Two-start pitchers: Chris Sale headlines an outstanding group of options as we flip the calendar to August

Hello and welcome to the 17th installment of our weekly two-start pitcher article for the 2026 MLB season.

I will continue to be here every Friday to highlight some of the best two-start pitcher options in fantasy baseball leagues for the upcoming week providing my insights and recommendations on which options should be started or benched.

With the uncertainty surrounding the labor dispute between Major League Baseball and the Player’s Association, we can’t be sure that the 2027 season is going to begin on time. Just make sure to take some time, appreciate and enjoy the second half of the 2026 season, as we aren’t sure what the 2027 campaign will bring.

As fantasy managers start to turn the page to football, there are opportunities to creep up in the standings where others aren’t giving their teams the full attention that they still deserve. Keep putting in the work and plugging away, striving to improve each week, and you’ll reap rewards at the end of this season.

This is a living document, so we'll update the options below as the weekend moves along.

Before we get into it, we'll start with a couple of notes on situations that may be unresolved or teams that may not have a two-start pitcher lined up for the upcoming week. With teams still trying to get their rotations lined up for the second half, there’s more uncertainty than usual for a Friday afternoon:

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We already know that Jake Bennett is going to make two starts for the Red Sox this week (at Athletics, at Dodgers), what we don’t yet know is who else is going to. Ranger Suarez may come off the injured list and start on Sunday, in which case Peyton Tolle would be pushed back to Monday and would be lined up to take the ball twice. If not, then Suarez could pitch on Monday and he would be set up for the two-start week. Both have been great this season, but there’s plenty of ratio risk lurking there given the tough opposition and ballparks that they’ll need to navigate.

The Rockies only have five games on their schedule for next week, so fortunately none of their starters are going to take the ball twice. As we know by now though, even if anyone in their rotation was lined up for two starts, there’s never any justifiable reason for going there.

Someone is going to start for the Blue Jays on Monday and is likely to get a two-start week (at Nationals, vs. Cardinals), with Spencer Miles working in a bulk role as the most likely candidate. If so, he makes for a decent streaming option in deeper leagues. We’ll update here if we get any additional clarification through the weekend.

Going Twice…

Note: Probable pitchers as of July 24 and are subject to change.

American League

▶ Strong Plays

Kyle Bradish, Orioles, RHP (at Tigers, vs. Phillies)

It took Bradish a while to really get his 2026 season on track, as he struggled early, rallied in May, got bombed twice at the beginning of June and has since posted a 2.03 ERA, 0.88 WHIP and a 37/12 K/BB ratio over 40 innings in his last six starts. The matchups aren’t ideal this week, but when Bradish is going right he can silence any lineup. He’s one of the top overall plays on the board this week and needs to be started in all leagues.

Max Fried, Yankees, LHP (at White Sox, at Cubs)

Fried was absolutely brilliant in his return from the injured list this past week, spinning five innings of one-hit, shutout baseball against the Pirates while piling up seven strikeouts. He has delivered elite results every time he has taken the mound this season, and there’s no reason to expect any less in a two-start week this time around. If you waited a week to get him activated to see how he looked, now is the time to get him back in there. This should be all systems go without question.

Gerrit Cole, Yankees, RHP (at White Sox, at Cubs)

Cole really hasn’t shown much rust after missing the entire 2025 season, returning to post a strong 3.92 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and a 66/12 K/BB ratio over 62 frames in his first 11 starts. He racked up 11 strikeouts against the Pirates his last time out and appears to be growing stronger with each start. He should be locked into fantasy lineups each and every week, so there’s no decision point here, just sit back and enjoy the added volume from an extra start this week.

Keider Montero, Tigers, RHP (vs. Orioles, at Athletics)

Whatever role the Tigers have used him in this season, Montero has done a terrific job – posting a 3.14 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and a 78/22 K/BB ratio over 106 innings. The limited strikeout rate is mitigated by the extra volume in a two-start week and Montero has been a major asset in the ratio department throughout the season. There’s risk in having to pitch against the Athletics at Sutter Health Park, but it’s not nearly enough of a reason to avoid Montero for a two-start week. He should be started with complete confidence in all leagues.

George Kirby, Mariners, RHP (at Rangers, vs. Twins)

While the WHIP has been a bit higher than we’re used to seeing from the 28-year-old righty, Kirby has still been as solid as ever this season, compiling a 3.57 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and a 104/25 K/BB ratio over 124 innings while notching eight victories in his 19 starts. He also enters his two-start week in great form, posting quality starts in each of his last six dating back to June 10. Kick up your feet and enjoy double the production from Kirby this week.

▶ Decent Plays

Jake Bennett, Red Sox, LHP (at Athletics, at Dodgers)

The 25-year-old southpaw is enjoying a terrific rookie campaign for the Red Sox, registering a 2.58 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and a 42/9 K/BB ratio over 59 1/3 innings while notching six victories in his first 10 starts. The sledding is going to get tougher this week though, having to battle the A’s in West Sacramento before traveling to Los Angeles to take on the vaunted Dodgers’ offense. He has pitched so well this season, and the Red Sox are winning so many games at the moment, that it’s hard to justify sitting Bennett at this point. Just be aware that the risk of ratio damage is much higher this week than we’re used to seeing from Bennett.

Walbert Ureña, Angels, RHP (vs. Astros, vs. Brewers)

Ureña is quietly enjoying an impressive rookie season for the Angels, boasting a 2.78 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and an 83/47 K/BB ratio across 87 1/3 innings of work. Those numbers would be even better if not for a disastrous start against the A’s where he gave up seven runs over 4 1/3 innings. He should have earned the trust of fantasy managers by now and is an easy start in all leagues for a strong week with both starts coming in a pitcher-friendly environment.

Griffin Jax, Rays, RHP (vs. Rangers, vs. White Sox)

When things go wrong for Griffin Jax, they go really wrong. Twice this year he has been bombed for six runs or more, otherwise he has been terrific. The matchups this week aren’t terribly imposing and he has shown enough consistency that he should certainly be trusted for a week with a pair of home starts. He should be started in all leagues.

Tatsuya Imai, Astros, RHP (at Angels, vs. Rangers)

It really has been all or nothing with Imai this season, either he’s brilliant and piling up strikeouts by the bushel, or he’s getting hammered around the yard and gets bounced within the first few innings. Depending on what you’re looking for, that could appeal to you, especially with a couple of decent matchups on the docket. If I’m going to take a chance, I like to do so with those that are talented and capable of elite performances. Imai has clearly shown that he has that in his range of outcomes. I wouldn’t watch his starts and sweat them out, just throw him in your lineup and hope for the best.

Anthony Kay, White Sox, LHP (vs. Yankees, at Rays)

Kay continues to muddle along in the White Sox’ rotation, posting a respectable 4.21 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and an 80/40 K/BB ratio over 98 1/3 innings. He hasn’t been working deep into games recently, but he also hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in a start since the calendar flipped to July. If you’re content with grabbing around eight strikeouts with decent ratios and an outside shot at a victory, you could roll the dice here, especially in deeper formats.

Kumar Rocker, Rangers, RHP (vs. Mariners, at Astros)

Rocker has done a decent job for the Rangers through his first 19 appearances (17 starts) on the season, registering a 4.13 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and an 86/36 K/BB ratio over 96 innings of work. The matchups this week aren’t terribly imposing, making him a decent streaming option if you’re looking to gain ground in strikeouts especially. For sure I’d be using him in 15-team formats and I may even take the plunge in 12’s.

▶ At Your Own Risk

Seth Lugo, Royals, RHP (at Twins, at Rockies)

Normally I find myself advocating for using Lugo in his two-start weeks, but his recent struggles combined with a visit to Coors Field make it very difficult to trust him at the moment. Being on the road for both starts and being backed by the Royals offense don’t do him any favors in terms of generating wins, and the strikeout upside has always been limited for the veteran right-hander. If you feel like gambling on a low-upside, minimal downside type of two-start option, Lugo should work for you.

Gage Jump, Athletics, LHP (vs. Red Sox, vs. Tigers)

Jump has been extremely inconsistent through his first 11 starts in the big leagues, giving up five runs or more three times while surrendering one earned run or fewer five times already. Unfortunately, most of those struggles have come recently as he has seen his ERA jump from 2.04 to 4.42 since June 24 and now has to battle with two of the hottest teams in all of baseball – with both starts coming at Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento. If you’re worried about your ratios, it may be wise to sit this one out.

Jack Perkins, Athletics, RHP (vs. Red Sox, vs. Tigers)

If we don’t want to use Gage Jump for a home two-step against the Red Sox and Tigers, then we certainly don’t want to trust Perkins in the same matchups. The right-hander holds an abysmal 6.75 ERA and 1.42 WHIP over 62 2/3 innings on the season and now has to tangle with two extremely hot offenses in one of the best hitter’s environments in all of baseball. Stay far away from this one.

Noah Schultz, White Sox, LHP (vs. Yankees, at Rays)

This one definitely isn’t for the risk averse fantasy manager. When Schultz is able to command his pitches, he has proven that he can be a dominant force on the mound. Unfortunately, we have also seen what can happen when he can’t locate, as he got bombed for five runs on 11 hits over 3 2/3 innings against the Rangers his last time out. If you’re the gambling type and want to wager that he’ll pile up strikeouts and keep the ratios in check over a pair of starts this week, you could be handsomely rewarded. The most likely scenario though is that he gets hit pretty hard in at least one of those starts.

Kendry Rojas, Twins, LHP (vs. Royals, at Mariners)

Rojas has been a bit of an enigma so far for the Twins, posting a strong 3.32 ERA and a miserable 1.57 WHIP with a 24/18 K/BB ratio over his first 21 2/3 innings. Eventually, all of those baserunners are going to catch up to him. He’s also not built up to take on a starter’s workload just yet, so the chances of him making it through five innings to even have a shot at earning a victory are very low. He should be able to help out in the strikeout department, but that’s all you’d be getting from streaming this two-start week.

Slade Cecconi, Guardians, RHP (at Reds, vs. Diamondbacks)

Cecconi hasn’t quite been a prominent figure in the Guardians’ rotation this season, struggling to a 4.60 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and an 82/34 K/BB ratio over 103 2/3 innings through his first 20 starts. He hasn’t been particularly trustworthy for fantasy purposes and now he has to run through a pair of difficult matchups – especially having to battle the Reds in Cincinnati. The juice just isn’t worth the squeeze here, as his ceiling doesn’t justify the risk that you would be taking on by streaming him.

Cal Quantrill, Rangers, RHP (vs. Mariners, at Astros)

Quantrill is not someone who has ever been confused with a reliable fantasy option. While he has done a nice job overall for the Rangers this season, his 5.48 xFIP and 4.90 xERA hint that his performance is a house of cards that’s going to collapse at any point. Don’t be the one that absorbs that ratio damage when it all comes crashing down. Stay away.

National League

▶ Strong Plays

Chris Sale, Braves, LHP (at Mets, vs. Nationals)

The 37-year-old left-hander continues to dominate whenever he takes the mound, compiling a brilliant 2.19 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and a 134/26 K/BB ratio across 111 innings through his first 19 starts on the season. Now he gets to battle a pair of familiar divisional foes where he should be a favorite to earn a victory both times that he takes the mound. There’s really no reason that Sale should ever be on benches for fantasy purposes, so just sit back and enjoy double the production from the Braves’ ace this week.

Chase Burns, Reds, RHP (vs. Guardians, vs. Pirates)

Burns has been an absolutely dominant force for the Reds this season, posting a 12-1 record, 2.42 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and a 124/39 K/BB ratio over 107 2/3 innings in his 19 starts. He has been an absolute gold mine for fantasy purposes and there’s really no reason to anticipate that his production is going to fall off anytime soon. Whether he makes one start or two doesn’t impact anything decision-wise for fantasy managers, as he should be locked into all lineups each and every week. He’s one of the top options on the entire board this week.

Zack Wheeler, Phillies, RHP (at Marlins, at Orioles)

Wheeler has been one of the best stories of the 2026 season so far, coming back from a major injury to go 10-2 with a 2.16 ERA, 0.88 WHIP and a 117/22 K/BB ratio over 100 innings in his age-36 season. He has also been remarkably consistent from start-to-start and you know that you’re going to get elite results from him whenever he takes the mound. He’s easily one of the top overall plays on the board once again this week.

Michael King, Padres, RHP (vs. Rockies, vs. Giants)

King is putting together another tremendous season for the Padres, posting a 3.24 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and a 103/49 K/BB ratio over 119 1/3 innings through his first 21 starts. Now he draws a dream two-start week, getting to battle both the Rockies and the Giants in the pitcher-friendly confines of Petco Park. He’s easily one of the top overall plays on the board this week and should be started in 100 percent of fantasy leagues without question.

Christian Scott, Mets, RHP (vs. Braves, vs. Marlins)

Scott has settled in nicely to the Mets’ rotation, contributing a terrific 3.13 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and a 78/29 K/BB ratio over 63 1/3 innings through his first 14 starts. The only problem is that he has made it through five innings just six times in those 14 outings and hasn’t even exceeded 90 pitches in a start since June 5. That lowers his win equity a bit, but he’ll still deliver quality ratios and strikeout numbers, which makes him a strong option in all leagues for his two-start week.

Eric Lauer, Dodgers, LHP (vs. Mariners, vs. Red Sox)

Things could still change, but as of now it looks like even in a six-game week that we’ll get a two-start week from someone on the Dodgers, That’s because Shohei Ohtani is battling a knee issue and it’s unclear when he’ll return to the rotation. Lauer has done a nice job overall since joining the Dodgers, posting a 3.35 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and a 26/12 K/BB ratio over 45 2/3 innings of work. What he lacks in strikeouts, he makes up for in win equity by pitching for baseball’s best team. Those limited strikeouts are also buoyed by the added volume of a two-start week. Lauer is a strong play in all leagues this week.

Sandy Alcantara, Marlins, RHP (vs. Phillies, at Mets)

We haven’t quite gotten the vintage version of Sandy Alcantara this season, but he has been leaps and bounds better than the version that we had to suffer through during the 2025 season. The workhorse right-hander holds a 4.01 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and a 110/38 K/BB ratio over a league-leading 143 2/3 innings. He should be in fantasy lineups most weeks regardless of matchups, and he always makes for a strong option when he’s toeing the slab twice. He should be started in all league sizes without question.

Zac Thornton, Mets, LHP (vs. Braves, vs. Marlins)

The 24-year-old southpaw has been very impressive through his first four starts, putting together a 1.93 ERA, 0.86 WHIP and a 17/6 K/BB ratio over 23 1/3 innings. He has gone at least six innings and allowed one run or less in each of his last three starts. While he’s not going to continue at this level, you should absolutely ride the hot hand here in a two-start week. He’s an easy start in all formats this week.

Brandon Sproat, Brewers, RHP (at Giants, at Angels)

Sproat has taken his lumps in the Brewers’ rotation this season, compiling a 5.09 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and a 91/43 K/BB ratio over 86 2/3 innings through his first 19 outings. It has finally looked like the talent is starting to shine through and everything is clicking into place recently though. Since the calendar flipped to June, Sproat boasts a 3.58 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and a 39/16 K/BB ratio across 37 2/3 innings. The matchups couldn’t get much better, battling the Giants and Angels in pitcher’s parks. He should be an easy start in all leagues this week and makes for a terrific streaming option in shallower formats where he may still be available.

Landen Roupp, Giants, RHP (vs. Brewers, at Padres)

Roupp has quietly put together a nice season in the Giants’ rotation, registering a 3.93 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and a 113/45 K/BB ratio over 110 innings through his first 20 starts. He’s had two terrible road starts that have brought that overall line down, otherwise he has been very impressive. He has also been sizzling in the month of July, allowing just three runs over 21 innings (1.29 ERA) while posting a 14/5 K/BB ratio. He should be started with full confidence in all league sizes this week.

Michael McGreevy, Cardinals, LHP (vs. Cubs, at Blue Jays)

McGreevy has been a stabilizing force for the Cardinals and for fantasy managers this season, putting together a 3.07 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and a 74/27 K/BB ratio across 114 1/3 innings in his first 20 starts. It’s a travesty that it has only led to four victories. The only knock on him, aside from the lack of wins which are out of his control, is the limited strikeout rate. That’s made up for with the added volume from a two-start week. He should be utilized in all leagues this week.

▶ Decent Plays

Cade Cavalli, Nationals, RHP (vs. Blue Jays, at Braves)

Cavalli has legitimately done a nice job for the Nationals this season, compiling a 3.58 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and a 127/34 K/BB ratio over 110 2/3 innings through his first 22 starts. He has been a useful option most weeks for fantasy purposes as well. Look for that trend to continue with this two-start week on tap. The Blue Jays can be bested by right-handed pitching and though the Braves will be a tougher challenge with Ronald Acuna Jr. back in the mix, it’s not enough to dissuade me from using Cavalli with double the volume this week. Go ahead and fire him up in all leagues.

Merrill Kelly, Diamondbacks, RHP (at Pirates, at Guardians)

The 37-year-old right-hander has not pitched well overall this season, but there has been at least a glimmer of hope since the calendar flipped to July. Over his last four starts, Kelly has gone 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and an 18/8 K/BB ratio over 22 innings of work. The matchups against the Pirates and Guardians aren’t terribly imposing, so I’d be tempted to ride with the hot hand here, making Kelly a viable streaming option in all formats.

Mitch Keller, Pirates, RHP (vs. Diamondbacks, at Reds)

Overall, Keller’s season has been an extreme roller coaster ride. He started off brilliant, with a 2.87 ERA through his first seven starts. Then he went through a six-start stretch where he was saddled with an 8.70 ERA over 30 innings. Things have leveled off a bit since then though and he’s coming off of a terrific outing where he struck out six batters over five scoreless innings against the Yankees. Keller has always been a viable streaming option in deeper mixed leagues in two-start weeks, and I’m comfortable rolling him out there in both 15 and 12-team formats once again this time around.

Brady Singer, Reds, RHP (vs. Guardians, vs. Pirates)

Singer is having a rough time overall in his second season with the Reds, posting an uninspiring 4.53 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and an 88/32 K/BB ratio across 103 1/3 innings in his 20 starts. The matchups this week aren’t particularly imposing, which gives credence to the idea that Singer could be worth a look as a streaming option. It’s never going to feel warm and fuzzy to put Singer in your lineup for a two-start week, but the overall upside outweighs the risk here, making him a viable play in deeper mixed leagues.

Colin Rea, Cubs, RHP (at Cardinals, vs. Yankees)

Rea pretty much is who he is at this stage of his career, a decent innings eater that can have viability for fantasy purposes in weeks where the matchups fall in his favor. That’s not quite the case having to travel to St. Louis before battling the Yankees to finish the week. What’s nice about Rea is that the chances of him crushing your ratios with a blowup start are minimal, while he should be able to approach double-digit strikeouts in most two-start weeks. The ceiling isn’t that high, but he can be of use in deeper leagues.

Bubba Chandler, Pirates, RHP (vs. Diamondbacks, at Reds)

Chandler has yet to deliver the elite results that fantasy managers were hoping for this season as inconsistency has led to a middling 4.47 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and a 90/56 K/BB ratio over 100 2/3 innings. The stuff is there, he just has to find a way to cut back on the walks to have consistent success at the game’s highest level. The matchups this week are tough, which invites in some extra ratio risk, so it depends on what you’re looking for. If you’re fine with piling up strikeouts and taking a shot at a win, Chandler makes for a fine option.

Tyler Mahle, Giants, RHP (vs. Brewers, at Padres)

The overall season line for Mahle looks bleak, as he sits at 2-9 with a 5.31 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and a 77/33 K/BB ratio over 83 frames through his first 16 starts. If you squint though, you can see a glimmer of hope coming out of his recent performance. The most likely scenario here is that he deals you some ratio damage and approaches double-digit strikeouts for the week while giving you a shot at a win. If that sounds appealing, go ahead and roll the dice.

Tyler Phillips, Marlins, RHP (vs. Phillies, at Mets)

Phillips has done a decent job overall on the season for the Marlins, registering a 3.52 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and a 58/36 K/BB ratio over 79 1/3 innings in 26 appearances (10 starts). He has won just two games though and has made it through five innings just once in his last four outings. The matchups are a mixed bag, as the Phillies are likely to cause him trouble, though the matchup against the Mets is softer. He’s fine as a volume play in deeper leagues, but the overall ceiling is very low.

▶ At Your Own Risk

Matthew Liberatore, Cardinals, LHP (vs. Cubs, at Blue Jays)

Liberatore’s overall results on the season have been extremely disappointing, struggling to a 5.18 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and a 95/38 K/BB ratio over 99 innings through his first 20 starts. He was also knocked around by the Angels his last time out, so he doesn’t enter this week in good form. If you are able to throw caution to the wind with your ratios and are just looking to add volume, you can click his name and hope for the best. Otherwise, I’d avoid.

Andrew Alvarez, Nationals, LHP (vs. Blue Jays, at Braves)

Alvarez has been a somewhat serviceable option as an innings eater for the Nationals, but his 1.50 WHIP has dealt brutal ratio damage to fantasy managers that have risked using him. This two-step looks particularly challenging on paper as I can see that start against the Braves going sideways very quickly. He’s also not likely to be a favorite to earn a win in either start. If all you care about is piling up strikeouts, you could try it, but there are probably better alternatives available.

David Peterson, Cubs, LHP (at Cardinals, vs. Yankees)

The version of Peterson that we have seen through four starts with the Cubs looks a whole lot like the guy who couldn’t keep his spot in the Mets’ rotation. He shows flashes of brilliance now and again, but the overall results have been wholly disappointing. With these particular matchups, Peterson isn’t likely to win a game, he has never been a major asset in the strikeout department and he’s very likely to deliver ratios that will cause major damage – especially in WHIP. If you’re chasing wins and strikeouts and need the volume, maybe you could try it in deeper leagues. I’d try to stay away from this one if possible though.

Ranking what the Phillies have to trade

Much like the Doomsday clock Disney/Marvel has put in place to count down to the new IP they want to put on screen, the clock is counting down to the trade deadline for MLB. Once the All-Star festivities completed and the season started back up, teams turned their attention back to making deals to put their teams into position for the stretch run and, hopefully, beyond. What the Phillies actually need to acquire and how it should be prioritized is a matter of opinion. The focus has been on bats that can get on base and/or relievers to add to the bullpen, but this weekend also showed us how much they might need someone to create a sense of calm in the fifth starter’s position if they even want to get into the postseason at all.

In order to facilitate those trades, the Phillies will have to surrender something in return, no easy task. Baseball America recently ranked the farm system the team has as the 29th best in the game, something that might make it difficult to make a deal to give them the impact bat/relief arm many would prefer they get. Yet trades will happen and the Phillies will be involved in some capacity, so let’s take a stab at ranking some of their prospects in terms of their trade value and what they might be able to command on the open market. This isn’t necessarily a ranking of what their farm system is as it stands. Rather, it’s look at prospects and how they might rank if we’re talking about those most likely to be dealt.

Note: any scouting reports used here will come from Matt Winkelman’s outstanding work covering the system unless otherwise noted. All stats through Wednesday’s games.

7. Alirio Ferrebus, C, Clearwater

Ferrebus has been one of the few breakouts the Phillies’ system has had this year. Fangraphs had him ranked 20th on the Phillies list coming into the season and all he has done is hit. A .328/.379/.511 line on the year with 11 home runs and 56 RBI is going to get the attention of people, as will the striking out less than 14% of the time he is at the plate. Yet it’s also the way he’s hitting that is going to be enticing. He’s maxed out with a 111.7 mph exit velocity, so the power is there and showing up in game.

He’s making good swing decisions, basically doing all the things the team wants him to do. His staying as a catcher is still something of a question mark, but the way he is swinging the bat, he simply needs to get to something a tic below average to have a lot of value. This might be a little low of a ranking, but with catchers, development isn’t really linear. Some might be hesitant to give up a lot for him if he can’t stay as a catcher, which adds to the wild card-ness of his profile.

What would be able to bring the Phillies: Ferrebus likely wouldn’t be enough to be the lead of any significant deal, but he’s a solid second piece in a trade.

6. Bryan Rincon, SS, Jersey Shore

Another breakout for the Phillies, Rincon is healthy and producing. He had 13 home runs and 23 stolen bases, showing more power than he has in the past and regaining the speed that made him an intriguing up the middle prospect. The question is – is there more development left for him, or is this pretty much what he is? If that’s the case, the consideration must be made that his trade value is somewhat small, which brings us to…

What would be able to bring the Phillies: For now, he seems to be very much in the boat of “third piece in a deal” if they were looking to acquire someone fairly significant, as reports seem to be. However, Rincon also has that whiff about him of a player that would be a fine return for a team looking at a one-for-one deal for a bullpen addition. His value might vacillate quite a bit.

5. Marty Gair, RHP, Clearwater

Does 102 do it for you?

Teams love bringing back wild card arms in trades and Gair is one that would qualify. He has had a solid season down in Clearwater, clearly demonstrating the ability to throw the baseball past hitters at that level. Does it play as he moves up the minor league ladder? Well, looking at at least one game to see his metrics on the fastball, there is something here that teams would be interested in working with. Seeing as how he has an induced vertical break on the fastball of 19 inches with some cut to it, that’s a major league fastball. Maybe it needs some refinement, which he clearly does with that and his secondary stuff, but this is a definite player teams would have interest in.

What would be able to bring the Phillies: Let’s also be realistic here. Gair is a reliever. Teams aren’t going to make a pitcher like that a priority in a deal unless it is similar to Rincon, a one-for-one move for a bullpen arm. Yet this is something that is tantalizing, a piece that could bring some teams something maybe they don’t have in their current system, an arm that can rush it up to the plate with pitch characteristics that play in higher levels

4. Brad Pacheco, RHP, Clearwater

The Phillies seem to be able to develop right handed pitching rather well in their minor league system and it’s beginning to look like Pacheco is going to be another. He had thrown strikes this year and done so with a fastball that reaches into the high nineties, all complemented by a changeup that grades out as plus.

These are the stepping stones teams that can develop pitchers well seek out when looking at prospects to acquire in a deal. Pachecho may have developed into that.

What would be able to bring the Phillies: As all the scouting reports you read about him talk about, being six feet tall has his profile at risk of being a reliever. He’s been developed by the Phillies as a starter and he has shown success, so teams would likely continue that path with him. Does he lead a trade package? Probably not, but he’s a darn good second piece.

3. Aroon Escobar, 2B, Reading

Players in the minors go through down parts of their development as we all know that that development is rarely linear. Escobar is one that is in the down part. He has not had a good season this year as he’s hitting for significantly less power than he did just a year ago. There are some bright spots to see as he’s walking a bit more and striking out a bit less, but even then, there is bit of a line of demarcation with his season. As Winkelman quotes:

Escobar has struggled at Reading, with an overly aggressive approach leading to poor contact quality. He has swung the other way towards passivity in June, and he needs to find a balance between the two approaches.

To me, that screams a player that needs a new voice in his development and perhaps an outside organization will see what he did last year and think they have the solutions to get him back on track.

What would be able to bring the Phillies: It’s probably a lock that Escobar is someone who is dealt at the deadline. What he commands in a deal will probably be the biggest delta of them all. If a team thinks they can fix his issues, he might be someone that is targeted in a deal. They’ll probably try to buy low on him based on his season though.

2. Juan Villavicencio, SS, Jersey Shore

This is where we get into the part of the list where, in my opinion, things are going to start to get interesting. Villavicencio has had a great season so far in Jersey Shore, hitting for some unexpected power and showing that he can stay up the middle long term. If this is the first time you’re hearing about him as a prospect, you’re not alone.

Matt Winkelman, as noted above, is the foremost authority on the team’s prospect system. Here is what he wrote about Villavicencio last year:

Villavicencio received an intriguing amount of time at the top of the FCL lineup after Aroon Escobar’s injury, indicating the Phillies like him. He has some positional flexibility, but he also has struck out a decent rate at each stop and doesn’t really have starting punch in his bat.

And here is what he wrote about him most recently:

Villavicencio has piqued the interest of some evaluators over the years thanks to intriguing raw power and the ability to stay up the middle defensively. However, he barely played and stayed healthy the last two seasons, with much of his time spent on the complex team. This year, he has been healthy, and very productive. He has average raw power, good zone contact rates, and a solid approach. 

This kind of jump in what his profile looks like is what gets other teams to notice, something that is starting to happen more often.

What would be able to bring the Phillies: Ever see those trades where a guy looks like a throw-in at the end of a deal and turns out to be something more? That looks like where Villavicencio is headed. If he is someone that looks like he will continue on his current path and teams think he will do so, teams are going to target him in a deal, maybe for something significant.

1. Ramon Marquez, RHP, Jersey Shore

Marquez has had a breakout season for the Phillies to this point and is probably the best prospect the team would move this trade season. His changeup has led to his getting some solid swing and miss, a pitch that has jumped a grade in this season.

What’s interesting is that with Marquez, there are some scouts that spoke with Matt Gelb in an article about the farm system that said he has gotten to, or maybe passed, the level that Gage Wood is at, perhaps the top prospect in the team’s current farm system. If that is true, there might be some belief that the team should hold on to him, but if his profile is this high and they can find a match in a trade, out the door he goes.

What would be able to bring the Phillies: If Wood is completely off the table, Marquez is probably the lead player in any deal of significance the Phillies make.

Honorable mention: Gage Wood, RHP, Reading

Why isn’t Wood amongst the names we have included here? It’s highly unlikely that the team will actually deal him, but we simply cannot rule it out completely.

Let’s consider the Phillies’ many needs, all of which we have covered here. A lot of the names we have seen churning on the rumor mill are names that aren’t exactly that perfect combination of difference maker and having notable team control still in their future. Were that player to exist and the Phillies make a play on him, putting Wood on that table would and should be something they considered.

Notable absences: Aidan Miller, Francisco Renteria

It’s pretty obvious why Miller isn’t included here. Trading him now would be trading him at the lowest his trade value would be. He projects to be an impact player so long as he is healthy enough to scratch that ceiling. However, that health is the X-factor at play. Most teams will likely not want anything to do with him, those that might have interest not wanting to risk giving something of value for him. For now, it only makes sense that the Phillies hang on to him and continue rehabbing his injury.

With Renteria, the upside he has been showing in game situations, one might make the argument that he is the team’s top prospect right now regardless of age or level of competition he’s faced. The team is likely loathe to trade him, preferring that their investment in him pay dividends in their own organization as opposed to another.

Astros Prospect Report: July 24th

PORT ST. LUCIE, FL - MARCH 14: Brett Gillis (78) of the Houston Astros pitches against the New York Mets during a Minor League spring training game on March 14, 2026 at Clover Park in Port St. Lucie, Florida. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Another day of minor league baseball is in the books. See the results below. Check out yesterday’s recap here.

AAA: Sugar Land Space Cowboys (50-48) won 6-2 (BOX SCORE)

Wesneski started for Sugar Land and turned in another good outing allowing one unearned run over 4.1 innings while striking out 7. The offense got on the board in the 3rd inning on RBI singles from Loperfido and Whitcomb. In the 6th, the offense blew it open scoring 4 runs on a Biggio sac fly, Meyers RBI single, and Whitcomb 2 run double. The pen was solid with Carlson allowing the only run in the 9th as he held on for the 6-2 Sugar Land win.

Note: Wesneski has a 2.77 ERA in Triple-A.


AA: Corpus Christi Hooks (44-50)

Game One – lost 4-3 (BOX SCORE)

Gillis got the start for the Hooks and pitched really well tossing 6 scoreless innings with 4 strikeouts. The Hooks got on the board in the 4th inning on a Janek RBI single. Mancini came on for the 7th but allowed 4 runs as the Sod Poodles took the lead. In the bottom of the 7th, Gomez connected on a 2 run single but that was it as the Hooks fell 4-3.

Note: Gillis has a 3.66 ERA this season.

Game Two – won 2-0 (BOX SCORE)

DeVos started game two for the Hooks and pitched really well striking out 5 over 5.1 scoreless innings. The Hooks got on the board in the bottom of the 5th scoring 2 runs on a Gomez 2 run triple. Guedez closed out the 6th and Chirinos tossed a scoreless 7th inning as he closed out the 2-0 win.

Note: Chirinos has a 3.38 ERA this season.


A+: Asheville Tourists (32-61) lost 3-2 (BOX SCORE)

Taylor started for Asheville and he pitched really well allowing one unearned run over 4.1 innings while striking out 4 batters. Asheville got on the board in the 5th inning on a Thomas RBI double. In the 7th, Neyens gave Asheville the lead with an RBI single. The pen allowed a couple of runs as the Hot Rods tied it in the 7th and took the lead in the 8th. Asheville put a few on in the 9th but failed to scores as they fell 3-2.

Note: Taylor has a 2.93 ERA in High-A this season.


A: Fayetteville Woodpeckers (46-46) lost 4-1 (BOX SCORE)

Potter got the start for the Woodpeckers and went 4.1 innings allowing 2 runs while striking out 6 batters. The offense got on the board in the 6th inning on a Cauro solo home run. Gonzalez went the final 3 innings allowing 2 runs as the Nationals extended their lead. The Woodpeckers offense was quiet the rest of the way as they fell 4-1.

Note: Cauro is hitting .280 this season.


Today’s minor league starters:

SL: Jackson Nezuh – 5:05 CT

CC: Bryce Mayer – 5:05 CT

AV: Parker Smith – 6:35 CT

FV: TBD – 5:35 CT

Hard Conversations: Should the Astros Trade Jeremy Pena?

HOUSTON, TEXAS - JULY 20: Jeremy Pena #3 of the Houston Astros hits a grand slam in the second inning against the Miami Marlins at Daikin Park on July 20, 2026 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Maria Lysaker/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Sometimes the toughest conversations are the ones worth having.

As much as Astros fans would rather focus on another postseason run, the reality is that Dana Brown and the front office have to think beyond this season. Every decision they make isn’t just about winning in 2026, it’s about positioning the organization to remain a contender for years to come.

That brings us to an uncomfortable question.

Is Jeremy Peña the player the Astros should be shopping?

Before you dismiss the idea, consider where this roster currently stands.

Throughout the first half of the season, one of the biggest discussions surrounding the Astros was their infield logjam. Houston simply had more capable infielders than available positions. The injury to Carlos Correa temporarily solved that problem by opening a spot and allowing Dana Brown to postpone a difficult decision.

But that decision hasn’t gone away.

When everyone is healthy, the Astros will once again have to determine how the pieces fit together—not only for this season, but for the future.

That’s where Peña enters the conversation.

He’s approaching free agency, and his representative is Scott Boras.

That fact alone should get the attention of every Astros fan.

We already know how Jim Crane operates.

Throughout his ownership, Crane has consistently shown he’s reluctant to hand out massive, long-term contracts to players nearing free agency. Gerrit Cole walked. George Springer left. Carlos Correa departed. More recently, Kyle Tucker was traded before reaching the open market because the Astros understood the type of contract he would eventually command.

Whether fans liked those decisions or not, they’ve become part of the organization’s philosophy.

So why should anyone assume Peña will be treated differently?

In fact, the circumstances suggest the opposite.

There were reports that Peña and the Astros had the framework of a contract extension before he changed representation. Once Scott Boras entered the picture, those discussions disappeared.

That’s significant.

It suggests Houston may eventually face the same difficult financial decision it has encountered with several other franchise cornerstones.

The difference is timing.

Right now, Jeremy Peña’s value may never be higher.

He’s in the middle of another outstanding season, once again proving himself to be one of the better all-around shortstops in baseball. He’s producing offensively, playing Gold Glove-caliber defense, and still has team control.

That combination would make him one of the most valuable trade chips available if the Astros decided to explore the market.

The return could be enormous.

And here’s where the baseball argument becomes even more interesting.

If Carlos Correa returns healthy next season, Houston already has an accomplished shortstop capable of stepping right back into the position. The Astros wouldn’t be replacing Peña with an unproven rookie, they’d be replacing him with a player who has already excelled at the position in Houston.

That roster flexibility gives Dana Brown options that many general managers simply don’t have. Brown however is also in a contract year, so that could be a factor worth keeping an eye on. He may be in win now mode, regardless of what the right thing to do may be.

None of this means the Astros should become sellers.

Quite the opposite.

Houston can still be aggressive at this year’s trade deadline while simultaneously planning for the future. Contending for another championship and maximizing the long-term value of one of your best players are not mutually exclusive ideas.

The emotional reaction is obvious.

No Astros fan wants to see Jeremy Peña leave. He’s become one of the faces of the franchise and has delivered in some of the biggest moments since arriving in Houston.

But front offices can’t afford to make emotional decisions.

They have to make baseball decisions.

If Dana Brown believes Peña is unlikely to sign a long-term extension—and if Jim Crane remains committed to the financial philosophy he’s followed for years—the smartest move may be to maximize Peña’s value before he reaches free agency.

It won’t be a popular decision.

Neither was trading Kyle Tucker.

But popularity and practicality are rarely the same thing.

The Astros have shown they’re willing to make difficult choices if they believe those moves position the organization for sustained success.

The question now is whether Jeremy Peña is next.

It may not happen before this year’s trade deadline.

But between now and Opening Day next season, don’t be surprised if Dana Brown quietly begins searching for the right deal.

It may be the toughest conversation Astros fans have to face, but it could also be the smartest baseball decision the organization makes.

Saturday morning Rangers stuff

Jul 24, 2026; Arlington, Texas, USA; Texas Rangers first baseman Jake Burger (21) hits a two run home run during the fourth inning against the Seattle Mariners at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Andrew Dieb-Imagn Images | Andrew Dieb-Imagn Images

Good morning, LSB.

The Rangers beat the Mariners 5-4 last night to take the first in a huge series.

Kennedi Landry writes about a big night from Jake Burger.

Evan Grant says a little small ball helped the Rangers increase their lead in the AL West

Shawn McFarland touches on a very strong game for the Rangers bullpen.

Ryan Myers credits MacKenzie Gore for battling vs. Seattle.

Elsewhere the Rangers had a nice Make A Wish moment before the game last night.

Jeff Wilson offers a Corey Seager update as he continues to progress.

After saying otherwise last week week the Rangers now think an IL stint is possible for Josh Jung.

And our old pal TR “Texas Ranger” Sullivan is the latest guest on Evan Grant’s podcast.

That’s all for this morning Have .a great weekend!

Dodgers vs Mets Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's MLB Game

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (-150) go for their fourth win in as many games as they face the New York Mets at Citi Field on Saturday.

My offerings take special interest in the vaunted starting pitching matchup between Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Nolan McLean.

That leads to a low-scoring game according to my Dodgers vs. Mets predictions and MLB picks on Saturday, July 25.

Who will win Dodgers vs Mets today: Dodgers (-155)

Yoshinobu Yamamoto can lead with his potent splitter (.178 wOBA) against a New York Mets lineup that has the lowest runs above average (-5.4) per 100 pitches against the offering this month. 

The World Series hero has dominated on the road (2.24 ERA) and has been in excellent form overall (0.79 WHIP since May 18).

He puts his team at a sizable advantage against a Mets lineup likely without Juan Soto, who is set to receive an MRI on his ailing calf. 

New York's bullpen is utterly untrustworthy (6.37 FIP this month), so the Los Angeles Dodgers have a great chance at picking up win number four in a row.

Play to -160.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Yamamoto masterfully avoids issuing free passes (5.5% walk rate), and he'll likely gain more punchouts than usual against a Mets lineup that has struck out 25.7% of the time against right-handed pitchers in the last 10 days.

Dodgers vs Mets Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (-112)

Baseball fans are treated to a delight in which both starting pitchers have some of the nastiest stuff in the game. 

Nolan McLean (108 Stuff+) has been at the top of his game, posting a 2.08 ERA since May 31. 

The Mets have played to the Under in eight of their last nine games, and it's tough to see them snapping that streak against Yamamoto (111 Pitching+). 

The wind will be blowing in toward third base at 5-9 mph, aiding these A-list pitchers in their continued run of excellence. 

JD Yonke's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 26-29, -7.2 units
  • Over/Under bets: 35-21, +12.6 units

Dodgers vs Mets weather

It will be a perfect night for baseball, with temps in the 70's. 

Dodgers vs Mets odds

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -150 | Mets +144
  • Run line: Dodgers -1.5 (+113) | Mets + 1.5 (-117)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+108) | Under (-113)

Dodgers vs Mets trend

The Mets have cashed the Under in eight of their last nine games. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Mets.

How to watch Dodgers vs Mets and game info

LocationCiti Field, Queens, NY
DateSaturday, July 25, 2026
First pitch7:15 p.m. ET
TVFOX
Dodgers starting pitcherYoshinobu Yamamoto
(10-6, 2.78 ERA)
Mets starting pitcherNolan McLean
(7-6, 3.34 ERA)

Dodgers vs Mets latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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2026 Cubs Heroes and Goats: Matthew Boyd is the Superhero vs. the Pirates

This team is a study in contradictions. Two 10-game winning streaks (out of the three total 10+ game winning streaks in MLB this year) and a 10-game losing streak. The team has a leaky bullpen and yet it’s something like a quarter of their games that have been won in their last team at-bat. There are the 10 walk-offs but also, this is the third extra-inning win on the road (and eighth overall). I know there was at least one bottom of the eighth winning run scored at home. That’s 14 of 58 wins there. There was a game in LA that they beat the Dodgers 6-4 with two runs in the ninth. So 15 of 58 wins involved the Cubs scoring in their last time at the plate to win.

It’s totally crazy. The wins against bad starters. The wins against bad bullpens. Those are likely going away when the postseason comes. Well-rested elite starters and the top end of the bullpen throws almost all of the relief innings come postseason. You don’t win as much on depth anymore as top end talent. That’s an easy narrative for this team.

But Jared Jones is the type of guy who starts a playoff game. And he pitched like he belongs there. Yohan Ramirez came in with a 6-2 record, a 3.21 ERA and a whisker shy of 10 strikeouts per nine innings of work. Ramirez is on a one-year deal. If and when the Pirates fall out of contention, teams are going to be calling about Ramirez with the intention of having him work the sixth or seventh inning for their playoff teams.

This isn’t a win that readily falls into the Cub narrative. The Cubs had just seven prior wins with three or fewer runs. In fact, this game does interact with the first paragraph. The Cubs have had three 3-2 walk-off wins this year. Add to that now a road, extra-inning 3-2 win. There’s also a 2-1 walk-off. So five of their eight wins now with 3 or fewer runs are last at-bat winners. The other three are all shutouts. There are no 3-0 or 3-1 wins yet this year.

Let’s not forget the perspective check. Today I start with: That’s 1-0 on this 17-game gauntlet. There are four teams with more wins than the Cubs. There is one team with as many wins as the Cubs. The Cubs are currently holding a 2.5 game lead for the first Wild Card spot. The Cubs are on a pace to win 91 games. Fangraphs had them with a record of 7-9-1 for this 17 game stretch at the start of the day. This was not one of the seven, so currently at +1. I’d honestly take the eight if it was offered. I hope I’m selling them short.

A giant hat tip to Matthew Boyd and a smaller hat tip to the Cub defense. They were against the ropes several times, but they never broke. Boyd’s seven innings of one-run ball made this possible. Credit where credit is due, Caleb Thielbar and Gavin Hollowell retired all six batters they faced to close this out, with Hollowell facing the top of the Pirate order. Hollowell is the 11th different Cub with a save. I asked near the end of the first half if more Cubs would have at least one save or more walk-offs. Saves are more likely, but at some point, even Oprah runs out of new people to give a save to.

Eleven different people with saves is already remarkable. I was surprised to learn that just last year the Diamondbacks had 17 different players combine for 42 saves, with 10 being the high. The Cubs have 21 saves among 11 players. Jacob Webb leads with five. Phil Maton and Ethan Roberts, both on the IL, have the most relief innings without registering a save. Tyler Ferguson does not have one yet. Nor did Drew Pomeranz before he was DFA. Aaron Civale was two outs away from one. Maybe a presently rehabbing starter or a deadline acquisition could push the number higher. Curious, if nothing else.

It all adds up to a season not quite like any other. In basketball, this was the kind of team that lived in purgatory. It’s not good enough to win a championship. Nor does it have a chance to win the draft lottery. In baseball, there is little benefit to tanking. Even where there are a few benefits that flow from a bad record, most of them take a long, long time to come to fruition. Almost all of the draft picks and international free agents take years to cultivate. So might as well make the most of it. Maximize your team at the deadline and hope to win two series rather than one in October. One feels like the ceiling. Break the ceiling and hope to catch lightning in a bottle after that.

Three Positives and Pete:

  • Matthew Boyd threw seven innings of one run ball.
  • Ian Happ, one hit, one very big run, one even bigger outfield assist.
  • Gavin Hollowell. Didn’t worry about the ghost runner, got three balls in play and picked up a save.
  • Pete had a homer for the first Cub run, doubled, and had a huge intentional walk. I think the old cliche about an unintentional walk after an intentional walk probably disappeared with the automatic walk, but Ramirez walked Seiya Suzuki after walking PCA to load the bases. That pair of walks won this game for the Cubs. It was probably the right (unconventional) strategy there.

Game 103, July 24: Cubs 3, Pirates 2 (58-45)

Reminder: Heroes and Goats are determined by WPA scores and are in no way subjective.

THREE HEROES:

  • Superhero: Matthew Boyd (.300). 7 IP, 29 BF, 7 H, 3 BB, R, 4 K
  • Hero: Gavin Hollowell (.209). IP, 3 BF (Sv 1)
  • Sidekick: Dansby Swanson (.196). 1-4, RBI

THREE GOATS:

  • Billy Goat: Michael Busch (-.156). 0-5
  • Goat: Carson Kelly (-.130). 0-3
  • Kid: Pedro Ramirez (-.126). 1-4, R

WPA Play of the Game: Dansby Swanson’s RBI single in the 10th inning with Ian Happ’s very close foot-first slide (that I very much thought was going to be overturned). (.304)

Pirates Play of the Game: Yohan Ramirez’ strikeout of Nico Hoerner for the first out of the 10th. (.118)

Cubs Player of the Game:

Game 102 Winner: Seiya Suzuki received 20 (of 49) votes. Ian Happ received 18.

Rizzo Award Standings: (Top 5/Bottom 5)

The award is named for Anthony Rizzo, who finished first in this category three of the first four years it was in existence and four times overall. He also recorded the highest season total ever at +65.5. The point scale is three points for a Superhero down to negative three points for a Billy Goat.

  • Pete Crow-Armstrong +21
  • Carson Kelly +16.5
  • Michael Busch/Ben Brown +13.5
  • Alex Bregman +13
  • Jameson Taillon/Phil Maton -10
  • Nico Hoerner -13
  • Caleb Thielbar -14
  • Dansby Swanson -15

Up Next: Game two of the 17-game stretch and of the weekend series in Pittsburgh. Shōta Imanaga (6-8, 3.91) starts for the Cubs. He’s 2-2 over his last seven with a 2.31 ERA (39 IP) and is coming off of a win. He faces Pirates ace Paul Skenes (9-8, 3.43). Skenes is just 3-3 with a 4.58 (39.1) over his last seven. So they are catching him at a good time. Sort of. The three wins? His last three starts (5 ER over 18.1). He’s 2-3 with a 2.77 ERA over eight career starts against the Cubs. He hasn’t been the winning pitcher against them since 2024 and has been the loser three of four starts.

That’s as much optimism as I can muster against one of the best pitchers on the planet. Keep it close and hope to steal it.

Tigers sign second round pick SS Tyson LeBlanc to complete 2026 draft class

Kansas junior Tyson LeBlanc (2) runs to first after a hit against Northeastern during the NCAA First Round of the Lawrence Regional at Hoglund Ballpark on May 29, 2026. | Evert Nelson/The Capital-Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

It took a while, but on Friday the Detroit Tigers wrapped up their 2026 MLB draft class by signing second round pick Tyson LeBlanc to a slightly overslot deal worth $1,608.955. The Kansas Jayhawks shortstop waited until closer to the July 27 signing cut-off, presumably to let the Tigers work on three prep players they ultimately couldn’t convince to sign. As a result, they presumably just gave LeBlanc everything they had left in their bonus pool, going a little over the recommended $1,523,600 slot bonus.

In the process, three late round prep pitchers the Tigers drafted decided to honor their college commitments. RHP Dustin Dunwoody, the Tigers 15th round pick, RHP Jack Byers, their 17th rounder, and 20th rounder RHP Will Zielinski, all declined to sign a pro contract.

That’s not surprising, as the Tigers were really hamstrung by a small bonus pool and a second round competitive balance pick this year. It’s also just getting tougher to sign prep players who aren’t dead set on starting their pro career without regard to their signing bonus. Bigger college programs can now match smaller bonuses with NIL money, so it’s tough to lock up a whole host of lower tier prep guys. The Tigers have already started moving off the prep heavy draft strategy they began with in the Scott Harris era, and that will likely continue in years in which they don’t have extra pool money to sling around.

Dunwoody has a pretty good fastball-breaker combo under development and plenty of projection, so we would have really liked to see him locked up. A commitment to USC made that a tough go. Zielinski has solid velocity and the Canadian high school standout can really spin his breaking stuff and has plenty of projection left as well. He’ll head to UC Santa Barbara. Byers is a little more of a command guy right now, but sits in the low-90’s with a really nice delivery that bodes well for advanced command and feel for a changeup. He’s going to the University of Arizona.

The Tigers did land their more important prep and JUCO picks, locking up SS Maddux Molony, 1B Will Adams, 3B Robert Omidi, and speedy JUCO center fielder Tyler West already.

Overall we’re pretty happy with the draft class, but considering the limitations of the bonus pool and late round position, it was never going to look like a monster class out of the gate. We’ll see how things develop.

First rounder Cameron Flukey has the potential to be a really strong frontline starter, and we like LeBlanc despite thinking he’ll move off the shortstop position. He has plenty of juice and can really hit, giving the Tigers a right-handed infielder to balance out their lefty heavy system. Right-hander Evan Dempsey, the comp round B selection, is a really nice young arm with an interesting low arm slot that gives him some edge in deception and horizontal movement. Prep shortstop Dominic Pellegrin gives the Tigers the super high upside prep shortstop they always look for, though in a right-handed hitting model this time, with Molony adding another good young prep hitter with the ability to stick at shortstop as well.

Beyond the top guys, the sweet swinging Adams, who has major power potential, is probably the lower round pick to be most excited about, despite his positional limitations. The aforementioned West could turn out really well too. West can really hit but hasn’t faced enough quality competition to be real sure how he’ll translate to pro ball. His secondary tools will make for a heck of a player if he figures it out.

Overall a solid class considering the limitations, with a little more diversity of tools, handedness, and background than some of the recent Tigers draft classes. It’s just too bad that the Tigers couldn’t manage to land one of those three late round prep pitchers. Of course the recent history with prep pitching talent points to how tough it is to project development and health for teenaged pitchers in particular.

Fixing Kyle Manzardo

CLEVELAND, OHIO - JULY 22: Kyle Manzardo #9 of the Cleveland Guardians rounds the bases on a solo home run during the eighth inning against the Minnesota Twins at Progressive Field on July 22, 2026 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Guardians fans everywhere are frustated with Kyle Manzardo. Is there hope for things to change for the struggling Guardians’ first baseman?

After posting a 113 wRC+ and hitting 27 home runs in 2025, expectations for Kyle Manzardo were understandably high coming into 2026. So far, Manzo has come up short of those expectations, and he’s having a fairly disappointing season with a 90 wRC+ and 11 homers. Today, we’re asking the question: has Kyle Manzardo been figured out by the league, or is this just a young player going through the ups and downs that come with establishing himself at the MLB level?

I think this season is a little more complex than just “he’s been bad.” It’s been a hot and cold season for Manzardo thus far.

We can see here that after a very slow start, he had a blazing 6-7 week long stretch before cooling off again. So what’s changed?

We can see from this data that his approach data is generally stable or improving. Chase% spiked a bit during his hot streak, but Whiff% and K% are both moving down, which is good. BB% is up as well, with the most recent two sets of data both being above league average. Even with his slow start, the BB% was basically league average (8.9% in 2026). This is all a good sign. Nothing is skyrocketing or plummeting in any alarming way. So if his approach is still intact, the next question becomes whether he is doing enough damage when he makes contact.

One of the first things that stands out is the average exit velocity is pretty stable across the board. The first bucket of games is a bit lower, but not by a significant amount. The outlier here is how the Hard-Hit% and Barrel% have fluctuated so much with relatively stable exit velocity. We can also see his SqUpCon%* is going up, which is generally a good thing. The last number is his LASS%**, and we can see that it has swung pretty wildly as well. Getting fewer balls in the optimal 8-32 launch angle is consistent with a drop in Barrel%. So here it looks like we may have a piece of the puzzle, but launch angles have nothing to do with exit velocity. If we really dig into the weeds and look at the distribution of exit velocities in the three different stretches, we can see that he’s actually getting a lot more contact in the 90-94.9 mph range in the first and third bucket of games. He’s gone from 19.6% to 12.2% and then back up to 19.6%. Hard-Hit% measures the percentage of balls that have an exit velocity over 95 mph, and he is just missing that window a bit more now than he was during the hot streak. All these things combine to paint a picture of a hitter that’s just lost a touch of their precision. At the MLB level, the difference between driving the ball in the gap for extra bases and hitting a routine flyout can come down to a few millimeters of contact point on the bat and a few milliseconds of timing. Being just a tiny bit off can change everything.

Where does this leave us? Overall, the evidence doesn’t really point to a hitter that’s lost his ability to do damage to a pitch in the box. It’s more consistent with a hitter that’s just off in their precision, enough to drastically alter outcomes. It also doesn’t help that in this most recent stretch, he’s running a wOBA and xwOBA difference of -.076. While an xwOBA of .276 is still far below what you’d expect, at least some portion of these poor results can be attributed to luck. All those things considered, while there’s no guarantee he will snap back into form tomorrow, there’s also no reason to think any of this isn’t fixable. He just needs to get locked back in and find that tiny extra bit of precision in his swing that he had a solid grip on just a few short weeks ago.

Glossary

*SqUpCon% (Squared Up Contact %) – How much exit velocity did you get as a share of how much exit velocity was possible, based on the swing speed and the speed of the pitch when the player made contact.

**LASS% (Launch Angle Sweet Spot %) – Percentage of batted balls with a launch angle between 8 and 32 degrees (These numbers are based on the range where most damaging contact resides)

Phillies on the Pharm: 7/25/2026

Felix Reyes of the Lehigh Valley Iron Pigs hits the ball during a Minor League Baseball game at Coca-Cola Park in Allentown, United States, on June 28, 2026. (Photo by Dan Squicciarini/NurPhoto via Getty Images) | NurPhoto via Getty Images

Guess who had another fantastic start in Jersey Shore? Checking in on the kids:

Lehigh Valley 6, Indianapolis 3

Steward Berroa enjoyed a three hit day for the IronPigs, possibly his last day as a member of the Phillies’ 40 man roster with their impending need to add Brian Keller. Berroa was the only one with more than one hit, yet Felix Reyes and Dylan Moore chipped in with a two-run home run apiece. On the mound, Drake Fellows had six innings where he only allowed three runs, but did not walk a single batter and struck out four.

Harrisburg 3, Reading 0

One hit? One gosh dang hit?

That was all the Fightin’ Phils could muster on the evening, Bryan Rincon getting a measly single as Jake Irvin, rehabbing for the Nationals, and two relievers shut them down. A shame as Andy Seminaris had another solid pitching performance for the farm system, also going six innings and allowing only two runs on seven hits and no walks, striking out seven. Considering that they haven’t been getting many good pitching performances lately, this was certainly one where you’d want to see the offense do anything good.

Brooklyn 4, Jersey Shore 3
Jersey Shore 5, Brooklyn 0

Playing in a doubleheader due to weather earlier in the week, the Blue Claws saw the best and most agonizing. In the first game, the two teams were tied at one after seven, yet going into the eighth inning, the bullpen could not hold it together. Camron Hill was on the mound and with the ghost runner on, allowed three straight baserunners to give the Cyclones two runs. Another scored later in the inning before the Jersey Shore got their chance. They capitalized, scoring two runs of their own before Tyler Miller was called out on strikes with runners on second and third to end the first game.

In game two, it was the Ramon Marquez show. In five innings, he was spectacular, only giving up a hit and a walk and striking out ten in yet another showcase for possible teams interested in doing a deal with the Phillies. He has been a revelation this year for the Phillies’ player development system.

Clearwater 11, Daytona 0

Juan Villavicencio had two hits, including a double, while Will Vierling had two hits and three RBI, Nolan Beltran had two hits and two RBI, Matthew Ferrera had an RBI double to help pace an offense that put up another impressive offensive performance before the game was called due to rain after the top of the sixth inning. Cade Obermueller had four innings of no-hit shutout baseball, striking out five and walking two. If we’re looking at teams the Phillies might be trading prospects from, this might be the leader in the clubhouse.

Blake Snell strikes out 3 in second rehab start

SACRAMENTO, CALIFORNIA - JULY 24: Blake Snell #24 of the Oklahoma City Comets pitches during the third inning of a rehab assignment against the Sacramento River Cats at Sutter Health Park on July 24, 2026 in Sacramento, California (Photo by Scott Marshall/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Blake Snell’s second rehab start went well, striking out three in 2 2/3 innings for Triple-A Oklahoma City. He allowed two singles and a run which scored after Snell departed, throwing 49 pitches with no walks.

Player of the day

Matt Gorski had six singles and no extra-base hits in his first nine games off the injured list for Triple-A Oklahoma City, but he made up for lost time on Friday. The Comets first baseman homered and doubles, while driving in four runs.

Triple-A Oklahoma City

The Comets put up crooked numbers in three different innings in a road win over the Sacramento River Cats (Giants).

Hyeseong Kim singled twice, walked twice, scored three runs, stole a base, and made this incredible play at second base.

Double-A Tulsa

The Drillers were one out away from losing in a combined perfect game, but instead just suffered a blowout loss to the Arkansas Travelers (Mariners). Tulsa’s lone baserunner was a two-out infield single in the ninth inning by Sam Mongelli that involved a throwing error.

Adam Serwinowski struck out nine but also allowed six runs and two home runs in six innings.

High-A Great Lakes

Zach Root had a rough time with more walks (six) than strikeouts (five) in the Loons’ loss to the Lansing Lugnuts (A’s). Root allowed three runs, two earned in 5 2/3 innings, and after a 9.4-percent walk rate through his first 13 starts the left-hander has 10 walks and a 22.2-percent walk rate in his last two outings.

Class-A Ontario

The Tower Buzzers tied things in the ninth inning, then beat the San Jose Giants on the road in 10 innings.

First baseman Easton Shelton homered again, because that’s what he does, with five home runs over his last five games and an .871 slugging percentage in July. Shelton’s 31 home runs lead the minor leagues, one shy of doubling the second-place slot in the California League.

Transactions

Double-A: Shortstop Elijah Hainline was activated off the injured list after missing three weeks. Left-hander Wyatt Crowell was placed on the 7-day injured list.

High-A: Infielder Nico Perez was activated off the injured list after missing six and a half weeks.

Friday scores

Saturday schedule

  • 4:05 p.m. PT: Tulsa (Christian Zazueta) at Arkansas (Ryan Sloan)
  • 4:05 p.m.: Great Lakes (Brady Smith) at Lansing (Tucker Novotny)
  • 5 p.m.: Ontario (TBA) at San Jose (TBA)
  • 6:37 p.m.: Oklahoma City (Cole Irvin) at Sacramento (Carson Whisenhunt)

Brady Smith, the Dodgers’ third-round pick in 2023 and now 21 years old, makes his High-A debut on Saturday after posting a 3.88 ERA in 19 starts for Class-A Ontario, with 104 strikeouts (37.5 percent rate) and 27 walks in 65 innings.

Yankees Rivalry Roundup: Rays pummel Guardians, Red Sox weather late Blue Jays rally

TORONTO, CANADA - JULY 21: Yandy Diaz #2 of the Tampa Bay Rays celebrates a three run home run against the Toronto Blue Jays during the ninth inning in their MLB game at the Rogers Centre on July 21, 2026 in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. (Photo by Mark Blinch/Getty Images) | Getty Images

What a game the Yankees just pitched to open their series against the Phillies with a 1-0 win! Cam Schlittler was dominant for 7.1 scoreless innings with a dozen strikeouts, Brent Headrick escaped an eighth innings bases loaded jam against Kyle Schwarber, and David Bednar extended his MLB-leading scoreless streak to 22.2 innings to nail down the save in the ninth. They needed this performance to hold serve in the division with the Rays pummeling the Guardians, so let’s see how those other games panned out.

Tampa Bay Rays (60-43) 11, Cleveland Guardians (54-51) 3

The Rays’ offense keeps on rolling, tallying their second double-digit scoring effort in their last four games. It helps when your starter can take pressure off the offense the way Shane McClanahan did with his five innings of one-run ball. Ryan Vilade got things started with a two-run homer in the second after Jonny DeLuca reached on a one-out single. Brayan Rocchio cut that deficit in half with an RBI double in the fourth, but from there Tampa kicked it into top gear scoring nine unanswered.

Three of those came in the fourth, Cedric Mullins leading off with a triple and scoring on a DeLuca single. Chandler Simpson singled and Vilade walked to load the bases with no outs, after which a Ben Williamson fielder’s choice and Nick Fortes singled each plated a run. Junior Caminero added an RBI single in the sixth and Fortes an RBI double in the seventh to extend their lead to 7-1, the number nine hitting catcher Fortes going 4-for-4 on the day. In the eighth, Jonathan Aranda drew a leadoff walk, Mullins doubled, and DeLuca walked to again load the bases. A Simpson sac fly drove in their eighth run, and a Richie Palacios three-run no-doubter made it a complete laugher.

The Guardians got a pair of consolation runs in the ninth, Gabriel Arias reaching on a two-out single and Austin Hedges hitting a two-run homer, but it wasn’t enough to stop the Rays from becoming the first team in the AL to 60 wins.

Other Games

Boston Red Sox (53-49) 6, Toronto Blue Jays (47-57) 4

Two days after having their franchise record 15-game winning streak broken by the Orioles, the Red Sox weathered a late Blue Jays rally to avoid the start of a losing streak. They had control for most of the contest, scoring five unanswered through the first six innings while Patrick Sandoval tossed 4.2 scoreless innings. Anthony Seigler led off the first with a homer and then led off the third with a single to set up a two-run blast from Ceddanne Rafaela. In the sixth, Masataka Yoshida walked, Caleb Durbin was hit by a pitch, and Jarren Duran singled to load the bases with one out. An Andruw Monasterio sac fly brought home their fifth run, though Durbin was thrown out at home on a Connor Wong single to end the inning.

This opened the door for a Blue Jays rally the next inning. Ernie Clement got plunked and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. blooped a one-out single to put a pair on with one out for Kazuma Okamoto, whose three-run home run pulled Toronto within one and gave him 23 on the year to break Shohei Ohtani’s record for the most home runs by a Japanese-born rookie. After Durbin grounded out with the bases loaded in the bottom of the frame, the Blue Jays tied the game on a Nathan Lukes leadoff double, Daulton Varsho single, and Andrés Giménez sac fly. That would not last for long as the Red Sox reestablished a two-run lead in the bottom of the inning on a Duran leadoff single and back-to-back RBI doubles from Romy Gonzalez and Seigler, the former Yankee farmhand going 4-for-5.

Houston Astros (51-54) 9, Chicago White Sox (54-48) 5

The White Sox looked to be well on track for a stress-free win, scoring three in the first and two in the fifth without the Astros managing a reply. In the first, they loaded the bases with no outs to set up a Colson Montgomery sac fly, Braden Montgomery RBI single, and Chase Meidroth HBP with the bases loaded, while in the fifth, Meidroth hit a two-run double. Meanwhile, Davis Martin pitched a shutout through five, only for the wheels to fly off in the sixth.

The Astros sent 14 men to the plate and scored eight runs — four apiece off Martin and Bryan Hudson. Amazingly, they only hit one homer in the frame — a two-run shot from Cam Smith to give them the lead. By the time the dust had settled on the inning, the Astros had tallied seven hits, two free passes, an intentional walk, and a hit-by-pitch, so rather than regurgitate it all, I’ll just leave this here for you:

Christian Vázquez wrapped up the scoring with an RBI double in the ninth in what was a wild game both literally and figuratively — a combined seven batters were hit by pitches, four for the White Sox and three for the Astros.

Texas Rangers (52-51) 5, Seattle Mariners (51-53) 4

Neither starter was at their sharpest, Bryce Miller allowing five runs on six hits in 5.1 innings while MacKenzie Gore gave up three runs on seven hits in five innings. A Wyatt Langford solo shot opened the scoring in the bottom of the first. Weston Wilson responded with an RBI single in the second, though Randy Arozarena would ground out to strand the bases loaded. Texas retook the lead in the fourth on a two-run blast from Jake Burger. Dominic Canzone responded with a two-run double in the fifth to grab Seattle’s first lead. Burger tied the game with an RBI single in the sixth and Nicky Lopez restored their lead with an RBI sac bunt, though this time it was Joc Pederson’s turn to strand the bases loaded with a pop fly. Seattle almost made them pay, pulling to within one in the ninth as Colt Emerson doubled, advanced to third, and scored on a wild pitch, but the comeback attempt would fall just short.

Mariners News: Spencer Steer, Danny Jansen, and Addison Barger

Jul 12, 2026; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Cincinnati Reds outfielder Spencer Steer (7) hits a single in the first inning against the Chicago Cubs at Great American Ball Park. Mandatory Credit: Katie Stratman-Imagn Images | Katie Stratman-Imagn Images

Good morning everyone and welcome to the weekend!

The M’s dropped a hard-fought first game of the series to the Rangers 5-4, yet another crushing loss for a team that keeps stacking them up.

Somehow, the Mariners are just a good weekend away from reclaiming the AL West crown. Despite their recent poor performance, do you still believe the M’s will end the season atop the division?

In Mariners news…

  • Bryan Woo was the latest guest on the Cal Raleigh Show.

Around the league…

  • Here’s another Secret Base auto-recommendation.

Kansas City Royals news: Bobby Witt Jr. is one of the most valuable players in baseball

KANSAS CITY, MO - JULY 18: Bobby Witt Jr. #7 of the Kansas City Royals is congratulated on the win after an MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Kansas City Royals on July 18, 2026 at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO. (Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The Royals are impressed with Randy Dobnak through his first two starts, writes Anne Rogers.

“I’m just here to pitch,” Dobnak said. “If they want me to start, if they want me in long relief, at the end of the day, I’ll do whatever the team needs. I’ve done both over my career over the years. My mindset is any time I get the ball, just go out there and do my thing.”

Manny Randwaha writes about Kyle Isbel’s performance with three hits in a rehab start.

When he was placed on the IL in early June, Isbel said that the key to his recovery would be managing the inflammation, and so the timetable for a return was uncertain. Now that he’s back on the field in game action, the key will be to keep from reaggravating the foot.

“It’s just getting the inflammation down, and then there’s not really a timetable on it,” Isbel said. “Just more symptom-based. … Just a lot of pressure in the bottom of my foot.”

Kiley McDaniel at ESPN has farm system snapshots for each team.

System snapshot: The system has improved the past few years: Recent draft additions SS Josh Hammond and LHP David Shields have been trending up, RHP Kendry Chourio and CF Angeibel Gomez were signed internationally, and money was spread around in the 2026 draft to land CF Zion Rose, RHP Taylor Rabe and RHP Jack Slightom. Lefties Justin Lamkin and Maxx Yehl are sleepers who could move quickly.

Biggest need: It feels like continuing to add potential impact talent is the long-term focus, but I could see the Royals adding some prospects that can help the 2027 big league team if they see a clear path to filling a role and thus shortening the list of winter needs.

FanGraphs ranks Bobby Witt Jr. as the player with the second-most trade value in baseball.

There’s not really much point in talking to team sources about Witt’s talent. What are they going to say? Instead, we mostly talked about his contract, and whether it should push him down the list a bit. I tried to model it to get a sense of how much of a negative to assign it in my head, but truthfully, I struggled to put a value on it. If you think that the highest AAV he could realistically achieve when getting a new deal at age 31 is $40 or $45 million, the odds of an opt-out aren’t that high, and it won’t cost you that much to renegotiate. If you think that the top end of the salary range has been permanently expanded by the Soto and Tucker deals, it’s a more pressing concern. But even if you treat Witt as being on a four-year deal, he projects as the best player in baseball for those four years. I’m also not particularly concerned with the downside of him declining and then accepting the option; hitters don’t have the same career-altering injury risk that pitchers do, so the odds of taking a huge L on the deal are meaningfully lower.

I know that talking about economics in a baseball article isn’t that exciting, but it’s worth dwelling on the contract in Witt’s case. That’s because there aren’t really any other negatives to be had here. Witt is on a Hall of Fame trajectory. 

The Royals activated Nate Pearson and optioned Eli Morgan to Omaha.

Brian Sparks at Sports Illustrated writes that Luinder Avila could be a 2027 rotation option for the Royals.

There will be a public hearing on a rezoning plan for the proposed ballpark development at Crown Center on Monday.

Boston may be interested in Angels shortstop Zach Neto.

Which teams could be interested in Rockies catcher Hunter Goodman?

How Boston’s winning streak changed the trade deadline.

Who should trade for Luis Arraez?

The Reds won’t do a full rebuild, and will retool for next year.

Clay Holmes says the Mets aren’t talking contract extension.

Blue Jays outfielder Addison Barger will have season-ending surgery.

Does the Hall of Fame need to take another look at Kenny Lofton?

Mark Cuban’s firm buys a minority stake in the Athletics.

LeBron James signs a two-year deal with the 76ers.

Tony Romo is arrested for suspicion of driving under the influence.

Kansas City hotels had their ten highest-revenue days ever during the World Cup.

Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery have agreed to delay closing their billion merger well into next year.

Marmot researchers have put the animals on OnlyFans to raise money.

Your song of the day is Steely Dan with Do it Again.

ICYMI in Mets Land: Juan Soto exits early in loss to Dodgers; David Stearns addresses trade deadline buzz

Here's what happened in Mets Land on Friday, in case you missed it...