Inspiration.
So far this season (at the All-Star break), Eduardo Rodriguez has a career low 2.29 ERA and a career best ERA+ of 188. That’s great! He is in his age 33 season. That’s awesome!
Years ago, the AZ Snake Pit discussed Bartolo Colon. He pitched through his age 45 season, truly a great example of an iron man pitcher.
What will Eduardo Rodriguez’s pitching look like as he ages?
Let’s look at pitchers who were excellent at age 33 and beyond.
My metric of choice is Adjusted ERA+.
For pitchers at each age level, let’s consider the best five as measured by ERA+. This data is found in Baseball Reference.
“ERA+ takes a player’s ERA and normalizes it across the entire league. It accounts for external factors like ballparks and opponents. It then adjusts, so a score of 100 is league average, and 150 is 50 percent better than the league average.” – Editorial staff of MLB com.
Eduardo Rodriguez has a historic season.
At the All-Star break this season, looking at pitchers in their age 33 season regardless of the year they pitched, Eduardo Rodriguez’s 188 ERA+ is one of the five best ERA+s in baseball history.
What are the chances that Rodriguez will continue to pitch well as he ages? I found six pitchers who continued to reach top-5 in their age group. They are as follows:
- Randy Johnson, ages 33, 35, 36, 37, 38, 40
- Nolan Ryan, ages 34 and 43
- Cy Young, ages 34 and 41
- Bill Byrd, ages 33 and 40
- Lefty Grove, ages 36, 37, and 39
- Rich Hill, ages 36 and 39*
Realistically, those examples show that Eduardo Rodriguiez has a chance to continue pitching well for the next 6 to 10 seasons.
Pitchers are throwing harder every season. Despite that trend, I found seven pitchers (age 33 and older) in the top-5 since the 2000 season. They are as follows:
- Randy Johnson, 2000-2004 (as a Diamondback)
- Ellis Kinder, 2002
- Roger Clemens, 2005
- Max Scherzer, 2022 (former Diamondback)
- Justin Verlander, 2022
- Nathan Eovaldi, 2025
- Eduardo Rodriguez, 2026
This season, Eduardo Rodriguez showed his pitching skill.
World Baseball Classic. Eduardo Rodrigez pitched 4.1 scoreless innings (one hit, four strikeouts, and one walk) against team USA, helping to win Venezuela its first ever WBC title. That performance was very impressive!
All Star Game. In this season’s All-Star game, Eduardo Rodriguez pitched a scoreless second inning. It was three batters up, three batters down, on two infield grounders, and one fly ball. All three batters were above average, with regular season OPS+ of 102, 144, and 193. That performance was outstanding!
Leaderboards. Among starting pitchers this season, Eduardo Rodriguez is on many leaderboards. A few statistics (starting pitchers with a minimum 90 innings pitched) that show excellence follow:
- 188 Adjusted ERA+, ranked #4. His overall pitching was outstanding.
- 63.2% Quality Starts, ranked #10. He gave the Diamondbacks winning chances.
- 87.8% Runners Left on Base (LOB), ranked #2. He got the third out, thereby stranding runners.
- .247 BABIP, sixth lowest. When batters put the ball in play, their hits were below average.
- One of only 5 pitchers with zero sacrifice flies allowed. He prevented strong contact when it was important.
- One of only 2 pitchers with zero wild pitches AND zero hit batters. His excellent pitch command had very few outliers.
Summary
At the All-Star break this season, looking at pitchers in their age 33 season regardless of the year they pitched, Eduardo Rodriguez’s 188 ERA+ is one of the five best ERA+s in baseball history.
Similar to 6 other pitchers, Eduardo Rodriguez could continue pitching well for 6 to 10 seasons, proving he is an iron man of pitching.
This season, Eduardo Rodriquez’s pitching was impressive. He pitched outstanding in the World Baseball Classic and in the All Star game. At the All-Star break, he was on many leaderboards. Most impressive were adjusted ERA+, quality starts, runners left on base, BABIP, no sacrifice flies allowed, no wild pitches, and no hit batters.