, I’ve done it. He’s trying to do it. Curry did it at 6-foot-3.”
Isiah Thomas says small guards like him & Jalen Brunson have to win by transcending analytics 🏆
So, in Thomas’ mind, Curry had to have averaged more points and fewer assists per game during his four championship runs, right?
Unfortunately for Thomas, the stats don’t back up his claim.
During the Warriors’ 2014-15 title run, Curry averaged 28.3 points and 6.4 assists in 21 postseason games. Two years later, with Kevin Durant on board, Curry averaged 28.1 points and 6.7 assists in 17 playoff games.
During the Warriors’ 2017-18 title run, in which Curry missed the first round, he averaged 25.5 points and 5.4 assists in 15 games.
In 2022-23, with Durant long gone and Curry the focal point of the offense, he averaged 27.4 points and 5.9 assists en route to NBA Finals MVP.
Over those four title runs, Curry averaged a cumulative 6.11 assists in 75 games.
As a kicker, Brunson averaged 10.1 made field goals on 21.7 field-goal attempts during the now-completed playoff run. Curry’s highest title-run numbers came in 2015 when he averaged 9.5 made field goals on 20.9 field-goal attempts.
Thomas, if anything, is the outlier. During his two title runs with the Detroit Pistons in 1989 and 1990, he averaged 19.4 points and 8.2 assists. Curry and Brunson are more alike than Thomas is to either of them.
Yes, Curry is known for his scoring and less for the other aspects of his game. But to say he didn’t score and assist on his way to success isn’t accurate.
With the Carolina Hurricanes winning the Stanley Cup on Sunday, the sports books already have lines for who they think will lift Lord Stanley in 2027.
The Colorado Avalanche, who were swept by the Vegas Golden Knights in the Western Conference Finals come in at +750 while the Hurricanes are looking to repeat at +750.
The Golden Knights round out the top three, coming in at +1000.
DENVER, COLORADO - MAY 19: Minnesota Timberwolves assistant coach Micah Nori reacts during the second quarter against the Denver Nuggets in Game Seven of the Western Conference Second Round Playoffs at Ball Arena on May 19, 2024 in Denver, Colorado. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by C. Morgan Engel/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The offseason is officially upon us and the Dallas Mavericks have both a coaching hire and two draft picks to think about in the near term. Regarding the former, it is now being reported that no fewer than five candidates are known to be on the Mavericks’ radar. Those names include Micah Nori, Royal Ivey, Jama Mahlalela, Tony Dobbins and Terry Stotts.
The known head coach candidates for the Dallas Mavericks consist of “Nori, Houston's Royal Ivey, Toronto's Jama Mahlalela, Boston's Tony Dobbins and former Hawks, Bucks and Blazers head coach Terry Stotts,” per @TheSteinLine
The following is a high-level overview of each candidate and their coaching resume.
Micah Nori – Minnesota Timberwolves
The 52-year old Nori has been an assistant coaching fixture in the NBA for 17 straight seasons. He spent his first four with the Toronto Raptors, followed by two with the Sacramento Kings, three with the Denver Nuggets, three with the Detroit Pistons and the prior five years with the Minnesota Timberwolves.
His time spent in Toronto is of particular note, as it was there he assisted under head coaches Jay Triano and Dwane Casey. Ironically, the former is a current assistant coach for the Mavs (though that may be short lived after the departure of Jason Kidd) and the latter was an assistant for Dallas when the Mavs won the championship in 2011. More relevant however, is Nori’s brief bit of time crossing over with Masai Ujiri when the current Mavs’ President was the assistant GM in Toronto. Mavs’ fans are familiar with Nori from their 2024 Playoffs matchup with the Minnesota Timberwolves. During that series, Nori worked the sideline as a de facto head coach for the Timberwolves while Chris Finch sat second row as he recovered from a knee injury.
Simply put, Nori has been around the block and worked with some of the best coaches and best players in the game today, making his candidacy highly plausible.
Royal Ivey – Houston Rockets
Ivey, at age 44, has accumulated a solid 10-year assistant coaching career of his own, following a 10-year playing career in the NBA. He spent two years with the Oklahoma City Thunder, then two with the New York Knicks, followed by three with the Brooklyn Nets and three with the Houston Rockets.
Ivey was born in New York, but has ties to Texas by way of his collegiate playing days at the University of Texas at Austin. Something of a journeyman in his NBA playing days, Ivey quickly transitioned to a coaching career where he has been ever since. Beyond assistant coaching in the NBA, Ivey served as head coach of the South Sudan national team, eventually coaching the team in its first-ever Olympic berth in 2024.
Ivey may not be getting quite as much attention as someone like Nori, but he brings his own unique experiences from his time both at home and abroad.
Jama Mahlalela – Toronto Raptors
Aside from a two-year stint as an assistant coach with the Golden State Warriors from 2021-2023, the 46-year old has spent significant time with the Toronto Raptors. His tenure began back in 2006 as part of the community development team and then served as Director of Basketball Operations for NBA Asia. Beginning in 2013 and for five-straight years, Mahlalela was back serving as an assistant coach in the North, then took on the head coaching reigns for the Raptors’ G-League affiliate. From there, it was another year as an assistant with the Raptors, then the aforementioned Warriors stint, then a return to the Raptors for the past three years.
Although he was technically uninvolved with the Raptors during their 2019 championship run, as he was concerned with his head coaching duties with the G-League team, he did net himself a more direct championship in his short run with the Warriors as an assistant in 2022. He brings a unique resume with his time spent in Hong Kong running NBA Asia overseeing clinics and other developmental programs.
Mahlalela has a diverse background and is certainly very familiar with Ujiri from their overlapping time in Toronto, making him another candidate with direct ties to the current Mavs’ regime.
Tony Dobbins – Boston Celtics
The 44-year old Dobbins has the least extensive coaching resume of the group, having been an assistant coach with the Boston Celtics for the past six years.
Dobbins went undrafted in the 2004 NBA Draft, but nonetheless had himself a playing career in both the G-League and overseas until 2017. Beginning in 2020, he kicked off his coaching career as an assistant with the Celtics, where he has been ever since. His championship ring came at the expense of the Mavericks in 2024 giving him some hardware like others on this list.
Dobbins arguably has less than the others in terms of experience, yet has been part of a highly regarded franchise and got himself a ring in relatively short order.
Terry Stotts – Golden State Warriors
We previously covered Stotts in a standalone article earlier this month, so we’ll avoid a redundancy here. Suffice it to say, Stotts is a basketball lifer with strong connections to the Mavericks’ 2011 championship team. He was an assistant coach under Rick Carlisle at the time, before moving on to become head coach for the Portland Trailblazers for nine seasons.
I invite you to follow me @_80MPH on X, and check back often at Mavs Moneyball for all the latest on the Dallas Mavericks.
The Philadelphia Flyers are not exactly widely expected to do what they did last season again in the upcoming season.
With a late-season surge after the 2026 Winter Olympics, the Flyers carried an electric run of form into the Stanley Cup playoff spot, clinching a berth in Game 81 and then eliminating the rival Pittsburgh Penguins in six games.
The eventual Stanley Cup champion Carolina Hurricanes put a commanding halt to that with a sweep of the Flyers in the second round, and that was the end of it.
Although those Flyers put up about as good a fight as you can in a series sweep, especially against a suffocating team like the Hurricanes, they have done little to improve their odds at a Stanley Cup of their own.
Now that the Hurricanes are officially Stanley Cup champions, BetMGM released its early odds for the 2027 Stanley Cup winner, placing the Flyers 17th overall at +5000.
At those odds, the Flyers are tied with the likes of the Columbus Blue Jackets and Washington Capitals, both of whom missed the playoffs and play in the same division.
Ahead of the Flyers are teams such as the New Jersey Devils (missed), the Utah Mammoth (Round 1 exit), the Anaheim Ducks, the Los Angeles Kings (swept by Colorado) and, somehow, the Ottawa Senators (swept by Carolina).
Admittedly, it is strange that the Mammoth, (+3000), Kings (+3500), and Senators (+1800) all have significantly better odds than the Flyers, who at least won a playoff round, even if it was against the Penguins.
The Senators, who lost to the same playoff opponent as the Flyers, showed nothing in their four games to justify such a massive gap between the two teams.
Out West, the Mammoth are probably about equal to the Flyers, and the Kings are annual pretenders, not contenders. At least the Flyers have some upward momentum.
With a strong showing at the 2026 NHL Draft and in free agency, the Flyers can easily position themselves to make such mediocre odds look short-sighted.
ST LOUIS, MISSOURI - MAY 30: Kyle Leahy #62 of the St. Louis Cardinals looks on during a game against the Chicago Cubs at Busch Stadium on May 30, 2026 in St Louis, Missouri. (Photo by Joe Puetz/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Cardinals President of Baseball Operations Chaim Bloom has been much more aggressive over the last couple of weeks in churning through young players on the roster than was originally expected. Victor Scott II, Nolan Gorman, and Yohel Pozo are currently in AAA Memphis, and Catcher Pedro Pages has been relegated to backup as Chaim Bloom has shown a greater willingness to shake things up as of late. Platoon thumper Nelson Velazquez, Lefty Catcher Jimmy Crooks, and corner infielder Blaze Jordan have overtaken the spots on the roster and have made a notable improvement in offensive output since.
The potential for churn and change could be on the horizon for the pitching staff, as both Kyle Leahy and Matthew Liberatore are not flourishing in their current roles, and the bullpen could benefit from some additional proven firepower to elevate it to the next level. Both Leahy and Liberatore were accomplished relievers before becoming starters over the last 2 seasons.
The thing that made Kyle Leahy so successful last season in his multi-inning reliever role was the shorter bursts allowed his stuff to play up and allow him to leverage the very best performing pitches in his arsenal. Having to throttle some of his stuff down to last longer in the game, which he isn’t particularly doing anyway, takes away from that and is proving to make him a below-average starter. I would argue for two elements. 1. It was a good idea to test their internal hypothesis that Leahy could be a big league starter. The value of his doing so would be a long-term benefit to the organization if it were successful. 2. It’s clear that it’s not the correct role for his capabilities, and he still has the capacity and opportunity to positively impact this roster with a shift back to the bullpen and jettisoning the ever-unlucky or ineffective Chris Roycroft from the 40-man.
The other part to this, and the more unfortunate, appears to be that the first half of last season was the aberration in Liberatore’s production, and the 2nd half of Libby was more of the real thing. Dating back to July 5th of 2025, Matthew Liberatore has pitched 130 IP and posted a 4.85 ERA and a 5.21 FIP. Liberatore has recently seen an uptick in strikeout rate, and perhaps taking that element to the pen would afford the Cardinals an additional weapon from the left side and prevent overexposure for Justin Bruihl, who performs effectively in lower leverage opportunities.
So, who takes their place?
Naturally, Hunter Dobbins would be the first name to step in for Kyle Leahy, and we’ve seen Dobbins have the ability to get into a groove and can provide the Cardinals with more length and the ability to provide production from a starter’s workload.
The other replacement? Cardinals 2024 MiLB Pitcher of the Year Quinn Matthews. It’s been a struggle for Quinn as he has taken a little longer than expected to adjust to the big league baseball in AAA, and he also dealt with a shoulder issue last season that delayed his development. Much like in 2025, Matthews struggled with his command but has seemed to figure something out in his last 2 starts. 2-0 12 IP, 0 ER, 15K’s, 2 BB’s. Remember how I recommended removing Roycroft from the 40-man roster earlier? It would be to add Matthews to it.
Adding both Dobbins and Matthews to the starting rotation would benefit the short and long term. Right in the Chaim Bloom wheelhouse. Moving Leahy and Liberatore to the bullpen while both have 4 years of control remaining benefits both the short and long term of the organization… You know where I’m going with this. The Cardinals have shown a willingness to make aggressive improvements with both the short and long term in mind, and it is yet to be seen if they will follow suit on the pitching side of things. The options are presenting themselves. The roles appear to be clear-cut as to how you maneuver the 40-man, but who would be the odd man out in the bullpen after Roycroft is unclear. I’m sure most of you would make the argument that it would be just removing Bruihl, and I wouldnt give that much push back on that, but I’m not sure how the Cardinals would feel about exposing Bruihl to waivers. I suppose we can chalk that up to the ol’ TBD on that front, but it will be something to keep an eye on moving forward.
(Stats via Baseball Savant, Prospect Savant, and FanGraphs)
The Detroit Tigers took the series opener against the Houston Astros, 9-3, at Daikin Park on Monday night in a game that saw AJ Hinch’s team strike out 18 times but still nearly put up double-digit runs. Only one of those Ks belonged to Colt Keith, who homered in his other three at-bats and racked up six RBIs to power the good guys to the win.
Taking the mound on Tuesday for the Tigers is left-hander Framber Valdez, who will face his former team for the first time ever. The 32-year-old has alternated good and bad starts over his last six outings, with his most recent one being of the latter variety, surrendering four runs on six hits (two home runs) and two walks while striking out two over five frames to take the loss in a 6-4 final against the Minnesota Twins.
For the Astros, right-hander Hunter Brown will return from the injured list, where he has been shelved since the end of March after making just two starts. However, before going down with a Grade 2 right shoulder strain, the 27-year-old had looked sharp, albeit in a small sample size.
Brown last faced Detroit in last year’s American League Wildcard Game, in which he tossed 5 2/3 innings of one-run ball, surrendering a pair of hits (including a solo home run) and two walks while striking out nine in a game that the Tigers ultimately prevailed in, 5-2.
Here is a look at how the two match up on Tuesday night.
Detroit Tigers (30-42) vs. Houston Astros (33-41)
Time (ET): 8:10 p.m. Place: Daikin Park, Houston, Texas SB Nation Site:The Crawfish Boxes Media: Detroit SportsNet, MLB.TV, Tigers Radio Network
Game 74: LHP Framber Valdez (3-5, 4.40 ERA) vs. RHP Hunter Brown (1-0, 0.84 ERA)
BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - JUNE 09: Manager Craig Albernaz #55 of the Baltimore Orioles watches the game in the second inning against the Seattle Mariners at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on June 09, 2026 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Greg Fiume/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Good morning, Camden Chatters.
If you’re looking to unplug from the Orioles for a while, you’ve got an easy excuse for the next week and a half. The Orioles are off to the West Coast, where six of their next nine games will start at 9:40 PM EST or later. That’s a lot of late, late nights for us viewers in the eastern time zone, and the Orioles haven’t exactly shown that they’re worth giving up sleep for.
This nine-game road trip is the Orioles’ longest since August 2024. It’s also the first time in two years that the O’s will play three different opponents on one trip. And two of those foes are first-place teams, one more daunting than the other. Starting tonight the O’s have a rematch against the 37-36 Mariners, who lead the AL West, after splitting a four-game series in Baltimore last week. Then the Birds will head to Los Angeles to take on the two-time defending champion Dodgers, who are running away with the AL West with a 45-27 record. The only sub-.500 team the O’s will play on this trip is the last-place Angels next Monday through Wednesday.
The Orioles, at five games under .500, are hanging on to the fringes of the weak AL Wild Card race, but they’re going to need to make a push sooner than later. Their losing homestand against the M’s and Padres didn’t exactly inspire confidence that they’re about to rattle off an extended winning streak, and now they’re heading to the other side of the country for their longest road trip in years against some tough opponents. It’s not ideal.
If the O’s can tread water with a 4-5 record or so on this road trip, I guess that would help them survive a while longer, even if it won’t push them any closer in the postseason race. At least that would beat the worst-case scenario of three series losses (or sweeps), which could be the nail in the coffin for the Orioles’ hopes of contention.
Come on, Orioles. On behalf of the sickos who will be staying up to an ungodly hour watching you play, don’t make us witness the death knell of your 2026 season. Let’s make this West Coast trip memorable — or at least slightly tolerable.
No real surprise here, as no Oriole is the best player in the AL at his position, and most aren’t particularly close. Which is kind of why they’re in this mess.
O’Neill’s contract, and a lack of viable outfielders in the O’s minors, will give him plenty of leash. But I’m gonna need to see more than a 7-for-20 stretch before I believe that he’s “turning the corner.”
Marinaccio is appealing his suspension for throwing at Gunnar Henderson on Saturday. No truth to the rumor that he’ll be calling Craig Albernaz to speak in his defense.
Orioles birthdays and history
Is today your birthday? Happy birthday! Three former Orioles were born on this day, including lefty Joe Saunders (45), whose improbable Wild Card Game win over Yu Darvish and the Rangers in 2012 is the stuff of Birdland legend. Enjoy your day, Joe. Other ex-Orioles with June 16 birthdays are infielder Chris Gomez (55) and the late right-hander Ernie Johnson (b. 1924, d. 2011).
On this date in 2015, the Orioles set a franchise record by hitting eight home runs, powering a 19-3 shellacking of the Phillies at Camden Yards. Right fielder Chris Parmelee mashed two dingers in his Orioles debut, and Manny Machado added a pair, while Jimmy Paredes, Chris Davis, David Lough, and Ryan Flaherty each hit one. Phillies reliever Dustin McGowan coughed up five of those homers and never pitched for the team again.
Random Orioles game of the day
On June 16, 1983, the Orioles lost a walkoff to the Brewers in 11 innings, 2-1, at County Stadium in Milwaukee. This one was a heartbreaker for O’s starter Scott McGregor, who carried a 1-0 lead into the bottom of the ninth and retired the first two batters, putting him one out away from a shutout win. But Cecil Cooper kept the Brewers alive with a double and Ted Simmons singled him home to tie the score.
McGregor ended up pitching 10 innings with just that one run of damage, but reliever Tim Stoddard surrendered a walkoff homer to Rick Manning in the 11th. Meanwhile, the O’s offense squandered plenty of scoring opportunities, scoring just one run on 10 hits. They went 0-for-13 with runners in scoring position and stranded 13 runners on base.
No biggie. That season turned out pretty well for the Orioles anyway.
TORONTO, CANADA - JUNE 9: Bryce Harper #3 of the Philadelphia Phillies looks on against the Toronto Blue Jays during the sixth inning in their MLB game at the Rogers Centre on June 9, 2026 in Toronto, Canada. (Photo by Mark Blinch/Getty Images) | Getty Images
NEW YORK, NY - JUNE 10: Victor Wembanyama #1 and Julian Champagnie #30 of the San Antonio Spurs talk during the game against the New York Knicks during Game Four of the 2026 NBA Finals on June 10, 2026 at Madison Square Garden in New York, New York. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE(Photo by Jesse D. Garrabrant/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images
Just two days after a heartbreaking ending to their 2025-2026 campaign, Victor Wembanyama and Julian Champagnie visited Methodist Children’s Hospital. They brought smiles and lifted the spirits of several young patients.
Victor Wembanyama and Julian Champagnie seen spending time with San Antonio kids in the hospital after their Finals loss ❤️ pic.twitter.com/wKq59V4rqe
Wembanyama, who has broken records and exceeded expectations all season, had comparisons to the greatest all-time players at each turn.
Julian Champagnie also set Spurs franchises records for three-pointers in a single game (11), in a season (195) and in the postseason (61).
While the duo were bringing smiles, they also handed out some Spurs shirts and collectibles.
Known for their community outreach, the Spurs are no strangers to making appearances, especially to those experiencing hardships. It’s a wonderful opportunity to bond with fans and spread some joy.
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INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA - APRIL 06: Braylon Mullins #24 of the UConn Huskies battles with Morez Johnson Jr. #21 of the Michigan Wolverines for control of the ball in the National Championship of the 2026 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament at Lucas Oil Stadium on April 06, 2026 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Tanner Pearson/NCAA Photos via Getty Images) | NCAA Photos via Getty Images
Since posting the YODA Big Board, the number one question I’ve gotten is about the somewhat unorthodox ranking of University of Michigan big guys — Yaxel Lendeborg, Aday Mara, and Morez Johnson Jr.
Below are there ranks according to Ye Olde Draft Analyzer (YODA), my stat-based draft analysis tool, and the Rookie Scale Consensus Mock Draft:
YODA
CONSENSUS
PLAYER
10
16
Morez Johnson
14
12
Yaxel Lendeborg
32
9
Aday Mara
Why the disconnect?
To answer that question, let’s back up and look at how YODA works. As previously written, YODA is calculated using box score stats, objective measures of physical tools from the draft combine, as objective as I could find (or develop) measures of level of competition, expected NBA position, and age. All that information roils around in the spreadsheet and spits out a single score for each prospect.
Michigan big man Morez Johnson skies for a block.
Deciding on a future position is the least objective part of the process — it definitely involves some art. For example, a coach might consider a player a forward in his program even if the player doesn’t have the shooting, ball handling or playmaking necessary to play that position in the NBA. If a guy can’t make threes — or doesn’t even take them, he’s going to have to play center in the NBA, even if he’s skinny as a rake or 6-6.
Flip side of the coin, a 6-6, 250 pound collegiate “center” probably won’t succeed in the middle at the NBA unless he has extreme physical tools (long arms, outlandish leaping or agility) or has previously unrevealed skills like the ability to knock down threes consistently.
Anyway, In terms of raw statistical production, Lendeborg comes out on top. By a little. If we say Lendeborg’s stats rate a 10, Johnson’s are worth a bit over 9, and Mara’s right about 9. All of them put up impressive numbers consistent with players who successfully transition to the NBA.
Johnson and Mara rebounded a bit better. Lendeborg shot well (with three-point range) and did more playmaking (though Mara’s assists were excellent for a center), and all three showed strength as defensive playmakers — Lendeborg and Johnson with steals and blocks; Mara with 4.4 blocks per 40 minutes. All things being equal, Lendeborg’s production score was slightly more impressive than the other two.
But all things are not equal. I mean, level of competition is exactly equal for these three, but trying to determine who’s going to have the best NBA career involves a few more steps.
Age matters. When it comes to the NBA Draft, younger is better. Player peak and career trajectory research indicates that players typically make their biggest leaps in their early 20s, peak around 26-27 and then more or less maintain into their early 30s. At which point, most players get worse or get injured — or both.
In arguing against age restrictions to enter the NBA Draft, former Dallas Mavericks owner Mark Cuban once said he wanted the option to pick high school players. He said he’d rather have players develop in his organization with professional coaches than on a college campus.
In terms of age, Johnson has the advantage (he’s 20), followed by Mara (21), and Lendeborg (23). Lendeborg is on the old side for a top NBA prospect. That’s not to say he won’t succeed (or even have a long career) — plenty of players have started their NBA careers as old or older and gone on to great things. Some have started late and had long careers.
But YODA (and eyeball scouts) has to consider the norm. And the norm is that 23-year-olds don’t make Big Jumps in production the way a 20-year-old would.
That 23-year-old can and will get better. But, on average, he has less room to get better because he’s already had more time to develop — physically, skills, experience, etc. And it comes into play when assessing statistical production. Did he post the great numbers because he’s a great player or because he’s 2-4 years older than most of his competitors?
Lendeborg was slightly more productive overall than his younger teammates. That age difference closes the gap. Basically, YODA is less impressed by Lendeborg’s production than it would be if a 20-year-old put up the exact same numbers against the exact same competition.
In predicting who will make the best NBA player, physical tools matter as well. They’re not everything, but they do make a difference.
Mara is massive, measuring 7-3 in socks with a 7-6 wingspan at the combine. Johnson measured 6-9, but with a 7.3.5 wingspan — just 2.5 inches shorter than Mara’s. Lendeborg was shortest (6-8.75), though he also had a wingspan above 7-3.
The way this ends up in YODA is that Mara’s and Lendeborg’s scores get bumps for size (Lendeborg helped a bit by my estimation that he’ll play more forward in the NBA than center), while Johnson gets neither bump nor ding. He’s basically right in the normal range for an NBA big.
Agility and leaping ability are important attributes, and at the combine Johnson established a clear advantage. He scored well enough to get bumps in both categories. Mara got dings in both — he was slow and ground-bound. Lendeborg was in the normal range for a forward on agility but got dinged for subpar vertical measures.
So, the way things look to YODA, the three Michigan big guys have comparable overall statistical production against equally challenging competition. Johnson gets the higher scorer because he’s younger and has better physical tools. Lendeborg is next because of his positional versatility. Mara brings up the rear (and rates as a late first or early second in most draft classes) because while he’s huge and was productive in college, he was slow and jumped poorly as compared to other center prospects.
Predicting who will be the better NBA player is not strictly about who was the best college player. Those other factors have to be considered. And in the case of the Michigan bigs, the YODA system has somewhat different predictions than others.
INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA - APRIL 04: Keaton Wagler #23 of the Illinois Fighting Illini shoots the ball against the UConn Huskies during the second half in the Final Four of the 2026 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament at Lucas Oil Stadium on April 04, 2026 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Should the Hawks keep their eighth overall pick, they’ll have an opportunity to draft one of a handful of ‘second tier’ prospects in one of the most hyped draft classes in a long time.
Today, we’ll be taking a look at Keaton Wagler, a 19-year-old 6-foot-5 guard from Illinois that has rocketed into the lottery discussion over the past 12 months in the very strong 2026 NBA Draft. In his lone college season, he averaged 17.9 points, 4.2 assists, and 5.1 rebounds per game while shooting 45% from the field, 40% from three, and 80% from the free throw line.
Wagler is a silky ball handler and a savvy pick-and-roll operator, but he comes with questions about his high-end athleticism, off-ball engagement, and fit in an NBA team defense. Let’s dive into the good and bad in a player the Hawks could still see on the board after the first seven picks.
Offense
Keaton Wagler isn’t a point guard by trade, but he operated on the ball as the focal point of the Illinois offense due to his offensive gifts. Like a lot of right-handed players, he prefers to go left to get to his shots. Still, he’s a steady operator on the ball who can comfortably change pace like a point guard — whether pushing in transition or resetting the action in halfcourt sets.
Although his first step isn’t overly explosive, he can self-create at an NBA-level already with an array of hesitation dribbles, crossover and step backs pull up jumpers. He does well to get skinny dribbling in traffic and is great at keeping his dribble alive even when pressured. He shot 40% from three on 5.9 attempts per game, and with his smooth shooting mechanics and deep range, that mark was no fluke:
When he gets all the way to the rim, he’s skillful finisher with either hand — although his 58% scoring efficiency at the rim could stand to improve. Still, the frequency with which he gets to the rim off the dribble is among the best in the class, and with some added bulk on his frame, one can imagine his conversion rate on those attempts will increase:
Additionally, he’ll step into the league as an advanced catch-and-shoot artist already with the ability to find gaps in the defense around the arc.
But one area of improvement going forward will be his efficiency from floater range, especially considering the trees that exist on NBA teams at the next level. He doesn’t look comfortable lofting balls higher when shooting from just outside the restricted area, and per databallr, he shot below 50% from between three and seven feet from the rim.
Other than that, his Illinois shot profile is readymade for 2020s basketball — very little mid-range fat and a heavy dose of rim (35% of shot attempts within five feet) and three (48% of shot attempts). He also sported a healthy .476 free throw rate in his one-and-done season with the Illini. These factors, plus of course being an elite shot-maker, helped him manage a 60% true shooting percentage in his one-and-done season.
Wagler isn’t a transcendent passer or anything, but he sees the floor well and typically makes the correct pass when needed. Last season, he averaged 7.6 assists per 100 possessions against just 3.2 turnovers per 100 possessions — a healthy 2.4:1 ratio. He should settle into being a secondary playmaker at the next level with some upside on a team with a primary creator already in place.
Handling ball pressure is a big asset for Wagler, and you rarely see silly turnovers or misreads when doubles come his direction. His pick-and-roll game is advanced with the ability to hit bigs with pocket passes or spray passes to the corner if defenses over-help. But his biggest asset is the ability to find space for his step back three-point, and his reading of screen coverages combined with his shooting off the dribble will create real gravity to open up his teammates.
I do worry about his tunnel vision when driving into the lane. He’s not a very good passer out of drives or from under the rim at the moment, and that combined with his issues finishing through traffic could spell trouble initially at the next level:
Still, the overall offensive package is worthy of him going top 5 in my humble opinion. He’s a player that blends scoring, relocation for kickout threes, and playmaking in an enticing package for scouts and bloggers alike.
Defense
Wagler measured 6’5” without shoes at the NBA Combine with just a 6’6.25” wingspan underlining his average-at-best measurables. There has been a lot of handwringing about his lack of physicality and explosion — and these are real concerns — but he did register a 36-inch max vertical, 11.05-second lane agility run, and 3.00-second shuttle run which were all strong marks for guards of his general stature.
At the moment, he’s not quick enough to guard NBA point guards and he’s not strong enough to switch and credibly guard bigger NBA athletes. But in time, and with a concerted effort in his strength and conditioning program to fill out his slight frame, he could be a positive player on this end even if not a high-level one.
Defensively, his lack of strength is serious issue at the moment. He’s often bullied when defending drives more often than you’d like to see from a wing defender:
But he can sometimes use his wiry 188-pound frame to cause disruption despite low steals numbers. He processes plays on the defensive end rather well and is typically in the right position to make plays.
He manages to affect some shots both when closing out on the perimeter and even sometimes in rim protection duty (0.7 blocks per 100 possessions). I think he’ll eventually be a solid enough team defender with enough awareness to rotate and help when needed. But at the moment, he’s fairly prone to lapses on this end.
The upper body frailty shows up when navigating screens as well. He’ll have to get a lot stronger so as to not get walled off by basic on-ball screens.
The defensive motor can run a bit hot and cold, especially when defending off the ball, so keeping him engaged possession after possession will be a focus for his next coaching staff. But there have never been any red flags over his work ethic or competitiveness. I do believe he’ll work his way into being a team defender that doesn’t get picked on in time.
Wagler was a high usage player on team that stormed into the final four, playing in all 37 games and averaging 34 minutes per contest. I think this heavy workload sapped his ability to make plays on the defensive end, especially for a player who isn’t fully physically mature.
Ultimately, he’s not a particularly impactful or versatile defender coming into the league — one who will likely be assigned to the weakest opposing perimeter player. But there is a development path there for him to turn some heads defensively down the road.
Possible fit on the Hawks
I won’t mince words: if Wagler is sitting there available when the Hawks draft at 8, in my mind he’ll be the best player available — barring something crazy happening. He won’t go top 4, and there’s a chance all of the Clippers, Nets, and Kings all pass on him for high players on their respective boards, but I believe Wagler’s upside is as high as anyone’s in this draft not named Boozer, Dybantsa, Peterson or Wilson.
I try not to get too caught up in player comparisons, but he is in a similar mold to CJ McCollum — a two-guard with the on-ball creative skills to be an efficient 20-plus per-game scorer in the NBA. But his size and playmaking both have projectable potential beyond that of the veteran who buoyed the Hawks down the stretch of last season.
Although the Knicks’ title run has made the first-round series against them seem less disastrous, Atlanta could still use more ball handling and pull up shooting. Wagler would be a great fit in the backcourt with Dyson Daniels, who is obviously more pass-first and much more defensive-minded in that duo.
In total, among the ‘next tier’ of guys including Mikel Brown Jr., Aday Mara, and Kingston Flemings, Wagler’s skillful package on offense gives him the edge on my big board.
