What will the Braves’ identity be by the end of the year?

ATLANTA, GA - APRIL 01: Ronald Acuña Jr. (13) of the Atlanta Braves reacts after being picked off first base in the first inning during an MLB game against the Athletics on April 01, 2026 at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Watching the Braves’ first six games of the year, it’s hard to really seize on any one thing that cements their identity as distinct from other teams, or the Braves teams that have come before. Not that these things have to come in the first six games, and sometimes, even if they do, it’s not clear that they’re going to be a throughline for the entire season. But, it’s certainly possible — Nick Markakis’ Opening Day walkoff in 2018 was I guess an early sign of the ridiculous team of destiny that particular Braves squad was going to be, the Braves clobbered their opponents in three of their first four games in 2023, Sean Murphy got hurt on Opening Day 2024, the 0-7 start to 2005, you get the idea.

This team so far, though… I don’t know. Any ideas? They’re top ten offensively in both outputs and inputs, but that’s come due to a lot of walks and barely any strikeouts… and the guys that are walking a ton aren’t hitting, except for Drake Baldwin. I guess “Team of Drake Baldwin” is an early contender, as he’s been scorching through these first two series. Another standout aspect so far has been the defense, but that’s about it. The Braves are also a top-ten pitching team, but not in a remarkable way, unless you factor in the defensive contribution to run prevention. And, of course, there’s a potential identity to be mined in “has absolutely no idea what they’re doing on the bases,” but I hope they course-correct there soon.

There’s also the overarching narratives of the pitching staff being barely held together, but that at least hasn’t gotten worse yet. Reynaldo Lopez and Grant Holmes both looked rough here and there, but the Braves didn’t really suffer for it, not yet — and Bryce Elder had a patented Good Elder (Bryce Eldar) start.

Anyway, I guess you can make your predictions here. How will we remember this team in terms of what it did, whether on the field or off?

Mets at Giants: 5 things to watch and series predictions | April 2-5

Here are five things to watch and predictions as the Mets and Giants play a four-game series in San Francisco starting on Thursday night...


5 things to watch

Will Nolan McLean hit the ground running?

McLean didn't have a great feel for his pitches at the outset of his first start of the season last Sunday against the Pirates, walking the first two batters he faced. The young right-hander was searching a bit over the first three innings, with manager Carlos Mendoza saying McLean didn't really find it until the fourth inning.

Even without his best stuff, McLean performed well, allowing just two runs on four hits while walking two and striking out eight in five innings.

As the game went on, McLean got more comfortable and his stuff started to overwhelm Pittsburgh. 

Five of the last seven outs McLean recorded came via the strikeout -- four swinging and one looking.

On the day, McLean threw 84 pitches (generating 12 swings and misses) while mixing in his full six-itch arsenal. 

Power outage

With Pete Alonso departing for the Orioles, it felt likely that the Mets might not hit as many homers in 2026 as they did in 2025, when they smacked 224 -- good for fifth-most in the majors.

It should also be noted that aside from Opening Day, when the temperature was in the low-70s, the Mets have not played in weather that is optimal for the ball carrying.

Still, they entered play on Wednesday having hit just three home runs in their first five games -- one each by Carson Benge, Francisco Alvarez, and Luis Robert Jr.

It hasn't just been the Mets when it comes to low home run totals in the early going.

Fifteen teams (exactly half the league) entered play on Wednesday with five home runs or fewer, including the Tigers, Yankees Red Sox, and Phillies. 

Is there a bullpen conundrum?

Of the eight pitchers in New York's bullpen, one of them (Sean Manaea) is a starting pitcher whose usage won't be regular, while another (Tobias Myers) is a multi-inning weapon who will often need multiple days off between appearances.

Myers, who has been terrific in his role, is obviously going nowhere.

But it's been a bit of a challenge early on for Mendoza while trying to juggle the rest of the bullpen. 

Mar 29, 2026; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets relief pitcher Richard Lovelady (55) reacts during the tenth inning against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Citi Field.
Mar 29, 2026; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets relief pitcher Richard Lovelady (55) reacts during the tenth inning against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Citi Field. / Brad Penner - Imagn Images

Add to the above the fact that Brooks Raley is not yet being used on back-to-back days, and the struggles of Richard Lovelady, and you get a bit of a conundrum.

If the Mets' starting pitchers don't regularly start giving the team six or seven innings, it feels like there will have to soon be another arm added to the mix who can pitch far more often than Manaea or Myers are able to, or be a lot more effective than Lovelady.

The Giants' offense has been anemic

San Francisco mustered just 13 runs over the first five games of the season, better than only the Padres, Royals, and Twins.

That included only four runs total in their first four games before erupting for nine runs against the Padres on Tuesday.

The Giants were especially hapless against the Yankees, scoring one run in three games as they were swept in the season-opening series in San Francisco.

Against the Yanks, San Francisco was shut down by Max Fried, Cam Schlittler, and Will Warren. Fried and Schlittler both have great stuff. Warren, not so much. 

Can the Mets get to Logan Webb?

Webb was tagged by the Yankees on Opening Night, allowing seven runs (six earned) on nine hits in five innings.

He was better his second time out, allowing three runs in six innings against the Padres, but struggled with his command as he issued four walks.

Webb had a 3.22 ERA (2.60 FIP) and 1.23 WHIP while tossing an MLB-high 207.0 innings in 2025, finishing fourth in NL Cy Young award voting. 

He has been one of the best pitchers in baseball since 2021, and has had his way with the Mets -- with a 3.21 career ERA in 42.0 innings over seven starts. However, he'll obviously be facing a version of the Mets that is much different than the one he went up against over the last five years. 

Predictions

Who will the MVP of the series be?

Juan Soto

Soto has been locked in at the plate early.

Which Mets pitcher will have the best start?

Kodai Senga

Senga's fastball was explosive during his first start of the year on Tuesday against the Cardinals.

Which Giants player will be a thorn in the Mets' side?

Luis Arraez

Arraez's elite contact rate means his ability to be a pest in any given series is high. 

Braves vs. Diamondbacks prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for April 2

The Braves (4-2) and the Diamondbacks (3-3) open a four-game series tonight in Phoenix. Atlanta took two of three earlier this week against the Athletics including 5-1 yesterday to close out the series. Chris Sale improved to 2-0 allowing one run on one hit over six innings and Drake Baldwin continued his torrid start at the plate driving in four with a couple hits. The sophomore backstop is now hitting .318 on the season.

Meanwhile, Arizona squeaked past the Tigers yesterday in Phoenix, 1-0. Zac Gallen outdueled Tarik Skubal. The veteran threw six innings of four-hit shutout ball to even his record this season at 1-1. Corbin Carroll’s first inning blast off Skubal proved to be the difference.

Lets dive into tonight’s matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game Details and How to Watch: Braves vs. Diamondbacks

  • Date: Thursday, April 2, 2026
  • Time: 9:40PM EST
  • Site: Chase Field
  • City: Phoenix, AZ
  • Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, BravesVision, DBACKS.TV

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

The Latest Odds: Braves vs. Diamondbacks

The latest odds as of Thursday courtesy of FanDuel:

  • Moneyline: Atlanta Braves (-118), Arizona Diamondbacks (-102)
  • Spread: Braves -1.5 (+129) / Diamondbacks +1.5 (-156)
  • Total: 8.5 runs

Probable Starting Pitchers: Braves vs. Diamondbacks

Pitching matchup for April 2:

  • Braves: Reynaldo Lopez
    Season Totals: 6.0 IP, 0-0, 1.50 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, 3K, 2 BB
  • White Sox: Ryne Nelson
    Season Totals: 4.2 IP, 0-0, 7.71 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 4K, 3 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not! Braves vs. Diamondbacks

  • Drake Baldwin already has 3 HRs this season and is hitting .318 (7-22)
  • Mauricio Dubon is 7-17 (.412) through 5 games this season
  • Matt Olson has struck out 9 times in 23 ABs
  • Corbin Carroll has hit safely in 5 of 6 games this season with 7 hits in 21 ABs (.333)
  • Ryne Nelson allowed 2 HRs in his previous start (3/27 at LA Dodgers)

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top Betting Trends & Insights: Braves vs. Diamondbacks

  • The Braves are 4-2 on the Run Line this season
  • The Diamondbacks are 5-1 on the Run Line this season
  • The OVER has cashed 4 times in Arizona’s 6 games this season (4-2)
  • The OVER has yet to cash for Atlanta this season (0-6)

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions: Braves vs. Diamondbacks

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Thursday’s game between the Braves and the Diamondbacks:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play on the Braves on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on either side on the Run Line.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Game Total OVER 8.5.

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Yankees Sequence of the Week: Max Fried (3/31)

SEATTLE, WASHINGTON - MARCH 31: Max Fried #54 of the New York Yankees pitches during the first inning Mariners at T-Mobile Park on March 31, 2026 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Yankees’ pitching staff as a whole has been magnificent, allowing six runs across their first six games and tallying three shutouts in the first five. Max Fried has been at the forefront of this staff-wide domination, not allowing a run across his first two starts and 13.1 innings. His second start of the year came against the Mariners and he looked even more in control than on Opening Day, limiting Seattle to three hits and a walk across seven shutout. His command was sharper at T-Mobile Park than it was at Oracle, allowing him to strike out six batters. While it was certainly encouraging to see the uptick in swing and miss, the moment we’ll zero in on today focuses on his ability to make exactly the pitch needed to induce soft contact and get out of a jam.

We join Fried with two outs in the bottom of the seventh, Josh Naylor having erased a Julio Rodríguez leadoff single with a ground-ball double play. However, after cruising for most of his start, Fried now faces his toughest challenge, a Randy Arozarena HBP and Brendan Donovan single putting runners on first and second as Fried is fighting to hold off the fatigue long enough to complete seven strong.

Fried has already faced Victor Robles twice this game, getting him to fly out on a first-pitch cutter in the second before whiffing him on a changeup in the fifth. After deploying the cutter first pitch in those two encounters, Fried decides on a first-pitch four-seamer here.

Fried misses his spot low and away; reaching back for extra velocity caused him to pull this pitch inside for ball one.

Despite the imperfect execution of the previous pitch, Fried sticks with the four-seamer.

He misses his spot again, but this time over the plate enough to entice Robles to chase. It’s a smart miss, the elevation above the zone causing Robles to foul it back and level the count at 1-1.

After two straight four-seamers up and in, Fried chooses a different type of fastball, this time looking to bury the cutter in on Robles’ hands.

This is awesome pitch sequencing from Fried. Following a pair of consecutive four-seamers off the plate, this looks like a cookie right down the middle. However, unlike the four-seamer which stays on plane vertically while fading slightly to Fried’s arm-side, the cutter has late movement glove-side and down. Robles isn’t able to distinguish this pitch from the two four-seamers that preceded it and is unable to adjust his swing plane. Thus, the ball eats him up inside, Robles getting jammed while the late downward tilt takes the ball even further below the barrel causing him to pound it into the dirt foul at home plate.

Now that Fried has shown Robles a fastball that breaks in on his hands, he has a chance for the punchout looking if he can start a four-seamer in off the plate and tail it back across the inside corner. There’s even an opportunity to get Robles to whiff should he recognize the four-seamer late and still swing.

Fried locates this four-seamer perfectly on the inside edge of the zone. However, it’s just low enough that Robles is able to fight it off foul with practically the handle of the bat to stay alive.

Fried has shown Robles four straight fastballs up and in and has sped up his swing to the velocity of the fastball. That means it is the perfect opportunity to throw his first off-speed pitch of the encounter, Fried choosing a changeup off the plate away looking for the strikeout swinging.

Fried executes the pitch to his spot and is rewarded with a favorable outcome, Robles lining a lazy fly ball to the opposite field to strand the pair of runners. If we’re being picky, the location of the changeup is probably a few inches too high, which is what allowed Robles to make contact instead of whiff. However, this is the magic of managing your misses as a pitcher. Fried made sure that at the very least he commanded this pitch out of the zone away. The changeup is therefore too far away from Robles for him to pull it, while the movement down and away from his barrel prevents him from hitting it with authority to the opposite field. Fried is one of the masters in the game at limiting damaging contact, and pitch is a perfect example of how he does that.

Here’s the full sequence:

Outside of his lone ALDS start against the Blue Jays, Max Fried has been everything the Yankees could have hoped for when they signed him winter before last. He has been an invaluable stabilizing presence at the top of the rotation, giving the Yankees a consistently reliable ace in Gerrit Cole’s absence. If these first two starts are anything to go off, it looks like he is taking his game to an even higher level in his second year in pinstripes, setting the tone for the rest of the pitching staff.

Astros Legends Series: Chris Burke

HOUSTON - OCTOBER 09: Chris Burke #2 of the Houston Astros is congratulated by Chad Qualls #50 after Burke hit a solo home run to defeat the Atlanta Braves in Game Four of the 2005 National League Division Series on October 9, 2005 at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. The Astros eliminated the Braves three games to one with a 7-6 victory in the 18th inning. (Photo by Doug Benc/Getty Images) | Getty Images

He lands on every Astros fans list of top historical moments.  Game 4 of the 2005 NLDS lasted 18 innings until Chris Burke walked off the Braves with a 338 shot to left field.  This is the second installment of our Legends Series.   

Q: How often are you asked about that moment?

A: I don’t think a week goes by in my life, where somebody doesn’t bring it up.    What I remember most about that at bat was how electric the stadium was prior to my at bat, because Roger Clemens actually hit directly in front of me due to the way he entered the game and the crazy nature of an 18-inning game.  He was making only his second ever relief appearance in his career and he struck out in front of me.  When I got up next, I was actually going to bunt on the first pitch, but Joey Devine threw a slider for a ball which was way outside.  The count went to 1 and 0 and then with the second pitch, he almost hit me, and so I knew up 2-0 in the count, I could start thinking about a pitch middle in that I could drive and he threw me an inside fast ball on the inside corner.  I put my best swing on it and the rest is history.   

Q: Where is the ball now?

A: I don’t have it.  It’s actually in Cooperstown at the Hall of Fame.  Lance Berkman hit a grand slam that game in the 8th inning and the same fan who caught his shot, also caught my home run.  Each of them is in the Astros display portion of the hall.  The fan was gracious enough to give both of the balls to the Astros who sent them there.  I still have the actual bat and the batting gloves from that plate appearance.

Q: If that’s your most famous home run, what’s number two on your career list?

A: It would have to be my first ever career home run.  I hit it off of Pedro Martinez to break up a no hitter in New York in the 7th inning in his first year with the Mets.  It was of course a sell out with Pedro pitching and at that time, the Mets had never had a no hitter as an organization and he hung me a 1-1 curveball, and I hit it into the leftfield bullpen.  That was very surreal, being my first homer of vintage Pedro in New York.  I still have to pinch myself.   

Q: What do you love most about broadcasting now?   

A: I love college baseball.  I deeply cherished my time as a college baseball player, and I consider it one of the joys of my life.  Now I get to cover it as a career, and I just love it at this level.  The all-in nature, the way that coaches teach and compete and develop players and the buy-in they get from the players is just incredible.  I appreciate the urgency.  I love the environment and atmosphere.   

Flames vs Golden Knights Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

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The Calgary Flames have played in plenty of low-scoring road games in recent months, with 13 of their last 20 going Under the total.

My Flames vs. Golden Knights predictions don’t see any reason to expect anything different against a John Tortorella-coached Vegas Golden Knights team.

Flames vs Golden Knights prediction

Flames vs Golden Knights best bet: Under 5.5 (+115)

The Calgary Flames will be looking to tighten the screws after giving up nine goals to the powerhouse Avalanche last time out.

They have a good chance of doing so against aVegas Golden Knights team that sits 25th in 5-on-5 pace and 30th in scoring rate over the last 10 games — seven of which have gone Under the number.

On the Vegas side, their defensive metrics are elite. New head coach John Tortorella will hammer home the attention to detail and make sure they’re playing a buttoned-up 200-foot game heading into the playoffs.

We shouldn’t expect a track meet tonight.

Flames vs Golden Knights same-game parlay

Zach Whitecloud has blocked multiple shots in seven of his last nine games. He’s playing heavy defensive minutes and will have extra incentive to make an impact, squaring off against his former team for the first time since the trade.

Olli Maatta blocked 14 shots over the last five games and will have plenty of chances to build on those totals against a north-south Vegas team that likes to work pucks low to high and throw them at the net.

Flames vs Golden Knights SGP

  • Under 6.5
  • Zach Whitecloud Over 1.5 blocked shots
  • Olli Maatta Over 1.5 blocked shots

Flames vs Golden Knights odds

  • Moneyline: Flames +200 | Golden Knights -245
  • Puck Line: Flames +1.5 (-120) | Golden Knights -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 | Under 5.5

Flames vs Golden Knights trend

The Flames have cashed the Under in 13 of their last 20 road games for +5.65 units and a 26% ROI. Find more NHL betting trends for Flames vs. Golden Knights.

How to watch Flames vs Golden Knights

LocationT-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
DateThursday, April 2, 2026
Puck drop8:00 p.m. ET
TV
Sportsnet

Flames vs Golden Knights latest injuries

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Not intended for use in MA.
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ICYMI in Mets Land: Cardinals walk-off hands NY first series loss as offensive struggles continue

Here's what happened in Mets Land on Wednesday, in case you missed it...


  • The Mets squandered numerous opportunities, as they were defeated by the Cardinals in extra innings
  •  After going 0-for-11 with RISP, New York finds themselves in the midst of a familiar slump despite running out a completely different lineup than last season 
  • Francisco Lindorowned his mental mistakes in the field and on the bases, saying he "should have been better"
  • WATCH: Lindor, Carlos Mendoza, and Freddy Peralta discuss the loss
  • Down in Syracuse, Jack Wenninger enjoyed a strong start to the season, throwing 4.2 scoreless innings 

Twins vs Royals Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Minnesota Twins and Kansas City Royals wrap up a three-game AL Central series with the wind gusting out at Kauffman Stadium this afternoon.

My top Twins vs. Royals predictions and MLB picks are calling for Minny to avoid the sweep.

Who will win Twins vs Royals today: Twins moneyline (+142)

The Kansas City Royals are saddled with a Cole Ragans tax on Thursday, despite the lefty surrendering 17 earned runs across 20 innings dating back to Spring Training. 

There’s pop coming from the Minnesota Twins, too. The Minny lineup paces the majors in hard-hit percentage while ranking sixth in exit velocity to start the year, so I’m anticipating statistical correction ahead of their middling, 18th-ranked BABIP.

Plus, Ragans served up a 58.3% hard-hit rate in his season debut, and the wind is forecasted to gust straight out at Kauffman Stadium this afternoon.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Twins starter Taj Bradley had an elite 31.5% called + swinging strike percentage in his first start of the season.

Twins vs Royals Over/Under pick: Over 9.5 (+104)

In addition to the wind howling out at Kauffman Stadium this afternoon, both Ragans and Minny starter Taj Bradley struggled with control in their season debuts and combined for seven walks across 8 1/3 innings.

Bradley escaped major trouble by striking out nine batters, but the Royals had the lowest strikeout percentage in the majors against righties in 2025.

Additionally, both Minnesota and Kansas City rank above average in on-base percentage to start the campaign.

Ducks on the pond with favorable hitting conditions is a recipe for runs on the board.

Neil Parker's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 1-2, -0.68 units
  • Over/Under bets: 1-2, -1.12 units

Twins vs Royals odds

  • Moneyline: Minnesota +144 | Kansas City -150
  • Run line: Minnesota +1.5 (-138) | Kansas City -1.5 (+133)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 (+113) | Under 9.5 (-117)

Twins vs Royals trend

The Royals have only covered the run line in 30 of their last 74 home games for -18.65 units and a -20% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Twins vs. Royals.

How to watch Twins vs Royals and game info

LocationKauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
DateThursday, April 2, 2026
First pitch2:10 p.m. ET
TVTwins.TV, Royals.TV
Twins starting pitcherTaj Bradley
(0-0, 2.08 ERA)
Royals starting pitcherCole Ragans
(0-1, 9.00 ERA)

Twins vs Royals latest injuries

Twins vs Royals weather

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Dodgers notes: Shohei Ohtani, struggling offense

Apr 1, 2026; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers two-way player Shohei Ohtani (17) reacts after he was called out on a checked swing with bases loaded to end in the eighth inning against the Cleveland Guardians at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images | Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images

Funny thing about baseball. You usually don’t win the game when the other team scores more than you.

After sweeping the Arizona Diamondbacks to start the season, the Dodgers lost two-of-three to the Cleveland Guardians. Most concerning at the moment is the lack of production from the offense.

In Wednesday’s loss, the top six in the lineup went 1-for-21 with eight strikeouts. And the one hit came from Freddie Freeman who hit a solo home run with two outs in the bottom of the ninth. Shockingly, that was not enough to mount a comeback when the other team had already scored four runs.

Before Wednesday’s game, a rare thing happened. Shohei Ohtani took batting practice on the field. As Doug Padilla of the OC Register points out, the last time Ohtani took batting practice on the field was Game 3 of the NLCS when he was in a slump, only having gone 2-for-25 in the playoffs to that point. We all know what he did in Game 4 of that series.

So far this season, Ohtani has a slash line of .167/.423/.167. If it weren’t for his pitching prowess, he wouldn’t be much of a show at all. So maybe if we extrapolate from that one occurrence, Ohtani is bound to have a breakout game in the first game of the Washington Nationals series that starts on Friday. That’s how that works, right?

Freeman mentioned that he hoped the off day for the team on Thursday would help the bats get hot again. Coincidentally, the Dodgers will be playing day games while in our nation’s capital, and the weather is expected to be in the high 80’s so something is guaranteed to be hot.

Looking even further ahead, Ohtani’s next pitching start is slated to be in Toronto, where the crowd is sure to be super friendly.

Clark doubles twice, bullpen crumbles late in Hens’ loss

Mets 4, Mud Hens 2 (box)

So far, the Tigers’ Triple-A affiliate has mirrored the big league club to a degree. Wenceel Pérez has the sole home run through five games. Of course that’s a lot more understandable when you’re playing in upstate New York this time of year. On the pitching side, the bullpen has been taxed as several starters are still stretching out in the early going.

Veteran minor league starter Lael Lockhart Jr., who remains one of those solid southpaws with command who just lacks the extra 2-3 mph it would take to get him to the big leagues regularly, got the start on Wednesday. The Hens went in order in the first, and then the lefty got into a little trouble in the bottom half. Nick Morabito led off with a single back through the box and then stole second base. Ronny Mauricio flew out, and so did Ryan Clifford on a hard hit ball to Wenceel Pérez in right field. Christian Arroyo did better, ripping an RBI double to left to make it 1-0. Lockhart Jr. buckled down and got Jose Rojas to ground out, ending the threat.

Two out singles from Corey Julks and Gage Workman were squandered by a Tomas Nido ground out in the second, while Lockhart Jr. allowed a leadoff single to Vidal Brujan and then walked Ben Rortvedt. However, he bounced back to strike out Cristian Pache and Ji Hwan Bae and got out of the inning unscathed.

Max Clark doubled in the third but was stranded, and neither team scored in the fourth as Clark erased Jose Rojas with an accurate throw as Rojas tried to stretch a single into a double.

In the top of the fifth, the Hens got something started again with a one out single from Nido and a walk to Cal Stevenson, but Pérez and Clark struck out, the latter against RHP Joey Gerber, who entered in relief to face him.

In the bottom of the fifth, Lockhart Jr. issued a two-out walk to Mauricio, and RHP Tyler Mattison took over. He did not do well, allowing singles to Clifford and then Christian Arroyo to make it a 2-0 Mets lead. Mattison punched out Rojas to put a stop to any further trouble, and the Hens finally got the offense going in the top of the sixth.

Jace Jung led off with a drive to right that went for a double, then advanced to third on an Eduardo Valencia ground out. Trei Cruz walked, and after Julks struck out, Workman lashed a single to right to score Jung. Nido pulled an RBI single to left, and it was now a 2-2 game as the Mets went back to their pen. Anderson Severino came on to get Stevenson on a lineout to right field.

Mattison struck out Brujan and Rortvedt to start the bottom of the sixth, but his fastball velocity was down at 92-93 mph, still a long way from recovering his pre-TJ gas. A walk to Pache followed, but Bae flew out to Clark in center to send us to the seventh.

Jonathan Pintaro took over for the Mets and popped up Pérez to start the inning. Clark continued to swing a hot bat early on, smoking a line drive double to left field at 106.2 mph off the bat, but Jung grounded out and Valencia struck out.

Brenan Hanifee took over in the seventh and collecting three outs without much issue, though Clifford did hit another missile into the outfield that Clark hauled in.

With the right-hander Pintaro still on the mound in the eighth, Cruz got an 0-2 fastball on the outer edge and drilled a liner up the left center field gap, beating out a double by a hair. Julks was dusted by a good high fastball, and Workman and Nido grounded out to strand Cruz.

Lefty Sean Guenther took over from Hanifee in the bottom half. He got Arroyo to ground out, but walked Rojas. The Mets pinch-ran Jackson Cluff for Rojas, and while Guenther got Brujan to ground out to Workman, Rortvedt doubled in the run to make it a 3-2 Mets lead. Pache then dumped a flare into center field to plate Rortvedt. Guenther picked Pache off at first to end the inning, but the Mets had a 4-2 lead.

The Hens went down in order in the ninth to end it.

Clark: 2-5, 2 2B, K

Workman: 2-4, RBI, 2B

Jung: 1-3, R, 2B, 2 K

Lockhart: 4.2 IP, 2 ER, 4 H 3 BB, 5 K

Guenther (L, 0-1): 1.0 IP, 2 ER 2 H, BB, 0 K

Coming Up Next: It’s a 4:05 p.m. ET start on Thursday as the Hens look to re-take the lead in this six-game set. The other minor league affiliates will get underway on Friday.

NBA mock draft 2026: Chaotic lottery simulation results in 2 recent champions rising

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - MARCH 29: Yaxel Lendeborg #23 of the Michigan Wolverines looks on against the Tennessee Volunteers during the first half in the Elite Eight of the 2026 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament at the United Center on March 29, 2026 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The 2026 NBA championship race is shaping up to be a thrilling, wide open chase between emergent young teams and established juggernauts, yet somehow it feels like the bottom of the league is getting more attention. The 2026 NBA Draft class is so strong that commissioner Adam Silver is in the process of rushing through lottery reform in an attempt to solve a purported tanking crisis. The fact that teams like the San Antonio Spurs and Detroit Pistons quickly went from worst-to-first after landing the No. 1 pick in the draft in recent years makes the stakes even higher when the ping-pong balls bounce on May 10.

The NBA’s decision to flatten the lottery odds ahead of the 2019 draft has opened up the tank race to even more teams and resulted in some surprising winners in recent years. It happened again in our latest mock draft.

We simulated the lottery with one spin of Tankathon to get the first-round order, and there were some major surprises. Three teams moved up at least six spots in the order. Seven teams fell at least two spots from their starting lottery position. Imagine the chaos if this is how the draft actually breaks.

After the lottery results shook up the order, the picks in this mock draft were based on how I think things will actually go, not necessarily what I would do. Let’s hit on some key themes after the jump.

PickTeamPlayerPositionSchoolAge
1Atlanta Hawks (via Pelicans)AJ DybantsaWingBYUFreshman
2Brooklyn NetsDarryn PetersonGuardKansasFreshman
3Milwaukee BucksCameron BoozerForwardDukeFreshman
4Golden State WarriorsCaleb WilsonForwardNorth CarolinaFreshman
5Washington WizardsKeaton WaglerGuardIllinoisFreshman
6Los Angeles Clippers (via Pacers)Yaxel Lendeborg ForwardMichiganSenior
7Sacramento KingsKingston FlemingsGuardHoustonFreshman
8Utah JazzBrayden BurriesGuardArizonaFreshman
9Dallas MavericksDarius Acuff GuardArkansasFreshman
10Memphis GrizzliesJayden Quaintance Center/ForwardKentuckySophomore
11Chicago BullsMikel Brown Jr. GuardLouisvilleFreshman
12Portland Trail BlazersNate AmentWingTennesseeFreshman
13Charlotte HornetsKoa PeatForwardArizonaFreshman
14Miami HeatKarim LopezForwardNZ BreakersBorn 2007
15Oklahoma City Thunder (via Clippers)Aday MaraCenterMichiganJunior
16Memphis Grizzlies (via Magic)Bennett Stirtz GuardIowaSenior
17Oklahoma City Thunder (via 76ers)Hannes Steinbach Forward/CenterWashingtonFreshman
18Charlotte Hornets (via Suns)Cameron CarrWingBaylorJunior
19San Antonio Spurs (via Hawks)Thomas Haugh ForwardFloridaJunior
20Toronto RaptorsLabaron Philon GuardAlabamaSophomore
21Philadelphia 76ers (via Rockets)Dailyn SwainForwardTexasJunior
22Detroit Pistons (via Wolves)Braylon MullinsGuardUConnFreshman
23Atlanta Hawks (via Cavs)Morez JohnsonCenter/ForwardMichiganSophomore
24Denver NuggetsPatrick NgongbaCenterDukeSophomore
25New York KnicksJoshua Jefferson ForwardIowa StateSenior
26Los Angeles LakersMotiejus KrivasCenterArizonaJunior
27Boston CelticsJuke HarrisGuardWake ForestSophomore
28Minnesota Timberwolves (via Pistons)Christian AndersonGuardTexas TechSophomore
29Cleveland Cavaliers (via Spurs)Isaiah EvansGuardDukeSophomore
30Dallas Mavericks (via Thunder)Amari AllenForwardAlabamaFreshman

Yes, I’m shocked, too. Let’s dive into some of the biggest themes in this class.

The lottery will decide who goes No. 1, but it feels like A.J. Dybantsa has the edge

Kansas’ Darryn Peterson, Duke’s Cameron Boozer, and BYU’s A.J. Dybantsa have been battling for the No. 1 pick all season. I’ve been consistent in ranking Boozer at No. 1, but Duke’s unfathomable Elite Eight loss to UConn on Braylon Mullins’ 35-foot buzzer-beater puts a dent in Boozer’s greatest argument. I’ve heard (but can’t confirm) that this is the first time Boozer has failed to win the last game of the season since sixth grade! It took a miracle to beat Boozer while his starting center and starting point guard were both playing hurt, but I feel like he was only going to go No. 1 overall if Duke won the national championship, and that’s over now.

Dybantsa is the only member of the ’big three’ who didn’t win a game in March Madness this year, but he has a built in excuse with his best teammate, Richie Saunders, suffering a torn ACL just before the dance. Given Peterson’s bizarre cramping issues and the strange skepticism about Boozer’s top-end upside, I think Dybantsa is the safest bet to go No. 1. The Hawks winning our lottery sim makes it an even more natural fit.

I have a hard time believing Atlanta would take Boozer given that he’s positionally locked at the four, which is Jalen Johnson’s position. Peterson vs. Dybantsa would be a tremendous debate, but ultimately it’s easier to find guards than big wings with the scoring upside of the BYU freshman.

Dybantsa is an elite scoring prospect. He’s huge for a wing at 6’9 with a strong frame, but he’s also extremely flexible in how he attacks the paint. His long, coordinated strides are a thing of beauty to watch, and his mid-range game is going to be unstoppable in high-leverage situations like the playoffs. The players who are big enough to guard Dybantsa on an island usually aren’t fast enough to keep up with him. The players fast enough to guard him usually aren’t long or strong enough to match his tools.

Am I worried about his lack of defensive engagement? About his low-volume three-point shooting? About how he looks outside of a brilliant BYU system tailored to opening up the paint for attacks? Yes, yes, and yes. But he’s an awesome prospect regardless of whether I have him ranked No. 1 or No. 3. The Hawks would be super lucky to get him.

The Warriors and Bucks rise in the lottery for pure mayhem

The Warriors are 10th in the Western Conference standings as I write this. Jimmy Butler is out for the year with a torn ACL, and Steph Curry hasn’t played since January. Curry is reportedly nearing a return, and that means Golden State could absolutely win two play-in games to make the playoffs. If they fall short, though, there’s some chance they could move up in the lottery, which is exactly what happened in our simulation.

The Warriors jumping from No. 11 to No. 1 would be incredible, and it’s important to remember that’s what the Dallas Mavericks did last year to win the rights to Cooper Flagg. Suddenly Golden State would have a massive trade chip to look for veteran help around Curry, or it could just take the best player available — in this case, Caleb Wilson — to give them a new potential star once Steph retires.

The Bucks jumping up is just as seismic. Milwaukee will be cheering for Atlanta come lottery day, because the Hawks own the most favorable pick between the Pelicans and the Bucks. This essentially means that Milwaukee can choose as high as No. 2 overall in the draft if Atlanta lands at No. 1. The stakes would be massive given the lingering Giannis Antetokounmpo trade situation that figures to become a storyline again this offseason.

Boozer in Milwaukee and Caleb Wilson in Golden State would both be fascinating picks — and the clear best players available in our projection. Watch those Wilson highlights above and let me know who he reminds you of in the comments. I really think he has the best highlight reel of any prospect in this class, and there are days when I’m tempted to slide him all the way up to No. 2.

The Bucks won it all behind Giannis in 2021. The Warriors won the championship for the fourth time with Curry in 2022. Getting this type of luck in the 2026 lottery would give these teams a new lease on life around their historic superstars.

Yaxel Lendeborg at No. 6!?!?

Let me explain.

It’s no secret that I’m a big fan of Yaxel Lendeborg after ranking him as the second-best player in March Madness entering the tournament. Lendeborg now has his Michigan Wolverines int the Final Four after a dominant tournament run that saw him flex his elite two-way ability at every opportunity:

  • 25 points, 6 rebounds, and 2 assists on 84 percent true shooting in the round of 32 against Saint Louis
  • 23 points, 7 assists, 12 rebounds on 83 percent true shooting in the Sweet 16 against Alabama
  • 27 points, 4 assists, 2 blocks, and 7 rebounds on 61 percent true shooting in the Elite Elight against Tennessee

He’s been the best player in the tournament by far, and no one else is close.

Of course, Lendeborg’s March Madness production and his hypothetical NBA translation are two different subjects. If you’ve been following the discourse around the tournament, you have probably seen opposing fans bemoan that the Michigan star is TwEnTy SeVeN years old or whatever age they decide to choose on that day.

Lendeborg is 23 years old, and he turns 24 before his rookie year in the NBA begins. Yes, this is his sixth season in college. He’s a month older than Josh Giddey, who is in his fifth NBA season. His age absolutely matters in projecting him the league — by the time he starts his second contract, he’ll already be 28.

Where the Michigan star goes in the draft all comes down to fit. In this projection, the Los Angeles Clippers get the Indiana Pacers pick from the Ivica Zubac trade because it slides out of the top four. After also landing Darius Garland at the deadline, are the Clippers really going to take Kingston Flemings or Darius Acuff or Mikel Brown? I don’t think so. Arizona guard Brayden Burries would make some sense, and Tennessee wing Nate Ament will also probably get consideration. I just like Lendeborg a lot more intriguing than both even if he’s super old for a rookie.

Lendeborg has a rare combination of size, skill, and two-way versatility. Listed at 6’9, 240 pounds, with a 7’4 wingspan, he has the length and weight of an NBA center. This season at Michigan has proven he can play off the ball next to other bigs while using his skill set to maximize everyone else on the floor. His shooting indictors are encouraging by making 37.2 percent of his threes on 8.2 attempts per 100 possessions with an 81 percent stroke from the free throw line. He’s a serious defensive playmaker with a 4.6 percent block rate and 2.1 percent steal rate and tons of chasedown blocks all over his super-super-senior season tape. He’s a willing passer and a capable driver, he doesn’t turn the ball over, and he hits the glass hard on both ends. What’s not to like?

Derrick White was 23 years old as a rookie and he turned out pretty well. Age matters, but it’s not everything. Yaxel is good enough to overcome it.

Which first-rounders will go back to college for big NIL deals?

The money in college basketball is so good right now that it’s only natural this draft will be thinned by a few returners who can’t pass up a big NIL offer. It happened last year with Labaron Philon and Lendeborg as likely first-round picks who returned to school, and guess what, both improved their stock big time this year.

Which possible first-rounders could return next season? We took four players out of our last mock draft just because there has been some speculation they could potentially return to college:

  • Chris Cenac Jr., C, Houston: I’d really like the fit with incoming freshman five-star center Arafan Diane in the Cougars’ front court if Cenac decides to return for his sophomore year.
  • Allen Graves, F, Santa Clara: I’d expect Graves to be one of the most sough-after players in the transfer portal if returns to college, and that probably means a multi-million dollar salary. Graves only played 57 percent of the available minutes this year and couldn’t help himself from fouling constantly despite incredible protection in a sixth-man role. I’d take him in the first if he enters, but spending a year at Kentucky or Arizona or North Carolina or Kansas sounds pretty cool, too.
  • Tyler Tanner, G, Vanderbilt: What if North Carolina went after Mark Byington and Tyler Tanner this offseason? Hey, raiding Drake for its head coach and star point guard took Iowa to the Elite Eight this year. I’d likely consider Tanner a top-20 pick if he enters this draft, but if he goes back to school he might be the best player in college basketball next season. I’m still mad his half-court heave rimmed out in the round of 32.
  • Ebuka Okorie, G, Stanford: Okorie went from the No. 119 recruit to a possible first-round pick during his freshman season at Stanford. This draft is deep with so many point guards that it may benefit Okorie to stick around an extra year and try to play himself into a lottery pick. He may cause an even bigger bidding war in the portal than Tanner and Graves do.

Who are the Final Four’s other NBA prospects?

It’s pretty incredible that there are eight projected first-round picks in this mock draft playing in the Final Four. That’s 26.6 percent of the entire first-round!

  • Michigan (3): We went over Lendeborg already. Aday Mara — a 7’3 center who can protect the rim in drop coverage, crush the glass at both ends, and throw some fantastic outlet passes — should be a first-round pick lock despite his scoring touch concerns. Morez Johnson is another obvious first-round talent in my book as the draft’s most versatile defender, and maybe also its best. Trey McKenney will probably be an NBA player eventually, but not this year.
  • Arizona (3): Brayden Burries is a likely lottery pick as a well-rounded shooting guard who fits somewhere in the Quentin Grimes-to-Derrick White spectrum (admittedly a super wide spectrum there). Koa Peat is probably (?) a first-rounder for his defense, play-finishing, and beefy playmaking, but his total lack of shooting makes him another player who could potentially return. Most outlets don’t have Motiejus Krivas as a first-rounder, but he’s so good protecting the paint, hitting the glass, and even making his free throws. He would be a huge second-round steal if he falls, and he’s another player who could potentially return to school.
  • UConn (1): Braylon Mullins will go down in history for the shot that beat Duke. He battled a couple injuries as a freshman and never really popped until his Elite Eight moment, but I think he’ll be a solid pro as a volume three-point shooter off-the-ball who can also score in transition and add some point-of-attack defense. Tarris Reed has been UConn’s best player on this run, and could be an early second-round pick. Alex Karaban is another possible second-rounder this year.
  • Illinois (1): Keaton Wagler feels like a lock for the top-10 as a 6’6 point guard with elite off-the-dribble shooting despite athleticism concerns. I really think there could be as many as six players on this Illini team who get at least a cup of coffee in the NBA. 7’1 twins Tomislav and Zvonimir Ivisic are stretch bigs whose size and shooting touch will draw some interest at the next level. I love David Mirkovic, a high-IQ, high-motor brawler on the glass who can handle the rock and shoot it off the dribble a little bit. Andrej Stojakovic — Peja’s kid! — doesn’t have his dad’s shooting, but he’s a good slasher and a fierce on-ball defender. Kylan Boswell is also a feisty defender who hits shots and moves the ball. Wagler is the only likely first-rounder, but the rest of these guys could play in the NBA eventually.

Do you like your team’s pick?

Wanted someone else? Let me know in the comments. It’s going to be an amazing Final Four. The draft lottery awaits on May 10.

Orioles minor league recap 4/2: Holliday doubles, Kittredge struggles in Norfolk loss

BALTIMORE, MD - JUNE 25: Andrew Kittredge #39 of the Baltimore Orioles pitches during a baseball game against the Texas Rangers at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on June 25, 2025 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Mitchell Layton/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Triple-A: Memphis Redbirds (Cardinals) 4, Norfolk Tides 3 – F/10

The Tides dropped their third straight game on Wednesday afternoon in Memphis. The pitching staff coughed up two different leads, the offense left 10 runners on base, and it was a mixed bag of results for the Orioles’ pair of rehabbing big leaguers.

Jackson Holliday led off, played second base, and went 2-for-3 with a double, a walk, and a strikeout. The former first overall pick is now 4-for-13 with an .862 OPS during his rehab. Creed Willems drove in two of Norfolk’s runs with a seventh-inning home run as part of his 1-for-4 game. Their other run came in on a Memphis error in the fourth frame. There was plenty of traffic on the bases for the Tides. They collected eight hits, four walks, and a pair of errors from the home team. But they wasted most of those chances, going 0-for-8 with runners in scoring position.

Brandon Young made his first start of the year. He was good, holding Memphis to one run on five hits, no walks, and four strikeouts over five innings. The short-term performances of Young and Cade Povich now hold added importance due to the injury to Zach Eflin, so it’s good to see a strong 2026 debut for Young.

The results from the bullpen were not as favorable. Andrew Kittredge made his first rehab appearance as he works through right shoulder inflammation. The veteran recorded just two outs, threw 19 pitches (nine strikes), struck out one, walked one, and gave up two hits. Cameron Foster impressed, striking out two over 1.1 perfect frames. Jackson Kowar allowed a run in his lone inning. And Enoli Paredes was handed the loss by allowing the extra-inning “ghost runner” to score after he walked the bases loaded, and then hit the next batter with a pitch to drive in the winning run.

Thursday’s Scheduled Games

Norfolk: at Memphis, 7:45 p.m. Starter: TBD

Chesapeake: at Hartford (Rockies), 7:10 p.m. Starter: Trace Bright (first start of the year)

Delmarva: at Salem (Red Sox), 6:35 p.m. Starter: Kiefer Lord (first start of the year)

The toxic fallout from the Alex Bregman debacle has the potential to contaminate the entire Red Sox season

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - JANUARY 15: Newly acquired Chicago Cubs player Alex Bregman speaks to the media during a press conference at Wrigley Field on January 15, 2026 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Geoff Stellfox/Getty Images) | Getty Images

On the night of February 13th, 2025, John Henry lit up a victory cigar to celebrate what would ultimately turn into one year of Alex Bregman’s services. Today, nearly 14 months later, Alex Bregman is gone, but the ashes from that cigar continue to catch fire and create new destructive flames on a seemingly daily basis.

Here’s where it all started:

Fast-forward to today and the 2026 Red Sox are out of a gate with an abysmal 1-5 record. Worse yet, the fingerprints of the failed Bregman negotiations can be found plastered all over it. Now, of course, there are many, many reasons for the Sox’ shameful start, but at least two of them are a pair of players who are on this roster specifically because the club didn’t want to commit to Bregman long-term at anything other than their price this past winter. And that’s really the point I want to get at here: The Red Sox need Ranger Suarez and Caleb Durbin to have solid seasons to have any chance of putting the Bregman fire out. They don’t need them to be MVP or Cy Young candidates, but they do (at minimum) need them to come close to replicating their 2025 campaigns.

To cement why this is the case, let’s take a look at the timeline since the start of the new year. At noon on January 14, less than 100 hours after the news broke on social media, the Chicago Cubs officially announced the signing of Bregman, which he also personally retweeted.

Less than three hours later, the Red Sox made their push to shift the narrative. Jeff Passan broke the story of how Boston decided to spend the money originally allocated for Bregman:

So now the money was spent, but not on the hitter they desperately needed. And the reason for all of this is of course because they decided play footsie with Bregman for so long that by the time mid January rolled around, all of the other big, right-handed, infield bats that might have been worth a damn to sign like — Pete Alonso and Bo Bichette — were already off the board. (For comparison, Alonso got five years at $155 million, and Bichette got three years at $126 million.)

So, instead, the Red Sox decided to use the money that was supposed to go to one of those bats on Ranger Suarez, and the whole thing just became this perfect encapsulation of what happens when you try to work it backwards and make the roster fit the budget instead of bending the budget to fit the roster’s needs.

But we still weren’t done, because despite most of the money being spent, there was still a gigantic hole left at third base. This meant the Red Sox had to trade from their new found “excess” of starting pitching to get the right-handed infield bat they still lacked. Not surprisingly, they probably couldn’t get through a conversation for any of the bats they really wanted without Connelly Early, Payton Tolle or Marcelo Mayer’s name coming up, so they eventually had to set their sights lower on Caleb Durbin as part of a perplexing trade that went down like this on February 9:

The Red Sox traded Kyle Harrison, David Hamilton and Shane Drohan to the Milwaukee Brewers in exchange for Caleb DurbinAndruw Monasterio, and Anthony Seigler.

And of course the cherry on top of it all is that Harrison is both one of the guys who came over in the Devers trade and the arm the front office deemed expendable after they used the Alex Bregman money to sign another starting pitcher. That’s the guy they used to acquire a young third baseman after they managed to fumble away both Devers and Bregman.

So make no mistake, these transactions are all connected, and this entire season is going to be a referendum on the radical reconstruction of the irregular roster left behind when the Bregman negotiations fell apart. Oh, and in almost poetic fashion, Alex Bregman and the Cubs will visit Fenway for the very last series of the season on September 25th through the 27th. The atmosphere for that three game set going to feel like a jury releasing their verdict at a murder trial.

But let’s get back to Suarez and Durbin specifically. They have to be good to prevent this Bregman thing from becoming radioactive. Not just because their presence here is so obviously connected to Bregman’s departure in 2026, but because literally everything else connected to Bregman’s arrival in 2025 has already turned into a flaming trainwreck.

There’s losing the second round pick of the 2025 draft for just one year of Bregman’s services. There’s Rafael Devers throwing himself a pity party after Bregman took over at third base. And then, of course, there’s the ensuing salary dump trade that’s left the Red Sox lineup with a noticeable lack of thump ever since.

But you know what’s crazy? Even at that point in the proceedings, this whole odyssey was still very salvageable. All they had to do was pay Bregman a fraction of the money they dumped in the Devers deal and hang onto the young guys they got back. Instead, they never met the moment when it came to a long-term Bregman contract, and have since traded away both James Tibbs and Kyle Harrison in highly questionable moves.

So far in the very early output of the 2026 season, James Tibbs has an 1.827 OPS in Triple-A, and Kyle Harrison looked great in his one start with the Brewers, which included eight strike outs in five innings of work.

And just to be complete here, the Red Sox are also paying $4 million for each of the next two years for Jordan Hicks, who was so bad in Boston after coming back as part of the Devers trade last year that they had to move him to Chicago over the winter in a deal where the White Sox will only pay for part of his salary.

So once again, as far as this front office is concerned, Ranger Suarez and Caleb Durbin have to be good! Because so far, literally everything else connected to Alex Bregman’s tenure here has turned toxic, and with both Suarez and Durbin being under team control for at least the next five years, the only way this story has a happy ending for the folks who set the wheels in motion is if these two guys end up being useful contributors to a winning baseball team. (No pressure though!)

And to be clear, these guys just have to be good, not great. The Red Sox don’t need Suarez to be a Cy Young candidate, they have Garrett Crochet for that. They just need him to be the guy that posted a 3.25 ERA over the last five years before he got his big payday. The Red Sox don’t need Caleb Durbin to fully replace Alex Bregman, they just need him to look like the guy who finished third in rookie of the year voting last season.

But so far out of the gate, Suarez and Durbin look a lot more like guys turning to stone in the continued curse of everything that touches the Alex Bregman web as opposed to guys who are ready to make a meaningful contribution to the 2026 Red Sox.

Now the flip side of this is Suarez has made just one bad start in a Red Sox uniform so far, Durbin is only 18 at-bats into his Red Sox tenure, and baseball has a habit of making anybody who says anything about the first week of any season look like a fool. But man, something about this feels ominous. Suarez was also terrible in his outing for Team Venezuela against Japan in the World Baseball Classic in which he gave up five runs in just 2.2 innings of work. And worse yet, this is a guy who is known for pitching well in big games and carries a 1.48 ERA in 42.2 innings of postseason work. When you consider how bad he was against Japan and that he was facing off against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, it’s minor miracle Venezuela got through that game and winning the tournament. Suarez was one of the big headline names on the team, and he played almost no role in helping them win.

Then there’s Durbin, who feels like he got the absolute most out of his ability in 2025. If he can replicate that, fantastic! But he also might be one of those guys who turns into a pumpkin as quickly as he showed signs of promise and can never replicate that near-3.0 WAR season again.

Either way, these are the stakes for Suarez, Durbin, the front office, and this entire 2026 Red Sox season. Both the team and most of its main characters have gotten off to about as bad of a start imaginable, but I don’t want to start shoveling dirt on them quite yet. Baseball has a funny way of sometimes making the first week nothing more than a mirage and dealing out the exact opposite hand for the rest of the summer. For instance, just last season the Brewers (Durbin’s old team), gave up 46 runs in their first four games en route to an 0-4 start. They then of course went on to win 97 games and had the lowest ERA of any team in the National League.

This is classic baseball! It will scare you with fake monsters while hiding the real ones for later in the proceedings. Who knows, two weeks from now we might be singing the praises of both Suarez and Durbin and talking about how bad Bregman looks in Chicago. But until or unless that happens, we’re going to be left to confront the fallout from those fateful winter nights when Alex Bregman came into and left the Red Sox organization.

What the Cooper Pratt extension tells us about the Brewers’ future

Milwaukee Brewers infielder Cooper Pratt sits in the dugout during spring training workouts Saturday, February 15, 2025, at the American Family Fields of Phoenix in Phoenix, Arizona. | Dave Kallmann / Milwaukee Journal Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

When Cooper Pratt reportedly agreed to an eight-year extension (with two additional option years) with the Brewers earlier this week, it came as quite a shock. These types of deals aren’t completely unheard of, even within the organization; when Jackson Chourio signed his big extension before the 2024 season, he’d played a grand total of six games above Double-A, which is three more than the number of games Pratt had played at Triple-A when news of the extension broke. Colt Emerson of the Mariners signed a Chourio-like extension this week: he has not debuted yet, and may not for some time.

But there’s a difference. When Chourio signed his extension, he was baseball’s No. 2 prospect. Emerson, via Baseball America, is No. 7. Pratt, on the other hand, is ranked No. 50 by Baseball America, No. 64 via MLB Pipeline, and he is not in the top 100 on Baseball Prospectus. Pratt is a good prospect, but he’s not exactly a great one, and as BA’s JJ Cooper points out, the expected outcomes for a player in Pratt’s range do not exactly suggest “this guy will definitely be a star.”

Based on Cooper’s chart, the most likely outcome for Pratt is that he’ll have a career WAR value between 3 and 10 WAR. The Brewers, a team without a ton of financial resources, just promised him a minimum of $50 million; I do not think that’s the outcome they’re looking for.

But not all prospects are the same. Pratt is an outstanding defensive player, so even if he never really learns to hit major league pitching, it’s not the same as if a corner outfielder never learns how to hit. Joey Ortiz earned 1.4 fWAR in 2025 while having an atrocious offensive season; that’s more WAR than Luis Arraez earned (via FanGraphs or Baseball Reference) in 2024 when he won a batting title.

Offensive Outlook

This deal probably signals that the Brewers think Pratt will figure it out at the plate. His track record is a little mixed; he looked great in Low-A and High-A in his first full pro season in 2024, but hit just .238/.343/.348 in 2025 at Double-A. There are a couple of caveats to that line, though: first, that wasn’t that bad for the pitcher-friendly Southern League, and translated to an above-average 107 wRC+. The other thing is that Pratt was very young; as a 20-year-old at Double-A, Pratt was nearly four years younger than the average player in that league, so the fact that he was above average offensively (while playing defense that won him a Minor League Gold Glove in 2024) is actually quite encouraging.

Pratt’s power hasn’t shown up yet, and it may never be a major strength. He’s hit only 16 homers across nearly 1,000 plate appearances as a minor leaguer. But he’s not a small guy (listed on FanGraphs at 6’4” and 210 pounds) and the Brewers may be banking that he’ll grow into it a bit. He’s also shown good patience (a 12.7% walk rate in 2025), and he cut his strikeout rate drastically in 2025 (from 20% to 15.2%), another encouraging sign for a young player who moved up a level.

It won’t take a ton of offense for Pratt to live up to the value of this contract over its lifetime. The average annual value is only a little more than $6 million, which, by popular estimates, means he needs only about 0.75 WAR per season to justify that value (even if this isn’t a perfect one-to-one comparison). Based purely on defense, Pratt should outperform that, and if he hits even a little, he could outperform it by a lot.

Logjammin’

But the arguably bigger question that this deal raises has to do with fit. Ever since it was clear that the Brewers had several high-level middle-infield prospects, we knew this question would need to be addressed eventually, but this commitment to Pratt — the third- or fourth-best infield prospect in the system, with Andrew Fischer charging up from behind and two controlled, relatively young established players in the big leagues — makes that question a little more urgent.

Jesús Made is the obvious pearl of the organization, and is a more-or-less consensus top-three prospect. He has a good chance at being the No. 1 overall prospect league-wide heading into next season, as the two players ahead of him — shortstops Konnor Griffin and Kevin McGonigle — will likely both have graduated by mid-summer (McGonigle is already playing for the Tigers, while Griffin is expected in the big leagues as soon as the Pirates secure the extra year of service time they’ll gain by keeping him in the minors to start the season, or they agree to an extension not totally unlike Pratt’s, if more lucrative). Jett Williams has played a lot of middle infield and is a little further along than Pratt. Luis Peña sometimes almost feels like a forgotten man, but he actually outperformed Made in the Dominican Summer League when they were both 17 and had a 139 wRC+ at Single-A Carolina as an 18-year-old. Fischer, who looks like he’ll keep playing third base for now, looked ready for primetime this spring, when he posted a 1.429 OPS in five Cactus League games and hit .357/.438/.714 in four games with Team Italy in the World Baseball Classic.

Add Brice Turang and Joey Ortiz to the mix — both still have three years of team control remaining after this one — and you can see the problem, even if that problem is a good one: there are too many guys.

The first thought is that this is a big year for Ortiz. His offensive approach has been better early this season, but there are no questions about his defense. If he hits even a little, he’s a useful player; if he can get close to the league-average offensive player he was in 2024, he could produce at a borderline All-Star level. Maybe the ship has sailed on Ortiz as a good offensive player, but he was a consistently above-average minor league hitter, and as we’ve seen with Turang, we shouldn’t necessarily write these guys off after one or two tough years in the big leagues.

However, Ortiz’s spot is also probably the most precarious. That doesn’t necessarily mean he’s on his way out with the Brewers, and he could become quite a luxury as a utility player. But he’ll also get a bit more expensive when he gets to arbitration next season, and his defense should hold value throughout the league. Whether he bounces back offensively or not, the Brewers are likely to check on Ortiz’s market after the season. If no deal that the front office likes comes to the fore and the Brewers are ready to move on from Ortiz as the everyday shortstop, I’m sure they’ll consider using him as a right-handed backup to all three infield positions.

It might be a little early to make this proclamation, but Turang is a star. He’s also likely to be very expensive in a few years; as a Super Two player, he’s already making over $4 million and has three more arbitration years after this one, and he’ll hit the market when the 2029 season ends as a soon-to-be-30-year-old free agent. While we don’t necessarily want to start thinking about the end of Turang’s tenure in Milwaukee, for the purposes of this exercise, we should at least acknowledge the possibility that Turang might play three more seasons in Milwaukee and then gets traded a year before he hits free agency.

Even still, that clogs up one of the Brewers’ three infield spots for the next three years, limiting opportunities for others. Third base is another question: it’s likely spoken for this season, with Luis Rengifo and David Hamilton (though a later-season opportunity for a younger player there, particularly if there are any injuries, does seem possible), but there’s a likely opening there beyond 2026.

So what are some options?

The first step is to build a defensive hierarchy. Turang is at the top of the heap at second base and should stay there as long as he’s on the team. Ortiz, Pratt, Made, Williams, and Peña all play shortstop, though the writing has been on the wall for Peña for a while, and basically as soon as Williams was traded to Milwaukee, people started speculating about where he’d move. Made’s defensive reputation is pretty good, but his added weight this season might precipitate a move to third base. Ortiz, as a proven defensive stud, is ahead of Pratt, but it doesn’t seem like the Brewers think there will be much of a step down defensively if and when Pratt takes over at the position. Fischer seems like a capable third baseman, but probably not as good as any of these other options, and first base may be in his future.

So even if we shift Made to third base and Fischer to first, we have to consider alternatives. Williams has played way more shortstop than anything else as a minor leaguer, but he also doesn’t have quite the same defensive reputation that these others do, and he did play a decent amount of center field last season. Peña has never played the outfield, but he’s a 70-grade runner, and probably could play the outfield. The Brewers don’t have the same organizational depth in the outfield as they do in the infield, and switches for Williams and Peña might benefit all parties. That’s something to keep an eye on moving forward.

Looking down the road, then, it requires a lot of projection (and here’s where I’ll remind you that it’s unlikely that all of these players work out as useful big leaguers, no matter how promising they are now), but you could see some sort of alignment in a couple years like this:

1B: Fischer
2B: Turang
3B: Made
SS: Pratt/Ortiz
OF: Jackson Chourio
OF: Sal Frelick
OF: Williams/Peña

That would get all of these prized prospects into the lineup — and who knows, the Brewers may not have to worry about squeezing all of these guys in at once, as Peña, for instance, will still only be 21 in two years, and he’d still be a young debutant if Milwaukee just waited three years, traded Turang, and then installed Peña as the starting second baseman heading into 2029.

These questions don’t all need to get answered today, but the guarantee of money to Pratt makes his arrival in the big leagues feel closer than ever. We know that Williams is already on the doorstep. We probably won’t see Made, Peña, or Fischer this season, but if Made really is on the Chourio track, that would line him up for the beginning of 2027.

To reiterate, this is not a bad problem. But at some point, decisions will need to be made, both by those closer to the field and those further away from it. Will positional changes provide the necessary relief, and will those changes go smoothly? Could a blockbuster trade be in the cards? (A related question: Does the eight-to-ten-year extension the Brewers just gave Pratt increase his trade value?) There are a lot of different ways that things could still be addressed, but the Pratt extension makes the future of this team feel just a little bit closer.

Chicago Cubs news and notes — Boyd, Hoerner, Kikuchi, Suzuki

Matthew Boyd started against Yusei Kikuchi . The Cubs went hitless until the third, when they batted around and scored five runs. Jeimer Candelario did not have his best day at first base. Nico Hoerner lined a couple of tw0-baggers, scored, stole a base, and singled to boot.

Boyd had it going on. Ten strikeouts in 5.2 innings. He faltered a bit late. Hunter Harvey gave up a couple of hard-hit balls that probably should have been caught, and the Angels had the chance to make a game of it. They didn’t — the bullpen had it together. The team is 3-3, back to .500. Onward and upward.

Cubs 6, Angels 2. Leftover meatloaf makes great sandwiches.

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