Will Red Sox make the playoffs? Our panel shares their confidence level

Will Red Sox make the playoffs? Our panel shares their confidence level originally appeared on NBC Sports Boston

The Boston Red Sox made multiple blockbuster moves to bolster their roster in the offseason, but will that be enough to propel them to their first playoff berth since 2021?

With the American League East seemingly up for grabs, they’ll have a golden opportunity to play in October. The biggest obstacle on their path to the postseason will be staying healthy, as their talented roster can measure up to almost any other AL team.

Of course, games aren’t won on paper, so the Red Sox must prove they’ve moved past the issues that have plagued them for the last half-decade. They placed last in the division in 2020, 2022, and 2023 before finishing in third with an 81-81 record last season. Given their recent struggles, it’s hard to fault anyone who lacks confidence in the club for 2025.

So, just how confident should we be in the Red Sox’ playoff chances? Phil Perry, Marc Bertrand, and Trenni Casey shared their confidence levels on a scale of 1-10 during Thursday’s Early Edition.

“I’m feeling pretty good. I’m gonna say 8,” Bertrand said. “I have an expectation that they will be in the playoffs, and they have plenty of opportunity to be in the playoffs, so I’m feeling good about that one.”

Perry isn’t quite as optimistic as Bertrand, though he still has fairly high expectations for this year’s club.

“Eight is very strong, but I’m not gonna be too far behind. I’m gonna say a 7,” Perry said. “I just feel as though there’s still enough uncertainty where 8, 9, to me, you’re almost guaranteeing it. I feel good about it, but I still have some questions.”

Casey isn’t as sold as Bertrand and Perry, noting that even if the team is better, it will still have to overcome adversity at some point this season.

“I was gonna go like a 6 or a 7,” Casey said. “We’ve seen some really strong performances this week from a couple of different guys, but this is just how a season goes. You’re gonna have some injuries, you’re gonna have guys go through slumps.

“And when you look at the top of the AL East and the rest of the American League, you figure that the Yankees are gonna be right there if they continue to hit the way that they are hitting. I think the Blue Jays are really invested in making another run. The Rays will probably fall back and the Orioles will probably stay there as well.”

The Red Sox got off to a shaky start, winning on Opening Day before dropping four straight games. They’ve won their last two games, however, with standout performances from ace Garrett Crochet and rookie Kristian Campbell– both of whom signed contract extensions this week.

Crochet, acquired from the Chicago White Sox in the offseason, struck out eight across eight shutout innings vs. Baltimore on Wednesday. Campbell tallied his second home run of the season on Thursday while making Red Sox history. Their continued success will be key to Boston clinching a postseason berth.

The Red Sox will look to improve to .500 when they welcome the St. Louis Cardinals to Fenway Park for their home opener on Friday.

Braves are desperate for recovery as they enter their home opener as the majors’ only winless team

ATLANTA — The Atlanta Braves’ longest winless start since 2016 has left manager Brian Snitker desperate for a recovery he hopes begins with the team’s home opener against Miami.

Atlanta blew a 5-0 lead and lost 6-5 on Shohei Ohtani’s ninth-inning homer. The loss left the Braves 0-7 for their worst start since their 0-9 opening in 2016, when they finished last in the NL East.

The Braves are the only team in the majors still looking for their first win, and the pain of the woeful start has been made worse by losing two players. Left fielder Jurickson Profar, the team’s leadoff hitter and top offseason addition, was suspended for 80 games for performance-enhancing drug use. Right-hander Reynaldo Lopez was placed on the 15-day injured list because of an inflamed right shoulder.

Snitker, who has enjoyed a run of seven consecutive postseasons, including the 2021 World Series championship, and six straight NL East titles, didn’t try to hide the pain of the latest loss.

“I wouldn’t wish this on anybody honestly, you know, in a competitive arena,” Snitker told reporters. “And what we’re going through is tough. Very tough.”

The Braves were swept by San Diego in four games to open the season before three straight losses in Los Angeles.

A lack of hitting was the glaring weakness for most of the devastating road trip. After scoring only nine runs in their first six games combined, the Braves appeared to break out of their funk by taking an early 5-0 lead. They failed to score after loading the bases with no outs in the sixth. Closer Raisel Iglesias gave up Ohtani’s tiebreaking homer in the ninth.

“There’s nothing you can do but just continue to fight your way out of it and show up,” Snitker said, adding that the performance “was more of a real game than we’ve played, I think, in six days.

“It’s a shame that we lost it. But you know what? That’s up to us. I mean, we had it there. We couldn’t finish the deal.”

The Braves rank last in the majors with their .151 batting average and 28th with 14 runs, only two per game.

Looking for answers, Snitker shook up his lineup in Los Angeles. Shortstop Nick Allen had a combined three hits while starting the last two games. Outfielders Michael Harris II and Jarred Kelenic were rested.

“What are we going to do? Not score?” Snitker asked before the game when discussing the new lineup. It was his way of saying things couldn’t get much worse.

Matt Olson, Austin Riley and Harris are hitting below .200. Olson and Riley have yet to hit a homer.

“From an offensive point of view, there’s no excuses,” Riley told reporters after the game. “It’s embarrassing.”

Pitchers are avoiding designated hitter Marcell Ozuna, who leads the majors with 13 walks.

“It’s pretty evident that they haven’t wanted to pitch to him,” Snitker said. “... Eventually some of the guys behind him are going to get it going as a whole. We will as a team.”

Shohei Ohtani MVP bobbleheads were free at Dodger Stadium. Now they cost up to $1,450 online

A bobblehead doll of Los Angeles Dodgers' Shohei Ohtani is seen standing outside its box before a baseball game
The Dodgers gave away Shohei Ohtani MVP bobbleheads before their Wednesday game against the Atlanta Braves at Dodger Stadium. The item has become a hot seller on the resale market. (Kevork Djansezian / Associated Press)

Shohei Ohtani ended Wednesday's Dodgers game in spectacular fashion, sending the first pitch he saw from Atlanta Braves reliever Raisel Iglesias 399 feet over the center-field wall for a walk-off home run and a 6-5 Los Angeles win.

It just so happened that everyone who witnessed that moment at Dodger Stadium had a tiny replica of the Japanese superstar in their possession, as all fans in attendance with a valid ticket were given an Ohtani bobblehead commemorating the National League MVP award he received last year.

What a wonderful memento for those folks!

Or in some cases, what a wonderful money-making opportunity!

Read more:Shohei Ohtani hits walk-off homer on his bobblehead night to keep Dodgers undefeated

The Ohtani MVP bobbleheads — which feature a smiling Ohtani in his Dodgers uniform, holding his NL MVP award in his right hand and resting a bat on his shoulder with his left hand — have been a hot seller on the resale market, with more than 250 having sold on eBay since Wednesday.

As of Thursday morning, the most paid for the standard bobblehead was $299.99, while some lucky fan got a bargain at $90. The majority of the items seemed to sell in the $150 to $170 range.

A man and woman and two young children all carry boxes with Shohei Ohtani bobbleheads at Dodger Stadium.
All fans in attendance with valid tickets received Shohei Ohtani bobbleheads Wednesday at Dodger Stadium. (Robert Gauthier / Los Angeles Times)
A fan is handed a box with a Shohei Ohtani bobblehead inside. Numerous crates full of bobblehead boxes surround him.
The Dodgers are scheduled to give away Shohei Ohtani bobbleheads at three other home games this season. (Robert Gauthier / Los Angeles Times)

A limited number of bobbleheads featuring Ohtani holding a silver bat appear to have been handed out as well. A handful of those variants have also sold on eBay, for prices ranging from $499 to $900.

The Dodgers declined to comment for this story.

Read more:Shohei Ohtani 50-50 card sells for $1.07 million. It includes piece of pants Dodger wore reaching milestone

If you're still in the market for an Ohtani MVP bobblehead, fear not. There are more than 100 still for sale on eBay. Many of the standard models are available for buy-it-now prices ranging from $143 to $500, while others are up for bid with final prices yet to be determined.

A number of silver-bat variations are listed as well, with price tags ranging from $699 to $1,450.

The Dodgers are handing out Ohtani bobbleheads at Dodger Stadium three more times this season — twice to commemorate him becoming the first player to reach 50 home runs and 50 stolen bases (May 15 vs. the Athletics and Aug. 27 vs. the Cincinnati Reds, respectively) and once to commemorate his 2024 World Series ring (Aug. 6 vs. the St. Louis Cardinals).

Ohtani items seem to hold special value for collectors. An Ohtani Topps Dynasty Black baseball card featuring his signature in gold and a patch from the pants he wore while reaching the 50-50 milestone last season sold for $1.07 million this month, while his 50th home run ball was auctioned for $4.392 million in October.

Read more:Plaschke: Who says the Dodgers can’t go 162-0? Dramatic win over Braves extends a perfect start

Get the best, most interesting and strangest stories of the day from the L.A. sports scene and beyond from our newsletter The Sports Report.

This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.

Bat Speed Risers and Fallers: Breakouts coming for Pete-Crow Armstrong and Ryan Mountcastle?

Last year, Statcast gave us some fun new toys to play with when they dropped their Bat Speed Leaderboards. At the time, we discussed that bat speed had a close correlation to power, with every 1 mph of bat speed earning you approximately six more feet of distance on a batted ball. Now that we have multiple years of data on it, we can more easily see who is coming into the 2025 season with more offensive potential than they demonstrated in the past.

Thanks to Kyle Bland over at Pitcher List, we have this awesome chart on bat speed risers and fallersfor early 2025 action that I encourage you to peruse in detail. What Kyle has also added are columns to show the potential added run value and home run value of each hitter's swing. For example, Brice Turang adding 3 mph to his bat speed is great, but it doesn't bring as much potential run value or power value as Brett Baty adding three mph to his swing since Baty is still swinging six mph faster, etc.

Run value chart

Before we dive into the leaderboard itself, I should just note that seeing a player on here does not automatically mean they're in for a breakout season. It's nice for players to gain bat speed because that's a crucial part of offensive success, but bat speed won't help with swing decisions or a hitter's approach or anything else that can factor into success. Some guys with faster swings also need to recalibrate their contact point, and that takes some time to get used to.

We also don’t have any clear data of when this stat stabilizes. Much like fastball velocity, velocity stats tend to stabilize quicker because players are taking their A swings often and doing it many times a game. So these numbers may changes but I think they’re still actionable now. Yet, this is not a waiver wire column where you're running to add the players who gained bat speed or cut the ones who lost it. This is just a starting point for a larger discussion.

Aaron Judge
Mookie Betts has bounced back from illness, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. is in a great spot with the Yankees.

Bat Speed Leaderboard - Risers

Just a note before diving into these numbers is that around 71 mph is the leader average bat speed.

Name2024 Bat Speed (mph)2025 Bat Speed (mph)2025 Bat Speed Val (Runs/100)ΔBat Speed (mph)ΔRV/100 SwingsΔHR% (% of Swings)
Jesse Winker69.576.10.436.64.02.42%
Junior Caminero77.280.33.693.12.71.25%
Brendan Rodgers71.775.4-0.083.72.51.43%
Vinnie Pasquantino71.775.2-0.233.52.41.34%
Amed Rosario71.274.3-0.803.12.01.18%
Sean Bouchard71.174.1-0.913.02.01.14%
Brett Baty73.576.50.683.01.91.21%
Daniel Schneemann70.773.7-1.143.01.91.14%
Nick Maton70.073.0-1.593.01.81.08%
Jordan Beck71.473.9-1.022.51.70.97%
CJ Abrams72.274.8-0.512.61.70.96%
Bryce Harper74.076.60.742.61.71.09%
Kameron Misner70.273.0-1.592.81.71.03%
Pete Crow-Armstrong70.673.2-1.452.61.61.00%
James Wood73.976.40.632.51.61.04%
Ben Rice71.473.7-1.142.31.60.91%
Logan O'Hoppe70.773.2-1.452.51.60.96%

Instead of sorting just by added bat speed, I've sorted this list by added Run Value per 100 swings, so we should already be getting to players who have added the most potential fantasy value with their swings. I'm not going to talk about all of these guys, and there are a few players who don't appear on here that I do want to mention briefly, so I will once again encourage you to play around with the whole sheet.

Jesse Winker - OF, New York Mets: Winker has added 6.6 mph to his bat speed and is up to 76.1 mph. If he had enough swings to qualify, that would put him 16th in baseball, tied with Ryan Mountcastle and Gabriel Arias (yes, Gabriel Arias). Winker is just 2-for-16 so far on the season, but for a player who has battled back injuries over the years, it seems Winker is 100% healthy coming into the season, which is nice to see. He'll be the regular DH for the Mets against right-handed pitchers, so maybe this will turn into something.

Junior Caminero - 3B, Tampa Bay Rays: Not sure anybody needs to be told Junior Caminero is good, but it's nice to see him add 3.1 mph to his bat speed. That has taken up him to a 80.3mph average bat speed, which is best in all of baseball. That has also added 2.7 Run Value per 100 swings and 1.25% to his HR rate per swing. Now if he could just raise his launch angle a touch from -0.4 degrees, we might be onto something.

Brendan Rodgers - 2B, Houston Astros: Rodgers has added 3.7 mph to his bat speed, which puts him at 75.4 mph overall and well above the league average. We've never seen Rodgers be a huge power hitter, even in Colorado, but we also know he's battled a multitude of injuries so, much like with Winker, this may suggest that Rodgers is feeling healthy. He's also getting a chance to run with the starting second base job in Houston, so if this bat speed can lead to some strong contact, there could be fantasy value here.

Brett Baty - 2B/3B, New York Mets: Baty was a sleeper in drafts thanks to a strong spring training and an injury to Jeff McNeil, but he's gone just 1-for-14 to start the season with four strikeouts and no walks. Still, he has five hard-hit baseballs, and these numbers show us a 3 mph increase in his bat speed, which boosts him 1.21% HR rate per swing. At some point, the hits need to start to fall for him to keep getting starts at second base, but I wouldn't give up yet.

Kameron Misner - OF, Tampa Bay Rays: Misner has found himself with a shot at a starting job thanks to an oblique injury that could keep Josh Lowe out for multiple months. The 27-year-old Misner is off to a good start, going 5-for-14 with one home run and four RBI so far this season. He's added 2.8 mph to his bat speed, which has added 1.7 Run Value per 100 swings, which puts him 15th overall on this list. Remember that Misner was a former first-round pick, who hit .248/.360/.442 with 17 home runs and 30 steals in Triple-A for the Rays last season. This could be deep league worthy while Lowe is out.

Pete Crow-Armstrong - OF, Chicago Cubs: Pete Crow-Armstrong was a popular pick in fantasy drafts this off-season, but a lot of that had to do with him stealing 27 bases in 123 games last year and playing elite defense in center field, which should keep him in the lineup regularly. However, PCA has added 2.6 mph to his bat speed, which now gives him an above-average mark of 73.2 mph. He did have a 7.4% barrel rate last year and solid pull and fly ball rates, so perhaps this added bat speed will give him a little bit more juice than we thought.

Ben Rice - 1B, New York Yankees: I wrote about Ben Rice as a potential second-year breakout earlier in the off-season, so I love seeing him on this list. He's now up to 73.7 mph on his bat speed and added 0.91% to his HR rate per swing. I just need him to be in the lineup every day at this point.

Griffin Conine - OF, Miami Marlins: Griffin Conine is another player who's getting an opportunity thanks to injury (Jesus Sanchez is out with an oblique injury), and is trying to make the most of it. So far this season, Conine has gone 6-for-21 with one home run and four runs scored. He's added 2.4 mph to his bat speed, which puts him at 75.4 mph on average and ranks him 69th in baseball, right behind Marcel Ozuna. Conine did hit 20 home runs in the minors in 2023 and 19 home runs in 112 Triple-A games last year, so there could be 20+ home run power here with a player who is on the strong side of a platoon for the time being.

Brice Turang - 2B, Milwaukee Brewers: I mentioned Turang above because he added 3.9 mph to his bat speed, but that took him from 66.2 mph last year to 70.1 mph this year, which is still below average. Turang has never really made a fantasy impact because of authoritative contact, so added bat speed may not really make a big difference here, but we'll keep an eye on it and see.

Alejandro Kirk - C, Toronto Blue Jays: Kirk was a late target of mine in two-catcher leagues, and he's gotten off to a good start, going 6-for-19 with three runs and two RBI in five games. He's also added 2.5 mph to his bat speed, which has added 1.4 Run Value per 100 swings, that's 26th best on this sheet. Kirk has also been getting the ball into the air more so far with a 14.6 degree launch angle. I think the power is gonna come.

Miguel Vargas - 3B/OF, Chicago White Sox: Vargas had a big spring training and started to establish himself as a potential post-hype guy after disappointing with the Dodgers and with Chicago after coming over at the trade deadline. So far, Vargas is just 4-for-21, but his average exit velocity is 92.8 mph, which is much better than the career 87 mph mark he's posted in 402 MLB batted ball events. Overall, Vargas has added 2.3 mph to his bat speed, which now puts him at an above-average 72.1 mph average. I still love adding Vargas in deeper formats.

Ryan Mountcastle - 1B, Baltimore Orioles: I've always been a fan of Ryan Mountcastle, and I was a big fan of his this year with the Orioles moving the left field fences in. The 28-year-old has been hammering the ball so far this year, with a max exit velocity of 116.7mph that's over 2 mph more than the hardest ball he's ever hit in his career. He also has an average exit velocity of 93 mph, which could be thanks to adding 1.6 mph to his bat speed, which has added 1.1 Run Value per 100 swings. The power is coming, and I'd be trying to buy shares of Mountcastle now.

Nolan Jones - OF, Cleveland Guardians: Much like with Jesse Winker and Brendan Rodgers, Nolan Jones adding 1.8 mph to his bat speed and now averaging 72.5 mph is a good sign that his back is feeling pretty good right now. He's on the strong side of a platoon in right field in Cleveland, so if Jones were to stay healthy, there could be some fantasy juice here.

Gabriel Arias - 2B, Cleveland Guardians: I just wanted to quickly mention Arias because he has added 1.3 mph to his swing but now has an average bat speed of 76.1 mph, which is 17th-best in all of baseball. It's a faster bat speed than Elly De La Cruz, Bryce Harper, and many other established power hitters. Guardians manager Stephen Vogt talked up Arias in spring training, and the 25-year-old has gone 6-for-19 with one home run and two RBI to start the season. He's a name to keep an eye on in deeper formats given that Vogt has used him at 2B, 3B, and SS already this season.

I'll also end by just pointing out a bunch of "boring" veterans who qualified amongst the leaders in added run value and could be worthy of more fantasy love: Xander Bogaerts, Carson Kelly, Andrew Benintendi, Alec Bohm, Trevor Story, Gavin Sheets,Lane Thomas, and Ryan McMahon.

Bat Speed Leaderboard - Fallers

Just a note before diving into these numbers is that around 71 mph is the leader average bat speed.

Name2024 Bat Speed (mph)2025 Bat Speed (mph)2025 Bat Speed Val (Runs/100)ΔBat Speed (mph)ΔRV/100 SwingsΔHR% (% of Swings)
Christopher Morel76.172.9-1.66-3.2-2.1-1.26%
William Contreras74.771.7-2.59-3.0-2.0-1.13%
Javier Báez74.871.9-2.45-2.9-1.9-1.08%
Michael Harris II74.771.9-2.45-2.8-1.9-1.04%
Oliver Dunn75.272.5-1.98-2.7-1.7-1.01%
Rowdy Tellez74.471.9-2.45-2.5-1.7-0.94%
Edouard Julien71.968.3-4.13-3.6-1.7-1.02%
Elias Díaz73.971.6-2.64-2.3-1.6-0.90%
Jurickson Profar71.768.2-4.16-3.5-1.6-0.95%
Dylan Moore73.070.5-3.14-2.5-1.6-0.95%
Heston Kjerstad70.966.8-4.46-4.1-1.5-0.89%
Michael Conforto74.172.0-2.38-2.1-1.5-0.80%
Colt Keith71.367.8-4.26-3.5-1.5-0.87%
Mike Trout75.773.5-1.26-2.2-1.4-0.85%
Starling Marte72.469.9-3.39-2.5-1.3-0.86%
Willy Adames73.671.8-2.52-1.8-1.3-0.72%

No, Rafael Devers is not on here. Devers has lost 1.9 mph on his bat speed so far, which has cost him -1.1 Run Value per 100 swings. That put him 36th on this leaderboard, which still makes him a name we want to watch for the next few weeks.

Christopher Morel - 2B/OF, Tampa Bay Rays: As I mentioned before this chart, a bat speed around 71 mph is still league average, so Morel has lost 3.2 mph on his bat speed, but his 72.9 mph average is still a good number. He has had plenty of swing-and-miss issues in his career, so maybe he's taking a more contact-oriented approach early on? Of course, his swinging strike rate is still up, and he's struck out four times in 12 plate appearances, so who knows if that's actually working.

William Contreras - C, Milwaukee Brewers: Listen, this may be nothing, but Contreras played in 155 games last season, not including the playoffs. That can take its toll on a catcher. He's down three mph on his bat speed so far, which places him in basically league average territory and has cost him a 1.13% HR rate per swing and 2.0 Run Value per 100 swings. Those numbers stand out this early on, but it is still early, so maybe it won't be an issue.

Edouard Julien - 2B, Minnesota Twins: Julien has a shot to claim the second base job in Minnesota while Brooks Lee is sidelined, but he's down 3.6 mph on his bat speed and is averaging 68.3 mph overall. His early pull rates are down too, which may be connected, but this is an overly passive hitter who is now not swinging as fast a bat as before. I just don't like any of that.

Jurickson Profar - OF, Atlanta Braves: There's a joke in here, but I'm not going to make it.

Heston Kjerstad - OF, Baltimore Orioles: Kjerstad only has 13 competitive swings at the time of writing this, but I did want to mention him because he now has a chance to secure a starting spot in Baltimore's lineup. However, he has dropped 4.1 mph on his bat speed, which has put him down to a 66.8 mph average bat speed. That has also cost him .90% HR rate per swing and 1.5 Run Value per 100 swings. He also had a really bad spring training. I'm not so sure this is going to be a thing.

Colt Keith - 1B/2B, Detroit Tigers: Big YIKES here. Colt Keith has lost 3.5 mph on his bat speed, which has cost him 1.5 Run Value per 100 swings and .87% HR rate per swing. The bat speed drop has put him down at a 67.8 mph average bat speed. That's 244th in all of baseball, right around Taylor Walls and Tim Anderson. This is a major concern with the Tigers shifting Keith over to first base, especially with Spencer Torkelson off to a good start to the season. Keith has some leeway with all the injuries in Detroit, including the injury to Gleyber Torres that has allowed Keith to move back over to second base, but if this lineup gets healthy and these numbers stick, the 23-year-old may be in trouble.

Mike Trout - OF, Los Angeles Angels: Trout, like Juan Soto later on, is on here for losing over 2 mph in bat speed but remains above-average overall in the stat. However, if Trout keeps losing bat speed as he keeps enduring major injuries, you have to wonder when that will start to impact his overall production.

Willy Adames - SS, San Francisco Giants: Adames was coming off a career year in a contract season, so I get why people were "off" of him in draft season, but I still expected him to produce solid value in San Francisco even if he didn't run as much. However, he has lost 1.8 mph on his bat speed, which has cost him 1.3 Run Value per 100 swings. He's also struck out nine times in his first 26 plate appearances. We're gonna withhold judgment so far, but it's easy to tell yourself a story that the off-season preparation was not as intense coming off signing the big contract.

Juan Soto - OF, New York Mets: Soto has gone from 75.4 mph to 73.3 mph on his swing. It's still an above-average swing speed and it might be him adopting a less pull-happy approach outside of Yankee Stadium. I wouldn't worry about it.

Dylan Crews - OF, Washington Nationals: Dylan Crews is hitless through his first five games, so his showing up on this list is a bit concerning. He has lost 2.2 mph on his swing, which has cost him 1.2 Run Value per 100 swings and 0.77% HR rate per swing. What's more noteworthy is that he has dropped from 72.3 mph on his swing to 70.1 mph, which is now below the league average. Crews has 10 strikeouts in his first 19 plate appearances, and he's being pitched inside way more often to start this season than he was last year. If his bat is slower and hitters are coming inside on him, we could have a problem brewing.

Jorge Soler - OF, Los Angeles Angels: Soler is a 33-year-old power hitter, so his losing bat speed is not ideal, nor is his 4-for-20 start with eight strikeouts. Soler's bat speed is still 73.4 mph, so well above the league average and right in line with guys like Tyler Soderstrom and Brent Rooker. However, we need to see if Soler can still be productive in the same way with that diminished bat speed. He ranks 25th on his sheet in terms of lost HR rate per swing due to his lost bat speed. If he were to lose power production, that would sap most of his fantasy value.

Spencer Steer - 3B/OF, Cincinnati Reds: Steer has lost 2.2 mph on his swing speed, which has cost him 1.0 Run Value per 100 swings. We know he's dealing with a shoulder injury, and it seems pretty clear to me that he's not healthy. I'm just not sure why he's still out there every day, but maybe that's just me.

Garrett Crochet's extension with the Red Sox is a bold bet on his ace potential

(This article was written with the assistance of Castmagic, an AI tool, and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy. Please reach out to us if you notice any mistakes.)

On the latest episode of "Baseball Bar-B-Cast," hosts Jake Mintz and Jordan Shusterman delved into the news of Garrett Crochet's six-year, $170 million extension with the Boston Red Sox, a contract that raised some eyebrows given Crochet's limited track record as a starting pitcher. 

The extension, which comes just a few months after Crochet was traded from the Chicago White Sox, reflects Boston's bet on Crochet's potential to evolve into a top-tier ace, even given his somewhat spotty injury history and unconventional pitching trajectory.

Drafted in 2020, Crochet's journey to the majors was fast-tracked due to the pandemic-canceled minor-league season that year, but then his emergence as a bullpen weapon was interrupted by Tommy John surgery. So when Crochet was named the White Sox's Opening Day starter a year ago, the news shocked most of the baseball industry.

"At the time, on this very podcast, we laughed at that," Mintz said.

Added Shusterman: "Everyone else was like, what are they thinking? What is going on?"

But then, as the hosts noted, Crochet was "simply marvelous" in his first year as a starter in 2024, arguably the lone bright spot on a historically horrible White Sox team. And once the deal with the Red Sox happened in December, it was clear that an extension between Crochet and Boston was the desired outcome on both sides.

However, as Shusterman pointed out, given Crochet's injury history and single season as a starting pitcher, the details of an extension were probably tricky to figure out.

"This is betting on a small sample of what he did last year and the fact that he is only 26 years old, and even though he's been in the big leagues now for half a decade, because he debuted immediately, we don't really know what we're getting," he said. "And yet the Red Sox clearly believe in what they're getting and were willing to commit a serious amount of money to a pitcher who has really only done it for one season."

Added Mintz: "They're betting on the package here. They're betting on the traits, they're betting on the fastball, they're betting on the work ethic, they're betting on the athleticism. They're betting that it will continue to be difficult to acquire aces."

The hosts also noted that the extension comes with significant financial nuances, including an opt-out clause after 2030, performance-based incentives and some injury contingencies, all of which underscore the team's reservations about Crochet's injury risks. On the flip side, Crochet's short track record could be seen as a positive thing.

"You could also spin it that way and be like, listen, we're getting him in his prime years, and he hasn't really thrown that many innings in his early 20s," Shusterman said. "So I have to imagine that was probably part of the calculus, too."

Ultimately, no matter how this deal turns out, the fact that the Red Sox are spending on young players and emerging talent is a good thing. 

"The Red Sox are spending. I think that's what's significant," Mintz said. "I think there's been frustration within the fan base ... that they haven't been willing to push the chips in. They're doing that now."

To listen to the full episode and more, tune in to "Baseball-Bar-B-Cast" on Apple, Spotify or YouTube.

Mets sign reliever Jose Marte

The Mets have signed right-handed reliever Jose Marte to a minor league deal.

According to Robert Murray of FanSided, the contract is for two years.

Marte, 28, had right shoulder surgery last September and is working his way back.

In 19.1 innings over 14 appearances last season for the Angels, Marte had a 2.33 ERA (4.10 FIP) and 1.24 WHIP while striking out 10 batters.

Marte's fastball was a high-octane one last year as he averaged 96.5 mph with his four-seamer and 96.3 mph with his sinker. In addition to the four- and two-seam fastballs, Marte features a slider (which he used nearly 40 percent of the time in 2024) and a changeup.

During his four-year career, all with the Angels, Marte has a 5.56 ERA and 1.78 WHIP with 41 strikeouts in 43.2 innings over 39 games.

NFL announces key offseason program dates for all 32 teams

Offseason programs will be starting for teams with new coaches next week and the NFL has announced the key dates for all 32 teams.

All teams will open their programs with two weeks of meetings and conditioning work before they can advance to on-field work. That work will include up to 10 organized team activities and a mandatory minicamp. In addition to starting their work ahead of other clubs, teams with new coaches are also permitted to hold a voluntary minicamp.

The dates for all teams are listed below:

Arizona: First day - April 22; OTAs - May 28-30, June 3-5; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

Atlanta: First day - April 22; OTAs - May 27-28, May 30, June 2-3, June 5; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-11.

Baltimore: First day - April 21; OTAs - May 27-29, June 3, June 5-6, June 9-12; Mandatory minicamp - June 17-19.

Buffalo: First day - April 21; OTAs - May 27-29, June 2-3, June 5; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

Carolina: First day - April 21; OTAs - May 27-28, May 30, June 2-3, June 5; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

Chicago: First day - April 7; Voluntary minicamp April 21-23; OTAs - May 20-22, May 27-30, June 9-11; Mandatory minicamp June 3-5.

Cincinnati: First day - April 21; OTAs - May 27-29, June 2-4; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

Cleveland: First day - April 22; OTAs - May 27-28, May 30, June 3-4, June 6, June 16-19; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

Dallas: First day - April 14; OTAs - May 19-20, May 22, May 28-30, June 2-3, June 5; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

Denver: First day - April 21; OTAs - May 27-29, June 3-5; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

Detroit: First day - April 22; OTAs - May 28-30, June 3-5; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

Green Bay: First day - April 21; OTAs - May 27-28, May 30, June 2-3, June 5; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

Houston: First day - April 21; OTAs - May 28-30, June 2-3, June 5. Mandatory minicamp - June 10-11.

Indianapolis: First day - April 21; OTAs - May 28-30, June 3-5; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

Jacksonville: First day - April 8; Voluntary minicamp - April 21-23; OTAs - May 19, May 21-22, May 27, May 29-30, June 2-5; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

Kansas City: First day - April 21; OTAs - May 27-29, June 2-4, June 10-13; Mandatory minicamp - June 17-19.

Las Vegas: First day - April 8; Voluntary minicamp - April 21-23; OTAs - May 19, May 21-22, May 27, May 29-30, June 2-5; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

Los Angeles Chargers: First day - April 21; OTAs - May 27-28, May 30, June 3-5, June 16-18; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

Los Angeles Rams: First day - April 21; OTAs - May 27-28, May 30, June 2-3, June 5, June 9-10, June 12; Mandatory minicamp - June 16-18.

Miami: First day - April 21; OTAs - May 27, May 29-30, June 2-3, June 5; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

Minnesota: First day - April 21; OTAs - May 27-28, May 30, June 2-3, June 5, June 16-18; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

New England: First day - April 7; Voluntary minicamp April 22-24; OTAs - May 19-20, May 22, May 27-28, May 30, June 2-3, June 5; Mandatory minicamp - June 9-11.

New Orleans: First day - April 14; OTAs - May 20-22, May 27, May 29-30, June 2, June 4-5; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

New York Giants: First day - April 21; OTAs - May 27-29, June 2-3, June 5, June 9-10, June 12-13; Mandatory minicamp - June 17-19.

New York Jets: First day - April 7; Voluntary minicamp - April 21-23; OTAs - May 20-22, May 28-30, June 2-5; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

Philadelphia: First day - April 21; OTAs - May 27-28, May 30, June 2-3, June 5; Mandatory minicamp - June 10.

Pittsburgh: First day - April 21; OTAs - May 27-29, June 3-5; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

San Francisco: First day - April 22; OTAs - May 27-28, May 30, June 2-3, June 5; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-11.

Seattle: First day - April 22; OTAs - May 27, May 29-30, June 2, June 4-5, June 9, June 11-12; Mandatory minicamp - June 17-19.

Tampa Bay: First day - April 21; OTAs - May 27-30, June 2-5; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

Tennessee: First day - April 22; OTAs - May 27-28, May 30, June 2-3, June 5; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

Washington: First day - April 22; OTAs - May 28, May 30, June 3-4, June 8; Mandatory minicamp - June 10-12.

Campbell makes Red Sox history with electrifying start to MLB career

Campbell makes Red Sox history with electrifying start to MLB career originally appeared on NBC Sports Boston

It has been a week to remember for Boston Red Sox rookie Kristian Campbell.

The organization’s No. 2 ranked prospect made the Opening Day roster and recorded his first MLB hit in a win over the Texas Rangers. His first big-league home run came two days later.

On Wednesday, the Red Sox announced they signed Campbell to an eight-year contract extension worth $60 million. The 22-year-old second baseman celebrated the occasion with two doubles and a victory over the Baltimore Orioles.

Campbell stayed hot on Thursday, helping the Red Sox to an 8-4 win in their series finale vs. Baltimore. He went 2-for-4 at the plate with his second homer of the season:

Through seven games, Campbell leads Boston in hits (10) and doubles (four). He is tied with Wilyer Abreu for the team lead in homers.

The fourth-round pick in the 2023 MLB Draft has made franchise history with his torrid start to the campaign. According to Elias Sports, Campbell is the first Red Sox player to have at least 10 hits, six extra-base hits, and four walks in their first seven games to start their career.

Those numbers have made Campbell the early odds-on favorite to secure the American League Rookie of the Year award. While he already looks like a star in the making, his own teammates could give him stiff competition for the honor later in the year. Fellow top Red Sox prospects Roman Anthony and Marcelo Mayer are expected to make an impact with the big-league club at some point this season.

The Red Sox will look to earn their third consecutive win Friday when they welcome the St. Louis Cardinals to Fenway Park for their home opener.

Walker silences boobirds with 6 shutout innings to complete sweep over Rockies

Walker silences boobirds with 6 shutout innings to complete sweep over Rockies originally appeared on NBC Sports Philadelphia

There were boos every time he took the mound at BayCare Ballpark during spring training.

There were boos on Opening Day when his name was announced for the first time this season at Citizens Bank Park.

And again, there were boos when he was announced as the starting pitcher for Thursday’s series finale against the Rockies.

“It would affect anyone, really,” Phillies manager Rob Thomson said about the boos in his office before the game. “But I think he handles it really well.”

At the end of the sixth inning, as the Phillies were inching their way towards their first sweep of the season, Taijuan Walker celebrated while walking off the mound after striking out Hunter Goodman. He made his way to the dugout and for the first time in a long time, wasn’t met with boobirds. In fact, he was met with 34,097 Phillies fans rising to their feet to applaud his outing.

Six scoreless innings. Three hits. Four punch outs. 74 pitches.

3-1, Phillies.

It’s Walker’s first win since May 11 last season. 327 days. He made 16 starts in the interim.

Even with minimal help offensively, this was Walker’s day. If you’re the 32-year-old, you couldn’t ask for a better start to the season.

After a series of infield mishaps for the Rockies in the second inning, the Phillies found themselves with the bases loaded for the second time in under 24 hours. And just like the former … they weren’t able to bring any runs across the plate.

Well, at least Max Kepler tried. Brandon Marsh grounded out to Rockies Pitcher Antonio Senzatela and with a fielder’s choice to catcher Jacob Stallings, Kepler was initially called safe. After review, the ruling was overturned.

The afternoon of offensive oddities continued in the fourth with J.T. Realmuto. After Realmuto collected his second single of the day, Bryson Stott had what could’ve been a knock into right field, except it hit the Phillies’ catcher on the base path.

Third time is always the charm, right?

Kyle Schwarber led off the fifth inning and should’ve been out on a routine pop up to left fielder and former Phillie, Mickey Moniak. Moniak dropped the ball, putting Schwarber aboard. He scored on a Bryce Harper double two batters later.

Schwarber added a little breathing room with a 444-foot bomb to the second deck in right center field. He’s currently on the longest hitting streak of his career to open the season and is leading the club with four home runs.

These are the games the Phillies need to be winning. Back-to-back series wins, including a sweep, is the expectation when you’re going against subpar teams like the Nationals and Rockies. Now 5-1 on the season, they’re going to face their first big test this weekend with the World Series champion Los Angeles Dodgers coming to town for a three-game series. The Dodgers are currently sitting a pretty 8-0 at the top of the NL West and are coming off of a walk-off win against the Braves. They’ll be hungry for more.

Some diehard baseball fans in sports-crazed Sacramento welcome Athletics and hope they stay awhile

WEST SACRAMENTO, Calif. — Van Thompson walked through the busy concourse shortly before first pitch and sang along to the national anthem, a white Athletics ball cap in hand covering his heart.

Susan Falcon took her dog out on the other side of town near a bustling coffee shop and raved about the positive vibe the A’s have brought to California’s sports-crazed capital city in such a short time.

On the fly, former minor league pitcher Jarod Pavese packed up two of his three daughters and the boyfriend of one and headed north from Southern California’s Riverside County for a last-minute spring break trip to cheer their Chicago Cubs in the series finale.

“It was very spontaneous. We try to be as spontaneous as we can but not really,” 17-year-old high school senior Gianna Pavese said, sitting with her boyfriend Gavinn Schulze, dad and 12-year-old sister Kat in row 10 of section 104 on a sunny spring day. “It’s really exciting. It was just spur of the moment.”

Despite some kinks still to be worked out, the A’s relocation is providing fans who might not regularly go to games a big new opportunity to see the big leagues live.

After its 57-year Oakland run ended last September in a painful split for fans — many of them lifelong A’s supporters — the club has insisted this stay in West Sacramento will be temporary until a new stadium in Las Vegas is supposed to be ready in 2028. The A’s even declined to adopt the Sacramento in its official name while here for the next three years — they are simply the Athletics, with no city attached.

That hasn’t squashed curiosity or enthusiasm so far.

Bryan Haywood of Bozeman, Montana, attended his first-ever major league game at age 46. He and friend and fellow Montanan Chris Anderson of Livingston made the trip to Sacramento.

“It was amazing,” Haywood said.

Thompson lives in Sacramento and is a big fan of the NBA’s Kings. He wanted to show his support for the new team in town.

“I came with an A’s fan,” he said. “I’m a Kings fan, I just came to support the cause.”

Falcon has spoken to plenty of people who plan to cheer the A’s, or already have for years and finally get to do so from right nearby.

“Sacramento loves the A’s, they’re elated, they’re so excited, they’re going to wear the colors, they’re going to show up, they’re going to do everything,” she said. “They will be there.”

Business partners Dan Niccum and Ken McGuire are crossing their fingers the A’s never leave their new Northern California home. They plan to hold onto their four second-row seats however long the club stays. Niccum doesn’t expect the A’s to relocate to Las Vegas anytime soon — because “it’s a pipe dream what they’re doing in Vegas right now” — even though the A’s say that will be for the 2028 season.

“They’re here for at least four or five years, and so we’re here for the duration,” Niccum said. “We are excited to be here.”

How visiting teams feel about playing in a minor league park and how it tests the patience of A’s players over time remains to be seen. There were 12 home runs hit, eight by Chicago.

Cubs shortstop Dansby Swanson, for one, hardly wants to be one to speak out negatively about the A’s new Northern California home. Swanson prefers to be supportive of the situation, to see the glass half-full and just be grateful to play at this level. Even if there are many kinks to be worked out after the initial homestand at Sutter Health Park, where the visiting team’s clubhouse is through an opening in the center-field wall.

Swanson’s dear friend since their college days at Vanderbilt is A’s pitcher Tyler Ferguson, so the Cubs infielder has heard plenty about the progress at Sutter Health Park.

Attendance for the initial three-game set at Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento was 31,556 after the opener Monday had a sellout of 12,119.

“Obviously they’ve done as much as they can in order to make it as best as it can be. Obviously give everyone props for being able to make it happen,” Swanson said. “We all think it might be easier than it is but it’s not and everyone’s doing the best they can.”

He took time out of his pregame routine to sign some autographs. And Swanson figures opposing players might as well stay positive and supportive because there’s nothing that can be changed at this stage regarding the A’s playing in a minor league ballpark. The club will share the venue with the San Francisco Giants’ Triple-A affiliate, the Sacramento River Cats.

Yet many A’s fans are far from ready to let go of nearly six decades of memories in the East Bay. And for the home opener, some sported T-shirts reading “I’d Rather Be At the Oakland Coliseum.”

Manager Mark Kotsay hopes some of them eventually will eventually make the 85-mile trek north. Even after a forgettable first series in which the A’s were outscored 35-9.

“I definitely feel the energy. It’s tough for them to love us after we performed the way we did,” Kotsay said. “But I do think that this city is excited. There’s a lot of excitement to bring baseball to this part of California that Major League Baseball hasn’t been. ... We also want those that are still in Oakland to make that drive two hours north and come watch us as well.”

A’s outfielder Lawrence Butler sat on the podium in a makeshift press conference room with the A’s logo behind him on a banner that also said Las Vegas. Butler is in it for the long haul and looks to be a face of the franchise for at least the immediate future, having signed a seven-year, $65.5 million contract.

So far, he appreciates how the city has embraced the A’s. From popular restaurants, welcoming hotel staff, to supporters on the Sacramento State college campus and folks on the street, there’s plenty of chatter about the team.

The iconic yellow Tower Bridge visible beyond right field lit up in green for the first night game in spirit of the new team in town and to give a festive green-and-gold A’s vibe.

“Pretty quiet, low-key city, but I’ve figured out that there’s a lot of stuff to do, a lot of good places to eat at. I haven’t fully explored all of those places yet,” Butler said. “I’m hoping to, but it feels like it’s a nice, cool, low-key city. What I’ve gotten from it is that they really love their sports teams. We’re another sports team coming here so I’m pretty sure they’ll show out tonight and show us a lot of love.”

Mets vs. Blue Jays: 5 things to watch and series predictions | April 4-6

Here are five things to watch and predictions as the Mets and Blue Jays play a three-game series at Citi Field beginning on Friday at 3:10 p.m. on SNY.


Preview

Will Francisco Lindor (and the rest of the lineup) break out?

Through their first six games, the Mets' offense has been largely absent for five of them. And during Wednesday's comeback win over the Marlins, it was Pete Alonsowho rescued them with a three-run homer in the eighth inning.

Aside from Alonso (1.090 OPS), Juan Soto(.836 OPS), Brandon Nimmo(.780 OPS), and Luis Torrens (.978), it has been a struggle for everyone else.

Lindor has just two hits in his first 20 at-bats, but he's showed signs the last two games, with an RBI single on Tuesday and a laced single down the right field line on Wednesday.

While Lindor might be perking up, Mark Vientos looks like he's in a fog. Vientos is 2-for-24 and totally out of it at the plate. During Wednesday's game in Miami, he spent the entire day seemingly in-between -- swinging at a fastball at his eyes, watching hittable middle-middle fastballs go by, and waving at secondary stuff down and away.

Meanwhile, Jesse Winker (.466 OPS), Brett Baty (.214 OPS), and Tyrone Taylor (.286 OPS) haven't contributed much.

So the Mets will be looking to bust out at home, where the temperature will be mild on Friday and Sunday, but with rain in the forecast all weekend.

New York's bullpen has been elite

The starting rotation has been solid, but the Mets' relief corps has been fantastic early on.

With the exception of Danny Young (whose roster spot is tenuous and could be lost once Dedniel Núñez is ready), and A.J. Minter (who had a wobbly outing on Wednesday), everyone else has excelled:

  • Edwin Diaz: Zero runs and just one runner allowed in 2.0 innings
  • Max Kranick: 3.2 perfect innings
  • Jose Butto: 3.2 scoreless innings
  • Huascar Brazoban: 5.0 scoreless innings
  • Reed Garrett: 2.1 scoreless innings
  • Ryne Stanek: 1.1 scoreless innings, hit 100 mph on Wednesday

That the above pitchers have been great out of the gate should not be surprising, since they all possess plus stuff.

Moving forward, it's fair to believe that Minter will be very good and that Núñez -- who was one of the Mets' best relievers last season -- will add a serious jolt, potentially making this unit a truly dominant one.

The Blue Jays are streaking

The Jays are on a four-game winning streak and have a 5-2 record, but their run differential suggests they've been a bit lucky so far.

Aug 8, 2024; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Blue Jays first base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (27) celebrates his to run home run in the fifth inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Rogers Centre.
Aug 8, 2024; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Blue Jays first base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (27) celebrates his to run home run in the fifth inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Rogers Centre. / Gerry Angus-Imagn Images

Toronto has scored 32 runs (the most in the American League entering play on Thursday) and allowed 31 runs (the fourth-most in the AL and seventh-most in baseball).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hasn't homered yet in seven games, but the slack has been picked up by George Springer (1.187 OPS) and Andres Gimenez (1.131 OPS), who have helped carry the offense.

Bo Bichette is also having a solid bounce back year so far, hitting .310 with a .754 OPS.

The Mets' defense needs to lock it up

New York has left a lot to be desired in the field, as they've mixed in oodles of physical and mental errors.

Among them: A two-error game from Lindor that decided Tuesday's tilt with the Marlins, a Taylor misplay in center field, Soto kicking the ball around a bit in right field, Baty uncorking a bad throw home where he was rescued by Torrens, and Vientos air-mailing a throw home and thinking a fair ball that he fielded was foul.

Lindor and Taylor are too good to be concerned about, but the same can't be said for Baty -- who is continuing to learn second base on the fly -- and Vientos.

Vientos has worked incredibly hard to become passable at third base, but the fact remains that he was among the worst defenders there last season, worth -7 runs and in the sixth percentile, via Baseball Savant.

The main thing Vientos has to do is make the routine plays, which he hasn't done enough of so far in 2025.

Can the Mets get to Bowden Francis?

The Mets will face Kevin Gausman, Chris Bassitt, and Francis -- who is set to get the ball in the series finale on Sunday.

Francis was strong in his season debut, allowing just two hits (both were home runs) over 6.0 innings while walking three and striking out four against the Nationals.

Last season against the Mets, Francis was nearly unhittable.

Francis carried a no-hitter into the ninth inning before it was broken up by a Lindor home run in what turned out to be an enormous Mets win.

Predictions

Who will the MVP of the series be?

Francisco Lindor

Lindor is ready to break out, and he'll start doing it during the home opener.

Which Mets pitcher will have the best start?

David Peterson

Peterson was impressive against the Marlins during his first start of the season, allowing two runs in 6.0 innings while striking out nine.

Which Blue Jays player will be a thorn in the Mets' side?

Vladimir Guerrero, Jr.

Like Lindor, Guerrero is due to erupt. It's hard to believe he'll still have zero home runs at the conclusion of this series.

ICYMI in Mets Land: Sandy Alcantara trade buzz; crazy win over Marlins

Here's what happened in Mets Land on Wednesday, in case you missed it...


Historic number Verlander is chasing ahead of Giants home debut

Historic number Verlander is chasing ahead of Giants home debut originally appeared on NBC Sports Bay Area

SAN FRANCISCO — Justin Verlander isn’t ready to answer a question that nearly every pitcher in Major League history has not had to worry about. 

When he met with local reporters on Monday in Houston, Verlander was asked if he will go into the Hall of Fame in a Detroit Tigers or Houston Astros cap, but he said that’s a bridge he will cross down the line. The fact that it even was asked was a reminder of just how different all of this is for his current franchise. 

The newest Giants starter punched that ticket to Cooperstown years ago, and now there really only are two questions that remain about his candidacy — well, aside from the issue of the cap on his plaque. Will the voting be unanimous in a few years, and will Verlander go in as a member of the 300-win club?

Verlander, who is at 262 wins, has no control over the former, but he makes no secret of the fact that he’s chasing the latter. 

“It’s definitely a goal, it definitely pushes me a bit,” he said on the “Giants Talk” podcast this spring. “But the fire is still there. I wouldn’t be here if it wasn’t. It would be different if it was like five wins away from it and it was like, ‘Alright, let’s go back out there for another season.’ But it’s still a ways off. 

“I have that drive. I want to put in the work that’s necessary. And I still have fun.”

That last part was clear in Houston, where Verlander pitched for seven seasons and won two rings and two Cy Youngs. 

He was late to his media session because he was busy working on things in the visiting bullpen. Before throwing, Verlander caught up with former teammate Jose Altuve, and he spent plenty of time the next two days exchanging handshakes and hugs in the outfield during batting practice. 

Verlander won 73 games in Houston, which only is about a quarter of his career total, but still is a staggering number for most of his teammates. Landen Roupp and Hayden Birdsong, the two young starters on staff, have combined for six career wins, and Birdsong quickly shook his head when asked if starters in the minors are even having conversations about historic win totals these days. 

“No,” he said. “Not at all.” 

Robbie Ray is just five ahead of Verlander’s Houston total for his entire 12-year career. Logan Webb broke through in 2021 and has been one of the best pitchers in baseball ever since, but his victory on Tuesday night only got him to 56.

Webb is a throwback, and a two-time NL innings leader, but he still is part of a different generation, one that has learned to not care as much about the “pitcher win.” 

He still aims to go nine every time out, but he knows the way starting pitchers are evaluated has changed over the last decade. When Webb finished second in Cy Young voting two years ago, he won 11 games. Blake Snell, the Cy Young, won 14. 

“He’s probably going to be one of, it not the last guy, to have a shot at it,” Webb said of Verlander. “It’s just maybe the way the game is going, but it’s cool to see him try to get that. I know he’s very motivated to do that and wants to play three or four more years to be part of that club, which is a very exclusive club. It’s a cool thing for him and a cool thing for us to see him try and chase that. I think he has the same aspirations that he had when he was 28 years old.”

Verlander, who turned 42 this spring, took a no-decision in his first start with the Giants. When he toes the rubber for the home opener on Friday, he’ll be 38 wins away from becoming the 25th player to win 300 games in the big leagues. Perhaps there will be some change to the rules or the game, or some extreme outlier years down the line, but at the moment, it seems Verlander will be the last to ever take a shot at joining the club. Even getting to 200 seems out of reach these days.

The active wins leader after Verlander is Max Scherzer, who is at 216 and just went on the IL after the first start of his 19th season. After that is Clayton Kershaw (212), who also is on the IL and likely to retire in the next year or two. After those three, there’s a long drop to Gerrit Cole (153), who is 34 years old and just had Tommy John surgery. No active pitcher under 30 even has 100 career wins. 

“I guess you could see it happening,” Verlander said. “Every generation kind of has been pushing in that direction. Heck, I might be the last one to 250. It’s just crazy how the game has changed for starting pitching.”

Verlander won 124 games before his 30th birthday and had a 21-win season as a 36-year-old and 18-win season as a 39-year-old. The pace has slowed as he has dealt with injuries in his forties, but he’s healthy now and confident that a bounceback season is coming.

At 5-1, the Giants look like they might give Verlander more chances for a “W” than most anticipated, and Bob Melvin is well aware of what the number means to his No. 2 starter. You can bet he will have it in mind at times if Verlander is close to qualifying for a win, and Webb said the manager isn’t alone. 

“We do want to try to win as many games as we can, but for us, just watching Justin try to get to 300 is the coolest thing,” Webb said. “And I know the guys in here — the position players and the relievers — they want to help him get there, too.”

Even in the most optimistic scenario, Verlander will need three or more seasons to get a shot at 300. He picked up 13 wins in 27 starts two years ago, and he has made no secret of the fact he believes he can pitch into his mid-forties.

Verlander already is the oldest active player in the four major professional sports, and he doesn’t intend to stop anytime soon. That was part of the appeal for president of baseball operations Buster Posey, who texted Verlander a message after the one-year deal became official this offseason. 

“Wouldn’t it be something if you won your 300th game in a Giants uniform.”

As he thought this spring about his entire 20-year career and what’s ahead, Verlander kept coming back to that text and the unpredictability of baseball. He doesn’t know what’s ahead, but he knows what he’s chasing. 

“It just really stuck out to me,” he said of Posey’s text. “You just never know where this game takes you, and wouldn’t that be something.”

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Reds at Brewers prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for April 3

Its Thursday, April 3 and the Reds (2-4) are in Milwaukee to open a series against the Brewers (2-4).

Nick Lodolo is slated to take the mound for Cincinnati against Nestor Cortes for Milwaukee.

The Reds limp into town searching for offense after being shut out 19 innings. On back-to-back days Cincinnati was on the short end of 1-0 games against the Rangers. Yesterday, Hunter Greene was exceptional throwing seven innings of one-run ball, but Jack Leiter and the Texas pen were better limiting the Reds to three hits.

The Brewers picked up their second win of the season last night, winning 3-2 against the Royals in eleven innings. Brice Turang's suicide squeeze plated Oliver Dunn with the winning run for Milwaukee.

Lets dive into tonight's matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Reds at Brewers

  • Date: Thursday, April 3, 2025
  • Time: 7:40PM EST
  • Site: American Family Field
  • City: Milwaukee, WI
  • Network/Streaming: FDS, FDS

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Reds at the Brewers

The latest odds as of Thursday:

  • Moneyline: Reds (-104), Brewers (-116)
  • Spread:  Brewers 1.5
  • Total: 7.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Reds at Brewers

  • Pitching matchup for April 3, 2025: Nick Lodolo vs. Nestor Cortes
    • Reds: Nick Lodolo (1-0, 3.00 ERA)
      Last outing: 3/29 vs. Giants - 6 IP, 2ER, 5H, 0BB, 1K
    • Brewers: Nestor Cortes (0-1, 36.00 ERA)
      Last outing: 3/29 at NYY - 2 IP, 8ER, 6H, 5BB, 2Ks

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Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Reds at Brewers

  • The Brewers are 1-5 on the Run Line this season
  • Cincinnati has scored 7 runs in their 4 losses this season but has scored 17 runs in their 2 wins
  • Nestor Cortes gave up 5 HRs to the Yankees in his first start of the season

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Reds and the Brewers

Rotoworld Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Thursday's game between the Reds and the Brewers:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Milwaukee Brewers on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Brewers -1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 7.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)

Rangers v Hibs: Pick of the stats

Rangers v Hibs: Pick of the stats
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  • Rangers are unbeaten in their last 24 league meetings with Hibs (W17 D7) since a 2-1 defeat in February 2018 under Graeme Murty.
  • Hibs have lost their past 11 league visits to Rangers by an aggregate score of 27-7 since a 1-1 draw in December 2018 under Neil Lennon.
  • Rangers have lost their past four home games in all competitions – the longest losing run at home in the club's history.
  • Hibs are unbeaten in their past 15 league games (W10 D5), the longest unbeaten run within a single season in the Scottish top fight in the 21st century by any side other than the Old Firm clubs. Hibs started the day of the first game in this run (14 Dec) bottom of the table, but now find themselves third.
  • Rangers have conceded 2+ goals in each of their past five league games (11 conceded in total); in their entire history, only from December 1893 to April 1894 have they ever conceded twice or more in six successive league fixtures.