
In the process of Purple Row Prospects (PuRPs) voting, there were two names that stood above the rest — Colorado’s first rounders in 2024 and 2025, plus a sleeper international free agent breakout. Ultimately, Holliday took 15 of the 29 qualifying first place votes to earn the number one PuRP designation. So who are these top three prospects? Read on!
For each player on the PuRPs list, I’ll include a link to individual stats and contract status (via Baseball-Reference), PuRPs voting stats, a note on the 2026 season to date, and a scouting report from a national prospect writer where possible. I’ll also include where I put each player on my personal ballot. All ages are as of the date the article is posted.
3. Roldy Brito (791 points, 29 ballots) — Preseason Ranking: 11 — High Ballot 1 (1); Mode Ballot 3
How did he enter the organization?
2024 International Free Agent, Dominican Republic
Why did he make the PuRPs list?
Brito was easily the breakout prospect in the Rockies system in 2025 and he made another leap onto top 100 lists in 2026. The 19-year-old 5’11” Dominican switch-hitting up-the-middle defender (he played both second base and center field frequently in 2025 and 2026, plus some shortstop in 2024) was a member of Colorado’s 2024 international signing class (which included fellow PuRPs Ashly Andujar and Cristian Arguelles), but his $420k bonus was only the fifth-highest among those signing with the Rockies that year. Two and a half years later, the speedy Brito has reached the highest on the minor league ladder all the way up to High-A Spokane.
After signing, Brito spent 2024 with the Dominican Summer League team, where his .254/.360/.314 line with 24/27 steals (89 wRC+) frankly didn’t stand out much. The Rockies saw enough though to bring Brito stateside to the Arizona Complex League team in 2025, where he was 1.6 years younger than league average. Brito rose to the challenge, hitting a scalding .368/.445/.555 with three homers and 22/29 steals in 209 plate appearances, good for a 159 wRC+. Brito was second in the league in OPS and hits, 3rd in slugging, batting average, and steals, 4th in runs, and he was sixth in OBP and doubles. For that performance, Brito took home MVP honors for the ACL.
That impressive performance led the Rockies to jump Brito up to Low-A Fresno after the ACL season ended in late July, where he was 3.2 years younger than league average. Brito didn’t miss a beat in his full-season debut. In 33 games with Fresno, Brito hit .375/.442/.463 with a homer, a triple, seven doubles and 13 steals in 156 plate appearances, which was good for a 156 wRC+.
Brito didn’t face many lefties and therefore didn’t hit right-handed that often, but in 56 PA from that side in 2025 he posted a 1.129 OPS (his OPS was .927 hitting from the left side). He struck out in 17% of Low-A plate appearances while walking in 9% of them, while his speed led to a ridiculous .459 BABIP. In the field, Brito played 36 games at second base (ten errors, eight in the ACL) and 41 in center field (two errors with six outfield assists).
Purple Row’s own Evan Lang chronicled Brito’s magical 2025 throughout the season in the weekly Pebble Reports and got a chance to interview Brito as he entered fall instructs in October. Brito was named the 2025 Rockies minor league player of the year in March.
In 2026, Brito returned to Fresno, where he was two years younger than average, for a longer look. In 378 plate appearances, Brito continued to play well, hitting .327/.390/.506 with eight homers among his 36 extra-base hits along with 18 steals, walking in 8% of PA and striking out in 17% of them. That equates to a 127 wRC+ and got Brito named (along with fellow PuRP Charlie Condon) to the prestigious Futures Game at the All-Star Break, going 0-for-2 during the game.
Brendan Gawlowski of FanGraphs noted this about Brito’s Futures Game experience:
Brito is a high-motor player. He turned in the best home-to-first time of the day (I had him at 4.03, while Statcast had 4.09, which lines up better than it sounds) and was a busy presence during outfield work. He also unsuccessfully tried to execute a delayed steal. He was another guy with an impressive BP, as he lined one ball off the facade and in general showed that, even though he isn’t huge, he has plenty of juice.
After the Futures Game, Brito got promoted to High-A Spokane, where he is 3.5 years younger than league average. The step up in competition has led to dampened production in 113 plate appearances so far, as Brito has produced a .305/.333/.424 line with two homers and eight doubles, along with 20 steals in 21 attempts. Brito has walked less in Spokane (4% of PA) while striking out more (24%), one of the reasons he’s currently running an 89 wRC+ at the level.
To be clear though, a teenager playing in High-A is a feat in and of itself. After all, only 10 of his 501 plate appearances so far have come against younger pitching. On the year, Brito has been much stronger hitting lefty (.932 OPS) than right-handed (.649 OPS) in a smaller sample size. Defensively this year, Brito has played more in center field than second base. He has committed six errors each at second base and center field while adding four outfield assists.
Here are some of Brito’s 2026 highlights.
Here’s some video of Brito from his stint with Fresno late last season, including some slo-mo looks at swings from both sides of the plate:
Here’s another slo-mo view of his swing from the ACL:
What do the scouts say?
FanGraphs had Brito 99th on their top 100 before the season began and last month updated his ranking to 48th overall in their “Potential Five Tool Players” group. That ranked third in the system as a 50 FV player, highlighted by a 60 future grade on his speed, arm, and defense, along with 55 future raw power (emphasis mine):
Brito is my favorite player in the minors, a talented, versatile, and projectable spark plug on both sides of the ball. Every generation has a super utility player or two who produce enough to warrant a 50 FV grade (or higher) even absent a consistent defensive home: Chone Figgins, Ben Zobrist, Tommy Edman, etc. It’s early in his career, but if you had to pick a single minor leaguer to follow in those footsteps, you might choose Brito. He’s a switch-hitter with projectable power, 70 speed, and already a nuanced feel for two middle-of-the-diamond positions. He crushed the complex last summer and then hit .375/.442/.463 in 33 games following a promotion to Low-A Fresno.
Brito is a medium-framed plus athlete, twitchy with deceptive strength. At the plate, he has a lovely trigger on both sides and is a line drive shooter to all fields. He’s a threat to do everything. He’ll flash the short game, he’ll fake bunt and swing, he can take a walk, he’ll shorten up with two strikes, he can drive a ball to the gap — if variety is your thing, this is your guy. There is some risk in his approach, and not just with respect to his swing decisions, which are aggressive. On his best swings, Brito incorporates his lower half well and is direct to the ball. His swing can get pushy, though, and particularly from the left side, he’ll pull off the plate, almost like a softball player already thinking of beating out a groundball. There’s some swing-and-miss to his game, and he hasn’t yet translated his raw power into over-the-fence damage. For better and worse, he’s a very aggressive hitter, and he’ll need to dial it back a little, particularly with two strikes.
Defensively, Brito projects above average in center field and at second base. His jumps in center are good, and while he’s still learning the finer points of the job, he looks like he’ll have the speed and tracking skills to be good out there. He’s also shown solid instincts and range at the keystone: In one standout sequence, he raced far to his right on a chopper up the middle, backhanded a short hop, and flipped accurately behind his back to second. He’s also got a very quick transfer and enough arm strength to at least think about whether he could play short as well.
This is an aggressive valuation. There are markers in the data — a 74% contact rate, 47% chase with two strikes, an unsustainable BABIP that is obviously floating his topline production in a way that won’t translate like this to the higher levels — that justify skepticism, and we wouldn’t argue with evaluators inclined to pump the brakes a little bit. But while every 18-year-old has warts, few can do as many things as well as Brito can. This is an absurdly well-rounded collection of tools, and he already has a few skills to go with them. Brito projects as an everyday guy in some capacity, and has several ways to be useful in a reserve role if the bat falls a little short of projection.
MLB Pipeline ranks Brito 55th overall as a 55 FV player with a 60 run and 55 hit grade:
A 5-foot-11 switch-hitter, Brito is impressive from both sides of the plate, consistently hitting the ball hard. There’s sneaky pop and he helps himself by keeping the swing-and-miss in check, though he will have to learn to cut down on the chase out of the zone as he advances. He has a strong sense of where his contact point should be, but he can occasionally get a bit jumpy at the dish. The next step in his hitting development will be for him to not get too quick into his front side, which could be exploited by pitchers at higher levels who are better at getting hitters to chase.
A plus runner who can steal bags, Brito was signed as a middle infielder and the plan is for him to still get reps on the dirt at second base. But the Rockies felt he looked more comfortable roaming around in center field, where his plus athleticism is an asset. He took people by surprise in 2025, and then largely cleared the expectation bar that had been raised after his stateside debut.
Keith Law of the Athletic ranked Brito third on his Rockies system list in February and slotted Brito just outside his top 100 overall prospects list at that time:
Brito led the Arizona Complex League in batting average last year by one point over the Dodgers’ Ching-Hsien Ko, finishing second in OBP and third in slugging. He then moved up to Low A and hit .375/.442/.463 in 33 games. Those numbers are a little misleading about his hit tool; he’s at least a 70 runner who legged out some ground-ball hits, and likes to bunt for hits as well, picking up 29 points of average in Low A just from bunt singles.
He’s a switch-hitter who can hit from both sides, with maybe a touch more bat speed right-handed, and he’s gotten much stronger already since he signed so that he can impact the ball and maybe come into average power. He played mostly second base with some shortstop in the DSL in 2024, after which the Rockies tried him in center field, giving him almost equal time in center and at the keystone in 2025. He gets mixed reviews at both positions, although he’s 18 and doesn’t have a ton of experience at either spot. If he keeps raking like this in his return to Low A this year, and even shows he can play average defense at one of those two positions, he’ll be in the top 100 a year from now.
Baseball America ranked Brito fifth in the system before the season and listed him as the starting second baseman on the 2029 Rockies while calling him the best athlete in the system (also, the best hit tool and base-running skill):
Brito shows above-average bat-to-ball skills and power with the ability to consistently find the barrel. … There are some red flags in Brito’s profile, however, including subpar angles and a swing-happy approach prone to expanding the zone. Despite this, Brito had very good expected outcomes this season due to his combination of contact and power.
When’s he going to get to the Rockies and how good will he be once he’s there?
Brito has consolidated his 2025 breakout with a showing that has gotten him noticed across the minor leagues. Brito clearly has a strong enough hit tool for lower minors pitching and provides speed and flexibility with his up the middle defense, though a star ceiling is less obvious. He’s got great numbers and now has the scouting reports to match, which is why I ranked him fourth on my list as a 50 FV player. He will probably begin 2027 back in Spokane with another mid-season promotion a possibility.
2. Charlie Condon (825 points, 29 ballots) — Preseason Ranking: 1 — High Ballot 1 (10); Mode Ballot 2
How did he enter the organization?
2024 First Round, University of Georgia
Why did he make the PuRPs list?
Condon received a MLB record-tying $9.25 million bonus (at the time) as the third-overall pick in the 2024 draft (about $180k over slot) because of his huge offensive ceiling. The 23-year-old righty, who has split his time defensively between first base and right field this year, can translate his immense power into games, he hits for average, and has rare defensive ability for his size.
Condon was a one-man wrecking crew in 2024 for Georgia, as the 6’6”, 216-pound hitter smashed 37 homers — a record in the NCAA’s “BBCOR” bats era — and won the prestigious Golden Spikes award as the top amateur baseball player in the country. Given that success, it’s hard to believe that Condon (who played first, third, and all three outfield positions for Georgia) not only went undrafted as a high schooler but also was a walk-on who redshirted in 2022. Once he got in the lineup though, he was an immediate success, swatting 25 homers in 2023 and 37 of them in 2024 en route to a cartoonish .433/.556/1.009 batting line that season.
The Rockies assigned Condon straight to High-A Spokane, as befits a player many tabbed to move very quickly through the system. Unfortunately, Condon was downright bad for Spokane, hitting an anemic .180/.248/.270 (48 wRC+) with 34 strikeouts compared with four walks in 109 plate appearances while dealing with a bruised thumb. Condon did have six extra-base hits, including a homer, and four stolen bases (which is more than his entire collegiate total in two years at Georgia). That performance soured many on Condon, but he still entered 2025 on many top 100 lists.
The 2025 season didn’t get off to a good start for Condon, who suffered a non-displaced left wrist fracture in his very first minor league spring training game. The injury kept Condon out until mid-May (after a nine-game rehab stint with the complex league team) when the Rockies sent Condon back to Spokane. Condon was much more successful in his return engagement, hitting .312/.431/.420 in 167 plate appearances across 35 games with three homers and six doubles (134 wRC+). The Rockies promoted Condon to Double-A Hartford on July 1st, where he was 1.5 years younger than league average — and not long after, Condon was selected to the MLB Futures Game (he started at first base and went 0-for-3).
In 237 plate appearances with Hartford, Condon had a .235/.342/.465 batting line with 11 homers among his 21 extra-base hits, which equated to an impressive 132 wRC+. There were still warts on the profile — Condon struck out in 28% of his plate appearances in Double-A (walking in 11%) and he seemingly slid down the defensive spectrum from a third baseman/outfielder to primarily a first baseman. Fans expecting the monstrous power Condon showed at Georgia no doubt expect more too, but at the end of the day a 132 wRC+ in Condon’s initial exposure to Double-A was pretty encouraging.
Condon finished the season in the Arizona Fall League to replace some of the at-bats he lost with his delayed start to the year. Against a less polished set of pitchers, Condon feasted with a .337/.439/.434 line in 98 plate appearances, including a homer, two triples, and a double. He was also named as a Fall Star.
This spring, Condon received a big league spring training invite, where the Rockies played Condon in the outfield corners as well to lean into his defensive versatility and he discussed some of his goals with Purple Row’s Sam Bradfield.
Condon was assigned to Triple-A Albuquerque after spring training, where he has stayed all year. In the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League, Condon’s power stroke has returned. Condon has hit .268/.386/.511 with 22 homers among his 48 extra-base-hits, all while dropping his strikeout rate by three points year over year (to 25%) and increasing his walk rate by three points (to 13%), which equates to a 113 wRC+ in the PCL.
Condon was again named to the Futures Game (along with Brito), where he was 0-for-2 with a strikeout. Here’s what Gawlowski of FanGraphs wrote about Condon after the game:
Condon’s age and recent barrage of long balls in Albuquerque made him feel a little overqualified for the game. He took one of the day’s most impressive BPs, lining several balls into the seats and a couple very far out to left. After battling injuries in the early part of his pro career, he looks fully healthy and ready for the next adventure.
Condon didn’t win the player of the month award in June (that went to fellow PuRP Zac Veen), but his .337/.462/.814 line with ten homers in that month had to have been in serious contention. Condon has faded since that hot June, hitting for a .766 OPS in July and a .629 OPS so far in August with just four homers over those two months as he has faced an older pitcher over 97% of the time. In the field, Condon has played a nearly even amount of games at first base (four errors) and right field (one error, six outfield assists), a position Condon hadn’t played since college.
Here’s some looks at Condon during the Arizona Fall League last year (including an absolute bomb of a grand slam at the 2:15 mark):
Here are some of Condon’s 2026 highlights.
What do the scouts say?
Multiple outlets ranked Condon atop their 2024 draft rankings and some of them still have Condon in their top 100.
FanGraphs ranked Condon 67th overall as a 50 FV player before the season and updated that to 41st overall last month (in the “Corner Mashers” group of players. That ranked first in the system (after ranking him fourth among draft prospects in 2024), with 70 raw power and 60 future game power grades to go along with a 60 arm:
[Condon] was considered by many the top prospect in [the 2024] draft, and when he fell to the third overall pick, Colorado seemed a perfect match of offensive upside and future park.
It may still prove to be. Eric was (and remains) skeptical of Condon even while he was riding roughshod over the SEC, and his first year-and-a-half of pro at-bats have only validated pre-draft concerns about a grooved bat path and trouble recognizing spin. You can wave away a rough pro debut, as post-draft cameos are kind of awkward, and he was battling through a bone spur in his finger at the time anyway. But even as a wrist fracture last spring complicates the evaluation of his 2025 performance, it’s becoming fair to wonder how much pop Condon will bring into games.
There’s little doubt about his raw impact. Condon is a big guy with plus bat speed and a powerful swing that produces data commensurate with the visual evaluation. His 90th-percentile exit velocity was nearly 106 mph last year and his max was over 112, both of which are plus. He also had a 44% hard-hit rate and a 13 degree average launch angle that looks, well, like a match for a guy who bashed 60 homers in college. Still, he only homered 14 times in 99 games while running a 131 wRC+ across High- and Double-A, which are both fine in the aggregate, but underwhelming for a player with this skill set. This coincided with a move to first base — perhaps just to protect the wrist, perhaps not. We’ll see what Colorado’s new regime decides to do here, because Condon has played elsewhere and looked like a perfectly fine corner outfielder as a pro.
Ultimately, the power potential here is too great to ignore despite everything else. There’s enough noise and hand injuries lurking to think that there’s some small chance of a big breakout coming, but even if there’s not, Condon projects as a 2-3 WAR player with 35-plus homer potential, even if he’s flawed elsewhere.
Keith Law of the Athletic had Condon as the number one player in the draft, then ranked Condon 46th on his top 100 (number two in the system) before the season:
Condon has electric bat speed and hammers fastballs, showing at least 70 power in college, but he moved his hands back up in 2025 after dropping them in his draft year, and I think that’s one of the reasons he’s not reacting to breaking pitches or changeups that well. (There are, unfortunately, rumors that while he was at Georgia, the Dogs were stealing signs, so their hitters might have known what was coming.) He did bounce back a little in the AFL, reaching 111.6 mph and showing better swing decisions, although the pitching out there was not close to what he saw nightly in Double A.
Condon is a good enough athlete to handle an outfield corner, though the Rockies played him primarily at first base last year, as it’s a position of real need for them and he has experience on the dirt at third base. He has 30-plus homer upside, easily, and the patience and zone awareness to be a valuable hitter even if he hits .240-.250. The new regime in Denver should have a clear plan for helping him get back to the hitter he was in 2024 when he was the No. 3 pick in the draft.
MLB Pipeline (who had him second among draft prospects) ranks Condon 58th overall as a 55 FV player (third in the system) with a 55 grade on his power, hit, and arm tools:
The 6-foot-6 right-handed hitter still uses the largely upright stance, bent at the knees, lower hands and simple mechanics that brought him so much success at Georgia, but until this season, it had been without the same impact. With the Bulldogs, he showed he could hit the ball out of the park to all fields with plenty of bat speed and leverage. While he’s continued to draw walks, his overall approach has suffered as a pro, though some strides against softer stuff in 2026 and a better overall approach helped him get to his raw power more.
In college, Condon played all over the outfield (where his arm plays well) and at third base, but since joining the Rockies, it had been almost all first with a little corner outfield mixed in and a lot more right field with Albuquerque in ’26. The corner-infield spot is his most likely home long-term, which puts more pressure on the power to show up. The Rockies, for their part, aren’t as concerned, thinking that his all-around hitting is coming around and the pop will continue to follow.
When’s he going to get to the Rockies and how good will he be once he’s there?
Multiple scouts have drawn comparisons between Condon and Kris Bryant. While, of course, Bryant’s tough tenure with the Rockies (just over two more years!) have left a sour taste in the mind of fans, he deservedly won the Rookie of the Year and NL MVP awards in his first two years as a big leaguer and has been an All-Star four times. Condon has the kind of offensive potential and defensive utility that could make him a star in the league for several years (especially if he is able to get his power into games), so he deservedly ranks in this range in the PuRPs poll — he was number three on my list as a 50 FV player.
Condon’s 2026 results haven’t been problem-free (strikeouts and his fade down the stretch), but I’m encouraged by the right-field defensive utility and that he’s getting that raw power into games more often. Condon is likely ready to be a big league contributor, but he doesn’t need to be added to the 40 man roster this offseason. Given the looming labor strife portended soon, any players on the 40-man roster would be ineligible to play games next season in the event of a work stoppage, so the Rockies are undoubtedly weighing that consideration.
1. Ethan Holliday (847 points, 29 ballots) — Preseason Ranking: 2 — High Ballot 1 (15); Mode Ballot 1
How did he enter the organization?
2025 First Round, Stillwater HS (OK)
Why did he make the PuRPs list?
Ethan Holliday is a name that has been well-known to Rockies fans for a long time, if only from the connection to his father, Rockies great Matt — not to mention his brother, 2022 number one overall pick Jackson. Those connections made it extremely likely the Rockies would call Ethan’s name on draft day if he were available at pick number four, but the 6’4”, 19-year-old lefty-hitting shortstop from Oklahoma is much more than just a famous name.
Holliday was the number four pick and received a high school draftee record $9 million signing bonus because he has plus raw power that should translate into games and good pitch selection while playing a premium defensive position very well. Scouts are concerned that Holliday’s size might limit his range at shortstop in the long-term as well as the swing-and-miss in Holliday’s game that accompanies his long, powerful swing.
Scouts are also concerned that Holliday wasn’t more of an elite performer in the summer showcase circuit where many highly regarded prospects travel to play each other. In high school though, Holliday was monster, producing a cartoonish 2.038 OPS, with 19 homers and 64 RBI. He was named the Gatorade Oklahoma Baseball Player of the Year and Baseball America’s High School Player of the Year. In both of those awards, he beat out number one overall pick and fellow Oklahoma prep shortstop Eli Willits.
After signing in 2025, Holliday was assigned to Low-A Fresno, where he was 3.2 years younger than league average. In 84 plate appearances (all against older pitchers), Holliday hit .239/.357/.380 with two homers and four doubles (an above average 108 wRC+) with four errors in 17 games at shortstop. It’s a small sample size, but Holliday struck out in a worrying 39% of his plate appearances, though he did also walk in 14% of them. Skyler Timmins of Purple Row broke down Holliday’s professional debut season last September, and Sam Bradfield caught up with him during spring training.
This year, Holliday headed back to Fresno, where he is still two years younger than league average. Holliday served as the primary shortstop there and was hitting very well through 33 games when he suffered a stress fracture in his left foot that necessitated surgery that knocked him out for the rest of the season in late May. In 152 plate appearances, Holliday hit .262/.395/.557 with nine homers among his 15 extra-base hits, equaling a 136 wRC+.
Holliday walked in over 15% of plate appearances while striking out in about 28% of them — a high number but down quite a bit from 2025, and he has still yet to face a pitcher younger than him as a professional. Holliday was heating up too, hitting for a 1.083 OPS and six homers in May. He feasted on right-handed pitching, producing a 1.054 OPS against them with six of his nine homers (he had a .745 OPS against lefties). On defense, Holliday committed eight errors in 32 games at shortstop.
Here’s some pre-draft video of Holliday at a Perfect Game showcase last year with looks at him taking grounders and batting practice:
Here are some of Holliday’s 2026 highlights, including some slick defensive plays.
What do the scouts say?
MLB Pipeline ranked Holliday as their top draft prospect and currently lists him atop the system and 25th overall as a 55 FV player with a 65 power grade and a 50 or better on the other tools:
Holliday might have as much raw and usable power as anyone from the class of ‘25. When at his best, the 6-foot-4 left-handed hitter can get to it without a ton of effort. He already has strength, bat speed and leverage in his swing while continuing to add physicality to his frame. Worries about swing-and-miss cropped up when he was on the summer showcase circuit, and he expanded the zone too much, and there were a lot of whiffs during his brief pro debut, but he has the chance to be a solid all-around hitter with big home run totals.
A shortstop in high school like his brother, Holliday is agile for his size with average speed. His arm works from the position, and he has decent actions, but he’s unlikely going to be able to stay there because of his range. A move to third base would make the most sense, where his power-hitting profile should fit well.
Keith Law of the Athletic (who ranked Holliday atop his draft rankings) put Holliday first in the system and 39th overall in MLB before the season and recently bumped him up to 37th overall:
Holliday was the No. 4 pick in the 2025 draft and probably the most famous name selected, thanks to his dad, his brother Jackson and years of hype around Ethan’s easy power and potential to be more of an impact hitter than Jackson. He’s a shortstop now, with really good hands and a plus arm, but he has no chance to stay there given his size and lack of lateral range, with third base the best-case scenario and right field a realistic outcome.
As a hitter, he has plenty of bat speed and the raw power is probably a 70, but last spring, he seemed to be trying too hard to launch the ball to his pull side, so his front side was flying open and he had a hole on the outer third as a result. Holliday struggled mightily in his pro debut, as the Rockies sent him to Low A and he struck out 33 times in 84 PA (39.3 percent), even having trouble against good fastballs and looking stiffer and slower in the box. While that doesn’t undo everything he did before the draft, it’s very concerning for someone picked that high, and at the very least, he’s going to need more time to develop than the typical high school hitter taken in the top few picks of any draft class. He knows the strike zone well, and even in that stint in Low A didn’t chase pitches out of the zone excessively (25 percent overall, 16 percent on pitches well out of the zone), consistent with what he showed as an amateur.
I had Holliday ranked at the top of the 2025 draft class, which was a weak one at its uppermost echelon, based on the 30-homer upside and good instincts all around, but the near-universal sentiment after his pro debut is that he’s a much higher-risk prospect than it seemed a year ago.
FanGraphs ranked Holliday 47th overall as a 50 FV player before the season after slotting him as number two among draft prospects, then listed him 45th overall in their “Helium Group” last month. Holliday ranks second in the system with a 70 future raw power grade, a 60 future game power and arm grade, and a 55 grade on his pitch selection:
In a draft light on high-upside position players, Holliday was perhaps the singular exception. He’s been tooled up since his days as an underclassman at Stillwater High, when crosscheckers coming in to see his brother Jackson left almost more impressed with the freshman manning the hot corner. Colorado, understandably desperate for a franchise player, selected Holliday fourth overall and paid him $9 million to sign, the highest bonus in last year’s draft.
Holliday’s physicality stands out immediately. Four inches taller and a few dozen pounds of muscle bigger than his brother, Ethan has the strength and the build of a player in his mid-20s. He’s no stiff either, a fluid mover who looked great defensively this spring, and may even have a chance to stay at short. He has a fast bat and there’s loft in the path, which feeds the immense power projection listed above. He even shows a little feel for manipulating the bat head and using the whole field.
But while Holliday hammers the ball when he does connect, it’s the lack of contact that looks most worrisome here. His numbers weren’t particularly good on the showcase circuit, and anybody who hoped that a cameo at Low-A would render that moot will have to keep waiting. Holliday’s .239/.357/.380 line in 18 games at Fresno is more than fine on its own, but 33 strikeouts in 84 plate appearances suggests that there’s a long path ahead. Speaking of long paths: Holliday’s bat travels a considerable distance from the time his hands get going. He has a long and deep load with a hand loop, and then long levers on top of that. Once he starts, there’s real venom in the swing, but right now pitchers are throwing pedestrian velo right past him.
Holliday will likely need to make an adjustment, either to the length of his path or to his load; in his current form, he just looks too vulnerable to velocity. The bet here is that Holliday finds a way to make it work. He’s so strong and talented in other ways in the box that we’re in on him as a potential star, even with the red flags lurking. Consider this grade more of a reflection on his upside than our conviction in his likelihood to reach it.
Kiley McDaniel of ESPN.com (who ranked Holliday second among draft prospects) rated Holliday in January as a 50 FV player, 66th overall in MLB and tops in the system.
Type: A polarizing player who could be an All-Star or not hit much at all
Some teams/scouts/readers didn’t look past Ethan Holliday’s solid glove, 65-grade power, pretty swing, and last name and penciled him in at No. 1 on their board. Other teams told me his profile “terrified” them and didn’t have him in the mix for their picks in the top 10.
With the amount of information we have on every top draftee and the similarity of most teams’ analytical models, this isn’t common at all. I wrote about this multiple times and more in depth, but the short version is Holliday didn’t hit well in the summer against top pitching then fixed a swing flaw but didn’t face good pitching after it. Teams don’t like having to take performance against good pitching on faith while some others are fine if the other pieces of the puzzle are present.
After signing, Holliday posted a 39% strikeout rate in 18 games, which is a small sample but also is what the analytical teams would tell you is the risk of ignoring his summer performance. If Holliday follows the path he did last year, he’ll dial in his mechanics to adjust for velocity at this new level — this is something Braves star Austin Riley once told me he had to do at each level of the minors — and hit in 2026 like he did in 2025, but the velocity he faces will be much better than high school ball in Oklahoma. As such, Holliday could either be a top-10 prospect in the sport or not in the top 200 quite easily at this time next year.
Holliday was up to number 27 overall and a 55 FV grade earlier this month for McDaniel.
When’s he going to get to the Rockies and how good will he be once he’s there?
Holliday has a superstar ceiling, combining raw power, strike zone control, and defense at a premium position (he’s probably going to end up as a long-term starter at third base, but he can still play shortstop). That defensive utility combined with the offensive upside is the reason I ranked Holliday atop my personal list as a 55 Future Value player.
Much is expected of Holliday by fans and scouts — let’s see if he can pass the trials to come as he ascends the minor league ladder. Now that 2026 first rounder and fellow PuRP Tyler Bell has entered the system, Holliday will need to fight more for shortstop reps if they find themselves at the same level, which is possible in 2027 at High-A. I expect Holliday to push his way up the system quickly, especially if he can adjust to polished upper minors pitching.
Thanks to everyone who has read along with me through this PuRPs series! Check back soon for a complete list with full voting results for the mid-season 2026 Purple Row Prospect list and then my view on the state of the system.
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