It's a busy day in the Majors, and I've found value on the mound and at the dish.
Let's dive into my favorite MLB player props and MLB picks for Saturday, July 25, including Casey Mize, CJ Abrams, and Sonny Gray.
Best MLB player props today
Player
Pick
Odds
Casey Mize
Under 1.5 earned runs
+101
CJ Abrams
Over 1.5 total bases
+111
Sonny Gray
Under 2.5 earned runs
-145
Casey Mize Under 1.5 earned runs (+101)
Detroit Tigers starter Casey Mize has been dominant lately, posting a 2.22 FIP across his last four outings while surrendering just 0.40 HR/9. In fact, the righty hasn't given up a homer in back-to-back starts.
Mize is also pitching well at home this season, compiling a 2.17 FIP. He held the Los Angeles Angels to one earned run in his last appearance, and Mize faces a Kansas City Royals lineup with a 90 wRC+ in the last week and minimal power at the moment.
Abrams has cashed the Over in total bases in six of his last seven contests. No one has been able to slow him down since the All-Star break. The youngster will face Arizona Diamondbacks lefty Mitch Bratt tonight, and he has a 9.10 FIP in his last two outings.
But Bratt doesn't typically stay in long, and the Diamondbacks bullpen isn't exactly lights out, posting a 4.75 xERA in the last week.
I'll play this pick up to -120.
Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
Where to watch: DBacks.TV, Nationals.TV
Sonny Gray Under 2.5 earned runs (-152)
The Boston Red Sox hand Sonny Gray the baseball today against the Toronto Blue Jays, and he's in a prime position for another gem. The righty has been carving up opponents, sporting a 3.18 FIP over the last month while giving up just 0.71 HR/9.
Gray has surrendered Under 2.5 earned runs in five consecutive appearances, consistently pounding the strike zone and inducing weak contact. He'll face a Jays lineup that is in horrendous form, posting a mere 69 wRC+ in their last 10 games.
Expect Toronto's struggles to continue. It will be another gem for Gray.
I'll play this pick up to -160.
Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
Where to watch: Sportsnet, NESN
Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
Prop picks: 0-0 0.00 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
The Detroit Tigers head into today's matchup with the Kansas City Royals as a heavy -168 moneyline favorite behind Casey Mize.
After winning the first two games of the series, my Royals vs. Tigers predictions are targeting another victory for Detroit.
Find out more in my MLB picks for Saturday, July 25.
Who will win Royals vs Tigers today: Tigers moneyline (-168)
Casey Mize has been utterly dominant lately for the Detroit Tigers. The right-hander sports a 2.22 FIP across his last four outings while allowing just 0.40 HR/9.
Michael Wacha hasn't been awful for the Kansas City Royals, but he is vulnerable right now. The right-hander owns a 4.83 xERA in his last four appearances, allowing 1.85 HR/9.
The Tigers are swinging it relatively well, carrying a 100 wRC+ and .182 ISO in the last week. They should be able to do some damage off Wacha and K.C.'s vulnerable bullpen, who have a 6.29 FIP in their last 26 1/3 frames.
I'll play this pick up to -170. The run line is also a solid option if the moneyline becomes out of sight.
Royals vs Tigers Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-121)
There's obviously some vulnerability for the Kansas City 'pen, but they've allowed fewer runs lately, surrendering four in this series so far.
Detroit's relief corps has a 4.70 xERA in the last week, but they've held opponents to a 4.9% barrel rate and just 0.61 HR/9.
While the Tigers are in respectable form offensively, they're not tearing the cover off the baseball, and Wacha isn't exactly getting lit up at the moment.
Mize, meanwhile, is lights-out at Comerica Park, and he often pitches into the fifth or sixth, limiting Detroit's bullpen exposure.
K.C. also carries a 90 wRC+ in their last seven contests with a .158 ISO.
Hammer the Under to -130.
Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
ML/RL bets: 36-45, -13.34 units
Over/Under bets: 44-35, +2.80 units
Royals vs Tigers weather
Conditions should be pleasant at Comerica Park this afternoon, with mostly sunny skies and temperatures climbing from the mid-70s into the low 80s. Winds look light, and rain does not appear to be a concern. Overall, weather should have minimal impact, though the warmer afternoon air could slightly help carry.
Royals vs Tigers odds
Moneyline: Royals +156 | Tigers -163
Run line: Royals +1.5 (-133) | Tigers -1.5 (+127)
Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+113) | Under 8.5 (-117)
Royals vs Tigers trend
The Tigers have hit the Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.75 Units / 24% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Royals vs. Tigers.
How to watch Royals vs Tigers and game info
Location
Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Date
Saturday, July 25, 2026
First pitch
1:10 p.m. ET
TV
Royals.TV, DSN
Royals starting pitcher
Michael Wacha (5-7, 3.66 ERA)
Tigers starting pitcher
Casey Mize (4-6, 2.79 ERA)
Royals vs Tigers latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
Apr 1, 2026; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Sacramento Kings forward DeMar DeRozan (10) dribbles the ball as Toronto Raptors forward Scottie Barnes (4) defends in the second half at Scotiabank Arena. Mandatory Credit: Dan Hamilton-Imagn Images | Dan Hamilton-Imagn Images
A lot has been said about homecomings this offseason. Kyle Lowry retiring a Raptor, Kawhi Leonard in limbo, but ostensibly one step away from joining the team. However, all this talk about the greatest Raptors has left me feeling like there’s something missing. And that’s because my favourite Raptor of all-time might potentially be back on a squad, facing off against his greatest rival in LeBron James. And I’m here for all 82 games of it.
DeMar DeRozan has had a long NBA career that has, frankly, been characterized by unfortunate flame-outs in Toronto, unrealized team potential in Chicago, and being traded away from the Raptors in exchange for Kawhi Leonard and our championship. In many ways, I feel that this is the Faustian bargain or original sin of the Raptors, that we had 20 years of stars wanting to leave, and we traded one of the only stars that wanted to stay so we could win. But now, things are different, and it looks like we might be able to have our cake and eat it too.
Just in: The Sacramento Kings are waiving DeMar DeRozan, making the six-time All-Star one of the top free agents, sources tell ESPN. The sides worked collaboratively on this resolution after exploring trade routes. pic.twitter.com/IsSZXhV4An
Earlier this month, Shams Charania reported that DeMar DeRozan was waived after the Kings couldn’t trade him, meaning that their most reliable scorer would be hitting the open market, and potentially, making his way back to Canada. Insider Jake Fischer has suggested that this certainly could be the case, with DeMar on a veteran’s minimum potentially heading either North to Toronto or South to South Beach.
DeRozan has always been adamant about his love for Toronto, and I believe that if he had never been traded, he’d never have left the team. And I think now, the best thing for both parties here is to get DeRozan back – ideally off the bench – and try and make a push for a championship. Toronto would be a crowded place for him, with Kawhi theoretically slotting in at the 3 ahead of DeRozan. Kind of like moving into your ex-wife’s basement while she lives on the main floor with her new guy. But, I believe that professional maturity will win out, and DeMar could successfully embrace a reserve role and do very well in it. I like DeMar for a lot of reasons. The guy is California Cool. He’s played in the Michael Jordan archetype, dropping in middies and dunks that scratches the old-school itch for me. He’s upfront about mental health, and wrote a damn good book on the subject. And he reps Toronto better than maybe anyone else ever has.
NEW YORK, NY- SEPTEMBER 10: DeMar DeRozan #10 of the Sacramento Kings attends a book signing to promote his new book at the NBA Store in New York, New York on September 10, 2024. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory copyright notice: Copyright NBAE 2024 (Photo by Evan Yu/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images
Bill Russell said it best: “What these young bloods have to understand… that this game has always been, and always will be, about buckets.” And Toronto does a lot of things really, really well. Defending, passing, playing team basketball. But when it comes to getting buckets? Sometimes, that just doesn’t seem like a priority for us. The whole point of getting Kawhi Leonard is doing just that, getting someone to score and do the heavy lifting our guys can’t quite do. And from a bench perspective, DeMar DeRozan might be the best guy for that. Our most productive bench scorer was Sandro Mamukelashvili, who averaged 11 points in 22 minutes. I find it hard to believe that with him and Gradey Dick gone, Demar couldn’t give us at least 15 off the bench and be a real flamethrower. Since 2011, DeRozan has made his living off of being able to score, and even at 36, he can still do just that.
For me, this isn’t just a basketball decision. It’s a morale pick: it’ll be good for the fans and good for the city to have a star from the days of a real, entrenched culture of Raptors Basketball to be back. I’m not suggesting we go back to We The North; those days are long gone. But, DeRozan still has gas left in the tank, and to have him get one last chance to team up with Lowry, to play actual meaningful basketball (sorry Kings), and to have a chance to exorcise his demons on the hardwood would be a really great thing for everyone involved. But, the matter that now looms over a potential DeRozan return is the new reality of the old wolf of the Eastern Conference, LeBron James, back in his old hunting grounds for at least 2 more years.
I am not someone who wants to sit around defending the Raptors’ playoff collapses of yore, but we were being quite simply outmatched and outclassed by what the Akron Hammer in his prime was doing. And now, we seem to be staring down the barrel of the most loaded Philadelphia team that’s been assembled since 1983. LeBron James has been the kryptonite of the Toronto Raptors, and of DeMar DeRozan at that. But, at the same time – James is getting older, and would not be feasting on a young Raptors squad. Rather, he’d be facing off against the team he lost his 10-point streak against, a team that would be adding Kawhi Leonard, a player he famously doesn’t like to play against, paired with Scottie Barnes, for some of the most suffocating forward defence in the league. All that’s been said by the front office about assembling a real two-way team is going to be put to the test in the crucible that is Philadelphia this year. But, with a good enough team around him, it’s entirely possible that DeMar DeRozan could use his talents and make it to the NBA Finals, and past LeBron James, finally closing a chapter in a book written in blood, that is shamefully titled “LeBronto.”
Jul 3, 2026; Anaheim, California, USA; Los Angeles Angels pitcher Reid Detmers (48) throws against the Boston Red Sox during the third inning at Angel Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images | Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images
The Los Angeles Angels are a mess, and are likely best served by opening the floodgates this trade deadline. They leaked on Thursday that they are interested in trading shortstop Zack Neto, but perhaps the single most-likely-to-be-dealt player on the entire market is lefty starter Reid Detmers.
Detmers just turned 27 and is under team control for two seasons after this. He’s always been decent enough, with a pair of two-win seasons and a strong bullpen year in 2025 that was cut short by elbow injury. This year, it’s a bit of a coming out campaign for Detmers, with a 3.27 FIP and 3.32 xERA contributing to a 3.0 fWAR across 120 innings so far in 2026.
If he played for a functioning franchise, he’d probably be approached with an extension — 3.5-4 win seasons from guys in their age-27 seasons are nothing to sneeze at. But this isn’t a functioning franchise, and the returns from dealing away a player like this are probably more in line with the direction that a (in theory) rebuilt front office would want to go. Once again, teams like this are an object lesson that Yankee fans, for as frustrated as we can get with them, have it better than most.
Detmers features one of the best arrays of breaking pitches in the sport, especially his slider, which he’ll often front door against southpaws and run hard away from right handed batters. It’s been a +14 (!!) run pitch for him this year, running a 35 percent whiff rate. His curveball, which has seen usage drop off this year, gets a whiff 38 percent of the time, and you wonder if the right idea is to lean into pitching backwards even more. Neither of his four-seam nor sinking fastball are all that good, and that may be what keeps him outside the inner circle of elite starters. Then again, the Yankees have had success developing all kinds of fastballs making him the kind of pitcher that fits Matt Blake’s pitching lab — play up the breaking balls that are working, and add some shape to a fastball while in a rotation that features some damn good heaters.
The added benefit of trading for Detmers is that you also functionally trade for a reliever at the same time. We’ve batted around all year which guy in the rotation is best suited to shore up a bullpen that desperately needs some reinforcement, and landing Detmers, who would be a better option than both Ryan Weathers and Will Warren, in my opinion lets you transfer one of those two to the relief corps. Even if you don’t want to do that, you give the rotation margin for rest. You may want to give Max Fried or Gerrit Cole the odd day off, or save Cam Schlittler’s arm in a random September start and hope that helps him in the postseason, and an additional very good pitcher gets you that room to breathe.
The downside is cost. Detmers’ skill and team control means he’s going to be pricey, and you almost drool at the potential he could reach in a pitching lab like the Brewers’. The bidding for Detmers will rival any other player on the market, and if the Angels are able to play that well — a significant if — they should be able to kick start a rebuild off the return.
Jul 24, 2026; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Atlanta Braves first baseman Matt Olson (28) greeted by catcher Joey Bart (16) following his three run home run during the tenth inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Mandatory Credit: Mitch Stringer-Imagn Images | Mitch Stringer-Imagn Images
The Atlanta Braves’ weekend series against the Baltimore Orioles started off strong after Friday’s 7-6 win in extra innings. Matt Olson was the man of the hour and gave Atlanta the lead in 10th, courtesy of his three-run homer.
Things were shaky for Atlanta in the bottom half of the 10th inning, but fortunately the Braves were able to hold on and win the series opener. The series continues tonight at 7:05 ET as Bryce Elder gets the start.
More Braves News:
AJ Smith-Shawver continues to progress after a solid outing for Triple-A Gwinnett on Thursday. More in the minor league recap.
The FCL Braves are done for the season, and here is how 2026 shaped up.
Bench spots in Philadelphia just became much more appealing.
Ex-LeBron James teammate Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is negotiating a buyout with the Grizzlies with the plan to sign with the 76ers and reunite with the future Hall of Famer, according to Chris Haynes.
The 33-year-old previously exercised his $21.6 million player option for the 2026-27 season in June.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is negotiating a buyout with the 76ers. NBAE via Getty Images
Caldwell-Pope and LeBron spent three seasons together with the Lakes from 2018-21, helping deliver the franchise’s last championship in 2020.
They also have shared the same representation in Klutch Sports.
Caldwell-Pope added another championship to his resume in 2023 with the Nuggets, but would be slated for a backup role with the 76ers.
Philadelphia would hope that the veteran could provide strong shooting and defense in a reserve role, although he’s coming off a down year from beyond the arc.
Caldwell-Pope made just 31.6 percent of his 3-point attempts, a notable dip from his 40.3 percent five-year average spanning the 2019-20 season to 2023-24 campaign.
A change of scenery could perhaps help after Caldwell-Pope played for a poor Grizzlies team, and he averaged 8.4 points and 2.5 rebounds per game spanning 21.3 minutes last season.
LeBron James (l) and Caldwell-Pope (r) in 2020. Getty Images
Memphis acquired Caldwell-Pope last year in the blockbuster that sent Desmond Bane to the Magic, with the former lasting just one season with Orlando after signing a three-year, $66 million deal in 2024.
The idea of veterans joining James-led teams is not a new concept, with veterans on the downside of their career often joining contenders in hope of winning another ring.
Philadelphia has an incredible starting five featuring James, former MVP Joel Embiid, star guard Tyrese Maxey, ex-Finals MVP Jaylen Brown and emerging second-year guard VJ Edgecombe, but recent NBA history has shown that teams need deep benches to make sustained postseason runs.
Caldwell-Pope is set to join a 76ers reserve unit that potentially features Anfernee Simmons, first-round pick Labaron Philon Jr., Dean Wade and ex-Knick Ariel Hukporti.
SURPRISE, ARIZONA - MARCH 12: Sean Armstrong #40 of the Texas Rangers pitches during the game against the Cincinnati Reds at Surprise Stadium on March 12, 2025 in Surprise, AZ. (Photo by Rob Leiter/MLB Photos via Getty Images)
Sometimes ups outnumber the downs. Not in Nottingham.
This little ditty from Disney’s Robin Hood is brought to you by a terrible last three days for the Cleveland Guardians. But, don’t worry, folks. At least we aren’t the Mets. Or something.
The Guardians lost 11-3. Sean Armstrong pitched horribly and seemingly got hurt.
Rumors abound on Twitter that the Guardians won’t be able to sign second round pick Logan Schmidt. In which case they will get the 60th pick in next year’s draft. Sure, why not? Add it to the mix.
AROUND MLB:
Tigers beat the Royals, but the Twins and White Sox managed to lose, thankfully.
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JULY 24: Roki Sasaki #11 of the Los Angeles Dodgers pitches during the first inning against the New York Mets at Citi Field on July 24, 2026 in New York City. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Kyle Tucker picked a good time for his first home run of July, hitting a two-run home run in the eighth inning which game the Dodgers breathing room for their third straight win on Friday night, beating the Mets to improve to 5-2 on the road trip.
Tucker’s previous home run came on June 27, one day shy of four weeks prior, with Tucker hitting .239/.313/.268 in the 80 plate appearances between long balls.
Roki Sasaki was sharp on Friday, striking out nine Mets while allowing one run in seven innings for the victory. Since the right-hander appeared to be tipping his pitches in a bad start against the Padres on July 2, Sasaki has a 1.93 ERA with 19 strikeouts against only four walks in 18 2/3 innings over his last three starts. Asked if Sasaki’s noticeably larger glove helped resolve the pitch tipping, he told reporters Friday, per Maddie Lee of the Los Angeles Times, “Probably my face kind of got smaller … That’s why the glove looked bigger.”
Manager Dave Roberts told reporters on Friday, “He doesn’t seem like he’s searching anyore.”
"He (Roki) doesn't seem like he's searching anymore."
Shohei Ohtani threw a bullpen session on Wednesday in Philadelphia, and he’ll throw another bullpen session on Saturday at Citi Field. Though there doesn’t appear to be a set timetable for his return to pitching, according to Roberts, per Bill Plunkett of the Orange County Register:
I still think he is very honest with us about how he’s feeling and we’re aligned with that,” he said. “Every player wants to get back out there and do what they do. But I think he understands that it’s not about July, it’s about October. We’ve already taken a lot of time to get him back to full health so we’re not going to start (him in a game) earlier than we need to.”
So LeBron James isn’t a Timberwolf. That’s unfortunate. But life moves on! We checked the rules and the Minnesota Timberwolves will, in fact, still need to participate in the 2026-2027 NBA season without The King. Wolves-centered publications can all stop writing offseason filler content about him, so I think we can all agree to be happy about that.
Let’s move on to the next overplayed commonly discussed topic of the season: Who will be the stopgap fifth starter for the Timberwolves?
Barring another vintage Tim Connelly surprise before the start of the season, the Wolves currently have filled 16 of their 18 maximum roster spots (including the two-way spots). They have just about enough money to spend on a minimum contract or two for the last openings if they wish to stay under the second apron.
Let’s do a quick review in order of contract size (percent of cap):
Anthony Edwards (29.7%)
LaMelo Ball (24.7%)
Rudy Gobert (22.1%)
Jaden McDaniels (15.9%)
Ayo Dosunmu (11.7%)
Josh Green (8.9%)
Donte DiVincenzo (7.6%)
Joan Beringer (2.7%)
Jaylen Clark (1.9%)
Bones Hyland (1.7%)
TJ Shannon (1.7%)
Trey Lyles (1.5%)
Isaiah Evans (1.5%)
(Vacant)
(Vacant)
Rocco Zikarsky (TW)
Zyon Pullin (TW)
Enrique Freeman (TW)
There isn’t a traditional “power forward” that jumps off that list to join Ball, Edwards, McDaniels, and Gobert. You can make the argument that the only player who naturally plays that position is recently signed Trey Lyles, who is on a veteran minimum contract and was not on an NBA roster last season.
This conversation naturally flows to: Do we start Jaden McDaniels as the power forward and bring another wing into the starting rotation?
I’ve decided to fixate on that question and the potential solutions. The Wolves have an awful amount of “wings,” or even guards, that I wanted to categorically compare. Most of the options only check certain boxes of what an ideal candidate should have. Some overlap. I realized a visualization would be helpful to a simpleton like myself.
When looking at players that could slide in as a shooting guard or small forward, I sorted six players between six foot four inches to six foot six inches. Upon pulling measurements from NBA.com and databallr, I decided to include Bones Hyland due to his abnormally long wingspan, and you can’t just include one half of the Twin Turbos without the other. I also looped in the aforementioned Jaden McDaniels and Trey Lyles just for reference.
Wing Flavors
Obviously basketball players shouldn’t and can’t just be deduced down to just three subjective “flavors.” However, for the sake of this exercise, I’m going to do it anyway. I created a Venn diagram of “Scorer/Creator,” “Shooter/Spacer,” and “Defender/Hustle” and categorized the players named above.
Scorer/Creator
*Isaiah Evans statistics from last season in NCAA *Trey Lyles statistics from last season in NBA
First and foremost, I opted not to pick the low-hanging fruit of “points per game” as it doesn’t necessarily capture what I was looking for here. This category is meant to capture who initiates the offense, whether it’s for themselves or others. Thus, I pulled usage percentage, assist percentage, and percentage of field goals that are unassisted.
Bones Hyland obviously pops here. He’s the only true ball handler of the bunch and is functionally a point guard. Two-thirds of his two-pointers are unassisted, the third highest on the team behind Anthony Edwards and Johnny Juzang. Bizzy Bones was also second on the team in AST% among rotation players. He’s not a realistic starting wing option, but I’ve listed him here just for comparison more like I have with Jaden and Trey.
Then comes TJ Shannon. The playmaking numbers aren’t great for him, but he creates a ton of offense for himself. Finch famously mentioned after the Wolves eliminated the Denver Nuggets in the postseason that he had been using Shannon wrong as a spot-up player instead of putting the ball in his hands. He had the third highest percentage of unassisted three-pointers behind the aforementioned Edwards and Juzang. The soon to be 26-year-old is nearly unstoppable once he gets a head of steam, which is even more impressive when you consider he’s as left hand dependent as Julius Randle.
If you score 43 points in a playoff game where two of your team’s most important players go down, you automatically qualify as a “Scorer.” Those are actually the rules. Ayo Dosunmu has also demonstrated an ability to create for others, especially in the postseason where he shouldered a heavier load. He averaged a team best 4.1 assists per game in the 2026 playoffs. Ayo’s ability to be an offensive hub is why many are hoping he remains a sparkplug off the bench especially in lieu of Naz Reid.
Shooter/Spacer
*Isaiah Evans statistics from last season in NCAA *Trey Lyles statistics from last season in NBA
Shooting ability is a must in today’s NBA roster construction, and the Wolves have no shortage of that (Hi, Miami!). This may not be the Dynasty Warriors vs Morey Ball days of chucking up as many threes as possible (Hi, Boston!), but teams are wiser as to how to generate efficient three-point shots. I looked at general three-point shooting ability (overall three-point percentage, catch-and-shoot three-point percentage, and corner three-point percentage), as well as volume (three-point attempt rate).
Let’s all take a minute to pour one out for Donte DiVincenzo. He’s one of the premier volume three-point shooters in the NBA and the Wolves will surely miss his floor spacing gravity next season. He had the second highest three-point rate on the team (Shoutout Mike Conley, besting him by literally 1%) and converted at a good rate, despite a down year. In clutch situations, he was never shy.
The “throw-in” that came in the LaMelo Ball trade needs to be discussed. Josh Green posted elite numbers across these categories. Converting on 42% of your triples with a three-point rate of 76.2% is bonkers. The Aussie is excellent at catch-and-shoot opportunities, and is one of the best corner three-point shooters in the game. This is something he relentlessly developed over his basketball career. He was known in high school as a non-shooter, then grinded his way during his time at University of Arizona to become respectable. Now in the NBA, he’s a dangerous weapon from beyond the arc.
Bones Hyland deserves a shoutout here too. Again, he won’t be a starter, but his strength as a floor spacer is still undeniable. He takes and makes them at a very high rate. It’s impressive especially considering how he often has the ball in his hands. The offense talent is there.
I mentioned Twin Turbos earlier, right? The case for Ayo Dosunmu as a “Shooter” is interesting. His three-point rate is on the low end, but he converts them at a premium caliber. We’re talking team-best caliber (Sorry Joe Ingles and Enrique Freeman). He’s amazing as a catch-and-shoot threat to boot. Ayo isn’t usually in position as a corner shot taker, but his strong numbers at converting threes overall makes me feel comfortable labeling him as a shooter.
The Wolves rookie Isaiah Evans will remain an unknown for now. He was one of the best three-point shooters in the NCAA last season (3rd in ACC), but struggled in Summer League (26.7%). Evans likely won’t be in the rotation for now, but considering that shooting is the main reason he was drafted, we can give him the benefit of the doubt for now.
— Minnesota Timberwolves (@Timberwolves) July 18, 2026
Veteran Trey Lyles is by-and-large a stretch big. His numbers weren’t great during his final season with Sacramento, but that team was a mess and his role had diminished at that point. The season prior, he had a much higher conversion rate (38.4%) on higher volume (68.2% 3PAr). He was also 40% on catch-and-shoot opportunities from perimeter. More recently, Lyles shot 39% from distance last year overseas with Real Madrid.
I struggled to determine if TJ Shannon deserved to be here. Similar to Ayo, he shot over 40% from perimeter last season on a slightly higher three-point rate. However, I would categorically consider Shannon to be more of a threat attacking the paint as opposed to as a spacer. His catch-and-shoot numbers were significantly lower so it just didn’t feel right to label him a “Shooter.”
Defender/Hustle
*Isaiah Evans statistics from last season in NCAA *Trey Lyles statistics from last season in NBA *Stocks & deflections listed are per 36 minutes
It has historically been difficult for box score statistics or a singular catch-all measurement to determine a player’s overall defensive impact. Simple “blocks and steals” numbers aren’t close to capturing one’s complete defensive footprint. Even deflections, which has become a more popular statistic recently, though useful, is just looking at one aspect of defense. Based on what was available to me, I did pull Defensive Win Shares and Defensive Box Plus Minus numbers for reference.
Based on these measurements, you can still squint and see some patterns. You have Jaylen Clark, who is clearly the highest overall achiever in this category (DWS is impacted by how many minutes someone plays). He’s elite at getting deflections or finishing defensive plays. It’s as obvious as when he swoops in to steal an inbounds pass, as it is when rides an opponents hip into a tough shot. There’s not much debate here for Clark County’s placement here.
Jaden McDaniels putback layup + Jaylen Clark on-ball defense to force the jump ball pic.twitter.com/OtBcpZ9u2Q
Then you have Josh Green and Donte DiVincenzo. They’re similar in their ability to muck things up on the defensive end. They’ll get in your jersey even if it forces the official to call a foul. Dive for a loose ball even if your legs are in the way. Run down a rebound way outside their zone which sends them flying into the first row. They’re here to irritate you. That said, they still differ in their own unique ways. DiVincenzo is more athletic and agile, while Green is more physical and strong. It’s no surprise that Connelly targeted someone like Green this offseason with DiVincenzo out.
Similar to his case as a “Shooter,” Ayo Dosunmu as a “Defender” can also been debated. The numbers don’t paint a plus defender. He’s never been elite at generating steals or blocks, but he’s one of those “solid as they come” players. Ayo might not wow you, but he will stick to the assignment. He can fight over screens well. He can contest without fouling. He can make quick and on time rotations. He can finish possessions with defensive rebounds. This singular play sequence against Jaylen Brown last season always left an impression on me. It’s why I’m a believer in him as a defender, even if not a top percentile one. Ayo takes pride on defense.
His Twin Turbo brother Bones Hyland is an interesting case too. By the eye test, he is surely a weak link on defense. He struggles to keep his man ahead of him, fouls a lot (second most behind Jaden McDaniels per 36), and is often lost on rotations. However, he generated a surprising amount of deflections and stocks, probably due to his absurdly long wingspan. Remember all those chase-down blocks he had? All to say, it still doesn’t feel honest to put Bizzy Bones in the “Defender” category.
Does this exercise help us determine who the final starter will be? It may depend on what the matchup calls for. Coach Chris Finch alluded to this as much, going to far as to show hesitation with inserting Jaden as the full-time power forward.
If you want to skew towards defense and spacing, you may be looking at Josh Green.
If you want to skew towards offense and creation, you may be looking at TJ Shannon.
If you want a more well balanced approach, you may be looking at Ayo Dosunmu.
We all know our friends over in New York is still celebrating his 2026 championship. The Knicks famously acquired defensive-minded wings on their team who were integral to raising a banner. They had previously earned the nickname “Wing Stop.” Do the Wolves have their own “Wing Stop” brewing? It might be a little early for that, but they have options.
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - JULY 12: AJ Dybantsa #4 of the Washington Wizards shoots against Nique Clifford #00 of the Sacramento Kings in the first quarter of a Summer League game at the Thomas & Mack Center on July 12, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Ian Maule/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The Washington Wizards have very recently finished their 2026 NBA Summer League campaign. In our SB Nation Reacts survey for this week, we asked you to grade them.
FanDuel will probably not predict that the Wizards are winning a championship next season. But I’m happy to see that over 80 percent of fans give the Wizards good grades for their summer performance, even if AJ Dybantsa only played two games.
I’ll start by saying we’re officially in the summer cycle of speculation. So I guess I have the time to give you one.
As we enter the void where there’s no basketball for the next two and a half months, all we can do is sit around, think through different scenarios, and debate why they will or won’t work. It’s very similar to what we did last offseason, when we tried to project what a team featuring both Jalen Green and Dillon Brooks would look like in the post-Kevin Durant era.
Now we find ourselves asking whether acquiring Miles Bridges was the right basketball move to help elevate the Suns’ offense. After all, this was a team that finished 26th in points scored last season and 28th in field goal percentage. While I facetiously answered the question of whether Miles Bridges can elevate the offense by simply saying, “Yes,” the reality is far more layered than that.
There are two truths here. First, we won’t know the answer until we actually see it. Second, it won’t be a perfect fit, because there’s no such thing as a perfect fit. If you operate under that premise, there’s a flaw in the thinking. Perfection isn’t a destination you ever reach. Every roster construction comes with strengths and weaknesses, tradeoffs and compromises.
There are aspects of Miles Bridges’ game that will unquestionably make the Suns better. There are also areas where he falls short, and those deficiencies could create challenges for Phoenix. Overall, I believe his acquisition trends in a positive direction for the Suns’ offense.
To comprehend who Bridges is on the court, I think it’s important to start by looking backward before looking forward. We need to look at who he was in Charlotte and what his role was. We’ll dive into shooting percentages, eFG’s, shot profiles, and all of the numbers that help paint the picture, but those statistics don’t exist in a vacuum. They were shaped by the environment in which he played prior to landing at Sky Harbor. Understanding that context is essential if we’re going to fairly evaluate what Bridges might become with the Suns.
Bridges, the 12th overall pick in the 2018 NBA Draft, has spent his entire career adapting to change. The team that drafted him featured Kemba Walker in his final season with the Hornets and Tony Parker in the final year of his career. The following offseason, Charlotte pivoted. Walker departed, the franchise shifted toward a younger core, and Devonte’ Graham and Terry Rozier became the primary offensive options. Bridges responded by starting 64 of his 65 games and averaging 13.0 points in his sophomore season.
The next year brought even more change. LaMelo Ball arrived as the No. 3 overall pick, Gordon Hayward signed in free agency, and P.J. Washington took over as the starting power forward, pushing Bridges into a reserve role. A season later, he was back in the starting lineup and leading the Hornets in scoring, averaging 20.2 points while starting all 80 games he played. Then came his self-induced interruption as Bridges missed the entire 2022–23 season following his domestic violence case.
After returning, he averaged a career high 21.0 points per game, once again adjusting to a roster that had changed around him. That’s my point. There has been very little stability or continuity throughout Bridges’ NBA career. The pieces around him have constantly shifted. Lottery pick after lottery pick arrived in Charlotte. His role changed from complementary starter to leading scorer, from sixth man back to featured option. Through all of it, he continued to produce.
He’s played for multiple head coaches on teams searching for an identity, yet he leaves Charlotte with career averages of 15.9 points, 6.1 rebounds, 2.1 assists, and 1.4 stocks while shooting 46% from the field, 34% from three, and 83% from the free throw line.
So that’s who Miles Bridges was. The question we’re really trying to answer is who he’s going to be. For the first time in his career, he’ll be playing alongside Devin Booker, Jalen Green, and Dillon Brooks in the starting lineup. He’s in a new city, with a new organization, surrounded by teammates who are coming off a playoff appearance, something Bridges never experienced during his seven seasons in Charlotte.
So what does that mean? It starts with understanding who he’s replacing.
The majority of the starts at that position last season belonged to Royce O’Neale, who shot an outstanding 40% from three across his 67 starts. But while O’Neale was efficient, he averaged 9.9 points on 8.2 field goal attempts per game (as a starter). He simply wasn’t asked to shoulder a significant offensive workload. Royce was the fourth option. He spaced the floor, lived in the corners, and served as the release valve whenever Devin Booker and Jalen Green bent the defense.
Miles Bridges won’t be that. He brings his own gravity. And that’s the first reason I believe he’ll positively impact the Suns’ offense.
Royce was one of the team’s most efficient three-point shooters, but he wasn’t one of its highest volume shooters. Among the 10 Suns players who started at least 10 games last season, O’Neale ranked seventh in field goal attempts per game. When you add in the fact that 82% of his attempts as a starter came from beyond the arc, it paints the picture of a very one-dimensional shot profile. It was an efficient role. It just wasn’t one that consistently stressed opposing defenses.
The second factor is Dillon Brooks. Brooks averaged 17.1 field goal attempts per game last season, and while that number was understandable given the circumstances, it was probably a little too high. That’s not a knock on Brooks. He spent a significant portion of the season playing without Devin Booker or Jalen Green in the lineup, forcing him to shoulder a larger offensive burden. With Miles Bridges now in the starting lineup, that shot profile should normalize. Prior to arriving in Phoenix, Brooks averaged 12.5 field goal attempts per game over seven seasons with the Grizzlies and Rockets. That’s much closer to the role he should occupy moving forward.
And that’s my first reason for believing Bridges will elevate the Suns’ offense. The shots he’ll absorb will come from two places: the 8.2 attempts Royce O’Neale leaves behind and the handful of attempts Brooks no longer has to force. Those are simply more dynamic offensive possessions than the Suns had available last season.
If you combine the production of Brooks and O’Neale from last season, they posted an effective field goal percentage of 53.6%. Bridges owns a career effective field goal percentage of 53.0%. That’s essentially a wash. If we project Bridges to average roughly 14.2 field goal attempts per game, using his career shooting profile of 12.9 attempts and 5.2 three-point attempts per game, his career efficiency projects to approximately 15.1 points per game. That’s about five more points than Royce O’Neale provided as a starter last season.
Is this a simplified exercise? Absolutely. There are plenty of variables a calculator can’t account for. My goal isn’t to create a perfect projection. It’s to quantify the type of offensive impact Bridges could have within this roster. At the end of the day, if the question is whether Miles Bridges is a better overall offensive player than Royce O’Neale despite being a less accurate three-point shooter, I think the answer is clearly yes. He provides far more optionality.
That leads to the second reason I believe he’ll improve the Suns’ offense. Miles Bridges puts pressure on the rim.
Analytics will tell you that three is worth more than two over the course of a season, and they’re right. But basketball is still rooted in common sense. The closer you are to the basket, the easier it is to score. Bridges has built his career on understanding that. Since entering the NBA, nearly half of his shot attempts, 48.7%, have come at the rim, where he’s converted 59.4% of them. Compare that to Royce O’Neale, who took only 13% of his shots at the rim last season. That’s a massive difference in offensive profile.
That leads to the second reason I believe he’ll improve the Suns’ offense. Miles Bridges puts pressure on the rim. Analytics will tell you that three is worth more than two over the course of a season, and they’re right. But basketball is still rooted in common sense. The closer you are to the basket, the easier it is to score. Bridges has built his career on understanding that. Since entering the NBA, nearly half of his shot attempts, 48.7%, have come at the rim, where he’s converted 59.4% of them. Compare that to Royce O’Neale, who took only 13% of his shots at the rim last season. That’s a massive difference in offensive profile.
Bridges can create his own shot. He can put the ball on the floor, attack the paint, and finish through contact. Last season, the only Suns player who consistently created that kind of downhill pressure was Jalen Green, and he only appeared in 32 games.
Bridges isn’t a player who simply parks himself in the corner waiting for a kick out. He’s someone who forces defenses to react. Opponents still have to respect him as a three-point shooter, even as a career 34% shooter, but they also have to account for his ability to attack the basket, cut into the dunker spot, and beat defenders off the dribble. That changes how the entire defense rotates. When Royce O’Neale was spaced in the corner, one defender stayed attached to him, and the rest of the defense could remain focused elsewhere. If O’Neale had the ball, Booker’s defender could stay glued to Booker because help defense usually wasn’t necessary.
That’s not the case with Miles Bridges. When Bridges catches the ball on the perimeter, secondary defenders have decisions to make. Do they stay home on Booker? Or do they slide over to help against Bridges’ drive? Those split-second decisions matter. And when both Bridges and Jalen Green are capable of collapsing the defense off the dribble, it becomes much harder for opponents to load up on Devin Booker. The help has to come from somewhere, and every rotation creates another opening for one of the league’s best scorers.
I understand this isn’t a perfect fit. The biggest concern is the three-point shooting. I like the optionality of adding someone who can space the floor while also putting pressure on the defense by attacking the rim, but it would certainly be easier if Bridges were a better three-point shooter. That’s one of the biggest perceived challenges facing the Suns this season. Four players on the roster attempted more than five three-pointers per game last year and shot below 35% from deep. There’s a legitimate reason for concern.
That said, I think there’s another side to the conversation. If this team truly commits to attacking the basket, if it climbs from 30th in the NBA in shot attempts within five feet of the rim, those paint touches should naturally create cleaner looks from beyond the arc. Whether the Suns convert those opportunities will ultimately determine how successful they are, but improved shot quality matters. And with lineup combinations featuring Collin Gillespie and Luke Kennard, the hope is that Phoenix can still be a respectable three-point shooting team.
Last season, the Suns finished fifth in the NBA in three-point attempts but only 12th in three-point percentage. I’d like to see more offensive balance. How many times did it feel like the offense settled for a contested three late in games when attacking the rim and forcing contact probably would have been the better decision? That’s where Bridges changes the equation. He may not be an elite three-point shooter, but he gives Phoenix another player capable of creating offense inside the arc instead of simply waiting beyond it.
The other area worth mentioning is rebounding. Bridges isn’t an elite rebounder, so this isn’t a major upgrade in that department. Last season, he posted a 10.6% total rebound percentage and a 3.6% offensive rebound percentage. Royce O’Neale finished at 9.3% and 2.9%, respectively. There is improvement there, but not enough to fundamentally change who the Suns are on the glass. That’s important because Phoenix’s starting lineup ranked 20th in total rebounds and 21st in rebound percentage last season. The one bright spot was offensive rebounding, where the starters ranked seventh in the NBA. So while Bridges should help in a variety of ways offensively, rebounding remains an area where the Suns still have room to grow.
As I see it, the addition of Miles Bridges brings far more complexity and optionality than the Suns had with Royce O’Neale in the starting lineup. Royce was a one-trick pony. He was damn good at that one trick, but he didn’t shoot with enough volume (nor was he asked to) to make a significant impact from the power forward position. His inability to put the ball on the floor and create offense ultimately limited parts of the Suns’ attack because opposing defenses didn’t have to account for him beyond the initial closeout. That’s where Bridges changes the equation.
Ultimately, Phoenix has to become a more efficient offensive team. That’s the needle they have to move. Ironically, it’s the same conversation I found myself having last season. How do the Suns become more efficient from their primary scorers? This time, however, the answer isn’t centered on the stars. It’s centered on the complementary pieces around them. The Suns are replacing a secondary offensive player with someone who may be slightly less efficient on a per-shot basis but projects to generate more points, create more scoring opportunities, and command far more defensive attention.
That’s why I believe Miles Bridges elevates Phoenix’s offense. He adds versatility. He adds pressure. Not necessarily at the point of attack, but in the split-second decisions secondary and tertiary defenders have to make. Do they help? Do they stay home? Do they rotate? Do they gamble? In the NBA, that’s all it takes. One hesitation. One late rotation. One defender making the wrong read for half a second. That’s enough for great offenses to capitalize, and I believe Bridges gives the Suns more opportunities to create those moments than they had a season ago.
There’s one thing you can’t quantify with effective field goal percentage, three-point attempt rate, or any advanced metric. It’s the way Miles Bridges plays. His grit. His tenacity. His motor. Brian Gregory spoke about those qualities during Bridges’ introductory press conference, and I think they align perfectly with what the Suns are trying to become.
This is a team that wants to hustle. A team that wants to apply pressure and dictate the pace rather than allowing opponents to do it to them. They want to be the fly in the ointment, the team you circle on the schedule because you know you’re going to be in for a physical, exhausting night.
That’s who Miles Bridges has been throughout his career. You may think he’s a little undersized. You may not love his three-point percentage. Those are fair criticisms. What you’ll grow to appreciate is the way he competes. He cares about how he plays the game. He plays hard every possession. He attacks with purpose, and his effort rarely fluctuates. Those are qualities that don’t show up in a box score, but they influence winning just the same. More importantly, they’re exactly the type of habits Phoenix is trying to instill throughout the organization.
Veteran players establish culture. Young players absorb it. If the Suns are serious about building an identity rooted in effort, physicality, and relentless energy, Bridges is the kind of player who reinforces those standards every time he steps on the floor. That’s why I believe he’ll elevate the Suns offensively. Not simply because of the shots he’ll make, but because of the pressure, movement, and controlled chaos he’ll create every possession he’s on the floor.
The fit won’t be flawless, and the shooting concerns are real. But Phoenix didn’t acquire Bridges to replicate what Royce O’Neale provided. They acquired him to expand what the offense can become. More rim pressure. More creation. More difficult decisions for opposing defenses. Bridges doesn’t solve every problem, but he changes the questions defenses have to answer. For a Suns offense searching for greater balance and efficiency, that represents meaningful progress.
Jun 26, 2025; Denver, Colorado, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers and Colorado Rockies fans during the seventh inning at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images | Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images
For most of my life, baseball was simply a game: a glove, a bat, a ball, and a field. I lived for Game 7 home runs and revered Cooperstown. Mark McGwire and Sammy Sosa were larger than life, the Yankees were the Evil Empire and the Rockies were still new.
I never thought of baseball as a business until I became a business owner myself. Employing people and making decisions about wages, risk, and resources taught me how incentives shape behavior — and how systems create unintended consequences.
I see baseball differently now.
While each pitch still exists on its own, it is also connected to salaries, service time, bonus pools, revenue sharing, and the rules governing how 30 organizations compete for talent.
The MLBPA went on strike that August, the World Series was canceled, and the dispute lasted 232 days. Owners withdrew the cap proposal in February 1995, and the strike ended shortly after.
The Players Association has promised to reject the current proposal.
The disagreement is easy to frame as another baseball civil war: Owners want control, players want money. The reality is that both sides want both. Owners want greater control over labor costs and how organizations compete. Players want control over their careers and a fairer share of the value they create.
The useful question is not which side contains the better people. It is what kind of baseball each side’s self-interest would produce.
Why a cap won’t fix the cost of being wrong
MLB connects a salary cap to hope, fairness, and competitive balance. But the reality is that money affects both the opportunities available to a club and the cost of being wrong, and a cap-and-floor system cannot fully resolve that tension on its own.
As of this writing, the Los Angeles Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers own the two best records in baseball despite operating with radically different payrolls.
Records and 2026 total payroll allocations through July 22, 2026, via Spotrac:
Team
2026 Record
2026 Payroll Rank
2026 Total Payroll Allocations
Dodgers
65-38
2nd
$302.1 million
Brewers
64-38
19th
$137.5 million
Rockies
41-63
21st
$118.2 million
The Dodgers’ spending helps explain why MLB is pushing so aggressively for a cap. Milwaukee’s success does not make an equally strong case for a floor, however. It shows that payroll is only one part of competitive capacity.
On the surface, a cap and floor could increase parity by narrowing the spending range. But until the enforcement mechanisms are public, we cannot know whether those limits would function as hard boundaries or simply as costs teams could price into their decisions.
Clubs would still take calculated risks on both ends. The Dodgers may decide that exceeding a limit — and accepting the resulting penalty — is worth the competitive advantage. Milwaukee or Colorado may remain near the floor because spending substantially beyond it would expose them to risks they have less financial flexibility to absorb.
That difference would remain when contracts go wrong. Los Angeles can carry a failed deal, absorb salary in a trade, or buy another solution. A similar mistake could restrict a lower-revenue club.
Money does not guarantee good decisions. It creates optionality: the ability to recover when a decision fails.
A cap and floor could reduce the largest payroll disparities, but they would not make every organization equally capable of surviving mistakes. The system would still favor financially powerful clubs and organizations that allocate their resources intelligently.
MLB also argues that its proposal would raise compensation for younger and ordinary players who may never reach lucrative free agency. That deserves serious consideration. But improving minimum salaries, pre-arbitration compensation, and early-career security does not inherently require suppressing elite salaries or broadly restricting contract length and market freedom.
A cap and floor may change the outer boundaries. The more important questions concern how money is distributed, where it is reinvested, and how effectively clubs develop talent.
Competitive balance is not primarily a payroll-number problem. It is a resource-allocation, reinvestment, and talent-development problem.
A credible path is not a promised arrival
A fair system should give every club a credible path to contention. It should not guarantee success.
Every organization should have enough resources to build a legitimate roster, invest in development, retain key players, and participate in the market. But shared money should come with meaningful expectations that it will improve the baseball operation. Revenue sharing without accountability can strengthen a business without making the team more competitive.
The MLBPA has publicly proposed increasing support for lower-revenue clubs while requiring that shared money be used to compete. Its proposal includes benefits for clubs that win, penalties for teams that fail to spend revenue-sharing payments on payroll, and other rewards for clubs active in acquiring players.
The enforcement mechanisms have not been made public, and that matters. A requirement is only as meaningful as the spending it recognizes, the accounting it permits, and the consequences for ignoring it.
For a recipient such as the Rockies, the question is not only how much support arrives, but also what the final agreement requires the organization to do with it.
Losing is allowed. Collecting assistance without making a genuine effort to compete should carry consequences.
The standard should be proof of effort, not proof of success: reinvestment in scouting, development, talent retention, organizational depth, and the major-league roster.
The CBA can require investment and accountability. It cannot require competence.
Lower-revenue clubs will still depend on careful commitments and a steady supply of affordable homegrown players.
But that development system is also up for grabs.
The amateur doorway
MLB has proposed reducing the amateur draft from 20 rounds to 12 and eliminating eligibility for high school seniors and junior-college players. The union wants to retain 20 rounds, preserve those entry points, and expand eligibility to college sophomores.
No longer eligible; players must be at least 20 by September 1st AND two years removed from High School
Preserve current high school eligibility
Junior-college players
Younger junior-college players would generally become ineligible under the new age requirements
Preserve current junior-college eligibility
Four-year college players
Most players would become eligible after their sophomore year
Make all college sophomores eligible, regardless of age
Signing bonuses
Establish a $200 million hard-slotted pool with bonuses fixed by draft position
Increase bonus pools with league revenue and preserve bonus negotiations
Bonus-pool flexibility
Eliminate team’s ability to shift money among picks
Retain the current system allowing teams to distribute their pool among picks
Over-pool penalties
Hard slots would effectively eliminate over-pool spending
Reduce penalties for exceeding a team’s bonus pool
Competitive Balance picks
Eliminate Competitive Balance selections
Retain them for lower-revenue and smaller-market clubs
Lower-revenue incentives
No comparable bonus-pool incentive publicly included
Allow qualifying lower-revenue clubs to add up to $2 million to one draft pool, plus $1 million after a postseason appearance
Major-league contracts
No comparable provision publicly available
Allow certain lower-revenue clubs to give MLB contracts to as many as two players selected before the third round
Trading draft picks
Permit broader trading, with limits on consecutive first-round trades and the number of early picks acquired
Expand pick trading more modestly while retaining greater restrictions
Draft timing
Not the central distinction in the public domestic proposal
Move the Draft back to June
MLB’s reasoning is understandable. Older college players are easier to evaluate, require less development, and may reach the majors sooner, while colleges absorb more of the early cost and uncertainty.
That may be more efficient for clubs, but it also changes where access to professional baseball begins.
The draft has long provided several entry points: high school, junior college, and four-year college programs. Removing two would make college baseball a much larger gatekeeper.
Name, image and likeness compensation complicates the issue, but the high school players capable of commanding major NIL opportunities are probably the same players likely to receive significant draft bonuses. They will be found under either system.
The greater concern is the uncertain 18-year-old: the late bloomer, multi-sport athlete, raw pitcher or undersized shortstop. Under MLB’s proposal, that player would have to remain visible and continue developing elsewhere before a professional organization could select him.
That means more private instruction, showcases, travel, and early specialization. Moving development outside professional baseball does not eliminate its cost. It transfers that cost to families with far less ability to absorb it.
A draft system should find talent. It should not require families to purchase visibility.
A deeper draft and minor-league system also have value beyond the number of players who eventually reach the majors. A late-round pitcher with premium velocity gives hitters experience against an advanced skill. A strong defender or capable catcher can improve the development environment for everyone around him, even if his own major-league future never arrives.
A player can fail as a prospect and still contribute to player development.
Reducing the draft would remove many players who never produce major-league value. It could also narrow the talent pool and thin the competitive environment that helps more promising players develop.
Baseball cannot tell lower-revenue clubs to build through player development while narrowing the doorway through which developmental talent enters the organization.
What it means for Colorado
Milwaukee offers a useful model. The Brewers remain competitive without the margin of the league’s wealthiest clubs because they know which traits they trust, develop around a recognizable philosophy, and take calculated risks before the market reaches the same conclusions.
They recently guaranteed more than $80 million to 21-year-old prospects Cooper Pratt and Luis Lara before either appeared in the majors. The contracts carry risk, but they reflect organizational conviction: Milwaukee identified players it believed in, guaranteed meaningful money, and secured years of cost certainty if those evaluations prove correct.
That is the kind of intelligence a fair system should reward.
The lesson for Colorado is not to copy Milwaukee’s roster. It is to build an organization that knows what it believes.
The Rockies have remained financially viable without becoming consistently functional. The franchise can generate revenue, appreciate in value, and remain stable despite decades of dysfunction.
Colorado does not need to manufacture a market. It already has the ballpark, geographic reach, and fan base. The arrival of Penner Sports Group adds something the franchise has rarely possessed: a deep-pocketed partner with experience building a modern sports organization.
That does not guarantee better baseball. The Monfort family still controls the club, and money cannot substitute for scouting, development, or judgment. But the Rockies are no longer operating with the same ownership structure, capital constraints, or organizational isolation that defined most of their history.
Historically, poor baseball performance in Colorado has rarely become financially painful enough to force meaningful change. A new CBA could alter that calculation by attaching conditions to shared revenue and creating incentives for clubs to turn assistance into competitive growth.
Exactly how those conditions and incentives would work remains unsettled.
But shared revenue should function as a bridge:
Receive support>Reinvest it competitively>Grow local revenue>Become less dependent on support.
A competitive Rockies team could increase attendance, sponsorship value, media interest, and regional attachment. But short-term improvement is not organizational health. Colorado must first build the infrastructure to sustain it: scouting, development, organizational depth, disciplined extensions, and flexibility when choices fail.
The timing may work in Colorado’s favor. The major-league roster is young, payroll commitments are relatively limited, and the next competitive window is likely to open under a new economic structure.
A new agreement could give the Rockies better resources, stronger incentives, and a more credible path to contention. It cannot scout for Colorado, solve pitching at elevation, or decide which players are worth building around. Those responsibilities still belong to the organization.
That is the balance baseball should pursue: give every franchise the means and reason to compete, then leave enough room for judgment, development and imagination to separate them.
Friday’s game between the Albuquerque Isotopes and Round Rock Express was postponed because of inclement weather and unplayable field conditions. The game will be made up Saturday as part of a doubleheader beginning at 4:30 p.m. MDT.
Jean Carlos Sio’s three-run homer in the second inning ultimately provided all the offense Richmond needed. Hartford did not generate much at the plate, but the few openings it created were wasted. Cole Messina led off the third with the Yard Goats’ first hit, Dyan Jorge, Roc Riggio and Aidan Longwell collected three straight singles in the fourth, and Mike Antico opened the fifth with another single. None of it produced a run.
Hartford finished with five singles, went 0-for-6 with runners in scoring position and stranded eight. Konner Eaton allowed three runs, two earned, across three-plus innings. Richmond added three runs against Davison Palermo in the fifth and one against Sam Weatherly in the eighth as the Yard Goats fell to 49-44.
Everett Catlett gave Spokane six strong innings, allowing two runs on three hits with six strikeouts and four walks. The Indians trailed only 2-1 before the game unraveled in the seventh. Kevin Bruggeman’s first home run of the season started a seven-run Tri-City inning against Justin Loer, and the Dust Devils kept piling on with an RBI triple, three walks, two singles and help from a Spokane error.
Spokane answered in the eighth. Tommy Hopfe doubled and scored on an Ethan Hedges single before Tanner Thach hit his third High-A home run of the season (14th overall), a three-run shot that cut the deficit to 9-5. The first five Indians reached in the inning, but the rally stopped there. Hopfe finished 2-for-5 with his 12th homer and 17th double, while Roynier Hernandez reached four times. Spokane fell to 45-49.
Brady Parker allowed three runs on two hits and three walks over 5.1 innings. Dylan Crooks stranded an inherited runner and worked two scoreless innings for the win, lowering his ERA to 2.06, before Seth Clausen retired all five batters he faced with three strikeouts for his 10th save and a 1.38 ERA. Fresno improved to 52-42.
Now healthy enough to resume playing, Brenton Doyle has begun a rehab assignment with Triple-A Albuquerque and is hoping to return to Denver as quickly as possible. With the Rockies’ outfield suddenly crowded, the two-time Gold Glove winner says he is prepared to help in whatever role is available.
MLB Pipeline examined the prospects making the biggest moves on each organization’s updated Top 30 list. For the Rockies, Cristian Arguelles has surged to No. 6 after carrying his dominance from the Dominican Summer League into the Arizona Complex League, while Jackson Cox has climbed into the top 10 after returning from Tommy John surgery to lead all minor leaguers in strikeouts.
In this article from 247Sports.com, Ben Davis looks back on the emotion of being selected by the Rockies in the fourth round and ahead to the start of his professional career. The hard-throwing right-hander also reflects on his decision to return to Mississippi State for his final college season and thanks the coaches and fans who helped prepare him for pro ball — and who will continue cheering him on as he takes his first steps into it.
Saturday's MLB slate features 15 games, with several short favorites and plus-money underdogs creating value across the moneyline market. Detroit and Milwaukee are among the stronger favorites on the board, while Miami, Pittsburgh, Oakland, and the White Sox offer potential upset opportunities.
Here are my MLB moneyline predictions for every game on July 25. Find more daily betting analysis with our latest MLB picks.
MLB moneyline picks for July 25
Matchup
Pick
Royals vs Tigers
-163
Diamondbacks vs Nationals
-117
Angels vs Giants
-117
Blue Jays vs Red Sox
-117
Padres vs Marlins
+116
Yankees vs Phillies
+100
Guardians vs Rays
-118
Cubs vs Pirates
+116
Braves vs Orioles
-108
Athletics vs Twins
+132
Astros vs White Sox
+113
Rockies vs Brewers
-203
Dodgers vs Mets
-136
Reds vs Cardinals
-117
Mariners vs Rangers
-102
Prices courtesy of Polymarket as of 7-25.
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Expert MLB moneyline picks for July 25
Royals vs Tigers: Tigers (-163)
Tigers win probability: 62%
Detroit owns the edge almost everywhere that matters. Casey Mize has quietly put together a strong season with a 2.79 ERA, while the Tigers boast the better pitching staff and allow more than a run fewer per game than Kansas City. The Royals have struggled to prevent traffic on the bases all year, and against a quality team like Detroit, that usually catches up. I'll back the Tigers at home.
Diamondbacks vs Nationals: Nationals (-117)
Nationals win probability: 54%
Washington continues to be one of baseball's most productive offenses, leading the league in runs while ranking near the top in virtually every major hitting category. Foster Griffin has also been outstanding this season, and although Arizona owns the better overall pitching staff, the Nationals' offensive firepower gives them the edge. I'll trust the stronger lineup to outscore the Diamondbacks at home.
Angels vs Giants: Giants (-117)
Giants win probability: 54%
Robbie Ray gives San Francisco the clear pitching advantage against Ryan Johnson, and that's enough for me in a matchup between two inconsistent offenses. The Giants have produced more consistently at the plate, rank inside the Top 10 in slugging, and should create opportunities against an Angels rotation that has struggled all season. With the better starter and home-field advantage, San Francisco is the pick.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox: Red Sox (-117)
Red Sox win probability: 54%
This projects as one of the tighter games on the board, but Boston gets the nod behind Sonny Gray and one of the American League's better pitching staffs. Toronto ranks last in baseball in runs scored and OPS, making it difficult to back regardless of who's on the mound. With Gray enjoying a tremendous season and the Red Sox playing at Fenway Park, Boston is the side.
Padres vs Marlins: Marlins (+116)
Marlins win probability: 56%
Miami is worth backing at home behind Eury Perez, who has been the steadier starter in this matchup. The Marlins have quietly been the superior offensive club, ranking inside the Top 10 in batting average and on-base percentage, while San Diego sits near the bottom of the league in several offensive categories. Miami's more balanced profile gives it the edge in a competitive matchup.
Yankees vs Phillies: Yankees (+100)
Yankees win probability: 50%
The Yankees bring the league's top pitching staff into Philadelphia, and that's enough to lean toward New York in what the market views as a coin flip. The Yankees also own the more dangerous lineup, ranking among baseball's best in home runs, slugging, and OPS. With New York holding meaningful advantages on both sides of the ball, I'll take the Yankees at even money.
Guardians vs Rays: Rays (-108)
Rays win probability: 51%
Tampa Bay has quietly been one of the more complete clubs in baseball, ranking near the top in batting average, on-base percentage, and WHIP. Nick Martinez has also been excellent this season, while Cleveland continues to struggle offensively and sits near the bottom of the league in most hitting categories. The Rays check more boxes entering this matchup and deserve the slight edge at home.
Cubs vs Pirates: Pirates (-117)
Pirates win probability: 54%
Pittsburgh owns one of baseball's most dangerous offenses, leading the league in batting average while ranking second in runs scored. Paul Skenes also gives the Pirates an important starting-pitching advantage over Shota Imanaga. Chicago is certainly capable of generating offense, but Pittsburgh owns the stronger lineup and the better starter, making the Pirates the preferred side at home.
Braves vs Orioles: Braves (+104)
Braves win probability: 49%
Atlanta holds the edge in overall roster quality and offers value as a slight underdog. The Braves rank inside the Top 10 offensively while pairing that production with one of baseball's better pitching staffs. Baltimore has been more inconsistent on both sides of the ball, while Bryce Elder has been the steadier starter compared to Brandon Young. At plus money, Atlanta is the better investment.
Athletics vs Twins: Athletics (+133)
Athletics win probability: 43%
The A's are one of the more appealing underdog options on the board. Minnesota has not separated itself statistically, and while both pitching staffs have struggled, the Athletics match up well offensively, ranking inside the Top 10 in batting average and on-base percentage. The A's don't need to be the better team over a full season to justify the play. It only needs to outperform a 43% implied probability.
Astros vs White Sox: White Sox (+113)
White Sox win probability: 54%
Chicago gets the nod at home in what appears to be a relatively even matchup. Sean Burke has been more reliable than Hunter Brown this season, and the White Sox own the stronger overall pitching profile. Houston brings more home-run power, but the offensive gap between these teams isn't substantial enough to overcome Chicago's advantage on the mound. I'll back the White Sox as a home underdog.
Rockies vs Brewers: Brewers (-203)
Brewers win probability: 67%
Milwaukee is the strongest favorite on the slate for good reason. Colorado owns one of baseball's worst pitching staffs, ranking last in ERA, WHIP, and hits allowed, while the Brewers counter with one of the league's best run-prevention units. Milwaukee's offense should receive plenty of scoring opportunities against Ryan Feltner and an unreliable Rockies bullpen, making the Brewers the clear moneyline choice.
Dodgers vs Mets: Dodgers (-138)
Dodgers win probability: 58%
Los Angeles continues to separate itself as baseball's most complete team. The Dodgers rank first in OPS and on-base percentage while also leading the majors in runs allowed and hits allowed per game. Yoshinobu Yamamoto gives them another advantage on the mound against a Mets lineup that has struggled for much of the season. At this price, Los Angeles remains a playable favorite.
Reds vs Cardinals: Cardinals (-117)
Cardinals win probability: 54%
St. Louis has been the steadier club this season, and Andre Pallante has provided more dependable innings than Hunter Greene. Cincinnati continues to struggle preventing baserunners, ranking near the bottom of the league in ERA and WHIP. While the Reds possess greater home-run upside, the Cardinals' more balanced offensive approach and stronger pitching profile give them the higher floor at home.
Mariners vs Rangers: Mariners (+100)
Mariners win probability: 50%
Seattle's pitching gives the Mariners the edge in this near pick'em matchup. They enter with one of baseball's best ERAs and WHIPs while facing a Texas club that has been merely average offensively. Bryan Woo and Nathan Eovaldi have produced similar numbers, but Seattle's deeper run-prevention profile provides more confidence over nine innings. At even money, I'll back the Mariners.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
This group of starting pitchers are earning a middle name of “But One Pitch”. Shota Imanaga avoided getting that tag in his last outing, but Colin Rea didn’t Wednesday. Rea’s pitching line would have been six baserunners over five innings with five strikeouts. He did earlier give up a solo home run, and would have been that’s fine. It’s always the multiple-run homer that’s the problem, and Rea’s fatal pitch that led to a three-run homer ultimately put the game out of reach. One has to wonder if the former swingman is starting to get figured out. The counter to that would be it was just one pitch (or two pitches). After that home run, he struck out the next batter to end the inning, then went 1-2-3 with a strikeout in the fifth. I dunno.
Nevertheless, even if Rea held the Tigers to just one run, that’s all the Cubs’ hitters were able to manage anyway. Seiya Suzuki put them on the board with a solo home run in the first, and that was it. Only Ian Happ showed any life, going 2-3 with a double and a walk, plus he added an excellent play in left on a sinking liner and added a snap throw to strand a runner. Other than a Michael Busch single, that was it for the Cubs — for hits or walks. They did manage 12 strikeouts (good job, boys). Obviously, the offense needs more consistency game-to-game.
The bullpen needs a shoutout. Wednesday saw a parade of single innings by Ryan Rolison, Gavin Hollowell, Caleb Thielbar and Tyler Ferguson. The group allowed a run on three hits, no walks and struck out seven over the four innings pitched. An RBI double allowed by Ferguson took the shine off an excellent bullpen outing. At least it wasn’t a three-run homer.
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Zack Peterson (Yardbarker): MLB Trade Rumors: Milwaukee Brewers could put pressure on Chicago Cubs. “The latest rumors ahead of the early August trade deadline surround the Brewers and the chance for them to add an elite pitcher. Possibly two. That would put the pressure on the Cubs even more.”
Matthew Trueblood (North Side Baseball): David Peterson Has Melted Right into Cubdom, Thanks to Changes That Started with Mets. “The Cubs acquired David Peterson cheaply. They surely hope to land someone who slots in higher than he does, before the MLB trade deadline. But the best version of the team still includes Peterson as a starter, and the best version of Peterson is ready for that role.”
Food For Thought:
Jackie Scott is a native of Virginia and received her early training singing in the baptist church. Music played an important part in the worship experience and after singing gospel for 20 years, she felt a call to the blues. Her first introduction to live blues took place at a Buddy Guy concert followed by seeing BB King live. After seeing such phenomenal performances she was convinced singing the blues was what she wanted to do. Her quest to learn more about the blues lead her to the steamy windows of the windy city, Chicago.
After visiting Chicago to attend a wedding, she heard Chicago blues live in its element and was determined to capture the sound that swept her off her feet. That decision lead to many future trips to Chicago, honing her craft as a vocalist and entertainer. Koko Taylor, Ruth Brown, Alberta Hunter and Big Mama Thornton are some of the many influences that have allowed Jackie to carve out a unique style of her won.
Please be reminded that Cub Tracks and Bleed Cubbie Blue do not necessarily endorse the content of articles, podcasts, or videos that are linked to in this series.
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - DECEMBER 28: Lebron James #23 of the Los Angeles Lakers reacts against the Sacramento Kings during the first quarter at Crypto.com Arena on December 28, 2025 in Los Angeles, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Luke Hales/Getty Images) | Getty Images
LeBron James wasn’t lying when he said he didn’t care about money when assessing his options in NBA free agency. Any team in the league could have landed James for essentially the veteran’s minimum if they could make the case that they gave him the best chance to win a fifth championship.
In the end, the Philadelphia 76ers won the LeBron sweepstakes. James is joining a lineup that already includes Jaylen Brown, Tyrese Maxey, V.J. Edgecombe, and Joel Embiid. The bench is pretty strong too with Dean Wade, Anfernee Simons, Labaron Philon, Dominick Barlow, Adem Bona, Justin Edwards, and Ariel Hukporti. I predicted the Sixers were the favorites to sign James last weekend, but it’s still hard to believe it actually happened.
The Miami Heat and Cleveland Cavaliers have to be heartbroken over James’ decision. The Golden State Warriors and Minnesota Timberwolves must be kicking themselves that they couldn’t make a couple more moves to woo LeBron. Do the Boston Celtics suddenly regret the shocking Jaylen Brown to Philly trade that set LeBron’s decision into motion?
I released by way-too-early NBA power rankings two weeks ago, and now they’re already irrelevant after LeBron’s decision. With the Oklahoma City Thunder also trading Lu Dort to the Atlanta Hawks in a three-team deal, it feels appropriate to refresh the rankings. Here’s our latest power rankings for the 2026-2027 NBA season. One note: this is based on championship chances, not regular season performance. We’ll have more notes on the changes after the table.
Rank
Team
Change
1
Oklahoma City Thunder
—
2
San Antonio Spurs
—
3
New York Knicks
—
4
Minnesota Timberwolves
—
5
Philadelphia 76ers
Up 7
6
Boston Celtics
Down 1
7
Los Angeles Lakers
Down 1
8
Denver Nuggets
Down 1
9
Detroit Pistons
Down 1
10
Toronto Raptors
Down 1
11
Houston Rockets
Up 2
12
Cleveland Cavaliers
Down 2
13
Indiana Pacers
Down 2
14
Atlanta Hawks
Up 3
15
Miami Heat
Down 1
16
Orlando Magic
Down 1
17
Portland Trail Blazers
Down 1
18
Utah Jazz
—
19
Phoenix Suns
—
20
Dallas Mavericks
—
21
Charlotte Hornets
—
22
Memphis Grizzlies
—
23
Golden State Warriors
—
24
New Orleans Pelicans
—
25
Brooklyn Nets
—
26
Los Angeles Clippers
—
27
Washington Wizards
—
28
Chicago Bulls
—
29
Milwaukee Bucks
—
30
Sacramento Kings
—
Let’s dive into some changes from the last edition of power rankings.
The Thunder have a weak grip on No. 1 after the Lu Dort trade
The Thunder traded Lu Dort to save on their tax bill, and even Sam Presti admitted as much. I thought Dort was borderline unplayable late in the playoffs last year with a shaky handle, poor passing vision, and an inconsistent three-point stroke, but his defense was still impactful to opponents who feared his physicality. Losing Dort means more minutes for Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, and Jared McCain, which should be a very good thing for OKC. It also means some of the young guns need to step up behind them, and the pressure is now on Nikola Topic and Bennett Stirtz, as well as Aday Mara and Thomas Sorber, to turn into decent rotation pieces.
I thought about moving OKC off the No. 1 spot with this update. The Spurs whooped them all season, right? The Knicks deserve the benefit of the doubt after a championship run, don’t they? The thing that keeps bringing me back to OKC is that we didn’t really get to see this team fully healthy all year, not with Jalen Williams and Mitchell both suffering untimely injuries. I hate the way Chet Holmgren looks in the Spurs matchup against Victor Wembanyama, but to me he’s still a top-15 player against anyone else. At the end of the day, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is still the best guard in the game, and I’ll take my chances with him fully in his prime.
There is part of me that thinks losing Dort could be addition by subtraction for the Thunder. Their season will be determined by Williams’ health, Holmgren’s mindset, and Mitchell’s ability to level up again. I still think this is the strongest roster in the NBA, so they’re No. 1 entering the season to me.
The Sixers’ postseason ceiling is real, but can they get there?
I don’t love the fit with LeBron on the Sixers. Sorry. There are a lot of guys here at their best with the ball in their hands, with Philly’s five projected starters totaling 140% in usage rate. The defense is even more worrisome. Scaling down can be as hard as scaling up, and I just don’t think Jaylen Brown or Joel Embiid as it in their game to do it. Those two will need to prove me wrong for Philly to walk away from this season with a championship.
Can Brown adjust to a more off-ball role where he maximizes his three-point rate and locks in off-the-ball defensively? He only hit 33.1% on 2.5 catch-and-shoot attempts from three per game last year, and he’s always been inattentive defensively when he’s not guarding the ball. Can Embiid forgo his need for post touches and instead use most of his energy to get back to being a monster rim protector? I’m skeptical he’s interested in doing that. The Celtics shopped Brown to the entire NBA and no one wanted him enough to beat Philly’s offer. LeBron is seeing something that the nerds in rival front offices aren’t seeing, and that makes this move feel like a big bet on “Jaylen Brown, the superstar” as much as anything else.
The media is going to expect this team to be really good, but there’s quite a bit of downside here. James is going to need to have a big time shooting season after hitting just 31.7% from deep last year. He’s going to need to push himself as a leader to get Brown and Embiid to buy into their best roles. I still trust LeBron’s ability to problem-solve in the biggest moments, and this team will need it. I like Philly a lot better as a playoff team than a regular season team, but only if they’re healthy. That’s a big if with this collection.
Miami and Cleveland are the big losers of LeBron’s decision
Don’t look now, but the Heat and Cavs might be fighting to just get out of the play-in tournament after LeBron decided against a reunion with both franchises.
The Heat landed Giannis Antetokounmpo, but their depth is poor and they don’t really have any future assets left to continue building out the team. Miami is always so good at developing players on the margins, and this will be the biggest test yet of their ability to do it again. The Cavs are coming off a decidedly unconvincing run to the Eastern Conference Finals, and they’ve only gotten worse this summer. Dean Wade is gone, and the only addition to the roster is second-round pick Meleek Thomas. I don’t care how great Thomas looked in summer league, this roster is in big trouble, and James choosing to go elsewhere is a huge indictment.
I’m liking the Hawks roster as much or more than the Heat and Cavs’. With New York, Philly, Boston, and Toronto (assuming they land Kawhi) all looking like better regular season teams, the pressure is on the front offices for Miami and Cleveland to pull a rabbit out of their hat at some point to up their ceiling and give their teams a real chance come playoff time.