2026 Cubs Heroes and Goats: Alex Bregman wins the Rizzo Award!

Hopefully you all follow along and have seen the Game 162 Heroes and Goats and you already knew how the final standings ended up, at least at the top and bottom. Kudos to you if you knew by the end of the first inning on Sunday that Alex Bregman had likely secured the Rizzo. In reality, it was probably the second homer that did it. But either way, Bregman wins the closest finish in the 13-year history of the award.

For a reminder of that history of this award, here are the previous 12 years of Rizzo Award finalists. Alternatively titled: “Tom doesn’t make clearly readable/decipherable charts.”

Heroes:

  • 2014 Rizzo 47.5 Arrieta 30 Castro 20.5
  • 2015 Rizzo 65.5 Arrieta 51 Bryant 39
  • 2016 Lester 51.5 Hendricks 37 Rizzo 34.5
  • 2017 Rizzo 38 Contreras 34 Bryant 23
  • 2018 Strop 22 Hendricks 20 Baez 19.5
  • 2019 Rizzo 35 Bryant 34.75 Schwarber 19.25
  • 2020 Darvish 19 Hendricks 18 Happ 14.5
  • 2021 Schwindel +30 Bryant 26 Wisdom 26
  • 2022 Robertson 22.5 Morel 18 Effross 17
  • 2023 Bellinger 35 Happ 21.5 Alzolay 18
  • 2024 Imanaga 23.5 Suzuki 20.5 Taillon 18
  • 2025 Tucker 27 Taillon 24 Boyd 20

Goats:

  • 2014 Lake -24 Schierholtz -27.5 Jackson -37
  • 2015 Russell -19.5 Ross -21.5 Castro -24
  • 2016 Baez -19.5 Russell -21.5 Heyward -48.5
  • 2017 Heyward/Baez -19 Lackey -20 Zobrist -21
  • 2018 Almora -26.5 Russell -42 Contreras -44
  • 2019 Quintana/Almora -15.5 Strop -19.5 Heyward -20
  • 2020 Rizzo -8.5 Bryant -10 Baez -22
  • 2021 Bote -19 Arrieta -19 Davies -25
  • 2022 Ortega -11.5 Gomes -14.5 Heyward -15.5
  • 2023 Smyly -18 Mancini -20.5 Taillon -23
  • 2024 Mastrobuoni -12 Paredes -14 Morel -20.5
  • 2025 Swanson -22.33 Kelly -26 Suzuki -27

And with that, here are the final H&G standings for 2026. Bottom to top, the way it should be done.

Heroes and Goats: (full/final standings)

  • Nico Hoerner -18
  • Caleb Thielbar -17.5
  • Dansby Swanson -17
  • Seiya Suzuki -17
  • Jameson Taillon -13
  • Edward Cabrera -12.5
  • Phil Maton -10
  • Ryan Zeferjahn -8.5
  • Jacob Webb -8
  • Ethan Roberts -8
  • Pedro Ramirez -8
  • Ryan Rolison -7
  • Corbin Martin -5
  • Michael Busch -4
  • Jordan Wicks -3
  • Jake Woodford -3
  • Justin Dean -2.5
  • Matt Shaw -2
  • B.J. Murray -2
  • Antoine Kelly -2
  • Hunter Harvey -2
  • Hobie Milner -1.5
  • Colin Rea -1
  • Miguel Amaya -1
  • Gabriel Arias -1
  • Drew Pomeranz -1
  • Scott Kingery -1
  • Tyler Ferguson -1
  • Moises Ballesteros -0.5
  • Clay Holmes 0
  • James Triantos +0.5
  • Ty Blach +1
  • Braxton Garrett +2
  • Bryse Wilson +2
  • Cade Horton +2
  • Gavin Hollowell +2
  • Daniel Palencia +3
  • Kevin Alcantara +3
  • David Peterson +4
  • Matthew Boyd +5.5
  • Tyrone Taylor +8
  • Ian Happ +8.5
  • Trent Thornton +10
  • Aaron Civale +10
  • Michael Conforto +10
  • Javier Assad +11
  • Carson Kelly +11.5
  • Ben Brown +13.5
  • Shōta Imanaga +15
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong +25.5
  • Alex Bregman +26

At a quick glance here, Alex Bregman was obviously able to make the most impact among free agents, Pete Crow-Armstrong among returning players, Ben Brown was the most unfortunate of the injuries, Javier Assad the most impact of the Iowa shuttle players, Aaron Civale the most impact of the in-season acquisitions, Tyrone Taylor of the deadline day acquisitions, Bryse Wilson the most of the in season waiver wire pickups (and eligible to be on the Milwaukee Brewers postseason roster).

So there you have it. It was a thrilling chapter to add to Heroes and Goats. We’ve had a few boring finishes, but 2026 becomes the year of the last game being decisive and the smallest ever margin of victory. It is fitting and enjoyable to me that the two men most responsible for the on field performance of this team finished number one and two. That doesn’t mean it is homogenous. There are a number of players near the bottom of the standings who I think are largely irreplaceable on this team. And if you go back up and browse history, some amazing Cubs have graced the bottom three in the past.

It feels safe to say that PCA will emerge once again as the favorite to capture this award in 2027, but here’s to hoping that Bregman keeps him honest again and that a few pitchers get more actively into the race.

Thank you everyone for reading. Thank you everyone who took the time to comment. We tend to have a very insightful group here and I appreciate that.

How to watch Yankees vs Rays in 2026 MLB ALDS: Schedule, TV/stream info, preview, everything to know

The AL East takes center stage as the New York Yankees and the Tampa Bay Rays face off in the American League Division Series.

For all the familiarity the Rays and Yankees have during the regular season, this is only the second time they have faced off in the postseason. The first time being in the 2020 ALDS, but the major caveat to that matchup was that all the games were played at Petco Park in San Diego as part of MLB's pandemic-era neutral-site postseason. It's going to be a totally different atmosphere in front of home crowds in Tampa Bay and New York.

Here's everything you need to know about the series:

MLB: San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
Everything you need to know about the MLB Playoff picture and what to watch as the regular season winds down.

When is the Yankees vs. Rays 2026 MLB Division Series?

The Yankees and Rays begin a best-of-five series on Saturday, October 3.

How to watch Yankees vs. Rays: TV channel, live stream

The entire 2026 Yankees-Rays ALDS will be nationally televised on TBS and truTV, with HBO Max providing the live stream. Spanish-language coverage is available on UniMás.

Yankees vs. Rays 2026 MLB Division Series full schedule

GameDateLocationTime
Game 1Sat., Oct. 3at Tampa Bay6:30 PM
Game 2Mon., Oct. 5at Tampa Bay8:00 PM
Game 3Wed., Oct. 7Yankee Stadium8:00 PM
Game 4*Thu., Oct. 8Yankee Stadium8:00 PM
Game 5*Sat., Oct. 10at Tampa Bay8:00 PM

Where will the Yankees vs. Rays Division Series be played?

The 2026 Yankees vs. Rays AL Division Series will be played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida for Games 1, 2, and 5 (if necessary), and Yankee Stadium in the Bronx for Games 3, 4 (if neccesary). Tampa Bay has home-field advantage.

Yankees vs. Rays probable starting pitchers

The only confirmed probable starters are for Game 1. That will be Yankees' Gerrit Cole facing off against Rays' Drew Rasmussen.

The Yankees are expected to throw Cy Young-favorite Cam Schlittler in Game 2, but the Rays' starter is still TBD.

Yankees vs. Rays 2026 season series results

The Rays won the 2026 regular-season series against the Yankees, 7–6, but New York finished strong, winning four of the final five meetings.

Yankees vs. Rays playoff history

The 2026 ALDS is only the second postseason series ever between the Yankees and Rays. Tampa Bay won their only previous meeting, so the Rays enter this series with a 1–0 postseason series advantage over New York.

How does the MLB Division Series format work?

There are four Division Series—two in each league. The No. 1 and No. 2 seeds receive byes through the Wild Card Series, while the winners of the two best-of-three Wild Card Series advance to face them in the Division Series.

For Yankees-Rays in 2026, that means Tampa Bay, as the higher seed, hosts Games 1 and 2, New York hosts Games 3 and 4 (if necessary), and the series returns to Tampa Bay for Game 5 (if necessary).

There is no reseeding after the Wild Card round; the postseason bracket determines which Wild Card winner faces each division winner.

Arizona Fall League play starts Saturday

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\n\tATLANTA, GA - JULY 12: Sebastian Walcott #1 of the Texas Rangers looks on prior to the 2025 MLB All-Star Futures Game at Truist Park on Saturday, July 12, 2025 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Rob Tringali/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images\t
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The 2026 Arizona Fall League schedule kicks off tomorrow, October 3. There are six teams involved in AFL play, and all three teams will be playing on Saturday. The Surprise Saguaros — the team that the Texas Rangers’ prospects will be playing for — play their first game at 5:30 p.m. Central against Scottsdale in the middle game of the tripleheader.

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You can see the full Surprise roster here. We did a write up back in mid-September when the initial rosters were announced, and the Rangers contingent that was announced at the time was fairly underwhelming. The best prospect out of the eight members of the organization announced at the time was either pitcher Jacob Johnson, pitcher Mason McConnaughey, or outfielder Paxton Kling.

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Since then, though, it has been announced that Sebastian Walcott will also be participating. Walcott — who is #8 on the MLB Pipeline top 100 prospect list that came out this morning — is the Rangers’ top prospect, and the highest-ranked prospect (per MLB Pipeline) who is currently on an AFL roster for this fall.

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Walcott was briefly part of the 2025 Surprise Saguaros squad, but appeared in just one game before being sidelined with an elbow injury. He ultimately ended up undergoing elbow surgery in February, which put him on the injured list for the majority of 2026, and limited him to DH duties for most of the year. Having just logged 187 plate appearances in the minors in 2026 (with a .325/.401/.590), primarily at AA Frisco, this gives Walcott the opportunity to make up some of the reps that he missed.

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Something to keep an eye on is where in the field Walcott plays for Surprise. Walcott has primarily played shortstop in the minors, with some games at third base, though he played just two of his 41 games this past season at DH, with two appearances at shortstop.

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Walcott could be ready to be a major league regular at the start of the 2027 season, in which case, the Rangers will have to decide where in the field he would play. Corey Seager is the team’s shortstop, and is still quite capable there, so Walcott would presumably not be an option at shortstop unless Seager is trade this offseason (which I sadly acknowledge is not out of the question). Third base and right field, however, are viewed as Walcott’s most likely long-term home in the majors.

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The Rangers have Josh Jung at third base, though his defensively metrics have not been good at the position, particularly in 2026. Putting Jung at first base, with Walcott taking over at third, would seem to be the most viable solution. The Rangers could then decide if they wanted to keep Jake Burger around in a DH role or as depth — and given Jung’s injury history, it isn’t unreasonable to think that they need a quality Plan B behind Jung, regardless of what position he plays.

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Alternatively, the Rangers could look at putting Walcott in right field, where Brandon Nimmo played in 2026. That would allow them to either have Nimmo get the bulk of his plate appearances at DH, while also picking up some playing time in the outfield when one of the regular outfielders sits or gets a DH day, or put Nimmo in left field, with Wyatt Langford moving to center field.

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Where Walcott gets his playing time won’t necessarily tip the Rangers’ hand in regards to their 2027 plans with Walcott — shortstop is the most challenging defensive position (other than catcher) in the field, and moving from there to another position farther down the defensive spectrum is easier than the other way around. If Walcott gets most of his reps there, it doesn’t necessarily mean that Seager is gone, or that Walcott is destined to start the 2027 season at Round Rock.

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However, if we see Walcott getting a bunch of starts at third base or right field, it would potentially hint at where the Rangers view him most likely contributing in 2027.

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What’s Next For Dylan Crews?

WASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 27: Dylan Crews #3 of the Washington Nationals scores a run in the third inning during the game between the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on Sunday, September 27, 2026 in Washington, District of Columbia. (Photo by Alyssa McDaniel/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Dylan Crews’ first two seasons with the Nationals fell short of the expectations that followed him into professional baseball. He hit .218 with three home runs in 31 games after his 2024 debut, then posted a .208/.280/.352 line with 10 home runs in 85 games in 2025. There were flashes of power and speed, but little sustained production from a player expected to become a cornerstone of the rebuild.

There were circumstances worth considering. His 2024 season was a brief introduction to major league pitching, while a left oblique strain cost him nearly three months in 2025. Those interruptions made development difficult, but they did not erase the concerns surrounding his bat.

Entering his third major league season, 2026 offered a fresh start. Blake Butera took over as manager, and a new hitting staff led by Matt Borgschulte, with Andrew Aydt and Shawn O’Malley, brought different perspectives to a young lineup. Crews seemed like an obvious candidate to benefit from the new perspective of the analytically minded coaching staff.

The preseason optimism made sense. A healthy season and new coaches offered hope that the former second overall pick could begin translating his talent into consistent production. After two disappointing years, a breakout would have helped establish his place alongside the Nationals’ emerging core.

It was clear from the beginning that a Dylan Crews breakout wasn’t going to occur right away, as on March 20, the Nats optioned Crews to Triple-A Rochester after he hit .103 through his first 12 spring games. A season that was supposed to establish him in the majors would begin with him trying to earn his way back. The decision was controversial, but the fact of the matter was Crews had areas he needed to improve if he was going to have consistent success as a big league hitter.

His time in Rochester eventually produced encouraging results. Crews hit .258/.345/.432 with five home runs in 41 games. Over his final 17 games there, he hit .308 and slugged .585 while lowering his strikeout rate to 22.5 percent. He earned himself another opportunity in the bigs, getting called back up in mid-May.

Through his first 25 games back with the Nationals, Crews hit .189 with a .567 OPS. The return to the majors did not immediately bring the breakthrough fans had hoped for, and his offensive struggles continued. He was hitting the ball harder than ever, but also swinging and missing at a career-high clip.

July finally offered a glimpse of a more complete hitter. Crews drew 14 walks and finished the month with a .372 on-base percentage and an .801 OPS. The improved patience was significant. He was finding ways to contribute beyond hits, giving himself better opportunities to reach base and do damage.

Then August brought another reversal. His OPS dropped to .558, and he hit one home run in 28 games. Just when his approach appeared to be coming together, the production disappeared again.

September supplied some renewed encouragement. By September 9, six of his previous seven hits had gone for extra bases, including five doubles. He also homered and scored three runs in the Nats’ September 25 win over the Mets.

Crews finished with a .223 average, 13 home runs, 44 RBI, 12 stolen bases and a .663 OPS. It was a slight improvement over his 2024 and 2025 numbers, but nowhere near close enough to guarantee Crews a starting spot on the 2027 Nationals, a team that in all likelihood will be aiming to compete for a playoff spot.

So where do the Nationals go from here with Dylan Crews? The draft pedigree and the flashes of success make him a tantalizing player that you want to give regular playing time to see if he’ll break out, but the struggles, especially against right-handed pitching, make it difficult to play him every day when better options may be available.

The Nationals coaching staff showed a lot of faith in Crews in the back half of 2026, hitting him near the top of the lineup even against righties, who he struggles mightily against. Paul Toboni has also said they view Crews as a key piece of their competitive rosters in the future. But through 225 big league games over the course of 3 seasons, Crews is not growing at a rate that suggests he can flip a switch and be an above-average regular one day, and he is creeping closer and closer to reaching arbitration, where he will receive a sizeable pay increase compared to his current salary.

I’d like to see the Nats give Crews one more shot to prove himself as a big league regular in 2027, but if they were to consider other options, such as a trade this offseason or turning him into a platoon hitter only against lefties midseason, I wouldn’t be opposed. If the Nats plan on taking another leap in 2027 into contention, they need to be maximizing value everywhere they can on the roster, and that starts with Dylan Crews proving he’s worth giving everyday at bats.

Friday Open Thread

TORONTO, CANADA - SEPTEMBER 27: Max Scherzer #31 of the Toronto Blue Jays salutes the crowd before pitching against the Cincinnati Reds during the first inning in their MLB game at Rogers Centre on September 27, 2026 in Toronto, Canada. (Photo by Mark Blinch/Getty Images) | Getty Images

This is a slow time of year for baseball news, if your team isn’t in the playoffs. MLB doesn’t like teams to make news during the playoffs, because they want the focus to be on the playoff teams, which is fair.

Jameson Taillon is going to have elbow surgery next week. He’s had Tommy John twice but says ‘there is a good chance’ he can get by with the internal brace this time. He’ll be a free agent this off-season, and likely won’t be getting the $18 million he got last year.

And Ross Atkins talked to the press the other day. I used to be interested in the ‘end of season’ questions and answers thing, but I’ve come to realize that they don’t tell you anything. I used to make fun of Alex Anthopoulos talking a lot and saying nothing. I figured he knew the longer he talked the fewer questions he would have to take.

But Ross said all the things you have to say, Ernie Clement isn’t guaranteed the second base job. They are putting together a plan for Vlad. They need to find some power. And they need to find some starting pitchers who can make 30 starts a year. And “everything needs to be assessed”.

Anyway, use the thread to talk about the Wild Card round or the Jays off-season or anything you’d like.

MLB playoff bracket 2026: Printable bracket for every division series

The 2026 MLB playoffs are in full swing and every division series is now set.

Eight teams remain in the hunt for a World Series title after the conclusion of the wild-card round, with best-of-five matchups on tap to determine which teams make the American and National League Championship Series later this month.

In the American League, the New York Yankees swept the Boston Red Sox to advance to an AL Division Series against the AL East champion Tampa Bay Rays. The Chicago White Sox will face the Cleveland Guardians after winning their first MLB playoff series since 2005 over the Houston Astros.

In the National League, the Los Angeles Dodgers will start their postseason quest for a third-straight World Series win against the NL East champion Atlanta Braves. The Milwaukee Brewers take on the San Diego Padres in the other NL Division Series.

Print out a bracket and let the division series begin!

Printable MLB playoff bracket: 2026 Division Series update

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: MLB playoff bracket 2026: Printable bracket for every division series

Important Dates For The Athletics This Offseason

MESA, AZ - MARCH 23: Nick Kurtz #16 of the Athletics bats during the game between the Chicago White Sox and the Athletics at Hohokam Stadium on Monday, March 23, 2026 in Mesa, Arizona. (Photo by Brendon Baranov/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

The long offseason is upon us. The A’s have lots to do this offseason. First things first, the team needs to decide on a new General Manager, one that’ll lead the team into Las Vegas and hopefully build a winning playoff team before long. Whoever gets the job will be given the bones of a quality position player group, but with lots to fix on the pitching side of things. It won’t be an overnight fix and the new voice will want to build the team in his or her imagine, but the sooner we pick a person to lead us the better.

Turning to the schedule this offseason, there’s a few critical dates that we should all have on our calendars. A lot of this will obviously depend on the possibility of an impending lockout. If the owners and players can’t agree to a new deal before December 1st (which seems likely), then that’ll throw a huge wrench in the plans of every team in the league, including the A’s. Nothing we can do about that though.

  • End of the World Series

The day after the Fall Classic is over, the rest of baseball is technically able to begin trades and sign their own players to contracts or extensions. There isn’t usually any big moves or news during this time but it’s always a possibility. Teams and agents can talk to each other during this time, but only the previous team can come to terms with an official contract.

During this time teams and players also need to decide on their options for next season. This year the A’s have a couple decisions to make, both of which should be easy. Jeffrey Springs and Jeff McNeil will both see their options for next year declined, sending them to free agency. On the other side of the coin starter Luis Severino is almost certain to pick up his $22 million option for next year, rejoining the club for a third year.

  • Five Days After The World Series: Free Agency Begins

Once the shock of the World Series subsides, the rest of the league can begin turning their attention back to their own organizations. Free agents are now able to sign with whoever they want but unlike in other sports there’s not usually a sudden rush of signings. Still, this is the day where any big contract announcement can come at any moment the rest of the winter.

  • Mid-November: Award Season

Once baseball is over it’s time to start handing out the end-of-year awards. The A’s won’t have anyone take home any trophies this offseason but there might be some honors. Langeliers could win the Silver Slugger for AL catcher even with the missed time. And while he won’t win the award, it’ll be interesting to see where Henry Bolte finishes in Rookie of the Year voting.

  • Friday, November 20th: Non-tender Deadline

This is a big date for the Athletics this offseason. The team will need to decide which players they want to keep paying, and which they’re comfortable cutting and letting hit the free agent market. Cornerstone guys like Shea Langeliers and Zack Gelof are clearly not going to be non-tendered, but there are players under the knife. Is it time for the A’s to move on from guys like Darell Hernaiz and Joey Estes instead of giving them raises? Lots of decisions to make before this date.

  • Second Week of December: Winter Meetings

If there is a deal in place, this year’s Winter Meetings would likely take place between December 7th and 10th. During this time there’s lots of deals and trades being made, as well as plenty of groundwork for later deals and trades that come later on. The A’s haven’t been especially active at these meetings and that’d be unlikely to change with a the new GM still likely getting their sea legs under them.

Another event that usually happens during the Winter Meetings is the Draft Lottery. The A’s are tied with the Rockies and Angels for the best odds to win the top pick at 16.5%. The lottery hasn’t gone the Athletics’ way in recent years but they’ve made it work (Jacob Wilson, Nick Kurtz, Jamie Arnold). One way or another there’ll be a lottery, it just may be delayed if there’s no deal.

  • Last Day of Winter Meetings: Rule 5 Draft

Again, this could be one of the first casualties of a lockout. The 2022 lockout didn’t cost games but delayed the season and the Rule 5 draft was cancelled altogether. That’s an entirely possible outcome again this time around, which is especially disappointing for the teams at the bottom like the A’s. Since we ended the year with one of the worst records the Athletics would have one of the top picks. No guarantee of getting a good player, but the A’s need all the opportunities to add talent and the Rule 5 draft being cancelled would deprive them of one more path to adding a potential piece.

  • January 15th: International Signing Period Begins

The A’s have always dipped their toes into the international market but have yet to have much success on that front. Lots of teams and players have already come to handshake agreements for contracts but this would be the date they put pen to paper. The A’s will likely have around $7-8 million to spend on a lottery ticket so to speak.

  • Arbitration deadline: Mid-January

Assuming all goes normally this offseason (a massive hypothetical), the deadline for arbitration-eligible players and teams to file their proposed salary figures is roughly around this time. The A’s have a small arbitration class this year headlined by Langeliers. The other four are Zack Gelof, lefty Hogan Harris, and righty Luis Medina. The A’s should be able to wrap those four contracts up without the need to go to a hearing.

  • February 9th/10th: Pitchers & Catcher Report

While it hasn’t technically been announced, pitchers and catchers generally arrive to camp 10 days before the first spring training game. That’d mean we’re looking at around February 9th or 10th for when the first players arrive to camp.

  • February 14th/15th: First full squad workout

Five days later the position players will arrive to camp and the full team will be together for the first time. They’ll be with these guys for the better part of the next seven months.

  • February 19th: First Spring Training Game

And then we finally get our first game action on the 19th, a Friday afternoon matchup against the Chicago Cubs. Only 140 days to go!

Who do Red Sox fans want to win the World Series now?

SAN DIEGO, CA - SEPTEMBER 29: Xander Bogaerts #2 of the San Diego Padres celebrates at home plate after hitting a solo home run in the fourth inning during Game One of the National League Wild Card Series presented by AbbVie between the Chicago Cubs and the San Diego Padres at Petco Park on Tuesday, September 29, 2026 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Daniel Shirey/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Well, the playoff field is set and the Red Sox are no longer in it. We’ve got White Sox-Guardians and Yankees-Rays in the American League. Braves-Dodgers and Padres-Brewers in the NL.

So the question is: who are your pulling for to win the World Series? A Brewers or Rays triumph would be a delicious entry into an offseason in which the owners are going to spend months lying about competitive balance. But maybe you want to get weird and pull for the White Sox. Maybe you’re a contrarian who thinks a 28th Yankees ring is what John Henry and FSG deserve.

As or me, the choice is easy. The Padres have been one of the most interesting and fun teams in baseball for years now. They are run by a front office that has been steadfastly dedicated to putting a winning team on a field. They are enthusiastically supported by an engaged fanbase in what is now definitively a baseball town. They’ve got Xander Bogaerts, who is still making magic in October. They’ve got Don. Let’s go, Friars.

Talk about the playoffs and whatever else you want in this space and, as always, be good to one another.

Changes are coming following another Phillies postseason failure

Even the players seemed to realize it this time.

Following their 6-2 loss in Game 3 of the Wild Card series in Atlanta last night, Bryce Harper voiced a reality that he, and his teammates, were trying to avoid with one, last, deep playoff run (quotes via MLB.com).

“I’d imagine this team is going to look a lot different next year,” Harper said. “The guys that are leaving this clubhouse. We’ll see.”

Alec Bohm, Edmundo Sosa and Jose Alvarado are key free agents who are likely to leave. Others could, and should, leave in trades.

It will look different.

One could almost understand why Dave Dombrowski decided to bring back most of a roster that won 95 games, their second straight NL East title, and fell in a very close series to the eventual World Series champions. Many didn’t agree, but there was an argument to be made it was the correct decision.

That argument cannot be made any longer.

The 2026 Phillies got another year older and the team is going backwards. After running out of gas in the 2022 World Series and choking away a return trip by losing Games 6 and 7 of the 2023 NLCS at home, this group failed to get past the NLDS in ‘24 and ‘25, and now lost to a superior Atlanta Braves team in this year’s wild card series.

The reason fans are feeling less anger and more resignation following their three-game loss to the Braves is the realization that the roster simply wasn’t good enough.

They won just 88 games this year, a 7-game drop-off, their +15 run differential, only 7th-best in the National League, meant their expected won-loss record was 83-79.

They were lucky to win even 88.

They were 19th in runs scored, 22nd in OPS and dead last in OPS+. Their team-wide Wins Above Replacement (Fangraphs) among their non-pitchers was just 12.0, 26th in MLB. Only the A’s, Reds, Angels and Rockies got less from their non-pitchers. Those teams finished with 64, 75, 62 and 58 wins, respectively. The two teams ahead of them, the Giants and Mets, won 65 and 74 games. The playoff team closest to the Phillies in this metric were the Braves, whose 17.5 non-pitcher fWAR of 17.5 was 21st. They played terrible defense all season long and lacked athleticism on the bases. They also finished tied for 16th in home runs, with only two players (Schwarber and Harper) finishing with 20 or more. No team hit fewer homers in September.

But the bullpen was also a disaster. Dave Dombrowski tried to do things, like signing Brad Keller to a free agent contract as a set-up man, and added Caleb Killian and Brooks Raley at the trade deadline. Two of those guys got hurt and one was an abject failure. Returning relievers Orion Kerkering and Alvarado became utterly unusable by year’s end, and Jonathan Bowlan ran out of gas. Their 4.43 ERA ranked 21st in baseball, consistently a bottom-10 unit all season.

Still, the Phillies tried to paper their way through October masking all these deficiencies and, had they not frittered away the final week of the season, might have pulled off at least a first round upset in Atlanta.

They would not have needed Zack Wheeler to start Game 162 if the lineup hadn’t gone ice cold. Had Wheeler been able to start Game 1, perhaps Jesus Luzardo could have been employed as a reliever, and Jhoan Duran wouldn’t have been asked to come up with a 50-pitch, two-inning hold/save. Perhaps that Austin Riley homer never happens and the Phils sweep the Braves in two games.

Perhaps Aaron Nola isn’t asked to pitch on two days rest in Game 161. No one can be sure how that affected his performance in Game 3 last night, but it couldn’t have helped. And the Luzardo injury itself came at the worst possible time, forcing Don Mattingly into the Nola decision on the final Saturday of the season, jamming up the roster for the wild card round. Luis Arraez’ injury in the final week also didn’t help, although he was not very impactful during his two months with the Phillies anyway.

Dombrowski cannot fool himself into thinking his team is better than it is. He has a remarkably good starting rotation, and that is a great place to begin to rebuild a roster. The floor is already pretty high when you have Wheeler/Luzardo/Cristopher Sanchez/Andrew Painter as your 1-4. But when you’re sporting a bottom-third bullpen and the 5th-worst group of position players in the entire sport, the numbers on the paper match the psychological need to shake things up.

The players realize it, too. The team needs to be different, and it almost doesn’t matter how it happens at this point.

Dave Dombrowski is not a creative general manager. He doesn’t pull rabbits out of his hat. He’s also not great at building farm systems. Both those areas of weakness have shown up as he’s tried to cobble this roster together. This past year, almost every major move he made failed.

He failed to add a new bat to the lineup, with Bo Bichette signing with New York. He re-signed J.T. Realmuto to a three-year, $45 million contract, then watched as he turned into one of the worst hitting catchers in baseball. The Keller signing was a disaster, although not entirely his fault, and none of his trade deadline acquisitions appeared in the wild card round at all.

So what does he do? What can he do?

Everything should be on the table. Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper and Trea Turner all cannot be traded without their permission, and it’s unlikely they would give it. But, Dombrowski should be open to it if an offer comes through and the player is intrigued enough to consider moving on. Should they offer one of their big-time starting pitchers for multiple pieces at multiple positions that might help? Bryson Stott may be the best overall position player on the team, but is inconsistent at the plate and has a career .181 batting average and .515 OPS in 142 career post-season plate appearances. He may be the guy most teams ask about in trade conversations.

Brandon Marsh should be traded. Turner should be moved to center field if he can’t be moved (and he can’t). Justin Crawford looks like a solid bench outfielder, but not a big league, everyday starter. The rest of the outfield is an utter mess.

The MLB lockout that will begin on December 1 will delay all these decisions. It’s likely Alex Cora becomes the new manager before that happens (likely right after the World Series), but in terms of player changes, we’re all going to have to wait. And when the season does officially begin, it’ll be a sprint to get things done, with little time for creativity.

The Phillies will be hard-pressed to spend their way to a solvent roster, unless they move on from players who have proven that, together, they are not good enough to get it done.

The psychology of so many playoff defeats together necessitates drastic change. This was actually true last off-season, but Dombrowski didn’t want to hear it.

At least these Phillies gave us one last thrill in Game 2. And at least they made their ending quick and relatively painless with a non-competitive effort in Game 3. No hand-wringing, no what-ifs, just the hard, cold reality that they simply weren’t good enough.

The “fake it until you make it” masquerade simply couldn’t hold up any longer.

In recorded MLB history, no team has ever followed a streak of postseason performances like this, with the same roster largely intact, and gone on to win a World Series afterwards.

So, changes are coming.

For real, this time.

Dodgers notes: Miguel Rojas, Josue De Paula, NLDS vs. Braves

LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - SEPTEMBER 20: Miguel Rojas #72 of the Los Angeles Dodgers swings during the game against the San Francisco Giants at Dodger Stadium on September 20, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Ric Tapia/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Two teams in the NL East battled it out over a three-game stretch to see who would be lucky enough to get in the Dodgers’ way. Ultimately, the Atlanta Braves got the best of the Philadelphia Phillies in a three-game Wild Card series, and the stage is set for a 2021 NLCS rematch beginning on Saturday in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers have thrice previously experienced a first-round bye, having come away successful only once. Once again, the team has taken this time to prepare for the quest of a third consecutive championship. For some players, such as Miguel Rojas, he has used this time to study for the U.S. citizenship test, as well as reflect on what could be his final postseason run, per Sonja Chen of MLB.com.

“I feel like I wouldn’t play for another team that is not the Dodgers. That’s something that I have control over,” Rojas said. “You have to meet with the organization and know what their plans are for the future and all that, and see if you fit in on the plans. … That’s the reason why I feel like this might be it, and at the same time, I don’t want to be a distraction to the whole group for what we want to accomplish.”

The Dodgers have two options for which player could serve as the team’s left-handed bat off the bench, those being outfielder Josue De Paula and catcher Dalton Rushing. It’s still a toss-up as to whom the Dodgers will pick, but, as Jack Harris of the California Post notes, it’d be a surprise to not see the 21-year-old outfielder’s name on the postseason roster come Saturday.

At this point, though, it would be a surprise if the 21-year-old slugger wasn’t active for the best-of-five series.

“He’s just a special hitter,” manager Dave Roberts said last week. “[His skill set] lines up in the postseason. And no moment is going to be too big for that kid.”

The last time the Dodgers faced against Atlanta in October, their quest for a repeat came to a scratching halt after a six-game series, with the latter laughing their way to a World Series win over the Houston Astros. Once again, the Dodgers have the upper hand on paper, and they are well aware that they have a target on their backs, writes Maddie Lee of the Los Angeles Times.

Braves snap 30-year winner-take-all drought with cathartic victory over Phillies

Oct 1, 2026; Cumberland, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Braves players celebrate in the clubhouse after defeating the Philadelphia Phillies in game three of the Wildcard round for the 2026 MLB Playoffs at Truist Field. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

October 17, 1996 feels like forever ago, especially to someone like me, who was born in 1990.

“Macarena” was the No. 1 song, while “Independence Day” was the No. 1 movie.

Atlanta was just months removed from hosting the Olympics.

Walt Weiss still had four years left in his major league career, while Matt Olson was two years old and Ronald Acuña Jr. was still over a year away from being born.

That was the last time the Atlanta Braves won a winner-take-all postseason game.

Until Thursday. The Braves exorcised three decades worth of demons, and some particularly pesky recent ones, with their 6-2 win over the Philadelphia Phillies in the decisive third game of their NL Wild Card series, snapping the franchise’s six-game losing streak in elimination games.

Fittingly for a night of such catharsis, the Braves left little doubt.

From the moment Michael Harris II delivered a first-inning haymaker in the form of his three-run homer off Aaron Nola, the game never really felt like the Braves were teetering on the precipice of danger.

Sure, there may have been that “here comes the five-run inning for the Phillies” thought that you couldn’t quite get out of your head, but the reality of how it played out on the field was it never felt like that was coming.

After the early blow, the Braves kept the Phillies at arm’s length. The rare Philadelphia hits were never further complicated by additional issues. The Phillies scored their only two runs on an RBI groundout and a sacrifice fly, finishing 0-for-6 with runners in scoring position.

It certainly didn’t hurt the feeling of comfort that the Braves kept adding on. Ozzie Albies’ fourth-inning two-run shot made it 5-0. And after Philadelphia got on the board in the sixth, Matt Olson responded with Atlanta’s third homer of the game.

Not long after that, Chris Sale, the baseball robot that he is — his own words he said this week — took care of the final four outs in typically dominant fashion.

“I can’t say enough about this group,” Braves manager Walt Weiss said postgame. “I’ve been saying it, repeating myself, but I said it on Day 1 of Spring Training that it was going to take more than our talent to get to where we wanted to go. We had to have the right mentality. We had to come together. We had to play for each other, all those things that you can’t quantify.

“They’re game changers, and I always felt all along — and I was saying at the end of Spring Training— I felt like we had the right guys on the bus, man.”

The way in which Thursday’s game played out was cathartic enough. That it happened against the Phillies made it a potentially spiritual experience for Braves Country.

The team that ruined Atlanta’s strong 2022 and 2023 seasons. The team that had been the thorn in the Braves’ side, both in the NL East and in the postseason. The team that seemed dead late in Wednesday’s game before rallying and bringing in what was widely believed to be a better pitching situation entering Game 3

The Braves’ strong performance made sure none of that remotely mattered or was a lingering thought in peoples’ heads this time.

”Definitely feels amazing to win against the Phillies,” Albies admitted.

Mauricio Dubón and Mike Yastrzemski said pregame that the team was loose and there was no tension in the air from Wednesday’s blown chance at a sweep.

How the game played out proved they were right.

“I think in baseball you can’t do anything but try to stay loose. If you put more pressure on yourself, it’s just going to eat you up,” Harris said. “I felt like in the clubhouse today we talked more about fantasy football than baseball. It kept us ready. Once we had our meeting, we kind of locked in and knew what we wanted to do when we came out.”

And with a few monkeys firmly removed from the team’s collective back, the “house money” portion of the Braves’ postseason begins. Beating the Dodgers in the NLDS would be a bonus, but they certainly aren’t a trendy pick to knock off the two-time defending champs.

That being said, if the Braves are able to channel the same focus and clutch moments they delivered in this series finale, maybe they can drag the Dodgers into a contested series.

After all, they did beat them five out of six times in the regular season.

2026 by the numbers

SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA - SEPTEMBER 27: A general view of the main gate of Oracle Park before the season finale between the San Francisco Giants and the Los Angeles Dodgers on September 27, 2026 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Scott Marshall/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Numbers are helpful. Numbers make things plain when words muddy things up.

What follows are some numbers, basic numbers, that I found before putting some words next to them. They don’t tell the whole story of the 2026 San Francisco Giants — but who wants that? No thanks. Measurable data in small, manageable punches, please.   

0 — Zero, it’s a number. Kind of. A number is a measurable value, and zero is measurable as an absence of value (see, numbers aren’t confusing at all). It’s a number in the same way that nobody is a presence. “Nobody is attacking me! Nobody is attacking me!” Polyphemus screamed from his cave after Odysseus blinded him, and all the other giant cyclopses who rushed to his aid at the sound of his shrieking, turned away grumbling. The ravings of a lunatic. Many of us, at our most dramatic and most sensitive, probably felt like Polyphemus in the last couple weeks of the season, watching a team that was notable in what it lacked. Absence as a presence — that’s the line-up in a nutshell. A bunch of nobodies. It was not the plan.

 Zero players who took the field on Opening Day for the 2026 Giants way back on March 25th took the field as a Giant when the season concluded on September 27th. 

Four were traded – Luis Arraez and Caleb Kilian to the Phillies, Patrick Bailey to the Guardians, Heliot Ramos to the Yankees. Five players — Matt Chapman, Casey Schmitt, Harrison Bader, Rafael Devers, and Keaton Winn — landed on the 60-day IL. Two — Logan Webb and JT Brubaker — are on the 15-day IL. Two more — Jung Hoo Lee and Willy Adames — are on the 10-day IL.

1 — One sweep. One real one. A real one is at least three games. A series sweep really only matters because it is more than two games. One win could be a fluke. Two in a row is like a broken clock being right twice a day. But three, and against the same team, now that’s something with substance.  

There were 52 series (counting the split-up Braves as one) on the 2026 calendar. The Giants swept the 45th one they played in. Fans had to wait until the second week in September, with the Cardinals in town, to bust the brooms out. They flipped the script on us too with a 6-run comeback in the 8th.  

2 — Two players. Christian Koss and Landen Roupp. Woke king Koss and Remember the Covenant! Roupp — diametrically opposed on the political spectrum, and yet tied together to the mast. There on the 26-man roster on March 25th when the boat left port, and (though Koss only had 14 AB before July 1st and was sent to Sacramento for most of May and June) there on September 27th when it washed ashore in pieces. The only survivors of this shipwreck season.

It’s fitting then that Koss was the last player to represent the Giants on a baseball field in 2026. He delivered the final joyful moment, the final disappointment when that joyful moment had the rug pulled out from under it, and the final out of the year.

3 — Three Giants starting pitchers suffered a torn UCL in their throwing arm during the regular season. The injuries actually all came within a month-and-a-half., the pitchers dominoing off the mound and onto the 60-day IL. Trevor McDonald went down in August, Carson Whisenhunt in the middle of September, Blade Tidwell in the last week of the season. Harken back to the halcyon days of Spring Training, when Hayden Birdsong heard the dreaded “pop,” and the writing was on the wall. Three became four. Four Tommy John surgeries levied on a whole generation of Giants’ pitching talent. All 25 year old rotation arms slowly being built up to handle a full season’s workload.

The “rising wave” of pitching depth never broke. Now 2027 will be missed, and it’s hard not to feel like when they return, they’ll be starting over. A hopeful normalcy, if it ever arrives, for these pitchers won’t be until 2029? Maybe? And who does the front office plan to put in their place? Will they still be stubborn about handing out long-term, six-figure contracts to free agent starters? Will the accelerated rise of Yunior Marte, Matt Wilkinson, and Cesar Perdomo, (another) 3 representatives dredged from the depths of the farm system to handle the final chunk of innings at season’s end, represent a new wave? The trio of replacements held their own to a certain extent — but expectations were low. Hanging sliders, demolished by Major League hitters were glossed over, elevated walk rates forgiven, and they were rarely pushed to pitch through the 5th. Though “Tugboat” is a Major League nickname, the jury is still out on the rest of him.

4 — Four wins in a row. The Giants didn’t do it. First time in franchise history its happened — rather, it hasn’t happened. 

They won three in a row seven different times. They were an out from sealing a fourth W in Chicago on June 6th when future-MVP Pete Crow-Armstrong launched one of his MLB-leading 45 home runs off Keaton Winn. They nearly did it against Seattle in mid-July, but a Logan Webb cruise capsized after allowing a game-tying 3-run shot in the 7th. The Giants again lost in 10 innings. 

Maybe that Cubs game was the moment we all should’ve recognized it wasn’t going to happen. It being anything good, or restorative, or sustained. Early June was plenty of time for reality to set in, but we (some of us? Just me?) were still counting on that one-in-a-half-century hot streak to pick the Giants up and lift them out of the funk. It happened to the Red Sox instead, which makes sense because the Red Sox had a bullpen.

5 — Five walk-off wins. On the other side of  the coin is the dozen times the Giants were walked off, but that’s another number further on in this doom count. Focus on the present. Every game has a story. Over a long baseball season, it’s important to find excuses to celebrate. Those silly, over-the-top, on-field fandangos — as contrived as they can be at times — serve a purpose. 

The 2026 Giants did deliver a walk-off for the ages. No fabricated excuse needed to go nuts after Bryce Eldridge’s “ultimate grand slam” capped off an 8-run comeback against the Nationals. Moments before Eldridge delivered his first (of hopefully many) highlight reel clips, Duane Kuiper and Mike Krukow threw another on top of the career pile with the quickly infamous “drop trou and hog out” exchange.

The walk-off homer, aired-out to right, plopped down atop the Willie Mays wall, and everyone went ballistic. A routine out in many parks, but no one cared. It was ridiculous and comedic and unexpected and so needed, for the fans, for the players. A moment of pure, amnesiac bliss. Nothing before mattered. Tomorrow felt so far away. The Giants had won the game when they were expected to lose it. For once, they defied expectations rather than fell short of them.

For some, it was the last enjoyable moment the Giants delivered on the field. A couple days later, the wheels came off the vibe train.

Nothing good lasts. The 2026 Giants taught me that.

2026 MLB Division Series Preview

SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA - AUGUST 12: Brice Turang #2 of the Milwaukee Brewers throws to first base after forcing out Jackson Merrill #3 of the San Diego Padres at second base to complete a double play during the fourth inning at Petco Park on August 12, 2026 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Orlando Ramirez/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The 2026 MLB Postseason continues after four teams were eliminated in the Wild Card Series this week, leaving us with eight teams vying for the World Series. Beginning Saturday, the next round of the postseason, the Division Series, will begin, as the Brewers host the Padres for the first two games in a best-of-five series.

While Paul already dug a bit deeper into the Brewers-Padres series, let’s take a quick look at all four of the matchups.

All times listed in Central Time.

AL Division Series: (1) Tampa Bay Rays vs. (4) New York Yankees

In the American League, both Division Series matchups feature intradivisional matchups. This one, featuring the AL East winner and runner-up, has the two teams who finished with the best records in the AL. The Rays, who finished 98-64, beat the Yankees by 4.5 games, with an MLB-best 55-26 record at home. Tampa had a pretty balanced attack this year, though they finished way better than their run differential would suggest — at +86 runs (sixth best in MLB), they had an expected win-loss of 90-72. The Yankees, meanwhile, are coming off a pair of rompings against their rival Red Sox, winning 9-0 and 9-2 at Yankee Stadium in the AL Wild Card Series. They finished with the fourth-best run differential in baseball, primarily due to their pitching staff, which finished atop the league in several categories.

Schedule
  • Game 1 @ Tampa Bay: Saturday, Oct. 3 @ 5:30 p.m. (TBS & HBO Max)
  • Game 2 @ Tampa Bay: Monday, Oct. 5 @ 7:00 p.m. (TBS & HBO Max)
  • Game 3 @ New York: Wednesday, Oct. 7 @ 7:00 p.m. (TBS & HBO Max)
  • Game 4* @ New York: Thursday, Oct. 8 @ 7:00 p.m. (TBS & HBO Max)
  • Game 5* @ Tampa Bay: Saturday, Oct. 10 @ 7:00 p.m. (TBS & HBO Max)

*if necessary

Team Rankings

Rays:

  • Offense: .258/.326/.402 (.728 OPS ranks eighth); 169 HRs (22nd); 736 runs (12th); 164 SBs (tied for second)
  • Pitching: 3.70 team ERA (seventh); 3.51 starter ERA (third); 3.99 reliever ERA (14th); 1,322 Ks (19th)

Yankees:

  • Offense: .235/.311/.409 (.720 OPS ranks tied for 11th); 223 HRs (second); 739 runs (tied for ninth); 153 SBs (sixth)
  • Pitching: 3.24 team ERA (first); 3.30 starter ERA (first); 3.15 reliever ERA (second); 1,450 Ks (tied for sixth)
Projected Pitching Matchups
  • Game 1: RHP Drew Rasmussen (TB) vs. TBD (NYY)
  • Game 2: TBD (TB) vs. RHP Cam Schlittler (NYY)
  • Game 3: TBD (TB) vs. TBD (NYY)
  • Game 4: TBD (TB) vs. TBD (NYY)
  • Game 5: TBD (TB) vs. TBD (NYY)
Prediction

The Yankees looked like a different monster against Boston, even without Aaron Judge. But New York already had to use Cam Schlittler and Max Fried, meaning neither of them will be able to pitch two games in this series (unless Schlittler goes on short rest twice). With that in mind, I think this is about as evenly matched as possible, but the Rays’ home-field advantage makes me give them a slight edge. Rays in five.

AL Division Series: (2) Cleveland Guardians vs. (6) Chicago White Sox

The other intradivisional matchup on this side of the bracket, the Guardians got the No. 2 seed in the AL despite finishing just 85-77 — that wouldn’t have even been good enough to make the playoffs if they were in the NL. The White Sox, who finished right behind them at 84-78 after leading the AL Central for a good chunk of the year, are coming off a two-game sweep of the Astros in the AL Wild Card Series. Neither one of these teams are super flashy, but the Guardians have a good, not great pitching staff and the White Sox have a good, not great offense. We’ll see which one prevails.

Schedule
  • Game 1 @ Cleveland: Saturday, Oct. 3 @ 12:00 p.m. (TBS & HBO Max)
  • Game 2 @ Cleveland: Monday, Oct. 5 @ 4:00 p.m. (TBS & HBO Max)
  • Game 3 @ Chicago: Wednesday, Oct. 7 @ 3:00 p.m. (TBS & HBO Max)
  • Game 4* @ Chicago: Thursday, Oct. 8 @ 4:00 p.m. (TBS & HBO Max)
  • Game 5* @ Cleveland: Saturday, Oct. 10 @ 4:00 p.m. (TBS & HBO Max)

*if necessary

Team Rankings

Guardians:

  • Offense: .239/.316/.380 (.696 OPS ranks 26th); 162 HRs (27th); 678 runs (24th); 146 SBs (seventh)
  • Pitching: 3.77 team ERA (eighth); 3.93 starter ERA (ninth); 3.54 reliever ERA (sixth); 1,530 Ks (third)

White Sox:

  • Offense: .236/.320/.406 (.726 OPS ranks ninth); 211 HRs (fifth); 776 runs (fifth); 93 SBs (tied for 18th)
  • Pitching: 4.12 team ERA (15th); 4.60 starter ERA (26th); 3.70 reliever ERA (eighth); 1,337 Ks (tied for 16th)
Projected Pitching Matchups
  • Game 1: LHP Parker Messick (CLE) vs. TBD (CWS)
  • Game 2: RHP Gavin Williams (CLE) vs. TBD (CWS)
  • Game 3: TBD (CLE) vs. TBD (CWS)
  • Game 4: TBD (CLE) vs. TBD (CWS)
  • Game 5: TBD (CLE) vs. TBD (CWS)
Prediction

As I said above, neither of these teams is flashy, and both squads are solid and one side of the ball and not so solid on the other. I think Cleveland’s combo of Parker Messick and Gavin Williams atop the rotation can get things done, though, as Cleveland wins in four.

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NL Division Series: (1) Milwaukee Brewers vs. (4) San Diego Padres

I won’t say too much here just because Paul already took his time to write a lengthy preview for this series. All I’ll add is that I think the home-field advantage will come into play in a big way here — both of these fanbases are hungry for their first World Series title and based on how loud the fans in San Diego were when they played the Cubs this week, I’d expect all five games to be rowdy. This should be a fun one to watch.

Schedule
  • Game 1 @ Milwaukee: Saturday, Oct. 3 @ 7:30 p.m. (FS1)
  • Game 2 @ Milwaukee: Sunday, Oct. 4 @ 3:00 p.m. (FS1)
  • Game 3 @ San Diego: Tuesday, Oct. 6 @ 8:30 p.m. (FS1)
  • Game 4* @ San Diego: Wednesday, Oct. 7 @ 9:00 p.m. (FS1)
  • Game 5* @ Milwaukee: Friday, Oct. 9 @ 3:30 p.m. (FS1)

*if necessary

Team Rankings

Brewers:

  • Offense: .258/.341/.403 (.744 OPS ranks tied for third); 154 HRs (tied for 28th); 832 runs (second); 162 SBs (fifth)
  • Pitching: 3.51 team ERA (second); 3.61 starter ERA (fifth); 3.40 reliever ERA (third); 1,544 Ks (second)

Padres:

  • Offense: .244/.319/.398 (.717 OPS ranks 18th); 183 HRs (tied for 14th); 722 runs (15th); 164 SBs (tied for second)
  • Pitching: 3.99 team ERA (10th); 4.42 starter ERA (21st); 3.53 reliever ERA (fifth); 1,315 Ks (20th)
Projected Pitching Matchups
  • Game 1: RHP Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) vs. TBD (SD)
  • Game 2: RHP Logan Henderson (MIL) vs. TBD (SD)
  • Game 3: TBD (MIL) vs. TBD (SD)
  • Game 4: TBD (MIL) vs. TBD (SD)
  • Game 5: TBD (MIL) vs. TBD (SD)
Prediction

The Brewers have about as balanced of a team as you could ask for, whether out of the bullpen, offensively, or simply with Jacob Misiorowski and Logan Henderson as a great 1-2 punch atop the rotation. Give me Brewers in four.

NL Division Series: (2) Los Angeles Dodgers vs. (3) Atlanta Braves

The winners of the NL West and NL East will face off, as the Braves escaped a matchup with the Phillies in the NL Wild Card Series, the only set to go the full three games. As has been the norm for over a decade, the Dodgers are good at everything they do, ranking in the top five in offense and pitching. The one thing they don’t have going for them is that they aren’t getting any younger — outside of 25-year-old Andy Pages in center and 29-year-old Kyle Tucker in right, all of their team leaders are in their 30s. That group includes Shohei Ohtani (32), Will Smith (31), Mookie Betts (34 next week), Freddie Freeman (37), Max Muncy (36), and Teoscar Hernández (34 later this month), among several others. The pitching staff is one of the deepest in baseball, but again, they aren’t all that young, and injuries are always a key consideration. For the Braves, they also have one of the top pitching staffs in baseball, with one of the top starting pitchers in baseball in Chris Sale, who we’ll see at least once in this series. They also have a solid bullpen anchored by Raisel Iglesias and Robert Suarez. While their offense ranks right around the middle of the pack, slightly above league average, they still have several big names in Matt Olson, Ozzie Albies, Ronald Acuña Jr., Austin Riley, Drake Baldwin, and Michael Harris II.

Schedule
  • Game 1 @ Los Angeles: Saturday, Oct. 3 @ 3:00 p.m. (FOX & FOX One)
  • Game 2 @ Los Angeles: Sunday, Oct. 4 @ 7:00 p.m. (FS1)
  • Game 3 @ Atlanta: Tuesday, Oct. 6 @ 5:00 p.m. (FS1)
  • Game 4* @ Atlanta: Wednesday, Oct. 7 @ 5:00 p.m. (FS1)
  • Game 5* @ Los Angeles: Friday, Oct. 9 @ 7:00 p.m. (FOX & FOX One)

*if necessary

Team Rankings

Dodgers:

  • Offense: .257/.338/.424 (.762 OPS ranks second); 204 HRs (tied for seventh); 801 runs (fourth); 72 SBs (28th)
  • Pitching: 3.55 team ERA (fourth); 3.43 starter ERA (second); 3.74 reliever ERA (ninth); 1,521 Ks (fourth)

Braves:

  • Offense: .246/.309/.409 (.718 OPS ranks tied for 16th); 204 HRs (tied for seventh); 742 runs (eighth); 83 SBs (tied for 23rd)
  • Pitching: 3.63 team ERA (fifth); 3.76 starter ERA (sixth); 3.44 reliever ERA (fourth); 1,350 Ks (15th)
Projected Pitching Matchups
  • Game 1: TBD (LAD) vs. TBD (ATL)
  • Game 2: TBD (LAD) vs. TBD (ATL)
  • Game 3: TBD (LAD) vs. TBD (ATL)
  • Game 4: TBD (LAD) vs. TBD (ATL)
  • Game 5: TBD (LAD) vs. TBD (ATL)
Prediction

I feel like this postseason is the most vulnerable Los Angeles has been in several years. After completing back-to-back title runs in 2024 and 2025, I get the feeling that the window is at least starting to close. I think the Braves will make this closer than most would believe, but the Dodgers will prevail. Dodgers in five.

MLB Playoff Roundup: Braves advance to NLDS showdown with Dodgers

ATLANTA, GEORGIA - OCTOBER 01: The Atlanta Braves pose for a photo after defeating the Philadelphia Phillies in game three of the National League Wild Card Series at Truist Park on October 01, 2026 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images) | Getty Images

With Major League Baseball’s current postseason format, there’s always a chance that the Thursday of Wild Card Series Week is a universal offday. The sample is only so large, but the best-of-three format has not produced many series that have gone the distance — such as it were, as three is hardly much of a distance. Of the 28 Wild Card Series to be played since it was first introduced in 2020 (initially as part of the expanded COVID playoff field and codified in 2022 after one last one-game playoff in 2021), only eight have seen a Game 3 — 28.6 percent.

Indeed, three of the four Wild Card Series were already in the books by the time the sun rose yesterday. We know the Yankees will face the Rays, the Guardians will face the White Sox, and the Brewers will face the Padres. But one remained, and thank the maker for it! October days without any playoff baseball whatsoever are sad days, especially when there’s no personal investment in a short series. We’re already locked into one today, as the Division Series doesn’t begin until tomorrow. But the Phillies’ late rally in Game 2 on Wednesday at Truist Park helped force extras and then a 10th-inning victory to force a Game 3 last night.

That’s right, Joey. Let’s go.

NL Wild Card Series Game 3

Atlanta Braves 6, Philadelphia Phillies 2
(Atlantawins 2-1)

As far as pitching matchups go, this certainly was one. It wasn’t even as outright insulting as the Astros/White Sox “double opener” one, just… OK we’ll just say it: Aaron Nola vs. Ray Kerr. Yeah.

Nola is of course well known for long career in Philly, but hasn’t been his prime form for some time now and was most recently on the mound on two days’ rest to start the Phils’ doomed penultimate game of the season. As for Kerr, I’m literally married to a Braves fan and I have not heard of this gentleman. He’s mostly been a reliever, had Tommy John surgery in 2024, returned to the big-league level this past August, and he’s made just four appearances since Labor Day. But Atlanta manager Walt Weiss gave him a shot to at least cover the start of this do-or-die game, and he was excellent.

Kerr chose Game 3 of NL Wild Card Series to tie his longest outing of the season, recording 10 outs and allowing just one hit.

It was all a terrific beginning to the game for the Braves, desperate to shake off the awful late loss in Game 2. They got on the board quickly against Nola, who issued one-out walks in the first to Ronald Acuña Jr. and Matt Olson to bring Michael Harris II to the plate. On a 2-0 pitch, Harris took out his driver and golfed a pitch out for a three-run homer to right:

The ball was literally only a foot and change off the ground, but Harris blasted it anyway.

And honestly… that was the ballgame! The Phillies never scored more than a couple runs, so Harris’ homer held up. It didn’t help them that when Zack Wheeler entered in relief—several wondered if it would’ve made more sense to just start him on three days’ rest for the first time in his career—he fell victim to the long ball as well, with Ozzie Albies smacking a two-run shot to make it 5-0 in the fourth.

In a bit of a curious managerial decision, Braves ace Chris Sale came out of the bullpen to record the final fours in a four-run ballgame. It was a cool moment in theory for him to strike out Bryce Harper and then finish the job in the ninth, but it’ll be interesting to see how this affects their pitching plans in the Division Series, when they’ll have to contend with the mighty Dodgers, too.

Mariners News: Ray Kerr, Torey Lovullo, and Joe Espada

ATLANTA, GEORGIA - OCTOBER 01: Ray Kerr #62 of the Atlanta Braves acknowledges the crowd while walking to the dugout against the Philadelphia Phillies during the fourth inning in game three of the National League Wild Card Series at Truist Park on October 01, 2026 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Good morning everyone, and happy Friday!

The Wild Card round is over as we head into Division Series weekend. Let’s get you caught up on all of that and more.

MLB Postseason Scores…

In Mariners news…

Around the league…