When the schedule makers came up with this year’s second installment of the Subway Series, they no doubt had Friday’s commemoration of the 9/11 attacks in mind but also a matchup of two New York teams expected to be at least in the hunt for the postseason. Instead, the Mets’ playoff chances were pretty much done in by a 12-game losing streak in April.
However, they have played better of late and could impact the Yankees’ path to October. The Yankees, though, got a much-needed boost from the return of Aaron Judge this week.
Here’s a look at how the teams match up heading into Friday’s series opener in The Bronx.
At the plate
Getting on base
The Mets are a much different team since they were sellers at the Aug. 3 trade deadline, and they’ve defied expectations by improving in a handful of areas, including this one. In addition to Bo Bichette looking more like himself, the Mets have gotten contributions from Carson Benge and Brett Baty, as well as unlikely sources such as Jared Young and Luis Torrens. Now, they have a healthy Juan Soto — although Baty is dealing with a potential knee injury. The continued struggles of Francisco Lindor, A.J. Ewing and Francisco Alvarez have limited the offense. Meanwhile, the Yankees have been inconsistent in virtually every aspect of their offense since Judge went down with a fractured rib at the end of May. He’s just come off the injured list, but the Yankees hope his presence will help the likes of Ben Rice and Cody Bellinger and that deadline acquisitions Luis García Jr. and Heliot Ramos find their groove at the plate, since the team had the worst on-base percentage in the majors without its captain. Losing Jazz Chisholm Jr. to a sprained thumb hurts because the second baseman was hitting well over the last two weeks after slumping for much of the season.
Edge: Yankees
Power
Somehow, since the trade deadline the Mets entered Wednesday with the second-highest slugging percentage in the majors. Perhaps the slugging of Baty, Bichette and Soto will continue in The Bronx and Lindor, who’s shown some pop lately, will benefit from the short porch in right. With Austin Wells, Ryan McMahon and George Lombard Jr. dragging down the bottom of the order, the Yankees need Judge — as well as Bellinger and Rice — to get back into form quickly. Fortunately, Spencer Jones has shown he’s ready to contribute in the middle of the lineup.
Edge: Yankees
In the field
Infield
The Yankees hoped the addition of the smooth-fielding Lombard would improve their defense up the middle, but the rookie shortstop is dealing with growing pains on both sides of the ball as he adjusts to the majors. Without Chisholm at second, the Yankees will have to go with José Caballero or Anthony Volpe, who had played some second base with Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre but remains inexperienced at the spot. García and McMahon have been adequate at the corners, and Wells has handled the pitching staff well. Across town, Young has been serviceable at first, as has Bichette at third, but Semien and Lindor clearly have taken steps back at second and short, respectively, and Torrens remains far superior to Alvarez behind the plate.
Edge: Even
Outfield
How much time is Judge going to spend in right field? If it was up to him, he’d be there every inning of every game, but the Yankees insist they’ll be cautious. That means Ramos or Jasson Domínguez could see action there. No thanks. Jones has looked solid in center, with Bellinger an expert in left. Soto and the Mets are still being cautious with him in left after his return from a calf strain, plus left field at the Stadium is spacious. Nick Morabito should see time there, with Ewing (with his speed) and Benge (with his arm) already having proved themselves defensively.
Edge: Mets
On the bases
Caballero has been dangerous on the basepaths, though he as been unable to get on base consistently. Coupled with Chisholm’s absence, it doesn’t do them much good. Ewing and Benge can wreak havoc on the bases, and Morabito is a known speedster but already has been caught stealing twice.
Edge: Mets
Bench
Losing Chisholm hurts their depth, too. Ramos is best utilized when facing left-handed pitching, while last year’s lefty-killer Amed Rosario has been bad all year, and Caballero’s effectiveness has slipped. Ali Sánchez hasn’t done much as Wells’ backup. Baty has been valuable at various positions, although his bat is his best weapon, while Mark Vientos has potential for pop, as does Christopher Morel.
Edge: Yankees
On the mound
Rotation
Carlos Rodón, Gerrit Cole and Cam Schlittler are slated to start for the Yankees. Rodón has been effective but unable to pitch deep into games since returning from an inflamed elbow, and Cole has been uncharacteristically shaky. At least Schlittler has been in Cy Young form. The Mets will counter with three promising rookies: Nolan McLean, lefty Zac Thornton and Christian Scott.
Edge: Yankees
Bullpen
The Yankees figure to have plenty of moving parts in their pen as they approach the playoffs. For now, they’ve gotten strong pitching from lefty Brett Headrick, ex-Met Paul Blackburn, and closer David Bednar. Michael Fulmer, another former Met, also is in the pen alongside newcomer John Schreiber. Mets interim manager Andy Green has been forced to get creative after the pen was dismantled at the deadline. Nate Lavender, Daniel Duarte and Dedniel Núñez have been solid, as has Kodai Senga in his new role finishing games.
Edge: Yankees
Manager
The Mets have a new manager in the dugout since the team’s last meeting, and Green has the team playing better, while Aaron Boone has the Yankees in line for another playoff berth.
Edge: Yankees
Intangibles
The Mets have shown some spunk following the sell-off, but the Yankees — who were without Judge for three-plus months and still held on to a playoff spot — clearly have been energized by the return of the best hitter in the game. As long as he stays healthy, that won’t change.
Edge: Yankees
