Red Sox Minor Lines: Hickey’s two big flies power the Woo Sox

FORT MYERS, FLORIDA - MARCH 12, 2026: Nathan Hickey #82 of the Boston Red Sox warms up prior to a spring training game against the Minnesota Twins at Lee Health Sports Complex on March 12, 2026 in Fort Myers, Florida. (Photo by Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images) | Diamond Images/Getty Images

Worcester Red Sox 7, Syracuse Mets 5 (BOX)

It was bombs away for the Woo Sox on Thursday, hitting four home runs on the day, two of which came off the bat of Nathan Hickey. Hickey’s first home run, as well as Mickey Gasper’s, were off of Mets prospect Jonah Tong. Tong (5.90 ERA) has taken a major step back in Triple-A this season.

Trailing 5-4 in the eighth inning, Hickey’s second home run was a two-run shot, which put Worcester ahead for good over Syracuse (NYM).

Braiden Ward also had two hits and added an insurance run with a homer of his own in the ninth inning. Devin Sweet was the opener ahead of Tyler Uberstine, who threw three perfect innings, striking out five. Eduardo Rivers got the win, as he was also perfect in 2 1/3 innings, with four strikeouts. Wyatt Olds threw two hitless innings for his second save.

Jack Anderson (2-4, 5.26) will be on the hill for the Woo Sox Friday at 6:35.

Altoona Curve 10, Portland Sea Dogs 3 (BOX)

A six-run sixth inning for the Curve (PIT) off reliever Dalton Rogers did the Sea Dogs in on Thursday night. Rogers relieved starter Gage Ziehl, who struck out eight over five innings, allowing just one run. Ziehl has been excellent in his last seven starts, not allowing more than two runs in any of them. He is 3-0 with a 2.04 ERA and a 9:41 walk-to-strikeout ratio during that time.

Home runs from Jack Winnay (2) and Brooks Brannon (11) were the highlights for Portland offensively. Winnay was 2-for-4. Franklin Arias had the day off. One can only hope that it was to give him some time to pack his things to get to Triple-A. A rehabbing Nick Sogard went 1-for-2 with a walk and a run scored before being replaced.

John Holobetz (3-3, 4.67) is on the bump, Friday at 6:20.

Winston-Salem Dash 5, Greenville Drive 4 (BOX)

Another mediocre outing from Kyson Witherspoon put the Dash (CWS) ahead early in this one. Witherspoon allowed six hits and four runs over four innings. While the strikeouts are there (65 in 61 innings), Witherspoon has walked 30 batters and has a 5.02 ERA.

Two-RBI days from both Antonio Anderson and Stanley Tucker helped the Drive tie the game up at 4-4. A walk-off single by the Dash’s George Wolkow won the game, saddling reliever Matt McShane with the loss.

Greenville’s Alex Bouchard (1-2, 5.65) will get the ball on Friday at 6:30.

Salem RidgeYaks 16, Augusta GreenJackets 10 (BOX)

It must be really heating up around Hotlanta, as the RidgeYaks and GreenJackets (ATL) combined for 26 runs on Thursday. Salem had home runs from Skylar King, Adonys Guzman, and Louis Andujar, with King leading the way with three hits and four RBI as well. King, Guzman, Andujar, Andrews Opata, and Andruw Mussett all had multiple RBI for the RidgeYaks.

Naturally, the pitching wasn’t pretty on either side. Starter Jacob Meyers couldn’t throw strikes and was pulled after 1 1/3 innings, allowing five runs (four earned), on … zero hits? Brady Tygart was credited with the win, despite allowing three runs.

On Friday at 6:35, Salem will send Christian Foutch (0-5, 6.75) to the mound.

Today in White Sox History: July 3

On this day 51 years ago, Tony Muser didn’t get to swing the bat very often. | (Topps)

1901
With a 4-3 win in 11 innings at Cleveland, the White Sox won their 10th straight game, which remains one of only 15 double-figure win streaks in franchise history. The club was swept in an Independence Day doubleheader the next day. In this, their first year in the major leagues, the White Sox won the AL pennant with an 83-53-1 record.


1922
White Sox pitcher Ted Blankenship made his big-league debut in a big way. Blankenship relieved starter Ferdie Schupp in the second inning of a game against Detroit, then gave up nine hits over the next 12 innings before losing the game in the 14th, 7-6. The game took place at Comiskey Park and was the opener of a doubleheader. The Sox won the second game, 4-3.


1940
It was a wild ninth inning punctuated by a franchise first.

The White Sox came up with a seven-run final frame to put away the Tigers, 12-7, in a game in Detroit. The highlight of the rally was a pinch-hit grand slam off the bat of Taffy Wright.

It was the first time the Sox had ever recorded a pinch-hit grand slam.

Wright was batting for Eric McNair when he sent a Lynn Nelson pitch over the fence scoring Joe KuhelMoose Solters and Larry Rosenthal ahead of him. 

For the year Wright would only hit five home runs!


1973
In a 15-1 thrashing of Texas in the opener of a doubleheader Tony Muser tied a franchise record with five walks. The first baseman scored four times and added a single, meaning he reached base safely in all six of his trips to the plate from the 2-spot in the batting order.

As is the case often in such blowouts, the White Sox struggled to score in the nightcap, losing, 2-1. Muser did his part, however, going 2-for-4 with a double that gave him a 3-for-5 twinbill that saw him get on base eight times in 10 PAs.

Muser joined Dick Allen, who was walked five times in a game nearly a year earlier, along with Sammy Strang, Minnie Miñoso, Frank Thomas and Jim Thome in franchise annals.


1976
It was the first morning start for a game in the history of Comiskey Park, as the White Sox hosted Texas with the first pitch delivered at 10:30 a.m. The Sox didn’t care much for the novelty, as they lost, 3-0, to Nellie Briles, getting only three hits.

The White Sox would play another morning game the following season, in connection with McDonalds Egg McMuffin sandwiches, and hammer Cleveland, 18-2.


1984
The frequency of rooftop home runs dramatically increased after home plate was forward up eight feet after the 1982 season, and in no game was that as evident as in this 9-5 win over the Tigers.

In the fifth inning, Greg Luzinski sent a ball onto the roof in left field, the three-run blast off of Jack Morris extending the White Sox lead to 8-3. It was Bull’s fourth and final career rooftop home run.

The very next inning, Detroit’s Ruppert Jones trimmed the lead by one with a leadoff blast onto the right-field roof off of Tom Seaver.

It was one of only two Comiskey Park games with two rooftop homers, and also represented roof shots in back-to-back games for the White Sox, as Ron Kittle had put one out on July 2.

This was also the only game in which two roof shots were hit off of two different future Hall-of-Famers!


1993
Former White Sox announcer and Hall of Fame pitcher Don Drysdale was found dead in his hotel room in Montreal, due to a heart condition. Drysdale, then a Dodgers announcer, worked for the White Sox mostly on television from 1982-87. His broadcast partner, Ken Harrelson, broke down on air while making the announcement during a 9-6 White Sox loss to the Orioles at Comiskey Park that evening.


2012
Chris Sale earned his 10th win of the season as the White Sox ran out to a 19-0 lead and ended up crushing Texas, 19-2. That tied the franchise mark for the third-largest difference in a win, 17 runs. An Ian Kinsler error at second base helped propel Chicago to a nine-run fifth inning (seven unearned), capped by an A.J. Pierzynski three-run blast. Roy Oswalt started for the Rangers and surrendered 11 runs (nine earned) in 4 2⁄3 innings, for a game score of 1. Pierzynski, Alex Ríos, Kevin Youkilis, and Alexei Ramírez all collected three hits apiece in the game.

Also on that day, Will Ohman was released by the White Sox. The southpaw reliever was adequate in his first season out of the pen for the club (2011), but had given up six homers in just 26 2⁄3 innings and hadn’t pitched since three earned over two innings on June 27. The southpaw never pitched another game in the majors.

 

Twins vs Yankees Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The New York Yankees are heavy home favorites against the Minnesota Twins tonight, but I’m not laying a taxed price during a seven-game losing streak.

Although Gerrit Cole's name still commands respect, Minnesota’s offense is hot enough to test a pitcher coming off two shaky starts. The total also points Over with Mike Paredes bringing major contact-quality risk.

Here are my Twins vs. Yankees predictions and MLB picks for Friday, July 3.

Who will win Twins vs Yankees today: Twins +1.5 (-125)

I’m taking the Minnesota Twins at +1.5 and would play it down to -140.

Gerrit Cole still carries name value, but this New York Yankees team is hard to trust by margin. New York is hitting .137 during its seven-game losing streak and has been outscored 43-17 during that span. 

Cole remains the better starter, but his 21.3% strikeout rate is well below peak form, while Minnesota has scored 96 runs with 25 homers over its last 16 games.

Mike Paredes is shaky (to put it kindly), but current form makes this run line playable.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Gerrit Cole's Whiff% ranks in just the fourth percentile of baseball in 2026, which is one of the league's worst numbers among starting pitchers.

Twins vs Yankees Over/Under pick: Over 9.5 (-122)

Paredes’ contact profile is hard to trust against any lineup with a pulse. He has allowed a 51.8% hard-hit rate this season while striking out only 11.8% of batters.

The Yankees are ice cold, but this is the right matchup to create traffic and end the drought. While the Twins will hang around, it won't come without simultaneously giving up runs.

Playable to 10 O/U.

Chris Hatfield's 2026 Transparency Record

  • ML/RL bets: 33-30, +5.60 units
  • Over/Under bets: 39-26, +17.62 units

Twins vs Yankees weather

Expect extreme heat conditions at Yankee Stadium, with temperatures hovering around 95F at game time. We could see the ball flying in the Bronx tonight. 

Twins vs Yankees odds

  • Moneyline: Twins +158 | Yankees -186
  • Run line: Twins +1.5 (-125) | Yankees -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 (-122) | Under 9.5 (+100)

Twins vs Yankees trend

Minnesota has hit the game total Over in 28 of its last 40 road games (+17.10 Units / 39% ROI).

How to watch Twins vs Yankees and game info

LocationYankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
DateFriday, July 3, 2026
First pitch7:05 p.m. ET
TVTwins.TV, YES
Twins starting pitcherMike Paredes
(0-1, 4.26 ERA)
Yankees starting pitcherGerrit Cole
(2-3, 4.06 ERA)

Twins vs Yankees latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Fantasy baseball waiver wire: Cade Cavalli, Ian Seymour, more about to break out

Welcome to Waiver Wire Watch, our weekly fantasy baseball waiver wire guide. We'll be doing things a little differently this season, with Eric Samulski publishing the initial waiver-wire article on Friday afternoon. Then James Schiano updates it every Sunday to make sure you get the most up-to-date information.

The premise of the article is pretty straightforward. We'll give you some recommended adds each week based on recent production or role changes. When we list a player, we'll list the category where we think he’ll be helpful or the quick reason he’s listed. We hope this helps you determine whether the player fits your team's needs. Not every "trending" player will be a good addition for your specific roster.

To qualify for this list, a player needs to be UNDER 40% rostered in Yahoo! formats. We understand you may say, “These players aren’t available in my league,” and we can’t help you there. These players are available in over 60% of leagues and some in 98% of leagues, so they’re available in many places, and that can hopefully satisfy readers who play in all league types.

⚾️ Baseball is back on NBC: MLB returns to NBC and Peacock in 2026! In addition to becoming the exclusive home of Sunday Night Baseball, NBC Sports will broadcast MLB Sunday Leadoff, “Opening Day” and Labor Day primetime games, the first round of the MLB Draft, the entire Wild Card round of the postseason, and much more.

Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Hitters

Esmerlyn Valdez - OF, PIT (38% rostered)

(STARTING JOB, HOT STREAK)

During First Pitch Arizona this year, a few of us got really into Esmerlyn Valdez, and Eric wound up blurbing him a bunch as he won the Offensive Player of the Year in the Arizona Fall League. He then proceeded to hit 13 home runs in 56 games at Triple-A this year while also posting a 21.5% strikeout rate and 17.3% walk rate. Since being promoted, he's hitting .316/.375/.737 with six home runs and 15 RBI in 19 games. He's playing every day in the outfield with Ryan O'Hearn moving back to first base, and we can totally see why people are rushing to add him. While we like Valdez, we do want to pour a tiny bit of cold water. For one, when Oneil Cruz and Spencer Horwitz return from injury, the playing time may be a little harder to come by. Secondly, he's currently sporting a 16.5% swinging strike rate and 32% strikeout rate in his MLB at-bats. Even in Triple-A, he had just a 78% zone contact rate and a 71% contact rate overall. There is swing-and-miss in his game that could be exposed quickly at the big league level. You should add him for sure, but don't be surprised if a cold stretch comes.

Dylan Crews - OF, WAS (35% rostered)

(STARTING JOB, HOT STREAK)

Last week we mentioned that we were buying into Crews because we were making a bet on the quality of contact winning out over the poor June stats. Well, in his last 13 games, Crews is hitting .320/.382/.440 with one home run, nine RBI, and three steals. That has come with a 50% hard-hit rate, and he has a 45.5% hard-hit rate since being promoted. Yes, he is still chasing more than we'd like to see, and there remain some contact issues in his game. We're not suggesting he's "figured it out," but he's a former top 10 prospect in baseball who is getting regular playing time and is starting to see some results. These are the gambles you take on the wire. Also, if you're in a league where somebody dropped Mickey Moniak - OF, COL (39% rostered), you should go and pick him up. He was producing before getting hurt and has gone 9-for-32 (.281) since returning with three home runs and nine RBI in 10 games. He should be rostered in like 80-90% of leagues.

Nasim Nunez - 2B/SS, WAS (29% rostered)

(STOLEN BASE UPSIDE, HOT STREAK)

Nunez barreled a ball this week and also hit a home run, so he can do it. Beyond that, he remains a priority add if you need speed and is also bringing the batting average with it. In 26 games since June 1st, he's hitting .329/.400/.447 with 12 runs scored, 12 RBI, and 10 steals. He's not going to continue to run a .490 BABIP, but his bat speed is up, he's hitting the ball harder, and he runs fast, so there's a good chance he always has a higher-than-average BABIP. There's a good chance that he's at least a .250-.260 hitter the rest of the way, and that's going to be massive for people who need stolen bases.

Samad Taylor - 2B/OF, SD (21% rostered)

(STARTING JOB, STOLEN BASE UPSIDE)

Samad Taylor is not really slowing down. In the last two weeks, he's hitting .326/.426/.370 with six runs scored and two steals in 13 games. Yes, that's not the pace you were getting from him right when he was called up, but the batting average and stolen base production have been there. We knew he wasn't going to hit for power - he had just a 27% hard-hit rate in Triple-A - but he hits the ball and uses his speed to get on base and then create problems once he's there. You don't have to hold him through any prolonged cold streak, but he has five hits in four games entering Friday, so he is still getting on base.

Francisco Alvarez - C, NYM (21% rostered)

(HOT STREAK, POWER UPSIDE)

Alvarez has cooled off a little bit of late and is hitting .250/.289/.486 in 20 games since coming off the injured list, but that does come with five home runs and nine RBI. Nine RBI on five home runs? Thanks, Mets. There is swing-and-miss in Alvarez's game, and he will go through some rough stretches, especially as this lineup looks to try and lock in and produce, but if you want power and playing time from your catcher, we still think Alvarez is a fine option in one-catcher formats. Another sneaky one-catcher option could be Endy Rodriguez - C, PIT (2% rostered), who has grabbed the starting job and hit .269/.398/.495 over 33 games since being promoted with five home runs, 16 RBI, and two steals. He also has a 13.6% barrel rate and 45.5% hard-hit rate over that span. Rodriguez was a former top prospect before two years of injuries and could be worth a gamble. He, for sure, needs to be added in all two-catcher leagues.

Tommy Edman - 2B/3B/OF, LAD (21% rostered)

(BATTING AVERAGE UPSIDE, GREAT LINEUP)

Look, you're probably not getting much speed from Edman anymore due to his myriad lower-body injuries. He had just nine steals in 134 games in 2024 and 2025 combined, and he has one steal in just one attempt in 13 games this season since being activated from the injured list. However, he is also hitting .378/.451/.556 in those 13 games with nine RBI because he hits in the Dodgers' lineup. That's going to be production that helps if you need average and counting stats. Cole Young - 2B, SEA (13% rostered) was a player we highlighted earlier in the season and remain fans of. Over the last 20 games, he's hitting .293/.329/.520 with five home runs, 11 runs scored, and 10 RBI. He doesn't hit the ball overly hard, but he gets to the pull side frequently and makes lots of contact. We buy him as a .270-or-better hitter with 15-18 home run power over a full season. That's a solid MIF target.

Javier Sanoja - 2B/3B/SS/OF, MIA (18% rostered)

(STARTING JOB, BATTING AVERAGE UPSIDE)

At the beginning of April, Eric wrote an article on hitters who had clearly changed their swings or approaches, and Sanoja was among those listed. (Hey, Cole Young was on there too). In that article, Eric mentioned that Sanoja had the fifth-biggest jump in Ideal Attack Angle rate, up to 53.1% from 32.3%, and his overall Attack Angle is up to 5 degrees from 2 degrees. We just covered above that an Ideal Attack Angle is between 5 and 20 degrees, so Sanoja is now in that range far more often, which is beneficial for him. He also mentioned that Sanoja’s stance was more open, and his feet were wider apart, which was giving him a strong foundation and allowing him to turn on the ball quicker, which was why he was intercepting the ball out in front of the plate. Well, some of those numbers have stabilized, but his Ideal Attack Angle rate is still 51.5%, and his pull rate is up at 49%, from 38.6% last year. Sanoja has also now earned a starting job and is hitting .317/.344/.500 in his last 20 games with 10 runs scored, 10 RBI, and two steals. This is more of a deeper league play for batting average and some counting stats, but if you had a multi-position player like Ezequiel Duran, who has cooled off, then swapping him for Sanoja makes some sense.

Dominic Canzone - OF, SEA (16% rostered)

(STRONG SIDE PLATOON, POWER UPSIDE)

Since June 1st, Canzone is hitting .301/.378/.616 with six home runs, 12 runs scored, and 11 RBI. This is a guy who hit .300 with 11 home runs in 82 games last year and has a career 13.6% barrel rate and 47% hard-hit rate in 284 MLB games. There will be some cold stretches because he also has a 13.5% swinging strike rate for his MLB career, but he has evened those cold stretches out over the last two seasons. He's going to play against all righties and is a solid add for power. If you're in a daily moves league or a mid-week lineup leagues where you can bench him if he faces lefties, he's that much more valuable.

Blaze Alexander - 2B/3B/SS/OF, BAL (13% rostered)

(STARTING JOB, STATCAST DARLING)

Blaze Alexander might live on this list because his roster rate never seems to climb. He hit his way into a near full-time role around May 25th, supplanting Coby Mayo at third base. Since then, he has led the Orioles in wRC+ (196) and is slashing .398/.449/.614 in 30 games with three home runs, 13 runs scored, 20 RBI, and three steals. Over that stretch, he has a 9.5% barrel rate, 46% hard-hit rate, and 92.3 mph average exit velocity. He has also been far more aggressive, raising his zone swing rate from 68% last year with Arizona to 81.6% this year. He’s still swinging and missing about 13% of the time, but because he is swinging more often, his overall contact rate has gone up from 71.5% to 76.2%, and he is making harder contact than before. This looks more real than what Jeremiah Jackson was doing in Baltimore earlier this season.

Owen Caissie - OF, MIA (11% rostered)

(TOP PROSPECT, POWER UPSIDE)

Owen Caissie still swings and misses more than we'd like, and strikeouts will always be part of his game, but the rookie is starting to figure things out at the plate a bit. In his last 20 games, he's hitting .291/.323/.618 with five home runs, 10 runs scored, and 17 RBI. That comes with a 29% strikeout rate and 74% zone contact rate, so we're not out of the woods with his contact concerns and may never be. However, he is being far more aggressive in the zone in recent months, and his 72% zone swing rate during this stretch is up from the 63% mark he had prior to it. By being more aggressive in the zone, he's giving himself more chances to do damage on pitches he can handle and minimizing some of the risk that comes with his whiff profile. We prefer him in an OPS format, but if you need power, he's probably the best name on the waiver wire.

Victor Caratini - C, MIN (10% rostered)

(HOT STREAK, BATTING AVERAGE UPSIDE)

Not sure what Caratini needs to do to be rostered more. Maybe everybody is worried about Ryan Jeffers coming back, but that hasn't happened yet, and Jeffers is a trendy trade deadline name, so maybe Caratini sticks around as the starting catcher in Minnesota. In 21 games since June 1st, he's hitting .338/.432/.618 with five home runs, 14 RBI, and 13 runs scored. That's with a 14% barrel rate and a 44% hard-hit rate. I might drop a struggling catcher like Salvador Perez for that production now and figure things out in a few weeks if I need to. If you need a stopgap at catcher, he's a good one. Carson Kelly - C, CHC (10% rostered) has also been producing lately, hitting .333/.471/.593 in his last 10 games with one home run, 9 runs scored, and 11 RBI. He's not a long-term solution, but would be an injury fill-in or two-catcher league option.

Trevor Larnach - OF, MIN (9% rostered)

(HOT STRETCH, DAILY MOVES PICK-UP)

Much like Dominic Canzone, Larnach is a good option if you're in a daily moves league or a mid-week lineup change league since he won't play against lefties. Since June 1st, Larnach is slashing .358/.416/.531 in 24 games with two home runs, 14 runs scored, and 13 RBI. His barrel rate and hard-hit rates are not impressive, but he has seemingly shortened his swing and changed his bat path, which is giving him a little more lift and getting him to be a bit less oppo-focused. He has only played over 112 games once in his career, so we're not banking on this being a rest-of-season add, but it's working right now. Another veteran, oft-injured outfield option in a strong side platoon is Michael Conforto - OF, CHC (1% rostered). Over the last two weeks, he has just 25 plate appearances, compared to 52 for Dansby Swanson and 54 for Nico Hoerner, so you can see how his playing time stacks up against everyday guys. However, Conforto has gone 8-for-23 in that span with three home runs, seven runs scored, and eight RBI. If you're in a deeper, daily moves league, he could be worth a gamble right now.

Jacob Gonzalez - 1B/2B/SS - CWS (7% rostered)

(STARTING JOB, POWER UPSIDE)

We had Jacob Gonzalez here when he first came up because we liked the profile in Triple-A, but the results didn't materialize. They may be coming now. Over the last two weeks, Gonzalez has gone 12-for-38 (.316) in 12 games with one home run, eight runs scored, and 12 RBI. The strikeouts have been reined in a bit, and he's playing against all right-handed pitchers. We know that Munetaka Murakami will need a rehab assignment once he's ready to play, and we also know that he's not yet ready to play, so we still could have a few more weeks with Gonzalez. It's just a bit of a bummer that we haven't seen much of his Triple-A power carryover.

Garrett Mitchell - OF, MIL (6% rostered)

(POWER/SPEED UPSIDE, STREAKY PLAYER ON HOT STREAK)

We featured Mitchell a bunch earlier in the season, and he's back to putting up really solid numbers. Over his last 20 games, he has a .350/.400/.650 slash line with four home runs, 12 runs scored, and nine RBI. That's with a 13.6% barrel rate and a 50% hard-hit rate. The tools have always been loud, but the plate approach has been the question. Over this stretch, he has a 34% chase rate, 68% zone swing rate, and 16% swinging strike rate. Those are all up from his season averages, so he hasn't really "fixed" anything. He's a streaky player who is seeing the ball well right now and producing. It may last one more week. It may last another month. If you have an outfield spot, it might be worth a gamble

Lars Nootbaar - OF, STL (6% rostered)

(SOLID BATTING AVERAGE, RUNS UPSIDE)

People really don't want to pick up Nootbaar. We know he's another boring outfielder who is set to come off the injured list following offseason surgery on both of his heels. We know that you've been waiting for that Nootbaar breakout for a long time, but he remains a solid/productive player who should be in an everyday role on a solid Cardinals team. In 23 games since coming off the injured list, he's hitting .300/.387/.463 with two home runs, 13 runs scored, and eight RBI. That might be more of a 15-team league profile because of the lack of power and RBI, but it's just solid production overall. Andrew Benintendi - OF, CWS (3% rostered) is another perennially overlooked outfielder who has hot stretches every season. Over the last three weeks, he's hitting .275/.315/.569 with four home runs and 10 RBI in 17 games. He has a double-digit barrel rate for the season straight season and his 48.3% hard-hit rate is his best ever. His bat speed is up a bit, his swing is steeper, and he's pulling the ball more than he ever has. This isn't some late-career breakout, but this may just be a solid veteran who can hit .250-.260 with 7-10 home runs the rest of the way in a decent lineup. That has value.

Griffin Conine - OF, MIA (1% rostered)

(OFF OF INJURED LIST, POWER POTENTIAL)

Conine has flashed potential in the last three seasons, but injuries always seem to ruin our fun. He's now played in eight games since coming off the IL and has gone 8-for-27 (.296) with one home run, six RBI, and a 9/4 K/BB ratio. Conine has good plate discipline and a career barrel rate of 11.8% in 75 MLB games. He's swinging and missing a lot right now, but we also think that could be a small sample in a return from injury where he is trying to get his timing back. He starts against all right-handed pitching and could be a solid add for the remainder of the season. Another small sample size add could be Victor Bericoto - OF, SF (1% rostered) who might see a decent chunk of playing time this upcoming week with Casey Schmitt sliding to third base while Matt Chapman is out. In 43 games at Triple-A this season, Bericoto hit .299/.355/.449 with six home runs, 32 runs scored, and 30 RBI. That came with a 50% hard-hit rate but also a 13% swinging strike rate. He does make average zone contact, so the issue is that he expands the zone, which he is doing in his MLB sample too. However, he also has a 52% hard-hit rate and four home runs in his 40 MLB plate appearances too. If you wanted to take a flyer because the Giants play seven games next week, including four against Rockies pitchers, we wouldn't be opposed to it.

Ty France - 1B, SD (1% rostered)

(HOT STREAK, STARTING JOB)

Ty France is the Padres' first baseman now. With Ramon Laureano out, Gavin Sheets is now a DH or a left fielder, but has opened up consistent playing time for France. Over the last three weeks, he's hitting .288/.377/.577 in 16 games with four home runs and 12 RBI. We've seen France have hot streaks before, like earlier this season, but he also has a career-high 11.2% barrel rate and 47% hard-hit rate this year. His bat speed is up, and he's looking to pull the ball far more than he did the last two seasons. We'd add and see what happens in deeper formats. Josh Bell - 1B, MIN (15% rostered) is on another hot streak, hitting .302/.362/.603 in 18 games over the last three weeks with four home runs, 11 runs scored, and 18 RBI. We know he's a streaky player, and he may also be traded at the deadline, but in deeper formats, you can for sure add him when he's seeing the ball like this.

Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Pitchers

Ian Seymour - SP, TB (29% rostered)

Last week we were excited that this might be happening, and now it seems like it finally is. We've had Seymour on this list for three weeks, but it had been a bet on the future because Eric wrote about him as one of his favorite late-round starting pitcher targets this offseason,which you can read here for full thoughts on his arsenal. It all seemed like it might be starting to click last Thursday, but it was a start against the Royals without Bobby Witt Jr. Then Seymour went out and delivered again on Thursday (yes, also against the Royals). Seymour threw 83 pitches in six innings and had a 66% strike rate and 18% swinging strike rate. His sweeper was really good in this one and got swings and misses to both righties and lefties. We still have some concern that his changeup, which had been his best pitch, is not as good as it was last year. Even in this start, it was his third most-used pitch against righties, which is rare for Seymour, and three of the 11 that he threw to righties were pretty awful - up and away out of the zone. We'd be more convinced that this was a full-on breakout if he got that pitch working, but he's pitching well enough that you need to add and take the gamble.

Cade Cavalli - SP, WAS (28% rostered)

Cade Cavalli just had an electric start against the Red Sox where his fastball velocity was up, his curveball was harder, and he started to mix in a cutter. It's unclear if he can keep those changes from here on out, but if he does, he'd be a great starting pitcher in fantasy leagues. Eric recorded a video on him this week with more details.Oh, but his suspension means he probably only makes one start this week, which is a bummer.

Jared Jones - SP, PIT (24% rostered)

Yes, we still believe in Jared Jones. His Location+ is actually above-average despite coming off Tommy John surgery, and the 14.5% K-BB% and 16% swinging strike rate show that he is missing bats. It’s not so much that he’s consistently missing his spots, but that he seems to have a few poorly executed pitches every game that just get teed off on. That’s not uncommon for a pitcher coming off elbow surgery, and we understand if he’s too inconsistent for you to trust right now, but we do think there will be much better days ahead.

Brandon Sproat - SP, MIL (21% rostered)

Sproat was featured in Eric’s article this week on starting pitchers to buy or sell as one of the better buy targets. That’s now five straight games where Sproat hasn’t issued more than two walks, as the Location+ grade is creeping up. As Eric mentioned in the article this week, Sproat is doing a better job of commanding his fastball up in the zone and his secondaries at the bottom for whiffs. He had a 17% swinging strike rate in four starts heading into last night and then had a 12% mark last night, so it’s been a solid five-start stretch for him. We would encourage you to read the article for the six paragraphs about him, but we think Sproat is starting to figure things out with his arsenal, optimizing his pitch mix for more whiffs and locating his secondary pitches more consistently.

Jake Bennett - SP, BOS (21% rostered)

Bennett appeared in that same article as Sproat. He is coming off two outings against the Rockies in Coors and the Yankees at Fenway. In those outings, he showed the ability to be what Nick Pollack and Eric refer to as a SWATCH (Southpaw With a Tight Changeup). He has been locating the changeup down and away from righties really well and also peppered the top of the strike zone with four-seamers. He doesn’t throw hard, but he has a five-pitch mix that, if commanded well, could be successful from the big left-hander who has elite extension. There will be some ups and downs, but Bennett gets the Angels, White Sox, and Rays next, which could be a decent run.

Grant Taylor - RP/SP, CWS (17% rostered)

Yes, Taylor blew the save against the Guardians on Thursday with a walk-off home run, but, on the upside, Taylor was allowed to remain in the game after one inning to be used for a save on Thursday night. Seranthony Dominguez has been bad lately, and we have always believed that the White Sox may WANT to use Taylor as their fireman, but he may NEED to be used to close games. Even with the blown save, we think he'd be a stud as a closer. We've also mentioned Yoendrys Gomez - RP, MIN (26% rostered) a few times, but he remains a good closer option available in a lot of leagues.

Reynaldo Lopez- SP/RP, ATL (12% rostered)

With JR Ritchie down in the minors, Lopez is getting another chance in the starting rotation, and he even went five innings in his last outing, which will give him a decent shot at wins going forward. We know what he did for Atlanta when he was healthy in 2024, and so, with the starting pitching landscape what it is, he's not a bad gamble right now. He gets the Cardinals at home in his first start next week.

Noah Schultz - SP, CWS (11% rostered)

It wasn't an elite start from Schultz in his return from the IL, allowing three runs on two hits and four walks over 4.1 innings. However, he did strike out seven. We don't usually start pitchers coming off the injured list in their first start back, and Schultz has had some issues with command throughout the season that make him hard to trust. However, he did throw 87 pitches in that one and has a decent two-start week this week, so we can see trusting him if you want to take a shot on upside.

Caleb Kilian - RP, SF (9% rostered)

Kilian is now the clear closer for the Giants after some missteps earlier in the year. He has three saves in the last two weeks, which puts him tied for fourth in baseball. His 4.00 ERA and 11.1% walk rate on the season are not ideal, but he has a solid 12% swinging strike rate and is probably the best pitcher in that bullpen. We'd rather have him than somebody like Alex Lange. Clayton Beeter - RP, WAS (11% rostered) would be another low-rostered closer option. He has similar walk rate concerns to Kilian and an equally fine but not great 11.7% swinging strike rate. However, he pitches for a better team than Kilian and has allowed fewer hits on average this season. He still makes us nervous, but we can see taking the gamble.

Elvis Alvarado - RP, ATH (6% rostered)

Alvarado was Eric's featured relief pitcher in last week’s MLB Notebook. In that article, Eric said that Alvarado has battled command issues in the past and then posted an 8.38 ERA in his first 10 appearances this season before being sent to Triple-A. Since being recalled on June 6th, he has a 3.38 ERA and a 39% strikeout rate in 13.1 innings. Since Alvarado has returned, he has showcased a better command of his four-seamer but also has been able to get ahead in the count with his slider and sinker. He’s started to use his slider more as an early-count called strike pitch in addition to a whiff pitch, which has given his pitch mix another dimension that he didn’t have last year. We know there have been some bad outings recently, and he has only had two saves since being recalled, but we think the pure stuff here remains good and could be worth a gamble if you are hunting for saves.

Jack Perkins - SP, ATH (6% rostered)

Perkins was another pitcher in Eric's article this week. Perkins has a flat four-seam fastball and a good sweeper, but had some struggled against lefties, so his cutter and new gyro slider could be crucial for him. The cutter finds the zone often, and the gyro slider can miss bats. He can also mix in his four-seam fastball, which is not a great pitch for lefties. At the time, I said I could see how this CAN work, but it hasn’t yet. Well, we’ve seen two more starts since then, and things have started to click. Since May 15th, Perkins has a 3.76 SIERA, 18.4% K-BB%, and above-average Stuff+ and Location+. When you pair that with the analysis of his overall pitch mix, Perkins is one of Eric's favorite picks for a “breakout” second half.

Connor Preilipp - SP, MIN (6% rostered)

We loved Prielipp when he debuted because we think his slider is a legit elite pitch. The issue is that his four-seam fastball is just average, and his changeup wasn’t taking the step forward I wanted. However, he has seemed to settle in lately with a 4.05 SIERA, 14.3% K-BB%, and above-average Stuff+ and Location+. A big part of that has been that his curveball has improved in command and execution of late, which has done the job we wanted the changeup to do. With Mick Abel out for the season, Prielipp should remain in the rotation and is worth an add for his upside.

On The Horizon: Cubs vs. Cardinals series preview

The Cubs are the hottest team in MLB, having won 15 of their last 19, and the Cardinals, as you’ll see below, are on a skid. Here’s hoping the Cubs keep that skid going.

Standings update: The Reds did the Cubs a favor Thursday by defeating the Brewers, so the Cubs enter Friday’s action five games behind Milwaukee, six in the loss column. The Cubs also moved half a game ahead of the Phillies for the top wild-card spot when the Phillies lost to the Pirates on Thursday.

For more on the Cardinals, here’s Doc Holliday, manager of our SB Nation Cardinals site Viva el Birdos.

  • Cardinals have been on a downward freefall, losing eight of their last 13 games
  • JJ Wetherholt has gone through a mini-slump, 6-for-34 since June 23. Had two hits Thursday in Atlanta, though.
  • Jordan Walker hasn’t completely fallen off the wagon, but he’s cooled off from his first two months of the season. Thursday, Jordan hit his first home run since June 13.
  • Matthew Liberatore has been so off that there are many who think he should go back to mid-inning relief and be taken out of the rotation
  • Since the last time the Cards/Cubs played, Nolan Gorman has been sent to Triple-A Memphis – Blaze Jordan is now manning third base and has provided better offense than Gorman
  • Dustin May skipped his last start due to back tightness – he tossed one of the best games of the year a couple weeks ago, but got shelled the next
  • Michael McGreevy is still producing best consistent results among the five starters – Andre Pallante also several solid starts and Kyle Leahy was great today
  • The consensus among a majority of the fanbase now is that the rebuild will continue and Dustin May, Lars Nootbaar and JoJo Romero are likely to be wearing other uniforms after the trade deadline. It’s also 50/50 if the Cardinals move first baseman Alec Burleson.

Fun facts

It only took playing 87 other games first, but at long last the Cubs will welcome the Cardinals to Wrigley Field for the first time beginning Friday.

The Cards won two of three games at St. Louis on May 29-31.

The Cubs swept three games at Wrigley to close out last season, after having taken two of three July 4-6. In thefirst of those games, they hit eight home runs, setting a team record they tied on Wednesday against the Padres.

The Cubs are 715-551 at home vs. the Cards, a winning percentage of .565. They are .545 at home vs. all other teams.

In 2,529 total games between the teams since 1892, when the Cardinals joined the National League from the American Association, the Cubs have won only 54 more games than the Cards, 1,282 to 1,228, while scoring just 19 more runs, 11,057 to 11,038.

(Courtesy BCB’s JohnW53)

Probable pitching matchups

Friday: David Peterson, LHP (4-6, 5.86 ERA, 1.588 WHIP, 3.92 FIP overall; 1-0, 3.18 ERA, 0.882 WHIP, 4.70 FIP in one start with the Cubs) vs. Andre Pallante, RHP (9-5, 3.83 ERA, 1.231 WHIP, 3.97 FIP)

Saturday: Shōta Imanaga, LHP (5-6, 4.30 ERA, 1.078 WHIP, 4.68 FIP) vs. Kyle Leahy, RHP (6-4. 4.09 ERA, 1.475 WHIP, 4.19 FIP)

Sunday: Javier Assad, RHP (6-1, 4.53 ERA, 1.123 WHIP, 5.24 FIP) vs. Matthew Liberatore, LHP (4-5, 5.33 ERA, 1.548 WHIP, 5.11 FIP)

Times & TV channels

Friday: 3:05 p.m. CT, Marquee Sports Network

Saturday: 7:08 p.m. CT, Fox-TV (regional — coverage map, scroll down to the bottom of that link). A reminder that if you subscribe to MLB.TV or MLB Extra Innings, you can watch this game via those services even if it’s not on the Fox affiliate in your market. Announcers: Joe Davis, John Smoltz and Ken Rosenthal.

Sunday: 1:30 p.m. CT, streaming on Peacock (full national broadcast, no blackouts). Announcers: Alex Cohen, Mark Sweeney and Taylor McGregor.

Prediction

As noted above, the Cubs are hot and the Cardinals are not. That should be enough for the Cubs to win two of three here.

Up next

The Cubs have Monday off, then travel to Baltimore to face the Orioles in a three-game series beginning Tuesday evening.

Royals Reacts Results: Blame the roster construction

Nick Loftin, nanoseconds before disaster struck
Jun 27, 2026; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago White Sox shortstop Colson Montgomery (12) slides into third base against Kansas City Royals third baseman Nick Loftin (12) during the ninth inning at Rate Field. Mandatory Credit: Patrick Gorski-Imagn Images | Patrick Gorski-Imagn Images

Welcome to SB Nation Reacts, a survey of fans across the MLB. Throughout the year, we ask questions of the most plugged-in Kansas City Royals fans and fans across the country. Sign up here to participate in the weekly emailed surveys.

Earlier this week, we asked who bore the most blame for the Royals becoming the “proud” owners of the American League’s worst record by the halfway point

As always, I find the results fascinating. To get this out of the way, the plurality blames the roster construction, but that is among the smallest pluralities I’ve ever seen at just 37%. Poor Management got 27% of the blame, poor coaching got 23%, and the players only took 13% of the blame.

I’m not surprised to see management so high, but when I gave you the choice to separate the coaching out from the managing, I wondered if everyone might decide, actually, the baserunning, hitting, and defense were a greater problem than the lineups and bullpen usage. It was close, but many of you still think this is somehow Matt Quatraro’s fault. I said this in 2023, and I’ll say it again now: You cannot blame a manager for bad bullpen decisions when there are no good ones to be made. But the lineup stuff was and continues to be frustrating. I get that they’re missing many of their projected starters, but Salvador Perez batting fifth or sixth every night despite a .568 OPS is just completely incomprehensible to me.

I agree with the plurality, though, that the biggest issue that has caused the downfall of the 2026 Royals is roster construction. Where I suspect I disagree with many of you, though, is that I believe the roster construction problems should be laid at the feet of John Sherman and the rest of the ownership team far more than General Manager J.J. Picollo.

The Royals made exactly two major league free agent signings before the season, adding Lane Thomas and Starling Marte to the roster. They also made trades to bring in Nick Mears, Isaac Collins, and Matt Strahm. Obviously, the trade additions haven’t worked out the way that anyone had hoped. I do feel obligated to point out that Collins has carried an OBP over .330 in every month this year. If the 2025 Royals had had an outfielder playing at that level last year, they might have made the postseason.

But, honestly, the free agent signings have been about as good as you could have hoped considering that they cost a combined $6 million. Thomas is slumping a bit right now while playing nearly every day since the injury to Kyle Isbel, but you paid for roughly half a Win Above Replacement, and he’s on pace to be worth that. Starling Marte has been almost as valuable at 1/5 the cost. The problem is that the Royals only had $7 million to spend on free agents.

Now, that absolutely begs the question of whether the Royals could have reallocated that Jonathan India arbitration money elsewhere. But that’s similar to what Rob Refsnyder and Cedric Mullins got. Would the Royals be better with either of those guys on the team? (The answer is no.) I also wonder if there are different rules in place for keeping guys versus adding them, because the Royals have forked out money to keep guys like India, Seth Lugo, and Michael Wacha.

I think Picollo’s front office and the pitching coaching staff have a lot of questions to ask themselves about why exactly nearly every reliever this team has added for the past three years has turned into a roiling inferno. But when Picollo was given significant money to spend in an offseason, he added Seth Lugo and Michael Wacha, who have been key parts of the Royals being good, and Hunter Renfroe, who was really good in 2024 outside of April. Even last season’s addition of Carlos Estévez ended up working out really well for the club until the second year of the deal kicked in.

I’m not saying everyone outside of Sherman is blameless, but we’ve seen good results from all other aspects of the club when larger amounts of money have been involved. Even the extensions to Wacha and Lugo have mostly worked out. I know Lugo isn’t living up to hopes this year, but he also had pitched quite well for the first two months, and we can hope he will rebound after a rough June.

Anyway, good voting, everyone. Let me know what you think of these results in the comments!

These survey results are sponsored by FanDuel.


Yankees Birthday of the Day: Brian Cashman

Cleveland, Oh.: Yankees General Manager Brian Cashman attends the team's batting practice before Game 3 of the American League Division Series at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio, on October 15, 2022. (Photo by William Perlman/Newsday RM via Getty Images) | Newsday via Getty Images

George Steinbrenner was many things. Above all, he was passionate. Passionate about his Yankees and, according to those who knew him as a Thoroughbred owner, equally passionate about horse racing. So it was no surprise that when he met a horse breeder and future Harness Racing Hall of Famer named John Cashman, the two hit it off. In 1986, Cashman leveraged the relationship to net a Yankees internship for his teenage son. That simple favor would be among the most consequential decisions in Steinbrenner’s 37 years at the helm of baseball’s most iconic franchise.

Brian McGuire Cashman
Born: July 3, 1967 (Rockville Centre, NY)
Yankees Tenure (as GM): 1998-present

Brian Cashman grew up in Washingtonville, NY as one of John and Nancy Cashman’s five kids. The young Brian excelled at baseball in high school at Georgetown Prep before starting for all four years at Catholic University of America. The same man who was introduced to the world at large as a scrawny, bespectacled wunderkind 10 years later was a top-notch leadoff hitter for the Division III university, setting school records in both hits and steals in a season.

Upon graduating, Cashman began a rapid rise through the Yankees’ organization. Despite his connection to Steinbrenner, it was the mercurial owner’s banishment in 1990 that accelerated his rise. Gene Michael, the baseball savant who stewarded the club in Steinbrenner’s absence, took a liking to the detail-oriented Cashman, promoting him all the way up to assistant general manager by 1992. “Brian knew everything going on,” Michael said of his protege. “Nothing slipped by.”

“He was a mentor to many people in this office,” Cashman would later say of the man everyone called “Stick.” “He did it with me and plenty others. If you were interested, he would give his time and expertise to try and train you. He was a remarkable individual who was impactful.”

Michael was replaced by Bob Watson before the 1996 season. After two seasons working under Steinbrenner, he resigned. On his way out, Watson recommended his 30-year-old assistant GM for the job. Whether due to that endorsement or Steinbrenner’s own read on his old buddy’s son, the Boss agreed to make Brian Cashman the second-youngest GM in MLB history.

There would be no training wheels for the big job. Cashman was handed the reins of a team with World Series aspirations and a star-studded roster, with Steinbrenner breathing down his neck. A couple of months into the ’98 season, the trigger-happy owner was having second thoughts and put out feelers to see if Michael would return and displace Cashman. “Brian can do it,” Michael reassured Steinbrenner. “Just give him time.”

Of course, that team would go down as one of the best in baseball history. A roster mostly assembled by Cashman’s predecessors won 114 games and a championship. In the ensuing years, which saw two more titles and another two pennants by 2003, Cashman made his mark, acquiring key contributors like Roger Clemens, Jason Giambi, and Hideki Matsui while signing international prospects including Alfonso Soriano and Robinson Canó. He also developed a reputation for tenacity and resolve. “He and George (Steinbrenner) would have scream festivals for hours,” Jean Afterman said, the assistant GM of the Yankees. “I’d close my door but could hear them down the hall. Brian backs down from no one — that’s why George loved him.”

After a few lean years, a retooled roster including Alex Rodriguez as well as the newly signed CC Sabathia, A.J. Burnett, and Mark Teixeira took home the Yankees’ 27th title in 2009. This time, while the Core Four of the ’90s dynasty remained, Cashman could take the lion’s share of the credit for compiling a roster that rose to the top.

The 17 years since that title have been a mixed bag. In 2010, Cashman famously entered into a very public salary negotiation with Derek Jeter in which he encouraged the captain to test free agency and reportedly indicated he’d rather have Troy Tulowitzki playing shortstop in New York. In addition to souring his relationship with the face of his team, that fracas — which resulted in a three-year, $51 million deal — turned much of the fanbase against their GM. It didn’t help that the Yankees failed to return to the World Series in the years that followed.

By 2016, with the wheels falling off, Cashman engaged in his first ever honest-to-goodness sell-off at the trading deadline. It would be a turning point, with the ’17 “Baby Bomber” Yankees making a rare underdog turn the following year. A young roster led by Rookie of the Year Aaron Judge and other homegrown talent developed under Cashman made a run all the way to Game 7 of the ALCS. And, while that 28th ring has remained elusive, the team has remained competitive in the interim, missing out on the playoffs only once and making it as far as the World Series in 2024.

Where does that leave Brian Cashman’s legacy? For one thing, with the longtime GM only turning 59, there’s no reason to believe that legacy is fully written yet. Dave Dombrowski, the Phillies GM who still appears to be at the top of his game, turns 70 this month.

When it comes to regular-season success, though, neither he nor any other active GM can approach Cashman, who’s overseen winning teams for each of his 28 seasons at the helm. The only other team without a losing season in the 2020s is the Dodgers, for whom Ned Colletti and Andrew Friedman have ably carried the torch since their last losing season in 2005. While the title draught in which the Yankees remain mired is a legitimate pain point, that much winning is not to be taken for granted; for an example of another big-budget team unable to put a consistently competitive product on the field, look no further than across town.

Cashman has also earned superlative acclaim from those who know the challenges of his job best. “Based on Brian’s accomplishments, I would make the argument that he is the greatest executive in the history of the sport,” longtime A’s GM Billy Beane said. “He has four championships and the longest tenure. It’s not unlike Tom Brady’s career, from an executive standpoint. He is the Tom Brady of GMs.”

Brian Sabean, a Cashman protege who went on to helm the Giants during three championship runs before returning to the Yankees front office, agreed. “Cash doesn’t get enough credit,’’ Sabean said. “If there was ever a Hall of Fame for executives in all of sports, he’s on top of the list. They understand what the expectations are (in New York), which are greater than everyone, and they keep on winning.”

In addition to his work in baseball operations, Cashman has a long track record of supporting his community. The Yankees-Stonewall initiative awards $50,000 in scholarships annually to graduating LGBTQ+ student leaders from each borough, something he’s called the “most meaningful work” of his career. He’s taken an active role in amplifying Spanish-language media, hosting an annual Hispanic Heritage Media Day. He also sticks his neck out both literally and figuratively while spending the night outside in a sleeping bag each winter, inviting mockery from his detractors to raise awareness for the nonprofit Covenant House. Cashman has also quietly built a singular legacy in elevating women in sports, including Afterman, Kim Ng (who Jeter would later hire as the first female GM in American male pro sports) and Rachel Balkovec, who he brought on as the first female manager of an affiliated team, the Low-A Tampa Tarpons.

Whatever your view of Cashman’s performance over his long career, his accomplishments speak for themselves, and his staying power in baseball’s toughest market has given him the chance to build on those achievements. While I’m sure not all of you will partake, I invite you to join me in wishing a happy 59th birthday to one of the most consequential figures in Yankees history.


See more of the “Yankees Birthday of the Day” series here.

Would Robbie Ray really bring back more in trade than Luis Arraez?

May 18, 2026; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; San Francisco Giants pitcher Robbie Ray (38) looks on in the second inning against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Kartozian-Imagn Images | Matt Kartozian-Imagn Images

In yesterday’s SB Nation Reacts survey, Brady posed the question, “Who will return more when they’re invariably traded? Robbie Ray or Luis Arraez?”

I have to say that after going through the comments section I was a surprised by the fan responses even before knowing the poll results. Most seem to think that Robbie Ray would bring back the most value in trade, and that seems to be an opinion formed by two tenets: (1) everyone needs pitching and (2) fans want Luis Arraez to stick around. That’s not an outlier opinion, of course. At the end of May, this site’s founder, Grant Brisbee, wrote for The Athletic that the Giants should extend Arraez.

A few days later, I ranked him as the Giants’ third-most valuable trade chip, but acknowledged that there might not be many teams where he’d be a great fit, limiting a potential return.

Then there’s the factor of what teams value more: offense or defense. Only 11 of the 30 teams have positive defense and offense at second base. Plus, the teams that could use a boost at second base aren’t playoff teams for the most part, and the ones that could be are actually . Only the Rays (+0.3 fWAR, 100 wRC+), but 20 of the 30 teams have at least average defense there. So, how many of those teams would seek an upgrade at the position?

I mention all this to say that there seems to be a strong emotional component when considering Luis Arraez. Not many fans would log on to FanDuel and bet that the Giants would win on a given day without him on the team, I suspect. He was the gamble Buster Posey took this offseason — along with bringing Ron Washington onto the coaching staff — and it has paid out more than what could’ve reasonably been expected. Arraez is simply the 8th-most valuable player in Major League Baseball right now. His 3.3 fWAR places him in this top 10:

10. Nick Kurtz, A’s: 3.3 fWAR
9. JJ Wetherholt, Cards: 3.3 fWAR
8. Luis Arraez, Giants: 3.3 fWAR
7. Corbin Carroll, Dbacks: 3.5 fWAR
6. Kevin McGonigle, Tigers: 3.5 fWAR
5. Otto Lopez, Marlins: 3.6 fWAR
4. Dillon Dingler, Tigers: 3.9 fWAR
3. Yordan Alvarez, Astros: 4.0 fWAR
2. Bobby Witt Jr., Royals: 4.6 fWAR
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong, Cubs: 5.3 fWAR

This is a testament to his improved defense. His hitting line of .326/.361/.463 is just 89th (126 wRC+). According to FanGraphs, his +8.1 Defensive Runs Above Average is 11th-best in the sport. Not quite the best second baseman, though. JJ Wetherholt ranks first with +11.4 Defensive Runs Above Average. Also, by SABR’s Defensive Index (SDI), a component of the Gold Glove voting, he’s far less impressive: 0.9 SDI. Just 8th out of 14 qualifiers.

So, do fan emotions have it right? Is Arraez more valuable to the Giants on the roster than as a trade chip?

I’ll still say no.

Arraez has been traded twice in his career (in 2023 from the Twins to the Marlins, in 2024 from the Marlins to the Padres) for 7 total players. Yesterday, I looked at the history of trading ace-type pitchers at the deadline and came away with the feeling that the Giants would have a tough time moving a player not only because of the entertainment cost but because the odds of getting back a truly great trade package are slim. I don’t feel that’s the case here with Arraez.

Here are the players traded for Luis Arraez:
OF Byron Chourio (18 at the time, now 21, has not appeared in MLB)
INF Jose Salas (20 at the time, now 23, has not appeared in MLB)
SP Pablo Lopez (27 then, now 29, an All-Star for the Twins who has amassed 9.6 fWAR in 2+ seasons and 455 IP)
RP Woo-Suk Go (25 then, now 27, has not appeared in MLB, has not appeared in MLB)
OF Dillon Head (19 then, now 21, has not appeared in MLB) — #25 in Miami’s system
OF Jakob Marsee (23 then, now 25; 96 RC+, 2.1 fWAR in 585 PA across 2 seasons for Marlins)
OF Nathan Martorella (23 then, now 25, just released, has not appeared in MLB)

In both instances, the trading team wound up getting back a major leaguer. It worked out best for the Twins, of course, because Pablo Lopez has been great for their rotation and the Giants sorely need starting pitching, but the truth is that the Giants might be able to get a couple of arms for him, or at least some intriguing volume that has more on-paper promise than what happened in the Tyler Rogers and Camilo Doval deals last season.

Another trade to think about was the Orioles trade of Manny Machado back in 2018. No, no, no — not saying that Luis Arraez is Manny Machado… he’s more like 75% of Manny Machado, and in that deal Baltimore made with the Dodgers, they got back five players for Machado’s expiring contract.

The Dodgers sent the then-#84 prospect of MLB Pipeline’s top 100, OF Yusniel Diaz, along with pitcher Dean Kremer (their #28 prospect), third baseman Rylan Bannon, and major leaguers Breyvic Valera and Zach Pop. Let’s round down on the 75% to say that the Giants could get three players, none who would be on MLB Pipeline’s top 100, but possibly one of whom would be a current major leaguer (or on a 40-man roster). The other two could be in the back half of the receiving team’s top 30.

Currently, the worst teams at second base that otherwise have playoff aspirations are:

  • Tampa Bay, +0.1 fWAR (82 wRC+)
  • Washington, +0.4 fWAR (63 WRC+)
  • Athletics, +0.6 fWAR (94 wRC+)
  • Minnesota (lol), +1.0 fWAR (97 wRC+)
  • Philadelphia, +1.0 fWAR (81 wRC+)

Somehow, I doubt the Giants would trade with the Athletics for a deadline headline deal like this, but they might also be fine with their tick above average situation same as the Twins. Dave Dombrowski might want to do something to shakeup the Phils’ infield, as Bryson Stott has been worse than the league average offensively for basically his entire career and now he’s scuffling even more this season. And the Rays’ situation is so rough that it’s probably worth addressing at the deadline, too.

Would Tampa Bay do Joe Boyle, Dean Moss, and Jackson Baumeister? Is that too much? Or would Bobby Evans simply kill the deal by reminding Buster Posey of the Matt Duffy trade? Doubtful. How about Alex McFarlane, Gabe Craig, and Raylin Heredia from Philadelphia?

In any case, even on an expiring deal, because he put in the work to make him one of the top up the middle defenders in the sport to go with his elite contact skills, he’s likely to bring back a healthy return. However…

The wisdom of the crowd thinks the pitching’s the thing wherein Buster Posey will catch the most value for the team. This is why I’ve suggested that there’s more of a desire to keep Luis Arraez than there is to keep Ray that’s motivating this result.

One of the reasons why I look to previous trades is to get a sense of how the industry values a player. In Arraez’s case, although he’s older and the contract is less favorable to the acquiring team (lots of money for 50 or so games), he’s somehow better and at an important position. While Ray is a starting pitcher — which always carries value — who saved his season in June (5 starts, 33 IP, 1.36 ERA / 3.20 FIP), he’s never been traded for much.

Jerry Dipoto and Farhan Zaidi balanced their books back in 2024 and prior to that, the Diamondbacks got back Travis Bergen. Before that, he was part of a 3-team trade where the Tigers sent him to Arizona and before that the Nationals traded him to the Tigers for Doug Fister.

Last year, the Rangers sent three pitching prospects to the Diamondbacks for Merrill Kelly. Is that the Ray comp for this year’s deadline? Kohl Drake was their #5 prospect, Mitch Bratt their #9, and David Hagaman their #13. All three are now in Arizona’s top 15. Okay, Drake and Bratt are already on the 40-man, and Bratt has already debuted, so, you could make the case that this is the model.

Ray is younger than Kelly was at the time of the deal, but he also lacks Kelly’s numbers. In 2021, Robbie Ray pitched like Logan Webb does every day he roles out of bed (3.9 fWAR), but since then, in 501 innings, he’s amassed just 4.3 fWAR across five seasons. That’s not great, and it’s not helped by a 4.23 FIP (career: 4.11). He tends to walk guys (career 3.81 BB/9) and give up home runs (1.35 HR/9), but balances those out with strikeouts (10.64 K/9). This year, he’s not striking guys out so much (7.71) while the walks and homers remain consistent. That wasn’t the case with Merrill Kelly last season. At the time of the deal, he was striking guys out above his career average, walking guys around his career average, and allowing slightly fewer home runs than usually. Like Ray today, his deal would expire at season’s end. The Rangers figured they’d catch a guy during his last gasp and the deal worked out just okay (3-3 in 10 starts, a 4.23 ERA, +0.8 FWAR).


But, at the end of the day, either Robbie Ray (the people’s choice) or Luis Arraez will bring back at least a trio of prospects for the Giants. Figure at least one of those would be in the zone of Drew Gilbert or Blade Tidwell, but also consider that the Giants could actually get a bit more impact from that in the case of Luis Arraez, especially if the acquiring team is especially desperate (ahem, Philadelphia). But, yes, if you’re looking for volume, Robbie Ray is likely to bring back some quantity.

Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Tonight's MLB Game

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Dylan Cease and his AL-leading strikeout stuff headline the series opener in Seattle, and I’m riding the Toronto Blue Jays ace.

The Blue Jays open a weekend series in Seattle riding high after a nine-run Canada Day romp, and they hand the ball to Dylan Cease against the Seattle Mariners and Luis Castillo.

Cease has been overpowering lately, and a Mariners lineup that hasn’t seen much of him sets up my favorite play of the night.

Read on for my Blue Jays vs. Mariners predictions and MLB picks for this Friday, July 3 matchup.

Blue Jays vs Mariners predictions

Blue Jays vs Mariners best bet: Dylan Cease Over 8.5 strikeouts (+120)

Dylan Cease is a push away from what feels like one of the best pitching seasons in Toronto Blue Jays history. The right-hander has some of the nastiest stuff in baseball, a triple-digit fastball, a wipeout breaking ball, and an AL-leading 128 strikeouts in 83.1 innings.

That 13.8 K/9 usually carries him over his strikeout number, and he’s punched out eight or more in seven of his last eight starts. The one thing that trips him up is command, like last time out against the Texas Rangers, when he walked five.

I’m confident the ace settles back in against a Seattle Mariners lineup that ranks 20th in the majors at 8.64 strikeouts per game and hasn’t seen much of him. 

Julio Rodriguez has just two career at-bats against Cease, and Josh Naylor owns a modest .640 OPS in 25 at-bats.

I’d play this until even money, so make sure you’re getting it at +100 or longer.

Covers COVERS INTEL:  That strikeout surge is powered by a deadly slider (+11 run value, per Baseball Savant), against which opposing hitters own just a .159 average and .215 slugging.

Blue Jays vs Mariners same-game parlay (SGP)

The Blue Jays have won seven of their last 10 against the Mariners, including an epic seven-game ALCS last fall to reach the World Series, and they’re rolling off that Canada Day blowout. 

I like Over 7 total runs, too, backing Toronto to break through against Luis Castillo

And Cease Over 8.5 strikeouts anchors it, especially with the extra off day helping him work deeper and rein in his command.

Blue Jays vs Mariners SGP

  • Over 7 
  • Blue Jays moneyline
  • Dylan Cease Over 8.5 strikeouts
img loading="lazy" width="100%" height="null" src="https://img.covers.com/editorial/2026/jaysmlcbp.jpg" alt="Canada’s best price for Jays"
Get the best Jays ML odds at BET99 — every game.

Blue Jays vs Mariners home run pick: Sean Keys (+790)

Bet on Sean Keys and turn the ignition. The Blue Jays rookie announced his arrival with a massive three-run homer on Canada Day, giving the fan base a well-deserved jolt of energy.

We don’t have much of a sample through 12 MLB at-bats, but the 23-year-old went deep 21 times in 67 minor-league games before his call-up, so the pop is very real.

Keys draws a nice matchup against Mariners starter Castillo. His first big-league homer came on a hard, outside fastball from Freddy Peralta, and Castillo is another fastball-heavy arm. 

Play this one north of +700, and keep it to a quarter unit.

2026 Transparency record
  • Best bets: 2-1, +0.79 units
  • SGPs: 1-2, +0.69 units
  • HR picks: 0-3, -0.75 units

Blue Jays vs Mariners odds

  • Moneyline: Blue Jays -130 | Mariners +110
  • Run line: Blue Jays -1.5 (+135) | Mariners +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: Over 7 (-115) | Under 7 (-105)

Blue Jays vs Mariners trend

The Toronto Blue Jays have won seven of their last eight games at T-Mobile Park, a friendly backdrop for another road win in Seattle. Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Mariners.

How to watch Blue Jays vs Mariners and game info

LocationT-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
DateFriday, 7-3-2026
First pitch10:10 p.m. ET
TVKING 5, SN
Blue Jays starting pitcherDylan Cease
(4-4, 3.02 ERA)
Mariners starting pitcherLuis Castillo
(3-6, 4.93 ERA)

Blue Jays vs Mariners latest injuries

Blue Jays vs Mariners weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Rays vs Astros Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Tampa Bay Rays have won eight consecutive games yet are not favored against a sub .500 Houston team.

My Rays vs. Astros predictions and MLB picks believe that is for good reason, and see value in backing the home side.

Who will win Rays vs Astros today: Houston Astros (-110)

Nick Martinezowns an unfathomably low 18.9% ground ball rateover the last 30 days. He can’t keep the ball on the ground, and he’s leaking oil as a result.

Martinez conceded at least three earned runs in four of five starts during that stretch.

The Houston Astros are equipped to exploit his struggles, ranking seventh in FB% and tied for 11th in ISO against right-handed pitching since June 1.

If Spencer Arrighetti stabilizes as he should (he owns a 9 ERA the past month despite a 3.8 xFIP), the Astros should win.

Back Houston to -120.

Covers COVERS INTEL:Nick Martinez ranks in the 32nd percentile in xERA, indicating he has not pitched nearly as well as his 2.66 ERA suggests.

Rays vs Astros Over/Under pick: Under 9.0 (-120)

The Tampa Bay Rays have a potent offense but it lacks power, particularly on the road. No team has posted a lower ISO, or hit fewer home runs, in away games when facing right-handed pitching.

Arrighetti has struggled with the long ball, allowing three homers in back-to-back games. This is a spot where he should be able to limit power, as he’s done effectively for the majority of the season.

Martinez has allowed only 0.87 homers per nine innings in away games while walking just 4.2% of batters. Those outputs put a ceiling on opposing offenses.

Bet to -130.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 47-38, -1.45 units
  • Over/Under bets: 45-36-4, +4.69 units

Rays vs Astros weather

The Houston Astros play in a rarely opened dome so hot temperatures should have little to no impact on this game.

Rays vs Astros odds

  • Moneyline: Rays -110 | Astros -110
  • Run line: Rays -1.5 (+150) | Astros +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.0 (+100) | Under 9.0 (-120)

Rays vs Astros trend

Houston has hit the moneyline in 24 of the last 40 games (+7.90 units, 18% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Rays vs. Astros.

How to watch Rays vs Astros and game info

LocationDaikin Park, Houston, TX
DateFriday, July 3, 2026
First pitch8:15 p.m. ET
TVApple TV
Rays starting pitcherNick Martinez
(7-2, 2.66 ERA)
Astros starting pitcherSpencer Arrighetti
(7-4, 4.00 ERA)

Rays vs Astros latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

TJ Rumfield selected as NL Rookie of the Month for June

May 23, 2026; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Colorado Rockies infielder TJ Rumfield (7) reacts while running the bases after hitting a one run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the eighth inning at Chase Field. Mandatory Credit: Anna Carrington-Imagn Images | Anna Carrington-Imagn Images

Major League Baseball announced today that Colorado Rockies first baseman TJ Rumfield has been selected as the National League’s Rookie of the Month for June.

The award is especially notable given that Rumfield also earned the accolade in May. He is the first player to win National League Rookie of the Month in consecutive months since Atlanta’s Michael Harris II in August and September 2022.

The rookie has had a remarkable season. He appeared in 26 games for the Rockies in June. During that time, he slashed .316/.400/.589, including 14 runs scored, nine doubles, one triple, five home runs, and 17 RBI. In addition, he led all qualified National League rookies in average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, doubles (9), extra-base hits (15) and total bases (56). Rumfield ranked among National League rookies in hits (30, T-1st), home runs (T-1st), walks (12, 2nd) and runs scored (14, T-3rd).

His 2026 slashline is .293/.373/.487.

Rumfield’s defensive work has been equally stellar. In 594.0 innings at first base, he has committed only two errors. He currently has 6 DRS and 2 OAA. His DRS total is the best in MLB among first basemen.

In May, Rumfield became the ninth Rockies player to receive the Rookie of the Month Award. In doing this, he joins Nolan Jones (September/October 2023), Antonio Senzatela (April 2017), Trevor Story (April 2016), Ian Stewart (July 2008), Troy Tulowitzki (August 2007), Garrett Atkins (June 2005), Clint Barmes (April 2005), and Jason Jennings (August 2002).

Rumfield came to the Rockies in January in a trade with the New York Yankees that sent RHP Angel Chivilli to the Bronx.


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2026 MLB Draft Preview: Andrew Williamson

ARLINGTON, TX - MAY 23: UCF outfielder Andrew Williamson (11) scores on a wild pitch before Oklahoma State pitcher Evan O'Toole (25) can get to the plate during the 2024 Phillips 66 Big 12 Baseball Championship game between UCF and Oklahoma State on May 23, 2024, at Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX. (Photo by David Buono/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

2026 MLB Draft Preview: Andrew Williamson scouting report.

The 2026 is less than two weeks away — the first round kicks off on July 11, 2026 — so its time to start offering capsule looks at players the Texas Rangers could select with their top picks. The Rangers’ first round pick is at #16, their second round pick is at #54, and their third round pick is at #89.

Leading up to draft day, we will be doing writeups of some of the players who could end up getting selected by the Rangers with one of their first three picks. Today we are looking at Central Florida outfielder Andrew Williamson.

Andrew Williamson is a 6’, 195 lb. lefthanded hitting outfielder for Central Florida. Williamson was undrafted in 2023 coming out of St. Petersburg, Florida. He turns 21 later this month.

Williamson is a well-rounded player who has a good but not great hit tool. There are some concerns about him having a hitch at the plate that could lead to timing issues in the pros, though its not seemed to have affected him so far as an amateur. BA says he makes good swing decisions but has some pitch recognition issues that will need to be improved upon. Despite not being especially big, Williamson has good power, particularly to the pull side. He’s described by MLB Pipeline as having a quick swing with quality bat speed.

Williamson played center field as a freshman, but has been in right field primarily since then. He probably ends in right field long-term, though one would think he’ll get a chance to play center as a professional until he shows that he can’t handle the position. He’s got good speed and has had a lot of success as a baserunner in college.

As a freshman, he slashed .258/.333/.411 in 176 plate appearances over 50 games for Central Florida. He was the MVP of the wood bat Cal Ripken League that summer, when he slashed .462/.546/.906 with 9 homers in 29 games. He carried that momentum into his sophomore year, when he slashed .352/.448/.662 in 261 plate appearances over 55 games, with 13 homers and 13 stolen bases, striking out 36 times against 34 walks. After a solid 15 game stint in the Cape Cod League last summer, Williamson slashed .322/.422/.645 for Central Florida this season, wirh 41 walks against 47 Ks and 16 home runs.

Baseball America has Williamson at #47 on their board. MLB Pipeline has Williamson at #52 on their board. Kiley McDaniel puts Williamson at #43 on his top 150 list. Keith Law does not have Williamson on his board. Fangraphs does not have Williamson on their board. Baseball Prospectus does not have Williamson on their top 30 draft board.

Williamson, the nephew of former major leaguer Sean Rodriguez, doesn’t have a real weakness in his game, but also doesn’t have a loud carrying tool, with his tools all grading out at around 50 or 55 (though BA gives his hit tool a 45). If the concerns about his swing and pitch recognition get addressed, he’s a potentially solid major league corner outfielder. If they don’t, is other tools likely aren’t good enough to make him major league regular material.

With a track record of performance in the Big 12, as well as success in wood bat leagues, he seems a fairly safe pick in the second or third rounds, and he’s someone you could see the Rangers taking in that range.

Previously:

Liam Peterson

Tyler Bell

Aiden Robbins

Jared Grindlinger

Logan Reddemann

Cooper Harris

Justin Lebron

Cameron Flukey

Derek Curiel

Hunter Dietz

Logan Hughes

Carson Wiggins

Peyton Bonds

Ace Reese

Sawyer Strosnider

Gio Rojas

Chris Rembert

Jack Natili

In Edwin Arroyo Cincinnati Reds fans trust

CINCINNATI, OHIO - JUNE 15: Matt McLain #9 and Edwin Arroyo #2 of the Cincinnati Reds celebrate after beating the New York Mets 12-0 at Great American Ball Park on June 15, 2026 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images) | Getty Images

For many Cincinnati Reds fans, the breakout we saw during Matt McLain’s half-season of excellence in 2023 still resonates quite loudly. It’s hard not to, really – he was a 1st round pick of the club and during his first shot at the big leagues looked like he was an immediate success story, posting a 127 OPS+ with both power and speed while manning a premium defensive position.

In many ways, he was emblematic of a time when it looked – if you squinted a bit – like the Reds knew exactly what they were doing, and it was beginning to pay off in spades.

Things went south quickly, however. That 2023 season was cut short due to injury. The 2024 season was lost altogether due to injury(s). In the two seasons since coming back from major shoulder surgery (and oblique problems likely due to his aggressive swing), McLain has posted just a 75 OPS+ in nearly 900 PA.

He’s also going to turn 27 years old in just a month, and this week the Reds began trying to shoehorn him into playing CF for the first real time since his days at UCLA.

That’s hardly a ringing endorsement of the guy you were supposed to consider the everyday 2B, the player who has been given chance after chance to cement both that role and a role atop the batting order by manager Terry Francona since he arrived on the scene last year. And what we’ve seen lately suggests that the time of McLain as the regular 2B may already be on the outs with prospect Edwin Arroyo gradually settling in there himself.

We asked you this week which of McLain or Arroyo should be given the job as the team’s primary 2B for the rest of the season, and you responded in overwhelming fashion. 82% of you think it should be Arroyo who gets to show what he can do there to build upon the 82 PA of 67 OPS+ work he’s put in so far while getting his feet wet at the big league level.

I don’t think it’s time to write off McLain altogether, at least not yet. He’s been passable against LHP so far this season (.749 OPS) and we know he’s a good defender at both 2B and SS. Heck, if he shows he can figure out how to play a little CF again, too, he’s a wonderful depth piece to have as Francona mixes and matches his lineups and mid-game changes.

However, if the Reds are going to once again stay mired in last place in the division and out of the Wild Card race, it likely behooves the team’s front office to find out what they’ve got in Arroyo as soon as they can, and so far there’s been glimpses that the 22 year old has some chops that may make him a pretty good player for awhile in Cincinnati. If the team’s going to hit a reset button of any size, seeing whether he can cut it as a cornerstone piece now makes a lot more sense than continuing to give an older player another dozen chances to rediscover form.

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Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's MLB Game

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The San Diego Padres hope to snap a six-game losing streak and gain some ground in the NL West race as they face the first-place Los Angeles Dodgers tonight.

Oddsmakers aren’t giving San Diego (+223) much of a chance against L.A. (-233) with superstar Shohei Ohtani on the bump, but my Padres vs. Dodgers predictions believe the Ohtani tax is too high. 

Read on for my full MLB picks for Friday, July 3.

Who will win Padres vs Dodgers tonight: Padres (+215)

These odds are inflated since the San Diego Padres have surrendered a whopping 35 runs in their last two games alone, bringing their losing streak to six, and they now have to face Los Angeles Dodgers superstar Shohei Ohtani (1.58 ERA).

However, that doesn't account for the fact that San Diego has been red-hot at the plate, posting a 130 wRC+ against right-handed pitching over the last 14 days.

Ohtani's great, but this is a premium price for someone whose underlying profile (3.33 xFIP, 3.42 botERA) points toward some regression.

I'd play the underdog down to +210.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Shohei Ohtani has shown signs of mortality in his last three starts, surrendering nine earned runs. In that time frame, the Padres have eight different position players with a wRC+ above 130

Padres vs Dodgers Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-121)

Michael King induces soft contact and keeps the ball on the ground, ranking in the 73rd percentile or better in ground ball rate, hard-hit rate, and average exit velocity. That’ll help him avoid a fireworks show, and the Padres have hit the Under in 13 of his 17 starts.

Despite Ohtani showing some signs of weakness lately, he has the second-lowest ERA in the Big Leagues. Naturally, L.A. has played in low-scoring games with him on the bump, going 3-10 O/U. 

With two effective starting pitchers on the bump, that’s enough to counteract two in-form lineups. 

JD Yonke's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 25-23, -1.85 units
  • Over/Under bets: 32-17, +14.23 units

Padres vs Dodgers weather

Temperatures will be in the upper 70s at Chavez Ravine, cooling into the 60s as the game progresses. Light winds shouldn't play much of a factor for either offense. 

Padres vs Dodgers odds

  • Moneyline: Padres +215 | Dodgers -240
  • Run line: Padres +1.5 (-105) | Dodgers -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+109) | Under 8.5 (-121)

Padres vs Dodgers trend

San Diego is 4-13 O/U in Michael King’s starts this season. Find more MLB betting trends for Padres vs. Dodgers.

How to watch Padres vs Dodgers and game info

LocationDodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
DateFriday, July 3, 2026
First pitch10:10 p.m. ET
TVESPN
Padres starting pitcherMichael King
(5-7, 3.55 ERA)
Dodgers starting pitcherShohei Ohtani
(8-2, 1.58 ERA)

Padres vs Dodgers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

MLB.com projects Pirates drafting high school outfielder

Oak Grove player Eric 'EJ' Booth Jr. (3) runs to home and scores a run during the game against Northwest Rankin in Flowood, Miss., on Tuesday, March 24, 2026. | Lauren Witte/Clarion Ledger / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The 2026 MLB Draft is a week away and MLB.com writer Jonathan Mayo has released his latest mock draft as draft day nears. The Pittsburgh Pirates are sitting near the top with the fifth overall pick, and Mayo projects that they’ll take one of the top high school players with that selection.

The Pirates are currently projected to draft outfielder Eric Booth Jr. from Oak Grove High School in Hattiesburg, Mississippi. Booth is ranked as the sixth best prospect in this year’s class and is the top prep school outfielder. Perhaps the Pirates find lightning twice by drafting a top high schooler out of the state of Mississippi like Konnor Griffin.

Booth is a standout in this class for several reasons, one of which is his athleticism. His speed was on full display a year ago when he ran the fastest 60-yard dash at East Coast Pro showcase (6.33 seconds). Despite having a more compact frame (6’0” 207 lbs) he has some decent power at the plate. He’s projected to be a 20-25 home run hitter by the time he makes the major leagues, plus he’s got good bat speed and already impressive natural strength for a 17-year-old. Booth’s power has already been on display as he won the Home Run Derby at the Perfect Game All-American Classic last summer.

After a successful summer Booth has shot up prospect rankings and is being viewed now as possibly the best outfield prospect in the class. His raw athleticism has jumped off the pages as he was given a 70 run grade to go along with a 50 arm grade. The Vanderbilt commit is being looked at as an exciting hitting prospect too, garnering plenty of attention for his low strikeout rates and reliability at the plate. Booth was given a 55 hit grade with 50 power. As a defender there’s certainly some fine tuning that needs to take place within his development but he was still given a 50 arm grade and a 55 field grade.

The Pirates are once again picking in the top five picks of the draft, and they have not been afraid to take top prep talent in recent years. Just a year ago they took the best high school pitcher in Seth Hernandez with the sixth overall pick, and the aforementioned Griffin was taken ninth overall in the 2024 MLB draft. To this point both of those draft picks are paying off as Hernandez is dominating the minor leagues right now, while Griffin has been one of the top contributors in Pittsburgh since making his debut in April. A player like Booth could be another success story for the Buccos.

The MLB Draft will begin on July 11, at the Philadelphia Convention Center starting 1 p.m. ET.