Anfernee Simons is buying in defensively

After the victory against the Portland Trail Blazers, head coach Joe Mazzulla was asked to assess what he saw from Anfernee Simons on the defensive end. 

“Just his continued growth,” Mazzulla said firmly. It was a simple answer, but one layered with meaning. As the season has unfolded, Simons’ development has become harder to ignore. Mazzulla underscored that evolution, noting that he is “really starting to see the two-way player” emerge. 

Before the season began, Simons shared a moment with reporters that offered insight into the foundation of that growth. Mazzulla, he recalled, reassured him about his defense, telling him, “You’re not as bad as people think you are.” Simons later added that the felt “pretty excited about being pushed to a new level.” 

Fast forward to Simons’ 39-point performance in a win over Miami, and the tone shifted from reassurance to affirmation. Mazzulla was direct in his assessment: “I think he’s taken it to another level with his defense.” 

That growth hasn’t lived only in postgame quotes. It’s been unfolding on the floor, in moments that don’t always make the box score, but stand out on film. 

Simons has continued to show that he not only possesses the tools, but also the want-to, to give the game what it demands on that end of the floor. His physicality at the point of attack has taken a significant leap this season, and he’s consistently walling off straight-line drives, which is super important.  

On this first play, Simons shuts down the initial drive before contesting Caleb Love’s shot. Stopping drives is crucial for any team, of course, but on this roster, it’s especially important because it allows the new swarming-to-the-ball defensive scheme to function at its best.  

Once a player turns their back on the Celtics or is forced to reset after being stopped, multiple defenders swarm to the ball, as you can see here. Rayan Rupert quickly gives up the ball as Hugo Gonzalez and Payton Pritchard converge.  

Here, Simons makes multiple efforts. In transition, he stops the ball, and Baylor Scheierman follows trying to contest the pass.  

Then Simons uses the baseline as his ally, staying chest-up to contain the drive. This appears to be a tactic the coaches are emphasizing, as Scheierman has employed the same technique frequently this season. He even pokes the ball loose as Rupert tries to spin.  

Here, Simons fights around two off-ball screens to get back to Love at the opposite wing. I really want to credit Mazzulla and the staff for instilling this mindset in Simons.  

When we traded for Simons, I watched a bunch of his defensive possessions with Portland. From that tape, I can say with confidence that the level of defensive aggression and the want-to simply didn’t seem to present itself.  

Here is how he graded out as a perimeter defender last season per Bball-Index.  

But when you take a look at his numbers this year, the improvement is shown.  

The conversation about mindset comes into focus when watching how aggressively he defends when going over screens. Using his quickness to get over, Simons then defends with his chest forward, effectively stopping the ball in its tracks.  

In a post training camp interview, Simons shocked most Celtics fans when he admitted that he had “never really worked on or been taught” when speaking about the defensive playmaking drills, he started doing when he got to Boston.  

Here, he shows good effort trailing the play and ends up knocking the ball off of Love, giving the Celtics the final possession of the half.  

The fight is evident on this play.  

Simons was often tasked with guarding the much taller Jerami Grant, listed at 6’7”. On this play, the Blazers feed him in the post, giving him space and anticipating a mismatch.  

Simons does an outstanding job playing with the physicality the Celtics require on defense, giving up very little ground in the post. He even puts his defensive playmaking drills into action, poking the ball loose and nearly forcing a steal.  

Mazzulla talked about this play postgame and said, “We may have been able to challenge that one, but we were down a timeout and we couldn’t risk it.”  

Next, we see Simons against Grant again showing the aggressiveness going over the screen. Pass goes to Clingan and he misses it.  

The Blazers go to their own version of the Killer Whale Pick and Roll trying to go at Simons. He passes Rupert to Gonzalez and has to move his feet quickly to contain Jrue Holiday on the drive. He plays with his chest as Holiday euro-steps then nicely contests the layup.  

Lastly, the aggression going over the screen pays off once more as this time he stabs at the ball and goes the other way. Celtics end up getting a three off the nice steal.  

Most fans had very valid questions about whether Simons could improve an overall underwhelming defensive career with the Trailblazers. The Celtics’ coaching, culture, and insistence on accountability has helped reshape his game.  

Where once his defense lacked bite, he now approaches possessions with purpose, body and mind aligned. He doesn’t just guard the ball; he challenges it, contests it, and forces the game to respect him. Simons hasn’t just grown; he’s exceeded expectations, emerging as the player coach Mazzulla thought he could be.  

Full Breakdown: Antonetti Speaks at Akron Banquet

As we know, Chris Antonetti is the master of non-answers and question dodging – but there was a surprising amount of information that he divulged to a crowd of primarily fans and Rubber Ducks’ employees on Friday, January 23rd. If you are more interested in a brief summary, I released a short overview of the event which you can read here. Lots to talk about so lets dive right in:

Travis Bazzana

Antonetti spoke a little bit about the former #1 overall draft pick — mostly regarding his 2025 season in the minor leagues. The Guardians POBO highlighted that Travis had a perfectly good first full season in the Minor Leagues (137 wRC+ between AA and AAA) but also acknowledged that it was perhaps not the season that Bazzana wanted for himself. The message was clear: the adversity Bazzana faced along the way has set a goal for what the second basemen needs to do in order to reach his lofty potential. Antonetti concluded by confirming that Bazzana will be starting 2026 in AAA, which was already expected.

Bullpen – Primary Area of Concern

As reflected in the Guardians offseason moves, Antonetti called bullpen depth the most crucial part of their offseason agenda. The Guardians so far in the offseason have acquired Pedro Avila (MiLB deal), Codi Heuer (MiLB deal), Shawn Armstrong (MLB Deal), Colin Holderman (MLB Deal), Peyton Pallete (Rule 5), and Connor Brogdon (MLB Deal).

As a general rule, I implicitly trust this team when it comes to bargain bin reliever signings. Shawn Armstrong was certainly not one of these signings coming off a season where he posted a 2.31 ERA in 71 games. The contract signed was for 5.5M with a mutual option for 2027.

The endeavor of acquiring bullpen pieces has seemingly been a success for the Guardians Front Office, though there is definitely questions about the left handed options out there. With only Sabrowski and Herrin on the MLB roster, and no lefty relievers currently slated to be in AAA, the lefty reliever market could definitely be an area that Guardians are still active.

The Hitting Group is Set

Stop me if you’ve heard this before: The Cleveland Guardians will not be bringing in any Major League bats for the upcoming season. The clear area of concern that we fans wanted the Guardians to address was a RHH option in the OF, and once again all signs point to another season with that as a weakness coming up.

Antonetti did not put any blame on payroll when asked about this topic, instead he attributed it to the lack of interest from free agents when it came to the playing time that they would be afforded here in Cleveland. Lane Thomas was brought up as someone that the team was interested in bringing back, but with DeLauter, Valera, and Kayfus all vying for outfield reps there was simply not an everyday role for Thomas. Lane Thomas opted to sign with the Royals for 5.25M.

Poor Eddie Rosario caught a stray from Antonetti as an example of why signing fringe free agents is not always in their best interest.

Austin Hays and Miguel Andujar still remain unsigned but Antonetti was about as definitive as you will see him, they will not be Guardians come Spring Training. There are a few players still out on the market that might make sense to join Stuart Fairchild as MiLB deals, but my hopes aren’t very high for them either.

Manzardo

Guardians young slugger Kyle Manzardo was a topic broached in the discussion. Antonetti shared that he has gained some muscle this offseason, claiming 13lbs of lean muscle added to his frame. That sounds a little generous… but sure we will take any good news we can take at this point.

ABS Challenge System

Chris Antonetti was seemingly very on board with the new ABS system being integrated to MLB games. He remarked that Guardians Pitchers will not be permitted to use those challenges claiming that Tanner Bibee would run out of challenges in the first inning. Having watched Tanner, you can see how his competitive edge might lend himself to hoping for a few too many calls. Another player mentioned in this discussion was Austin Hedges, who is going to be gaming the ABS system as much as he can behind the plate — as always Hedgey is our pitchers’ greatest ally.

Golden Batter Rule

Rob Manfred has recently started peddling a “Golden Batter” rule, which would allow a team to pick one spot per game where they can put their best hitter up at the plate. Chris Antonetti, who was part of the group that brought baseball the pitch clock and larger bases, is not enthused with that idea. I agree wholeheartedly, as most fans and people in the game do.

Cozart and Ingle – Catcher Defense

The Guardians two prevalent catching prospects were touched on briefly during the discussion. Jacob Cozart, who posted a 108 wRC+ between A+ and AA in 2025, had his defense lauded as near Austin Hedges levels. Fangraphs has Cozart rated as the Guardians #26 prospect — though Longehagen clearly doesn’t think as highly of his defense.

Cooper Ingle had the opposite said of him, the defense needs a lot of work. His bat was praised by Antonetti, coming off a 139 wRC+ season between AA and AAA, but there is certainly some doubt in the glove. This is a sentiment that has been shared by many in the Guardians organization for a little while now. With Ingle’s bat being as attractive as it is, I would not be surprised to see him start to get reps in other positions this upcoming season.

2025 Draft Comments

Antonetti was asked by a fellow attendee about last years draft, asking if first round pick Jace LaViolette was a sign of a new approach to hitting in the organization. Antonetti summarily shut this down by claiming that the organization did the same thing they always do: draft the best player available.

I call BS on this personally, LaViolette, Curley, and Schubart are not players I would have expected the team to draft when you take their draft history into account. Antonetti played it as he always does, with a non-answer keeping his cards close to his chest.

2016 Game 7

I’m not sure if this has ever been shared before and I missed it, but incase you needed another reason to dislike Rob Manfred Antonetti shared a story about that fateful game.

While the rain delay was happening Antonetti, Manfred, and Cubs GM Theo Epstein were gathered into a room where Manfred suggested postponing the game until the next day. I could not imagine how ridiculous of a decision that would be and despite how the game ended up, I am glad it was finished that night.

That’s the gist of what Guardians POBO Chris Antonetti shared at the Akron Rubber Ducks’ Hot Stove Banquet. As usual, he kept his cards close to his chest, but there was some substance to discuss and capture my attention during a dry spell of the offseason. Hopefully there was something interesting for you in this write-up!

Lakers vs Cavaliers Prediction, Picks & Best Bets for Tonight’s NBA Game

LeBron James returns to his hometown when the Los Angeles Lakers visit the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight.

James has helped Los Angeles win four of its last five games, contributing in various ways. Tonight, my Lakers vs. Cavaliers predictions and NBA picks call for a packed stat sheet from LeBron, focusing on his assists and rebounds.

Lakers vs Cavaliers prediction

Lakers vs Cavaliers best bet: LeBron James Over 12.5 rebounds + assists (-105)

At this point in his career, every trip to Cleveland could be LeBron James' last. Does that shrinking window make tonight’s game extra important to the former face of the franchise?

Maybe.

Since signing with the Los Angeles Lakers back in 2018, James has only played in Cleveland six times. On his first few trips back home, he put on a show with great effort.

But James’ role on the Lakers has changed in the past two seasons, becoming a complementary piece to Luka Doncic that does the little things.

That’s been especially true over the past month, as James worked his way into form after missing the start of the season. So far in January, he’s averaging 6.9 assists and 7.3 rebounds over 13 games.

The Cleveland Cavaliers come into Wednesday with a patchwork rotation, missing some key players on both ends of the floor. Cleveland’s trademark defense of past seasons is absent, with the team sitting in the middle of the league in defensive rating.

The Cavs are 23rd in opponent assist-to-FGM ratio and have also struggled to keep foes off the glass, rated 22nd in rebounds allowed. That’s compounded by the loss of leading rebounder Evan Mobley (8.8 rpg) for the next week (ankle).

James’s player projections for this homecoming call for another busy box score, with my numbers at 6.9 assists and 6.9 rebounds. That should have his combo prop of rebounds + assists priced at Over 12.5 -145.

Lakers vs Cavaliers same-game parlay

The Lakers are rolling on this road trip and face a Cavs lineup that is getting shuffled due to injuries.

LeBron will let it fly from outside. While he’s not shooting well, he’s still taking 4.5 attempts from beyond the arc.

Lakers vs Cavaliers SGP

  • Lakers moneyline
  • LeBron James Over 12.5 rebounds + assists
  • LeBron James Over 1.5 threes

Our "from downtown" SGP: The King has returned!

In six games in Cleveland as a Laker, James has posted a triple-double twice.

Lakers vs Cavaliers SGP

  • Lakers moneyline
  • LeBron James to record a triple-double

Lakers vs Cavaliers odds

  • Spread: Lakers +3 | Cavaliers -3
  • Moneyline: Lakers +115 | Cavaliers -150
  • Over/Under: Over 235 | Under 235

Lakers vs Cavaliers betting trend to know

The Lakers are 5-2 SU and ATS in non-conference road games this season. Find more NBA betting trends for Lakers vs. Cavaliers.

How to watch Lakers vs Cavaliers

LocationRocket Arena, Cleveland, OH
DateWednesday, January 28, 2026
Tip-off7:00 p.m. ET
TVESPN

Lakers vs Cavaliers latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here

Crawford's trajectory suggests why he's MLB-ready, inside the numbers

Crawford's trajectory suggests why he's MLB-ready, inside the numbers originally appeared on NBC Sports Philadelphia

The commentary around the Phillies making marginal changes to their club this winter has created a cloud. One that blurs the prospective rookie season of Justin Crawford.

The 22-year-old is set to be the club’s everyday center fielder in 2026. The son of former big leaguer Carl Crawford — a four-time All-Star who compiled more than 1,900 hits and 480 stolen bases across a 15-year career — Justin is one of the more intriguing young players in the organization.

His tools alone should make Philadelphia eager to see him play on a daily basis. His advanced bat-to-ball skills and elite speed add an element to the Phillies’ outfield that has been largely absent since fellow left-handed hitter Ben Revere hit .303 and stole 95 bases from 2013–15.

All offseason, the organization has voiced its confidence in Crawford.

“From everybody I’ve talked to, the makeup is really good, the intangibles are really good,” manager Rob Thomson recently told reporters. “If [Crawford] makes the club, we’re going to let him go. We’re going to let him play. And hopefully he’ll have some success — and we think he will.”

That confidence stems from yet another dominant season at the plate for the Phillies’ 2022 first-round pick. In 2025, Crawford spent the entire year at Triple-A Lehigh Valley, where he slashed .334/.411/.452 (.863 OPS), collected 34 extra-base hits, and swiped 46 bases.

It marked his third consecutive full professional season with at least a .310 batting average, an .800 OPS, and 40 stolen bases.

On the surface, the numbers jump off the page. But Crawford’s underlying offensive profile helps explain why the Phillies believe his game will translate.

The best way to describe Crawford in the batter’s box is safely aggressive. According to Prospect Savant — which tracks advanced metrics at Single-A and Triple-A ballparks — Crawford posted a 50.5% swing rate in 2025, while carrying an 18% swing-and-miss rate.

Those numbers tell two stories. Crawford is aggressive — his chase rate sat at 33.6% — but he still makes contact with the vast majority of pitches he swings at. If you apply those thresholds to the Major League level, Crawford would have been the first left-handed hitter since 2023 to combine a swing rate of at least 50% with a swing-and-miss rate of 18% or lower.

Since the Statcast era began in 2015, only 11 single seasons by left-handed hitters have met that same criteria.

While Triple-A numbers don’t translate cleanly to the big leagues, Crawford’s batted-ball profile offers insight into the type of hitter he projects to be.

One of the most translatable aspects of his game is his ability to use the entire field. In 2025, Crawford pulled the ball just 31.7% of the time, went up the middle 25%, and hit it to the opposite way 43.3% of the time.

For Major League context, that would have been the highest opposite-field rate of any hitter since DJ LeMahieu’s batting champion 2020 season (43.4%), and the highest by a left-handed hitter since batted-ball tracking began in 2002.

Interestingly, that 43.3% mark represented a professional low for Crawford, further underscoring how consistently he’s used the opposite field throughout his career.

If you couldn’t already tell, Crawford is a pest in the batter’s box — regardless of the matchup. In left-on-left situations this past season, he slashed .376/.411/.518. That level of composure against same-handed pitching is rare for a lefty. Since 1974 in the Majors, only six left-handed hitters have produced a single season batting .375 or higher against lefties with at least 90 plate appearances.

When Crawford puts the ball in play, it tends to find grass at an extreme rate. His .407 batting average on balls in play (BABIP) placed him among rare company. Over the past 20 years, per FanGraphs, only two left-handed hitters at the Triple-A level have posted a BABIP of .400 or higher in a single season.

The last left-handed hitter to do so in the Major Leagues? Rod Carew in 1977 — one of his seven batting-title seasons.

There is, however, a trade-off. Crawford’s game is built heavily on ground-ball contact. Last season, he posted a 59.4% ground-ball rate — a career low, but still extremely high. That figure would have led all Major League hitters in each of the past two seasons and would have been the highest by a left-handed hitter since Raimel Tapia in 2021 (67.4%).

This has long been a known part of Crawford’s profile. His swing path has been a point of focus since he entered professional baseball, and adjustments late in 2025 hinted at growth.

Over his first 383 plate appearances last season, Crawford hit just three home runs. In August, that changed. He struck out more that month (21) than in any other, walked fewer times than any (8), but hit four home runs in 113 plate appearances while slugging .553.

Unfortunately, Crawford played just three games in September after colliding with teammate Otto Kemp. The Phillies ultimately shut him down.

Still, the takeaway from Crawford’s most notable offensive concern is clear: there is a concerted effort to lift the ball more. Given how frequently he puts the ball in play, even modest gains in launch angle could unlock gap-to-gap power and elevate his overall impact.

This offseason, those swing-path adjustments have continued. Crawford has appeared taller in his stance — something that surfaced on social media — as he continues refining his approach.

Defensively, the Phillies are banking on Crawford’s speed and instincts in center field. He has logged just under 2,200 professional innings at the position, and while Citizens Bank Park presents a unique challenge, Crawford did gain experience in left field last season. Brandon Marsh’s extensive center-field experience also provides an insurance policy.

So what should Phillies fans expect in 2026?

Despite being the youngest player on the projected roster — the only one born in 2004 — Crawford will break camp as one of the most polished pure hitters the organization has debuted in years.

He’s expected to slot toward the bottom of the lineup, offering stability against both left- and right-handed pitching. If he sticks in center field full-time, it opens additional flexibility — including the potential for a platoon in left field that maximizes Brandon Marsh and Otto Kemp.

Crawford’s contact rate — a professional-high 85.3% in 2025 — also addresses a recurring postseason issue for Philadelphia. Over the past three Octobers, the Phillies’ 7–9 hitters have combined for a .176/.241/.324 slash line (.565 OPS) with a 30.8% strikeout rate, the worst among teams with at least 100 plate appearances in those spots.

Crawford’s ability to pressure defenses with speed — a 75-grade tool out of 80 according to MLB Pipeline — and contact fills a void the club has otherwise relied on Trea Turner to address.

There are still questions about his discipline. For a contact-first hitter, Crawford does strike out at a relatively high rate. But his natural feel for the barrel and his ability to put the ball in play give him a strong foundation.

Crawford, currently ranked No. 53 on MLB.com’s 2026 preseason list, also carries the seventh-best odds to win National League Rookie of the Year.

A rookie line hovering around a .270–.285 average, 30–35 extra-base hits, an OPS near .730, and 25–30 stolen bases is well within reach — and would represent a strong return for the Phillies’ newest everyday outfielder.

Bucks vs. 76ers Player Grades: Turner and Rollins’ 55 overridden by Philly’s 4th-quarter flurry

The Milwaukee Bucks stayed with the Philadelphia 76ers for three quarters, but a Sixers explosion in the opening minutes of the fourth was the Bucks’ undoing. Paul George and Joel Embiid combined to drop 61 points. Milwaukee has now lost all three matchups this season. Read our full summary of the game here and catch a six-minute audio recap on the Bucks+ podcast, Bucks In Six Minutes, below.

Player Grades

Ryan Rollins

38 minutes, 24 points, 4 assists, 8 rebounds, 2 blocks, 0 turnovers, 9/17 FG, 2/4 3P, -4

This was a really solid game from Rollins after a slump. He got heaps of on-ball reps and made very few mistakes. I loved the pace he played with and his will to stay aggressive, even when it felt like he wasn’t getting the calls most players get. The dude is just smooth.

Grade: A-

Myles Turner

35 minutes, 31 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists, 1 steal, 2 blocks, 10/16 FG, 4/8 3P, –6

Myles just looked so much more involved than he had been, hunting his shot at every opportunity. I’m not saying his lack of production was Giannis’ fault, but Doc needs to watch this film and figure out how to get him the same looks when/if GA comes back this season.

Grade: A

AJ Green

29 minutes, 8 points, 3 assists, 3/6 FG, 2/4 3P, -1

AJ was fine in this one. Wasn’t a negative out there in any real way, but the shots just didn’t find him, as can be the case for a specialist like himself.

Grade: C+

Kyle Kuzma

31 minutes, 17 points, 8 assists, 8 rebounds, 2 steals, 6/12 FG, 2/4 3P, –5

While he had some ugly plays, I really liked Kuzma’s game overall. He utilised his screening ability and took what the defence gave him, making plays for himself and others. Another part of his game that I liked was his attacking in transition, which is the only real spot where you feel comfortable with him going one-on-one.

Grade: B

Bobby Portis

35 minutes, 17 points, 8 assists, 12 rebounds, 8/16 FG, 0/3 3P, -4

Bobby had some horror possessions on defence and missed an easy layup at one point. But for Portis to have eight assists is amazing. I mean, we may never see something like that ever again! Nah, but seriously, Bobby’s made some real strides this year and deserves all the credit in the world. Love the rebounds too.

Grade: A-

Gary Trent Jr.

20 minutes, 13 points, 4/9 FG, 4/9 3P, -16

Some poor possessions on D from GT, but as a shooter, he did his job on offence.

Grade: C

Gary Harris

13 minutes, 0 points, 2 assists, 0/0 FG, -9

Ummm, well, Gary did play in this one. I don’t recall him doing much to hurt the team, so I’ll give him that.

Grade: C

Cole Anthony

14 minutes, 10 points, 2 turnovers, 3/8 FG, 1/2 3P, –17

I didn’t hate Cole’s game. He’s been more measured of late on offence, but for a low-minutes player like him, he can’t be turning the ball over too much.

Grade: C-

Jericho Sims

10 minutes, 0 points, 1 rebound, 2 turnovers 0/0 FG, –11

Sims had two of the ugliest giveaways I’ve ever seen. I mean, just throwing the ball into the fourth row. Not good. I’d be playing Pete Nance the rest of the way.

Grade: D

Doc Rivers

Overall, I have to give Doc credit for the way the team played through three quarters. They were crisp, sharp, but just not as talented. That said, the decision to go back to Jericho Sims was an odd one. I don’t love how he played Rollins nearly 40 minutes; it seems somewhat dangerous.

Grade: B-

Garbage time: Andre Jackson Jr., Amir Coffey, Thanasis Antetokounmpo, Pete nance

Inactive: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Alex Antetokounmpo, Kevin Porter Jr., Taurean Prince

Bonus Bucks Bits

  • I thought this quote from Kyle Kuzma about Myles Turner was… illuminating: “he hasn’t really been involved this year from an offensive perspective, outside of typical kick-out threes.”
  • Doc thought their defence let them down, calling it “awful.” Said they weren’t physical enough, referring to them having just 12 fouls for the game. Said he loved what they did on offence.
  • Doc said he opted to go with Jericho Sims because they needed more size against the Philly front line. I guess that makes sense in theory, but the 76ers had 15 O-boards and 31 second-chance points. Now, would that have been worse with Pete Nance? We don’t know. Sims had just 1 rebound, though.
  • I mentioned it above, but Ryan Rollins gets no respect from the refs. He seems to get hit a lot, and you’re expecting them to call a foul, and then there’s nothing.
  • Tyrese Maxey is just so good, man. The league really missed on him in the draft. Joel Embiid and Paul George really turned back the clock in this one as well.

Up Next

The Bucks have a day off today and play tomorrow night at Washington, tipping off at 6:00 p.m. CST. Catch the game on Prime Video.

Should the Royals trade a starting pitcher for prospects?

One of the major goals for the Kansas City Royals this offseason was to acquire an impact bat, particularly one that could play corner outfield. It seemed logical that the Royals should be able to sell from their starting pitching depth, and possibly tap into their minor league catching depth as well, to find a team that had excess outfielders but needed starting pitching.

The Boston Red Sox were an obvious fit, and there have been a lot of rumors surrounding the Red Sox and the Royals making a trade. Those rumors centered on the Royals acquiring outfielder Jarren Duran, but what the Royals would send back in return didn’t seem to align with what the Red Sox would want. Boston GM Craig Breslow was allegedly looking for Cole Ragans in return, while the Royals were offering Kris Bubic (presumably plus some minor leaguers). The rumors have been quiet for a while, and with the Red Sox’s recent signing of Ranger Suárez to a five-year, $130 million deal, it seems extremely unlikely that Boston will be looking for any more pitching. In fact, they are rumored to be interested in selling pitching themselves. Ken Rosenthal at The Athletic also reporte that the Royals no longer expect to add either Duran or Brendan Donovan.

The Royals haven’t been idle themselves, signing Lane Thomas and trading for Isaac Collins in an effort to improve their roster. While I wouldn’t describe either as an “impact bat,” they both should be floor-raisers and help improve the literally worst outfield in baseball next season. The Royals also did not need to trade from their starting pitching depth to acquire Thomas or Collins. Thomas signed as a free agent, and Collins was traded by the Milwaukee Brewers to the Royals for Angel Zerpa.

J.J. Piccolo is now in an interesting position with the roster. He’s improved the team from the outside without spending the “currency of baseball” that it was anticipated he would need to spend to improve the roster. Simply raising the floor on an outfield that was worth -1.1 fWAR should help the team dramatically. While we can’t predict the future, it’s reasonable to project that the Royals will be better in the outfield this year. It’s also reasonable to hope that one of Carter Jensen or Jac Caglianone steps up and becomes the impact bat the Royals were looking for this offseason, but have not acquired. The team still has a lot of eggs in the “young guys step up and succeed” basket, but that may be the best option if they can’t find a pitcher-for–major league outfielder trade that makes sense.

How the offseason has played out still leaves the Royals with enviable depth at starting pitching. There are still teams looking for starting pitching and presumably will be into spring training. Inevitably, some pitchers will get hurt during spring training or at the World Baseball Classic, which could make some teams even more desperate for pitching. While it doesn’t seem like there is a perfect pitcher-for–position player swap sitting out there, some team would presumably be willing to trade for a pitcher if the price is prospects, particularly prospects that aren’t expected to help the major league team. The Royals’ farm system, as noted by Matthew LaMar, is still lacking depth. That leads to the question: If you were in charge of the Royals, would you try shopping a pitcher for prospects?

Mackenzie Gore and Freddy Peralta both commanded strong prospect packages for the Washington Nationals and the Milwaukee Brewers, showing that high-quality starting pitching – albeit with multiple years of control – is still commanding a premium on the trade market. I don’t think the Royals would ever make him available like this, but even with his injury history, I assume Cole Ragans could fetch a similar prospect package, if not better. Kris Bubic, with his injury history and just one year of control left, wouldn’t do as well, but the prospect(s) you could theoretically acquire for him might be a better quality of player than what teams were offering. Maybe there is a team that covets the years of control attached to Noah Cameron or Ryan Bergert, allowing the Royals to acquire multiple players who could help down the road.

Making a trade like this would be a very Rays- or Brewers-like move. You would be moving something from the major league roster that you expect to help this year in order to feed the prospect promotion machine and help the organization in the future. You would have to be very confident that the rest of the major league roster could pick up the slack this season—or not be overly concerned with winning this specific year—while trying to raise the floor of the organization one small move at a time.

Right now, having a projected #5 starter in Noah Cameron, with both Ryan Bergert and Stephen Kolek not expected to make the Opening Day rotation, feels like an overabundance of quality starting pitching. The Royals’ farm system is improving slowly, but “slowly” is the key word. It makes some rational sense to take from an area where the depth might not help you much this year and turn that into players who could help in the future, either on the roster or in future trades. Of course, pitcher injuries are very real, and what feels like an overabundance of pitching right now could quickly feel like not enough if Royals starters start going down at the rate they did last year. It would be a risk—one that could hurt the 2026 Royals’ chances—but it’s also the kind of transactional move I’m fairly confident other GMs would make.

I think it’s fairly unlikely that the Royals would move one of their starters strictly for prospects. I don’t think they have had enough major league success to make a move that could backfire and hurt the team this year, even if we can envision a scenario where they trade a pitcher, add prospect help, and still make the playoffs. Unless a team overwhelmed me with prospects, I wouldn’t want to make a trade like this if I were Piccolo.

The fact that I’m fairly certain the Brewers would make a move like this, however, makes me want to at least consider the idea rather than dismiss it out of hand. They have remained successful at the major league level while reloading their farm system for future years, and I would like the Royals to reach that level at some point. What do you all think? Should the Royals carry their starting pitching depth into the season, or should they trade a starter for future help?

So actually, the Dodgers ARE paying an increasing share of their TV revenue

After I posted this article Tuesday citing a Joon Lee report on the Dodgers supposedly not paying their fair share of TV revenue sharing, my attention was called to this Los Angeles Times article by Bill Shaikin, in which Lee’s claims are, well, basically refuted:

It also revived a strange chapter in team history, with frenzied online commentary that the signing of Tucker was made possible in large part because Major League Baseball long ago rewarded the Dodgers’ owners with preferential financial treatment that continues to this day.

Is that true?

Yes and no.

This situation stems from the Dodgers’ bankruptcy under former owner Frank McCourt and the settlement and TV deal that followed:

In a settlement with McCourt — and to avoid the risk of the judge imposing a deal less favorable to the league — MLB agreed the fair-market value of a Dodgers TV deal would be based on the very Fox deal that Selig had rejected.

Why did that matter?

That value was $84 million for the first year and would increase thereafter, with the league taking its standard 34% cut and sharing that among all its teams.

But indeed, that value was not set at $84 million when all was said and done. Instead:

After negotiations, MLB and Guggenheim made a modest adjustment, setting the “fair-market value” of the Time Warner deal at about $130 million for the first year rather than $84 million. That figure is used to determine the league’s cut, which for all local TV deals has since increased from 34% to 48%.

Thus, what the Dodgers pay to MLB from this TV revenue is also increasing as the years go by, based on the increas in that “fair-market value” amount. The Dodgers’ very lucrative TV deal does go through 2039, and they are making a tremendous amount of money every year from it. That has more to do with the Dodgers’ negotiating skill and some luck, as L.A.‘s 25-year RSN deal was signed just before the RSN bubble started to burst. I’m sure you, the Cubs fan, are familiar with that because the Cubs created Marquee Sports Network just as the RSN bubble was bursting, and the Cubs aren’t getting the “wheelbarrows of cash” that President of Business Operations Crane Kenney promised. This isn’t Kenney’s fault; it’s just the way the TV marketplace has gone over the last several years.

It’s my understanding that the $130 million baseline number quoted above has increased by a small amount each year, and thus so has the revenue sharing amount the Dodgers have paid. It’s important to remember that revenue sharing of this type — from TV — is shared equally among all the MLB teams, so the Yankees (for example) get the same amount as (for example) the Brewers, unlike luxury tax payments, which are supposed to be used by lower-revenue teams for player payroll. The Dodgers paid $169 million into that pot for their 2025 payroll, which was more than the entire payrolls of 12 MLB teams for last year. Further, it doesn’t seem as if the teams receiving this money are using it for player payroll. That’s another issue entirely, one that hopefully will be dealt with in the next CBA.

There’s more on this situation in this Forbes article by Maury Brown:

MLB never gave the Dodgers a sweetheart deal. If Frank McCourt hadn’t driven the Dodgers into a court-controlled sale, this messy loophole that the Dodgers benefit from never happens. So, how much of the local media rights do the Dodgers ultimately shelter from revenue sharing over the life of the 25-year deal? It’s somewhere around $6 billion. That advantage is likely to stay with the Dodgers, even if somehow the owners were able to strongarm the players into a cap system when the latest labor deal expires on December 1st of this year.

Bottom line: It appears Joon Lee was incorrect in his report cited in Awful Announcing and that I wrote an entire article yesterday based on that. It’s not the first time I’ve been wrong and it likely won’t be the last. Hopefully, this article sets the record straight.

Elephant Rumblings: Trade Deadline Set At August 3rd

Morning everyone, and hope you are all doing well. For those of you dealing with the snow, I recommend a trip to California right now, where it’s still cold but at least sunny.

We got word late yesterday afternoon that MLB had set the mid-season Trade Deadline later than usual this coming season, setting it for August 3rd at 3 P.M. Pacific Coast Time:

That’s a whole three days later that the usual deadline date of July 31st, giving teams a few extra games to make decisions on their roster. It’s going to be a little weird when that date rolls around and there are still a few days left for trading. A reason hasn’t been officially given as to why the extension so the best we can do it speculate right now.

Maybe some GM’s made it known that they’d like the weekend to finish up and business. July 31st this year is on a Friday and the 3rd on a Monday, and apparently MLB prefers deadline day on a weekday. For what it’s worth the A’s are one of the teams that has that Monday off so the front office will be able to wheel and deal without disrupting the team too much. Deadline day always used to be on July 31st but this will be the longest extension that the league has chosen. So when August rolls around and you still hear trade rumors don’t forget that it’s been moved this year!

There’s just 15 days left until pitchers and catchers report. We have a new CPL going up this morning so get ready to vote in the next round for the next prospect! Have a good day everyone.

A’s Coverage:

MLB News and Interest:

Best of X:

Maybe it was good the A’s didn’t win that lottery:

How many you guys thinking for Butler this year?

No love for Soderstrom:

Yankees Birthday of the Day: Lyn Lary

If I were to name every championship team from Yankee history and ask you to name some players from that year, any fan worth their salt could probably get at least a couple. The lore of the likes of Babe Ruth, Lou Gehrig, Joe DiMaggio, Mickey Mantle, and plenty others is large enough that their names echo through even to Yankees’ fans born decades after any of them played.

However, just a couple stars does not a team make. Every Yankee team, successful or no, had players whose names you might only know in passing. Lyn Lary might be one of those names, who was a very solid player who helped the Yankees to the 1932 World Series title.

Lynford Hobart “Lyn” Lary
Born: January 28, 1906 (Armona, CA)
Died: January 9, 1973 (Downey, CA)
Yankee Tenure: 1929-34

Over a century before a 6-foot-7 fella from Linden would first make his mark on the Fresno State baseball team, Lary was born and raised in the Fresno area of California. His family later settled in Long Beach, where he was a multi-sport athlete in high school and planned to attend the University of Southern California. However at the last second, he instead opted to sign with a local semi-pro baseball team.

In 1925, he began his career in organized baseball when he was picked up by the Oakland Oaks of the Pacific Coast League at just 19 years old. Lary had a breakout season two years later, playing shortstop and helping the Oaks win the PCL pennant, as he finished second in league MVP voting. He had caught the eyes of several major league teams, and the Yankees decided to pick up him, as well as middle infield partner Jimmie Reese.

Over in the majors, the Yankees were come off a historically good 1927 season, so they elected to let the pair play another year with the Oaks in 1928. After another good year in the PCL in 1928, the Yankees brought Lary over for 1929. He mostly spent his first MLB season playing second fiddle to future MLB manager Leo Durocher, but Lary showed his potential, with his season grading out at a 113 OPS+ and 2.2 rWAR in only 80 games.

That led to the Yankees trading Durocher to the Reds ahead of 1930 (aided by the Babe’s annoyance with “Leo the Lip”) and letting Lary take the full-time reins at shortstop. Lary’s early career at the position wasn’t the smoothest defensively, but he showed plenty of potential at the plate. That eventually shone through with a career best year in 1931.

Appearing in every game for the Yankees in 1931, Lary hit .280/.376/.416, with 10 home runs (the only season in his career where he cracked double figures) and 107 RBI. He put up 4.9 WAR according to Baseball Reference and 4.7 according to FanGraphs.

The one thing the Yankees hadn’t managed to do in Lary’s career to that point was win the World Series, but he would help them there the following year. The 1932 Yankees are arguably the most underrated team in franchise history, as they went 107-47 and then swept the Cubs in the World Series. Hampered a bit by injuries, Lary only appeared in 91 games and put up a 86 OPS+, although he did win a ring as a member of the team, seeing time at all four infield positions and left field as well.

However, 1932 also ended up being the beginning of the end of his Yankees’ career. Yes, injuries partially limited Lary to 91 games, but so did the emergence of another young shortstop from California. Frankie Crosetti joined the Yankees in 1932, and seized the most of his opportunity, taking the full-time shortstop job from Lary, who — while solid — had never quite lived up to the potential he had shown in his PCL days.

The Yankees held on to Lary in 1933, hoping he could return to 1931 form, but his hitting stats never quite got back. After appearing in just one game at the start of the 1934 season, the Yankees decided to deal Lary to the Red Sox.

Over the rest of his career, Lary played for a variety of team and had some ups, but also some downs. He played through 1940, and performed well enough to get MVP votes in two different seasons (pacing the AL in stolen bases in 1936 with 37 for the St. Louis Browns), but never ended up living up to his full potential. A large part of what doomed him was mental mistakes. As mentioned, his fielding could be a bit sloppy, but miscues didn’t stop there. In one 1931 game, he apparently ran into the dugout instead of touching home on a game-tying, ninth inning home run from Lou Gehrig, leading to Gehrig passing him on the basepaths and instead only being credited with a triple with Lary being ruled out. Neither run scored and the Yankees lost. Lary claimed that the ball had bounced back into play after going over the fence, and he believed the ball had been caught, but that’s still a bad mistake.

Lary was a bit of a character off the field too. Babe Ruth had given him the nickname “Broadway,” and he tried to act accordingly, dressing snappy and driving flashy cars. Amusingly, he married actress Mary Lawlor, who had been in the play “No No Nanette” of Babe Ruth trade and “Curse of the Bambino” fame.

After his playing career, Lary returned to his native California, and passed away from heart failure in 1973.

You might only know the name Lyn Lary from looking at old Yankees’ stats, but as usual, the story goes far deeper than that.


See more of the “Yankees Birthday of the Day” series here.

Colorado Rockies prospects: No. 22, Yujanyer Herrera

22. Yujanyer Herrera (115 points, 15 ballots)

Herrera turned 22 a few months ago, but he has been a professional for over six years, having been signed in August 2019 out of Venezuela by the Brewers for only a $10k bonus. Due to the pandemic, Herrera didn’t throw a pitch in affiliated ball until 2021 and he didn’t come stateside until the next year. Indeed, the 6’3” right-hander was Rule 5 eligible after the 2023 season but not selected. I don’t blame teams, as Herrera truly didn’t pop up on the prospect radar until 2024. He seemed like a strong candidate to be added to the Rockies’ 40-man roster after the 2024 season, but unfortunately he underwent Tommy John surgery in October 2024 and missed the 2025 season.

Mid-season 2025 Rank: NR

High Ballot: 12

Mode Ballot: 25, 26, 28

Future Value: 35+, starter depth

Contract Status: 2024 Trade, Milwaukee Brewers, Rule 5 Draft Eligible, three options remaining

MLB ETA: 2027

Herrera began his breakout 2024 back in Low-A Carolina for the third-straight year (though he was still 1.6 years younger than league average), where he quickly showed that he was ready for a new challenge with 17 innings of 2.12 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, and 14.3 K/9 rate ball over four games. A promotion to High-A Wisconsin followed, where he was 3.1 years younger than league average. In 12 games there, Herrera threw 51 innings with a 3.18 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 rate, and 3.0 BB/9 rate.

That was enough for the Rockies to acquire Herrera as part of the Nick Mears trade (along with Bradley Blalock) in July. After the trade, Herrera made six starts with Spokane, throwing 32 23 innings with a 3.31 ERA (3.41 xFIP), 1.13 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 rate, and 3.0 BB/9 rate. Those were strong results that pointed toward an upper minors placement before his arm injury scuttled those plans.

Here is Herrera being dominant in April 2024 in the Brewers system:

Herrera is currently 18th in the system as a 40 FV player according to MLB.com with a 55 grade on his slider:

The 6-foot-3 right-hander has three pitches in his arsenal that he was just starting to really learn how to use effectively when he went down. He typically throws his fastball in the 92-94 mph range and uses his hard above-average slider with bite as his go-to pitch. He misses plenty of bats with the pitch, showing the ability to backfoot lefties with it. He has a changeup, but it’s behind the other two offerings.

Because of that slider, Herrera’s strikeout rate took a nice step forward in 2024 and he uses the two-seam variation of his heater to get a lot of ground-ball outs. He threw a lot more strikes as well last year, but the Rockies will have to wait until 2026 to see if that sticks and if he can refine a third pitch so that he can stick in a rotation.

Eric Longenhagen of Fangraphs was bullish on Herrera at the time of the Mears trade, ranking him as easily the best of the prospects Colorado received at the deadline (11th out of 92) as a 45 FV prospect despite not even ranking him in the Brewers system back in March. The injury caused him to back off that grade somewhat — he ranked Herrera 27th in the system as a 40 FV player last January with a 60 slider grade:

Herrera is listed at 175 pounds but is more like 250. He’s a below-average athlete who has struggled to throw strikes at various points during his career, and he still looks like he has below-average command despite his reasonable walk total from 2024. Herrera’s best pitch is his slider, a tight mid-80s hellraiser with late bite and good length for how hard it is. Still, too many of his sliders back up on him right now. He has a well-demarcated four-seam/two-seam fastball mix, but no cogent third pitch yet. Herrera’s velo keeled off at the very end of the year and he was put on the IL with elbow inflammation in September (he also had a hamstring issue last season); the Rockies left him off the 40-man roster. There’s a little too much development needed here to comfortably project Herrera as a starter, but he should be a fine sinker/slider middle reliever in time.

Herrera represents the kind of pitching prospect the system needs more of and I’m excited to see how he reacts to the challenge of Double-A once he is fully recovered from the Tommy John surgery — at least, that’s where I assume he will be. If his stuff is still there and he does well against upper minors batters, Herrera could be a rotation option for the Rockies soon and will be a no-brainer 40 man roster add this off-season. Due to the uncertainty, I couldn’t rank Herrera higher than a 35+ FV player, 25th on my list, though I love his potential to stick in the rotation and the quality of his slider.


Please keep in mind our Purple Row Community Guidelines when you’re commenting. Thanks!

Mariners News: Carlos Correa, José Altuve, and Aaron Judge

Good morning friends! It’s Wednesday once more, and we’ve got some news and analysis to dig into.

In Mariners news…

Around the league…

Is Jarren Duran the best left fielder in baseball?

Good morning! MLB Network is conducting its annual exercise in ranking the best players at each position. Yesterday, they tackled left field, and the top of the list is quite interesting:

Yes, the man that many Red Sox fans have been shipping out the door in imaginary trade scenarios all offseason is, according to MLB Network, the best left fielder in the game. Of course, the reason why so many fans are keen to ship him out is because of the guy that MLB has at number two on the list — not to mention a couple other guys who will end up on the center and right field lists to be published in a few days.

Is Duran really that good and does it still make sense to move him if so?

Talk about what you want, keep imagining trades that aren’t happening, and be good to one another.

MMB Lounge: Trade season then All Star break

The NBA Trade deadline is in about a week and seeing the comment count on the previous lounge thread means it’s time for a new one.

As usual this is your one stop shop for talking about whatever in the world you want to. Potential Maverick topics likely include the usual: trades, tanking, and the various prospects in the 2026 NBA Draft.

Trade front has gotten weird. When Anthony Davis went down with his one millionth injury, the market for rumors cleared right up. I hope that’s a good thing because Dallas needs to move someone, they’re too bad to be this expensive. While I’d love for them to keep Naji Marshall, if they can get a future first for him they simply have to. Daniel Gafford should be movable, but there hasn’t been any chatter about him. It’s all very weird. But a lot can change in a week.

As for tanking or pushing towards the play-in… I think the loss to the Lakers broke the hope. That would’ve made five straight wins. But who knows. If thye win half these games going to All Star maybe they give it another go. But I somewhat wish they wouldn’t because…

The guys in the draft rule. I love watching these guys and hearing people argue about them. The top 5 seems to fun and then the depth at guard looks great. This is a real key for the Mavs future. Who is your guy at the moment?

Snake Bytes 1/28: The Business of Baseball Getting in the Way of the Game

Diamondbacks News

Nolan Arenado to Play for Puerto Rico in WBC
Somehow, I don’t think anyone will have an issue with this particular decision to play.

Examining the Potential Return of Gallen
What does it look like and what would it mean?

Marte, the Diamondbacks, and the Offseason
Has there been a bigger nothing-burger story propping up the offseason rumour mill?

Other MLB News

The Mets are Having a Swell Offseason
While there were a lot of eyebrows raised early in the winter, the Mets are shaping into a serious threat and are starting to resemble a big-money version of the Milwaukee Brewers.

2026 top MLB Prospect Rankings: Superlatives for 101-200
If even remotely accurate, this list does not bode well for the Diamondbacks, though Tommy Troy could change much of that, especially with a bit of help from Kohl Drake and Kayson Cunningham. It shouldn’t take long at all to see if pundits are sleeping on David Hagaman or have him pegged right.

Jose Altuve and Carlos Correa to Miss WBC Due to Insurance Issues
Houston’s Jose Altuve and Carlos Correa were expecting to represent Venezuela and Puerto Rico respectively in the WBC. Neither player was able to land insurance for their 2026 contracts though, so both are being prohibited from participating in the event. Stuff like this is what keeps the WBC from growing in stature faster. Hopefully, this won’t become a widespread problem for the rest of the stars.

Is MLB Parity Possible Without a Salary Cap?
Probably, though it seems highly unlikely as there would need to be too many things restructured. It is certainly the easiest and most straight-forward approach to finding parity of opportunity.

Brazil's Corinthians defeats Gotham FC 1-0 in Women’s Champions Cup semifinal

LONDON (AP) — Corinthians captain Gabi Zanotti scored late as her team beat Gotham FC 1-0 in the semifinals of the inaugural Women’s Champions Cup intercontinental competition on Wednesday.

The 40-year-old Zanotti connected with a cross and shot with her left boot to the right of Gotham’s German international goalkeeper Ann-Katrin Berger, who got her hands to the ball but couldn’t stop it slipping through in the 82nd minute.

It had been a scrappy game of few clear-cut chances for either team.

Gotham, which qualified for the inaugural FIFA event by winning the first CONCACAF Champions Cup, had pushed hard for the opener in the second half. Jaelin Howell forced Leticia in the Corinthians goal into action, then fired another good chance high and wide.

Gotham made a desperate push for a late equalizer with Berger going up for a free kick deep in stoppage time. Jaedyn Shaw sent it to the right of the post.

Corinthians, the Copa Libertadores champion, awaits the winner between Arsenal and African champion ASFAR of Rabat, Morocco in the second semifinal later.

Both the final and third-place match are to be played Sunday at Arsenal’s stadium.

___

AP soccer: https://apnews.com/hub/soccer