Braves Minor League Recap: Tate Southisene Hits Leadoff Homer

TAMPA, FLORIDA - MARCH 21, 2026: Tate Southisene #19 of the Atlanta Braves covers as Coby Morales #38 of the New York Yankees steals second base during the first inning of a spring training Spring Breakout game at George M. Steinbrenner Field on March 21, 2026 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images) | Diamond Images/Getty Images

The attention the Braves have given to position player prospects has paid huge dividends so far this season with a number of impressive performances already in the first month. First round pick Tate Southisene led off for Augusta with his third long ball of the season, and his .917 OPS on the season has been a huge plus for the GreenJackets. After a poor stretch of play John Gil is back to playing great in Rome, notching another three hit game as part of another big offensive day for the Emperors.

(15-8) Gwinnett Stripers 11, (11-12) Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp 9

Box Score

Statcast

  • Jim Jarvis, SS: 0-3, 2 BB, .366/.490/.512
  • Nacho Alvarez Jr., 3B: 1-5, .203/.304/.237
  • Aaron Schunk, 1B: 5-5, 2B, HR, 5 RBI, .338/.393/.575
  • Austin Pope, SP: 1 IP, 4 H, 4 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 0 K, 4.32 ERA
  • Hayden Harris, RP: 1.1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 0 K, 2.08 ERA

Gwinnett and Jacksonville played in a barn burner, and it was a late push by the Stripers and Aaron Schunk’s huge day at the plate that pushed them over the edge in the end. On the run preventation side of the ball the Stripers relied on a host of pitchers in a bullpen game and in the early innings struggled to get any sort of consistent success. The pitching staff led by spot starter Austin Pope and reliever Tayler Scott had trouble throwing strikes consistently, and they weren’t helped at all by an abysmal defensive performance. The Stripers pitching staff allowed six walks and the defense coughed up five errors, leading to five unearned runs charged against them. They allowed eight runs through the first four innings of play and trailed 8-4 heading into the latter half of the game. Finally Anderson Pilar gave them a small bit of good work over 2 2/3 innings with no earned runs allowed, and the offense woke up enough to make a late comeback.

Throughout the Stripers lineup they were able to find offensive impact in this game, but nobody was more successful than Aaron Schunk. Schunk had hits in all five of his at-bats in the game, and in the early innings his offensive output carried the team and kept the game close. He led off in the second inning with a double that sparked a rally, eventually scoring a run as part of Gwinnett’s effort to put two on the board. The next inning he went deep with the biggest swing of the game, smashing his fifth home run of the season to make the game 6-4. Schunk’s one out single in the sixth inning led to another scoring chance and his third run scored of the game, but it wasn’t until the seventh that Gwinnett really had their chance to break out. Brewer Hicklen was hit by a pitch and Jim Jarvis drew a walk, setting up the middle of the lineup with two outs. Chadwick Tromp loaded the bases for Schunk, who responded with a clutch single for his fourth hit of the game, driving in two and cutting the deficit to 9-7. Brett Wisely followed that up with a bloop double to bring the game within one, but with two runners in scoring position Jose Azocar struck out to end the inning. Hicklen would be the hero of the evening with his next at bat, cracking a two-run home run that put the Stripers ahead for good in the eighth inning. Schunk capped off his day with another RBI single, his fifth of the game, and in total Schunk scored or drove in seven of the Stripers 11 runs.

Swing and Misses

Anderson Pilar – 8

Tayler Scott – 7

(9-8) Columbus Clingstones 0, (8-9) Birmingham Barons 11

Box Score

  • Patrick Clohisy, CF: 0-4, .296/.345/.481
  • David McCabe, 1B: 1-4, .264/.409/.623
  • Ambioris Tavarez, 2B: 1-2, BB, .194/.356/.306
  • Garrett Baumann, SP: 3 IP, 4 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 3 BB, 2 K, 7.27 ERA

It was a forgettable day for the Clingstones all around as they struggled in every facet of the game. They were stifled on offense despite making plenty of contact throughout the game, with a large majority of their outs coming on weak ground balls and early count outs. The Birmingham staff filled up the strike zone and Columbus went after their pitches, and the only player with a notably good day was Ambioris Tavarez. Tavarez had an early walk for the first Clingstone baserunner of the game and later on had the game’s second hit, though in both cases his time on the basepaths was short-lived. David McCabe had a single early on in this game that pushed his hitting streak up to five games, accounting for the Clingstones’s only other hit, and thus far this season he has reached base safely in all but one of his games played.

Garrett Baumann had two solid games to work himself back after a poor opening start, but came back down a bit in this outing as he struggled to elevate his fastball. It was one of those days where despite throwing a lot of strikes he struggled to land pitches in locations that would him swings and misses, and hitters were able to rack up hits and extend at bats until he made mistakes. All three of his walks came in at bats that he could not finish the hitter off, losing the plate appearance to a walk in a full count. He landed neither of his secondary offerings well at all and had to rely on his fastball to get many of his outs, a tall task for him when he isn’t able to keep the pitch on the edges. Most of his issues came down to his mechanics being a bit off as he was falling off to his glove side a bit and pulling most of his pitches down and in that direction, though in the second inning he did a much better job of locking in his mechanics. In particular his strikeout to end the second inning was a great example of him getting his body downhill and towards home plate, and he located pitches nicely there including a deep slider for a whiff to finish the at bat. Ultimately though he never got a great feel for a consistent secondary, and got tagged for a home run in the next inning when he left his changeup up in the strike zone. Until this point he had managed to avoid allowing any runs, but Birmingham had him dialed in at this point and he only had two whiffs on 17 swings in the inning.

Swing and Misses

Blayne Abeyta – 7

Garrett Baumann – 6

LJ McDonough – 5

(8-9) Rome Emperors 9, (11-6) Greensboro Grasshoppers 5

Box Score

  • Isaiah Drake, LF-RF: 1-5, .231/.315/.385
  • John Gil, SS: 3-4, 2B, BB, RBI, .246/.353/.421
  • Eric Hartman, CF: 1-4, .306/.368/.694
  • Logan Braunschweig, DH: 2-4, 2B, HR, .282/.417/.436
  • Cam Caminiti, SP: 4.1 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 3 BB, 2 K, 4.26 ERA

There are few things more certain than the Rome Emperors giving prospect fans something to like on any given day, and even with the early wake up call the offense was rolling. A six run fifth inning was the key to a win to bring the team within a win of .500, and John Gil had a second big day in a row to start this series. The first six Emperors of the game went down in order, but Logan Braunschweig made his first impact of the game by smoking a double to lead off the third inning, and he came around to score on a Jake Steels groundout to give Rome an early lead. A rough couple of innings from Cam Caminiti did give the game over to the Grasshoppers briefly, though not before Gil made his first mark on the game. Gil scorched a line drive over to third base that deflected off of the defender, and he motored in for a leadoff double though he was stranded there. In the fifth inning Braunschweig made another impact on the game, going down to get a sinker down and in and lifting it for a solo home run. Rome started rolling after this, with a walk to Colin Burgess and hits from Austin Machado and Isaiah Drake loading the bases up for Gil. Gil drew a walk to move everyone up a spot, forcing home a run, and bringing the deficit down to 4-3. Eric Hartman then took a hit by pitch to tie the game, and Cody Miller gave Rome a lead with a sacrifice ground out. Mason Guerra, who led off the inning, netted the hit that gave Rome a little breathing room, sneaking a single up the middle to drive home two runs and push the lead to 7-4. Braunschweig had a chance for a second hit of the inning and gave a liner the other way a good ride, but it was right at the left fielder for the final out and ended Braunschweig’s perfect day at the plate. Gil had leadoff singles in both the seventh and ninth inning, getting him a second straight three hit day. Gil also stole a base to move into the South Atlantic League lead with 11 on the season.

Cam Caminiti started this season off with three terrific performances, but his Wednesday was fraught with inconsistency and a command performance that fell a bit short of the standards he has set in the first month of 2026. Caminiti had reasonable command of his fastball in the early going, keeping the pitch in the upper third of the zone and escaping some mistake sliders to work through two scoreless innings, however the signs of trouble were there. Caminiti missed with his fastball way out of the zone high, and could not get his slider down at all and got lucky leadoff man Wyatt Sanford was too far ahead and yanked one a long way foul. In the second inning they made some adjustments to correct the high misses, but he started leaving the fastball over the plate and at all points was not able to make many swing-and-miss pitches. In the third inning his arm slot started to dip and pitches sailed on him again, and this time Sanford took advantage of a mistake slider. The first pitch of the at bat was a slider up in the zone and Sanford turned it around and smacked it down the line for an RBI double, tying the game. In his second trip through the order Caminiti’s command started to show even more holes and the Grasshoppers put a three spot on him in the fourth inning. It’s close to as bad as you’ll see Caminiti pitch all around as none of his pitches worked throughout the outing, though he was ultimately able to salvage the start and keep Rome in the game until they broke through in the next half inning.

Swing and Misses 

Cam Caminiti – 6

Riley Frey – 5

Ian Mejia – 3

(10-7) Augusta GreenJackets 2, (9-8) Columbia Fireflies 6

Box Score

  • Tate Southisene, 2B: 1-4, HR, .246/.425/.492
  • Alex Lodise, SS: 2-4, .268/.358/.394
  • Luis Guanipa, DH: 0-4, .333/.348/.500
  • Derek Vartanian, SP: 5 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 2 BB, 4 K, 5.40 ERA

This game got off to an exciting start for GreenJackets fans, though excitement in the game probably peaked after the second hitter. On pitch number two Tate Southisene got a slider out over the plate, and he was waiting back on it. He crushed a leadoff home run up onto the berm in left center field, and the GreenJackets had the early lead to work with. Alex Lodise followed up by turning and crushing an inside fastball, and though he fell short of a home run by hitting it into the deepest part of the ballpark he was able to sprint around for a triple and give Augusta an early opportunity to put up a crooked number. With the way Luis Guanipa has been hitting he seemed like the man for the task, but he rolled over a fat slider on the first pitch and was retired without Lodise being able to advance. Nick Montgomery then got carved up by a steady diet of sliders low and away and struck out for the second out, and the scoring opportunity was officially closed when Junior Garcia popped out to the shortstop. Augusta gave up the lead but retook it on a Cooper McMurray single in the top of the second inning, then went the rest of the game without scoring a run. Lodise and Guanipa each had a couple of good moments in the rest of the game, with Lodise going the other way for a single to lead off the third inning. Guanipa followed by putting a charge into a fly ball into the right center field gap, but it died at the base of the wall for a fly out and Augusta didn’t have a lot left in the tank after that point.

Derek Vartanian had two pretty interesting starts to open his season, but had his worst on Wednesday as his command of his slider and splitter were not good enough to help him find consistent success. From the very early portions of the game Vartanian was clearly struggling to keep his slider close, and the Fireflies hitters were able to lay off of it and force him into using his fastball and splitter in the zone. His splitter had a few moments where he laid some nasty pitches fading off the plate to get whiffs, but he also pulled way too many up over the plate and had to dance around trouble throughout the game. It was one of those splitters staying at the top of the strike zone that got tagged for a home run in the third inning, his third home run allowed so far in two games. Vartanian’s mix of pitches is solid enough to be worth a continued eye over the remainder of the season, especially given how sharp he looks despite not pitching competitively all last season due to injury. His velocity looks good and though the command was spotty in this one it’s well in line with the inconsistency you would expect from someone who has missed so much time, and though his fastball is fringy right now he has enough life on it to survive upper level hitters.

Swing and Misses

Derek Vartanian – 19

Carter Lovasz – 6

The Royals made the best decision they could with the Asa Lacy pick

SECAUCUS, NJ - JUNE 10: Asa Lacy poses for a photo with a Royals hat after being drafted fourth overall by the Kansas City Royals during the 2020 Major League Baseball Draft at MLB Network on Wednesday, June 10, 2020 in Secaucus, New Jersey. (Photo by MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

In 2020, the COVID pandemic resulted in a stilted cadence to the typical draft evaluation process. Nevertheless, the draft continued onward and the Royals picked Asa Lacy fourth overall. However, the Royals recently released Lacy, who threw only 80 professional innings in the minors since being drafted.

Lacy had only 4 starts and 24 innings pitched in the 2020 college season before it was shut down prior to the draft. He put 88+ innings on tape in 2019, but across his three seasons at Texas A&M we’re talking 152 innings. Something like a quarter of those innings came as a reliever in 2018. Lacy was no exception – Max Meyer, who was picked third overall, had 148 innings of college tape with an even higher percentage of innings as a reliever.

All this to emphasize – teams were working with precious little data going into the 2020 MLB draft.

Having said that, the industry still did its normal rankings process. FanGraphs rankings had Lacy at number 2. MLB Pipeline had Lacy at number 3. Max mentioned in his early news article about Lacy’s release that Baseball America also had Lacy at number 3.

Again, all this to emphasize – given the limited information everyone had, the industry held Lacy in high regard. Picking him at fourth overall was a totally reasonable pick.

But, it being 2026, we have a lot more information on how the other players picked in that draft panned out. Could the Royals have made a “better” decision? I don’t really think they could have given the information at the time, results-based analysis, blah blah blah. But let’s look anyway!

You can see the whole first round on Baseball Reference here.

Spencer Torkelson went first overall to the Tigers. As a guy who made it to the major leagues and is still playing for the Tigers in 2026, picking Tork went better for them than picking Lacy did for the Royals. But that’s not much of a bar to clear. Tork’s accrued 2.6 fWAR across 2200 plate appearances, something like a 0.7/600 PA fWAR pace. He has two 30+ homer seasons but his career wRC+ is exactly 100 to this point. Not what you want from a first baseman, but he’s only 26. Maybe there’s more to come.

Heston Kjerstad went second overall to the Orioles. He also made it to the majors but has yet to make an impact with a career wRC+ of 83 and a negative fWAR.

Max Meyer went third overall to the Marlins and is maybe only just now emerging. He made a handful of starts in 2024/25 but the cumulative performance was about replacement level. This season, he has five roughly average-ish starts under his belt and may grow into a contributor for another team after the Marlins inevitably trade him.

Austin Martin went fifth overall to the Blue Jays. He never played a game at the MLB level for the Blue Jays as they traded him to the Twins for José Berríos at the trade deadline in 2021. Martin showed an Isaac Collins-like performance in 2025 – high OBP, low power, OF spot – and is really showing out so far in 2026 with a .484 OBP in 62 plate appearances. He is 27 years old and who knows what else he’s got in the tank.

Emerson Hancock went sixth overall to the Mariners and has mostly forgettable/replaceable performance prior to 2026. Similar to Max Meyer though, he has taken a step forward *so far* this season with a FIP under 4 and ERA under 3 in 5 starts. We’ll see if that holds.

Nick Gonzales was taken 7th overall by the Pirates and has a career 83 wRC+ in almost 1000 plate appearances. Robert Hassell III was picked 8th overall by the Padres and was the first high school player selected. He has 70 games of bad hitting so far, but he’s only 24. Zac Veen was taken by the Rockies at 9 and hasn’t hit since AA. Reid Detmers was taken 10th overall by the Angels, has shown some promise, and is not yet 27.

You can keep going on this kind of analysis yourself if you’d like. The next guy was Garrett Crochet, who has been excellent for the past two season but is getting knocked around this season. Pete Crow-Armstrong was taken 19th by the Mets and just signed a big extension.

Overall, six guys taken in the first around in 2020 never made the majors. Lacy just happens to be the highest pick of those guys. To me, that’s roughly a normal rate for the first round as a whole. It’s unfortunate that it happened to a guy picked fourth overall with such a high prospect evaluation. Typically a guy picked that high *does* at least make it to the majors. But I think the Royals made a good pick with the information they had, and they’re not the only team whose pick in this particular first round did not work out.

I hope Lacy can get healthy and catch on somewhere, if that’s what he wants.

The case for Mason Miller to win the NL Cy Young Award

San Diego Padres closer Mason Miller (Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images) | Getty Images

It has been 23 years since a major league closer has won the Cy Young Award. Plenty of today’s top relievers still have their warts — specifically, the occasional blown save that tarnishes their regular season. Thus, making it virtually impossible for them to gain any traction in the Cy Young voting. 

However, San Diego Padres Mason Miller is the perfect storm. His statistical numbers are impossible to believe because few relievers have been that dominant. 

Here is Miller’s 2026 line:

0.00 ERA – 0.353 WHIP – 27 K – 2 BB – 8 Saves – 11.1 IP

Miller has been unhittable. 

You have to be amazed that no major league hitter can make contact off him during an at-bat. They cannot pick up the ball out of his hand. Unlike answering multiple-choice test questions, guessing is not a sound approach to getting a base hit.

Boasting the majors’ best fastball/slider combo, Miller has fanned 71% of the batters he faced. His four-year major league career strikeout rate is a 41.4%. The league average is 22.5%.

Since he arrived in San Diego, the formula for Miller’s success has been simple: three batters up, three batters down for a Friars win. Over that span, the big right-hander has allowed only two runs in 34.2 innings pitched. More importantly, the Padres’ closer is two innings away from setting the franchise record for scoreless innings. In 2006, Cla Meredith set the franchise record by pitching 33.2 scoreless innings.

Closers can win the Cy Young Award

In MLB history, nine relievers have won the Cy Young Award. The most recent winner was the Los Angeles Dodgers closer Eric Gagne in 2003. He converted 55 consecutive save opportunities to a 1.20 ERA. A former Padre is on the list, as Mark Davis recorded 44 saves with a 1.85 ERA to win the award in 1989. 

It is difficult for a closer to win the Cy Young Award, primarily because their workload cannot match a starting pitcher’s final total. Thus, it is hard to make an argument for a pitcher who throws 70-80 innings in a season to a starter who logs close to 200 innings for their team. 

Analytics’ role in selecting award winners

Today’s award voters are highly influenced by the game’s analytic numbers, especially in the Wins Above Replacement category. However, the Cy Young Award’s criteria require that they prioritize each candidate’s performance throughout the season. This stipulation gives specialists like relief pitchers a chance to build a case for their workload.

WAR is designed to place a value on a player’s importance to their team’s win total. The metric formula for pitchers is straightforward because it measures every run (earned and unearned) that happens on the field per nine innings. 

bWAR is an analytical stat created by Baseball Reference that allows closers to be viable candidates for the Cy Young Award. The metrics are results-driven because relief pitchers get credit for their ability to strand base runners.

Yes, Miller will blow a save opportunity, but it may not come this season. Baseball just works that way. Dominance is limited for some players, but for others, it lasts a long time. 

The Cy Young Award debate hinges on value: is the closer a more worthy candidate because they’re called to lock down the final three outs to a potential win, or the starter, who must navigate a lineup several times to earn a victory? 

Voters have run out of excuses; Miller’s dominance has outgrown the “small sample” label. What he has accomplished since putting on a Padre uniform might be enough to put him in the Cy Young Award conversation.

Mariners News: Bryce Miller, Ryon Healy, and Lucas Giolito

Sep 17, 2025; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Boston Red Sox starting pitcher Lucas Giolito (54) pitches against the Athletics during the first inning at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Eric Canha-Imagn Images | Eric Canha-Imagn Images

Hello friends!

The Mariners got back into the win column yesterday in a 5-4 walk-off victory over the A’s. The M’s enjoy an off-day today as they embark on a road trip to St. Louis and Minnesota.

Busch Stadium is one of those parks I’ve always wanted to see in person, though I think Coors is No. 1 on my list. What non-Seattle ballpark is at the top of your to-visit list?

In Mariners news…

Around the league…

Good Morning San Diego: Walker Buehler struggles, Luis Campusano shines as Padres drop middle game to Rockies

DENVER, CO - APRIL 22: San Diego Padres Luis Campusano (12) rounds the bases after his seventh inning solo home run during a game between the San Diego Padres and the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on April 22, 2026 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The San Diego Padres entered the middle game of their three-game set against the Colorado Rockies with a share of the lead in the National League Western Division. The Padres were looking to win the second game to maintain their position without having to see what the Los Angeles Dodgers did in their game against the San Francisco Giants, but thanks to an ugly outing from Walker Buehler they were unable to do so. San Diego dropped the middle game to Colorado 8-3 and will try to win the series in the final game today at 12:10 p.m.

Buehler has been competing with German Marquez and Matt Waldron, who was recently recalled from Triple-A, to maintain his place in the back of the Padres’ rotation. That competition got a little tighter on Wednesday when San Diego announced the signing of starter Lucas Giolito to a one-year deal with an option for the 2027 season. Buehler needed to produce a strong showing against Colorado, but he did anything but that. The right-hander allowed four runs on eight hits over 2.2 innings with three walks and two strikeouts. His ERA sits at 5.75 on the season. The eight hits allowed by Buehler were part of 15 hits the Rockies had on the night against Padres pitching.

San Diego looked to be getting off to a good start against Colorado starter Tomoyuki Sugano with Jackson Merrill hitting a one-out single to score Ramon Laureano in the top of the first inning. However, the Padres did not score another run until the top of the seventh inning when Luis Campusano hit a solo home run to left field. San Diego tacked on a final run in the top of the ninth inning after Campusano doubled to start the inning and advanced to third on an error. Jake Cronenworth grounded out to bring Campusano home to make the final score, 8-3. Campy was the bright spot on offense for the Padres, finishing his night 3-for-4 with a home run, two doubles, an RBI and two runs scored.

Padres News:

  • Jose E. Feliciano and his wife, Kwanza Jones, are expected to be the majority owners of the Padres once the sale is finalized. Kevin Acee of the San Diego Union-Tribune reported there will be several minority owners as well and some current owners will remain in place with Feliciano.
  • Waldron had a difficult return to the rotation in his first outing of the season for the Padres. Cheri Bell of Gaslamp Ball believes that is largely due to the fact that he is still building up for the season, but the injury to Pivetta forced him to expedite his timeline. She added the organization and fans should not be quick to judge Waldron after just one start and that his metrics show there is success ahead for the right-hander.

Baseball News:

JR Ritchie making major league debut as Braves look to complete stellar road trip at Nationals

The carousel of Braves pitchers has been in full effect the last few days.

Reynaldo Lopez’s Tuesday start lasting just one inning depleted the bullpen for Wednesday.

That in turn led to Didier Fuentes being called to start Wednesday’s game, moving the rest of the rotation’s starts back a day. But when Fuentes lasted just three innings and Atlanta was forced to use Martín Pérez, who was scheduled to start Thursday’s series finale in Washington, out of the bullpen, it sent the carousel on another spin.

It landed on another call-up, but this time for a debut. The Braves are promoting 2022 first-round pick JR Ritchie (35th overall pick) to make his first major league appearance as Atlanta looks to win its fifth straight series Thursday afternoon at Nationals Park.

Ritchie, 22, started the season as a top-100 prospect in baseball according to Baseball America (84th), Baseball Prospectus (88th) and MLB Pipeline (90th). He’s also surged up the Braves’ farm system, ranked by MLB Pipeline as the No. 2 prospect in the organization.

The timing is right for a few reasons. Notably, he’s on normal rest after last throwing for Gwinnett last Saturday. But also, he’s been in strong form which makes him a viable candidate for a major league opportunity.

The 2025 season was his breakout as he went all the way from High-A Rome to Triple-A, posting a combined 2.96 ERA over 140 innings. But the right-hander has taken that to an even higher level early this season in Gwinnett. Over five starts with the Stripers, he’s allowed three runs over 27 1/3 innings for a 0.99 ERA. The strikeout numbers (28) are good. The walks (13) are the only real blip on his stat line.

For his debut, Ritchie will be facing a better-than-expected Nationals lineup through 25 games. Washington’s offense is seventh in the majors in home runs (30) and eighth in batting average (.255), scoring 17 combined runs in the last two games against the Braves.

Ritchie’s counterpart on the mound will be Washington’s Cade Cavalli (0-1, 4.12 ERA). A former first-round pick himself by the Nationals in 2020, the right-hander will be making his sixth start of the season and the 17th of his career since debuting in 2022.

Cavalli has yet to allow a homer this season — which could be tested against a Braves lineup which had it third four-homer game of the season Wednesday and is tied for second in the majors with 36 homers — but has allowed a .290 opposing batting average and has battled some control issues with 18 strikeouts to 12 walks in 19 2/3 innings.

It bears mentioning, though, that he had no walks in his last outing, when he needed 92 pitches to get through four innings in Washington’s extra-innings loss to San Francisco Saturday, giving up three runs (one earned) on seven hits with five strikeouts.

This will be Cavalli’s first time facing the Braves, who are the only NL East opponent he hasn’t yet pitched against.

Game Info

Game Date/Time: Thursday, April 23, 1:05 p.m. ET

Location: Nationals Park, Washington, DC

TV: BravesVision

Streaming: Braves.tv, MLB.tv

Radio: 680 AM / 93.7 FM The Fan

MLB Player Props & Best Bets for Today, April 23

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Just nine games are on the schedule across the big leagues today, but there are still plenty of solid betting opportunities. 

My MLB player props will highlight Tyler Glasnow, Munetaka Murakami, and Jacob deGrom. 

Read more in my MLB picks for Thursday, April 23.

Best MLB player props today

Player PickOdds
Dodgers Tyler GlasnowOver 6.5 Ks-110
White Sox Munetaka MurakamiOver 0.5 RBI+170
Rangers Jacob deGromOver 6.5 Ks-136

Tyler Glasnow Over 6.5 strikeouts (-110)

Tyler Glasnow has always been a strikeout pitcher, and 2026 has been no different. The hard-throwing righty has racked up 29 Ks in 25 innings of work so far.

Glasnow has cashed the Over in strikeouts in three straight starts. In fact, he’s only hit the Under once this season.

The veteran struck out seven last time out, and he had another seven Ks in the outing before that. Glasnow has 16 strikeouts in 13 road innings, and the Los Angeles Dodgers visit the San Francisco Giants tonight. 

San Fran is also striking out 8.33 times per game across their last three, and Glasnow had 11 Ks in 11 2/3 innings against them in 2025. 

  • Time: 3:45 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: SNLA, NBCSBA

Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 RBI (+170)

I rolled with this pick on Wednesday, and Munetaka Murakami came through once again, homering for the fifth straight game and driving in two runs.

He’s now cashed the Over in RBI in five games in a row as well, collecting a whopping 10 RBI during that span. The man cannot be stopped offensively. 

Murakami has 13 of his RBI off right-handed pitchers, and he’ll be up against Mike Soroka today. The righty has allowed six earned runs across his last two starts, and Murakami is also batting .288 off right-handed hurlers with seven of his 10 home runs. 

  • Time: 3:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: CHSN, DBacks.TV

Jacob deGrom Over 6.5 strikeouts (-136)

Jacob deGrom is still one of the best in the sport when healthy, and he’s showing it this season. The veteran has a 2.29 ERA through four starts, striking out 25 in 19 2/3 innings of work.

He’s hit the over in Ks in two of his outings in ‘26, and there’s reason to believe he’ll rack up the swings-and-misses today. 

The Texas Rangers take on the Pittsburgh Pirates, who are 22nd in team strikeouts with nine per game. deGrom has 28 Ks in 81 at-bats against them. He had six strikeouts in his lone start at home this year.

  • Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: SNP, RSN
Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Prop picks: 5-9, +0.54 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Thoughts on an 8-4 Rangers loss

ARLINGTON, TEXAS - APRIL 22: Jack Leiter #22 of the Texas Rangers pitches against the Pittsburgh Pirates during the first inning at Globe Life Field on April 22, 2026 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Ron Jenkins/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Pirates 8, Rangers 4

  • Well, that was some unpleasantness.
  • Jack Leiter was really good. Until he wasn’t.
  • Leiter allowed a first inning run, on a two out Bryan Reynolds double followed by a Marcell Ozuna single, but those were the only two hits he allowed through four innings. He needed just 20 pitches to get through the first nine batters of the game.
  • Once the Pirates turned the lineup over, though, the at bats started getting longer and longer. Leiter needed 16 pitches to get the final two outs of the third, including an 11 pitch at bat to end the inning when he struck out Brandon Lowe. In the fourth, he needed 19 pitches, including a nine pitch at bat against Bryan Reynolds and a seven pitch walk to Ryan O’Hearn.
  • Still, things seemed to be going fine, and Leiter seemed to be in position to go six, maybe seven innings.
  • The Pirates went single-K-walk (on 8 pitches)-K to start the fifth, and retiring Brandon Lowe for the third out would preserve the Rangers’ 2-1 lead.
  • But no. Lowe singled home a run. Then Bryan Reynolds singled to right, scoring a run, and Brandon Nimmo made a terrible throw back into the infield that Leiter fell and twisted his ankle trying to back up, allowing Lowe to score all the way from first.
  • Leiter looked like he might be seriously injured on the play, which would have made things catastrophic. Somehow, though, he was well enough to finish the inning, retiring Ozuna on a fly out.
  • Final line for Leiter was five innings, four runs, three earned, five Ks, 15 whiffs, two walks. He now has a 4.97 ERA on the year.
  • The surprisingly effective Tyler Alexander gave the Rangers two innings of scoreless relief, followed by a shutout inning from Gavin Collyer. When the Rangers tied the score in the bottom of the eighth, Skip Schumaker turned to Cole Winn to keep the game tied.
  • Things didn’t work out. A weakly hit single and a hard hit single put runners on the corners with no one out. A strikeout was followed by a weak chopper to third base that Josh Jung made a less than great throw home on, and it was now 5-4 with two on and one out. Jalen Beeks was brought in to face Oneil Cruz, and Cruz crushed a middle-middle cutter that bounced off the top of the right field foul pole.
  • And that was church.
  • Offensively, the Rangers got a two run home run by Josh Jung in the bottom of the second, Joc Pederson having walked to lead off the inning, then did a whole bunch of nothing until the eighth inning, when Andrew McCutchen led off with a pinch hit single, Brandon Nimmo doubled, and then Jake Burger singled them home to tie the game at four.
  • That was exciting, at least, though the excitement was short-lived.
  • It was a frustrating game. And put the Rangers back at .500, and a half-game back in the A.L. West behind Oakland, even though those shit-ass A’s lost.
  • Jack Leiter hit 98.5 mph with his fastball, averaging 96.9 mph. Tyler Alexander hit 92.0 mph with his fastball. Gavin Collyer hit 97.5 mph with his fastball. Cole Winn’s fastball topped out at 96.3 mph. Jalen Beeks reached 94.7 mph with his fastball.
  • Brandon Nimmo had a 108.3 mph double and a 102.9 mph ground out. Evan Carter had a 101.9 mph single.
  • Texas can still take the series on Thursday. Let’s get that rubber game win.

Pittsburgh’s new Pirates are off to a hot start

Apr 17, 2026; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Pittsburgh Pirates right fielder Ryan O’Hearn makes the catch against the Tampa Bay Rays during the fifth inning at PNC Park. Mandatory Credit: Philip G. Pavely-Imagn Images | Philip G. Pavely-Imagn Images

Through the early part of the season the Pittsburgh Pirates have been enjoying a lot of success, with a lot of credit going to their transformed lineup. At 14-10 the Buccos offseason moves are already paying off as they are in the top ten of the latest MLB Power Rankings.

Brandon Lowe was the headliner in the Pirates’ trade with the Tampa Bay Rays in December, and that move was an immediate upgrade for Pittsburgh’s revolving door of temporary second basemen. With Lowe the Pirates got a top ten second baseman in baseball who is a huge power threat. The 31-year-old has consistently been one of the best hitters in baseball since his first major league season in 2018. Aside from his rookie season and his injury shortened 2022 season, Lowe has never hit less than 10 homers in a year. In 2021 Lowe had a career high 39 homers.

Lowe’s start to 2026 has been very productive. He’s currently slashing .267/.375/.600 and already has seven homers. Lowe has been a bright spot in Pittsburgh’s lineup, and “Bam Bam” looks to keep on knocking in runs.

Jake Mangum was another part of the Tampa Bay trade, and while his Major League career is largely just getting started, he has already proven to be a spark plug when he’s on the field. With the Pirates, the 30-year-old outfielder has played primarily in a platoon role, appearing in 18 games so far. 2025 was his first season in the Majors and he showed to be a player with a knack for contact hitting and speed on the base pads, totaling 27 stolen bases and a .296 batting average with the Rays.

This year with the Pirates, Mangum has appeared primarily in left field and has a perfect fielding percentage. In his 18 games Mangum has performed consistently with a .300 batting average, 15 hits and three steals.

For the first time in a decade, the Pirates signed a free-agent to a multi-year contract when they signed Ryan O’Hearn to a two-year $29 million contract. Coming off of his first All-Star season, O’Hearn provides another veteran bat to a lineup that was in desperate need of a makeover. The Sam Houston State product is off to arguably his best start to a season in his career. He is currently ranked in the top ten in the National League for batting average, on base percentage and on base plus slugging percentage.

In the bigger picture of Pittsburgh baseball, O’Hearn represents the fact that the Pirates are making a conscious effort to build a winning team. O’Hearn had multiple suitors in free-agency, but him choosing Pittsburgh signifies the belief he has in the team and the culture that the organization is trying to now build. It’s very possible that this signing proves to be very impactful for the future of the franchise.

The last big signing that the Pirates made in the winter was the addition of Marcell Ozuna to serve as the team’s primary designated hitter. The 35-year-old DH is a three-time All-Star, a one-time Gold Glove defender and a two-time Silver Slugger. Despite his age Ozuna brought a pedigree to the Pirates that was more impressive than most of their signings in recent history. With that being said, Ozuna has largely looked past his prime. To start the season, he has mostly looked lost at the plate, and has been more of a liability than a point of strength for the team.

Despite the slow start that Ozuna has had, he is starting to turn things around. Ozuna’s first homer with the Pirates was a three-run blast that tied the contest against the Nationals on April 16. Against the Rays on April 18, “The Big Bear” looked like he had come out of hibernation by hammering a two run dinger to extend the Pirates’ lead. Is Ozuna the player that he used to be? Likely no. Father Time makes no exceptions. Is he heating up? He has certainly looked better at the plate, where even his shortcomings are looking productive. Though he’s not the player he used to be, Ozuna can still provide meaningful offense for this Pirates squad.

The Pirates still have a long season ahead of them, but to this point their offseason spending has really worked out as we are seeing the most exciting version of the Buccos in quite some time.

Updated: Brewer prospect Luis Peña overheats Wednesday night, requires trip to hospital

The Wisconsin Timber Rattlers’ Fan Fest and media day on Wednesday, April 1, 2026,at Neuroscience Group Field at Fox Cities Stadium in Grand Chute, Wis. Wm. Glasheen USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin | Wm. Glasheen/USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

As our own Jason Paczkowski indicated early Thursday morning, the Brewers’ High-A Wisconsin affiliate had their game called in the eighth inning on Wednesday night after a player reportedly collapsed in the dugout. While no details have been confirmed to this point, the belief is that the collapsed player is Brewer No. 2 prospect and MLB No. 21 prospect Luis Peña.

The incident occurred while athletic training staff members were checking out Timber Rattlers catcher Marco Dinges after a pitch deflected off his knee. In the video below, you’ll see the Fort Wayne TinCaps third base coach signal for medics after something happened in the Timber Rattlers dugout.

While no confirmation has been made about whether it was in fact Peña, unconfirmed reports say he was rushed to the hospital. He was reportedly stable and responsive as of midnight. Regardless of who the player is, we wish them a speedy recovery.

UPDATE: It was reported by Adam McCalvy on Thursday morning that the player was, in fact, Luis Peña. McCalvy added that Brewer GM Matt Arnold indicated it was an overheating issue, and Peña was transferred to the hospital for IV fluids. He’s reportedly doing better. Seems like a best-case scenario, all things considered.

Dodgers vs Giants Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Los Angeles Dodgers look to avoid a sweep at the hands of the rival San Francisco Giants in Thursday’s matinee series finale. 

It’s a pitcher’s delight with Tyler Glasnow taking the ball for the visitors and Logan Webb getting the call for the home team. 

My Dodgers vs. Giants predictions and MLB picks see the Boys in Blue avoiding the sweep this afternoon.

Who will win Dodgers vs Giants today: Dodgers (-154)

We’re getting value on the Los Angeles Dodgers for two reasons: they dropped the first two games of the series and will be facing ace Logan Webb.

The San Francisco Giants have plated a total of six runs in their last three games, however, so it's not like this recent success is very repeatable. Their 76 wRC+ against right-handed pitching is a concern, while L.A. leads the league in that category (130)

Webb (5.40 ERA, 4.42 xERA) is allowing too much hard contact (eighth percentile hard-hit rate) again. Tyler Glasnow, meanwhile, has been deadly (2.62 xERA, 2.58 FIP).

Covers COVERS INTEL: Logan Webb has struggled against the Dodgers, posting a 4.47 ERA and 1.33 WHIP across 108+ innings against his rivals. He's surrendered an .855 OPS to their projected lineup.

Dodgers vs Giants Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (-139)

The first two games of this series cruised to the Under with a total of seven runs crossing the plate in 18 innings. With two quality starting pitchers on the bump, here’s betting on another low-scoring contest. 

Glasnow ranks in the 80th percentile or above in xERA, strikeout rate, and walk rate. His elite 24.2 K-BB% will play at Oracle Park, a venue where Webb has a career 2.90 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. 

The Dodgers have cashed the Under in six of their last eight road games and are playing in a pitcher-friendly park with temperatures in the low-60s.

JD Yonke's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 8-5, +4.94 units
  • Over/Under bets: 9-5, +3.82 units

Dodgers vs Giants odds

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -160 | Giants +135
  • Run line: Dodgers -1.5 (+115) | Giants +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5

Dodgers vs Giants trend

The Dodgers are 4-0 in Tyler Glasnow's four starts this season. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Giants.

How to watch Dodgers vs Giants and game info

LocationOracle Park, San Francisco, CA
DateThursday, April 23, 2026
First pitch3:45 p.m. ET
TVSportsNet Los Angeles, NBCS-Bay Area
Dodgers starting pitcherTyler Glasnow
(2-0, 3.24 ERA)
Giants starting pitcherLogan Webb
(2-2, 5.40 ERA)

Dodgers vs Giants latest injuries

Dodgers vs Giants weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Is it time for the Phillies to do something drastic?

Apr 21, 2026; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Philadelphia Phillies manager Rob Thomson (49) in the dugout before a game against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Marton-Imagn Images | Matt Marton-Imagn Images

The Phillies are a mess right now. You know it. I know it. They know it. To paraphrase the great Yogi Berra, it’s getting late early. You cannot win a division or a pennant in April, but you can certainly lose one. And you can do that by doing things like winning two of your last 15 games and losing seven games in a row like the Phillies have done entering play yesterday.

When things are going this poorly, especially early on in the season, the discussion is usually dominated by what needs to be done to try and find a spark. Naturally, the first thing that comes up is a managerial change. Rob Thomson is not at fault for all of the Phillies’ failings, but everything comes into question with a putrid start such as this one. Firing a manager this early into the season rarely if ever works out, but it’s the first lever to pull that gets considered. We of course have the example of Joe Girardi’s firing in recent Phillies history, but that didn’t happen until June 3rd. The 2022 Phillies were 22-29 when Girardi was given the boot. Forty to fifty or so games are usually how long a team waits until making such a move. Firing a manger in April is usually viewed as a panic move and in this case would be a black mark against a front office that just extended their manager four months ago, but all options are on the table. 

The other coaching change option that could be considered is hitting coach Kevin Long. Long has been with the team since 2022 and has frequently come under fire from the fanbase due to the offense’s tendency to underperform or fall into a malaise. He’s considered one of the better hitting coaches in the sport and is well respected around the game. He has a definitive track record of helping players, with Kyle Schwarber being his star pupil, but he has helped players such as Brandon Marsh improve their game. However, Long has also overseen an offense that has disappeared in the postseason multiple times and is off to a historically bad start to 2026. It is rarely, if ever, the hitting coach’s fault, as he simply cannot change what a player is at his core, even if he can help with adjustments and tweaks. But the hitting coach is usually the favorite scapegoat for a team whose offense is nonexistent. 

There’s much less to be done about the actual players on the roster at this juncture. Rosters across baseball are very inflexible at this point in the season, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t options. The team could release Taijuan Walker to show some sense of urgency, but he is hardly the only problem with the pitching staff. Releasing him now would be easier than in the past as it is the last year of his contract and maybe it would send some kind of message. On the offense side, there’s really not a whole lot that can be done besides benching. Theoretically, maybe a surprise demotion could be on the table for someone like Alec Bohm or Bryson Stott, but they have earned the right to refuse an assignment to the minor leagues thanks to five years of MLB service time, so it’s extremely unlikely. Otherwise, we’ve already seen multiple lineup changes and even a surprise promotion with Felix Reyes, and nothing has worked. 

So, is it time for the Phillies to do something drastic? If so, what lever would you pull?

Cubs 7, Phillies 2: Michael Busch’s first 2026 homer helps the team to its eighth straight win

The Cubs have found many different ways to win during their current eight-game winning streak.

Blowouts (three straight games with 10+ runs). Extra-inning thrillers (over the Mets on Sunday). Winning despite leaving 17 on base (Tuesday).

And Wednesday, a home run by a player who’s been struggling at the plate helped galvanize the offense. Michael Busch’s homer gave the Cubs a two-run lead in the third. Seiya Suzuki also homered and the Cubs got solid pitching and defense again and won for the eighth consecutive time, 7-2 over the Phillies, who, not coincidentally, lost their eighth in a row.

Matthew Boyd breezed through the first and then the Cubs got on the board right away in the bottom of the inning. Nico Hoerner led off the game with a single and went to third on a single by Alex Bregman.

Ian Happ hit into a force play, with Nico scoring [VIDEO].

Boyd got in trouble in the second. Three Phillies hits gave the visitors a 2-1 lead.

The Cubs got that run right back in the bottom of the inning — and here again, we see the value of defense, or lack thereof. With two out, Miguel Amaya lifted a fly ball to short center. Three Phillies converged on the ball, and it wasn’t real windy so they can’t blame the weather. Phillies center fielder Justin Crawford just dropped it, the ball glancing off his glove. Amaya, hustling, made it to second.

A double by Pete Crow-Armstrong tied tie game [VIDEO].

Boyd had an easier third, allowing a baserunner on a rare throwing error by Dansby Swanson. The Cubs then took the lead for good. Alex Bregman hit a ball off the front of the basket in left-center and got to third. A review confirmed that the ball was in play, missing a home run by inches [VIDEO].

Bregman scored on this single by Happ [VIDEO].

Suzuki then hit into a double play, but Busch smacked a ball out of the yard to make it 4-2 [VIDEO].

That was a long time coming for Busch, who led the Cubs with 34 homers last year (and eight more in eight postseason games). It happened in his 95th plate appearance of the season. Last year Busch hit five home runs in his first 95 PA. Sometimes good hitters go through slumps like this. I think Busch will be just fine; hitting that first long ball often helps hitters break out.

Boyd was removed with two out in the fifth after inducing a double-play ball. He threw 84 pitches (56 strikes), didn’t walk anyone and struck out five. It wasn’t a great outing, but wasn’t a bad one either, considering he was coming off an injury. Same feeling about Boyd as about Busch: He’ll be just fine.

The Cubs then broke the game open in the bottom of the fifth. Bregman singled, his third hit of the game, another guy starting to heat up (last 11 games: .340/.407/.426 with two doubles, a triple and six walks). Bregman was forced at second by Happ, but Suzuki followed with this home run, his second in as many days [VIDEO].

It’s useful to remember that Suzuki missed much of the WBC and Spring Training with the knee injury suffered in a WBC game. He had only 17 PA in his rehab assignment and now has 52 PA in MLB games this year. So up to now, he was still getting the reps he missed in Mesa. This is another really good hitter who’ll be just fine.

It’s now 6-2 Cubs and Ben Brown, who relieved Boyd, threw 2.1 scoreless innings, allowing one hit and striking out five. Seems to me Brown has found his role on this team — multi-inning reliever. He now has 20 strikeouts in 19 innings, with just one home run allowed this year. Good stuff from Ben. Corbin Martin threw a 1-2-3 eighth.

The Cubs added one more run in the bottom of the eighth. Moisés Ballesteros led off with a double (and FWIW, this was just the fifth time this year that Ballesteros played the entire game). He went to third on a ground out and scored on this PCA single [VIDEO].

PCA is also heating up. Last eight games: .345/.424/.483 (10-for-29) with two doubles and a triple. This is just in time for the Cubs to go to Dodger Stadium, where PCA is a lifetime .333/.320/.708 hitter (8-for-24 with a double, a triple and two home runs). All together now: “He’ll be just fine.”

Hoby Milner entered the game to finish things off. He allowed a leadoff single but then got the next two hitters. He ran a 1-2 count on Rafael Marchán and then a Milner pitch was called ball two.

Amaya immediately challenged that call [VIDEO].

And so, we witnessed a first Wednesday at Wrigley — the Cubs’ first-ever ABS walk-off!

The Cubs have outscored their opponents 58-20 during the eight-game winning streak (and conversely, the Phillies have been outscored 56-16 during their eight-game loss streak) and this time, they did get RISP hitting — 3-for-9 — and left just seven on base. The Reds lost Wednesday so the Cubs are alone in second place in the NL Central, half a game out of the top spot. More on the Cubs’ streak from BCB’s JohnW53:

The Cubs have won seven straight home games, beginning with their 7-6 walk-off against the Pirates on April 12. They had not won seven in a row at home since July 26-Aug. 13, 2020. They also had two seven-game streaks in 2018. Their last eight-game streak at home was Sept. 12-30, 2017. Shortly before that, Aug. 18-Sept. 2, they had won nine in a row.

The Cubs have won their last five games vs. the Phillies, their longest such streak since they won six July 22-Sept. 29, 2022. They also won six in 1995 and 1985. They also won five in 1986, 1982 and 1973. Their last streak of more than six was seven, May 1-July 16, 1971.

Lastly on streaks: This is the Cubs’ longest April winning streak since they reeled off 11 in a row from April 14-27, 1970.

The Cubs could move into a first-place tie with a ninth consecutive win Thursday afternoon at Wrigley Field. It will not be easy, as the Phillies’ best starter (and one of the league’s best, too) Cristopher Sánchez will start for the visitors. Edward Cabrera, who’s also been very good this year, goes for the Cubs. Game time is 1:20 p.m. CT and TV coverage will be via Marquee Sports Network.

Are you shirking work/school to watch JR Ritchie’s debut?

NORTH PORT, FL- FEBRUARY 22: JR Ritchie #92 of the Atlanta Braves pitches during a spring training game against the Minnesota Twins on February 22, 2026 at CoolToday Park in North Port, Florida. (Photo by Brace Hemmelgarn/Minnesota Twins/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Question is pretty much in the title. How dare they make JR Ritchie’s debut a mid-week day game? Oh, their hand was forced by the Nationals’ nigh-inexorable offense? Well, okay then.

It’s a bit of a double-whammy for me today. You probably don’t know this, but today is St. George’s Day, and I’m personally a big fan of the Catalan version. For the last few years, I’ve been sneaking out to grab books and roses for my wife and kids every April 23. It was easier in past years due to various circumstances, but today there’s a standard slate of work and Ritchie’s debut. Thank St. George for modern technology, where I can just have it on MLB.tv on my phone if I do manage to sneak out, I guess!

(The funny thing is, I’ve doing this for a few years now, and no one seems to remember that it’s every April 23. It’s always a surprise, and I have to explain it each time. Maybe it’s more whimsical that way?)

Anyway, are you celebrating Ritchie’s debut with being less productive? Or is it the grindstone and highlights for you given the awkward timing of today’s 1:05 pm ET start?

Brewers vs Tigers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The dominant Tarik Skubal takes the ball in the rubber match today against the Milwaukee Brewers, as the Detroit Tigers look to win the finale. 

Behind Skubal, my Brewers vs. Tigers predictions and MLB picks call for Detroit to walk away with a convincing victory. 

Who will win Brewers vs Tigers today: Tigers -1.5 (+100)

Following Wednesday’s 5-2 win over the Milwaukee Brewers, the Detroit Tigers are now 9-2 at home this season. They’ve covered the run line in eight of those games at Comerica Park. Tarik Skubal takes the hill today, and he’s always lights out. 

The lefty has a 2.08 ERA so far, and he’s allowed just two earned across his last two outings. Across 40 at-bats against this Milwaukee lineup, Skubal has held them to a .140 average, while striking out 16.

The Tigers have covered the run line in two of Skubal’s four starts this season. In his only home start, Detroit won 8-2. The hosts are also set to face Brandon Sproat, who has a 6.88 ERA. Although he’s calmed down over his last two appearances, Sproat gave up four earned runs in his last road start. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: Tarik Skubal owns an impressive 2.09 FIP this season, and he's also struck out 33 batters in 30 1/3 innings.

Brewers vs Tigers Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (-145)

When Skubal is on the bump, it’s almost a foregone conclusion that he won’t be giving up many runs. This Tigers bullpen was also phenomenal on Wednesday after Casey Mize exited, allowing just one run across three innings.

Sprout has surrendered only two runs across his last two starts for Milwaukee. While he’s not as good on the road, the 25-year-old is starting to find some confidence. Detroit has never faced him, but I do expect them to score some runs, as they’re a much better team at home.

However, it won’t be a ton, and Skubal will limit the Brew Crew to crumbs offensively. The Under will cash as these bullpens hold it down late once again. 

Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 7-4, -0.94 units
  • Over/Under bets: 7-4, +2.19 units

Brewers vs Tigers odds

  • Moneyline: Brewers +190 | Tigers -210
  • Run line: Brewers +1.5 (-120) | Tigers -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5

Brewers vs Tigers trend

The Tigers have covered the run line in eight of their last 12 home games for +7.1 units and a 53% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs. Tigers.

How to watch Brewers vs Tigers and game info

LocationComerica Park, Detroit, MI
DateThursday, April 23, 2026
First pitch1:10 p.m. ET
TVBrewers.TV, DSN
Brewers starting pitcherBrandon Sproat
(0-1, 6.88 ERA)
Tigers starting pitcherTarik Skubal
(3-2, 2.08 ERA)

Brewers vs Tigers latest injuries

Brewers vs Tigers weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.