ST.
LOUIS – The
St. Louis Blues (19-24-9) and Dallas Stars (29-14-9) will meet for
the second time in what will be three matchups in a 13-day span on
Tuesday in the second game of a four-game homestand at Enterprise
Center (7 p.m.; ESPN+, HULU, ESPN 101.1-FM).
The
Blues, who played arguably one of their best games this season when
they topped the Stars 3-1 in October here, fell 3-2 at Dallas on
Friday on a goal by Jason Robertson in the final minute of
regulation.
“Just
how smart and how they understand to win hockey games,” Blues
coach Jim Montgomery said of the Stars.
‘That was a very even game, but at the end, their players went out
and they were hunting to win the game and it’s a mindset that we
want to develop.”
The
Blues, who have lost four straight (0-3-1), have been right there in
the last three games but are a season-high five games under .500 yet
somehow continue to tumble in the Western Conference standings.
The
mood remains upbeat despite the dire situation, and it’s something
that captain Brayden Schenn said is a must.
“You
can’t walk around … 82 games of being miserable and unhappy,”
Schenn
said.
“You have to find ways to keep yourself upbeat and ultimately when
you’re upbeat and you have a good attitude, guys play better and
that’s just the reality of it. You want to win hockey games, we all
know that, but you can’t show up to the rink every day and be
miserable because at the end of the day, you’ve got to be lucky and
grateful for the job that we get to do and it doesn’t last forever
and you have to enjoy the people around you and come to the rink with
a good attitude, be ready to work and ultimately strive to get wins.
“We look one at a time. We’ve had
spurts where we’ve played better. We kind of gave Dallas that last
game. We’re in games now; obviously that Edmonton one, but we’re
playing better, we’re playing harder together, but at the end of
the day, we have to find better ways to win in this league and learn
how to win and we just haven’t been able to do that.”
- - -
Pavel Buchnevich, who’s been at the
center position the past three games, has seen an uptick in his game,
and it’s not a coincidence that linemates Jordan Kyrou and Jake
Neighbours have played effectively as well.
“I think ‘Buchy’s been incredible at
center,” Montgomery said. “I think his draws have been fantastic.
He’s been able to use his vision a lot more to create time and
space. Good entries and good forechecks and I think ‘Rouzy’s been
really skating. This has been the longest stretch of ‘Rouzy’
here, I think it’s seven or eight games here, I would say he’s
had one average game and the other ones are him skating, putting
people on their heels, stripping people from behind. That goal where
he fakes and he does the wraparound, that’s the ‘Rouzy’ that
St. Louis Blues fans and us coaches and teammates love to see.”
- - -
Jonatan Berggren, who played a Blues-high
18:59 on Saturday, continues to get looks in the Blues’ top six
despite a point drought of eight games. But don’t let those numbers
fool you.
The Blues keep Berggren there because he
continues to make high-end plays that are not being rewarded, hence
why the Blues are last in the league in goal scoring at 2.42 per
game.
“(Berggren’s game is) in a place where
I think he’s getting comfortable within our structure,”
Montgomery said. ‘I think that he has games where he’s very
evident of how he’s making plays and winning 1-on-1 battles. When
he’s winning 1-on-1 battles, that’s when he’s at his best
because he has time and space. He is one of our best play makers.
He’s one of our best players at seeing the ice and making plays
through people and over people, and that’s something that we want
to give him the opportunity here like he has been consistently here
lately in a top six role to see how much be can produce.”
- - -
With Otto Stenberg being sent down to
Springfield on Monday, Montgomery’s message was simple.
“He’s had a real good stint with us,”
the coach said. “Consistently reliable, someone that is very smart
offensively and defensively, and then offensively, he needs to expand
his game. Right now, he gets a lot of opportunities. I think working
on his shot and mindset of being more aggressive getting to the blue
paint offensively is something that’s going to let him when he
comes back to be an even better Blue for us. But he’s had a really,
really good tenure with us in his first go-around in the NHL.”
-
- -
Blues
Projected Lineup:
Jonatan
Berggren-Brayden Schenn-Jimmy Snuggerud
Jake
Neighbours-Pavel Buchnevich-Jordan Kyrou
Robby
Fabbri-Dalibor Dvorsky-Mathieu Joseph
Alexey
Toropchenko-Nick Bjugstad-Nathan Walker
Philip
Broberg-Colton Parayko
Tyler
Tucker-Justin Faulk
Cam
Fowler-Logan Mailloux
Jordan
Binnington will start in goal; Joel Hofer will be the backup.
The
healthy scratch includes Matthew Kessel. Pius Suter (high ankle
sprain), Robert Thomas (lower body), Oskar Sundqvist (skate
laceration) and Dylan Holloway (high ankle sprain) are out.
-
- -
Stars
Projected Lineup:
Jason
Robertson-Roope Hintz-Mavrik Bourque
Justin
Hryckowian-Wyatt Johnston-Mikko Rantanen
Sam
Steel-Matt Duchene-Jamie Benn
Oskar
Back-Radek Faksa-Colin Blackwell
Esa
Lindell-Miro Heiskanen
Thomas
Harley-Nils Lundkvist
Kyle
Capobianco-Alexander
Petrovic
Jake
Oettinger will
start in goal; Casey
DeSmith will
be the backup.
Healthy
scratches
include Nathan
Bastian and
Adam
Erne. Tyler Seguin (ACL), Lian Bichsel (lower body), and
Ilya
Lyubushkin (lower
body) are
out.
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Back-to-back double-digit assists performances, including a 46-point, 12-assist showing in Monday’s road win over the Chicago Bulls for Doncic’s third 40-point, 10-assist game of the season.
Following a team meeting in which JJ Redick challenged Luka Doncic and LeBron James to get their teammates more involved, the results have been positive for the Los Angeles Lakers. AP
“I was just being aggressive,” Doncic said.
Doncic has downplayed Redick’s comments about his passing since being asked about them after the loss to the Clippers, though he acknowledged his responsibility to be the catalyst for ball movement as the team’s primary ball handler.
And the numbers suggest that Doncic hasn’t made a significant shift to his game since the loss to the Clippers.
But it feels likeDoncic has made a shift.
Getting off the ball a little bit earlier than usual. And with a little bit more intentionality.
And it isn’t just an observation. Rui Hachimura acknowledged the team had a meeting in which Redick told his star players that they need to pass more.
“I want to give it credit to our coaches, especially JJ. They talked to the main [ball handlers]: LeBron [James], Luka, those guys, they always have the ball. And they told them that in the team meeting that they need to be looking more for their teammates. And that’s what they’ve been doing.
Doncic #77 of the Los Angeles Lakers passes the ball during the game against the Chicago Bulls on Monday. NBAE via Getty Images
“They took it in a good way and that’s what they’ve been doing. Everybody gets touches and everybody shares a ball. It’s fun. That’s how basketball should be. We got to keep doing it.”
It’s unlikely the Lakers will become a high-frequency passing team.
It isn’t necessary for success.
Their 269.8 passes per game entering the win over the Bulls ranked No. 27 across the league.
And with Doncic, James and Austin Reaves — who’s expected to return to the lineup within the next week — having the ability to create advantages in a variety of ways, the Lakers don’t always need to pass to create the best scoring opportunity.
But there’s a benefit to the Lakers’ star players, and especially Doncic, for getting their teammates more involved via passing.
They’re more engaged offensively. They’ll play harder defenisively because they’re more engaged. And trust will build.
“When you’ve got a playmaker like that,” Jaxson Hayes said of Doncic. “Just somebody on your team who can just make any type of plays happen like that passing or shooting, obviously you just gotta give them a chance.”
Doncic has downplayed Redick’s comments about his passing since being asked about them after the loss to the Clippers. NBAE via Getty Images
And when Doncic is in a passing rhythm like he was when he made the behind-the-back pass to Gabe Vincent off a live dribble before Vincent made the swing pass to assist Rui Hachimura for a 3-pointer to put the Lakers up 89-80 in the third against the Bulls, it can be just as infectious on the team’s energy as one of Doncic’s stepback 3s.
“I’ve talked about this: he’s an engine that’s fully on, and he likes to create out there, and that’s a part of what makes him a great player,” Redick said. “Because I played with him, I have a pretty good understanding of that. Not to say it doesn’t test your patience at times, but you have to be willing to live with some of the stuff that he tries. Because more often than not, you’re going to get a great result.
“And he had some great passes. He made some amazing shots. But there’s that creative element that he needs to thrive, and you’ve got to allow that.
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Winners of eight of their last nine games, the Los Angeles Clippers (21-24) begin a quick two-game road trip with a stop in Salt Lake City to take on the Jazz (15-31).
Since December 20, Kawhi Leonard and co. are 15-3 and as a result have climbed back to within sight of a playoff berth. The story has been the Clippers’ defense which during that stretch of 18 games is allowing an average of just 106.9 points per game. As a result, they currently sit tenth in the West and thus in the final postseason play-in spot in the conference. They are six games behind Minnesota and the sixth spot. That may seem like quite the mountain to still climb but know the Clippers have gained four games in just the last ten on the Timberwolves.
While Los Angeles has outpaced its competition the past six weeks or so, the Jazz are getting lapped. Losers of their last two and six of their last seven, the Utah Jazz sit 6.5 games behind the Clippers and that final play-in spot. Lauri Markkanen is this team’s star, and he has played well when available, but the All-Star has missed roughly 33% of Utah’s games this season.
These teams have split a pair of games this season with Utah winning 129-108 at home on October 22 and the Clippers rolling to a 118-101 win in SoCal on January 1.
Lets take a closer look at the matchup and take into consideration lineups, injuries, and other factors affecting the line and total.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds courtesy of DraftKings recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game Details and How to Watch Live: Clippers at Jazz
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Game Odds: Clippers at Jazz
The latest odds as of Tuesday courtesy of DraftKings:
Moneyline: Los Angeles Clippers (-340), Utah Jazz (+270)
Spread: Clippers -8.5
Total: 233.5 points
This game opened Clippers -10.5 with the Total set at 231.5.
Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NBA schedule!
Kris Dunn (calf) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
Kawhi Leonard (knee) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
Bogdan Bogdanovic (hamstring) has been ruled OUT of tonight’s game
Derrick Jones Jr. (knee) has been ruled OUT of tonight’s gam
Utah Jazz
Lauri Markkanen (conditioning) is questionable for tonight’s game
Kevin Love (knee) is listed as probable for tonight’s game
Jusuf Nurkic (illness) is doubtful for tonight’s game
Keyonte George (maintenance) has been declared OUT for tonight’s game
Georges Niang (foot) has been declared OUT for tonight’s game
Important stats, trends and insights: Clippers at Jazz
The Jazz are 10-14 at home this season
The Clippers are 8-15 on the road this season
The Clippers are 22-23 ATS this season
The Jazz are 25-21 ATS this season
The OVER has cashed more in games involving the Jazz than for any other team in the NBA (29-17)
The OVER has cashed in 22 of the Clippers’ 45 games this season (22-23)
Kris Dunn failed to garner an assist in the Clips’ last game (126-89 win vs. Brooklyn) but had averaged 4 per game over the previous 5 games
Ivica Zubac has hit a double-double in each of his last 5 games
Rotoworld Best Bet
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NBA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s Clippers vs. Jazz game:
Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline
Spread: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Clippers -8.5
Total: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Game Total UNDER 234.5
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The Vancouver Canucks are taking a notable step ahead of the trade deadline by allowing former Edmonton Oilers forward Evander Kane to actively explore trade options with other teams.
Don't expect that to mean the Oilers will be anywhere near this.
According to reports, Kane’s agent, Dan Milstein, has been granted permission to help facilitate discussions around a potential deal. While no trade is imminent, it speaks to how badly the Canucks are trying to move this along. Both sides appear open to a change, and there was speculation the other day that Kane might be headed to the Dallas Stars, with a strange report that he followed a Dallas, Texas house and renovation company on social media.
Kane, 34, is still a recognizable name around the NHL. The ex-Oiler brings a heavy, north-south style, a willingness to play physically, and a history of contributing in high-pressure playoff situations. However, his fit in Vancouver has been inconsistent, and with the Canucks essentially falling apart this season, the pending UFA was unlikely to be retained.
Allowing Milstein to work the phones is a calculated move by Vancouver. Rather than waiting for teams to call, the Canucks can proactively gauge interest and better understand Kane’s value across the league — all while maintaining control over the process.
It is not known if Milstein has called the Oilers, but the response is likely to be a definitive no thank you. Multiple reports suggest that ship has passed and the Oilers don't have the cap space or the desire to bring him back under his current contract.
Expect The Stars, Avalanche, and Kings To Be Interested
What might be unfortunate for Edmonton is the speculation that several Western Conference contenders have already been loosely linked to Kane, including the Dallas Stars, Colorado Avalanche, and Los Angeles Kings. These are teams the Oilers could meet and would have to beat in the playoffs to get to another Stanley Cup Final.
Dallas could use Kane’s physical edge without sacrificing offense, Colorado has a history of adding veteran support around its stars, and Los Angeles feels like a team that is full of former Oilers, and one led by ex-Oilers GM Ken Holland.
Granting permission to seek a trade doesn’t guarantee a deal will happen. Salary cap logistics, Vancouver’s asking price, and fit will all factor into the final outcome. Still, the Canucks are no longer brushing aside speculation — they’re leaning into it.
Whether Kane is moved or not, or whether he'll indirectly impact the Oilers season remains to be seen.
It’s fitting that someone got dinged up in the worst loss of the season.
The Sixers released their injury report as they host the Milwaukee Bucks on the second leg of a back-to-back Tuesday. After not playing in the first leg in Charlotte, Joel Embiid and Paul George are both listed with left knee injury management. A key distinction is that Embiid is questionable where George is probable.
In the games he’s played in recently, Embiid had gotten the probable tag, so that’s worth keeping an eye on. He was favoring that leg after Ariel Hukporti inadvertently fell on him in the second half of a loss to the Knicks over the weekend. The only games Embiid has missed so far in the month of January have been resting parts of a back-to-back.
The new addition to the injury report is Quentin Grimes, listed as questionable with a right ankle sprain. This likely happened in the first quarter of the blowout loss to the Hornets Monday. Grimes was fouled shooting a three-pointer by Collin Sexton. Grimes didn’t leave the game at that point, but was definitely shaken up after landing on Sexton’s foot and rolling his ankle.
Perhaps a day off or two is something Grimes needs as well. Over his last 13 games he’s shooting 42.7% from the field and just 26.9% from three. If Grimes’ recent struggles won’t do it, perhaps missing time will open up an opportunity for Jared McCain to fight his way back into the rotation. After being out of it for six games, McCain got plenty of open run in garbage time against the Hornets to put up 16 points shooting 4-of-8 from three-point range.
For Milwaukee, they’ll be without Taurean Prince and Kevin Porter Jr., both of whom have been banged up all season. No absence looms larger though than Giannis Antetokounmpo, now missing an extended stretch due to a calf injury for the second time this season.
The Sixers should hope that their guys can go tonight, because a Giannis-less Bucks team is the perfect opportunity to bounce back from an embarrassing blowout from the night prior.
Jose Franco has been within the Cincinnati Reds farm system since way back in 2019, and in that seven-year stretch has seen plenty. After a strong 57.1 IP debut in the Dominican Summer League in 2019, he – like every one else – lost the 2020 season, and by the time 2021 rolled around he’d been brought stateside to take on A-ball batters with the Daytona Tortugas at just 19 years of age.
It didn’t go very well.
He trudged through two seasons in the Florida State League with some tough results only to then lose the entire 2023 season to Tommy John surgery. By the time he got back on the mound in 2024, though, something began to click for the then 23 year old, and he’s been on the rise up the system rankings ever since – and now finds himself on the 40-man roster.
Last year saw him pitch to a 3.11 ERA and 1.26 WHIP across 110.0 IP split between AA Chattanooga and AAA Louisville, his fastball flirting with 100 mph with great deception as he fanned over a batter an inning. While his secondary pitches are still a work in progress, it’s that heater that has him on the cusp of the big leagues, where he already looks like he’d be a solid reliever even if those secondary pitches never round into form.
If they do, though, suddenly the Reds have a 260 lb righty who can beef up their rotation options in a hurry.
Franco lands on this year’s Community Prospect Rankings in spot #11, which he rightly claimed with nearly 32% of the vote on a crowded (and talented) ballot. I’d add the photo of the voting totals here, but it somehow did not save properly before I cleared out the Google Form, so it’s lost to history unless you’re willing to simply take my word for it.
The Phoenix Suns host the Brooklyn Nets in NBA action on Tuesday night. Brooklyn's offense has been pathetic, and with Devin Booker sidelined for Phoenix, my Nets vs. Suns predictions are expecting a low-scoring game.
Here are my best free NBA picks for this clash on January 27.
Nets vs Suns prediction
Nets vs Suns best bet: Under 211 (-110)
This is a low total, but I don't think it's quite low enough. The Phoenix Suns are missing their best player, Devin Booker, who leads the team with 25.4 points and 6.2 assists per game. In five games without him this season, they have averaged just 100.4 ppg on 40.3% shooting.
They host a Brooklyn Nets squad that plays at the second-slowest pace in the NBA and ranks 26th in offensive rating.
The Nets are dead-last in the league in scoring with 107.9 ppg and will struggle to get buckets against Phoenix, who hold foes to just 107.6 ppg at home.
Nets vs Suns same-game parlay
The Suns are 14-6 at home this season, while the Nets have just two wins in their last 15 games. Even without Booker, the home side should have a half-time lead and will hang on for a victory.
Brooklyn's second-leading scorer Cam Thomas (16.2 ppg) is probable after missing Sunday's blowout loss to the Clippers with a sprained ankle. That said, Thomas has scored less than 10 points in five of his last six games and has seen a reduced role with the Nets, giving their younger players more run.
Nets vs Suns SGP
Under 211
Suns moneyline — 1H
Suns moneyline
Cam Thomas Under 12.5 points
Our "from downtown" SGP: Suns shut down Nets
Suns guard Jordan Goodwin has logged 2+ steals in 17 of his last 32 games. He'll get more playing time with Booker sidelined, which gives this leg of the parlay tons of value at +170.
Nets vs Suns SGP
Under 211
Suns moneyline — 1H
Suns moneyline
Cam Thomas Under 12.5 points
Jordan Goodwin Over 1.5 steals
Nets vs Suns odds
Spread: Nets +8.5 | Suns -8.5
Moneyline: Nets +300 | Suns -380
Over/Under: Over 211 | Under 211
Nets vs Suns betting trend to know
The Nets have cashed the Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Nets vs. Suns.
How to watch Nets vs Suns
Location
Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
Date
Tuesday, January 27, 2026
Tip-off
9:00 p.m. ET
TV
YES, KTVK
Nets vs Suns latest injuries
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Late on Sunday, the NBA unveiled the roster for its 2025-2026 Rising Stars game. Reed Sheppard, alongside several of his peers from the draft class, received an invitation, joining a mix of rookies and G League players. Sheppard will take part in a mini-tournament, going head-to-head with 20 other rookies and second-year players. NBA legends Carmelo Anthony, Tracy McGrady, and Vince Carter will oversee the team selections, while Austin Rivers will coach the G League team. Among those joining Reed from the 2024 draft class are Stephon Castle (San Antonio Spurs), Matas Buzelis (Chicago Bulls), and Alex Sarr (Washington Wizards), to name just a few.
Even before the season began, the Houston Rockets and their supporters knew Reed Sheppard needed to step up his game in his second year. The Kevin Durant trade, which saw Jalen Green, Dillon Brooks, and some future draft choices leave town, left the Rockets a bit short-handed in the backcourt, and it was obvious Sheppard’s role was about to grow. That need became even more pressing when Fred VanVleet went down with a torn ACL in September. Sheppard has more than risen to the occasion, currently averaging 13 points, 3.1 assists, and 1.4 steals per game. He’s also been on fire from beyond the arc, shooting an impressive 40.7%. He’s been a key contributor off the bench, providing several crucial performances this season, making this recognition completely deserved.
The winner of the Rising Stars tournament, scheduled for February 13, will then compete against the All-Stars on February 15. Amen Thompson took the court for the Rockets in last year’s Rising Stars game. He squared off against Alperen Sengun, his fellow Rocket, with Thompson’s squad ultimately taking the win in the San Francisco mini-tournament.
This year, Sheppard hopefully will be joined by Kevin Durant and Alperen Sengun making the main All-Star game.
Houston’s next matchup is on Wednesday, a contest against Victor Wembenyama and the San Antonio Spurs at the Toyota Center. The game is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM. As usual, keep an eye on The Dream Shake for pre- and post-game analysis.
The Montreal Canadiens host the Vegas Golden Knights in a tape-measuring matchup at the Bell Centre on Tuesday, January 27.
Vegas is coming off a 7-1 shallacking last time out, so my top NHL picks and Golden Knights vs. Canadiens predictions expect Montreal starter Jakub Dobes to be busy between the pipes tonight.
Golden Knights vs Canadiens prediction
Golden Knights vs Canadiens best bet: Jakub Dobes Over 23.5 saves (-110)
The Vegas Golden Knights were steamrolled 7-1 by the Ottawa Senators last time out, and Vegas only put 20 shots on net. After recording north of 30 shots in four of the previous five, look for the Golden Knights to approach that number again at the Bell Centre.
Montreal has allowed the ninth-fewest shots per game (26.8) while ranking 12th in Corsi For percentage at five-on-five through 13 January games, so there have been recent improvements, but the Habs will still have their hands full with the Golden Knights looking to cap off a four-game road trip with a win.
Returning to Dobes, he’s 4-0 with a .907 save percentage across his past four home starts, and I’m anticipating enough push from Vegas for him to clear this saves total tonight.
Golden Knights vs Canadiens same-game parlay
The Golden Knights have played to the Over in five of their past six, and No. 1 goalie Adin Hill sports an abysmal .827 save percentage and 4.26 GAA across his past four starts.
And, while I expect Dobes to pick up 24 or more saves, the Canadiens have also hit the Over in five of their past seven.
Montreal rookie Ivan Demidov has missed the scoresheet in consecutive games despite being on the ice for a pair of tallies and 2.09 expected goals.
He marked the scoresheet in four straight before the mini skid and ranks 23rd in points per 60 minutes (3.22) this season, so I like him to pick up a point tonight.
Golden Knights vs Canadiens SGP
Over 6.5
Jakub Dobes Over 23.5 saves
Ivan Demidov Over 0.5 points
Golden Knights vs Canadiens odds
Moneyline: Vegas -110 | Montreal -110
Puck Line: Vegas -1.5 (+200) | Montreal +1.5 (-250)
Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-110) | Under 6.5 (-110)
Golden Knights vs Canadiens trend
The Montreal Canadiens have covered the puck line in 14 of their last 20 games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Golden Knights vs. Canadiens.
How to watch Golden Knights vs Canadiens
Location
Bell Centre, Montreal, QC
Date
Tuesday, January 27, 2026
Puck drop
7:00 p.m. ET
TV
SCRIPPS, TSN2
Golden Knights vs Canadiens latest injuries
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There’s no doubt veteran Harrison Bader improves the Giants outfield defensively. He’s got the flair, the hair, and the hardware, not to mention eight years of consistently excellent defensive metrics, to back up his reputation as one of the best center fielders in the game.
Considering the 2025 Giants outfield defense ranked dead last in many meaningful categories, this is a good get and a necessary one. The signing is a rising tide that lifts all ships. Thanks to Bader’s range, left field will get smaller, penning Heliot Ramos in and allowing him to focus on being more consistent within his patch of grass. Jung Hoo Lee is a far better fielder than last season’s numbers suggest. In 2026, he’ll have a season’s worth of first-hand experience in his back pocket. He’ll know the dimensions of outfields better, be better acclimated to playing outdoors, be more assertive — but with Bader now as the meat in the outfield sandwich, Lee will take this progress, along with his natural athleticism and strong arm, and focus on right field. Considering Oracle’s tough dimensions in the corner, it’s a position that deserves a player’s full attention.
What feels more up in the air is what Bader can do with his bat. The 31-year old has been a defensive first player for his entire career. He’s a harbor seal: graceful in the water, incredibly awkward on land. A wide flat lawn is Bader’s happy place. When he gets his cherubic curls bouncing as he tracks a liner into the gap, everything is gravy. Give him a glove and he’s zero to hero — he looks like the cartoon version of Hercules too.
But swap leather for wood, and Bader’s grace goes out the window. Hitting for Bader is all 12 of Hercules’ labors, from the Nemean Lion to Cerberus, rolled into one frustrating task. He’s been a free swinger who doesn’t walk much. When he makes contact, it’s rarely hard-hit. His career 96 OPS+ has him a hair below average — and that’s after a bit of a lift from a 114 OPS+ in 2021 (103 G) and a 117 OPS+ in 2025 (146 G). In the intervening three years, Bader didn’t log an OPS above .657. Success with the club has been few and far between.
Then, after years in the wilderness, bouncing from team to team, Bader set career-highs with 146 games played and 501 plate appearances logged between the Twins and Phillies. He slashed .277/ .347/ .449, his .796 OPS, another career mark at the plate.
Some nice, productive numbers there — but there’s plenty to suggest they’re a little fluke-y. For instance, his expected stats, like .220 xBA and .374 xSLG, were not only well below his actual results and in the bottom quarter percentile compared to the rest of the league. After hitting .258 against fastballs as a Met in 2024, Bader’s average jumped to .319 against the heater — but his .252 xBA suggests there wasn’t any significant change in the quality of contact. Did he just get lucky? Was he just catching an unsustainable amount of breaks, with squirrely balls in play finding gaps and holes? Those kinds of things to happen. Bader’s .359 BABIP was the highest in his career by far and another significant jump from 2024’s .276 average.
While there’s plenty to doubt about some of Bader’s seemingly inflated offensive numbers in 2025, there are foundational differences that might give us some hope that the improvements are viable.
Bader made some important changes to how he set up at the plate. He maintained the same distance from the plate and depth in the box but closed off his stance a bit, but shortened the distance between his feet by about ten inches and closed off his stance from 16 degrees open to 12 degrees open. This tweak simplifies his lower half as he steps into his swing. Instead of having to pull his front foot back and in at pitch release, the front foot starts further back and has a much quieter move to its position when the ball leaves the pitcher’s hand.
This fundamental adjustment in how Bader sets up at the plate could lend some credibility to the offensive numbers last year. The quality of contact did improve: His 40.3% Hard-Hit rate was a career high as was his 10.2% Barrel percentage (not including 2020). The harder contact came from a much quicker swing speed, jumping from a 71.2 MPH (38th percentile) in 2024 to a 73.5 MPH (71st percentile). Statcast points out that a “fast swing” at 75 MPH or quicker is akin to hitting a ball 95 MPH or faster. Good things happen when you pass that threshold. Fast swings mean harder hit balls in play which generally translate to higher averages and more damage.
Bader started making those quality cuts at a much higher clip than ever before, going from uncorking a Fast Swing 20% of the time to doing it 37% of the time. Now he didn’t catapult himself into the upper-echelon of bat tracking gods like Kyle Schwarber or Aaron Judge, but those swing improvements did land him among a relatively high-tier. Bader’s 2025 bat tracking metrics would’ve put him comfortably in the top-3 of fast-swingers on the Giants line-up clustered right alongside Heliot Ramos and Matt Chapman.
The swing isn’t perfect by any means, but it’s got good bones. That being said, it’s hard to argue with history. Players don’t typically improve as hitters in the early-30s, or in San Francisco, and Bader will be both in his early-thirties and playing in San Francisco in 2026. So yeah, it’d be realistic to expect some sort of regression back to his mean offensively. The positive improvements and adjustments he made in 2025 aren’t cures to every ingrained bad-habit. You’d be right to point out that a fast swing still has to make contact with a baseball.
All those qualifications and realism aside — what happened last year happened. People change, and there’s the possibility that Bader is a better, not badder, batter than we thought.
Fresh off an embarrassing performance Monday in Charlotte, Tyrese Maxey and the 76ers (24-21) host the Giannis-less Milwaukee Bucks (18-26) in the City of Brotherly Love tonight.
In a game that was not even as close as the score, Philly lost 130-93 to Brandon Miller (30 points) and the Hornets yesterday afternoon. At one point in the third quarter, Charlotte led by 50. It was an “empty the bench day” for the 76ers. Jared McCain scored 16 points in 23 minutes including 4-8 from deep in a losing effort. The loss dropped Philly to just 4-6 in their last ten games. They now sit in sixth in the Eastern Conference, 2.5 games behind the Cavaliers.
Frankly, the Bucks are a rudderless ship. Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) is out for at least the next month. Many believe he has played his last game for Milwaukee and will thus be traded prior to the Deadline. If he is traded will the return be even fifty cents on the dollar? If he is not traded, can Giannis and the Bucks mount a playoff push? To date, they have been unable to do much even when he has been in the lineup as they sit three games back of the Atlanta Hawks who own the final play-in position in the East.
Philadelphia has claimed the first two games of their season series against the Bucks – both in Milwaukee - winning 123-114 in overtime on November 20 and 116-101 back on December 5.
Lets take a closer look at the matchup and take into consideration lineups, injuries, and other factors affecting the line and total.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds courtesy of DraftKings recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game Details and How to Watch Live: Bucks at 76ers
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Game Odds: Bucks at 76ers
The latest odds as of Tuesday courtesy of DraftKings:
Moneyline: Milwaukee Bucks (+360), Philadelphia 76ers (-470)
Spread: 76ers -10.5
Total: 219.5 points
This game opened 76ers -9.5 with the Total set at 221.5.
Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NBA schedule!
Expected Starting Lineups: Bucks at 76ers
Milwaukee Bucks
PG Ryan Rollins
SG AJ Green
SF Gary Harris
PF Kyle Kuzma
C Myles Turner
Philadelphia 76ers
PG Tyrese Maxey
SG VJ Edgecombe
SF Kelly Oubre Jr.
PF Paul George
C Joel Embiid
Injury Report: Bucks at 76ers
Milwaukee Bucks
Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) has been declared OUT for tonight’s game
Kevin Porter Jr. (oblique) has been declared OUT for tonight’s game
Taurean Prince (neck) has been declared OUT for tonight’s game
Philadelphia 76ers
Joel Embiid (knee) is questionable for tonight’s game
Paul George (knee) is questionable for tonight’s game
Important stats, trends and insights: Bucks at 76ers
The 76ers are just 12-13 at home this season
The Bucks are 9-14 on the road this season
The Bucks are 19-25 ATS this season
The 76ers are 25-20 ATS this season
The OVER has cashed in 23 of the 76ers’ 45 games this season (23-22)
The OVER has cashed in just 17 of the Bucks’ 44 games this season (17-27)
Tyrese Maxey scored a mere 6 points in 25 minutes yesterday’s loss in Charlotte
VJ Edgecombe is shooting 34.6% from 3-point range this month
The Bucks are averaging 111.9 points per game this season. Only Sacramento (111.0), Indiana (110.2), and Brooklyn (107.9) are scoring fewer points per game.
Rotoworld Best Bet
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Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s Bucks and 76ers’ game:
Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline
Spread: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the 76ers -10.5
Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total OVER 219.5
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There is something off about this team right now and it’s hard to know what it is. No, it is not your typical need- for-a-trade or short no-concern slump, this is much deeper than that. Recently, the Nets haven’t gone through highs and lows. It has been lows and lower lows. From getting embarrassed at MSG to getting into a tight contest with one of the best teams in the NBA in the Boston Celtics, to losing to 30 to a Los Angeles Clipper team that beat them by 59 just a year ago, something is different Time to break the chain.
Brooklyn will look to make that change tonight as they will take on the Phoenix Suns for the second time in eight days. This time, they will be in Phoenix, which is not a good sign considering the fact that the Suns are 14-6 at home. So the Nets will continue to fight their demons, this time in the desert, and hopefully come out alive. One battle after another.
Where To Watch
Check out the late night action at 9:00 p.m. ET on the YES Network and NBA League Pass, as well as streaming on the Gotham Sports App.
Injury Report
Noah Clowney will be out due to back soreness. Tyrese Martin is questionable due to left knee soreness. Two of the two ways — Tyson Etienne and Chaney Johnson — will report to Long Island. Ben Saraf is with Brooklyn as is E.J. Liddell.
Huge blow to the Suns as Devin Booker will sit out due to a right ankle injury he suffered in the Suns’ loss to the Atlanta Hawks. Jalen Green is again questionable, depending on how his hamstring feels.
The Game
Since these two teams played just a bit over a week ago, I’ll spare you the details. All you need to know is that the Suns are a well oiled machine. Thanks to our good old buddy and potential Coach of the Year candidate Jordan Ott, Phoenix has surprised many NBA fans by not only the amount of success they have accumulated, but also the amount of players who have developed immensely.
The difference with this preview is that Devin Booker won’t be one of the primary focuses of the Nets due to his injury. And even though the Suns are a well oiled machine, it’s be hard get to their destination without their engine. Without Booker, Phoenix’s offensive rating goes from 117.7 (6th in the league), to 102.1 (30th in the league). On the other end, their defensive rating goes from 113.0 (11th in the league), to 117.8 (26th in the league).
So now that we are aware of Booker’s impact, the Nets could have a shot in this one, hopefully. An official member of the NBA’s Rising Stars, Egor Demin, could see more success driven by confidence. With accolades like this on his resume, it also means that he has the right to take more shots, and not just from three. In the games against the Knicks and Celtics, Denim took four and seven shots, getting six points in both games. His aggression will be needed.
This also calls for MPJ to be more efficient. As he probably knows himself after a forgettable 3-of-11 performance against the Clippers in 22 minutes. I would like to see the rookies do their thing of course because…. I just want them to. I like when the Flatbush Five does well (Who doesn’t?)
Player To Watch: Collin Gillespie
In their last matchup, Gillespie killed the Nets. He scored 22 points on a very efficient 7-of-10 from the field, including 5-of-7 from beyond the arc. Time and time again, Gillespie continues to prove how good he is despite being overlooked in the beginning of his career. For the season, he is averaging 13.4 points while shooting 42% from the 3-point line. And with Booker out, I feel like Gillespie will have the ball in his hands way more. Do not be surprised if he goes off.
The Vault:
33 NBA scouts are in attendance to watch AJ Dybantsa take on Koa Peat & Arizona right now. pic.twitter.com/hgGS3J2o5l
As the draft gets closer and the Nets draft odds get higher expect to see more of this: large groups of scouts gathering in places like Provo, Lawrence, Chapel Hill and Durham. Last night’s BYU vs. Arizona matchup was a high level game featuring a few NBA lottery candidates. At the moment, Nets have the lottery pick with the fifth best odds of getting the overall No. 1 and three high seconds. Brooklyn fans, take your pick.
According to one league source, Brooklyn has the league’s biggest scouting corps and it recently hired Acie Law IV away from the Thunder to be scouting director, same job he held in OKC.
Now that the 2026 Top 100 Prospect lists are out, it’s time to take a look at some of the Braves prospects who could make a push to be included on the 2027 versions of the Top 100 Prospects in the game. Of course Cam Caminiti will not make this list, as he is already a consensus Top 100 prospect in the game. We also won’t include JR Ritchie, who made the Top 100 on both Baseball America and Pipeline – only missing on Keith Law’s list among the three big lists released so far.
Didier Fuentes
Fuentes is one of the two easiest choices for this list after exploding last year, going from A-ball to the big leagues in the same season. Sure, he struggled in his brief MLB stint but it was apparent that the then-20-year-old wasn’t quite ready for the show. Fuentes will be given more time to develop this year, and isn’t likely to be forced into a role he isn’t ready for again as last year’s promotion was related to injuries. It would likely take improvement with his secondary pitches for him to move into the Top 100, whether his slider or splitter. If he could turn the slider into a second plus pitch, or make his offspeed pitch into an above-average offering to join his plus fastball and above-average strike throwing ability.
Owen Murphy
The other easy pick for this list is Murphy, who looked great in his small sample size after his return from Tommy John surgery last summer. Murphy was trending towards the Top 100 in early-2024, but going down with his elbow injury stunted that progress. Now that he’s healthy and in his second year post-TJ, the Braves will better be able to turn him loose this season. Murphy has three average or above pitches along with average command, so a full and healthy season could push him up the rankings this year.
Diego Tornes
While it may seem questionable to include a player who hasn’t played above the DSL, but Tornes is the type of prospect who could force himself up the rankings. Tornes was the top international signee by the Braves last year, has received great reports from coaches, and has five tools that grade out as average or better. He will get a chance to hit his way to full-season ball, which is likely what he will need to do to rise enough for the Top 100. With Tornes it is more likely a matter of when, and not if, he makes a Top 100.
You'll want to keep an eye on Diego Tornes 👀
At just 17 years old, he has an EV of 105.4 mph and an average EV of 88.1 mph 😳
A quick look at his stat line shows Gil posted a .731 OPS with 25 doubles, a triple, and seven homers over 100 games with Augusta last year. What it doesn’t show you is the fact that he hit six homers with 10 doubles and the triple over his final 30 games there – which coincides with his return from injury in late-July. Gil has always had the hit tool and double-plus speed, but if this brief power spike can translate to this year he has only started to scratch the surface of his potential – even if Gil doesn’t homer once every six games this year, just some growth to make him a more well rounded hitter would go a long way.
Conor Essenburg
A bit of a sleeper pick here, as Essenburg was the Braves fifth round pick last year and has yet to make his pro debut. Still the reports from him from the summer and fall were promising for the former Illinois prep two-way star. As Essenburg focuses solely on hitting for the first time in his life, there is plenty of room for growth for the young slugger.
Briggs McKenzie
McKenzie wasn’t the Braves top pick in the 2025 MLB Draft, but he was the one who received the highest signing bonus. McKenzie will need to add more strength to hold his velocity deeper into games as well as gain more experience with his lightly used changeup, but he has all of the ingredients to push his way up the rankings this year or next.
Tate Southisene
As the Braves first round pick last year, Southisene is a candidate to push his way into the Top 100 for next season. I tend to think this is a bit aggressive, and that would likely be two years away for him as he needs to continue adding strength and adjusting to the pro game. Still he is a player with draft pedigree and has all five tools that are at least average.
Luke Sinnard
Another sleeper pick, Sinnard was the Braves third round pick in 2024 despite not appearing in a game that spring due to injury. His injury kept him out from June 2023 until April 2025, and while he missed some time with minor injury last year he did show why the Braves drafted him. Sinnard only threw 72.1 innings split between both levels of A-ball, though he did also make five starts in the Arizona Fall League after the season ended. Sinnard will be in his second season removed from Tommy John surgery, and the imposing 6’8” hurler has already shown he can miss bats with three of his pitches in the fastball, slider, and curve. If he can use this year to tighten his stuff and command, he is a player who could surprise from the Braves system.
“Meet the Mets, meet the Mets, step right up and greet the Mets.” As their theme song would suggest, the Mets have done a pretty good job of introducing brand new players to fans over the years. While the Amazins’ may not have an excess of World Series rings to show for their 64-year history, they boast six Rookie of the Year winners, and are one of just three franchises with at least four ROTY-winning pitchers (along with the Yankees and Dodgers). It’s been eleven years since the Mets had multiple rookies put up at least 2.0 bWAR in the same season, but that streak seems likely to end this year. Even after trading Brandon Sproat and Jett Williams to Milwaukee, the Mets enter 2026 with top prospects once again projected to get significant time in the spotlight — especially Nolan McLean, Jonah Tong, and Carson Benge. Only time will tell which of these three players might blossom into stars by the season’s end, but all three should have the opportunity to make a mark.
In light of these exciting prospects waiting in the wings, this edition of Tuesday Top Ten will take a look back at some of the most memorable rookies who have worn orange and blue. As with all editions, this ranking is completely subjective, based on a healthy mix of stats, historical significance, and personal preference. So with all that out of the way, let’s count down the greatest rookie seasons in Mets history…
HONORABLE MENTIONS
Gary Gentry (1969)
The third starter on the Miracle Mets, Gentry pitched to a respectable 3.43 ERA and earned the win in the first World Series game at Shea Stadium.
Juan Lagares (2013)
Despite holding an 80 OPS+, Juan Lagares played stellar centerfield defense and recorded 3.4 bWAR, the second-highest mark for a position player rookie in Mets history.
Noah Syndergaard (2015)
Thor’s total of 166 strikeouts ranks sixth among Mets rookies, and his mark of 26 postseason strikeouts is tied for 5th among rookies in baseball history.
Jeff McNeil (2018)
Jeff McNeil impressed in limited playing time during his first season in the majors, putting up 3.0 bWAR and recording 74 hits in just 63 games.
THE LIST
10.Steve Henderson (1977)
Steve Henderson’s rookie season began in the wake of a massacre. In the final hours of June 15, 1977, the Mets did the unthinkable, trading Tom Seaver — a Met so iconic that his nickname was simply “The Franchise” — to the Cincinnati Reds. The stunning deal would soon be dubbed “The Midnight Massacre,” and is still widely regarded as the most infamous event in Mets history. In return for Seaver, the Mets received a quartet of young players, two of whom (Dan Norman and Henderson) had yet to make their major league debuts. Norman made his debut three months after the trade. Henderson made his debut the very next day.
In just 99 games, Henderson put up 2.7 bWAR, the third-most among position players on the 1977 Mets. The left fielder hit .297/.372/.480, setting a new record for Mets rookies in each sector of that slash line (min. 300 PA) throughout the team’s 16-year history up to that point. Had he played for a full season, Henderson might have been named the N.L. Rookie of the Year, but he was ultimately voted as runner-up to the Expos’ Andre Dawson. Over the course of his twelve-year MLB career, Henderson never again put up a bWAR total as high as his rookie season’s in 1977. Over the course of his four-year Mets career, Henderson put up 9.4 total bWAR, the highest among the quartet of players the Mets acquired in the Midnight Massacre.
9. Jason Isringhausen(1995)
Better known for his time with the Cardinals (or even his short stint with the A’s), right-hander Jason Isringhausen began his professional career as a 44th-round draft pick by the Mets. As a 22-year-old rookie in 1995, Isringhausen served in the role of starting pitcher. In 93.0 IP, Isringhausen posted a 2.81 ERA (that mark was good for a 144 ERA+ back at the start of the steroid era) while winning nine of his 14 starts. Despite only debuting in mid-July, Isringhausen’s performance was enough to earn him fourth place in that season’s N.L. Rookie of the Year voting, behind Hideo Nomo, Chipper Jones, and Quilvio Veras.
When the Mets traded Isringhausen to Oakland at the deadline in 1998, he had just one career save: a three-inning performance in a blowout, 10-0 victory over Montreal. When the Mets signed Isringhausen again in 2011, he had 293 saves. On August 15, 2011 at Petco Park, the 38-year-old became just the third player to record his 300th save in a Mets uniform, joining John Franco and Billy Wagner. With exactly 300 career saves, Isringhausen currently ranks 30th on the all-time saves leaderboard — the fourth-highest placement for a homegrown Met behind Jeff Reardon, Randy Myers, and Rick Aguilera.
8. Kodai Senga(2023)
As a 30-year-old who entered the majors with eleven years of professional baseball experience in Japan, Kodai Senga’s rookie season stands out from the other entries on this list. Instead of watching a top prospect deliver on high expectations or an unknown youngster rise to stardom, Mets fans in 2023 were treated to the story of a battle-tested veteran fighting to prove himself in a new league.
During a year when things came chaotically crashing down around the Mets and their postseason aspirations, Senga was a steady presence, posting a 2.98 ERA and making 29 starts (the most on the team). In just 166.1 IP, Senga struck out 202 batters, a mark which is rarely reached anymore by major league rookies. Since 2000, only four rookies have collected 200 strikeouts: Daisuke Matsuzaka in 2007, Yu Darvish in 2012, Spencer Strider in 2022, and Senga in 2023. It’s no coincidence that three of those four players came over from Japan, giving them more high-pressure experience while also ensuring a full season of rookie eligibility (most rookies are called up from the minor leagues midseason, while Japanese players debuting in MLB are typically signed before the regular season starts). Senga did not become the seventh Met to win the N.L. Rookie of the Year Award, as that honor was unanimously bestowed upon Corbin Carroll, but Senga ran away with the runner-up position, becoming the tenth (and most recent) Met to finish first or second in ROTY voting.
7. Darryl Strawberry(1983)
A rookie season which long stood as the greatest by a Mets position player, Darryl Strawberry’s 1983 was the first sign of better things ahead for a fledgling franchise. After making his debut in early May, the 21-year-old and former first-overall pick put up a 134 OPS+ over 122 games, clubbing 26 homers and stealing 19 bases. Strawberry was the first rookie in baseball history to put up those home run and stolen base totals despite missing a month of the season, and only four other players in baseball history have matched them since: Nomar Garciaparra, Chris Young, Mike Trout, and Julio Rodríguez.
Strawberry got off to a relatively slow start. At the end of June, he was hitting .180/.245/.317, with only four homers to his name. But over the next 82 games, he hit .295/.379/.609 with 22 homers. At the time, Strawberry set new franchise rookie records in home runs and RBI, both of which would hold until a certain Polar Bear broke them in 2019. Strawberry also won the N.L. Rookie of the Year, and was the only Mets position player to achieve that accolade…until 2019.
6. Jacob deGrom(2014)
If you had told ten Mets fans on May 15, 2014 that a right-handed starting pitcher making his major league debut that week against the Yankees would go on to win Rookie of the Year, all ten fans would have bought Rafael Montero jerseys. Jacob deGrom, a 26-year-old drafted in the ninth round, was an afterthought — a quiet, lanky kid from Florida without a superhero persona or a Futures Game resume — but he impressed in his debut on both sides of the ball, firing seven one-run innings and getting a hit in his first major league at-bat (the Mets’ first hit of the game). Despite the performance, he was pinned with a hard-luck loss as the team fell 1-0 to their crosstown rivals. If that isn’t foreshadowing, I don’t know what is.
After some midseason struggles, deGrom went on a tear to close out 2014, going 9-3 with a 1.90 ERA in his final twelve starts of the season. In his penultimate start on September 15, deGrom struck out the first eight Miami Marlins he faced, at the time tying a major league record for most consecutive strikeouts to open a game. By the season’s end, deGrom had tallied 140.1 IP, posting a 2.69 ERA and recording 144 strikeouts. Five and a half months after his unassuming promotion to the majors, deGrom had been named N.L. Rookie of the Year, and had become one of the key pieces in the franchise’s plans to build an elite rotation of young fireballers.
5. Tom Seaver(1967)
Tom Seaver was terrific out of the gate. While not yet at the level of dominance he would reach in 1969, when he won the N.L. Cy Young Award (along with 25 games), Seaver made an impressive statement as a 22-year-old Rookie of the Year in 1967. In 251 IP, Seaver posted a 2.76 ERA and racked up 170 strikeouts. He also mustered a complete game in 18 of his 34 starts, marking the most for a right-handed rookie since 1948.
Seaver eventually being nicknamed “The Franchise” feels inevitable when considering that, as a rookie, he set almost every major single-season pitching record — wins, strikeouts, and complete games — up to that point in the Mets’ six-year history. By 1969, at just 24 years old, Seaver had set the Mets’ all-time record in all three categories. He still holds each of those records to this day.
4. Jon Matlack(1972)
The Mets entered 1972 with a familiar, formidable duo of Tom Seaver and Jerry Koosman sitting atop the starting rotation, but it was 22-year-old rookie Jon Matlack who might have been the team’s true ace. The lefty recorded a 2.32 ERA in 244 IP, striking out 169 batters and winning 15 games. He handily won the N.L. Rookie of the Year Award, becoming the second Met to win the award (after Tom Seaver had done so five years earlier).
Of all the phenomenal rookie seasons the Mets have had throughout their history, Matlack’s is perhaps the most overlooked — as is his career more broadly. Matlack ranks 12th all-time for bWAR as a Met, above two players (Keith Hernandez and Mike Piazza) who have their numbers retired, while he only played seven years in Queens. And as stellar as his 1972 was, Matlack’s magnum opus came in 1974, when he recorded 9.1 bWAR and seven shutouts. The only Mets pitcher with more shutouts in a single season slots in at the top spot on this list…
3. Jerry Koosman (1968)
Wait a minute, Jerry Koosman wasn’t even named the N.L. Rookie of the Year in 1968. What is he doing at third place on this list, ahead of four players who actually won the award? Even for “The Year of the Pitcher,” Koosman’s rookie season stands out as one of the best in Mets history. The 25-year-old southpaw pitched to a 2.08 ERA, the third-lowest for a rookie since integration (min. 150 IP). He totaled 178 strikeouts in 263.2 IP, firing a complete game in 17 (exactly half) of his 34 starts and racking up seven shutouts, marking the second-most for a rookie since integration behind Fernando Valenzuela’s eight in 1981. He also compiled a whopping 19 wins, a mark which only two rookies (Mark Fidrych in 1976 and Tom Browning in 1985) have reached since then.
Koosman’s numbers surely would have been enough to earn him Rookie of the Year honors, but the lefty — often overshadowed on his own team by ace Tom Seaver — was characteristically relegated to No. 2 status by future Hall of Famer Johnny Bench, who won the award by a single vote.
2. Pete Alonso(2019)
Pete Alonso’s inaugural season comes with the most punchy accomplishment on this list: he hit more home runs than any other rookie in baseball history. No addendums. No specific timeframe. No qualifying splits. He hit 53 home runs, and that’s the most by a rookie in the 157-year history of the major leagues. It almost feels trivial to add, but Alonso also obliterated the Mets’ record books, setting the rookie mark for RBI by mid-July and the single-season mark for homers before the end of August.
On top of all that, he won the Home Run Derby, invented a new slogan in “LFGM,” and instantly propelled himself to face-of-the-franchise status in the wake of David Wright’s retirement. For a player who was openly disappointed that he didn’t get a call to The Show during the prior season, Alonso proved he belonged in every possible sense. It’s also worth noting that without the gutsy decision of another “rookie” — first-time General Manager Brodie Van Wagenen — to sacrifice a year of team control in order to have Alonso on the team’s Opening Day roster, the Polar Bear might not have set his famous single-season records (not to mention his eventual franchise home run record).
1. Dwight Gooden(1984)
Arguably the most electric start to a pitching career in major league baseball history, Dwight Gooden’s emergence was the type of fantasy you dream up when throwing baseballs in your backyard, or beginning a new create-a-player mode in a video game. In 218 IP, Gooden struck out 276 batters, setting a record which still holds for the most strikeouts by a rookie in the modern era, as well as a record which has since been broken for highest K/9 (11.8) put up by a rookie. Gooden reached a new gear as the season came down the home stretch; over his final nine starts, he went 8-1, struck out 105 batters while only walking 13, and pitched to a 1.07 ERA and 0.74 WHIP. Gooden also dazzled on the national stage by striking out the side at the 1984 All-Star Game, earning him one of the top entries on another Amazin’ Avenue ranking.
While Gooden’s dominance reached its peak during his sophomore season in 1985, his rookie season in 1984 was more than enough to spark a city-wide sensation. His starts were must-watch events, drawing energized crowds which Shea Stadium wasn’t used to seeing after seven straight years of losing baseball. While I wasn’t alive to watch Gooden pitch, the stats speak for themselves, and the stories—well, the stories still seem to speak from every corner of Citi Field today, including the literal “K Korner,” which endures in scoreboard form in left field. Oh, and as if that level of on-field excellence and off-field phenomenon weren’t enough to cement this season’s legacy, Gooden was only 19 years old. That’s two years younger than any other player on this list. Doc’s 1984 comes out on top in a crowded field of impressive Mets rookie seasons, and it would take quite a campaign to strip him of that title. Though as Mets fans are known to say, “Ya Gotta Believe,” and nothing is impossible…(We’re looking at you, Nolan McLean.)
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After 13 consecutive years of making the postseason, a run that included six American League pennants and four World Series titles, 2008 marked the first season in some time that the Yankees failed to play for keeps in October. It was still an 89-win campaign, but given their historic run, it was a disappointing way to end their tenure in that iteration of Yankee Stadium.
2009 was a new chapter for a the franchise, with a fancy new stadium to call home. Clearly, they had intentions of making some noise that year, and began that process with a historically active offseason. Many of their important moves will be covered in this series, but the first free agent domino to fall, which helped fuel the Yankees to their 27th World Series win, was veteran pitcher A.J. Burnett.
A.J. Burnett Signing Date: December 13, 2008 Contract: Five years, $82.5 million
Allan James Burnett, born and raised in Little Rock, Arkansas, was drafted by the Mets in the 8th round of the 1995 draft. Prior to breaking into the big leagues, the 6-foot-4 right-hander was sent off to the Marlins, in exchange primarily for Al Leiter. A season later, Burnett would be making his Major League debut for Florida.
This began a seven-season run with the Marlins, which was largely successful for Burnett and his club. His time in South Florida was not without his highlights — in May of 2001, Burnett tossed a no-hitter against the Padres, and later that season made blooper reels with a warm-up pitch that “accidentally” hit a promotional pickup truck driving behind the plate.
The following season featured some of Burnett’s finest work on the mound, as he managed a 3.30 ERA in over 200 innings of work, while topping 200 strikeouts for the first time in his career. He missed most of the ‘03 season after undergoing Tommy John Surgery, and had to watch from the dugout as his squad went on to beat the Yankees in the World Series that year. He would return, however, posting two more solid seasons with the Fish, throwing as hard as ever post-procedure.
Burnett would test free agency for the first time following the 2005 season, and landed in Toronto, where he would continue his solid work as a hard-throwing strikeout-heavy big league starter. In 2008, the righty pitched a career-high 221.1 innings and was the AL’s premier strikeout artist, amassing 231 of them. For the 31-year-old, it was among the ideal ways to enter free agency once again.
Burnett’s strong performance in Toronto, his free agency (via opt out), and the aforementioned Yankee desire to build a contender after a disappointing ‘08 season seemed to make for a good match. Hank Steinbrenner had made the Yankees’ interest in the veteran righty clear, and the club unsurprisingly inked Burnett to a five-year deal worth over $80 million.
A.J. Burnett’s time in New York started out quite well. Across 33 starts in 2009, he topped 200 innings once again, and despite a league-leading 97 walks, the hard-throwing righty racked up just shy of 200 Ks, and managed a respectable 4.04 ERA (114 ERA+). In terms of bWAR, it was actually Burnett’s most valuable season in the Majors – not a bad way to ring in the new contract.
On top of the solid regular season, Burnett made his mark in the Yankees’ successful postseason run as well. He started five games in the playoffs, including two in each of the Championship Series against the Angels, and the World Series against the Phillies. This stretch was highlighted by his performance in Game 2 of the Fall Classic, when he pitched seven innings, allowing just one run on four hits, while striking out nine Phillies to help New York quickly even the series in wake of a bumpy Game 1.
He wasn’t the Yankees premier starter that year, as they had signed CC Sabathia later in the offseason to fill that role, but Burnett, along with Sabathia and Andy Pettitte, formed a more-than-suitable front of the rotation — one that was clearly good enough to help win them a ring.
Unfortunately, the ‘09 season would be the best of Burnett in pinstripes, as he struggled to maintain nearly the same level of success over the following seasons. He continued to go out there every fifth day, making 33 and 32 starts respectively, between 2010-11, but with much diminished performance. In 2010, over 186.2 innings, the righty sported a much less palatable 5.26 ERA (82 ERA+), with a lower strikeout rate that he hadn’t seen since his early days as a starter. He struggled in the postseason too, allowing five runs in his lone start that October.
In his age-34 season, 2011, both he and the Yankees likely hoped for a rebound on the mound. Unfortunately, the story was much the same for the veteran. His 83 ERA+ marked little improvement, as more concerns started to pile up, as he also allowed a career-high 31 home runs in his third season with the Yankees. Burnett had become more inconsistent than anything following 2009, and despite still having good stuff on the mound, the Yankees appeared to have had enough after a second straight disappointment in 2011. He at least had enough to conjure up one last bit of playoff magic in the much-memed “I Believe in A.J.” start, Game 4 of the ALDS when the Yankees’ backs were up against the wall. Burnett was the benefactor of greatdefense in center from Curtis Granderson, but he still tossed 5.2 innings of one-run ball for the win. (The Yankees were eliminated the next day.)
After shopping Burnett’s services, the Yanks eventually struck a deal with the Pirates, sending the veteran starter to Pittsburgh for the final two years of his contract. The Yankees would eat more than half of the remaining money owed to him.
Burnett would pitch the next two seasons as a member of the Pirates (and eventually finish there), and despite beginning the 2012 season with a freak injury, would play some of his best baseball as well. Between 2012-13, in nearly 400 innings of work, Burnett posted a 3.41 ERA and impressive 3.17 FIP, figures he hadn’t touched since his days with the Marlins. On top of that, the 2013 season saw him remarkably post a career-best 26.1 percent strikeout rate at the age of 36.
Burnett made a brief and unsuccessful detour to the Phillies for the 2014 season, before returning to Pittsburgh to even more success. In 2015, his final season, Burnett posted a career-low ERA, walked fewer batters than he had in a decade, and for the first time, at 38-years-old, made an All-Star team.
Although his time in New York was shorter than what he or the organization envisioned when he signed his five-year deal, it would be hard to call his contract a failure. His success was mostly contained to just one season, but when that one season is spent as a critical part of a championship team, other warts can reasonably be overlooked.
His time in pinstripes was brief, in the span of a 17-year career in the Major Leagues, a very good one at that, but A.J. Burnett did his part when it mattered for the Yankees, making his signing all the more significant.
See more of the “50 Most Notable Yankees Free Agent Signings in 50 Years” series here.