Despite the uncertainty surrounding the Celtics’ 2026 outlook without Jayson Tatum for much of the season, they haven’t missed a beat, finishing with the No. 2 seed in the East and drawing a first-round matchup with the Philadelphia 76ers.
Jaylen Brown really stepped up during Tatum’s absence, and he headlines my 76ers vs. Celtics predictions as we expect Boston's dominance at home to continue in Game 1.
Find out more in my NBA picks for Sunday, April 19.
Our best 76ers vs Celtics SGP for Game 1
Jaylen Brown has found plenty of success against the Philadelphia 76ers this season, averaging 38.6 PRA across four matchups. The Boston Celtics guard delivered 37+ PRA twice and finished with 35 in the two other games.
With defensive anchor Joel Embiid sidelined once again, this sets up as a favorable matchup for Brown. Philadelphia’s 116.5 defensive rating without Embiid would rank ninth-worst in the league.
In Philly's last three games in Boston without Embiid, the 76ers were outscored by 17.3 points per game. The Celtics also posted a +8.3 net rating at home this season, and with the roster close to full strength, I’ll back them to win this one by 13+.
No team hit the Under at a higher rate than Boston (63.4%). The Celtics consistently kept games low-scoring thanks to a bottom-five pace and top-five defense.
Without Embiid, Philadelphia’s offensive rating dropped from 118.5 to 112.9, ranking eighth-worst in the league. The Sixers will likely struggle to score, and I expect Boston to control the tempo in a slow grind.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
OKLAHOMA CITY, OKLAHOMA - MARCH 19: Devin Booker #1 of the Phoenix Suns fouls Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 of the Oklahoma City Thunder as Gilgeous-Alexander attempts a shot during the third quarter at Paycom Center on March 19, 2023 in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Ian Maule/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Welcome to the NBA playoffs.
It is that time of year again, when teams chase the one main thing that they have built for all year. The NBA Championship! Some teams make it all the way to the end. Be it a dark horse or those expected to be there. At times, the team expected to be there falls early.
It is the drama and excitement and chase for ultimate success and history. Having said that, let’s see what teams will face in the first round.
Game 1: Houston at Los Angeles | Saturday April 18 (8:30 ET, ABC)
Game 2: Houston at Los Angeles | Tuesday April 21 (10:30 ET, NBC)
Game 3: Los Angeles at Houston | Friday April 24 (8 ET, Prime Video)
Game 4: Los Angeles at Houston | Sunday April 26 (9:30 ET, NBC)
Game 5: Houston at Los Angeles | Wednesday April 29 (if necessary)
Game 6: Los Angeles at Houston | Friday May 1 (if necessary)
Game 7: Houston at Los Angeles | Sunday May 3 (if necessary)
My Predictions
Eastern Conference
Detroit Pistons in 6
Philadelphia 76ers in 7
New York Knicks in 6
Toronto Raptors in 6
Western Conference
Oklahoma City Thunder in 6
San Antonio Spurs in 5
Minnesota Timberwolves in 5
Los Angeles Lakers in 6
If you want to discuss anything, you can do so below. For the Lakers , right here. I will update this thread as the first round progresses. Have at it in the comments below.
When I am not posting ridiculous trades on here you can find me talking about Nintendo, LGBT content, music, and the Lakers on my Twitter. You can follow Alexis on Twitter at @BeautifulShy_RSand on BlueSky at @msshyskye.bsky.social.
"One is that this was the first time that it was real. Yeah. You know, it was a lot. And I'm not saying that it was real that I wanted a trade. It was just, bro, everywhere I went, in the street, people would tell me, 'Don't leave. Don't do this. Please stay.' It was real. Back in the day, when I was younger, 25, 24, they would always say this stuff. But then maybe, like, a week later, it will turn off. They would talk about a different story. This year, every day — social media, turn the TV on, First Take, ESPN, blah, blah, blah — it was, 'Giannis, Giannis, Giannis, Giannis, Giannis'...
"If I'd ever been in that position, if I could change something, maybe I'd come out and shut it down, because I think people weren't listening to me. Like, 'Giannis, come out and ask for a trade. Giannis, come out and do this.' I'm like, first of all, people that I respect and people that I love, I would have conversations with them — my coach, my GM, people that matter [behind closed doors]."
"I kept saying, 'Guys, I'm here. I'm not going nowhere.' Oh yeah, whatever, whatever, blah, blah — Giannis is going to the Knicks. Okay. Two weeks later: 'I'm here, guys. I'm locked in. I got hurt, but I'm coming back to play here.' Oh, Giannis is going to Miami. They wasn't listening to what I was saying, right? So, if I could turn time back, I would maybe come out a little bit earlier and say, 'Hey, guys, this ends today. Look at me in the eyes. I'm staying with Milwaukee until further notice. It ends today. Stop making stories, and after stories, and after stories.'"
What played out in public was something everyone watching the saga feels — Antetokounmpo is torn between loyalty to the only NBA organization he has ever played for, a place he won a ring, a city he loves, and his competitve desire to win, something that is not happening with the Bucks (who finished 11 games out of the play-in and were just a .500 team when Antetokounmpo was healthy.
At the time, Antetokounmpo's agent, Alex Saratsis, reportedly had conversations with the Bucks about the star's future and if this was still the best fit for everyone. Antetokounmpo himself never asked for a trade, and said at the time of Saratsis, "He's his own person. He can have any conversation he wants." The Bucks tested the waters for an Antetokounmpo trade, but league sources told NBC Sports they didn't get the sense the Bucks were serious.
That's expected to change this summer. The drama at the end of the season about Antetokounmpo's return to play in meaningless games — he wanted to compete and play with his brothers, the Bucks both were thinking about their draft pick and didn't want to risk further injury to a player who had played just 36 games due to a variety of injuries — feels like it sealed the fate. Maybe not, maybe he tells the Bucks he will sign an extension with them when he can on Oct. 1, but that seems like a long shot at this point.
Which means the Giannis, Giannis, Giannis, Giannis, Giannis rumors are about to start up again.
An 82-game regular season packed with turbulence ended with 53 wins and the fourth seed in a brutal Western Conference race. Following a blowout of the tanking Utah Jazz, the Lakers playoff reward is home court advantage against the physically imposing Houston Rockets.
Very few pundits give them a chance to compete in the series, let alone win, due to the injuries to the backcourt of Luka Dončić and Austin Reaves. The absence of their star guards returns LeBron James to his vintage self as the lead shot creator.
Right behind him, with the biggest difference in their previous roles, is Luke Kennard. The two-man game between them and an old reliable action for LeBron goes from a useful option to an offense-defining play for the purple and gold in this series.
LeBron and Kennard played 27 games together, posting a net rating of +8.7 in just over 300 minutes. LeBron is no stranger to initiating actions with marksmen, dating back to his Cleveland days with teammates such as Kyle Korver and JR Smith. Kennard steps right in as one of the best he’s ever played with, percentage-wise.
LA added Kennard as their only deadline move in a swap for Gabe Vincent. He ingratiated himself as a key rotation player and expanded LA’s playbook with his gravity. Head coach J.J. Redick constantly highlights that Kennard is the only “movement shooter” on the team.
What first makes this go is Kennard’s ability to make quick reads dependent on how the other team defends the action. Watch in the clip below as he operates in the middle of the floor. The Mavericks opt not to switch the screen, steering clear of having Max Christie defend the bigger, stronger LeBron.
Kennard gets downhill with nothing open. The Lakers adapt seamlessly.
The pair flip the screen and Kennard sets a ghost screen — a fake ball screen where the screener quickly moves away — and pops to the 3-point line. That second of indecision opens up the driving lane for the dunk.
“A Lot of it does depend on coverages, whether or not teams are in a shock (at the level of the screen) or they’re red-ing (switching) it,” Redick said. “I think Luke has as good an off-ball feel as anybody for when to set, when to go, when to change pace, create a little separation. When he gets separation like a number of great shooters, there’s an overreaction to that.”
Without Luka and Reaves to create those overreactions, the team will rely on Kennard’s ability to do so.
When teams do decide to switch the duo’s pick-and-roll action, the Lakers instantly clear out to put LeBron in the post, as shown below. Watch as they run their “88” action, or empty-side screen and roll.
A post entry is thrown with two shooters on the opposite side and the center positioned to the other side of the key, allowing LeBron to drive and score against single coverage.
“We can also hunt mismatches if they are red-ing and get LeBron down at the post or get him at the nail where that’s advantageous basketball for us, and he’s just going to make the right decision,” Redick said. “ LeBron as a screener, we’ve seen it already.
“Against Dallas, it allowed Luke to touch the paint. It allowed Luke to create offense for us, and then LeBron catching the ball in the pocket is in a four-on-three situation.”
An underrated aspect of Kennard’s game is his added playmaking ability. The three games following the loss of their backcourt racked up 28 assists in his move up the playmaking hierarchy.
He showed good feel all year on making the extra pass to a teammate, whether that be to the three-point line or soft touch lobs to his bigs like he throws to Deandre Ayton in the clip below.
LA leverages the dual threat of LeBron and Kennard off-ball, getting Kennard to “touch the paint” and find his big man.
Many of the teams LA closed the season with are nowhere close to the defense Houston will present. They roster a host of physical defenders, including Amen Thompson and Tari Eason. LeBron and Kennard will be one and two in the pecking order of which ball handlers they look to frustrate with physicality and full-court pressure.
This is the mountain the Lakers have in front of them, a steep one to climb. To have a chance, they need this two-man action, LeBron’s bread and butter, to be impactful.
The Boston Celtics defeated the Philadelphia 76ers in seven games in the 2023 Eastern Conference playoffs, and the two teams will face off again when the 2026 first-round series tips off at TD Garden on Sunday.
Jaylen Brown has delivered an MVP-caliber season, and my 76ers vs. Celtics predictions expect the 2024 Finals MVP to come through with a strong performance in Game 1.
Read on to find out why I expect Brown to stuff the stat sheet in a comfortable home victory in my NBA picks for Sunday, April 19.
76ers vs Celtics prediction
76ers vs Celtics best bet: Jaylen Brown Over 36.5 points + rebounds + assists (-112)
With Jayson Tatum sidelined for most of the season and key players from the Boston Celtics title run playing for new teams, Jaylen Brown asserted his dominance and delivered the best statistical campaign of his career. Brown averaged career highs in points (28.7), rebounds (6.9) and assists (5.1).
Brown finished with 37 PRA in 52 of 71 games overall, including 27 of 38 games at TD Garden. His production didn’t slip much with Tatum back in action.
Brown averaged 41.2 PRA without Tatum and 31.4 in 13 games with Tatum in the lineup. He accumulated 37+ PRA in nine of 13 games played with his superstar teammate.
Brown found success against the Philadelphia 76ers this season, averaging 38.6 PRA across four matchups. He delivered 37+ PRA twice and finished with 35 twice more.
The 76ers will be without defensive anchor Joel Embiid yet again, making this a favorable matchup for Brown. Philadelphia’s 116.5 defensive rating without Embiid would rank ninth-worst in the Association.
After a disappointing exit in the 2025 playoffs, the Celtics look primed for a deep postseason run, and their success will depend heavily on Brown’s leadership and performance.
After proving that he can be “the guy” for a contending team in the regular season, I expect Brown to carry that momentum and mindset into the playoffs and set the tone early for he and his teammates.
76ers vs Celtics same-game parlay
Philly and Boston split the four-game season series at two games apiece, but the Sixers have had a difficult time playing at TD Garden without Embiid.
In the last three games played in Boston without the big man, the 76ers were outscored by 17.3 points per game. Boston sports a +8.3 net rating at home this season, and with the team close to full strength, I’ll back them to win this one by 13+.
No team hit the Under at a higher percentage than the Boston Celtics at 63.4%. The C’s kept the score low throughout the season thanks to a bottom-5 pace and top-5 defense.
Without Embiid, the Sixers’ offensive rating dipped from 118.5 to 112.9, good for eighth-worst. Philly will have trouble scoring, and I expect Boston to make this one a slow grind.
76ers vs Celtics SGP
Jaylen Brown Over 36.5 points + rebounds + assists
Celtics -12.5
Under 213.5
Our "from downtown" SGP: Puncher's Chance
Re-united and it feels so good! Both Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum are in line for big games against a vulnerable defense as they look to lead their team to another title.
Jaylen Brown finished with 26+ points in 50 of 71 games overall, including nine of 13 with Jayson Tatum in the lineup. Tatum went for 23+ points in nine of 16 games and 24+ in six of 16.
Brown’s career-best year as a facilitator should continue into the playoffs. He handed out 5+ assists in 35 of 71 appearances, and he reached that mark in eight of 13 games played with Tatum.
Tatum’s rebounding is through the roof this season, as he averaged 10 boards across 16 regular-season appearances. Tatum secured 10+ boards in 10 of 16 games and seven of nine at TD Garden. Without Embiid to patrol the paint, I expect Tatum to gobble up rebounds.
76ers vs Celtics SGP
Jaylen Brown Over 25.5 points
Jayson Tatum Over 23.5 points
Jaylen Brown Over 4.5 assists
Jayson Tatum Over 9.5 rebounds
76ers vs Celtics odds for Game 1
Spread: Philadelphia +12.5 (-110) | Boston -12.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Philadelphia +550 | Boston -800
Over/Under: Over 213.5 (-110) | Under 213.5 (-110)
76ers vs Celtics betting trend to know
The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.50 Units / 34% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for 76ers vs. Celtics.
How to watch 76ers vs Celtics Game 1
Location
TD Garden, Boston, MA
Date
Sunday, April 19, 2026
Tip-off
1:00 p.m. ET
TV
ABC
76ers vs Celtics latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - DECEMBER 03: Head Coach Mike Brown of the New York Knicks speaks to his team during a timeout against the Charlotte Hornets during their game at Madison Square Garden on December 03, 2025 in New York City. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Kenneth Richmond/Getty Images) | Getty Images
On focusing on the Knicks’ strengths: “Obviously, you respect what you’ve done all year. The neat part about it is we’ve faced a lot of different things. We’ve faced cross-matches, we’ve faced teams playing us the same, we’ve faced zone, we’ve faced box-and-1. So to be able to have those different looks throughout the course of the year has helped us work on us. You continue to understand what your strengths are and you try to go to your strengths more than anything else while focusing on some of the things they may possibly do.”
On preparing for Hack-A-Mitch: “We’ve talked about it. We have different things in mind that we’ll do. A lot of them will come down to time and score and feel. But we understand that’s what teams may want to do, especially if our offense is clicking at that point in time.”
On expecting cross-matches from Atlanta: “We’ve been cross-matched all year. We imagine they’ll go to that. We faced a lot of different defenses. They may try to cross-match and they may do some things — we’ve faced a box-and-1, we’ve faced a zone. We feel like we’re prepared for anything that they throw at us, so we’re looking forward to that challenge.”
On adjusting if Alexander-Walker gets hot: “He hit some tough shots, some amazing shots that he’s more than capable of doing. If he hits those shots again, you tip your hat off to him and you say, ‘Great job.’ Now, obviously, you have to be ready to mix in more blitzes or some of this or some of that throughout the course of the series if he’s going like that. Which we will be ready for that stuff.”
"You grow up your whole life wanting to play in the playoffs. Thanks to God that I've been able to be in the playoffs, I think it's my fourth year. It feels like it's time to get it done and finish it out the right way."
On the intensity of playoff basketball: “Playoffs are fun and real amped up and a lot of aggression, a lot of thinking. It’s just fun being in those games. The crowd and everything just goes up another level. So it’s always fun playing playoff games. Just trying to do whatever it takes to win.”
On raising his game in the postseason: “I would want to. I feel like every player would want to. I just try to be the best I can be and try to do whatever it takes to help the team win.”
On sacrificing within the offensive hierarchy: “Sacrifice for your brothers. Putting your body on the line, doing whatever it takes to make the play to help your teammates out.”
On playoff experience being part of his DNA: “That’s kind of what I’ve known. It’s kind of my DNA.”
On learning from last season’s loss: “I think just everything is a learning experience. Obviously, you’re not happy when you lose, especially when you’re close. But you take everything as a learning experience and build from it and learn from it.”
On ignoring outside noise: “I think what motivates us is just trying to be the best team we can be, honestly. Not really too worried what other teams have to do or what they do, we’re just so worried about ourselves and preparing for whoever we have to play, and it’s them. So we’re just worried about preparing and that’s really it, nothing else.”
On Brown vs. Thibodeau playoff prep: “I think they both prepare great. That’s what I take from it.”
On capitalizing on the playoff opportunity: “It’s great that we put ourselves in this position to be in the playoffs in this position. At the end of the day, the season doesn’t mean anything if we don’t capitalize on this opportunity. You can’t look to the future, you can’t look past an opponent. You can’t do any of that. The present is the most important thing. As long as we take care of the present, the future will be taken care of.”
Josh Hart
On being judged in the playoffs: “We made the playoffs. We had 50 wins, so that was good. We know we’re going to be judged by what we do starting now.”
Miles McBride
On the difference between Thibs’ and Brown’s coaching: “It’s a lot more digital, I’d say.”
“They had more experience than us… and they were like, nah, y’all running around thinking this is sweet. It ain’t sweet.” pic.twitter.com/17kCjHVDqy
— Cousins with Vince Carter & Tracy McGrady (@VinceAndTmac) April 17, 2026
Tracy McGrady
On the key for the Knicks to reach the Finals: “It starts on the defensive end. When they’re locked in and talking, they’re a different team. I’ve seen them have stretches where they look like a top five defense in the league, and that’s what it’s going to take. Good defense turns into better offense for this team. Offensively, they’ve got enough. It’s really just about balance. When Mikal gets going, it opens everything up because now you’ve got a few guys that can give you 20 any night. I like when they’ve got size on the floor too. Towns can space it, Mitch handles the paint, that’s tough to deal with.”
On what the Knicks need from Karl-Anthony Towns: “They need discipline and presence from him in every possession. He’s too skilled to fade in and out of games. I want to see him be aggressive, not just shooting 3s, but putting pressure on the rim, making defenses react. And defensively, just be solid. Contest, rebound, and don’t put your team in tough spots with fouls.”
On boycotting Atlanta rap artists during the first-round series: “We don’t want to hear no Atlanta artists right now. Time to show some New York solidarity.”
On New York bias vs. Atlanta bias: “When people say I have a New York bias, it’s an issue, but if I say you have an Atlanta bias, a down south bias, that’s OK. Any time we can show love and spotlight our city, especially when we need to band tougher, why not have the same pride in New York others have (in their regions)? It’s not bias, it’s just pride.”
On not having Atlanta artists in rotation hurting the most: “We could probably go 10 years without any Boston artists. I’d have an easier time not hearing artists from any of those cities than I would from any artists from Atlanta.”
PHOENIX, ARIZONA - DECEMBER 18: Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors handles the ball against Jordan Goodwin #23 of the Phoenix Suns during the first half of the NBA game at Mortgage Matchup Center on December 18, 2025 in Phoenix, Arizona. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images) | Getty Images
There was one assignment heading into Friday night against the Golden State Warriors that nobody really wants. Stephen Curry in an elimination game. That’s not a comfortable place to live.
And sure, this isn’t peak Curry. He’s banged up. He’s 38. But shooters don’t age out of danger. They find ways, and he was coming off a 35-point performance against the Los Angeles Clippers, with 27 of those in the second half. Along with Al Horford, he dragged his team into position for this game. That’s the reality with Curry. You can slow him for stretches. A few minutes, a quarter, maybe even a half. But shutting him down for a full game is rare. And when the Curry Flurry starts, you feel it, brace, and try to survive it.
It wasn’t a great defensive showing against Deni Avdija and the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday for Jordan Goodwin. He’s your point of attack defender, and he got targeted. Too often, Portland got downhill without much resistance. Some of that is on him. A lot of it is on the scheme behind him. He was left on an island with no lifeboat. There was no rim presence to clean it up. That’s a tough ask against a team committed to attacking the paint, and they took advantage.
His next assignment was Stephen Curry in an elimination game against the Golden State Warriors. High leverage, high pressure, no margin. And Goodwin delivered. He brought it defensively, stayed attached, and made things uncomfortable. On the other end, he found his moments. He knocked down open threes created by the gravity around him, impacted the game on the glass (especially with his work on the offensive boards), and was a menace generating turnovers.
The final stat line jumps off the page. What Jordan Goodwin did to Stephen Curry was a master class, and a big reason the Phoenix Suns are moving on to face the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Curry ended scoring just 17 points on 4-of-16 from the field and 3-of-10 from deep. 16 shots to generate 17 points? You’ll take that every day of the week. In his 7:04 minutes as the primary defender, Goodwin held Curry to 1-of-6 shooting across 33.4 possessions. One made three. One assist. One turnover. That’s elite work against one of the greatest to ever do it.
Steph Curry when being covered by Jordan Goodwin in the Play-In:
Offensively, Goodwin became the guy the Suns needed. That tierary punch. Because this team isn’t built to survive on Devin Booker and Jalen Green alone. You need that third voice, an unexpected scorer. Too often this season, whether it’s Royce O’Neale, Collin Gillespie, or Grayson Allen, it hasn’t shown up consistently. But when it does, it changes everything. That’s what Goodwin was. 19 points, 7-of-11 from the field, 4-of-7 from deep.
Then there’s the rebounding. It’s wild to watch a guard that size impact the glass the way Jordan Goodwin does. But it’s been there all season. He finds angles, carves out space, and beats bigger players to the spot. He did it again Friday night, pulling down nine boards (four on the offensive end) even with size on the floor like Al Horford and Kristaps Porziņģis.
And his peskiness was on full display as well. Goodwin snagged 6 steals, which would put him in some interesting company if this game were classified as a playoff game. But it is not. It’s a Play-In game, which is like purgatory. The games don’t count towards your regular season totals, and they don’t count toward postseason. If it were a postseason stat, only 4 other Suns in the history of the franchise have had 6+ steals in a playoff game. Kyle Macy (6, 1984), Charles Barkley (7, 1993), Jason Kidd (6, 1998), and Shawn Marion (6, 2006).
Basketball Purgatory Stat: Only 4 players in Suns' history have had 6+ steals in a playoff game:
“Massive at both ends. We can’t overstate his shot making, but to hold a guy like that (Stephen Curry), 3-of-10, 4- of-16, and then we talked possession, possession, possessions, he had four offensive rebounds and six steals,” head coach Joran Ott said of Goodwin after the game. “Where he started the season to now speaks volumes about who he is and what he’s becoming as a basketball player, super excited and happy he’s on our team.”
“I think that when we are at our best is when we are being aggressive,” Goodwin stated in the post-game presser. “Just go out there and try to set the tone on the defensive end, I know we got the guys who will set it on the offensive end. I am just trying to get us going a bit, get the ball in transition, get them guys going. Definitely just hanging my hat on it, taking on whatever matchup I got, just trying to do my best to make it difficult out there.”
Goodie is the first Suns player to record 19+ PTS, 9+ REB, and 6+ STL in ANY NBA GAME since Shawn Marion in 05-06. pic.twitter.com/63a2Xmposm
It’s not about the size of the dog in the fight. It’s about the size of the fight in the dog. Jordan Goodwin embodies that. He brings everything he has, every possession. He’s undersized, sure. But the impact is undeniable. What he did against the Golden State Warriors on Friday night went beyond the box score. It helped put an overachieving team into the postseason, which allows us to feel great about this season. Because of that effort, we get more time. More games. More chances to evaluate what this Phoenix Suns team can be.
It was a good night for Goodwin. It was a great night for Phoenix.
After running the table in the NBA Play-In, the Phoenix Suns are back in the playoffs, but standing in their way is the defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder.
My Suns vs. Thunder predictions expect OKC to dominate Sunday's series opener, fueled by another standout performance from their reigning MVP.
Before resting their players for the final week of the regular season, the Oklahoma City Thunder were clicking.
The Thunder had won seven straight contests, going 5-2 ATS before their skeleton crew dropped the last two regular-season contests. OKC is also 8-2 SU in its last 10 head-to-head matchups against the Phoenix Suns.
Expect the Under to cash, as Phoenix won’t be trying to speed things up — they capped off the season ranked 24th in pace. Meanwhile, the Thunder turned up the defensive pressure in the postseason last year.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been an MVP performer against the Suns this season, averaging 30 points per game and hitting half of his 3-point attempts. SGA also shot 51% on 2-pointers, an area where the Suns were weak this season, allowing opponents to shoot 56% from inside the arc.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
Hey there, Planeteers, we are back and dove into the two play-in games for the Phoenix Suns that helped them secure the eight seed. We also looked into the matchup against OKC, but mainly discussed our appreciation for this team and some of its players who have really shone. We hope you are as excited as we are about having at least four more games of Suns basketball to break down!
In an alternate universe, the first round NBA playoff series between the Los Angeles Lakers and Houston Rockets would be a star-studded affair, pitting some of the best in the game in an all-out slugfest. In reality, it now looks more like a triage center with most of the stars sidelined with injuries.
Late-season dings to hamstrings, obliques, and knees mean the opening salvo out west could be without Luka Doncic, Austin Reaves and the previously healthy Kevin Durant (questionable). That's potentially three stars watching Game 1 from the sidelines.
For the Lakers, that means being severely depleted in a series that now rests on the shoulders of the man who wears the crown. LeBron James (41) has been beating Father Time with Reaves and Doncic on the shelf, going 23 points and 9.2 assists over the last five games, helping the Lakers close out the season with three consecutive wins.
Here is what to know about the Lakers' injuries as they enter the series vs Houston:
Luka Doncic injury update
The Lakers have a huge hole in the lineup without Doncic, losing the 33.5 points, 8.3 assists and 7.7 rebounds per game he was averaging.
Suffering a hamstring injury on April 2, the Lakers have merely stated that the star is out indefinitely, not committing to whether the 27-year-old might return later in the first round.
Reaves was injured in the same April 2 blowout loss to the Thunder that Doncic was, suffering a Grade 2 left oblique muscle strain.
As noted above, Reaves shares the same outlook as his LA counterpart. He is out indefinitely and will not suit up for Game 1.
Kevin Durant injury update
The Rockets are not without their own maladies, albeit none as severe as LA's injuries. Kevin Durant was banged up a bit in practice this week. Now he is officially questionable for Game 1 after sustaining a right knee contusion.
LeBron James stats
It goes without saying that the Lakers absolutely need James to play a significant amount for the series, but we will say it anyway.
Over the last four games, the team has gone 3-1 with its two stars out. In that time, James has averaged 26.8 points per game and the team enjoys a +/- of 20 when he is on the court. When he is off, that drops to -7.
Not many are giving the Lakers a shot this series. But whether the underdog is to pull off an upset will be determined by whether LeBron can continue to conjure his vintage form.
Our NBA player prop projections are locked in for tonight’s Game 1 showdown between the Houston Rockets and Los Angeles Lakers, with the model highlighting several high-value spots across the board.
By breaking down the data and comparing it to current market lines, we’ve pinpointed where the strongest edges appear.
If you’re building out your card, here are the model’s top NBA picks for Saturday, April 18.
Rockets vs Lakers computer picks for April 18
Rockets
Lakers
Durant o24.5 points -110
James u25.5 points -115
Thompson o5.5 assists +110
Ayton u7.5 rebounds +100
Sengun u9.5 rebounds -130
Hachimura o1.5 3-pointers -150
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Rockets computer picks
Kevin Durant Over 24.5 points (-110)
Projection: 26.09 points
Kevin Durant has continued to defy Father Time all season, and with another playoff run underway for the Houston Rockets, he looks more than ready to elevate his game once again.
He’s cleared this 23.5-point line in eight of his last 10 games, showing consistent scoring form at a high level.
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Amen Thompson Over 5.5 assists (+110)
Projection: 5.5 assists
Amen Thompson has quietly settled into a steady facilitation role, clearing this 5.5 assists line in six of his last 10 games by consistently making the right reads within Houston’s offense.
He also benefits from Houston’s pace and athleticism, which naturally increases possessions and transition chances. If the Rockets push tempo and attack early in the shot clock, Thompson should find plenty of chances to rack up easy assists in semi-transition and broken-floor sets.
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Alperen Sengun Under 9.5 rebounds (-130)
Projection: 8.4 rebounds
The Rockets rank best in the league this season with 15.0 offensive rebounds per game, but Alperen Sengun could still find himself on the lower end of the rebounding line tonight.
He’s gone Under this 9.5-rebound mark in seven of his last 10 games, making it a tougher spot to trust him to consistently clear the number.
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Lakers computer picks
LeBron James Under 25.5 points (-115)
Projection: 22.7 points
Opposing starting power forwards have struggled from beyond the arc against the Houston Rockets this season, shooting just 21.7% from three—the lowest mark in the NBA.
That sets up as a difficult matchup for LeBron James, who will be forced to carry a heavier offensive load in order to clear this points prop tonight.
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Deandre Ayton Under 7.5 rebounds (+100)
Projection: 6.9 rebounds
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the second-worst offensive rebounding team in the NBA this season, and Deandre Ayton hasn’t been much of a factor on the glass lately.
He’s gone under this 8.5-rebound line in seven of his last 10 games, making it tough to trust him to consistently hit the Over.
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Rui Hachimura Over 1.5 3-pointers (-150)
Projection: 1.9 3-pointers
The Lakers have been elite from beyond the arc at home, knocking down 39.0% of their three-point attempts—third-best in the league over their last 25 games.
This matchup against Houston further boosts that outlook. When the Rockets are on the road, opposing starting small forwards have averaged the third-most made threes in the league (2.4 per game), putting Rui Hachimura in a strong position to capitalize and clear this Over.
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How to watch Rockets vs Lakers today
Location
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Date
Saturday, April 18, 2026
Tip-off
8:30 p.m. ET
TV
ABC, TSN4
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TORONTO, ON - NOVEMBER 24: Evan Mobley #4 of the Cleveland Cavaliers dribbles the ball against Scottie Barnes #4 of the Toronto Raptors during second half action at Scotiabank Arena on November 24, 2025 in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Andrew Lahodynskyj/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The Cleveland Cavaliers will look to begin the playoffs on the right foot as they take on the Toronto Raptors in Game 1 of the first round.
Share your thoughts as the game unfolds. If you aren’t a member of the community, sign up so you can talk to your fellow Cavalier fans and make your voice heard!
CLEVELAND (AP) — Toronto point guard Immanuel Quickley will miss Game 1 of the Raptors' Eastern Conference first-round series against the Cleveland Cavaliers on Saturday because of a mild right hamstring strain.
Quickley suffered the injury during the Raptors' regular-season finale against Brooklyn. The five-year veteran averaged 16.4 points, a career-high 5.9 assists and 4.0 rebounds in 70 games. He has scored at least 20 points in 20 games and recorded eight double-doubles.
Coach Darko Rajakovic said Quickley was making progress and didn't rule him out for Game 2 on Monday. Quickley also missed eight games from March 23 to April 5 because of plantar fasciitis in his right foot.
Jamal Shead is expected to start in Quickley's place. Shead, who is in his second season, started 12 games and is averaging 6.6 points and 5.4 assists per game.
Cleveland has ruled out Thomas Bryant because of a left calf strain.
The market is heavily backing the Houston Rockets here, giving them over an 80% chance to win. That’s a big number, which tells you how much respect the Rockets are getting right now.
Our prediction:Lakers to win
The Rockets are Game 1 road chalk, but if the Los Angeles Lakers are going to win at least one game in this series, it’ll be the opener.
LeBron James is fresh with a home-court edge, while the Rockets’ youngsters could shrink a little on the postseason stage. It wouldn’t shock me if L.A. comes out swinging Saturday.
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More Rockets vs Lakers prediction markets
You're certainly not limited to the main game outcome for Rockets vs. Lakers at Kalshi; you also have options to trade on the spread, total, and more, among other NBA odds markets.
You can buy either side of a market — for example, "Yes" on the Lakers +5.5 spread means the Lakers will cover, while "No" means the Rockets will cover — with each side priced based on the implied probability (which can be converted to American, Decimal, or Fraction odds using theCovers odds converter).
Rockets vs Lakers spread and total at prediction markets
Outcome
Yes
No
Lakers +5.5
48¢ (+100)
53¢ (-113)
Over 207.5 points
53¢ (-113)
48¢ (+100)
Our predictions:Lakers +5.5 — Yes and Over 207.5 points — Yes
The Lakers should cover because their half-court efficiency and ability to get to the free-throw line put constant pressure on a young Rockets defense that still struggles with discipline late in games.
The total should go Over 207.5 because both teams push pace more than people realize, and Houston’s improving offense combined with the Lakers’ transition scoring creates enough possessions to clear a modest number.
Other Rockets vs Lakers prediction markets available
LeBron James 25+ points (Yes: 57¢)
Alperen Sengun 6+ assists (Yes: 46¢)
Deandre Ayton 8+ rebounds (Yes: 56¢)
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Kalshi is a federally regulated U.S. exchange where you trade directly on the outcome of real-world future events. Instead of traditional bets, you trade "Event Contracts" which are simple Yes/No questions like "Will the Lakers win tonight?" These events are priced between $0.01 and $0.99, and the prices reflect the market’s estimated probability of that event occurring. For instance, $0.55 equals a 55% chance. If your prediction is correct, the contract pays out exactly $1.00; if not, it settles at $0. Kalshi is essentially a stock market for reality.
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The Los Angeles Lakers open the 2026 NBA Playoffs on Saturday night against the Houston Rockets, but the series comes with an uphill battle for Los Angeles. The Lakers will have to navigate it without NBA scoring champion Luka Doncic, who is sidelined with an injury.
The injury occurred on April 2 in a regular-season loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder. Doncic exited the game in the third quarter in visible pain. An MRI the following day confirmed a Grade 2 left hamstring strain, which ruled him out for the rest of the regular season. Before going down, Doncic was playing some of the best basketball of his career, leading the league with 33.5 points per game while averaging 8.3 assists and 7.7 rebounds per game.
Head coach JJ Redick confirmed on April 14 that both Doncic and Reaves are out indefinitely, offering no timeline on their return.
“They’re out indefinitely,” Lakers coach JJ Redick said. “I’m not going to have an update for you this week.”
The team has said they have no expectation of either player being back at any point in the first round, though they have not completely ruled out the possibility if the series stretches to six or seven games.
Doncic is officially out for Game 1 (hamstring). Head coach JJ Redick addressed the injury earlier in the week but did not give too much information, merely stating on Doncic and Austin Reaves (oblique), "They’re out indefinitely,” Lakers coach JJ Redick said. “I’m not going to have an update for you this week.”
How to watch Los Angeles Lakers vs. Houston Rockets Game 1
Rockets
Lakers