The Tank Is Over. Are the Champagnie Minutes Coming?

WASHINGTON, DC - APRIL 9: Justin Champagnie #9 of the Washington Wizards drives to the basket during the game against the Chicago Bulls on April 9, 2026 at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Stephen Gosling/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

The Washington Wizards’ second most productive player last season was someone they acquired with a 10-day contract in Febuary of 2024. A couple weeks later, they signed him to a two-way deal. A calendar year later, they signed him to a four-year $10 million contract with a team option on the final season.

I’m talking about Justin Champagnie, of course. And Champagnie — despite haphazard minutes and an apparently eternal case of bedhead — has already outperformed the contract. Don’t be shocked if the Wizards decline that option so they can give him a better deal after next season. Well, depending on a big “if.”

When the Wizards start trying to win, Justin Champagnie could end up with a bigger role. | NBAE via Getty Images

If the Wizards hold an open competition for roles and minutes, I suspect Justin Champagnie would emerge as one of the team’s starting forwards. “Suspect” is doing some work because the Wizards have kept him in a reserve role while they gave developmental minutes to their draft picks.

Only thing: on a per minute basis, Champagnie has outperformed all of them, except Alex Sarr.

I kinda get the coaching staff’s reticence at elevating him. His game is more “four” than “three” though his size (6-6, 205) is more “three” than “four.” He’s somehow effective, efficient, and productive…and shot just 31.9% from three this season — exactly the same percentage as Bilal Coulibaly.

Basketball-Reference’s position estimator doesn’t know what to do with him. B-R guesstimate’s he spent 77% of his minutes at small forward or shooting guard. Drill into the lineup data and you’ll quickly see he played close to zero minutes at either.

Eliding the issue that traditional position designations are meaningless in the modern NBA, Champagnie’s real position is “forward.” He rebounds, defends up in size reasonably well, is a willing and effective screen-setter, and he has some of the requisite perimeter skills basically everyone except behemoths and freaks need. And the behemoths and freaks often need some perimeter skills too.

Last season, the Wizards entered the season with Champagnie firmly planted on the bench. He didn’t surpass six minutes until the sixth game of the season. After a couple strong games in limited minutes, he returned to single digit playing time for three more games. The on-court time got more steady after that, but he went over 30 minutes just five times all season.

This season, Champagnie set new per possession career bests in points, rebounds, assists, steals, and blocks. He set a new low in turnovers (just 1.5 per 100 possessions) and a new high in offensive rating (nearly 10 points per possessions better than average).

And while I’ve previously cited research to explain away the lack of plus/minus impact from his younger teammates, the Wizards have been better each of the past two seasons with Champagnie on the floor — +3.5 per 100 possessions last season, and +4.8 the year before.

This is not to say the Wizards have been good with him out there. They’ve been -9.0 or worse both seasons. It’s more accurate to say they’ve been less awful when he plays.

Don’t get me wrong: I don’t think Champagnie is a viable starting forward on a good team. He’d be a valuable rotation guy on a good team — a seventh or eighth man who will make a bunch of right plays, avoid mistakes, and rise to the intensity of truly competitive basketball.

And I think there’s a better than 50/50 chance that he’ll take minutes from more celebrated teammates in a fair competition.

Below is Champagnie’s performance ekg for this season. The graph suggests a greater level of consistency than the game-to-game data shows. The 5-game, 10-game, 20-game, and full season rolling PPA scores were relatively consistent, but his score in my consistency index was 84 — about the same as Sarr’s. That’s much more consistent than Coulibaly’s or Kyshawn George’s. I suspect the consistency of his production would improve with a more consistent diet of minutes.

If there’s one thing on Champagnie’s page in the spreadsheet to worry about, it’s a relative lack of high-end games. This season, he had just six games with a PPA over 200, and 17 over 150.

If I had to add one more thing, it’d be that his overall PPA score (105) this season was just around average.

Okay, there’s one final thing: this was his age 24 season, right at the end of the age grouping when players typically make their biggest leaps forward. From 25 forward, improvement tends to be more incremental before beginning to decline in their late 20s and early 30s. And then there’s often a cliff (at least traditionally) at ages 32-33.

That’s jumping ahead quite a bit — the point here is that he’s at an age where “what you see is what you get” is more likely than not. That’s not bad. Words I’d use to describe what he’s done the past couple years are ones like decent and competent. I’m hopeful guys like George and Coulibaly are able to relegate him to the bench.

But my guess is when they’re battling for postseason seeding or they’re in the playoffs, Champagnie will be out there in high-leverage situations and one or more of his more ballyhooed teammates will be watching from the sidelines.

The Mavericks 2025-26 season review: December

SAN ANTONIO, TX - APRIL 10: Cooper Flagg #32 of the Dallas Mavericks looks on during the game against the San Antonio Spurs on April 10, 2026 at the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photos by Brandon Todd/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

In our last installment, we took a look at the start of the season. The Mavericks lost their starting center, fired their GM and gave Cooper Flagg plenty of burn as a point guard. As December rolled in, Flagg was already showing exponential improvement and Anthony Davis returned to the lineup after missing 15 out of 16 November games.

December Record: 6-7 (12-22 overall)

The Mavericks opened the month with back-to-back wins, the first of which came against the Denver Nuggets. Dallas won four of their first five games in December, and five of their first seven. Suddenly, fans started picking up vibes that the Mavs may be finding their way and could ultimately make a push for the PlayIn Tournament or better. The wins weren’t due to a soft schedule either, as Dallas got the best of the Houston Rockets and Detroit Pistons during this stretch. Then they lost five of their final six games of the month, with the sole victory ironically coming against Denver for a second time in three weeks. The stumble robbed the Mavs of momentum as they entered the new year ten games under .500.

Flagg’s first 40-point game

In an overtime loss to the Utah Jazz on December 15, Flagg scored a point per minute played. He poured in 42 points on 13-for-27 shooting from the floor and 15-for-20 from the free throw line. It may seem like the feat deserves an asterisk for being an OT game, but Flagg actually hit the 40-point mark in regulation. He was still a week shy of turning 19 years old at the time, making this effort even more amazing. Flagg’s game was developing at a rapid pace right before our eyes, with this gem being the highlight to that point.

The emergence of Ryan Nembhard

Nembhard went from a player who did not play a single minute in 13 of the Mavericks’ first 21 games, to a starter in all 13 December contests. During the stretch, he averaged 9.2 points and 6.8 rebounds per game. He double-doubled on points and assists on three occasions and scored in double figures six times. Although his season overall was up-and-down, he proved a capable floor general when needed and helped bring a semblance of balance to a lineup that was often anything but.

Anthony Davis’ back-to-back 30-point games

Davis gave himself an early Christmas present with two of the best games he played in a Mavericks’ uniform. In a loss to the New Orleans Pelicans on December 22, he dropped in 35 points, then followed it up the next night in the aforementioned win over Denver with 31 more. Combined across the two games, Davis scored 66 points on 60% shooting from the floor, to go along with 26 rebounds, six assists, four steals and a blocked shot. Davis was as dominant as he had ever been in his short time with the Mavs. Across those same two games, Flagg scored a combined 49 points of his own, matching Davis’ 30-plus point outing with 33 against Denver. It was a brief glimpse of how effectively Davis and Flagg could play together against a good team, however it wasn’t meant to last, as we’ll see next time when we take a look at January.

I invite you to follow me @_80MPH on X, and check back often at Mavs Moneyball for all the latest on the Dallas Mavericks.

Cubs 7, Rangers 1: Ben Brown’s great start helps the winning streak reach 10

All year, the Cubs have gone by a “next man up” mantra. Thus, when Matthew Boyd went down with a knee injury this week, Ben Brown was tabbed to make the start in his place. It was Brown’s first start of the year, and his past results as a starter have been uneven.

Like just about everything else that’s happened with the Cubs this year, Brown did his “next man up” job exceptionally well. Expected to go no more than three innings, Brown instead no-hit the Rangers for four innings. Michael Busch added a bases-clearing double and Seiya Suzuki homered in a 7-1 win over the Rangers, the team’s 10th win in a row. That, combined with losses by the Braves and Yankees, leaves the Chicago Cubs waking up this morning with the best record in baseball. Also, the 2026 Cubs are in rare territory:

Per the Elias Sports Bureau, these Cubs are the fifth team in MLB history with multiple distinct winning streaks of at least 10 games before their 40th decision of a season. The 1955 Dodgers, 1941 Cardinals, 1889 St. Louis Browns and 1880 Chicago White Stockings (Cubs) also achieved the feat.

And per Elias, the Cubs are also just the sixth team with a gap of three or fewer games between a pair of winning streaks of at least 10 games. That rare feat was also pulled off by the 1906 Cubs (one game, twice), 1897 Orioles (one), 1880 White Stockings (two), 1978 Pirates (two), and 1955 Dodgers (three).

Further:

We are all witnessing history… and of the best possible kind.

Now, let’s look at how this one unfolded.

With one out in the top of the first, Michael Conforto bounced a ball into the seats at Globe Life Field for an automatic double. One out later, Ian Happ singled him in [VIDEO].

That’s where the game stayed until the fourth. In that inning, Happ led off with a walk and Seiya Suzuki smashed his seventh home run of the year [VIDEO].

That ball: Crushed! [VIDEO]

A note on Suzuki’s blast from BCB’s JohnW53:

Suzuki’s fourth-inning home run extended the Cubs’ streak to seven games with at least one homer, a season high. Going into Friday, 11 other teams had had a streak of at least seven games this season. The Yankees had homered in 14 straight games; the Mariners, in 12; and no other team in more than eight.

There were 89 streaks of at least seven games last year, including ones of seven and eight by the Cubs. Twenty-nine streaks were at least 10 games, with a high of 18 by the Giants. The Dodgers had two streaks of 14; the Royals, one.

Brown was just outstanding in his four innings of work. He threw an efficient 46 pitches (31 strikes) and allowed just one baserunner, a second-inning walk to Joc Pederson. He struck out three [VIDEO].

I’ve been critical of the effort to make Brown a starter in the past. But this year, he’s developed additional pitches and has been much more effective in a multi-inning relief role. With a slot in the rotation currently available with the injury to Boyd, perhaps Brown can fill that place. An excellent job done in this one by Brown, whose season ERA dropped to 1.82.

More on Brown’s evening from John:

Brown is just the third Cub to start a game and exit after four no-hit innings — but the second in as many years.

On Opening Day of last season, against the Dodgers at Tokyo, Shota Imanaga was lifted after walking four and striking two.

Matt Clement walked one and struck out three at Los Angeles vs. the Dodgers on May 5, 2002.

That was the first such start since Monk Dubiel walked none and struck out one at home vs. the Reds on May 29, 1949. Under the hazy scoring rules back then, Dubiel was awarded the win, since the Cubs were ahead, 1-0, when he departed. They won, 10-2, as Emil Kush finished up, working five innings and allowing two runs on six hits and three walks, with two strikeouts.

Ryan Rolison relieved Brown in the fifth and walked the first two batters he faced. One out later, an RBI single by Justin Foscue made the score 3-1. At that point Javier Assad relieved Rolison. Assad’s second pitch was a wild pitch, advancing the runners, but he retired the next two Rangers to end the inning.

In the sixth, Busch drew a one-out walk and stole second. The Rangers have a reputation as an easy team to run on, so the Cubs took advantage. That was just the sixth steal of Busch’s 372-game MLB career to date.

One out later, Pete Crow-Armstrong bounced a ball into the seats, scoring Busch [VIDEO].

The Cubs blew the game open in the seventh. Nico Hoerner reached on an error, Conforto walked and Alex Bregman singled, loading the bases with nobody out. The next two Cubs hit into force plays at the plate, but Busch cleared the bases with this double to make it 7-1 [VIDEO].

Assad completed 3.2 scoreless innings in relief of Rolison, then just-activated Ethan Roberts entered the game for the ninth. He issued a two-out walk but then got Andrew McCutchen to fly to center to end the game [VIDEO].

Good pitching, the usual solid defense and timely hitting made this win very satisfying, and so, at least for this one:

Here are postgame remarks from Busch [VIDEO].

As mentioned in the clip, Busch saw 37 pitches in this game (the Rangers threw 187 pitches overall). That’s more than seven pitches per plate appearance, a sign of a really good, patient hitter. After a very slow start, Busch is batting .300/.413/.489 (27-for-90) over his last 24 games with three home runs and 21 RBI.

Here are Craig Counsell’s postgame comments [VIDEO].

So. The two 10-game winning streaks, sandwiched around a three-game losing streak, obviously make the Cubs 20-3 over that span. That’s three games better than anyone else in MLB over that time (Yankees and Rays, 17-6), and I’ve noted the other things the Cubs have done with the streaks this year, matching things that haven’t been done in decades or in some cases, in over a century. You are witnessing amazing history, something to remember forever.

The Cubs will go for 11 straight wins Saturday evening against the Rangers. Edward Cabrera will start for the Cubs and Jack Leiter goes for Texas. Game time is 6:05 p.m. CT and TV coverage will be via Marquee Sports Network.

Orioles minor league recap 5/9: Keys win wild slugfest on walkoff homer

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - AUGUST 08: The Baltimore Orioles mascot celebrates after a victory against the Athletics at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on August 08, 2025 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by G Fiume/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Triple-A: Gwinnett Stripers (Braves) 9, Norfolk Tides 1 — Game 1 (7 inn.)

You wouldn’t know it by the final score, but this was a one-run game until the last inning, the seventh, when the Stripers erupted for seven runs to turn it into a blowout. Reliever Gerald Ogando got torched for five runs in just two-thirds of an inning, and infielder Willy Vasquez had to take the mound for the final out, though he gave up two runs of his own. Before that, the Wells brothers (not actually brothers) were Norfolk’s pitchers. Starter Levi Wells worked 4.2 decent innings and gave up one run, and Tyler Wells followed with 1.1 frames. Poor Tyler was saddled with the loss despite being the only Tides pitcher not to give up any earned runs. He allowed an unearned run on an error by third baseman José Barrero, which broke a 1-1 tie in the sixth.

Just like the Orioles, the Tides managed just four hits in this game. A Barrero solo homer in the fifth accounted for their only run and only extra-base hit. Norfolk didn’t have a single at-bat with runners in scoring position. Not going to win many games that way.

Box score

Norfolk Tides 3, Gwinnett Stripers 2 — Game 2 (8 inn.)

The normally seven-inning doubleheader game had to go to an extra frame before Norfolk walked it off in the bottom of the eighth. Sam Huff’s RBI single plated the free runner, Christian Encarnacion-Strand, to salvage the split of the twin bill. The Tides offense put up a better showing in the nightcap with nine hits, eight of them singles. Center fielder Jud Fabian was 1-for-3 with a walk from the leadoff spot and also threw out a runner at home.

At any given moment I can never remember whether Albert Suárez is in the minors or in the Orioles’ bullpen, but apparently the answer is the former, because he started this game for Norfolk. He gave up two runs in four innings. Andrew Magno, Ryan Long, and Enoli Paredes followed with four innings of scoreless relief. Long was particularly impressive, working 2.1 frames with no damage.

Box score

Double-A: Chesapeake Baysox 5, Altoona Curve (Pirates) 1

The Baysox delivered a solid performance both at the plate and on the mound, but the latter was a little better. Four Chesapeake pitchers combined to hold Altoona to just one run, starting with Christian Heberholz (four innings, one run), then two scoreless frames apiece from Daniel Lloyd and Jeisson Cabrera. Left-hander Micah Ashman saved the best for last by striking out the side in a perfect ninth inning. The 23-year-old from last year’s Charlie Morton trade has a 2.00 ERA and 33 strikeouts in 18 innings this year.

The Baysox offense produced nine hits and five walks, and might’ve run up the score a little more if they hadn’t gone 2-for-12 with runners in scoring position and left 1o on base. Even still, they got the job done. Frederick Bencosme went 3-for-4 with two doubles, Thomas Sosa homered, Adam Retzbach drove in two, and a rehabbing Jackson Holliday walked three times. That helped make up for a rare off night for Chesapeake’s two best hitters, Ethan Anderson and Anderson De Los Santos, who were a combined 0-for-9 with six strikeouts.

Box score

High-A: Frederick Keys, 11, Jersey Shore BlueClaws (Phillies) 10 — 11 inn.

The Keys are the most exciting O’s affiliate right now, and boy, they did not disappoint with this barnburner of a game. After blowing a late three-run lead to send the game to extras, the Keys rallied back from a two-run deficit in the bottom of the 10th and then another two-run deficit in the bottom of the 11th, pulling off a walkoff victory on back-to-back homers by Maikol Hernández and Elis Cuevas. Frederick is now 18-12.

It was certainly a well-balanced offensive attack. Ten different Keys batters had at least one hit. Nine of them scored a run, and seven of them drove in a run. Let’s start at the top of the lineup, where leadoff man Ike Irish had a hit, a walk, and an RBI. A rehabbing Reed Trimble mashed a homer. Vance Honeycutt hit a two-run double. The #7 and #8 hitters, Colin Yeaman and Leandro Arias, each had two RBIs. Wehiwa Aloy did not start but came in off the bench and struck out in both at-bats.

The offense needed to be good, because it was not a banner day for the Frederick pitching staff — specifically, the bullpen. Starter Yeiber Cartaya did great, throwing five shutout innings with one hit and six strikeouts, but a bunch of relievers struggled. Brandon Downer lived up to his name by giving up three runs, and Jacob Cravey coughed up four runs in the 10th and 11th but was bailed out by the Keys’ bats.

Box score

Low-A: Delmarva Shorebirds 3, Salem RidgeYaks (Red Sox) 2

This was another well-pitched victory for an Orioles affiliate on this night. Right-hander Christian Rodriguez, a 2024 tenth-round draft pick making just his second professional start, delivered a quality outing with six innings of one-run ball. He gave up eight hits, but struck out five without walking anyone.

The Shorebirds did all their scoring in the top of the second. Junior Aybar drove in the first two runs with a double and Braylon Whitaker followed with an RBI single. Three of the Shorebirds’ five hits came in that inning. They were otherwise quiet at the plate, but not on the basepaths, where they stole six bases without being caught. Whitaker and Aybar had two steals apiece.

Box score

Saturday’s scheduled games:

  • Norfolk: vs. Gwinnett, 6:35 PM. Starter: TBD
  • Chesapeake: vs. Altoona, 6:35 PM. Starter: Evan Yates (1-1, 6.33)
  • Frederick: vs. Jersey Shore, 6:00 PM. Starter: Kiefer Lord (0-0, 5.40)
  • Delmarva: at Salem, 6:35 PM. Starter: Denton Biller (1-1, 5.66)

How are we feeling about playoffs?

May 8, 2026; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Kyle Schwarber (12) celebrates with teammates after hitting a home run against the Colorado Rockies in the sixth inning at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Ross-Imagn Images | Kyle Ross-Imagn Images

Probably not the question to be asking after two consecutive losses, but it’s fair. The Phillies are 17-21, yet still maintain decent enough playoff odds by FanGraphs and Baseball Reference. They have played better baseball of late, which has at least made them more watchable.

So, how are we feeling about their playoff chances? The division crown is probably over, though miracles can happen. The third wild card is probably the one they need to be shooting for, so how do you feel about that? Are they still a favorite to make it in your eyes?

Late-Round Gold: The Best Cardinals Draft Steals This Century

Division Series - St Louis Cardinals v Washington Nationals - Game Five

Few things are more fun than an unheralded draft pick forcing his way into the Cardinals’ plans. Any draft pick has the odds stacked against them, but players picked outside the top few rounds have a vanishingly small chance of putting together a major league career. This week I found myself pondering whether or not Jalin Flores, a relatively obscure prospect in Peoria, was in the early stages of breaking out and setting a trajectory for Busch Stadium. There isn’t too much to say about Flores in particular, although I will say a few words in a minute, but this inspired me to take a quick walk down memory lane.

The Cardinals organization has a rich history of identifying talent later in the draft. Albert Pujols, of course, is the best example of this over the last three decades.  While the Cardinals haven’t identified another inner-circle Hall of Famer in the late-rounds of the draft this century (duh), they have been adept at identifying future contributors, and a few core pieces even much later in the draft. Let’s take a look at the best Cardinals picks in the 10th round and later this century.

2000 to 2004 

The early 2000s drafts were not as bad as I remember, but were mostly carried by high-round draft picks Yadier Molina and Dan Haren. The draft at this time had 50 rounds and the Cardinals drafted and signed a total of 12 players in the 10th round or later that eventually made it to the majors. Of those 12 players, three provided positive career fWAR.

Tyler Johnson is not included in the above table as his career fWAR was negative, but he was taken in the 34th round of the 2000 draft. While he only threw 77 big league innings, he etched himself in Cardinals lore by holding opponents to 1 run across 7.1 innings during the 2006 playoffs. Johnson ran a 12/2 K/BB ratio and teamed up with Randy Flores to provide an improbable pair of lockdown lefties at the back of the Cardinals’ pen. 

Another player not listed above is Terry Evans. Evans was drafted in the 47th round in 2001 out of Middle Georgia State University. He bumped around the lower minors for a couple of years without doing anything too noteworthy. In 2006, he was having a bit of a breakout season in Double-A as he had popped seven home runs in his first 21 games. At the time I was just getting into avid prospect watching, so I was quite frustrated when the Cardinals traded Evans to Anaheim for a seemingly washed up pitcher with a 6.29 ERA. During the regular season, Dave Duncan did not have much luck resurrecting his career, but come playoff time, Jeff Weaver pulled out a sensational run to help the Cardinals to the title. 

Anthony Reyeswas drafted in the 15th round of the 2003 draft. He was actually considered a better prospect than Adam Wainwright when they both debuted in 2005. Reyes had a disappointing rookie season in 2006, putting up a 5.06 ERA across 17 starts. He is remembered for his epic eight-inning performance in game 1 of the World Series when he allowed two runs on only four hits while outdueling Tigers rookie phenom Justin Verlander. What I had forgotten was that this was only Reyes’ second start of the postseason. After a brutal seven-game NLCS with the Mets, the Cardinals were out of pitching and had to choose between Reyes and Jason Marquis to get the start. While Marquis had a horrible season and did not pitch in the playoffs, it was still a gutsy call for Tony La Russa and the staff to go with the rookie pitcher. 

The most significant career of the early 2000s group came from another future playoff hero, Jason Motte. Motte was drafted as a catcher in the 19th round of the 2003 draft, but unable to hit at a satisfactory level, he was converted to a pitcher in 2006. The rest is history as Motte blitzed through the minors on his way to a 2008 debut in St. Louis. Motte will forever be remembered for recording the final out of the 2011 World Series and running a 2.08 ERA across 21.2 playoff innings from 2009 to 2012. 

2005 to 2011

Jeff Luhnow was hired as Vice President of player development in 2003 and moved to the player procurement side in 2005. After a horrible draft in 2004 that yielded no significant major leaguers, the late 2000s were critical in establishing the deep pipeline of talent that allowed the Cardinals to contend in the post-Pujols era. While there were big wins like Colby Rasmus, Shelby Miller, and Lance Lynn at the top of the draft, the Cardinals started finding real impact across the board. The positive fWAR players in this era were:

The fun started in 2005 when the Cardinals selected Jaime Garcia in the 22nd round of the draft. Garcia would pitch ten seasons in the majors while accruing 14.5 career fWAR. While Garcia battled injuries for much of his career, he was a critical piece of the Cardinals’ rotation, when healthy. The Cardinals struck again in 2006 selecting Las Vegas prep outfielder Tommy Pham in the 16th round. Pham spent parts of nine seasons toiling in the minor leagues before debuting in 2014. He has posted over 18 career fWAR including a 5.8 fWAR season with the Cardinals in 2017. 

In 2007, the Cardinals had seven late-round picks that made major league debuts, but the most prominent was Tony Cruz who somehow hung around for four years while posting -2.5 in cumulative fWAR. 2008 was more fruitful as the Cardinals found Kevin Siegrist in the 41st round. Siegrist had a short but productive career posting a 3.04 ERA across 276 games. His best season came in 2015 when he pitched in 81 games as the Cardinals’ primary lefty reliever and posted 1.3 fWAR.

It turned out that 2009 was the year the Cardinals hit the jackpot three times with late-round picks selecting Matt Carpenter (31.5 fWAR) in the 13th round, Trevor Rosenthal (7.8 fWAR) in the 21st round, and Matt Adams (3.6 fWAR)  in the 23rd round. 

To cap off the run, in 2011, the Cardinals took Seth Maness in the 11th round. Maness provided a couple of excellent seasons as Mike Matheny’s designated groundball specialist, but was only able to hang on for parts of five seasons when his already low velocity started to slip. 

2012 to 2015

After the epic haul in 2009, the Cardinals had much more limited success in the later rounds. The period after Luhnow left the organization and before Randy Flores came onboard yielded only two positive fWAR players in the later rounds of the draft. 

The big win in this period of time was selecting Luke Voit in the 22nd round. While Voit hit 90 of his 95 career home runs for other teams, he did bring back Giovani Gallegos in a trade with the Yankees. While the Cardinals had some excellent picks at the tops of the 2014 and 2015 drafts, not a single player even made a major league debut that was drafted after the 10th round. 

2016 to present

The Randy Flores era has come with plenty of great draft picks but the late-round gems have still been relatively sparse with only five positive fWAR players since 2016. After the abbreviated five-round 2020 draft, the 2021 draft was shortened from 40 rounds down to 20. 

In 2018, the Cardinals selected Kyle Leahy in the 17th round and signed him with a tiny $75K bonus. Leahy has not accumulated much fWAR yet, but his development has been a huge win for the organization as he has provided multiple years of good relief work and could start racking up value much more quickly if he can stick in the rotation. Nathan Church might have the best chance of shooting up the fWAR leaderboards. Drafted as a polished, contact-oriented hitter, he has improved his bat speed and power output enough that he has played himself into a starting role, at least for now. 

Looking ahead, who could join the list? 

With Church carrying the torch for the 2022 draft, there are some very interesting prospects coming up behind him from the last three draft years. 

Jacob Odle is probably the best bet to make a push from the 2023 draft. Odle was drafted as a strong-armed junior college pick and is still just 22 years old. Odle missed all of 2024 recovering from Tommy John surgery. He got his feet wet with 51.2 innings last year, but walked over six batters per nine. Back in Low-A to start the season, Odle has cut his walk rate from 17.9% to 12.2% and is striking out 28.9% of batters faced. While his numbers are solid, it is Odle’s stuff that has him on the prospect radar. His average four-seam velocity has increased from 94.2 to 97.2 MPH (topping out at 99.4 MPH). Odle has a solid pitch mix as he is throwing his four-seam, sinker, cutter and curveball all over 20% of the time while sprinkling in a changeup and slider here and there. 

Deniel Ortiz was drafted in the 16th round of the 2024 draft and has already progressed to Double-A as a 21-year-old. Unfortunately, he injured his wrist in his first game this year and has not seen additional action. Ortiz was ranked 21st in the Cardinals system by Baseball America coming into the year and will be looking to build on a sensational first season when he does return to the field. 

Jalin Flores, an 11th-rounder in 2025, is the only position player from the Cardinals class to be pushed to the High-A level. Flores has responded well by cutting his strikeout rate from 32.4% in Low-A to 20.6% this year. He has popped 3 home runs and is running an ISO just under .200 through his first 107 plate appearances. Flores is interesting because of his pedigree. He was a top-100 draft prospect coming out of high school. After a terrible freshman year at Texas, he rebounded as a draft-eligible sophomore putting up an OPS over 1.000 and bashing 18 home runs. After the strong season, he was again considered a top-100 draft prospect and again preferred the college route. A disappointing junior year allowed him to fall to the eleventh round where the Cardinals drafted him and gave him a slightly above slot $175K bonus. Flores is graded as a good defender and is still getting reps at shortstop as well as third base. 

So is Jalin Flores actually breaking out? It’s way too early to say. But 107 plate appearances of improved contact, plus the defensive versatility and the draft pedigree, are enough to keep watching. And if the Cardinals’ track record tells us anything, it’s that the guys worth watching aren’t always the ones you’d expect.

Was Michael Harris safe?

WASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 21: Michael Harris II #23 of the Atlanta Braves slides into home plate and scores in the fifth inning against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on September 21, 2023 in Washington, DC. (Photo by G Fiume/Getty Images) | Getty Images

You tell me.

A look at each team in the NBA draft lottery — and how it's gone for them in the past

A look at each team in the NBA draft lottery — and how it's gone for them in the past originally appeared on NBC Sports Boston

The NBA draft lottery is Sunday, with Washington, Indiana and Brooklyn having the best odds of winning the No. 1 pick.

The lottery began in 1985, when the New York Knicks received the top selection and altered the course of their franchise by taking Patrick Ewing. The format has had its share of changes since then, and there might be another coming soon, but for now the process should be pretty familiar. The top four selections are determined via a weighted draw. Then picks No. 5-14 are dispersed in reverse order of finish from this season.

Last year, The Associated Press reviewed each franchise’s draft lottery history. Here is an updated version — including only the teams involved in this year’s lottery.

___

Washington Wizards/Bullets

Lottery Wins: 2001 (Kwame Brown) and 2010 (John Wall)

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 2024; No. 3 in 2012 and 2013

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 1993, 1995, 2004, 2009 and 2025

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 14%

Details: Only 11 teams have received multiple No. 1 picks in the lottery era, so the Wizards’ luck hasn’t been all bad. But dropping from second to sixth last year was a blow. If their pick had fallen out of the top eight this year, it would have gone to the Knicks, but after finishing with the league’s worst record, Washington doesn’t have to worry about that.

Indiana Pacers

Lottery Wins: None

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 1985 and 1988

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 1986

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 14%

Details: Indiana was one of the worst teams in the league when the lottery began and narrowly missed out on Ewing in 1985. The Pacers’ pick this year goes to the Los Angeles Clippers if it is outside the top four.

Brooklyn/New Jersey Nets

Lottery Wins: 1990 (Derrick Coleman) and 2000 (Kenyon Martin)

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 1991; No. 3 in 1987 and 2010

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 1988

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 14%

Details: The Nets had just a 4% chance at the No. 1 pick when they won it in 2000, and they would have another top pick to their credit if they hadn’t dealt their selection away before the 2017 lottery.

Utah Jazz

Lottery Wins: None

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 3 in 2011

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 2025

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 11.5%

Details: The Jazz haven’t been in the lottery much over the past four decades, and when they have they’ve often been an afterthought. A trade gave them the Nets’ pick at No. 3 in 2011. Last year, Utah was in the top pre-lottery spot but fell to the No. 5 pick.

Sacramento Kings

Lottery Wins: 1989 (Pervis Ellison)

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 2018; No. 3 in 1991

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 2009 and 2010

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 11.5%

Details: Sacramento’s lone lottery victory led to a forgettable selection at No. 1, but the Kings haven’t had as many heartbreaking drops as you might think. Only once, in 2009, have they had the top pre-lottery position.

Memphis/Vancouver Grizzlies

Lottery Wins: None

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 1998, 1999, 2000, 2009 and 2019; No. 3 in 1996

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 1997, 2002, 2007 and 2018

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 9%

Details: Plenty of No. 2 picks but no No. 1s. In 2003, the Grizzlies moved up four spots to No. 2, but that pick belonged to Detroit because of a trade. Had Memphis moved up one more spot to No. 1, its pick would have been protected — and the Grizzlies would have had a chance to draft LeBron James.

Atlanta Hawks

Lottery Wins: 2024 (Zaccharie Risacher)

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 2005; No. 3 in 2001, 2007 and 2018

Dropped Out Of Top 3: None

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 9.8%

Details: The Hawks finally exited the never-won-the-lottery club two years ago, making good on a 3% chance to land the first pick. This year Atlanta gets either New Orleans’ first-round pick or Milwaukee’s, whichever is better. (The Pelicans are seventh in the pre-lottery pecking order and the Bucks are 10th.)

Dallas Mavericks

Lottery Wins: 2025 (Cooper Flagg)

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 1994

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 1986, 1992, 1993 and 2018

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 6.7%

Details: The Mavericks were one of the unluckiest franchises in lottery history before capitalizing on a 1.8% chance to land Flagg. Before that, Dallas had never once improved its pick position. The mid-1990s were particularly dire. In 1993 the Mavericks went 11-71 but dropped three spots to No. 4. A 13-69 mark the following season didn’t yield the top pick either.

Chicago Bulls

Lottery Wins: 1999 (Elton Brand) and 2008 (Derrick Rose)

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 2002 and 2006; No. 3 in 2004

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 2000 and 2001

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 4.5%

Details: The Bulls landed the No. 1 pick just a season after losing Michael Jordan. They’ve struggled to build a contender since then, but they’ve had their chances.

Milwaukee Bucks

Lottery Wins: 1994 (Glenn Robinson) and 2005 (Andrew Bogut)

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 2014

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 2007

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: None

Details: Neither of those No. 1 picks was as much of a game changer for the Bucks as Giannis Antetokounmpo, who was taken outside the lottery in 2013. If Milwaukee’s pick this year is higher than New Orleans’, it would go to Atlanta and the Bucks would get the Pelicans’ selection.

Golden State Warriors

Lottery Wins: 1995 (Joe Smith)

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 2020; No. 3 in 1986, 1993 and 2002

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 1985, 1988 and 2001

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 2%

Details: The Warriors were the lottery’s first big losers, receiving the No. 7 pick in the very first edition in 1985 after finishing tied for the worst record in the league. It wasn’t long before the NBA changed the rules to make drops of that size impossible.

Oklahoma City Thunder/Seattle SuperSonics

Lottery Wins: None

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 1990, 2007 and 2022; No. 3 in 2009

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 2008

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 1.5%

Details: Of the eight franchises that have never won the lottery, this is one of the luckiest. While in Seattle, the team moved up eight picks to get Gary Payton in 1990 and climbed three spots to select Kevin Durant in 2007. Now the Thunder have the Los Angeles Clippers’ pick.

Miami Heat

Lottery Wins: None

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 2008; No. 3 in 1990

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 1989 and 1991

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 1%

Details: The Heat have neither needed nor received much help in the lottery recently, but they could have used some during the franchise’s difficult early years. Miami dropped from first to fourth in 1989 after winning 15 games, then fell from second to fifth a couple of years later.

Charlotte Hornets/Bobcats

Lottery Wins: 1991 (Larry Johnson)

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 1992, 2012 and 2023; No. 3 in 1999, 2006 and 2020

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 1989, 2005, 2013, 2024 and 2025

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 0.5%

Details: Charlotte has had so many lottery appearances that it is not surprising the franchise has experienced some good and bad. Jumping six spots to get Alonzo Mourning in 1992 might’ve been even more important than landing Johnson at No. 1 the year before. The Hornets also moved up a whopping 10 spots to No. 3 in 1999 and took Baron Davis.

Los Angeles Clippers

Lottery Wins: 1988 (Danny Manning), 1998 (Michael Olowokandi) and 2009 (Blake Griffin)

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 1989, 1995, 2001 and 2004; No. 3 in 1985 and 2000

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 1987 and 1999

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: None

Details: The Clippers have had bad luck in a variety of ways, but the lottery has generally treated them fairly. Three No. 1 picks and six more top-three picks more than make up for occasional disappointments, like missing out on David Robinson after a 12-win season in 1987. Los Angeles has to give its pick to Oklahoma City, but the Clippers receive Indiana’s if it is No. 5 or No. 6.

A look at each team in the NBA draft lottery — and how it's gone for them in the past

A look at each team in the NBA draft lottery — and how it's gone for them in the past originally appeared on NBC Sports Philadelphia

The NBA draft lottery is Sunday, with Washington, Indiana and Brooklyn having the best odds of winning the No. 1 pick.

The lottery began in 1985, when the New York Knicks received the top selection and altered the course of their franchise by taking Patrick Ewing. The format has had its share of changes since then, and there might be another coming soon, but for now the process should be pretty familiar. The top four selections are determined via a weighted draw. Then picks No. 5-14 are dispersed in reverse order of finish from this season.

Last year, The Associated Press reviewed each franchise’s draft lottery history. Here is an updated version — including only the teams involved in this year’s lottery.

___

Washington Wizards/Bullets

Lottery Wins: 2001 (Kwame Brown) and 2010 (John Wall)

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 2024; No. 3 in 2012 and 2013

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 1993, 1995, 2004, 2009 and 2025

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 14%

Details: Only 11 teams have received multiple No. 1 picks in the lottery era, so the Wizards’ luck hasn’t been all bad. But dropping from second to sixth last year was a blow. If their pick had fallen out of the top eight this year, it would have gone to the Knicks, but after finishing with the league’s worst record, Washington doesn’t have to worry about that.

Indiana Pacers

Lottery Wins: None

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 1985 and 1988

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 1986

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 14%

Details: Indiana was one of the worst teams in the league when the lottery began and narrowly missed out on Ewing in 1985. The Pacers’ pick this year goes to the Los Angeles Clippers if it is outside the top four.

Brooklyn/New Jersey Nets

Lottery Wins: 1990 (Derrick Coleman) and 2000 (Kenyon Martin)

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 1991; No. 3 in 1987 and 2010

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 1988

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 14%

Details: The Nets had just a 4% chance at the No. 1 pick when they won it in 2000, and they would have another top pick to their credit if they hadn’t dealt their selection away before the 2017 lottery.

Utah Jazz

Lottery Wins: None

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 3 in 2011

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 2025

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 11.5%

Details: The Jazz haven’t been in the lottery much over the past four decades, and when they have they’ve often been an afterthought. A trade gave them the Nets’ pick at No. 3 in 2011. Last year, Utah was in the top pre-lottery spot but fell to the No. 5 pick.

Sacramento Kings

Lottery Wins: 1989 (Pervis Ellison)

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 2018; No. 3 in 1991

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 2009 and 2010

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 11.5%

Details: Sacramento’s lone lottery victory led to a forgettable selection at No. 1, but the Kings haven’t had as many heartbreaking drops as you might think. Only once, in 2009, have they had the top pre-lottery position.

Memphis/Vancouver Grizzlies

Lottery Wins: None

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 1998, 1999, 2000, 2009 and 2019; No. 3 in 1996

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 1997, 2002, 2007 and 2018

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 9%

Details: Plenty of No. 2 picks but no No. 1s. In 2003, the Grizzlies moved up four spots to No. 2, but that pick belonged to Detroit because of a trade. Had Memphis moved up one more spot to No. 1, its pick would have been protected — and the Grizzlies would have had a chance to draft LeBron James.

Atlanta Hawks

Lottery Wins: 2024 (Zaccharie Risacher)

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 2005; No. 3 in 2001, 2007 and 2018

Dropped Out Of Top 3: None

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 9.8%

Details: The Hawks finally exited the never-won-the-lottery club two years ago, making good on a 3% chance to land the first pick. This year Atlanta gets either New Orleans’ first-round pick or Milwaukee’s, whichever is better. (The Pelicans are seventh in the pre-lottery pecking order and the Bucks are 10th.)

Dallas Mavericks

Lottery Wins: 2025 (Cooper Flagg)

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 1994

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 1986, 1992, 1993 and 2018

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 6.7%

Details: The Mavericks were one of the unluckiest franchises in lottery history before capitalizing on a 1.8% chance to land Flagg. Before that, Dallas had never once improved its pick position. The mid-1990s were particularly dire. In 1993 the Mavericks went 11-71 but dropped three spots to No. 4. A 13-69 mark the following season didn’t yield the top pick either.

Chicago Bulls

Lottery Wins: 1999 (Elton Brand) and 2008 (Derrick Rose)

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 2002 and 2006; No. 3 in 2004

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 2000 and 2001

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 4.5%

Details: The Bulls landed the No. 1 pick just a season after losing Michael Jordan. They’ve struggled to build a contender since then, but they’ve had their chances.

Milwaukee Bucks

Lottery Wins: 1994 (Glenn Robinson) and 2005 (Andrew Bogut)

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 2014

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 2007

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: None

Details: Neither of those No. 1 picks was as much of a game changer for the Bucks as Giannis Antetokounmpo, who was taken outside the lottery in 2013. If Milwaukee’s pick this year is higher than New Orleans’, it would go to Atlanta and the Bucks would get the Pelicans’ selection.

Golden State Warriors

Lottery Wins: 1995 (Joe Smith)

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 2020; No. 3 in 1986, 1993 and 2002

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 1985, 1988 and 2001

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 2%

Details: The Warriors were the lottery’s first big losers, receiving the No. 7 pick in the very first edition in 1985 after finishing tied for the worst record in the league. It wasn’t long before the NBA changed the rules to make drops of that size impossible.

Oklahoma City Thunder/Seattle SuperSonics

Lottery Wins: None

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 1990, 2007 and 2022; No. 3 in 2009

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 2008

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 1.5%

Details: Of the eight franchises that have never won the lottery, this is one of the luckiest. While in Seattle, the team moved up eight picks to get Gary Payton in 1990 and climbed three spots to select Kevin Durant in 2007. Now the Thunder have the Los Angeles Clippers’ pick.

Miami Heat

Lottery Wins: None

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 2008; No. 3 in 1990

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 1989 and 1991

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 1%

Details: The Heat have neither needed nor received much help in the lottery recently, but they could have used some during the franchise’s difficult early years. Miami dropped from first to fourth in 1989 after winning 15 games, then fell from second to fifth a couple of years later.

Charlotte Hornets/Bobcats

Lottery Wins: 1991 (Larry Johnson)

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 1992, 2012 and 2023; No. 3 in 1999, 2006 and 2020

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 1989, 2005, 2013, 2024 and 2025

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: 0.5%

Details: Charlotte has had so many lottery appearances that it is not surprising the franchise has experienced some good and bad. Jumping six spots to get Alonzo Mourning in 1992 might’ve been even more important than landing Johnson at No. 1 the year before. The Hornets also moved up a whopping 10 spots to No. 3 in 1999 and took Baron Davis.

Los Angeles Clippers

Lottery Wins: 1988 (Danny Manning), 1998 (Michael Olowokandi) and 2009 (Blake Griffin)

Other Top-3 Picks: No. 2 in 1989, 1995, 2001 and 2004; No. 3 in 1985 and 2000

Dropped Out Of Top 3: 1987 and 1999

Chance Of Receiving No. 1 Pick This Year: None

Details: The Clippers have had bad luck in a variety of ways, but the lottery has generally treated them fairly. Three No. 1 picks and six more top-three picks more than make up for occasional disappointments, like missing out on David Robinson after a 12-win season in 1987. Los Angeles has to give its pick to Oklahoma City, but the Clippers receive Indiana’s if it is No. 5 or No. 6.

Shaking a slump: How Garrett Stubbs' vibe could help Alec Bohm ‘reset'

Shaking a slump: How Garrett Stubbs' vibe could help Alec Bohm ‘reset' originally appeared on NBC Sports Philadelphia

0-for-31. That was the hitless stretch buried inside Brandon Marsh’s poor start to last season.

He landed on the injured list in late April with a strained hamstring. It was supposed to be his year as the Phillies’ everyday center fielder.

Marsh went to Lehigh Valley to rehab and try to find himself again. Garrett Stubbs was there. And what followed was less about mechanics than most people would assume.

“Nothing that he doesn’t already know — which is that he’s a superstar player,” Stubbs said. “When you go through those lulls, it’s hard to remember that. You get on hot streaks and sometimes you feel like you’re never going to get out. And then when you go through the lows, the same thing happens in the opposite direction.”

Marsh will tell you the same thing. The swing was not the problem.

“Physically, I didn’t really change much,” Marsh said. “I liked where my swing was. I was swinging at bad pitches. It was more in my head than physically. Stubby helped me out tremendously, just with the mental side going into the game and approaching your day.”

Marsh finished his rehab assignment with consecutive multi-hit games and returned to the Phillies on May 3. Since then, he owns the highest batting average among National League hitters at .311, trailing only Tampa Bay’s Yandy Díaz for the best mark in baseball.

Stubbs watched it happen up close. He knows what it takes to turn that kind of stretch around, and he has made it part of his role to help teammates through it.

“Coming down to Triple-A, letting the shoulders down, relaxing and just remembering how good of a player he is, regardless of what result was currently happening — that was a huge part of it,” Stubbs said. “It’s not always a mechanical thing. Sometimes it is, but there’s a big mental side to the game.”

Now, Alec Bohm is the one trying to find his way through.

The Phillies gave Bohm a pair of “reset” days on Thursday and Friday. He enters Saturday hitting .159 through his first 126 at-bats — the second-lowest average by a Phillie through the club’s first 38 games since 1901, with a minimum of 120 plate appearances. His .433 OPS is the lowest by a Phillie through that same stretch.

The circumstances make it harder. Bohm is in his final arbitration season before free agency, and he is carrying off-field noise after filing a lawsuit against his parents, alleging financial mismanagement. The Phillies need the hitter they have seen before, though.

There is reason to believe he is still there. Last season, through his first 94 plate appearances, Bohm slashed .198/.223/.264 with no home runs. The rest of the way, he hit .308 with an .801 OPS and 11 home runs. His teammates have not forgotten that.

“He’s one of the best hitters ever to play the game. He knows he is. We all know he is,” Marsh said. “He’s going to come out of it and be better from it. It’s all going to be water under the bridge. He’s going to be fine.”

Stubbs knows the daily grind of a stretch like this from the inside. The attention makes it harder.

“You walk into this locker room and you see media members,” Stubbs said. “They look at you. They know what story’s going on. You’re not playing well. They know you’re not playing well. It’s just a snowball effect of pressure that consistently happens.”

The ways a clubhouse can help are not always formal. Stubbs, who goes by the “Chief Vibes Officer,” knows that better than most.

“It’s the moments in the locker room or on the bench — [Bohm and I] talk all the time,” Stubbs said. “It’s not always related to something serious. Sometimes it’s about going to play golf on the next off day. Blowing off some steam and hanging out with the boys, having a few beers and forgetting about whatever went on that day.

Through 162 games, you’ve got to have times like that where you take a deep breath and forget about the day-to-day.”

Interim manager Don Mattingly’s decision to give Bohm two days off came from the same place — not as a warning, but as a recognition that sometimes the hardest-working players need permission to step back.

“He’s been working so hard, hitting extra all the time,” Mattingly said Thursday. “I encouraged him to take a reset day from the standpoint of — grind, grind, grind, take a step back. And then we get back after it.”

The Phillies are not simply waiting for things to turn. Mattingly said Kevin Long, the hitting group, the front office and others have been working through video and biomechanics, comparing the current Bohm to the version of him that hits the ball to all fields and drives in runs.

“Nobody’s just looking away, saying, ‘He’s going to hit,'” Mattingly said. “You’re trying to figure out solutions. Most of the time, a guy catches a feel, gets a couple of knocks, and then he’s off to the races. He’s going to hit, and I’ll believe that till the day I’m not on this earth.”

Stubbs, who considers Bohm a close friend, was careful not to speak for him directly. But everything he said about what a struggling player needs applies to what is happening right now.

“Knowing that the other guys in the locker room understand how good of a player you are — that is, to me, the most important thing,” Stubbs said. “Everyone on the outside doesn’t always realize how difficult it is to play this game. They also don’t always realize that we’re human beings, and we have family matters, whether they’re public or not, that happen daily, weekly, monthly.”

A year ago, Marsh was the one who needed to find his way back. Stubbs helped him get there — not by overhauling anything, but by reminding a good player that he was still a good player.

Bohm got his reset. The belief in the room has not changed. And neither has the memory of what Marsh looked like before it all turned around.

That is the point Stubbs knows better than most. Sometimes it starts with remembering who the player already is.

Round 2, Game 4: Preview, How to Watch and Game Thread

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - MAY 07: Jordan Staal #11 of the Carolina Hurricanes celebrates with teammates after a 4-1 victory against the Philadelphia Flyers in Game Three of the Second Round of the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Xfinity Mobile Arena on May 07, 2026 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Josh Lavallee/NHLI via Getty Images) | NHLI via Getty Images

The Carolina Hurricanes have the opportunity to punch their ticket to the Eastern Conference Final on Saturday in Game 4 of their second-round series against the Philadelphia Flyers.

If they can do it, they would become the first team since the NHL moved to having the postseason comprised entirely of best-of-7 series to open with two sweeps to start a playoff run.

Game 3 on Thursday was a close one until the Hurricanes’ advantage on special teams came up big, as a shorthanded goal from Jalen Chatfield gave Carolina a 2-1 lead it would not relinquish before Andrei Svechnikov buried his first of the postseason on a one-timer on the power play to make it 3-1.

Now, an overmatched (and banged up) Flyers team with its backs against the wall will take its best shot at forcing the series back to Raleigh.

Rick Tocchet’s crew will still be without key defensive forward Noah Cates, but it remains to be seen whether speedy winger Owen Tippett will be ready to draw back into the lineup for the first time this series or not. He’s been participating in morning skates, but has not been ready to go.

The Hurricanes announced on Friday that they would not hold a morning skate in advance of Saturday’s game, but that head coach Rod Brind’Amour would be available to the media a few hours prior to puck drop.

In terms of the lineup, Philadelphia’s attempt to mix things up after Game 3 was well out of hand could force Brind’Amour’s hand to dress Nic Deslauriers to serve as a deterrent against his former teammates.

When the Hurricanes were in a similar spot against a chippy Ottawa team in Game 4 last round, Deslauriers drew in for a banged up Nikolaj Ehlers, and it certainly didn’t hurt to have the veteran enforcer’s presence in the lineup on that day.

Frederik Andersen will most certainly get the nod between the pipes again today. The Great Dane leads the NHL in the postseason with a .957 save percentage and 1.02 goals against average.

A win today would make for a guaranteed lengthy rest ahead of the Eastern Conference Final. The Montreal Canadiens’ win over the Buffalo Sabres on Friday night means that series will last at least until next Thursday, and it seems unlikely that one of those teams is going to rattle off three straight wins over the other now.


Here’s how to check out the action…

Time: 6:00 PM EST

Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA

TV: TNT, TruTV with Alex Faust and Colby Armstrong on the call.

Radio: 99.9 FM the Fan will carry the broadcast from Hurricanes TV voice Mike Maniscalco and color commentator Tripp Tracy on the call.

Streaming: HBO Max app

Odds: Hurricanes -188/Flyers +155 Moneyline, Hurricanes -1.5 +134/Flyers +1.5 -164 Puckline, Total Goals O5.5 +118/U5.5 -144, all per FanDuel Sportsbook.

Joel Embiid alleges referee bias in Game 3 with 76ers’ hopes fading: ‘I guess it’s good when New York wins’

Joel Embiid believes the fix is in.

The 76ers center said, “I guess it’s good when New York wins” after pointing out the Knicks tallied twice as many free-throw attempts as Philadelphia in their 108-94 road win in Game 3 of the second-round series.

Friday’s physical contest featured the Knicks notching their most free throw attempts in the series with 32, while the 76ers attempted their fewest with 16.

Joel Embiid reacts to a call in the third quarter. Bill Streicher-Imagn Images

“Maybe [some potential fouls] was let go or not. They shot 32 free throws, we had 16. We’re not a team that shoots a lot of 3s. We attack, put the ball on the ground. I don’t know,” Embiid said.

“I guess it’s good when New York wins, so we’ve just got to have that mentality of just not fouling, I guess, and being smart enough to not put ourselves in a position where they’re going to take advantage of it.”

The 76ers find themselves in a 3-0 hole, and Embiid’s frustrations are seemingly boiling over after Philadelphia missed a chance to make this a series Friday night.

Philadelphia attempted more free throws in the first two games — 62 to 42, including a 34-17 edge in Game 1 — but did not receive the same advantage in what could have been billed as a must-win.

The Knicks’ high free-throw attempt total was boosted by Mitchell Robinson’s eight shots from the line, with the 76ers employing the Hack-a-Mitch strategy, but even if one were to exclude those from the Knicks’ total, they still would have finished with 50 percent more tries than Philadelphia.

Jalen Brunson, who has attempted at least eight free throws in all three games and 25 total, had more than half of Philadelphia’s total with his nine attempts.

Joel Embiid and the 76ers are in trouble. AP
Joel Embiid voicing his displeasure early. Reddit

Emibiid, who had attempted at least seven free throws in each of his five postseason games entering Friday, only had six tries in his 18-point, six-rebound performance.

Both Embiid and Knicks big man Karl-Anthony Towns — who played just 26 minutes due to five fouls — showed frustration with the whistle during the game.

Early in the first quarter, both Embiid and Towns fell to the ground while fighting for a rebound and Embiid could not believe the referees did not call a foul on the Knicks’ big man.

He then fouled Towns on the other end and demonstratively yelled at the referees.

Embiid was also surprised after being called for a moving screen in the second quarter while Landry Shamet ran through him with the Knicks ahead by 11.

One particular play that enraged the 76ers — and particularly their fans — came late in the third quarter a critical juncture.

After Philadelphia sliced the deficit to 80-76 with less than 50 seconds remaining, the referees called Quentin Grimes for a questionable foul on Brunson, who embellished the contact.

Brunson hit two free throws to push the lead to six, the 76ers missed two 3s on the other end and Landry Shamet then drilled a 3 to give the Knicks an 85-76 lead going into the fourth quarter.

The cruel reality for the 76ers is that even if one subtracts the extra free throw makes (10) from the final score, Philly still would have fallen short Friday.

And now they are one loss away from being eliminated by the Knicks for the second time in three years.

“Tough loss tonight,” Embiid said. “Got to take it one game at a time.”

Ron Guidry, Catfish Hunter, and the Yankees’ last “best rotation”

BRONX, NY - CIRCA 1970's: Pitcher Jim Catfish Hunter of the New York Yankees pitches during a circa late 1970's Major League Baseball game at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Hunter played for the Yankees from 1974-79. (Photo by Focus on Sport/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The date is October 2, 1978. With the Yankees down two in the seventh and two runners on, a light-hitting shortstop steps to the plate at Fenway Park. After fouling a ball off his foot, he turns on one.

Deep to left! Yastrzemski will not get it, it’s a home run! A three-run home run for Bucky Dent and the Yankees now lead by a score of 3-2. Bucky Dent has just hit his fifth home run of the year into the screen.

In a franchise whose history is chock full of indelible moments, this one ranks near the top. Dent’s soaring shot above the Green Monster keyed a Yankee victory in a one-game playoff against their most hated rivals, erasing what had been a 14-game division deficit and setting them on the path towards their 22nd title. Of course, Dent never would have been in position to make history if not for contributions up and down the Yankees’ roster all season long.

Here in 2026, Yankees’ starting pitchers are neck-and-neck with the Dodgers’ for the best rotation ERA in baseball. To be sure, we’re still in the early going, but with Carlos Rodón and Gerrit Cole set to reinforce this already exemplary group in the near term, we appear to have the makings of a special rotation. The last time the Yankees led MLB in rotation ERA? Nearly 50 years ago on that ‘78 squad. It was a top-heavy group, led by an all-world Ron Guidry. But the Yankees could neither have led baseball in rotation ERA nor mounted their historic regular-season comeback without the high floor provided by all the members of their pitching staff.

Let’s dissect the anatomy of a league-best rotation, starting with its ace. Guidry’s ‘78 season is the stuff of legend. After earning a starting role the year prior, going 16-7 with a 2.82 ERA, he transformed into the best pitcher in the game at the age of 27. He led baseball in wins (25), ERA (1.74), and shutouts (9). In particular, that ERA ranks third in club history behind a mid-World War II Spud Chandler season and a 1910 Deadball Era Russ Ford campaign aided by the emery ball. Gator also struck out 248 which slotted third behind Nolan Ryan and J.R. Richard that year but remained a Yankees record until surpassed by Cole in 2022 — a much more high-strikeout era.*

*For one point of comparison, when K% is weighted to adjust for the circumstances of the league at the time, 1978 Gator scored a 198 K%+, whereas 2022 Cole had a 146. It’s no shade on Cole, just a testament to Guidry,

This is the year Louisiana Lightning set a Yankees record with 18 strikeouts in a game (“holy cow!”), began a Yankee Stadium tradition with the two-strike clap, captured the Cy Young, and finished runner-up to Boston’s Jim Rice in MVP voting.

Tomes have and will be written about Guidry’s historic campaign (here’s a great piece by Mark Feinsand if you want a deeper dive). And while, of course, the lanky lefty’s utter dominance is the primary reason Yankees starters led the game in ERA, I’m going to focus more on the less-heralded supporting cast who made sure one of the greatest pitching seasons in baseball history was not for naught.

1975 was Bobby Bonds’ first season in pinstripes after coming over in a surprising trade for fan favorite Bobby Murcer. Despite going 30/30, it would also be Bobby’s last. Before the ’76 season, the Yankees made a controversial deal, shipping the established star off to the Angels for two promising youngsters who would become pillars of their late-’70s run: center fielder Mickey Rivers (an excellent player in his own right) and starter Ed Figueroa. Figueroa was a steady contributor throughout his time in New York who posted his best season in ‘78. The right-hander from Puerto Rico won 20 games while pitching to a 2.99 ERA, finishing seventh in Cy Young voting. And, in a season that saw injuries to some key starters, Figueroa joined Guidry as the only Yankee to stick in the rotation all season.

In what will become a trend, the 29-year-old performed much better in the second half than the first. He went 13-3 with a 2.46 ERA after the All-Star break. This included a season-saving performance in game 161. With the Yankees clinging to a one-game lead over the red-hot Red Sox, Figueroa twirled a complete-game shutout against Cleveland to help the Yankees keep pace, winning his 20th game in the process.

The mid-season boost may have come at least in part due to a change at manager. “(Billy Martin) treated me like dirt, a second-class citizen,” Figueroa recounted about his contentious relationship with the divisive Yankees skipper. “He has told people I’m gutless and cannot pitch under pressure. He never said anything good about me.” Conversely, he felt that Martin’s replacement, the mellow Bob Lemon, “treats me like a man. He lets me pitch to the hitters my way. I have more confidence with him.”

Behind the two stars at the front of their rotation, the man with the most starts in ‘78 was Dick Tidrow. A swingman who started just nine games the prior three seasons combined, injuries forced the 31-year-old into the rotation for nearly the whole year (he ended up starting 25 games). Despite going 7-10 in those starts, he pitched to a solid 3.83 ERA, keeping the train on the tracks as New York worked through quite a bit of turmoil. While Tidrow would pitch for six more seasons, he’d start just one more game, making the ‘78 season an unexpected but pivotal last hurrah for him as a starter.

Next up was a rookie named Jim Beattie, who ended up starting 22 games. Drafted in the fourth round in 1975 out of Dartmouth, the 6-foot-5 right-hander quickly ascended through the minor-league system, earning a spot in the starting rotation to begin the ‘78 season. And, while he was the weakest cog in the Yankees’ rotation for much the year, he was a more than capable number-five starter, posting a 3.73 ERA and 98 ERA+. Beattie’s shining moment came during the famed “Boston Massacre,” a four-game sweep from September 7-10 in which the Yankees outscored the Red Sox 42-9 and pulled even in the standings. Beattie started the second game of the set and, with two outs in the eighth, was on track for his first complete game and his first shutout. That’s when an error by backup catcher Mike Heath, who’d come on to replace Thurman Munson in the rout, led to two unearned runs and chased Beattie before he could finish the job. Beattie would go on to greater success with the Mariners before moving to the front office, serving as a GM with both the Expos and Orioles as well as a longtime scout with the Blue Jays.

The most ill-fated member of the ‘78 Yankees’ rotation was Don Gullett. A former first-rounder who’d burst on the scene with Cincinnati in 1970 at the age of 19, Pete Rose once said the fireballer was “the only guy who can throw a baseball through a car wash and not get the ball wet.” By the fall of 1976, he was a two-time champion and a seasoned veteran, signing with the Yankees on one of the first notable free agent contracts and posting an impressive 14-4 record. But his shoulder was starting to give out. He’d make just eight starts in ‘78 before undergoing shoulder surgery that would end his career at the age of 27. Years later, he continued to rue the premature end of his once-promising career:

I’ll always wonder what I might have done with seven or eight more years. It’s the goal of every player to get into the Hall of Fame in Cooperstown. I’m not saying I would have or could have made it. But we’ll never know.”

Still, in those eight starts, Gullett went 4-2 with a 3.63 ERA. In a regular season that ended in a tie, it’s certainly possible that his efforts to persevere for as long as he did through his shoulder problems made the difference in getting to game 163.

Seven others started games for the Yankees in ‘78. Six of them appeared in six or fewer games and factored minimally into the rotation’s ERA crown. The seventh ended up in the Hall of Fame.

By 1978, Catfish Hunter was no longer the ace who’d finished top-four in Cy Young voting four years in a row. Diagnosed with diabetes that spring, he was also plagued by arm problems and developed a groin surgery along the way. His nadir came on July 27th, when he allowed six runs without getting an out against Cleveland. “I was doubtful at mid-season if I’d ever pitch again,” he conceded later in the year.

Amidst this crisis of confidence, the Yankees’ team physician performed some manipulations to break up adhesions that had formed in the eight-time All-Star’s shoulder. He was a man reborn. Catfish allowed no runs in 17 innings across his first two starts in August and, in 11 August and September starts, went 9-1 with a 1.71 ERA. “When he had to have it, he had great stuff,” said Lemon, a Hall of Fame pitcher himself, admiringly of Hunter’s resurgence. “He was in command and was getting the pitches where he wanted them. That was a pitcher out there.”

With the chance to clinch the AL East in game 162, Lemon handed the ball to Hunter. He reverted to his earlier form, allowing five runs in 1.2 innings en route to a trouncing that set up the one-game playoff. In that game, while not as unhittable as he’d been for most of the season, Guidry kept his team in the game with 6.1 innings of two-run ball.

After Dent keyed the victory that day, the rotation was up-and down in the playoffs. Figueroa allowed eight runs without making it out of the second in either of his first two starts, doing little to refute Martin’s cruel barb that the pitcher could not perform under pressure. Tidrow was bounced to the bullpen, allowing one run in 4.2 World Series innings. Beattie acquitted himself nicely in two starts, including a pivotal two-run outing in Game 5 of the World Series that staked New York to a 3-2 series lead and netted him his first career complete game.

Guidry was in typical form, allowing just one run in each of his two outings. And Hunter gutted out three starts, culminating in nailing down the World Series clincher in his 22nd and final playoff appearance.

While you can never anticipate the kind of season that Guidry put up in ‘78, the Yankees have the type of front-of-the-rotation talent in Cole, Rodón, Max Fried, and Cam Schlittler to go toe-to-toe with any rotation in the league. As we’ve already seen, though, as injuries take their inevitable toll, a rotation’s success also hinges on its depth. The likes of Will Warren and Ryan Weathers have significantly raised the floor that can be expected from Yankees’ starters. It’s a potent formula for regular-season dominance that mirrors one of the greatest staffs in franchise history.

Can Mets save the season? This streaky young slugger will be key

PHOENIX — On a team littered with superstars, fat bank accounts and glossy resumes, there is first baseman Mark Vientos.

The New York Mets, with a payroll of $352 million, are led by Juan Soto’s MLB-high $61.9 million salary this year.

They have seven All-Stars.

And, here they are, heavily relying on their 20th-highest-paid player, earning only $33,750 more than the MLB minimum, to help lead them through these troubled times.

Vientos, the cleanup hitter out of necessity, almost singlehandedly won the game for the Mets on Friday night, a 3-1, 10-inning victory over the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field.

It was Vientos’ leadoff homer in the second inning homer that not only produced the Mets’ lone run through the first nine innings – but half of their two hits.

Mark Vientos had a disappointing 2025 after breaking in 2024.

And it was Vientos who hit the go-ahead, run-scoring double in the 10th inning for the game-winner, giving the Mets their fifth victory in seven games on this three-city, West Coast road trip.

“The cleanup spot, I love it," Vientos said. “It feels pretty good. I feel like I’ve been doing it for a while now.’’

The Mets, of course, still are in a world of hurt, thanks to a brutal 3-17 stretch that has them with a 15-23 record.

But, perhaps, they still have a pulse.

If they’re miraculously going to get back in the race, they badly need the 2024 version of Vientos, who hit 27 homers with 71 RBIs and an .837 OPS. He struggled last season, hitting .233 with 17 homers and 61 RBIs with a .702 OPS, and looked even worse this spring and in the WBC, playing for Nicaragua.

He came out of the gate hot  hitting .476 in the first seven games of the season but when the Mets went into a tailspin after the 11th game of the season, Vientos went down too, hitting just .160.

Now, after hitting two, two-run homers on their trip against the Angels, and hitting the ball hard but little luck in Colorado, Vientos came to the rescue in the desert.

While the Mets’ top of the order with Soto, Bo Bichette and Brett Baty went 0-for-12 without drawing a walk, and the entire lineup producing just two hits and one walk in nine innings, Vientos stood tall.

And, suddenly, that confidence is surging.

“I feel good right now for sure." Vientos said. "I’ve just got to be stacking the days, and continue to be consistent."

Said Mendoza: “This is a guy that when he gets going, he gets locked in mentally, and it helps him big time. He’s a very good hitter, and it’s just good to see him continue to have good results."

The biggest difference, Mendoza says, is that when Vientos gets balls in the strike zone, he’s not missing them. He has struck out just five times in the last seven games, and drove the ball to the outfield in each of his four at-bats Friday.

“He’s not missing good pitches to hit," Mendoza siad. “When he’s getting pitches in the zone, he’s doing damage, and that’s what he does best. He’s driving the ball the other way, but staying in the gaps, staying short at times, and just controlling the strike zone.

“He’s pretty dangerous, and we’ve seen the power over the years."

Certainly, the Mets are going to need him and all their mega-stars to perform if they’re going to be relevant later in the season. Soto, their $765 million man who missed two weeks with a calf strain, has just four homers and 10 RBIs. He’s hitting .148 in the first seven games of this road trip with only two RBIs.

Bichette, who signed a three-year, $126 million contract, has just two homers and 16 RBIs. He doesn’t have an extra-base hit on this trip.

Francisco Lindor, the $341 million shortstop, was hitting just .226 with two homers and five RBIs when he injured his calf. He’s expected to be out at least another month.

Jorge Polanco, who signed a two-year, $40 million contract to replace Pete Alonso at first base, isn’t close to starting a rehab assignment with his right wrist contusion. He was hitting just .179 in 14 games until his injury.

And you wonder why the Mets have scored the second-fewest runs in baseball.

They’ll also need more pitching performances like the one Nolan McLean delivereed giving up just three hits and one run in six innings, with four different relievers pitching four shutout innings, yielding just two hits.

“Hopefully," Mendoza said, “we can get things going here."

Considering their dreadful start, they’ve got no choice.

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This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Mets' Mark Vientos will decide if NY can get back into MLB playoff race

Rory McIlroy: if LIV golfers don’t want to rejoin PGA Tour, ‘that says something about you’

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Rory McIlroy is no longer opposed to LIV Golf players returning to the PGA Tour, but he said Friday that “it’s a question of if they do want to come back”.

McIlroy said the answer will probably depend on what happens with LIV’s financial situation in the coming months.

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