In 2025, the Cubs were relatively healthy. That’s easy to forget. The headline injuries, Justin Steele, Kyle Tucker and Cade Horton were to some of the team’s biggest stars. Nico Hoerner and a number of other offensive players had some various bumps and bruises. A couple of the starting pitchers missed some time. Javier Assad basically missed most of the season injured. As a stark contrast, the injured list has already been a revolving door for the 2026 team. Without going down any rabbit holes, I suspect that at no time in 2025 did the Cubs have this many players on their injured list at any one time.
The injuries, particularly the ongoing injury of Steele and the season-ending injury for Horton, could certainly be an excuse for this team. Losing two guys who you hoped could eventually be cornerstones of your rotation could be devastating. To be sure, there are a lot of chapters still to be written and that might well eventually be the demise of this team. Even with a host of relievers also being lost to injury, this team has once again emerged in the early going as one of the better teams in baseball.
Wednesday afternoon in San Diego, the Cubs pitching staff was dominant during seven innings. Obviously, baseball is a nine inning game. Jameson Taillon started and was dominant during six innings. But he pitched seven of them. After five perfect innings, he had a sequence of homer-walk-homer and saw a three-run lead evaporate. Corbin Martin had been terrific to date for the Cubs and was called on for the first time in a high leverage situation. But he had no command of his pitches at all and walked the bases loaded before being pulled. In short, the pitching was uneven. But on this day, seven good innings was enough.
It was enough, because the relentless Cubs offense continued its excellent work. The Cub offense now leads MLB in on-base percentage. They have the most walks and the third most hits. Their slugging percentage ranks fourth. A stat shown during the broadcast noted that the Cubs have the most plate appearances with runners on base — by a very wide margin. They had more than 10 percent more such plate appearances than any other team. This offense has been incredibly special in the early going.
In this game, the Cubs had nine hits, three of then doubles and two of them homers. They drew five walks and had a hit batter. Xander Bogaerts made a terrific play to start a double play snuffing an early rally. And the Padres got fortunate on a ball that Nick Castellanos misplayed in left field that could have cost them a run but for the ball bouncing out of play. The Cubs got five runs and it could certainly have been more. But it was enough.
The Cubs’ play in March and April doesn’t end up looking great on paper now that we have reached the end of the month. The 19-12 record is great. But the strength of schedule read .494, the lowest of any of the teams in the NL Central. Of course, that is massively weighed down by the performance of the Mets and Phillies in April. The Phillies are 10-19, which is awful. Bear in mind, though, they are a much more respectable 9-13 when they play the rest of the league. I just today listened to the Kyle Schwarber episode of Lovable Reunion and the group felt that the Phillies had a legit chance at a championship. For that to be true, that team is going to have to go on one heck of a tear.
The reality of the Cubs’ March and April is that they battled adversity and they not only survived, but they thrived. As I said earlier, there are a lot of chapters still to be written. We’ve all heard that old phrase a million times. You can’t win a championship early in the season, but you can lose one. That’s surely being said to the Mets and Phillies elsewhere. This Cubs team positioned itself to be a contender. Now, we turn to the next chapter and see if they can continue that. In a National League that has nine of 15 teams over .500 through the end of April, nothing is going to be easy.
Three Positives:
- Matt Shaw had three hits including a double and a homer. He scored twice and drove in a run. He also what looked like a solid game at second base.
- Jameson Taillon threw seven innings and allowed only three hits, one walk, three runs and struck out six. He was perfect through four innings and threw a perfect seventh.
- Ben Brown pulled off a quintessential reliever accomplishment. He faced four batters and recorded five outs. That was because he inherited the bases loaded with no outs and the middle of the Padres lineup approaching. He did allow an inherited run to score, but got a double play ball on a nice play by Shaw.
Game 31, April 29: Cubs 5, Padres 4 (19-12)
Reminder: Heroes and Goats are determined by WPA scores and are in no way subjective.
THREE HEROES:
- Superhero: Ben Brown (.515). 1.2 IP, 4 BF, K
- The highest WPA by a Cub in 2026 to date
- Hero: Matt Shaw (.251). 3-4, HR, 2B, RBI, 2 R
- Sidekick: Pete Crow-Armstrong (.142). 1-4, HR, 3 RBI, R
THREE GOATS:
- Billy Goat: Corbin Martin (-.353). 0 IP, 3 BF, 3 BB, ER
- Goat: Michael Busch (-.211). 0-4, BB
- Kid: Moisés Ballesteros (-.085). 0-5
WPA Play of the Game: With the bases loaded and one out in the eighth inning, the Padres trailed by one. Ben Brown got Manny Machado to ground into a double play. (.327)
*Padres Play of the Game: With two outs and a runner on first in the fifth inning, the Padres down two, Nick Castellanos hit a two-run homer. (.277)
Cubs Player of the Game:
Game 30 Winner: Pete Crow-Armstrong received 93 of 165 votes
Rizzo Award Standings: (Top 3/Bottom 3)
The award is named for Anthony Rizzo, who finished first in this category three of the first four years it was in existence and four times overall. He also recorded the highest season total ever at +65.5. The point scale is three points for a Superhero down to negative three points for a Billy Goat.
- Nico Hoerner +9.5
- Michael Conforto +7
- Moisés Ballesteros/Daniel Palencia +5
- Matt Shaw/Pete Crow-Armstrong -8
- Jacob Webb -9
Current Win Pace: 99.3
Up Next: The first off day after 13 straight games in which the team went 10-3. They will host the Diamondbacks (16-13) on Friday. The D-backs play in Milwaukee to finish their series with the Brewers Thursday afternoon. The two teams split the first two games in the series. Colin Rea (3-1, 4.61, 27.1 IP) is scheduled to start. Last time out, Rea was rocked for six runs on six hits and four walks in 3.1 innings in Los Angeles against the Dodgers. The Diamondbacks haven’t officially announced a starter yet for the game but if they stay on their normal rotation, it will likely be Zac Gallen.