Shaikin: The Dodgers' three-peat chance may never come again. Trade accordingly

Dodgers president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman speaks during an introductory press conference for Edwin Díaz.
"To the extent we can add to it, we've shown in the past that we'll be aggressive on that front as well, but it's good going into this last week feeling as good as we do about this group," Dodgers president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman said about his team. (Ethan Swope / Associated Press)

The Dodgers do not have to do anything. They’re in on everything, including Tarik Skubal.

With one week left before baseball’s trade deadline, the Dodgers are doing what the Dodgers always do. When you are flush with money and prospects, you can invite yourself into just about every conversation, from checking in on a star player to sniffing around for a three-way deal in which you trade away major league depth to acquire even more prospects.

“Not having an acute need at this time of year is very helpful,” Dodgers president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman said Tuesday.

It ain’t bragging if you can back it up. The Dodgers boast baseball’s best record, with seven key players expected to return from significant injuries over the next two months. Then comes the quest for a three-peat: the chance to become the first team in National League history to win three consecutive World Series championships.

Read more:Tarik Skubal blockbuster deal likely isn't part of Dodgers' trade-deadline plans

To me, that should be the most compelling element of the Dodgers’ trade deadline strategy.

Friedman repeatedly has said he would like this era to be remembered as “the golden age of Dodger baseball,” and nothing says legacy like doing something that never has been done.

And, if major league owners get their way, something that might never be done again.

We’re not just talking about the owners of teams tired of getting beaten by the Dodgers. We’re talking about Friedman’s boss, Mark Walter.

We can’t win all the time,” Walter told me this spring.

The owners are prepared to shut down the sport until they get a salary cap, but even a compromise with the players’ union would almost certainly involve some kind of spending restraints intended to make Friedman’s job tougher.

Act now, even in a way that might make you feel uncomfortable, because this chance might never come again.

“We feel this current team is as talented and tight-knit of a group as we’ve had,” Friedman said, “and we’ve been extremely aggressive over the past offseasons to try to put that group together.

“To the extent we can add to it, we’ve shown in the past that we’ll be aggressive on that front as well, but it’s good going into this last week feeling as good as we do about this group.”

On the one hand, Friedman himself, and Walter himself, and Dave Roberts and Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts and a cast of heroes talked up a three-peat at last year’s championship celebration.

Read more:Dodgers' strong road trip finishes with bullpen meltdown in loss to Mets

Walter: “All I have to say to you is, we’ll be back next year.”

Friedman: “How about we do it again?”

Betts: “Three-peat ain’t never sounded so sweet.”

On the other hand, well, the Dodgers won the World Series last year without trading for the outfielder and closer the world said they needed, then committed $309 million to outfielder Kyle Tucker and closer Edwin Díaz in the winter.

“We don’t really think of the 2026 World Series as a three-peat,” Friedman said Tuesday. “ ‘24 and ‘25 are in the bank. As soon as you get into the offseason and into spring training, it’s all about winning in ‘26.

“That is somewhat semantics, but the context is that it’s no different than in any other year, in the sense of doing everything we can to win the last game of the year. I would think the aggressiveness last offseason would fully demonstrate that.”

On Tuesday, Fangraphs projected the Dodgers had a 25% chance to win the World Series, more than twice as high as any other team. A third catcher would help, and a reliever might too, but neither would lift that percentage in any meaningful way so much as provide insurance should Will Smith’s recovery from his neck injury stall or the bullpen implode.

Skubal might not lift that percentage much, either, in place of Ohtani or Blake Snell or Tyler Glasnow in the starting rotation. The Dodgers project all three to be healthy in October and, if not, they have All-Star Justin Wrobleski.

But Wrobleski already has set a professional high for innings pitched, and Skubal would provide a big lift to the teams most likely to keep the Dodgers from returning to the World Series: the Milwaukee Brewers, Atlanta Braves and Chicago Cubs.

And, although the Dodgers pride themselves on running a team whose championship window never closes, they already field the oldest lineup in the majors. In the NHL, owners shut down an entire season to get a salary cap.

Let’s say the 2027 baseball season starts late. By the end of the season, the Dodgers could field a lineup in which every position player besides Andy Pages was at least 30 years old, including Freddie Freeman at 38, Max Muncy at 37, Betts at 34 and Ohtani at 33.

Read more:Kyle Tucker homers again, shows flashes of his past form in Dodgers' win over Mets

Friedman called it “a fool’s errand” to try to predict the outcome of collective bargaining negotiations and disputed the thought that the Dodgers might miss a window by not maximizing whatever chance they have this year.

“I just think this is a really, really talented team,” he said. “If we had an acute need and it was like, ‘Oh, you didn’t address that,’ then, yeah, we missed an opportunity.

“In this game, there’s just no guarantees of anything. You just make the smartest decisions you can and hope it plays out in a way where you have some good fortune and you win the last game of the year.”

Perhaps “three-peat” should not be the word of the week. Perhaps we should substitute “three-peat-maxxing.”

Sign up for more Dodgers news with Dodgers Dugout. Delivered at the start of each series.

This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.

Braves select Elieser Hernández, option Connor Thomas

NORTH PORT, FLORIDA - FEBRUARY 20: Elieser Hernandez of the Atlanta Braves poses for a photo during Spring Training photo day at CoolToday Park on February 20, 2026 in North Port, Florida. (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Braves have had their game with the New York Mets rained out. Does that mean they’re standing pat today? No, sir or madam. Do you think they’re out there actively trying to improve the team? In theory.

The Atlanta Braves, who hold a five and a half game lead in the NL East and hold a 97.5 percent chance at making the playoff per Fangraphs, have selected RHP Elieser Hernández to the major league roster after optioning LHP Connor Thomas to Triple-A Gwinnett following yesterday’s game. The last time we all saw Elieser was way back on Friday. He pitched three innings of one-hit ball and grabbed the win against the Baltimore Orioles. The .125 BABIP wasn’t fully lucky, as he picked up at least three pop-ups in that game. The Braves might have to cover two games on Wednesday depending on the weather, and Elieser will likely be a part of that.

Returning to Gwinnett after three games in The Show is Connor Thomas. He picked up eight outs in last night’s game versus the Mets. Connor will return to Triple-A and continue what he does well, getting dudes out in Gwinnett at a 1.98/3.64/4.17 clip. That’s good for a 41 ERA-, 76 FIP-, and a 85 xFIP-. He’ll be back, probably.

Will Tigers trade Tarik Skubal? Ranking five best deadline destinations

The crown jewel of the 2026 MLB trade deadline is undoubtedly two-time Cy Young Award winner Tarik Skubal. The Tigers' lefty has missed some time due to injury this season, but still boasts a remarkable 2.70 ERA on the season while striking out 11 batters per nine innings pitched.

In a sense, this has been Skubal's best season. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is the highest it's ever been at 8.46. His FIP (2.68) is still elite and below where his ERA currently stands. All that to say that every team in position to contend for a World Series this year should be dialing the Tigers' number and trying to get their paws on Skubal.

Of course, not all trade destinations are built the same. Here are the five best landing spots for Skubal. Rankings are listed with consideration for which teams would most benefit from adding Skubal and which teams would have the best World Series opportunity with the addition of Skubal.

Tarik Skubal trade landing spots

5) Milwaukee Brewers

Between Jacob Misiorowski, Kyle Harrison, and Shane Drohan, the Brewers already have a very solid top-three for their playoff rotation, and could turn to guys like Chad Patrick or Logan Henderson as a fourth starter if need be. While adding Skubal would give the Brewers the greatest 1-2 punch we've seen since Roy Halladay and Cliff Lee on the Phillies in 2010.

Milwaukee should focus more on offensive depth or a legitimate shutdown closer. If they were to snag one of the league's top trade targets at this year's deadline, Mason Miller would be better suited for Brew City than Skubal.

4) Los Angeles Dodgers

While the Los Angeles Dodgers have the money and the prospects to do whatever they want, they don't NEED to add Tarik Skubal. Still, that might just happen.

After injuries to Blake Snell and Tyler Glasnow, the Dodgers are lacking in pitching depth. While both Snell and Glasnow are expected to be back well before the postseason, the Dodgers have a history of struggling with pitcher injuries and could just opt to grab someone like Skubal as insurance. Crazy to think that a two-time Cy Young Award winner could be an insurance policy for a team already at the top of World Series oddsboards.

While Skubal would certainly widen the gap between the Dodgers and the rest of the league, the Dodgers would be better served going for a reliable innings eater who wouldn't cost as many prospects like Kevin Gausman or Robbie Ray.

Tarik Skubal won the 2024 and 2025 AL Cy Young awards.

3) Atlanta Braves

The Atlanta Braves may already have an ace in Chris Sale, but the team could certainly use some more elite starting pitching. The Braves don't really have a No. 2. They have four No. 3's, so adding Skubal would make make their rotation much more fleshed out and sound for the postseason.

That said, the Braves will have some pitchers returning from injury soon. Guys like AJ Smith-Shawver, Spencer Schwellenbach, and Spencer Strider. Adding Skubal would give them more pitchers than they need, but would likely be enough to hold off the Philadelphia Phillies for the NL East crown for the rest of the regular season. There are upsides and downsides, and there is potential that any of those three pitchers named earlier suffers setbacks in their recovery process.

2) Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays aren't normally a team that is willing to take a big swing at the trade deadline, but in recent years, they've sure tried to be that team. In the final year of Shohei Ohtani's deal with the Angels, the Rays made a play for him, offering two great prospects in Junior Caminero and Carson Williams for Ohtani. That didn't happen obviously, but it's evidence that the Rays are willing to offer.

While the Rays would probably be best served going after some consistency at the top of their lineup with a guy like Luis Arraez, the addition of Skubal would elevate an already solid pitching staff into elite status. With how weak the American League has been this year, adding Skubal would all but put the Rays in the ALCS as is.

1) Chicago Cubs

With how great the Cubs' lineup has been all year, the Cubbies should focus solely on adding starting pitching at the deadline. While every other team on this list has at least one pitcher you could consider an ace, the Cubs lack much at all from their rotation. Matthew Boyd and Shota Imanaga have been the best pitchers for the team and neither boasts an ERA under 3.70.

Skubal elevates the Cubs more than any other team in the league, and if the Cubs have been able to get to 14 games over .500 with mediocre starting pitching, adding someone like Skubal who could pretty much guarantee them three wins every four starts would be a huge addition, brining the Cubs up to the level of the Dodgers, Brewers, and Braves in the National League. It might even be enough to lift the team into NL Central title contention.

When is the MLB trade deadline?

The MLB trade deadline is set for Monday, August 3 at 6 p.m. ET.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY Sports: Will Tigers trade Tarik Skubal? Ranking five best deadline destinations

John Baker Day returns this Thursday

How could any Cubs fan forget one of the most memorable wins of an otherwise forgettable season in 2014 when backup catcher John Baker threw a scoreless 16th inning against the Colorado Rockies before scoring the winning run [VIDEO].

Local fans may recall that Danny Rockett organized a night with the support of John Baker where local bloggers would come together for an evening of Cubs content, raffles and a fundraiser to benefit a local charity. Great news for 2026, John Baker Day is back! This Thursday, July 30 at 7:00 p.m. CT, former Cubs catcher, mental skills coach, and Cubs folk hero John Baker will join fans live for John Baker Day, streaming on YouTube, Facebook, and X.

Since the first John Baker Day a decade ago, the event hosted by Danny Rockett and the Son Ranto Ranter community, has raised thousands of dollars for causes ranging from women’s shelters to youth baseball organizations like Lost Boyz Inc.

This year, Cubs fans have the opportunity to help launch something entirely new: Trap Door Theatre’s world premiere production of The Game, an original baseball backdropped musical farce written by Danny Rockett and scheduled for Summer 2027.

The live show will feature stories from John’s playing career, memories from that legendary July night at Wrigley, updates on his new mental performance company Intentional Performance, Cubs guests, live music, trivia, giveaways, and plenty of surprises throughout the evening.

Cubs fans can join in the fun by:

  • Watching the live broadcast on July 30 at 7:00 p.m. CT.
  • Bidding in the John Baker Day Auction, with winners announced live during the show.
  • Purchasing raffle tickets for chances to win Cubs memorabilia and experiences
  • Donating to the tax-deductible John Baker Day – The Game GoFundMe, where every dollar donated will be matched up to $5,000 thanks to a generous matching gift.

Auction Highlights Include:

  • 12 weeks of mental performance coaching from John Baker’s Intentional Performance.
  • An Anthony Rizzo autographed bat.
  • Original Cubs artwork and memorabilia from Danny Rockett’s personal collection, including pieces by beloved Cubs artist Matt Kammerer.
  • The chance to sit with Cubs superfan Bleacher Jeff in his legendary Section 504 seats, complete with lunch at the historic site of the Battle of Wrigleyville Dogs.

Raffle Prizes Include:

  • An unopened bottle of 2016 World Series Championship Champagne.
  • A signed Patrick Wisdom baseball and artwork by Matt Kammerer.
  • Gift certificates from Penguin Imprints and In The Clutch Shirts.
  • Wrigley Field giveaways.
  • Jewelry from Wrigleyville favorite Ballhawk Dave.
  • And more prizes still to be announced.

Fans can also purchase a limited-edition John Baker Day Obvious shirt, with proceeds benefiting Trap Door Theatre.

Whether you’ve celebrated every John Baker Day or are just discovering one of the Cubs community’s most beloved traditions, this year’s event promises laughs, stories, incredible memorabilia, and another opportunity for Cubs fans to rally around a great cause. After all, John Baker Day has never really been about one baseball game. It’s about the friendships, generosity, and community that make being a Cubs fan unlike anything else
in sports.

Texas Rangers lineup for July 28, 2026

ARLINGTON, TEXAS - JULY 25: Joc Pederson #3 of the Texas Rangers runs to first base during the game against the Seattle Mariners at Globe Life Field on July 25, 2026 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by John E. Moore III/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Texas Rangers lineup for July 28, 2026 against the Tampa Bay Rays: starting pitchers are Cal Quantrill for the Rangers and Griffin Jax for the Rays.

The first place Texas Rangers take on the first place Tampa Bay Rays in beautiful St. Petersburg, Florida, this afternoon/evening. It is the start of a six game road trip leading us up to the trade deadline, two series against playoff contenders that could significantly impact which direction the Rangers will go.

No pressure.

The lineup:

Pederson — DH

Langford — LF

Duran — SS

Nimmo — RF

Carter — CF

Burger — 1B

Lopez — 2B

Smith — 3B

Wynns — C

5:40 p.m. Central start time. Rangers are +150 underdogs.

Jake Rogers DFA’d, Javier Báez reinstated from injured list

DETROIT, MI - AUGUST 20: Jake Rogers #34 of the Detroit Tigers looks on from the field during the game against the Houston Astros at Comerica Park on August 20, 2025 in Detroit, Michigan. The Tigers defeated the Astros 7-2. (Photo by Mark Cunningham/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Well this is a peculiar first move for trade deadline season. Jake Rogers, the longest tenured Detroit Tigers player, has been designated for assignment. Eduardo Valencia was recalled on Sunday and will be taking over the backup catcher duties. Rogers’ roster spot will go to Javier Báez, who returns from a three-month absence after suffering a high ankle sprain at the end of April.

The 31-year-old Rogers made his major league debut with the Tigers back on July 30, 2019 after coming to the Tigers in the trade that sent Justin Verlander to the Houston Astros in August of 2017. He finally became the Tigers primary catcher in 2021 before tearing his UCL and requiring reconstruction surgery that cost him all of the 2022 season. In 2023 and 2024 Rogers put together good seasons based around his defensive ability, plate discipline, and the occasional burst of home run power. He was worth 4.7 fWAR across those two years, but since that point his offensive contributions collapsed as Dillon Dingler took over the everyday catching role. This season, Rogers’ defense finally showed real signs of cracking as well. He’s hitting .161/.266/.301 for a 60 wRC+ which ranks him 48th out of 59 catchers with 100 plate appearances or more this season.

Despite his struggles, two part-time White Sox catchers, and numerous others, are even worse offensive players than Rogers. 11 catchers with 100 plate appearances or more have a lower wRC+ than he does. It won’t be a surprise if he gets claimed, and the Tigers will probably get a lottery ticket prospect of little value in return. The problem for Rogers going forward is that his defensive numbers have declined this year and he’s finally grading out below average. Whether that’s partly the result of lack of playing time is hard to say, but hopefully he’ll be claimed somewhere. If he clears waivers and is outrighted the Tigers will still be on the hook for the rest of his $3.05M salary for 2026. That’s not much, but every dollar matters with the team over the payroll threshold.

Valencia is far and away a better hitter than Rogers, so that should provide a little support to the offense. On the other hand, Valencia isn’t that good behind the plate, particularly in terms of holding opponents’ running game in check. Still with Rogers defensive numbers in decline, perhaps Valencia won’t do worse. The Tigers will probably just lean into Dingler catching most days down the stretch either way after trying to keep him somewhat rested with plenty of DH days so far this year.

Getting Báez back could be pretty helpful to the Tigers although it’s just funny to look at Báez as a way to trim strikeouts in the lineup by taking over some of the workload from James Outman. It will be interesting to see how he’s deployed. With Kerry Carpenter out with a foot injury, the outfield needs help. It needed help anyway. We’ll see if Báez is back to full speed and can get back to playing a solid enough center field. If he’s back to 100 percent, that also gives the Tigers options, with Báez getting some time at shortstop and around the infield to get another right-handed bat into the lineup. Either way, it’s good to have Javy Báez back, and hopefully further support for the outfield isn’t too far away as Max Clark will be available to be called up without spoiling his 2027 rookie eligibility as long as the Tigers wait until mid-August.

Perhaps Rogers will clear waivers and just end up accepting an assignment back in Triple-A. He’s obviously very well liked in the clubhouse and has had future coach written all over him for a long time. We’ll see if there’s still major league work left for him as a catcher, or whether it’s time to start thinking about moving over to the instructional side. Probably a team will pick him up on the cheap, at least for a little while. Either way, best of luck to the Sheriff.

VOTE: Add a Pirates player from the last 25 years to this roster

PITTSBURGH, PA - AUGUST 13: Brian Giles #24 of the Pittsburgh Pirates looks on from the field after batting against the St. Louis Cardinals during a Major League Baseball game at PNC Park on August 13, 2003 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The Pirates defeated the Cardinals 6-5. (Photo by George Gojkovich/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Welcome to SB Nation Reacts, a survey of fans across MLB. Throughout the year we ask questions of the most plugged-in Pirates fans and fans across the country. Sign up here to participate in the weekly emailed surveys.

We have an interesting question for you this week. We are asking you to take a Pittsburgh Pirates player from the last 25 years and add them to this year’s roster. The only catch is that our content management system only allows for six answers, so you are beholden to the six players that I selected.

Andrew McCutchen (MVP Version)

  • 2013 NL MVP
  • Five straight All-Star selections
  • Four Silver Sluggers

Jason Bay

  • 2004 NL Rookie of the Year.
  • Four straight 30-homer caliber seasons in Pittsburgh.
  • Middle-of-the-order force.

Brian Giles

  • One of the most underrated hitters in baseball.
  • Outstanding OBP of .426 and 165 homers during his Pirates years.

Gerrit Cole

  • Ace of teams that made the playoffs.
  • Didn’t fully become “Gerrit Cole” until Houston, but he was excellent in Pittsburgh with a 3.50 EAR 1.27 WHIP.

Starling Marte

  • Elite defender, baserunner, and hitter.
  • Two Gold Gloves and one of the best all-around players of the era.

AJ Burnett

  • 36-28 record with 3.34 ERA during Pirates year.
  • 532 Ks in three seasons in Pittsburgh.

Cast your vote, tell us in the comments, and we’ll be back soon with the results!

Will Mike Elias be the Orioles GM next season?

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - MARCH 28, 2026: President of baseball operations and general manager Mike Elias of the Baltimore Orioles looks on prior to a game against the Minnesota Twins at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on March 28, 2026 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Chris Bernacchi/Diamond Images via Getty Images) | Diamond Images/Getty Images

Welcome to SB Nation Reacts, a survey of fans across MLB. Throughout the year we ask questions of the most plugged-in Orioles fans and fans across the country. Sign up here to participate in the weekly emailed surveys.

During the recent Orioles press conference about the Kyle Bradish contract extension, principal owner David Rubenstein said of his president of baseball operations Mike Elias that “we couldn’t be more pleased” regarding the job that he has done.

Taking that at face value, the question has been answered, Elias will remain the boss of the Orioles front office no matter what happens with the remainder of the season. There are plenty of examples across the sports landscape of why not to take those kinds of proclamations at face value. The “dreaded vote of confidence” is its own recognized part of the manager/GM hot seat. Almost nobody ever directly says, “Things need to improve or we’re going to fire this guy.” They just say nice things when asked and fire the person when they want to fire them.

In this week’s survey question, I want to know what you think is going to happen. Is Elias going to be around for next year, or not? Vote in the poll here:

I have thought for a while that if the Orioles do not make the postseason this year, then Elias should be gone at the end of the season. Let someone else figure this thing out, because his answers aren’t getting the Orioles where they need to be.

At this writing, there is about a 25% chance of the Orioles making the postseason. I hope that Rubenstein is more prepared to have some accountability for multiple years of underachieving than his Bradish presser remarks suggest.

What do you think? Make sure to vote above, and let us know in the comments below.

Dodgers begin homestand facing Luis Castillo’s Mariners

ST PETERSBURG, FLORIDA - JULY 10: Luis Castillo #58 of the Seattle Mariners looks on against the Tampa Bay Rays during a game at Tropicana Field on July 10, 2026 in St Petersburg, Florida. (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Many expected the Dodgers to be facing the Mariners in the World Series last season, but Seattle couldn’t close the deal against the Blue Jays. Now, a year later, they’re an inferior team, but one still fighting to enter the postseason. The M’s will go with the veteran Luis Castillo for the opening game of this series; potentially good news for a Dodgers offense that scored more than four runs only once in its last five games, making the pitching do the heavy lifting in the road trip’s last stop at Citi Field.

A symbol of stability for this young Mariners staff ever since his acquisition back at the deadline in 2022, Castillo has a 3-9 record this season, which is a direct indicator of career-low numbers almost across the board. Lately, though, Castillo has had problems keeping the ball in the yard, allowing five home runs in his last two outings, the losing pitcher of record in each of his three outings this month. Although that 4.85 ERA this season justifies a lousy record, it is also a byproduct of the Mariners’ complete inability to provide him any run support, scoring just 19 runs in his last eight starts.

Back to the home runs and how they might come into play, the one Dodger to actually leave the yard against the Mets, Kyle Tucker, is also one of the two who has gone deep against Castillo before. The two home runs in Citi Field were encouraging, but even in this recent stretch, Tucker needs to show more to come close to the player the Dodgers thought they were getting. Hitting at home hasn’t been an enjoyable task for Tucker with a .607 OPS at Dodger Stadium.

One player who has definitely enjoyed performing at Dodger Stadium, though, is Justin Wrobleski. The Dodgers’ starter has managed to keep an ERA below 3.00 both at home and on the road, but his .461 OPS allowed in seven starts at home genuinely sounds made up. Monitoring how he does with an increased workload in the second half is a priority for the Dodgers.

Tuesday’s game info

  • Teams: Dodgers vs. Mariners
  • Ballpark: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
  • Start time: 7:10 p.m. PT
  • TV: SportsNet LA
  • Radio: AM 570 (English), KTNQ 1020 AM (Spanish)

What Has Recently Changed At First Base?

Tyler Locklear hit a home run. (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Inspiration.

The Diamondbacks had three weak positions at the All-Star break:  First base, left field, and center field.  The following table shows some highlight metrics in games through 16 July. Data from Baseball Beference and Baseball Savant.

“The sum total of these endeavors is wretched on a historical level. Over almost three hundred plate appearances, Arizona’s first basemen are batting .215/.249/.312 for a .561 OPS at the position. That is currently the lowest figure at 1B by a major league team in over a century.” —  Jim McLennan, 18 June 2026

Let’s look at first base.  More specifically, “What has recently changed?”

This season, who has played at first base?

Before we continue, a promising player in AAA who could have a future at first base is Manuel Pena.  He is 22.6 years old.  Recently, he impressed two writers, in May and July.    This season, in games through 21 July, he worked on improving his batting.  Four home runs in 110 PAs was great, but his 27% whiff rate needs to be nudged lower, and his .830 OPS is not as good as it seems because it’s AAA Reno.

So far, ten players have played first base.  Let’s look at them briefly.

  • Mostly catchers:  James McCann & Adrian Del Castillo.
  • Cup of Coffee:  Luken Baker, released 15 June after 4 PAs.
  • Rookies who returned to AAA:  Lu James Groover (33 PAs) & Jose Fernandez (60 PAs).
  • Negative 22 OPS+:  Carlos Santana (26 PAs), released 26 June.
  • Positive 20 OPS+:  Pavin Smith (53 PAs), DFA on 9 July, currently back in AAA.
  • The Contenders:  Ildemaro Vargas, Tim Tawa, and Tyler Locklear.  Let’s look at them in depth.

The Contenders.

How do the contenders compare in batting?  After Pavin Smith’s DFA, the competition for first base started in earnest.  Statistics from 10 July onward show that the contenders’ batting is very impressive.  The following table shows their extraordinry batting. Data from Baseball Savant.

Although Ildemaro Vargas was best overall batter, noteworthy was Locklear matching his OBP, and Tawa with the better hits per ball in play (hits/BIP). 

How do the contenders compare in Defense?  Let’s look at this season’s Outs Above Average (OAA) at first base, which is based on range and catch probability, and Defensive Runs Saved (DRA) at first base, which compares all defensive actions to average (and is used by Baseball Reference to calculate WAR).

OAA.  Tim Tawa and Ildemaro Vargas, each with 2 OAAs, are better than Tyler Locklear with negative 1 OAA.

DRS.  Ildemaro Vargas with 5 DRS is better than Tim Tawa and Tyler Locklear, who have 1 DRS and 0 DRS.

Looking at OAA and DRS, Ildemaro Vargas is the best defender at first base.

Do splits in performance between left-handed and right-handed pitchers show a possible advantage to platooning?  The following table shows the splits. Data from Baseball Savant.

The table shows a possible batting improvement if Tyler Locklear plays against right-handed starting pitchers and Ildemaro Vargas play against left-handed starting pitchers.  And the benched player is available for pinch hitting in the late innings, depending on an advantageous matchup.

Summary.

After Pavin Smith’s DFA, the competition for first base started in earnest.  Statistics from 10 July onward show that the contenders’ batting was extraordinary.

This season, looking at OAA and DRS, Ildemaro Vargas was the best defender at first base.

The OPS splits show a possible batting improvement if Tyler Locklear plays against right-handed starting pitchers and Ildemaro Vargas play against left-handed starting pitchers.  And the benched player is available for pinch hitting in the late innings, depending on an advantageous matchup.

Cubs vs. Cardinals prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets on July 28

The second-place Chicago Cubs (60-46) continue their road trip tonight at Busch Stadium as they take on the St. Louis Cardinals (53-53) in the second game of this NL Central series. Chicago enters play six games behind Milwaukee in the division race and looking to build momentum after a win last night, while St. Louis is trying to halt a slide over the last two weeks that has seen them drop eight of their last ten games and fall back to .500.

The Cubs opened the series with a 7-3 victory over the Cardinals on last night. Chicago's offense erupted for 14 hits, led by Alex Bregman, who broke out of an 0-for-12 slump by going 4-for-5 with a homer, two doubles, two RBIs, and three runs scored. Nico Hoerner also collected four hits, including a two-run homer in the ninth inning that put the game away. The Cubs received a solid outing from recently acquired left-hander David Peterson, who worked 5⅔ innings and allowed two runs. For St. Louis, José Fermín homered and Masyn Winn and Bryan Torres drove in runs, but the Cards were unable to overcome an early deficit created by Chicago's relentless offense.

The veteran Colin Rea (7-7, 4.85 ERA) gets the ball for Chicago looking to provide stability behind a Cubs' offense that has scored 25 runs over their last 3 games. Rea's most recent start came on July 22 against Detroit, when he took the loss after allowing four runs on six hits over five innings, striking out five while surrendering a pair of home runs. Prior to that outing, Rea delivered a quality six-inning effort against Minnesota, allowing three earned runs while striking out six.

Michael McGreevy (4-8, 3.07 ERA) takes the mound for the Cardinals. The right-hander enters with a strong 1.13 WHIP, among the best marks on the Cardinals' staff. His most recent start came July 23 against Arizona, when he suffered a 10-6 loss despite pitching into the seventh inning. McGreevy allowed four runs on seven hits over 6⅓ innings, walking three and striking out three. Before that setback, he was excellent against the Diamondbacks and Brewers, posting back-to-back victories while allowing just two earned runs combined over 12⅔ innings.

Lets dive into tonight's game and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game Details and How to Watch: Cubs vs. Cardinals

 

  • Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026
  • Time: 7:45PM EST
  • Site: Busch Stadium
  • City: St. Louis, MO
  • Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, Marquee Sports Network, YBS, Cardinals.TV

 

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

 

The Latest Odds: Cubs vs. Cardinals

The latest odds as of Tuesday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Chicago Cubs (-114), St. Louis Cardinals (-105)
  • Spread: Cubs -1.5 (+144), Cardinals +1.5 (-175)
  • Total: 9.0 runs

 

Probable Starting Pitchers and their Stats: Cubs vs. Cardinals for July 28

  • Cubs: Colin Rea
    Season Totals: 105.2 IP, 7-7, 4.85 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 81K, 38 BB
  • Cardinals: Michael McGreevey
    Season Totals: 114.1 IP, 4-8, 3.07 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 74K, 27 BB

 

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not! Cubs vs. Cardinals

  • Nico Hoerner has hit safely in 4 straight (8-17) and 8 of his last 9 games (19-40)
  • Alex Bregman collected 4 hits last night to snap a 0-12 streak
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong was 0-3 last night to snap a 3-game stretch in which he collected 7 hits in 14 ABs
  • Lars Nootbaar is 4-13 (.308) in his career against Colin Rea
  • Michael Busch is 3-8 with 2 HRs in his career against Michael McGreevey
  • Jordan Walker is 0-7 over his last 2 games and just 2-15 over his last 4
  • Ivan Herrera is riding a modest 3-game hitting streak (5-13)

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

 

Top Betting Trends & Insights: Cubs vs. Cardinals

 

  • The Cubs are 48-58 on the Run Line this season
  • The Cardinals are 58-48 on the Run Line this season
  • The OVER has cashed an MLB-worst 42 times in St. Louis’ 106 games this season (42-58-6)
  • The OVER has cashed 57 times in Chicago’s 106 games this season (57-48-1)

 

Expert picks & predictions: Cubs vs. Cardinals

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model for tonight’s game between the Cubs and the Cardinals:

  • Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Cubs on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Run Line.
  • Total: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Game Total OVER 9.0.

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Braves vs Mets game two rescheduled

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JULY 27: Fans cheer as rain falls during the sixth inning between the New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field on July 27, 2026 in the Queens borough of New York City. (Photo by Ishika Samant/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Due to inclement weather in Citi Field, Tuesday’s matchup against the Atlanta Braves vs the New York Mets is postponed in a doubleheader for Wednesday July 29.

As of now, Grant Holmes is set to pitch in the early matchup against Sean Manaea at 1:10 p.m. ET. And Chris Sale, who was set for Tuesday evening matchup is possible for Wednesday’s finale to close out the series. At the moment, however, the pitching matchup for that game is to be determined.

Stay tuned for more updates, as times and matchups are subject to change with the ongoing weather tomorrow as well.

Yankees At-Bat of the Week: Jasson Domínguez (7/25)

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - JULY 26: Jasson Domínguez #24 of the New York Yankees bats against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on July 26, 2026 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Yankees got some of the worst news possible when MRI scans revealed that Cody Bellinger had suffered a Grade 2 left hamstring strain in Saturday’s win over the Phillies and will likely miss 4-to-6 weeks. As it happens, it is from that very same game, an inning prior to the injury, that we find our nominee for At-bat of the Week, Jasson Domínguez crushing a solo home run off José Alvarado.

We join Domínguez leading off the seventh on Saturday night in Philadelphia. The Yankees are clinging to a 2-1 lead courtesy of an Austin Wells solo bomb and Bellinger RBI single. However, the Phillies have their flame throwing lefty Alvarado in the game and the dangerous top of their order due up in the bottom half of the frame, so the Yankees would love to tack on another insurance run.

There is no mystery to how Alvarado is going to attack you, the lefty throwing the fastball 97.3 percent of the time. The one wrinkle he introduces is the type of fastball he’s going to throw, using the sinker about two-thirds of the time and the cutter about one-third of the time. He goes with his primary offering to start things off here.

Domínguez takes this 96 mph sinker for a called strike one. You might wonder how he could take a pitch right down the middle. The camera angle doesn’t quite do this pitch justice, but this sinker starts about a half-foot in off the plate before its 16 inches of arm-side run carries it back into the zone. It’s therefore easy to see how a hitter might give up early on a pitch initially aimed toward him.

Alvarardo looks to play off the placement of that last sinker by throwing a cutter down a similar tunnel, hoping to fool Jasson into chasing a pitch that now breaks away from the zone toward him for a whiff or better yet, a soft grounder.

This is just unfair placement of this cutter right on the corner up and in. After seeing the way the previous sinker moved, you can understand why this would be a pretty automatic take from Domínguez assuming this pitch will remain high for ball one. However, Alvarado’s cutter has about a foot more downward break than the sinker, which allows it to drop into the zone at the last instant. Had Domínguez swung, it’s a likely broken bat, and had he used an ABS challenge, he would have lost.

Without a chance to swing the bat, Domínguez finds himself in an 0-2 hole. He knows a fastball is coming, he just has to guess which way the pitch is going to break given how hard it is to distinguish the sinker from the cutter based on reading the seams.

Interestingly, Alvarado breaks out the four-seamer trying to get Domínguez to chase something above the zone. He only throws the pitch two-percent of the time and it’s easy to see why given how poorly executed this one was.

Despite the clear lack of command of the previous pitch, Alvarado doubles up on the four-seamer.

Same pitch, same result. It’s obvious Alvarado has no feel for this pitch given how non-competitively high out of the zone both of them landed.

After two complete misfires, Domínguez can safely eliminate the four-seamer with the count now 2-2. He has to decide whether the next pitch is going to break away from him or toward him, and the smart money is on the pitch that Alvarado throws twice as much as the other. As such, I had a hunch that Domínguez was sitting on the sinker here having filed away useful information on the first one he took for a called strike. He needs to hunt something that starts up and a bit inside and trust that the pitch’s movement will fade it right into the hitting zone.

Domínguez gets the sinker right in his nitro zone and he swings with extreme prejudice, blasting the ball deep to left for a leadoff home run to double the Yankees’ lead.

Here’s the full AB:

Bellinger’s injury applies an even sharper magnifying glass to the Yankees’ Trade Deadline needs. Their desire for an upgrade at catcher has long been known, but now they find themselves in the market for an outfielder who at the very least can crush lefties given the very really possibility that neither Bellinger nor Aaron Judge are able to return for the end of the regular season.

On the whole, Domínguez has been a disappointment at the plate, with a minuscule four-percent walk rate, 82 wRC+, and replacement level value overall. However, barring a major addition to the outfield, Jasson projects to receive a hefty dose of playing time in the next month-plus. To that end, it is fair to highlight the strides he has made batting from the right side after all the hand-wringing about that aspect of his game in his first three big league seasons. Domínguez entered this year with a career 53 wRC+ batting righty — that’s up to a 91 wRC+ this season. The Yankees should obviously shoot for better from a starting outfielder, but with the injuries in the outfield mounting, it is some solace that he is no longer a liability batting from that side.

Orioles-Tigers game interrupted by speedy, elusive squirrel leading ground crew on epic chase

Three men chase a small black squirrel in a baseball outfield. One of the men is preparing to toss a towel over the critter.
Comerica Park grounds crew attempt to capture a squirrel during the seventh inning of a baseball game between the Detroit Tigers and the Baltimore Orioles on Monday, in Detroit. (Jose Juarez / AP Photo)

The Baltimore Orioles and Detroit Tigers combined for 13 runs, 23 hits and three home runs Monday at Comerica Park, but the biggest thrills of the game didn’t come from either team’s roster.

They were provided by a speedy and adventurous black squirrel, who spent the better part of an inning on and around the playing field and at one point led an army of ground crew members on a wild goose — uh, squirrel — chase in right field.

“At one point, I thought he was going to go into the batter’s box, see what was going on,” Orioles manager Craig Albernaz told reporters following his team’s 8-5 victory. “He had a great view of the game.”

Read more:Meet Raquinho, the raccoon who stopped MLS game and got Topps trading card for antics

The critter covered a lot of ground inside the stadium as the game was being played. It could be seen behind Orioles third-base coach Buck Britton (who appeared to toss it a sunflower seed), all over the outfield and the warning track, and in shallow left field behind Orioles third baseman Coby Mayo.

“I wanted him, personally, to stay on the field,” Mayo said afterward. “Makes the game more interesting.”

During the top of the seventh inning, the squirrel found his way between the mound and home plate. Umpire Bill Miller took a few steps toward the creature, who then scampered into right field. That’s where it was during the seventh inning stretch, when at least 15 members of the ground crew began their pursuit of the furry fan.

It almost got captured several times but managed to escape the clutches of the crew members or from underneath the towels they were tossing. At one point, it ran into the glove of surprised Orioles right fielder Leody Taveras and ended up being momentarily launched into the air.

Taveras said after the game that he was merely trying to block the rodent’s path with his glove.

Read more:Tarik Skubal blockbuster deal likely isn't part of Dodgers' trade-deadline plans

“I just was trying to stop it,” he said. “When it got into my glove, I don’t want to squeeze it, so I was just trying to bring it up. I wasn’t trying to do that.”

Finally, one of the crew members caught the squirrel under a towel and carried him off the field. A Tigers spokesperson told The Times on Tuesday that the team’s understanding is that the squirrel was in “fine health” after it was removed and released.

The critter gained numerous fans during its brief romp around Comerica, with the crowd booing after its capture and again when Miller called for a round of applause for the ground crew after the ordeal.

Several squirrels have frequented the ballpark during Tigers games over the years. Last season, one ran into the outfield and climbed into the team’s bullpen, where it reportedly hung out with the Detroit relievers for the rest of the game.

Get the best, most interesting and strangest stories of the day from the L.A. sports scene and beyond from our newsletter The Sports Report.

This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.

Tonight’s Mets/Braves game postponed due to forecasted rain

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - APRIL 15: Fans wait out a rain delay before the game was eventually postponed before the first inning between the Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets at Citi Field on April 15, 2021 in the Queens borough of New York City. (Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Tonight’s game at Citi Field has been postponed. In anticipation of rain in Flushing this evening, the Mets and Braves will now play a split doubleheader tomorrow, July 29.

The first game will start at its previously scheduled time, 1:10 PM ET. Parking lots will open at 10:40 AM ET, and the gates will open at 11:40 AM ET. If you are wondering about the giveaway, the first 5,000 children will receive a Mr. and Mrs. Met Play-Doh set.

Game two will now start at 7:10 PM ET. Gates will not open for game two before 6:10 PM. If you previously paid for a ticket for tonight’s game (July 28), that ticket will be honored for the 7:10 PM game tomorrow night. The first 15,000 fans will still receive the Mr. Met on Deck Plush Doll. Prepaid parking will be honored alongside admission to the game.

If you are not able to attend the rescheduled game, digital vouchers and digital parking vouchers will be issued after game two as explained here.

Christian Scott and Chris Sale were supposed to face off this evening, and presumably will do so tomorrow evening instead. Sean Manaea and Grant Holmes are still listed as probably pitchers for the day game. The Mets will be looking to piggyback off their strong offensive showing on Monday night, and the Braves should have some relief pitching that is well rested in time for the back-to-back outings.