Worldwide Sports News

Another day of minor league baseball is in the books. See the results below. Check out the previous day’s recap here.

AAA: Sugar Land Space Cowboys (23-32) lost 6-1 (BOX SCORE)

The offense got on the board in the first inning on a Strahm RBI groundout. Brown made a rehab start for Sugar Land last night and was great striking out 5 over 3 innings allowing just one hit, a solo home run. He touched 99.3 MPH. Hendrickson relieved Brown and allowed 5 runs over 5 innings and the offense was stifled the rest of the way as Sugar Land fell 6-1.

Note: Maldonado has a 2.86 ERA this season.

• Zach Cole, RF: 3-for-4, R, 2B, SB
• Kellen Strahm, CF: 1-for-4, RBI
• James Nelson, LF: 1-for-3, BB, SB

• Hunter Brown, RHP: 3.0 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 0 BB, 5 K
• Josh Hendrickson, LHP: 5.0 IP, 6 H, 5 R, 5 ER, 3 BB, 4 K
• Anthony Maldonado, RHP: 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 1 K

AA: Corpus Christi Hooks (23-26) lost 8-1 (BOX SCORE)

Swanson got the start for the Hooks and was pitching well until the 4th inning where he allowed 5 runs. After scoreless outings from Santos and Torres, Leach allowed 3 runs as the Mission extended their lead. The offense got on the board in the 8th inning on an Encarnacion RBI groundout but that was it as the Hooks fell 8-1.

Note: Santos has a 3.54 ERA this season.

• Jason Schiavone, DH: 0-for-2, R, BB
• Pascanel Ferreras, 3B: 2-for-3, 2B, BB
• Yamal Encarnacion, 2B: 0-for-4, RBI
• Drew Brutcher, 1B: 0-for-2, BB, SB

• Nic Swanson, RHP: 3.1 IP, 3 H, 5 R, 5 ER, 3 BB, 5 K
• Alex Santos, RHP: 1.1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 3 BB, 1 K
• Alejandro Torres, RHP: 1.1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 1 K
• Hudson Leach, RHP: 1.0 IP, 0 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 3 BB, 1 K
• Michael Cuevas, RHP: 1.0 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 1 K

A+: Asheville Tourists (10-38) won 13-8 (BOX SCORE)

Smith got the start and allowed 4 runs, all in the first inning, over 4 innings of work. The offense got on the board in the third on a Batista solo home run. The offense added 6 more runs in the 4th inning on a Garcia 2 run double, Batista RBI single and Thomas 3 run home run. They picked up another run in the 6th on an error. In the 8th inning, Moss connected on a 2 run single. The offense got 3 more runs in the 9th on an error, Frey RBI single and Call sac fly. The pen allowed a few runs late but held on for the 13-8 win.

Note: Thomas has a .897 OPS this season.

• Justin Thomas, CF: 2-for-5, 3 R, HR, 4 RBI, SB
• Ethan Frey, RF: 2-for-6, RBI
• Chase Call, LF: 1-for-4, R, RBI, BB, 2 SB
• Jack Moss, 1B: 1-for-5, 2 RBI, BB
• Kyle Walker, 2B: 0-for-3, R, 2 BB, SB
• Alejandro Nunez, 3B: 0-for-3, R, 2 BB
• John Garcia, DH: 2-for-5, 2 R, 2 2B, 2 RBI
• Freuddy Batista, C: 3-for-4, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI, BB
• Zach Daudet, SS: 1-for-3, 2 R, BB, SB

• Parker Smith, RHP: 4.0 IP, 4 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 1 BB, 6 K
• Eurys Martich, RHP: 2.1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 3 K (WIN)
• Francisco Frias, RHP: 1.1 IP, 0 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 3 BB, 1 K
• Nate Wohlgemuth, RHP: 1.1 IP, 2 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 2 BB, 3 K

A: Fayetteville Woodpeckers (21-28) lost 3-2 (BOX SCORE)

The Woodpeckers got on the board in the first inning on an Ochoa 2 run home run. Weber got the start and pitched really well allowing 1 run over 6 innings with 3 strikeouts. The Howlers tied the game in the 7th getting a run off of Rosario. The game would go to extra innings and in the 10th, the Howlers walked it off as Fayetteville fell 3-2.

Note: Alvarez is hitting .375 over his last 9 games.

• Xavier Neyens, 3B: 1-for-5, SB
• Kevin Alvarez, CF: 2-for-3, R, 2B, BB
• Nehomar Ochoa, 1B: 1-for-4, R, HR, 2 RBI
• Juan Sierra, RF: 2-for-4
• Camilo Diaz, 2B: 1-for-4, 2B
• Carlos Cauro, C: 2-for-4
• German Ramirez, SS: 1-for-3, BB, SB

• Charlie Weber, RHP: 6.0 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K
• Leomar Rosario, RHP: 1.0 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 2 BB, 2 K
• Jose Serrano, RHP: 2.1 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 2 K

Today’s minor league starters:

SL: Ryan Weiss – 6:05 CT

CC: Brett Gillis – 7:05 CT

AV: TBD – 5:45 CT

FV: TBD – 5:30 CT

It was that kind of day in St. Louis. The Cubs jumped right on top with three runs in the top of the first, then gave three runs right back in the bottom of the inning. They got a run in the second, but allowed single runs in the fourth and fifth, then chased the remainder of the game, coming up short. The Cub bullpen did throw 2.2 innings of one run ball to end the game, but Cub starter Shōta Imanaga allowed five runs in just 5.1 innings. That and the one run allowed by Phil Maton out of the pen were too much for the Cub offense on this night. They did manage 11 hits, but only drew one walk and one hit by pitch. All together, it just wasn’t enough. For what has been all too frequent an occurrence recently, the Cubs came up short.

Five runs isn’t too bad of an outcome for the offense, but the six runs allowed by Cub pitching are just too much. Shōta Imanaga was all too vulnerable in 2025 and after a nice resurgence in April, he’s been very beatable in May. The calendar is going to turn to June, but stop me if you’ve heard this before, I’m not sure the warmer weather is going to do him any favors. Compounding matters for him were a walk and a hit by pitch in the first inning. He only allowed five hits, which isn’t awful, but one was a three-run homer.

Each team had a three-run homer allowed in the first inning. Imanaga’s gave away all of the momentum of the first inning and for that matter the last two days. When Cade Horton was hurt, Justin Steele was reinjured and Matthew Boyd was sidelined, you had to wonder how the Cubs would get enough outs. It didn’t surface right away, but this team is way too bad at run prevention. The cherry on top was the run allowed by Phil Maton in the eighth. To be fair, the bullpen can’t be expected to have to always be perfect. For Maton, though, it’s been anything but. He had a disastrous April, but even looking at his numbers solely in May, he’s allowed seven runs, all earned, in just 13 innings of work.

We’ve started to talk a little about the lack of high leverage situations for Cub relievers. I’m generally talking about being up a run or two late. But I guess this is a different kind of leverage spot, a one-run deficit late. The kind of game where you have to shut the door and hope the offense comes through. Of course, ex-Cub Nelson Velázquez was right in the middle of most of the scoring. He started the eighth inning rally with a one-out single and ultimately scored the decisive run. Maton had two strikes and two outs before Masyn Winn extended the inning with a single. José Fermín then followed with a single on an 0-2 pitch. Twice Cardinal hitters wriggled off of Maton’s hook when he couldn’t put them away with two strikes and favorable counts.

Velázquez had a nice game, with two hits, one a homer and three runs driven in. This was, of course, his first game as a Cardinal. After an unremarkable stint with the Triple-A Memphis Redbirds (.232/.344/.420), the Cardinals called him up and dropped him right into the four spot in their order. You would have to be happy for Nelson literally any other day.

Just another frustrating day as a Cub fan. All too many of them these last few weeks.

Three Positives:

• Ian Happ had a three-run homer in the first and added a double. He homers for the third straight game for the second time this year. He owns NL Central pitching.
• Seiya Suzuki had three hits in four chances.
• Michael Busch had three hits in five chances, driving in two and scoring one.

Game 58, May 29: Cardinals 6, Cubs 5 (31-27)

Reminder: Heroes and Goats are determined by WPA scores and are in no way subjective.

THREE HEROES:

• Superhero: Ian Happ (.247). 2-5, HR, 2B, 3 RBI, R
• Hero: Seiya Suzuki (.092). 3-4
• Sidekick: Ethan Roberts (.066). 1.2 IP, 6 BF, H (0.60 ERA on the season)

THREE GOATS:

• Billy Goat: Shōta Imanaga (-.296). 5.1 IP, 23 BF, 5 H, BB, 5 ER, 2 K, 2 HBP (L 4-6)
• Goat: Michael Conforto (-.165). 0-4
• Kid: Carson Kelly (-.123). 0-4

WPA Play of the Game: Ian Happ’s three-run homer with two outs in the first. (.250)

Pirates Play of the Game: Nelson Velazquez’ three-run homer with one out in the first. (.232)

Cubs Player of the Game:

Game 57 Winner: Ian Happ with 134 of 179 votes.

Rizzo Award Standings: (Top 5/Bottom 5)

The award is named for Anthony Rizzo, who finished first in this category three of the first four years it was in existence and four times overall. He also recorded the highest season total ever at +65.5. The point scale is three points for a Superhero down to negative three points for a Billy Goat.

• Michael Busch +21
• Ian Happ +12.5
• Alex Bregman +9.5
• Nico Hoerner +9
• Michael Conforto +7
• Jameson Taillon/Phil Maton -9
• Matt Shaw -10
• Dansby Swanson -12
• Seiya Suzuki -24.5

Current Win Pace: 86.59 wins

Up Next: Game two of the three-game series. Ben Brown (1-2, 2.01, 44.2 IP) makes his fifth start of the year. He’s 0-1 with a 1.89 ERA since becoming a starter. That’s just 19 innings of work as he gets fully stretched out. But he’s been pretty terrific in every role they’ve used him in this year.

Kyle Leahy (5-3, 4.44, 50.2 IP) makes his 11th start of the season. The 17th round pick of the Cardinals back in 2018 (513th overall) has made just 11 starts in his young career. Last time out, the Reds scored five runs in five innings against him.

This is a matchup the Cubs should win. You’d like to have a split in hand before sending Jordan Wicks to the mound for the finale. Wicks was knocked around pretty good in his first 2026 MLB game.

Find a way. Win another game.

Worcester: W, 6-5 (BOX SCORE)

The lone winner in the organization Friday night, the WooSox and Michael Sansone were hit around by the Rail Riders (Yankees AAA) to start and needed some late offense to bring them home, where Tommy Kahnle again slammed the door in the ninth. That late offense was an eighth-inning leadoff triple by Allan Castro and subsequent knock by Jason Delay. Allan Castro may be hitting just over .200, but on Friday, he was the driving force in the win.

Portland: L, 4-5 (F/10) (BOX SCORE)

Franklin Arias had yet another multi-hit game. So, too, did Miguel Bleis, who’s recovering okay but not great after some early struggles. And Caden Rose, the 24-year-old outfielder out of Alabama, had three hits, but still, the team stranded ten runners and the Rumble Ponies (Mets AA) ended up walking Portland off in extras. This was despite Portland outhitting Binghamton 11-6.

Greenville: L, 8-13 (BOX SCORE)

Shea Sprague got taken for a ride in the fourth inning, as Asheville (Astros High-A) scored six runs against the Drive. Despite scoring four runs in the bottom of the first including Mason White hitting his ninth home run of the season, after that early defensive melt down, Greenville never got closer than 3 runs down after the fourth and, even when they put more offense on the board, it was only in response to Asheville also putting some runs up earlier in the inning.

Salem: L, 3-9 (BOX SCORE)

Salem and Hickory (Rangers A) traded fourth-inning runs, the RidgeYaks’ coming off the bat of a home run from Skylar King. Jose Bello let walks get the best of him to start the fifth and Salem found themselves down by three runs, and then answered with two of their own. Still a winnable game… until Harry Blum let five runs cross in the eighth and Salem simply couldn’t answer.

Have a sleepy Saturday.

Diamondbacks News

Marte’s Hit Streak, Snakes Fall to Mariners in Extras
Geraldo Perdomo broke ot of his funk, but Zac Gallen was unable to keep the qality start streak alive. In the end, the Diamondbacks were unable to capitalize on some opportunities and fell in extras.

Diamondbacks Walked Off in 10
A bit better timing by either Zac Gallen or the offense (if not both) and this game goes the other way.

I expect there will be plenty more posts like the one above until after Gallen is gone from the team, regardless of how the rest of the season goes. Gallen certainly is doing himself no favours, but it isn’t as though there were better options to be had at the time.

Former AZ Reliever John Curtiss Heads to Mexico
Not at all where I expected this old friend alert to end up.

Other Baseball News

MLB CBA Panic Check
Jeff Passan and others are still trying to keep a positive spin on tings and point out that it is entirely too early to panic.

Spencer Striders Fascinating First Examined
Diamondbacks fans are well aware that simply giving up three in the first inning is not the end of the world if the pitcher can buckle down moving forward.

What Should Giants Do with Robbie Ray
Another old friend alert. After bouncing back from injury in Arizona, Robbie Ray went on to be one of the better pitchers in the American League for a spell. Now, he’s starting to show signs of aging jst as the Giants are looking at the possibility of unloading him at the deadline.

MLB Power Rankings Week 9 – End of May Edition
The Diamondbacks recent run of games against the Giants and Rockies has lifted them to #8 in the latest rankings.

Murakami Exits Game Due to Hamstring Tightness

The South-sider’s slugging rookie phenom left last night’s tilt against the Tigers early after suffering a tweak in his right hamstring running to first base. He will undergo imaging today and is likely headed to the IL.

Hickory starter Aidan Deakins allowed three runs in 4.1 IP, striking out four and walking two.

Yolfran Castillo went 3 for 4 with a walk and a stolen base. Paulino Santana had a pair of walks and a stolen base. Hector Osorio had a pair of walks. Josh Springer had a hit.

Hickory box score

Hub City was no hit.

Caden Scarborough made his first full season start of the season, allowing a solo homer in four innings while striking out three.

Hub City box score

The Roughriders played two. Rafe Perich joined the Roughriders from Hub City, making his AA debut.

In Game One, Frisco starter Winston Santos struck out eight in 5.2 IP, walking three and allowing three runs, including a home run. Eric Loomis faced three batters and allowed a run on one hit and one walk, striking out one.

Arturo Disla went 3 for 3. Dylan Dreiling had a hit.

In Game Two, Dalton Pence struck out six and walked one in six shutout innings.

Ian Moller was 2 for 3 with a homer and a walk. Dylan Dreiling homered. Rafe Perich walked. Keith Jones II walked twice and stole a base.

Frisco Game One box score

Frisco Game Two box score

For Round Rock, Robbie Ahlstrom allowed a run in 0.2 IP, striking out one and walking one. Joe Ross struck out three in two shutout innings. Ryan Brasier threw a shutout inning. Michel Otanez struck out one, walked one and allowed a solo homer in an inning of work. Emiliano Teodo needed just 9 pitches (7 strikes) to retire the side in the ninth, striking out two.

Cam Cauley had two hits, two walks and a stolen base. John Taylor, promoted to Round Rock from Frisco, tripled. Aaron Zavala had a hit and three walks.

Round Rock box score

ACL Rangers box score

The Mets' wins haven't been pretty, but they are finding a way. 

That was again the case on Friday night, as New York blew a late lead but battled to open a three-game weekend set with a much-needed gusty walk-off win over the Marlins in 10 innings. 

It was their league-high 11th extra-inning victory to this point, and here’s how it played out: 

Unlike last weekend in Miami, New York was able to come through with some timely hits early on against Max Meyer, scratching across four runs in the bottom of the first.

“The guys put together some really good at-bats there,” Carlos Mendoza said. "We saw Myers over the weekend and he was nasty, so it was good to see them set the tone out of the gate."

Freddy Peralta followed that with a scoreless second inning, but then the Marlins were able to get themselves on the board after making him work through a 38-pitch third. 

The righty ended up being chased with four runs allowed (two earned) in 4.2 innings of work. 

“Give those guys a lot of credit,” Mendoza said. “They made him work and grinded out some long at-bat's, we didn’t make some plays in the field which cost him some pitches, but they made it tough on him.”

The skipper was forced to lean heavily on his bullpen once again, and things went as planned until Tobias Myers allowed a game-tying two-run homer in the top of the eighth.

The struggling Myers ended up being optioned to Triple-A following the game.

Before that, though, this one was pushed to extras where Austin Warren did a tremendous job stranding the ghost runner at second which set up MJ Melendez to send the fans home happy with a towering two-run blast.

It was the first walk-off knock of Melendez’s big-league career. 

“Honestly pretty speechless, kind of a surreal feeling,” the lefty said. “It’s something that I’ve never done before at the major league level, so it was a really crazy feeling.”

The Mets have now won back-to-back games for just the seventh time this season. 

Three of their last five victories have come in extras, with the other two being a one and two-run ballgame. 

It’s a trend that they know isn’t sustainable, but they’ll take it for now. 

“At the big-league level you take the wins however they come,” Mendoza emphasized. “Especially with how hard it’s been for us this year -- ideally on a night like tonight, we had to use pretty much everyone that was available.

“Is that sustainable? Of course not. But at this level it’s just whatever it takes day in and day out, we worry about tomorrow tomorrow, and I’m glad that the boys were able to come through today.” 

We have talked about him quite a bit this season, but Curtis Mead’s production at the plate continues to amaze me. The Aussie has gone from a short side of a first base platoon to the everyday third baseman on the strength of his bat. As a prospect, Mead was supposed to be an elite bat, and he is showing it now with the Nats.

When the Nats traded for the recently DFA’d Curtis Mead, he was known as the failed prospect who was traded for Cristopher Sanchez. While Mead was fizzling out with the Rays and White Sox, Sanchez was becoming one of the premier arms in the National League. It is one of the few times where the Rays were fleeced.

After the trade went down in 2019, it seemed like the Rays had done it again. MLB Pipeline even wrote in their 2023 preseason scouting report that Mead has become the poster boy of why teams should be hesitant to trade with the Rays. This was when Mead was a top 35 prospect in baseball and Sanchez was struggling to carve out a big league role in Philly.

However, in the years that followed, Sanchez thrived, while baseball began to kick Mead in the teeth. It felt like Mead was becoming one of those AAAA players. The Aussie always put up big numbers in AAA, but it did not translate to the big leagues. In 2025, Mead posted a .620 OPS with the Rays and the White Sox, where he was traded after the Rays gave up on him.

Right as the season was about to kick off, the White Sox also gave up on Mead. With a crowded infield group, the White Sox decided to DFA the 25 year old Mead. The Nats jumped on this opportunity, and it did not hurt that they knew the person as well. When Mead was in Single-A, a young Blake Butera was his manager. That connection helped convince Paul Toboni to jump the waiver line, and trade 2025 6th rounder Boston Smith for Mead. Smith is actually doing quite well, but with the way Mead is hitting, it does not matter.

While Curtis Mead has always been able to hit, he has not been able to show power or patience at the MLB level before this season. Now, he is doing both at a very high level. Mead and Bryce Harper are the only NL first baseman with at least a .350 OBP and 140 wRC+. That is obviously great company to be keeping.

Calling Mead a first baseman would not be totally correct though. For most of the year, Mead has been at first, in a platoon with Luis Garcia Jr., but that has changed lately. After Brady House got sent down, Mead became the everyday third baseman. 

Having Mead face right handed pitching has been a master stroke so far. He actually has reverse splits this season, with a .730 OPS against lefties and a .979 OPS against righties in a nearly identical number of at bats. At first, he was pigeon holed into a platoon role, but eventually the Nats realized that this dude can mash against anyone.

You can see that in the numbers. After hitting 4 homers in his first three seasons as a big leaguer, Mead already has 8 this season. His walk rate has also gone from 5.7% to 14% between 2025 and 2026. When I talked to Mead, he told me that finding the right pitches to hit and swinging at pitches he could do damage on were his big goals in the offseason. Well, he has certainly accomplished those two things, and it has totally unlocked his game.

Honestly, this is the sort of player Mead was supposed to be when he was a prospect. He is a bat first guy who can play all over the infield, even if the defense is not stellar. There is a reason this guy had a 65 grade hit tool as a prospect. That is not a grade that is just handed out like candy.

Mead just needed to make a few adjustments to get there. When the Nats picked him up, you could tell that his approach needed to improve when you looked at his data. He hit the ball pretty hard, but it just did not result in power because he was swinging at everything. Mead also struck out a lot for a guy who did not whiff a ton, meaning he also fell behind in counts.

He has completely turned those weaknesses into strengths this year. Mead has 21 walks and just 25 strikeouts this season. When you are walking almost as much as you are striking out while hitting for power, you are in the sweetstop. Over half of Mead’s hits have gone for extra bases this year as well.

I also think there is reason to believe that Mead’s batting average should improve as well. That is the only part of his offensive game that is not overly impressive right now. Despite having an .856 OPS this year, Mead is hitting just .244. This is not due to his striking out a ton either, with his K rate sitting at just 16.7%. His BABIP is extraordinarily low at .245, way below his .294 career mark. 

Mead’s expected batting average this season is .264. His BABIP will probably always be on the lower side due to his lack of speed and fly ball heavy attack. However, .245 is too low for anybody. If he raises his average to .260, that OPS will only go up.

Curtis Mead has been the best find for this front office so far. The Aussie has been the Nats third best hitter this season, behind just James Wood and CJ Abrams. He is a big reason why this offense is so electric. The Aussie has become that right handed bat that compliments the two dynamic lefties the Nats have. I love watching Mead hit, and I hope to see him do his thing in DC for years to come.

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The New York Mets won the series opener in dramatic fashion, hitting a walkoff home run in the bottom of the 10th inning.

My Marlins vs. Mets predictions expect the home side to pick up its third straight win Saturday afternoon.

Let's take a closer look at my MLB picks for May 30.

Who will win Marlins vs Mets today: New York Mets (-135)

Neither offense is above average at generating runs so I’m looking towards pitching to find my edge.

The New York Mets have the advantage with Christian Scott taking the bump. He owns a 2.8 FIP and 3.0 ERA over the past month despite a .328 batting average on balls put in play, which should drop moving forward.

His stuff has been excellent, allowing him to sit down 27.9% of opposing batters by strikeout. 

Tyler Phillips’ xERA is more than two runs higher than his ERA, suggesting regression could be coming. Back the Mets to -145.

COVERS INTEL:Christian Scott ranks in the 98th percentile with a 1.5% barrel rate, allowing him to neutralize power effectively.

Marlins vs Mets Over/Under pick: Under 7.0 (-105)

The easiest way to score runs is with power and both teams are lacking.

The Miami Marlins are tied for 27th in home runs and the numbers under the hood don’t provide any reason for optimism. The Marlins have posted an ISO of .117 against right-handed pitching this month, ranking them 29th in the majors.

While the Mets have fared a little better, it’s still not pretty. They sit tied for 21st in homers, 30th in SLG, and 30th in OPS. 

There is very little juice in their offense, even with Juan Soto lighting it right now. Play to -115.

Marlins vs Mets odds

• Moneyline: Marlins +115 | Mets -135
• Run line: Marlins +1.5 (-190) | Mets -1.5 (+160)
• Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+110) | Under 7.5 (-130)

Marlins vs Mets trend

New York has hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+18.15 units, 36% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Marlins vs. Mets.

How to watch Marlins vs Mets and game info

Marlins vs Mets latest injuries

Marlins vs Mets weather

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The Atlanta Braves look to grab another series win tonight when they face the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has suddenly caught fire, and my Braves vs. Reds predictions and MLB picks are backing this dangerous Atlanta lineup to put up big numbers on the reeling hosts. 

Who will win Braves vs Reds today: Atlanta -1.5 (+113)

Cincinnati Reds starter Brady Singer has lost a full MPH off his sinker, an inch of vertical break compared to 2025. That’s why hitters are rocking a .404 wOBA and .501 xSLG vs. his primary pitch.

Add in a fastball RV/100 of -16.8 RV/100 and a cutter with an xSLG of .871, and it’s easy to see why his 4.8 HR/9 is the highest of any qualified starter in May.

That’s a recipe for disaster at Great American Ballpark in warm conditions, especially given the Atlanta Braves' fifth-lowest 0.94 GB/FB rate in May.

I’m backing the Braves -1.5 up to even money.

COVERS INTEL:Hitters are pulling Singer’s offerings at a clip of 50.8% this month, while registering a HR/FB rate of 36%—the highest of any starter with at least 15 innings pitched.

Braves vs Reds Over/Under pick: Over 9.5 (+100)

Graham Ashcraft is the latest Cincinnati bullpen arm lost to injury. The pieces left in place are getting rocked.

That’s going to happen when you allow a 53.5% FB rate over the past two weeks, with 19.1% of them clearing the fences. Both those marks are the worst in the majors in that span.

The weather conditions at GABP rank fifth-best in the league on Saturday, and Martin Perez’s1.46 HR/9 and 14.8% HR/FB road metrics will help push the scoring into double-figures.

Take the Over to -120.

Braves vs Reds odds

• Moneyline: Braves -138 | Reds +133
• Run line: Braves -1.5 (+113) | Reds +1.5 (-117)
• Over/Under: Over 9.5 (+100) | Under 9.5 (-104)

Braves vs Reds trend

The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 50 away games (+31.65 Units / 52% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Braves vs. Reds.

How to watch Braves vs Reds and game info

Braves vs Reds latest injuries

Braves vs Reds weather

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