
The Tampa Bay Rays, the New York Yankees, and the Boston Red Sox have all punched their ticket to the postseason. With the final week of the 2026 MLB regular season already upon us, several other American League squads are playing for a place in October, too.
Even the Rays and Yankees technically have to decide who wins the AL East, with the former enjoying a hefty advantage heading into the final week, needing just one win over the Bombers to secure it. After that, there are two wide-open divisions and an exciting competition for the last Wild Card spot.
Here’s where every team stands in the race:
Tampa Bay Rays
Remaining games: 4 @ Yankees, 3 @ Phillies
Current record: 95-60
Current position in division/Wild Card race: 1st in AL East (6 games ahead of NYY)
Final week outlook: The Rays have been, far and away, the top team in the American League by win-loss record, and unless something really crazy happens, they will enter the postseason with a first-round bye and wait for the winner of the battle between the top two Wild Cards—the Yankees and Red Sox—in the Division Series. They’ll still try to play competitive games after clinching, as they certainly wouldn’t say no to having home-field advantage over NL teams in a potential World Series matchup* as they seek their first championship in franchise history, but the pressure this week is much lighter.
*We’re keeping the focus on the AL in this post, but for those curious, Tampa Bay’s 95-60 record currently trails the Dodgers’ 96-60 and the Brewers’ 98-58. Atlanta trails at 92-64. The Dodgers have the Padres and Giants to end 2026 while the Brewers have the Phillies and Cardinals, and the Braves have the Reds and Marlins.
New York Yankees
Remaining games: 4 vs. Rays, 3 vs. Orioles
Current record: 89-66
Current position in division/Wild Card race: 2nd in AL East (6 games behind TB); 1st in Wild Card race (5.5 games ahead of 2nd Wild Card spot, held by BOS)
Final week outlook: Unless they sweep the Rays and Orioles, the Yankees virtually have no chance of winning the AL East crown. Instead, they will likely enter the postseason as the top Wild Card team, as they have a healthy cushion over the Red Sox, their likely foe in the Wild Card round. The odds of that series being at Fenway rather than Yankee Stadium are extremely low, especially since New York has the tiebreaker over Boston.
Boston Red Sox
Remaining games: 3 vs. Guardians, 3 vs. Cubs
Current record: 84-72
Current position in division/Wild Card race: 3rd in AL East, 2nd in Wild Card race (5.5 games behind NYY for top WC spot, 4 games ahead of CHW, owners of the 3rd WC spot)
Final week outlook: The Red Sox are highly unlikely to move from the second AL Wild Card spot, since they have a four-game cushion over the White Sox, owners of the third slot, and are 5.5 games behind the Yanks for the top one. They’ve been all but locked into this spot for awhile now and just clinched their playoff berth yesterday with Houston’s loss to Atlanta.
Cleveland Guardians
Remaining games: 3 @ Red Sox, 3 @ Royals
Current record: 81-75
Current position in division/Wild Card race: 1st in AL Central (1 game ahead of CHW)
Final week outlook: Eyeing their third consecutive division title and seventh since 2016, the Guardians are currently one game up in the race for the AL Central, but need to avoid a tie with the White Sox at the top because Chicago owns the tiebreaker. Cleveland is peaking at the right time, though, and José Ramírez is finally starting to show some signs of a breakthrough at the plate. If that’s the case, they will be dangerous with a strong young core and two aces at the top: AL strikeout leader Gavin Williams and Rookie of the Year contender Parker Messick. Second baseman Travis Bazzana isn’t too shabby of a rookie, either.
Chicago White Sox
Remaining games: 3 @ Royals, 3 vs. Rockies
Current record: 80-76
Current position in division/Wild Card race: 2nd in AL Central (1 game behind CLE), 3rd in Wild Card race (3 games ahead of HOU and TOR, 5 ahead of BAL)
Final week outlook: Chicago’s lack of quality starting pitching seems to have caught up to them in September, but they are still a dangerous team that is trending towards its first postseason appearance since 2021. They have a chance to win the AL Central: all they need to do is finish in at least a tie with the Guardians, and though both the Pale Hose and Guards will face the Royals this week, the Southsiders have an easier other foe in the Rockies. Remember, winning the division would likely even give Chicago the second seed in the AL and a first-round bye to face the victor of the AL West/last Wild Card matchup.
It’s already been an improbably great season for the White Sox, as merely getting a winning season would’ve been a huge success for a team that lost a modern record 121 games in 2024 and 102 last year. But missing out at this point would still be quite the disappointment.
Texas Rangers
Remaining games: 3 vs. Mets, 3 @ Twins
Current record: 78-78
Current position in division/Wild Card race: 1st in AL West (1 game ahead of HOU)
Final week outlook: If the Rangers finish with more wins than the Astros, they will capture the AL West despite their thoroughly mediocre record (the Mariners’ deeply disappointing 2026 really made the division a mess). It’s a key week in Texas, as the range of outcomes is wide: they could win the division and finish as high as the second seed if they can best the AL Central champ’s line; they could be the final Wild Card squad, or they could miss the playoffs entirely for the third year in a row since winning it all in 2023 behind two-time World Series MVP Corey Seager.
It’s important to note that the Rangers need to beat the Astros by at least one game to take the AL West crown because Houston owns the tiebreaker. The Rangers own tiebreakers against the Orioles, Guardians, and Blue Jays, and lost against the White Sox and, as explained, the Astros. The AL West winner is a near-lock to face the worst Wild Card team in the first round, though they will host the best-of-three.
Toronto Blue Jays
Remaining games: 3 @ Orioles, 3 vs. Reds
Current record: 77-79
Current position in division/Wild Card race: tied with HOU for 4th in Wild Card standings, 3 games behind the 3rd spot (CHW)
Final week outlook: Last year’s AL champs can’t win their division: their only path to the playoffs is the third and final Wild Card spot. With that in mind, however, they would need to finish ahead of both the White Sox and the Rangers because both of them own the tiebreaker against Toronto. It sure doesn’t help that ace Dylan Cease was scratched from his next start and is undergoing an MRI.
The Jays tied the season series against Houston, which, in the event of a tie at the third WC spot between them, would take us to intra-divisional record to decide. There, Toronto is 25-24 against AL East opponents, and the Astros are 22-24 vs. AL West foes, presently giving the Jays the edge, though that could change this week since they both face intra-divisional rivals.
For what it’s worth, Toronto won the tiebreakers against the Guardians and the Orioles.
Houston Astros
Remaining games: 2 @ Mariners, 4 @ A’s
Current record: 77-79
Current position in division/Wild Card race: tied with TOR for 4th in Wild Card standings, 3 games behind the 3rd spot (CHW)
Final week outlook: Much like the White Sox in the AL Central, the Astros are one game behind in their division and own the tiebreaker against the Rangers, so all they need to do is catch them by the end of the week. They have lost three straight, though, with a -59 run differential, so despite the best efforts of MVP frontrunner Yordan Alvarez, they aren’t particularly good. We have seen plenty of mediocre squads make it in the past, so they definitely have a chance — especially since they get to play the mostly-hapless M’s and A’s this week.
Houston can still qualify via the last Wild Card, but the division presents a smoother path. Since we’re running through them, they own tiebreakers vs. the White Sox, Guardians, and Rangers, losing vs. the Orioles and tying vs. Toronto.
Baltimore Orioles
Remaining games: 3 vs. Blue Jays, 3 @ Yankees
Current record: 75-81
Current position in division/Wild Card race: 6th in Wild Card standings, 5 games behind the 3rd spot (CHW)
Final week outlook: At this point, the Orioles need a miracle to get in. They needed to sweep the Brewers this past weekend to put themselves in a position to compete. Instead, they got swept themselves. Baltimore won tiebreakers against the White Sox and the Astros, and lost against the Rangers, Guardians, and Blue Jays. But again, they have essentially no shot whatsoever. That final weekend series in the Bronx could’ve been interesting; alas.
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