Category: MLB

The Yankees dropped the opener of their weekend series against the Red Sox on Friday, losing 5-3 with all of the damage done in three consecutive innings against Ryan Weathers. Spencer Jones went 3-for-3 with an RBI in his return to the team following Judge’s placement on the IL and Ben Rice hit his 18th long ball of the year, but the only other offense to be found for New York came on a Trent Grisham solo shot. Not the most encouraging sign of life for a lineup that’ll be without their captain for the foreseeable future, but they’ll get back at it today looking to even the series back up. In the meantime, their rivals had the opportunity to either catch up to them or in the case of the Rays, get a little breathing room.

Tampa Bay Rays (37-23) 6, Miami Marlins (29-35) 0

Tampa controlled this game from the get-go, jumping out to a 3-0 lead in the first inning against Ryan Gusto. After a groundout opened the game, Junior Caminero ripped a double out to right and Jonathan Aranda walked to give them runners on. Yandy Díaz hit into a fielder’s choice that put runners on the corners, and Richie Palacios brought them both in as he dropped a ball out into right that deflected off of Owen Caissie’s glove and rebounded out to the wall in center for a triple. Ryan Vilade then singled him home to round out the threat.

That was all the offense the Rays needed, because Drew Rasmussen was dealing against the Fish. Rasmussen tossed seven innings as he blanked the Marlins, allowing just a single hit in the second inning to Javier Sanoja and stranding him with ease after striking out the next two batters to escape the frame. Rasmussen sat down nine Marlins hitters personally, and after he handed the ball over to the bullpen Cam Booser and Cole Sulser combined to strike out five more in the last two innings. Sulser did give up the second and last hit that Miami collected on the night via a leadoff bunt to third, but no rally was forthcoming.

There was more offense to be had for Tampa though, as they struck in each of the fifth, sixth, and seventh innings. Another Caminero double and an Aranda single brought in Tampa Bay’s fourth run of the game, and their fifth came on Cedric Mullins launching a home run to open the next inning. The final insurance run was brought home after a leadoff walk got moved to third via a hit and passed ball before Vilade earned his second RBI of the game with another single.

Other Games

Toronto Blue Jays (30-34) 3, Baltimore Orioles (31-33) 13: The Orioles took it to the Jays, but it didn’t become a blowout until much later in the game. The two teams traded a run in the first inning, Gunnar Henderson launching a solo shot for the O’s while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. lifted a sacrifice fly for Toronto. The Blue Jays briefly took a 3-1 lead in the fifth on a two-run blast from Brandon Valenzuela, but Baltimore took the lead right back with a five-run sixth inning — RBI hits from Adley Rutschman and Jeremiah Jackson set the stage for Coby Mayo to hit a two-run homer to cap it off.

The eighth and ninth inning turned this into a proper blowout. Baltimore scored three in the former thanks to a quartet of singles with a wild pitch in the mix, and then scored four more in the latter when Rutschman doubled home two and a throwing error allowed two more to round third. Brandon Young lasted 6.1 innings for the Orioles, allowed all three of Toronto’s runs, but the Baltimore bullpen clamped down allowing just a single baserunner the rest of the way.

Cleveland Guardians (36-29) 2, Texas Rangers (31-32) 3: For five innings Cleveland was slowly building itself a little lead, scoring one run in the first on a Travis Bazzana solo shot and a second run in the fourth on an RBI single from Austin Hedges to support starter Parker Messick. Messick allowed just a lone single through that point, but in the sixth Texas’ offense woke up: Kyle Higashioka led off with a blast, Wyatt Langford hit a one-out double, and then Corey Seager launched a two-run homer to take the lead away. Both pitching staffs kept the offenses in check from there, with Jacob Latz working around a single and walk in the ninth to secure a two-inning save.

Seattle Mariners (33-31) 3, Detroit Tigers (26-38) 7: Detroit apparently decided to play their best ball of the season against division leaders this week, taking it to Seattle coming off of their sweep of the Rays. The Mariners did take a 1-0 lead in the first, but Detroit answered back with three in the third, first scoring on a Dillon Dingler looped ball that dunked in front of Julio Rodríguez before the center fielder managed to fire it back in quickly enough to get a force out at second. Kerry Carpenter made it easier for the next two to cross, lifting a two-run shot out to right.

The game was locked down at 3-1 Tigers until the seventh, when Seattle got a solo shot from Colt Emerson to get within one but Detroit struck back immediately with a Gleyber Torres two-run double in the bottom frame. The eighth inning was a similar story, the Mariners carving back a run on a Cole Young RBI single only to give back two via a Spencer Torkelson home run.

Let’s see how some of the Phillies’ prospects fared last night in the minor leagues.

Lehigh Valley 4, Rochester 2

The Ottoman Kempire raised its flag in Lehigh Valley once again, this time leading the IronPigs with two hits, one of them being a solo home run. It’s probably past time to admit he’s simply a good minor league hitter, nothing more than that. Also, did you know that Seth Johnson had two more strikeouts? That’s 36 in 24 1/3 innings this year. Something to monitor if a need arises.

Also, imagine being Bryse Wilson. Going from released by the Phillies to re-signing with the team on a minor league deal to pitching four innings of shutout ball for the IronPigs in a span of about 24 hours. The life of a minor leaguer I suppose.

Binghamton 5, Reading 4

This one went extra innings when the two teams were tied at two. Reading had a few hitting highlights on the night, Bryan Rincon continuing his resurgence this year by homering again, his ninth on the year. Kehden Hettiger had two hits on the night as well, including an RBI single in the tenth that scored Dylan Campbell, who had just had an RBI double before him, that gave the Fightin’ Phils a two run lead going into the bottom of the tenth. However, the Rumble Ponies stormed back when Reading reliever Vincent Perozo came in with the ghost runner on, allowed a single to put runners on the corners, then a three-run home run to end the game. Yikes.

Brooklyn 6, Jersey Shore 3

Tough night for the BlueClaws as they drop one to Brooklyn in Lakewood. Kodey Shojinaga was two for three, a double added to his resume. Trent Farquhar and Pedro Leon also doubled, but a rough third inning by Jersey Shore starter Luke Gabrysh doomed the home team. He was not helped by an inning beginning error that was exascerbated by a three-run home run, followed by a solo shot that was the backbreaker. Tough game.

Clearwater 5, St. Lucie 4

Clearwater took another game from St. Lucie last night, but there were two names that popped out. If you haven’t familiarized yourself with Alirio Ferrebus and Ramon Marquez, it might be time to do so. The former hit another home run last night for Clearwater, his eighth on the season, pushing his overall OPS to .936 on the season. It’s time to pay more attention to his prospect status, even if it maybe doesn’t end with his being a catcher. The latter was Marquez, who has continued to build on his season with 5 1/3 innings, only allowing two runs on two hits and striking out nine. This might be another solid arm the team needs to develop properly.

Home runs proved costly for two of the Phillies’ affiliates on Friday night, but Lehigh Valley and Clearwater prevailed thanks to some strong pitching performances. The Threshers’ win was their sixth in a row.

Lehigh Valley 4, Rochester 2

Bryse Wilson allowed just one hit and struck out five across four scoreless innings for the Iron Pigs. He’s now thrown nine straight scoreless innings (Look out, Cristopher Sanchez!). Chuck King also pitched well, tossing three scoreless innings in relief to earn the win. Carter Kieboom broke a 2-2 tie with a sacrifice fly in the sixth, and Otto Kemp provided an insurance run with his fourth home run of the year in the eighth.

Binghamton 5, Reading 4

There was extra inning excitement in Binghamton on Friday night. With the game tied at two after nine innings, the Fightin’ Phils took a 4-2 lead in the top of the 10th thanks to a double by Dylan Campbell and a single by Kehdan Hettiger. But after pitching a scoreless ninth, reliever Colin Peluse’s second inning of work didn’t go well. He gave up a single and then a walk off home run to Chris Suerto.

Brooklyn 6, Jersey Shore 3

Home runs were a problem for the Blue Claws against the Brooklyn Cyclones on Friday. Starting pitcher Luke Gabrysh only gave up three hits in five innings, but two of them left the yard. Reliever Danyony Pulido surrendered another home run in his one inning of work. Offensively, outfielder Nick Biddison drove in two with a sixth inning single.

Clearwater 5, St. Lucie 4

Pitcher Ramon Marquez had a good night, striking out nine batters in 5.1 innings. The Mets made things interesting as the game wore on, but the Threshers’ early offense, highlighted by Alirio Ferrebus’ two run home run, was enough to give them their sixth-straight win.

The Mets continue their a three-game series against the Padres in San Diego on Saturday at 10:10 p.m. on SNY.

Mets Notes

• Nolan McLean looks to string together his second straight win after allowing just one run and two hits vs. Miami on May 31
• Bo Bichette picked up two hits on Friday night, giving him six hits with four RBI in his last two games
• Luis Torrens homered for the first time this season on Friday and is now hitting .368 over his last seven games

Today's Lineups

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Inside the Chicago White Sox, there are two wolves.

The first is the three true outcome wolf. The South Side Smashing Machine is currently fifth in team slugging, ninth in on-base percentage and fourth in strikeouts. The latter is frustrating at times, as evidenced when Ozzie Guillén’s frustrations boiled over with Colson Montgomery after Wednesday’s 8-0 win over the Twins. My apologies to Ozzie, but I reckon a few bad swings is a fair trade for a 33-30 record, especially when you allow for the second wolf.

Wolf Two is John McGraw’s scientific baseball of the Dead Ball Era — beanings, baserunning and bunts. This is personified by the guys like Sam Antonacci (major league leader with 13 HBPs), Luisangel Acuña (a speed demon, when he manages to get on base), and a group of guys I lovingly call the bunting gremlins: Tristan Peters, Derek Hill, Rikuu Nishida and Antonacci again. These men stand on the broad shoulders of the OG, Chase Meidroth.

This balance has put the White Sox in a unique position: The South Siders are on pace for 219 home runs and 47 sacrifice hits. This puts them within a shout of the first 200 home run/50 sacrifice hit season since the universal DH was established.

The analytics case against bunting is simple: Outs are a finite resource to a baseball team. You’re only guaranteed 27 of them. Don’t give any of them away on purpose, you idiot!

It wasn’t always like that, of course. You can trace the story of baseball through these home run-to-sacrifice ratios. For example, there have been 22 teams who have done the reverse ratio of 200 sacrifice hits and 50 home runs, and 21 of them occurred from 1920-29, the lone outlier being the 1911 Cubs.

Let’s split the difference and look at 100 HR/100 SH teams, sorted by decade:

The analytics revolution put an end to that: 47 teams have hit 200 or more home runs this decade, while no team has had 50 sacrifice hits in a season during the same time period (last season’s San Diego Padres came closest, with 48).

Starting last year, however, bunting is on the rise across baseball:

Despite this uptick, the White Sox are the only team with a realistic chance of creating the 200/50 U-DH Club:

I’ve been on the side of abolishing the bunt for more than a decade, but I have to admit I’ve begun to soften with old age (my liver is 84.) The Manfred Man began the bunting renaissance, with the do-or-die stakes of extra innings multiplying the significance of every lone run. Bunting bundled and boldness on the basepaths have been a hallmark from the bottom of the White Sox order this season, as they punch above their weight in the American League. May the wolves and the gremlins live in peace for a thousand years.

Aroooooooooooooooo!

Rangers 3, Guardians 2

• A win, that was.
• That was a win.
• Kumar Rocker started the game by giving up a homer to Travis Bazzana, because that’s sort of the Rangers’ thing now, giving up homers in the first inning, particularly to the leadoff batter.
• After that things went relatively smoothly for Rocker, though. He allowed another run in the fourth, and appeared primed to give up another run in the fifth when Bazzana tripled to lead off the inning, but Rocker worked out of that situation without allowing Bazzana to score.
• That ended up being a pretty important development, when it was all said and done.
• Rocker was fine, generally. He only went five innings, which isn’t ideal, due to a lack of pitch efficiency, which resulted in him needing 94 pitches to get through just 22 batters. He only generated 9 swings and misses, which is part of the reason for the lack of pitch efficiency.
• But we’ll take 2 runs in five innings from Rocker.
• Peyton Gray came in for Rocker to pitch the sixth and ended up getting his second major league win, by virtue of being in the game when the Rangers scored their runs and took the lead.
• Gray called pulled in favor of Jalen Beeks when Bazzana, who was a double shy of a cycle, came up with two outs in the seventh, Beeks struck out Bazzana, and there was rejoicing.
• Oddly, though, that was the only batter Beeks faced in the game. Jacob Latz came in to start the eighth for what ended up being a two inning save.
• There was a worrisome moment in the ninth, when, having walked Stuart Fairchild earlier with one out, Latz gave up a single to Austin Hedges, to put the tying run at second and go ahead run at first.
• Nails were being bitten, anxiety was rising, nervousness permeated the Shed. Were the Rangers going to blow it?
• They didn’t. Latz got a swinging K to end the game on his 35th pitch of the night.
• Hedges, incidentally, had two hits in the game. Bazzana had three hits. Steven Kwan had two hits. No other Guardian had a hit.
• That’s interesting, isn’t it?
• Maybe not.
• The Rangers’ offense didn’t do a whole lot, but they made it count.
• Kyle Higashioka broke up the shutout with a homer to lead off the sixth. Two batters later, Wyatt Langford doubled, and Corey Seager followed that up with a home run to give the Rangers a 3-2 lead.
• The only other hits all game came from Josh Jung, who had a pair of singles. There was only one walk drawn, by Ezequiel Duran.
• So just six baserunners for the Rangers in the whole game. But three of them scored. So it all worked out.
• The Higashioka homer, incidentally, was tracked at 428 feet by Statcast. That’s tied for the seventh longest ball hit at the Shed this year. 11 of the 13 longest balls hit at the Shed this year have come since the start of the Houston series.
• Kumar Rocker’s sinker touched 96.5 mph, averaging 95.2 mph. Peyton Gray hit 93.2 mph with his fastball. Jalen Beeks reached 94.2 mph with his fastball. Jacob Latz’s fastball topped out at 96.9 mph.
• Joc Pederson had a 109.8 mph groundout. Kyle Higashioka’s homer was 106.5 mph off the bat. Corey Seager’s homer had an exit velocity of 105.1 mph. Wyatt Langford had a 103.8 mph double. Ezequiel Duran had a 103.0 mph fly out.
• Next step…a return to .500.

The day went from bad to worse for the San Diego Padres. Before the start of their game against the New York Mets, Padres manager Craig Stammen announced left fielder Ramon Laureano had hip surgery and would be out until the end of the regular season and would likely miss the entire season should San Diego find some way to get into the playoffs. Stammen also announced reliever Jeremiah Estrada was headed to the injured list with knee inflammation and that David Morgan was recalled from Triple-A to take his spot in the bullpen.

Then the game started and maybe it was fitting, considering the pregame news, that a pitcher the majority of Padres fans and probably some of the players never heard of dominated the San Diego lineup and handed the Padres their sixth consecutive loss in shutout fashion. Christian Scott allowed just three hits over 5.2 scoreless innings and allowed two walks with three strikeouts en route to a 5-0 win for New York. Michael King completed six innings for San Diego, but allowed four runs on six hits, two of which were home runs, with four strikeouts.

The depleted Padres lineup looked as anemic as it has all season, with only Fernando Tatis Jr. Manny Machado and Ty France recording hits — all singles. Rodolfo Duran still has a batting average of .080, but to his credit he was able to get on base thanks to two walks, which were the only free passes San Deigo earned in the contest. The Padres will try to stop their six-game skid tonight at 7:10 p.m.

Padres News:

• Tom Krasovic of the San Diego Union-Tribuneagrees with Manny Machado when he says the Padres are a better team than what they have shown lately and Padres fans are waiting to see it.

• Machado also had things to say about analytics and how they have affected the Padres and the game of baseball.

Baseball News:

• Roki Sasaki recorded 10 strikeouts over seven scoreless innings to lead the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Los Angeles Angels.

• The Boston Red Sox got a win over the Aaron Judge-less New York Yankees with help from Willson Contreras and Sonny Gray.

• Adley Rutschman had a 4-f0r-4 day at the plate to lead the Baltimore Orioles past the Toronto Blue Jays.

• The Washington Nationals got a dominating 14-1 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks.

• Matt Chapman hit two home runs and the San Francisco Giants routed the Chicago Cubs, 18-3 at Wrigley Field.

• The Milwaukee Brewers got a 10th inning win over the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field.

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With a busy day across the big leagues, I've found huge value in my MLB same-game parlay predictions. 

Bryce Miller is in line for another quality start against the Detroit Tigers, while Braxton Ashcraft should also toss a gem against the Atlanta Braves. 

Read more in my MLB picks for Saturday, June 6. 

Today's best MLB SGP picks

Game	SGP Odds
SEA vs DET	+415
PIT vs ATL	+430
TB vs   MIA	+288

Mariners at Tigers SGP: Dingler Keeps Raking (+415)

Dillon Dingler is one of the hottest hitters in baseball right now. Over the last week, he owns a 63.6% hard-hit rate and 18.2% barrel rate. During that span, he's posted a .476 ISO while going 7-for-21 with 10 RBIs. Another hit should be well within reach here.

Bryce Miller has averaged nine strikeouts per nine innings across his last two outings, and he's cashed the Over in two of his last three starts. The Detroit Tigers own a 22.6% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season and struck out 10 times in the series opener.

Keider Montero is averaging 8.49 strikeouts per nine innings over his last two appearances, and the Seattle Mariners carry a 22.5% strikeout rate on the road this season. They're also 24th in MLB in team strikeouts, creating another favorable spot for Montero to rack up punchouts.

• Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
• Where to watch: Mariners.TV, DSN

See full analysis of this game in our Mariners vs. Tigers predictions.

Pirates at Braves SGP: Ashcraft Deals (+430)

Braxton Ashcraft has been one of Pittsburgh's most reliable starters lately, posting a 2.34 xERA and 2.30 FIP across his last two starts while limiting opponents to a 6.3% barrel rate.

The right-hander has also shown excellent command, issuing just 0.73 walks per nine innings during that span, which bodes well for both Ashcraft Under legs. 

Oneil Cruz rounds out the SGP after posting a 16.7% barrel rate and 92.3 mph average exit velocity over the last week. The Pittsburgh Pirates slugger is 6-for-14 in June, with five of those hits coming via singles.

• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where to watch: SportsNet Pittsburgh, BravesVision

See full analysis of this game in our Pirates vs. Braves predictions.

Rays at Marlins SGP: Caminero Stays Hot (+288)

The Tampa Bay Rays send Shane McClanahan to the hill today against the Miami Marlins. He owns a 2.82 FIP across his last 10.1 innings of work and has cashed the Under on earned runs allowed in both starts. McClanahan has also limited opponents to a barrel rate below 10% during that span.

The matchup is favorable as well. Miami is hitting just .199 over the last week while carrying a .299 wOBA. McClanahan has surrendered only seven hits across his last two starts, putting both Under legs in a strong position.

Junior Caminero rounds out the SGP. The Rays slugger owns a 66.7% hard-hit rate and .500 batting average over his last six games, recording a single in three straight contests.

• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where to watch: Rays.TV, Marlins.TV

See full analysis of this game in our Rays vs. Marlins predictions.

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The New York Mets visit the San Diego Padres tonight, and I'm expecting first-inning fireworks at Petco Park.

That matchup will headline my top MLB picks today for the "no run first inning" and "yes run first inning" markets. 

Here are my best NRFI predictions and YRFI picks for Saturday, June 6. 

Best NRFI/YRFI predictions today

Pick	Odds
/ - NRFI	-115
/ - NRFI	-115
/ - YRFI	-105

Mariners at Tigers: NRFI (-115)

The Seattle Mariners hand Bryce Miller the ball today, and he's been dominant over his last two outings, posting a 1.87 xERA while walking just 0.90 hitters per nine innings.

While the Detroit Tigers have been red-hot offensively, Miller's command and impressive 20.8% hard-hit rate across his last 10 innings should keep them at bay in the first.

As for Detroit, they hand Keider Montero the baseball, and he's been incredibly reliable. He owns a perfect 11-0 NRFI/YRFI record in 2026 and has posted a 2.85 FIP and 2.36 xERA across his last two starts.

Those underlying numbers suggest he's well positioned to continue that success against Seattle.

I'll play this pick up to -130.

• Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
• Where to watch: DSN, Mariners.TV

Orioles at Blue Jays: NRFI (-115)

The Baltimore Orioles send Kyle Bradish to the mound in Game 2 of the series, and he's allowed a run in the first inning just once in 12 starts.

Bradish owns a 3.58 xERA across his last 13 innings of work and a hard-hit rate of just 30% during that span. Additionally, 52.5% of the contact against him in his last two outings has been on the ground, suggesting he's doing a good job of keeping hitters from elevating the baseball right now.

Braydon Fisher, meanwhile, will be the opener for the Toronto Blue Jays before they turn it over to the rest of the bullpen. He has a 2.15 FIP at home this season, and Fisher has yet to allow a first-inning run across the three starts he's made.

His 2.95 xERA over the last month only adds appeal here.

I'll play this pick up to -130.

• Time: 3:07 p.m. ET
• Where to watch: MASN, Sportsnet

Mets at Padres: YRFI (-105)

New York Mets SP Nolan McLean has allowed a 42.9% hard-hit rate over his last 27 innings of work, and he owns an alarming 6.30 FIP during that span.

The San Diego Padres have only scored 11 times in the first inning this season, but this is a favorable matchup against a pitcher who has struggled to limit hard contact and owns an 8-4 NRFI/YRFI record.

As for Griffin Canning, he has a 6.79 xERA across his previous two starts while allowing a 53.1% hard-hit rate and 15.6% barrel rate. In other words, Canning is getting absolutely torched lately, and he's also walked 3.69 hitters per nine innings over his last 11 2/3 frames.

Between the consistent hard contact and inability to pound the zone, the Mets could jump on him early.

I'll play this pick up to -140.

• Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
• Where to watch: Padres.TV, SportsNet New York

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Southpaws have had zero answers for the Bronx Bombers all year.

Look for New York's bats to tee off once again on Ranger Suarez this Saturday according to my Red Sox vs. Yankees predictions.

Let's take a closer look at my MLB picks for June 6.

Who will win Red Sox vs Yankees today: New York Yankees (-135)

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching – and they didn’t go so well. He allowed 13 runs and posted a 6.13 ERA during those games.

The New York Yankeeslead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems.

Even without Aaron Judge, they’re well-equipped to do so. They have five lefties in their projected lineup – Suarez has struggled against left-handed hitters – as well as lefty masher Paul Goldschmidt.

Look for the bats to lead the Yankees to victory. Playable to -145.

COVERS INTEL:Ranger Suarez ranks 22nd percentile in whiff rate. He is not missing bats.

Red Sox vs Yankees Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-110)

The Yankees rankTop-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. They’re an elite offense across the board and should do plenty of damage against Suarez.

The Boston Red Sox are capable of chipping in a few runs. They have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. 

Will Warren has a brutal track record against the Sox as well. He allowed 15 runs over three starts against them last season while averaging just 14.3 outs.

Play the Over to -120.

Red Sox vs Yankees odds

• Moneyline: Red Sox +115 | Yankees -135
• Run line: Red Sox +1.5 (-175) | Yankees -1.5 (+150)
• Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-110)

Red Sox vs Yankees trend

New York has hit the Game Total Over in five of their last seven games (+3.9 units, 52% ROI) Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Yankees.

How to watch Red Sox vs Yankees and game info

Red Sox vs Yankees latest injuries

Red Sox vs Yankees weather

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A busy Saturday in the MLB features a full 15-game slate and tons of juicy MLB player props to pick from.

Shohei Ohtani, Jeremy Pena, and Jacob Misiorowski are all featured in my favorite MLB picks for Saturday, June 6.

I’ll break down why all three will dominate on the diamond today.

Best MLB player props today

Player	Pick	Odds
Jeremy Pena	Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI	-142
Jacob Misiorowski	Over 8.5 strikeouts	+120
Shohei Ohtani	Over 1.5 total bases	-116

Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI

Jeremy Pena has been on fire this past week, batting an even .500 with Over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBI in four straight and nine of his last 12 outings.

Pena and the Houston Astros will face Athletics starter Kade Morris, who is set to make his MLB debut on Saturday. 

The 23-year-old has not exactly been impressive in Triple-A this season, posting a 4.45 ERA and 1.47 WHIP over 11 starts, but the Athletics are desperate for arms of any kind with starters Luis Severino and Aaron Civale both sidelined.

Pena is hitting .304 vs. righties this season, and a ridiculous .375 at Daikin Park.

A scorching Pena facing a 23-year-old making his MLB debut? Play this one up to -150.

• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where to watch: NBCSCA, Space City Home Network

Jacob Misiorowski Over 8.5 strikeouts 

It’s still early, but Jacob Misiorowski is already putting his name in Cy Young odds discussion.

The Milwaukee Brewers sophomore leads the majors in strikeouts (108) and K/9 (13.7), while ranking first among starters in WHIP (0.79).

Misiorowski has punched out at least eight batters in eight straight starts, with Over 8.5 strikeouts in five of those contests. He’ll enjoy the upper hand against the Colorado Rockies tonight, one of five teams in the MLB to average more than nine Ks per game.

Misiorowski’s Whiff% is in the 98th percentile, thanks to his four-seamer and curveball, which are both getting whiffed nearly 50% of the time.

Seventy-four of Misiorowski’s 108 strikeouts have come by way of his fastball, which averages out at 99.9 mph. He’ll match up very well against the Rockies, who have struck out 190 times against the four-seamer this year — more than any other team in the majors.

I’m playing this prop up to +100, and I’d recommend looking at Misiorowski Under 1.5 earned runs as well.

• Time: 9:10 p.m. ET
• Where to watch: Rockies.TV, Brewers.TV

Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 total bases

After getting off to a sluggish start, Shohei Ohtani has officially returned to his MVP form.

The Los Angeles Dodgers superstar leads the majors with a .362 batting average over the last 30 days to go along with a stunning 1.056 OPS.

Ohtani has smacked Over 1.5 total bases in six of his last eight games and is poised to pad his stats tonight against the rival Los Angeles Angels and their brutal pitching staff.

Angels starter Jack Kochanowicz posted a 7.85 ERA and 1.81 WHIP over six starts in May, while his xBA and Hard-Hit% both rank in the Bottom 25th percentile this season. 

Kochanowicz throws his sinker nearly 40% of the time — a pitch that Ohtani is hitting .313 against when facing righties. He’ll be backed up by the worst bullpen in the majors, which sports a 5.14 ERA and 1.54 WHIP.

I’d play this prop to -130. You could also look at the extra-base hit market, where Ohtani’s getting pretty juicy odds.

• Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
• Where to watch: ABTV, SportsNet LA

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Many football fans will hate-watch the Los Angeles Rams in 2026 following their blockbuster trade for Myles Garrett. The Rams have become the NFL’s version of the Dodgers, a star-studded powerhouse willing to do whatever it takes to win, and being disliked comes with the territory.

If you know anything about the MLB, you already know that the Dodgers are pretty darn good. This is a team that has won back-to-back World Series and has five 100-win seasons in the last decade. Much of their latest success can be attributed to superstar Shohei Ohtani, who, like his team, is also pretty darn good.

All great hated teams like the Dodgers have that one player who can do it all, and Ohtani is that guy for them — and he was a luxury addition for them, like Garrett is for the Rams. He signed with Los Angeles in the 2024 offseason after the team was coming off an early postseason exit. Since then, he has won two straight NL MVP awards while leading the two-time reigning champs, with a third in sight.

Seeing the rich keep getting richer drives opposing fanbases bananas, and there is little that anyone can do about it, no matter how much they complain.

It almost feels unfair when the elite squads add the best players in their sport, but they’re only playing by the rules. Don’t hate the player or the game; instead, hate the league powers that be who have allowed it to happen.

No one should hate on the Rams or Dodgers for having the killer instinct that most everyone lacks.

Perhaps the aggressive roster-building strategy from both teams can be attributed to where they play. Los Angeles is a crowded entertainment market as it is, and more so on the sports scene.

This is a city forced to choose between multiple teams in each of the four major North American sports leagues. If you cannot figure out a way to stay nationally relevant in L.A., you risk becoming an afterthought in an oversaturated market or becoming the Angels.

The Rams were already must-see TV following their NFC Championship run last season. They have an NFL-record seven primetime games in tow, and that was before acquiring Garrett. Whether or not this is their year, their all-in approach will draw more eyes to them than ever before.

That is why Hollywood’s current sports scene is unmatched.

So go ahead and hate away, ya stinky rotten haters. Get the popcorn ready if you must because this is the price of embracing an all-in mentality. The Dodgers have thrived for years under that spotlight, and the Rams appear destined to follow in their footsteps this season. It’s lonely at the top, but in L.A., attention is money, and no one’s spending it better than the Rams and Dodgers.

Meet the Mets

The Mets shut out the Padres 5-0 behind a strong performance from Christian Scott, who earned his second major league victory. Jared Young and Luis Torrens both homered for the Mets and Bo Bichette contributed a key RBI triple in the third. The Mets’ bullpen was solid yet again with Huascar Brazobán helping Scott navigate out of trouble in the sixth and Luke Weaver and A.J. Minter logging a scoreless inning apiece.

Choose your recap: Amazin’ Avenue, MLB.com, New York Post

Jorge Polanco remained on rehab assignment yesterday rather than joining the Mets in San Diego, which was previously raised as a possibility.

Meanwhile, Francisco Alvarez is on track to be activated when the Mets return home next week.

Francisco Lindor is expected back in the third week of June, but it already may be too late by then, writes Jon Heyman of the New York Post.

Juan Soto is raking, but other players in the lineup need to step up as well, including guys returning from injury, writes Brian Murphy of MLB.com.

Sean Manaea has slowly regained his velocity and climbed his way back to being a positive contributor on the Mets.

Manaea will pitch tomorrow, but it is unclear if an opener will be used ahead of him or not.

Carlos Mendoza told Joel Sherman and Jon Heyman of the New York Post that Juan Soto conducts most of his leadership behind the scenes.

Jared Young has learned to be the good kind of stubborn and it is paying off for the Mets, writes Laura Albanese of Newsday.

Around the National League East

A four-hit night from Kyle Schwarber powered the Phillies to an 8-6 victory over the White Sox, as the Phillies find themselves in playoff position for the first time since April 7.

Despite the Phillies’ incredible turnaround since Don Mattingly took over as manager, Mattingly still has mixed feelings due to the reason he is in his current position to begin with.

Over at The Good Phight, they opined that the Phillies may need to change up their lineup again to kickstart the struggling offense.

Mauricio Dubón drove in three of the Braves’ six runs in their 6-3 win over the Pirates at Truist Park.

Braves pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach is throwing on flat ground but still has “a long way to go” in his recovery timeline.

The Nationals’ high-octane offense was at it again as they walloped the Diamondbacks 14-1.

Nationals lefty DJ Herz, who is recovering from Tommy John surgery, made his first rehab appearance yesterday in the Florida Complex League.

The Marlins were blanked by Drew Rasmussen and the Rays 5-0 in Miami.

Marlins top pitching prospect Thomas White has been diagnosed with a capsular sprain in his throwing shoulder and may miss the rest of the 2026 season.

Around Major League Baseball

Concern about missing games in 2027 due to a work stoppage likely won’t impact returns at the trade deadline, writes Ken Rosenthal at The Athletic.

MLB owners are framing the salary cap as a way to end local TV blackouts, as their proposal to the union involves eliminating the territory system that defines the current media landscape in baseball.

Deesha Thosar of FOX Sports wrote about what’s next for the Yankees without Aaron Judge.

Judge’s injury won’t impact just the Yankees, but the entire American League.

Ginny Searle of Baseball Prospectus took a look at the current playoff odds picture and how it has changed from Opening Day. Not surprisingly, the Mets’ playoff odds have dropped the most of any team.

Michael Baumann of Fangraphs wrote about the Gerrit Cole contract now that there are just two and a half years remaining on his pact with the Yankees.

Yesterday at Amazin’ Avenue

Vasilis Drimalitis previewed the weekend series in San Diego.

This Date in Mets History

After firing some of their coaches, the Mets began a scorching hot 40-15 stretch by pulverizing Roger Clemens and the Yankees on this date in 1999.

Triple-A: Gwinnett Stripers (Braves) 7, Norfolk Tides 2

The Tides gave up three runs in the first inning and it was basically over from there. At least starter Trace Bright nearly threw a quality start despite that first-inning run outburst, holding the Stripers scoreless for the rest of his 5.2-inning performance. But two runs apiece off Cameron Weston and Josh Walker put the game out of reach.

Norfolk’s offense was a no-show. They managed only four hits, though two of them were solo homers by Christian Encarnacion-Strand and Luis Vázquez. Tides hitters struck out nine times and walked only once, and they had only a single at-bat all game with a runner in scoring position. Heston Kjerstad and Creed Willems each went 1-for-4.

Box score

Double-A: Akron RubberDucks (Guardians) 19, Chesapeake Baysox 3

Um…ouch. You didn’t misread that score. The Baysox really did lose 19-3. They were down 10-1 by the third inning, then gave up eight runs in the ninth inning. Before delving into the box score, I assumed that all those ninth-inning runs came against a position player on the mound, but sadly, no. It was an actual pitcher, Daniel Lloyd, who gave them all up, including a grand slam and a two-run homer. His ERA rose from 4.63 to 7.23 in a single outing. He’ll have better nights.

Starting pitcher Luis De León, one of the Orioles’ top pitching prospects, had the worst performance of his professional career. In 2.1 innings, he was torched for 10 (ten!) runs, on nine hits and four walks. Like Lloyd, the outing blew up his season ERA, from 4.89 to 6.80. Meanwhile, Chesapeake’s offense was held in check besides Ethan Anderson’s solo homer and Carter Young’s two-run single, which did little to change the final result.

Box score

High-A: Hudson Valley Renegades (Yankees) 14, Frederick Keys 13

What a humdinger this one was. The Keys, one night after getting held hitless through six innings, certainly found their bats again with a 13-run explosion. They scored seven runs in the fifth inning alone and at one point led this game 10-3. But the Renegades responded with a seven-run frame of their own in the eighth to steal the game away.

Let’s start with the positive stuff. Nearly every Keys hitter did something good, sparked by rehabbing leadoff man Enrique Bradfield Jr., who reached base three times, scored three runs, drove in two, and stole a base. Unheralded hitters like Douglas Hodo (4-for-5 with a homer) and Colin Yeaman (3-for-5, two RBIs) had big days. Top prospects Wehiwa Aloy and Ike Irish went just 1-for-9 combined, but Aloy drove in three runs and Irish one. The Keys went 7-for-22 with runners in scoring position.

Now for the bad news, which was, obviously, the pitching. Four of Frederick’s five pitchers gave up at least three runs, including starter Caden Hunter. The quintet issued nine walks in the game. Reliever Raimon Gomez particularly struggled, giving up five runs in less than an inning, while Jacob Cravey took the loss by allowing the last three.

Box score

Low-A: Delmarva Shorebirds 6, Augusta GreenJackets (Braves) 0

Thank goodness for the Shorebirds, who kept the O’s affiliates from being swept on this day. It was a whale of a performance from Delmarva’s pitching staff, led by left-hander Stephen Still, a recent free agent signing out of independent ball. Still worked 5.2 scoreless innings and struck out nine. Relievers Brendan Parks, Eccel Correa, and Zac Lampton combined to complete the shutout.

This was a 0-0 game into the late innings before the Shorebirds erupted for three runs in the seventh and three more in the ninth. First baseman Miguel Rodríguez broke the scoreless tie with a two-run single, and later Braylon Whitaker contributed a two-run knock of his own. Jaiden Lo Re, a fifth-round pick last year, hit his first Low-A home run, off of a guy named Landon Beidelschies. I can’t decide which of those names is more fun.

Box score

Saturday’s scheduled games:

• Norfolk: at Gwinnett, 6:05 PM. Starter: Christian Heberholz (0-1, 4.34)
• Chesapeake: vs. Akron, 6:35 PM. Starter: TBD
• Frederick: vs. Hudson Valley, 6:00 PM. Starter: Yeiber Cartaya (0-0, 1.37)
• Delmarva: at Augusta, 6:35 PM. Starter: Christian Rodriguez (2-3, 3.57)

Last week, when I was reading Sam’s piece about the messy state of much of the American League, I was struck by how many teams now mired in a rut were considered by many prognosticators to be contenders coming into the season. The AL East was supposed to be a four-horse race between New York, Boston, Baltimore and Toronto, with Tampa Bay bringing up the rear; instead, it’s been the Rays and Yankees vying for the lead, with the Orioles, Blue Jays and Red Sox still on a long march to .500 ball.

If we look over to the AL Central, the Tigers offer a harrowing picture of how fast baseball can come at you. Although they did fritter away a huge division lead to the Guardians last year, they exacted revenge on them in the Wild Card Series, and took the Mariners to Game 5 in a tightly contested ALDS. In the offseason, they declared their intent to claim the division title by signing Framber Valdez on February 4th. Four months later, they now find themselves nearly sharing the cellar with the Royals — themselves a preseason dark horse candidate — with a 26-38 record, 9.5 games out of first place.

The National League offers even more examples of unmet expectations. The Mets had a weird offseason resulting in many awkward fits on the roster, but the collection of talent was undeniable. No one would have batted an eye if they had brute-forced their way to a 90-win campaign this year. Instead, they’re last in the division, 14.5 games back of the first-place Braves, and 5.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot, trailing everyone in the Senior Circuit except for the Giants and Rockies. The Cubs haven’t collapsed to that extent, but compared to their preseason hype—FanGraphs gave them the highest playoff odds in their division—their 33-31 record is certainly underwhelming; they’ve been extremely streaky at best. And while the Phillies have done well to scrape their way back up the standings after a horrific start and the ousting of their manager, they’re still barely hanging on to a Wild Card spot under interim skipper Don Mattingly with a -20 run differential.

What does this all mean? The most obvious, and nonetheless true, answer, is that baseball is unpredictable. However, although it certainly has its fair share of random variance, that isn’t to say that teams have absolutely no control over how their seasons will play out. If that were the case, why even spend so much time and money trying? Even in a topsy-turvy season like this one, certain teams are making good on their preseason promise – think of the Dodgers, Braves, Brewers, and (perhaps to a lesser extent) the Guardians and Mariners.

Turning our focus to the Yankees specifically, why have they fared relatively well in a season where so many other would-be contenders have not? My view is that design and luck are equally involved; and cleanly separating the two is harder than you’d think.

First things first: I think the Yankees are, on the whole, a well-run organization. Shocking, I know. But with the sheer amount of criticism directed towards the front office, manager, and coaching staff every day, it’s easy to lose sight of this. By and large, the Yankees do things right. They’ve developed core talent (Schlittler, Rice) and solid role players (Warren, Schmidt, Volpe, Wells). They’ve shelled out for top-of-the-market talent when the opportunity arises (Judge, Cole, Fried, Rodón, Bellinger). They’ve made savvy trades for impact players (Chisholm, Bednar, Cruz) while retaining their most coveted prospects (Lombard Jr., Rodríguez, Kilby, Lagrange). They haven’t remained contenders for the better part of a decade now out of sheer luck; their success is deserved in many ways.

But while the Yankees have done a lot of things right, they’ve also had a lot of things go right for them (at least until Judge’s stress fracture). This becomes apparent when you consider the various pitfalls that befell other teams this year. Say, for example, you’re trying to build a contender on the backs of highly regarded young talent – that’s great! But consider the Orioles. Adley Rustchman, Gunnar Henderson, Jackson Holliday, and Samuel Basallo are definitely a fearsome foursome. But for a team with postseason aspirations, the trick is to have them all be good at the same time, and that hasn’t happened yet.

That isn’t a comment on the talent of the four youngsters; I fully expect all four to have productive careers. It’s a comment on the unpredictability and non-linear-ness of player development. Even the most highly regarded prospects can struggle at the MLB level, and even young stars can take a step back after a breakout year. The fact that both Ben Rice and Cam Schlittler have built on their strong showings last year and are posting elite numbers this year does suggest that the Yankees’ player dev is working well. But the fact that both young stars’ upward trajectories are so closely aligned, I think, is close to a miracle — at least, it’s not something that you can engineer, or count on.

Likewise, there is an element of luck with any aspect of roster-building. Marquee free agents or trade acquisitions can bomb (Bo Bichette) or get injured (Dylan Cease, Garrett Crochet); you can try to gauge which players are at risk, but you can’t predict them with 100% accuracy, and that’s where chance gets involved. And when you trade prospects for big-league pieces, there’s always the risk of the player you got underperforming while the prospects you traded away flourish (Caleb Durbin for Kyle Harrison; Dustin May for James Tibbs III). It’s easy to criticize these moves with the benefit of hindsight, but the reality is that there’s always risk involved, and the Yankees are not impervious to that.

So, when you consider the fact that the Yankees have managed to stay competitive for as long and as consistently as they have, it’s important to acknowledge the things they did right — and the things that went right for them. Hopefully, the Yankees’ brass themselves do so too. If they focus only on the former while paying no mind to the latter, that would lead to complacency and a false sense of security — something that they might already be guilty of.