The Pittsburgh Pirates (19-16) and Arizona Diamondbacks (16-17) meet for a three-game series at Chase Field. These two teams are headed in different directions lately. The Pirates have won the last three games, while the Diamondbacks have dropped the previous four.
Arizona is back at home after six straight road games. Arizona is on a four-game losing streak and has been outscored 29-10 in that stretch. The Diamondbacks are 1-5 in the last six games and hitting .227 in that span (25th) with 39 hits (24th).
Pittsburgh is coming off a three-game sweep over Cincinnati. The Pirates outscored the Reds, 27-8 in those three games. Pittsburgh is 5-5 in the last 10 games and 7-4 in the last 11 road games.
Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.
Game details & how to watch Pirates at Diamondbacks
Date: Tuesday, May 5, 2026
Time: 9:40 PM EST
Site: Chase Field
City: Phoenix, AZ
Network/Streaming: MLB TV
Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.
The Pirates’ Nick Gonzales is hitting .328 with 38 hits and 43 total bases over 116 at-bats
The Pirates’ Marcell Ozuna is hitting .189 with 21 hits and 32 strikeouts over 111 at-bats
The Diamondbacks’ Ildemaro Vargas is hitting .382 with 39 hits and 67 total bases over 102 at-bats
The Diamondbacks’ Ketel Marte is hitting .214 with 27 hits and 28 strikeouts over 126 at-bats
Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!
Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Padres at Giants
The Pirates are 20-15 ATS this season
The Diamondbacks are 21-12 ATS this season, ranking second-best
The Diamondbacks are 20-12-1 to the Over this season, ranking fifth-best
The Pirates are 20-15 to the Over this season
If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Pirates and the Diamondbacks
Rotoworld Bet Best Bet
Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Tuesday's game two between the Pirates and the Diamondbacks:
Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Pirates on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Pirates at +1.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Over on the Game Total of 9.0
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
Feb 27, 2026; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Pistons guard Cade Cunningham (2) drive past Cleveland Cavaliers guard Jaylon Tyson (20) in the first half at Little Caesars Arena. Mandatory Credit: Lon Horwedel-Imagn Images | Lon Horwedel-Imagn Images
The rivalry between the Detroit Pistons and the Cleveland Cavaliers stretches back so far that you have to conjure up names like Žydrūnas Ilgauskas, Darko Miličić, and LeBron James (remember that old timer?). It was the Detroit Pistons that delayed James’ ascension to title winner, which compelled his migration to South Beach, it was James who single-handedly killed the Going to Work Pistons with 25 consecutive points in 2007.
Both franchises experienced some low lows (Detroit’s much more extended), and both are among the top of the East thanks to some smart roster building and a pivotal player from the 2021 NBA Draft — Cade Cunningham for the Pistons and Evan Mobley for the Cavs.
Cleveland won 64 games last year, got bounced in the second round, and made a win-now trade for James Harden at the trade deadline. Detroit won 60 games this year and is looking at toppling the Cavs as the next step in its title-contending narrative.
The Cavs, though, don’t seem to think much of the Pistons.
In reviewing the four-game season series, it was hard to glean much from either side thanks to injuries. Each side won two, and every win has an asterisk because of key pieces missing from the starting lineup. The most recent was a 122-119 overtime win for Detroit when the Cavs were missing five rotation players, including its backcourt of Donovan Mitchell and Harden.
The Cavs lost, but they had plenty to say after the game … anonymously, of course.
“They aren’t in our class,” said one anonymous player to Cleveland.com after the game.
Chris Fedor, the beat writer for the Cavs for many years, follows that up with, “Another player said he didn’t believe Detroit would even be Cleveland’s toughest matchup in the playoffs.”
I’d call it unshakeable confidence if only the players were brave enough to put a name to their words.
For better and for worse, the Pistons don’t do anything anonymously. They say it with their chest, and they aren’t afraid to get physical.
The key to this series is bringing that physicality without pushing it too far. Harden can get you in foul trouble, Ausar Thompson. Donovan Mitchell can make you regret gambling for that steal, Javonte Green. Sam Merrill will make you regret over-helping, Cade Cunningham. Isaiah Stewart can get you ejected, Isaiah Stewart.
The Pistons have a decided size advantage on the wings, and the double-big matchup between Jalen Duren and Jarrett Allen, and Isaiah Stewart (and Tobias Harris) against Evan Mobley will be the key to the series.
Detroit needs to take care of the ball, Cunningham chief among them, and they need to find a way to impose their will in a way they couldn’t manage to against the Orlando Magic until the final six quarters of the series. The Pistons need to keep building up its postseason narrative while ensuring they make the Cavs play down to theirs.
Mitchell, Harden, Mobley, and the Cavaliers are incredibly talented. But they are the ones who haven’t been able to deliver when it matters. Mitchell averages 27.8 points in the playoffs but has never escaped the conference semifinals. Harden has never missed the postseason but has only made the conference finals twice since leaving Oklahoma City in 2012. Its been four early playoff exits for the Cavs the past four seasons.
The series is there for the taking. The Pistons just need to deliver on the floor and not focus on soundbites.
The Los Angeles Lakers take on the Oklahoma City Thunder in the first game of their Western Conference semifinal series. The Lakers beat the Rockets 4-2 in the first round while the Thunder swept the Phoenix Suns. The Thunder are favored with a spread of -15.5 and an over/under of 213.5.
How to watch Los Angeles Lakers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
Moneyline: Oklahoma City Thunder -1111 (88.0%) / Los Angeles Lakers +700 (12.0%)
Over/Under: 213.5
Series schedule
Game 1: Los Angeles at Oklahoma City (Tuesday May 5, 8:30 ET, NBC/Peacock) Game 2: Los Angeles at Oklahoma City (Thursday May 7, 9:30 ET, Prime Video) Game 3: Oklahoma City at Los Angeles (Saturday May 9, 8:30 ET, ABC) Game 4: Oklahoma City at Los Angeles (Monday May 11, 10:30 ET, Prime Video) Game 5: Los Angeles at Oklahoma City (Wednesday May 13)* Game 6: Oklahoma City at Los Angeles (Saturday May 16)* Game 7: Los Angeles at Oklahoma City (Monday May 18)*
Our MLB best bets for May 5 start with another fade of a struggling squad, as well as banking on runs in the Bronx, despite Jacob deGrom taking the mound.
See why our expert MLB picks love the value of these two plays at Polymarket — plus the Tigers, who are also undervalued as well.
Sign up now using our exclusive Polymarket promo code 'COVERS' (on your mobile app only) and get a $20 trading bonus after you deposit $20 to trade on any other event contracts — including MLB expert picks!
Sign Up Now at img src="https://img.covers.com/editorial/2026/polymarketlogo.png" alt="Polymarket" width="100" height="28" style="vertical-align: middle;"
*Eligible locations only
Josh Inglis' expert pick: Rangers/Yankees Over 8.5
Price: 50¢ (+100) at Polymarket
The hitting conditions at Yankee Stadium are prime for runs, with 17 mph winds blowing out to left field and THE BAT projecting over 10 runs in this matchup. The fair price on Over 8.5 sits around -130. Jacob deGrom is always a concern, but he’s still working on a ~90-pitch leash, and the New York Yankees just saw him on April 28. On the other side, Elmer Rodriguez had an inefficient outing vs. the Texas Rangers last week — and could be in trouble again, especially with a familiarity edge for hitters on both sides.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: White Sox moneyline
Price: 49¢ (+104) at Polymarket
I don't think the Los Angeles Angels should be favored over anyone right now. After a promising start to the season, they've lost 13 of their last 15 games! Over the last two weeks, LA ranks 25th in OPS and 27th in bullpen ERA, while the Chicago White Sox sit in the top eight in both categories and have the edge on the mound tonight. Erick Fedde has been solid with a 3.24 ERA, while the Angels turn to youngster Sam Aldegheri, who's been rocked for a 7.77 ERA in AAA this season — and a 6.35 ERA in limited MLB action across the last three years.
Neil Parker's expert pick: White Sox/Angels NRFI
Price: 51¢ (-102) at Polymarket
White Sox starter Erick Fedde has held opposing hitters to a minuscule .385 OPS in the opening frame and pitched a scoreless first in three of his four starts, including last time out against these Angels. Los Angeles counters with lefty Sam Aldegheri, and he’ll have the benefit of the Chicago lineup seeing him for the first time. So, while Aldegheri’s MLB and Triple A numbers are nothing to write home about, the Pale Hose sport a .231 batting average in the first frame and score in the first inning at a league-average 28.57% rate.
Jon Metler's expert pick: Tigers moneyline
Price: 60¢ (-150) at Polymarket
Losing Tarik Skubal for months was a tough blow for the Detroit Tigers, but this is exactly why they brought in Framber Valdez — to stabilize the rotation — and his opportunity to step in as the ace begins tonight against the Boston Red Sox. The Tigers are trading at 60 cents, while I make them closer to 64 cents, leaving a clear edge. Brayan Bello will do the bulk of the pitching for Boston, and he’s struggled badly against left-handed hitters this season, allowing a .414 average and a 1.313 OPS. That’s a major concern against a Tigers lineup loaded with left-handed bats like Kevin McGonigle, Riley Greene, Kerry Carpenter, and Colt Keith. Boston will try to offset that with left-hander Jovani Moran as an opener, but that wrinkle is already baked into the projection.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
The AL Cy Young award betting market was reshaped once again by Monday’s news of Detroit Tigers ace pitcher Tarik Skubal needing elbow surgery.
Key Takeaways
Skubal was a +250 favorite last week and is now off the board.
There is no timetable yet for his return from elbow surgery.
Yankees pitcher Cam Schlittler is now the market’s favorite at +200.
Not only are all three 2025 top vote getters (Skubal, Garrett Crochet, and Hunter Brown) currently on the injured list, but Skubal and Crochet were co-favorites at +350 to win the award when BetMGM opened its market earlier this year.
The Tigers today placed LHP Tarik Skubal on the 15-day injured list (retroactive to May 1) with loose bodies in his left elbow. RHP Ty Madden (#36) has been recalled from Triple-A Toledo.
Skubal, who won the award last year, got as short as +175 after the first week of the regular season and was the +250 favorite heading into this week in the Cy Young odds.
By Monday afternoon, Skubal was off the board at BetMGM. There is no timetable yet for the return of the fiery left-hander, who is having loose bodies removed from his elbow.
New favorite
New York Yankees hurler Cam Schlittler was installed as the new AL Cy Young award favorite on Monday afternoon and was as low as +200 on Tuesday morning. Teammate Max Fried was listed second with odds of +350, Toronto’s Dylan Cease was placed fourth at +500, while Los Angeles Angels ace Jose Soriano was fifth at +550.
Odds spiked to +1,200 on Texas Rangers starter Jacob deGrom.
Crochet had fallen to over +6,000 before he was sidelined with shoulder inflammation, and he is not currently listed on BetMGM’s board. The Red Sox expect Crochet back this month.
Brown, who could return to the Astros in June, has massive odds of +20,000 to win the Cy Young.
Moving on up
The week before Skubal went on the IL, he led BetMGM’s AL Cy Young award market with 9.8% of the tickets. Skubal was second in handle (11.8%) behind Soriano’s 14.5% of the money.
Schlittler has seen his odds shorten quickly over the last few weeks. He opened at +10,000 and was down to +3,000 when the season began. A hot start got Schlittler down to +450 last week, tying him for second on the odds list with Soriano.
Schlittler has a 5-1 record and leads the AL with a 1.52 ERA. He’s tied for third in the AL in strikeouts (53) and has allowed just one home run over eight starts.
The Cleveland Cavaliers meet the Detroit Pistons in the first game of their Eastern Conference semifinals series. The Pistons and Cavs each won Game 7s in the first round to advance, beating the Orlando Magic and Toronto Raptors, respectively. The Pistons are favored in Game 1 by 3.5 points. The over/under for this Eastern Conference matchup is set at 215.5.
How to watch Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Detroit Pistons
Moneyline: Detroit Pistons -159 (59.1%) / Cleveland Cavaliers +135 (40.9%)
Over/Under: 215.5
Series schedule
Game 1: Cleveland at Detroit (Tuesday May 5, 7 ET, Peacock/NBCSN) Game 2: Cleveland at Detroit (Thursday May 7, 7 ET, Prime Video) Game 3: Detroit at Cleveland (Saturday May 9, 3 ET, NBC/Peacock) Game 4: Detroit at Cleveland (Monday May 11, 8 ET, NBC/Peacock) Game 5: Cleveland at Detroit (Wednesday May 13)* Game 6: Detroit at Cleveland (Friday May 15)* Game 7: Cleveland at Detroit (Sunday May 17)*
Another week in the books, another week A.J. Ewing is our Player of the Week. That’s three total weeks now, and his second in a row. This is Ewing’s first week in Triple-A, however, and the infielder/outfielder didn’t miss a beat upon being promoted.
Now that he is in Triple-A, we have some concrete statcast data. Rather than the first-hand and secondary hand anecdotal evidence such as “he hits the ball hard”, based on the eye and ear test, we can say that so far, Ewing is averaging a 92.4 MPH exit velocity in 20 batted ball events, with a high-water mark of 108.8 MPH and an average launch angle of 12-degrees. Roughly one third of his batted ball events have resulted in the ball being put in play with an exit velocity above 100 MPH and exactly half of them have resulted in the ball being put in play with an exit velocity over 95 MPH.
Ewing has almost reversed his batted ball data in the week he’s been in Syracuse, running a 29.4% line drive rate, 35.3% groundball rate, and a 35.3% flyball rate while logging 23.5% of his hits to his pull side, 29.4% of his hits up the middle, and 47.1% of his hits to the opposite field. Compare to his time in Binghamton earlier in April, where he had a 22.4% line drive rate, 55.1% groundball rate, and a 22.4% flyball rate while logging 46.9% of his hits to his pull side, 28.6% of his hits up the middle, and 24.5% to the opposite field. Since both are small sample sizes that are diametrically opposite of each other, looking to the totality of his 2025 at the Single-A, High-A, and Double-A levels to try to gauge which Ewing is more likely to be the real Ewing when the samples become large enough to normalize, I would say that his Binghamton numbers are closer to the player he is than his current Syracuse numbers.
In Major League Baseball this season, there are currently only a handful of players who have similar batted ball profiles to Ewing, with line drive rates around 25%, groundball rates around 50%, and flyball rates around 25% and have been able to maintain a BABIP of .350 or better a month plus into the season: Garrett Mitchell, Chase Meidroth, Randy Arozarena, Yandy Diaz, and Nick Gonzalez. All of those players currently range from just about average to well above-average. That puts Ewing in good company, but I highlight this more to show that there are very few players who have such a batted ball profile in the first place. By hitting the ball on the ground less, and increasing his line drive rate and/or flyball rate, he widen the tightrope that he has to establish himself as a viable major league caliber player.
Jonah Tong
Week: 1 G (1 GS), 6.0 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 6 K (Triple-A)
After allowing the first two batters he faced to get on base via a walk and an error, Jonah Tong recorded 16 straight outs before allowing another baserunner, walking a batter and then allowing his first hit of the game in the sixth inning. That’s partially why his season so far is a bit deceptive; Outside of two truly poor outings, Tong hasn’t pitched as poorly as his 5.68 ERA coming into this game or his 4.60 ERA leaving it suggests and it is because of this that I really haven’t been too worried about him.
Overall, Tong has still been stingy allowing hits, and while his walk rate is up- command problems is a known issue with Tong, perhaps exacerbated right now by the Triple-A baseball/environment- his strikeout rate is up even more. With 44 punchouts Tong is tied for the International League lead and leads the Mets minor league system by a considerable margin. In the system, his 6.0 H/9 is also fourth among pitchers who have made at least three starts this season, behind Channing Austin, Nicolas Carreno, and Irving Cota. His LOB% is a poor 60.6%, over 10% lower than the general MLB average of 73%, meaning that Tong is being disproportionately burned by relievers failing to convert outs and strand the runners that he is leaving on base; if you bump his LOB% up by 10%, his ERA drops by two runs to a more palatable looking 4.02 ERA.
Further calming my agita, nothing has obviously backed up when you look at the right-hander’s pitch metrics; all of his pitches still show fringe-average or better.
His four-seam fastball is still a plus pitch, possessing premium mid-90s velocity that he holds deep into games and elite induced vertical break. So far, while the on-the-field results have been strong, he is not getting the same amount of swings-and-misses against it that he did last season, running a 27.9% Whiff% with his fastball, well below the 41.1% Whiff% he posted last season in Triple-A but a bit better than the 22.3% Whiff% he posted at the major league level.
His recently added cutter has similar characteristics, sitting in the low-90s and featuring above-average induced vertical break in addition to its average-for-a-cutter 4.1 inches of glove-side movement, but the results haven’t quite been there yet. Most of the damage batters have done against Tong have come from his cutter- they are hitting .261/.346/.478 against it with very few whiffs, a 24.4% to be exact.
His changeup is still an above-average pitch. Featuring 13.9 inches of arm-side break, average for a Vulcan change- though he throws a unique variant on that changeup variant, a two-seam Vulcan, if you will- Tong’s features almost double the amount of vertical break other Vulcan changeups possess. Combined with the high arm slot that he throws from, and the 1:45 spin axis the pitch is thrown on, and his is not only pick up on out of the hand but possesses true above-average movement to boot. Batters are not hitting it hard, and the pitch has a strong 35.6% Whiff% at present.
His curveball is still an average pitch, sitting in the high-70s and featuring 57.8 inches of vertical drop, making it massive near 12-6 bender. It can sometimes get loopier and lose its bite, but even when it does, Tong is able to command the pitch effectively to have it fall in for strikes or to hit the shadow of the zone, setting up his next pitch in his sequence. Batters are not hitting the pitch hard, and the pitch has a 30.4% Whiff%.
His slider is used extremely sparingly, but still projects to be average offering when he does throw it. With 7.2 inches of glove-side movement and 47 inches of vertical drop on average, the pitch has above-average movement in both regards. His inability to command this pitch in particular detracts from its overall effectiveness, prompting the right-hander to both not throw it much and to throw it for balls when he does.
There is ample evidence to suggest that Tong is going to improve from his middling beginning of the year, and with the weather warming up soon and the right-hander getting more experience in Triple-A under his belt, I would expect him to get out of this funk sooner rather than later.
Holy cow. 42 years of watching baseball prepares you for so many things. So many days, you “feel” what is going to happen next. Obviously, I liked this matchup on paper for this game. Chase Petty has a pretty decent pedigree, but he hadn’t yet established himself at the major league level. I doubt any memoirs will be written about his first 2026 start, 5.2 innings and three runs allowed. But against a Cub offense that has been terrific, four hits and two walks in just shy of six innings is a good outcome. Cub starter Edward Cabrera bested him by just one out. But he allowed the same three runs and two walks. But his outing came with nine hits. The Reds had constant traffic and save for one inning, Petty was real effective.
So it was that as this one got into the late innings and after Ben Brown yielded a run in the eighth, this one felt like it might be a loss. But then, that pesky Cub offense loaded the bases in the eighth. Maybe. Maybe they could at least tie it. But when they left the bases loaded, you could feel it deflate. And why not, really? The Reds had basically an 84 percent chance to win after the eighth inning.
I saw Ryan Rolison pitch for the first time. What an impressive performance it was. He faced three batters, struck them all out and then had some serious vibes going as he walked off the field. It will be so easy to do, but we shouldn’t overlook how important it is to go lock it down in that spot. It changes the whole energy of the inning if that is a two run (or more) deficit in the bottom of the ninth. Still, this Reds team is in contention through this point in the season, basically because they’ve won literally every close game that they have played. This was a tall task. Even after Rolison froze that lead at one, the Cubs still had only a 19.5 percent chance of winning heading to the bottom of the ninth.
The data I saw said that the ball Pete Crow-Armstrong hit to start the ninth inning would have been a homer in 17 parks. Credit for Pete for busting it out of the box and getting a relatively easy triple after the ball dropped against the wall. The biggest drama there was him holding on to the base after a full speed slide into third. Additional kudos for Pete coming through after two quick strikes on him. After his triple, the Cubs jumped all of the way up to 58.3 percent chance of winning. That was about as big of a WPA play as we’ve seen. At least for a few more batters.
Then Dansby Swanson struck out. That dropped the Cubs back down to a 40.9 percent chance of winning. Outs are SO valuable. So valuable, in fact, that when Nico Hoerner hit the decently deep fly ball that I’m sure most of us expected, the chance of winning only bounced up to 53.4 percent. A tie game with two outs in the ninth is largely a coin flip.
You had to expect Michael Conforto to get to bat for Matt Shaw in that spot. What I would never have guessed is that Michael Conforto, in what has been a pretty decent career, had never hit a walk-off homer. His 180th career homer isn’t an insane number to never have one. With a career that has seen him go from the Mets to the Giants to the Dodgers (and now the Cubs), it feels like he’s been around some good teams. In a season of amazing things, Michael’s first ever walk-off homer is also his first homer for the Cubs. He crushed it, too. There wasn’t a lot of drama in it getting out. I’m fully aware of the late career bench players the Cubs have had in recent years. I also know that at 32 years old, he wasn’t very valuable for the Dodgers and wasn’t playing by the time they reached the postseason (despite 122 games started for them).
From Cabrera’s quality start, to Seiya Suzuki’s monstrous three-run, game-tying homer, to Rolison’s dominant inning, to PCA’s triple, to Nico’s sacrifice fly to Conforto’s walk-off, this one was thrilling throughout. It feels like the term “playoff baseball” maybe gets thrown around too easily. But, this felt like a big game for May 4. Every one of those contributions I mentioned above and several others that helped set the stage contributed to an exciting and fulfilling game.
Six straight wins. 12 straight wins at home. 16 of 19 overall. This team is blazing hot. In the division that has been the best one in baseball so far, the Cubs are creating a little space in the standings. What a time to be alive!
Three Positives:
It feels impossible to pick just three. Conforto has to get this top spot for the game winner. Great moment for him. Great moment for the team.
Pete Crow-Armstrong started the rally with his triple and then scored. The OPS trickles up to .667.
Seiya Suzuki for the giant three-run homer. He had a single and a walk as well. It isn’t often that a three-run, game-tying homer while down three gets upstaged by not one but two other high value plays.
The Cubs ended up with six hits and six walks. That’s a pretty good performance by the Reds pitching staff.
Game 35, May 4: Cubs 5, Reds 4 (23-12)
WPA Graph
Reminder: Heroes and Goats are determined by WPA scores and are in no way subjective.
THREE HEROES:
Superhero: Michael Conforto (.466). 1-1, HR, RBI, R
3rd largest WPA score of the year. Conforto also has the 2nd highest (4/19 against the Mets)
Hero: Pete Crow-Armstrong (.29). 1-4, 3B, R
Sidekick: Seiya Suzuki (.26). 2-3, HR, BB, 3 RBI, R
THREE GOATS:
Billy Goat: Dansby Swanson (-.27). 0-4
Goat: Ben Brown (-.20). IP, 5 BF, H, BB, ER, K
Kid: Carson Kelly (-.17). 0-3, BB
WPA Play of the Game: Michael Conforto’s walk-off, game-winning homer. (.466)
*Reds Play of the Game: Ke’Bryan Hayes hir a two-out, two-run home in the second gave the Reds a three-run lead. (.199)
Cubs Player of the Game:
Game 34 Winner: Michael Bush received 43% of the votes (94 votes)
Rizzo Award Standings: (Top 3/Bottom 3)
The award is named for Anthony Rizzo, who finished first in this category three of the first four years it was in existence and four times overall. He also recorded the highest season total ever at +65.5. The point scale is three points for a Superhero down to negative three points for a Billy Goat.
Michael Conforto +10
Nico Hoerner +9.5
Shōta Imanaga +7
Pete Crow-Armstrong/Caleb Thielbar/Phil Maton/Jacob Webb -6
Matt Shaw -9
Seiya Suzuki -11
Current Win Pace: 106.45
Up Next: Game two of the four-game set between these two teams. Jameson Taillon (2-1, 4.41, 34.2 IP) makes his seventh start of the season. Last time he allowed three runs over seven innings of work, allowing only three hits and one walk at San Diego. The Reds start 26-year-old Andrew Abbott (1-2, 5.97, 34.2 IP) who will be making his eighth start of the season. Abbott was the second round pick of the Reds in 2021 (53rd overall). The Cubs are only 5-5 when the other team starts a lefty but 18-7 when they start a righty.
Bringing back a discussion that ran through much of last season, the Cubs actually have a pretty considerable lead on best OPS versus lefties at .830. They have an .037 lead on the Dodgers. That same gap again would drop down to ninth. So the Cubs have separated from the pack that way. They are .056 behind the Braves against righties (.761). This same exact phenomenon existed all of last year. The Cubs hit lefties well, but don’t end up winning for whatever variety of reasons.
13 in a row at home would be an amazing feat. I don’t know about you, but I’m just fine if they want to keep on going.
Boston, MA - May 1: Boston Red Sox left fielder Roman Anthony walks in the dugout before the game. The Boston Red Sox played the Houston Astros at Fenway Park on May 1, 2026. (Photo by Finn Gomez/The Boston Globe via Getty Images) | Boston Globe via Getty Images
Much has been made about the fact that the Red Sox lineup was essentially constructed around the belief that Roman Anthony, despite not yet hitting his 22nd birthday, would perform like one of the best hitters in the game this year. Suffice it to say, that hasn’t happened yet. Anthony is slashing just .229/.354/.321 (though the underlying metrics suggest he hasn’t been nearly that bad) and the lineup’s been struggling to score with him at the top of it. But now, for a few days at least, it will need to find a way to score without him at all. Anthony has flown back to Boston to see a specialist after leaving last night’s game with right wrist discomfort. X-rays conducted in Detroit last night were negative, which is certainly great to hear, but the Sox can’t afford to take any chances. (Ian Browne, MLB.com)
That’s not the only injury the Sox are monitoring right now. Lefty reliever Danny Coulombe has been placed on the 15-day IL with cervical spasms, and he has absolutely no idea how he got them. “Old age?” Coulombe guessed. “I think when you sleep on a lot of different pillows, sometimes you just tweak things. I don’t have anything else.” (Peter Abraham, Boston Globe)
Brayan Bello is not injured; he’s just been terrible. In an attempt to help him fight his way out of his funk, Bello will not start tonight’s game, but will instead follow Jovani Moran as an opener. (Peter Abraham, Boston Globe)
So how are things going with the starters who are injured? Everything went swimmingly when Sonny Gray threw a bullpen over the weekend, and he is expected to be activated and start tomorrow night’s game against the Tigers. Ranger Suarez, meanwhile, feels good after being forced out of a recent game due to hamstring tightness, while Garrett Crochet is playing catch to rebuild arm strength after going on the IL with shoulder inflammation. (Chris Cotillo, MassLive)
Interim manager Chad Tracy isn’t going to have much success without health from his big arms, no matter what changes he implements. But here’s an early look at some of those changes anyway, with the most impactful one being that he’s dealing with the outfield logjam by keeping Masataka Yoshida on the bench to use as a pinch-hitter. (Jen McCaffrey, The Athletic)
Tracy’s reasoning for benching Yoshida is based on the fact that the three other outfield/DH options have better all-around skill sets and provide more ways to win. Jarren Duran’s home run last night was the key hit in the game and a reminder of just how much he can help the Sox win when he’s firing. (WEEI)
PHILADELPHIA, PA - APRIL 15: J.T. Realmuto #10 of the Philadelphia Phillies (wearing #42 in honor of Jackie Robinson) looks on during the game between the Chicago Cubs and the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday, April 15, 2026 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Rob Tringali/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images
The automated ball and strike system is here to stay, and we’ve already seen its impact around baseball. It seems that the general consensus between players, fans, and media after one month of the new system is that it’s a welcome improvement that also adds a bit of a new strategy wrinkle to games. So, let’s take this opportunity to see how the Phillies have utilized their ABS challenges and how successful they’ve been after the month of April.
As a team, the Phillies are near the bottom of the league in total number of challenges issued, with their 59 challenges entering play on Monday ranking 25th in baseball. They’ve been correct in their challenge 51% of the time, putting them at 21st in baseball. For comparison, the Minnesota Twins have issued the most challenges with 97 but they’ve only been correct 54% of the time, putting them 13th in accuracy. Meanwhile the Arizona Diamondbacks have been the most accurate in their challenges, as they were correct 64% of the time despite ranking 28th in total challenges issued.
As may have been expected, J.T. Realmuto has been one of the best at challenging pitches as a catcher. He’s done it seven times and has been correct six times. It’s a small sample as Realmuto has just returned from the injured list, but his 86% success rate has him tied for fifth best among catchers who have issued at least five challenges so far. However, the Phillies other two catchers have not had the same amount of success. Garrett Stubbs has only issued two challenges, getting one right and one wrong. Rafael Marchán meanwhile has challenged 16 pitches in his 16 games in the majors this year and has a 50%-win rate. That half and half win percentage ties Marchán for the ninth worst rate among all catchers who have issued at least 15 challenges.
An early trend league wide is that many teams are not allowing their pitchers to challenge pitches. It’s a logical position, as pitchers could be too emotional or not in a good position to actually see where the pitch ended up. However, the Phillies are one team that has allowed their pitches to challenge, and Cristopher Sánchez and Jesús Luzardo are among the league leaders in challenges issued. Of course, the league lead is only three challenges held by old friend Gregory Soto. Nevertheless, Sánchez and Luzardo have both challenged two pitches with the former being 0-2 and the latter being 1-1. Zach Pop was the first and only other Phillies pitcher to challenge this year and he was unsuccessful on one attempt.
Phillies hitters have issued 29 challenges, placing them 19th among all teams. Their 48%-win rate is among the top half of the league though, ranking 12th best. Kyle Schwarber has issued the most challenges as a hitter for the Phillies with 8 which also puts him in an eight-way tie for the fifth most among all hitters league wide. Schwarber has won five challenges and lost three, giving him a success rate of 63% that is 12th best among all hitters who have issued at least five challenges. He’s also the only Phillies hitter to attempt a challenge more than three times, with Alec Bohm, Bryce Harper, Trea Turner, and Justin Crawford all tied for second place. Bohm has been the most successful of that group, going 2-3 while Harper and Turner are both 1-3. Crawford so far is 0-3 and is the only Phillies to have issued more than one challenge that has not been correct yet, an interesting early development considering Crawford played with the ABS all of last season in Triple-A. He wasn’t particularly good at it there either though, as Crawford went 3-10 on challenges in 2025.
These are just some of the early trends through one month of the ABS system. It will be fascinating to see if teams and players adjust their strategies as everyone around Major League Baseball gets more comfortable with the idea of being able to challenge balls and strikes.
Coverage of the 2026 NBA playoffs continues tonight on NBC and Peacock with a thrilling doubleheader. First, at 7:00 PM ET, Donovan Mitchell and the Cleveland Cavaliers take on Cade Cunningham and the Detroit Pistons. Then, at 8:30 PM ET, LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers go head-to-head with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder on Peacock. Live coverage begins at 6:00 PM with NBA Showtime. See below for additional information on how to watch the 2026 NBA Playoffs on NBC and Peacock.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons Game Preview:
Fresh off Game 7 victories, the Cavaliers and Pistons look to carry that momentum into the Eastern Conference Semifinals.
The No. 4 seed Cavaliers defeated the No. 5 seed Raptors in a series where the home team won every game.
"This series galvanized us," said Cavaliers head coach Kenny Atkinson. "Their physicality, their speed, their athleticism -- things weren't perfect. We kind of know the difference. Last year, we kind of had an easier series. These types of series, they build you up. And I'm glad we went through it. It wasn't fun. But I think it will be a better team coming out of it."
The No. 1 Detroit Pistons rallied back after trailing 3-1 against the No. 8 seed Orlando Magic, earning their first playoff series win since 2008.
“To be honest with you, I never doubted we were going to win this series… I know a lot of people would have liked it to just be easier, but I think it was great for our guys," said Pistons Head Coach J.B. Bickerstaff after the win. "To go through what they went through, to understand what it looks like and where they have to be in order to get it done, we understand that now, and we take that with us to the second round.”
"[The Magic] really made us take a look in the mirror. I think we got a lot better from this series. I got a lot better. I learned a lot about myself, learned a lot about the team. So, I think this series really is going to set us up for our next series, and we'll be a lot better for it," said Cunningham.
NBC Sports will present up to 23 games in the First Round and 11 games in the Conference Semifinals across either NBC and Peacock, or Peacock and NBCSN. Playoff programming concludes with exclusive coverage of the Western Conference Finals on NBC and Peacock
Which playoff rounds will be available on Peacock?
Peacock’s NBA Playoffs coverage spans multiple rounds, including Round 1, the Conference Semifinals, and the Western Conference Finals, with coverage evolving as the postseason progresses.
Will Peacock show both Eastern and Western Conference playoff games?
Yes. During earlier rounds such as Round 1 and the Conference Semifinals, Peacock will carry a mix of Eastern and Western Conference playoff games.
How to sign up for Peacock:
Sign up here to watch all of our LIVE sports, sports shows, documentaries, classic matches, and more. You'll also get tons of hit movies and TV shows, Originals, news, 24/7 channels, and current NBC & Bravo hits—Peacock is here for whatever you’re in the mood for.
It’s Cinco de Mayo, and by the looks of the Oklahoma City Thunder’s series odds, they’re going to bust the Los Angeles Lakers open like a piñata.
Oklahoma City is laying more than -15 at home in Game 1 of this Western Conference semifinal after thrashing L.A. in the regular season. Rather than tangle with that pile of chalk, my Lakers vs. Thunder predictions swing my focus to the individual efforts in the series opener.
Here are my best NBA picks and Lakers vs. Thunder props on May 5.
Best Lakers vs Thunder props for Game 1
Player
Pick
Deandre Ayton
Over 0.5 assists
-130
Alex Caruso
Over 7.5 points
-105
Marcus Smart
Over 1.5 threes
-135
Game 1 Prop #1: Deandre Ayton Over 0.5 assists
-130 at bet365
It’s just one little assist. How hard could it be?
The Thunder roll out twin 7-footers in Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein, and Ayton shrank like he was swimming in cold water over his four matchups with OKC. He averaged 5.8 points, 4.8 rebounds, and barely a blip in the assist column.
He’s not getting easy looks from the post here, which means passing to the perimeter or finding teammates in motion. Ayton will also wrangle a couple of offensive rebounds, likely kicking out to an open shooter. If this massive spread holds true, L.A. will be letting it fly from distance to keep pace.
Ayton did record at least one dime in four of his six Round 1 contests, and while he managed only a single assist in those four meetings with OKC, he registered eight potential dimes.
Player projections all lean toward at least one helper from the Lakers’ big man, with forecasts ranging from 0.9 to 1.2 assists in Game 1.
Game 1 Prop #2: Alex Caruso Over 7.5 points
-105 at bet365
The ghosts of "Purple and Gold" past will hunt the Lakers in Round 2. Former L.A. pest Alex Caruso is playing a key role for Oklahoma City with Jalen Williams sidelined with a hamstring injury.
The reserve guard is a two-way contributor for OKC, watching his usage jump from 12.1% to 17.5% since Williams went down in Game 2 against Phoenix.
Caruso opened with efforts of two and seven points on a combined 4-for-10 shooting in the first two playoff contests. His minutes and offensive activity increased, scoring 13 and 14 points in the final two games while firing up a 10-for-16 count from the field.
His scoring props have climbed from 5.5 O/U to 7.5 O/U, and Game 1 projections are pretty much on the fence with his current 7.5-point prop total. I see a higher ceiling.
Caruso has averaged more than nine points over the past two playoff runs and gets a bump in the offensive pecking order as long as Williams is out. And for what it’s worth, he put up six, 10, and 17 points vs. the Lakers this season.
Game 1 Prop #3: Marcus Smart Over 1.5 Threes
-135 at bet365
If Los Angeles is to keep pace with Oklahoma City’s powerful offense, it needs all hands to hit shots. For veteran guard Marcus Smart, that means making from beyond the arc.
Smart ran hot and cold vs. Houston in Round 1. He did hit two or more triples in four of six games — including a 5-for-7 Game 2 — and shot 44.8% from distance for the series.
Given the beefy spread, the game script says Los Angeles is playing from behind, prompting plenty of 3-point attempts to close the gap. And if OKC has any weakness, it’s protecting the perimeter.
The Thunder allow foes to fire at 36.7% on the season, including 36.3% from Phoenix in Round 1. Oklahoma City's tight interior defense prompts opponents to jack up almost 39 treys per game, while making 14.3 of those long-range looks. That's the third most 3PMs allowed in the NBA.
Smart faced Oklahoma City twice in the regular season, going 5-for-11 from beyond the arc. His Game 1 models range from 1.2 to 2.1 makes from downtown, with most forecasts leaning toward two 3-pointers tonight.
Cash your ML bets quicker with bet365's early win payout!
Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game NBA moneyline bet gets paid out as a winner if your team goes up by 20+ points!
Learn more about this feature, and all of bet365's offerings, with our comprehensive bet365 review!
Sign Up Now atimg src="https://img.covers.com/betting/sportsbooks/2/bet365.svg" alt="bet365" width="100" height="28" style="vertical-align: middle;"
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
NEW YORK, NY - MAY 4: Tracy Morgan and Jimmy Fallon hug after the game between the Philadelphia 76ers and the New York Knicks during Round Two Game One on May 4, 2026 at Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Jesse D. Garrabrant/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images
New York so good they can win games in two quarters and change.
Philly so bad they can’t even beat the Knicks’ bench mob in a garbage-time war.
Here’s the latest after Game 1.
"It's a lot of fun when you have concepts on either end of the floor and the guys are trying to embrace those concepts at the highest level"
“I thought it was a really good game by our guys.”
On his offensive concepts clicking in the playoffs:
“It’s a lot of fun when you have concepts on either end of the floor and guys are trying to embrace those concepts at the highest level. When they do, it doesn’t really matter what you call or initiates the action because guys are trying to play the right way. It can be any team out on the floor. If they’re trying to embrace what you’re throwing out there, sacrificing, all of that other stuff, it can be a lot of fun to watch.”
On Philadelphia’s record with Embiid and Maxey playing together:
“A lot of people when they look at this they see, I think they were seventh [in the East]. They see seven versus three and they automatically assume we’ll win. When that combination was on the floor together, they won I think almost 65% of their games. They were on pace to be almost a 60-win team . . . That’s better than us record-wise. They’re completely healthy. It’s going to be a tough series.”
On the foul trouble in Game 1:
“It was a good game by our guys. We have to be better with our fouling. We can’t expect them to shoot 34 [free throws]. They doubled us in free throw attempts.”
On Mikal Bridges defending Tyrese Maxey:
“He didn’t shut Maxey down. Maxey missed some shots, and our team defense behind him was pretty good. But the one thing that I give Mikal a lot of credit for is his alertness and his ability to have multiple efforts when guarding Maxey because Maxey is similar to [Stephen Curry], where he’s constantly moving, especially when it comes to the two-man game with [Joel] Embiid. You can’t ever relax. And Mikal did as good as he could, trying to stay with him whether he was moving or when he gave up the basketball.”
On Jalen Brunson attacking the drop coverage:
“Our guys did a good job of setting screens for him, and Jalen’s pace and his change of speed, all that stuff with the basketball, was really good. They like to play in the drop, and [Brunson] was able to come off and get a couple of pocket 3s because we had good screens. When he did that, they’d come up the floor a little bit, and he was able to get by them.”
"Tonight's over with, we have to focus on the next game."
Jalen Brunson speaks with Ashley ShahAhmadi after the Knicks' HUGE Game 1 win. pic.twitter.com/vqCKioMtyH
“I just feel like our focus has been better. Our attention to detail has been better. Honestly, I think those two are very important for us. We gotta continue to do so. Yes, it’s turned into big wins. But that attention to detail will help us in the close wins as well.”
On Mikal Bridges’ impact:
“He’s a huge factor for us and he’s been playing great. There are times throughout the season when every player has his ups and downs, but he stays mentally strong and he stays mentally focused. He comes into work and does his work and his routine and all that stuff. As long as you keep chipping away, things are going to fall in your favor.”
On not overreacting to Game 1:
“Honestly, you’ve got to take this game with a grain of salt. I don’t think we’re going to see that team that we saw in Game 1 in Game 2. They’re going to be ready to go.”
On resetting after a blowout:
“It’s only one game. We start the next game 0-0.”
On passionate Knicks and Sixers fans:
“One thing I know about Philly fans is they’re very passionate. One thing about Knicks fans is they’re very passionate as well. I think the real fans from both teams are gonna show up and support.”
“If it’s similar to what it was in the past, I’ll probably have as many catch-and-shoot opportunities as I want. I’ve got to go out there, shoot the ball with confidence. I’m a good shooter, I know I’m a good shooter. I trust my work.”
On the Knicks’ offensive growth through trial and error:
“A lot of trial and error. Seeing what works, seeing what doesn’t. We’re being unselfish. I think that’s the biggest thing. With where we’re at right now, everyone is unselfish. We’re willing to sacrifice individual numbers and stats for the betterment of the team. When we do that, we’re playing our best basketball.”
On how to deal with Philly going forward:
“We want to play a little fast, so being physical, getting stops, pushing the pace, doing those kinds of things is something we’re trying to do, and we’ve got to keep it up. We need to make sure we’re focused on Game 2 and mentally locked in… They’re definitely gonna come out aggressive.”
On the key to the Knicks’ world-beating form:
“Where we’re at right now, everyone is being unselfish. We’re willing to sacrifice individual numbers and stats for the betterment of the team. And when we do that, we’re playing our best basketball. Being unselfish, that’s the biggest thing.”
"You always want to peak later in the season. Just the process of the year, that's how it went. Now we're starting to click, hopefully continue to get better & better. We have a really talented team, threats all over the place. It's very hard to guard."
“You always want to peak later in the season, so this is the process of the year. We’re starting to click, and hopefully getting better and better. We’re a really tough team with threats all over the place. It’s very hard to guard.”
On playing to his standard:
“I think I work on my game very hard, and my teammates are finding me. I think I’m just playing the way I expect to play.”
On continuing to improve:
“There’s still room for improvement on both sides. Never be satisfied. You always want to improve.”
Karl-Anthony Towns was asked if he thinks the Knicks have saved their best basketball of the season for the playoffs:
"I would hope so. That's the hope, you hope that at this time, you're the best version of yourselves." pic.twitter.com/62zxEtsZf9
On the culmination of the never-ending regular-season tinkering:
“I think right now, we’re seeing the culmination of the trials and tribulations that we went through in the regular season.”
On quarterbacking the offense:
“I just love that I get to get my teammates involved and I get a chance to quarterback the offense and put them in positions where I feel they can succeed. They’re trusting me more with the ball right now, and I want to continue to repay their trust with the right plays and make the right decisions.”
On executing Brown’s system:
“I think we’re doing a good job of executing what we want to do and a better understanding of the new system. We’re doing a great job of cutting and bringing energy to our cuts and putting ourselves into positions where we can succeed.”
On the need for three more wins after starting on the right foot:
“We’re playing well, but it doesn’t mean anything if we can’t find a way to get three more wins.”
On hoping this is their best version of the Knicks:
“I would hope so, that’s the hope. You hope that at this time you’re the best version of ourselves. For all the guys who’ve been covering us all year, I’ve always talked about that, getting better one percent every single day. At the end, we need to be proud and happy of the result we bring in the playoffs. I think right now we’re seeing a culmination of the trials and tribulations we went through in the season to be at this point.”
On how the Knicks got here:
“For us to be executing at this level speaks to the unity our team has right now. The sacrifice being made by all of us for the greater good of the team. You see it even in a game like Game 6 in Atlanta, it was just a total team effort. I think tonight as well was a total team effort, everyone came to execute our game plan and I thought we did a great job of executing.”
This moment between Kelly Oubre & Karl-Anthony Towns. 🤣🤣
“They had it going. They were really great tonight. They’re a great team and they were really great tonight.”
On reviewing past matchups before the series:
“You look back, certainly some stuff you can take from it. You try to get as current as you can with what they’re doing in the playoffs. They had their ups and downs, finished on a huge up. You try to take anything from what Atlanta was doing, see what changes they made from game to game.”
On turnovers and playoff physicality overwhelming them in Game 1:
“It was super physical. I think they played really physical. We did get to the line some, but I thought in that same kind of run, I think we had three turnovers, and they were just kind of on-ball.”
On committing costly mistakes on Monday:
“You can’t do that in the playoffs.”
On the blowout loss feeling inevitable:
“It was too easy for them. I didn’t think we handled it great. It wasn’t any fun to be a part of. To sit and watch.”
On pulling Joel Embiid in the third quarter:
“I took him out because there was no sense in getting tireder than we were.”
On the team’s overall performance:
“It was a pretty tough night for everybody. I didn’t think we shot it particularly well, but I don’t think we generated nearly as good of shots.”
Joel Embiid was in a lot of pain after taking a hit to his midsection when setting a screen on Mikal Bridges last night.
"I guess I gotta protect it more. I don't know if it was dirty or not…Tyrese was already gone. It was after the play. It just felt like it was unnecessary." pic.twitter.com/YB9GZl5xu6
On not getting as many free throws as he thinks he should have:
“I don’t know. You got to ask Jalen Brunson (about foul baiting). I don’t think I got to the free throw [line] as much as as I wanted, but that’s not, that’s not the reason, you know, why we lost. We just gotta think defense was the biggest reason. We just weren’t connected enough, not physical enough. All the guys were just too comfortable. So, yeah. I’m only focused about what we could have done better on defensive back.”
“It doesn’t matter if we would’ve lost by one or 40 or 50. It doesn’t matter. A loss is a loss. But I think it just starts with playing harder.”
On Mikal Bridges’ ribcage-hit:
“I don’t think that [play] was necessary, (but) it’s playoff basketball. If that’s the reality of it, I guess we’ve got to go out and be physical, too, and do it, too.”
The Giants won the series opener, 3-2, versus the Padres on Monday. The three-game set continues with Logan Webb and Walker Buehler on the mound Tuesday night.
San Francisco's six game losing streak was snapped with the 3-2 win yesterday. The Giants have been outscored 29-12 over that seven game stretch. In the last week (six games), the Giants have a 3.10 ERA (8th) and a 1.17 WHIP (7th).
San Diego is now 1-5 over the last six games and have been outscored 31-14 in that six-game stretch. In the past week, the Padres are hitting an MLB-worst .176 with 27 hits.
Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.
Game details & how to watch Padres at Giants
Date: Tuesday, May 5, 2026
Time: 9:45 PM EST
Site: Oracle Park
City: San Francisco, CA
Network/Streaming: MLB TV
Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.
Odds for the Padres at the Giants
The latest odds as of Tuesday:
Moneyline: San Diego Padres (+109), San Francisco Giants (-131)
Spread: Giants +1.5 (+159), Padres +1.5 (-194)
Total: 7.5
Probable starting pitchers for Padres at Giants
Tuesday's pitching matchup (May 5): Walker Buehler vs. Logan Webb
The Giants’ Luis Arraez is hitting .316 with 42 hits and 53 total bases over 133 at-bats
The Giants’ Patrick Bailey is hitting .152 with 12 hits and 20 strikeouts over 79 at-bats
The Padres’ Xander Bogaerts is hitting .262 with 32 hits and 49 total bases over 122 at-bats
The Padres’ Jake Croneworth is hitting .144 with 14 hits and 23 strikeouts over 97 at-bats
Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!
Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Padres at Giants
The Giants are 15-20 ATS this season
The Padres are 19-15 ATS this season
The Giants are 14-18-3 to the Over this season
The Padres are 15-18-1 to the Over this season
If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Padres and the Giants
Rotoworld Bet Best Bet
Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Tuesday's game two between the Giants and the Padres:
Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Giants on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Giants at +1.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Over on the Game Total of 8.0
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
MACAU, MACAU - OCTOBER 10: Joseph Tsai reacts during NBA China Games 2025 between Phoenix Suns and Brooklyn Nets at The Venetian Macao on October 10, 2025 in Macau, Macau. (Photo by Zhizhao Wu/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Back in October when the Brooklyn Nets and Phoenix Suns traveled to Macao for the NBA China Games, there was a lot of attention paid to the return of the league to China and, for Brooklyn fans, the debut of the Flatbush 5.
Then, near the end of the celebrations, somewhat out of the spotlight, NBA China and Alibaba, the giant e-commerce and AI/Cloud software provider headed by Nets owner Joe Tsai, announced an artificial intelligence/ Cloud deal that could ultimately change the way NBA fans everywhere watch their favorite teams, perhaps the whole fan experience.
The press release was filled with a lot of corporate and tech talk but the bottom line was that China will be a proving ground for Alibaba’s AI/Cloud technology … which, if it works in China, may find its way to screens from Brooklyn to Beijing. (Simple description of AI and Cloud: AI focuses on creating smart systems that can think, learn, and solve problems; Cloud computing lets people store and access data over the internet, offering flexibility, easy scaling, and cost savings.)
NBA China will utilize Alibaba Cloud’s AI and cloud computing services to support a wide range of digital fan engagement initiatives, including the development of a proprietary AI model for NBA China based on Alibaba’s Qwen series of foundational models. The proprietary AI model, fine-tuned with the league’s range of digital assets, will provide NBA App users in China with engaging content including real-time game highlights, historical basketball data, player insights and interactive discussions on trending basketball topics.
Call it “immersive,” sure. But a better description of the Alibaba’s 360 Real Time Replay System might be “hyper-personalized.“ Fans — and players — got a taste of it at the NBA House in Macao, set up by the league and featuring a very specific Nets experience…
There was also a taste of game action on whatever screen they prefer once the NBA games are broadcast in China next season…
Fans might ask isn’t this a bit of old hat? Haven’t we seen this on national TV games or even on YES Network?Things like 360 degree views, etc. have been a staple of sports programming for more than decade. BUT the difference now is that the technology was exclusively the realm of directors sitting in front of banks of monitors in TV studios or high-tech production trucks. Now the average fan will have it all right in front of them. Welcome to the age of hyper-personalized sports viewing, fan as director.
Fans will be able to create alternate endings, rejigger game flows, take events that occur and compare them to the opposite outcome and move on. Player impact and coaching decisions will get new scrutiny What if Nic Claxton nails a put back he had missed on the court? If Egor Demin’s foot was behind the line on a three? If Nolan Traore’s alley oop doesn’t go astray” or if A.J. Dybantsa or Cam Boozer or Kingston Flemings had more experience? Did Jordi Fernandez make the right call? And all of it won’t be in some dry static recitation, but a highly produced video. The technology in general is fast advancing.
That’s why the league’s enthusiasm level for the technology is so high: more fan engagement. In February at the All-Star Game in Los Angeles, Adam Silver spoke about it at his annual press conference. Although the Q and A that day was dominated by tanking questions, the commissioner suggested that the media was missing something about AI and the fan experience. His comments, though not well publicized, were extensive.
“One area in particular that I think is worth addressing is the impact on the fan experience. And one of the things that we’re beginning to see already is how we’re going to be able to, more than personalize, almost hyper-personalize our telecasts, allowing people to experience the game in any way they want.
“Many of you have probably experimented with this already, but in essence, you’ll be able to hear the game in any dialect, any language, you’ll be able to hear a hardcore X’s and O’s commentary, maybe one that’s more comedic if that’s what you’re interested, or somebody for a novice explaining each foul and the rules as it goes along.”
Adam Silver: "There's no doubt that AI will have the same impact on sports… how we're going to be able to [hyper-personalize] our telecasts… We're about to witness probably the most significant change, certainly in my lifetime, in how sports are presented." 🏀📺🎙️ #NBApic.twitter.com/ZS6ZZjvidv
“To me, we’re about to witness probably the most significant change, certainly in my lifetime, in how sports are presented,” Silver proclaimed. “Beyond that, the hyper-personalization, if people want to shop during a game, if they want to be on social media and having an ongoing discussion about some aspect about the game, I think it’s a really exciting moment and transformation.”
So, the NBA China deal with Alibaba has become, as Silver noted, part of an under appreciated movement in the league, one of several innovative programs dealing not just with video but new way to view statistics and game flow. In other deals, the NBA is developing similar AI/Cloud technology that will change other elements of the fan experience. But in the video arena, Alibaba has the most experience, most success … and it’s been driven by Tsai.
For the past four Olympiads, summer and winter, Alibaba’s Qwen technology has been the at the center of Alibaba’s role as the official AI/Cloud provider to the International Olympic Committee, developing new tools along the way that can be used in their NBA experience.
“The Olympics is the greatest sporting stage in the world,” Tsai told NetsDaily recently. “We help the Olympic Broadcasting System build a fan experience never seen before. Whether it’s a skier’s aerial rotation or a basketball player’s contested shot, when you see an instant replay in 3D from 360 view, the fan becomes a participant in the game.
“We also brought this replay technology to the NBA China Games last October to transform the fan viewing experience, and the NBA loved it.”
“It’s been an amazing enabler,” said Sotiris Salamouris, Chief Technology Officer of the Olympic Broadcasting Services of Alibaba’s technology at the Milan/Cortina Olympics said in February. “We’re so happy to be working with Alibaba because a could provider of that size and sophistication would be able to continue scaling up.
“Cloud is about efficiency, explained Salamouris who noted that Alibaba was able to deal with some unique challenges of the 2026 Winter Games. The Olympic Broadcast System produced nearly 1,000 hours of live sports coverage and another 5,000 of interviews, features. Moreover, the 2026 Games were also the most far flung with many venues in remote locations…
“It is an exciting time at the intersection of sports and technology,” Tsai said in October at the time of the NBA China deal. “AI and cloud technologies are enablers of connection—between player and fan, brand and consumer, global vision and local culture. By collaborating with NBA China and introducing Alibaba’s latest innovations, we are here to excite NBA fans through the enablement of exceptional experiences that they’ve never seen before.”
In addition to the NBA and Olympics, Alibaba has also signed deals with the international federations governing squash and aquatics to improve their offerings. It’s become a corporate priority.
Alibaba also is working its other technologies into the sports mix. One example is the company’s Qwen Glasses, their challenger to Meta’s Ray-Ban model. They’ll be marketed China next year as well. While not specifically designed or marketed for sports, both technologies share an underlying idea: using AI to layer real-time information into a live experience. The 360 replay does this at the broadcast level; the glasses bring that same concept to the individual user.
The NBA has other innovative AI/Cloud deals, particularly with AWS, the “Official Cloud and Cloud AI Partner of the NBA and its affiliate leagues, including the WNBA, NBA G League, Basketball Africa League.” Indeed, the Alibaba contract with the NBA is limited to China but the technology could make its way to NBA screens through AWS.
press release announcing that deal back in 2025 focused more on its “basketball intelligence platform” rather than video. The combination, of course, is ideal According to the NBA, it “turns billions of data points into compelling insights and interactive experiences for fans.”
There will be new AI-powered stats that capture aspects of basketball performance that have not been measured previously – Defensive Box Score, Shot Difficulty and Gravity.
Leverage, the newest metric from NBA, aims to quantify the moments and players that have the highest impact on the game’s outcome. “While the final minutes of a close game are undeniably high-leverage situations, a player’s back-to-back 3-pointers in the early 3rd quarter may have more impact on the game’s outcome than one might think.” the league said in announcing it earlier this year.
How will it filter down to the Net fans? National TV rights holders — like Amazon — will be incorporating more and more of AI/Cloud into their coverage, and over the long-term, it’s easy to imagine fans, particularly younger fans with video game experience, embracing the technology. As Tsai said just this past week, AI/Cloud technology is different, explaining that real time usage of the technology generates new data which in turn feeds back into the model which derives even more usage.
Moreover, the technology will not be limited to fans. It will become part of the coaching, scouting and other NBA front office decisions. The Nets haven’t publicized any AI cooperation with Alibaba … if indeed any exists. When Tsai was asked if AI is a component in the Nets scouting, he brushed it off by saying that the Nets have enough human intelligence.
AI/Cloud technology is, of course, the most controversial technology of this century as worries mount about the effect on unemployment, AI data centers’ need for huge amounts of water and electricity and the possibility that it could someday, somehow challenge human intelligence. For example, AI’s efficiencies have dramatically reduced NBC Sports footprint at the Olympics where so many of the thousands of employees sent to the venues were engaged with satellite technology. That’s now the realm of Al/Cloud technology. There are other geopolitical concerns as well. Alibaba is also a key driver of China’s AI/Cloud push. Will that ultimately become an issue?
But in the meantime, it’s going to be big in NBA fans’ engagement and appreciation of the game and the man who owns the Nets and Liberty is its big advocate.