Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

The Minnesota Timberwolves are teetering. 

A quick hot streak could push them into position for homecourt advantage in the first round. A stumble could doom them toward the Play-In Tournament.

Luckily, the Memphis Grizzlies should be a matchup that helps Minnesota stay on its current hot streak.

My Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies predictions recognize which starter is hottest these days.

Read more in my NBA picks for Saturday, January 31. 

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies prediction

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies best bet: Jaden McDaniels Over 13.5 points (-112)

Jaden McDaniels clearly doesn’t want to be traded, and he’s been playing all season like he shouldn’t be.

McDaniels’ 21 points on a perfect 5-of-5 from three on Thursday grabbed headlines because it came against the Thunder, but the Minnesota Timberwolves forward has been performing at this level for some time.

He has cleared this prop in seven of his last nine games, part of doing so in 26 of 47 games this season. McDaniels’ long-range shooting has jumped this season, hitting 44.0% on the year while taking 3.4 per game. He should take more tonight.

The Memphis Grizzlies have given up the fourth-most attempts from beyond the arc in the last 10 games, with opponents taking 40.7 threes per game. When McDaniels gets those looks these days, he hits them.

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies same-game parlay

McDaniels has hit multiple 3-pointers in three straight games and five of his last six, shooting 58.3% from deep.

That has certainly helped the Timberwolves cover the spread in three consecutive contests. 

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies SGP

  • Jaden McDaniels Over 13.5 points
  • Jaden McDaniels Over 1.5 threes
  • Timberwolves -9

Our "from downtown" SGP: Playing Facilitator

When Julius Randle has to face a post defender entirely capable of stopping his isolation game, his points suffer — but his assists pop.

For example, he finished with 13 points and five assists against Oklahoma City’s post defenders on Thursday.

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies SGP

  • Jaden McDaniels Over 13.5 points
  • Jaden McDaniels Over 1.5 threes
  • Julius Randle Over 4.5 assists
  • Julius Randle Under 21.5 points
  • Timberwolves -9

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies odds

  • Spread: Timberwolves -9 (-110) | Grizzlies +9 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Timberwolves -360 | Grizzlies +280
  • Over/Under: Over 229.5 (-110) | Under 229.5 (-110)

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies betting trend to know

Memphis is 2-6 against the spread in its last eight games. Find more NBA betting trends for Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies.

How to watch Timberwolves vs Grizzlies

LocationFedExForum, Memphis, TN
DateSaturday, January 31, 2026
Tip-off8:00 p.m. ET
TVFDSN North, FDSN Southeast Memphis

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies latest injuries

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San Antonio at Charlotte, Final Score: Spurs can’t pull off the late comeback, fall 111-106

CHARLOTTE, NC - JANUARY 31: Victor Wembanyama #1 of the San Antonio Spurs dribbles the ball during the game against the Charlotte Hornets on January 31, 2026 at Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Kent Smith/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

The San Antonio Spurs came up short to the blossoming Hornets in the matinee game in Charlotte. It was all gas and no brakes early as the Spurs countered the rebounding, pace and LaMelo Ball’s flurry with six 3-pointers, eight fast break points plus the bench added a cushion. They also got some help from Charlotte’s six turnovers, ending the first quarter ahead by four points.

The 3-point shooting came to a crashing halt, missing all seven attempts, while the hosts ran lots of motion. Collin Sexton was their next man to erupt, scoring 10 points in the second quarter, and then Brandon Miller turned into a supernova, pouring in 16, pushing them to a 14-point lead after it was tied with three minutes left in the half. 

The Spurs subsequently came out of intermission with little to offer against Charlotte’s paint pressure. They also couldn’t cut the deficit closer than nine points going into the fourth quarter because their turnovers turned into points for the other side. The poor 3-point defense that followed, in combination with getting beat on second attempts, had them looking in bad shape on the ropes until Stephon Castle’s late scoring inspired the team, and they cut the deficit to two, forcing the Hornets to call timeout with five minutes left.

They followed up getting beat to the inside thrice, missed four critical shots and committed the cardinal sin of fouling Miles Bridges on a 3-point attempt. It was curtains after that.

Observations

  • It takes a bit of an adjustment for players to get comfortable in a matinee game because sometimes the shoot-around or practice is around that time, and these are creatures of routine.  The Spurs were affected, being a step behind on defense for most of the game. 
  • Harrison was with the second unit for the first time in 10 years, since he was a Golden State Warrior, and he got hot late when the team badly needed a spark. Unfortunately, after he helped lead the Spurs charge back in the fourth quarter, he was the one who committed that fateful foul on Bridges late.
  • The Hornets came into the game on a five-game win streak and surged in January with two other quality wins over the Oklahoma City Thunder and Los Angeles Lakers. Charlotte has been the top team in rebounding percentage over that span and it was no different Saturday, being the nastier team in the trenches. Charlotte has a 15-point rebounding edge and scored 14 extra second-chance points. Additionally, it was too hard for them to recover from Charlotte more than doubling their points in the second quarter. Consider that San Antonio outscored them in the other three.
  • Kon Knueppel has been no lower than the second-best rookie this season, and the Spurs made it harder for him to get separation on the dribble. All the attention on him and Ball made it easier for Miller to get loose on curling sets and after setting screens. Furthermore, the Hornets made 23 shots in the lane, and most of those belonged to Moussa Diabaté.
  • Dylan Harper created havoc and was the team’s leading bench scorer, hitting jumpers and attacking the lane. He was arguably the team’s best player in the first half, and it felt like a sneak peek of the future.
  • Victor Wembanyama had a bad game, being unable to establish himself in the lane, and most of his jumpers were off target. It was also his fourth game of the year without a block.

Milos Uzan scores 16, No. 10 Houston beats Cincinnati 76-54

HOUSTON (AP) — Milos Uzan had 16 points and No. 10 Houston won its 38th straight game over an unranked opponent with a 76-54 victory against Cincinnati on Saturday.

Emanuel Sharp, Chris Cenac Jr. and Isiah Harwell each scored 13 for the Cougars (19-2, 7-1 Big 12).

Cenac scored all of his points in the first half on 5-of-7 shooting as the Cougars built a 32-20 lead at the half.

Houston won its 16th straight home game and its 14th straight over the Bearcats (11-11, 3-6).

Houston shot 46% and 9 of 26 on 3-pointers. It forced 19 turnovers and converted them into 26 points.

The Cougars finished with four turnovers and held a 26-8 advantage in points in the paint.

Jalen Celestine had 15 points and Keyshuan Tillery scored 14 for Cincinnati. The Bearcats shot 38% and went 10 of 23 on 3-pointers.

Leading 16-13 with about eight minutes left in the first half, Houston outscored Cincinnati 16-5 over a nearly seven-minute span to take a 32-18 lead on a jumper by Mercy Miller.

Houston’s lead never dipped below double-digits the rest of the way.

Up next

Cincinnati: Hosts West Virginia on Thursday.

Houston: Hosts Central Florida on Wednesday.

___

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Report: Wizards showing interest in Cavs point guard

CLEVELAND, OHIO - JANUARY 28: Lonzo Ball #2 of the Cleveland Cavaliers brings the ball up court during the fourth quarter against the Los Angeles Lakers at Rocket Arena on January 28, 2026 in Cleveland, Ohio. The Cavaliers defeated the Lakers 129-99. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Washington Wizards are reportedly one of several teams that have called about Cleveland Cavaliers point guard Lonzo Ball, per Mike Scotto of HoopsHype. Washington has nearly $30 million in cap space to absorb contracts, in exchange for the price of draft picks.

Ball has been a major disappointment for the Cavs, shooting just 29.9% from the floor and even worse from beyond the arc. While his shooting is not the main reason the Cavs acquired him, Ball’s passing and defense have not been able to offset the otherwise terrible splits. He has been passed on the depth chart by Craig Porter Jr., and at times, Tyrese Proctor as well, meaning he has been left out of the rotation entirely.

Ball is in the first year of a two-year $20 million deal he signed with the Chicago Bulls, but the second year is a team option – one that will overwhelmingly not be picked up by whoever has the 29-year-old come this summer. If the Cavs are able to clear out Ball’s contract now as opposed to this summer, it would free up a roster spot and get them closer to escaping the dreaded second apron, although additional salary would need to be cut in order to do so.

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The Cavs are expected to be one of the more active teams this trade season, with the deadline coming on Thursday. De’Andre Hunter has already been mentioned several times in trade discussions, most notably with the Los Angeles Lakers and Sacramento Kings. Ball and Hunter combined account for $34.9 million on the salary sheet, and the Cavs are most certainly not getting that value back — or even close to it. If they can offload those salaries and get salary relief and/or better-fitting players, it could help plug some of the holes on the roster.

McNeil Jr.'s 28 lead NC State over Wake Forest 96-78

WINSTON-SALEM, N.C. (AP) — Paul McNeil Jr. scored 28 points and knocked down six 3-pointers as N.C. State pulled away in the second half for a 96-78 win over Wake Forest on Saturday.

McNeil shot 8 of 12 from the field, went 6 of 8 from behind the arc, and was 6-for-6 from the free-throw line for the Wolfpack (16-6, 7-2 ACC). N.C. State shot 54% overall and 57% from 3-point range, building a 49-31 halftime lead in a game that was moved up more than two hours due to weather.

Wake Forest opened the second half with a brief surge, trimming the deficit to 52-40 on a 3-pointer by Myles Colvin at the 17:18 mark. Darrion Williams hit a 3-pointer less than a minute later, though, and McNeil followed with a deep 3 of his own to help push the lead back to 18.

The Demon Deacons cut it to 62-54 midway through the half after another 3 from Juke Harris, but McNeil answered again. He buried a 26-foot jumper with 9:48 remaining, then added free throws and a layup during a 12-3 run that ended any threat. N.C. State led by at least 13 the rest of the way.

Williams finished with 20 points, Ven-Allen Lubin added 12 points and eight rebounds, and Tre Holloman dished out 10 assists for the Wolfpack.

Harris scored 31 points for Wake Forest (11-11, 2-7) in the final Big Four matchup of the season for the Demon Deacons. Omaha Biliew scored 12 points.

Up next

N.C. State travels to SMU this Tuesday.

Wake Forest hosts No. 20 Louisville next Saturday.

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Three new FSU pitchers to know

Last week, Tomahawk Nation’s Curt Weiler covered three new FSU position players to know ahead of the Seminole baseball season kicking off on February 13th.

Today, the focus shifts to the mound.

Last season, the Seminoles were buoyed by their weekend rotation of Jamie Arnold, Joey Volini and Wes Mendes. Outside of Arnold being scratched for one start, head coach Link Jarrett did not have to change his rotation one time, and their consistency propelled FSU to a second-straight trip to the Super Regionals. For the staff as a whole, Florida State’s pitching ranked third in the ACC in ERA a season ago and had six arms drafted in the 2025 MLB Draft, including the No. 11 pick, Arnold.

The 2026 pitching staff will look completely different.

While Mendes returns, Arnold and Volini have turned pro, as have trusted bullpen options such as Peyton Prescott and Joe Charles. Seeking to rebuild his pitching staff, Jarrett aggressively pursued reliable veteran arms via the portal, landing FAU LHP Trey Beard, the No. 7 player in the portal according to On3. Beard appears to be a shoo-in for a weekend rotation spot, and his changeup may be the best pitch on anyone on the staff this season. But outside of Beard, here are three pitchers to know ahead of the 2026 baseball season.

No. 1: RHP Bryson Moore

Heading into the final weeks of camp, Moore appears to be in a battle with LHP Payton Manca for the final spot in the weekend rotation, and both have drawn rave reviews from Jarrett. Moore, who spent his last two seasons at Virginia, entered the transfer portal after Mississippi State poached former UVA head coach Brian O’Conner, but did not follow him to Starkville and instead came to Tallahassee. Moore has a commanding physical presence on the bump, standing 6’3” and weighing 215 pounds with a three-pitch mix, fastball, changeup and curveball.

The main concern with Moore is how he will hold up throughout the season. During the 2025 campaign, Moore only threw 18.1 innings and did not appear in a game from March 2nd to April 29th. However, early on in the season, the righty fired five innings of two-run ball (one earned) on 83 pitches, so he does have the capability to start and throw late in games. But 31.1 innings over two seasons does give cause for concern.

Moore was the 159th-ranked recruit in Perfect Game’s 2023 class and was the D.C. Gatorade Player of the Year for baseball in his senior year of high school. The talent is obvious, but the question will be whether Florida State can get a full season out of the junior right-handed arm. Here is Jarrett on Moore in his mid-preseason press conference with the local Tallahassee media on Thursday.

“Bryson Moore, start to finish, from fall to where we are right now, has been very, very consistent. It’s a good mix of a variety of pitches. He’s very conscious of how he works. He’s been spot on, and we need to keep him headed in that direction.”

No. 2: RHP Gabe Nard

In the last two seasons, the lack of consistent options out of the bullpen has been the downfall of the Florida State season. While throughout the year, the arms out in the ‘pen have been good enough, in the biggest spots, they faultered and FSU’s seasons have ended because of it.

Enter Duke transfer Gabe Nard, who could be the slow-heartbeat, reliable, shutdown bullpen arm the Seminole staff has desperately needed. Nard transferred from Duke, which lost their head coach to Virginia, and joined the FSU program in the spring after finishing his degree in Durham over the fall. In his junior season with the Blue Devils, the righty made 29 appearances with only two starts, but fired 50.2 innings with a 4.62 ERA and a 45:17 K:BB ratio. Nard spent three seasons with the Blue Devils, making 20 or more appearances in every campaign and racking up 120.2 innings pitched across his college career.

The one question mark about Nard will be where Jarrett decides to use him. Even though he has spent most of his career out of the bullpen, Nard has never recorded a save. Will he be a multi-innings eater in the seventh and eighth and give way to someone in the ninth, or will there be a different plan for him in his senior season in Tallahassee? Here was Jarrett on Nard:

“Different profile of fastball, tremendous sink-and-run, that’s going to help us. He’s still acclimating to the program, but he’s well on his way to being a serviceable piece of this thing for us.”

No. 3: RHP Cole Stokes

Florida State has a trio of flame-throwing, right-handed relievers, Cade O’Leary, Ben Barrett and Cole Stokes. All three face similar control issues, but if Stokes gets it right, he could be the dominant closer FSU has lacked under Jarrett.

Stokes transferred to Florida State after two seasons at Oregon. In his sophomore season, the 6’6” RHP was tied for the team lead in appearances with 24, but struggled with consistency as he handed out more free passes (31, 16 walks and 15 HBPs) than he had innings pitched (20.1). Stokes made only one appearance in Oregon’s regional last year and did not record an out while allowing two walks against Utah Valley.

As mentioned, though, what makes Stokes’ potential so great is his fastball. The junior consistently sat at 96, with the ability to reach 98-99, and is working on a slider to pair with the heater. Here is what Jarrett had to say on Thursday on Stokes’ most recent appearance in practice:

“The last outing he had was as good an outing as a right-handed pitcher I’ve seen on a college field. It was dynamic; it was 98. The slider profile was unbelievably good. That was a phenomenal outing. It was fun to watch.”

Welling, Davidson lead No. 22 Clemson to a 63-52 victory, its 15th straight against Pittsburgh

CLEMSON, S.C. (AP) — Carter Welling and Nick Davidson scored 12 points each and No. 22 Clemson used a big first-half run to take control on the way to its 15th straight win over Pittsburgh, 63-52, on Saturday.

Welling and Davidson combined for 17 second-half points for the Tigers (18-4, 8-1 Atlantic Coast Conference), who opened a 17-point lead at halftime and gave Clemson coach Brad Brownell his 200th home win over 16 seasons.

The Panthers (9-13, 2-7) used a 14-4 run at the start of the second half to get the lead into single digits. But RJ Godfrey had two inside baskets and Welling scored six straight points to restore Clemson's large lead.

Pitt has struggled during ACC play. It had hoped to carry momentum from an overtime win against Wake Forest earlier this week into Clemson.

But the Tigers' defense kicked in midway through the opening half as they went on a 26-9 run over a 13-minute span to take control. Efrem “Butta” Johnson had two of Clemson's five threes during that surge while the Panthers shot just shot 21% and were 2-of-18 from behind the arc the first 20 minutes.

Johnson's second 3-pointer put Clemson up 33-16 at the half.

Roman Siulepa land Damarco Minor ed Pittsburgh with 12 points apiece. The Panthers' leading scorer, Brandin Cummings, was held to points, 11 fewer than his average.

Godfrey finished with 10 points for the Tigers.

The game went on as scheduled despite a rare winter storm throughout the state of South Carolina that was expected to leave up to 8 inches of snow on campus.

Up next

Pitt: Goes to No. 17 Virginia on Tuesday night.

Clemson: Goes West to play Stanford on Wednesday night.

___

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The Blueshirts' New Theme: Where Do We Go From Here? Elevator DOWN!

Dennis Schneidler-Imagn Images
Dennis Schneidler-Imagn Images

Stunned to the very core, the Beleaguered Blueshirts have to wonder whether –  s the fabled Chicken Little predicted.

You have to wonder – kidding, of course – whether the American Hockey League would allow an even-up trade, Hartford Wolfpack for the New York Rangers? (Just a joke Jim.) 

Losing all four games to the Islanders this season – last one on Thursday night had to be the utter humiliation.

Remember, The Hockey News Yearbook pegged the Blueshirts to finish fourth in the Metro and the Islanders seventh. (Doesn't look like that scenario will happen, does it?)

Most compelling will be the Rangers latest passion play unfolding today in Pittsburgh. Let's not forget The Hockey News Yearbook also had the Penguins in eighth place; ergo the cellar, where the Seventh Avenue Skaters happen to be shoveling coal. (Oops! It hit the goal post.)

Here's the fact that blows up in the Blueshirts' mug. Last summer the Pitt brass dumped Mike Sullivan and hired former Ranger aide Dan (Dan Who?) Muse to rule the Penguins' bench.

The result is that the musical Muse has his Pens hellbent for a playoff berth and  while we know where Salad-Quote-Sully has his losers,

Even with Sidney Crosby, Geno Malkin and Kris Letang, Sully could do nothing. Zippo, nada playoffs for three straight years; four if you count this Sighted-Sub-Sank-Same imitation of a major league team.

Now, all of a sudden, the trio of future Hall of Fame Penguins are swimming up to a winning iceberg that almost resembles a Stanley Cup.

The Maven asked his favorite Pitt hockey guru Vince Comunale to compare Muse with New York's Great Pretender, Sullivan.

"Muse lets his guys play to their strengths – and not try to fit them into a style that Sullivan wanted to play," says Comunale. "Dan has put his players in roles where they can thrive."

Sully has put his players in a position where they don't know Madison Square Garden from The Planet Mars.

And if you don't believe me, check out the game today at PPG Paints Arena. WARNING: It may move you to tears!

Martin Necas Sidelined with Lower‑Body Injury

The Marty Party is on hold for at least one game.

Colorado Avalanche forward Martin Necas is out of today’s lineup due to a lower-body injury but is listed as day-to-day.

The 27-year-old skated in Thursday’s 7-3 loss to the Montreal Canadiens at the Bell Centre, where he fired three shots on goal but failed to register a point.

In Wednesday’s game against the Ottawa Senators, Necas absorbed a hard reverse hit from Artem Zub, which left him sprawled on the ice. He was briefly evaluated in the tunnel before returning to the contest. It remains unclear if today’s injury is connected to that incident.

The Avalanche currently lead the Detroit Red Wings 2-0 after one period.

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Longtime Penguins defenseman Kris Letang out at least a month due to fractured foot

PITTSBURGH (AP) — Pittsburgh Penguins defenseman Kris Letang will miss at least four weeks with a fractured foot.

The club announced the extent of the injury on Saturday before the surging Penguins faced the New York Rangers. Pittsburgh coach Dan Muse said Letang, who is in his 20th season, injured the foot during a 6-2 victory over Chicago on Thursday.

Letang's absence comes with the Penguins surging into the Olympic break. Pittsburgh is 6-0-2 in its last eight games to move into second place in the Metropolitan Division.

The 38-year-old Letang has three goals and 22 assists in 50 games this season for the Penguins. He is currently three points shy of 800 for his career.

Letang's injury comes at a potentially fortuitous time for Pittsburgh with the NHL set to take an extended break for the 2026 Winter Games in Milan Cortina, which start next week. The Penguins not participating in the Olympics will be off from Feb. 6 to Feb. 25.

___

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Amari Bailey, second-round draft pick who played 10 games for Hornets, seeking to regain college eligibility

Can a player who entered the NBA Draft, was selected in the second round, signed a professional contract (two-way) and played in 10 NBA games regain college eligibility and play again in the NCAA?

Former UCLA Bruin and Charlotte Hornet Amari Bailey is trying to do just that.

Bailey, who has spent most of the last two seasons in the G League, has hired an agent and a lawyer in an effort to regain his eligibility, and spoke with Dan Murphy of ESPN about it.

"Right now I'd be a senior in college. I'm not trying to be 27 years old playing college athletics. No shade to the guys that do; that's their journey. But I went to go play professionally and learned a lot, went through a lot. So, like, why not me?"

Bailey told ESPN his case is the next step from the NCAA's decision to allow James Nnaji — another 2023 second-round draft pick, but one who never signed an NBA contract and only played in Europe — to join Baylor for the rest of the season.

NCAA president Charlie Baker has said the NCAA would never grant eligibility to a player who signed an NBA contract. However, a judge disagreed and granted Charles Bediako — a former and once again Alabama player who sued the NCAA to regain his college eligibility — eligibility to play for the Crimson Tide (the NCAA has appealed that ruling). Bediako entered the 2023 NBA Draft but went undrafted (unlike Bailey), signed a two-way contract, and played three seasons in the G League but never appeared in an NBA game.

Bailey, a 6'3" guard, played two seasons in the G League and last season averaged 13.1 points and 4.6 assists a game with the Long Island Nets and the Iowa Wolves. He did not have a contract for this season. He was a five-star recruit and a McDonald's All-American in high school in Southern California, where he played with Bronny James at Sierra Canyon.

Bailey said he is working out and going to start talking to schools about returning to play college ball next season.

"It's not a stunt," Bailey said. "I'm really serious about going back. I just want to improve my game, change the perception of me and just show that I can win."

Norris Getting Close To Returning To Sabres Lineup

Nothing has seemed to phase the Buffalo Sabres over the last seven weeks, as the hottest club in the NHL has gone 20-3-1 since early December, in spite of a variety of injuries to key players. One player who seemed to help spur Buffalo’s 10-game winning streak was center Josh Norris.

The 26-year-old forward missed two months after suffering an upper-body injury in the season opener against the NY Rangers, and averaged nearly a point-per-game in 19 games before suffering a rib injury in a victory over Philadelphia on January 14. 

Norris skated at the Sabres morning skate prior to their Saturday matchup against Montreal, a sign that he is close to returning to the lineup, but with just four games remaining before the Olympic hiatus, some consideration has been given to holding Norris out until after the break in late February. 

"I don't know. We've talked about both situations, but I think if you're ready to go, then you're not just going to sit out. So when I feel like I'm 100%, then I'm going to play." Norris said."(It was) a hockey play, happens all the time during the game, and just happened to catch me at the wrong point." 

Other Sabres Stories

Six Former Sabres Who Signed Elsewhere

Is Rasmus Dahlin capable of winning a Norris Trophy?

After Saturday’s key matchup with the Habs (who are tied with the Sabres at 67 points), Buffalo has back-to-back road games in Florida against the Panthers on Monday and Tampa Bay Lightning on Tuesday, before their final contest before the break against Pittsburgh next Thursday. 

"Obviously, (it’s) a great step getting him back out there. He's been skating a few days on his own, (today was the) first day with the team, and then he’ll get a practice in tomorrow, and just keep evaluating and see where we're at." Sabres head coach Lindy Ruff said. "If you're not chomping (at the bit), you're in the wrong place, for sure. When you're hurt, you want to get back.....You want to get back as soon as you feel you're healthy enough to play." 

Follow Michael on X, Instagram @MikeInBuffalo

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Why Giants are content sacrificing defense with Luis Arráez contract agreement

Why Giants are content sacrificing defense with Luis Arráez contract agreement originally appeared on NBC Sports Bay Area

SAN FRANCISCO — When it comes to old school versus new, there isn’t a more polarizing player in today’s game than Luis Arráez

The veteran infielder is a three-time batting champion who hit .292 last year in what was considered a down year for the San Diego Padres. By some traditional measures — All-Star appearances, Silver Sluggers, hits — his career has at times been on a path to Cooperstown. While picking up all those hits, including a league-leading total last year, he virtually never strikes out.

Arráez also rates as a poor defender by all modern analytics and the eye test. He might bat .300 just about every year, but by wRC+, he was roughly a league-average hitter last season. He ranked in the first percentile last year in hard-hit percentage and bat speed. His sprint speed puts him in the bottom quarter of the league.

What do you see when you watch Arráez play? That might vary greatly depending on how you view the game. 

But it’s clear what the Giants see. 

Arráez is their new second baseman, and while it’s an imperfect fit in a lot of ways, it also is one that makes a lot of sense given how Buster Posey has rebuilt the organization over the past year.

In just about every trade, and with many of their draft picks, the Giants have chased contact skills. They pulled a hitting coach from a Toronto Blue Jays team that led the big leagues in average last year and was second-to-last in strikeouts. They are, to put it mildly, tired of watching the strikeouts pile up, and with this latest move, they won’t have to worry about it at second base. 

Arráez struck out 21 times in 675 plate appearances last year. He also drew just 34 walks and showed little power, which is why he was available for $12 million on a one-year contract. The Giants know exactly what they’re getting, although even with the one-trick profile, there have been extremes. 

Arráez is two years removed from a wRC+ of 131, which followed a season of 130. If the 28-year-old regains that form at spacious Oracle Park, the Giants will have one of the most dangerous infields in baseball, with Arráez joining Rafael Devers, Willy Adames, Matt Chapman and Bryce Eldridge.

Of course, they might also have the worst right-side defense in baseball on Opening Day. Arráez made just 10 starts at second base last year and has been worth negative-20 Outs Above Average at the position over the past three seasons. He probably should be a first baseman or DH in 2026, but the Giants won’t have that option. 

In that respect, this is risky. Posey believes Devers can turn into a Gold Glove-caliber defender at first and Eldridge worked hard on his defense over the offseason, but for a team filled with groundball pitchers, that is an awful lot of hope. 

There are, though, ways to limit the exposure. The Giants have chased second base upgrades all offseason even though Casey Schmitt seemed deserving of a real shot, and their goal has been to turn Schmitt into a super-utility player. 

It’s possible the young infielder now ends up in a trade, especially because there’s depth in Christian Koss and Tyler Fitzgerald, but if Schmitt is on the initial roster, he’ll back up second, short and third and offer a right-handed option at first base from time to time. Either he or Koss figures to enter for Arráez late in games.

This would be an interesting way for any team to build in 2026. For the Giants, it’s downright fascinating. 

The team that always talks about winning with pitching and defense is chasing batting average at second base, a crucial position when Logan Webb and others are on the mound. The lineup now appears to be strong enough to compete for a playoff spot. But the clear weakness of the roster is the bullpen, and the rotation isn’t that far behind. 

The Giants tried to reload another way, making multiple offers for St. Louis’ Brendan Donovan and chasing Nico Hoerner, CJ Abrams and others. All would have been better defenders and offered more all-around offensive upside, but the front office grew frustrated with the nature of trade talks, believing that opposing executives pulled back at times when a deal was approaching the one-yard line.

On Friday, after signing Harrison Bader — a glove-first player — Posey said he still had some balls in the air and was hopeful he could add before pitchers and catchers report. His lineup now appears set, and most of the bench pieces are in place. 

The pitching staff needs help, but the Giants got their new center fielder and second baseman without dealing prospects, so they’re still equipped to try and swing a deal for a pitcher if they find the right fit. If this is it, it will go down as a modest offseason class, but maybe one that shouldn’t be all that unexpected.

Posey won titles with pitching and defense, but he also spent most of his career playing with good infielders. He was instrumental in helping the club reach an extension with Chapman and has signed or traded for new starters at first, second and short over the past 14 months. 

There were a lot of different ways the Giants could have gone over that time. They have chosen to line up behind their infielders, and while Arráez’s defense will be an issue that new manager Tony Vitello has to work around, the Giants are betting on his bat, or more specifically, his batting average.

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SoxFest 2026 Friday night takeaway: Setting the foundation for success

SoxFest 2026 Night One interview with Chris Getz and Will Venable. | South Side Sox

Chris Getz and Will Venable definitely seem to understand that earning fan loyalty is not an easy task. Fresh off one of the strongest offseasons in recent club history and a 19-game improvement from 2024, the White Sox front office must balance providing fans with hope for the future while keeping their focus on the club’s young talent. After the first night of SoxFest 2026, it’s clear that Getz and Venable are committed to doing just that, and doing it right.

Throughout a night of vibrant music, engaging interviews and player meet-and-greets, the same key messages were reiterated to season ticket holders and press eager to know what this year will bring to Chicago’s rebuild.

Young development above all
Despite the latest addition of veteran outfielder Austin Hays, development remains the key focus. When asked whether the primary goal this season is player development or playing .500 baseball, Venable emphasized that the two go hand-in-hand. The skipper told Connor McKnight on stage, “Both. The expectations are growing here … development is not something we do without winning, and that is what we do to get to win.”

And that’s not just a sugar-coated front office answer to excuse a 100-loss season. It’s evident in SoxFest itself. Anthony Kay was the only featured veteran, with most attention paid towards upcoming sophomores and even soon-to-be Charlotte Knights Tanner McDougal and Sam Antonacci.

Beyond SoxFest, Getz and Venable know that these young players will drive the organization’s success for years to come. Miguel Vargas and Mike Vasil were named the “glue guys” in the clubhouse for their personalities, ability to communicate with everyone, and leadership. The faith and trust placed in these players who haven’t reached their prime show where the Sox are prioritizing their time and money.

Building an organization, not just a team
The Sox know that, with a strict budget, the best investment for sustainable success lies in the front office. Getz highlighted specifically the expansion and growth of research as a significant improvement this offseason. With labs in Arizona and Chicago, data is becoming the heart of player development. Venable added that emphasis on health, specifically with the medical and nutrition staff, is also a critical component to winning.

In his almost three years of serving as Chicago’s GM, Getz is getting the organization caught up to league standards. Although there’s still plenty of progress to be made, the South Siders are finally taking a page out of the Rays and Guardians playbooks and spending money on something that carries no risk of injury or sudden decline.

Attitude and ethic matter
Part of creating a franchise is fostering a clubhouse that holds players accountable. Getz and Venable made it clear that the chaotic clubhouse from the early 2020s won’t be tolerated. As seen last year, Venable sets the expectation that attitude, effort and aggressiveness are expected on the first day of Spring Training. Getz doubled down on the sentiment, calling out that it begins even before guys don a Sox uniform. He recalled the Garrett Crochet trade last offseason and the process of vetting Chase Meidroth, Kyle Teel, Braden Montgomery and Wikelman González before finalizing the trade: “If we’re going to build a foundation, let’s make sure we know what we’re getting.”

That standard was evident in interviews with players throughout the event. Teel is set to arrive in Glendale nearly a week before pitchers and catchers report, eager to get an early jump. Vargas said he hasn’t stopped training since the season ended, carrying momentum straight into the offseason. Across the board, the message was clear that this group of players isn’t waiting around. They’re ambitious, excited, motivated and ready to get back on the field.

SoxFest is a chance to show White Sox fans why they should believe in this franchise. Everyone left on Friday feeling that the organization seems to be headed in the right direction. Be sure to check back for our SoxFest Day 2 coverage right here at South Side Sox!

Austin Hays signs with White Sox after Yankees, Mets interest

An image collage containing 3 images, Image 1 shows A Cincinnati Reds player in a red uniform and helmet runs on the baseball field, Image 2 shows New York Yankees outfielder Cody Bellinger after hitting a solo home run, Image 3 shows Chicago White Sox's Luis Robert points to teammates in the dugout after arriving at second base with a double against the Colorado Rockies
Hays signs

The Yankees and Mets shored up their outfields, and Austin Hays then headed to the Windy City.

The veteran outfielder agreed to a one-year, $6 million deal featuring incentives with the White Sox, The Post’s Jon Heyman reported Saturday.

Heyman listed early Saturday the Reds, Rangers, White Sox, Tigers, Cardinals, Padres and Cubs among the teams that had shown interest in or made an offer for the outfielder, while the Mets and Yankees had interest earlier in the offseason before their recent notable moves.

Austin Hays during the 2025 season. Getty Images

Hayes, an eight-year veteran, had a solid season for the Reds in 2025, particularly offering value against left-handed pitching.

He slashed .319/.400/.549 with a .949 OPS against lefties, although he exhibited more power against righties with 13 homers compared to two while facing southpaws.

The Yankees had been linked to Hays in case they did not re-sign Cody Bellinger, since Hays could have potentially platooned with Jasson Dominguez.

With Bellinger re-signing on a five-year deal and the Yankees already re-signing righty bench bat Amed Rosario, their need for another righty reserve bat lessened.

Cody Bellinger re-signed with the Yankees. Robert Sabo for NY Post

The Post reported in December that the Mets showed interest in Hays, but once they added Luis Robert Jr. in a trade, in addition to already having Tyrone Taylor, they seemingly did not need his bat.

The Mets’ acquisition of Robert, though, ultimately factored into his decision since the White Sox needed to replace the talented yet often-injured center fielder.

Chicago has had a busy offseason, previously acquiring Japanese slugger Munetaka Murakami, reliever Seranthony Dominguez and Luisangel Acuna in the Robert trade.

Chicago White Sox’s Luis Robert points to teammates in the dugout after arriving at second base with a double against the Colorado Rockies. AP

The White Sox went 60-102 last season, which means Hays could be on the trade market this summer.

Hays is a career .262 hitter with a .748 OPS and has slugged 83 homers. He started his career with the Orioles in 2017 before a 2024 trade to the Phillies. He then joined the Reds last offseason.