BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - SEPTEMBER 23: Coby Mayo #16 of the Baltimore Orioles tips his cap to the fans after a 4-2 victory in game two of a double header against the Toronto Blue Jays at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on September 23, 2026 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Greg Fiume/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Going into 2026, this was clearly going to be a pivotal year where Coby Mayo had to prove that he was going to be something or else it might sink in that he will never be anything. Yet he was also stuck in a paradox, because it was not obvious when Mayo would even get the opportunity to show what he did or didn’t have. By the time the dust settled on Mayo’s make-or-break season, he did get the chance, and it ended up being part-break and part-make, with the haters and doubters being both validated and repudiated at different times.
As spring training approached, the door to actual playing time still seemed to be closed to Mayo. The team committed big money to Pete Alonso and much less money to keep around Ryan Mountcastle. This seemed to close the door to Mayo getting any regular time at first base, and even if he could theoretically play third base, that was taken up by Jordan Westburg.
Before any team workouts even started, Westburg was revealed to be injured. He had a second injury reveal itself while recovering from the first and ended up never playing a game this season. Mayo’s shot at the third base job was there for the taking. This notion gave fans anxiety in spring training, largely due to concerns about Mayo’s defensive shortcomings at the position.
These concerns were frequently reinforced over the course of the Grapefruit League schedule. Mayo was the presumptive Opening Day third baseman and you probably didn’t feel good about it. He turned out to be the actual Opening Day third baseman, and the most frequent third baseman through the end of June, and… there still wasn’t much to feel good about. Mayo wasn’t hitting and he wasn’t fielding either. It was grim enough for a while there that the Orioles were regularly chucking Weston Wilson into lineups as the third baseman.
By the time July began, Mayo was batting a putrid .190/.260/.376 for the season. He had lost regular at-bats at the position to Blaze Alexander, of all people, who had been worse than worthless through the end of April but found some productivity before Mayo did and supplanted him for a little while. Then, some idiot Royals pitcher hit Alexander in the hand, broke several bones, and knocked him out of action for a time. I hate those guys.
With how Mayo was performing up to that point in the year, it would have been a shameful circumstance for the Orioles to just keep playing him as the third baseman. They did not do so, summoning infielder Christian Encarnacion-Strand from Norfolk and giving him the lion’s share of the playing time from then until season’s end.
The 26-year-old, at one time an interesting power-hitting prospect who never quite put things together in Cincinnati, was acquired for cash considerations in April and had hit 17 home runs in 61 games for the Tides. Given that big league opportunity in Baltimore, Encarnacion-Strand made the most of it, rolling to a .277/.325/.513 batting line in the 58 games that he played.
That’s pretty much what everyone from Mike Elias on down has been hoping that Mayo would be able to be, and before the arrival of CES, never had been. He even played a decent third base for the first time in his MLB career, something the Reds never gave him a chance to do because they didn’t play him there. Now, CES could be the Opening Day third baseman. Or a healthy Westburg could. Alonso, one of the reigning MLB iron men, is obviously playing at first. Where does Mayo fit in all of that?
All of this sounds like a “break” year for Mayo. And for quite a while, it was. Yet even at his worst, there were positives going on under the hood. Mayo was hitting left-handed pitching so well that he at least seemed like he could be a platoon bat of some kind. Out of 12 first half home runs, nearly every one was hit against a left-handed pitcher. That’s something you can at least hang your hat on to stick around, and if you can stick around, maybe you can change the narrative.
Changing the narrative is exactly what Mayo did from July onwards. He exploded for a .924 OPS that month and continued that strong performance for the rest of the season, posting OPS numbers of .873 and .878 for August and September. He walked more often and struck out less. By season’s end, he was even getting some licks in against right-handed pitching, the kind of thing that he absolutely had not been doing early on.
If that’s a real breakout, there’s a place for Mayo, even if Alonso keeps playing every day, Westburg is actually healthy, and CES repeats something close to what he did with the Orioles this year. If, if, if. It always comes down to if. Some guys manage to sustain the breakout. Other times, it is only a mirage, and when you think you are getting water out of the desert oasis, it’s just a mouthful of sand.
It is impossible for us to know which way it will go right now. There is a plausible story there of why it improved. Maybe Mayo did make an adjustment that will lead to durable improvement, and things clicking beginning in July was something like the new normal. None of what he did in the last three months was fueled by unsustainable batted ball luck. He was swinging the bat fast, hitting the ball hard, finding the barrel.
That’s important. It’s not just empty hopes and dreams fueling any belief in Mayo. There’s three months of continuously good MLB performance suggesting he can do the thing. If he can do the thing, the Orioles will find room for him. Even with as much as he struggled in the first half of this season, Mayo finished with a 1.1 bWAR and 2.0 fWAR for the full season. Second Half Mayo over a full season is probably a 3-3.5 WAR guy. Sign me up for that.
The scouting world has always thought Mayo would end up in right field, where his strong arm would play and where he might do better at reacting to line drives from the outfield grass than how he sometimes does from the infield dirt. This perspective was recently endorsed by no less than Hall of Famer Jim Palmer.
The Orioles, for unclear reasons, have steadfastly avoided ever trying this. They did not put Mayo in the outfield even one time on his way up the minor league ladder. I am skeptical that they will suddenly decide that now is the time to try it. Maybe they will surprise me.
I have been hoping to get a star breakout from Coby Mayo on the Orioles since the moment they drafted him, when, knowing nothing more than his name, it was apparent that he has a great Baltimore accent name. Unfortunately, the amount of fun that I would have saying, “Coby Mayo, three-run home run, hon!” has zero impact on his success as a professional baseball player. That’s just not how it works.
The Orioles control the rights to Mayo through the 2031 season. He does not even reach arbitration until 2028. He hit 24 home runs this year while only being good for half the season. There could be some 30+ home run seasons for a few years to come if he puts it all together for a year. Again, the if. I want to believe. Elias would be wise to have a backup plan.
ATLANTA, GA - SEPTEMBER 30: Philadelphia shortstop Trea Turner (7) fields a ground ball during the Philadelphia Phillies versus the Atlanta Braves in game 2 of the National League Wild Card Series on September 30th, 2026 at Truist Park in Atlanta, GA. (Photo by Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
It’s no secret that the Phillies have a poor defense. In fact, they have one of the worst defenses in the sport, as they ranked dead last in total defensive runs saved with -51 and their outs above average were only slightly better, coming in at 21st with -15. If you’re more of a traditional fielding stats kind of person, the Phillies 80 errors were still only middle of the pack as the 17th most in the majors.
Of course, whenever you discuss the Phillies defense, Trea Turner’s name is likely one of the first ones to come up. He rebounded defensively in 2025 to turn in a very good year at shortstop, but 2026 proved it to be an aberration. Turner was one of the worst defenders at any position this season by any metric you want to use, as his 21 errors were tied for the most in baseball and his -17 defensive runs saved were also tied for the worst. There will be much discussion over this winter about where Turner should play in 2027 and whether it is finally time to move him off of shortstop and possibly shift him to the outfield.
Elsewhere, Bryce Harper regressed heavily at first base and was a below average outfielder when he returned there mid-season in the wake of the Luis Arraez trade. Impending free agent Alec Bohm was right behind Turner with -10 defensive runs saved. J.T. Realmuto continued to decline behind the plate but at least owned the best ABS challenge success rate (81%) among all catchers who issued at least 15 challenges. Rookie center fielder Justin Crawford showed his potential in the field but also showed why he’s still very much considered a work in progress.
If you’ve been watching anymore of the postseason in the week since the Phillies were eliminated, you’ll see how it’s almost a night and day difference with how most of the remaining teams play defense when compared to the Phillies. Improving the Phillies anemic offense should be priority number one this offseason, but finding a way to improve their porous defense should be a very close second. If the team is going to rely on its pitching going forward as much or even more than it has in the past, it would behoove them to make their pitchers’ lives easier by giving them a better defense to pitch in front of.
So, how would you attempt to fix the Phillies defense this offseason? Can it even be fixed in one offseason?
BOSTON, MA - SEPTEMBER 7: Craig Breslow chief baseball officer of the Boston Red Sox talks with manager Chad Tracy #17 in the dugout before the game between the Boston Red Sox and the Los Angeles Angels at Fenway Park on September 7, 2026 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo By Winslow Townson/Getty Images) | Getty Images
On a scale of 1 (Harry Frazee) to 5 (Theo Epstein), how would you rate Craig Breslow’s last 12 months?
3. Breslow did something which is more than the nothing we endured for several years. Maybe that something isn’t the something you wanted, but it’s more exciting than nothing.
— Jacob Roy
4. Caleb Durbin brings elite defense, a little power, and speed on the base paths to third base. However that does mean you need to “replace” the traditional third base bat. If Curtis Mead can bring that to second base you might have done it. Same with Adley Rutschman at catcher. He’s literally doing the Moneyball “replace in the aggregate” meme. Ranger Suarez remains a strange signing but he made early and the other pitching prospects expendable.
— Mike Carlucci
4. I give him an extra point for getting out there and doing something, as Jacob already said. He didn’t do all the things he said he was going to do, but these past 12 months have been an improvement, and I’ll take it.
— Maura McGurk
Can’t believe I’m typing this. But it’s at least a low 4 for me. The guy simply knows how to dumpster dive in a way his predecessor didn’t. And he brings in All-Star level talent. Even when he’s not bringing in All-Stars, he’s trading guys that kind of suck to give away but bringing in guys that really rule to have on the team. The Jake Bennett trade looks incredible so far. In a vacuum, trading away Kyle Harrison sucks. But Caleb Durbin is a good return and a guy who could possibly stick around for years to come.
— Dean Roussel
3.5. The pitching and defensive infrastructure in place now provides a good bedrock going into 2027, and I like that a lot of the core is under team control. The outfield logjam situation continues to be something that could hamper the team moving forward considering that one of those guys—either the one with a hand that’s currently busted or the guy who’s OPS was just 10 points higher than the area code of the city he plays in—was/is slated as the designated hitter. For a team that plays at hitter-friendly environments for the majority of its games, the pop in the lineup was not up to snuff. Still, I don’t hate what I’ve seen.
– Fitzy Mo Peña
2. “It would be fair to look at some of those other teams [still in the playoffs] and say that they hit the ball out of the ballpark a little more than we do,” said Craig Breslow on October 6th, 2025. Sure, Breslow found a way to put a very strong product of pitching and defense out on the field in 2026. I would argue that when you spend 29 of your 41 draft picks on pitching in your first two years running the show, and then pivot last offseason from spending on free agent hitting to spending on free agent pitching, you better have a great pitching staff. Unfortunately, that’s only half the game, and Breslow admitted as much a year ago but never came close to fixing the problem with hitting for power. The in-season, intra-division overpay for Adley Rutschman, with just one year remaining on his contract, was curious and has left the team with a below-average farm system. If the Red Sox didn’t make the playoffs in 2026, I would’ve been in favor of moving on from Breslow. Instead, because of a fantastic 37-game stretch in the mid-summer, the team inexplicably picked up all of his options, and he is now signed through 2030.
– Bob Osgood
3. Breslow rates at a midpoint of extremes. The pitching development and identification is about as good as we’ve ever seen with this franchise. The problem of course is the offense looks about as bad as we’ve ever seen. They not only ranked dead last in September in runs scored, but they were 17 runs below the 29th ranked team. You could argue Breslow deserves a 4 if turns out he just had horrible injury luck. It’s not impossible we’re sitting here next September and (hopefully) October with pieces of the same general lineup raking (Contreras, Anthony, Rutschman and Mead come to mind). However, an argument could also be made for a 2 with how utterly unprepared this team looked for a series in New York they were apparently studying up on for about a month. That and no playoff baseball at Fenway Park for five years and counting is a massive failure!
For now I land in the middle, but there’s pretty strong forces pulling from both sides.
– Matthew Gross
3 — I’m with Matt in the middle. Here’s something kind of nuts: Only 2(!) of the top-10 Red Sox players by fWAR this season were brought into the organization by Breslow’s predecessor Chaim Bloom (Wilyer Abreu and Garrett Whitlock). And the 7 who were brought in by Breslow (Dombrowski brought in the 10th player, Ceddanne Rafaela) were all acquired within the last 2 seasons. That’s the only stat you need to understand just how much damage Bloom did to the overall talent base in the organization, and just how big of a hole Breslow had to dig this team out from. The fact that he brought in so much talent so quickly and ruthlessly, especially on the pitching side, is a credit to Breslow.
But Breslow not only fell totally flat in achieving what was his stated goal at the outset of the 25-26 offseason (adding power to the team), but the failures that are on his resume are of the spectacular variety, e.g., Rafael Devers and Alex Bregman would have finished second and third on this team in wRC+.
— Dan Secatore
On a scale of 1 (Bobby Valentine) to 5 (Terry Francona) how would you rate Chad Tracy’s performance?
3. I don’t know how much a manager really influences wins on a day-to-day basis, and I don’t love how he managed the first playoff series of his career, but he was in charge during a historic turnaround, so he deserves some credit.
— Jacob Roy
2. This is really hard and I dislike 1-5 scales because 3 feels like cop-out but I see him at just a tad under 3 on a 1-4 scale. These were his first two playoff games and the roster was on fumes. Going to Erik Miller after taking out Tolle? Ok, we all saw September, but it wasn’t not the worst call ever given the rest of the bullpen. Miller again in Game 2 and then not having anyone warming up from the moment he brought in Garrett Crochet — who was not 2025 Garrett Crochet — really sank the ship. What was the point? I get that if you used Chapman or Whitlock in that moment Crochet might have to be the setup guy, but that’s playoff weirdness.
— Mike Carlucci
2.5. Maybe the recency bias of the Wild Card is looming too large right now, and unfairly canceling out the historic summer this team pulled off. But he looked like he was in completely over in his head in the playoffs. I didn’t love the way he managed throughout September either, resting guys and taking it easy. (Part of that was the math of the playoff system, and he rested guys because he could.) But I kept thinking, well, he knows what he’s doing; he must be getting them ready behind the scenes, gearing them up for what’s coming. But they never stepped on the gas again, and I think he owns a lot of that.
— Maura McGurk
3.5. I was not an Alex Cora fan, and the proof is in the pudding with multiple last place finishes. The “we just have to play better” retort drove me crazy to no end and it was getting more prevalent as his tenure went on. Tracy buys half a point simply by describing what went wrong in losses. But this isn’t about Cora, and Tracy turned around a team that looked awful and gave them spark. I am a bit sour on Tracy, as I’m sure much of this writing team is, for inexplicably pulling Gray in the game that decided the Red Sox’s fate, especially when it came to allowing Erik Miller to implode for the second time in 24 hours. I said this about another manager last year: when Aaron Boone out-manages you, you’ve done something direly, direly wrong. But, if management decides that having platoon guys on the roster in an everyday capacity is something that needs to happen, there was no better move than making Chad Tracy, Triple-A manager and a guy with experience with a lot of these young guys, the manager for the 2026 season. Jury’s out on 2027 and beyond.
— Dean Roussel
3. That was a really bad Wild Card series in New York for Tracy, but I still think he’s the guy moving forward. He’s got a good amount of experience with the young core dating back to his time in Worcester, and he was clearly doing something right during the summer. Maybe that stinker in the Bronx is the best way for him to adapt. To quote the modern day philosopher Bigtime Tommie, “In school, you are given the lesson first, then the test. But in life, you are given the test, and then you learn your lesson. That’s the old school way.”
– Fitzy Mo Peña
3. This felt closer to a 4 after the regular season, but it was not a good postseason for Tracy. Whether the pitching decisions would have mattered due to the Red Sox ineptitude at the plate is beside the point. Tracy went 77-58 at the helm after Alex Cora was fired, which has to count for something, and he still feels like the right guy for this somewhat younger team. With some postseason experience under his belt, hopefully he is more prepared the next time around.
– Bob Osgood
3. I loved most of Tracy’s regular season and how he works with the guys in the clubhouse in general! At the same time though, I detested everything about those two games in New York and all the BS that led up to it. The energy level around the team going in, the decisions to pull both Gray and Tolle when they were a strength of the team all year, the decision to lean so heavily on the bullpen when injuries, slumps, and general wear and tear made it as weak as it had been all year, and the fact he kept putting Roman Anthony in the lineup every single day down the stretch when we now know he was still fighting through his hand injury. All of that was disgusting! It’s funny, when Tracy first came up from Worcester after Alex Cora was fired, many people expected him to look like a guy who couldn’t handle moving up a level so abruptly. That never really happened in terms of regular season games, but it sure as hell did happen when the abrupt change was getting ready for a postseason game.
– Matthew Gross
Are you confident in the overall direction of the club?
I’ll say yes, but only because I’m giving grace for the amount of injuries sustained this season. With a deeper bullpen and a healthy lineup, maybe things go better. If next year plays out the same way and a hapless offense rolls into a road Wild Card series unable to score runs, I’ll be the first to say it’s time to clean house and go another direction.
— Jacob Roy
Yes. I don’t think the roster is perfect but it’s not a group that will go out and lose 9-0 every night. They’ll be fine in 2027.
— Mike Carlucci
Yes. There was a real run of bad luck injury-wise, and there’s still work to do on the roster, but this year showed me that there is a desire to work on it.
— Maura McGurk
I’ve always been sour grapes on this question, but yes. I think there’s some questions that loom large, as well as a lockout that looms larger, but for the first time in half a decade, I am confident in this team’s ability to field a playable team next year.
— Dean Roussel
Generally speaking, I think I am. This sentiment can absolutely shift if the proper levers are not pulled in the winter, though. Good pitching is in place, yes. Good defense is in place, yes. A fair chunk of guys can get on base, yes. But man, we have GOT to improve the power in this lineup. Hopefully Curtis Mead can offer a shot in the arm, but one Curtis Mead does not solve all of the issues. I’m gonna need more on top of that. What it is…well, I’m not paid to figure that out, now am I?
– Fitzy Mo Peña
Sorry for all of the negativity, but no. With $269M already committed in salary in 2027, it’s hard to see a top-of-the-market free-agent bat (in a pitiful free-agent class) coming in, and Breslow has traded quite a bit of the farm system out already. He’s going to have some tough calls with non-tender candidates (Jarren Duran?) and will need to get creative with improving the lineup. I’m very excited about watching Franklin Arias play in 2027 but am tentative after seeing how things have unfolded with Roman Anthony, Kristian Campbell, and Marcelo Mayer, albeit for various reasons. Between the Tim Healey article from June outlining club dysfunction and then listening to how the veterans spoke in the moments after the postseason ended, things feel pretty chaotic behind the scenes, and I’m not confident that anyone cares about “beating the Yankees” anymore.
– Bob Osgood
No! Compared to this time a year ago, I’m less confident in Garrett Crochet’s ability to stay on the field and be a reliable ace. I’m less confident Roman Anthony is going to win his battle with the injury bug and take his rightful place as the next exceptional Boston outfielder. And I’m less confident in the organization’s ability to specifically identify supporting cast members who are built for October pressure. Add in how much the farm system has been cleared out with so few results, and the future starts to look a whole lot dimmer. If the question is if I’m confident about the Sox’ ability to be mildly competitive going forward, or if the next five years will be better than the last five, then yes, I’m confident of the buoyancy in that boat. But given how poorly the club played outside of the 32-5 stretch this summer when 2026 was supposed to be THE year they took a huge leap, and my confidence evaporates. They need enormous gains internally to ascend to a championship level. Some of that will likely come from better health, but probably not enough.
– Matthew Gross
I am confident that the Red Sox are finally operating with a sense of urgency. But until we can be confident in Roman Anthony, it’s hard to be confident about the Red Sox future overall. Everything this organization has done since 2020 has been done with an eye towards developing at least one homegrown superstar. If Anthony’s wrist prevents him from reaching that level, they’re screwed.
October 9, 2016: Kevin Pillar (11), Josh Donaldson, Troy Tulowitzki (2) and other Toronto Blue Jays players celebrate after winning the MLB ALDS Game 3 against Texas Rangers by a score of 7-6 in the tenth inning at Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON, Canada. (Photograph by Julian Avram/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
Ten Years Ago Today
Josh Donaldson raced home from second base on a grounder to shortstop, clinching Game 3 of the ALDS for the Blue Jays and completing a sweep of the Rangers.
With the game tied in the 10th, Donaldson led off against Matt Bush—whose name keeps coming up for all the wrong reasons—with a double. The Rangers then intentionally walked Edwin Encarnacion, who was red-hot in the series. Jose Bautista struck out on a full count, capping a tough 0-for-5 night. Next, Russell Martin hit a double-play ball to Elvis Andrus at shortstop. Andrus tossed to Rougned Odor, but Odor’s throw to first was wild. Mitch Moreland managed to block the errant throw, but Donaldson never hesitated, sprinting home and beating the play at the plate.
The Rangers challenged Encarnacion’s slide at second, but even Joe West got the call right.
For the second straight year, the Rangers’ infield miscues helped the Blue Jays win.
It was a thrilling, back-and-forth contest.
Aaron Sanchez got the start for Toronto, surrendering a single to Carlos Gomez, who swiped second and came around to score on a pair of groundouts, giving the Rangers an early lead.
The Blue Jays answered with three runs in the second. Ezequiel Carrera led off with a single, then, after one out, Edwin Encarnacion launched a home run. Russell Martin followed with another homer after the next out.
The Rangers trimmed the deficit in the third when Elvis Andrus belted a solo home run.
Toronto tacked on two more in the bottom half. Carrera again led off with a single, stole second, and scored on Donaldson’s ground-rule double. Donaldson then came home on an Encarnacion single.
In the fourth, Carlos Beltran walked and Rougned Odor followed with a two-run shot, narrowing the lead to 5-4.
The Rangers surged ahead in the sixth. With two outs, Sanchez walked Odor and allowed a single to Jonathan Lucroy, ending his night. Joe Biagini entered but gave up a two-run double to Moreland, putting Toronto behind 6-5.
Sanchez finished with 5.2 innings pitched, allowing 3 hits, 4 walks, 5 strikeouts, and 2 home runs—charged with 6 earned runs, two of which scored after he exited.
Toronto tied the game in the bottom of the sixth. Troy Tulowitzki singled with one out, advanced to third on Melvin Upton’s double, and after an intentional walk to Kevin Pillar, reliever Keone Kela uncorked a wild pitch.
The bullpen stepped up: Jason Grilli tossed a scoreless inning, and Roberto Osuna delivered two more shutout frames.
Matt Bush provided two scoreless innings for Texas, but faltered in the tenth.
There was a certain satisfaction in seeing Odor’s error seal the series for Toronto.
Several Blue Jays stood out in the series:
Ezequiel Carrera hit .333/.429/.583 and drove in four runs.
Josh Donaldson hit .538/.471/.846, hit four doubles, and scored four runs. He shined defensively and, of course, provided the game-winning dash.
Edwin Encarnacion posted a .417/.500/.917 line, with two home runs, four runs, and four RBIs.
Troy Tulowitzki hit .462/.462/.846, adding a triple, a home run, and five RBIs.
Marco Estrada worked 8.1 innings of four-hit ball in his start, continuing his playoff brilliance.
Roberto Osuna tossed 3.2 scoreless innings, surrendering just one hit and striking out four.
Facing the Rangers in the ALDS for the second consecutive year, the Blue Jays created memories to last a lifetime.
ATLANTA, GA - OCTOBER 06: Enrique Hernandez #8 of the Los Angeles Dodgers hits a two-run home run during the fourth inning of Game Three of the Division Series between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on October 6, 2026 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Matthew Grimes Jr./Atlanta Braves/Getty Images) | Getty Images
For a third consecutive year, the Dodgers have advanced to the National League Championship Series. For a second consecutive year, they will be facing the team with the most wins in the regular season, that being the Milwaukee Brewers (again).
The Dodgers lived and died by the long ball throughout the NLDS against the Atlanta Braves, with the exception for three runs out of the 14 scored in the four games. None of those blasts was more impactful than Kiké Hernández’s two-run home run against Chris Sale in Game 3, as he helped make the difference in a 3-1 victory, helping the Dodgers gain an advantage over Atlanta in Game 4 to close it out.
Hernández continues to shine when it matters the most, becoming the Dodgers’ secret assassin in October. His presence in the lineup, based on what he’s done in his two games this postseason, is convincing enough for fans to believe in the team’s ability to secure a three peat, per Sonja Chen of MLB.com.
“He converts himself into this kind of monster when it comes to the playoffs and when it matters the most,” Miguel Rojas said. “He wants the situation. He wants the moment. He wants to be the guy.”
Two years ago, Shohei Ohtani suffered a left shoulder subluxation which left him utterly useless at the plate over the final three games of the 2024 World Series. In the end, his lack of production wasn’t a drawback that year.
This year, however, represents a different case. Ohtani has not looked like his usual self at the plate, going just 2-13 with two singles and two walks over the four games against the Atlanta Braves. The Dodgers have managed to advance without him hitting like a superstar, but Jack Harris of the California Post wonders just how far the Dodgers can go with him hitting the way he has been since the start of September.
Mirjam Swanson of the Los Angeles Times writes about the remarkable turnaround the Dodgers bullpen has experienced, especially with offseason signee Edwin Díaz, in her latest column.
Hannah Keyser writes that Junior Caminero would be a household name if he played for the Yankees. Instead, his Rays just sent the Yankees home. She profiles of Caminero here.
Jaiden Lo Re of the Delmarva Shorebirds hits the ball during a Minor League Baseball game at Arthur W. Perdue Stadium in Salisbury, United States, on August 2, 2026. (Photo by Dan Squicciarini/NurPhoto via Getty Images) | NurPhoto via Getty Images
The Orioles haven’t made a lot of noise outside the early rounds of the draft under Mike Elias. Of the Elias draftees currently on the 40-man roster, only Coby Mayo was drafted outside the top 100 picks of a draft (Mayo was pick 103 in the 4th round in 2020). However, with fast-rising prospects Jaiden Lo Re and DJ Layton, Elias may have found some mid-round picks that could turn into future major leaguers.
Lo Re was one of the true breakout players throughout the organization. The high school SS out of Scottsdale, AZ wasn’t one of MLB.com’s top 200 prospects for the 2025 draft, but caught the eye of Elias and his scouting department. Baltimore took the now 19-year-old with the 154th pick in the 2025 draft and signed him for an above-slot-value $562,500 to lure him away from a BYU commitment.
Despite being drafted in July of 2025, the 5’11”, switch-hitting infielder didn’t make his minor league debut until the start of the 2026 season. The Orioles chose to start him off in rookie ball, as he made his pro debut in early May. Lo Re only lasted 20 games in the Florida Complex League, however, thanks to his red-hot start to the year. In 65 ABs at rookie ball, Lo Re slashed .354/.421/.462 while walking 9 times against 6 Ks and adding 7 stolen bases.
That impressive showing earned Lo Re a step up to Low-A Delmarva at the beginning of June. In his first month with the Shorebirds, the infielder continued to be an on-base machine. In his first 20 games with Delmarva, Lo Re hit .333 with a .471 OBP, as he collected 23 hits and walked 18 times against just 8 strikeouts. July in Salisbury saw the 19-year-old cool off just a little, as he only slashed .299/.377/.433, but did start a 12-game hitting streak.
He started to show a little more pop in August, launching 6 doubles and a triple while hitting .343 and posting a .926 OPS. That final hot stretch for the Shorebirds earned Lo Re a late-season promotion to High-A Frederick. In his first seven games with the Keys, the teenager definitely showed signs of going through an adjustment. In his first 19 ABs for Frederick, Lo Re hit only .158 with a .638 OPS. However, he turned it around to end the year, slashing .387/.406/.484 across his last 7 games of the year to truly establish himself at High-A.
The former 5th-round pick also went from high school infielder to professional utility man in his first season as a professional. Split across the three levels he played at in 2026, Lo Re logged 100+ innings at 2B, SS, 3B and CF. One professional season in A-ball is far from enough to know if he’ll make it to Baltimore one day. But early returns on the Arizona native paint a picture of a Blaze Alexander-like player.
Charting a similar path in 2026 was fellow utility man DJ Layton. The 20-year-old came to the Orioles’ organization as a 6th-round pick (189th overall) in the 2024 draft. He was another high school SS whom the O’s paid over slot value for, giving out a $715,800 bonus to get Layton to forgo his Southern Miss commitment. The 2025 season saw little to write home about for Layton, who hit .183 with a .597 OPS in 40 games in rookie ball.
Despite that inauspicious start to his professional career, the Orioles promoted Layton to Delmarva to begin the 2026 season. Early on, that move paid off for Layton and the Shorebirds. Through his first 22 games with Delmarva, Layton hit .284 with a .896 OPS while walking 20 times and stealing 8 bags.
The 20-year-old’s performance dipped in May, with his average dropping to .250 and OPS dipping to .765. Those struggles continued into June, with his average dipping further down to .214, his power nearly non-existent with a .343 slugging percentage and a still declining OPS at .732.
Layton began to turn it around as the calendar turned to July, eventually earning a promotion to Frederick at the beginning of August. Over his last 30 games with the Shorebirds, his average ticked up to .242 while posting an elite .390 on-base percentage. When the switch-hitting utility man was promoted to Frederick on August 11th, he signed off on a Low-A career that saw him slash .247/.396/.389 with 73 walks and 32 stolen bases.
The North Carolina native opened up his High-A account with a 3-for-4 night that included his first Keys home run. He’d settle back to being much the same hitter he was at Low-A after that. Over 25 games with Frederick, Layton slashed .238/.390/.393 while walking 21 times and stealing 13 bases.
At this point, Layton is more projection than production. He’s a high-level athlete with 65-grade speed and a 60-grade arm. Eventually, that may turn into more over-the-fence production, but that’s yet to show up. In 117 games across the two levels of A-ball, he only hit 8 homers while collecting 25 doubles.
What he does extremely well already is get on base and create havoc on the base paths. He walked 92 times in 489 PAs, an 18.8% walk rate that would’ve led the majors by almost two whole percentage points. His 45 stolen bases were also one more than 80-grade speedster Enrique Bradfield Jr. His athleticism should also allow him to stick at a premium position long term, with Layton playing 500+ innings at SS in 2026 while also seeing significant time in CF and at 2B.
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - AUGUST 16: Jake Bauers #9 of the Milwaukee Brewers is safe at home when catcher Ben Rortvedt #47 of the Los Angeles Dodgers can't make the tag in the seventh inning at Dodger Stadium on August 16, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by John McCoy/Getty Images) | Getty Images
After taking down the San Diego Padres in four games in the NLDS, the Milwaukee Brewers are now set for a rematch with the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NLCS, the second consecutive year and third time in nine years these teams will meet in the final step before the World Series.
The Brewers, who finished with an MLB-best 103-59 record, slightly outpaced the 100-win Dodgers, who finished with 100 wins for the sixth time in the last 10 seasons. Milwaukee was strong and balanced throughout the regular season, becoming the first 100-win team in MLB history to not have a win streak of six or more games. These two teams faced each other for a total of seven games in the regular season, with Milwaukee winning four of seven, including a 1-2 record at home in their May series and a 3-1 record in Los Angeles in their August series.
On the injury front, the Brewers are without a few pitchers, including Brandon Woodruff, who could potentially return for the World Series if his current throwing program progresses well. Brian Fitzpatrick, Quinn Priester, and Angel Zerpa all underwent season-ending surgeries this year and won’t be back until at least the start of 2027.
The veteran Dodgers have been dinged up throughout the season, and the latest injury is to utility man Miguel Rojas, who exited NLDS Game 3 early with lower back and hip pain. He remained on the roster for the remainder of the NLDS and is considered day-to-day, but it’s certainly possible he’s out for this series. Pitchers Brusdar Graterol, Eric Lauer, Ben Casparius, Jake Cousins, Gavin Stone, and Blake Treinen are all out for the year, while Will Klein, who has been out since the beginning of August, could be available as a depth arm if needed. It should also be noted that star Shohei Ohtani will not be pitching the rest of the year as he faced multiple setbacks in his return; he’s also a bit dinged up with lingering left knee inflammation and a right biceps injury, but it hasn’t kept him out of the lineup.
The Brewers have one of the most well-balanced offenses in baseball, and that’s a major reason they’re in the final four teams. Looking at NLDS performances, William Contreras led the squad with six hits, including a pair of homers, while Jackson Chourio drove in six with a homer and a pair of singles, coming up big in the clutch. Sal Frelick had two RBIs as part of a three-hit series, while Christian Yelich added five hits and an RBI. Cooper Pratt and Garrett Mitchell each had four hits, and Brice Turang and Jake Bauers seemed to hit a bit of a groove in the final game of the series after struggling for the first three games, a good sign for the coming NLCS. Joey Ortiz, David Hamilton, Andrew Vaughn, Gary Sánchez, and Luis Lara round things out. As a team, the Brewers hit .258/.341/.403 (.744 OPS ranks third) for the season, slugging 154 homers (tied for 28th), scoring 832 runs (second), and swiping 162 bags (fifth).
The Dodgers have a power-heavy team, as evidenced by their eight homers in the NLDS. Max Muncy led the way with three long balls, while Freddie Freeman added a pair. Enrique Hernández, Teoscar Hernández, and Kyle Tucker added one each, and Mookie Betts added three hits. Ohtani was fairly quiet in the series, slashing .154/.267/.154 with two singles, two walks, and a stolen base. Will Smith and Tommy Edman also struggled, combining to hit just 1-for-23 in the series. The NLDS roster also featured Josue De Paula, Hyeseong Kim, Andy Pages, and the aforementioned Miguel Rojas. As a team, the Dodgers hit .257/.338/.424 (.762 OPS ranks second) for the season, slugging 204 homers (tied for seventh), scoring 801 runs (fourth), and swiping 72 bags (28th).
On the mound, the Brewers used only six of their nine bullpen arms, meaning by the time the NLCS begins on Sunday, Shane Drohan, Kyle Harrison, and Chad Patrick will have gone two full weeks without pitching in a live game. Among the six bullpen arms who did pitch, though, they all did pretty well — across 19 bullpen innings, they allowed three runs, just one of which was earned (a homer allowed by JoJo Romero). Trevor Megill, DL Hall, and Aaron Ashby led that group, with Ashby going 5 2/3 scoreless frames over three appearances, striking out five. Megill added a pair of saves, and Abner Uribe pitched in all four games, allowing one unearned run over 3 2/3 innings.
In terms of starters, it seems obvious that Jacob Misiorowski and Logan Henderson will each take the mound twice in a full seven-game series. The other three starters are up in the air — we’ll likely see Dustin May and Robert Gasser as we did in the NLDS, but the other game could very well be a bullpen day. As a staff, the Brewers had a 3.51 regular season ERA (second), including a 3.61 starter ERA (fifth) and a 3.40 bullpen ERA (third). They struck out 1,544 batters (second) over 1,446 2/3 innings.
The Dodgers have arguably the scariest pitching staff in baseball, at least on paper. For the bullpen, that includes multiple guys who could conceivably be considered closers, led by Edwin Díaz, who had a bit of an up-and-down year but looked solid in three outings against the Braves, tossing three scoreless innings with one hit allowed and three strikeouts en route to a pair of saves. Evan Phillips also picked up a save in the series, and Tanner Scott and Roki Sasaki are both closer-esque arms as well, though Scott struggled in the NLDS, allowing two runs over 2 2/3 innings. The bullpen also features another long-relief arm in Kris Bubic (who very well may start in this series) and true relievers in Edgardo Henriquez, Alex Vesia, and Brock Stewart.
They’ll be using Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Tarik Skubal, Blake Snell, and Tyler Glasnow in starting roles, and you can bet that manager Dave Roberts will be looking for length out of each of them. They all pitched fairly well in the NLDS, allowing one run apiece, though with varying distance — Snell went just 3 2/3 innings, allowing five walks and three hits, whereas Yamamoto worked seven strong frames with 10 strikeouts and Skubal went six innings with seven strikeouts. Glasnow fell right in the middle, going 4 2/3 innings with five walks and a hit allowed while striking out five. As a staff, the Dodgers had a 3.55 regular season ERA (fourth), including a 3.43 starter ERA (second) and a 3.74 bullpen ERA (ninth). They struck out 1,521 batters (fourth) over 1,435 2/3 innings.
Probable Pitchers
Note: Pitching matchups will be filled in as they’re announced
Game 1: Sunday, October 11 @ 7:00 p.m.: TBD vs. TBD
Game 2: Monday, October 12 @ 4:00 p.m.: TBD vs. TBD
Game 3: Wednesday, October 14 @ 7:00 p.m.: TBD vs. TBD
Game 4: Thursday, October 15 @ 8:00 p.m.: TBD vs. TBD
Game 5 (if necessary): Friday, October 16 @ 8:00 p.m.: TBD vs. TBD
Game 6 (if necessary): Sunday, October 18 @ 7:00 p.m.: TBD vs. TBD
Game 7 (if necessary): Monday, October 19 @ 7:00 p.m.: TBD vs. TBD
How to watch and listen
Sunday, October 11: Nationally televised on FOX & FOX One; listen via radio on the Brewers Radio Network (620 WTMJ in Milwaukee)
Monday, October 12: Nationally televised on FOX/FS1 & FOX One; listen via radio on the Brewers Radio Network (620 WTMJ in Milwaukee)
Wednesday, October 14: Nationally televised on FS1 & FOX One; listen via radio on the Brewers Radio Network (620 WTMJ in Milwaukee)
Thursday, October 15: Nationally televised on FS1 & FOX One; listen via radio on the Brewers Radio Network (620 WTMJ in Milwaukee)
Friday, October 16: Nationally televised on FS1 & FOX One; listen via radio on the Brewers Radio Network (620 WTMJ in Milwaukee)
Sunday, October 18: Nationally televised on FS1 & FOX One; listen via radio on the Brewers Radio Network (620 WTMJ in Milwaukee)
Monday, October 19: Nationally televised on FOX/FS1 & FOX One; listen via radio on the Brewers Radio Network (620 WTMJ in Milwaukee)
Prediction
This will be another fun battle with the two-time reigning champion Dodgers. You can be sure the Brewers aren’t overlooking them, but do they have what it takes to take down a team filled with high-paid veterans? I say yes. Milwaukee has plenty of young’uns, and the scrappy, fundamental baseball they play seems like a good counter to the Dodgers. As closely fought as the NLDS against the Padres was, I think we’ll see more of the same here — plenty of low-scoring games that come down to the bullpens. Give me the Brewers in six.
MILWAUKEE, WI - OCTOBER 04: A sponsorship view of Booking.com signage prior to Game Two of the National League Division Series presented by Booking.com between the San Diego Padres and the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field on Sunday, October 4, 2026 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Rob Tringali/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images
Good morning, baseball fans!
Unfortunately, we have reached a day without baseball. The ALDS continues tomorrow, ostensibly, if it didn’t end last night. (Again, I write these in the past, so you have more information at the moment than I do.) And the NLCS doesn’t start until Sunday, with the ALCS starting on Monday.
So it’s as good a time as any to discuss how we’re feeling about the playoffs so far. Personally, there is not enough chaos. I want full series, dang it. And so far we’ve had four sweeps and two 3-1 series wins. That’s boring (I say, as a fan of a team who is not in the playoffs at all and who therefore doesn’t have to bear the stress personally).
Where’s the drama? Where’s the chaos and horrible stomachache of a double elimination game?
Hopefully those things are coming in the division championship series. And hopefully the Milwaukee Brewers are able to take out the Los Angeles Dodgers. I mean, realistically, if I can just get the latter, I will forgive the former.
Ronald Acuña Jr. heard boos during the Braves’ loss in the National League Division Series, and he’s facing some big questions heading into next season.
Marlins center fielder Jakob Marsee will undergo elbow surgery and expects to return to the field in six months.
Around Major League Baseball
The Guardians put together a six-run sixth inning and used three starting pitchers to defeat the White Sox, forcing Game 5 tomorrow night in Chicago after falling behind two-game-to-none to begin the series.
Following the Yankees’ elimination, Aaron Judge said that he wants the front office to go all in and expressed confidence in manager Aaron Boone.
Ian O’Connor writes that the Yankees should move on from Boone, but he says that you shouldn’t expect them to actually do it.
Deesha Thosar writes that the end of this season felt all too familiar for the Yankees.
Major League Baseball proposed a 154-game schedule for the regular season, lengthening the Division Series to a best-of-seven, and a system that would have the higher-seeded teams in the Wild Card and Division series rounds of the playoffs choose their opponents. And the league says all of those things are contingent upon the union agreeing to a salary cap.
DENVER, CO - AUGUST 26: Carlos Gonzalez #5 of the Colorado Rockies follows the flight of an eighth inning double against the St. Louis Cardinals at Coors Field on August 26, 2018 in Denver, Colorado. Players are wearing special jerseys with their nicknames on them during Players' Weekend. (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Good morning, Purple Row!
We moved another step closer to the beginning of the League Championship Series as the schedule was announced on Thursday. The Milwaukee Brewers will host the Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday, Oct. 11 at 6 p.m. MDT in the NLCS.
Meanwhile, the Cleveland Guardians have charged back and tied up their series with the Chicago White Sox to force a Game 5 on Saturday night. The Tampa Bay Rays, meanwhile, are patiently waiting after sweeping the Yankees. They wait Saturday’s winner and the ALCS will begin Oct. 12 in Tampa Bay at 6 p.m. MDT.
On the local front, with football season in full swing in Denver and the Broncos grabbing most of the headlines (positive and negative), Empower Field at Mile High is completely centered on orange and blue right now. However, a Rockie will be adding a splash of purple to the stadium as Carlos González has just been inducted into the Colorado Sports Hall of Fame, which is nestled inside Mile High.
In 10 years with the Rockies, CarGo posted a 24 rWAR, connected for 227 homers and 277 doubles, while hitting .290/.349/.516 with an .865 OPS. The outfielder was named to three National League All-Star rosters, earned three Gold Gloves and two Silver Sluggers and won the NL batting title in 2010 when he hit .336.
Read about his selection and more news from around MLB below.
CarGo, a fan favorite known as the Rockie with the sweetest swing, is one of six athletes to join the elite group, which will be inducted officially on April 15, 2027, at a banquet at the Hilton Denver City Center.
Other Rockies in the Colorado Sports Hall of Fame include Dante Bichette, Vinny Castilla, Andrés Galaraga, Todd Helton, and Larry Walker, along with Colorado’s first manager Don Baylor, first general manager Bob Gebhard, and former team president Keli McGregor.
Not breaking news, as this was covered in the Rockies press conference from Tuesday, but the Kris Bryant situation is always worth remembering. At least Colorado president of baseball operations Paul DePodesta talked about it, which seemed vital after Bryant didn’t play and was never around in 2026.
You have to narrow it to the years the Rockies went to the playoffs: 1995, 2005, 2007, 2017, and 2018. So it has to be either from the Rocktober era or lone back-to-back postseason berths era.
It turns out it’s the first option: it’s Matt Holliday with five playoff bombs. What’s even more wild is that Holliday only had one season — 2007 — with the Rockies in the postseason.
Joel Reuter picked Rockies veteran pitcher Kyle Freeland. Freeland, 33, just pitched his 10 season in Colorado. With his contract ended, Reuter predicts that the Rockies bring him back and hope that he can have a bounce-back season.
On Thursday, the latest proposal from MLB went to the MLB Players Association and included some changes that would begin in 2029. One is a season with eight fewer games and a weekly off-day for each team. Another is a change to the postseason for the Division Series that would increase each league’s contests from five-game series to seven games. In addition, the top seeds from the Wild Card round and Division Series round would get to pick their opponents, allowing for the bracket to be altered each round.
Outside of the White Sox, the Rockies can also always look to the Tampa Bay Rays for a model of how to scout, draft, develop and build a low-cost roster in a small market. The Rays do it year in and year out, but no other team seems able to replicate their success. This article look at five players that were castoffs from other teams before finding their way in Tampa Bay.
There are many reasons the Rays are good. Bryan Baker, the 31-year-old All-Star closer is a big one. He recorded saves in all three games against the Yankees. He joined elite company in that feat, joining former Rockies closer Manny Corpas (2007), as well as Mark Wohlers (1996) and Dennis Eckersley (1988 and ‘96), as the only pitcher to get three saves in his team’s first three postseason games. Baker is the only one to do it without giving up a hit.
New York Yankees manager Aaron Boone is on the hot seat. Maybe.
After another early exit from the postseason, the second in a row in the ALDS, New York has to be reassessing its personnel. The Yankees haven’t won a World Series since 2009.
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - SEPTEMBER 27, 2026: Kevin McGonigle #7 of the Detroit Tigers celebrates with teammates as he exits the game during the eighth inning against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Comerica Park on September 27, 2026 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by George Kubas/Diamond Images via Getty Images) | Diamond Images/Getty Images
The preparation continues for this impending misery of an offseason. MLB and the players union have already been lobbing proposals at each other for months, and this will no doubt continue as either side tries to position itself and lobby the fanbase in advance of the next collective bargaining agreement negotiations this winter. MLB came back with a new round of ideas on Thursday, and the reception was tepid.
Kevin McGonigle’s march to the AL Rookie of the Year award continued as Baseball America named the Tigers’ infielder their 2026 Rookie of the Year. Their prospect tools review of the 2026 draft also had some Tigers mentioned.
Both league championship series are taking shape, and so we’ll also link you to some playoff previews as the Dodgers and Brewers prepare for an epic showdown, while the Rays await the winner of the White Sox-Guardians series. The Guardians looked cooked early in Game 4 until Jose Ramirez finally provided some of his old spark, and his teammates took it to the White Sox’s bullpen to force a decisive Game 5.
Let’s get into it.
Detroit Tigers News
Kevin McGonigle is Baseball America’s overall Rookie of the Year for 2026. The article points to the fact that McGonigle is so good at everything, rather than having one obvious strength, as the reason he’s already thriving at the major league level.
They also link of list of players 21 and under this season who accumulated at least 1 WAR per Baseball Reference. That is a record number of players that age putting up that kind of value.
7.1: Kevin McGonigle, SS, Tigers
3.1: AJ Ewing, CF, Mets
2.1: Bryce Eldridge, 1B, Giants
2.1: Konnor Griffin, SS, Pirates
1.7: Cooper Pratt, SS, Brewers
1.6: Samuel Basallo, C, Orioles
1.2:Max Clark, CF, Tigers
1.2: Luis Lara, CF, Brewers
1.1: George Lombard Jr., SS, Yankees
Cody Stavenhagen of the Athletic reports that the Tigers have fired Head Athletic Trainer Ryan Eubanks, as well as Assistant Athletic Trainer Chris MacDonald. The incredible number of soft tissue, non-contact injuries suffered by the Tigers this season no doubt played a role. The Tigers have already parted ways with long-time assistant pitching coach Juan Nieves, as well as first base coach Anthony Sanders. After the way this season went there are probably more changes coming. I’ll not again that the Tigers still don’t have a director of pitching in the minor leagues almost a year after Gabe Ribas left to join the Colorado Rockies coaching staff.
Rogelio Castillo, writing for Tigers Roundtable, considers the case of Colt Keith, who continues to be a modestly above average run producer, but still doesn’t have a defensive home.
Baseball America did its annual look at best tools from each team’s new draft class. As you’d expect, first rounder Cameron Flukey gets the highest marks for his fastball, which is among the best in the whole draft class, as well as his pair of breaking balls. They also mention second rounder Tyson LeBlanc’s breakout with the bat this season, calling his the best hit tool in the Tigers’ draft class, while fourth rounder Dominic Pellegrin gets high marks for his speed and defensive ability. In terms of secondary pitches, Flukey’s breaking stuff draws high marks, but Florida Gulf Coast RHP Evan Dempsey (2s) also has multiple high-quality breaking balls and advanced spin capacity overall. Another option here is the screwball-like changeup that Louisiana Tech RHP Declan Dahl (5) parachutes over the plate.
Jason Beck for MLB.com wrote about Framber Valdez’s first season as a Tiger, pointing to comments from AJ Hinch as to how the Tigers are trying to help him avoid the early game ambushes that marred numerous starts this year.
Max Clark played like a Top 25 hitter in baseball ⚡️
The big leaguewide news on Thursday was a new set of proposals from MLB to the players’ union regarding the new CBA. Those proposals include cutting the season to 154 games, planning a regular day off per week for teams as a result, while using that off day to showcase one game featuring two top teams on a national broadcast. The minor leagues and the NPB already both have Monday off for the whole league outside of special exceptions. MLB also floated the idea that top seeds in the postseason should get to pick their opponent, as well as expanding the divisional round to best-of-seven formats. Simply put, they want more lucrative postseason baseball to broadcast, and cutting back regular season games allows them to trim some player payroll as well.
Aaron Judge wants the Yankees front office to keep Aaron Boone and go “all in” to win next season. I don’t know, maybe having their best player on the field in the postseason would do the trick.
RotoGraphs looks at five hitters who broke out in 2026 to see if they can be trusted next year.
Finally, Manny Machado was robbed of a potential game-tying home run in Game 4 of their NLDS series against the Brewers. It was extremely reminiscent of another time Machado was robbed in right center field at Petco Park. That’s tough work from your home stadium, but those low walls do create opportunities for exciting robberies. And hey, at least there’s no roofs involved…
ST. PETERSBURG, FL - OCTOBER 03: Austin Wells #28 of the New York Yankees slides into third base during Game One of the American League Division Series presented by Booking.com between the New York Yankees and the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field on Saturday, October 3, 2026 in St. Petersburg, Florida. (Photo by Mike Carlson/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images
Another year, another disappointing postseason exit for the Yankees, who were swept by the Tampa Bay Rays in the AL Division Series after another frustrating and heartbreaking defeat on Wednesday night. The Bombers haven’t won it all since 2009, and they are evidently falling behind other organizations in recent years despite their high payroll.
What’s preventing the Yankees from lifting the World Series trophy again? What’s keeping them from competing toe to toe against the very best? That’s a long, complex question, but from this particular writer’s perspective, five reasons stand out. This is not meant to be a ranking, rather a full accounting of possible causes. There’s no one cure-all; most, if not all, will need to be addressed come 2027.
Underachieving in the regular season
Since 2021, the Yankees have failed to win at least 90 games just once, when they were 82-80 in 2023 and missed the postseason. However, they have captured the division just twice out of those six seasons.
Home-field advantage is big in October, and failing to win the division means they won’t get it if they advance to the Division Series. Of course, winning on the road is a must for every top-tier contender—the 1996 Yankees famously went 8-0 on the road en route to their championship—but higher-seeded squads who additionally play most of their games at home are notoriously hard to beat, as the Yankees have repeatedly found out.
The Yankees haven’t enjoyed home-field advantage in any of the postseason series they’ve lost, dating all the way back to the beginning of this run with Aaron Judge in 2017. Houston somewhat infamously had it in the 2017, 2019, and 2022 ALCS battles; Boston had it in 2018 and 2021; Tampa Bay had it in 2020 (albeit at empty Petco) and 2026; the Dodgers had it 2024; and the Blue Jays had it in 2025. Obviously the Yankees have had issues fending off top playoff foes in their own ballpark anyway, but that’s also all after falling behind the eight-ball in a hurry in so many of those early-series games.
Failure to consistently put the ball in play
Unlike the Jays-Yankees 2025 AL Division Series, the home run output of both the Rays and the Yankees in this year’s matchup was fairly close, with Tampa Bay winning the battle 3-2. However, they struck out 18 times, and the Yankees 31. New York also lost the strikeout battle in that 2025 series vs. the Blue Jays, 37-24. Those are some lopsided totals. You can’t strike out that much and expect to win, especially if the power production isn’t there.
Yes, power is huge in the postseason. It’s almost always a deciding factor. But in instances in which pitching is so good, every detail counts. Putting the ball in play matters, too, and that’s a department in which the 2026 Yankees often failed: in the regular season, they were second in home runs, but 26th in batting average (.235) and fourth in strikeout percentage (K%, at 24.7 percent).
Lack of elite up-the-middle defense and athleticism
Junior Caminero, Jonathan Aranda, and Ryan Vilade—just to name a few—aren’t particularly good defenders (Caminero did make some strides this year). However, they are all corner guys. Up the middle, they have mostly elite defenders such as shortstop Taylor Walls, second baseman Richie Palacio, and outfielders Chandler Simpson and Jonny DeLuca.
Walls finished the 2026 campaign with 21 Defensive Runs Saved (DRS) at shortstop, while Simpson had eight DRS and eight Outs Above Average (OAA) while playing mostly left field. DeLuca racked up five DRS and 13 (!) OAA in 787 innings in the outfield.
The Yanks had Trent Grisham and his -8 DRS and -6 OAA, clearly having lost much more than a step in center. Spencer Jones could be a bit of an adventure out there, too. The promising, but still inexperienced and erratic George Lombard Jr. was at shortstop. And, well, Jazz Chisholm Jr., doesn’t always make the best decisions on the field.
True contenders should have elite athletes making plays on the field and helping their pitching staff.
Flaws in player evaluation
At this point, it’s clear that the Rays have the clear edge here and make excellent use of their resources and modern approach to player analysis and evaluation. The Yankees, on the other hand, appear to be a step behind the elite and need new voices, methods, and practices. Whereas they have a good handle on their pitching apparatus with Matt Blake, James Rowson’s work since taking over the job at the start of 2024 has been a mixed bag, especially when Aaron Judge wasn’t available. No team plays at its best without its top player, but the Yankees were a bottom-10 offense from June 1st onward. Their ALDS was the worst of any offense in franchise history.
You see the difference between the two organizations in the seemingly ‘little’ things such as picking the right manager, lineup construction, defensive alignment, player development practices, coaching, and more. They are definitely not ‘little’.
Lack of fundamentals
Let’s face it: the Yankees lack fundamentals. We are not talking about playing small ball, executing sac bunts, hit-and-run, moving the runners, or things like that. We mean making the routine plays, swinging with purpose at the right pitches, laying off those outside the strike zone, running hard to first base and putting pressure on the fielders, playing defense the right (and smart) way, and exercising controlled aggressiveness on the basepaths.
Truly elite squads rarely give away outs on the basepaths, as Austin Wells did in Game 1. They don’t commit four errors in a postseason game (and even more misplays) as the Yankees did on Monday. They don’t try to force plays where they just don’t exist, or expand the strike zone so much.
Former Westlake High star Christian Yelich leads the former Southland products playing for the Brewers. (Charles Rex Arbogast / Associated Press)
If the Brewers are going to take down the heavily favored Dodgers, their group of Southland products will be key in the National League Championship Series that begins Sunday in Milwaukee.
This is awesome: @ChristianYelich sent a letter to the high school seniors at his alma mater.
Former Westlake star Christian Yelich is Mr. Brewer. He’s a three-time All-Star and the National League MVP in 2018. He’s always been willing to come back to the community and make contributions.
Giving back. Christian Yelich and Max Fried signing autographs on Saturday for Altadena Little Leaguers. pic.twitter.com/3fzOBF5bCw
First baseman Jake Bauers is a Marina High graduate who lost in the Southern Section Division 1 championship game at Dodger Stadium to Jack Flaherty and Harvard-Westlake 1-0. Here’s a look at Bauers this season.
Former Marina first baseman Jake Bauers has 21 home runs for the Milwaukee Brewers. (Eric Sondheimer / Los Angeles Times)
Sep 10, 2024; San Francisco, California, USA; General view of the helmet used by the Milwaukee Brewers before the start of the first inning against the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: Stan Szeto-Imagn Images | Stan Szeto-Imagn Images
Greetings, Brew Crew Ball community. The Brewers are back in the National League Championship Series for the second consecutive season and the third time in the last nine years, and they’ll face the Dodgers once again — the third time facing L.A. in the NLCS, and their fourth time facing them in the postseason. Milwaukee was swept a season ago, but they’ve improved from last season, while the Dodgers mostly maintained their status quo. Does the Crew have what it takes to get past them this time?
Feel free to use this thread to chat about (almost) anything you want: video games, food, movies, non-baseball sports, the Brewers, you name it. As long as it’s appropriate and is allowed by our moderators, it’s fair game here.