Raptors vs Cavaliers Prediction, Picks & Best Bets for Today's NBA Playoffs Game 2

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The last time I saw a bunch of dinosaurs taking that much of a pounding, Morgan Freeman was narrating an asteroid hitting Earth in the late Cretaceous.

The Cleveland Cavaliers crushed the Toronto Raptors by 13 points in their series opener this weekend, but that margin doesn’t reflect just how strong the Cavaliers look. 

They took a 21-point lead into the fourth quarter, allowing Cleveland to rest some of its key contributors, like Evan Mobley.

Our Raptors vs. Cavaliers predictions are optimistic about Cleveland’s forward, and my NBA picks are taking him to clear his points prop again in Game 2.

Raptors vs Cavaliers prediction

Who will win Raptors vs Cavaliers Game 2?

Cavaliers: The Cavaliers have too many options. The guard duo of Donovan Mitchell and James Harden was especially tricky in Game 1. If the Raptors overcommit to slowing them down, bigs like Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen will feast inside. Game 2 could be closer, but there’s no easy solution for the Raps' defense in this series.

Raptors vs Cavaliers best bet: Evan Mobley Over 16.5 points (-115)

Cleveland Cavaliers big Evan Mobley just topped his 16.5-point scoring prop in Game 1, doing so through only three quarters. 

With the Cavs holding a comfy 21-point cushion entering the fourth quarter, Mobley logged less than six minutes and missed his only shot attempt in that final frame. He finished with 17 points on 6-for-9 shooting through 33 minutes.

The versatile 6-foot-11 forward is a matchup nightmare for the Toronto Raptors. Toronto can put big bodies on Mobley or counter with quicker defenders, but the Raps lack Mobley's combo of size and speed.

After getting shredded by the guard duo of Donovan Mitchell and James Harden in Game 1 (shooting a collective 8-for-14 from 3-point range), expect Toronto to hedge harder on the Cavs’ screen-heavy schemes and not drop as much in an effort to limit those 3-point looks.

That will generate a ton of space for screeners like Mobley, who will also force bad switches and enjoy exploiting size mismatches when the Raptors’ guards swap off pick-and-roll action.

Game 2 has the same spread as the opener, so oddsmakers expect a more competitive effort from Toronto. That will keep Mobley on the floor for more minutes — or at least more involved in the offense.

Player projections range from 17.5 to as high as 18.3 points from Mobley in Game 2, with my number at 17.9.

Raptors vs Cavaliers same-game parlay

The Cavaliers have too many options, including a much stronger bench. Cleveland’s reserves made a massive impact in Game 1, contributing 40 points. Tonight’s tilt will be more competitive than the series opener, but the Cavs will take a 2-0 series lead north of the border.

Toronto can’t just trade threes for twos against the Cavs. The Raptors need production from the perimeter, and Brandon Ingram was very quiet in the opener. He missed his lone 3-point attempt, but closed the regular season with at least two triples in four of his final six games. Game models lean toward two 3-point makes from B.I. tonight.

Raptors vs Cavaliers SGP

  • Cavaliers moneyline
  • Evan Mobley Over 16.5 points
  • Brandon Ingram Over 1.5 threes

Our "from downtown" SGP: Tall Order

The Cavaliers' guards gashed the Raptors in Game 1. With Toronto overcommitting, Cleveland's big men have their time to shine. Both Jarrett Allen and Mobley are projected to top their scoring prop tonight after taking their foot off the gas in the final frame of Game 1.

Raptors vs Cavaliers SGP

  • Cavaliers -8.5
  • Evan Mobley Over 16.5 points
  • Evan Mobley Over 0.5 threes
  • Jarrett Allen Over 13.5 points
  • Jarrett Allen Over 8.5 rebounds

Raptors vs Cavaliers odds for Game 2

  • Spread: Raptors +8.5 (-110) | Cavaliers -8.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Raptors +300 | Cavaliers -380
  • Over/Under: Over 223 (-110) | Under 223 (-110)

Raptors vs Cavaliers betting trend to know

The Raptors have gone Under the total in 27 of their last 40 away games for +12.70 units and a 29% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Raptors vs. Cavaliers.

How to watch Raptors vs Cavaliers Game 2

LocationRocket Arena, Cleveland, OH
DateMonday, April 20, 2026
Tip-off7:00 p.m. ET
TVPeacock/NBCSN

Raptors vs Cavaliers latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Flyers look to pad lead in first-round playoff series against Penguins

Flyers look to pad lead in first-round playoff series against Penguins originally appeared on NBC Sports Philadelphia

PITTSBURGH — The Flyers on Monday night will try to take a 2-0 lead in their best-of-seven first-round playoff series against the Penguins.

Rick Tocchet’s club has had a businesslike approach in Pittsburgh. The Flyers took Game 1 with a 3-2 decision Saturday night. They know they have plenty of more work to do against a Penguins team with all kinds of pedigree.

“Hall of Famers over there, right?” Trevor Zegras said Sunday. “We didn’t do much so far. We played a good game and won. Obviously we love winning and that’s what we’re trying to do, but far from over and far from what the main goal is here, for sure.”

Puck drop at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled for around 7 p.m. ET on NBC Sports Philadelphia. Coverage begins at 6:30 p.m. ET with Flyers Pregame Live.

Here is some recommended reading.

Dvorak ‘fits in everywhere’ with Flyers, a team he believed could make playoffs

Big third period, strong defensive effort propel Flyers to Game 1 win over Penguins

Flyers start playoffs with sweet new shirt that ‘says a lot’

Get Crosby ‘in the ditches,’ Michkov’s role and more Flyers vs. Penguins thoughts

Outside doubt motivated Flyers, but so did Briere’s undisclosed message

NHL announces Flyers vs. Penguins playoff schedule for first-round matchup

Flyers are going back to playoffs in unforgettable fashion

Here are some updates and visuals from the last few days.

Good Morning San Diego: Padres get back to winning ways; Mason Miller closes in on history

ANAHEIM, CALIFORNIA - APRIL 19: Mike Trout #27 of the Los Angeles Angels is out at second base in the fourth inning against the San Diego Padres at Angel Stadium of Anaheim on April 19, 2026 in Anaheim, California. (Photo by Joe Scarnici/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The San Diego Padres dropped the first game in their series with the Los Angeles Angels, but they bounced backto win the next two games thanks to scoreless starts from German Marquez and Micael King. The offense was not stellar in any of the games in Los Angeles, but in the two wins, the San Diego lineup did enough to put the team over the top. The result of the back-to-back wins was the fifth consecutive series win for the Padres. San Diego will have an off day today and will open a three-game series against the Colorado Rockies in Denver on Tuesday before another day off and a trip to Mexico City to face the Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday and Sunday. It has been a successful couple of weeks for the San Diego ballclub and the hope is that they can continue that success this week with a Colorado team that was swept in a four-game series at Petco Park to open the last homestand.

Padres News:

  • The San Diego offense in Los Angeles did not look like the same offense that won seven games and two series at Petco Park last week. If the Padres can find offensive consistency, it could be an exciting year in San Diego.
  • Mason Miller closed out the last two games against the Angels and with two more scoreless innings, he finds himself staring at Padres history, needing just one more scoreless inning to tie the record for the longest scoreless streak in the franchise’s history.
  • Padres fans invaded Angel Stadium for their three-game series. Watching the games and listening to the broadcasts, chants of “Holy Sheets” and cheers for successful San Diego plays were clearly heard.
  • Jake Cronenworth was hit in the face by a pitch on Saturday night, prompting manager Craig Stammen to remark on his toughness. Cronenworth was out of the lineup Sunday, resulting in Fernando Tatis Jr. getting another start at second base. Because of his absence, it was good to see Cronenworth made a pinch-hit appearance late in the game, even if it resulted in a strikeout.
  • Rosman Verdugo and Alex McCoy took the headlines for the San Diego minor league system with the Triple-A El Paso Chihuahuas being postponed due to weather conditions.    

Baseball News:

Podcast: The Orioles are outsmarting themselves

CLEVELAND, OHIO - APRIL 16: Shortstop Blaze Alexander #23 of the Baltimore Orioles throws out Austin Hedges #27 of the Cleveland Guardians at first during the fifth inning at Progressive Field on April 16, 2026 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images) | Getty Images

In last week’s episode of the podcast, we could tentatively feel a bit better about the Orioles because they were in first place. They went on to defend that position with a thrilling comeback win last Monday night, providing a tantalizing look at what this team could be if enough things click into place at once. The rest of the week was not so fun, as the Orioles went on to win just one game in the three-game set with Arizona and then only one game in a four-gamer in Cleveland. That’s heading the wrong direction.

This week, after watching a couple of high-impact botch jobs that resulted from playing natural infielders in the outfield, I’m feeling frustrated about the ways in which it seems like the Orioles essentially outsmart themselves by thinking that they’re so clever that they can do obviously stupid things and make them work out. “Sure, it’ll be fine if we play Blaze Alexander in center field and Weston Wilson in left field to stack the lineup with righty bats against a lefty pitcher.” “Of course we can put some completely anonymous big minor league power guy in the cleanup spot and have that go fine.”

Typing them out, they sound absolutely ridiculous, and yet the Orioles have tossed Alexander into center field multiple times now, with it costing them both times. They have done the Johnathan Rodríguez as cleanup hitter thing multiple times too. It hasn’t worked yet. There are a number of problems that the Orioles have that they can’t do much about until either players get healthy or players with no immediate replacements start playing better. Even with this patchwork roster, though, they don’t have to post Alexander in center field. They should stop being stupid while trying to be so smart.

Check out the episode here:

If the above player isn’t displaying, view this article in Incognito Mode or check it out on the show’s page.

This is my weekly podcast about whatever is going on lately with the Orioles. If you enjoyed this episode, please make sure to subscribe. You can get the show on SpotifyApple Podcasts, or wherever you prefer to access your podcasts.

How are you feeling about the way things are going so far? Answers could make it into the mailbag section of the next episode of the podcast.

MLB Player Props & Best Bets for Today, April 20

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It’s a quieter slate across the Majors tonight, with only 10 games on the schedule. My MLB player props analysis will highlight Yordan Alvarez, Sonny Gray, and Dylan Cease. 

Read more in my MLB picks for Monday, April 20.

Best MLB player props today

Player PickOdds
Astros Yordan AlvarezAnytime home run+430
Red Sox Sonny GrayOver 5.5 strikeouts+106
Blue Jays Dylan CeaseOver 7.5 strikeouts-118

Yordan Alvarez anytime home run

Yordan Alvarez is off to a wonderful start in 2026. The Houston Astros slugger leads the big leagues with 10 home runs, and he just went deep in three straight games over the weekend against the St. Louis Cardinals. Why not make it four?

While Alvarez only has one at-bat against Cleveland Guardians right-hander Slade Cecconi, the right-hander has struggled at suppressing the long ball, giving up three in only four starts. Alvarez is obviously red-hot, and five of his bombs have come off righties. Cecconi has also allowed two homers to left-handed batters.

  • Time: 6:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: SCHN, Guardians.TV

Sonny Gray Over 5.5 strikeouts

Sonny Gray has always been a strikeout pitcher. While he’s only racked up 11 Ks in 20 1/3 innings for the Boston Red Sox, today’s start against the Detroit Tigers profiles as an opportunity to collect his fair share of swings and misses. 

The righty has held the Tigers’ lineup to a .141 average over 71 at-bats, and he’s struck out 34. The likes of Javier Baez, Riley Greene, Kerry Carpenter, and Gleyber Torres have not been able to touch Gray. Detroit ranks 12th in team strikeouts, and they’re striking out even more on the road.

  • Time: 11:10 a.m. ET
  • Where to watch: DSN, NESN

Dylan Cease Over 7.5 strikeouts

Dylan Cease has proven to be a massive pickup for the Toronto Blue Jays. His elite stuff has played early on, compiling a 1.74 ERA over four starts, striking out 32 in just 20 2/3 innings. Cease has cashed the over in Ks in two of his four appearances, and he even struck out eight Dodgers on April 8. 

Tonight’s matchup is a clear opportunity for him to rack up the Ks.

The Jays face the Los Angeles Angels, who rank second-last in the majors with 9.70 strikeouts per game. Angels batters have 36 Ks in 86 at-bats vs. Cease. Mike Trout has six Ks in nine ABs, while Jorge Soler has 13.

  • Time: 9:38 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Sportsnet 1, FDSN West
Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Prop picks: 2-3, +0.58 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Teenage star Stan Moody fails to make most of bright start against Kyren Wilson

  • Youngster beaten 10-7 at Crucible after leading 7-3

  • Higgins beats Carter to set up possible O’Sullivan clash

Stan Moody blew his chance to become the first teenager to win a match at the World Snooker Championship since 2005 as he fell to a 10-7 defeat to the 2024 champion, Kyren Wilson.

The 19-year-old from Halifax began his Crucible debut in blistering fashion with two centuries and two further breaks over 80 to establish an improbable 6-3 lead at the end of a memorable morning session. Moody duly extended his lead by taking the first frame upon the evening’s resumption, only for Wilson to reel off seven frames in succession to shatter the qualifier’s hopes of emulating Ronnie O’Sullivan, the last teenager to win a Crucible match 21 years ago.

Continue reading...

WorkSafe to question Carlton and AFL over handling of Elijah Hollands’ ‘mental health episode’

  • ‘You are loved’: father Ben Hollands shares public message

  • Blues player admitted to hospital on Monday night

Carlton’s management of Elijah Hollands’ public mental health episode will come under scrutiny from WorkSafe Victoria.

Hollands, 23, was admitted to hospital on Monday night, after his concerning and erratic performance in the Blues’ game at the MCG against Collingwood last Thursday night.

Continue reading...

MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Monday, April 20

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It's the beginning of a new home run week, and with a cold snap hitting the league, finding the best spots for dingers and MLB player props is key today if we're going to turn a profit. 

See why I like Junior Caminero in a controlled environment to cap off our home run props alongside Jordan Walker and Kyle Tucker. 

These are my favorite MLB picks for Monday, April 20. 

  • UPDATE: Added another HR pick + parlay.

Best MLB home run props today

Player to hit a HROdds
Cardinals Jordan Walker+680
Dodgers Kyle Tucker +410
Rays Junior Caminero+410
💲Today's HR parlay+18198

Jordan Walker (+680)

I thought +540 was a great HR price on St. Louis Cardinals outfielder Jordan Walker last Friday. This is an insane number for a hitter with elite metrics and one of the fastest swings in all of baseball.

The cold has crept in on a small Monday slate, and getting one of this year’s best HR bats at anything better than +400 in a controlled environment is a +EV gift to start the week. Walker has also more than doubled his barrel rate this year, jumping from 11.2% to 24%.

The matchup favors him against Miami Marlins righty Max Meyer's shaky command. Per Covers projections powered by THE BAT, “Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his fly balls to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s sixth-shallowest CF fences today.”

  • Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Marlins.TV, Cardinals.TV

Kyle Tucker (+410)

Jose Quintana has yet to pitch at Coors Field this year, but a matchup vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers in decent hitting conditions isn’t one the veteran lefty is likely looking forward to. This could get ugly, and L.A. should see plenty of innings against a Colorado Rockies bullpen that has been punching above its weight and may be without its three best arms today.

Bettors don’t usually get elite prices at Coors, but I’ll take the best HR park on the slate when narrowing down a small card. The value leans to left-handed bats, as Quintana isn’t tough on lefties, and books tend to shade those matchups.

Kyle Tucker at +410 is the target. He’s already gone deep at Coors in this series, handles lefties well, and carries the best price among the top-tier bats in the L.A. lineup. THE BAT grades him as a Top-15 hitter in baseball.

  • Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Rockies.TV, SportsNet LA

Junior Caminero (+410)

You can’t go wrong with Junior Caminero at +400 or better, and today’s +410 price is making the card.

It’s an indoor environment that ranks as a Top-10 park for home runs to left field, and Caminero sits in the Top 5% for pulled fly balls.

It’s a great setting for a hitter with the second-fastest swing in MLB.

Chase Burns can miss bats, but he can also struggle with command and give up the long ball with a decent fly-ball rate. The Cincinnati Reds' bullpen is also showing signs that its early success could regress. The fair price here is around +370.

  • Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Reds.TV, Rays.TV
Jinglis' 2026 Transparency Record
  • HR picks: 5-33, -2.4 units

Today’s HR parlay

Cardinals Jordan WalkerBet Now
+18198
Dodgers Kyle Tucker
Rays Junior Caminero

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

P.K. Subban’s ‘insane’ pants distract ESPN viewers during NHL playoffs

An image collage containing 3 images, Image 1 shows P.K. Subban's pants stole the spotlight during ESPN's coverage of Round 1 of the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs on Sunday. , Image 2 shows P.K. Subban arrives for the 2024 Navy Federal Credit Union Stadium Series at MetLife Stadium on February 17, 2024 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  , Image 3 shows Former player P. K. Subban skates during the 2023 NHL All-Star Skills Competition at FLA Live Arena on February 3, 2023 in Sunrise, Florida
Former player P. K. Subban skates during the 2023 NHL All-Star Skills Competition at FLA Live Arena on February 3, 2023 in Sunrise, Florida.

P.K. Subban’s pants stole the spotlight during ESPN’s coverage of Round 1 of the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs on Sunday.

The former 13-year defenseman, who played for the Montreal Canadiens, Nashville Predators and New Jersey Devils, donned a pair of oversized wide leg pants and the internet had a field a day.

“You could park a Chevy Suburban in each one of PK Subban’s pant legs right now,” wrote Rob Gucci, a social media personality and podcast host, in a now-viral X post. “This is insane.”

Barstool Sports founder Dave Portnoy added, “Totally normal pants on @PKSubban1. Find a new slant.”

In a reply tweet to Portnoy, Subban wrote: “F–king rights Dave! Wooo! u can borrow ’em anytime.”

Subban, known for his eccentric fashion style, paired the pants with a long sleeve black fitted shirt.

P.K. Subban’s pants stole the spotlight during ESPN’s coverage of Round 1 of the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs on Sunday. X

While his pants were a hot topic online, Subban was posting Instagram videos of his live reaction during Sunday’s games.

The NHL analyst was a part of an ESPN doubleheader, with the Boston Bruins taking on the Buffalo Sabres and the Utah Mammoth facing the Vegas Golden Knights.

P.K. Subban arrives for the 2024 Navy Federal Credit Union Stadium Series at MetLife Stadium on February 17, 2024 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Getty Images
Former player P. K. Subban skates during the 2023 NHL All-Star Skills Competition at FLA Live Arena on February 3, 2023 in Sunrise, Florida. Getty Images

The Sabres defeated the Bruins in a 4-3 thriller, while the Knights beat the Mammoth 4-2 in the best-of-7 first-round series.

There are plenty of storylines across this year’s Stanley Cup Playoffs.

Buffalo is in the postseason for the first time since 2011.

Utah Mammoth center Nick Schmaltz (8) and Vegas Golden Knights defenseman Jeremy Lauzon (5) battle for the puck during the third period in Game 1 of a first-round NHL hockey Stanley Cup playoff series Sunday, April 19, 2026, in Las Vegas. AP

Utah is making their first-ever postseason appearance after joining the NHL in 2024.

Boston are making their 16th postseason appearance in 20 years, while Vegas are making their eighth postseason appearance in the past nine seasons.

For the first time in NHL history, the Rangers, Islanders and Devils all failed to qualify for the playoffs in the same year.

Since the Devils entered the league in 1982, at least one of the three local teams has participated in each postseason. 

Milwaukee Bucks End-of-Season Player Review & Quiz: Ryan Rollins

MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - SEPTEMBER 29: Ryan Rollins #13 of the Milwaukee Bucks poses for a portrait during media day at Fiserv Forum on September 29, 2025 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Geoff Stellfox/Getty Images) | Getty Images

In our first pop quiz, you were tested on the most iconic player in franchise history, Giannis Antetokounmpo. And while his season might have been his most disappointing yet, Ryan Rollins just had his best. By far. 

Season in a snippet

74 GP, 32.1 MPG, 17.3 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 5.6 APG, 1.5 SPG, 0.4 BPG, .472/.406/.796

Kyle’s end-of-season grade: B+

Prior to the season, the forecast on Rollins’ free agency seemed clear: as a restricted free agent, all signs pointed to his return to Cream City. Then the Bucks rescinded his qualifying offer, making him an unrestricted free agent, and his time in Milwaukee seemed to be over. But unlike his first pitch with the Brewers, which followed a linear path—even if it did bounce to the plate—the offseason threw another curveball, with Rollins returning to the Bucks on a three-year, $12m deal. And shortly after, he rocketed to eighth in our preseason rankings, where we envisioned him battling for the starting point guard role but more likely being part of the rotation, playing steady minutes as one half of the “Mosquito Fleet” next to his “T-shirt Twin,” Cole Anthony. Remember him?

Of course, when the season got underway—and Kevin Porter Jr. went down with an ankle injury after playing just nine minutes against the Washington Wizards on opening night—Rollins assumed starting point guard responsibilities. And he did not disappoint. Solid outings against the Toronto Raptors and Cleveland Cavaliers turned into statement games against the New York Knicks and Golden State Warriors, and it soon became apparent that Rollins was cut from a different cloth. Yet, despite his brilliance, as the Bucks continued to disappoint, even Rollins found himself subject to fans’ scrutiny, with 43% feeling he isn’t untouchable in trade talks this offseason. Regardless, 2025–26 was a major breakout season for the 23-year-old and, as the onlyplayer in the entire league to finish with averages of over 17 points, five assists, and 1.5 steals, while shooting over 40% from three, Rollins is sure to feature in end-of-season Most Improved Player voting (even if somehow he isn’t a finalist).

Tantalising totals

(1) Rollins had a career-high 36 points in a blowout loss against which Western Conference team?

Click to reveal answer The Portland Trail Blazers.

(2) Rollins had more than 10 assists just four times for the season. What was his highest assist total: 10, 12, 14, or 16?

Click to reveal answer 14, vs. the Philadelphia 76ers.

(3) Rollins led the Bucks with 298 deflections on the season. Where did this rank him in the entire league?

Click to reveal answer Fourth, behind Cason Wallace (339), Ausar Thompson (317), and Dyson Daniels (314).

Atypically advanced

(1) Rollins’ season-high game score of 33.0—after posting 29 points, eight assists, four rebounds, three steals, and a block, while shooting 11/13 from the field and 6/7 from three—came in a one-point win against which team?

Click to reveal answer The Charlotte Hornets.

(2) True or false: Rollins finished with a higher clutch time* true shooting percentage than notable clutch performers Anthony Edwards (68.7%), Jamal Murray (68.6%), and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (66.8%)?

Click to reveal answer True, 69.5%.

*Clutch time is defined as the final five minutes of the fourth quarter or overtime when the score is within five points.

Obscure optics   

(1) True or false: More than 70% of Rollins’ career minutes were played this year?

Click to reveal answer True, 2377 of his 3336 career minutes (71%) were played this year.

How did you fare? Share your score in the comments and don’t forget to drop your thoughts along with it—which stat stands out?

Monday Morning Texas Rangers Update

SEATTLE, WASHINGTON - APRIL 19: Joc Pederson #3 of the Texas Rangers looks on during the first inning against the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on April 19, 2026 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Good morning.

Evan Grant writes that McKenzie Gore’s subpar road trip shows that he’s not yet at the level that the Texas Rangers hope that he can achieve.

Kennedi Landry writes that Gore allowed three home runs in a start for the first time since 2023 in the series finale loss to Seattle.

Grant checks in on the options available to the Rangers should ailing Robert Garcia miss time with a sore shoulder.

Landry’s newsletter covers to rise of Gavin Collyer to the big league bullpen, despite debuting in a minor league park.

And, ESPN’s David Schoenfield has an extremely early look at the players that could be available at the trade deadline.

Have a nice day!

In The Lab: The Science of Slow Starts

The scientific method has been long established. Unfortunately, when it comes to human endeavors experiments are a bit messy. The first step in the scientific method is to actually observe what is going on. This is where things get a bit tricky. The human mind is a peculiar thing and that is particularly true when it comes to memory. We often remember what we want to remember and forget what we want to forget. Other factors color that memory and sometimes alter it. Criminal justice experts constantly tell us that eyewitness testimony is extremely unreliable.

This is why the lab exists in the first place. There is nothing more emotional than following your favorite sports team. Millions of people form their mood and rate their day based on what their favorite team does. In that universe it is easy to bypass facts and go with feelings. I may seem like a cold, unfeeling analyst but I am a fan too. I have emotional reactions to what I see. The numbers insulate me from that. That’s why the lab exists.

So, we get to the question of slow starts. Before we can analyze why we have slow starts we have to establish the fact that the slow starts have been patterns. If we go through the annals of this current run we can split the Astros dynastic period into two relatively equal parts. There are the A.J. Hinch Astros and the Dusty Baker/Joe Espada Astros. We eliminate 2020 because there was no April. So, we are splitting it to 2015 to 2019 and then 2021 to 2026. We will throw in March into April when it is applicable.

2015-2019

WinsLosses
2015157
2016717
2017169
20182010
20191812
Total7655

If we look at the winning percentage we see .580 winning percentage. That would be equivalent to a 94-68 record in a 162 game schedule. Obviously, 2016 is an outlier and it is the only season in that run where the team did not make the playoffs. In fact, it was the only season before 2025 where the Astros did not make the playoffs. If we remove that season then the winning percentage shoots up to .645. That would be equivalent to a 104-58 record. So, if it felt like those Astros teams got off to fast starts it is because they did.

2021-2026

WunsLosses
20211412
20221110
20231513
20241019
20251614
2026815
Total7488

Obviously, I don’t need to translate this to a 162 game record. Given that this team went to the playoffs in four of the five seasons and came within one game of the playoffs in the other one, these starts are pretty significant. So, the first step of the scientific method is complete. There is in fact a difference between these two eras. We now move onto the next step in the process. This is where we come up with a hypothesis we can test. Unfortunately for us this will be the last step in the process. I can think of two possibilities and I will leave the reading audience to determine which one they think is more plausible.

Hypothesis One: Finding the sweet spot

One of the things you will notice when looking at the records above is that they seem to get progressively worse as we get closer to the present. When the Baker era began, the entire dynasty was intact. With each passing year, one more brick was kicked out of the wall. First it was George Springer. Then it was Carlos Correa. We then moved on to Justin Verlander (a couple of times), and finally Framber Valdez.

Each manager has their own style. Joe McCarthy might have been the best manager in baseball history record wise (.627 with the Yankees). He plugged in the same lineup every day and sat in a rocking chair. That’s easy to do when you have Babe Ruth, Lou Gehrig, Joe DiMaggio, Earle Combs, and Tony Lazzeri. Baker will be a Hall of Fame manager someday and his style was wholly different. Espada seems to have taken on that style in the interim, so it makes sense to lump them together.

The Astros have used a different lineup every game this season. It wasn’t quite that bad in seasons past, but the pattern is still there. Of course, necessity is the mother of invention. When you don’t have thoroughbreds you have to do some experimenting. So, both Baker and Espada spent the early months figuring out what players could do and when they could do them. That meant how to shape platoons, what the batting order should be, and which relievers we could trust.

One old baseball adage is that Memorial Day is the day when performance stops being a trend and become something resembling reality. Unfortunately, that means another month of flailing around. Some of that is due to the “back of the baseball card” mentality. Yet, some of that is genuine small sample size issues. This is particularly true when looking at relievers. Obviously, Espada in particular has come under fire for how he uses his relievers. Either way, by the end of May this team finds its level based on figuring out who they can trust that particular season.

Hypothesis Two: It’s a training issue

My podcast partner and I (“Born on the Bayou Sports”) raised this issue earlier this year. We were wondering why certain pitchers weren’t building up innings this spring. Suddenly, you have four starting pitchers on injured reserve. Luck? Possily. Coincidence? Maybe. However, when you add that to the total number of injuries the team has faced in recent seasons in the early going.

Obviously, the change in trainers this offseason put that in the spotlight. Last season, the Astros had the most injuries in baseball and they are currently in the lead in that department. Is it an aging roster? That could be one explanation. Maybe it is just bad luck. The team was extremely healthy in 2022 when they won the World Series. Some seasons just go that way. Yet, when you have two consecutive seasons of players going down at a record pace it is difficult to chalk that up to chance.

This leaves us with two possibilities (of which both can be true). Either there are still issues with the day to day treatment of aches and pains. There are still issues with how often those are happening, how often they keep players from playing, and possibly their return to play. The second possibility comes back to Spring Training itself. Are these players ramping up in the right way during Spring Training? Are they getting ready?

Putting it all together

Of course, both is a possibility. Neither is a possibility. We are not in a position to test these hypotheses yet. That will have to come later. It would involve breaking down how the other 29 teams do business and determining how the Astros are different if at all. My own hypothesis is that both are true in part. A fungible roster demands time to figure out exactly who can do what. There are also probably some things the team could do differently to remain more healthy and start faster out of Spring Training. What do you think?

What do you think will turn around the soonest for the Phillies?

Apr 19, 2026; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Andrew Painter (24) reacts after being removed from the game against the Atlanta Braves in the fifth inning at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Ross-Imagn Images | Kyle Ross-Imagn Images

The Phillies just suffered their worst homestand in quite a while. They didn’t hit well, they didn’t field well, they (honestly) didn’t pitch very well either. It’s not good baseball to watch, it’s not good baseball to analyze right now. Is there anything going right for the team at this moment?

Bryce Harper has been hot of late. That’s been cool.

Brad Keller has been better lately as well after his season got off to a rocky start.

Cristopher Sanchez is awesome again. There are some good things happening for the team; they’re just hidden under about ten feet of garbage.

The question for today is: of all the things that are going wrong for the Phillies at the moment, which is likeliest to turnaround quickly for them? Some of the hitters are hitting so badly at the moment, the laws of averages seem to be in their favor at some point that they’ll bounce back. The fielding can’t be this bad (can it?). At some point soon, there has to be positive regression with something…..but what?

Minor League Recap: Tugboat leads Akron to combined no-hitter

Columbus Clippers Travis Bazzana (12) throws the ball to first base during home opener at Huntington Park on Tuesday, March 31, 2026, in Columbus, Ohio. | Samantha Madar/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Columbus Clippers 12, Iowa Cubs 8

Clippers improve to 11-10

It was a home run derby in Columbus on Sunday, led by none other than the scorching hot Cooper Ingle, who went 3-for-4 with two home runs and a walk.

Ingle now has a ridiculous 1.403 OPS to begin the season. It’s one of the hottest start of any prospect in all of minor league baseball.

Crazy as it sounds, Ingle was just one of three different Clippers who had three hits. Nolan Jones went 3-for-4 with a walk while Milan Tolentino went 3-for-5 with a home run and a triple.

Kahlil Waton also impressed, going 1-for-3 with a double, two walks, a stolen base and three runs scored while Kody Huff went 2-for-4 with a home run and a hit by pitch. Stuart Fairchild also went 2-for-4 with a walk and a stolen base.

With that kind of offense, Columbus didn’t need much pitching to win … and they didn’t get much pitching. Starting pitcher Pedro Avila allowed five runs on nine hits with three strikeouts and a walk in 5.0 innings. Koby Allard allowed another three runs in his lone inning of work.

The big standout was Daniel Espino, who again tossed a scoreless inning to close out the win while striking out two. He’s getting closer folks.

Akron RubberDucks 4, Harrisburg Senators 0

RubberDucks improve to 10-5

Tugboat!

What an impressive turn from the Akron pitching staff, led by none other than Matt “Tugboat” Wilkinson. Wilkinson was flat out sensational in this game, throwing 5.0 perfect innings with six strikeouts. He was pulled after throwing 70 pitches.

While the bullpen wasn’t able to keep the perfect game going, it did preserve the no-hitter. Matt Jachech pitched a scoreless frame with one walk. Magnus Ellerts walked two and struck out two in a scoreless inning. Jay Driver walked one in his scoreless frame and then Carey closed out the combined no-hitter after walking a pair of batters.

Offensively, Alfonsin Rosario left the game after a first-inning RBI double. I hope he’s OK.

Wuilfredo Antunez homered, Jake Fox walked twice, Angel Genao doubled and Jose Devers went 1-for-2 with a walk and a stolen base. Nick Mitchell also walked and was hit by a pitch.

Lake County Captains 6, Fort Wayne Tincaps 9

Captains fall to 7-8

Lake County spoiled another excellent start from Franklin Gomez. Gomez allowed two runs (one earned) on five hits with five strikeouts and just one walk in 5.0 innings.

Unfortunately, piggy-back partner Michael Kennedy got blistered for six runs on six hits in his 2.0 innings of work to take the loss.

On offense, Jace LaViolette was given an opportunity to lead off and he responded by blasting his second home run of the season, also walking.

No one had a multi-hit game, but Aaron Walton impressively went 1-for-2 with two walks. Bennett Thompson and Anthony Silva also both reached base safely twice, going 1-for-3 with a walk apiece and Dean Curley doubled.

Hill City Howlers 3, Wilson Warbirds 5

Howlers fall to 9-6

For his second straight start, Chase Mobley dominated opposing hitters, this time tossing 3.2 no-hit shutout innings with four strikeouts and a pair of walks.

Petty immediately followed by giving up three runs on six hits in his 3.0 innings of work. The game was still within reach until Keegan Zinn took the mound in the bottom of the ninth inning with the game tied 3-3 and quickly gave up a two-run walk-off home run.

Outfield prospect Robert Arias continued his scorching streak, going 2-for-3 with a home run, a walk and a stolen base. Dauri Fernandez went 1-for-4 with a walk and a stolen base and Anthony Martinez went 1-for-3 with a walk.

Yankees Rivalry Roundup: Astros swept by Cardinals, Crochet throws another stinker

Apr 19, 2026; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Astros second baseman Jose Altuve (27) walks to the dugout following the final out against the St. Louis Cardinals during the 10th inning at Daikin Park. Mandatory Credit: Erik Williams-Imagn Images | Erik Williams-Imagn Images

After a difficult two-week stretch, it was nice for the Yankees to have a laugher series against the Royals. They swept their first series since the opener against the Giants, the pitching staff bouncing back to limit Kansas City to six runs across the three games while Aaron Judge and Ben Rice are really finding their power strokes to lead an offensive awakening. They enter a well-deserved offday atop the standings in the AL East.

Many of their AL rivals were also in action on Sunday, so let’s recap the events of those games.

Houston Astros (8-15) 5, St. Louis Cardinals (13-8) 7

The Cardinals thoroughly outclassed the Astros in this series, scoring 23 runs in three games to continue their surprising start to the campaign just a half-game back of first. Matthew Liberatore gave St. Louis six strong innings, limiting Houston to a run on three hits and two walks with four strikeouts, the lone damage coming in the form of a Carlos Correa sac fly in the third after Taylor Trammel reached on a one-out triple. The Cardinals then ambushed starter Mike Burrows for four runs in the fifth. Masyn Winn and Pedro Pagés singled around Nathan Church walk to load the bases with two outs. Victor Scott II walked to force home the first run, JJ Wetherholt singled home the next two, and Iván Herrera singled home the fourth.

Houston wouldn’t go quietly, responding with three runs in the eighth to level the scores. Yordan Alvarez became the first in MLB to ten home runs with a two-out solo shot. Jose Altuve singled, Christian Walker walked, and a wild pitch advanced the pair to scoring position allowing both to come home on an Isaac Paredes game-tying, two-run single.

That sent the game to extra-innings, where a crucial error by Brice Matthews at third gifted St. Louis the win. His misplay of a Jordan Walker grounder followed by a Ramón Urías HBP loaded the bases, and Winn won the game with a bases-clearing triple. Houston would attempt to rally, an Altuve RBI single cutting the deficit to two, but it wasn’t enough to prevent their 13th loss in their last 16 games.

Seattle Mariners (10-13) 5, Texas Rangers (11-11) 2

Bryan Woo gave the Mariners seven strong innings, allowing two runs on four hits and a walk along with six strikeouts. He clearly ran out of steam in that seventh inning, allowing a Corey Seager leadoff walk, Wyatt Langford single, and Joc Pederson HBP to load the bases, followed by a Josh Jung sac fly and Evan Carter RBI double. Offseason trade acquisition MacKenzie Gore was nowhere near as sharp for Texas, yielding five runs on seven hits and a walk in five innings.

All five of Seattle’s runs came vie three home runs off Gore. Rob Refsnyder led off the first with a solo shot, his first hit in a Mariners uniform. J.P Crawford struck with a two run bomb in the second after Mitch Garver drew a leadoff walk. Randy Arozarena capped off the trio with a two-run blast of his own after Julio Rodríguez kept the fifth inning alive with a two out single.

Toronto Blue Jays (8-13) 10, Arizona Diamondbacks (13-9) 4

On the verge of being swept for the second time this season, the Blue Jays bats broke out for double digit runs to salvage a win. Eight of the ten came in the first inning to tie a franchise record against starter Ryne Nelson, who managed to record just one out after allowing eight hits and a walk. In fact, the first eight Blue Jays reached safely as they sent an eventual 12 batters to the plate. Doubles from Kazuma Okamoto and Nathan Lukes were the big blows in the inning, Toronto scoring all their runs despite the ball not leaving the yard in the frame.

Okamoto would later add a solo home run to lead off the third while Lukes and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. each contributed three-hit afternoons. Kevin Gausman has been one of the best starters in baseball to open the season, so spotting him an eight-run first inning lead pretty much meant the game was over before Arizona had even come to bat. He pitched six innings of two-run ball, allowing seven hits and a walk against four strikeouts. The Diamondbacks scored consolation runs in second and sixth, the lone bright spot a pinch-hit, two run home run by Jorge Barrosa in the seventh.

Detroit Tigers (12-10) 6, Boston Red Sox (8-13) 2

Tarik Skubal and Garrett Crochet entered the season as the consensus favorites in the AL Cy Young race. Skubal lived up to that billing with six innings of one-run ball and ten strikeouts to silence Boston on Saturday, but Crochet couldn’t return serve. Coming off his worst start with the Red Sox — 11 runs in 1.2 innings against the Twins — Crochet allowed five runs on seven hits including a pair of homers in five innings against Detroit. It’s the third of his five starts in which he has allowed at least five runs, the southpaw left with a 7.88 ERA after departing. On the otherside, Framber Valdez authored another stellar start for the team that signed him to a three-year, $115 million deal over the offseason. He held Boston to a run on three hits and two walks with seven strikeouts in six innings, meaning he has allowed one or fewer earned runs while lasting at least six innings in four of his five starts with the Tigers.

The two sides traded runs in the first, Dillon Dingler opening the scoring with and RBI double before Willson Contreras answered in the bottom half with a solo home run. But then Detroit struck for four runs in the fifth, all with two outs after Crochet struck out the first two batters of the frame. Jahmai Jones crushed a solo blast followed by a walk from Gleyber Torres and single from Matt Vierling to set up a three run wall scraper from Dingler, giving the starlet catcher four RBIs on the day.

There would be no more scoring until the ninth, when again the teams traded runs. Torres collected an RBI single in the top half and Caleb Durbin an RBI double in the bottom of the frame to bring us to our final score, 6-2.

Other Games

Cleveland Guardians (13-10) 8, Baltimore Orioles (10-12) 4

It was the José Ramírez show in Cleveland, the future Hall of Famer slugging a pair of solo home runs as the Guardians tagged Orioles Opening Day starter Trevor Rogers for six runs on six hits and two walks in five innings. Taylor Ward crushed a three-run blast in the Orioles’ four-run fifth to make this a one-run game, but Cleveland restored their cushion by scoring a pair in the eighth. Rookie Juan Brito hit a two-run double and Brayan Rocchio collected three hits and three RBIs batting ninth.