Player review: Luis Arráez

Jun 12, 2026; San Francisco, California, USA; San Francisco Giants second baseman Luis Arraez (1) gestures after he is called out at first base during the sixth inning against against the Chicago Cubs at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: John Hefti-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

2026 stats: .324/ .360/ .440, 121 wRC+, 10 FRV, 3.8 fWARover105 G, 464 PA w/Giants.

Luis Arráez was arguably the best thing about the San Francisco Giants 2026 season. The best because it was so unexpected. The best because there are so few good options to choose from.

Luis Arráez’s freakish bat-to-ball skills in an era of swing-and-miss offense has set him apart from his peers, giving him a certain sheen that some teams can’t resist. We’ve known his name since he emerged his rookie year in 2019 because he’s different. He’s been elected to four All-Star teams in the past five years because isn’t that how you treat players who hit pitches without fail?

The point of baseball is to hit the baseball. As much as that essential truth has been flat-out refuted and refused by slug-hungry analysts, it’s hard to get around the fact that hitters need to hit. It’s right there in the name. Arráez is a hitter. Thanks to this unique skillset became a continent-traversing hired gun. An outsider. A man from a different era, maintaining his relevancy because a high-average, zero-power hitter has always been relevant. The Twins traded him to Miami in January of 2023. The Marlins traded him to San Diego in May of 2024. Two leagues, three coasts (if we count lakes), three different time-zones, and three batting titles. Each move he’s flown first class with his bat swaddled in the seat next to him. But tossed unceremoniously in with the other luggage, stuffed in the plane’s cargo hold like a dark secret — Arráez’s glove.     

Going into the 2026 season, Arráez had a career -54 Fielding Run Value. His best defensive season according to that metric (excluding the shortened 2020 season) was the 2021 season with the Twins when he logged more innings at third than second and patrolled left field for more than 100 innings. Across those three positions he accrued a -4 Run Value. The year he won his first batting title in 2022 his FRV dropped to -5.

In Miami, primarily at second base, his FRV fell to an untenable -11. He only hit 10 homers. Two numbers that aren’t directly related, but illustrative. Generally if you allow runs because of your glove, it’s nice to balance things out by scoring runs with your bat. That’s not Arráez. 2024 was split between Miami and San Diego, second base and first, and again he posted a dismal -11 FRV. He knocked just four dingers.

San Diego kept Arráez tethered to first base in 2025 and even with him tucked in the corner, he once again accrued a -11 FRV while hitting just 8 homers. He also fell off the batting average pedestal for the first time since 2021. The fall wasn’t far. His .292 average ranked fourth in the league, but slipping below .300 number is never a good look for a supposed batting champion. His 104  wRC+ in 2025, essentially league average, was the lowest of his career, as was his 0.9 fWAR. 

The timing was awful considering the well-traveled Arráez was entering into free agency for the first time. He had just posted a -33 FRV in three years. He couldn’t play the field. He couldn’t hit for power. He was too good at making contact to walk. On top of that his bat appeared to be splintering.  No wonder he sat on the shelf for most of the winter. Even Buster Posey, with his old-school love of batting average and low-K rates, seemed reluctant to dig this can of lima beans from the pantry. But by the end of January, options for filling the perceived hole at second base were limited. Arráez was certainly not the second base solution fans envisioned. Brady put words to what many of us were feeling when the news broke of the one-year, $12 million deal. 

Posey took a swing. A swing he really didn’t have to make. A swing better described as a lunge, a reflexive hack at a pitch in the dirt — but not only did he make contact, the baseball found a hole.

Luis Arráez was unexpectedly good in 2026. Good measured against himself, and good measured against his adjacent peers. While the rest of the Giants’ lineup taxied on the runway at the start of the season, Arráez took off. His monthly splits climbed from .324 in April, to .340 in May, to .354 in June. Similarly his slugging skipped skyward as well, from .394 to .490 to .536.   

By the end of June, Luis Arráez led the team with a .331 batting average, 15 points above Jung Hoo Lee. His .836 OPS was second to Bryce Eldridge’s .841, and 30 points above breakout star Casey Schmitt, as well as 75 points, 100 points higher than club core of Rafael Devers, Willy Adames and Heliot Ramos and Matt Chapman.

His plate appearances became a drink of cool water for parched fans. Posey was right — it was fun to see basehits. But it wasn’t just the dinks and doinks, it was the expressiveness of his at-bats. An Arráez plate appearance was a sensory experience from start to finish. Hitting was a dance with the pitcher, the opposite of Buster ball with his khaki stoicism. He’d often take a first pitch without breaking eye-contact with the pitcher. Sometimes he’d taunt a ball he knew was off the plate, guiding it into the catcher’s glove before doing a  little tango step and shoulder-shimmy in the box. His bat was a conductor’s baton, a shovel, a rapier. He parried away pitches, yipped at foul balls, bat-flipped singles. He invited two-strike counts, batting a MLB-leading .299 with his back against the wall while striking out just 8.8% of the time. The next lowest K-percentage in two-strike counts was Nico Hoerner’s 18.5%. Willy Adames saw a third strike nearly 50% of the time. 2026 was the fifth time in his career that his walk rate was higher than his strikeout rate. His 20 at-bats-per-strikeout was the third highest rate for a Giant in the San Francisco era (min. 300 PA). 

Despite leaving at the trade deadline, two months prior to the end of the season, Arráez ended the year leading all Giants players with a 3.8 fWAR.

That 3.8 mark is the best of his career because this season was by far his best all-around year. The aforementioned offensive numbers weren’t surprising. His bat improved from 2025, but it didn’t come out of the blue. What did feel like it was conjured up from nothing was his performance on defense.

Arráez completely transformed himself as a member of the Giants’ infield. His -11 Fielding Run Value in 2025 was nearly flipped perfectly on its head to +10 FRV. A 21 run swing that put him in the 91st percentile of the league. His 12 outs above average was fifth most among all second basemen.

These results border on the miraculous. Water into wine type stuff, and watching Arráez out at second base felt a bit like a party. He didn’t play like a reprogrammed fielding robot. He played with flair and lightness, born again. He picked short hops with attitude and exaggerated underhand feeds with a whole-body lunge. He relished throwing off one foot, on the run, contorting his body to look like a Baroque sculpture as he discovered new ways to deliver the ball to first. Fielding coach Ron Washington, hired a couple months prior to Arráez, was the miracle worker, the one to touch the infielders clumsy oven-mitt hands and make them soft. But it wasn’t just a physical change, but a mental and spiritual one as well. Washington had Arráez out on the field in Scottsdale, morning dew still clinging to the grass, peppering him with grounders, and he had him laid out on the couch as well, delving into his subconscious, his anxieties and fears in order to reclaim second base as a field to roam, to frolic, to literally play in. Matisse said he spent his entire career trying to relearn how to draw like a child. Maybe that’s what Arráez did in the 2026 season. He rediscovered the joy.  

Though he fell short of a fourth batting title (.310, 2nd in NL to Gabriel Moreno’s .311) and a career first Gold Glove nomination, Arráez’s 2026 was one to remember. A year to hang a bat, hat, and glove on. He played so well that he played himself out of the orange-and-black uniform, which is maybe not the ideal situation, but a pretty good one considering the initial risk taken.

So let’s give credit where credit is due. Posey got this one right. The problem became that a lot of the other things went wrong. Adames never figured out his offense or defense. Chapman hobbled around the diamond for a little bit before going completely AWOL. Devers launched into the stratosphere pretty much the moment Arráez shipped off to Philadelphia. The four of them seemed to enjoy making faces across the infield while whipping the baseball at each other, but they never could coordinate how to turn their wheels in the same direction at the same time. A shame, for a number of reasons — one of them being that we didn’t get to watch Luis Arráez play baseball the last two months of the season.

Cameron Carr gets a kernel of Lakers rookie treatment

The Lakers have started the season 2-0 for the first time since the 2010-11 season.

With everyone in such high spirits to kick off the new campaign, the Lakers took the opportunity to prank rookie Cameron Carr ahead of Saturday’s practice. Carr found his car full of popcorn, which spewed out as he opened the door.

Lakers rookie Cameron Carr was pranked by his teammates. X/@Lakers

“Who’s idea was this?” Carr said through a smile.

Lakers teammates gathered around Carr’s vehicle and began to taste the popcorn.

“Bro the popcorn’s good though,” Carr added.

“You better clean that,” Luka Doncic told the rookie.

Popcorn spewed out of Cameron Carr’s vehicle. X/@Lakers
The Lakers selected Carr as the 24th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft. NBAE via Getty Images

The Lakers selected Carr as the 24th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft. His growth and development with the Lakers is pivotal for the team’s success.

Carr has yet to make his NBA debut as he is dealing with a right oblique strain and has been sidelined for the Lakers’ first two games of the season against the Warriors and Clippers. There’s a chance Carr could suit up for the Lakers’ matchup with the Jazz Sunday, but it’s not guaranteed.

The 2026-27 season is an important campaign for the Lakers as its officially the Doncic era, the first without LeBron James. Thus far, it appears the massive roster overhaul has paid off but the Lakers will have to contend in a loaded Western Conference to prove they are a force to be reckoned with.

Frelick and Pratt lift Brewers to 5-4 comeback win over Rays and 2-0 World Series lead

Frelick and Pratt lift Brewers to 5-4 comeback win over Rays and 2-0 World Series lead originally appeared on NBC Sports Bay Area

Sal Frelick tied the score with his first home run in three months, Cooper Pratt hit a go-ahead single in the seventh inning and the Milwaukee Brewers stunned the Tampa Bay Rays 5-4 on Saturday night for a 2-0 World Series lead by overcoming a four-run deficit for the second time in the postseason.

Tampa Bay, which won the AL pennant by forcing opponents into mistakes, committed one error, made two other misplays that could have been charged as errors and had a runner thrown out at the plate.

Down 4-0 in the first inning, Milwaukee rallied for its seventh comeback win of this postseason. The Brewers also rebounded from a 4-0 deficit to beat the Los Angeles Dodgers 6-4 in Game 4 of the NL Championship Series, completing a four-game sweep.

After losing Friday’s opener 3-2, the Rays burst ahead against rookie Logan Henderson but the Brewers started to claw back with two runs in the bottom half against Tampa Bay ace Drew Rasmussen.

David Hamilton cut the deficit to 4-3 with a run-scoring grounder in the fourth and Frelick capped a nine-pitch at-bat against Ian Seymour in the sixth by driving a fastball over the center-field fence.

Frelick had gone 103 plate appearances without a home run since his July 11 drive off Pittsburgh’s Braxton Ashcraft and had not gone deep against a lefty pitcher since opening day against Tyler Gilbert of the Chicago White Sox. Frelick sped around the bases in 18.72 seconds, half the time of some theatrical trots this postseason.

Screaming fans at the second game of Milwaukee’s first World Series since 1982 were fired up during the seventh-inning stretch, dancing to the “Beer Barrel Polka” played by Mike Schneider, an accordionist from Clinton, Wisconsin.

Brice Turang doubled against losing pitcher Tyler Wells on the second pitch of the bottom half, advanced on Garrett Mitchell’s flyout to right and scored when Pratt, a 22-year-old who debuted in June, looped a sinker from Kevin Kelly into short right field.

Abner Uribe pitched 1 1/3 hitless innings for the win.

Jonny DeLuca doubled off Aaron Ashby starting the ninth, then Victor Mesa Jr. struck out when he couldn’t check his swing. Pinch-hitter Ben Williamson’s groundout advanced the runner and Yandy Díaz struck out when he couldn’t check his swing on a full-count pitch.

Ashby has three saves in the postseason while not allowing a run.

Milwaukee won its seventh straight game, becoming the fifth team to twice overcome four-run deficits for victories in a single postseason and the first since Philadelphia in 2022.

Game 3 of the matchup between teams seeking their first title is Monday night at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida, where the Brewers last played in 2023.

Of the 57 previous teams to take 2-0 World Series leads, 46 claimed the championship.

Tampa Bay took a 4-2 lead in the highest-scoring Series first inning since 1993’s Game 4 as teams combined for seven hits, tying the most in an opening frame.

Still, Milwaukee improved to 13-0 in games started by Henderson, dating to his 2025 debut. He followed Jacob Misiorowski in the Brewers’ rotation, the first time teammates 24 or younger started the first two games of the Series since Cincinnati’s Gary Nolan and Ross Grimsley in 1972.

Henderson started on 11 days’ rest and struggled as the Rays fouled off 13 of 35 pitches in the first. He gave up four runs — three earned — in three innings.

Given an extra day of rest, Rasmussen allowed three runs and six hits over 3 2/3 innings in his shortest start since July 9.

Pratt made his fourth error of the postseason at shortstop, the Brewers’ ninth in 10 games, bouncing his throw past first baseman Jake Bauers on a leadoff grounder by Díaz. Chandler Simpson and Junior Caminero followed with RBI singles, and Liam Hicks hit a two-run homer.

Jackson Chourio and Bauers started the bottom half with singles and first baseman Jonathan Aranda allowed Contreras’ one-out foul pop to bounce out of his mitt near netting in front of the seats.

With Bauers running on a full-count pitch, Contreras bounced an RBI single to the left of second baseman Richie Palacios, who had taken a step toward the base. Mitchell’s two-out single cut the deficit to 4-2.

Hamilton hit an RBI grounder in the fourth that bounced under Aranda’s legs for an error.

Chourio threw out Hicks from left for the final out of the sixth when third base coach Brady Williams waved the slow-footed catcher to try to score from second on Mesa’s single.

Up next

Rays RHP Freddy Peralta, who became a two-time All-Star when he pitched for the Brewers from 2018-25, starts Game 3. He was the AL Championship Series MVP and is 2-0 with a 1.08 ERA in three postseason starts and one relief appearance. He will be opposed by Brewers LHP Robert Gasser, who allowed one run over nine innings in his first two postseason starts.

Nashville SC seal first MLS Supporters’ Shield with 2-0 win over CF Montreal

  • Surridge and Mukhtar fire Nashville to 2-0 victory

  • Nashville extend unbeaten streak to seven matches

  • Montreal teenager Keita impresses on MLS debut

Nashville SC scored twice in the second half to claim the Supporters’ Shield as the top team in MLS with a 2-0 win at CF Montreal on Saturday.

The win allowed Nashville (21-3-7, 70 points) to stretch their unbeaten streak to seven games (5-0-2).

Continue reading...

Flyers' Young Stars Keep Shining, But Leads Blown in Loss to Cutter Gauthier, Ducks

The Philadelphia Flyers jumped out to 2-0 and 3-2 leads thanks to Matvei Michkov, Porter Martone, and Tyson Foerster, but the team collectively fell asleep for the last half of the second period and first half of the third period, dooming them to a 5-4 loss at home ice and snapping a three-game win streak.

Michkov opened the scoring for the Flyers on a 5-on-3 power play, rifling a shot from the high slot through screens from Foerster and Martone, beating Ducks goalie Lukas Dostal cleanly from range.

To set up the 5-on-3, rookie defenseman Hunter McDonald drilled Ducks forward Sam Colangelo with an open-ice hit, which prompted tough guy A.J. Greer to chase the Flyers defenseman down and initiate a fight.

McDonald escaped the fracas with only a five-minute penalty for fighting, while Colangelo was tagged for roughing and Greer was whistled for instigating and instigating, earning a 10-minute misconduct in the process.

After Michkov's goal on the 5-on-3, Martone joined in on the fun on the ensuing 5-on-4 chance, streaking back door and tapping in a pass from Travis Sanheim.

The Flyers went into the first intermission with a 2-0 lead and a commanding 11-6 shots on goal advantage, but the Ducks quickly came to life in the middle stanza.

Punishing a Nick Seeler turnover behind the net, Flyers archnemesis Cutter Gauthier set up Leo Carlsson for a goal from below the goal line, and Greer, back from his misconduct, tied the game at 2-2 with a fluky goal that bounced off the post and off Joseph Woll's skate, with the puck settling just enough past the goal line to count.

Foerster bought one back with a fluke goal of his own, racing down the ice on the penalty kill and flinging the puck at Dostal, who was beaten between the legs to allow the Flyers to take a 3-2 lead.

Rasmus Ristolainen Finally Returns from Injury for Flyers vs. DucksRasmus Ristolainen Finally Returns from Injury for Flyers vs. DucksAfter a three-week absence, Rasmus Ristolainen officially returns for the Philadelphia Flyers.

Ducks forward Judd Caulfield tied the game at 3-3 only 1:15 later, cashing in on a wacky bounce in Woll's crease.

At the start of the third period, the Flyers still looked out of it, and Tristan Luneau's goal, which went through Woll, felt like a back-breaker. Trailing for the first time, the Flyers didn't begin to push back until Beckett Sennecke's redirect gave the Ducks a 5-3 lead, which was ultimately insurmountable.

Michkov, staying scoring hot, crashed the net 1:07 after Sennecke's tally to pull the Flyers within one, and despite a last hurrah that carried them through the end of the game, the Flyers came away empty-handed.

Although the Flyers were out-scored 4-1 at 5-on-5, special teams were the difference one way or another; the Flyers went 2-for-7 on the power play after starting 2-for-2, and the Ducks finished 1-for-4.

"Today good power play, a couple goals, and I think we need to stay hot on power play and five on five we have chance. We need score. We have today lots of chance. Five chances, one score. This is no good. We need hard work for chances. Chances we need score, score, score. Hard concentration, just one moment," Michkov assessed in the locker room after the game.

Denver Barkey Playing 'Underrated' Role in Flyers' Youth MovementDenver Barkey Playing 'Underrated' Role in Flyers' Youth MovementThe Philadelphia Flyers are loving the detailed play they're getting from second-year pro Denver Barkey as the youth movement continues to expand.

In the end, the Flyers spent far too much time on special teams, and while their opponents contributed, the Flyers did themselves no favors in that regard, either.

Noel Acciari, who drew three penalties in Saturday afternoon's loss, took a retaliatory penalty by tackling Tim Washe, coming to the defense of Trevor Zegras, while Sean Couturier made the mistake of inadvertently pulling Jeff Malott's helmet off in a scrum, earning himself an unnecessary roughing penalty.

Flyers react to the loss to the Ducks

The Ducks didn't score on either penalty, though Luneau's goal came very shortly after Acciari left the penalty box.

"I think there's some undisciplined penalties that we got to stop doing. I mean, guys get hit, so what? Back in the day, we used to do all that stuff. I don't think you can do that nowadays," Flyers head coach Rick Tocchet said postgame.

"It's a clean hit. Take the guy's number, do it a different way. Everybody's got to be alert. I'd like us to be a little more disciplined."

Tocchet shared the assessment of Martone, who felt the sheer number of penalties affected the flow of the game.

Martone played 18:25 against the Ducks, but 6:29 of that came on the power play. For Michkov, it was 18:15 in total, and 5:59 on the power play.

The Flyers' two young stars combined with Noah Cates to provide the Flyers' only 5-on-5 goal of the afternoon.

"Lots of penalties. It kind of ruins the flow of the game," Martone said. "But I know this group, we want to win, everyone in this room. The way we fought back, the way we got one there in the third, we just couldn't buy another one."

In the loss, the Flyers eclipsed three goals for the first time this season. They're now 3-7-3 with a home game against the 3-5-0 Columbus Blue Jackets coming up on Tuesday night at 7 p.m.

Lakers looking to fix biggest issue plaguing them during 2-0 start

An image collage containing 2 images, Image 1 shows Luka Doncic #77 of the Los Angeles Lakers looks to pass the ball during the game against the LA Clippers, Image 2 shows Los Angeles Lakers guard Austin Reaves (15) dribbles the ball past an LA Clippers defender during a game at Crypto.com Arena

Austin Reaves was willing to throw himself under the bus for the Lakers’ biggest issue through their first two games. 

But he didn’t mean to drag fellow Lakers star guard Luka Doncic down with him.

It’s hard to be too critical of the Lakers after their first two games of the season – home wins over the Warriors on Wednesday and Clippers on Friday. 

Luka Doncic recorded a career-high 11 turnovers against the Clippers. NBAE via Getty Images

They won those matchups by a combined 30 points. 

Walker Kessler is making the Lakers brain trust look like geniuses for making the investment to acquire the 7-foot-2 center. 

Reaves is playing at an All-Star level after securing a four-year, $180 million contract. 

Doncic continues to be the focal point of the Lakers’ success.

Austin Reaves has also been a significant contributor to the Lakers’ ball security issues. NBAE via Getty Images

The team’s roster reconstruction is paying off with an abundance of role players stepping up.

But the major early blemish that’s carried over from the preseason: Turnovers.

“We know the turnovers are a problem,” coach JJ Redick said. “We’ll continue to work at it, continue to get better at it.” 

The Lakers followed up recording 18 giveaways in their season opener against the Warriors by turning the ball over 21 times against the Clippers, directly leading to 29 points. 

Doncic and Reaves were once again the biggest culprits, combining for 17 of the team’s giveaways. 

Los Angeles Lakers head coach JJ Redick had ideas on how his star players could turn the ball over less. NBAE via Getty Images

“How many did I have?,” Reaves asked after Friday’s game.

Six.

“Oh,” Reaves responded, “it felt like 10.”

That was actually Doncic, who recorded a career-high 11 turnovers – something pointed out to Reaves.

“Y’all didn’t have to say that,” he said. “I asked about me.”

But the Slovenian guard wasn’t shy when it came to acknowledging his role in the Lakers’ turnover struggles .

“We have a lot of room left to improve,” Doncic said. “Obviously, my game was terrible. But we are 2-0. Not playing a great game by me and AR, we have a lot of room left [to grow], so it’s very exciting news, honestly.”

The Lakers’ early turnover woes are, in a way, encouraging because of the results they’re getting despite them.

They’ve scored a combined 252 points through their first two games (127 against the Warriors and 125 against the Clippers).

They shot 56.8% from the field against the Warriors, and 58.2% against the Clippers.

They’ve been living up to the expectations of being an ultra-efficient, high-powered offensive team despite nearly a fifth of their possessions ended in a turnover. 

But they aren’t allowing their offensive success so far to take away from the progress they’re hoping to make with taking care of the ball. 

They know their ceiling can be significantly higher if they clean up the ball security, especially against teams looking to trap Doncic and Reaves.

But some of the giveaways are also growing pains that come with such a significant roster overhaul. 

“The reality is a lot of the turnovers are just the pass in front of them,” Redick said. “Just make the pass in front of you. We’ve talked about it with both those guys. It’s the familiarity. They trust their teammates. They want to be playmakers. It’s building that over the course of the season to familiarity where guys are going to be in their spots. So we’ll just continue to build out our options out of that and we’ll be better.”

The Lakers and Rui Hachimura were excited for their reunion

LOS ANGELES, CA - OCTOBER 23: Rui Hachimura #28 of the LA Clippers smiles during the game against the Los Angeles Lakers on October 23, 2026 at Crypto.Com Arena in Los Angeles, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Adam Pantozzi/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

While other players may have had longer tenures, Rui Hachimura’s three-and-a-half years with the Lakers saw him become a fan favorite.

Immediately helping the team to a playoff victory in his first postseason game with the franchise went some way in endearing himself to the fans. But his personality is really what helped fans fall in love with him during his time in purple and gold.

This offseason, Rui was one of the many players not retained by the Lakers. Making matters worse for some fans, he stayed in Los Angeles and joined the crosstown rivals in the Clippers.

Still, Friday was a chance to welcome him back to Crypto.com Arena for the first time, and both he and the Lakers were excited to do so.

“It was incredible,” Austin Reaves said of reuniting with Rui. “He’s one of my favorite teammates I’ve ever had. I made a joke the other day that I didn’t know if he spoke English for the first two weeks [as teammates]. We sat by each other on the plane his first year and I would say hey to him and he would kind of just look at me and nod. Then after that I couldn’t get him to shut up.

“Always in a good mood, happy to be here, put the work in and it’s just good to see him be happy and successful and enjoying his life.”

Rui looked like the same player the Lakers had last season during the contest. He knocked down open threes, connected on mid-range jumpers and finished with 16 points. He also was nearly on the receiving end of some friendly trash talk by Luka, but didn’t take the bait.

“He was just trying to talk trash or whatever, but I don’t care about those kinds of stuff,” Rui said postgame. “Me and him, I had a good time with him in those two years with the Lakers. I’m happy to see him healthy, back on the court. Hope the best for him.

“I missed all those guys, the players, the coaches,” Rui added. “They got some new guys, but the trainers and all that, it was good to see them…It was a great moment with them. I talked some stuff with them, too, so it was a fun time.”

Luka even gave Rui a bit of a staredown after the former drew a foul on the latter in the second half. All of it was in good fun, though.

“It was just great to see him,” Luka said. “That’s my guy. I got two-and-a-half years together. We’re great friends, so it’s very nice to see him.”

Staying in the division means Rui will be around a lot going forward. It should also lead to more fun moments on the court with his former teammates.

You can follow Jacob on Twitter at @JacobRude or on Bluesky at @jacobrude.bsky.social.

MMBets: The Spurs come to town in the Mavericks’ home opener

SAN ANTONIO, TX -APRIL 10: Devin Vassell #24 of the San Antonio Spurs drives by Max Christie #00 of the Dallas Mavericks in the second half at Frost Bank Center on April 10, 2026 in San Antonio, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Ronald Cortes/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Dallas Mavericks finally got a win Friday night, and their reward came less than 24 hours later: Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs.

Dallas comes home at 1-1 after beating Indiana 121-105, but the win came with a pretty high cost. Cooper Flagg suffered a left shoulder injury late in the first half and will miss Saturday’s home opener. Dereck Lively II and Santi Aldama are also unavailable, leaving Dallas short-handed for one of the worst possible frontcourt matchups.

San Antonio is 0-2 after losses to Oklahoma City and Houston, but that record shouldn’t make anyone comfortable. Wembanyama scored 25 points and grabbed 13 rebounds Friday against the Rockets, and the Spurs still have plenty of talent to punish a depleted Dallas team.

Both teams are playing the second night of a back-to-back. Let’s scan the FanDuel board for some value.

FanDuel Snapshot: Spurs -12.5 | Mavericks +12.5 | Total 231.5.

Dallas Mavericks +12.5

I understand why San Antonio is favored this heavily. Flagg is out, Dallas is thin up front, and Wembanyama presents a nightmare matchup for a team already missing Lively.

Still, 12.5 points is a lot.

Friday showed Dallas can survive stretches without Flagg if Kyrie Irving looks like himself and P.J. Washington plays with the same physicality he showed against Indiana. Kyrie scored 24 points and hit five threes, while Washington finished with 20 points, 13 rebounds and three blocks.

Dallas also got meaningful production from Max Christie, Naji Marshall and Zaccharie Risacher. That doesn’t mean I trust the Mavericks to win this game, but it gives them enough ways to stay competitive at home.

San Antonio is also on a back-to-back and hasn’t looked dominant in two games. Give me the 12.5 points and hope Kyrie can keep Dallas within striking distance.

Under 231.5

This one mostly comes down to how I expect Dallas to play without Flagg.

The Mavericks lose one of their best transition players and one of the guys most capable of turning a rebound or turnover into immediate offense. Without him, the game should become much more Kyrie-heavy in the half-court, with Washington, Marshall and Christie handling more of the secondary creation.

That probably means a slower and uglier offensive game for Dallas.

San Antonio’s first two games have also finished below this number, with combined totals of 220 against Oklahoma City and 224 against Houston. Dallas has enough defensive issues for Wembanyama and the Spurs to score, but I am less convinced the Mavericks do enough offensively to push this game into the 230s.

Victor Wembanyama over 11.5 rebounds

This is the matchup play.

Wembanyama grabbed 13 rebounds Friday against Houston, and Dallas enters tonight with an extremely thin frontcourt. Lively is out, Gafford played fewer than 15 minutes against Indiana, and Morez Johnson Jr. is a rookie being asked to handle significant center minutes.

Washington can help on the glass, but Dallas simply lacks size.

Wembanyama should have plenty of opportunities on both ends, especially if the Mavericks struggle to shoot without Flagg. His rebounding line sits at 11.5.

Daniel Gafford under 6.5 rebounds

This one is more about role than matchup.

Gafford played only 14:36 against Indiana despite starting. He finished with three rebounds and did not play during the most important stretch of the fourth quarter. Dusty May instead leaned on smaller lineups and gave Morez Johnson Jr. extended minutes at center.

That makes a 6.5 rebound line pretty interesting.

Gafford has averaged 7.6 rebounds across the larger sample attached to tonight’s market, but the recent playing-time trend is the concern. The current prop line is 6.5 rebounds, and one projection has him at just 4.7 tonight.

The obvious counterargument is that Dallas desperately needs size against Wembanyama, which could force May to play Gafford more. But Friday showed that being the starting center does not guarantee anything close to starter minutes in this rotation.

Until May shows he is willing to consistently give Gafford 25-plus minutes, I would rather bet the under than assume the matchup suddenly changes his role.

The card

Mavericks +12.5 because San Antonio still has to prove it can separate by 13 on the road against a Dallas team that showed some fight Friday.

Under 231.5 because losing Flagg should make Dallas slower and more dependent on half-court Kyrie possessions.

Wembanyama over 11.5 rebounds because the Mavericks are extremely thin inside.

And Daniel Gafford under 6.5 rebounds because his playing time and fourth-quarter role are way too uncertain to trust him to pile up boards.

San Antonio is clearly the better team tonight. The question is whether the Spurs are 13 points better on the road, on a back-to-back, while Dallas tries to grind out enough offense without Flagg.

I am willing to make them prove it.

Connor Hellebuyck eyes Stanley Cup with Devils: 'I'm here to win'

In his 12 years as an NHL goalie, Connor Hellebuyck has strung together quite the resumé.

Since winning the Mike Richter Award, recognizing the strongest goalie in the NCAA, in 2014, he's become a three-time Vezina Trophy winner (2020, 2024, 2025), the first American-born netminder to win the Hart Trophy as the league-wide MVP (2025), and a three-time NHL All Star (2020, 2024, 2025). He's twice recorded the lowest goals against average across the NHL (2024, 2025), and most recently, he backstopped the United States men to their first Olympic gold since the 1980 "Miracle on Ice" Games.

But there's one honor that has evaded Hellebuyck so far: a Stanley Cup.

The 33-year-old said he believes that New Jersey is where he'll finally achieve that goal.

"[New Jersey's plan] aligns perfectly with where I'm at in my career. I'm here to win, and the only thing I've got left on my resume is a Stanley Cup," Hellebuyck said at his first news conference as a Devil on Saturday. "Seeing that these guys have got their vision tight on that as well, it's just going to fit perfectly."

Hellebuyck joins the Devils after a months-long trade saga that began after he requested to be moved from the Winnipeg Jets this summer. When the offseason came to a close with no agreement in sight, Hellebuyck failed to report to training camp on time, resulting in his suspension from the team.

The suspension was set to end on Friday. Instead, Hellebuyck found himself headed to the other side of the continent in a new set of colors. 

He hasn't played an NHL game since April 13, a 6-2 loss to the Vegas Golden Knights. While he admits that his self-managed personal practices over the last several weeks don't quite match up to the NHL-caliber environment he's been missing, Hellebuyck is confident he'll find his ice legs again soon enough.

"I don't think, at this point in my career, it's going to take me long," he said. "That being said, I think that's just one of those challenges. You adapt, and you adapt quick, but I thankfully have some experience under my belt." 

/ IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Rumors swirled as the 2026-27 campaign got underway about which teams were interested in Hellebuyck. Though he has struggled in the playoffs historically, posting a 24-34 record across seven postseason campaigns, he offers a reliable veteran presence in net that could offer a significant boost to many teams around the league.

Hellebuyck entered the negotiation period with a complete no-movement clause, giving him full control over his destination. He said he was drawn to New Jersey due to the organization's skill, size on defense, culture, and willingness "to do whatever it takes" to earn a championship.

"Sitting at home for so long was getting to me," he said. "I'm joining a very skilled group. I know that they're bringing me in for a really specific role, and I'm really excited to try to fill that role — not only on the ice, but off the ice as well ... There's nothing to not be excited about."

The trade — which sent three players, a prospect drafted just this summer, and two draft picks to Winnipeg — slashed New Jersey's forward pool. But Devils general manager Sunny Mehta said Hellebuyck was worth it, especially if it means earning the franchise's first Stanley Cup since 2003. 

"Everything is about winning," said Mehta, who the Devils hired on April 16. "Everything is trying to make this team better every single day. That's been my goal since I got here."

Hal Steinbrenner’s lack of self-examination is not a good sign for the Yankees

A little over two weeks ago, the New York Yankees were eliminated from World Series contention in the American League Division Series for the second consecutive campaign. At times, they didn’t even put up a fight, being swept by the Tampa Bay Rays 3-0 in the best-of-five series. Prior to that, they won 93 games and finished 4.5 behind the Rays in the race for the AL East. That’s a solid season for virtually any other team, but losing the division and experiencing such an early postseason exit is often associated with frustration and disappointment in the Bronx.

This week, chairman and managing general partner Hal Steinbrenner faced the media and didn’t even hesitate for a second to put it all on the players, particularly the offense.

“I don’t think you can pin the season and the unacceptable end to it on Aaron [Boone],” Steinbrenner said on a Zoom call. “I don’t think you can pin it on [Brian Cashman], based on the roster he put together.

“In the end, the majority of the responsibility — I’ll say it for the fifth time, in my mind, my opinion — lies with the position players and the inability to score on a consistent basis throughout the course of the entire season, for the most part,” Steinbrenner said. “Not on the shoulders of Aaron Boone does the blame lie.”

Usually, in these cases, those who make the decisions and have to face the press either take the responsibility themselves or adopt a shared blame approach. Throwing the players under the bus like this doesn’t seem like a particularly good idea, especially when Steinbrenner decides to employ Cashman as his GM and Boone as his manager — these two are the ones actually choosing the players who step into the box and onto the mound.

One has to think that the Steinbrenner conference didn’t sit well with Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger, Giancarlo Stanton, and other veterans on the roster. No one knows what is said behind closed doors, but it’s hard to envision the players loving the Zoom conference.

Now, nobody is saying that the players should be on the clear. On the contrary: they deserve a sizable portion of the blame. They were, after all, the ones competing on the field and failing to execute when it mattered against the Rays and, for stretches, during the regular season.

Austin Wells had one of the worst halves in Yankees history for a regular and even after rebounding, he committed a game-changing baserunning mistake in Game 1 of the ALDS. Jazz Chisholm Jr. was inconsistent and error-prone, Ryan McMahon was an offensive liability all year, and Anthony Volpe had another uneven season, just to name a few other disappointments. Trent Grisham had a .613 OPS in the second and then hit .133 in five October games with an awful AB to end the season. Who insisted on using Grisham in both center and then the leadoff spot in the finale, though? And who was responsible for the offense not having any contingency plans at catcher and third base? Yes, the men at the top. Surely they deserve at least some slice on the Blame Game pie chart and not total absolution.

Regarding Grisham at the leadoff spot, no other circumstance, stat, or situation other than “gut feeling” was behind the decision to use him at the top. He had been bad up there all year, and the numbers back it up:

Once Boone and Cashman make a decision, they tend to stick with it even if the house of cards is falling. The ability to adapt and adjust is just not there, nor is the willingness.

The complete lack of self-criticism from Steinbrenner was baffling, and honestly, a bit frustrating. Maybe the players need to be blamed the most for the postseason fiasco, but when the same mistakes occur year after year, it shouldn’t be on the players anymore. Althought the rosters have changed, there have been two constants for every postseason failure from 2018 onward: Boone and Cashman. The Yankees have a losing playoff record under them at 27-30, and the latter’s spotty résumé goes back even longer.

The Yankees have issues in roster and lineup construction, scouting, player development (hitting-wise, at least), and several other departments. Unless they improve some of their resources and practices, they are doomed to keep striking out in October, literally and figuratively.

Beyond the home run: The art of timely hitting

MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - OCTOBER 23: Junior Caminero #13 of the Tampa Bay Rays slides into second base during the ninth inning against Cooper Pratt #12 of the Milwaukee Brewers in game one of the 2026 World Series at American Family Field on October 23, 2026 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
Although one of the best clutch teams in the game, the Tampa Bay Rays failed with runners in scoring position on Friday night, going 0-for-6 vs. the Brewers. | (Photo by John Fisher/Getty Images)

As the Milwaukee Brewers and Tampa Bay Rays battle for a World Series title, Chicago’s struggles with runners in scoring position reveal an offensive weakness the White Sox must address.

The Rays spent six months making runners in scoring position (RISP) a strength. On Friday night, six missed opportunities helped turn their 2026 World Series opener into a loss.

Tampa Bay went 0-for-6 with runners in scoring position against the Brewers, falling 3-2 despite advancing the tying run 90 feet from home in the ninth inning. A team that led Major League Baseball with a .283 batting average in those situations suddenly found itself searching for one more productive swing.

“We had traffic on the bases pretty much all night,” Rays shortstop Taylor Walls told MLB.com. “But [we] weren’t able to get that big hit, that timely hit, the double with a runner on first or a single with runners in scoring position.”

More than 1,200 miles away, the White Sox could recognize the frustration.

Chicago’s postseason ended against Cleveland with a different statistical problem but a similar consequence: Runners never reached home plate.

The White Sox hit .243 with RISP during the regular season, ranking 22nd in the majors. They struck out 397 times in 1,361 official at-bats in those situations, a 29.2% K-rate.

By comparison, Tampa Bay hit .283 with RISP, while Milwaukee followed at .276. Both clubs combined consistent contact with aggressive baserunning, providing a different offensive model than Chicago’s power-oriented lineup.

The problem became particularly evident during the American League Division Series.

Although the White Sox hit .275 with runners in scoring position across seven postseason games, they struck out 21 times in 51 at-bats with RISP. Cleveland pitchers struck out 75 Chicago hitters during the five-game ALDS, including an all-time record of 21 in the decisive Game 5.

Manager Will Venable acknowledged that the problem extended beyond chasing pitches outside the strike zone, to misses in the zone, and his assessment revealed a fundamental challenge: Against elite pitching, even hitters making reasonable swing decisions can struggle to produce contact.

That becomes particularly costly with a runner on third and fewer than two outs, as a sacrifice fly or a well-placed ground ball can score a run without a hit. A strikeout, however, leaves the runner exactly where he started.

Modern hitting philosophies emphasize power, patience and avoiding unnecessary outs. Those principles have merit, but postseason baseball frequently demands a more situational approach.

Milwaukee demonstrated that on Friday.

Christian Yelich drove home Jackson Chourio with a first-inning triple, William Contreras followed with an RBI single, and Chourio added a two-out RBI single in the seventh.

The Brewers went 2-for-8 with runners in scoring position, but those hits helped secure a one-run victory.

Milwaukee scored 832 runs during the regular season despite hitting only 154 home runs. Chicago hit 211 homers but scored 776 runs. The Brewers also stole 162 bases compared with Chicago’s 93, demonstrating another way to create offensive pressure.

Those differences suggest the White Sox do not necessarily need to abandon power. They need a more balanced offensive approach.

That balance has been an organizational question throughout the past decade, as Chicago has cycled through rebuilding rosters, veteran lineups and postseason contenders. The 2026 results provide another reason to examine whether the club has consistently struggled to convert scoring opportunities.

For players such as Colson Montgomery, Kyle Teel and Miguel Vargas, improvement must include producing quality plate appearances against elite pitching. Montgomery’s power remains valuable, but the White Sox need consistent contact throughout the lineup.

Free agency could provide additional options.

Luis Arráez offers a contact-oriented offensive profile, while potential free agents Bo Bichette, Ian Happ and Seiya Suzuki represent different combinations of hitting ability and overall production.Simply acquiring a hitter with a high RISP average, however, would not guarantee improvement. 

Tampa Bay’s World Series opener demonstrated that even baseball’s most productive situational hitters can struggle when opportunities arise.

Rays manager Kevin Cash remained confident despite the loss.

“This is an extremely confident group,” Cash said. “They’re going to be fine.”

Chicago’s challenge is finding that same confidence while developing the offensive consistency needed to advance deeper into October.

The White Sox proved they could hit enough home runs to reach the postseason. Cleveland demonstrated that power alone was not enough to survive it.

And as Milwaukee showed Friday, sometimes the difference between winning and losing isn’t the ball that leaves the park. It’s the one that brings the runner home.

Sharks let chance to win ‘slip away' vs. Bruins as they blow another late lead

Sharks let chance to win ‘slip away' vs. Bruins as they blow another late lead originally appeared on NBC Sports Bay Area

The Sharks secured seven of 12 points on their six-game road trip, but they certainly feel like they let plenty of opportunities pass them by — especially after a tough 6-4 loss to the Boston Bruins on Saturday night at TD Garden.

San Jose fell apart again late in their trip-ending loss, allowing four Bruins goals in the third period after entering the frame with a 3-2 advantage. The defeat, which gave them a 3-2-1 road trip, marked the fifth time during the young 2026-27 NHL season the Sharks have blown a third-period lead, but just the second time it has resulted in a loss.

“We just shoot ourselves in the foot again,” Sharks defenseman Dmitry Orlov told reporters after the game. “I think it’s kind of happened almost every game. We’re not winning the battles when we have to. We’re not playing more hungry for the battles, for the puck, and that’s why we give up some goals. …

“It’s obviously frustrating, but we’ve played games and there’s a lot of games coming up. We have to learn and not do the same mistakes.”

After game-tying goals from Michael Misa in the first period (to make it 1-1) and Kiefer Sherwood in the second (making it 2-2), Orlov’s power-play goal 4:03 into the third gave the Sharks a 3-2 advantage, and it looked like they could leave Boston with two points after losing to the Bruins 6-3 at SAP Center on Oct. 13.

But Boston scored three unanswered goals before Will Smith’s fourth score of the season made it 5-4, which is all the fight the Sharks would muster before the Bruins put the game away with an empty-netter as less than 30 seconds remained.

Smith put the onus on the Sharks’ defense after the game, after goalie Alex Nedeljkovic posted an .853 save percentage in the loss.

“I think we’ve just got to be better in front of net,” Smith told reporters. “There’s a couple of goals there, especially when our line’s out there, we can’t let it happen, and definitely think we should have won that. …

“[The goals are] very preventable. We’ve got to help Ned out and defend right there.”

Nedeljkovic also viewed the defeat as a should-have-been win that slipped through San Jose’s fingers, but he’s viewing the road trip as a whole in a positive light.

“We had chances, we had momentum and just let it kind of slip away and didn’t finish,” he told reporters. “It’s a tough one to swallow right now. Definitely leaves a sour taste in your mouth, at least for me. It’s a tough one.

“But we did a lot of good things. I think there’s still plenty of room for us to grow in certain areas and get better at. So, we’ll take the .500 record. It’s a tough trip. It’s a long trip. Played in some tough buildings. So, take the record and regroup at home, and hopefully come out swinging on Tuesday.”

Nedeljkovic and the Sharks will look to get back in the win column when they return to The Tank to face the Buffalo Sabres at 7:30 p.m. PT on Tuesday.

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Cooper Flagg sidelined with left shoulder sprain after controversial foul

An image collage containing 2 images, Image 1 shows Cooper Flagg (32) is fouled on a drive by Pacers swingman Aarom Nesmith. , Image 2 shows Cooper Flagg holds his shoulder after being fouled during the second quarter against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on October 23, 2026.

Mavericks fans won’t see their star player in the team’s home opener.

Cooper Flagg was ruled out for Saturday’s game against the Spurs with a left shoulder sprain.

The former No. 1 overall pick will be reevaluated next week, the team announced.

Flagg, the 2025-26 Rookie of the Year, suffered the injury during Friday night’s win over the Pacers, when Indiana forward Aaron Nesmith fouled him hard from behind on a dunk attempt late in the second quarter.

Cooper Flagg (32) is fouled on a drive by Pacers swingman Aarom Nesmith. NBAE via Getty Images

Flagg crashed to the floor and landed awkwardly on his left shoulder, sparking a scrum between the two teams.

Mavericks forward Naji Marshall immediately confronted Nesmith, setting off a brief shoving match.

Nesmith was also assessed a flagrant 1 foul for his contact with Flagg.

“Look, Nesmith is a great guy, a heck of a player. I’ve known him since he was in high school,” Mavericks coach Dusty May said after the game. “Obviously, an unfortunate play. Hopefully, Coop’s fine … He’s in good spirits. We’ll know in the next couple days what’s next.”

Cooper Flagg holds his shoulder after being fouled during the second quarter against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on October 23, 2026. Getty Images

Flagg remained in the game to shoot free throws before heading to the locker room and did not return for the second half.

The injury interrupts a strong start to the 19-year-old’s second season in the NBA.

Flagg went off for 32 points in Wednesday’s season-opening loss to the Rockets, setting an NBA record for the most points scored by a teenager in a season opener.

He was putting together another strong performance Friday before leaving the game, recording 14 points, five rebounds, six assists, three steals and a block in just 17 minutes.

The 2026 That Could Have Been: Revisiting the Trade That Almost Was

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - SEPTEMBER 29: Payton Tolle #70 of the Boston Red Sox looks on from the dugout prior to Game One of the American League Wild Card Series against the New York Yankees on September 29, 2026 at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx borough of New York City. (Photo by Maddie Malhotra/Boston Red Sox/Getty Images) | Getty Images

I think its important when evaluating front office performance to also evaluate the moves the team could’ve made but chose not to just as much as you evaluate the deals they made. Last December, one of the major storylines of the entire MLB offseason was whether or not the Arizona Diamondbacks were going to trade Ketel Marte. Marte was just wrapping up another typical season for himself in which he created a lot of value, but was also a major source of off the field distraction. The narrative at the time was that they were ‘listening’ on Ketel Marte but not actively trying to move him. Even with his pending 10 and 5 rights that were set to vest at the beginning of the 2026 season in April. This led to plenty of speculation by the industry as to whether he might be moved and where he might end up.

The Boston Red Sox seemed to ultimately get the closest and according to Alex Speier at the Boston Globein February of 2026, the Red Sox were heavily interested and had offered a package of Payton Tolle and Franklin Arias for Marte. According to Speier, the Dbacks insisted that Marcelo Mayer be included in the deal and the Red Sox refused. That would effectively seal Marte’s fate with the Dbacks for 2026 and potentially beyond. But what would this team have looked like if Hazen and co hadn’t been so insistent on Marcelo Mayer and just said yes to Tolle and Arias for Marte? This article will rewind the clock and examine just that.

In fairness, I need to put the disclaimer here that none of the results are guaranteed on the new teams because there are a ton of factors that dictate player performance. I also don’t have a crystal ball, so for the purposes of this exercise lets just assume the players had the same 2026 regardless of what team they were on. Also in fairness to Mike Hazen, it is easy to play captain hindsight. It is much harder to make the moves in the moment. However for entertainment purposes only, lets revisit the trade that almost was and analyze the ripple effects.

Trade: Bos Recieves: Ketel Marte Ari Recieves: Payton Tolle and Franklin Arias.

The Dbacks acquire the fastball heavy prospect Payton Tolle and they finally get the bat missing controllable arm they have coveted. They also would acquire a top middle infield prospect that would’ve likely started the season in Amarillo and got promoted to Reno and honestly could’ve pushed for some big league time, however for the purposes of this exercise lets assume Arias would’ve spent the season in the minors and not contributed any major league value.

In a corresponding move, Ari signs 3B Alex Bregman 5yr $175 million

If the Dbacks traded Marte, it is widely speculated that they would’ve signed Alex Bregman. There was a lot of reporting that Bregman wanted to play for the Dbacks and live where he played year round similar to the Corbin Burnes situation. Especially if the Dbacks had traded Ketel Marte as reported by Ken Rosenthal in The Athletic For the purposes of this exercise lets assume the exact same contract only its entirely likely he wouldve came at a slightly cheaper rate. I also think its not just a coincidence that the day after Arizona acquired Nolan Arenado on 1/12, Bregman signed with the Cubs. In my opinion, he was clearly holding out for a deal with Arizona. So in this world, Dbacks trade Marte and to fill the gap in the middle of their lineup, they sign Alex Bregman.

Moves that then Would’ve Never Happened: Sign Zac Gallen and trade for Nolan Arenado

By signing Bregman and acquiring Tolle, I think its all but certain the Dbacks dont sign Zac Gallen and it likely they dont trade for Arenado although I suppose there is another world out there where Arenado reportedly was willing to play first base. We wont go there though for the purposes of this. So no Nado and no Gallen.

What Would’ve Been the Net Effect?

In fairness to Hazen and Co, this is a little hand wavey assuming that the Dbacks are able to get the same breakout out of Tolle that the Red Sox were. However it is also kind of offset by the breakout the Dbacks were able to get out of Arenado. But for the purposes of this exercise, lets assume the same production in 2026. The result? An additional 4.4 wins almost completely from acquiring Tolle and not signing Gallen. This is where it really hurts:

The Money

To add insult to injury, this version of the 2026 Dbacks roster would’ve likely been about 10-11 million cheaper than they were:

Here is what this would’ve looked like long term financially:

So essentially, the trade would’ve saved 10-11 million in 2026 and cost almost that same amount back for 2027.

Franklin Arias

In addition, this organization would also have a clear consensus top 100 prospect in Franklin Arias who is currently MLB Pipeline’s #2 prospect in all of baseball after the 20 year old SS had a steller 2026 batting .323 with 25 HR in 117 games. Arias has posted elite contact rates at all levels of the minor league’s to go along with some pop at a premium position. This would’ve also solved much of the ‘lack of impact talent’ label this farm system as a whole currently holds and given this team a SS or 2B option of the future with Ketel Marte gone.

Conclusion

I think its fair to assume this is likely a move Mike Hazen and co would want back. Especially considering you add 4 wins to this 2026 club and you likely have a 90 win playoff contender. In addition you also add long term stability to your starting rotation and middle infield at league minimum cost. Had this trade been made, you likely were playing baseball the past couple of weeks, and head into the 2027 season with the rotation anchored by a solid pairing of youth and experience in Burnes and Tolle. You also have Alex Bregman and his leadership coming off of a near 6 WAR season anchoring the middle of the order for years to come and the #2 prospect in all of baseball per MLB Pipeline heading into the offseason.

As I mentioned, there are a ton of variables that could’ve impacted performance one way or the other. Especially when you consider guys playing on different teams and the team dynamics changing. Its not as simple as adding and subtracting WAR in my opinion. We are also basing all of this on reporting from reputable outlets like the Boston Globe and The purposes of this analysis is purely an exercise to further evaluate the decision making of this organization and a fun little ‘what could’ve been’ experiment.

The Golden State doom loop?

LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - OCTOBER 13: Head coach Steve Kerr of the Golden State Warriors throws his arms up in the third quarter of a preseason game against the Los Angeles Lakers at T-Mobile Arena on October 13, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada. The Warriors defeated the Lakers 101-89. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Last night’s loss will reverberate for the rest of the season, just from a statistical standpoint. Oh sure, it’s confirming all of our fears, but fandom and emotionalism are one in the same. Most of us already figured that the Golden State Warriors were in their post dynasty era. Their managed decline. Their hospice years. But, that was their most likely win out of their first 6 games, so the situation actually feels worse than lose labels. History doesn’t offer us any hope, except in one weird case.

With (at minimum) Steph Curry and Brandin Podziemski sitting tonight for the back-to-back in Phoenix, it’s highly probable the Warriors will lose, in which case they’ll start a season 0-3 for just the 10th time in franchise history. The other times:

1964-65
1984-85
1985-86
1987-88
1997-98
1999 (lockout)
1999-2000
2004-05
2007-08

Now, that post-We Believe team is the meaningful exception on the list. It’s the entire point of this article. No other time has a Warriors team started 0-3 and gone on to have a winning record. Outside of 2007-08’s 48-34 record, only the 2004-2005 edition won over 30 games (34-48).

But these 26-27 Warriors look setup to start quite a bit worse than 0-3, don’t you think? After bricking the home opener and playing short against Phoenix, they’ll go to Denver, then Minnesota, and come back home to host the Lakers. So, yeah. If the situation feels grim, it’s because it is. And 0-6 feels very likely. But it’s not inevitable. Just 63 teams have started a season 0-6 in the history of the league.

Sure, only five of those teams went on to have a winning record (and because the Eastern Conference has always been a bit of a joke, eight have gone on to make the playoffs), but one of those teams — and I can’t stress this enough — was the 2007-2008 Warriors. That team finished 48-34… and missed the playoffs, sure, but I digress!

Stephen Jackson missed the start of that season after being suspended for pleading out over an altercation outside of a night club and his return was enough to spark the Dubs to an 11-3 run that saved their season.

Of course, Moses Moody and Jimmy Butler are months (and months!) away. In the meantime, the Warriors will be depth-less and because of their best players being older, often short-handed. Thanks to all the roster moves Mike Dunleavy Jr. didn’t (or couldn’t) make this past offseason and what the team hasn’t been able to do the past couple of years will simply point the franchise towards a dead end.

I’d like to think the randomness of sports and life could be a reason to retain a shred of hope, but then I look at the 2007-2008 roster next to this season’s and I can’t help but note that Don Nelson’s team had just two players 30 or older on it: Chris Webber (34, 9 games) and Troy Hudson (31, 9 games). Steve Kerr’s has five. I look back at the list of 63 teams in NBA history to start 0-6 and note that the Warriors appear on it twice more: 1997-98 and the aforementioned 2004-05. It seems improbable they’d get off to such a bad start, but it feels like a certainty.

So, history is against the Warriors.

It doesn’t feel like one of those situations where “it’s only two games into the season” is a meaningful comment. What frustrates me the most about the NBA (besides the officiating) is how set in stone it all is. Sure, some kind souls might’ve projected 43 wins for Golden State this season, but the weighted nature of these slimmer rosters mean that it doesn’t take much for things to go very wrong and there’s not much that can be done to change course in-season. And from there, it’s easy to project how things will go if certain drastic actions aren’t taken.

This Warriors season has started more or less as feared and as plainly predictable given the totality of their circumstances. They can’t be accused of stasis, but their acquisition strategy has turned their tricky situation into a near-impossible one. Steph Curry is unlikely to play like he’s 34 again, and if the team can’t supplement their veteran players with quality youth and depth, then the last few years of Curry’s illustrious career will be as painful as the start to this season. Obviously.