Good morning Birdland,
Could the vibes be any more immaculate? The Orioles followed up their 2-1 win on Opening Day Thursday with the news on Friday that they are signing Shane Baz to a five-year, $68 million contract extension. For the first time with Mike Elias leading the front office, the Orioles have made a long-term commitment to a pitcher.
Now, Baz is probably not the pitcher that most fans expected (or even wanted) the Orioles to lock up. He certainly doesn’t have the track record of Trevor Rogers or Kyle Bradish. But that could be exactly why he was the one they set their sights on.
Baz is extremely talented. The Orioles have reminded us of that quite frequently ever since they traded for him back in December. He’s also young, not turning 27 until mid-June, and already had three years of team control remaining. On top of that, he has had some injury problems. That’s enough uncertainty to make him open to an extension, but far enough behind him that the Orioles were OK with the commitment. That combination of factors seems to have made him an ideal candidate for an extension in Elias’ eyes.
MLB Trade Rumors reported the breakdown of the contract as follows:
- 2026: $1 million salary, $4 million signing bonus
- 2027: $7 million salary
- 2028: $10 million salary
- 2029: $21 million salary
- 2030: $25 million salary
That averages out to $13.6 million per season with most of it coming in ‘29 and ‘30, the two years of free agency that Baz will now be forgoing. It’s a lot of money for someone that is yet to even throw a pitch in your uniform and has just one full healthy season under his belt, but it’s not bad if Baz ends up being everything that they hope he can be.
It’s a gamble. The Orioles are betting on Baz staying healthy, and on the ability of the organization to help him hit his ceiling. You would have to assume that whatever they saw this spring convinced them that he is the guy to pin their hopes to moving forward.
So what does this mean for other Orioles pitchers hoping for a big deal? Rogers has been/is still likely to bet on himself. He’s a free agent after the year. If he can even come close to duplicating what he did in 2025, he is going to be the most sought after free agent next winter. Bradish, on the other hand, could be open to something. He is still rather fresh off of Tommy John surgery and won’t hit free agency until after the 2028 season. The question could be whether the Orioles are interested. Bradish is already 29 years old. Do they want buy out his age 32, 33, or 34 seasons? That doesn’t sound like an Elias move.
For 2026 anyway, the Orioles have assembled a very fun staff. Baz is part of that. Hopefully things go well, because we will be watching it for a long time to come.
Links
3 of 6 largest contracts in O’s history have been signed since August | MLB.com
Elias is finally spending money, and the team certainly feels better for it! Now they need to win some games and go deep into October. Incentivize these billionaires to spend even more!
A healthy Kyle Bradish? The Orioles can hardly wait. | The Baltimore Banner
To me, Bradish is the best pitcher on this Orioles team. The only thing holding him back this year will be the kid gloves with which the Orioles are likely to handle him to make sure he gets to October unscathed. That could mean a lot of four- or five-inning starts where he leaves after 80 pitches early in the season. If that’s what it takes, and the Orioles are winning games, I’m cool with it.
Orioles extension candidates: After Baz, Basallo, who could be next? | The Capital Gazette
Gunnar Henderson needs to be the answer here. It sounds like the Orioles are laying the ground work there, but nothing has come together yet. Scott Boras is Henderson’s agent, and he does not like for his big clients to sign ahead of free agency. That doesn’t mean it’s impossible, but the Orioles will need to knock his socks off with an offer.
Taking another look back before moving ahead to Game 2 | Roch Kubatko
Relive the glory of Opening Day once more before we get into the action of Game 2 later today. Hopefully the Orioles bats wake up a little bit in the encore. We want some dingers!
Orioles birthdays
Is it your birthday? Happy birthday!
- Christian Walker turns 35 today. Drafted by the Orioles back in 2012, he would play in just 13 games for them between 2014 and ‘15 before he was DFA’d and eventually claimed by the Diamondbacks, where he became one of the more consistent first basemen in the game.
- Shawn Boskie is 59 years old. He spent the 1997 season as a swingman on the Orioles pitching staff.
- Glenn Davis turns 65. He played parts of three seasons in Baltimore from 1991 through ‘93, accumulating just 0.7 bWAR total in that time. What did it cost the Orioles to get him from the Astros? Three players: Steve Finley, Pete Harnisch, and Curt Schilling. Yikes.
This day in O’s history
1999 – The Orioles become the first major leaguers to visit Cuba since 1959. In an exhibition against the Cuban national team, the O’s win 3-2 in 11 innings. Charles Johnson hits a two-run homer, and Harold Baines drives in the winning run. The two teams will play a rematch at Camden Yards on May 3.