Spurs Regular Season Recap, Part 4: A new title contender is born

Mar 6, 2026; San Antonio, Texas, USA; San Antonio Spurs forward Victor Wembanyama (1) reacts with teammates forwards Carter Bryant (11) and Julian Champagnie (30) and guard Devin Vassell (24) after securing a comeback victory over the Los Angeles Clippers at Frost Bank Center. Mandatory Credit: Scott Wachter-Imagn Images | Scott Wachter-Imagn Images

The Spurs are headed to the playoffs for the first time since 2019, with Game 1 against the Portland Trail Blazers set for 8 PM CT on Sunday. In the meantime, we’re looking back one of the best regular seasons in franchise history.

In Part 1, we reviewed the first part of the season, whuch featured a strong start despite missing De’Aaron Fox to start the season and Victor Wembanyama for 12 straight games. In Part 2, we recalled their memorable and arguably season-defining stretch in the second half of December, which featured Wemby’s return and a Cup Semi-finals win plus two more in a 12-day span against the defending champion Thunder, officially putting the Spurs on the map. Finally, in Part 3, we looked at their one rough patch of the season during the month of January, but in hindsight, it may have actually been a character-defining stretch, and that showed at the turn of the month, where we’re kicking off today.

Part 4: February 1 – April 12 (29-4)

On paper, the Spurs’ home win against the Orlando Magic on February 1 simply met expectations. They beat a decent but inferior opponent by nine points, but there was a lot more context that made this game a turning point. They went through a lot just to play that game, having been trapped in Charlotte the night before due to a snow storm, and when they finally started heading back to San Antonio the day of this game, they had to make an emergency landing in Atlanta due to mechanical issues with their plane (which players admitted was a scary situation). It would have made sense for the NBA to just postpone the game (or better yet, have postponed the Charlotte one and not even put the Spurs in that situation), but instead it got pushed back a mid-afternoon game to a night one, and the Spurs had to go straight to the arena from the airport.

They would have been forgiven for being too tired and dropping this one, but instead, they showed grit and fight to pull out the exhausting win, which ended up being a character-defining moment and kicked off one of their best extended stretches in franchise history. It started their first 11-game win streak since 2016, which ran all the way through February — making the Spurs the first team to have an undefeated month while scoring 110 or more point in every game — to the penultimate game of the Rodeo Road Trip (which started/ended a week later than usual).

That run featured many memorable games, including consecutive 40-point games from Stephon Castle and Wemby against the Mavs and Lakers, respectively, with Castle’s performance also being triple-double.

But perhaps the two wins that showed the Spurs had not only returned to their December form but had officially “arrived” as contenders came against the same team: one as they started the second leg of the RRT after their two Austin games, and the other in their “return home from the RRT” game against the East’s top seed: the Detroit Pistons. Not only did the Spurs convincingly win both of those games (both were close, but the Spurs were always in control), led by 28 points from Devin Vassell in Detroit and 38 from Wemby in San Antonio, but it helped squash the narrative that they couldn’t handle physical teams.

The Spurs ran away with the second seed in the West from there (albeit unable to catch the similarly hot Thunder for the top seed), but there were plenty more thrillers along the way. One came the very next night, when an exhausted Spurs team faced Kawhi Leonard and the Clippers for the first time this season. It seemed the Spurs had nothing left in the tank and found themselves down by as much as 25 early in the second half before a massive rally back to steal the game, including two huge buckets from Wemby in the final minute, in both cases to retake the lead, followed by some free throw drama. It was such a physically and emotionally draining game that it literally had Wemby in tears afterwards.

Probably much to every Spurs fans’ satisfaction, they would go on to sweep the season series against the Clippers, and Kawhi’s team would lose in the play-in while his future with his desired club is up in the air due to the Aspiration scandal. For the first time in 8 eight years, it finally feels like karma is back on the Spurs side, and we have officially moved on from the destruction his actions brought upon the franchise.

Another memorable game was a chaotic win against a then-potential first round opponent (but not anymore) and thorn-in-the-side Phoenix Suns team on March 19. The Suns led most of the way before the Spurs made another fourth quarter comeback, and this time it was a Wemby jumper with 1.1 sec left that sealed the deal. While not officially a buzzer-beater, it was the first go-ahead game winner of his career.

In all, the Spurs went an unprecedented 29-4 to close the season, and coming together during the RRT followed by strong Marches have always been a calling card of the Spurs championship teams, so it’s good to see them returning to a formula that has always been successful. If there was one concern in that stretch, it was three of the losses were to a Denver Nuggets team that will likely be their second round opponent. The good news is Wemby only played in one of them — an OT loss in Denver — and even without him the other two were close, but it was especially frustrating in the regular season finale when Nikola Jokic only played in the first half and the Spurs had a chance to knock them back to the 4th seed and to the Thunder’s side of the bracket.

Regardless, the Spurs came into this season with the play-in or a lower playoff seed seeming like a reasonable goal, and they far exceeded those expectations. They still have to prove themselves in the playoffs, but the only thing that could make this season a bust at this point would be a first round upset, which seems unlikely (*knock on wood). They may or may not need that “learning” year (i.e. experiencing and learning from a playoff loss) before they can truly chase a championship, but the bottom line is this has been far and away a better regular season than any of us could have asked for, and it has been so much fun going back through it.


We will have more on the opening round match-up against the Blazers while we patiently wait for Sunday evening to get here, and in the meantime be sure to tell us about more of your favorite memories from this season!

Warriors’ Steve Kerr calls Draymond Green the ‘best defender’ he’s ever seen

INGLEWOOD, CALIFORNIA - APRIL 15: Kawhi Leonard #2 of the LA Clippers controls the ball against Draymond Green #23 of the Golden State Warriors in the first half of an NBA play-in tournament game at Intuit Dome on April 15, 2026 in Inglewood, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images) | Getty Images

In today’s Dub Hub:

For their 126-121 win over the Los Angeles Clippers in the Play-In Tournament, the Golden State Warriors leaned on their defensive anchor Draymond Green to set the tone, and he delivered one of his best performances of the season. While Steph Curry and company carried the offense, Green controlled the game on the other end — something head coach Steve Kerr has seen enough of throughout his career to make a bold proclamation.

“He’s the best defender I’ve ever seen in my life,” Kerr said. “It’s just insane what he does out there.”

Tasked with slowing down Kawhi Leonard, Green set the defensive tone early and never let up, denying the ball, forcing tough looks, and doing all the little things that don’t always show up in the box score. He held Leonard to 21 points — including just two in the fourth quarter — while forcing a pair of clutch steals in the game’s final possessions.

On a recent episode of The Draymond Green Show, Green broke down one of those clutch steals, explaining how he read Leonard’s move before it happened and jumped the play — a glimpse into the anticipation and IQ that define his hall-of-fame defense.

Green may frustrate Warriors fans at times, but games like this are why Kerr’s words carry so much weight. So, coming from someone who has seen great defenders like Michael Jordan and Scottie Pippen up close, that praise means even more.

For more on this and other news around the NBA, here is our latest news round-up for Friday, April 17th:

Warriors News:

With Steph Curry and Draymond Green cooking, Warriors’ Play-In win had vintage vibes | The Athletic

And Green did it while battling illness. His congestion was severe enough to warrant a chest X-ray. Before the game, he needed a nebulizer to help him breathe. When he subbed out in the first quarter, Green had both hands on his head, too fatigued to hide it. Still, he stayed glued to Leonard and, when a screen forced a switch, Green peppered Leonard with aggressive blitzes and double-teams. Leonard spent most of the game on his back foot and looked downright passive in the fourth quarter.

It was Green’s force of will. His high basketball IQ. His toughness. His experience and mastery of his own skills. His insatiable appetite for proving his worth.

Three keys to Warriors defeating Suns in win-or-go-home NBA play-in game

In LA, the Warriors set a record of 19 threes in a play-in game. The Warriors had five players who made multiple threes, led by Steph Curry’s seven, and the Clippers only had two players make more than one three. Golden State should be able to use the 3-ball to its advantage this game, too. 

From an accuracy standpoint, the Warriors didn’t light up the 3-point line this season against the Suns. They shot 36.2 percent, yet they also made 18 more threes than the Suns. The Warriors won the 3-point battle in all four games, and the one that was closest happened to be their one-point loss. 

The Suns’ defense was as good as it gets guarding 3-point shooters this season. Not against the Warriors, though. Let’s see what happens with the playoffs looming.

Former Warrior Chris Paul posts after Golden State beat the Clippers

NBA News:

Luka Doncic, Cade Cunningham awards eligible; Edwards denied | ESPN

One player did go the route of challenging the rule with an arbitrator: Minnesota Timberwolves guard Anthony Edwards, who played in 60 games this season. The arbitrator denied Edwards’ case, however, and he will not be eligible for end-of-season awards.

“Anthony and I appreciate the PA appealing his case,” Edwards’ business manager Justin Holland said in a statement to ESPN. “For me personally, I’m a bit confused at the clemency for Cade who missed time for something that happened on the court, and not Ant, who missed time for an infection, but ultimately you already know Ant isn’t trippin over it AT ALL.”

NBA reveals full first round playoff schedule

In case you missed it at Golden State of Mind:

Dillon Brooks wished for the Warriors. Tonight, his wish is granted

Dillon Brooks looked reporters dead in the eye Wednesday night, heard the question about who he wanted to face in the play-in, and answered with his deepest wish.

“Steph and Draymond. That’s it. And Steve Kerr.”

Man called his shot. Respect the confidence. I can’t blame him, the Golden State Warriors (specifically those three legends) have put Brooks through multiple displays of public basketball humiliation.

A post to end the week:

Follow @unstoppablebaby on X for all the latest news on the Golden State Warriors.

Jayson Tatum is ready for the playoffs

BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS - APRIL 05: Jayson Tatum #0 of the Boston Celtics dribbles down the court during the first half against the Toronto Raptors at TD Garden on April 05, 2026 in Boston, Massachusetts. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Jaiden Tripi/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Jayson Tatum wasn’t sure he was going to be here.

“I get the opportunity to be a part of this team and play in the playoffs — I couldn’t be more grateful,” Tatum said at his media session on Friday.

“I think there’s just more of a sense of gratitude than ever. Not that I ever took it for granted but when something is taken away from you, it just means a little bit more.”

It was just eleven months ago that Tatum fell to the Madison Square Garden floor in Game 4 of last season’s Eastern Conference Semifinals with a torn Achilles.

It has been a long journey for Tatum to get back to this point, some of which you can watch in his mini-documentary, The Quiet Work.

Not even a year after the injury, he needs to be ready for the grind that is the NBA Playoffs so the Celtics can make another run at a championship.

“I’m ready, it’s part of the progression,” Tatum said. “I started on a minute restriction and every couple of games it would go up as we geared up for the playoffs.”

Has JT surprised himself with how well he has played in his return from injury?

“Short answer would be ‘yes,’ but with that there is the quick turnover of wanting more. When you (are) not 100% yourself yet — it’s only been 16 games — it can be frustrating at times but you gotta take a step back and be proud of what you accomplished of just coming back. Everything on top of that has been icing on the cake.”

He was also asked if he feels like he is entering his prime. “I just turned 28… yeah.”

“I’m excited,” Tatum said on how he felt emotionally heading into Game 1 on Sunday. “My perspective has changed these last 48 weeks. When I got injured, there was a lot of uncertainty. The playoffs were not a sure thing. You know, now that I get that opportunity (to play in the playoffs again), I couldn’t be more happy.”

The last question Tatum was asked was about the connection of this Celtics team and how they are working on said connection heading into the playoffs.

“It takes place every day,” JT said. “Going through it and winning a championship. You (are) trying to get a little bit better every single day, that’s what the really special teams do.”

Where to watch Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns NBA play-in tournament: Live stream, start time, TV channel, odds for Friday, April 17

The Golden State Warriors and the Phoenix Suns meet in an elimination play-in game with a trip to the playoffs on the line. The winner will get the Western Conference’s No. 8 playoff seed and a first-round series with the Oklahoma City Thunder. The loser’s season ends.

  • Golden State Warriors: Beat Los Angeles Clippers 126-121 in play-in tournament.

  • Phoenix Suns: Lost to Portland Trail Blazers 114-110 in play-in tournament.

  • Spread: Phoenix Suns -3.5

  • Moneyline: Phoenix Suns -160 (59.1%) / Golden State Warriors +135 (40.9%)

  • Over/Under: 219.5

Warriors vs Suns Props & Best Bets for Today

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The battle for the final spot in the NBA's Western Conference playoff picture gets settled tonight, when the Golden State Warriors visit the Phoenix Suns.

A vintage Steph Curry performance could be in the cards in a high stakes environment, so it's no surprise I'm targeting him into our Warriors vs. Suns predictions for Friday night.

Check my favorite Warriors vs Suns props, and my free NBA picks below.

Best Warriors vs Suns props

PlayerPickbet365
WarriorsSteph CurryOver 27.5 points-120
SunsDevin BookerOver 26.5 points-105
WarriorsAl HorfordOver 1.5 3-pointers-110

Prop #1: Stephen Curry Over 27.5 points

-120 at bet365

At this point, the makeup of the Golden State Warriors is so bad that Steph Curry needs to be close to supernova just for his team to have a chance to win.

After taking a hard hit early against the Clippers, Curry clutched up, scoring 27 of his game-high 35 points in the second half, erasing a 13-point fourth quarter deficit and sending LA packing in a 126-121 masterpiece.

That's the most points and most minutes he's played in the five games he's suited up for since returning from a knee injury.

He's scored at least 28 in two of his last three against the Phoenix Suns, and he should be north of that with his team in a do-or-die situation again.

Prop #2: Devin Booker Over 26.5 points

-105 at bet365

There's just no world where Jalen Green should have taken 12 more field goal attempts than Devin Booker in a biggie matchup (29 to 17) like he did in the Suns' loss to Portland.

With the chance at the 7-seed now gone, this has to be an empty-the-tank game for Booker, or this feel-good Suns story ends with a disappointing thud in the play-in.

Prior to this game, Book had gone for at least 31 in five of the last six, and he's been unstoppable against the Dubs of late.

Booker is averaging 30.6 points, 5.2 assists, and 2.8 rebounds over his last five matchups, and he's scored at least 27 points in seven of his last 10 against them.

Prop #3: Al Horford Over 1.5 3-pointers

-110 at bet365

Bottom line: Steph Curry doesn't get to do his heroics if Al Horford doesn't go Splash-Cousin in the 4th quarter against the Clippers.

Horford drilled all four of his 3-point attempts in the frame to get the Dubs in the picture before Curry drove the nail in the coffin.

Not exactly sure this was going to be his role for the Dubs, but he's one of the few non-Steph guys that's producing.

Horford has a generous 1.5 make line tonight, and he's topped that total eight times in his last 11 games, and in three of his last four against Phoenix. 

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3 matchups that could swing the Lakers’ odds against the Rockets

HOUSTON, TEXAS - MARCH 16: LeBron James #23 of the Los Angeles Lakers defends Kevin Durant #7 of the Houston Rockets during the game at Toyota Center on March 16, 2026 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Kenneth Richmond/Getty Images) | Getty Images

With the dust settled on the regular season, the Lakers now turn their attention to the playoffs and their first- round matchup with the Houston Rockets.

Despite having a better record and home-court advantage over their Western Conference counterpart, Los Angeles is projected to be a large underdog in the series. That’s the harsh reality of losing both Luka Dončić and Austin Reaves to injury. But these are the cards they have been dealt and work with if they hope to extend the season long enough for their star backcourt to return. 

Even without Dončić and Reaves in the fold, there will still be plenty of intrigue and storylines surrounding the series.

Among them are lofty expectations for unexpected players, a center with much to prove, and a potential final encounter between two legendary forwards. So let’s take a look at who and what may decide the winner. 

How will the Lakers’ guards fare against the Rockets’ perimeter defense?

The natural first response to the Lakers losing both Dončić and Reaves ahead of the playoffs was to question how they could ever replicate their production. 

From a raw numbers perspective, the Lakers are missing a combined 56.8 points and 13.8 assists from their lineup. And from an intangible perspective, the gravity and creation ability lost can not go overlooked.

Yes, LeBron James will be looked upon to shoulder this weight (more on that later). But the Lakers will need meaningful contributions from everyone, specifically their other guards, if they hope to improve their odds of advancing. 

The two players who are most likely to be tasked with stepping up are Luke Kennard and Marcus Smart. 

These aren’t the names fans envisioned that their postseason hopes would rest on. Yet, the duo is the only option left. Fortunately, both have shown the capability to take on more responsibility when given the chance. 

Since joining the team, Kennard has proved he is much more than just a shooter. His knack for attacking closeouts, driving to the rim and flashing passing chops are reasons why he has been an invaluable blender starter

Those ancillary skills have only continued to pop as Kennard has upped his usage (+8.3%) and assist (+16.9%) rates significantly since Dončić and Reaves have been out.

While Kennard should get plenty of on-ball reps against Houston, the Lakers may lean on Smart even more

HOUSTON, TEXAS – MARCH 18: Marcus Smart #36 of the Los Angeles Lakers drives to the basket against Tari Eason #17 of the Houston Rockets during the game at Toyota Center on March 18, 2026 in Houston, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Kenneth Richmond/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The veteran guard has become a fan favorite thanks to his stingy defense, impressive on/off numbers and role as a connector on offense. With Smart’s history as an on-ball player on the Celtics, the Lakers will try to tap back into his previous experience handling playmaking responsibilities in the short term.

Smart dished out 10 assists in the Lakers’ season finale as he worked himself back into the groove of things after previously missing nine games. It was an encouraging proof of concept. However, it is important to contextualize it came against a lowly Utah Jazz and not a Rockets’ squad with piranhas on the perimeter.

Spearheaded by the breathtaking defense of Amen Thompson, the Rockets also equip a slew of rangy and feisty options to sic on the Lakers’ ball-handlers.

“They’re going to try to come in and punk us,” Smart said of the Rockets’ physicality. “And if you will allow that, you will be punked. And I don’t think we have any guys that are going to be punked on this team.”

Protecting the ball will have to be a point of emphasis, as Houston was one of the most consistent teams at shutting off the water against opposing first options. They were sixth-best in defending isolations and fourth in checking the ball-handler in the pick and roll, according to league tracking data. Collectively, they also had the third-stingiest half-court defense.

Kennard’s trademark shooting and Smart’s defense will still need to remain staples to their games. But how effectively they can do a little of everything else — especially against a fierce opponent — could make the difference.

Can Deandre Ayton hold his own on both ends?

After getting mauled by the Minnesota Timberwolves in the playoffs last year, the primary objective for the Lakers in the offseason was to add more size. Namely, finding a starting caliber center. 

While his individual performance has waxed and waned this year, Deandre Ayton has mostly shored up that glaring need. However, as has been the case throughout his career, one can not help but long for more when it comes to Ayton’s play. 

That feeling can’t be the case against the Rockets. The postseason is why the Lakers signed Ayton. And it will benefit both sides if the postseason is where Ayton performs his best on both ends.

On defense, Ayton will get the lion’s share of minutes guarding Alperen Şengün. It’s a tough matchup for anyone. The talented and versatile big man has presented challenges for the Lakers dating back to Anthony Davis’ tenure with the team. 

Şengün averaged 20.5 points (77.7% true shooting), 8 rebounds, 7 assists, and was a+15.5 in the boxscore in his two games against Los Angeles this season.

HOUSTON, TX – MARCH 18: Deandre Ayton #5 of the Los Angeles Lakers drives to the basket during the game against the Houston Rockets on March 18, 2026 at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Michael Gonzales/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

With Şengün’s improved ability to space the floor and acting as the trigger man in the Rockets’ dribble handoff sets, Ayton will have to be nimble enough to hang on the perimeter while staying sturdy enough to bang with him in the paint. 

Beyond playing stout defense, Ayton will also need to make Şengün work on the other end as well. 

After his polarizing comment about the Rockets’ other big, Clint Capela, went viral, Ayton did little to back up his gusto during the team’s regular-season meetings. He notoriously grabbed only two rebounds in their first matchup and averaged just 5.7 boards and 11 points across three games.

Given Houston’s historic rebounding prowess and bulky front court, Ayton will have to be on his game every night.

He doesn’t need to outplay Şengün or be the best center in the series for the Lakers to win. But he does need to be engaged and able to hold his own.

Will LeBron or KD have a bigger impact?

After years of interweaving in and out of each other’s careers, the basketball pendulum has finally swung LeBron James and Kevin Durant back into a collision. 

Three Finals meetings and 14 playoff contests later, James and Durant will square off once again. Perhaps for the last time. 

For as much as has changed in the NBA since their last battle, the expectations for James, 41, and Durant, 37, remain the same. Both will be looked upon by their respective teams to lead them, set the example and be the best player on the court. 

With his younger star teammates out, James has expectantly been asked to revert as the Lakers’ primary offensive hub. 

His 29.2% usage rate on the season (his lowest since 2004) has jumped up to a whopping 39.5% mark in the Lakers’ final four games without Dončić and Reaves. 

HOUSTON, TX – MARCH 18: Kevin Durant #7 of the Houston Rockets and LeBron James #23 of the Los Angeles Lakers looks on during the game on March 18, 2026 at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Michael Gonzales/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

While obviously not a sustainable recipe for success, it does paint a picture of how dire the Lakers’ scoring creation is expected to be without their starting backcourt.

How well James fares as both a scorer and playmaker could be the deciding factor in the series. The same applies to Durant. 

KD terrorized the Lakers from an efficiency standpoint (67.2% true shooting) in the regular season, but Los Angeles did a solid job containing him, as his 20.3 point average in those games could attest. 

This was accomplished by the Lakers exploiting Houston’s primary offensive weakness — a lack of ball-handling and shot creation. 

Like the Lakers, the Rockets find themselves sapped of perimeter offensive juice outside of Durant. Knowing this, head coach JJ Redick and staff were steadfast in their gameplan against Durant, often sending doubles, trapping and forcing the ball out of his hands in the half court.

This aggressive approach led Durant to average as many turnovers (4.7) as assists (4.7) against the Lakers this season. 

If Durant can shake free and or the rest of the Rockets help shoulder the scoring, it may be difficult for the Lakers to consistently keep one of the NBA’s most prolific offensive weapons contained. 

Like it has so many times before, the series may just come down to which of James or Durant can have the biggest impact. The pieces around them may be different, but the central figures of this era still find themselves front and center.

All stats courtesy of Cleaning the Glass unless otherwise stated. You can follow Alex on Bluesky at @alexregla.bsky.social.

Where to watch Charlotte Hornets vs. Orlando Magic NBA play-in tournament: Live stream, start time, TV channel, odds for Friday, April 17

The Charlotte Hornets and Orlando Magic in the NBA’s play-in tournament. The winner gets the Eastern Conference’s No. 8 playoff seed and a first-round matchup with the Detroit Pistons. The loser’s season ends. The Hornets beat the Miami Heat in a thrilling OT game while the Magic lost to the Philadelphia 76ers to set up Friday’s game.

  • Charlotte Hornets: Beat Miami Heat 127-126 in OT in play-in tournament.

  • Orlando Magic: Lost to Philadelphia 76ers 109-97 in play-in tournament.

  • Spread: Orlando Magic +3.5

  • Moneyline: Orlando Magic +140 (39.8%) / Charlotte Hornets -170 (60.2%)

  • Over/Under: 218.5

2026 NBA Playoffs: Bracket, schedule, scores, matchups for first round including Lakers vs. Rockets

The NBA Playoffs are here! Finally, games every night with weight and meaning. No more tanking — or worse yet, the endless discussion about tanking. Just teams putting their best five on the court, diving deep into strategy, and going all out to win.

Here are the playoff brackets and updated scores — plus the times and where to watch anything — starting with the first round. This story will be updated through the NBA Finals. Here's what you need to know.

When do the NBA Playoffs begin?

The first round starts on Saturday, April 18, with four games. Play in the first round will potentially continue into May (depending on whether a series goes seven games). The times and dates for the second round and the conference finals have yet to be set.

When do the NBA Finals begin?

The NBA Finals tip off on June 3, with the first game set for 8:30 ET (broadcast on ABC) at the arena of the Finals team with the better regular-season record (Oklahoma City has the best record overall in the league and would have home-court advantage against anyone in the Finals).

NBA Eastern Conference, Western Conference playoff bracket

NBA Playoffs Schedule 2026

All times are Eastern (* = if necessary).

First-Round Games

Eastern Conference

#1 Detroit vs. #8 Orlando/Charlotte

Game 1: Orlando/Charlotte at Detroit, Sunday April 19 (6:30 ET, NBC/Peacock)
Game 2: Orlando/Charlotte at Detroit, Wednesday April 22 (7 ET, ESPN)
Game 3: Detroit at Orlando/Charlotte April 25 (1 ET, NBC/Peacock)
Game 4: Detroit at Orlando/Charlotte April 27 (TBD)
* Game 5: Orlando/Charlotte at Detroit April 29 (TBD)
* Game 6: Detroit at Orlando/Charlotte May 1 (TBD)
* Game 7: Orlando/Charlotte at Detroit May 3 (TBD)

(2) Boston vs. (7) Philadelphia

Game 1: Philadelphia at Boston, Sunday April 19 (1 ET, ABC)
Game 2: Philadelphia at Boston, Tuesday April 21 (7 ET, NBC/Peacock)
Game 3: Boston at Philadelphia, April 24 (7 ET, Prime Video)
Game 4: Boston at Philadelphia, April 26 (7 ET, NBC/Peacock)
*Game 5: Philadelphia at Boston, April 28 (TBD)
*Game 6: Boston at Philadelphia, April 30 (TBD)
*Game 7: Philadelphia at Boston, May 2 (TBD)

(3) New York vs. (6) Atlanta

Game 1: Atlanta at New York, Saturday April 18 (6 ET, Prime Video)
Game 2: Atlanta at New York, Monday April 20 (8 ET, NBC/Peacock)
Game 3: New York at Atlanta, Thursday April 23 (7 ET, Prime Video)
Game 4: New York at Atlanta, April 25 (6 ET, NBC)
* Game 5: Atlanta at New York, April 28 (TBD)
* Game 6: New York at Atlanta, April 30 (TBD)
* Game 7: Atlanta at New York, May 2 (TBD)

(4) Cleveland vs. (5) Toronto

Game 1: Toronto at Cleveland, Saturday April 18 (1 ET, Prime Video)
Game 2: Toronto at Cleveland, Monday April 20 (7 ET, NBC/Peacock)
Game 3: Cleveland at Toronto, Thursday April 23 (8 ET, Prime Video)
Game 4: Cleveland at Toronto, April 26 (1 ET, ESPN)
* Game 5: Toronto at Cleveland, April 29 (TBD)
* Game 6: Cleveland at Toronto, May 1 (TBD)
* Game 7: Toronto at Cleveland, May 3 (TBD)

Western Conference

(1) Oklahoma City vs. (8) Phoenix/Golden State

Game 1: Phoenix/Golden State at Oklahoma City, Sunday April 19 (3:30 ET, ABC)
Game 2: Phoenix/Golden State at Oklahoma City, Wednesday April 22 (9:30 ET, ESPN)
Game 3: Oklahoma City at Phoenix/Golden State, April 25 (3:30 ET, NBC)
Game 4: Oklahoma City at Phoenix/Golden State, April 27 (TBD)
* Game 5: Phoenix/Golden State at Oklahoma City, April 29 (TBD)
* Game 6: Oklahoma City at Phoenix/Golden State, May 1 (TBD)
* Game 7: Phoenix/Golden State at Oklahoma City, May 3 (TBD)

(2) San Antonio vs. (7) Portland

Game 1: Portland at San Antonio, Sunday April 19 (9 ET, NBC/Peacock)
Game 2: Portland at San Antonio, Tuesday April 21 (8 ET, NBC/Peacock)
Game 3: San Antonio at Portland, April 24 (10:30 ET, Prime Video)
Game 4: San Antonio at Portland. April 26 (3:30 ET, ESPN)
* Game 5: Portland at San Antonio, April 28 (TBD)
* Game 6: San Antonio at Portland, April 30 (TBD)
* Game 7: Portland at San Antonio, May 2 (TBD)

(3) Denver vs. (6) Minnesota

Game 1: Minnesota at Denver, Saturday April 18 (3:30 ET, Prime Video)
Game 2: Minnesota at Denver, Monday April 20 (10:30 ET, NBC/Peacock)
Game 3: Denver at Minnesota, Thursday April 23 (9:30 ET, Prime Video)
Game 4: Denver at Minnesota, April 25 (8:30 ET, ABC)
* Game 5: Minnesota at Denver, April 27 (TBD)
* Game 6: Denver at Minnesota, April 30 (TBD)
* Game 7: Minnesota at Denver, May 2 (TBD)

(4) Los Angeles vs. (5) Houston

Game 1: Houston at Los Angeles, Saturday April 18 (8:30 ET, ABC)
Game 2: Houston at Los Angeles, Tuesday April 21 (10:30 ET, NBC/Peacock)
Game 3: Los Angeles at Houston, Friday April 24 (8 ET, Prime Video)
Game 4: Los Angeles at Houston, April 26 (9:30 ET, NBC/Peacock)
* Game 5: Houston at Los Angeles, April 29 (TBD)
* Game 6: Los Angeles at Houston, May 1 (TBD)
* Game 7: Houston at Los Angeles, May 3 (TBD)

Looking back at the Sixers’ regular season meetings against Boston

BOSTON, MA - MARCH 1: Tyrese Maxey #0 of the Philadelphia 76ers looks to pass the ball during the game against the Boston Celtics on March 1, 2026 at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Brian Babineau/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

The Philadelphia 76ers are set to begin their first-round playoff series against the Boston Celtics on Sunday. The Celtics are the odds-on favorite to reach the NBA Finals, so the Sixers are understandably huge underdogs to extend their season beyond the next four-to-seven games.

If there is any silver lining in this particular matchup, Philadelphia did fare reasonably well against the Celtics during the regular season, which we’ll examine a bit more in depth below. The two teams split the four games, each winning once at home and once on the road.

There are a few significant roster changes since those meetings in the regular season. For the Sixers, Joel Embiid is out indefinitely following appendicitis surgery; he appeared in two of the four games against Boston. Interestingly, Paul George did not play in any of the Boston matchups but will be on the floor for Game 1 in Boston.

For the Celtics, Jayson Tatum made his season debut on March 6 following Achilles surgery, which came after the final meeting with the Sixers. He has rounded into form lately and looks like a fair approximation of his old self, scoring at least 23 points in seven straight games and playing a season-high 40 minutes the last time he took the floor. Nikola Vucevic also joined Boston at the trade deadline, since playing minutes in the low-20s off the bench for Boston.

Now, let’s take a look at the four meetings this season.

10/22/25 – Boston, MA – Philadelphia 117, Boston 116

The Sixers started the season on a high note, just edging out the rival Celtics on the road in the opener. Philadelphia received 40 points and six assists from Tyrese Maxey, while VJ Edgecombe had a historically great rookie NBA debut with 34 points. Joel Embiid was extremely underwhelming, scoring just four points on 1-of-9 shooting in 20 minutes in his first game since the previous February. The Celtics received 25 points apiece from Jaylen Brown and Derrick White.

After Edgecombe missed a pair of free throws in the closing seconds (which hopefully didn’t end up spoiling his amazing overall performance), Payton Pritchard missed a couple shots at the end of the game to keep the Sixers in front.

10/31/25 – Philadelphia, PA – Boston 109, Philadelphia 108

Philadelphia was led by 26 points and 14 assists from Maxey. Embiid scored 20 points, while Kelly Oubre Jr. and Edgecombe each chipped in with 17 points. Boston was led by 32 points from Jaylen Brown.

This game was the one where the Sixers had the ball with a chance to win it and didn’t even technically get a shot off before the final buzzer. Everyone came at Nick Nurse pretty hard for the late-game decision-making in what was the Sixers’ first loss of the season.

11/11/25Philadelphia, PA – Philadelphia 102, Boston 100

This Sixers win was the most improbable result of the season series against Boston. Philadelphia was led by 22 points off the bench from Justin Edwards, who shot 5-of-6 from three. Andre Drummond, starting in place of Embiid, had 14 points and 13 rebounds. Jaylen Brown once again paced Boston with 24 points.

Oubre put back a bucket off an offensive rebound with eight seconds left to break the tie (ironically rebounding Edwards’ only missed three of the night). Then, Drummond played great defense to knock the ball away from Derrick White and force a wild shot in the final seconds.

3/1/26 – Boston, MA – Boston 114, Philadelphia 98

Here we have the only stinker of the four regular season meetings. Without Embiid and George, Maxey and Edgecombe led the offensive charge with a combined 56 points. Still, the defensive effort was lacking and there was no fight on the glass, most emphasized by Neemias Queta collecting 27 points and 17 rebounds. Jaylen Brown tied for team-high honors with 27 points of his own.

This game represents the realistic downside scenario for the Sixers in the postseason. Boston can spread the Sixers out and if Philadelphia’s defensive rotations aren’t crisp and the work on the glass is a problem, as it often has been, things could get away from them in a hurry.


Overall, there are encouraging signs from these games for the Sixers. The obvious one is that they are going to need a huge series from their starting backcourt. Both Maxey and Edgecombe had some very solid outings against Boston this year. Of course, Joel Embiid being sidelined is a gargantuan blow, but at the very least, the Sixers can go in with the knowledge that they’ve beaten Boston once this year without Joel and once when he had probably a negative impact on the court. Jayson Tatum is a much, much better player than Paul George at this stage of their careers, but everyone brings up “the Celtics now have Tatum” without mentioning “the Sixers now have George” in this matchup. PG has been great since returning from suspension and should at least be a big help in guarding either Brown or Tatum on the wings.

I don’t think the Sixers without Embiid have any real shot of getting past Boston in the first round, but I believe they could provide some fun moments and keep things competitive in extending this series to six games.

Rockets vs Lakers Same-Game Parlay for Saturday's NBA Playoffs Game 1

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Kevin Durant and LeBron James headline the upcoming first-round matchup between the Houston Rockets and Los Angeles Lakers.

Regardless of your fandom, don’t sleep on this Round 1 rumble. You’ll miss KD and LeBron when they’re gone, and in honor of this Hall of Fame pairing, my Rockets vs. Lakers predictions for Saturday’s series opener lean on both superstars.

Here are my best NBA picks for April 18.

Our best Rockets vs Lakers SGP for Game 1

Without Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves, oddsmakers aren’t giving the Los Angeles Lakers much of a shot in Round 1.

That said, if there was a game in which L.A. would show up, Saturday is it. Los Angeles is rested and ready for the Rockets, and LeBron always plays his best in the opener. The Houston Rockets' young stars could be a bit tight, having to start the playoffs on the road.

Kevin Durant hasn’t shown any signs of slowing down. He was a beast in the home stretch, averaging more than 27 points in the final 13 games of the regular season. His projections sit as high as 27+ points for Game 1 against a broken L.A. rotation.

Fading LeBron James’ assist prop is kind of a nod toward his scoring prowess. The Lakers' supporting roles are terribly inconsistent, especially against a good defense like Houston. James has been dishing out the dimes with Luka out, but he’ll have to carry this team with scoring in Game 1.

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Game Preview: Booker vs. Curry in a win-or-go-home Friday night finale

Apr 8, 2025; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Phoenix Suns guard Devin Booker (1) attempts to drive to the basket against Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) during the second half at Footprint Center. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images | Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

Who: Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors

When: 7:00pm Arizona Time

Where: Mortgage Matchup Center — Phoenix, Arizona

Watch: Prime Video

Listen: KMVP 98.7


So the season comes down to this. One game against the Golden State Warriors for the right to stay alive. For the right to earn the eight seed. For the right to face the Oklahoma City Thunder, the defending champions, and the best team in the league.

At first glance, it feels favorable. The Warriors limped to a 37–45 record and haven’t been playing their best basketball. But that surface read doesn’t hold for long. Because what they have can’t be measured in standings. They know who they are. They know how to win. The core of Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, and Steve Kerr has lived in these moments. Four championships together are unquantifiable. You saw it against the Los Angeles Clippers. Down double digits, they didn’t blink. They dropped 43 points in the fourth quarter and took control. That’s not luck. That’s experience.

So the record gets tossed. The late-season struggles get tossed. Because they have the one thing that travels in games like this. They have Curry.

For the Suns, it’s a shot at redemption. A chance to still reach the postseason after dropping the 7–8 game. No seven seed has failed to advance in the Play-In era. Phoenix doesn’t want to be the first. Standing in the way is a team that has given them problems, even if it’s been a while since they last met. None of that matters now. One game. One result. Season on the line.

Probable Starters

Injury Report

Suns

  • Grayson Allen — QUESTIONABLE (Left Hamstring Soreness)
  • Mark Williams — QUESTIONABLE (Left Foot Soreness)

Warriors

  • Jimmy Butler III — OUT (Right ACL)
  • Moses Moody — OUT (Left Patellar Tendon)
  • Kristaps Porzingis — QUESTIONABLE (Right Ankle Soreness)
  • Quinten Post — OUT (Right Foot Injury Management)

Tale of the Tape

All of the statistics listed below are post-All-Star break.

SUNSSTATWARRIORS
13-14Record8-19
110.5 (28th)PPG112.7 (27th)
109.7 (5th)OPP PPG118.2 (20th)
113.6 (17th)OFF RTG112.9 (19th)
113.1 (13th)DEF RTG118.2 (22nd)
35.7% (18th)3PT%34.2% (25th)
43.2 (19th)RPG41.9 (22nd)
24.0 (30th)APG28.9 (8th)
8.4 (16th)STL9.2 (10th)
37.5 (30th)/49.2 (11th)PITP/OPP PITP48.2 (21st)/52.3 (22nd)
18.0 (13th)/16.4 (10th)PTS OFF TO/OPP PTS OFF TO19.1 (10th)/19.8 (26th)
36.6 (19th)Bench Scoring45.8 (6th)

What to Watch For

It starts at the point of attack for the Phoenix Suns. That’s been the issue for two months now.

If you can’t contain the ball up top, everything behind it gets stressed. It puts pressure on guys like Mark Williams and Oso Ighodaro to protect the rim, and when they do, the defense collapses. That leads to kick-outs and open threes. Against the Golden State Warriors, that’s dangerous. They may sit 25th in three-point percentage since the All-Star break, but they’re 11th in makes. Volume matters. Give them space and they’ll make you pay. So while collapsing the defense has its place, it comes with risk.

On the other end, the Suns need to find the three-point line early. This is where their advantage lies. 18th in the NBA in three-point percentage since the break, Phoenix is 4th in makes at 15.0 per game. Golden State isn’t as long or as disruptive on the perimeter as the Portland Trail Blazers. That was Portland’s blueprint: keep Phoenix off the arc. It worked. The Suns didn’t hit their first three until midway through the second quarter.

That can’t happen again.

You want an early rhythm. Knock down a couple. Get the crowd engaged. Settle the building before the tension creeps in. Because it will. This is an elimination game. If the Suns fall behind, even briefly, that anxious energy will show up.

Key to a Suns Win

Control your emotions. You’re facing the Golden State Warriors, a group built on experience. They’ve lived in elimination games and understand the moment. They’re the more mature team.

The Suns are different. Phoenix is younger and more emotional. They’re in their emo phase, and my assumption is Fall Out Boy posters are all over their room. The team feeds off that energy, but it can swing on them fast. It needs to be controlled. Add Draymond Green into the mix, poking and prodding, and you can feel how this could tilt early. Don’t be surprised if a couple of technicals show up as officials try to keep it in check.

Devin Booker needs to show real leadership, especially the emotional kind. In a game like this, that means being the emotional beacon: the player who gives his teammates space to feel the moment while keeping his own emotions firmly under control.

We felt it on Tuesday, the way these games come in waves. There are runs and momentum shifts. The team that stays composed usually comes out on top. If the Suns are going to win, it starts there. Stay composed. Stay disciplined. Use emotion as a tool to impose your will.

Prediction

It hasn’t been a great track record against the Golden State Warriors this season, but I have confidence that this Phoenix Suns group has more depth. They can sustain scoring, keep pressure on throughout, and that matters against a team that isn’t elite defensively.

Because of that, I lean Suns. They find enough offense, they hold steady, and they get it done. Phoenix wins and moves on to the postseason. We have one amazing day of discourse before the reality of a matchup against OKC sinks in.

Suns 109, Warriors 101

Knicks fans can hurl eggs at comedian in Hawks garb in wild NBA playoff stunt

An image collage containing 2 images, Image 1 shows A young man in a blue

Knicks fans don’t have Trae Young to vilify anymore, but a new person will be getting the ire of the Madison Square Garden faithful on Saturday night when they host the Atlanta Hawks for Game 1 of the playoffs.

The Post has learned that there will be a stunt set up outside MSG where a comedian will be enclosed in a plexiglass case decked out in Hawks gear with a microphone to needle Knicks fans as they enter and leave the arena, beginning pregame at 5 p.m. ET and could last into the wee hours of the night

The stunt, put on by sports and prediction company Underdog, will include employees handing fans eggs and other projectiles to throw at comedian Andrew Weiss.

New York Knicks fans protest against the NYPD as they set up barricades to the Subway entrance after the Knicks’ win against the Indiana Pacers in Game 5 of Round 3, the Eastern Conference Finals. Angelina Katsanis

The Garden had not been notified of the upcoming stunt and is not involved. Parts of the sidewalks are public property, though they are maintained in part by Vornado Property Management.

A source told The Post that the Knicks had “no involvement” in this stunt.

NYC’s Street Activity Permit Office did not respond to multiple requests for comment about whether one was needed for such a stunt.

Win or lose, the comedian is slated to be there both pre- and postgame.

Knicks fans won’t need to target Trae Young any further. Angelina Katsanis
Outside of MSG will be some wild Knicks fans looking to settle scores with a Hawks fan. NBAE via Getty Images

Knicks fans are typically rather rambunctious outside the arena after playoff games, and their “F–k Trae Young” chants from the 2021 NBA Playoffs and beyond are part of Garden lore.

The stakes are notably higher this year. First-year Knicks coach Mike Brown’s group embarks on a massive playoff campaign in their first season without Tom Thibodeau.

The Knicks reached the Eastern Conference Finals and took the Pacers to six games last season, falling just short of making the NBA Finals.

Fans will be on pins and needles as they head into the arena, and perhaps will have some scores to settle after the game as well. Weiss will need to be in top form either way.

Playoff Preview: 3 Keys to Cavs beating Raptors

TORONTO, CANADA - NOVEMBER 24: Donovan Mitchell #45 of the Cleveland Cavaliers stands for the National Anthem before the game against the Toronto Raptors on November 24, 2025 at the Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2025 NBAE (Photo by Vaughn Ridley/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

The Cleveland Cavaliers are entering the 2026 NBA Playoffs with a chip on their shoulders. Before they can prove anything of substance and go the distance, they need to take care of business as the heavy favorites in their first-round series with the Toronto Raptors.

Here are three keys to making sure that happens. All stats are via Cleaning the Glass.

1. Control the Pace

The Cavs have a talent advantage in this series. But talent can only get you so far. Winning on the margins is often what determines outcomes. If you lose the mini-battles, you lose the series.

For Cleveland, losing control of the pace would be the quickest path to destruction.

Toronto finished the regular season 3rd in transition frequency. They scored over 20 points per game off fastbreaks. They also generated the fourth most turnovers in the league. These transition opportunities are huge for a team that finished 13th in offensive efficiency.

In short, this series favors the Cavs if they can keep this game in the halfcourt. How do you achieve that?

Taking care of the ball is the first step. Cleveland finished the season 8th in turnover percentage and was even better (6th) in the two months after acquiring James Harden. This will be key as the Cavs ranked 11th in transition defense post All-Star break, but struggled heavily in scenarios created off turnovers, finishing 20th off steals.

Then there’s the double-edged sword of attacking the offensive glass. On one hand, offensive rebounds can wear a team down and slow things significantly. On the other hand, coming up short on an offensive board will leave your transition defense more vulnerable. The Cavs have to play this carefully.

The Raptors finished 1st in transition frequency off live rebounds. However, they ranked 19th in keeping opponents off the offensive glass. Cleveland was 11th in offensive rebounding percentage. There’s an opportunity for the Cavs to burn or get burned here. I’ll be interested to see how they approach this.

Either way, a slower pace benefits Cleveland. Expect the Cavs to make this their top priority in round one.

2. Trust the Math

There isn’t much in the world that everyone can agree on. We can, however, agree that three is greater than two, right?

If my math is correct, then the Cavs once again have an advantage.

The Raptors finished 25th in three-point frequency and 18th in accuracy this season. They are… not a great perimeter team. Aside from scoring in transition, the Raps primarily made up for their lack of shooting by attacking the paint (9th in rim frequency) and mid-range (6th in mid-range frequency).

This is exactly the type of style that Cleveland’s defense prefers to go against.

The Cavs have always worked to run opponents off the line and force them to score from the middle of the floor. Difficult, inefficient two-pointers are preferable to three-point jumpers. This has been the basis of Cleveland being an elite defense in years past. It will be their blueprint for round one, too.

Brandon Ingram and Scottie Barnes will try their best to beat Cleveland from the mid-range. They’ll likely even have a game or two where they are red-hot from that zone. But this is a gamble the Cavs are willing to accept. The math says that Toronto will have a hard time winning four out of seven games by scoring in the mid-range.

The Cavs will trust that even the most prolific scoring performance from the mid-range will be something they can overcome with their own three-point shooting. Let’s talk more about that in our next section.

3. Score, Score, Score

I can’t blame anyone who might feel hesitant to trust Cleveland’s defense. After all, we spent most of the regular season watching them either be banged up or struggling to play with consistent effort. I’ll grant you that concern.

But this team should pack a strong enough punch offensively to make everything else in this series moot.

Lineups featuring James Harden had an offensive rating of 120.9 (87th percentile). Add Donovan Mitchell next to him, and those lineups had a scorching 125.7 offensive rating (98th percentile). You’re banking on that being enough to overcome anything in this first round, even a top-10 defense.

For reference, the Cavs ranked sixth in offensive rating against top-10 opponents after the All-Star break. The Raps ranked 21st.

The problem-solving capabilities of Harden and Mitchell make this possible. They can punish you in isolation, through their pick-and-roll dynamism with Allen and Mobley, or by spraying the ball to any of Cleveland’s various three-point specialists. They have a solution to anything a defense can throw at them.

And while we know that the guards can fill it up, the potential for either Mobley or Allen to control the paint is just as dangerous. These two hit their stride in the back half of the season and will put a heavy strain on Toronto’s frontcourt to keep them from racking up dunks.

Finally, X-Factors like Sam Merrill, Jaylon Tyson, Keon Ellis, and Max Strus can swing the entire series with their three-point shooting. Either one of them can heat up in a hurry and deliver a game-ending run.

All in all, the Cavalier offense has all of the tools needed to be an extinction-level threat to the Raptors. This is their greatest advantage in round one.

Hornets vs Magic Props & Best Bets for Tonight

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The Charlotte Hornets and Orlando Magic are in a battle for their NBA playoff lives.

Tonight’s NBA Play-In finale should be absolutely riveting, and my Hornets vs. Magic predictions and NBA props projections have found three potential mismatches to take advantage of.

Read on for my NBA picks for Friday, April 17.

Best Hornets vs Magic props

PlayerPickbet365
MagicWendell Carter Jr.Over 1.5 assists+100
HornetsMiles BridgesOver 1.5 threes +102
Hornets Kon KnueppelOver 2.5 threes-130

Prop #1: Wendell Carter Jr. Over 1.5 assists

+100 at bet365

As the Orlando Magic's starting center, Wendell Carter Jr.regularly serves as the offensive hub, with Orlando guards and wings cutting to the cup off his passes.

Our Covers prop projections have Carter dropping at least two dimes tonight, which is something he has done in three of his previous seven games. 

The Charlotte Hornets rank among the league's worst at defending big man playmakers, making this a prime opportunity for Carter to rack up the dimes.

Prop #2: Miles Bridges Over 1.5 threes

+100 at bet365

Miles Bridges has quietly become one of Charlotte’s most reliable 3-point threats.

With LaMelo Ball and Brandon Miller drawing constant defensive attention and creating open looks on the perimeter, Bridges benefits from some of the best kick-out opportunities on the team.

He’s knocked down at least four threes in four of his previous seven games and should get there again against Orlando.

Prop #3: Kon Knueppel Over 2.5 threes 

-130 at bet365

Kon Knueppel has been one of the more impressive shooting revelations for Charlotte this season. He’s drained the fourth-most threes in the NBA this season and is coming off a 0-for-6 stinker against Miami.

Our model expects a bounce-back shooting night, and Knueppel has made at least three threes in four of his previous seven games. 

I expect Orlando's defense to prioritize stopping Ball first, so I’ll back the rookie sharpshooter against the Magic. 

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Warriors vs Suns Win Probability at Prediction Markets Like Kalshi

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The Golden State Warriors and Phoenix Suns collide in a win-or-go-home showdown tonight, with the winner punching a ticket to the playoffs and the loser sent packing.

The Suns may be priced as favorites, but that number carries less weight in a win-or-go-home spot, where rotations shrink, stars take over, and variance swings harder than the market accounts for.

With prediction markets like Kalshi offering a sharper, real-time read on sentiment, we’re breaking down the latest Warriors vs. Suns predictions and best NBA picks for this high-stakes clash.

Who will win Warriors vs Suns?

Warriors win probability:43% (+133)
Suns win probability:59% (-144)

The Phoenix Suns come in as slight favorites at 59% (-144), while the Golden State Warriors sit at 43% (+133), setting up a tight game that will likely come down to which superstar — Devin Booker or Stephen Curry — takes over when it matters most.

Our prediction:Suns to win

Covers NBA expert Jason Logan says "The Suns are being discounted after running into a hot Portland squad on Tuesday, and the Golden State Warriors will show their age in a tough travel spot Friday."

Read more in Jason Logan's full Warriors vs. Suns predictions.

Start trading with Kalshi today!

Sign up now using our exclusive Kalshi promo code 'COVERS' and get a $10 trading bonus after you trade $10 on any other event contracts — including Warriors/Suns!

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More Warriors vs Suns prediction markets

You're certainly not limited to the main game outcome for Warriors vs. Suns at Kalshi; you also have options to trade on the spread, total, and more, among other NBA odds markets.

You can buy either side of a market — for example, "Yes" on the Suns -2.5 spread means the Suns will cover, while "No" means the Warriors will cover — with each side priced based on the implied probability (which can be converted to American, Decimal, or Fraction odds using the Covers odds converter).

Warriors vs Suns spread and total at prediction markets

OutcomeYesNo
Suns -2.553¢ (-113)48¢ (+108)
Over 218.5 points53¢ (-113)48¢ (+108)

Our predictions:Suns -2.5— Yes and Over 218.5 points — No

That potential for a faceplant isn’t the only reason I’m fading Golden State. The Warriors will now hit the road for the fourth time in eight days, which is a lot of wear and tear on the aging legs of Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Al Horford, and Kristaps Porzingis.

The Phoenix Suns, on the other hand, get to stay home and enjoy an added day of rest and prep. Phoenix is being discounted after running into a red-hot Portland squad in the Play-In and has shown an ability to bounce back from poor performances, going 22-15 SU and 21-16 ATS when coming off a loss.

Other Warriors vs Suns prediction markets available

  • Devin Booker 25+ points (Yes: 64¢)
  • Steph Curry 25% points (Yes: 70¢)
  • Draymond Green double-double (Yes: 17¢)

What is Kalshi and how does it work?

Kalshi is a federally regulated U.S. exchange where you trade directly on the outcome of real-world future events. Instead of traditional bets, you trade "Event Contracts" which are simple Yes/No questions like "Will the Suns win tonight?" These events are priced between $0.01 and $0.99, and the prices reflect the market’s estimated probability of that event occurring. For instance, $0.55 equals a 55% chance. If your prediction is correct, the contract pays out exactly $1.00; if not, it settles at $0. Kalshi is essentially a stock market for reality.

How does Kalshi differ from sportsbooks?

In a sportsbook, you bet against the bookmaker, who sets fixed odds and takes a "vig," which is a kind of commission. On Kalshi, you trade against other users. This peer-to-peer model means prices are driven by supply and demand, often resulting in fairer odds. Additionally, because these are financial derivatives, you can exit your position early. If your team takes a 14-point lead, the contract price will rise, allowing you to sell your "Yes" shares for a profit before the final whistle even blows.

Why should I wager on Warriors vs Suns at Kalshi?

Kalshi offers four unique advantages over traditional sportsbooks:

  1. Flexibility: Unlike a "locked-in" bet, you can sell your contract at any time.

  2. Transparency: You trade against other users, which can allow you to find better value.

  3. Federal regulation: As a CFTC-regulated exchange, your funds are held in a secure, transparent environment.

  4. Availability: Kalshi is available in 49 states (excluding Nevada) and D.C., including many regions where traditional sportsbooks aren't yet legal.

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