
The back and forth has happened so often that it’s not even really disconcerting anymore. This team can be so good. But it’s really fragile. It can evaporate in a hurry. Tuesday night’s game was one that against a lesser opponent probably would have been a win going away. The Cubs generated a ton of traffic early and did produce three runs, but they just couldn’t get over the hump. Martin Perez’s start reminded me of a Javier Assad start. There were runners all over the place and you kept feeling like the Cubs would eventually punch through and win an easy one.
Kevin Gausman was very good early and so everything just felt right in this one. In his sixth inning of work, Gausman was victimized by a two-run homer by Ronald Acuña Jr. He certainly wasn’t the first and won’t be the last to be on the wrong end of one of Acuña’s homers. He couldn’t get out of the sixth and then this is where the game got weird.
Before I continue on, a couple of disclaimers. I am a big Craig Counsell supporter. Secondly, even if I were a moderate (or less) supporter of Counsell, I’d still recognize that the Cubs bullpen (and often their pitching staff in general) has been so bad that there aren’t really any great options. So I get it, he’s trying to figure out a way to stack his Jenga blocks in such a way that they don’t immediately fall over. I can remember some recent National and Phillie seasons where they had combustible bullpens. I can remember the Cubs having some season with really unreliable closers. But I can’t remember the last time where the Cubs didn’t really have anyone dependable down there. Even in the lean years, there is usually a dependable arm or two down there.
So I get it. But he used Daniel Palencia to escape the sixth. That was obviously a key out with just a one run lead. Then he went to Jacob Webb. Webb allowed a second Braves two-run homer, to Ozzie Albies. He’s victimized a few people in his day too. Webb is such a cautionary tale for not getting too locked into a guy too quick. Webb had about as good a two-month stretch as any reliever you’ll see. But since he blew his first save, he’s been a dumpster fire. You don’t really learn about relievers until after they’ve had that first failure. Relief pitching is all about bouncing back from disappointment.
Then Craig Counsell went to Edward Cabrera. Cabrera was exactly what he’s been this year. Tantalizing at times. But just not able to finish the job. He ultimately allowed a two-run homer to Drake Baldwin. The Braves safely executed the clear strategy against the Cubs. Make their starter work. Keep the game close. Beat them late. To the Braves credit, they went to infield in very early in the game and indeed got a ground ball and threw out a runner trying to score.
All this game needed was either Marcell Ozuna or Freddie Freeman to show up and homer to really drive home echoes of four or five years ago. Those guys are long gone, but this felt like so many games against the Braves in recent years. Of course, it really felt like a 2026 Cub game too. The pitching staff just giving up too many homers.
Anyway, back to my original point. I would understand if you didn’t want Cabrera’s first relief appearance to be in a messy spot. And yet, they did eventually bring him in with two outs and a runner on second. So you had Cabrera in the chamber and you were ultimately willing to use him with traffic. So why wasn’t he the first one out of the pen in this one? Had the three relievers the Cubs did use done their job cleanly, Ryan Zeferjahn would likely have been on an island by himself to close this game, having thrown the day before. The other Ryan, Rolison also threw Monday and also threw Saturday. I don’t love the sequencing of the bullpen. Also, when they all allow two-run homers (Palencia did not), it doesn’t matter a ton.
Three Positives:
- Matt Shaw was the clear offensive star in this one. He had two singles and drew a walk. He scored a run.
- Kevin Gausman threw 5.2 innings and allowed only two runs, striking out six.
- Michael Busch had a single and a walk and scored twice.
Game 152, September 15: Braves 6, Cubs 3 (84-68)

Reminder: Heroes and Goats are determined by WPA scores and are in no way subjective.
THREE HEROES:
- Superhero: Matt Shaw (.136). 2-2, BB, R
- Hero: Pedro Ramirez (.135). 1-4, RBI
- Sidekick: Kevin Gausman (.110). 5.2 IP, 22 BF, 5 H, 0 BB, 2 R, 6 K
THREE GOATS:
- Billy Goat: Jacob Webb (-.363). 0.2 IP, 5 BF, 2 H, BB, 2 R (L 6-5)
- Goat: Pete Crow-Armstrong (-.140). 0-5
- Kid: Nico Hoerner (-.124). 0-4
WPA Play of the Game: Ozzie Albies’ two-run homer with one out in the seventh gave the Braves a one-run lead. (.370)
Cubs Play of the Game: Pedro Ramirez batted with runners at first and second with no outs in the second, the game scoreless. He grounded to short and Mauricio Dubon fielded and tried to get the force at second but threw the ball away. A run scored and it put runners at the corners.
Cubs Player of the Game:
Game 151: Pete Crow-Armstrong 46-45 over David Peterson. One person voted for Carson Kelly and might have robbed us of a split. Probably just about as rare of an occurrence as a unanimous vote.
Rizzo Award Standings: (Top 5/Bottom 5)
The award is named for Anthony Rizzo, who finished first in this category three of the first four years it was in existence and four times overall. He also recorded the highest season total ever at +65.5. The point scale is three points for a Superhero down to negative three points for a Billy Goat.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong +24.5
- Alex Bregman +24
- Carson Kelly +16.5
- Ben Brown +13.5
- Michael Conforto +13
- Jameson Taillon -13
- Seiya Suzuki -15
- Nico Hoerner -16
- Dansby Swanson -17
- Caleb Thielbar -17.5
Scoreboard Watching: Hat tip to the Brewers winning their fourth straight NL Central title. That is one of the most well run organizations in baseball. The Phillies lost and remain half a game behind the Cubs (and would lose a tiebreaker). The Padres lost, snapping their long winning streak. They remain 1.5 games behind the Cubs. The Diamondbacks lost a t0ugh one in extra innings and are four games behind the Cubs.
Up Next: The third and final game of the series, winner takes the series. The Braves will at least split the season series with the Cubs, having won three of the first five. The Cubs have been very good against NL playoff hopefuls. Only the Brewers have won their season series with the Cubs. The Cardinals and Brewers are the only NL teams who came in with winning records against the Cubs. The Braves join that group. The Rockies, Giants and Nationals all split their series with the Cubs. There is some illustration of the up and down performance of the Cubs in these numbers. Doing well against all but one of the best teams but only breaking even against the worst teams.
Shōta Imanaga (10-10, 3.88) starts for the Cubs. He’s won back-to back starts, bouncing back after several rough ones. He lost to the Braves in May despite allowing two runs over seven innings of work. 23-year-old righty JR Ritchie (1-2, 4.50) has appeared in 14 games, making eight starts. He hasn’t pitched in the majors since August 2. He went four innings and allowed two runs in that one, a start. He’s fully stretched out, twice pitching six or more innings this month in the minors. On September 6, he struck out 15 in 6.2 innings. He only walked one. So he is dominating at Triple-A. At the major league level, he’s allowed 36 walks in 58 innings. He started against the Cubs in May. He allowed a run on two hits and three walks in 4.1 innings.

















