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The dinger run continues with another +550 in the bag last night, pushing this homer heater to 8-16 SU for 20+ units over the last eight articles.
There's still a hole to climb out of, but with summer here, I'm letting the good times roll with home runs and MLB player props.
I'm pushing a lot of chips into the middle in this Cubs vs. Mets game and taking a hitter on both sides in a great run environment with two of the hottest sticks in baseball.
Let's also add friend of the show, Brandon Marsh, back to the card. He's been killing it in the Washington series and has a great setting to hit his third homer vs. the Nationals this week.
These are my favorite home run props for Thursday, June 25.
- UPDATE: Added another HR pick + parlay.
Best MLB home run props today
| Player to hit a HR | Odds |
|---|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | +335 |
Bo Bichette | +504 |
Brandon Marsh | +670 |
| 💲Today's HR parlay | +16840 |
Home run pick: Pete Crow-Armstrong (+335)
This is a little outside my usual price range, but we're talking about the hottest hitter in baseball, Pete Crow-Armstrong.
He leads the league in both slugging and wRC+ over the last two weeks, has crushed a league-best six home runs during that span, and paces all hitters with 10 bombs in June.
Citi Field is set up for offense tonight with 14-mph winds blowing out to center field, two taxed bullpens, and a pair of starters who have been generous lately.
Freddy Peralta has allowed 26 runs over his last 31 innings, and is coming off a start where he surrendered 10 runs and two homers. He may also be asked to wear some innings with the Mets missing several high-leverage bullpen arms.
The first three games of this series have already produced 43 runs, and I'm expecting the offenses to keep rolling Thursday night. I'm buying PCA at +300 or better.
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: SNY, Marquee Sports Network
Home run pick: Bo Bichette (+504)
Bo Bichette is not the punching bag he was last month.
Over the last two weeks, he's been a Top-5 hitter in wRC+, slugging, and wOBA. He hit his 10th homer of the season last night and owns a 1.135 OPS over his last four series with eight multi-hit games in 12 contests.
The winds are blowing out to center field at 14 mph tonight, and this series has been nothing but runs through three games in two days.
Bichette lost Juan Soto, but Francisco Lindor is back and provides more punch to the lineup. The former Jay also gets a great matchup against left-hander Matthew Boyd.
Boyd is returning from injury, was pitching to a 6.00 ERA before going down, threw just 58 pitches in his last rehab start, and is backed by a bullpen that could be down four arms after yesterday's doubleheader.
Bichette has seen the lefty five times and taken him deep once. I am all-in on runs in this game, and this is my favorite home run prop on the home side. I'd play it down to +425.
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: SNY, Marquee Sports Network
Home run pick: Brandon Marsh (+670)
Oh look, it's me betting a Brandon Marsh home run again for the third straight day.
He cashed at +660 on Tuesday, and although he didn't go deep yesterday, he followed it up with a three-hit game — his second straight.
Over the first three games of this series against Washington, Marsh is 7-for-13 with two homers, and gets another great opportunity today to leave the yard for a third time in the series.
There are double-digit winds blowing out to left field, Marsh has already seen plenty of this bullpen (including a homer off closer Brad Lord), and Cade Cavalli is still pitching above his underlying numbers. Over the last month, he ranks among the bottom 40 starters in baseball in xERA.
Left-handed hitters are batting .303 against him this season with an .807 OPS, and the warmer weather appears to be catching up to him. Opponents own an .840 OPS against Cavalli in June, compared to an OPS below .700 earlier in the season.
I'm once again playing Marsh at any number that starts with +600.
- Time: 6:45 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBCSP, Nationals.TV
Josh Inglis' 2026 Transparency Record
- HR picks: 20-121, -18.33 units
Today’s HR parlay
Pete Crow-Armstrong | Bet Now +16840 |
Bo Bichette |
Brandon Marsh |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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