Game Preview: Knicks at Pacers, March 13, 2026

NEW YORK, NY - FEBRUARY 10: Karl-Anthony Towns #32 of the New York Knicks dribbles the ball during the game against the Indiana Pacers on February 10, 2026 at Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Jesse D. Garrabrant/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

The Knicks (42*-25) conclude a five-game road trip tonight against the 15-50 Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Currently, their four-game season series stands tied at one win apiece. The Knicks, coming off a shaky victory in Utah, have won six of their last ten games; Indy lost to the Suns last night and have dropped 11 straight.

These teams last met on February 10, 2026, at Madison Square Garden, when the Pacers outlasted the Knicks 137-134 in overtime. Pascal Siakam led Indiana with 30 points, six rebounds, and four assists, while Andrew Nembhard added 24 points and 10 assists. Jalen Brunson poured in 40 points to go with eight assists and five rebounds for New York in the loss.

Indiana’s season has been grim. They have the league’s worst record, offensive rating, and point differential, allowing 120 points per game. They rank 25th in defensive rating while hovering near the bottom in scoring defense and overall efficiency. None of it matters, of course, because they always approach a Knicks game like it’s game seven of the conference finals.

All-Star Pascal Siakam has been Indiana’s focal point, averaging 24 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 3.9 assists per game and carrying a big usage load as their primary scorer. With Tyrese Haliburton out all season, Andrew Nembhard has stabilized the backcourt as a lead guard, contributing 17.2 PPG while orchestrating the offense with 7.3 APG. Aaron Nesmith has chipped in as their best 3-and-D option, averaging 13.1 PPG and 4.5 RPG.

The injury report is stacked for the Hoosiers. OAKAAKUYOAK Obi Topppin (foot), Siakam (knee), Nesmith (ankle), T.J. McConnell (hamstring), and Quenton Jackson (calf) are all OUT. Look for coach Rick Carlisle to start Nembhard, Ethan Thompson, Jarace Walker, plus the recently acquired Kobe Brown and Ivica Zubac.

On the Knicks’ side of the injury list, Karl-Anthony Towns—who’s played excellent hoops since the All-Star break— and Josh Hart are both game-time decisions due to knee trouble. Miles McBride is expected to be out until at least April 1, recovering from his hernia surgery.

Prediction

ESPN’s matchup predictor gives the Knicks an 84% chance of winning. Nope. I don’t care that the Pacers have the worst record in the NBA, nor that Siakam and most of the rotation are in beds at the nearest hospital. Nope, nope, NOPE. Decades ago, some hick from French Lick sold his soul to Satan on the promise that his beloved Indiana Pacers would always bedevil the mighty New York Knicks, and old Scratch (who plays a phenomenal Al Pacino) has yet to let down his end of the bargain. Look for the Ethan Thompson—who’s never topped 15 points in an NBA game—to hit six three-pointers, Zubac to grab 17 boards, and the loser Hoosiers to give the Knicks fits until late in the third quarter. After that, though: smooth sailing. Knicks win by 15.

Game Details

Who: New York Knicks (42*-25) at Indiana Pacers (15-51)
Date: Friday, March 13, 2026
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Place: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
TV: MSG
Follow: @ptknicksblog and bsky

* Should be one more, but NBA Cup wins are allergic to record books.

Big 12 tournament bracket: It's No. 1 Arizona vs. No. 2 Houston in final

At the Big 12 basketball tournament the court has been the hot topic rather than what's been happening on the court.

The Big 12 dumped its LED glass court for the traditional hardwood for Friday's semifinals and Saturday's final.

With focus back on the court Friday, Arizona's Jaden Bradley provided the dagger against Iowa State with a buzzer-beater to send the Wildcats to the Big 12 final.

No. 1 seed Arizona will play No. 2 seed Houston at 6 p.m., Saturday on ESPN.

The Cougars are playing in their third straight Big 12 title game since joining the league in 2023. Kelvin Sampson's squad solidified their case for a 2-seed in the NCAA Tournament with a 69-47 win over Kansas in Friday's semifinal, led by 30 points combined from Kingston Flemings and Emanuel Sharp.

The Big 12's semifinals feature four of the nation's top 16 teams in what is probably the country's toughest conference.

Big 12 tournament schedule, bracket, scores

All times Eastern

First round

Tuesday, March 10

  • Game 1: No. 12 Arizona State 83, No. 13 Baylor 79
  • Game 2: No. 9 Cincinnati 73, No. 16 Utah 66
  • Game 3: No. 10 Brigham Young 105, No. 15 Kansas State 91
  • Game 4: No. 14 Oklahoma State 92, No. 11 Colorado 83

Second round

Wednesday, March 11

  • Game 5: No. 5 Iowa State 91, No. 12 Arizona State 42
  • Game 6: No. 8 Central Florida 66, No. 9 Cincinnati 65, OT
  • Game 7: No. 10 Brigham Young 68, No. 7 West Virginia 48
  • Game 8: No. 6 TCU 95, No. 14 Oklahoma State 88

Quarterfinals

Thursday, March 12

  • Game 9: No. 5 Iowa State 75, No. 4 Texas Tech 53
  • Game 10: No. 1 Arizona 81, No. 8 Central Florida 59
  • Game 11: No. 2 Houston 73, No. 10 Brigham Young 66
  • Game 12: No. 3 Kansas 78, No. 6 TCU 73

Semifinals

Friday, March 13

  • Game 13: No. 1 Arizona 82, No. 5 Iowa State 80
  • Game 14: No. 2 Houston 69, No. 3 Kansas 47

Championship game

Saturday, March 14

  • Game 15: No. 1 Arizona vs. No. 2 Houston, 6 p.m., ESPN

Arizona State, Bobby Hurley

The Bobby Hurley Era at Arizona State will last at least one more day, as the Sun Devils pick up a first-round win over Baylor behind 19 points from Anthony "Pig" Johnson. A nine-point halftime lead served to be a difference maker for the Sun Devils, as the Bears outscored them 44-39 in the second half.

Baylor will now miss out on the NCAA Tournament for the first time in seven years under Scott Drew, while Arizona State now faces Iowa State on Wednesday at 12:30 p.m. ET. — John Leuzzi

How to watch Big 12 basketball tournament

The Big 12 tournament first round will be streamed exclusively on ESPN+. The succeeding rounds will be shown on ESPN, ESPN2 or ESPNU. The championship game will be aired on ESPN.

Big 12 basketball tournament favorite

There's not much doubt the rest of the conference is chasing Arizona as the Wildcats have dominated throughout out the campaign. Their strength is in their balance. Seven scorers average nine points or more. Their perimeter game is back by a strong interior group, led by Motiejus Krivas and Tobe Awaka. The biggest threat looks to be Houston, which has the type of defense that can be counted on in a tournament that forces teams to win three times in three games.

Big 12 tournament top players

AJ Dybantsa, G, Brigham Young: The freshman has more than lived up to his billing as one of the nation's top recruits, averaging ppg. Even without running mate Richie Saunders, Dybantsa has the ability to carry them in the short run of tournament play.

Darryn Peterson, G, Kansas: The kerfuffle about Peterson's status in games has distracted from the fact he's been one of the top players in the country. The freshman, if motivated, can be the key piece to leading the Jayhawks on a deep run.

Christian Anderson, G, Texas Tech: The Red Raiders lost star JT Toppin to a season-ending injury in February but remained one of the best teams in the league with Anderson becoming the lead option. He will be tasked with continuing his scoring run in Kansas City.

Koa Peat, F, Arizona: The freshman standout is one of several key pieces for the Wildcats, who dominated the league this season. He is joined by fellow freshman Brayden Burries as the team's two top scorers.

Joshua Jefferson, F, Iowa State: Part of a three-pronged attack with Milan Momcilovic and Tamin Lipsey, the senior provides important scoring and rebounding from the interior that makes the Cyclones capable of being one of the favorites.

March Madness bubble storylines for Big 12

The Big 12 seems certain of getting eight spots in the tournament field with Central Florida still in good position after three consecutive losses. The Knights, however, will want to avoid a loss in the second round to make things certain. Among the teams on the outside of the field, Cincinnati may ahve the best hope with its recent run of six wins in eight games. West Virginia has stacked up five Quad 1 but overall inconsistency has hampered its hopes. Both the Bearcats and Mountaineers will need multiple victories to get into the conversation.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Big 12 basketball tournament bracket, scores, schedule update, court

Blake Snell throws first spring bullpen session

GLENDALE, ARIZONA - MARCH 4: Blake Snell #7 of the Los Angeles Dodgers participates in a throwing session prior to a World Baseball Classic exhibition game against Team Mexico at Camelback Ranch on March 4, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by Brandon Sloter/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Dodgers slow rolled Blake Snell’s throwing program this offseason, and as a result, he has yet to log a single inning of spring action.

Snell finally threw his first bullpen session one month removed from both pitchers and catchers reporting to camp, notes Sonja Chen of MLB.com, but he wasn’t throwing at maximum effort during that 15-pitch session. The likelihood of him getting some innings under his belt this spring is virtually non-existent, and he is guaranteed to be out for the opening series of the regular season against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Snell remarked that it would “be sick” if he is able to make his 2026 debut by late April, but for both Snell and the Dodgers alike, patience is still the most important virtue surrounding his progress as the team looks to get a healthier version of the two-time Cy Young award winner.

“I think it’s a good step in the right direction,” Roberts said, “in the sense of getting on the slope, on the mound. … This is not a max-effort bullpen. So yeah, he’s on the mound, which is great, but until he’s kind of going full steam ahead, then we really don’t know what we’ve got.”

Snell spoke with Kirsten Watson of SportsNet LA following his bullpen session, noting that he only topped out at 89 miles per hour but acknowledged that it felt effortless.

“I was very excited to throw off the mound again and pitch. I’d been looking forward to this for a while… I was still limited to what I could throw. I was throwing 87 to 89 [miles per hour], but felt effortless, easy, good command of the ball, so I’m happy with that.”

Links

All the pomp and circumstance that came with the Dodgers two consecutive championships have come and gone, as the number one priority for the team is to become the first MLB team to three-peat in 26 years. Kiké Hernández, who played a pivotal role in both World Series runs, spoke with the media on Thursday about the mindset of going for a third consecutive title.

“We’re just trying to win this year. We already won the last two years, and that doesn’t do anything for us other than put a target on our backs. We’re trying to win this year, and if we win this year then it just so happens to be three years in a row.”

Friday will mark the final time that Clayton Kershaw will play competitive baseball, as Jon Paul Morosi of MLB.com tweets that Team USA manager Mark DeRosa will replace Kershaw with Minnesota Twins right-hander Joe Ryan following Friday’s game against Team Canada.

Devin Booker and Jalen Green are starting to look like the backcourt Phoenix imagined

SACRAMENTO, CA - MARCH 3: Jalen Green #4 and Devin Booker #1 of the Phoenix Suns talk during the game against the Sacramento Kings on March 3, 2026 at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Rocky Widner/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

There are some games where it feels like everything clicks. The vision meets reality. The idea you had in your head finally shows up on the floor. Yes, it came against Indiana. Yes, they have the worst record in the NBA. That is part of the equation, and it should be acknowledged. I still love what the equation produced.

Book + Guac = 79.

Yeah, I am speaking this one into existence a little. I know it is corny. I am comfortable being corny from time to time. And hey, it’s easy to turn into emoji form!

“Guacamole.” That is the nickname I have bestowed upon Jalen Green this season. Sometimes he makes a play that makes you yell “holy guacamole!” at the television. Guac is green after all. Sometimes it is fresh and perfect. Sometimes it turns on you quickly. On Thursday night in Indianapolis, the guac was golden.

Jalen Green looked fantastic. He scored 36 points and needed only 23 shots to get there. Efficiency. That is the word everyone has been waiting to see attached to his name. The encouraging part is that it has not been a one-night flash. This marked Guac’s fourth straight game scoring at least 24 points.

Pair that with Devin Booker, who finished with 43 after attacking early and dropping 15 in the first quarter.

Now you see the vision. This is what the front office imagined. Quite honestly, it is what many expected to see over the past few seasons. Bradley Beal was supposed to be that secondary scoring force next to Devin Booker. The player who could keep the offense rolling when Booker rested. That never fully materialized. We have not had many chances to see what it might look like with our friend guacamole in that role.

Thursday night gave us a glimpse.

Booker and Green combined for 79 points. Funny number considering Bam Adebayo dropped 83 by himself a couple of nights earlier. Still, the idea remains compelling. Two guards capable of carrying the offense on the same night.

That is the chapter that goes into the evaluation notebook.

The best long-term outcome for Phoenix is simple. Jalen Green works here. He becomes the dynamic young guard who fits alongside Devin Booker. The two grow together over the next few seasons. As Booker gradually moves into the later stages of his career, Green steps fully into his prime. The baton passes naturally. I would rather see that happen than start chasing solutions elsewhere. Trading Green for someone like Julius Randle only creates another problem. That move blocks the development of Rasheer Fleming and starts another cycle of roster shuffling. At that point you are chasing your own tail.

Yes, the opponent was Indiana. The worst record in the league matters in the context of the game. Maybe this becomes a small footnote when the season is written in full.

Still, it was a fun chapter.

Bright Side Baller Season Standings

I can’t fault the voting for giving the Bright Side Baller to Royce O’Neale for his effort against the Bucks. Heck, I wrote an entire article about his impact in the third quarter of that game, and that is why he received my vote. He finished with 45% of the vote, giving him 3 BSB’s on the season.

Bright Side Baller Nominees

Game 66 against the Pacers. Here are your nominees:

Devin Booker
43 points (14-of-31, 4-of-7 3PT), 7 rebounds, 5 assists, 1 steal, 1 block, 2 turnovers, 0 +/-

Jalen Green
36 points (14-of-23, 3-of-9 3PT), 3 rebounds, 4 assists, 4 steals, 5 turnovers, +16 +/-

Royce O’Neale
15 points (5-of-8, 5-of-8 3PT), 3 rebounds, 1 assist, 0 turnovers, 0 +/-

Oso Ighodaro
6 points (2-of-4), 5 rebounds, 4 assists, 3 blocks, 0 turnovers, +9 +/-

Jordan Goodwin
6 points (3-of-5), 4 rebounds, 1 steal, 1 turnover, 1 block, +13 +/-

Collin Gillespie
4 points (2-of-6, 0-of-2 3PT), 7 rebounds, 5 assists, 1 steal, 2 turnovers, +14 +/-


Who gets your vote for their efforts in Indy?

Kansas City Royals news: The latest in Vinnie and Bobby’s bromance

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - AUGUST 18: Vinnie Pasquantino #9 of the Kansas City Royals is congratulated by Bobby Witt Jr. #7 after hitting a home run during the 3rd inning of the game against the Texas Rangers at Kauffman Stadium on August 18, 2025 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images) | Getty Images

At The Star, Jaylon Thompson writes that we shouldn’t sleep on Nick Mears, the other player acquired in the Angel Zerpa trade:

Mears has great analytical numbers. Per Statcast, he recorded a 33.5% chase rate — ranking in the 93rd percentile among qualified major-league pitchers. He also demonstrated good command, with just 2.1 walks allowed per nine innings.

Mears is effective with his fastball and slider. The heater averaged 95.4 mph while the slider— which registered a 38.4% whiff rate last year — is his put-away pitch.

Pete Grathoff collected some Sopranos memes concerning Vinnie’s three-homer game at the WBC.

Need more Vinnie (and Bobby) goofiness? Dino nuggets? Mac-n-cheese? Vinnie wearing the apron for cooking that? Shut the box?

Here’s the whole video. About 6 minutes in is the clip they released a couple of weeks ago where Vinnie tries to guess the type of pitch. He’s wrong almost every time. For being a student of hitting and a really enjoyable one to listen to, he’s awful at guessing them.

Dillon Seckington at Fox 4 KC tracks how well the Royals are doing at the WBC.

AT MLB.com, Brian Murphy and Thomas Harrigan make a (dubious) list of their Top 10 WBC moments (so far). Somehow an Aaron Judge groundout is on the list, but nothing from the Netherlands v Nicaragua list is on it. If you didn’t see it, NIC led NED 3-1 with 2 outs in the 9th when Ozzie Albies hit the first walkoff homer in WBC history.

We don’t have a lot of feature stories. Aside from the reliable Jaylon Thompson, you can probably tell I was reaching a bit. How about some listicles?

Matt Synder at CBS Sports lists two Royals in his ace tiers:

Looking to return to ace formCole Ragans, Royals – After a 3.14 ERA and 223 strikeouts in 186 ⅓ innings in 2024, I threw Ragans all the way up to the top tier. He was ravaged by injury and poor fortune last season. He also struck out 98 in just 61 ⅔ innings.

Possibly an ace, possibly not – Kris Bubic, Royals – He looked every bit an ace last season with a 2.55 ERA and essentially a strikeout per inning. A shoulder injury ended his season in July, though. He only made 20 starts.

At MLB.com, Bradford Doolittle looks at what teams has busy winters and which had more boring ones and what it says about the team:

Tier 2: Middle of the pack teams

Passive offseason with no major splashes

Description: We believe in our squad, based either on a longer-term track record or the progress of a young group that’s maturing. Despite a so-so season, we’re riding with these guys.

2026 teams: Arizona Diamondbacks, Atlanta Braves, Cleveland Guardians, Cincinnati Reds, Houston Astros, Kansas City Royals

What it means: The most successful teams from this group have been clubs that have knocked on the door for several seasons before breaking through. This includes the 1979 Pirates, 1980 Phillies, 1985 Royals and, to a lesser extent, the 2010 Giants…

At Fangraphs, Michael Baumann looks at “When Chases and Whiffs Don’t Lead to Outs” and a 2025 Royal made the list:

What was wrong with Ragans might be even more simple; he tweaked his groin early in 2025, then strained his rotator cuff in his first start after coming back from the first injury. That shoulder issue kept him out until mid-September, leaving the Royals’ presumptive no. 1 starter with a highly disjointed and injury-plagued record. Assuming his shoulder and groin remain in working order, he should be just fine in 2026.


Blog time!

At Inside the Crown ($), David Lesky mailbags.

Do you have any concerns about the outfield given the lackluster performances of Lane Thomas and Isaac Collins this Spring? -Hokius

…But, honestly, to have watched a team have the worst outfield offense in baseball last year and then not bring in someone who was more of a sure thing had me concerned the whole time. The reality is what I wrote a few weeks ago. The outfield being anything more than fine depends on Jac Caglianone a whole lot more than it depends on any of their acquisitions. It’s both a scary spot to be because relying on young players is risky and relying on a guy who looked so bad last year is scary, but also an exciting spot because of the upside Caglianone has. So yes, I’d say concerns is the right word. I’m not exactly worried, but I have concerns.

Hokius, you say? Most of the questions are about the outfield. Then again, that could be the title of any Royals offensive preview this year: “Most of the questions are about the outfield”.

This was from a couple of days ago, but I didn’t see a link to it. Craig Brown looks at a potential rotation battle:

With Noah Cameron’s struggles this spring (7.2 IP, 10 H, 5 ER, 3 BB, 5 SO), there’s an opportunity for Bergert to push his way into a conversation for the fifth starter role. There’s obviously still some work to do on his part and if Cameron gets right over his next couple of outings it’s a moot competition anyway, but there’s a scenario that’s not so far-fetched where a battle for that final rotation start gets hot.

Royals Data Dugout with a new hitting model: Lumber+

Lumber+ is my new Statcast-based hitter skill model that’s free to use — just click the image above. Designed to measure talent rather than production, it’s scaled so 100 = league average and each standard deviation roughly = 5.

…The big question you might (or should) ask — does it work and does it mean anything?

The answer: Yes, or at least I believe so. In backtesting 2023 and 2024 data, Lumber+ proved to be quite predictive of next-season success, using wRC+ as the end target.

At Royals Keep, Kevin O’Brien looks at Pasquantino’s big night at the WBC:

Pasquantino has traditionally been known to be a slow starter at the plate. Last season, he hit .177 with a 49 wRC+ in 124 plate appearances in March/April, according to Fangraphs splits. That said, he was fine for the remainder of the year, as evidenced by his 116 wRC+ in 2025. It was the same story in 2024 to a degree. His 96 wRC+ in March/April was the worst monthly wRC+ of the 2024 season (his overall wRC+ was 109).

Perhaps the World Baseball Classic has allowed Pasquantino to knock off the rust earlier in the spring (he has more at-bats to go in the knockout round, as they play Puerto Rico in the first round). Hopefully, with this experience and historic surge at the plate, he will be more ready to produce in the first month of play for the Royals, which would be atypical of his career norms.

Blog Roundup:


Unfortunately, I’m punting on OT this week. I looked at the calendar and realized I’m just going to be watching basketball for 12 hours next Thursday. My current OT was still only about half done and there’s going to be little time to work on a new one next week so it’s just getting delayed. Here’s our potential schedule for the next few weeks:

  • 2026.03.20 Movie reviews
  • 2026.03.27 Opening Day Recap around MLB
  • 2026.04.03 Asian Baseball I: CPBL
  • 2026.04.10 Asian Baseball I: KBO
  • 2026.04.17 Asian Baseball I: NPB
  • 2026.04.24 (working on a couple of ideas – I’ve been wanting to do an art-themed one for a while, but it’s nowhere near finished)
  • 2026.05.01 Movie reviews
  • 2026.05.08 (OUT)

Let’s revisit Star Fox as we haven’t in a while. We listed all previous levels used back in 2024.

How about Sector X?

I’ve never been more pessimistic about the Minnesota Twins

MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA - SEPTEMBER 19: Pablo Lopez #49 of the Minnesota Twins walks to the dugout after pitching against the Cleveland Guardians in the third inning of the game at Target Field on September 19, 2025 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Stephen Maturen/Getty Images) | Getty Images

An immediate caveat to that title:

I am excited for Minnesota Twins baseball to return. It is my favorite professional sport and I welcome it back into my daily routine each spring like an old friend. I can’t wait to flip on the tube each night or get out to the ballpark(s) this summer. I already have flights booked for Washington, D.C. & Phoenix, AZ road trips.

All my family members would tell you that I am the eternal Twins optimist—just not at the moment. It has been a while since I’ve been as down on the competitive prospects of our hometown nine.

The Pablo Lopez day-one-of-spring-training injury was the straw that broke the camel’s back for me. All offseason, I had convinced myself this squad could compete with a strong starting rotation, speed on the bases, and a little luck from the young-ish bats. Alas, without the SP linchpin of that strategy, all seems lost.

Now I look at the rotation and see one solid bet—Joe Ryan—plus a collection of injury risks & unproven appendages (Bailey Ober, Simeon Woods-Richardson, Taj Bradley, Mick Abel, David Festa, & Zebby Matthews).

Combine this with a relief corps we tabbed the Bullpen of Doom (TM) last year post-deadline. Maybe some of the roughly 100 arms (most lefty) brought in on small or minor league contracts will hit and rejuvenate the place beyond the LCF fence. But with the exception of Anthony Banda, major investments were not made in firemen.

Aside from genuine superstar Byron Buxton, the offense is absolutely loaded with guys harboring wild potential 2026 outcomes: Ryan Jeffers, Kody Clemens, Luke Keaschall, Brooks Lee, Royce Lewis, Trevor Larnach, Austin Martin, Alan Roden, & Matt Wallner. At their best, all those players have looked like solid pieces of a nice offense. At their worst? All have been, at one time or another, disastrous at the plate or in the field. Only Josh Bell (1B/DH) & Victor Caratini (C) were brought in from outside the org to make an immediate impact, and neither name moves the needle all that much.

Maybe the “next wave” of prospects will ascend to The Show in ‘26: Emmanuel Rodriguez (OF), Walker Jenkins (OF), Kaelen Culpepper (SS), Connor Prielipp (LHP), or Kendry Rojas (LHP). But it is of course exceedingly rare for everything to perfectly meld together in one fell swoop and produce a contender.

I know that FanGraphs gives the ‘26 Twins a 11.4% chance to win the AL Central and a 23.7% chance to make the playoffs. But I tend to be Han Solo-ish with odds:

Ultimately, for me it comes down to the unlikelihood of the ‘26 Twins having everything come up aces: Buxton & Ryan health, complete bullpen transformation, positive regression on all batters, & prospects making an impact. The nature of MLB’s grind usually necessitates some things inevitably bust. This squad needs to hit on every 21.

The shred of hope I’m clinging to: fun seasons like ‘15, ‘19, & ‘22 (until Sept) came from little expectations. Perhaps the ‘26 gang can do something similar. They better bring their lucky deck of cards.

Friday Rockpile: ‘A rude awakening’: How Rockies prospects prepare for and learn from 1st MLB seasons

SCOTTSDALE, AZ - FEBRUARY 20: Kyle Karros #12 of the Colorado Rockies adjusts his hat before taking the field in a game against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Salt River Fields on Friday, February 20, 2026 in Scottsdale, Arizona. (Photo by Kyle Cooper)

Getting to the Major League level is hard, even for talented players who have excelled at baseball their whole lives.

Staying and playing consistently well is even harder. In addition to the higher level of competition, players also have to adjust to the grind of the MLB schedule. Even with all the talent in the world, a 162-game season is longer than most prospects have ever played before. Finding out how to ensure their bodies handle the grind can be a bit of a learning curve.

This is where Colorado’s training staff comes into play.

They have to monitor and help players make the adjustments for playing in the Big Leagues. According to Scott Murayama, the Rockies coordinator of Major League rehabilitation, it can be a significant shift for some players.

“A lot of times, with younger players, as they’re coming up in minors, they are beat up a little bit. They’re protected a little bit more. Coaches and staff will take them off the field when they have complaints,” Scott Murayama said at Rockies Fest.

“And when they get up here [to the big leagues], they find out, they’re the young guy, and they’ve got to play through. For some of them, it’s a rude awakening because they’re not used to being forced to fight through their soreness or whatever they need. But there’s nobody out on the field who plays 162 games that feels good. You have to figure out what you can play through and what you can’t, and the younger players learn that pretty quick.” 

One of the better 2025 MLB debuts came from Kyle Karros, the Rockies fifth-round pick from the 2023 MLB Draft. Son of former Dodger and Rockies killer Eric Karros, Kyle was called up on Aug. 8. In 43 games, Karros hit .226/.308/.277 with 20 runs scored, nine RBI, one homer and four doubles. He didn’t have the power he flashed in the Minor Leagues, but provided a decent bat and solid glove at third base after Ryan McMahon was traded to the Yankees.

After playing all of 2024 with the High-A Spokane Indians (472 at-bats in 123 games), Karros started 2025 in Double-A Hartford. On July 18, after 55 games with the Yard Goats, he was promoted to the Triple-A Isotopes, where he played 16 games before getting the call.

He started his first eight games on his way to making 40 total starts, and played in 43 of the Rockies final 47 games of the season. It was a lot, even for a player who Colorado’s head athletic trainer and director of medical operations, Keith Dugger, calls “a tremendous young kid.”

“We played 16 days in a row. He’d never done that in his entire life, and he was gassed. [He said] ‘I thought the Big Leagues were just going to be, like normal baseball, you know?’ So we had to teach him,” Dugger said at Rockies Fest.

“Charlie [Blackmon], we had to teach him prior to that. So it’s really good when you have some of these older guys, like Charlie, who’s around some of these young prospects, so they can learn their kind of process that helps them throughout the day.”

Off to a strong start this spring training, hitting .417/.481/.750 with seven RBI, two homers, and seven runs scored in 24 at-bats in nine games, Karros is now primed to be the starting third baseman this season.

Jordan Beck, the Rockies No. 38 overall pick in the 2022 MLB Draft, made his Big League debut on April 30, 2024. He only played in 55 games in his rookie campaign, largely due to suffering a fractured left hand. In 2025, he played in 148 games, which was the most for any Rockie. Beck led the team in stolen bases (19) and was second in hits (139), doubles (27) and runs scored (tied with Mickey Moniak at 62). He was third on the team with 16 homers.

At Rockeis Fest, Beck said the increased playing time made a difference. 

“Seeing guys multiple times, you start playing against guys multiple times, you just start knowing, ‘alright, this is what it looks like.’ You can train as much as you want, but until you get into the box and see what it looks like, you really don’t know,” Beck said. “…I do believe that getting out there and playing and getting consistent at-bats is a huge deal.” 

Beck is part of a group of 12 Rockies who made their debuts in 2024, which tied a team record for most at that time. Colorado immediately broke that record in 2025 as Karros was one of 13 Rockies to make their MLB debuts in 2025.

For a young, rebuilding team, the Rockies will likely see more debuts, as well as the biggest workloads young players have ever experienced in their lives. How the players hold up, mentally and physically, in that process will not only have a big impact on how 2026 plays out, but also on many individual careers and the Rockies long-term success as well.


Can rebuilt Rockies win 70 games in 2026? | Mailbag | Denver Post ($)

A reader asks Patrick Saunders if he thinks the Rockies can win 27 more times in 2026 than they did in 2025. The Denver Post Rockies beat writer doesn’t think so, saying even 17 more would be a lot of progress. Patrick also shares thoughts on which young Rockie might have the biggest breakout season, what he hopes to see before he retires and more.

Johnston ‘controlling the controllables’ as he fights for roster spot | MLB.com

This is a cool feature on Troy Johnston’s focus on controlling what’s in his hands and letting go of what is not as he battles for a spot with the Rockies at first base. Coming from a successful 2023 season in the Marlins farm system, Johnson now focuses on his bat, glove, preparation and more, in addition to his presence in the clubhouse as a good teammate. The best part is when Johnston talks about his daughter.

Mark Kiszla: ‘I want to be one of best third basemen ever,’ declares Rockies’ Kyle Karros | Denver Gazette ($)

A good feature on the ambitions of the Rockies promising young third baseman and his relationship with his father, Eric Karros. Very relatable and touching.


Please keep in mind our Purple Row Community Guidelines when you’re commenting. Thanks!

MLB News Outside The Confines: Let’s get the World Baseball Party started

Good morning. We’re still mostly World Baseball Classic here.

Mets Morning News: Manaea’s velocity down, Beltrán’s number going up

Carlos Beltrán / | Photo by Miguel Rodriguez/Getty Images

Meet the Mets

Sean Manaea wasn’t at his best against the Cardinals yesterday, and the Mets’ lineup only scored when Jorge Polanco hit a solo home run in the team’s spring training loss.

Manaea’s fastball velocity is down. Carlos Mendoza says he’s not concerned about it.

The Mets are planning to retire number 15 for Carlos Beltrán this summer.

Clay Holmes has returned from his brief stint with the US team in the WBC because he wasn’t guaranteed enough playing time to continue ramping up for the regular season.

Luis Robert Jr. made his spring debut yesterday, and the Mets plan to keep him on the field this year by giving him regular days off.

Bobby Ojeda won the Munson award last night.

Nolan McLean is one of the US team’s options for the start in the WBC final on March 17 if the team makes it that far.

Laura Albanese looks at five Mets players other than Franciso Lindor and Juan Soto who could be x-factors for the team this season.

Around the National League East

Grant Holmes dazzled in a spring training appearance for the Braves yesterday.

The Good Phight writes about Aaron Nola’s outing in Italy’s big win over Mexico in the WBC.

Here are some bold predictions about the 2026 Marlins.

Federal Baseball looks at what Brad Lord’s role will be with the 2026 Nationals.

Around Major League Baseball

An Aaaron Judge card from 2013 recently sold for $5.2 million.

Mark DeRosa acknowledged that Italy bailed the United States out with their big win over Mexico after he and the rest of the US team failed to understand the rules about advancing to the quarter-final round.

Speaking of the US team, Clayton Kershaw will be removed from the roster after the quarter-final game against Canada tonight. The team is also adding three relievers now that the pool play stage is over.

Here’s how Brian Cashman blocks out the noise.

Jeff Gold looks at how the WBC managers ranked in their careers as players.

José Berríos was scratched from his spring training start against the Phillies yesterday, and a recent MRI revealed inflammation in his elbow.

Like Clay Holmes, Matt Boyd is leaving the US team so he can continue preparing for the season as a starter with the Cubs.

Jayson Stark has ideas about changing the timing of the WBC and spoke to Tarik Skubal on the subject.

Yesterday at Amazin’ Avenue

Allison McCague shared the second installment of one of our favorite things about spring training: the King of Spring Training competition.

Brian Salvatore previewed Marcus Semien’s 2026 season.

This Date in Mets History

Happy birthday, Johan Santana! The only pitcher in Mets history to throw a complete game no-hitter turns 47 today.

St. Louis Cardinals 2026 Spring Training Observations, Ramon Urias

Sep 28, 2025; Anaheim, California, USA; Houston Astros third baseman Ramon Urias (29) is greeted by teammates after hitting a home run during the fifth inning against the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium. Mandatory Credit: William Liang-Imagn Images | William Liang-Imagn Images

Introduction

As part of my 6 days in Jupiter, I collected lots of observations and I’ve given to breaking them down and passing them along in manageable (ie. readable) chunks. I passed along some nuggets in game recaps if they were short and relevant to pre-, in- or post-game happenings. Last week, I published an article that summarizes what I saw on the back fields in more or less a stream of consciousness format. That left a handful of items that seem to call for more detail, for which I have chosen a short-form article where I focus on a particular topic that may deserve focused attention, but not enough for a full on daily VEB post. I will have two articles up today (this one and one after the game), then two more next week to finish the series.

Short Topic of the Day

The Cardinals signed Ramon Urias to a 1 year, $2m contract after the start of camp. Feb. 21 to be exact. He made his first field appearance in a game less than a week later.

Not everyone had a clear understanding of why they brought him on board. Some questioned the reasoning behind adding to an already crowded infielder docket. Would it take PAs away from another young infielder? Others wondered if a lifetime .686 OPS represented enough thump to meet the Cardinals need to add power from the RH side. I suspected some of this would become more obvious as time rolled by and became something I tried to watch more intently while I was down there.

Initially, I took the signing as a recognition that the Cardinals were not going to find the RH hitting OFer they appeared to desire (and need). Given the lack of depth in that market, this was not a shock. My “hot take” of this move was that it was the proverbial “pivot” off the initial strategy that was not going to bear fruit. As I tried to get a better read, it appeared that there were other nuances to this signing that began to take on the aura that is often associated with a team acquiring a “glue guy”. Reminds me of why I avoid the “hot take” discussions.

One thing not to be overlooked here is that Urias spent 2 years in the Cardinals’ system (2018-2019). That is not a reason to sign a guy in and of itself, but I think it contributes to the broader picture of why they signed him. They know him and they should have a strong understanding the “fit” side of things. Given the aforementioned logjam, that might turn out to be a key consideration.

As I listened to Oli talk about what he is looking for out of this club and various aspects of it, one thing I picked up is he sees pitching as the strength of his team and sees good defense as a way to leverage and protect that strength. In that sense, Urias fits the bill on the defensive side of the ball over at third. He can pick it. He and Winn would make quite a tandem, which would be especially useful with left-handed pitching ground ball getters, of which there are a few on the cusp of MLB in this system. “Protect it”, he says (of the pitching). I get it.

I didn’t get a chance to really see Urias play second, but I suspect he won’t embarrass himself over there, either. His D is real. JJ’s transition to MLB could get choppy at times and a good glove, average hit, good fit kinda guy seems like pretty much what a manager might want to have to backstop that, too.

So, with two young and as yet unproven prospects at third and second, both left-handed hitters, Urias begins to look like pretty good fit. Enough of a good fit that it didn’t take me too much squinting to realize that he may well push both Saggese and Fermin out of the primary back-up infielder role, and he may well push for even more PT on top of that depending now Gorman and/or JJW are doing.

One thing yet to be determined before Spring Training ends is how functional Urias might be at shortstop. He hasn’t played there in several seasons. Saggese played credibly there last summer after Winn went on the IL, but beyond that it is not clear who else could back Winn up. When healthy, Winn doesn’t give up many starts, but teams must always have a Plan B. If Urias can be that it would open a path for Saggese to play every day at Memphis. If not, that would seem to make Fermin’s spot on the roster possibly more tenuous. Thus, some background about why you see those two guys getting reps out in the grass and begin to get a sense that their offensive profile and how they adapt defensively could well drive the final outcome.

As I watched, the more I liked this acquisition. We will see how it all plays out.

“If I’m the Astros, I don’t trade Paredes.” – Bob Nightengale on AREA 45 Sportsradio 610

WEST PALM BEACH, FLORIDA - FEBRUARY 28: Isaac Paredes #15 of the Houston Astros at bat during a spring training game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches on February 28, 2026 in West Palm Beach, Florida. (Photo by Rich Storry/Getty Images) | Getty Images

In an interview Thursday March 12, longtime MLB insider Bob Nightengale had some direct statements regarding his thoughts on the 2026 Houston Astros.

Thursday, longtime MLB reporter and insider Bob Nightengale joined AREA 45 on Sportsradio 610. He had a lot of thoughts on the state of the Houston Astros heading into the 2026 season.

You can listen to the full interview here:

https://www.audacy.com/stations/sportsradio610/shows/area-45-with-bijani-and-creighton-0091d/episodes/d8b6a226ec7e

Click the 10pm chapter – Bob Nightengale joins the show.

Among the highlights of what Bob had to say about the Astros:

What do you expect from Adley Rutschman this year?

SARASOTA, FLORIDA - FEBRUARY 18: Adley Rutschman #35 of the Baltimore Orioles poses for a photo during Spring Training photo day at Ed Smith Stadium on February 18, 2026 in Sarasota, Florida. (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Remember 2022? We kept waiting for the Orioles to call up Adley Rutschman, the 2019 #1 draft pick. When Mike Elias chose to bring him up, there was little time to prepare. The move was announced at 8 a.m. on Saturday morning, the same day as Preakness.

Rutschman went hitless in that first game, but heated up quickly after that. In 113 games as a rookie, he had an OPS of .806, looked great behind the plate, and put up a bWAR of 5.4. He was a revelation.

Things have gone downhill since then. Rutschman had a good 2023, but it wasn’t quite as good as his rookie season. He started off well in 2024, but was terrible in the second half. It seemed logical that he was playing with an injury, though he didn’t own up to it.

If he had bounced back in 2025, 2024 could have been written off. But he did not. In fact, he had his worst year as a major leaguer with a bWAR of just 1.9. He hit .220/.307/.366 and was limited to just 90 games due to multiple trips to the IL with oblique strains.

Rutschman felt like a franchise savior in 2022, but he has gotten worse each year. And our young star isn’t so young anymore. He turned 28 years old last month and will be a free agent in just two years.

I am a hopeless Adley dreamer. I just can’t believe that his time as an impact player on the Orioles is already over. Thus, I have high hopes for his 2026 season, even if it makes me nervous to do so. Let’s check out some projections:

  • ZiPS: 133 G, 559 PA, 19 HR, 62 BB, .254/.338/.441, 4.7 fWAR
  • Baseball Reference: 446 PA, 13 HR, 48 BB, .232/.333/.402

ZiPS is more optimistic here and puts his performance close to his 2023 numbers, although with fewer games played. I would be very happy with that ZiPS line from Rutschman this year. It’s not a superstar year, but it’s very good year. A borderline All-Star year, depending on other factors. Sign me up, although the dreamer in me also hopes for more.

Baseball Reference paints a less friendly picture. 446 plate appearances would shake out to just over 100 games played. And while a SLG% of .402 would be either than he had in either 2024 or 2025, it would still be a disappointing number.

So what are you expecting for Adley Rutschman in 2027? Will he bounce back to be more like the player we hoped to see? Or will he continue to disappoint?

Bless You Boys 2026 Tigers prospects #19: RHP Zach Swanson

LAKELAND, FLORIDA - AUGUST 26: A general overall view of Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium, the spring training home of the Detroit Tigers and the regular-season home of the minor league affiliates Lakeland Flying Tigers and Gulf Coast Tigers on August 26, 2025 in Lakeland, Florida. (Photo by Kirby Lee/Getty Images) | Getty Images

One of the most anticipated minor league debuts this season will be Zach Swanson embarking on his first pro season. The right-hander is another in the Detroit Tigers stash of prep pitchers they’ve drafted over the last three years who immediately went down with a major injury. The theory is that they can add a lot more high end pitching talent by taking multiple prep pitchers for overslot bonuses beyond the early rounds, rather than paying full price for just a few college arms each draft. That makes some sense, but it’s a long-term play and so far the risk seems to be heavily outweighing the potential rewards. It will take a few more years to really know, but we’ll be curious to see if the draft strategy starts to tip back toward JUCO and college junior pitchers this year.

Is this the new market inefficiency? Get the big injury out of the way early and go from there? No, no it is not, but the point of taking risky prep pitchers is the chance of hitting a home run because of their upside, and Swanson, like all of them, has a lot of upside. The Tigers are going to need this to pay off over the next few years with a couple of them developing into starters and relievers. For Swanson, that process should begin this season, hopefully by June.

Swanson was taken in the ninth round of the 2024 draft, but the Tigers paid him roughly late third round money, $722,500 to forgo his commitment to Oregon State. The Washington state, Toutle HS, grad is yet another pitcher taken out of the Pacific northwest over the past few years, as the Tigers scout that area heavily.

The 6’3” right-hander was pretty well known on the national senior circuit, but had an inconsistent final year of high school ball. At his best, he showcased big-time stuff with the potential to develop into a very good power pitcher. His delivery was still fairly raw, but Swanson was a reasonably good basketball player as well, and the Tigers like that well rounded athleticism as a predictor of the ability to make mechanical adjustments and develop good balance and a repeatable delivery.

Swanson was up to 95-96 mph as a senior, though more typically sitting 92-94 mph. He has high spin rates on his fourseam fastball, and can spin the slider up to 2800 rpms, which is borderline elite. It’s a two plane, frisbee style slider in the low to mid 80’s, sometimes looking more sweeperish, and at other times snapped off for more bat missing depth. Swanson wasn’t always getting consistent break on it in high school but with consistently it looks like a future plus breaking ball. He has a decent curveball and changeup combination as well, but on draft day they were both somewhat crude by comparison.

The Tigers will presumably be working with Swanson on raising his arm angle, improving his stride, and learning to block himself better with his lead leg. In high school he had a fairly simple delivery without a ton of push off the rubber. As a result he tended to fly open with some excessive head whack, while his arm angle dropped into a low three-quarters position through release. That delivery required a lot of upper body effort to throw hard, and comes with a tendency to sail pitches to his armside. That’s not ideal for efficient velocity and command, and it doesn’t help him use his ability to spin the baseball that well, so adjustments will be required.

In high school, he looked a little bit like long-time farmhand and former Tigers pitcher, Alex Faedo. Despite being a top college starter and a first round pick, Faedo needed a lot of work to use his lower half more effectively and improve his fastball shape with a higher arm slot in the minor leagues. Fortunately, Swanson projects to be a better athlete on the mound, with more velocity projection and a similar quality slider to Faedo. There’s certainly plenty of relief risk in the fact that Swanson has two strong offerings and needs to develop a third pitch, but he’s got a long road ahead just to develop his command. They can worry about his future role later.

Swanson worked in camp after the 2024 draft, so the Tigers did have an opportunity to start coaching him up before his UCL tear in the buildup to the 2025 season. He went on the full season minor league injured list in mid-March last year, but the surgery seems to have occurred before spring camp opened, so hopefully by May or June we’ll see him out in the Complex League, or even in Lakeland if he’s made some nice strides during the rehab process.

We haven’t seen Swanson on a mound since the spring of 2024. At the time he was a hard throwing right-hander with a nasty slider at his best, who generally threw strikes, and who has a lot of physical projection ahead. With nearly two years elapsed, and likely a full two years between his final high school start and his pro debut sometime later this spring, a lot may have changed. At a minimum, we’d like to see Swanson built up physically during the rehab process. There’s a lot of work that can be accomplished without throwing, and we’ll be looking for strength gains and better use of his legs to power his delivery when he returns to action. Without some advancement in that regard, and with a lot of time lost to injury, Swanson’s projections will turn to more of a control over command relief project than the power starting pitcher the Tigers were looking for when they drafted him.

Of course, pitching is a bulk business. The Tigers have paid well overslot bonuses to roughly a dozen prep pitchers in three drafts under Scott Harris. They’ve stockpiled a lot of talented young arms and so far have struggled to keep them healthy and developing. Meanwhile, they’ve done a lot better to date hunting undervalued college and JUCO pitchers. Troy Melton, Jaden Hamm, Jake Miller, and Andrew Sears have all moved quickly into the upper minors, with Melton already having some success, while Hamm’s rough 2025 sinking his stock somewhat for now. It will be interesting to see if the Tigers are encouraged to alter their draft strategy somewhat, while still expecting that some of this youth group will put the injuries behind them and start making progress.

Right now we’re still working with little more information on Swanson than we had on draft day. Anyone can lose a year to injury, so we’ll hold the line here. However, further setbacks will push his grades and projection down, and we really need to see at least some of the expected physical development this year. For now, there’s nothing to do but wait for Swanson’s pro debut and see what has changed and what hasn’t in the interim. Hopefully we see a stronger, more refined young pitcher on the mound, ready to start the work of developing his command and a third pitch to round out his arsenal. The potential in his fastball and slider are really intriguing. Now he needs to start making up for lost time.

SF Giants News: Netflix to stream Giants Opening Day

Baseball: View of kayaks and boats in McCovey Cove during San Francisco Giants vs Oakland Ahtletics game at Oracle Park. San Francisco, CA 8/15/2020 CREDIT: Brad Mangin (Photo by Brad Mangin /Sports Illustrated via Getty Images) (Set Number: X163327 TK1 )

Good morning, baseball fans!

Per reporting from John Shea of The San Francisco Standard, the San Francisco Giants will get the honor of hosting Netflix’s first baseball broadcast this season on Opening Day.

Now, I’m not the best person to write on this. I have been crusading against the streaming wars taking over baseball one app at a time for several years now. However, I will say that this broadcast, specifically, should be a cool one. Even if it’s probably only happening because they will be playing the New York Yankees for their opening series (and it’s one of the only games being played on March 25th).

Netflix is planning to take to the cove, McCovey Cove that is, where they are set to have 73 branded red kayaks to represent the number of home runs that Barry Bonds hit to break the MLB record back in 2001. It sounds like these will be available for fans to use, with McCovey Cove Dave (Dave Edlund) assisting Netflix in recruitment efforts.

Per Shea’s reporting, Netflix is hoping to involve Bonds in the broadcast in some capacity as well. We’ll get you more information on the game as it gets closer.

Scoreboard-Watching Season: Penguins Loss Headlines Favorable Night For Islanders In Eastern Conference Playoff Race

It's scoreboard-watching season, and the New York Islanders got some favorable results on Thursday night ahead of their back-to-back against the Los Angeles Kings and Calgary Flames Friday and Saturday at UBS Arena.

The Pittsburgh Penguins fell 6-2 to the Vegas Golden Knights, leaving them tied with the Islanders for points at 79.  After Friday night, the Islanders will have played one more game but will have the chance to be alone in second place in the Metropolitan Division with a point or a win against Los Angeles. 

Although the red-hot Columbus Blue Jackets did earn a point in a 2-1 overtime loss to the Florida Panthers to extend their point streak to eight games (4-0-4), they still remain two points back of the Islanders with 65 games played.

Image

The Detroit Red Wings and Boston Bruins -- the No. 1 and No. 2 wild-card teams in the Eastern Conference currently -- both lost in regulation, keeping them at 79 and 78 points, respectively. 

While the Islanders hope to make the playoffs as either the No. 1 or No. 2 seed in the Metro, it's important that finishing in a wild-card spot is a possibility. A few months ago, it looked like it was a lock that two Atlantic Division teams were taking those two spots. 

The Washington Capitals lost 2-1 to the lethal Buffalo Sabres, keeping them four points back of the Islanders with two more games played. 

The Islanders control their own destiny with 17 games to go. Puck drop against the Kings comes your way at 7 PM ET.