Weekly Pebble Report: The player and person Roldy Brito wants you to see

Fresno Grizzlies OF/2B Roldy Brito against the Ontario Tower Buzzers, July 2nd, 2026 | Photo courtesy of the Fresno Grizzlies, 2026

The last year has been a whirlwind for 19-year-old Dominican second baseman and center fielder Roldy Brito. After a solid–if unremarkable–2024 season in the Dominican Summer League, the unranked and relatively unknown prospect saw his stock and national recognition explode after a standout 2025 campaign.

Brito was named the Arizona Complex League MVP after hitting .368/.445/.555 with 13 doubles, six triples, three home runs, 21 RBIs, and 22 stolen bases over 51 games with the ACL Rockies. He then handled the transition to affiliated minor league baseball by putting up a fantastic debut with the Low-A Fresno Grizzlies. With the Grizzlies he hit another seven doubles, a triple, a home run. In addition, he had 17 RBIs and stole another 13 bases while slashing .375/.442/.463 over 33 games to finish the season.

For his efforts, Brito rocketed up the prospect rankings.

He is now the Rockies’ no. 3 organizational prospect per MLB Pipeline, no. 71 in the MLB Top 100, and our no. 11 PuRP in Purple Row’s pre-season rankings.

Brito was re-assigned to Low-A Fresno to start the 2026 season, where he has continued to build on his previous season. Through 76 games, he is hitting .325/.388/.492 with 20 doubles, eight triples, six home runs, 63 RBIs, 16 stolen bases, and a solid 2:1 ratio of strikeouts to walks.

“A lot has happened in this last year, but I think it’s been awesome to be a part of,” Brito said in a recent media availability through interpreter Edwin Perez. “I think it’s been a good start to my career, something that I’ve put on myself as a player to achieve the goals that I have achieved.”

Brito described how grateful he has been for his experiences over the last year.

“I’m thankful to God that I’ve been given this opportunity, and it’s been exciting to be a part of this journey,” he said. “This year, just being able to grow in the game and continue to rise, but it’s not something that I take for granted. I’m thankful to God. I’m thankful to be able to be in this place.”

Brito credits his dad, whom he has described as not only his biggest supporter but also his manager and his best coach, for helping him keep his head down and continue to work and find success.

“He’s given me good advice ever since I was a kid,” Brito said. “About my game, about when things go wrong or right, he’s the one that tells me the adjustments that I need to make when I’m going through a bad hitting streak or a bad streak overall in my game. He’s the one who puts his hand on me and tells me what I need to fix, what needs to get right.”

He continued to express gratitude for his father.

“I think my dad’s just been the biggest rock in my life and the biggest support ever since I was a kid. He will keep it real when he needs to keep it real about me and what I need to do. I’m thankful for every day that he’s helped me improve as a player.”

Brito has also praised members of the Rockies organization and his coaches in Fresno for their work with him.

“All the hitting coaches here and all the coaches overall in Fresno have been such a huge help for me,” he said. “It’s been a huge learning experience for me down at this level because every day we’re looking at every aspect of the game. how I can improve as a player, how can I avoid mistakes when I go up in my future. But also, I give a big shoutout to Rolando Fernandez (the Rockies vice president of international scouting and development) because without him, I would not have had the opportunity to sign with this organization.

Brito described the significant influence Fernandez has had on him since the young player signed with the organization as part of the 2024 international class.

“He’s been just an overall huge help getting me in the door, but also on me as a player and as a person off the field,” Brito said. “He’s been just a huge support, but also understanding that he wants me to have success. He’s been big in that aspect.”

Brito also heaped praise on his fellow teammates with the Grizzlies.

“It’s a group that I’m thankful to be a part of,” he said. “We truly have the best intentions for each other. We want to grow as a group. It’s like a family. We’re supporting each other every day, every at bat. It’s sad when someone leaves us — we lost [Ethan] Holliday, we lost [Jack] O’Dowd, we lost [Tanner] Thach, it’s sad when those guys go. But it’s a group that we’re truly friends outside of the field. But when we’re on the field, we’re playing for each other. We’re not just playing for ourselves.”

Roldy Brito (middle) with two of his Fresno Grizzlies teammates.

Brito has enjoyed immense success with his newfound family in Fresno. However, he also recognizes his need to continue to grow and push towards the future in his professional career.

“I’m not looking just at the past,” he said. “I want to keep it going. I want to have the courage, I want to continue to have the faith and trust in myself that I can keep doing this stuff. And trust me, I’m not done. I’ve put so much on myself to accomplish this year—and obviously this Futures Game is one of them, but I have more to accomplish, and I’m excited for it. It’s been an awesome journey, a marvelous journey for me, and I can’t wait to see what’s next.”

What’s next for Brito will bring him even more national recognition. He was selected—along with fellow top prospect Charlie Condon (no. 1 PuRP)—to represent the Rockies at this year’s All-Star Futures Game.

“I’ve always wanted to get selected to an important game such as this,” Brito said. “I think it’s going to be something that’s going to be very beautiful. It’s going to be a game that I’m just going to go out there playing and enjoy it. I’m really looking forward to the opportunity that I have.”

Brito is one of just three players currently playing in Low-A to be selected for the Futures Game rosters. He’s also the fourth-youngest representative on a Futures Game roster this year.

“It feels very good to be a part of it, one of those three that were able to do so at this kind of level,” he said. “I put it on myself that I want to be part of this kind of thing, and I’m able to be part of it. I think it’s just special for me, so I’m excited for the opportunity.”

Not only does the Futures Game and increased national attention come with the opportunity shed positive light on both Brito and the Rockies organization, it also gives Brito the opportunity to show the world just who he really is.

“This last year, people are paying more attention. This last year has been beautiful as a whole just to experience it,” he began. “For me, on the baseball side, I want them to focus on that I’m aggressive. When I’m out there playing, I’m going to give it my all. I’m not just focusing on the bat. Sometimes you can see the numbers and think ‘they’re just focusing on the bat,’ but I don’t think that’s the case for me. I’m also working on my fielding, I’m working on my running game, I’m working to improve on every aspect of the game. I’m not just a bat and a guy that can swing it well.”

Off the playing field, Brito also expressed how he wants to be seen as a person—especially when it comes to working with his found family in the Rockies’ minor leagues.

“I think the personality that they’re going to see is just a friendly guy. A guy that no matter what a teammate or a person needs around me, a staff member, whatever, they’re going to get that on me,” Brito said with a smile. “Whatever I can do to help someone out, that’s the person I want to be. I want to be that person that can be helpful to everyone. I want to be that upbeat guy that, if someone’s going through a bad stretch or anything like that, I can be the upbeat guy that can help them keep their heads up high. Just an overall friendly guy that they can trust.”

Roldy Brito (no. 1, middle) lifts a teammate in celebration of a victory.

The 2026 All-Star Futures Game will take place on Sunday, July 12th at 10:00 AM MDT to kick off All-Star Week in Philadelphia.


Weekly Pebble Report: June 29th- July 5th

Triple-A: Albuquerque Isotopes (3-3, 45-42 Overall)

Albuquerque’s road week at Round Rock (Texas Rangers) was a study in whiplash. The Isotopes let leads slip late in each of their first two losses — a grand slam surrendered in the eighth, then a walk-off, two-run homer in the ninth the next night — before steadying themselves to win three of the last four. The bats never went quiet, but the bullpen made several nights harder than they needed to be. Albuquerque holds third place in the second-half PCL East standings with a record of 6-6

⬆️ Stock Up: Condon Keeps Raking

There’s no slowing Charlie Condon (No. 1 PuRP). For the second week in a row, the 23-year-old was the best hitter in the lineup, going 10-for-22 (.455) with three home runs, a triple, two doubles, and a hit in four of the five games he played. His power has become a nightly expectation, and the sustained tear has pushed his season slugging past the .600 mark. Whatever adjustments Triple-A pitchers are trying, none of them are working.

⬆️ Stock Up: Shawver Slams the Door

Evan Shawver was a quiet source of order in a chaotic week for the pitching staff. Across two outings, the left-hander tossed four scoreless innings, striking out five without issuing a walk and allowing just four hits. On a week when several arms struggled to hold leads, Shawver simply attacked the zone and got outs — the kind of steady, no-drama relief work that’s easy to overlook until you tally it up.

Upcoming

The Isotopes stay on the road for a six-game series against the Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Houston Astros).

Double-A: Hartford Yard Goats (3-3, 44-36 Overall)

Hartford’s week in Somerset (New York Yankees) started rough and finished strong. The Yard Goats lost three of the first four, before salvaging a split in the final two — including back-to-back gems from Jack Mahoney and Jackson Cox, the latter tossing six no-hit innings to key a shutout finale. Hartford sits in fourth place in the Eastern League Northeast second-half standings at 5-7.

⬆️ Stock Up: Riggio Runs the Show

Roc Riggio (PuRP No.14) set the table and cleared it all week. The second baseman hit .409 (9-for-22) with three home runs, two doubles, four RBIs, and a team-high eight walks, reaching base at a clip that made him a consistent headache at the top of the order. He homered in the series opener, again the next night, and once more in the finale — a steady power-and-patience combination that lifted his season slash line and anchored an offense that came and went around him.

⬇️ Stock Down: Longwell Goes Quiet

Aidan Longwell couldn’t get untracked, managing three hits in 20 at-bats (.150) with seven strikeouts across five games. Two of those knocks were doubles, so the pop wasn’t entirely gone, but the swing-and-miss piled up and the production dried up, dropping his season average to .240. A reset over the coming week would go a long way heading into the All-Star break.

Upcoming

The Yard Goats return home for a six-game series against the Binghamton Rumble Ponies (New York Mets)

High-A: Spokane Indians (6-0, 40-41 Overall)

The Indians ran the table at Hillsboro (Arizona Diamondbacks), sweeping all six on the road behind pitching that rarely gave an inch. Spokane threw two shutouts — including a 1-0 nail-biter — and edged the Hops in a 5-4 game before closing with a 5-3 romp, a staff ERA under 2.00 for the week doing most of the heavy lifting. The sweep lifted the Indians to the top of the Northwest League second-half standings at 11-4. They’ve now won nine in a row.

⬆️ Stock Up: Hopfe Stays Hot

Tommy Hopfe kept his season-long roll going, hitting .400 (10-for-25) with two home runs, two doubles, three steals, and a hit in every game. He scored a team-high seven runs and gave the Indians a spark at the top of the order night after night. There’s no cold stretch in sight for one of Spokane’s steadiest bats.

⬆️ Stock Up: Herrera Deals

Yujanyer Herrera (PuRP No.22) bookended the sweep with two dominant starts. He opened the week with six shutout innings and six strikeouts in a 2-0 win, then returned in the finale to fire five more strong frames. All told: 11 innings, one earned run, nine strikeouts, and a single walk. On a week defined by Spokane pitching, Herrera was the tone-setter at both ends.

Upcoming

The Indians stay on the road for a six-game series against the Eugene Emeralds (San Francisco Giants).

Low-A: Fresno Grizzlies (3-3, 44-37 Overall)

Fresno split six at home with the Ontario Tower Buzzers in a week of wild swings. The Grizzlies piled up runs in a 13-4 rout and a 10-9 walk-off, but absorbed lopsided losses on the other side, closing the series with a 13-0 shutout defeat. The offense mashed, and the pitching wobbled — a fitting summary of a .500 week that keeps Fresno tied for third in the California League with an 8-7 record in the second half.

⬆️ Stock Up: Brito Won’t Make an Out

Roldy Brito (PuRP No.11) turned into an on-base machine. He hit .529 (9-for-17) and reached base at a staggering clip, drawing nine walks and getting hit three times on top of the hits — a triple, a double, and a steal mixed in for good measure. Brito rarely gave the opposition a free out all week, and the .325 hitter did as much as anyone to keep the Fresno lineup churning even in the losses.

⬇️ Stock Down: Kelly Roughed Up

Riley Kelly (PuRP No. 27) couldn’t find any traction in either of his two starts, taking the loss both times. He surrendered 12 earned runs over eight innings (13.50 ERA), gave up 16 hits and three home runs, and exited early in each outing. The strikeouts were there — nine on the week — but the hard contact kept coming, and his season ERA climbed to 6.39.

Upcoming

The Grizzlies stay home for a six-game series against the Stockton Ports (Athletics)

ACL: ACL Rockies (3-2, 33-13 Overall)

The ACL Rockies kept rolling, taking three of five. The offense did the heavy lifting all week — Colorado posted 13, 11, and 13 runs in its three wins — while the pitching had a harder time keeping pace, surrendering nine-plus runs on multiple occasions. The league’s hottest team stays comfortably atop the ACL East at 33-13.

⬆️ Stock Up: Ugarte Powers the Offense

Ronny Ugarte was the engine of the loaded lineup, hitting .400 (8-for-20) with two home runs, a triple, and a team-high nine RBIs across all five games. He drove in runs in bunches and rarely gave away an at-bat, pushing his season line to a robust .357 clip. In a week where the Rockies’ bats carried the club, Ugarte’s was the loudest.

⬇️ Stock Down: Cubilla Clipped

Efrain Cubilla ran into trouble in his lone outing of the week, a relief appearance in the game against the Giants. He was charged with six runs on eight hits over two innings, unable to find the strike zone’s edges as the Giants teed off. It was a single rough night rather than a trend, but it was a costly one, briefly threatening a game the Rockies would go on to win.

DSL: DSL Colorado (4-1) & DSL Rockies (4-0)

Both Dominican Summer League affiliates had strong weeks. DSL Colorado won its first four before dropping a 12-9 slugfest to DSL NYY Yankees in the finale, holding first place in the DSL Southeast at 16-9. DSL Rockies, meanwhile, ran the table — four straight wins, capped by an 8-7 walk-off over the DSL Tigers 2 — to climb to 11-13 and up to fourth in the DSL East.

⬆️ Stock Up: Montiel Mashes (DSL Colorado)

Adafel Montiel was the centerpiece of Colorado’s offense all week, hitting .471 (8-for-17) with a team-high seven RBIs, two steals, and a hit in nearly every game. His biggest blow came in the opener, a grand slam that keyed a 15-run rout of the DSL NYY Bombers. Now up to .362 on the season, Montiel supplied both the power and the consistency of a first-place lineup.

⬆️ Stock Up: Cancro Rakes (DSL Rockies)

Danny Cancro carried the bat for a Rockies club that won all four of its games. He hit .545 (6-for-11), reaching base in every game and delivering four RBIs while striking out just once. The .346 hitter has become a dependable table-setter, and his steady contact helped power an offense that overwhelmed its opponents throughout an unbeaten week.


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Will the Diamondbacks Extend Soroka’s Contract?

Michael Soroka. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Quick Background of Michael Soroka.

The Braves drafted him in the first round of the 2015 draft. 

Perhaps, 2019 was the best season of his career (All-Star, received votes for rookie of the year and Cy Young awards).  In 2020, he was the Braves’ youngest opening-day starting-pitcher in the team’s modern history.

A series of injuries over several years kept him from achieving his potential.  In 2025, he started games for the Nationals, then was a reliever (with one game as opener) for the Cubs. 

Why did the Diamondbacks acquire him?

Mike Hazen said Soroka had a combination of stuff, bounce-back potential, and upside to make him a good fit for the Diamondbacks.  What he did NOT say (but is likely true) is that the acquisition was risky (both under-performance and injury were possible), but with risk limited by a one-year contract.

Perhaps the Diamondbacks knew about his new pitch before they signed him. In 2026, he added a cutter to his arsenal so batters would be concerned with the other half of the plate.  In 2026, it was 11-12% of pitches to each of left-handed batters and right-handed batters. 

One aspect of Michael Soroka’s mental attitude is shown in the following quote:

“It’s all about getting out there and getting the next out.” — Michael Soroka, May of 2026

Concerns about injury risk were expressed by AZ Snakepitters in a roundtable.

  • Mike Hazen and his staff are mad if they think Soroka is going to be able to provide 120 IP out of the rotation. He might not even reach 80 IP.” —  James Attwood
  • “…That’s not to say ERod hasn’t had the better career thus far, but if I’m going for ceiling and floor, I’m riding the potential of Soroka knowing he’s only good for 20 starts at most….” —  Spencer

Soroka pitching for the Diamondbacks was outstanding.

An immaculate inning is rare (only 121 times in MLB).  It requires striking out three consecutive batters with exactly 9 pitches (the least possible pitches).

“On March 30, 2026, in his first start with the Diamondbacks, Soroka threw the 120th immaculate inning in MLB history against the Detroit Tigers.” — Wikipedia

This season, his best stat is 5.1% walks (94th percentile).  Two other Baseball Savant stats of note: 

  • His 33.6% Chase is at the 81st percentile.
  • His 34.1% hard hits is at the 79th percentile.   

My view is that for the Diamondbacks, there are two more general stats that will indicate the teams winning chances:

  • Percentage of Quality Starts (at least 6 innings with 3 or less earned runs).
  • Percentage of games with 3 or less earned runs.

The following table looks at those two stats for all the Diamondbacks starters except Cabrera and Bratt (who together have accumulated 4 games started through 5 July).  Based on the table, my view is that Soroka is the second best pitcher in the Diamondbacks rotation.

Soroka was injured, but is expected back soon.

Soroka injured his left glut on 19 June (after 15 starts, 82 innings pitched). Although some might say I told you so, it was a relatively minor injury and he is expected back this season.

“That glute injury is fairly asymptomatic, so he’s going to begin his throwing program, bullpens, etc., and building up as best he can, as fast as he can to return to us.” — Torey Lovullo

“It’s a fast turnaround.  Once he gets back on the bump, and starts that progression we want to be as quick as possible.” — Torey Lovullo

Outlook for 2027 and 2028.

My view of the Diamondbacks’ starting pitchers who could be part of the rotation is summarized in the following table.

One view is that next season’s return of Corbin Burnes will cover the loss of Soroka, and at least one of the other pitchers will be ready to cover for the loss of Gallen. In that view, there is no reason to extend Soroka.

My view is that at least seven starters will be needed in each of the next two seasons. Subject to changes made via trades and off-season acquisitions, the quality of Diamondbacks pitching would be significantly improved by acquiring one additional starting pitcher for each of 2027 and 2028. Therefore, extending Michael Soroka would fill a need. Let’s look at whether it would be a good move.

Four reasons to extend Michael Soroka.

This season, his performance in percentage quality starts is better than all the other Diamondbacks starters except Rodriguez.

The Diamondbacks have made some bad signings of starting pitchers, such as Madison Bumgarner. That stands in stark contrast to Soroka’s signing, which helped the Diamondbacks. 

Next season would be Soroka’s second season with the Diamondbacks. That is significant because this AZ Snake Pit article found data that showed that newly acquired starters (age 30 and older) tend to perform better their second year with a new team.

Soroka is a known quantity, reducing acquisition risk tremendously. 

Summary.

The Diamondbacks acquired Michael Soroka because he had a combination of stuff, bounce-back potential, and upside to make him a good fit for the Diamondbacks.  The acquisition was risky (both under-performance and injury were possible), but the risk was limited by a one-year contract.

For the Diamondbacks, Michael Soroka’s pitching was outstanding. His excellent stats included percentage walks, chase percentage, and hard hit percentage. His percentage of quality starts ranked second best in the Diamondbacks rotation.

On 19 June, after starting 15 games, Soroka was injured. He is expected back soon.

Looking at the rotation in the next two seasons, my view is that the Diamondbacks would benefit from extending Soroka’s contract. Reasons include high percentage of quality starts, my expectation of improved performance in his second season with the Diamondbacks, and he is a known quantity which reduces risk.

Who are you most excited to watch for the Mavericks in NBA Summer League?

LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - JULY 20: A view of basketball as Charlotte Hornets wins the championship game of NBA 2K26 Summer League against Sacramento Kings at Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada, United States on July 20, 2025. (Photo by Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu via Getty Images) | Anadolu via Getty Images

Welcome to SB Nation Reacts, a survey of fans across the NBA. Throughout the year we ask questions of the most plugged-in Mavericks fans and fans across the country. Sign up here to participate in the weekly emailed surveys.

Maddox Dagenais Brings Size To A Blues Prospect That Needs It In The Center Ice Position

Although the St. Louis Blues entered the 2026 NHL draft with four first-round picks, they left making just two of those picks but added three left-handed centers.

With the 11th overall pick, the Blues selected two-way, smooth-skating center Tynan Lawrence. Then, they flipped the 15th and 29th overall picks to land 23-year-old Mason McTavish. With their final piece of business in the first round, the Blues selected 6-foot-4 Quebec native Maddox Dagenais.

The Blues entered the draft with a bit of a shortage of centers. In the NHL, they had Robert Thomas and Dalibor Dvorsky, both of whom stand at six feet and 6-foot-1. While they are not small by any margin, size and physicality aren’t strengths of their game. McTavish is listed at 6-foot-1, but he can play with a physical edge.

Lawrence is listed at 6-foot-1 as well, but his play style doesn’t scream bruiser. Dagenais, on the other hand, is a physical beast, bringing an element that the Blues need at the center ice position.

The 18-year-old was a former first overall pick in the QMJHL, but he hasn’t necessarily lit it up offensively just yet. In 2025-26, Dagenais notched 30 goals and 62 points in 62 games, taking a large step forward in his development from his rookie season in 2024-25. 

Dagenais has some international experience as well, representing Canada at the U-17 and U-18 Levels, but hasn’t broken out offensively there either.

Blues Go Center Heavy With Their First-Round Picks In 2026 NHL Draft Blues Go Center Heavy With Their First-Round Picks In 2026 NHL Draft St. Louis grabs Tynan Lawrence at No. 11, Dagenais at No. 16 after trading No. 15, 29 To Ducks For McTavish

Despite that, Dagenais brings several intriguing elements. We’ve touched on his power forward traits, but he is also a strong skater who excels in transition. His shot is strong, and he became more comfortable utilizing it as the season went on.

His playmaking needs some development, but if that develops, Dagenais has all the traits of a top-six NHL center. 

Eliteprospects.com compared Dagenais’ game to Toronto Maple Leafs winger Matthew Knies and former Blues first-round pick Zachary Bolduc. 

The Blues have plenty of highly skilled prospects, and although Dagenais is very skilled, he brings a different element that the Blues may have been putting off recently. Diversifying the prospect pool was a must, and there is an avenue for Dagenais to be successful with the Blues in the NHL. 


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Donovan Mitchell inks new deal with Cavs

NEW YORK, NY - MAY 21: Donovan Mitchell #45 of the Cleveland Cavaliers looks on during the game against the New York Knicks during Game Two of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals on May 21, 2026 at Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Brian Babineau/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

The most successful NBA player that Louisville basketball has ever produced is well on his way to becoming the most financially successful former Cardinal this side of Junior Bridgeman.

Donovan Mitchell has agreed to a new 4-year deal with the Cleveland Cavaliers that will reportedly earn him $273 million. Mitchell could have waited until next summer to add an additional season worth an extra $80 million on the deal, but instead chose to re-up with Cleveland on the first day he was eligible.

A three-time NBA All-Star, Mitchell has averaged 26.7 points, 5.3 assists and 4.6 rebounds per game in his Cavs tenure. He’s led the team to the playoffs in each of his four seasons in Cleveland, most recently taking them to the Eastern Conference Finals where they were swept by eventual World Champions New York.

“I love it here. I don’t know how else to say it. I have no doubt these guys can get there. We have unfinished business,” Mitchell said after the sweep.

And now he’s backed up those words by committing to Cleveland for the next four years … and giving them a little bit of extra wiggle room to bring in some help.

Yankees prospects: Week 15 minor league recap

Carlos Lagrange of the Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders exits the field during a Minor League Baseball game at Coca-Cola Park in Allentown, United States, on May 22, 2026. (Photo by Dan Squicciarini/NurPhoto via Getty Images) | NurPhoto via Getty Images

Injuries are a real party pooper. Just like with the major league roster, the Yankees’ top prospects are dropping like flies. With several top hitters and pitchers injured, the guys on the periphery are going to get a chance to shine, and there’s one guy in particular who’s starting to gain some real helium down in Tampa.

Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Record: 7-4 (44-41), 2 GB in the International League East after a 4-1 week against the Norfolk Tides (Orioles)

Run differential: +13 (+16)

Coming up: Away @ Buffalo Bison (Blue Jays)

It was a good start to July for the RailRiders in the win column, bouncing back from a loss on Tuesday to win four straight to close out the week. Saturday’s game was postponed due to rain and was never made up, as only one game was barely squeezed in on Sunday. But while they picked up some wins, this level’s prospect pedigree is shrinking fast.

George Lombard Jr. should be back soon, though probably not until after a Futures Game he’ll likely miss. Garrett Martin went on the injured list a week ago. Brendan Beck filled in for the big league club on the Fourth of July due to Carlos Rodón’s injury, and while he was optioned shortly after, you’d expect Elmer Rodríguez to get promoted in his place for this week. The big kicker, though, is Carlos Lagrange’s season potentially being over because of a shoulder injury. He’s in no-throw for six weeks, which makes a September return the best-case scenario. So much for a 2026 big league debut…

In a depleted lineup that will, at least, welcome back Spencer Jones this coming week, there’s not too much to write home about. JC Escarra has been good as he stays ready for his next big league opportunity, while Ernesto Martinez Jr. and Marco Luciano have hit well. The team’s most reliable hitter, though, has been Jonathan Ornelas, as the 26-year-old journeyman has been hitting over .300 all season long and came through with a walk-off grand slam on Sunday.

Beck’s emergency promotion thinned the rotation. Dom Hamel allowed six runs in six innings, Alexander Cornielle didn’t finish the fourth in a choppy outing on Friday, and Adam Kloffenstein pitched well on Tuesday. Rodríguez tossed a quality start on Wednesday, getting through 6.2 innings, but the main storyline was the promotion of former third-round pick Kyle Carr, who didn’t allow an earned run in 5.2 innings on Sunday in his Triple-A debut.

The Scranton Shuttle keeps on shuffling the bullpen. Jake Bird and Angel Chivilli are up, while Yovanny Cruz is back down and has really strung together some good outings to get out of a minor funk he had prior to his second promotion. Outside of him, Danny Watson and Zach Messinger have remained under-the-radar, low-velocity arms that have been effective in their roles.

Players of Note:

George Lombard Jr.: .231/.381/.385, 4 HR, 15 RBI, 16 XBH, 8 SB, 109 wRC+ (injured)
Garrett Martin (AA/AAA): .270/.337/.570, 24 HR, 64 RBI, 18 SB, 135 wRC+ (injured)
Brendan Beck: 7-2, 3.07 ERA, 3.78 FIP, 1.02 WHIP, 18.1 K-BB% (88 IP)
Elmer Rodríguez: 4-3, 2.93 ERA, 4.29 FIP, 1.29 WHIP, 11.4 K-BB% (61.1 IP)
Carlos Lagrange: 1-4, 4.55 ERA, 4.84 FIP, 1.36 WHIP, 17.8 K-BB% (63.1 IP) (injured)

Double-A Somerset Patriots

Record: 5-7 (42-39), 3 GB in the Eastern League Northeast after a 3-3 week against the Hartford Yard Goats (Rockies)

Run differential: -1 (+35)

Coming up: Home vs. Reading Fightin’ Phils (Phillies)

It was a week of inconsistency down in Somerset, as two early-week victories weren’t able to yield anything other than a split after they scored just one run on Saturday and Sunday combined.

Because of promotions, the offense is a shell of what it was when they dominated the Eastern League with gaudy power numbers for the first two months. They’re leaning on Jace Avina and Coby Morales right now for production, with DJ Gladney and a resurgent Jackson Castillo helping out. They really need some other bats to step up, but where will it come from? The catching room is depleted, Connor McGinnis has been so-so in the infield, and others haven’t picked up the slack.

It was a tale of two starts for Cade Smith, who got a rare double this week. He was great on Tuesday with six strong innings, but didn’t record a strikeout in five rough innings on Sunday. Xavier Rivas lasted just two innings after struggling with the ridiculous heat on Wednesday night, Jack Cebert (6 IP, 2 R, 6 K) tossed a quality start on Thursday, Chase Hampton tossed four shutout innings, and Ben Hess allowed three runs in four innings.

The bullpen welcomed back a key piece from injury in Geoffrey Gilbert, but they continue to rely on Tony Rossi to throw big innings, in which he’s been up and down. Harrison Cohen has been good in relief since he was sent back down, while Ben Grable finally allowed a run on Thursday, but continues to be the man to watch in that bullpen. Hayden Merda also bounced back big time with a five-strikeout outing.

Players of Note:

Jace Avina: .272/.360/.540, 16 HR, 44 RBI, 34 XBH, 28.3 K%, 137 wRC+
Jackson Castillo: .273/.355/.424, 4 HR, 33 RBI, 7 SB, 112 wRC+
Coby Morales: .278/.359/.513, 15 HR, 60 RBI, 12 SB, 131 wRC+
Xavier Rivas:
4-3, 4.82 ERA, 4.95 FIP, 1.26 WHIP, 22.4 K-BB% (52.1 IP)
Ben Grable (A+/AA): 3-1, 2.70 ERA, 2.75 FIP, 0.80 WHIP, 30.5 K-BB% (30 IP)

High-A Hudson Valley Renegades

Record: 7-8 (38-42), 4 GB in the South Atlantic League North Second Half after a 3-3 week against the Wilmington Blue Rocks (Nationals)

Run differential: +8 (+17)

Coming up: Home vs. Rome Emperors (Braves)

The Renegades basically had the exact opposite week as Somerset. They got off to a bad start, going 1-3 heading into the weekend before back-to-back wins on Fourth of July weekend to salvage a sweep. Sunday’s game was especially thrilling, as Hudson Valley blew a 4-3 lead in the ninth, but rallied to come back on a massive walk-off homer by Kyle West.

Wilson Rodriguez, a former 18th-round pick out of Puerto Rico, has silently become their best and most consistent hitter, carrying an offense that’s struggling. Kaeden Kent is still around .300, but he’s not slugging much and just hit the shelf with an injury. Enmanuel Tejada has struggled of late, Kyle West hasn’t made enough contact around his light-tower power, and guys like Roderick Arias and Camden Troyer are the human embodiment of hot and cold.

Bryce Cunningham (5.2 IP, 5 R, 2 ER, 4 BB, 1 K) took a step back in his Tuesday start, struggling with command. Luis Serna and Allen Facundo had identical starts, each allowing four runs over six innings. Franyer Herrera and Sean Paul Liñan scuffled, but there was some progress in one regard this week as 2025 sixth-round pick Rory Fox allowed just one run in 5.2 innings in another strong start.

The bullpen was good all week. Wilmy Sanchez and Bryce Warrecker got big outs, with the latter continuing a terrific season that’s seen him pitch to a 1.64 ERA in 22 innings across two levels. A few of them got screwed over with shoddy defense, like with what happened to Jack Sokol on Sunday when he “blew” the ninth inning with three unearned runs.

Players of Note:

Kaeden Kent: .302/.359/.433, 6 HR, 43 RBI, 28 XBH, 20 SB, 107 wRC+
Core Jackson: .248/.344/.452, 10 HR, 37 RBI, 23 SB, 106 wRC+
Wilson Rodriguez: .262/.381/.437, 8 HR, 42 RBI, 18 SB, 116 wRC+
Luis Serna:
3-4, 4.18 ERA, 3.79 FIP, 1.21 WHIP, 16.4 K-BB% (71 IP)
Bryce Cunningham: 2-4, 4.19 ERA, 5.44 FIP, 1.26 WHIP, 9.3 K-BB% (43 IP)

Single-A Tampa Tarpons

Record: 11-4 (46-35), 2.5 GA in the Florida State League West after a 5-1 week against the St. Lucie Mets (Mets)

Run differential: +21 (+44)

Coming up: Home vs. Clearwater Threshers (Phillies)

Tampa keeps cooking. They won three games via shutout and dominated from Tuesday to Saturday with five consecutive wins before a bullpen collapse spoiled the sweep on Sunday. They led 5-1 after seven before allowing nine runs in two innings.

They’re doing it mostly with pitching, but don’t confuse that with bad offense. Sure, they’re no longer getting carried by the likes of Jackson Lovich and Hans Montero while Luis Escudero’s hot bat is on the shelf. It’s the depth of the lineup with guys like Luis Puello behind the plate, JoJo Jackson in the outfield, Logan Maxwell returning from injury, and a blistering hot bat from 2025 UDFA David McCann:

Onto the pitching, which is downright incredible. Justin West got things started with 5.2 shutout innings on Tuesday, followed by Thatcher Hurd (5 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 6 K) completing five innings for the first time as a pro on Wednesday. JT Etheridge followed up Wyatt Parliament’s mediocre start on Thursday with four shutout innings as a piggyback; Henry Lalane continued to be incredible on Friday; Tyler Boudreau tossed a quality start on Saturday, and Brennan Stuprich tossed four strong innings on Sunday.

The bullpen was inconsistent. Jose M. Rodriguez continued to impress, now holding a 2.51 ERA in 32.1 innings with 45 strikeouts, but a blowup on Sunday soils a lot of numbers for his teammates. Brian Hendry continued his rehab with 1.1 innings on Wednesday, and I’m curious what the team’s plan is for him. He’s already 26 but has dominated in the limited time he’s been on the mound. I’d compare him to Brendan Beck from a few years ago, but his stuff is quite a bit better.

Players of Note:

Jackson Lovich: .284/.357/.513, 14 HR, 52 RBI, 30 XBH, 20 SB, 127 wRC+
Bryce Martin-Grudzielanek: .258/.368/.413, 9 HR, 37 RBI, 25 SB, 112 wRC+
Hans Montero: .238/.363/.426, 8 HR, 40 RBI, 27 XBH, 21 SB, 114 wRC+
Tyler Boudreau: 4-2, 3.31 ERA, 3.57 FIP, 1.09 WHIP, 19.7 K-BB% (68 IP)
Henry Lalane: 4-1, 2.74 ERA, 2.58 FIP, 0.99 WHIP, 23.9 K-BB% (62.1 IP)

FCL Yankees

Record: 23-24, 7 GB in the FCL North after a 2-3 week.

Run differential: +14

The FCL Yankees are all but dead in the playoff race, sitting five games behind the wild-card spot occupied by the FCL Orioles with just 13 games to go. The bats cooled off this week, but Wilberson De Pena and Dexters Peralta continue to be the two most prolific home run hitters in all of rookie ball.

Blake Gillespie’s season is likely over due to injury, so the rotation is just a hodgepodge right now. Jerson Alejandro, a mountain of a man at 6-foot-6, 255 pounds, has re-emerged after injuries but is struggling. Sabier Marte continues to slowly improve, while Austin Breedlove and Edinzo Marquez are dominating in the bullpen.

Players of Note:

Wilberson De Pena: .342/.399/.663, 13 HR, 53 RBI, 31 XBH, 18 SB, 148 wRC+
Jose Castro: .297/.492/.538, 6 HR, 24 RBI, 25 SB, 158 wRC+
Richard Matic: .309/.427/.481, 20 XBH, 27 RBI, 14 SB, 126 wRC+
Sabier Marte: 34.1 IP, 5.77 ERA, 4.85 FIP, 1.46 WHIP, 16.3 K-BB%
Austin Breedlove: 21 IP, 1.71 ERA, 3.10 FIP, 1.14 WHIP, 18.0 K-BB%

DSL Yankees & Bombers

DSL Yankees:
Record: 15-10, 0.5 GB in DSL East after a 3-2 week
Run differential: +94

DSL Bombers:
Record: 11-15, 6 GB in DSL Southeast after a 2-4 week
Run differential: -26

Did you know the DSL Yankees have the best run differential of any Dominican affiliate? They’ve won by some truly comical margins with a ferocious offense powered by Isaias Castillo and Juan Torres, but have lost some brutal close games. That first week of the season where they seemed to choke every other game away in the late innings hurts.

Not much is going on with the Bombers, who have seven-figure prospect Mani Cedeno struggling. It’s still early in his pro career, but the more the last few classes of international prospects struggle, the more you understand why Danny Rowland was canned when he was, sacrificing the most recent international class.

Players of Note:

Isaias Castillo: .330/.444/.699, 8 HR, 27 RBI, 20 XBH, 10 SB, 159 wRC+ (124 PA)
Juan Torres: .373/.436/.686, 5 HR, 33 RBI, 20 XBH, 11 SB, 151 wRC+ (117 PA)
Stiven Marinez: .289/.420/.567, 5 HR, 30 RBI, 18 SB, 145 wRC+ (119 PA)
Fredy Penuelas: 20.1 IP, 0.44 ERA, 2.68 FIP, 1.03 WHIP, 26.8 K-BB%
Yunior Jerez: 20.2 IP, 3.05 ERA, 3.63 FIP, 0.87 WHIP, 17.7 K-BB%

Prospect of the Week: Henry Lalane

Weekly Stats: 7 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 11 K
Season Stats: 4-1, 2.74 ERA, 2.58 FIP, 0.99 WHIP, 23.9 K-BB% (62.1 IP)

This is now the third time in the last month and a change that we’ve had Lalane as Prospect of the Week, and for good reason. In his most recent dominant start, he was absolutely untouchable in the early innings, eventually racking up 11 strikeouts in another walk-less start. Since May 17, he’s allowed just five earned runs in 42.1 innings with 61 strikeouts to just 10 walks. This is phenomenal stuff.

It’s getting to the point where I actively question if he might be the team’s best starting pitcher prospect. Hess, Cunningham, and Hampton’s stocks are all down this year. ERC is going to graduate in the coming weeks. Lagrange is in the bullpen. There’s real runway to get to Top 100 prospect status with a strong summer from Lalane.

Dodgers history reaches equilibrium between Los Angeles & Brooklyn

Los Angeles, CA - April 15: Former Los Angeles Dodgers Tommy Davis, member of the 1963 World Series team and a two-time NL batting champ who holds the Dodgers single-season records with 230 hits and 153 RBIs passed away at the age of 83.Former Brooklyn Dodgers' pitcher Don Newcombe, right, with former Los Angeles Dodgers' Dodgers, Sweet Lu Johnson, center, and Tommy Davis, left, on Jackie Robinson Day prior to a baseball game between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers in Los Angeles on Sunday, April 15, 2012. (Photo by Keith Birmingham/MediaNews Group/Pasadena Star-News via Getty Images) | MediaNews Group via Getty Images

Monday night was a notable game in franchise history for the Dodgers, and not just because the team played their first extra-inning game of 2026, snapping a 91-game stretch that was the second-longest to open a season without playing past nine innings, seven games behind the 2005 Boston Red Sox.

The series opener against the Colorado Rockies was more historical, encompassing the entirety of 143 years as a franchise. Between the regular season and postseason combined, the Dodgers in Brooklyn played 11,109 games. Monday night was the Dodgers’ 11,109th such game since moving to Los Angeles.

The franchise started in Brooklyn in 1884 in the American Association, where they would play for six seasons before joining the National League in 1890.

The World Series as we know it didn’t begin until 1903, but earlier attempts to determine a champion were less series. For example, the Dodgers won the National League in 1890 and played the American Association-champion Louisville Cardinals in the “World’s Championship Series,” but the series ended in a tie (3-3-1) and was never settled. The Dodgers’ only other 19th century postseason was in 1889, when they lost in the postseason to the NL-champion New York Giants, six games to three.

Brooklyn also finished first in the National League in both 1899 and 1900, but had no postseason to play.

In the modern era, the Brooklyn Dodgers played in nine World Series, totaling 56 games. Since moving to Los Angeles, the Dodgers have played in 14 World Series and 79 Fall Classic games, but also 174 other postseason games.

LocationGamesRecordPennantsTitles
Brooklyn (1884-1957)11,1095,650-5,325-134131
Los Angeles (1958-2026)11,1096,094-5,009-6148
regular season and postseason combined, through July 6, 2026

At the moment, 143 years of Dodgers history is perfectly balanced between Brooklyn and Los Angeles.

Kyle Lowry to sign one-day contract with Toronto, retire a Raptor

When Kyle Lowry was traded from the Rockets to the Raptors in the summer of 2012, Toronto was a directionless, lost franchise. It had been above .500 just once in the previous 10 seasons and hadn't gotten out of the first round of the playoffs since Vince Carter wore a Raptors uniform.

Lowry spearheaded a transformation on the court that, within a year, saw Toronto win 48 games and then beat that mark for the next six years, making the playoffs every season — and winning the NBA title in 2019. Lowry may not have always been the best player on those teams (although he made six-straight All-Star Games), but he was the leader, the player who changed the culture, who not only turned Toronto into a winner but also wanted to be north of the border and became active and invested in the community. He created a legacy unlike any other in franchise history.

After a 20-season NBA career, Kyle Lowry signed a one-day contract with Toronto on Tuesday so that he can retire a Raptor.

"This is home, and Toronto will always be home. Together we built something special here, and together we became champions," Lowry said of his decision. "I always said I would retire as a Raptor, and to be able to do that today means everything to me."

How Lowry became Raptors legend

Lowry was traded to Toronto for Gary Forbes and a first-round pick because Houston no longer believed in him and how far he could take the team. They sent him to a Toronto team and a franchise that didn't believe in itself.

Lowry sparked something that changed Raptors' history.

"Kyle is the Toronto Raptors — he created an identity for the Raptors that we strive to uphold every time we take the floor, play hard and play to win, for your teammates, for Toronto and for Canada. Put your body on the line. Take a charge, dive for a loose ball - do all the little things that don't always show up in the box score, but add up to a storied, celebrated career," Raptors general manager Bobby Webster said. "Kyle was the ultimate competitor whose No. 7 will always be remembered with the Raptors' very first championship, and it's our honor to raise it to the rafters, where it belongs."

In nine seasons with the Raptors, Lowry averaged 17.5 points, 7.1 assists and 4.9 rebounds per game.

He is a true Raptors legend, who comes back to step away just as maybe his most famous teammate, Kawhi Leonard, returns to Toronto in the fall, hoping to take them back to the top of the East.

Somewhere during that season will be Kyle Lowry night, when his No. 7 jersey will be retired and hung in the rafters in Canada.

As it should be. He is the greatest Raptor ever.

Are the Orioles going to make it into the postseason?

CINCINNATI, OHIO - JULY 05: Dylan Beavers #12 of the Baltimore Orioles scores on a sacrifice fly ball hit by Gunnar Henderson #2 (not pictured) during the ninth inning of a baseball game against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on July 05, 2026 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Jeff Dean/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Welcome to SB Nation Reacts, a survey of fans across the MLB. Throughout the year we ask questions of the most plugged-in Orioles fans and fans across the country. Sign up here to participate in the weekly emailed surveys.

More than halfway into the 2026 season, the Orioles have not yet emerged from the disappointing rut they fell into early on. They have avoided the kind of disaster that destroyed their season early last year. That’s something. However, they still have to actually find success. As we experience weekly, they just can’t manage to do this consistently.

In this week’s survey, the question is very simple. Are the Orioles going to figure this thing out and make it into the postseason? Vote below:

The odds are not in their favor as they sit 3.5 games out of the third AL Wild Card spot. At Baseball Reference, the team has a 10.9% chance of getting into the playoffs. FanGraphs currently gives the Orioles a better, but still bad, 19.9% chance of making it. No one would want to have their life or any meaningful amount of money staked on odds ranging from 5-1 to 9-1.

Even after three months of watching these doofuses, and even considering my inherent pessimistic streak, it’s still hard to avoid wondering what this team could look like if just a couple more pieces fall into place. Gunnar Henderson starting to hit like a star again would be the biggest help. Maybe ahead of the trade deadline, Mike Elias will acquire someone useful, sorry, he won’t, I don’t know why I even said that.

The vibes remain confusing. How are you feeling now? Let us know in the comments below.

NBA Summer League Predictions & Parlay for Today, July 7: Flemings Spearheads Underdog Hawks

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The Utah Summer League wraps up tonight, with the hometown Jazz trying to complete a 3-0 run at Jon M. Huntsman Center.

They'll face the Oklahoma City Thunder in the late tip, on the heels of a matchup between the Atlanta Hawks and Memphis Grizzlies — and all eyes will be fixed on what kind of workload the big-name rookies receive after playing yesterday.

Here are my NBA Summer League picks ahead of the July 7 action.

NBA Summer League predictions for July 7

PickKalshi
@ UTA logoJazz moneyline -144
ATL logo Hawks moneyline +156

Today's Summer League Picks

Jazz moneyline (-144 at Kalshi)

How carefully will the Utah Jazz manage Darryn Peterson’s minutes in tonight’s matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder? That’s the biggest question looming over this clash, with Peterson scoring 53 points across his first two summer outings.

I still like the Utah moneyline even if Peterson and Cody Williams are just spectators here. Max Abmas and Jonas Aidoo have had some nice moments off the bench, and Blake Hinson is a steady starter at this level.

After starting the Summer League schedule with an ugly blowout loss, the Thunder were more competitive in yesterday’s loss to the Hawks, but the same availability questions apply to rookies Aday Mara and Bennett Stirtz, who were a combined 7-for-23 last night.

I’ll bank on the home crowd giving the Jazz backups enough juice to grind out a win. 

Hawks moneyline (+156 at Kalshi)

This pick counts on the Memphis Grizzlies deciding they’ve seen enough of the talented Cedric Coward-Cam Boozer duo and shelving them for Vegas. In that world, Memphis would be relying on a bench that was run out of the gym last night against Utah.

While the Atlanta Hawks may reach a similarly cautious decision with their bigger names, rookie Kingston Flemings could give the underdogs some extra zip in this contest.

If Atlanta rolls with a cast of reserves, both Devon Higgs and Keshon Gilbert shot the ball well in yesterday’s loss to the Thunder, and the Hawks held OKC to just five made 3-pointers.

In what could descend into an end-of-the-bench rock fight, I’ll take the plus odds with an Atlanta squad capable of pulling off an upset.

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Kalshi

Jazz moneyline

Hawks moneyline

+334 at Kalshi

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Potential Sabres Trade Or Free Agent Acquisitions – Jared McCann

The Buffalo Sabres could go a number of different ways as the NHL is in the midst of trade season following the NHL Draft and the opening of free agency on July 1. With the departure of winger Alex Tuch and defenseman Bowen Byram, GM Jarmo Kekalainen is expected to seek out offensive reinforcements to make up for the 44 goals lost by their departures. 

Over the next few weeks, we will continue to look at potential options for the Sabres.  Some of the possibilities are not going to match Tuch’s stats, but any additions could provide some relief to the pressure that youngsters Konsta Helenius, Jiri Kulich, or Noah Ostlund will be under to make up the deficit.

Other Sabres Stories

Sabres Emotionally Devastated By Game 7 Overtime Loss

Kekalainen ideally would like to replace the 60-to-70 point production that he lost with Tuch, and one possibility is Seattle Kraken winger Jared McCann. The 30-year-old is in the final year of a five-year, $25 million contract with the Kraken, and his name has begun to pop up on trade rumors. After starting his career in Vancouver in 2015, the winger played three years in Florida, and another three with the Pittsburgh Penguins. 

Sabres extend Zach Benson for seven years

The Pens traded him to Toronto, who exposed him in the 2022 expansion draft, where the Kraken claimed him. The Stratford, ON native has scored 20 or more goals in each of his five seasons in the Pacific Northwest, with his career-high 40 goals in 2023. McCann played only 52 games last season due to recurrent lower-body injuries, but still posted 40 points (20 goals, 20 assists).

McCann has a 10-team modified no-trade list, which could still be a hurdle that Kekalainen has to clear with some players. The cost certainty of a $5 million cap hit would be attractive to the Sabres with their limited cap space, and the fact that he could be a one-year rental would keep the trade price down. Moving him would be a head-scratcher for former Sabres GM Jason Botterill, but it could be indicative that McCann or the Kraken are not open to a contract extension.  

The Sabres have to be looking for someone who could replace as much of Tuch’s production as possible, and in the final year of his contract, McCann would be motivated to put up big numbers in advance of hitting the open market next July. The fact that the Sabres are relying on internal improvement of their young players to make up the difference is a risky proposition, since them taking the next step is not linear. The addition of someone like McCann or Buffalo native Patrick Kane will not make up for all the offense and leadership lost with the departure of Tuch, but it would definitely help.  

Follow Michael on X, Instagram @MikeInBuffalo

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Gone Fishin’: Mariners at Marlins Series Preview

SACRAMENTO, CALIFORNIA - JULY 05: Heriberto Hernandez #13 of the Miami Marlins celebrates in the dugout after hitting a solo home run in the top of the first inning against the Athletics at Sutter Health Park on July 05, 2026 in Sacramento, California. (Photo by Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Following a fantastic 5-1 homestand, the Mariners head to Florida for a six-game road trip during the final week of play before the All-Star break. If they win both of these series, Seattle will effectively match their first-half record from last year — they were 51-45 at the break in 2025. For a season that’s felt so up and down, the M’s really aren’t in such a bad position. They definitely haven’t played up to their talent level, and they’re benefitting from a thoroughly mediocre American League, but FanGraphs gives them the highest odds to win their division of any of the division leaders around the league.

GameTimeMariners StarterMarlins StarterMariners Win%Marlins Win%
Game 1Tuesday, July 7 | 3:40 pmRHP Bryan WooRHP Max Meyer53.9%46.1%
Game 2Wednesday, July 8 | 3:40 pmRHP George KirbyRHP Janson Junk55.8%44.2%
Game 3Thursday, July 9 | 3:40 pmRHP Bryce MillerRHP Tyler Phillips56.1%43.9%
*Game odds courtesy of FanGraphs
OverviewMarinersMarlinsEdge
Batting (wRC+)102 (7th in AL)103 (6th in NL)Marlins
Fielding (FRV)-25 (15th)-1 (9th)Marlins
Starting Pitching (FIP-)84 (1st)99 (5th)Mariners
Bullpen (FIP-)88 (2nd)88 (5th)Mariners

The Marlins were the best team in baseball in the month of June, running a 20-6 record that vaulted them into the thick of the NL Wild Card race. Their pitching staff was characteristically fantastic, allowing just 3.1 runs per game last month. The real surprise has been the offense; they scored 5.1 runs per game in June and their lineup now has a 103 wRC+ on the season. That would be the highest mark in franchise history, and two of the four times the team has had a wRC+ of 99 or higher, it won the World Series. No big deal.

PlayerPositionBatsPAK%BB%ISOwRC+
Liam HicksDHL3199.1%9.7%0.174126
Kyle Stowers1BL28230.9%9.6%0.223117
Otto LopezSSR38313.3%4.4%0.174143
Xavier Edwards2BS38311.7%12.8%0.125124
Griffin ConineLFL7429.7%13.5%0.194116
Owen CaissieRFL24339.5%7.0%0.20896
Jakob MarseeCFL36722.9%12.8%0.10476
Joe MackCL15624.4%7.1%0.183104
Javier Sanoja3BR2259.3%6.2%0.139101

The Marlins don’t have a superstar anchoring their lineup. Instead, they’re benefitting from breakouts from a bunch of their young role players all at the same time. Liam Hicks, Otto Lopez, and Xavier Edwards are the core trio that have been driving the production all season long. The thing all three of them have in common is an excellent approach at the plate and elite bat-to-ball skills. They may not produce the loudest contact, but they rarely strikeout, take their walks, and maximize every ball they put in play. For the loud contact, the Marlins turn to Kyle Stowers. He enjoyed a huge breakout last year but injuries caused him to get off to a slow start this year. Since the beginning of June, he’s posted a 159 wRC+ with eight home runs.

Probable Pitchers 

Updated Stuff+ Explainer 

PitcherIPK%BB%HR/FB%GB%ERAFIP
Max Meyer10326.3%8.5%9.8%42.3%2.533.45
Bryan Woo99.124.3%4.8%7.1%36.6%4.173.00
PitchUsage vRHBUsage vLHBVelocityStuff+Whiff+BIP+xwOBA
Four-seam20.5%25.5%95.197561080.388
Sinker16.3%5.5%93.692371250.314
Changeup4.4%15.3%87.2871121120.353
Slider28.7%22.4%90.2100124990.276
Sweeper30.0%31.3%88.91001051090.255

Max Meyer was the Marlins’ number three overall pick in the 2020 draft but has had to overcome a bunch of obstacles en route to his breakout season this year. Tommy John surgery cost him two years of development and he’s struggled with inconsistency and additional injuries since returning from that elbow surgery. He added a sweeper and a sinker to his pitch mix last year, but he’s finally found a feel for that new breaking ball. It’s become his primary pitch alongside his sharp gyro slider and that’s made all the difference. 

PitcherIPK%BB%HR/FB%GB%ERAFIP
Janson Junk6016.9%5.1%10.7%43.2%4.804.11
George Kirby10421.1%5.6%9.5%49.0%3.813.70
PitchUsage vRHBUsage vLHBVelocityStuff+Whiff+BIP+xwOBA
Four-seam22.0%39.2%94.398621190.309
Sinker6.3%0.6%93.4
Changeup13.0%23.6%87.31041061260.306
Curveball0.6%10.9%80.794
Slider31.6%19.1%86.4104541300.325
Sweeper26.5%6.6%80.1104391280.289

The Marlins have essentially been using a four-man rotation for the past month after Janson Junk and Robby Snelling went down with injuries in May. Junk is finally close to returning — he completed a three-inning rehab outing on Saturday — though Miami hasn’t officially announced a starter for Wednesday’s game yet. Junk enjoyed a small breakout last year by honing his command to an elite level; his 2.9% walk rate led all starting pitchers with at least 100 IP last year. He doesn’t really possess a swing-and-miss weapon, though the development of a new changeup this year has given him something to build on.

PitcherIPK%BB%HR/FB%GB%ERAFIP
Tyler Phillips6917.5%10.8%11.0%46.2%3.524.54
Bryce Miller52.233.2%2.7%12.5%38.1%1.712.77
PitchUsage vRHBUsage vLHBVelocityStuff+Whiff+BIP+xwOBA
Four-seam5.6%12.0%96.37944770.271
Sinker30.4%21.6%95.88841660.458
Splitter24.0%24.5%87.495881030.267
Curveball8.1%23.2%83.61071421240.326
Sweeper31.9%18.6%84.2106108730.272

Tyler Phillips bounced around a few organizations before landing with the Marlins as a multi-inning reliever last year. He saw a little bit of high-leverage work, but was mostly used as a fireman who could eat up a couple of innings before giving way to the setup men or closer. This year, Miami has used him more frequently as a bulk reliever operating behind an opener, though seven of his last eight outings have been traditional starts. He’s got a really weird profile: he has three bat-missing weapons in his two breaking balls and a splitter but he relies too heavily on a mediocre sinker instead of featuring those secondary pitches. The result is far too many balls in play early in the count before he can finish off batters with one of those swing-and-miss pitches.


The Big Picture:

TeamW-LW%Games BehindRun DiffRecent Form
Mariners47-440.516+27W-W-L-W-W
Rangers45-450.5001.5-8W-L-W-L-L
Astros45-480.4843.0-45L-L-W-W-L
Athletics41-490.4565.5-72L-W-L-L-L
Angels36-550.39611.0-58L-L-L-L-L
TeamW-LW%Games BehindRun DiffRecent Form
Yankees50-400.556+5.0+82L-W-L-L-W
Guardians47-440.516+1.5-9W-W-W-L-L
Rangers45-450.500-8W-L-W-L-L
Astros45-480.4841.5-45L-L-W-W-L
Twins44-470.4841.5-17L-W-L-W-W

The Rangers wound up dropping the final two games of their series against the Tigers to fall to 1.5 games back in the division; they’ll host the Angels for three games this week. The Astros managed to win their series against the Rays last weekend but dropped the first game of a series in Washington yesterday; they’re now three games back in the division and just 1.5 games back in the Wild Card race. The Athletics are on the verge of dropping entirely out of the playoff picture — they were swept by the Marlins over the weekend and head to Detroit to face the Tigers this week.

Owen Murphy optioned, James Karinchak recalled, Tyler Kinley placed on paternity list

ATLANTA, GA - JULY 06: Owen Murphy #73 of the Atlanta Braves pitches in the tenth inning during the game against the New York Mets at Truist Park on July 6, 2026 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Matthew Grimes Jr./Atlanta Braves/Getty Images) | Getty Images

One last road trip on deck before the All-Star break, and the Braves are making some roster moves ahead of tonight’s opener in Pittsburgh.

Yesterday it was Eli White, and now reliever Tyler Kinley will hit the paternity list as he welcomes a new addition to the family. Congratulations, Tyler! May the paternal powers bless you and Eli both as they have Michael Harris II and Dylan Lee this season thus far.

The Braves have recalled righty James Karinchak in Kinley’s place. Optioned to Triple-A Gwinnett on Friday, July 3, he had a 2.08 ERA in 8 games with the Braves since having his contract selected on June 10.

Karinchak will share Gwinnett shuttle to the airport with LHP Connor Thomas. A Georgia native and Georgia Tech alum, he was signed to a minor league contract this offseason. Thomas debuted last year and pitched in two games with the Milwaukee Brewers before spending some time on the IL with left elbow arthritis. He began the season on the IL with the Stripers before heading on a rehab assignment in Rome. He has a 1.14 ERA in 10 games / 23.2 innings pitched with Gwinnett. Farewell to Daysbel Hernández, who was released in order to open up the spot on the 40-man.

Owen Murphy’s call-up resulted in a kind of nightmarish scenario last night – he entered in the 10th inning tasked with keeping the game tied with the ghost runner lurking on second base. He got two quick outs, but a double by Luis Torrens drove in the aforementioned ghost runner and a Met he’d clipped with a pitch. The Braves only getting one run back in the bottom of the tenth and leave Murphy on the hook for the loss. A valiant effort by the rookie in a tough situation. But he’s Gwinnett-bound after being optioned in the other side of the move for Thomas.

What will be next on the carousel of arms?

NBA media has jumped the shark on Jaylen Brown

BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS - MAY 02: Jaylen Brown #7 of the Boston Celtics looks on during the second quarter of a game against the Philadelphia 76ers in Game Seven of the First Round of the NBA Eastern Conference Playoffs at TD Garden on May 02, 2026 in Boston, Massachusetts. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images) | Getty Images

In the summer of 2024, Jaylen Brown was on top of the NBA world.

He was named Finals MVP as the Boston Celtics secured their historic 18th championship. He was a two-way force, helping slow down the ever-dangerous Luka Doncic as the Celtics dispensed of the Dallas Mavericks in five games. It cemented his legacy for a legendary franchise.

Brown, who isn’t even 30 yet, boasts a resume that will likely have his No. 7 hanging in the rafters of TD Garden one day. He’s a five-time All-Star, a two-time All-NBA pick and, of course, a champion — with both NBA Finals and Eastern Conference Finals MVPs.

It’s amazing how quickly the narrative changes.

Since his stunning blockbuster trade to the Sixers last week, those accomplishments have faded to the background. Suddenly, the argument is Boston’s accomplishments were almost despite Brown. As if he were just along for the ride as the Celtics enjoyed as much success as any NBA team during his tenure.

Brown isn’t perfect. Adjustments will need to be made as he joins forces with Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid and VJ Edgecombe.

But the spin from the NBA media, painting Brown as an albatross Boston untethered itself from, is approaching insanity.

What’s funny is nothing even needs to be referenced here. If you’ve been following along since news broke that the Sixers were shipping Paul George, two first-rounders and two second-rounders to Boston for Brown, you’ve seen this odd smear campaign against Brown.

His usage rate this past season ballooned to 36.2% as star teammate Jayson Tatum missed most of the season while recovering from a torn Achilles. With that, Brown didn’t have his most efficient season at 57.3% true shooting. To be fair, that’s also not bad efficiency at that usage rate. Many have pointed to Brown’s on/off splits with the Celtics. It’s true — over the past few seasons, Boston has outscored opponents by a bigger margin with Brown off the floor than on.

Brown’s on/off splits were in the 24th percentile in 2025-26, according to Cleaning the Glass. While Tatum’s splits were elite to start his career, they’ve fallen off a bit over the last few seasons. Ironically, in 2023-24, a campaign where Tatum finished sixth in MVP voting — like Brown did this past season — Tatum’s on/off splits were in the 42nd percentile. There were no character-limit pushing social media posts about Tatum’s inefficiency after that season.

This isn’t to discredit Tatum. He’s a great player. It’s just to show how imperfect on/off splits and analytics can be — and how they can be used to fit agendas at times. If you want to make the argument the Tatum-Brown duo had run its course, that seems like the fairest one to make. Both players could be characterized as tough shot-makers who take a lot of tough shots. If you want to make the argument Brad Stevens was getting ahead of a potential future financial crunch, that’s also fair. George has only a player option remaining on his deal after this season, meaning his contract could be moveable and be used either to acquire another star-level max player or split up to acquire more depth.

The eye test does still matter, though. Analytics are a tool. Much like Brown, they’re not perfect.

Brown is a physical specimen at 6-foot-6 and 223 pounds. He plays with rare physicality and force on the wing that most at his position don’t possess. He gets to his spots and can make difficult shots. He needs to be accounted for when he has the ball in his hands. His scoring gravity alone should help the other four players on the floor. And, again, we all saw how that physical presence helps defensively when he was going up against one of the game’s most gifted offensive players in Doncic. All of these attributes — physicality, iso scoring, on-ball defense — lend themselves best to postseason basketball.

As with most things, the truth is somewhere in the middle. Brown has his deficiencies. He’s an improved but still below-average passer. He’s never been particularly good at limiting turnovers, a big demerit in the analytics community. He continues to be right-hand dominant, despite improvement there as well. While his on-ball defense can be elite when he’s locked in on an assignment, he’s prone to off-ball lapses.

Maybe his salary should be more reserved for MVP-level players under this current CBA; how can Brown be blamed for that? Stevens and company had no issues doling out that deal back in 2023. Brown hit the benchmarks required to earn such a contract. The Sixers choosing to pay Brown over the 36-year-old George feels like a no-brainer.

Perhaps Stevens, who initially dangled Brown as part of a trade package for Giannis Antetokounmpo, saw potential financial pain with Brown’s contract in the future. He had a player who contributed significantly to the franchise, but whose max deal could push his payroll too close to the dreaded second apron for comfort — and the analytics backed such a decision.

Perhaps Mike Gansey simply saw an All-NBA performer who plays his ass off every night, wants to win and has won — analytics be damned.

There’s only one way to find out who’s right.

As Brown enjoys saying, throw the ball up.

MLB Predictions and Moneyline Picks for Tuesday, July 7

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Tuesday's full MLB schedule offers no shortage of betting opportunities, but not every favorite is worth backing.

After breaking down every matchup, I've narrowed the slate to my favorite MLB picks for July 7, targeting teams with the strongest pitching edges, matchup advantages, and paths to victory.

MLB moneyline picks for July 7

MatchupPick
BrewersBrewers
vs
CardinalsCardinals
Brewers
-190
BrewersBrewers
vs
CardinalsCardinals
Cardinals
+122
CubsCubs
vs
OriolesOrioles
Cubs
-106
AthleticsAthletics
vs
TigersTigers
Athletics
+190
BravesBraves
vs
PiratesPirates
Braves
+135
MarinersMariners
vs
MarlinsMarlins
Marlins
-115
YankeesYankees
vs
RaysRays
Rays
-111
AstrosAstros
vs
NationalsNationals
Nationals
-113
RoyalsRoyals
vs
MetsMets
Mets
-138
PhilliesPhillies
vs
RedsReds
Phillies
-160
GuardiansGuardians
vs
TwinsTwins
Twins
-108
Red SoxRed Sox
vs
White SoxWhite Sox
White Sox
+115
AngelsAngels
vs
RangersRangers
Rangers
-152
DiamondbacksDiamondbacks
vs
PadresPadres
Padres
-113
Blue JaysBlue Jays
vs
GiantsGiants
Giants
+104
RockiesRockies
vs
DodgersDodgers
Rockies
+245

Prices courtesy of Polymarket as of 7-7.

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Expert MLB moneyline picks for July 7

Brewers vs Cardinals: Brewers (-190)

Brewers win probability: 66%

I am not getting in the way of a Jacob Misiorowski start in the year of our lord 2026. The man has been absolutely dominant, posting a 0.109 ERA and 0.76 WHIP over his last 5 outings.

On top of that, the Brewers offense has been rolling, producing a 120 wRC+, .344 wOBA, and .783 OPS over their last 12 games.

Give me Milwaukee on the run line. I’m not stepping in front of this train right now.

Brewers vs Cardinals: Cardinals (+122)

Cardinals win probability: 45%

For game two, I will bite on the Red Birds. Their offense has been solid as of late, but I would much rather back them when they are not facing the Brewers ace.

Despite the tough matchup, St. Louis has been swinging a hot bat, posting a 123 wRC+, .344 wOBA, and .781 OPS over their last 6 games.

I think this is a spot where the Cardinals can take advantage of Robert Gasser at home and sneak out a win in the second game of the series.

Cubs vs Orioles: Cubs (-106)

Cubs win probability: 52%

Two pitchers I have no respect for, give me the much hotter offense, which happens to be the Chicago Cubs.

The Orioles have been ice cold at the plate, posting an 82 wRC+, .289 wOBA, .125 ISO, and .640 OPS over their last 12 games. Meanwhile, the Cubs have been absolutely rolling, producing a 132 wRC+, .346 wOBA, and .825 OPS over their last 21 games.

When I do not trust the arms, I will gladly back the hotter lineup. Give me the Cubs in this spot.

Athletics vs Tigers: Athletics (+190)

Athletics win probability: 35%

“But it’s Tarik Skubal Day, but it’s Tarik Skubal Day!!”

I DO NOT CARE!!

I want no part of trusting an offense that has been beyond inconsistent on a day-to-day basis. I would much rather take the value on one of the best offenses in baseball at plus money than hope Skubal can hold them to 1 or 2 runs and pray the Tigers lineup can scrape together enough offense.

Give me the Athletics. Please.

Braves vs Pirates: Braves (+135)

Braves win probability: 42%

Sure, it is Paul Skenes Day, but that is usually the day the Pirates offense decides not to show up.

Meanwhile, the Braves are starting to turn things around at the plate. Over their last 6 games, Atlanta owns a 128 wRC+, .353 wOBA, and .800 OPS.

I am leaning on the trend of the Pirates’ offense disappearing on Paul Skenes Day and backing the Braves in this spot.

Mariners vs Marlins: Marlins (-115)

Marlins win probability: 54%

First off, the Marlins are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now, while the Mariners are ICE COLD.

Over their last 21 games, Seattle owns a .114 ISO, .617 OPS, and an 80 wRC+. On the other side, Miami has been rolling, posting a 139 wRC+, .370 wOBA, .217 ISO, and .849 OPS during that same stretch.

Max Meyer should be able to do enough on the mound, while the Marlins’ offense continues to take advantage of a struggling Mariners lineup and get on top of Bryan Woo.

Yankees vs Rays: Rays (-111)

Rays win probability: 48%

I am still riding the Yankees fade wagon until further notice. They have been an absolute ice cube, posting a 50 wRC+, .550 OPS, and .247 wOBA over their last 6 games.

On top of that, Will Warren has struggled over his last 5 starts, owning a 5.13 xERA and 1.64 WHIP.

Meanwhile, the Rays are playing some of their best baseball and offer value in this spot. Give me Tampa Bay.

Astros vs Nationals: Nationals (-111)

Nationals win probability: 52%

A lot of people think this is going to be another spot where Astros right-hander Tatsuya Imai shoves, especially with the elevated strikeout numbers he has posted in his most recent starts.

However, the underlying numbers still raise concerns. Over his last 5 outings, Imai owns a 7.11 ERA while allowing a 43.48% hard-hit rate and 13% barrel rate.

The Nationals' offense has been producing plenty of hard contact and has been swinging the bat extremely well. I will continue riding with the hometown team in this spot.

Royals vs Mets: Mets (-138)

Mets win probability: 58%

After the Royals finally came out of their coma and took apart Cristopher Sánchez yesterday afternoon, I want no part of them in this matchup against the Mets.

Two questionable arms take the mound, and in a spot like this, I am going to side with the clearly better offense. New York has been rolling over their last 21 games, posting a 110 wRC+, 10% walk rate, and .323 wOBA.

When the pitching matchup does not separate the teams, I will back the lineup I trust more.

Give me the Mets.

Phillies vs Reds: Phillies (-160)

Phillies win probability: 62%

One of the most swing-happy teams in baseball takes on one of the best strikeout pitchers in the game, and I will gladly ride with the Phillies after a brutal Monday afternoon.

The Reds send out Andrew Abbott, who owns a 4.75 ERA at home, against a powerful Phillies lineup that can punish mistakes. With Abbott on the mound in a hitter-friendly park, I fully expect some baseballs to leave the yard this evening.

Give me Zack Wheeler and the Philadelphia Phillies to bounce back.

Guardians vs Twins: Twins (-108)

Twins win probability: 52%

Despite Taj Bradley being the easiest punching bag known to man, he is still a very good strikeout pitcher, and the Guardians have been way too swing-happy as of late.

Over their last 6 games, Cleveland owns a 27% strikeout rate as a team while generating just a 6% barrel rate and 36.8% hard-hit rate.

Meanwhile, the Twins offense has been absolutely howling, posting a 137 wRC+, .366 wOBA, and .842 OPS over their last 21 games.

I think Minnesota is the far better team in this matchup.

Red Sox vs White Sox: White Sox (+115)

White Sox win probability: 46%

Death. Taxes. Take the White Sox at plus money.

Sure, Noah Schultz has not been lights out this season, but neither has Payton Tolle, who has been allowing a ton of hard contact while giving hitters plenty of opportunities to elevate the baseball.

The difference here is the offense. The White Sox have been the better lineup, producing plenty of hard contact and barrels over their last 21 games.

At plus money, I am backing the hotter offense and riding with Chicago.

Angels vs Rangers: Rangers (-153)

Rangers win probability: 60%

Another ice-cold team, the Los Angeles Angels, bring an offense that has completely disappeared lately. Over their last 12 games, they own a 69 wRC+, .266 wOBA, and .593 OPS.

On top of that, José Soriano has fallen off a cliff since May, creating a tough spot against a Rangers lineup that has started to find its rhythm.

Meanwhile, Jacob deGrom takes the mound for Texas and has been nails at home. With the better pitcher and a hotter offense, I will gladly back the Rangers in this matchup.

Diamondbacks vs Padres: Padres (-113)

Padres win probability: 53%

Zac Gallen is on the mound. Give me the Friars.

Gallen has been getting crushed over his last 3 starts, posting an 11.02 ERA, 8.24 xERA, and 1.71 WHIP while allowing a 15.38% barrel rate to opposing hitters.

Meanwhile, San Diego’s offense has been humming over the last week, and I fully expect them to take advantage of Gallen’s recent struggles.

Give me the Padres to get all over his offerings this evening.

Blue Jays vs Giants: Giants (+104)

Giants win probability: 49%

I am not the biggest believer in the Giants, but with Patrick Corbin on the mound this evening for the Blue Jays, who have been a walking corpse over the last few weeks, I have to back San Francisco.

The Giants have been the more efficient offense over the last month, and they also hold the advantage on the mound in this matchup.

Better lineup, better arm, give me the Giants.

Rockies vs Dodgers: Rockies (+245)

Rockies win probability: 29%

Purely off price, nobody should be laying -251 in this spot. Are the Dodgers a better team than the Rockies? On paper, absolutely. But at that number, the value is gone.

Over their last 6 games, Colorado’s offense has actually been performing at a much higher rate statistically. On top of that, left-hander Justin Wrobleski has shown a tendency to allow hard contact, creating opportunities for the Rockies lineup.

At +245, I think Colorado is a very live underdog and worth a look.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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