CLEVELAND, OH - APRIL 16: Cleveland Guardians starting pitcher Parker Messick (77) reacts after the final out of the eighth inning of the Major League Baseball game between the Baltimore Orioles and Cleveland Guardians on April 16, 2026, at Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH. (Photo by Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
This will be an abbreviated preview as I have a very busy weekend. Hopefully, the Guardians offense will be similarly busy!
The Red Sox are 23-32 and the Guardians are 33-25.
Game One, Friday, 7:10: Bryan Bello, RHP vs. Slade Cecconi, RHP
Game Two, Saturday, 4:10: Sonny Gray, RHP vs. Parker Messick, LHP
Game Three, Sunday, 1:40: Ranger Suarez LHP vs Tanner Bibee, RHP
KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - MAY 26: Jazz Chisholm Jr. #13 of the New York Yankees is seen in the the fifth inning against the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on May 26, 2026 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Good afternoon everyone, it’s time to dive back into the mailbag and answer some of your questions. Remember to send in your questions for our weekly call by e-mail to pinstripealleyblog [at] gmail [dot] com.
The idiot that said, “Harper is coming” asks: Did you have only five teams at or above .500 in the American League on Memorial Day in your prediction before the season?And were the Rays, White Sox, and A’s three of those teams? We’re in Bizarro World!
It has been a wacky start for the standings for sure, with many would-be contenders a bit underwater at this point and several teams that no one could have predicted in the mix. The Rays were an afterthought in the AL East, a near-unanimous pick for last place that didn’t get higher than a third-place mention or two in our staff predictions, and yet they’ve caused the Yankees plenty of grief already and hold a slight lead on them for the division crown. Chicago had a few more believers that they would at least get out of the cellar, but none that would push them farther than fourth (and certainly no one picked Detroit to be in the basement in their stead), and the A’s had made enough moves to warrant a similar vibe but the AL West as a whole has been abysmal allowing them into the conversation.
The strangest thing about this season’s results thus far is that everyone’s collective struggles have made it hard to outright rule out teams from a playoff push, despite many of them still sitting below .500. That’s not to say I’d have any confidence in those lower Wild Card slots — Toronto at least has the pedigree to deserve respect as the defending AL champs, but the mesh of teams sitting a few games below them all look uninspiring at best. This is the ideal scenario for a team like the Astros, who looked dead and buried under their injuries through the first month but noticed the rest of the league fail to fill in the grave, and now they’ve rattled off seven wins in their last 10 to sit 2.5 games out of the final Wild Card. I’d have more faith in the remainder of that core than I do in teams like the Twins or Orioles giving it a true shot, and despite their early success I still have my doubts about the A’s and ChiSox. The Rangers should be the team that could pull away from the pack, but Corey Seager’s been MIA even when he’s on the field this time around and the rest of that offense isn’t amounting to much. All in all, it’s a murky field that the Yankees are fortunate to stand apart from, but it also means that they’ll have to do some convincing to get any additions from their competitors as the trade deadline starts to come up on the horizon.
NYCKING asks:Over/Under 4.5 Yankees named to All-Star team?
Injury replacements and pitchers that’re unable to play in the game itself could change the calculus, but going off of initial roster sizes I think the Yankees will actually go over on this. Aaron Judge will be a lock as always, and Cam Schlittler has a shot to not only make the All-Star staff but start the game itself if he keeps pitching like he has. Ben Rice and Cody Bellinger also have strong odds to make the roster, but Max Fried’s injury will probably keep him shelved long enough to prevent him joining his teammates at the event.
The X-factor here is Jazz Chisholm Jr., who admittedly did not get off to a good start this season but rebounded well enough in May to get back to above-average offensively. The field at second base has not been strong in the American League, meaning Chisholm’s 1.4 fWAR actually leads the pack despite the slow beginning, and there’s no reason to doubt that he could continue to further the gap should he keep heating up with the temperature. That’s their best chance to do so, however, as they won’t be seeing any representatives from catcher or third base, and while José Caballero has done fine work for them he’ll probably fall short of an All-Star nomination. Perhaps Will Warren or Ryan Weathers could earn a nod near the end of the pitching staff, but that would be a long shot unless either one has a tremendous June to push their case forward.
treatycity asks: Humor me, I’m testing your love for Anthony Volpe. Lombard will likely be pressing for the shortstop job come 2027 spring training. Volpe and Cabby could be potential candidates for second base, if Chisholm Jr. doesn’t return, but they’ll have to earn the job. Much depends if Yankees sign Chisholm long term. What’s the max years/money you’d give to Chisholm?
Our own Jonathan Farrar wrote an excellent piece back in March breaking down the contract demand that Chisholm stated he was looking for during spring training, which was an eight-to-ten year, $300-350 million deal range. The numbers look gaudy on paper, but as Jonathan worked it out, there’s good reasons for the ranges that Jazz threw out back then — a $35 million AAV sits squarely around players like Cody Bellinger and Alex Bregman, contemporaries from the previous free agent pool that Chisholm has comparable offensive numbers to, while his younger age would warrant a longer deal than the five-year pacts both signed.
Perhaps his slow start will be weighed against him, perhaps he’ll hit well enough to make everyone forget about it in the second half. As it stands, FanGraphs projects him to get to around 3.2 fWAR which would be a low for his time in New York but still better than any of his outputs from his Miami days. The postseason could determine everything for him, as another cold October might cost him big bucks, but taking that out of the equation and focusing on what he provides throughout the 162 games of the regular season shows that he’s going to be worth a pretty penny. I think he’ll have to compromise in one area of his initial demands more significantly to secure a number closer to the other, meaning if he wants to get a good AAV in the area that Bellinger just got the most he could expect to get is six or seven years maximum. Does a seven-year, $210 million deal entice him enough to stay? That’s about where I’d hit my limit with Jazz as of right now, but that number’s flexible should he turn the burners on.
Major League Baseball suspended Abner Uribe one game for "inappropriate actions" and issued a fine after the Milwaukee Brewers reliever executed a "triple crotch chop" celebration following a tense inning against the St. Louis Cardinals.
Uribe has appealed the suspension, MLB announced Friday, May 29, and will be available for the Brewers game Friday at Houston.
Uribe's histrionics came after days of stewing beef between the Cardinals and Brewers, with Uribe claiming Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol threatened to intentionally hit Milwaukee batters after the club was allegedly too obvious in relaying stolen signs from the dugout.
The tensions crested when Uribe threw a pitch up and in on Cardinals catcher Ivan Herrera in the eighth inning of the Brewers' 6-0 victory on Tuesday, May 26. After Uribe got out of the inning, he turned toward the Cardinals dugout and celebrated, irritating his manager, Pat Murphy.
""It’s just unacceptable," Murphy told reporters following the victory. "I don’t know what got over him. I mean, he’s been an emotional guy. That’s just not how we do things. I was embarrassed by it. Why are we doing it in a 6-0 ballgame?"
Marmol acknowledged a day later that he'd chirped with Brewers players regarding the relayed signs Monday.
"We felt like they were being pretty demonstrative about relaying from the dugout," Marmol said. "I looked over [to the Brewers dugout] and said, 'Don't do it, be smart, you're going to get somebody hurt, what are we trying to do here?' And that was it."
The Mets are officially making a change to their pitching staff.
David Peterson will be sliding back to the bullpen as of this weekend, and Sean Manaea will receive an opportunity in his spot in the rotation as the bulk arm the next time around.
Peterson had been enjoying success during the early part of May, but he was roughed up his last time out, allowing six runs on a season-high 11 hits across five innings of work in a loss to the Reds.
Manaea, on the other hand, has turned things around nicely after a brutal start to the season.
The Philadelphia Phillies open a three-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Scheduled starting pitchers are Zack Wheeler for Philadelphia, with a 1.67 ERA, and Justin Wrobleski for Los Angeles, with a 3.07 ERA.
How to watch Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
The New York Yankees, second in the AL East with a 34-22 record, face the Athletics, who are second in the AL West at 27-29. The New York Yankees are favored with a -153 moneyline compared to the Athletics' +127. Starting pitchers are scheduled to be Carlos Rodón for the Yankees, with a 4.15 ERA, and Luis Severino for the Athletics, with a 4.23 ERA.
CLEVELAND, OHIO - APRIL 07: Nick Mears #31 of the Kansas City Royals looks on during the eighth inning against the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on April 07, 2026 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images) | Diamond Images/Getty Images
The Royals’ bullpen took another hit on Friday when the team announced Nick Mears has been placed on the Injured List with right shoulder impingement. The Royals recalled reliever Eric Cerantola from Triple-A Omaha to replace him on the roster.
Mears pitched on Tuesday, giving up two walks and two hits among the six Yankees batters he faced in a 7-0 loss. The Royals already had relievers Carlos Estévez and Matt Strahm on the Injured List, in addition to starters Cole Ragans and Kris Bubic. Mears had appeared in 21 games this year with a 5.12 ERA and 15 strikeouts and 11 walks in 19.1 innings.
Cerantola had been up in a previous stint with the Royals, appearing in two games with five strikeouts, while giving up four walks and three runs in three innings.
CINCINNATI, OHIO - MAY 23: Pitcher Chris Paddack #56 of the Cincinnati Reds looks on during game one of a doubleheader against the St. Louis Cardinals at Great American Ball Park on May 23, 2026 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Jeff Dean/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Chris Paddack has logged a pair of starts for the Cincinnati Reds since they picked him up as an emergency band-aid for their starting rotation, and he’s been perfectly fine in those outings. He’s thrown exactly 5.0 IP in each, allowed a total of 4 ER in those 10 IP, and has 8 strikeouts against just 4 walks.
That’s about as good as anyone could have hope for from him given how much he’d been shelled as a starter for the Miami Marlins, and the Reds will ask for more from him on Friday evening in Great American Ball Park as the roaring Atlanta Braves come to town.
To date, Atlanta boasts a collective .334 wOBA offensively, and that’s the third best mark of any club in the game (behind only the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees). They also have the most wins in the sport (38) and best win percentage (.667) of any team, and that’s enough to make any pitcher – let alone Paddack – shake in their boots a little bit.
Of course, the Reds offense has become something of a force itself lately, too. In fact, over the last 30 days it’s been Cincinnati’s offense (.322 wOBA) that’s been better than that of Atlanta (.315). So, maybe we’re just in-line for a good old fashioned shootout in GABP tonight.
Grant Holmes will start for the Braves, and first pitch is slated for 6:40 PM ET.
Here’s how the Reds will line up for this one, with Spencer Steer starting at 2B and Matt McLain out of the lineup to begin:
The New York Yankees are rolling and are the rightful favorites against the Athletics tonight.
Luis Severino’s walk and barrel issues give New York’s power-heavy lineup the cleaner scoring path, and that's why my Yankees vs. Athleticspredictions are laying the run line instead of paying the -155 moneyline tax on the Bombers.
Who will win Yankees vs A's tonight: Yankees -1.5 (+108)
I see the New York Yankees' run line price as generous and would play it down to -110.
Luis Severino’s contact profile is a bad fit against New York. His 45th-percentile hard-hit rate and 35th-percentile barrel rate are real concerns against a Yankees lineup built to punish mistakes, led by an MLB-best 11.1% barrel rate and an overall depth of hard-hitting bats.
Carlos Rodon also adds separation on the mound. His 2.96 expected ERA and .153 expected BA allowed point to a sharper current form than Severino’s, giving New York the cleaner starter and louder offense.
New York has a strong path to crooked innings, and the A's aren't a dead offense against left-handed pitching.
While Rodon’s contact profile is excellent, his 18.6% walk rate creates risk against an Athletics lineup with plenty of pop.
Severino is the bigger trigger. His high walk rate is also a risk factor in this matchup.
I project the Yankees to drive the total, and the A's to do enough to get this Over. I'd play this to -130.
Chris Hatfield's 2026 Transparency Record
ML/RL bets: 24-19, +4.56 units
Over/Under bets: 28-15, +15.34 units
Yankees vs A's odds
Moneyline: Yankees -155 | A's +145
Run line: Yankees -1.5 | A's +1.5
Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9
Yankees vs A's trend
New York has covered the F5 run line in 31 of its last 50 away games (+9.50 Units / 16% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. A's.
How to watch Yankees vs A's and game info
Location
Sutter Health Park, Sacramento, CA
Date
Friday, May 29, 2026
First pitch
9:40 p.m. ET
TV
YES, NBC Sports California
Yankees starting pitcher
Carlos Rodon (0-2, 4.15 ERA)
A's starting pitcher
Luis Severino (2-5, 4.23 ERA)
Yankees vs A's latest injuries
Yankees vs A's weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
The stars are out in Southern California as the heavily favored Los Angeles Dodgers host the Philadelphia Phillies tonight, with the game to be broadcast on Apple TV at 10:15 p.m. ET.
With ace Zack Wheeler on the mound and a red-hot, fully rested bullpen behind him, my Phillies vs. Dodgers predictions are backing the visitors in a low-scoring contest.
Who will win Phillies vs Dodgers tonight: Phillies (+100)
This game offers a choice between fool’s gold and pure gold.
Fool’s gold: Los Angeles Dodgers starter Justin Wrobleski and his 3.07 ERA. He doesn’t make batters miss (second percentile whiff rate, fifth percentile K rate) or induce grounders (36.7%), so all that glitters ain’t.
Pure gold: Zack Wheeler, 1.67 ERA. It’s the third consecutive season his ERA is under 2.75. He limits free passes (88th percentile walk rate) and generates a 98th percentile chase rate.
The Philadelphia Phillies have been destroying southpaws (135 wRC+ in May) and face a hittable one, so I’d play it up to -105.
COVERS INTEL:With winds of 6-12 mph blowing out, Wrobleski’s high fly-ball rate (44.4%) is an issue against a Phillies lineup that makes loud contact (38% hard-hit rate against LHP this month).
Phillies vs Dodgers Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-120)
This spot makes for an appealing Under as both bullpens are fully rested following Thursday’s off day.
Philadelphia has an unreal 2.00 SIERA and 28.9 K-BB% in relief over the last 20 days. LA holds a 2.94 FIP in that span and recently had an incredible 38-inning scoreless streak from the bullpen snapped.
The Phillies have cashed the Over just nine times in 26 away games, whereas the Dodgers have done so 11 times in 28 home games.
Interim manager Don Mattingly has changed the Phillies’ identity, and they’ve gone 2-14 O/U in the last 16 games.
JD Yonke's 2026 Transparency Record
ML/RL bets: 16-17, -5.33 units
Over/Under bets: 26-9, +16.54 units
Phillies vs Dodgers odds
Moneyline: Phillies +105 | Dodgers -116
Run line: Phillies +1.5 (-205) | Dodgers -1.5 (+177)
Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-120) | Under 7.5 (+100)
Phillies vs Dodgers trend
The Phillies have hit the Under in six consecutive games. Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Dodgers.
How to watch Phillies vs Dodgers and game info
Location
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date
Friday, May 29, 2026
First pitch
10:15 p.m. ET
TV
Apple TV
Phillies starting pitcher
Zack Wheeler (4-0, 1.67 ERA)
Dodgers starting pitcher
Justin Wrobleski (6-2, 3.07 ERA)
Phillies vs Dodgers latest injuries
Phillies vs Dodgers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
ATLANTA, GEORGIA - MAY 24: Jorge Mateo #2 of the Atlanta Braves bats against the Washington Nationals in the eighth inning at Truist Park on May 24, 2026 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Brett Davis/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The Atlanta Braves have lost three of their last five games, and their offense has been a roller coaster. They scored seven and ten runs respectively in their last two wins, but scored zero runs twice and one run in the other game. Still, their offense ranks as second in MLB in total runs scored.
The Braves will have a chance to build on their ten run performance from yesterday when they face off against Chris Paddack who is struggling to a 6.86 ERA. His expected ERA (xERA) is much better at 4.32, but us still to a point that the Braves on paper should be able to tag him for some runs.
Mike Yastrzemski has done very well against Paddack in his career. In twenty-five at-bats he has three HRs, a .400 average, and 1.324 OPS. Ozzie Albie has been successful as well with a .364 average and 1.000 OPS in eleven at-bats.
A big question mark before the lineup card dropped was whether Dominic Smith would DH since Walt Weiss has been known thus far to not use the same lineup everyday. Smith has had a fantastic season, but has struggled to a .182 average against Paddack in eleven at-bats, but has a HR. Another lineup move that many likely had their eyes on was who was going to play SS. Jorge Mateo has been on fire by his standards this year. He has started nineteen games and has multi-hit games in eight of them. That being said, the reason he got the start yesterday was likely due to the pitcher being a lefty. Ha-Seong Kim has clearly struggled this season, but he also has not fully ramped up.
As it turns out, Smith did end up being in the starting lineup and will bat fifth. Mateo also got the start proven against the idea what Weiss may be using his as the main option for lefties moving forward. Chadwick Tromp will get the start a week after his walk-off magic in the eleventh inning.
Grant Holmes will take the mound the the Braves to face the Reds. No Reds player has faced Holmes more than seven at-bats, but most of the ones that have had success against him. Of the nine players to face him, six of them have at-least a .333 average.
TJ Friedl is the player to keep an eye on. In his four at-bats against Holmes, he has two HRs.
Interestingly, Freidl will be batting ninth against Holmes. As can be seen in the graphic above, the Reds will be wearing their city connect jerseys this evening.
The Braves look to jumpstart their offense tonight. First pitch is at 6:40 EDT
Undeniably a key factor in the Phillies’ turnaround after an atrocious start to the season, a recently recovered Zack Wheeler is winning the current round of a battle against Father Time by being one of the more dominant starters in the National League since his return to a big league mound in late April. Although it is not always the case, for Wheeler in particular, the level of dominance he has presented has been enough to make the Phillies unbeatable in his starts.
The Dodgers will be the seventh team to go up against Wheeler this season, and evidently the best he has faced. Los Angeles will try to accomplish what each of the previous six failed to do, which is to beat the Phillies, who are 6-0 in Wheeler starts.
Justin Wrobleski might not have been the first pick for such a lofty task, but the southpaw carries an edge in this particular matchup. The Phillies offense is redefining the meaning of “top-heavy,” with two-thirds of their lineup carrying an OPS of .656 or lower. Bryce Harper, Kyle Schwarber, and Brandon Marsh have carried this offense, all three of them lefties. Now, Harper and Schwarber are scary hitters regardless of who they’re facing, but you’d still prefer a lefty there.
This lack of anything even remotely resembling a bit of depth is why Philly enters play on Friday with the fifth-worst team wRC+ in the sport, relying primarily on their pitching to carry this team.
Apr 14, 2026; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies outfielder Adolis Garcia (53) reacts after striking out against the Chicago Cubs in the fourth inning at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Ross-Imagn Images | Kyle Ross-Imagn Images
When Adolis Garcia came into camp after signing with the Phillies, the team had specific ideas on what they wanted him to work on in the hopes that he could recapture his past form. Garcia tweaked his batting stance and worked on improving his plate discipline to try and cut down on his high chase rate. So far, he has done exactly that, as his 28.1 % swing rate on pitches outside of the zone is the lowest it’s been since 2023, which was the best season of Garcia’s career and the last time he was an above average hitter. He’s also cut down his overall swing rate to 43.4% from 52.2%, cut his whiff rate down to 12.9% from 14.6%, and his 83.7% rate of contact on pitches inside the zone is the best of his career. Through the first two months of 2026, he’s accomplished all of the goals he and the Phillies laid out for him this spring.
Season
Swing Rate
Chase Rate
Whiff Rate
Zone Contact Rate
2025
52.2%
35.7%
14.6%
79.4%
2026
43.4%
28.1%
12.9%
83.7%
So why is he in the midst of the worst season of his career after a particularly brutal month of May where he hit .141 with a .447 OPS and 33 strikeouts in 24 games?
To attempt to understand that conundrum, we must first look at what made Garcia successful in the past. In that All-Star 2023 season, Garcia was one of the most aggressive hitters in baseball, swinging early and often as evidenced by his swing rate of 48.6%. He did not hit for a high average at just .245 overall, but his .508 slugging percentage was tenth best among all hitters with at least 600 plate appearances. Garcia still swung and chased at a high rate, but he did damage on the pitches he got to hit.
Fast forward to 2026, and Garcia’s .312 SLG is among the worst in baseball, and he has the worst barrel percentage of his career by half. His new swing and approach have resulted in the intended plate discipline improvements but have had unintended side effects.
Cutting back on his aggressiveness has limited Garcia’s ability to do damage on the increased amount of pitches he’s seen in the zone. Even in a poor 2025 season where Garcia had the worst SLG of his career to that point, his expected SLG of .427 was right around league average and his 11.6% barrel rate was above average. In 2026, those numbers are dramatically lower, with Garcia carrying a .350 xSLG and a 7.1% barrel rate that would both be his career worst for a full season. He’s especially struggling to catch up to fastballs, as his .284 actual SLG and .378 xSLG against heaters are both the worst marks of his career. He hasn’t been any better on breaking balls, with a .292 SLG and .294 xSLG that are also the worst of his career and a 39.4% whiff rate that is the second worst of his career.
Garcia is hitting more line drives at a career best 24.4% rate, but his flyball rate has plummeted ten percentage points to a career worst 36.2%. He’s also pulling the ball at a career worst rate of 37.8%, continuing a declining trend that started in 2024. His isolated power of .111 is another career worst mark and is over a 50-point dropoff from last season. Simply put, Garcia is not impacting the ball even close to the way he used to and has been worse at it than even his disappointing 2025 season.
Season
SLG
xSLG
Barrel %
ISO
2025
.394
.427
11.6
.168
2026
.312
.350
7.1
.111
Now, some of this can be contributed to the obvious factor: age. At 33-years-old coming off of two below average seasons, it’s quite likely that Garcia is in decline and will never reach his previous heights but rather will continue to get worse. But the steep drop from even his poor 2025 suggests that maybe something else is at play here. There’s not much to contribute to luck either, as Garcia’s .276 BABIP is only slightly below the league average of .287 so far.
Perhaps trying to change Garcia into a different hitter has made him worse than he already was in two disappointing seasons. A hitter trying to become more patient at the plate is not necessarily a bad thing, as it usually leads to more quality plate appearances. But that’s not the case for everybody. Some hitters thrive on being aggressive. Garcia is one of those hitters. By trying to cut back on that aggressiveness, Garcia and the Phillies have inadvertently taken away the few things he was still good at even in his worst years.
Maybe better results with the new approach will come eventually. It isn’t exactly “early” in the season anymore as we’ve passed the first unofficial checkpoint of Memorial Day, but there are still 106 games to go. That’s still plenty of time for something to click and everything to fall in place.
Or maybe the Phillies and Garcia need to accept that he is what he is at the plate and let him go back to leaning on his strengths, even if the result is another below average season. Because even below average is better than what Garcia is right now.
Coming into the 2026 season, the Mets were seemingly blessed with an overabundance of starting pitching. They traded for Freddy Peralta, who joined Nolan McLean, Kodai Senga, Clay Holmes, and David Peterson in the rotation. They also acquired Tobias Myers, who is capable of starting, in the Peralta trade, and they had Sean Manaea, Christian Scott, and Jonah Tong as depth.
Heading into June, the rotation has become a big question mark. While the team got good news that he doesn’t need surgery, Holmes is out for the foreseeable future with a fractured fibula. Senga is has made a pair of appearances on a rehab assignment as he recovers from lumbar spine inflammation, but there’s no guarantee he can be an effective major league pitcher when he does return.
As for the other starters, here’s how they’ve fared in the month of May:
Freddy Peralta: 2-1 with a 3.52 ERA
Nolan McLean: 1-2 with a 6.92 ERA
David Peterson: 3-1 with a 4.30 ERA
Christian Scott: 0-0 with 3.00 ERA
Myers isn’t stretched out and has been used both as an opener and a long man. He is 0-0 with one save in ten appearances in May. His ERA is 5.54 in those ten games. Jonah Tong has been fantastic since his call-up, but he has yet to start a game. In his two games, he has yet to give up an earned run in 6.2 innings.
And then there is Manaea. Overall his numbers look terrible, as he’s 0-1 with a 5.56 ERA in 34.0 innings pitched this season. And the fact that he’s coming off a 2025 season in which he struggled with both injuries and ineffectiveness isn’t exactly inspiring. In the month of May, however, he is 0-1 with a more respectable 3.75 ERA. He has been fine serving as the long man out of the bullpen when called upon.
At this point the team has nothing to lose giving Manaea a chance to start. They are in desperate need of arms, and he is capable of giving them some innings. Carlos Mendoza would not commit to giving Peterson another start after his last disastrous outing so there is an opportunity to piggyback the two. Plus in that scenario the team wouldn’t need to burn an opener like Huascar Brazobán, meaning crucial bullpen arms will be available in the later innings.
The current state of the rotation is a mess, so now is the time to get creative with the arms you do have and that means giving Manaea an opportunity to prove himself as a stater. There is still every chance that he will not succeed, but with the Mets already in last place, why not see what you have? The only way to go is up, right?
SEATTLE, WASHINGTON - MAY 18: The mascot of the Seattle Mariners, Mariner Moose, gestures during the game between the Seattle Mariners and the Chicago White Sox at T-Mobile Park on May 18, 2026 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Maddy Grassy/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The Diamondbacks are the hottest team in baseball. Full stop. They have won nine of their last ten. They’ve done it with great starting pitching, better than average offense, and they’ve even mixed in some spectacular defense from time to time. Yes, it comes against two of the worst teams in baseball, but even when you’re playing bad teams, you still have to beat them, and to do so in such a stretch is both impressive and exactly what they needed to do. They’ve got to keep the momentum up against the top teams now, but this is exactly the kick start they needed.
They go from the bottom of the NL West, to the top of the AL West. The AL West is slightly less competitive than the NL West, though, so that isn’t as scary as it could be. The Mariners are currently first in their division, but that only requires a 28-29 record at the moment. They’re on a hot streak of their own, however. They just swept division rival Oakland. We’ll see which sweep of a sub-.500 team holds up more.
Game 1 — 5/29, 7:10 PM: Zac Gallen (-0.3 bWAR, 3-4, 4.80 ERA/85 ERA+, 1.43 WHIP) vs. George Kirby (1.0 bWAR, 5-4, 3.54 ERA/110 ERA+, 1.20 WHIP)
Someone should do the math on how much money each mediocre start costs Gallen. At the rate he’s going, it’s going to be a lot. His hopes of a bounce back campaign to secure the multi-year, nine figure contract is waning, and he just hasn’t done much of anything particularly of note this season. The month of May has been especially rough after a decent start to the season in April. He has given up more than four earned runs in three of his five starts so far, and gave up three in an additional start just for good measure.
George Kirby has had a solidly above average season so far, but he’s been on a bit of a downward trend lately. In seven of his first nine starts, he held opponents to two runs or less, and he did not give up more than four. He also has been consistently pitching into the sixth inning or longer. However, his last two starts against the Padres and the Royals have been out of the ordinary. HE gave up six earned runs to the Padres, and five runs, three earned, to the Royals. The Padres game he got bit by the home run ball, but the Royals it seems it was just the errors that held him back. The Diamondbacks have power, and they have the speed to force misplays, so they’ll be looking to recreate those games.
Game 2 — 5/30, 7:10 PM: Ryne Nelson (-0.3 bWAR, 2-3, 4.65 ERA/88 ERA+, 1.18 WHIP) vs. Bryan Woo (0.7 bWAR, 4-3, 3.82 ERA/102 ERA+, 1.03 WHIP)
Don’t look now, but Ryne Nelson has been actually rather successful in the month of May. He has an ERA of 2.36 for the month, with the crowning achievement being his eight innings of one run ball against the Rockies in his most recent start. The question becomes how sustainable it is. He has a FIP of 4.29 for the month, almost exactly two runs higher than his month of May ERA. The strikeouts are inconsistent, the walks are high, and he’s basically a guarantee for a home run per start. Not promising for long term success.
In 2026, Woo has had similar results to Kirby. About a month ago, Woo had back to back starts where he gave up seven and six runs repsectively, but beyond that, it’s been good starts. One thing to note, the only home runs he has given up this year came in those two previously mentioned bad starts. Other than that, he has kept the ball in the park all season long. He’s given up two walks in each of his last four starts, so he will give you those free base runners. The Diamondbacks should probably plan on building innings, not mashing home runs, for this one.
Game 3 — 5/31, 1:10 PM: Merrill Kelly (-0.1 bWAR, 5-3, 5.25 ERA/78 ERA+, 1.41 WHIP) vs. Bryce Miller (0.4 bWAR, 1-0, 2.25 ERA/176 ERA+, 1.00 WHIP)
After a very rough first four months, Merrill Kelly is starting to look much more like the Mainstay that we thought Hazen had signed this off season. In his most recent four starts, he has thrown at least six innings, twice going seven, and a complete game just for good measure. The Giants tagged him for a couple runs, three in their first start against him and two in their second, but nothing crazy. With how rough his first four starts were, it will take a while before the stats start to look better, but he’s making progress.
This will be Miller’s fourth game, but third start as his last appearance was actually out of the bullpen. Not much to go off of so far, of course, but early returns have been positive. He’s gone at least five innings in all of his appearances, including his relief outing, and he has yet to give up more than two runs.
Conclusion
We aren’t picking on the bottom of the standings anymore, so the Diamondbacks should expect the Mariners to put up a bit more of a fight. That being said, this is a division leader that is sub-.500. Still plenty of room for them to continue padding their win column. I expect them to take two out of three in fairly low scoring affairs.