Phillies vs Braves Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Atlanta Braves return home to open a series against the Philadelphia Phillies in a series that matches the teams with the best and worst run differentials in baseball.

Philadelphia has lost nine straight, its longest slump in eight years. The Braves have won eight of their last nine and have a 5.5 game advantage in what was supposed to be a competitive division.

Our Phillies vs. Braves predictions and MLB picks look for the teams to continue on their current trajectories as Atlanta wins.

Who will win Phillies vs Braves today: Braves run line -1.5 (+144)

The Atlanta Braves swept three from the Philadelphia Phillies on the road last week. Atlanta has covered the run line in each of their last seven wins. The Braves’ run differential is seven better than the Dodgers. Their run line record is 17-9, just one worse than their straight-up mark.

The Phillies could finish Friday with their first double-digit losing streak of the 21st century. Their run differential is 16 runs worse than the team directly ahead of them, and their record is tied for worst in MLB.

Philly has covered just four games all season and none against the NL East.

Covers COVERS INTEL:Michael Harris has an RBI in five straight games and is hitting .565 with four homers over the last seven. He’s expected to play after leaving with quad tightness Thursday.

Phillies vs Braves Over/Under pick: Over 9.5 (-101)

The Braves saw rookie Andrew Painter five days ago, when Philly got a look at Grant Holmes. The familiarity should lead to offense from two pitchers that combined to give up six runs in half of Sunday’s game.

The bullpens aren’t likely to shut things down like they did Sunday. Four Philadelphia relievers have thrown more than 20 pitches in the last three games, and three are over 30. The Braves have three relievers at 19 or more.

The Braves have had a game total of 10+ runs in three of the last four—and the fourth had a total of nine.

Shawn Krest's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets:7-8 ,-1.38 units
  • Over/Under bets:9-10, -1.31 units

Phillies vs Braves odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +133 | Atlanta -138
  • Run line: Philadelphia +1.5 (-156) | Atlanta -1.5 (+144)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 (+108) | Under 9.5 (-113)

Phillies vs Braves trend

The Philadelphia Phillies have only covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 24 games (-20.45 Units / -75% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Braves.

How to watch Phillies vs Braves and game info

LocationTruist Park, Cumberland, GA
DateFriday, April 24, 2026
First pitch7:15 p.m. ET
TVApple TV+
Phillies starting pitcherAndrew Painter
(1-1, 4.42 ERA)
Braves starting pitcherGrant Holmes
(1-1, 3.42 ERA)

Phillies vs Braves latest injuries

Phillies vs Braves weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Cincinnati Reds play host to Detroit Tigers this weekend in GABP

DETROIT, MI - JUNE 15: Elly De La Cruz #44 of the Cincinnati Reds rounds the bases after hitting a two-run home run in the ninth inning during the game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on Sunday, June 15, 2025 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Monica Bradburn/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Cincinnati Reds lefty Andrew Abbott went toe to toe with Boston Red Sox ace Garrett Crochet on Opening Day in Great American Ball Park, and did so admirably. Abbott fired 6.0 IP of scoreless ball for the Reds, scattering 7 hits and a walk while striking out 4 in an 83 pitch effort that kept the Reds otherwise inept offense within striking distance of a comeback (even though that didn’t pan out).

In the four starts since then, however, Abbott has looked a shell of his All-Star self. He’s only managed to clear 18.2 IP in that span, and has been tagged with 17 runs (16 earned) with a near equal 11/10 K/BB.

Next up for Abbott is the lineup of the Detroit Tigers, as that’s who is in town this weekend as the Reds celebrate their newest inductees into their team Hall of Fame. Detroit, to date, owns a .308 wOBA and 93 wRC+ against left-handed pitching so far in the early going of 2026, marks that both rank 18th in the league in their respective categories. They have, however, swatted only 3 dingers off southpaws this season, and only two teams can claim fewer homers in said category (the Marlins with 2 and Padres with 0, somehow).

The Reds, for the record, rank 4th in Major League Baseball with 12 homers off LHP – thanks, Elly!

Cincinnati will be up against an All-Star lefty themselves in the series opener on Friday as veteran Framber Valdez gets the start. He was mauled by the Minnesota Twins for 8 ER in 5.0 IP in his start against them on April 8th, yet in his other four starts combined he’s yielded 1 ER or fewer in each (3 ER total in 25.0 IP), so odds are the Reds are going to be up against it a bit.

Fortunately for the Reds, all-world ace Tarik Skubal pitched yesterday in the series finale between the Tigers and Milwaukee Brewers. So, he won’t feature in this particular series.

First pitch on Friday is set for 6:40 PM ET. Brady Singer will toe the rubber on Saturday at 7:15 PM ET (after the team’s big HoF induction ceremony), while Rhett Lowder will start on Sunday in the series finale at 1:40 PM ET.

Pack9 Opponent Preview: Virginia Tech

CORAL GABLES, FL - APRIL 05: Virginia Tech pitcher Luke Craytor (19) pitches in relief in the seventh inning as the Miami Hurricanes faced the Virginia Tech Hokies on April 5, 2026, at Mark Light Field at Alex Rodriguez Park in Coral Gables, Florida. (Photo by Samuel Lewis/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Who’s the Pack playing?

Opponent: Virginia Tech

Mascot: Thanksgiving Dinner | School Location: Metallica, VA | Conference: ACC

2026 Record: 20-19 (9-12, 9th) | 2026 RPI Rank: 41

2025 Record: 31-25 (12-18, 12th) | 2025 RPI Rank: 56

2024 Record: 32-22 (14-16, 5th Coastal) | 2024 RPI Rank: 68


When? Where? How do I watch?

Location: English Field (Blacksburg, VA)

Game Time(s): Fri, Apr 24 @ 6:00pm | Sat, Apr 25 @ 3:00pm | Sun, Apr 26 @ 1:00pm

TV: Friday (ACCNX) | Saturday (ACCNX) | Sunday (ACCNX)

Live Stats: Stat Broadcast (Friday | Saturday | Sunday)


Tell me about this team

John Szefc is a hell of a good coach, but this Virginia Tech job may be getting the better of him. Szefc led Marist to four Regional appearances in seven years during his first go as a head coach from 1996-2002. The Red Foxes have been to just three Regionals since. After a four-year detour to the middle of the country for assistant gigs at both Kansas and Kansas State, he took over as the head man at Maryland and led the Terrapins to three Regionals – advancing to the Super Regionals in two of those – during a five year run there. Prior to Szefc’s arrival in College Park, Maryland hadn’t been to the NCAA postseason since 1971. They’ve made three Regionals in the eight postseasons since Szfec left.

That leads us to Szfec’s current gig, entering his 9th season as the Hokies head man. It started out slow, as you’d expect for a program rebuilding from Pat Mason’s four-year ditch driving run. Year five, though, saw Virginia Tech go 45-14 with a 19-9 ACC mark, hosting a Regional and Super Regional in Blacksburg with a team that had an RPI ranking of 5th in the country. It really looked like Szefc might turn the Hokies into a power, but since then it’s been a program stuck on average. Three winning seasons since, but no winning conference marks, with RPI’s between 49 and 68.

This year’s squad doesn’t look like they’re going to break that trend. The Hokies started off the year 7-1, but that included a 4-0 mark in one-run games. They went 1-8 in their next nine games, although that run included games against Texas A&M, Mississippi State, Georgia Tech, and Virginia, all potential NCAA Regional hosts this year. Things got a little better, winning the last game of the Virginia series, topping VCU in a midweek game, and then winning their series over Duke.

Unfortunately, a 4-8 run followed, including midweek losses to East Tennessee State and Liberty, as well as a series loss at home to Stanford. That series with the Cardinal was one the Hokies had to win, but dropped it in an extra-innings loss in the rubber match. NC State will catch the Hokies back on a bit of a heater, winning four of their last five after topping Pittsburgh last weekend.

That early season luck in close games has evened back out, with Virginia Tech going 3-3 in games either decided by a single run or that went extra innings. It’s not hard to find the culprit for the Hokies woes this year: the pitching staff.

Hokies hurlers are sporting a combined 7.21 ERA over 336.0 innings this year, with a walk rate of 12.6% and a strikeout rate of 23.1%. They do have two solid starters in JR RHP Brett Renfrow and rJR RHP Griffin Stieg and that group strikeout rate will play, but once you get past Renfrow and Stieg, only one of the next nine pitchers who have tossed more than 10.0 IP this year have a sub-10.0 walk rate. That’s an issue, and will obviously lead to giving up more runs.

The lineup hasn’t been great, but it hasn’t been bad with a collective .267/.379/.440, 78 2B, 44 HR, 12.6 BB%, 22.6 K%, 43-56 SB. The issue is there’s not a player who does any one thing exceptionally well, so it’s hard to construct an offensive identity. It is a strong defensive team, though, although the lack of errors combined with the high ERA of the pitching staff does make you wonder what kind of range the team has in the field, and some of the advanced metrics tell that story. Only four VT position players have a DRS (Defensive Runs Saved) total over 1.00 this year. Compare that to NC State that has 11 players over that mark.

Barring the Hokies going 6-3 or better down the stretch in ACC play and then making some noise at the ACC Tournament, it’ll be four straight missed Regionals for Virginia Tech.


Pitching Matchups

Friday: TBD vs TBD

Saturday: TBD vs TBD

Sunday: TBD vs TBD


Key Players:

Offense

C Henry Cooke (SR) – .252/.369/.409, 7 2B, 3 HR, 13.4 BB%, 28.2 K%, 3-3 SB. Hitting .361/.467/.623, 5 2B, 3 HR, 17. BB%, 26.7 K%, 1-1 SB in ACC play. Has also thrown out 23.7% of base stealers, with an almost identical 23.1% mark in ACC play. Multiple hits in 4 of his last 7 games.

1B Hudson Lutterman (SO) – .291/.357/.545, 6 2B, 8 HR, 7.0 BB%, 17.1 K%, 0-0 SB. Undersized first baseman (5’10, 180 lbs) is having a big sophomore jump after hitting just .208/.291/.392 over 34 starts in 2025. Hit 2 HR last weekend at Pitt, including a walk-off in the series finale.

SS Ethan Gibson (JR) – .319/.385/.511, 6 2B, 4 HR, 10.9 BB%, 20.9 K%, 1-1 SB. Mostly used as a defensive sub over his first two years with the program, making 28 starts over 73 games across 2024-2025 with just a .193 batting average over that time. Has been fantastic with the glove, committing just 3 errors on the year with a .979 fielding percentage. Current 10-game hitting streak.

2B Ethan Ball (FR) – .299/.387/.565, 13 2B, 8 HR, 7.7 BB%, 33.3 K%, 3-3 SB. Started off his college career with a 10-game hitting streak before being more spotty over the last month. Only has four hits over his last six games, but they’ve all been doubles, including two in VT’s win over VCU on Tuesday.

Pitching

RHP Brett Renfrow (JR) – 2-4, 6.41 ERA, 46.1 IP, 7.8 BB%, 30.1 K%. Two-time 3rd Team All-ACC selection, he was listed by some as a Top 100 prospect entering this year, but has had a rough go of it. The 6’3, 220 lbs righty has some nice tools, with a mid-90’s fastball that will touch 97, a upper-80’s cutter, mid-80’s slider, low-80’s curve, and mid-80’s changeup. It’s a nice arsenal of pitches, and the peripherals show what he’s capable of with them. Got beaten up by GT, UVA, Miami, and BC, but shut down Duke, Stanford, and Pitt, so it’s been a mixed bag.

RHP Griffin Stieg (rJR) – 2-2, 5.87 ERA, 46.0 IP, 8.8 BB%, 17.6 K%. Started 13 games for the Hokies in 2024 (3-2, 4.70 ERA, 51.2 IP, 5.7 BB%, 21.1 K%), but then needed elbow surgery at the end of that year that wiped out his 2025 season. Despite that, was drafted in the 18th round by the Mariners last year, but turned down the Mariners – as well as his transfer portal commitment to Alabama – to return to the Hokies. He’s a low-90’s arm who will touch the mid-90s, adding in a slider and changeup.

RHP Preston Crowl (JR) – 1-2, 4 SV, 6.42 ERA, 33.2 IP, 12.0 BB%, 22.7 K%. Has 55 career appearances with the Hokies. Hasn’t had the success he did last year (2-0, 1 SV, 3.90 ERA, 32.1 IP, 16.3 BB%, 26.9 K%) in terms of ERA or strikeout rate, but his control has been better and he’s been counted on in bigger spots. He’s heavily relied upon, making multiple appearances in a single ACC series three times this year and has topped 30 pitches in each of his last 7 appearances, including a 74-pitch relief outing at Boston College two weekends ago.

LHP Brendan Yagesh (SR) – 2-2, 1 SV, 7.47 ERA, 31.1 IP, 12.7 BB%, 20.4 K%. Former transfer from Mount St. Mary’s, originally hailing from Urbana, Virginia. Started 16 games over two seasons for the Mountaineers, but has mostly been a reliever for the Hokies, although he did start three ACC games earlier this year, including tossing 7.0 shutout innings against Duke (he then gave up 13 ER over 7.0 IP in his next two starts). Outside of those two negative starts and one bad turn at Virginia, he’s been solid.

LHP ChaseSwift (SO) – 1-1, 4.00 ERA, 18.0 IP, 9.7 BB%, 45.8 K%. The mustachioed redhead is aptly named for a guy who ranks 12th in the country in whiff rate. Those peripherals say the guy needs more innings. He won’t blow the ball by anybody with a heater that only tops in the low-90’s, but he has a four-pitch mix (cutter, slider, changeup) that generate a lot of swings and misses.


Quick! Fun Facts!

The Hokies have four alums in the MLB this year: 1B T.J. Rumfield (Rockies), LHP Ian Seymour (Rays), OF Kerry Carpenter (Tigers), and LHP Joe Mantiply (Blue Jays). They had three other alums appear at the MLB level in 2025: RHP Nic Enright (Guardians; will miss 2025 with TJS), RHP Zach Brzykcy (Nationals; now with Marlins), RHP Jesse Hahn (Mariners; now with Blue Jays).

The seven former Hokies at the MLB level over the last two years is impressive for the program, given that there were only 11 former Virginia Tech players to make it to that level over the previous 25 seasons.

Virginia Tech doesn’t have a single player from the state of North Carolina. That’s wild.

The Hokies roster isn’t very deep on All-Name Team candidates, but FR INF Willie Hurt (.407/.619/.444, 1 2B, 0 HR, 27.9 BB%, 14.0 K%, 1-3 SB) is a no-doubt 1st Teamer. The lefty swinging DH currently has a 7-game hitting streak.


The Key To A Series Win For State

With Ryan Marohn unavailable for a second straight weekend, the Wolfpack bats are going to have to come alive against this Hokies pitching staff. The Hokies have been one of the best defensive teams in the conference, so State will need to also play clean to support the pitching staff and not supply any extra help to VTs lineup.


Prediction

There’s not a lot of confidence to be had for the Wolfpack after last weekend’s showing in Winston-Salem. With another road trip starting – and doing so without Jacob Dudan and Ryan Marohn – it’s hard to predict an NC State series win. Couple that with the Hokies coming off a series win of their own, it’s easy to see Virginia Tech coming out on top here in what should be a close, high-scoring three-game series.

Outcome: Hokies take two of three

Devin Williams gets the win after the Mets’ bullpen mixup

NEW YORK (AP) — Already struggling to win games, the New York Mets also had difficulty figuring out which pitcher was supposed to be on the mound Thursday night.

Closer Devin Williams headed to the mound from the bullpen to start the ninth inning after Bo Bichette’s go-ahead, three-run double. And Huascar Brazobán walked back to the mound from the dugout.

Because Brazobán crossed the foul line, Williams was prevented from entering.

“Mistranslation there,” Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said after his team hung to beat Minnesota 10-8 for its second straight win. “The messaging there was if it’s tied, you’re going to go back out. We take the lead, Devin’s in the game. The thing that got stuck to him was ‘I’m going back out.’

“I speak Spanish. So I need to go and tell him to make sure he gets the message there.”

Brazobán gave up a two-out grand slam in the eighth to Ryan Jeffers as the Twins knotted the score at 7 and completed their comeback from a pair of five-run deficits.

In the dugout afterward, Mendoza told Brazobán that he’d only pitch the ninth if the Mets didn’t take the lead — which they did on Bichette’s double.

Yet with the lights dimmed at Citi Field for the bottom of the inning, Williams headed to the mound from the bullpen as called for by Mendoza — as Brazobán simultaneously walked from the dugout back to the mound.

Asked what he thought watching Williams trot in, Brazobán delivered an answer in Spanish — punctuated by a profanity delivered in English with an accompanying a laugh.

“The lights are going off, and I was like ‘Wow,’” Brazobán said through interpreter Alan Suriel “So that’s when I realized.?

Brazobán retired Austin Martin on a groundout and Williams then relieved and struck out Luke Keaschall.

“I was frustrated with myself for the prior inning,” Brazobán said. “They told me clearly if the game was tied, I’d go out. But if they took the lead, Devin would come in. But I kind of stayed on autopilot

“Honestly, it was really my bad.”

Brooks Lee singled and scored on Tristan Gray’s single, and Bryon Buxton’s double put the potential tying run in scoring position. Williams (1-1) then struck out Trevor Larnach — just the sixth out recorded by Williams over the last 20 batters he’s faced, during which his ERA has risen from 0.00 to 10.29.

Williams was awarded the win because Brazobán pitched briefly and ineffectively and surrendered the lead while throwing less than an inning.

The win was the second straight for the Mets after a 12-game losing streak — their longest since 2012. All-Star shortstop Francisco Lindor was placed on the injured list prior to the game with a left calf injury suffered in Wednesday’s 3-2 win — when Juan Soto returned from a 15-game absence due to a right calf injury.

“A lot happened there from the very beginning,” Mendoza said. “But I’m glad that we were able to get the job done tonight.”

Braxton Ashcraft looking great to start the season for Pirates

PITTSBURGH, PA - APRIL 16: Braxton Ashcraft #35 of the Pittsburgh Pirates in action against the Washington Nationals at PNC Park on April 16, 2026 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images) | Getty Images

One of the strengths for the Pittsburgh Pirates to start the season has been their starting rotation, and right-handed pitcher Braxton Ashcraft is a big reason because of that.

In his most recent start for the Pirates, he threw seven innings and 94 pitches, both career-highs, while only allowing two earned runs against the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field on April 22, earning an 8-4 victory.

Ashcraft is in his first full season as a starting pitcher at the major league level and he’s done incredibly well so far for the Bucs.

He has a 1-1 record in five starts, a 2.43 ERA over 29.2 innings pitched, 32 strikeouts to nine walks, a .202 batting average allowed and a 1.01 WHIP.

His strikeouts are tied for 15th in baseball, with his BAA 25th in baseball and his WHIP ranks 33rd as well.

The 26-year-old started the season with a little walk problem after walking four batters in his season debut on March 30th but in his four starts in April he only walked five batters. 

He also just gave up his first home run of the season against the Rangers, but soon settled in and got some ground balls and went the longest he has in his major league career.

This is massive news for Pittsburgh because of the fact that Ashcraft is the fourth pitcher in their rotation. The fact that the Buccos are getting that contribution from someone pretty far in the depth chart is massive. It shows how deep the Pirates starting rotation actually is, which is important because of the shaky start from the bullpen. 

The Pirates have a lot of faith in the young pitcher as well, with no real pitching limits. Ashcraft has had some injury problems in the past dating from his minor league days in triple-A. His 29.2 innings pitched lead the Pirates and are tied for 19th-most in baseball. 

Pirates fans knew that Paul Skenes was going to do his thing and that they were going to get solid outings out of Mitch Keller and Bubba Chandler, so the fact they are also getting serious production out of Ashcraft is massive. Ashcraft has been one of the biggest surprises for the Pirates to start the season and if he can continue to pitch like this, the Pittsburgh starting rotation would be in a great place. 

MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Friday, April 24

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The home run vibes are high heading into the Friday slate, with some great spots to look for MLB player props, despite the weather still not in bettors' favor.

I'm going indoors with the Jays back home and some home-run potential on both sides of the field, and taking the easy route with one of the best home-run hitters facing one of the worst pitchers in baseball at +EV prices.

Plus, I'm backing a Cubs bat to keep his recent hot streak going.

These are my favorite HR props for Friday, April 24.

  • UPDATE: Added another HR pick + parlay.

Best MLB home run props today

Player to hit a HROdds
Blue JaysVladimir Guerrero Jr.+610
White SoxMunetaka Murakami+320
Cubs Michael Busch+520
💲Today's HR parlay+14581

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+610)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. might not be the home-run hitter he was in 2021, but +610 is a big price for an indoor game with a bland home-run setting on Friday’s board.

His swing speed is still elite, and his Blast Contact numbers are strong — he just needs to improve that launch angle, as he ranks last on the team in Ideal Attack Angle%. He needs to elevate the ball, and there are signs he can against Gavin Williams.

Guerrero has taken Williams deep once in eight career at-bats, and the Cleveland Guardians starter struggled with HR/FB% last year. That number looks even worse early this season, and his ground-ball rate could regress toward his career norms, and his .167 BABIP is unsustainable.

There’s a price point for any Guerrero home run in a favorable setting, and it starts at +600 or better. The fair price on this four-bagger is around +540.

  • Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: SN1, Guardians.TV

Munetaka Murakami (+320)

Let’s get a taste of the good life with one of the best home-run bats in baseball, at home, facing Miles Mikolas.

Munetaka Murakami just had his five-game homer streak snapped, but this may be the best matchup of that stretch. He’s 12-for-27, and every extra-base hit has left the yard. When he gets the ball in the air, it’s leaving at an incredible 39% clip.

Mikolas has been one of the worst HR/FB pitchers in baseball, and his early-season struggles have pushed that even lower. The only thing that can slow Murakami is swing-and-miss, which isn’t a major concern against Mikolas.

Despite the production, this price still shows value, with a fair line around +260.

  • Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Nationals.TV, CHSN

Michael Busch (+520)

It took some time, but Michael Busch has found his power stroke, going deep in back-to-back games. Now he enters a strong matchup tonight at Dodger Stadium.

The No. 2 hitter for the Chicago Cubs still profiles as a 30-HR bat in a favorable hitting environment with winds blowing out to center. Emmet Sheehan is a solid target for home runs, ranking near the bottom of MLB starters in Blast Contact% while allowing plenty of fly balls — with nearly 20% leaving the yard this year.

Chicago enters on a nine-game win streak, gets the full nine innings on the road, and this home run price should be closer to +430.

  • Time: 10:15 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Apple TV+
Josh Inglis's 2026 Transparency Record
  • HR picks: 5-43, -13.4 units

Today’s HR parlay

Blue Jays Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Bet Now
+14581
White Sox Munetaka Murakami
Cubs Michael Busch

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

The first walkoff ABS challenge in the 150-year history of the Cubs was electric

When your favorite team is 150 years old almost everything has been done before. After all, Wrigley Field is the home of Babe Ruth’s called shot. It’s also the only MLB ballpark left that Jackie Robinson played a game in. You can almost feel the ghosts of baseball past whispering at you from the ivy when you step on the concourse. Wrigley Field has seen no-hitters, cycles, the Sandberg Game, Michael Jordan trying to make a second career out of baseball and so much more.

But fans on Wednesday night were treated to a rare first at the baseball cathedral at the corner of Clark and Addison: the first walkoff ABS challenge in the history of that old park. It was an electric environment as catcher Miguel Amaya tapped his helmet to request an ABS review of Hoby Milner’s pitch, putting to rest any fears that ABS challenges at the end of games would be anti-climactic.

Honestly, one of the most interesting developments of the 2026 season has been how engaging ABS challenges have been for fans. Don’t believe me? Just watch [VIDEO].

Miguel Amaya immediately goes to his helmet to challenge the call, he knows he’s right. The fans erupt with the joy of a crowd that has watched umpires blow those calls their whole lives only to finally have a mechanism to confirm what we’ve all seen with our own eyes all along. Even for fans who love the human element, the ABS challenge system is a good compromise:

MLB Network had this great breakdown of the ins and outs of the system early in the season:

However, the unexpected joy of the ABS system has been the fan reaction. Crowds are into it when their team challenges and are correct. Fans aren’t the only ones feeling the catharsis of a successful ABS challenge, just check out how the Reds welcomed CB Bucknor to the new world of ABS earlier this season:

It’s not just CB Bucknor, though. Watch veteran catcher Salvador Perez demonstrate he really knows the zone in this game against the Braves:

MLB has already seen more than 1000 challenges less than a month into the season according to Jayson Stark. It’s a wild pace:

So is it a surprise that we’ve already seen more than 1,000 taps on those caps and helmets? In the first three weeks of this season, there were 1,082 ABS challenges of ball/strike calls that used to be a job for humans alone.

If this keeps up, we’re heading for nearly 10,000 challenges … and more than 5,000 calls overturned by the time this season is over. That’s about 200 counts that will get flipped every week.

Understand what that means:

Innings change on those flips. Games change. Whole seasons could have a different narrative, all because one high-impact strike turned into a ball — or vice versa.

It’s a wild pace, but consider the outcomes that have already changed — or could have changed. The Phillies are a dangerous hitting team and while the Cubs seemed to have Wednesday night’s affair squarely in hand with a 7-2 lead, I’m not sure any of us wanted to see Hoby Milner throw more pitches to figure out if he could get out of that inning unscathed. Besides, more pitches lead to more injuries and that’s about the last thing the Cubs can afford right now.

Many fans including myself were worried this would be anticlimactic. Watching Samuel Basallo notch the first-ever walkoff challenge, I just have to admit I have rarely been so wrong [VIDEO].

This Week in Mets Quotes: The Mets are gonna party like it’s the 1999 Season

Apr 23, 2026; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets shortstop Bo Bichette (19) celebrates with teammates after defeating the Minnesota Twins at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images | Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

Your 2026 New York Mets: OK, we won a game yesterday. If we win today, it’s called ‘two in a row.’ And if we win again tomorrow, it’s called a ‘winning streak’… It has happened before!

““He struck him out and the ball game is over! And for the first time in more than two weeks, the Mets can shake hands.” -Gary Cohen [New York Post]

I was dreamin’ when I wrote this

“That insidious 12-game losing streak has finally come to an end. Mets win it 3-2.” -Gary Cohen [New York Post]

Forgive me if it goes astray

“Swung on and missed, strike three! Put it in the books!” -Howie Rose [New York Post]

But when I woke up this morning

“For the first time in 15 days, the New York Mets have won a baseball game. They have ended their 12-game losing streak, and if this crowd is not exactly jubilant, they are more than simply relieved.” -Howie Rose [New York Post]

I coulda sworn it was Judgment Day

“It was good to get some wins [and] remember what that feels like.” -Bo Bichette [New York Post]

The sky was all purple

“It was a crazy game.’’ -Carlos Mendoza [New York Post]

There were people runnin’ everywhere

“Winning games in the big leagues is really hard. Good teams fight, no matter the ebbs and flows.” -Bo Bichette [New York Post]

Tryin’ to run from my destruction

“[Peterson, Manaea, and Myers have] been saving us.’’ -Carlos Mendoza [New York Post]

You know I didn’t even care

“The desire to help a new team and the desire to just perform at the level you know you can perform at — I don’t know if any of that was weighing on me, but I definitely still need to get better. I’ll make adjustments and get to the player I need to be.” -Bo Bichette [MLB]

‘Cause they say

“I think [Bichette’s] been looking for that moment, especially here at home. Meaningful for him to do it in front of our fan base.” -Carlos Mendoza [MLB]

2000, zero, zero, party over

“Today, I felt good but like I said, I’ve got to show up tomorrow and do it again.” -Bo Bichette [MLB]

Oops, out of time

“You’re always worried, but you also trust those guys [in the bullpen]. Once Devin got to the mound, that’s what I told him. He got the job done.” -Carlos Mendoza [The Athletic]

So tonight I’m gonna party like it’s 1999

“Oh, fuck.” -Huascar Brazobán thought [The Athletic]

“The messaging there was: If it’s tied, you go back out. If we take the lead, Devin’s in the game. I speak Spanish. I need to make sure he gets the message.” -Carlos Mendoza [The Athletic]

“They told me clearly. I stayed on autopilot and just went out there. Really, it was my bad.” -Huascar Brazobán [The Athletic]

“I felt bad and a little embarrassed that I didn’t fully pay attention to what was going on. Luckily, I was able to get that out.” -Huascar Brazobán [The Athletic]

“Whenever I have to miss games, it’s super disappointing. It sucks to be on the side, but I’ll be there with them, cheering them on and probably just as nervous as every fan out there as well.” -Francisco Lindor [MLB]

“He’s going to be down quite a bit here. I don’t think we’re anticipating something like we knew right away with Juan that it was kind of like the best-case scenario and it was going to be on the short side of things. I don’t think we’re dealing with the same thing here.” -Carlos Mendoza [MLB]

“This kills me not being on the field, but I trust the trainers and I know they have good care here, and I’ll be back. I’ll be back hopefully sooner rather than later.” -Francisco Lindor [MLB]

No More Magic: Mariners at Cardinals Series Preview

HOUSTON, TEXAS - APRIL 18: Jordan Walker #18 of the St. Louis Cardinals reacts with teammates after defeating the Houston Astros in the game at Daikin Park on April 18, 2026 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Kenneth Richmond/Getty Images) | Getty Images

We’re a week away from the end of the first month of the season, and the Mariners still haven’t found their groove. The walk-off win on Wednesday afternoon was a nice way to escape a sweep at the hands of the A’s, but it wrapped up a disappointing 3-3 homestand against AL West foes. Thankfully, no one else in the division has been running away in the standings. Everyone is still bunched together, which means the projections and playoff odds are largely unchanged from the start of the season. The other bit of optimism comes from Seattle’s underlying performance; the team has underperformed its Pythagorean record by two wins and their base runs record by three wins. They’ve been the “unluckiest” team in the majors by both those measures.

GameTimeMariners StarterCardinals StarterMariners Win%Cardinals Win%
Game 1Friday, April 24 | 5:15 pmRHP George KirbyRHP Andre Pallante55.9%44.1%
Game 2Saturday, April 25 | 11:15 amRHP Bryan WooLHP Matthew Liberatore58.3%41.7%
Game 3Sunday, April 26 | 11:15 amRHP Emerson HancockRHP Michael McGreevy49.1%50.9%
*Game odds courtesy of FanGraphs
OverviewCardinalsMarinersEdge
Batting (wRC+)96 (10th in NL)113 (2nd in AL)Mariners
Fielding (FRV)21 (3rd)-29 (12th)Cardinals
Starting Pitching (FIP-)107 (13th)100 (7th)Mariners
Bullpen (FIP-)90 (3rd)97 (10th)Cardinals
2025 stats

The Cardinals are in the initial stages of a major transition for the organization. Chaim Bloom took over as president of baseball operations this offseason and quickly traded away a bunch of high priced veterans. Gone are Nolan Arenado, Sonny Gray, Willson Contreras, and Brendan Donovan. There was already a small core of young players already contributing in the majors, but the seemingly endless pipeline of talent coming through St. Louis’s farm system has dried up over the last few years. A lot of their recent top prospects have failed to make much of an impact in the big leagues, which is one of the root causes of this current rebuilding cycle.

PlayerPositionBatsPAK%BB%ISOwRC+
JJ Wetherholt (MiLB)2BL49614.7%14.5%0.203154
Iván HerreraDHR45218.6%9.5%0.180137
Alec Burleson1BL54614.5%7.1%0.169124
Jordan WalkerRFR39631.8%7.3%0.09166
Nolan Gorman3BL40233.8%11.7%0.16588
Masyn WinnSSR53719.0%6.3%0.11091
Nathan ChurchLFL6527.7%4.6%0.07146
Pedro PagésCR38927.5%4.9%0.13377
Victor Scott IICFL46324.0%9.1%0.08076

Most of that young talent still on the Cardinals roster resides in their lineup. JJ Wetherholt, their first round pick in the 2024 draft, made his major league debut on Opening Day and represents a significant piece of the team’s future. The most impactful development has been the early season breakout from Jordan Walker. A former top prospect who has really struggled to establish himself in the big leagues, he’s looking like he’s finally put it all together this year. He’s still swinging and missing a ton, but he’s elevating all of his loud contact and has already blasted eight home runs. Iván Herrera and Alec Burleson are two solid everyday regulars that complete the backbone of the Cardinals lineup. The rest of the group is pretty questionable at the plate, though both Masyn Winn and Victor Scott II are defensive stalwarts. 

Probable Pitchers 

Updated Stuff+ Explainer 

PitcherIPK%BB%HR/FB%GB%ERAFIP
Andre Pallante162.215.5%8.7%17.2%59.1%5.314.68
George Kirby12626.1%5.5%12.8%44.1%4.213.37
2025 stats
PitchUsage vRHBUsage vLHBVelocityStuff+Whiff+BIP+xwOBA
Four-seam26.7%61.7%94.595641390.370
Sinker25.9%0.7%95.0971011140.281
Curveball10.9%17.1%78.2100129890.217
Slider36.5%20.4%87.4931021100.293
2025 stats

Andre Pallante is a groundball specialist who has carved out a nice role as an innings-eating back-end starter in St. Louis. He doesn’t strike anyone out, walks a few too many, but gets away with it by inducing a ton of contact on the ground. His four-seam fastball is super weird. He throws from a really high slot and you’d expect a ton of carry from that pitch at the top of the zone. Instead, it’s arrow straight and drops a lot like his sinker. It has the highest groundball rate of any four-seamer in baseball. It’s almost as if he has two versions of his sinker, one that has a bit of armside run (like a traditional sinker) and one that doesn’t (his four-seamer).

PitcherIPK%BB%HR/FB%GB%ERAFIP
Matthew Liberatore151.218.8%6.2%10.1%37.4%4.214.03
Bryan Woo186.227.1%4.9%12.8%40.8%2.943.47
2025 stats
PitchUsage vRHBUsage vLHBVelocityStuff+Whiff+BIP+xwOBA
Four-seam31.9%17.0%93.985571020.370
Sinker7.5%27.3%94.09546720.418
Cutter11.0%8.2%90.289641120.401
Changeup15.5%0.0%88.47957900.344
Curveball17.4%9.7%77.41211031110.194
Slider16.7%37.8%86.410496840.296
2025 stats

Once upon a time, Matthew Liberatore was one of the Cardinals’ top pitching prospects. His development stalled out once he reached the big leagues and St. Louis actually tried to use him as a high leverage reliever for a while back in 2024. Back in the rotation last year, he had a great start to the season but wore down during the summer. It was his best showing in the big leagues and a stepping stone to continue growing this year. He has a wide arsenal but his big curveball is the only standout pitch. His command is good enough, and repertoire varied enough, that he can keep opposing batters off balance, but his stuff isn’t dominant enough to rack up a ton of strikeouts. 

PitcherIPK%BB%HR/FB%GB%ERAFIP
Michael McGreevy95.214.5%5.0%11.5%47.3%4.424.27
Emerson Hancock9016.6%8.1%15.2%43.0%4.905.08
2025 stats
PitchUsage vRHBUsage vLHBVelocityStuff+Whiff+BIP+xwOBA
Four-seam19.7%40.9%93.081109730.407
Sinker62.7%2.8%91.798531120.275
Cutter3.5%18.7%88.68063680.365
Changeup1.0%20.9%88.076961100.316
Curveball13.1%16.7%79.69154800.358
Sweeper50.0%7.7%83.79479880.314
2025 stats

Michael McGreevy is a throw back to a bygone era. He’s a kitchen sink righty with a fastball that barely touches 91 mph and seven different pitches in his arsenal. He’s got excellent command of his entire repertoire and locates well on both sides of the plate. That makes at-bats against him pretty uncomfortable for opposing batters, though none of his pitches are that dominant individually. Instead, batters are more likely to mishit any contact they make because any given pitch could break in or out, up or down. Like the other two starters previewed above, the Cardinals fantastic defense is capable of turning a lot of that contact into outs, which makes his low strikeout rate less of a liability.


The Big Picture:

TeamW-LW%Games BehindRun DiffRecent Form
Rangers13-120.520+15L-L-W-L-W
Athletics13-120.520-15W-L-W-W-L
Angels12-140.4621.5+10L-L-L-L-W
Mariners11-150.4232.5+2W-W-L-L-W
Astros10-160.3853.5-13L-L-W-L-W

The Rangers and Athletics head into this weekend tied atop the AL West standings, and those two division rivals meet up for a three-game series in Texas this weekend. The Angels have continued to be entertaining to watch, though they’ve slipped down the standings after losing back-to-back series to the Padres and Blue Jays; they’ll play in Kansas City this weekend. The Astros won their series against the Guardians earlier this week but still bring up the rear in the standings. Houston hosts the Yankees this weekend.

Cam Schlittler says heckling 'not too bad' as he pitches at Fenway Park for first time against Red Sox

BOSTON — Pitching at Fenway Park for the New York Yankees, Cam Schlittler didn’t face the type of abuse he was subjected to online.

Schlittler limited the team he rooted for growing up to four hits over eight innings, and the Yankees rallied twice to beat the Boston Red Sox 4-2 for a three-game sweep and a season-high six-game winning streak.

A Red Sox fan who grew up in Walpole and played college ball at Northeastern, Schlittler told the New York Post ahead of the game that he and his family had received death threats.

With Cody Charneski, a Yankees producer of digital and social content, joining him in the bullpen for his warmup, Schlittler said his reception from Fenway fans in person wasn’t too out of line.

“There was a couple things but, again, Cody is out there with the camera, so I think that’ll limit that,” Schlitter said, “Not too bad. I think you overestimate how many genuine people are out there compared to online. So it’s a good feeling. I had a lot of buddies out there watching.”

Schlitter’s family and friends were noticeably excited when he struck out his final batter, Jarren Duran, with his 96th pitch.

Schlittler (3-1) allowed two runs — one earned — over eight innings while striking out five, walking one and lowering his ERA to 1.77.

It was the longest outing in 20 regular-season starts for the 25-year-old right-hander, who pitched eight shutout innings to beat the Red Sox at Yankee Stadium in last year’s AL Wild Card Series.

“He’s got a great demeanor about him. He’s very even keeled and very adaptable, but also competitive and very confident. All great traits,” Yankees manager Aaron Boone said. “He’s always looking forward to his day out there. He’s a very confident guy and I think it’s meaningful for him to come back to where he grew up.”

Schlittler tossed a ball to a fan in the front-row of the right field seats before heading to the bullpen. Another fan in close proximity to the bullpen held up a yellow sign that stated, “Walpole Loves Schlittler.”

“For the most part, really respectful,” Schlittler said.

The public-address announcement of Schlitter as New York’s starting pitcher drew a mixture of cheers and boos. Cody Bellinger, whose two-run single as a pinch-hitter put the Yankees ahead a three-run seventh, was impressed with how Schlitter responded this week.

“I think he handled it great,” Bellinger said. “He’s such a young kid, and this rivalry, it is —- it’s different when you wear these two uniforms and he’s just done a tremendous job pitching and handling everything that comes with it.”

Schlitter struck out 12 against the Red Sox in the postseason game that ended Boston’s 2025 season.

“There were plenty of distractions to be had before his playoff start last year, and he obviously handled that really well,” Boone said.

“He was throwing hard that day,” Red Sox manager Alex Cora recalled before the series finale. “From pitch one, we had to be almost perfect. We didn’t put too much pressure on him.”

Yankees vs Astros Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's MLB Game

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The New York Yankees and Houston Astros begin a weekend series tonight, and a situational angle has provided some value.

My Yankees vs. Astros predictions and MLB picks have us backing the underdog on Friday, April 24. 

Who will win Yankees vs Astros today: Astros +1.5 -133


Breaking character here by not being a huge situational bettor, but this one is overwhelming. The New York Yankees are riding their biggest high of the young season, having swept the Boston Red Sox in Fenway. 

This was capped by an emotional comeback win in the late innings, too. Now they immediately hit the road to Texas with no rest. It's enough to push me in the direction of the Houston Astros.

Will Warren has been solid this season, supported by an 84th percentile K% and an 85th percentile walk rate. His 3.68 xERA confirms the surface numbers are legit, but he simply isn't the type of arm you should be spotting a run and a half against.

His bottom 25th percentile hard-hit rate looms large against an Astros lineup that is top five in such metrics at home. On the other side, Astros hurler Lance McCullers does one thing very well: get chased. That should play nicely against an already swing-happy Yankees team that's a bit fatigued. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: Will Warren's groundball % ranks in the 77th percentile at 50.7%, making him one of the better groundball inducers in the league

Yankees vs Astros Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 +127

This is an appetizing price given the narratives outlined above. I made the fair even money, so I'll take some Under. This is basically a bet that McCullers' pending negative regression holds off for just a bit longer, and I think it will.

McCullers' 32% chase rate should yield some success, as I mentioned above. Beyond the situational aspect, the Yankees are starting to revert to some of the same things we've seen out of them over the past five years: a lot of swing and miss.

They have now climbed to third overall in the league-wide whiff rate. I'll back McCullers to lean into that and Will Warren to manage the game enough to keep this Under.

Chris Hatfield's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 8-6, +1.92 units
  • Over/Under bets: 9-6, +3.0 units

Yankees vs Astros odds

  • Moneyline: Yankees -144 | Astros +122
  • Run line: Yankees -1.5 (+108) | Astros +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-130) | Under 8.5 (-130)

Yankees vs Astros trend

The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.65 Units / 27% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Astros.

How to watch Yankees vs Astros and game info

LocationDaikin Park, Houston, TX
DateFriday, April 24, 2026
First pitch8:10 p.m. ET
TVYES, SCHN
Yankees starting pitcherWill Warren
(2-0, 2.49 ERA)
Astros starting pitcherLance McCullers Jr.
(1-1, 6.20 ERA)

Yankees vs Astros latest injuries

Yankees vs Astros weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire: Josh Jung is on a heater, Payton Tolle arrives, closer chaos remains

Welcome to Waiver Wire Watch, our weekly fantasy baseball waiver wire guide. We'll be doing things a little differently this season, with Eric Samulski publishing the initial waiver-wire article on Friday afternoon. Then James Schiano updates it every Sunday to make sure you get the most up-to-date information.

The premise of the article is pretty straightforward. We'll give you some recommended adds each week based on recent production or role changes. When we list a player, we'll list the category where we think he’ll be helpful or the quick reason he’s listed. We hope it helps you determine if the player fits what your team needs. Not every "trending" player will be a good addition for your specific roster.

To qualify for this list, a player needs to be UNDER 40% rostered in Yahoo! formats. We understand you may say, “These players aren’t available in my league,” and we can’t help you there. These players are available in over 60% of leagues and some in 98% of leagues, so they’re available in many places, and that can hopefully satisfy readers who play in all league types.

⚾️ Baseball is back on NBC: MLB returns to NBC and Peacock in 2026! In addition to becoming the exclusive home of Sunday Night Baseball, NBC Sports will broadcast MLB Sunday Leadoff, “Opening Day” and Labor Day primetime games, the first round of the MLB Draft, the entire Wild Card round of the postseason, and much more.

MLB: Cincinnati Reds at Minnesota Twins
Fantasy-relevant batting order notes from every MLB team.

Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Hitters

Miguel Vargas - 1B/3B, CWS (32% rostered)

(POWER SURGE, BREAKOUT POTENTIAL)

Miguel Vargas appeared in a few of Eric's columns in the preseason and then also in an article he posted last week onhitters who could be primed for hot streaks. Vargas is only hitting .193/.333/.434 this season, but he has home runs in three straight games and four home runs since April 16th. He's posting a 46% hard-hit rate and nearly 12% barrel rate while having just a 5.6% swinging strike rate (SwStr%). He doesn't chase outside of the zone and has improved his bat speed by over two mph this season. His groundball rate is up a bit from last year, but the quality of contact is good, and the swing decisions are elite. Considering he hit .267/.354/.436 in 45 games in the second half last year, he is maybe just starting to heat up a bit.

Mickey Moniak - OF, COL (29% rostered)

(REGULAR PLAYING TIME, POWER UPSIDE)

We've had Moniak on here a few times, and he was a hitter Eric covered in a few offseason articles. Last year, he posted his best season yet, and not just in surface-level stats. His bat speed increased, his barrel rate jumped to nearly 14%, his hard-hit rate was a career-high 45%, and he made more contact than he ever had before. He has plenty of power and hits in arguably the best offensive environment in the game. This season, he's hitting .286/.313/.651 with six home runs. He's pulling and lifting the ball more than he did last year and making far more contact in the zone. We don't know why he isn't rostered more. Another former top 100 prospect who's enjoying some success this season is Everson Pereira - OF, CWS (2% rostered), who is slashing .295/.373/.591 with three home runs, a 48.4% hard-hit rate, and a 16% barrel rate. All of that is exciting. However, he also has a 20% SwStr% and just a 65% contact rate overall. He will make enough contact in the zone to drive the ball into the gaps and over the fence, so he would have some extra value in OPS formats, but this batting average is going to come down hard. If you wanted to put in a small bid and ride the hot streak, we get it.

Ildemaro Vargas - 1B/2B, ARI (24% rostered)

(HOT STREAK, EVERYDAY JOB)

This is just a hot streak. We can all admit that. But it's also a hot streak we probably should stop ignoring. Vargas is a 34-year-old who has never posted a wRC+ over 94 in his career. Now, he has a .364/.382/.697 slash line with five home runs. That's already one home run off his career high. He also has a career-high 39% hard-hit rate and 8.1% barrel rate, which probably has less to do with his exit velocities changing and more to do with his groundball rate decreasing by nearly 16% and his line drive rate increasing by 21%. Oh, and he's contacting the ball way more out in front of the plate. So even if this is unlikely to stick, it's connected to a clear change in approach, so why not ride it out until it fizzles?

Dalton Rushing - C, LAD (25% rostered)

(HOT STREAK, POWER UPSIDE)

Another catcher we know people have been rushing to add, and we get it. Rushing is hitting .419 with seven home runs in 10 games. However, we have some real playing time concerns. He can't DH because they have an MVP there, and he can't play 1B because they have a Hall of Famer there, so Rushing is going to be the back-up catcher and maybe start a game at 1B/DH during the week when Shohei Ohtani pitches if they don't want him to hit. Rushing could be productive in that role, but he could also play just three times a week. Another option would be Gary Sanchez - C, MIL (6% rostered), who should be the near-every-day designated hitter in Milwaukee with Christian Yelich out, so that’s going to give him about a month of playing time. He has great power potential in that lineup and would be an elite two-catcher league option who can even be considered in one-catcher formats.

Josh Jung - 3B, TEX (23% rostered)

(HOT STREAK, POWER UPSIDE)

Over the last two weeks (13 games), Josh Jung is 4th in baseball in wRC+ and is slashing .383/.455/.745 with three home runs and 10 RBI. Over that stretch, he is also 4th in OPS and has a 57% hard-hit rate. He wildly only has one barrel and is pulling the ball just 24% of the time, so he's just spraying line drives from gap-to-gap and then sometimes turning on a pitch enough to leave the yard. If he maintains that approach, it should be a good one for batting average and contact, but not keep him around 15 home runs. I'll still take that for a former highly-regarded prospect who's hitting in the middle of a decent lineup.

Ryan Jeffers - C, MIN (17% rostered)

(PLAYING TIME INCREASE, POWER UPSIDE)

Jeffers was our favorite catcher waiver add of last week, so we're recommending him again, and we'd rather have him than Rushing. He appeared in Eric’s article last week on hitters to buybecause he has a 50% hard-hit rate with better-than-league-average contact rates and swinging strike rates. That's a combination we love. Of catchers who have at least 70 plate appearances this season, Jeffers ranks 4th in wRC+, 4th in barrel rate, 5th in OPS, 5th in average exit velocity, and 7th in average. He's just a really solid all-around player.

Oswald Peraza - 1B/2B/3B/SS, LAA (16% rostered)

(PROSPECT PEDIGREE, BATTING AVERAGE UPSIDE)

Peraza is a former top 100 prospect who is finally geting a chance to play every day on a new team. He's responded by hitting .294/.360/.529 with four home runs and three steals in 23 games. He also has just eight RBIs despite all of that, and that gives you a sense of the counting stats concerns in this Angels' lineup. He has a solid 39% hard-hit rate and seems to have slowed his swing down to make more consistent contact, which isn't a bad idea. You could be looking at a guy who finishes with a .260 batting average, 10 home runs, and 15 steals. That's not such a bad thing.

Brayan Rocchio - 2B/SS, CLE (15% rostered)

(PLAYING TIME OPPORTUNITY, SWING CHANGE?)

Rocchio is an interesting case because he was never a top prospect, but he was always a well-regarded prospect. He hasn't had much success in his MLB career to date, but he's just 25 years old so maybe he's starting to figure things out. There are no major changes that he's unlocking here; everything from exit velocities to batted ball direction to contact rates is pretty similar to what he's done before. What we do see is that his swing path appeared to be flatter this year, as is his barrel at the point of contact, and he's making contact with an angle more towards his pull side. There's been no meaningful change to his fly ball or groundball rate, but he's swinging and missing less, so maybe that has something to do with it. Over the last two weeks, he's hitting .317/.378/.512 with two home runs, nine RBI, and one steal. Might not hurt to see where this goes. In deeper formats, you could look to his teammate Daniel Scheemann - 2B/3B/SS/OF, CLE (16% rostered), who is another multi-position Guardians player to be on a hot streak. Over the last two weeks, he's slashing .433/.553/.700 with two home runs and nine RBI. He's played in two fewer games than Rocchio over that stretch, so he won't have as much time playing, and he swings and misses more, which will lead to more batting average fluctuation. However, he also hits the ball harder and looks to pull way more often. This feels like just a hot streak to ride out.

Moises Ballesteros - C, CHC (15% rostered)

(PLAYING TIME OPPORTUNITY, POWER UPSIDE)

As we mentioned last week, this is a bit tricky because Ballesteros is only catcher-eligible in formats like Yahoo with lower games played thresholds. That being said, he is the Cubs’ DH against all right-handed pitchers, and his quality of contact is off the charts, with a 57% hard-hit rate and 14.3% barrel rate in the early going. If you have a UTIL spot that you can use for just a good, pure hitter, and especially if you're in a daily moves league where you can shift Ballesteros to the bench against lefties, he's worth a look.

Dominic Smith - 1B, ATL (13% rostered)

(REGULAR PLAYING TIME, HOT STREAK)

As we said last week, we have no idea if this will stick for Dom Smith, but he's hitting .362/.387/.603 with four home runs and 17 RBI in 19 games, so we can't ignore this. He flattened his swing and made his bat head a little less steep at the point of contact, which has led to a drop in his launch angle this season. However, there's an argument that it has also allowed him to create more backspin because his barrel rate has more than doubled, and his average exit velocity is up two mph. He is also playing in a hitter-friendly park where he doesn't need to pull the ball to get it out of the park. He will sit versus lefties, and this hot streak may end at any point, but nobody is pushing him out of this job, so you should run with it while the hot streak is going.

Nolan Arenado - 3B, ARI (12% rostered)

(REGULAR PLAYING TIME, POWER SURGE)

I know, I know, Arenado is old and "washed." But the 35-year-old is playing every day in Arizona and slashing .262/.284/.429 with four home runs and 14 RBI in 23 games. His hard-hit rate and exit velocity are plummeting, but he's taken a more opposite field approach and steppened his barrel at the point of contact, which might be allowing him to drive the gaps a bit more. He's also being far more patient, with a 5% drop in swing rate, so he may just be going up there with a very specific plan. This is more of a deep league play, but getting every day at-bats from a player who is just solid can be really valuable.

Casey Schmitt - 1B/2B/3B, SF (7% rostered)

(REGULAR PLAYING TIME, HOT STREAK COMING)

Schmitt was in some of Eric's off-season columns because he put up some intriguing numbers in a small sample size last year. The decision to option Bryce Eldridge to Triple-A meant that Schmitt would get a chance to be the 1B/DH complement to Rafael Devers to start the year. Schmitt has taken advantage of that, hitting .282/.325/.465 with two home runs, eight RBI, and one steal. Things look good under the hood too. He has a 52% hard-hit rate, 13% barrel rate, and is looking to pull the ball a little more than he did last year. His park isn't going to be great for power, but he hit 12 home runs in 348 plate appearances last year, so 15 home runs should be very doable if he continues to play regularly, and he seems every bit a .260 hitter at this level. With that and multi-position eligibility, he has some value.

Hyeseong Kim - 2B/SS/LAD, LAD (6% rostered)

(BATTING AVERAGE UPSIDE, STOLEN BASE UPSIDE

We're a bit surprised Kim isn't rostered in more leagues. He's started four of the last five games for the Dodgers and appears like he will be the regular shortstop against right-handed pitching until Mookie Betts is back, which might be a few more weeks. Kim isn't hitting the ball overly hard, so there won't be much power here, and he's taken way more of an opposite-field approach, but he's also making far more contact in the zone and chasing outside of the zone way less than we saw last year. He seems to be focused on just driving line drives gap-to-gap and then looking to steal bases when he gets on. We're OK with that, and we'd probably rather have him in the short-term than Sam Antonacci - 2B/3B/OF, CWS (6% rostered). The White Sox called up Antonacci, and he has gone 5-for-27 in his first eight games while consistently sitting against left-handed pitching. He's been a prospect riser over the past year and made a name for himself with Team Italy in the World Baseball Classic. In the minors, he exhibited an extremely patient approach with one of the lowest swing rates in a small sample at Triple-A. He has a plus hit tool that allows him to make contact on the few pitches he does decide to swing at, but he has never been a huge power hitter. He's still making lots of contact in the big leagues, but pitchers are not throwing him strikes, and they're getting him to swing outside of the zone, which is leading to fewer hits than if he were a bit more patient. Considering he was so patient in the minors, he should figure it out when he stops pressing, but he is definitely pressing right now.

Ronny Mauricio - 2B/3B, NYM (4% rostered)

(PLAYING TIME OPPORTUNITY, POWER UPSIDE)

It looks like Mauricio is going to be the shortstop while Francisco Lindor is sidelined. This is a former top prospect who was hitting .293/.349/.638 with six home runs in Triple-A. There is plenty of power in his bat, and he has intriguing raw tools. Maybe this is the year that he can put it all together? I think it's at least a month before we see Lindor again.

Leody Taveras - OF, BAL (4% rostered)

(REGULAR PLAYING TIME, COUNTING STATS UPSIDE)

If you're in deeper formats than Taveras and Nathan Church - OF, STL (1% rostered) are two outfielders you can consider adding. Over the last two weeks, Taveras is 16th among qualified outfielders in wRC+, and is hitting .310/.383/.500 with two home runs, 11 RBI, and one steal. He's been around long enough that we know he can be a solid fantasy producer in all categories when he's playing and playing well. It may not last, but that's fine. In his last 10 games, Church is hitting .348/.429/.522 with one home run and three steals. The rookie is going to have some ups and downs, but he was a good hitter in the minors last season with tremendous contact ability and good swing decisions. I'm not sure how high the upside is, but that's what keeps him as a deeper league option.

Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Pitchers

Justin Wrobleski- SP, LAD (37% rostered)

Wrobleski appears to be in the Dodgers' rotation right now and was a guy Eric was high on this spring. He's not missing any bats right now with just a 6.2% SwStr% and 10% strikeout rate in three starts, but that shouldn't last. He's unlikely to be a HUGE strikeout asset, but he keeps his four-seamer upstairs and his breaking balls down, and that should help in many formats. He's also likely to work deep into games and pick up wins. It's not the upside of the next guy we're going to take about, but it's safe and solid.

Payton Tolle - SP, BOS (36% rostered)

With Sonny Gray (hamstring) on the IL, Payton Tolle was called up to face the Yankees on Thursday, and he struck out 11 batters while allowing one run on three hits in six innings. The 18 whiffs he racked up were second on the night, trailing only Jacob deGrom. He showed off a new sinker that he threw mostly to lefties, but was able to pound the strike zone with, which set up the four-seamer up high and the cutter away. He leaned on his curve more this year against righties, and while the command was a bit all over the place, he did keep it low, which is great, and it missed plenty of bats. Tolle is still evolving when it comes to his breaking balls, but he has three fastball variations that he likes and one of the better four-seam fastballs in the minors. The Red Sox just can't send him back down if he looks like this. We'd add him over basically only other waiver wire starting pitchers and even over guys like Noah Schultz from last week.

Bryan Baker - RP, TB (30% rostered)

No, Bryan Baker is not perfect, but he is the clear ninth-inning guy in Tampa Bay and has three saves in his last five appearances, despite allowing some runs. He has some of the best Stuff+ grades in the Rays' bullpen, thanks to a strong slider and changeup, and has more runway now since Edwin Uceta - RP, TB (19% rostered) suffered a setback with his shoulder on his rehab assignment in Triple-A. Garrett Cleavinger may come back to take some save chances away when lefties are up, but the rest seems to be Baker's job.

Louis Varland, RP, TOR (29% rostered)

Blue Jays manager John Schneider said he would talk to Jeff Hoffman about his role and how they can fix whatever is going wrong. It seems pretty clear that Toronto wants Hoffman to close, but it also seems clear that they know he needs to fix some things. That could lead to some lower-leverage innings in the short-term, which would mean that Varland would step into the closer's role. We don't know how long this will last, but Varland has been tremendous this season, so it's worth a gamble. Just don't drop Hoffman.

Spencer Arrighetti - SP, HOU (28% rostered)

We know that Arrighetti has a rotaiton spot with Hunter Brown likely to be out for at least a month, and very likely more, and Cristian Javier and Tatsuya Imai both are also dealing with injuries. He looked good in his first start because his curveball was crushing, but then he got just one whiff on his curve in his second start with a 46% strike rate. That inconsistency has always made him a risk to ratios and also have the nerves from him ending last season with an elbow injury and starting this year delayed because of injury as well. When that curve is on, he's electric. When it's off, he doesn't have enough, so don't treat him as a MUST hold player.

Joel Kuhnel - RP, ATH (26% rostered)

I mean, Kuhnel has four saves this season to go along with a 2.35 ERA in 7 2/3 innings, so that's the reason you'd add him. However, he also has just a 10% strikeout rate, so there is likely no way this can last as a closer who simply can't miss bats. You can make a small add now to grab some saves while you can, but the arm we like longer-term is Jack Perkins - RP, ATH (1% rostered). He's also already gotten some two-inning saves since being recalled from Triple-A, and he has the chance to turn into a Mason Miller - lite; a starter with good stuff who could likely turn into a much better closer than starter. If you have the space, we'd stash him.

Brad Keller - RP, PHI (18% rostered)

It's hard to get saves when your team isn't winning any games, but we think the Phillies are going to get out of this rut, and we had clear word from Todd Zolecki of MLB.com that Keller will get the bulk of the save chances while Jhoan Duran is out with an oblique injury. The word "bulk" may hold weight here as Orion Kerkering (2% rostered) and José Alvarado (3% rostered) could logically get in the mix for saves as well. Alvarado has the most ninth-inning experience of the trio and misses the most bats. He could be a sneaky add, but we have to go with this firm of an indication that Keller is about to become the de facto closer in Philadelphia.

Enyel De Los Santos - RP, HOU (13% rostered)

Josh Hader is probably at least three weeks away from returning, and there's also a real chance that his shoulder injury remains a problem all season. It seems like De Los Santos will get the majority of save chances when right-handed hitters are up, and that makes him interesting. We don't think he's a particularly elite reliever or somebody who is going to "win you your league," but maybe you snag a few saves, and he doesn't torpedo your ratios. It's worth a gamble.

Chase Dollander - SP, COL (13% rostered)

We've been looking for the guy who can "defeat Coors Field," and maybe we found him. Dollander was an incredibly high draft pick, and we know he's talented, but now we're seeing that come to fruition. He's throwing a little harder this season and with better command of his fastball. He also turned his slider into a harder, gyro slider, which is probably better for Coors Field. We know he will always come with risk because Coors Field is a brutal place to pitch in, but the talent is real, the approach is good, and they are using an opener for him, so he avoids the best hitters in a lineup one extra time and also has a better chance at getting a win. It might be time to take a chance.

Jack Kochanowicz - SP, LAA (7% rostered)

Kochanowicz has raised his arm angle from 30° to 37°. The four-seamer has very little change in its shape and is now actually steeper because of the higher slot, and the sinker has a bit less drop than it did last year. A bigger change for Kochanowicz has been that his changeup usage is up to 27% overall from 14% last year. His usage against lefties, specifically, has gone from 20% to 33.6%, and the swinging strike rate has improved to 22%. That could be because the pitch has over two inches more arm-side run and over two inches more drop while still being thrown over 90 mph. That’s an interesting pairing with his sinker, which is now not sinking as much at the higher arm angle. That might be part of the reason why Kochanowicz is throwing the changeup over 22% of the time to righties after using it under 6% of the time to them last year. Kochanowicz also tweaked his slider, adding four inches of drop and sweep while keeping the same velocity. Against righties specifically, he’s now using it 6% more in two-strike counts and has a solid 25% PutAway Rate, which measures how often a two-strike pitch results in a strikeout. The command of that pitch is not great, and he’s throwing it up in the zone far too often, but it’s a new shape, so you have to assume he will get more comfortable with it. These changes put Kochanowicz firmly on the streaming radar when I would not have trusted him in any matchup last year.

Connor Prielipp - SP, MIN (5% rostered)

Prielipp was called up on Wednesday to take Mick Abel's spot in the rotation, and he looked pretty good against the Mets. Prielipp has a 96 mph four-seam fastball with poor extension but good vertical movement that he kept up in the zone really well. He also did a good job of burying his slider low in the zone to both righties and lefties. He loves that pitch, and it makes sense; it's really good. In this outing, his change and curve command weren’t there, but the curve is a new pitch, and it was his MLB debut, so maybe there were some nerves. We like the approach, and the pitch mix SHOULD be enough, so we'd definitely be adding him.

Ben Brown - RP CHC (4% rostered)

Closer chaos continues with Caleb Thielbar now likely joining Daniel Palencia on the IL for the Cubs. Brown had been working in multiple innings, but the Cubs may have no choice but to see what he can do at the end of games. He has looked really good as a reliever, and there's a good chance that he takes this job and becomes a really solid closer.

Peter Lambert - SP, HOU (3% rostered)

Lambert is interesting. In his two starts, he has shown a 95 mph four-seam fastball with good vertical movement that he keeps up in the zone. He has also shown the ability to keep the changeup low/away from lefties, while the cutter looks like a decent pitch. He’s struck out eight in both of his starts, which matches his career total of eight-strikeout games from his four seasons with the Rockies. It's unclear if this production will stick, but we like the four-seam, cutter, change combination, and the breaking balls are just fine. He's now on the streaming radar.

Gus Varland - RP, WAS (3% rostered)

We like Varland better than Beeter in the Nationals' bullpen. He's 96 mph with the fastball and has an 11/3 K/BB ratio in 9 1/3 innings this season. We think he's a good bet to emerge as the closer in Washington, for whatever that's worth.

Pirates vs Brewers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers have been two of the best offensive teams in the majors, both ranking Top-8 in runs per game.

My Pirates vs. Brewers predictions see the offenses doing enough to clear a low total.

Let’s break down why with my daily MLB picks for Friday,April 24.

Who will win Pirates vs Brewers today: Pirates moneyline (-130)

Brandon Woodruff is not generating many whiffs or strikeouts and he’s not keeping the ball on the ground. His current 30.9% ground ball rate is the lowest of any season in his major league career.

Woodruff’s barrel rate against lefties is also more than three times as high as righties.

None of that is ideal against a Pittsburgh Pirates team that ranks 10th in homers and features a ton of potent left-handed bats, including Oneil Cruz, Brandon Lowe, Bryan Reynolds, and Ryan O’Hearn.

Look for the Pirates to give Paul Skenes some run support en route to victory.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Brandon Lowe, Bryan Reynolds, and Ryan O’Hearn all own wOBAs above .400 against Brandon Woodruff’s pitch mix this season.

Pirates vs Brewers Over/Under pick: Over 7.0 (-110)

The pitchers are going to have their hands full. Woodruff’s struggles keeping the ball on the ground could lead to problems, especially facing several hard-hitting lefties who profile well against his stuff.

This is not the Pirates offense of old times. They rank seventh in stolen bases, eighth in runs, 8th in OBP, and 10th in homers. They are balanced and can hurt pitchers in a lot of different ways.

Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Brewers sit third in OPS vs. right-handed pitching at home. While Skenes should be able to prevent the Brew Crew from a ceiling performance, they don’t need one with such a low total.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets:4-3, +0.18 units
  • Over/Under bets:2-5, -3.62 units

Pirates vs Brewers odds

  • Moneyline: Pittsburgh (-135) | Milwaukee (+115)
  • Run line: Pittsburgh -1.5 (+130) | Milwaukee +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.0 (-110) | Under 7.0 (-110)

Pirates vs Brewers trend

The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+7.85 Units / 14% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Pirates vs. Brewers.

How to watch Pirates vs Brewers and game info

LocationAmerican Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
DateFriday, April 24, 2026
First pitch7:40 p.m. ET
TVSNP, Brewers.TV
Pirates starting pitcherPaul Skenes
(3-1, 3.27 ERA)
Brewers starting pitcherBrandon Woodruff
(2-0, 3.42 ERA)

Pirates vs Brewers latest injuries

Pirates vs Brewers weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Yankees Birthday of the Day: Carlos Beltrán

NEW YORK, NY - JULY 24: Carlos Beltran #36 of the New York Yankees celebrates after scoring on single by Starlin Castro in the sixth inning against the San Francisco Giants at Yankee Stadium on July 24, 2016 in the Bronx borough of New York City. (Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Carlos Beltrán only spent a small part near the end of his career with the Yankees. However, for as short as his tenure was, there was always something about him in pinstripes that felt natural. Maybe it was that he had been connected to the team before during his prior times on the free agent market. Maybe it was just that he grew up a Yankees’ fan and had a desire to play for the team.

When the average baseball fans thinks of Beltrán’s now Hall of Fame career, they probably won’t remember him as a Yankee, but he did have an interesting little stint in the Bronx.

Carlos Ivan Beltrán
Born: April 24, 1977 (Manati, Puerto Rico)
Yankees Tenure: 2014-16

Carlos Beltrán was born and raised in baseball-loving Puerto Rico as the second of four children. He fell in love with baseball and, as mentioned, the New York Yankees. However, after a sterling amateur career, he was selected by the Kansas City Royals in the second round of the 1995 MLB Draft.

Beltrán got off to a very slow start to his minor league career, before breaking out and then rocketing through Kansas City’s system in 1998. After starting the year in High-A ball, he impressed and earned several promotions, including all the way to the big leagues for a September cup of coffee.

The following season, Beltrán got the Royals’ starting center field job to start the year and he more than made the most of it. In 1999, he hit .293/.337/.454 while also playing good defense out in center. He was rewarded with the AL Rookie of the Year for the season, receiving all but two of the first-place votes.

The 2000 season was a downer after ‘99, as Beltrán dealt with injury and a tiff with the Kansas City organization as a result of the missed time. However, he rebounded in 2001 and began to develop into a star. From 2001-03, he OPSed .876 and put up 16.7 fWAR.

As the calendar turned to 2004, Beltrán was set to become a free agent following the season. He and the Royals had tried and failed to come to terms on a contract, with the outfielder making it clear that he wouldn’t take a hometown discount and wanted to play for a winner. After another hot start to that season, the Royals decided they had to move their star before losing him for nothing, and traded him to the Astros in June.

In Houston, Beltrán famously had one of the most impressive post-trade stretches ever. In 90 games with the Astros, he put up a 133 wRC+, while accruing 4.0 fWAR just in those months alone. Although they were only five games back, the Astros had been in last in the NL Central when they acquired Beltrán. From that day on, they went 54-36, including 23-7 from September on. That allowed them to win the NL Wild Card spot by just one game over the Giants. Appearing in the playoffs for the first time, Beltrán then OPSed 1.557 with eight homers in just two rounds as Houston advanced to the NLCS, where they fell to the Cardinals in seven.

Off the back of that, Beltrán hit the free agent market and eventually came to a deal with the Mets for seven years and $119 million. There were reports that the Yankees were his first choice and he even offered them a slight discount from the Mets’ offer, but the team had Bernie Williams, who had still been a good hitter in the previous seasons (even if his defense had faded). In retrospect, the Yankees should’ve taken up Beltrán, but I guess you might not have been able to fully predict Williams’ dramatic fall-off, with the team letting him go after 2006.

Over the course of his seven years in Queens, Beltrán was stellar. He hit .280/.369/.500 and was worth 31.1 rWAR or 29.3 fWAR, with switch-hit power ans superb defense.

However, there are also still a lot of Mets’ fans where if you mention his name, only one thing will be remembered. Yes, he was the batter who was caught looking to end Game 7 of the 2006 NLCS with the bases loaded.

Beltrán’s Mets tenure came to an end in 2011 when he was again subject of a midseason trade that brought them future ace Zack Wheeler (whose best years would not come in Queens). That one sent him to the Giants, and while he played well there, San Francisco missed the playoffs, as that era of the team only performed in even years.

After that season, he again became a free agent and joined the Cardinals on a two-year deal. Beltrán continued to produce there and got to play in the World Series for the first time with the 2013 Cardinals. However, he and St. Louis fell to the Red Sox.

Beltrán again hit the free agent market and this time did come to an agreement with the Yankees. Having lost Robinson Canó, the Yankees signed a bunch of other options instead, and Beltrán was one of those, inking a three-year deal to join Jacoby Ellsbury and Brian McCann on the new-look Yanks.

Beltrán’s debut season in the Bronx was a bit of a step back, as his 98 OPS+ was his worst in nearly a decade as New York missed the playoffs. However, he rebounded with a better 2015, helping the team return to the postseason. He was then one of very few Yankees to do anything on offense as they lost the AL Wild Card Game, getting shut out by Houston.

Beltrán’s best season with the team came in 2016. In 99 games, he OPSed .890 (133 wRC+) with 22 home runs, making his ninth and final All-Star team. However, the team was going nowhere and ended up decided to do a bit of a rebuild. The Yankees basically traded away anyone of value who was near free agency, and Beltrán ended up being one of those names.

At the trade deadline, he was sent to Texas for prospects Nick Green, Erik Swanson, and Dillon Tate. He was on the Rangers’ AL West winners, but they lost in the ALDS to the Blue Jays. After that season, he signed with the Astros in 2017, helping them win a World Series. That season would become known for something else, which we’ll get to.

Beltrán retired after 2017. He interviewed for the Yankees’ manager gig when Aaron Boone got it and eventually rejoined the Yankees as a consultant. Ahead of the 2020 season, he was then hired as the new skipper of the Mets, but he never would manage a game. That same winter, the details of the Astros’ sign-stealing scheme were reported, which took place in 2017, when Beltrán played there. The investigations into the scheme pinned a lot on Beltrán himself, and the Mets ended up letting him go before the season.

Since then, Beltrán has done a little bit of work for the YES Network and has had some front office roles back with the Mets. The sign-stealing scandal might have had a bit of an effect on his Hall of Fame prospects, but he was voted in this past winter on his fourth ballot and will be inducted later this summer.


See more of the “Yankees Birthday of the Day” series here.

Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB First Inning Predictions for Friday, April 24

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All 30 teams are in action on Friday, April 24, and I’ve got a trio of MLB picks for YRFI and NRFI bettors tonight.

My favorite NRFI bets start with a matchup between the Detroit Tigers and Cincinnati Reds and wrap up with the Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers.

Best NRFI/YRFI bets today

PickOdds
Tigers/Reds - NRFI-115
Twins/Rays - NRFI-125
Brewers/Pirates - NRFI-142

Tigers at Reds: NRFI (-115)

Both the Detroit Tigers and Cincinnati Reds rank below average in wOBA against left-handed pitching and first-inning scoring rate.

Detroit left-hander Framber Valdez has been sharp in four of five starts (3.30 ERA, 3.28 xERA), while Cincy starter Andrew Abbott's 5.84 ERA and 1.74 WHIP are well above his respective career marks of 3.42 and 1.24 through his first 75 starts — so he’s set for statistical correction going forward.

  • Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: CINR, DSN

Twins at Rays: NRFI (-125)

Tampa Bay Rays right-hander Drew Rasmussen has been sharp in three of four starts, sporting a tidy 2.75 ERA and 0.66 WHIP while holding opposing hitters to a .141 average and .220 wOBA.

The Minnesota Twins counter with Taj Bradley, who’s posted a similarly solid line with a 1.63 ERA and 3.55 xFIP while limiting opponents to a .226 average and .276 wOBA.

Scoring in the opening frame also hasn’t been a calling card for either club. The Twins have plated a first-inning run in just 32% of their games, while the Rays are even lower at 29.2%.

  • Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: RAYS, MNNT

Pirates at Brewers: NRFI (-142)

I’m anticipating a pitchers' duel breaking out at American Family Field between Pittsburgh Pirates ace Paul Skenes and Milwaukee Brewers righty Brandon Woodruff, and this game carries the lowest total of the day.

Skenes sports a sterling 1.27 ERA and 0.66 WHIP across his past four starts. Meanwhile, Woodruff has been sharp at home dating back to last season, boasting respective 3.14 and 0.91 marks across 43 frames. 

Most importantly for Woodruff, he’ll likely face four left-handed hitters at the top of the Pittsburgh lineup — and he’s held lefty bats to a pedestrian .240 on-base percentage and .263 wOBA to start the year.

  • Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: BREW, SNP
Neil Parker's 2026 Transparency Record
  • NRFI/YRFI picks: 1-2, -1.15 units

What is a NRFI bet?

NRFI (No Run First Inning) and YRFI (Yes Run First Inning) bets add a thrilling twist to the start of an MLB game. A NRFI bet is a wager that no runs will be scored in the first inning. You're betting that the starting pitchers for both teams will get through the first inning without allowing any runs, whether by striking out batters, inducing ground balls, or through solid defensive play.

A YRFI bet is the exact opposite. You're betting that at least one run will be scored in the first inning. In this case, you’re hoping for an early offensive burst such as a leadoff walk, a timely hit, or even a home run.

NRFI and YRFI bets add excitement to the early part of a game and offer immediate gratification for bettors looking for a quick resolution.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.