Here we go again.
A year afterPete Alonsohit free agency for the first time -- resulting in an incredibly long negotiation process that included some late Blue Jays buzz, pointed words toward Scott Boras from Mets owner Steve Cohen, and an eventual compromise on a two-year deal with an opt-out to return to New York -- the first baseman is about to test the market again.
In the clubhouse this past Sunday after the Mets' season ended in abject failure, Alonso confirmed what was already known -- he would be opting out of his deal.
This time, Alonso will be coming off a much stronger season than the one he had in 2024.
While playing all 162 games in 2025, Alonso slashed .272/.347/.524 with 38 home runs, a career-best 41 doubles, and 126 RBI. He was an All-Star for the fifth time, had the second-best OPS of his career, and was a force with runners in scoring position -- hitting .309/.401/.634 in 217 plate appearances.
Along the way, Alonso broke the Mets' all-time record for home runs. He now stands alone atop the leaderboard, having smacked 264 homers over his seven seasons in New York.
Speaking on Monday, Mets president of baseball operations David Stearns made similar comments about Alonso's future to the ones he made last year around this time.
"Pete is a great Met," Stearns said. "He had a fantastic year. I said this last year and it worked out – I’d love to have Pete back and we’ll see where the offseason goes."
Stearns added:
"Whenever we’re talking about departing free agents or players who were with us who are then free agents, it’s always the holistic package of what that player brings to an organization. It’s what he means to the team on the field, it’s what that player means to the community, what that player means to the fanbase. That is always part of the decision-making process, and I imagine it will be again this offseason."
Should the Mets re-sign Alonso, paving the way for him to spend his entire career in Queens? Or is it time to move on?
WHY IT COULD MAKE SENSE TO LET ALONSO GO
Alonso will be entering his age-31 season in 2026, meaning he's getting to the point where some regression can be expected.
He's also likely going to be looking for a massive payday. However -- as was the case last offseason -- it's fair to wonder how many teams will have a need for a power-hitting first baseman whose defense is suspect and be able to afford to pay him.
About that defense...
Alonso was near the very bottom of the league in 2025 when it came to range/Outs Above Average, ranking in the second percentile. His arm also graded out as very poor (fifth percentile), and he had issues with throws all season. It was Alonso's high throw to first base to a covering Kodai Senga that led to Senga's hamstring injury in June.
Then there's Stearns' comments about needing to improve the team's run prevention and the possibility of shaking up the offensive core.
"I come at this like we need to create a better roster that fits together better," Stearns said the day after the season ended. "I think our players worked their tails off. I think they came to the park with the right attitude every single day, and it didn’t work. So I need to take a long, hard look at our roster."
Of the Mets' core, Juan Soto is obviously going nowhere (as should be the case), Francisco Lindor is a perennial MVP candidate who plays plus defense at shortstop, and Brandon Nimmo has a full no-trade clause (and likely not a ton of value on the market given his age and contract situation). That means letting Alonso go could perhaps be the easiest way to shake things up.
While Alonso's offensive profile remains mostly terrific, he has had more swing and miss in his game over the last two seasons, striking out 162 times in 2025 after fanning a career-high 172 times in 2024. If his bat starts to slow down, those strikeout numbers could spike.
WHY IT COULD MAKE SENSE TO KEEP ALONSO
Alonso is a really damn good hitter, and his advanced stats back it up.
He was in the 90th percentile or better this past season in xwOBA, xBA, xSLG, average exit velocity, barrel percentage, hard hit percentage, and bat speed.
And while Alonso could perhaps be seeking a deal worth five or six years at roughly $30 million per season, it's not a slam dunk that any team will be prepared to give that to him. Maybe the Rangers could have interest, but they trimmed their payroll ahead of 2025. The Red Sox could be a fit, especially if Alex Bregman walks, but they should have Triston Casas back and healthy in 2026. The Yankees don't make much sense since they already have two right-handed power hitters who strike out a lot (Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton). The Cubs have Michael Busch at first base.
So it's possible Alonso falls back into the Mets' lap, though it will obviously take a bigger deal in terms of length than it did last offseason.
As the Mets weigh whether to reunite with Alonso, it's also worth noting that they don't have anyone ready to step in at first base if he leaves.
Before they re-signed Alonso last offseason, they floated the idea that Mark Vientos could be his replacement. But after Vientos had a down year (.702 OPS), it's impossible to see New York going in that direction for 2026. As far as options in the minors, the power-hitting Ryan Clifford could theoretically become one at some point soon. But he's not ready, and doesn't have the same kind of polished approach at the plate that Carson Benge and Jett Williams possess.
Another thing in Alonso's favor is that he plays nearly every day, and has done so for his entire career.
Out of a possible 1,032 regular season games over seven seasons, Alonso has played in 1,008 of them -- that includes all 162 each of the last two seasons.
VERDICT
There's the logical side of this -- Alonso, while not a great defender, is a really good hitter at a position of need for the Mets, and has proven he can excel in New York.
Then there's the emotional side of it.
In addition to what he brings at the plate, Alonso has been a terrific Met off the field, is beloved by most of the fanbase, and has repeatedly expressed a desire over the last few seasons to remain in New York.
If Alonso's market doesn't get out of control -- and there's really no reason to expect it will -- it makes all the sense in the world for the Mets to make a strong effort to bring him back.
It will make even more sense for the Mets to reunite with Alonso if he's open to starting to transition to designated hitter in the coming seasons, which would allow the team to place a greater emphasis on defense at first base.
In the meantime, they can seek to improve their team defense by focusing on third base, second base, and center field.
With Boras as Alonso's agent, this will likely not be easy. But as was the case last offseason, the most sensible outcome is Alonso winding up back with the Mets. In that regard, nothing has changed.
