Jake Woodford’s Outlier Traits

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - MAY 28: Jake Woodford #46 of the Chicago White Sox throws a pitch against the Toronto Blue Jays at Guaranteed Rate Field on May 28, 2024 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Nuccio DiNuzzo/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Earlier this offseason, the Rays signed RHP Jake Woodford to a minor league deal with an invite to Spring Training. He has bounced around several teams over the last six seasons, throwing over 250 innings with a career ERA and FIP that both flirt with 5.00. On the surface, there’s little reason for excitement. But beneath those numbers are a couple of traits that stand out in ways the Rays tend to value, even if Woodford’s results haven’t yet been noteworthy. No doubt the Rays believe Woodford’s tools can be better optimized for success.

Offspeed Pitch

Woodford’s changeup shape provides a unique look to hitters. Below is a graph of how its vertical and horizontal break compared to other offspeed pitches in the majors last year:

We can see that it has significantly less ride and run than the average offspeed pitch, and this remains true when we account for arm angle and limit the pool to low slot pitchers in the 15-35 degree arm angle range (Woodford sits around 25 degrees):

Even with the adjusted averages to account for arm angle, Woodford’s changeup stands out among the rest. He lands it both in-zone and for strikes at an above average clip, so it’s something that batters need to be ready to swing at. The grip almost looks like an old-school palmball style or maybe a circle change grip.

Hitters aren’t used to seeing an offspeed pitch with this movement profile and it should induce plenty of awkward swings and poor contact in a larger sample. Here’s a fun video of Fernando Tatis whiffing on a Woodford changeup, and then checking the video board wondering what he swung through:

The pitch dies under his barrel late, not fading arm-side, but almost dropping straight down.

Four-seam Fastball

Below is a graph of how Woodford’s four-seam shape compared to others in the major leagues last season:

We can see that it takes on a cut-sink sort of shape relative to the average four-seamer, and like his offspeed pitch, it remains an outlier even when accounting for arm angle:

Within his arm angle bucket (15-35 degrees), Woodford’s fastball has less horizontal break than 87% of other pitchers who throw a four-seamer from that same slot. The vertical movement isn’t anything that stands out, but the VAA on it is as flat as other outlier four-seamers thrown by Bryan Woo and Edwin Diaz thanks to Woodford’s low release height and above average extension. The movement profile resembles some of the flattest four-seamers in the league, though obviously not with the same velocity.

His two-seamer is more of a traditional shape for his slot but seems like a fine contact-management type of pitch or something he can land in-zone when he needs a strike. It’s still a unique part of his arsenal when considering how it pairs with his offspeed pitch; the difference in horizontal movement between the two pitches is greater than 7 inches on average. Only five other pitchers in the majors (Yu Darvish, Logan Webb, Anthony DeSclafani, Fernando Cruz, and Carmen Mlodzinski) could match that kind of shape differential between their two-seam and offspeed pitches last season.

2026 Outlook

Expect the Rays to refine and optimize Woodford’s approach to each side of the plate. He played in three different organizations last season — Cubs, Yankees, and Diamondbacks – all with their own coaches and philosophies. Woodford would likely benefit from the consistency and clarity the Rays are known for across their organization.

Woodford has a wide range of weapons he can throw to both righties and lefties, so he should be able to effectively navigate a lineup multiple times in an outing. His ability to throw both fastballs to the glove side and land his changeup for strikes gives him multiple ways to navigate opposite-handed hitters.

The contrast between a cut-sink four-seamer and a vertically dying changeup creates two very different movement planes, making it difficult for hitters to square both in the same at-bat. When hitters train against common movement patterns, deviation becomes a weapon. The question isn’t whether the shapes are interesting; it’s whether usage, sequencing, and execution can elevate them to major-league effectiveness. Without higher end velocity, Woodford’s ability to mix his pitches and lean into his uniqueness is critical to his success.

I’m looking forward to seeing his usage rates and role in Durham this season. His lack of option years might make it challenging to roster him for an extended period of time in the majors, but Woodford has the traits of a viable sixth starter or multi-inning reliever rather than just another name on the depth chart.

MLB Spring Training Picks and Predictions for February 22: Ray Wins the Day for Giants

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It's the first Sunday of the 2026 Spring Training slate, with 16 games on the docket. 

My MLB picks have boiled things down to the best three bets on the board for Sunday, February 22. See why I'm targeting the Giants moneyline at a coin-flip price.

Spring Training predictions for February 22

Picksbet365
Giants Giants moneyline-120
Athletics Athletics moneyline-140
Dodgers Dodgers moneyline-125

Pick #1: Giants moneyline

-120 at bet365

San Francisco Giants SP Robbie Ray makes his 2026 Spring Training debut, and he had a sparkling exhibition season last year, going 3-0 with a 2.08 ERA over 17 1/3 innings.

Contrast that with Colin Rea, today's Chicago Cubs starter who had a 7.94 ERA last spring in limited opportunities.

Rea took on the Giants twice last year, and the results were not pretty. He authored a 9.31 ERA over 9 2/3 combined frames.

Pick #2: Athletics moneyline

-140 at bet365

Luis Severino had a forgettable campaign overall as the Athletics' ace last year, but his road ERA of 3.02 was nothing to be ashamed of.

The Cleveland Guardians offense was far from scary in 2025, putting up the third-fewest runs per game. 

Sutter Health Park was a hitter's haven last year, but the Athletics offense still traveled well, authoring 4.51 runs per game on the road.

The A's were sixth in the majors in batting average vs. lefties last year, and it's a southpaw on the bump today for Cleveland in Parker Messick.

Pick #3: Dodgers moneyline

-125 at bet365

The Los Angeles Dodgers have owned their rivalry with the San Diego Padres of late, going 66-40 since 2020, with a 12-6 record dating back to the 2024 NLDS. 

The Dodgers had a strong 2025 Spring Training, going 14-9 with a +15 run differential. The Padres, by contrast, went 12-17 with a -33 run differential in Cactus League play last year.

L.A. is trotting out a highly-touted prospect in Jackson Ferris today. His opposite number is Randy Vasquez, a solid but unspectacular rotation piece with a career 4.08 ERA. 

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Snake Bytes 2/22

Arizona Diamondbacks' Nolan Arenado (28) reacts after hitting a home run off Colorado Rockies pitcher Antonio Senzatela (49) in the second inning during a spring training game at Salt River Fields on Feb. 20, 2026, in Scottsdale. | Rob Schumacher/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Team News

Kelly slowed by back injury at D-backs camp
“I don’t have a concern level [yet],” Kelly said. “Because we don’t know, at the end of the day, what it is. I mean, the last week and a half, I’ve been throwing, been doing everything normal, and it didn’t kind of rear its head until today. So I’m going to take that as a good thing, the fact that I’ve felt it for that long but I’ve still been able to do everything.”
https://www.mlb.com/dbacks/news/merrill-kelly-has-back-injury-at-diamondbacks-spring-training

Diamondbacks’ Merrill Kelly getting MRI for back tightness
https://arizonasports.com/mlb/arizona-diamondbacks/merrill-kelly-mri/3612452/

Ketel Marte says he’s in great spot after difficult offseason, wants to win Gold Glove

“I’ve been working on my defense. I need a Gold Glove,” Marte said. “(Nolan Arenado) is gonna help me to win the Gold Glove, and we’re gonna be better with Nolan out there. Our infield is gonna be better, for sure.” https://arizonasports.com/mlb/arizona-diamondbacks/ketel-marte-offseason/3612021/

D-backs Pitcher Mitch Bratt Had Impressive Statement after First Starthttps://www.si.com/mlb/diamondbacks/onsi/arizona-diamondbacks-news/d-backs-pitcher-mitch-bratt-impressive-statement-first-start

D-backs to Get First Look at Top Pitching Prospect

https://www.si.com/mlb/diamondbacks/onsi/arizona-diamondbacks-news/d-backs-first-look-top-pitching-prospect-drake


Other Baseball


11 new players to watch at the World Baseball Classic
https://www.mlb.com/dbacks/news/players-with-statcast-data-to-watch-world-baseball-classic-2026

Memorable moments from the first full day of games
https://www.mlb.com/news/top-moments-first-day-of-spring-training-games-2026

Hall of Famer Mazeroski, whose homer won 1960 WS, passes away
https://www.mlb.com/news/pirates-legend-bill-mazeroski-dies-at-89

Anything Goes

This day in history:

https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/february-22

This day in baseball:

https://www.baseball-reference.com/bullpen/February_22

Cat jaws cannot be moved sideways.

They are mainly built for killing prey and can open very wide to ensure their kill. Cats also cannot easily chew their food. 

Avocados never ripen while they are still attached to the tree.

Avocados do not ripes despite physically maturing mainly due to the inhibitor located in the fruit stem. This makes it a convenient storage system for farmers. 

Spartans were so rich that nobody had to work. Ancient Sparta was an immensely wealthy country. Mainly due to their conquest and domination of their neighbors, the Helots. When a Spartan boy reached adulthood and became a man, the Spartan state awarded him with an allotment of public farmland. They also rewarded him with a constituent of Helot slaves to work it.



Jack Flaherty starts on Sunday in home opener against the Orioles

Detroit Tigers pitcher Jack Flaherty walks towards practice during spring training at TigerTown in Lakeland, Fla. on Friday, Feb. 20, 2026. | Junfu Han / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Well Game 1 of spring training is in the books, and let’s just forget that one happened, ok? The Yankees bludgeoned a chorus of Tigers minor league relievers to win 20-3 on Saturday. Yeah, it doesn’t matter, but nobody likes getting shelled out of the park.

The key notes on the Tigers’ side was a home run by veteran outfielder Corey Julks, who is in camp trying to compete for a bench outfielder role. Kevin McGonigle smoked a 100 mph fastball from Carlos Lagrange for a sharp oppo single and turned a nice, but fairly routine double play on a feed from Gleyber Torres. The veteran second baseman has been working with McGonigle since well before camp got underway, as each reported early and have been taking infield together the whole time.

Catching prospect Thayron Liranzo really does look like he lost, as claimed, 35 pounds since last season, and moved better behind the plate including pouncing on a little tapper down the third base line and firing a quick strike to first. Keider Montero’s command was pretty meh though he was also pumping a steady 96 mph and threw a couple of good changeups too. Right-handed reliever Cole Waites used to throw high 90’s heat, but returning from surgery he hasn’t found it yet and sat 92-93 mph on Saturday. Not a whole lot else to take away from that one.

Jack Flaherty and Bryan Sammons are both scheduled to pitch on Sunday against the Orioles, with Flaherty obviously getting the start. Tarik Skubal will make his debut in Lakeland on Monday against the Twins. Drew Anderson, offseason free agent signing, is also scheduled to pitch in that game.

Typically players get some days off the first few days of camp in particular, so we’ll see if McGonigle, Torres, Colt Keith, Max Clark, Josue Briceño, or Thayron Liranzo play on Sunday. Probably not, but we’ll likely see more of the Tigers regular lineup instead. We’re expecting to see Riley Greene, Spencer Torkelson, Kerry Carpenter, and Javier Báez on Sunday, but possibly they’ll just package those core players behind Skubal on Monday instead.

The Tigers heard everyone’s pleas for clarity on the cable/streaming situation on Saturday. There are no doubt plenty of details to sort out on all the licensing contracts, so we’ll have to wait for next week when the Tigers say they’ll have things worked out.

In the meantime, Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday’s games are all just on the radio anyway.

Good Morning San Diego: Padres, manager Craig Stammen notch first win; Jackson Merrill ready to make most of his time in Peoria

Peoria, AZ - February 20: Jackson Merrill #3 of the San Diego Padres comes runs to the dugout during a spring training game against the Seattle Mariners on February 20, 2026 in Peoria, AZ. (Photo by K.C. Alfred / The San Diego Union-Tribune via Getty Images)

The San Diego Padres handed new manager Craig Stammen his first win in his new position with a 10-3 romp over the Kansas City Royals on the road on Saturday. The Padres will have a chance to repeat their success against much stiffer competition on Sunday when they take on the Los Angeles Dodgers at the Peoria Sports Complex. Jose Miranda has been the breakout player for San Diego after the first two games and is making a push to be added to the Padres roster as a depth option off the bench. There are still plenty of games to be played this spring before San Diego has to make a decision.

Padres News:

  • Lincoln Zdunich of Gaslamp Ball takes a look at how the Padres will use the new ABS system. After two games, the Padres have had three successful challenges with the system from their catchers. Zdunich thinks the ability for catchers to know and understand the strike zone gives them the best chance to be successful.
  • Kevin Acee of the San Diego Union-Tribune has gathered news and notes about the Padres while spending his time in Peoria, Ariz. He touches on several topics including Miranda and the recovery of reliever Yuki Matsui. Acee added in a separate story that the Padres feel more prepared than they were in the 2023 season to deal with the impending absences for the World Baseball Classic.
  • One of the reasons the Padres feel like they are in a better place to deal with absences of players created by their WBC appearances is third-year star Jackson Merrill. In a report from Dennis Lin of The Athletic, Merrill does not feel snubbed by not being asked to play for Team USA, adding he will get there someday. However, Merrill is going to make the most of his time in Peoria and work on becoming the leader he and the team believe he can be.
  • Nick Castellanos has played third base and the outfield in his major league career, but the new Padres slugger is being asked to play first base in San Diego. Castellanos showed some promise with some difficult plays against the Seattle Mariners according to AJ Cassavell of Padres.com.

 Baseball News:

  • Minnesota Twins starting pitcher Joe Ryan was scratched from his start with back tightness, but the news came approximately 15 minutes before the start of the contest, which had many wondering if he was being traded.

AJ Dybantsa not worried about his minutes, says he'll play 40 if needed

BYU basketball star freshman AJ Dybantsa wants you to know he's got no issues staying on the court.

There's been a lot of discussion about playing time and availability when it comes to Darryn Peterson, the presumed No. 1 pick in the 2026 NBA draft.

The Kansas freshman has missed 11 games and has pulled himself out of games in the second half on occasion, causing many to question his perch as college basketball's top prospect.

Dybantsa, a rival for that No. 1 spot in the draft, offers no such concerns.

The Cougars star led No. 22 BYU to a 79-69 upset win over No. 6 Iowa State on Saturday, Feb. 21, finishing with 29 points, 10 rebounds, nine assists — and maybe more importantly, 40 minutes.

"If they need me to play 40 minutes, I’ll play 40 minutes," Dybantsa said postgame Saturday.

Dybantsa has averaged 40.5 minutes over his past four games (includes an overtime win over Colorado).

Peterson is averaging 27.2 minutes per game.

Dybantsa is averaging 24.9 points, 6.7 rebounds and 4.0 assists per game for the Cougars (20-7, 8-6), while Peterson leads the Jayhawks with 19.8 ppg.

They are the headliners of a super-talented freshman class that should dominate the summer's draft. It will be interesting to see how much NBA scouts value availability and whether Peterson can calm any fears teams may have.

AJ Dybantsa highlights vs Iowa State

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Darryn Peterson may worry about his minutes. AJ Dybantsa will play 40.

Rockets crumble late against Knicks, fall 108-106

Houston’s effective offense and solid board play allowed them to take a commanding early lead, going up to 18 points in the first three quarters.

Early in the fourth quarter, the Knicks were behind 91-75, but they totally turned the tide thanks to defense and clutch shots, pulling off one of their largest comebacks of the year. After Houston had a sizeable lead going into the fourth quarter, the Knicks began to run away with the game as Houston began to turn the ball over.

After being smothered for the first three quarters, Jalen Brunson made a midrange jump shot over Tari Eason to take the lead with 29 seconds remaining, tying the score at 103. In all honesty, Brunson really came alive in the fourth and had a tremendous final quarter. A jump shot that would have knotted the game was missed by Kevin Durant. Jabari Smith Jr. missed a contested 3-pointer after Houston grabbed the offensive rebound, causing the Rockets to intentionally foul.

Before Durant’s 3-pointer, Houston was behind by four points. Durant had another chance, a near half-court heave that missed, but the Knicks made one of their two free throws, sealing a heartbreaking 108-106 defeat.

Despite leading Houston with 30 points, Durant had a terrible fourth quarter, shooting only 2-for-7 and causing three of Houston’s nine turnovers.In the fourth quarter, the Rockets’ field goal percentage was 27.8%. After three quarters with 12 points on 2-for-8 shooting, Brunson finished with 20 points after making all four of his baskets in the last quarter. New York was led by Karl-Anthony Towns, who scored 25 points. Alperen Şengün and Jabari Smith Jr. made significant contributions that helped Houston manage rebounds and transition offense.

Rockets will look to get back on track Monday as they return to Toyota Center to take on the Utah Jazz at 8:30. As always, make sure to check back here at the Dreamshake for pre- and postgame coverage.

Nuggets vs Warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s NBA Game

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The Denver Nuggets travel to the Bay as they face the Golden State Warriors for the third time this season.

Nikola Jokic is generous to teammates in San Francisco, and my Nuggets vs. Warriors predictions expect him to rack up double-digit assists.

Here are my best free NBA picks for this Western Conference showdown on Sunday, February 22.

Nuggets vs Warriors prediction

Nuggets vs Warriors best bet: Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 assists (-135)

Nikola Jokic has had great success as a facilitator in the Bay, and he should easily clear his assists line tonight. Across his last five games at Golden State, Jokic averaged 11 assists and finished with 10 or more four times.

With 10.5 helpers per game, Jokic leads the NBA in assists this season. He's dished 10+ dimes in 26 of 41 games overall, and he's averaged 9.9 on the road. Jamal Murray is banged up, which could mean additional playmaking responsibilities for the Joker.

Nuggets vs Warriors same-game parlay

The Denver Nuggets sport the second-best ATS record on the road this season at 20-1, and the Nuggets are 12-9 ATS as the road favorite. The Golden State Warriors are just 14-15 ATS at home, and the Dubs have covered in just one of five games as the home dog.

The Nuggets' offense is the highest-scoring in the Association, and the team set a franchise record for points on the road with 157 in Friday's win over the Portland Trail Blazers. Denver has hit the Over in eight of its last 10 games, and Golden State has done so in three straight.

Nuggets vs Warriors SGP

  • Jokic Over 9.5 assists
  • Nuggets -6.5
  • Over 229.5

Our "from downtown" SGP: A Nugget party

Kristaps Porzingis finished with 12 points across 17 minutes in his Warriors debut, and he's expected to see his minutes tick up on Sunday. He can get one more bucket and clear this scoring line, especially in a high-scoring matchup with the Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Warriors SGP

  • Jokic Over 9.5 assists
  • Nuggets -6.5
  • Over 229.5
  • Porzingis Over 13.5 points

Nuggets vs Warriors odds

  • Spread: Nuggets -6.5| Warriors +6.5
  • Moneyline: Nuggets -240 | Warriors +195
  • Over/Under: Over 229.5 | Under 229.5

Nuggets vs Warriors betting trend to know

The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.20 Units / 39% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Warriors.

How to watch Nuggets vs Warriors

LocationChase Center, San Francisco, CA
DateSunday, February 22, 2026
Tip-off3:30 p.m. ET
TVABC

Nuggets vs Warriors latest injuries

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Mets Morning News: Checkmate

Feb 21, 2026; Port St. Lucie, Florida, USA; New York Mets third baseman Bo Bichette (19) plays his position against the Miami Marlins during the third inning at Clover Park. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images | Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

Meet the Mets

The Mets played their spring training opener yesterday and fell 2-1 to the Miami Marlins at Clover Park. Many of the team’s new faces took their first swings in a Mets uniform and Brandon Waddell pitched two scoreless innings. However, the Mets were held hitless until the fifth inning and didn’t score until an A.J. Ewing sacrifice fly in the eighth.

Francisco Lindor, who is recovering from hamate surgery, was not a participant in yesterday’s game, but his recovery is progressing.

Darryl Strawberry opened up to Anthony DiComo of MLB.com about his brush with death back in December—the second such incident in the past two years.

Back in the day, the Mets had a Cookie Club. Now they have a Chess Club and Sean Manaea is its leader.

“There’s a lot of stuff I can learn in the game, which is really important,” Bo Bichette said after making his spring debut at third base. “I’m enjoying the new challenge.”

Around the National League East

Phillies reliever José Alvarado is among the players who did not pass insurance protocol and will therefore be unable to participate in the World Baseball Classic.

Phillies owner John Middleton did a wide-ranging interview with The Inquirer, including about negotiations with now-Met Bo Bichette, about which he said he went “to bed at 11 o’clock thinking we had a deal.”

Marlins first baseman Christopher Morel talked about learning the new position.

Around Major League Baseball

Tributes continue to pour in for Hall of Famer Bill Mazeroski, whose passing was reported yesterday. Not only did Maz hit a walk-off home run in Game 7 of the 1960 World Series, he also was the first player to hit a home run against the Mets in 1962.

Twins pitcher Joe Ryan is undergoing an MRI after being removed from yesterday’s start with lower back tightness. The Twins will provide an update today on his status.

The Cardinals signed Ramón Urías to a one-year, $2 million contract.

The Yankees are dealing with a…stinky situation at their spring training facilities.

Yesterday at Amazin’ Avenue

A.J. Ewing is closer to the majors than you may think and you should be excited about it, writes Lukas Vlahos in his season preview.

This Date in Mets History

On February 22, 1966, the Mets traded OF Wayne Graham, IF Bobby Klaus, and C Jimmie Schaffer to the Phillies for slugger Dick Stuart. It didn’t exactly work out so great for the Amazins.

Celtics vs Lakers Computer Picks: Our Best Player Prop Projections for February 22

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Sunday night in L.A. brings one of the NBA’s marquee matchups, and we’ve run the numbers to find the edges.

These NBA player prop projections break down where our model sees separation between posted lines and expected output.

In our Celtics vs. Lakers predictions, we’re focused strictly on the props with real value — the ones that make sense if you’re building sharper NBA picks for February 22.

Celtics vs Lakers computer picks for February 22

Celtics CelticsLakers Lakers
Brown o28.5 points 
-120
Smart o7.5 points
-110
Pritchard o2.5 threes 
-112
Reaves o4.5 assists 
+125
White Over 3.5 rebounds 
-120
Doncic Under 30.5 points 
-120

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Celtics computer picks

Jaylen Brown Over 28.5 points

Projection: 30.5 points

This isn’t a thin edge — the model has Jaylen Brown clearing 30. When you’re getting a two-point cushion on a high-usage scorer, that’s meaningful. He’s carrying a consistent offensive load and doesn’t rely on one scoring lane to get there. If the minutes are secure, 29+ is the expectation, not the ceiling.

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Payton Pritchard Over 2.5 threes (-112)

Projection: 3.2 threes

Payton Pritchard doesn’t hesitate — if he’s open, it’s going up. He’s clearing this in most normal shooting nights, and volume isn’t the issue. With the projection comfortably above three, this is a rhythm-and-minutes bet more than anything else.

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Derrick White Over 3.5 rebounds (-120)

Projection: 4.1 rebounds

Derrick White plays bigger than his position when it comes to rebounding. He crashes from the perimeter and benefits from long misses in guard-heavy matchups. The model has him clearing four boards, which gives this a bit of cushion.

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Lakers computer picks

Marcus Smart Over 7.5 points (-110)

Projection: 9.0 points

Marcus Smart isn’t out there to score 20, but eight points is well within his normal workload. A couple of drives, a corner three, maybe a transition bucket — it adds up fast. The projection puts him comfortably above this number.

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Austin Reaves Over 4.5 assists (+125)

Projection: 4.9 assists

Even with Luka Doncic and LeBron James in the lineup, Austin Reaves handles enough of the offense to flirt with five assists on most nights. At plus money, you’re getting paid for a line that sits just below his expected output. If teammates knock down open looks, this clears.

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Luka Doncic Under 30.5 points (-120)

Projection: 28.6 points

Thirty-one is considered a light night for Luka Doncic, but tonight will be tricky. He can get there, but the projection leans toward a high-20s night rather than an explosion. If the defense shows extra bodies and forces the ball out of his hands, this Under has a path.

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How to watch Celtics vs Lakers tonight

LocationCrypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
DateSunday, February 22, 2026
Tip-off6:30 p.m. ET
TVNBC

Not intended for use in MA.
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Who does this fanbase overrate?

Jan 9, 2010; Philadelphia, PA, USA; General view of the exterior of Citizen's Bank Park, the home baseball field of the MLB franchise Philadelphia Phillies. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee/Image of Sport-Imagn Images

It has always been pretty easy for an athlete to come to Philadelphia and win over the fanbase. The only real thing that is asked is that the player play hard. Athletic talent is something of a desired quality, but there are plenty of players that have been embraced by the city that were short on that talent. Yet each time that happened, the player was one of those vaunted “lunch pail guys”. The ones that come to work every day, play hard, get a little dirty.

Good lord, I can feel the oiliness of sports radio closing in around me.

Still, there are players that this fanbase has embraced that were maybe a bit overrated. Players that maybe shouldn’t have been on the pedestal that was given to them. The reasons could be various, but whatever it was, that player was overrated just a bit too much. Who is one player that the fanbase has overrated for one reason or another? Could be any player from any era, but should be one that maybe we should dial it back a notch.

Orioles question of the moment: What grade would you give Elias for this offseason?

Baltimore Orioles owner David Rubenstein, president of baseball operations Mike Elias and agent Scott Boras introduce new first baseman Pete Alonso at a news conference at Camden Yards on Friday, Dec. 12, 2025, in Baltimore. (Lloyd Fox/Baltimore Sun/Tribune News Service via Getty Images)

You could make an argument that the Orioles were baseball’s busiest team this offseason. They did a lot!

Pete Alonso and Taylor Ward were brought in to add pop to the lineup. Blaze Alexander was a late addition to provide flexibility to the position group. Ryan Helsley and Andrew Kittredge should stabilize the bullpen. Zach Eflin and Chris Bassitt are solid depth for the rotation. And Shane Baz is an upside play that the team is seemingly very excited about long term.

But it was not a perfect winter. While the current rotation does feel a lot better than it did a year ago, the front office failed to land the bonafide ace type it seemed like they were targeting. The bullpen is also a huge question mark, including the new closer Helsley, who had a rough second half with the Mets. And the lineup has already been hit with injuries to Jordan Westburg and Jackson Holliday. Can the bench adequately absorb the time that they miss?

With all of that said, let’s present today’s question: What grade would you give Mike Elias for his work this offseason?

I would peg him at a B+.

The signing of Alonso is a big deal. Even though the team’s overall payroll hasn’t really changed, the willingness to fork over a bunch of money to a proven veteran that can help right now sends a message. It matters both inside the clubhouse and around the league. Alonso also brings a ton of power, which the lineup lacked in 2025.

And while the rotation did not get that one single infusion of top-tier talent, the overall group is impressive to me. They have six legitimate big league arms, two of which are Kyle Bradish and Trevor Rogers, who each have a recent Top 10 finish in Cy Young voting on their resumé.

My biggest gripe is the bullpen. I can see the vision for the current group, but I’m not totally convinced. It would be nice to have one more veteran that feels like a sure thing. Instead it seems like they might head into the season with a whole lot of potential and depth. At least a bullpen is a relatively easy thing to improve as the season goes on.

What do you think? Was it a near-perfect offseason? Or does the lack of an ace addition make it closer to a failing grade? Let us know in the comments.

Comparing the Cardinals: Will we “catch” a glimpse of the future?

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - MAY 12: Iván Herrera #48 of the St. Louis Cardinals celebrates with Pedro Pagés #43 after hitting a solo home run in the top of the sixth inning against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on May 12, 2025 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Cardinals defeated the Phillies 3-2. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Week 1: The Starting Rotation

Week 2: The Catchers. All of them.

My Comparing the Cardinals Spring Training series moves forward to the other half of the battery as this week, I focus on the six… or seven… catchers that are trying to force their way onto the next great Cardinals team when this rebuild concludes. Speaking of rebuilds, this week, I had Sean Anderson from CHGO White Sox on to compare the two teams and to talk progress of the Sox. If you check it out, you’ll hear some things that sound similar to what the Cardinals are doing right now, like focusing on the “undercarriage” of the car, rather than the body. I think it was a great conversation, but that’s just me.

Back to the ‘Birds.

The Cardinals’ catching situation can go multiple ways in 2026

Last season, Cardinals’ backstops combined to put up a season that ranked 15th in baseball and 8th in the National League in terms of fWAR. That group was lead by Pedro Pages, who played 104 games behind the plate, with Yohel Pozo chipping in 39 games, Ivan Herrera suiting up for 14, and prospect Jimmy Crooks getting his first taste of the bigs with 12 games at catcher. In total, that group combined for a 2.7 fWAR and an 88 wRC+ season, although it admittedly felt way worse than that, at least to me.

St. Louis went into the season apparently ready to give Pages and Herrera a split of those catching duties, thanks to Herrera’s bat being top of the league potential, and Pages continuously being celebrated for his ability to handle a pitching staff. At risk of sidetracking too far, I found it funny how much the organization put into those compliments to Pages from the pitching staff when Gray, Mikolas, and Feddde put up mediocre seasons at best and were not even going to be around the next year. It was an interesting change of pace from when the pitching staff threw Contreras under the bus when he was catching, but still a talking point I felt was overblown because of that expected turnover and the long-term outlook of the Cardinals.

While Pages was lauded for his ability to catch and throw the ball, the offense left much to be desired. Outside of an absolutely scorching August where Pages put up a wRC+ over 200, that number did not surpass 82 in any other month and even dipped as low to a -19 value in July. By the end of the season, Pages ended up with a 77 wRC+, but ranked 7th in baseball for his defensive value. To me, that type of season and his expected progression puts Pages in the backup catcher category for me: great defender, can run into one every once in awhile, but does not move the needle enough with the bat to deserve five starts a week.

Pages’ role in 2026 relies a lot on Ivan Herrera’s progression, both in terms of his catching ability and his injury rehab. The latter part is more relevant for the short-term, as Herrera is missing the WBC due to insurance issues and his arm recovery is cloudy. At Winter Warm-Up, Herrera said he had not yet been cleared to hit or throw at 100%, which was a little surprising to us in the audience. Since then, though, we have seen videos from camp where he has thrown weighted balls and taken some swings. If he keeps moving in the right direction, the Cardinals appear ready to put Herrera behind the plate to maximize his value as a 25-year-old with above-average hitting ability.

For this season, I believe this plan makes the most sense as the Cardinals sort through their roster depth and determine who has or does not have a future with the organization, either because of poor performance or to maximize trade value. In Herrera’s case, 80-100 games behind the plate with near league-average defensive numbers could launch him even further up the Top 10 Catchers Right Now conversation, as he already cracked the Top 100 across the league without a clear position. If Herrera can stay healthy and maintain his effectiveness with a near-everyday role, I believe that he could be an annual front runner for the Silver Slugger Award at catcher, and even earn some down ballot MVP votes. In the unfortunate circumstance that Herrera is either not healthy or ineffective behind the dish, I am firmly in the camp that should then force him to full-time DH this season. I understand and can partially support the fans that clamor for him to pick up a first base or outfield glove, but as we have seen, it is extremely difficult to learn a new position at the major league level. If he cannot handle catcher, then I am all about a position switch, as long as he begins some behind the scenes work this season and can fully focus on that transition during next offseason as opposed to when the games actually matter (for teams other than the Cardinals).

If Herrera did not work out, that would shift Pages back to his 100-110 starts behind the plate and open up a very interesting competition for his backup. Fan favorite and trimmed up Yohel Pozo is back on the 40-man roster on a split major league deal, but he was mostly used as a pinch hitter who finished the game behind the plate last season. He performed well in those spots, with FanGraphs showing that Pozo hit an astounding .533 with a 255 wRC+ in 16 high leverage plate appearances. Because of that, Pozo could squeeze his way onto the back end of the roster, regardless of the catching conundrum, and simply be that late game replacement.

The inclusion of Pozo on the 26-man roster could spell problems for former top prospect Jimmy Crooks. As the only lefty hitter of the group, if Pages were to be the starter, Crooks could work his way into a platoon role. This would allow Pages to still be there for the pitchers who so dearly need him, while also allowing Crooks to learn at the major league level and not take reps away from those in the minor leagues who need them. That is not to say that Crooks is a finished product, in fact, he is far from it. But with the progression of the other catchers in the organization, and the fact that Crooks has already made the majors, a move back down to Memphis could be seen as regression. The depth in the Cardinals’ catching setup is envious, and I also wrote a story earlier last season about how trading Crooks or Pages could allow the organization to start pushing the prospects up the minor league ladder and see who sticks, rather than play the waiting game with all three promising minor leaguers. For me, assuming Pages grabs the starting role for one reason or another, I am a fan of putting Crooks in that 50/50 split role as a way to 1. limit Pages’ at-bats and 2. keep Crooks fresh but also seeing consistent enough playing time for a rookie backstop who has to manage a pitching staff and learn to hit MLB pitches.

The FIFTH and final catcher on the St. Louis 40-man is switch-hitting catcher Leonardo Bernal, who has put together an impressive resume since being signed out of Panama and debuting as a 17-year-old. I would say I am more excited for Bernal than Crooks, and that is not meant to discredit the solid MLB player I believe Crooks will develop into. It is a testament to Bernal, who took the challenge of becoming an improved receiver behind the plate and went a step further. At the end of last season, the switch-hitter won the Minor League Gold Glove Award for the work he did behind the plate. Over the past two years, Bernal has thrown out 67 out of 165 baserunners trying to swipe a bag, good for an amazing 40.6% caught stealing rate. While the arm plays, a little further look saw an increase in errors, up to 10 from seven the year before, as well as jumping from just five passed balls allowed in 2024 to 13 in 2025. Award voters were obviously not too put off by those numbers, though, and Bernal also added some more pop at the plate, knocking 13 homers, without sacrificing walks or strikeouts. After spending all season in Double-A, Bernal was added to the 40-man roster this offseason, so I would expect the Cardinals to get a little aggressive with him and push him up to Memphis, either to be the everyday guy or split time with Crooks.

Moving further down the organizational ladder is one of the most exciting prospects in the system that many still may not know about. Of course, the vast majority of you know and are pumped about Rainiel Rodriguez, who is ranked as MLB Pipeline’s 37th-best prospect despite only playing A-ball. The 19-year-old took off immediately last year, hitting six homers in his first 10 games in the Complex League. By the end of his second professional season, Rodriguez was bumped up to High-A and compiled a .276 batting average with 20 homers and nearly as many walks as strikeouts. Behind the plate, he threw out 30% of would-be base stealers, but did commit nine errors for a .985 field percentage. Picking the negatives in the surging prospects’ game is tough because for one, there are few, and two, the information and data on him is light compared to his peers because of being so young and at lower levels. Assuming the catchers above him all moved up in the pecking order, Rodriguez could start the season in Springfield, potentially sharing time as he continues to get acclimated to pro ball, before eventually taking over full time. By the end of the season, it is very possible that Rodriguez slides into the top 20 prospect rankings and becomes a national name. If that were to happen, the rest of the Cardinals’ catching corps could have different futures in store, ranging from trade bait to position changes, as all six of these backstops have potential to be something at the big league level.

Through fWAR sorted by ZiPS DC on FanGraphs, Ivan Herrera is ranked just outside the top 10 in projections at number 11, and Pedro Pages projects to be the 28th-best catcher in the MLB. Herrera was ranked as a top 10 catcher by MLB Network, so if he truly can just catch and throw the ball, while maintaining his offensive production, the Cardinals could begin extension talks despite Herrera not being a free agent until the 2030 offseason.

SELF PROMO OF THE WEEK

  • As showed earlier, Cardinals on My Time talked White Sox and the rebuild. This week or so, I will have some Cubs creators on to do a little tour around the NL Central
  • Random Cardinal of the Week kept celebrating Black History Month with Shake and Bake before Ricky Bobby ever thought of it
  • Tonight at 6pm, Redbird Rundown talked about some 2026 storylines and were joined by the Podfather himself, Daniel Shoptaw (@c70 on socials). This was a fun one! Next weekend, we’ll be joined by Kareem to draft some prospects. Make sure you follow our Twitter, , YouTube, Spotify, and Instagram because there is going to be some expansion news for Redbird Rundown popping up this week!!!!

Thanks as always!

Canadiens: First Line Duty And Bronze for Kapanen, Disappointment For Slafkovsky

Up until the bronze medal game, Montreal Canadiens’ rookie Oliver Kapanen had not seen a second of action in the Olympic tournament. He was dressed for two games, but he had the best seat in the house as the Finns’ 13th forward, but then Mikko Rantanen was injured in the semifinal. Since the Dallas Stars forward couldn’t play, Kapanen was promoted straight to Finland’s top line alongside Sebastian Aho and former Hab Artturi Lehkonen.

Meanwhile, Juraj Slafkovsky was once again on the Slovaks’ top line with Adam Ruzika and another Hab, Tomas Tatar. With eight points ahead of the final dual, Slafkovsky once again carried the hopes of a country on his young shoulders. The winger had said the Slovaks would be ready and smiling for the bronze medal game and would go out and do it, but the Finns didn’t get the memo.

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After being beaten 4-1 in the preliminary round by the Slovaks, the Finns had revenge on their mind, and Juuse Saros played his best game of the tournament in net, stopping 30 of the 31 shots he received. Unfortunately for the Slovaks, Finland took the lead early and never let up. Sebastian Aho scored less than five minutes in, and Erik Haula doubled their lead just before 30 minutes had been played. They learned from their defeat against Canada and kept pushing.

Tatar scored one for Slovakia before the end of the second frame, but Finland came right back with a couple of goals early in the third frame and added another two in an empty net to take the bronze with a 6-1 win.

While Slafkovsky didn’t get on the scoresheet, he gave his all in this ultimate game, spending almost 24 minutes on the ice, taking five shots on net, and being his usual imposing presence physically. Whenever he had the puck, though, the Finns wasted no time getting on him and not allowing him the time to pick his spot on shots.

While the big Slovak will no doubt be disappointed to go home empty-handed after winning Bronze four years ago, this tournament showed just how much Slovakia improved in the last four years. Finishing fourth in a tournament with NHL players should be seen as a success. Slafkovsky, Simon Nemec, Dalibor Dvorsky, and Pavol Regenda had a great tournament, and there’s plenty to be proud of.

On an individual standpoint, Slafkovsky is now the second-highest Olympic goal scorer in his country’s history with 11 lamplighters, only three behind Slovakian icon Marian Hossa. With the NHL having committed to participating in the next two Olympic tournaments as well, he should have at least two more tournaments to catch up to him. Furthermore, it doesn’t feel like he’s hit his ceiling yet, and this tournament has allowed him to improve even more. He’ll come back to Montreal better than he ever was.

As for Kapanen, he spent 16:23 on the ice and showed no sign of rust whatsoever despite not having played since the Canadiens’ last game before the break on February 4th against the Winnipeg Jets. He was credited with a single shot, but he hit the post twice, and while those don’t count as shots, he was so very close to finding the back of the net. He was on the ice for Finland’s first goal, right there at the front of the net, creating havoc. He also played on the Finns’ second power play and created a scoring chance. There’s no denying that he made the most of the opportunity he was given in this game, and he showed his country what they missed out on when he stayed on the bench in the other games.

After the game, in the handshake line, Kapanen and Slafkovsky hugged, and there’s no doubt that they’ll be asked what they said to each other in that moment in the days to come, when they return to Montreal and become teammates again.


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South African golfer Casey Jarvis wins Kenya Open for first European tour title

NAIROBI, Kenya (AP) — South African golfer Casey Jarvis won the Kenya Open by three shots on Sunday to clinch his first title on the European tour.

The No. 195-ranked Jarvis rolled in an eagle putt on his 72nd hole to post 8-under 62 for the final round and finish on 25-under par for the tournament at Karen Country Club in Nairobi.

Jarvis also eagled the short par-4 12th hole Sunday, making a winding right-to-left putt over a ridge, on the way to shooting 30 in his back nine.

Jarvis shared the lead in each of the first three rounds — and each time with a different player — before finally pulling away.

American Davis Bryant (64) was alone in second place and Hennie Du Plessis (65) of South Africa was third.

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AP golf: https://apnews.com/hub/golf