Inside the Suns: Way too early predictions, limiting starter minutes, deep bench players

Welcome to Inside the Suns, a deep down analysis of the current Phoenix Suns team in which the Fantable – a round table of Bright Siders – give their takes on the Suns’ latest issues and news.

Fantable Questions of the Week

Q1: ESPN recently predicted the Suns to finish 8th in the West this season. What’s your opinion/prediction?

zenzino: I’m not mad. As we learned from previous seasons: expectations are the killer of joy. I think they can certainly do better, though.

As I said in a previous comment, there is a crazy logjam in the middle of the Western Conference and the Suns should be at least in the middle of it this time. Let’s look at who was above the Suns and who was below last season.

The Thunder and Spurs are comfortable at the top and not part of the logjam. The Rockets got better with FVV returning and adding Marcus Smart. I expect them to be following closely behind the top two and out of the reach of the Suns.

The three other teams above the Suns:

Nuggets: Bad offseason. They gave up defense and depth. They are the most vulnerable. If Jokic doesn’t play at least 65-70 games, they could fall the hardest. Gordon’s declining durability is also a concern.

Lakers: Mixed bag. They won some and lost some. Luka finally has the center he wanted. This is a ‘wait-and-see’ team for me. It would be stupid to discount any team with Luka on it.

T-Wolves: Interesting offseason, to say the least. Adding Kuminga definitely helps them in the scoring department. If he and LaMelo can stay healthy (a big if), they will be an exciting team on the offensive side. Defense is iffy.

Threats from rising teams:

Naw. The Jazz are a year away from being a couple of years away. Who knows what the hell the Grizzlies, Pelicans, and Kings are doing. They’ll be fighting to just not be the worst.

That leaves just three more:

Dallas: Kyrie coming back paired with Flagg will make for some watchable highlights. As good as Flagg will be, he’s still a year or two from being able to carry a team, which is what he’d have to do for the Mavs to be in the playoff hunt.

Warriors: Pretty sure they’re the oldest team in the NBA. Still… Steph can carry a team when healthy. Jimmy Buckets coming back mid-season(ish) gives them a wildcard to be a threat in the play-in. Health is critical.

Blazers: More than a threat last season, they knocked the Suns off the 7th seed. This season, not so much. The Shaedon Sharpe injury hurts them. Their new owner also hurts them. I think even with Dame coming back and Ja in the mix, they take a step back this season (how many guards do they have?).

In conclusion, I think the Suns are a bigger threat to 3 of the teams than finished above them than any of the teams that finished below them are to the Suns.

If Bridges gels and they stay relatively healthy, I can definitely see the Suns finishing as the 4th or 5th seed. How awesome would that be?

Ashton: Ah, we finally get to a question that I wanted to predict a few weeks ago. Great leadoff question. Let’s start with this: if ESPN knew what the hell it was talking about in predictions, they would not have employed Stephen A. Smith. Seriously, I want to join a fantasy pool of CBB bracket pool with this guy to take his money. Which leads me to my next point: I decided to dust off my long dormant DraftKings account just to see what the Vegas side is saying these days. The sacrifices I make for you, the viewers, and no, I didn’t place a bet. I am just there for their numbers and the fact that I can’t seem to place my remaining .12-cent bet on ping pong.

Vegas states that the Suns have the third-highest odds to win the Pacific Division, but there is a local site poll on that. That is after the Lakers and GSW, with the Suns ringing in at third highest at +310. This is important. It is your perspective if the Lakers or GSW are being a little too overhyped.

Now for the Western Conference, Vegas (DK) has the Suns with the ninth best odds to win it all at +7000. Above Portland and Houston and certainly above the Lakers. My final analysis is that the preseason analysts do not know what they are talking about, and the same with Vegas analysts. I have always suspected that national analysts base their writings on Vegas odds to not appear that they have no spine, in which case, ESPN actually defied Vegas, barely. Still, a cooperation between the two suggests that AI is the source.

So, look, I am just a blog commentator, but BS (Sorry Johnny CYA’s son, have your Dad explain BS to you, and do not go bull or cow-tipping or with your friends as you get older).

The Suns will not finish eighth (or ninth) in the league with all the turbulence in Portland and LA ownership issues. I literally expect to turn on HGTV and see a show called “Franchise Flipping in LA and Portland hates their owner who may just move the franchise if he doesn’t get what he wants. Vegas anyone? Add in the Jazz infatuation with acquiring picks while not really developing talent, Sacramento’s. New Orleans and Memphis general ineptness, eighth in the Western is a bridge too far for me. Great, sad movie but not for the Suns. Let’s just say sixth in the West

Oh, yeah, take the over that the Suns win 40 games or more. Don’t bet the house on it and try not to overreach but this is a 40-win range team.

OldAz: Here was a time when ESPN was the undisputed “worldwide leader in sports” with anchors and personalities that actually loved, lived, and most importantly watched all the games.  Now they are closer to the Sports world’s TMZ mixed with the advertising arm of whichever leagues and teams are paying the bills (sorry SEC football fans, you know it’s true).

To paraphrase a quote from the great football movie “Varsity Blues”: That ESPN (Moxon) ain’t with the Charmin extra soft he wipes his butt with. That being said, this prediction could be perfectly accurate considering it’s right about where they finished last season and the separation between 4th and 10th stayed close all season.

This fits with ESPN’s level of analysis, which is to start where the teams ended last season and then adjust up or down based on how many clicks or views their hot take might get.   Might as well search X for videos of the dog bouncing basketballs into labeled wastebaskets for your predictions if you ask me.

My prediction is that they will be better this season, but will still be fighting for the 5-8 seeds most of the season considering how competitive the West always seems to be. (Note: my opinion should not be used for betting purposes as it probably has the same value described in the above movie quote).

Rod: I’ve really gotten to the point where the only reason I go to ESPN’s site is for box scores and/or game schedules. Their opinions/predictions don’t mean much to me but, in this case, I’d say that they have the Suns at the lower end of my own personal projection range. After granting that OKC and San Antonio will be the top two teams in the West in 2026-27, I’d say that the Suns could wind up finishing the season anywhere between 2nd and 8th in the West.

I admit that 3rd-5th is a bit of a stretch, but a lot of the other teams I believe could fall into that range have question marks about them that might turn out badly and/or they could find themselves bitten by the injury bug that seemed to chew away at the Suns more last season. And if that bug stays mostly away from the Suns this year…well, that’s just another plus for Phoenix.

Right now, I’m cautiously predicting the Suns to end up 5th or 6th in the West.

Q2: Last season, for the 1st time since 2017-18, the Suns only had 2 starters averaging more than 30 minutes per game.  This team finished with 24 more wins since that one.  With their current depth, do you think limiting the starters’ minutes this season will be important?

zenzino: Yes. But not for the sake of limiting minutes.

In 21-23, more than 2 starters averaged over 30 minutes, and that worked out pretty well. That being said, starters playing fewer minutes means more gas in the tank come playoffs (see Knicks 24-25 vs 25-26).

Since ‘the trade’, more starters had to average more minutes because they were the only ones who could be relied on. That’s what happens when you fill your roster with NBA minimum players.

I don’t think Ott should ‘limit minutes’ as much as use the depth on the roster. The result will be the same, but it’s a different mindset. Mindset matters. If more starters average over 30 minutes, that means something has gone wrong with the roster or with the coaching. And I’m not worried about Ott at all. He’s a student of the game, and I expect him to have progressed as a HC as well.

This Suns team is deep. It would be a waste if they didn’t use that depth. I expect the starters to get more runtime for the first part the season to see what the fit is like with Bridges and Green with the rest of the starters. Then we’ll see more of the depth being used in the middle of the season. Then the rotation will tighten up at the end and into the playoffs. Like an upside-down bell curve.

Ashton: Oh, you betcha! I was so tired of the injury minutes or articles related to a player’s performance based on nagging injuries that they were going to play through. Or the BS reports on players’ health. Oh, such and such will be back in two weeks and the like. It was like reading a political script; do not trust it. To me, limiting starter minutes is the way to keep them healthy, and if it limits their chance of being an All-Star and receiving their accolades for further contract reimbursement or their trade value, then it is the right thing to do. Most players want to play past their expiration date, and the Suns should embrace limiting the minutes.

Do Suns fans get the screw on buying tickets to see their favorite player sit? Yup, absolutely. And Silver clearly does not like it with his anti-tanking rules, but hey, pare down the game schedule, and we wouldn’t be talking about rest management or if a player qualifies for an NBA award. This is a mess from the NBA commissioner, the CBA, ownership, and big money from the Networks. The reality is that players need time to recover.

OldAz: I loved that Ott limited the starters’ minutes last season and seemed to make that a concerted effort right up until the last month or so of the season.  Comparing those teams’ records is more correlation than causation, however, because the 17-18 roster was built to earn the #1 pick after enduring years of McDoofus’ mismanaging the draft. Last season’s team had far more NBA-level talent, and Ott instilled a culture of effort and intensity to match.

The limiting of starters’ minutes, I believe, was strategic in saving the starters in case a late-season or even postseason run was possible.  Unfortunately, I don’t think Ott went far enough because he should have limited Williams even more, or more precisely, made sure that another big was on the floor more often with Williams to keep him from being overextended and taking on too much on the defensive end.  Hopefully this year’s roster is better constructed to provide for both of those issues by splitting the center minutes amongst 3 and having a little more length alongside whatever center is on the floor.

Rod: There undoubtedly will be games where many of the starters will have to play excessive minutes, but I do believe that they won’t need to do that often. The fact is that the Suns don’t actually have enough top-end talent in their starting 5 to make it a necessity to play them for a great deal of minutes, so wearing them out, which having so many quality players on the bench would be counterproductive.

The Suns will have a number of players on their bench that could be starting for other teams, so they should utilize that depth to its fullest…and not just to keep the starting 5 rested. With the depth they have, keeping the starters’ minutes down doesn’t have to be something Ott needs to be overly concerned with. His most pressing problem will be giving enough minutes to deserving players outside of the starters.

Q3: If Jordan Ott runs a 10-man player rotation, who (other than the two-way contract players) do you think will start off on the bench, getting DNP-CDs, early in the season?

zenzino: Again, I’m tempted to reject the premise. This ties into the previous question of using the depth. I don’t see Ott running a 10-man rotation. Especially since MW is going to be on injury management and will probably only start 50ish games. Oso will start games MW is unavailable in the beginning, and maybe Man Man takes that over later in the season. They also may limit Mark’s minutes on a per-game basis, so both Oso and Man Man could share extended backup duties.

Starters: Book, Green, Brooks, Bridges, MW/Oso

1st off the bench: CG, Goodie, Sheer, Oso/Man Man, Kennard

That leaves Dunn, Peat, Highsmith, and Bouyea fighting for minutes. Peat is the only one I see that will get consistent DNPs. The rest of the guys will get popped in depending on situation. It might only be 3-5 minutes. Need quicker defense? Dunn gets a few minutes. Need reliable 3-and-D? Highsmith. Need some energy and quick scoring? Bouyea’s got it. Of course, injuries will jumble all of that up.

Yeah… I definitely don’t see a 10-man rotation happening.

Ashton: I still can’t help but laugh at the phrasing of this question. Rod hired a lawyer to write it.

Okay, we (Fantable) can’t answer the two-ways as starting off the bench. And we have no idea what the DNP-CDs will be, which means you read Question 2 and followed the flow of where this ends up.

The DNP-CD’ers are the main question as well as the “I “ word, injuries. I see that mainly in the center position, but with the guards highly circumspect to get the backup start.

I think this question is answered easily by Oso Ighadoro getting the start in favor of Mark Williams (rest management or injured) for the DNP-CD category.

OldAz: What a great question, except I think it might be based on a flawed premise.  Through much of the year last season Ott was perfectly comfortable playing 12 or 13 or even 14 players in many games through much of the season. It was only very late in the season when he pulled it way back to an eight-man rotation and the massive shift in playing time philosophy became an obvious topic of discussion. However, for the sake of the column, let’s play out this hypothetical.

You have six “locks,” assuming everyone is healthy in Booker, Green, Brooks, Bridges, Williams, and Gillespie. This is already far more balanced than the top six players on last year’s roster, but it only leaves 4 spots to play with in this 10-man rotation.  One of those four, and only one in my opinion if we are limiting it to a 10-man rotation, will be a center. That competition between Oso, whom Ott obviously loves and trusts, and Maluach, who could be better in every single way (except passing) by the end of training camp, will be fascinating. Personally, I would give the edge to Maluach, but this hypothetical still has Jordan Ott making the decision, so this one is a toss-up.  Either way, there’s no room in a 10-minute rotation for three centers.

The next two spots go to Fleming and Goodwin based on Ott’s focus on defensive intensity, which leaves Highsmith and Kennard fighting it out for the final spot. Both are similar height and length, but Kennard brings shooting and no defense, while Highsmith is far more balanced.  Personally, I would go with Highsmith. I just hope Ott doesn’t go with both Kennard and Highsmith in this scenario along with Oso, and bury the 2 sophomore players on the bench.

Ultimately, I think it is far more likely that Ott starts the season off playing a lot of players and limiting his starters’ minutes as discussed in question #2.

Rod: I really can’t see how Ott could get this roster down to a 10-man rotation. There are just too many players that could be useful off the bench (especially in certain circumstances) to do so and if he decides to actually keep the starters’ minutes low like last season, I believe he’ll have to go more than 10-deep to do it. Maybe a better question would be “which players are likely to be 11th through 15th on the Suns’ depth chart’ at the beginning of the season. That is a little bit easier to answer…but just a little bit.

Out of all the non-two-way contract players, the only two I can really consider as out of a 10-man rotation are Bouyea and Peat…and Peat is there simply because he’s a rookie. Then there’s Dunn and Highsmith. One of them would be out of that rotation, but it’s way too early to say for sure which one. I’d need to see them both play in preseason before making that decision. And Goodie complicates that decision as I don’t know what position he’s going to get his minutes at. If he’s getting most of them at SF, then both of them could be out of a 10-man rotation. If he’s getting most of his minutes at SG, where does Kennard get his minutes? As for the center rotation, Williams is the best bet to be starting, but without getting a look at Oso and Khaman in preseason game…you might as well just flip a coin.

I simply can’t see Ott even trying to play in just a 10-man rotation. I honestly think that the only situation in which a 10-man rotation would make sense would be if the Suns go into a game already down several players due to injuries.

As always, many thanks to our Fantable members for all their extra effort this week!


Suns History/Trivia

On September 3, 1968, the Phoenix Suns opened their first-ever training camp, running mainly conditioning drills at Brophy Prep with camp at the high school lasting for one week. Phoenix also lost another coin flip with the Milwaukee Bucks on this day for the right to first to make a player claim off waivers.

On September 3, 1994, the Suns signed Danny Manning as an unrestricted free agent. A 2-time All-Star, Manning signed a 1-yr, $1 million contract with Phoenix (all their cap situation would allow afford at the time) after making $ 3.5 million the previous year and turning down a 5-year, $35 million contract from Atlanta.

The year before, Manning had made the rare choice of accepting his qualifying offer rather than signing an extension with his previous team (the LA Clippers) and becoming an unrestricted free agent for the 1994/95 season. When questioned about Manning’s decision to sign with the Suns for much less money, his agent replied, “It is not about money. It never has been and never will be with Danny. It is about winning.”

Unfortunately, Manning would tear his ACL during a practice on Feb. 6 and miss the remainder of the season after averaging 17.9 points, 6.0 rebounds, and 3.3 assists in 32.8 minutes per night. Up to that point, the Suns were 36-10 and on top of the Western Conference. They were 29-13 for the rest of the season (59-23 overall) and lost 4-3 in the WC semi-finals to the Houston Rockets.

On September 3, 2013, after arranging a buyout, the Suns waived Michael Beasley only one year after signing him to a 3-year, $18 mil contract. This is probably the most underrated (or perhaps just forgotten) move that former GM Ryan McDonough made during his time with the Suns. Beasley was originally signed to his contract by McDonough’s predecessor, Lance Blanks.


Important Future Dates

Sept. 28 – Media Day
Sept. 29 – Training Camp opens
Oct. 5 – Suns @ Pistons (preseason) 4:00 PM
Oct. 7 – Suns @ Bulls (preseason) 5:00 PM
Oct. 10 – Suns vs. Spurs (preseason) 7:00 PM
Oct. 14 – Suns @ Spurs (preseason) 5:00 PM
Oct. 16 – Suns vs. Jazz (preseason) 7:00 PM
Oct. 20 – 2026-27 NBA Season Begins
Dec. 15 – Most players signed to new contracts can be traded
Jan. 5 – 10-day contracts may now be signed
Jan. 10 – All NBA contracts are guaranteed for the remainder of the season
Jan. 15 – All players signed to new contracts can be traded
Feb. 11 – Trade Deadline
Feb. 19-21 – NBA All-Star 2027

Hector Rodriguez back at leadoff as Reds look to take series from Cubs

SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA - AUGUST 26: Héctor Rodríguez #43 of the Cincinnati Reds round the bases after he hit a home run against the San Francisco Giants in the third inning at Oracle Park on August 26, 2026 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Cincinnati Reds smashed and bashed their way past the Chicago Cubs during Friday’s series opener in Wrigley, taking home an impressive 10-8 victory that may or may not have included them nearly giving the game away late.

Tyler Stephenson smashed a huge 3-run homer. Sal Stewart, Jose Trevino, and even TJ Friedl homered, too, and youngster Hector Rodriguez chipped in with another multi-hit game (with a walk).

Hector, in particular, was a player that stood out. After smashing a pair of homers in the series finale against the San Francisco Giants earlier in the week while batting leadoff, he was dropped to the #9 hole on Friday due to the start of a southpaw by the Cubs. Undeterred, he smashed an RBI-single off lefty David Peterson in the Top of the 4th and finished the game 2 for 3 with a walk, ribbie, and pair of runs scored.

Hector’s on a heater, and manager Terry Francona knows it.

The Reds rookie outfielder is back in the leadoff spot for Saturday’s matinee against the Cubs, playing RF behind starter Andrew Abbott as Cincinnati looks to take the series off their NL Central rivals.

First pitch is set for 2:20 PM ET once again, and here’s how the Reds will line up to start:

Minor league update for 8/28/26

ZHANGJIAJIE, CHINA - JUNE 5: A view looking of sharp stalactites hanging from a textured ceiling above a field of multicolored illuminated stalagmites inside the world-famous Huanglong Cave (Yellow Dragon Cave) system in Zhangjiajie, Hunan Province, China, on June 5, 2026. Huanglong Cave is a part of a UNESCO World Heritage Site located within the Wulingyuan Scenic and Historic Interest Area, known as the "All-Around Champion Karst Cave in the World" because it contains almost every single type of karst formation known to science, including stalactites, stalagmites, stone pillars, stone curtains, underground rivers, and waterfalls, all packed into one massive system. (Photo by Artur Widak/NurPhoto via Getty Images) | NurPhoto via Getty Images

Hickory played a pair.

In Game One, Hickory starter Evan Siary allowed five runs in 5.1 IP, including a pair of home runs, walking one and striking out four.

Dewar Tovar was 4 for 4 with a double and a pair of homers. Kaden Carpenter was 2 for 3 with a double, a walk and a stolen base. Yolfran Castillo had a hit. Paulino Santana had a pair of walks and a stolen base.

In Game Two, Moises Morales struck out six and walked one in six innings, allowing one run. Michael Trausch threw a scoreless inning, striking out two and walking two.

Yolfran Castillo was 2 for 4 with a double and a homer. Paulino Santana homered and stole a base. Kaden Carpenter tripled and walked. Marco Argudin had a hit. Daniel Flames was 2 for 4 with a double. Noah Franklin had a double and a walk. Sebastian Baquera and Curley Martha each had a hit.

Hickory Game One box score

Hickory Game Two box score

For Hub City, J’Briell Easley walked two and struck out one in two scoreless innings.

Paxton Kling had a hit, two walks and a stolen base. Maxton Martin was 2 for 4 with a double. Eduardo Mejia had a hit and a walk. Evan Morrison had a hit.

Hub City box score

Bryan Magdaleno started for Frisco, going one inning, walking three, balking twice, hitting a batter, striking out one and allowing two runs. Wilian Bormie struck out one in a scoreless inning. Brock Porter allowed three runs, including a home run, in three innings, striking out five and walking two. Joey Danielson threw three shutout innings, striking out two.

Sebastian Walcott doubled and homered. Malcolm Moore doubled. Rafe Perich had a hit and a walk. Dylan Dreiling doubled.

Frisco box score

For Round Rock, Alexis Diaz walked three and struck out one in a scoreless inning. Josh Sborz allowed a run in an inning of work.

Cam Cauley homered and walked. Alejandro Osuna and Aaron Zavala each had a hit.

Round Rock box score

Tarik Skubal shed tears, pitching in Detroit for 1st time since Tigers traded him to Dodgers

DETROIT — Tarik Skubal shed some tears, walking on a field that used to be his home turf as the team that traded him away paid tribute to the two-time Cy Young Award winner with a video montage before the first pitch.

“Luckily enough, I was able to make it to the tunnel before more happened,” Skubal said after allowing one run over six innings to help the Los Angeles Dodgers beat the Detroit Tigers 2-1 on Friday night. “It’s tough. This is the place I’ve known my entire career since 2018.

“It’s special.”

Skubal was welcomed with cheers and a smattering of boos in his return to Detroit, pitching for the first time against the middling franchise that traded him to the two-time defending World Series champions.

When the visitors’ lineup and Skubal were shown on the videoboard and his name was announced before the first pitch, most of the crowd at Comerica Park clapped for him while some jeered.

The Tigers showed highlights from his seven-season career with the team and posted a message at the end: Thank you, Tarik.

Skubal turned his head to the right a few times to watch the video as he walked from the bullpen beyond the left-field wall and toward the Dodgers’ dugout with a white towel draped around his neck, which he used to wipe away sweat and tears.

He extended his right arm, holding his glove, toward his former teammates and used his left hand to pat his chest.

After the game, Skubal returned to the field to catch up with some of his former teammates.

Skubal did not appear to react to, or acknowledge, the fans before or during the game and didn’t get a chance to do so as he exited the game because a pitching change was made after the sixth inning in a 1-all game. He struck out seven over six innings with 83 pitches, the fewest since he threw 74 in the season-opening game in March.

Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said the plan was to limit Skubal’s pitches after he threw 106 and 109 in his previous two starts.

In a crowd that had mixed emotions about Skubal’s return, a couple young fans had fitting outfits sporting white Tigers jerseys with 29 and Skubal on the back — and a blue Dodgers hat.

When the left-hander jogged to the mound to pitch for the first time as a visitor in the Motor City, booing fans were heard first followed by more cheers from fans in the stands.

His first pitch was delayed because he appeared to have trouble with his communication device.

After throwing a 96-mph fastball for a ball, Gleyber Torres hit Skubal’s second pitch to center for a double and the crowd roared in unison.

Skubal settled in, striking out Hao-Yu Lee and All-Star Kevin McGonigle and getting All-Star Dillon Dingler to fly out.

“It’s weird to see him on the other side,” McGonigle said before the game.

Tigers manager A.J. Hinch said the team’s familiarity with Skubal might not be helpful at the plate.

“If anybody knows him, it’s us,” Hinch said. “You can know everything about a pitcher, that doesn’t make it easy to hit.”

That was evident when Skubal retired 12 straight batters, including striking out the side in the third, before Eduardo Valencia led off the fifth with a double. Max Clark followed with a two-out triple in the inning to break a scoreless tie.

The 29-year-old Skubal was drafted by Detroit out of Seattle University in the ninth round of the 2018 draft and spent his entire career with the Tigers until they dealt him earlier this month.

Skubal said in July that it was his preference to finish the season with the Tigers and to compete for a World Series championship, which has eluded the franchise since 1984. The Tigers, though, thought it was wise to trade him before the deadline to acquire three minor league prospects instead of likely losing him in free agency.

Diamondbacks News

Aug 28, 2026; San Francisco, California, USA; Arizona Diamondbacks first baseman Tim Tawa (13) , right , celebrates with his teammates after hitting a three-run home run during the third inning against the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: Stan Szeto-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Diamondbacks News

Diamondbacks Respond Loudly to Even Series
Lars Nootbar had his best game at the plate since his trade tot he Diamondbacks, starting things off with a lead-off home run. Kohl Drake struggled as the lineup turned over. Corbin Carroll also went deep. Gerardo Carrillo, Jonathan Loaisiga, Brandyn Garcia, Dennis Santana and Juan Morillo pushed through five innings with no earned runs and only one hit allowed. The result was the Diamondbacks gaining a game on the Padres in the Wild Card race as the Friars lost and the Diamondbacks held on to win.

Giants’ Vitello, Webb Ejected
The San Francisco Giants’ Tony Vitello was unhappy with a fair/foul call and was run for his complaints. Logan Webb didn’t get the memo right away and had to be invited to join his manager in the clubhouse.

Other Baseball News

DOA MLB Proposal for CBA Talks Includes Some Intriguing Notions
Manfred and the owners are seriously turning on the full-court press in making sure the CBA negotiations collapse entirely and result in a lost season (or more).

MLB Suspends Prospect Over Identity and Age Fraud Plot
Major League Baseball has suspended a once-prized Dominican prospect after uncovering an elaborate age-fraud plot that included a fictitious death and gravesite tombstone, sources familiar with the investigation told ESPN.

Seven Free Agents Who Have Hurt Their Free Agent Stock
This is not the sort of list Zac Gallen wants to be on, yet here he is.

Could Sal Stewart Lead NL in RBI and Still Lose ROY?
It’s a three-way race right now and Stewart might well finish second or third once the season is over.

Yankees call up Brendan Beck for doubleheader, Max Fried to start Game 2

NEW YORK, NY - JULY 04: Brendan Beck #89 of the New York Yankees pitches during the game against the Minnesota Twins at Yankee Stadium on July 4, 2026 in New York, New York. (Photo by New York Yankees/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The New York Yankees, fresh off a close 1-0 victory over the Boston Red Sox in Friday’s opener, are going to play two games against their archrivals on Saturday, which means they had to make some moves to finalize their roster ahead of the twin bill.

The team announced that 27-year-old right-hander Brendan Beck is their “27th Man” ahead of the doubleheader. Cam Schlittler and three relievers combined to shut out the Sox on Friday, so Beck will be available to provide some innings on Saturday if needed. The best-case scenario, of course, is that the Yankees are winning big in a blowout and have the flexibility to use Beck to soak up the final frames. But he can also be a long reliever in a pinch.

Beck has already pitched in two MLB games this season, starting one of them and covering 6.2 frames between the two. He has a bloated 9.45 ERA with seven hits, five walks, and four strikeouts (the first spot start went much better than the second).

Beck has done most of his work in Triple-A, where he has been much better with a 2.75 ERA in 121 innings as a full-time starter. There, he has walked 37 batters and struck out 133. He last pitched on August 15th.

Yesterday, the Yankees revealed that Max Fried will be activated to start Game 2 of the doubleheader, marking a quick return from his second injured list stint. He was placed there on August 17th, retroactive to the 14th, with a left elbow bone bruise.

It turns out the ailment wasn’t overly serious this time around, and the 32-year-old left-hander will be able to return in time to help the Yankees in a key series. For the season, he has a 2.81 ERA in 86.1 innings.

The Yankees still haven’t announced who will be leaving the active roster to make room for Fried. Left-hander Carlos Rodón will start the first game, so they don’t need to change their roster until the nightcap.

Elmer Rodríguez, who started a game on Wednesday and tossed six innings, would have been among the alternatives to be optioned to Triple-A, but manager Aaron Boone just announced that he will start on Monday in Anaheim. So that leaves Yerry De los Santos, Michael Fulmer, and Justin Topa as the most three most likely to leave the roster between games to activate Fried. De los Santos is the only one with options who wouldn’t have to be designated for assignment, so he may be out of luck this time around.







Dodgers reveal troubling Shohei Ohtani update, leaving pitching return unclear

An image collage containing 2 images, Image 1 shows Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Shohei Ohtani walks off the field with his glove after a practice session, Image 2 shows Shohei Ohtani winding up to throw during a practice session

DETROIT –– Shohei Ohtani appears unlikely to make his pitching return with the Dodgers on Sunday, as had been increasingly expected earlier this week, after reporting to the team’s training staff that he still didn’t feel 100% following a bullpen session on Friday.

“That’s the hard part right now, is trying to figure out if he’s not 100% with the overall body, is it worth giving him an inning to build up or not,” manager Dave Roberts said. “So I think that’s kind of where we’re at right now, trying to weigh the positives and negatives.”

Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Shohei Ohtani, front, winds up to throw during a practice session in the outfield before a baseball game against the Atlanta Braves on Thursday, August 27, 2026, in Atlanta. AP Photo/Erik S. Lesser

According to Roberts, neither the left knee nor right biceps issues Ohtani has dealt with in recent months are completely healed yet.

And while the manager said he still expected Ohtani — who has not made a pitching start since July 3 — to return to the mound soon, he also made it clear the club would be extremely cautious with his health.

“His value offensively is hugely important,” Roberts said of the two-way star, who has continued to serve as the Dodgers’ everyday designated hitter. “So if throwing potentially cuts into that, that’s not worth the squeeze.”

If Ohtani does not start Sunday (the Dodgers have Tyler Glasnow lined up to pitch instead if needed), Roberts said it’s also unlikely that the right-hander would turn right around and pitch in the opening game of the team’s homestand next Tuesday, instead indicating that the club would kick the can farther down the road on Ohtani’s pitching return.

Even if Ohtani starts Sunday, it would only be for one inning.

The longer he waits to make his return to the mound, however, the less time he will have to build up his pitch count over the rest of the regular season.

Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Shohei Ohtani, left, walks off the field after throwing a practice session before a baseball game against the Atlanta Braves on Thursday, August 27, 2026, in Atlanta. AP Photo/Erik S. Lesser

“I wouldn’t bet against Shohei,” Roberts said. “But I still think that [getting built up to] five innings by the end of the season … that’s an aggressive play.”

Granted, the Dodgers had seemed willing to be aggressive with Ohtani’s buildup over the last several weeks, as he progressed from bullpen sessions to a 30-pitch round of live batting practice last Saturday.

The hope was that, with still a month remaining in the regular season, he would have enough time before the start of the playoffs to get stretched out for full-length starts and resume his place as an anchor in the Dodgers’ starting rotation (he was 8-2 with a 1.79 ERA in 14 starts at the beginning of the season).

But now, uncertainty abounds again, with Ohtani’s ongoing knee and biceps issues continued to leave his pitching plans unclear.

“I think in the moment, yeah, he still feels that there’s an opportunity [to return to a full-time two-way role], and I’m not trying to say there isn’t,” Roberts said. “But I do think at the end of the day, he’s very aware of our roster strengths, weaknesses and his value to the ballclub.”


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Red Sox at Yankees: Game 1 of Today’s Doubleheader

PITTSBURGH, PENNSYLVANIA- AUGUST 14: Jake Bennett #64 of the Boston Red Sox pitches during the first inning of a game against the Pittsburgh Pirates on August 14, 2026 at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Maddie Malhotra/Boston Red Sox/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Though Jake Bennett takes the mound in the early matchup, it’s nice to have setup man Garrett Whitlock back from the IL. His 2.05 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, .203 OBA, 49 strikeouts and seven walks in 44 innings will be helpful as the Sox try to move past the Yanks in the AL East.

Last night was tough but the Sox are tougher. Let’s go.

How to Watch and Listen

First pitch is at 1:05 PM ET on NESN and WEEI.

Lineups

Rangers vs Brewers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Texas Rangers are one of the best teams in the league against left-handed pitching.

That prowess should allow them to cause problems for Shane Drohan, which is why I'm targeting the road team on the run line with my Rangers vs. Brewers predictions and MLB picks for Saturday, Aug. 29.

Who will win Rangers vs Brewers today: Rangers +1.5 (59%)

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Shane Drohan has posted a xFIP above 4.0 in seven of his last nine starts, and that’s likely to be the case again vs. the Texas Rangers.

They have quietly hit lefties well, owning a Top-10 win percentage vs. left-handed starters. They are also seventh in xwOBA against southpaws in August.

Texas should score against Drohan before the Milwaukee Brewers get to their elite bullpen, and that gives him a great chance of hanging tough in this game.

Cal Quantrill has allowed two runs or less in eight of nine starts he pitched 4+ innings.

Back the Rangers RL to 60%.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Cal Quantrill ranks seventh among today's projected starters with a 3.51 FIP the last month.

Rangers vs Brewers Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (54%)

It isn’t always pretty, but Drohan is effective at limiting the damage in Milwaukee. He has only conceded 3+ runs in four of 17 home starts this season.

The Rangers will test him, but they’re not an overpowering offense that will score relentlessly. The Brewers also have a bullpen capable of clamping things down late.

Quantrill ranks in the 84th percentile in walk rate and has allowed 0.86 HR/9 in pitcher-friendly environments.

That should allow him to avoid big innings, setting up nicely for an Under.

Play to 57%.

Rangers vs Brewers home run prediction: Jake Burger (16%)

Jake Burger crushes left-handed pitching, posting an OPS exactly .200 points higher than against righties.

Drohan doesn’t really have one go-to pitch, throwing five different types more than 10% of the time vs. right-handed bats.

Burger is well-equipped to handle that variety. He has managed a .250 ISO or higher vs. four of the five pitches, only struggling against curveballs.

Righties have hit .333 against Drohan’s curveball so it’s unlikely Burger sees a steady diet.

There’s value up to 17%.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 91-85, -13.25 units 
  • Over/Under bets: 89-81-6, -3.80 units

Rangers vs Brewers weather

This game will be played indoors.

Rangers vs Brewers odds

  • Moneyline: Rangers 40% | Brewers 61%
  • Run line: Rangers +1.5 (58%) | Brewers -1.5 (43%)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (48% | Under 8.5 (53%)

Rangers vs Brewers trend

The Rangers have hit the Under in 16 of their last 25 games (7.20 units, 26% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Rangers vs. Brewers.

How to watch Rangers vs Brewers and game info

LocationAmerican Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
DateSaturday, Aug. 29, 2026
First pitch7:15 p.m. ET
TVFOX
Rangers starting pitcherCal Quantrill
(6-4, 2.90 ERA)
Brewers starting pitcherShane Drohan
(6-5, 3.85 ERA)

Rangers vs Brewers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Phillies vs Angels Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's MLB Game

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The Philadelphia Phillies own an 8-2 record over their last 10 games, and they're in a great spot to continue their winning ways tonight.

With ace Cristopher Sanchez set to start opposite Ryan Johnson, my Phillies vs. Angels predictions and MLB picks are backing Philadelphia to win with room to spare.

Who will win Phillies vs Angels today: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (57%)

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

The Los Angeles Angels have hit .217 with a .097 ISO against lefties in August, and it’s hard to imagine things getting any better facing Cristopher Sanchez.

The star southpaw has been lights out all season and enters in great form. He has posted a 2.12 ERA, 2.46 xFIP, and punched out more than 30% of opposing batters the last month.

He shouldn’t need much run support, but he should get it.

The Philadelphia Phillies rank third in xwOBA vs. right-handed pitching this month, and Ryan Johnson is an unlikely candidate to slow them.

Play to 57%.

Covers COVERS INTEL:Sanchez ranks in the 93rd percentile in Pitching Run Value, and should have little trouble slowing down a poor Angeles offense.

Phillies vs Angels Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (48%)

Sanchez owns a sparkling 1.34 ERA over eight starts against teams ranking bottom-10 in OBP vs. lefties the previous 20 games. He has also completely neutered his opponent’s power, allowing 0.17 HR/9.

The Angels rank 26th in OBP and ISO during that span, and will not pose much of a threat to Sanchez.

Johnson is vulnerable to giving up power, but the Phillies need to score a lot to push this total Over the number.

I make a fair price closer to 50%.

Phillies vs Angels home run prediction: Kyle Schwarber (32%)

Kyle Schwarber hits for power in waves. With three homers in his last six games, it appears he’s heading toward another heater.

He is in a great spot to deal damage against Johnson. Isolating his three most-used pitches when facing left-handed bats, Schwarber owns a 25% barrel rate over the last 25 games.

Johnson has also allowed a higher barrel rate than any of today’s starters the past month. He is letting hitters square him up, and that’s a recipe for disaster against Schwarber.

Play to 35%.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 91-85, -13.25 units
  • Over/Under bets: 89-81-6, -3.80 units

Phillies vs Angels weather

Temperatures are expected to hover around 80, with light winds. Neutral impact.

Phillies vs Angels odds

  • Moneyline: Phillies 69% | Angels 32%
  • Run line: Phillies -1.5 (56%) | Angels +1.5 (45%)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (54%) | Under 7.5 47%)

Phillies vs Angels trend

Los Angeles has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games (+13.35 units, 48% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Angels.

How to watch Phillies vs Angels and game info

LocationAngel Stadium, Anaheim, CA
DateSaturday, August 29, 2026
First pitch10:07 p.m. ET
TVNBCSP, ABTV
Phillies starting pitcherCristopher Sanchez
(16-4, 2.62 ERA)
Angels starting pitcherRyan Johnson
(3-7, 5.75 ERA)

Phillies vs Angels latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Sabres Top 40 Prospects – #11

The Buffalo Sabres have been considered to have one of the deepest prospect pools in the NHL, which is in part due to them selecting high in recent drafts because of their not qualifying for the playoffs. The Sabres have displayed an eye for talent, and the organization’s developmental model has begun to yield results, with 2023 first rounder Zach Benson making an impact in the playoffs, and 2024 top pick Konsta Helenius appearing as one of the AHL’s top prospects the last two seasons.  

Leading up to the opening of training camp in mid-September, we will look at the club's top 40 prospects. These players are all 25 years old or younger, whose rights are currently held by the Sabres or are on AHL or NHL deals, and have played less than 82 NHL games. 

Other Sabres Stories

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11. Ilia Morozov - Center (Miami (OH) - NCAA)

The Sabres' failed acquisition of Michael Kesselring led Kekalainen to send the right-handed defenseman to the San Jose Sharks in a swap of their 27th overall pick to move up seven slots in the first round of the 2026 NHL Draft. After selecting blueliner Daxon Rudolph with the fourth overall pick, Buffalo chose center Ilia Morozov at #20. 

Where will Connor Hellebuyck get traded to?

The 18-year-old is a physical specimen at 6’3”, 200 lb., and that size is likely a large part of what will make him an effective pro. The Moscow native came to North America at 15 years old to play youth hockey, played with Tri-City in the USHL at 16, where he scored 22 points (11 goals, 11 assists) in 59 games, and played in the NCAA with Miami (OH) at 17, where he scored 20 points (8 goals, 12 assists) in 36 games as a freshman. 

Morozov’s strength is at the defensive end of the ice. According to Elite Prospects, he is a  “true defensive stalwart, who angles rushes to the outside and emphatically runs over the puck carrier.” He does not lack for energy, and offensively uses his physicality to be a menace in front of the net. 

Most believe that Morozov will be an NHL checking center, but his maturation over the next two or three years in college could result in something more than that. 

Follow Michael on X, and Instagram @MikeInBuffalo

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THN.com/Free

Canadiens Former Director Of Amateur Scouting Gets Promotion

For almost 20 years, Trevor Timmins was the directing mind behind the Montreal Canadiens’ draft picks, but when Geoff Molson decided to clean house in 2021, he got his marching orders along with Marc Bergevin and Paul Wilson. It didn’t take long for him to find a new job, however, and in 2022, he was hired by the Columbus Blue Jackets as an assistant to the director of amateur scouting, Ville Sirén.

On Thursday, Columbus announced that Sirén had been reassigned as director of European scouting and that Timmins would now be the director of amateur scouting. It’s been a few years since the Jackets hit a home run at the draft, and while Adam Fantilli was a nice selection in 2023, the decision to draft Cayden Lindstrom fourth overall in 2024, just before Ivan Demidov, was a grave mistake. Back then, there were doubts about Lindstrom’s health and more specifically about back issues, and since then, he has played four playoff games with the Medicine Hat Tigers in 2024-25 and 31 games in the Big 10 with the University of Michigan last season, where he could only muster 10 points.

Could The Canadiens Pick Up A Top Center From The Fallout?
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Captain Suzuki May Get A Bit Tougher This Year

Timmins will find himself in a role he knows very well, having worn the director of amateur scouting hat with the Canadiens, and it will be interesting to see if he does better in Ohio than he did in Montreal. Back in 2006, he was behind the Habs’ decision to draft David Fischer 20th overall while the Philadelphia Flyers claimed Claude Giroux 22nd overall. Then, in 2018, he orchestrated the selection of Jesperi Kotkaniemi third overall, leaving Brady Tkachuk on the board for the Ottawa Senators to take.

That’s not to say he only made bad moves; under his reign, the Canadiens did select Carey Price, Max Pacioretty, Brendan Gallagher, Arturri Lehkonen, P.K. Subban, Cole Caufield, Jakub Dobes, Kaiden Guhle and Oliver Kapanen to name a few, but he also selected a great defenseman who never played for the Habs, Ryan McDonagh. He was selected 12th overall in 2007, but GM Bob Gainey then famously traded him to the New York Rangers to get Scott Gomez, a trade which the Canadiens definitely lost.


Follow Karine on X @KarineHains Bluesky @karinehains.bsky.social and Threads @karinehains.  

Bookmark The Hockey News Canadiens' page for all the news and happenings around the Canadiens.

Join the discussion by signing up to the Canadiens' roundtable on The Hockey News.

Should NBA fans be concerned about repeated ownership upheaval?

May 7, 2012; Los Angeles, CA, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers owner Mark Walter attends the game against the San Francisco Giants at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee/Image of Sport-USA TODAY Sports | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Welcome to SB Nation Reacts, a survey of fans across the NBA. Throughout the year, we ask questions of the most plugged-in Lakers fans and fans across the country. Sign up here to participate in the weekly emailed surveys.

With the sports world experiencing an unusual wave of team sales, most notably the Lakers, fans are understandably feeling apprehensive about these sudden shifts.

A few NBA teams have seen recent ownership shake-ups even excluding the Lakers, ranging from the Timberwolves to the Blazers and Celtics. Beyond the NBA, the Seahawks, Padres, and Rays have all also seen ownership changes in the last couple of years.

Everyone knows about the Lakers being sold two times in a short period of time, but let’s take a quick look at the other NBA sales.

The Timberwolves were sold to businessman Marc Stad at a $4.5 billion valuation. The team’s previous owners were Marc Lore and Alex Rodriguez, who took full control from Glen Taylor in 2025. An investment group led by Tom Dundon now owns the Blazers. Bill Chisholm is the majority owner of the Celtics, taking over in 2025. It’s a lot of change for notable teams that have passionate fan bases.

In our national SB Nation Reacts survey this week, we asked fans how they’re feeling about the onslaught of new ownerships, and the results were very clear.

Fans are understandably concerned about these changes.

Trail Blazer fans have seen a very concerning side to Dundon and his cheap ways. An article published by The Athletic details many ways he’s earned the label of cheap. One instance saw members of the Blazers traveling party have to check out at 12:30 pm because he refused to pay more for late checkouts. He also didn’t allow two-way players to travel with the team in the playoffs and trimmed down the Blazers support staff. It seems he’s not a particularly fun owner, and that will understandably give fans stress and disgust.

The Wolves had their own controversies with Lore and Rodriguez battling previous owner Taylor for rights to the ownership after the latter had called off the sale. After all that, Lore then sold his stake to Stad. Celtics fans were not happy when the Grousbeck family put the team up for sale, and Chisholm, a private equity executive, bought it.

Billionaires and millionaires come with controversy and endless drama. It’s the name of the game. When fans invest their time and money into these teams, seeing a change in ownership can bring fears of rising costs, staff downsizing and other changes that could affect the organization in a not-so-positive way.

So yes, fans should feel uneasy. You shouldn’t have to feel nervous about the future of your team. But, again, there isn’t much we can do about it other than wait and see how things continue to shake up.

You can follow Karin on Twitter at @KarinAbcarians.

Warriors invite former first-round pick Dalen Terry to preseason roster

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - DECEMBER 7: Dalen Terry #7 of the Chicago Bulls dribbles past Will Richard #3 of the Golden State Warriors during the first half at the United Center on December 7, 2025 in Chicago, Illinois. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Geoff Stellfox/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Golden State Warriors only tentatively filled their final roster spots when they signed Georges Niang and Brandon Williams to contracts that were partially and non-guaranteed, respectively. That’s why their Exhibit 10 signing of Dalen Terry may be more than just training camp depth and stocking the roster of the Santa Cruz Warriors.

Terry was selected by the Chicago Bulls with the 18th pick of the 2022 draft after two years at Arizona, where he was teammates with recent New Orleans Pelicans addition Bennedict Mathurin. He played for the Wildcats two seasons after Williams had his lone season in Tucson and now gets a chance to impress Wildcats legend Steve Kerr.

The Warriors have an affection for Arizona players, from Gilbert Arenas to Andre Iguodala to Luke Walton to Nico Mannion. And don’t forget Richard Jefferson, Jud Buechler, Tom Tolbert, and the immortal Chris Mills, who tried to fight the entire Portland Trail Blazers team and their bus driver in 2002. Terry will need to impress with his play but should also bone up on campus trivia and the Wildcats alumni song.

Terry’s main calling card is his defense, where his 7-foot-1 wingspan allows him to be disruptive on, well, the wings. He’s a decent passer and playmaker, but he never really developed into a part-time lead guard like he was in college. Instead, Terry has struggled as a shooting guard who doesn’t shoot well.

He’s had years where he made threes, like going 41.3% from distance in 2024-25 on 1.3 attempts. But his shooting is inconsistent, he’s been prone to turnovers, and his free throw shooting cratered to 53.3% last season — granted, he only had 30 attempts.

Could the Warriors end up deciding Terry is the best last man on the bench and choose him over Williams or Niang? Possible but unlikely, unless Terry has really improved his shot. He’s ineligible for a two-way deal because he’s played four NBA seasons, so the odds are he will end up in beautiful Santa Cruz, not the worst place to continue a G League career.

Terry is an interesting pickup albeit a longshot. At this point in the summer, adding any 24-year-old who was a first-round pick is a good bit of business, even if the title of “first-round pick” is somewhat tainted by the Chicago Bulls making the pick. Remember Chandler Hutchison? Yeah me neither.

Welcome to San Francisco, Dalen Terry! Let’s hope you packed some board shorts and beach sandals.

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees play the nightcap of Saturday’s doubleheader tonight at 7:15 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium, with New York carrying a 56% win probability on Polymarket.

Max Fried is ready to go for New York. Boston has not officially announced a starter, but the plan is expected to feature an opener before Brayan Bello handles the bulk of the innings.

Who will win Red Sox vs Yankees today: Yankees (57%)

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

I’m backing the New York Yankees because the expected pitching matchup favors them at both ends

Max Fried owns a 2.81 ERA and has been one of baseball’s best pitchers at preventing damaging contact. He ranks in the 89th percentile in xERA, 99th percentile in barrel rate allowed, and 92nd percentile in hard-hit rate allowed.

The Boston Red Soxhave not been producing the type of contact that typically breaks that profile. Its recent batted-ball numbers have generally hovered around league average or worse, while Fried can also force the issue on the ground with an 83rd-percentile ground-ball rate.

The Red Sox's bulk option for Brayan Bello has a much more vulnerable profile. Bello ranks in just the 7th percentile in xERA, 25th percentile in barrel suppression, and 37th percentile in hard-hit suppression.

I think this has value up to 60% with a better overall team who has a good matchup.

Covers COVERS INTEL:Fried already dominated this Boston lineup once this season, throwing eight scoreless innings with nine strikeouts and only three hits allowed on April 22.

Red Sox vs Yankees Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (51%)

Fried is the reason I’m willing to back the Under. Boston’s recent contact quality runs directly into a pitcher who ranks in the 99th percentile in barrel suppression and 92nd percentile in hard-hit suppression.

Bello is the volatility on the other side, with just a 25th-percentile barrel rate and 37th-percentile hard-hit rate, but his 90th-percentile ground-ball rate still gives him a path to limiting damage.

I expect New York to do most of the scoring, but Fried should keep Boston quiet enough to hold this below 7.5.

I like this to 50%.

Red Sox vs Yankees home run prediction: Ben Rice (18%)

I like Ben Rice. Bello throws his sinker 40.5% of the time, which lines up well with Rice’s strongest contact profile. Rice owns a .505 xSLG and 51.4% hard-hit rate against sinkers this season.

Additionally, the Boston arm also ranks in the 25th percentile in barrel suppression, so there’s a clear path for Rice to turn one elevated sinker into damage. His left-handed pull power only makes that matchup more appealing at Yankee Stadium.

Chris Hatfield's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 46-45, +1.90 units
  • Over/Under bets: 53-38, +16.49 units

Red Sox vs Yankees weather

Weather should not be a major factor tonight. Conditions at Yankee Stadium are expected to stay dry and mostly clear through the game, with temperatures falling from the upper 70s

Red Sox vs Yankees odds

  • Moneyline: Red Sox 45% | Yankees 55%
  • Run line: Red Sox +1.5 | Yankees -1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5

Red Sox vs Yankees trend

The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 40 games (+8.30 Units / 18% ROI).  Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Red Sox. 

How to watch Red Sox vs Yankees and game info

LocationYankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
DateSaturday, August 29, 2026
First pitch7:05 p.m. ET
TVFOX
Red Sox starting pitcherBrayan Bello
(5-6, 4.58 ERA)
Yankees starting pitcherMax Fried
(4-4, 2.81 ERA)

Red Sox vs Yankees latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.