Celtics Mailbag: Legit contenders? Areas to improve, and more originally appeared on NBC Sports Boston
It’s been a frenetic and emotional — at least after all the hype in the build-up to Tuesday’s visit to see old friend Jaylen Brown and the Philadelphia 76ers — start to the 2026-27 season for the Boston Celtics.
Still, Boston arrived at its first extended break of the new campaign with an Eastern Conference-best 10-2 record. So how should we feel about that?
That was the biggest question when we asked a bunch of our Celtics group chats to send over their biggest queries through the first 12 games of the season.
So let’s rip open the Celtics Mailbag for the first time this season. We’ll get into what the two losses exposed, what Brad Stevens might actually need to shop for, and what the headband colors are telling us.
But we start with the question that gets a little harder to brush off with every win:
Have the Celtics established themselves as legitimate contenders through 12 games?
Look, it’s probably too early to make wholesale declarations about what this team is capable of when the postseason arrives. Even after dealing away Brown, many pundits suspected the Celtics would be a very good regular-season team. But it’s hard to argue with the early season numbers, including …
- Boston is 10-2 overall, best record in the East
- Ranks second in net rating (+13.4)
- Ranks top 10 in defensive (second, 105.6) and offensive (sixth, 117.4) rating
- A +12.2 point differential suggests a team on a 67-win pace
- 5-0 at home
- 10-1 against the conference
- 8-0 against teams under .500
The not-so-glossy numbers:
- Celtics are 2-2 against teams over .500
- Boston ranks 26th in strength of schedule
The best teams each season tend to take care of business at home and feast on inferior competition. You can only play the schedule as it’s drawn up. We’d feel better if Boston hadn’t fumbled away a 22-point lead in Detroit on opening night, or shown a little bit better in Houston despite playing on the second night of a back-to-back.
Basically, we’d sum it up like this: If you said the Celtics were going to be 10-2 after 12 games to start the season, particularly with three sets of back-to-backs and some crazy early season travel, we’d probably have taken it. Boston has only scratched the surface of its full potential, but there’s some very encouraging early trends, including Jayson Tatum’s play, Paul George’s availability, and positive contributions throughout the supporting cast.
Can we revisit the contender/pretender talk around Christmas?
What should be on Brad Stevens’ early-season shopping list?
We’ve seen a lot of way-too-early chatter about Boston’s trade needs, probably from people who put their Christmas tree up on November 1. We’re not judging you, but we’re kinda judging you.
One thing we do think is really important to keep in mind when we get closer to December 15 and the unofficial start of NBA trade season: The Celtics have heavy motivation to remain under the luxury tax for a second straight season, which would reset pesky repeater penalties and give Stevens an opportunity to potentially splurge a bit next summer.
The Celtics currently sit less than $2 million below the tax line, meaning something as simple as filling the vacant 15th roster spot would stress their budget. There’s still pathways to bigger tinkering, but it would likely require sending out some of Boston’s non-minimum salaries to add an impact player.
We do think that, given the glut of wing talent and only so many minutes to go around, even in instances where the Celtics prioritize rest for veteran players, there should be consideration of consolidating if a particular need exists elsewhere on the roster closer to February.
The roster, otherwise, is about as balanced as the Celtics have been in recent seasons. We wouldn’t suggest there’s an obvious need through 12 games. Some will lust for players that either 1) Put pressure on the rim or 2) Can simply take stress off the Tatum/George combo. Alas, those players routinely command salaries that Boston would struggle to absorb, even if willing to move on from core talent.
The bigger priority right now should be getting Mitchell Robinson comfy here, and figuring out the youngest players the team should lean into.
Matthew J. Lee/The Boston Globe via Getty ImagesDid Detroit and Houston expose anything that Boston needs to get better at?
Good teams narrow your margin for error. So the Celtics might be able to survive their miscues and steal an overtime win against the Nets, but lose your way for six minutes against Detroit, then you’ve fumbled away a 22-point lead and the game.
We could playfully distill it down to Boston thriving whenever there’s not a Thompson twin on the other side of the court. But what that probably suggests is that, when there are defenders that can challenge Tatum, it certainly puts a greater stress on the supporting cast to shoulder the scoring load.
In those instances, the Celtics need Payton Pritchard and Derrick White to be great, even against teams that might have the size and physicality to make both guards uncomfortable.
That said, Boston acquitted itself well in wins over New York and Philly, two teams with incredibly skilled starting fives. The schedule gets a bit more challenging through the end of November, though Boston might benefit from the fact that opponents will be dealing with some schedule difficulty or managing injuries.
A little end-of-the-month NBA Cup showdown with Atlanta should be fun, and there’s a visit to Wemby and the Spurs right after. If the Celtics qualify for Cup quarterfinals (or beyond), we’ll learn a bit more about how this team fares against top-level competition.
Eric Hartline-Imagn ImagesIf a playoff series started tomorrow, which young wing would you trust most?
The answer here is Baylor Scheierman. One of the stories we have in draft mode is basically how even with all these crazy analytics we pour over every day, we still can’t properly quantify Scheierman’s impact. If you could lead the league in “being in the right spot on both ends of the floor,” we think he’d be among the league leaders. If you could quantify a higher-level hustle play — breaking up an alley-oop attempt with a deflection out of bounds, or starting a fast break by passing from the floor after recovering a loose ball — then Scheierman’s stat line would pop a bit more. His basketball IQ is simply off the charts, and it makes him super impactful even when he’s not shooting (though his 3-point percentage might beg that he hoist even a few more).
Hugo Gonzalez has had his moments. He was insanely active in that Philadelphia game. He’s defending 22 shots per 100 possessions when he’s on the court, which ranks in the 99th percentile for his position. Opponents are shooting 7.1 percent below expected on the shots he does defend, one of the best marks among all Boston players. You can make a strong case that Boston should continue to accelerate Gonzalez’s development by carving out even more minutes for him.
Jordan Walsh has benefited from his starting minutes, and the confidence is growing on the offensive end. The Celtics have a real luxury with their wing depth but, when the games really matter in the postseason, we’d probably yearn to see Scheierman and Gonzalez dominating those minutes.
Who’s getting to the rim when Jayson Tatum sits?
The Celtics rank dead last in the NBA with only 51.1 drives and 25 drive points generated per game. This is not wholly unexpected. You trade away Jaylen Brown, and you’ve got Tatum still learning to trust his body to attack the basket, and that number was always going to project low with a roster built heavy on 3-point shooting.
What it does demand is that, regardless of opponent, the Celtics need Payton Pritchard in attack mode. He’s second on the team with 11.8 drives per game (Tatum is at 14.5). The encouraging number: Pritchard is shooting 46.7 percent on 3.8 field goal attempts off drives per game, and generating 1.2 assists off drives per game. The Celtics simply need him and Derrick White (8.8 drives per game) to put pressure on the rim regardless of Tatum’s on-court status. White seems to have found his floater, which is a very encouraging sign.
The Celtics don’t need to drive just to drive. But we know how important paint touches can be to creating opportunities for shooters. It’s something to monitor, especially if the team downshifts and settles for perimeter looks when the offense sputters. That’s when they need to embrace attack mode a bit more.
Can Paul George be the No. 2 on a contending team at age 36?
George is putting together an All-Defense-caliber season as one of the league leaders in deflections and steals. He’s 11th in the East in scoring at 22 points per game. Would it be wild to suggest he’s an early All-Star candidate based on Boston’s hot start and the way his two-way impact has helped fuel it?
We’ll see how his body holds up over 82 games. George surely was one of the best players on the floor when Philly rallied out of a 3-1 series hole against Boston last season, though the late-game suspension likely aided his body in being ready for that grind. It’s slightly ambitious to ask him to do that over multiple rounds.
The positive outlook would be that the Celtics know full well how to bring their veterans along. Even if he’s not on the full Al Horford plan in terms of rest, the Celtics will give George every opportunity to keep the body fresh over the regular-season grind.
Slice up the hierarchy however you like, but it’s clear that everyone behind Tatum needs to be locked in and consistent for this team to thrive against high-level competition.
Boston CelticsBiggest concern(s) through the early portion of the Celtics schedule?
We’re admittedly nitpicking here given the strong start, but it’s pretty undeniable that the Celtics have to figure out how to get the best version of Mitchell Robinson on the floor.
Whether Robinson is simply ramping himself up after New York’s long championship season, or if it’s simply navigating some bumps in the acclimation process, Robinson just hasn’t been as impactful as even in smaller bursts through camp and preseason.
The fact that Neemias Queta and Luka Garza have both put up some of the best on-court numbers for the team so far this season has given the team some ability to figure things out with Robinson. Teammates gotta get better at lobs — though they’ve looked good when they work. We’d like to see Robinson crank up the motor and create post-up opportunities in transition like we’ve seen in small glimpses. We have to think he won’t smoke as many close-range putbacks as he has through the early portion of the schedule.
It goes back to the overarching conversation here: The Celtics are built to be regular-season monsters. The question is, how do they transition that success and thrive in the postseason?
Some of that might simply be Tatum being great on the big stage. Some of it is making sure that players in the top six of the rotation — from Robinson to White to Pritchard — are playing their best basketball on that stage, too. There’s a lot of time to work it all out.
Nerdiest stat in your spreadsheet to start the season?
The Celtics have worn white headbands in 10 of their 12 games. The green and black headbands are undefeated (1-0 apiece), but the white headband has brought out the best individual numbers from players like Scheierman. The NBA now mandates that players all wear the same color headband, so we suspect the colorful ones might be a bit rarer for players this season.
















