MLB Expert Picks & Baseball Predictions Aug. 11

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Not only is there a full slate of baseball on tap today, but we've got five (count 'em!) MLB expert picks to go along with it.

It's a mix of moneyline predictions with a pair of Overs, including a Miami Marlins upset over Paul Skenes and the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Consider these angles (and more below) as you finalize your MLB picks on Tuesday, Aug. 11.

MLB expert picks for today

PickOdds
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis: SEA/NYY o7.5-122
Jon Metler Jon Metler: MIA ML+104
Neil Parker Neil Parker: CHC/WAS o8.5-117
Joe Osborne Joe Osborne: MIN ML-108
Josh InglisDustin Saracini: TOR ML-133

Prices courtesy of Polymarket.

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Josh Inglis' expert pick: Mariners at Yankees Over 7.5

Price: 55¢ (-122) at Polymarket

This game projects for 9.89 runs with a fair price of -181 on this total, making the Over a buy even at 8.5 runs at -110.

Bryan Woo is coming off a hefty 100-pitch outing, a number he has reached just once this season, while averaging fewer than 90 pitches per start. That workload could be an issue against a New York Yankees lineup in a favorable hitting environment.

It’s also a good spot to fade Ryan Weathers, who has not allowed a run in his last two starts but still owns the 11th-worst hard-hit rate among MLB starters this season. Woo is even worse, ranking ninth-worst. Both starters also rank in the Bottom 50 in Blast Contact%.

Looking at the later innings, both bullpens rank in the Bottom 5 in WAR over the last 30 days. With pitching concerns from start to finish, there are enough paths to runs to back the Over on this short total.

  • Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: TBS

Jon Metler's expert pick: Marlins moneyline

Price: 49¢ (+104) at Polymarket

Paul Skenes hasn't looked like the same pitcher we've seen over the last two seasons. His fastball is down roughly 2 mph from his rookie season, and the Miami Marlins lineup construction takes away one of his biggest weapons: a devastating slider on the outer half against right-handed hitters. 

The Marlins are expected to start six left-handed bats, while Otto Lopez and Xavier Edwards give them low-strikeout hitters at the top who can work deep counts and put the ball in play.

Skenes has also struggled to pitch deep into games lately, rarely reaching the sixth inning. Miami's disciplined lineup should force him to work, drive up his pitch count, and potentially chase him early. 

Polymarket has the Marlins at 49 cents, but I make them closer to 54 cents, so I'm backing the slight underdogs at home.

  • Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: SportsNet Pittsburgh, Marlins.TV

Neil Parker's expert pick: Cubs at Nationals Over 8.5

Price: 54¢ (-117) at Polymarket

This is a low total considering the Washington Nationals pace the majors in wOBA while averaging 5.4 runs per game over the past 30 days, and the Chicago Cubs check in second in the metric while scoring 5.8 per game.

The Chicago bats are set up to do damage at the dish tonight, too. Washington righty Jake Irvin has surrendered the third-highest barrel percentage among pitchers with at least 50 innings. And while Cubbies lefty Shota Imanaga has surrendered two runs or fewer in each of his past seven starts, his 1.77 ERA during the stretch is miles below his 3.75 xERA and 3.50 xFIP.

So, with the Nationals ranking second in wOBA against lefties for the campaign and second in xwOBA across their past 24 games, I’m also expecting Washington to put runs on the board.

  • Time: 6:45 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: Marquee, Nationals.TV

Joe Osborne's expert pick: Twins moneyline

Price: 52¢ (-108) at Polymarket

Bailey Ober has been a completely different pitcher at Target Field, posting a 2.72 ERA compared to a 6.75 mark on the road.

The Minnesota Twins are 7-2 in his nine home starts, and he's handled this Baltimore Orioles lineup before, limiting their hitters to a .606 OPS across 60 combined at-bats.

The Orioles have also been brutal against right-handed pitching lately, ranking 27th in OPS over the last two weeks. Baltimore could also unravel late as its bullpen has been one of the worst in the league, posting an awful 6.26 ERA over those 14 days.

  • Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: MASN, Twins.TV

Dustin Saracini's expert pick: Blue Jays moneyline

Price: 57¢ (-133) at Polymarket

Dylan Cease comes into his start with an extended history of dominance against these Boston Red Sox, striking them out at a 29% clip across 104 plate appearances

This includes limiting the Boston middle-of-the-lineup hitters, Wilyer Abreu and Willson Contreras, to a combined 6-for-28 mark with an expected batting average of .176 or lower.

With an outstanding 31% whiff rate against this lineup, and Cease allowing just one earned run across his last 22 innings, expect much of the same from the Cy Young candidate tonight. The Toronto Blue Jays win this one in a low-scoring affair.

  • Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: NESN, Sportsnet

More MLB best bets for today

PickOdds
PHI/STL u8.5-116
Read analysis in our Phillies vs. Cardinals predictions
NYM ML+110
Read analysis in our Mets vs. Braves predictions
DET ML-121
Read analysis in our Guardians vs. Tigers predictions

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Tuesday, August 11

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I'm back after a long vacation and am ready to crush the Dinger Tuesday slate loaded with home run props to dig through.

The Rangers have a home-run gift in Anaheim with Brandon Nimmo's price standing out above the rest. Meanwhile, Shota Imanaga might be pitching well, but he is serving it up as always, and there's a great price on CJ Abrams on offer.

These are my favorite MLB player props for Tuesday, Aug. 11.

Best MLB home run props today

Player to hit a HROdds
Rangers Brandon Nimmo+350
Nationals CJ Abrams+510

Home run pick: Brandon Nimmo (+350)

Nobody has a better home-run matchup tonight than the Texas Rangers, and Brandon Nimmo is a HR bet for me at anything +300 or better.

Los Angeles Angels SP Ryan Johnson is the worst starter on one of baseball's worst rotations, which has shipped off starters while also dealing with injuries. He's allowed a homer in seven straight games and continues to struggle with command, with 25 walks against 38 strikeouts in 50 innings.

He's also allowed 13 long balls, resulting in a 2.17 HR/9, while posting just a 34% ground-ball rate.

Nimmo has three dingers over the last two weeks and leads the team in that category, as well as wRC+ and xwOBA. He also gets the platoon advantage as a left-handed hitter against the righty Johnson.

There aren't a ton of great prices on the Rangers, but I'm taking Nimmo's hot bat at these odds over the handful of batters priced shorter than three dollars.

  • Time: 9:38 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ABTV, Rangers Sports Network

Home run pick: CJ Abrams (+510)

Washington's CJ Abrams has averaged around +375 for a dinger over his last 10 games, but oddsmakers are giving us better than +500 today at home against Shota Imanaga, who I think they're overvaluing.

The Chicago starter has allowed just 12 runs over his last eight games, but the majority of those runs have come via the long ball, with eight homers served up. He's surrendered 56 dingers over his last two seasons across just 277 innings. That's not a pretty HR/9 over a good sample, and his 37% ground-ball rate isn't helping either.

Abrams is seven homers off the league lead and is handling lefties at a better rate than he has over his career this season. It's lefty vs. lefty, but I like Abrams at home, and there are 60 points on this price that I'd buy down to.

  • Time: 6:45 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Nationals.TV, Marquee Sports Network
Josh Inglis' 2026 Transparency Record
  • HR picks: 27-148, -17.78 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

NBA Opening Night begins with a Detroit Pistons afternoon game

DETROIT, MI - JANUARY 18: Cade Cunningham #2 and Ausar Thompson #9 of the Detroit Pistons look on during the game against the Phoenix Suns on January 18, 2025 at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2025 NBAE (Photo by Chris Schwegler/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

NBA scheduling details are starting to trickle out, and it looks like the Detroit Pistons will be kicking off the season in a big way — by playing in the first game of the season league-wide as part of an opening night triple-header.

Detroit is set to face off against the Boston Celtics in an Eastern Conference showdown at 3 p.m. on Oct. 20 in a nationally televised game on NBC. Set your work schedules accordingly.

That will be followed up by two primetime games — the Philadelphia 76ers vs. the New York Knicks, aka LeBron, Jaylen Brown, and the new-look Sixers against the reigning NBA champions. Finally, the Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs will face off to try and set the standard of who will rule the Western Conference.

The Pistons starting the season is quite the glow-up after having the NBA’s worst record just one year ago. Detroit is coming off of a 60-win season and the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference. Cade Cunningham will get an opportunity to show a huge NBA audience thirsty for real basketball that he’s one of the 5-10 best players in the league, and that his team has no intention of taking a step back.

That might be news to many NBA watchers, as Detroit’s offseason has not been looked upon fondly while other teams in the East like the Sixers, Heat, Raptors, Hawks, and Celtics are making major moves, and the Knicks, Cavs, Magic, and Hornets are looking to build on last season’s varying levels of success.

But what will hopefully be readily apparent to everyone involved is that surrounding a great player with shooting makes him even better. As good as the Pistons were last season, they didn’t quite have that. They had Duncan Robinson, one of the league’s best marksmen, and he returns. But they’ve doubled down on that with the addition of Isaiah Joe, who isn’t far behind Robinson in skill level. They’ve also added John Collins, who can attack the rim and nail shots from the perimeter at a high level.

It will also be a chance for Ausar Thompson to take his next step toward being a star player, which is the trajectory I think he is destined for. Already probably the league’s best perimeter defender, he isn’t near his ceiling, and he continues to put in the work to try and to turn his offensive repertoire into something that consistently helps his team.

Will Jalen Duren be back? Likely. Catching lobs, slamming putbacks, and having a sneaky level of finesse and footwork to dominate down low. It’s the ingredients for a fun basketball team. The ingredients for a winning basketball team. And I’m glad the NBA will get to see it right off the bat.

Elephant Rumblings: Barnett Getting The Start Tonight

SACRAMENTO, CALIFORNIA - JUNE 18: Mason Barnett #63 of the Athletics pitches against the Los Angeles Angels at Sutter Health Park on June 18, 2026 in Sacramento, California. (Photo by Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Welcome to Tuesday!

The squad got whacked in the first game of their series with the Rays last night, with the bullpen blowing yet another game that the Green & Gold should have won. When you’re up 6-2 in the eighth you don’t expect the final score to be a 10-6 loss. That’s just how this season has gone though. Fitting.

Anyways, the club is in need of a starting pitcher tonight and they’ve has settled on right-hander Mason Barnett:

In a lost season it’s at least encouraging to see the organization continuing to give their younger players a chance to pitch through their struggles in the big leagues. The former prize that the A’s received from Kansas City in exchange for reliever Lucas Erceg, Barnett has spent the past two years mostly in Triple-A with a few brief stints with the big league club. His first taste of Triple-A last year didn’t yield great results but the then-24 year old righty still managed to make his big league debut with five starts last September. The results, again, weren’t great but plenty of pitchers struggle a bit their first time in The Show and he was still young for a big league pitcher.

This season Barnett technically began in the hunt for a rotation spot but he predictably began the year as depth down in Las Vegas with the Aviators. After ten starts he was brought up to the big league level, where he’s been stashed in the bullpen for the past couple of months. In 14 relief appearances Barnett has been so-so with a 4.74 ERA, dominating in June before taking a step back in July.

A few weeks ago back at the end of July the club sent Barnett back to Triple-A, where he got back into starting with three innings for the Aviators. Evidently the squad just wanted to ease him back into that role as the club soon brought him back up for a “bulk” appearance after that one tune-up in Triple-A.

Barnett’s made two starts for the A’s since: His first was very encouraging as he tossed five full innings against a hot Red Sox club, allowing just three runs in his final inning of work. His most recent appearance? Not so hot as Cincinnati collected six runs off the young righty, though again he seemed to lose steam as he got deeper into the game. Similar to how the Boston game went.

If he’s not fully stretched out by this point that’s understandable considering he was used as a reliever for the past two-ish months. Still, it’s a good thing that the organization is finally giving the 25-year-old a chance. Barnett was considered one of the top pitching prospects in the A’s system as recently as last year, ranking fourth (ahead of Luis Morales) on MLB.com’s top prospects list. He showed improvement in Triple-A this year and finally had some success out of the bullpen in the big leagues. Now the club will be hoping to see him continue to grow into the type of pitcher they’ll need for next year. That all continues tonight against a tough Rays team that looks postseason bound.

We don’t know who will be getting the ball in tomorrow’s game either so like with Barnett we’ll just have to wait and see. Anyone in particular you’d like to see get the nod? Luis Morales perhaps?

First pitch is at 6:40. Have a great one A’s fans.

A’s Coverage:

MLB News and Interest:

Best of X:

Lopez with the best start for the club in a while:

Seems like we got a good one. Liking the early results from our recent first rounder:

Good to see Bolte atop this list!

Well worth the read, check it out!

Joendry Vargas wins California League player of week

LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - MARCH 23: Joendry Vargas #88 of the Los Angeles Dodgers runs against the Los Angeles Angels at Dodger Stadium on March 23, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Dodgers minor league infielder Joendry Vargas had a productive series for Class-A Ontario on the road last week in Lake Elsinore, and for his efforts on Monday was named California League player of the week.

Vargas had 11 hits in 25 at-bats in his six games for the Tower Buzzers with four doubles, a home run, and a triple, with five runs batted in and four scored, plus two walks and two stolen bases.

Three of his games were of the multi-hit variety, headlined by four hits on Friday night, including a home run and double, with three RBI.

Vargas has a 13-game on-base streak dating back to July 26, during which he’s hitting .397/.417/.586. The 20-year-old played third base and shortstop last week. Most of Vargas’s time this season has come at short, with 65 starts, plus 15 starts at second base and six at third base, plus 13 games as designated hitter.

In 100 games for Ontario this season, Vargas is hitting .287/.328/.438 with a 91 wRC+, 27 doubles, nine home runs, six triples, and 22 stolen bases.

Vargas is the fourth Tower Buzzer to win Cal League player of the week this season, joining Easton Shelton (May 18-24), Jaron Elkins (May 25-31 and June 29-July 5), and Mairo Martinus (June 22-28).

Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The St. Louis Cardinals just couldn't get over the hump and complete the comeback in Monday's series-opener against the Philadelphia Phillies. Now, with Cristopher Sanchez on the opposite mound, things get much tougher for the home team as +150 underdogs.

Even though my Phillies vs. Cardinals predictions ultimately expect the visitors to win, the value is on St. Louis covering the run line as home dogs.

My MLB picks for Tuesday, Aug. 11, explain why the Phillies won't run away with this one at Busch Stadium.

Who will win Phillies vs Cardinals today: Cardinals +1.5 (-116)

I do not like the price tag on the moneyline for either side. The Philadelphia Phillies at -156 are maybe the more reasonable option, considering Cristopher Sanchez is on the mound against a St. Louis Cardinals lineup that has been up and down of late.

Conversely, I don't mind +150 on the Cardinals as a value proposition, but that will require the offense to do damage against the ace southpaw, which few have done, especially fellow lefties. Left-handed bats have combined to slash .131/.149/.166 against Sanchez this season.

That more or less neutralizes JJ Wetherholt and Alec Burleson, if they're even in the lineup. Wetherholt is roughly around league average against lefties (99 wRC+), but Burleson has been atrocious in the split, batting .190/.225/.289 with a 40 wRC+ (league average is 100).

So, I ultimately expect the Phillies to win. However, Andre Pallante has found enough sustained success that I don't expect Philadelphia's lefty-heavy lineup, which has somehow struggled to a 94 wRC+ vs. right-handed pitchers this season, to do enough to win by multiple runs.

And while Wetherholt and Burleson may be in for bad nights, Jordan Walker, Ivan Herrera, and Jose Fermin all have a wRC+ north of 120 vs. LHP and can chip away. 

Neither bullpen has been particularly effective in the last couple of weeks, either, so I'm not as concerned about Philly pulling away late.

I'd take the Cardinals on the run line to -125.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Pallante has seen gains year-over-year in fastball velocity, walk rate, and virtually all contact metrics. The right-hander has made adjustments, and the sample is large enough that we can trust in his across-the-board improvements. 

Phillies vs Cardinals Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-116)

The Sanchez portion of this equation is simple.

The Phillies lefty is among baseball's best starters, has consistently pitched deep into games, and rarely gets blown up, allowing more than three earned runs once in his last seven starts and only four times across 24 outings in 2026.

It's the opposite end that is more interesting. No matter how often I expect Pallante to implode, he doesn't, and his metrics — other than strikeout rate — offer enough encouragement that he's not suddenly going to fall apart, either.

His 3.73 expected ERA is hardly amazing, but it's roughly in line with his overall ERA. But what he does best is suppress hard contact (81st percentile barrel rate, 79th hard-hit percentage) and keep the ball on the ground (96th percentile ground-ball rate)

This allows him to keep the ball in the ballpark, with his elite infield defense anchored by Masyn Winn and Wetherholt doing a lot of the heavy lifting behind him to ensure things don't get out of hand.

I'd play the Under 8.5 to -140. However, I would also grab Under 7.5 if it's +115 or longer.

Phillies vs Cardinals home run prediction: Jordan Walker (+500)

Truth be told, I don't love anyone to hit a home run tonight with two extreme ground-ball pitchers toeing the respective rubbers, but I'll roll with Cardinals outfielder Walker.

Busch Stadium will be humid tonight, with winds blowing to left-center field, playing right into Walker's tendencies as a hitter. If he can elevate one of Sanchez's offerings, he might not need much help to clear the fences.

Walker continues to pace the field in bat speed, and Sanchez does give up a lot of hard contact (18th percentile hard-hit rate, 45th in barrel rate) despite his ability to miss bats. I wouldn't go a full unit, but the price is appealing given the circumstances.

Jason Wilson's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 7-4, +3.81 units
  • Over/Under bets: 6-5, +0.06 units

Phillies vs Cardinals weather

St. Louis has the hottest temperatures forecast for today's slate, at around 95 degrees. With wind blowing to left field, this could result in more offense, but two strong ground-ball hurlers may counteract that.

Phillies vs Cardinals odds

  • Moneyline: Phillies -156 | Cardinals +150
  • Run line: Phillies -1.5 (+108) | Cardinals +1.5 (-113)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+113) | Under 8.5 (-117)

Phillies vs Cardinals trend

The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.40 Units / 25% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Cardinals.

How to watch Phillies vs Cardinals and game info

LocationBusch Stadium, St. Louis, Mo.
DateTuesday, Aug. 11, 2026
First pitch7:45 p.m. ET
TVNBC Sports Philadelphia, Cardinals.TV
Phillies starting pitcherCristopher Sanchez
(15-4, 2.65 ERA)
Cardinals starting pitcherAndre Pallante
(12-6, 3.63 ERA)

Phillies vs Cardinals latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

SB Nation Reacts survey: Who starts the Cubs’ postseason opener?

Welcome to SB Nation Reacts, a survey of fans across MLB. Throughout the year we ask questions of the most plugged-in Cubs fans and fans across the country. 


While nothing’s certain until it’s clinched, the Cubs seem headed to a postseason spot, whether it’s a Wild Card berth (and they currently have the first Wild Card spot and lead over the Diamondbacks and Phillies by 5.5 games) or the NL Central title. Thanks to the Padres defeating the Brewers Monday, the Cubs crept to within five games of the division lead.

Now that the Cubs’ starting rotation has been solidified with the acquisitions of Kevin Gausman and Clay Holmes, and will be further bolstered when Edward Cabrera returns from the injured list, who do you think should be the Game 1 starter for whatever postseason series the Cubs are in?

Matthew Boyd certainly has a case to be that starter, as he was last year. On the other hand, one of the reasons for the acquisition of Gausman was his outstanding record in last year’s postseason with the Blue Jays.

You could even make a case for Shōta Imanaga, given how well he’s pitched for the last couple of months.

Or would it depend on the round and/or the Cubs’ opponent?

Vote for your choice and let us know your reasoning in the comments and I’ll have the final results of this survey later in the week.


This Week in the Minors: Zion Rose debuts

Louisville’s Zion Rose hit a home run against Kentucky at Jim Patterson Stadium in the 119th Battle of the Bluegrass. April 21, 2026 | USA TODAY Network via Reuters Co

This Week in the Minors is our weekly look at notable performances from all over the system, from big-name prospects and less-heralded guys alike. The mission is to answer this simple question: “Who had a good week?”

Triple-A Omaha Storm Chasers (55-58, 12.5 games back)

The Storm Chasers won 4 of 6 in their series against the Toledo Mud Hens. On the mound, Henry Williams, who I talked about a lot of last week, followed up with another good start this past week. He went 5.2 scoreless innings, allowing 3 hits, 3 walks, striking out 6. Lucas Braun, who was the centerpiece in the Lane Thomas trade, made one start, going 6 innings, allowing 4 hits, 2 runs, 1 walk, striking out 3. Eli Morgan threw 3.2 scoreless innings in two relief outings, striking out 3. Carlos Duran threw 2 scoreless innings, striking out a pair. Connor Thomas threw 2 scoreless innings.

At the plate, Brett Squires went 10 for 25, smacking 2 doubles and 3 homers, driving in 8 runs. Jacob Berry, who the Royals just got from the Marlins, went 4 for 9 with a pair of doubles and a homer. Berry is a 25-year-old first baseman. The Marlins took him 6th overall in 2022 out of LSU. He has never made it to the big leagues, and is slashing .258/.380/.385 on the season, with 18 stolen bases. Gavin Cross went 7 for 20 with 2 doubles and a homer as well.

The Storm Chasers stay on the road this week, taking on the Columbus Clippers. The series runs Tuesday through Sunday.

Northwest Arkansas Naturals (44-62, 23 games back)

The Naturals lost 4 of 6 to the Wichita Wind Surge. At the plate, Spencer Nivens went 9 for 22 with 6 doubles on the week, he also stole 3 bases. Luke Pelzer went 8 for 22, scoring 3 times and stealing 2 bases. Pelzer’s hitting hasn’t slowed since being promoted. Carson Roccaforte went 6 for 23, smacking 2 more homers. Javi Vaz returned from injury and went 2 for 4 with a double.

On the mound, Steven Zobac made one start, going 3 innings, allowing 4 hits, 1 run, striking out 3. Unfortunately, he has been placed on the IL once again. Drew Beam made one start, going 6 innings, allowing 7 hits, 3 runs, striking out 3 batters. Brandon Johnson went 4 scoreless innings, over 3 relief appearances, striking out 8 batters. Johnson is a 27-year-old right hander from Mississippi; the Royals took him in the 9th round in 2022. Augusto Mendieta threw 4.1 scoreless innings, striking out 7 in two relief outings. Mendieta is a 21-year-old right hander from Mexico. The Royals signed him when he was 18 years old.

The Naturals hit the road this week, taking on the Springfield Cardinals, the series runs Tuesday through Sunday.

Quad Cities River Bandits (53-51, 10 games back)

The River Bandits won 4 of 6 against the Peoria Chiefs. At the plate, Blake Mitchell went 6 for 19, smashing 3 homers and a double. He also walked 9 times; he stole 2 more bases and drove in 4 runs. Zion Rose played in 3 games this week in Quad Cities. The Royals 1st overall pick in 2026 went 3 for 12 with 5 stolen bases, including 4 in one game. He also worked 2 walks. Rose played left field in all three games. Chris Brito went 7 for 22 with two doubles and a homer. Derlin Figueroa went 6 for 22 with two homers and a double.

On the mound, Blake Wolters was really impressive, going 6 innings, allowing 2 hits, no runs, striking out 11. It was a positive sign for Wolters, who was promoted earlier this season, has struggled in Quad Cities. David Shields went 5 innings, allowing 6 hits, 4 runs (1 earned), striking out 9. Shields has hit a wall lately but bounced back nicely this week.

The River Bandits return home this week to take on the Fort Wayne TinCaps. The series runs Tuesday through Sunday.

Columbia Fireflies (55-51, 9.5 games back)

The Fireflies won 4 of 6 against the Myrtle Beach Pelicans. On the mound, the Fireflies threw a combined no-hitter in the second game of a doubleheader. Michael Lombardi threw 4.2 innings, walking 2, striking out 8. Jhon Reyes threw 2.1 innings, striking out 2. Lombardi and Reyes are both 22-year-old right handers. Lombardi was the Royals second round pick in 2025, out of Tulane. He has a 3.17 ERA in 76.2 innings this season, striking out 109. Reyes is from the Dominican Republic, the Royals signed him when he was 19. He has an 8.84 ERA in 38.2 innings this season, striking out 34.

At the plate, Josh Hammond went 11 for 21, with two doubles and three runs driven in. Hammond is hitting .305 on the season. Sean Gamble went 4 for 18 with two doubles and a triple, driving in 6 runs. Camden Johnson the Royals 9th round pick last month out of Oklahoma, went 4 for 12, with 2 runs scored, 3 runs driven in and 3 stolen bases.

The Fireflies hit the road this week, taking on the Wilson Warbirds, the series runs Tuesday through Sunday.

What should the Red Sox expect from Adley Rutschman?

TORONTO, CANADA - AUGUST 10: Adley Rutschman #31 of the Boston Red Sox catches in the bullpen before a game against the Toronto Blue Jays on August 10, 2026 at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. (Photo by Maddie Malhotra/Boston Red Sox/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The entire baseball world shines a white hot spotlight on the trade deadline. But the truth is that deadline deals are rarely as impactful as we want them to be. It’s a case of simple math. The Red Sox only have 44 baseball games left. That’s just not that much time for a baseball player to make an impact, and that’s even more true in the case of Adley Rutschman, who is both a catcher who needs extra rest and is coming off an injury.

Of the 44 remaining games, Rutschman’s probably only going to start around around 35 of them at most. If he maintains more or less the same level of production over those 35 games as he’s maintained all season, then we’re talking about 3-4 home runs, 6-10 doubles, and 25-30 total hits from Rutschman. That’s not that much!

Of course, that production would still be much better than the Sox have gotten from their catchers all year, which is why they got him in the first place. Moreover, anyone who lived through the Kyle Schwarber or Steve Pearce eras knows exactly what kind of boost the right trade deadline pickup can provide.

So with Adley Rutschman likely making his Red Sox debut tonight, what are you expecting from the new backstop?

Talk about Rutschman and whatever else you want in this space and, as always, be good to one another.

Mariners News: Craig Kimbrel, Paul Sewald, and Tim Anderson

PHOENIX, ARIZONA - AUGUST 04: Paul Sewald #38 of the Arizona Diamondbacks delivers a pitch against the San Diego Padres at Chase Field on August 04, 2026 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images) | Getty Images

It’s a wonderful Tuesday so far and surely nothing terrible will befall us. Then again, the Seattle Mariners do play a baseball game today. Oh well, links!

In Mariners news:

Around the league:

Arizona Diamondbacks News 8/11: Grand Night at the Park

Aug 10, 2026; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Arizona Diamondbacks third baseman Nolan Arenado hits a grand slam home run in the first inning against the Colorado Rockies at Chase Field. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Game Recaps

In Soroka’s IL return, Perdomo exits with knee injury by Steve Gilbert [Dbacks.com]

The Diamondbacks on Monday celebrated the return of right-hander Michael Soroka, who held the Rockies scoreless through 4 1/3 innings, but it wasn’t all good news for Arizona on the injury front.

Shortstop Geraldo Perdomo was forced to exit the D-backs’ 9-0 win at Chase Field before the top of the fifth due to left knee soreness.

PHOENIX — The Diamondbacks on Monday celebrated the return of right-hander Michael Soroka, who hel

The extent of the injury was not announced, but losing Perdomo for any period of time would be a blow for the Diamondbacks. The shortstop is not only a key part of the Arizona lineup, but he is also the captain of their defense.

Diamondbacks avoid post-Dodgers letdown, clobber Rockies in Soroka’s return by Alex Weiner [Arizona Sports]

After playing in front of 46,000 fans against the two-time defending champion Los Angeles Dodgers this weekend, the Arizona Diamondbacks had to avoid a letdown in a different environment, facing the lowly Colorado Rockies in a sparsely-crowded ballpark on Monday.

They did, as the Diamondbacks jumped to a 4-0 lead in the first inning off a Nolan Arenado grand slam against his former club. The D-backs tacked on three more in the second inning against Rockies starter Gabriel Hughes, who needed 62 pitches to get through the first two frames.

Diamondbacks News

How the Diamondbacks Plan To Use New Pitcher Zack Littell by Alex D’Agostino [SI]

Lovullo said Littell would be used primarily as a bullpen arm for the time being. 

The D-backs have some arms capable of throwing multiple innings, but Littell’s ability to go well beyond a traditional two- or three-inning long reliever will allow him to serve a unique role and preserve the rest of Arizona’s bullpen if needed.

Littell has a 6.18 ERA as a starter this year, but a 3.18 in relief. He’s delivered four-plus innings as a reliever in all but one of his nine appearances in that role, and has even served as a “bulk starter” behind a short-outing opener.

“We feel like right now he is stretched out. And we know that he can give us 100 pitches if he pops out of the bullpen,” Lovullo said.

Diamondbacks make ‘brutal decision’ to designate Paul Sewald for assignment by Alex Weiner [Arizona Sports]

The Arizona Diamondbacks decided to designate relief pitcher Paul Sewald for assignment on Monday after he was removed from the closer role.

Arizona Sports’ John Gambadoro first reported the news.

Sewald meant a lot to the Diamondbacks as the closer for most of this season and a clubhouse leader, but he was not performing well enough to hold onto a leverage role.

Around the League

The postseason schedule is out. Here’s what you need to know [MLB]

Rule check: Red Sox-Blue Jays delayed for unusual run scoring play by Keegan Matheson [MLB] {Ed. Note: This play was wild, but the biggest thing I appreciated about it was that the umpire actually explained to the fans what was going on. Love that!}

Congress asks MLB to take action after Bryce Harper betting video by David Purdum [ESPN]

“We write to demand an end to the MLB and MLBPA policies that enabled this type of predatory promotion,” Blumenthal and U.S. Reps. Paul Tonko, D-N.Y., and Valerie Foushee, D-N.C., said in a letter sent to the league and the Major League Baseball Players Association.

In November 2024, FanDuel sent a Cameo video featuring Harper to a VIP customer. The bettor later sued the sportsbook, claiming it had taken advantage of his gambling addiction. Harper has denied knowing how FanDuel would use the video or the circumstances with the customer’s betting.

Max Scherzer Headlines a Big Weekend for Strikeout Feats by Jay Jaffe [FanGraphs]

Even by the standards of his recent, injury-marred seasons, Max Scherzer’s 2026 campaign has been a rough one. The 42-year-old righty has made two trips to the injured list, and through the end of July had taken just seven starts and allowed more than a run per inning. Even on a Blue Jays team destined to be retooledahead of the trade deadline, he was clearly in no shape to be any contender’s hired gun. Nonetheless, Scherzer’s last two starts have been bright spots, and on Saturday evening, he notched career strikeout 3,516, officially moving him into the all-time top 10. 

Scherzer wasn’t the only pitcher who reached a strikeout milestone this weekend. Aaron Nola, who started for the Phillies opposite Scherzer at Citizens Bank Park, collected his 2,000th career strikeout. Elsewhere, in a matchup that pitted the third- and fourth-ranked pitchers on the active strikeouts leaderboard, namely Chris Sale and Gerrit Cole, the latter notched his 1,000th strikeout since joining the Yankees. Then on Sunday, Jacob Misiorowski became the first pitcher to notch his 200th strikeout of the season.

Yankees Rivalry Roundup: Rays storm back late in Sacramento

SACRAMENTO, CALIFORNIA - AUGUST 10: Junior Caminero #13 of the Tampa Bay Rays reacts after hitting a three-run home run against the Athletics during the eighth inning at Sutter Health Park on August 10, 2026 in Sacramento, California. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images) | Getty Images

After taking two of three from the Braves, the Yankees enjoyed a day off on Monday before welcoming the Mariners into town. It was a mostly full day of baseball beyond them, with plenty of important games coming down to the ninth inning and beyond. Between never-before-seen calls and extra innings, let’s take a look at how things shook out around the American League.

Tampa Bay Rays (72-46) 10, The Athletics (47-72) 6

An eighth-inning rally had the Rays in business and then some on Monday against the A’s. With New York taking the day off, they worked hard to earn the free half-game.

The action was apparent from the get-go, as the A’s were up 2-1 after the first inning. Both Jacob Lopez and new Ray Freddy Peralta would settle in following the early noise, working seven and six innings, respectively. Already up a run, the Athletics seemed to take control in the seventh, when doubles from Zack Gelof and Jacob Wilson helped to put them up 6-2.

That control only lasted until the Rays came to the plate next. Down by four, Tampa Bay flipped the game upside-down with an eight-piece in their half of the eighth. Unsurprisingly, Junior Caminero was right in the middle of things with a three-run homer, his 34th on the season.

Continuing to put runners on, the Rays tied the game with a single from Chandler Simpson, and took the lead on another from Taylor Walls. Throw in some insurance runs from the top of their order, and the Rays were suddenly up by a score of 10-6. After falling behind for much of this game, it had suddenly flipped into a major win for the Rays out west.

Other Games

Toronto Blue Jays (57-63) 2, Boston Red Sox (64-54) 1: In a game that the Blue Jays won, thanks in part to Charles McAdoo’s solo homer, Boston’s lone run was the story of the game. In the seventh, the Red Sox scored a run on a player that failed to tag up from third base, because the Blue Jays made the third out on a different runner, and failed to appeal the other runner, deemed a “timing play.” It was a once-in-a-lifetime circumstance, but water under the bridge nonetheless, as the Jays took this one despite the drama.

Houston Astros (60-59) 6, San Francisco Giants (49-79) 3 (10 innings): The Astros and Giants found themselves in extra innings on Monday. Things remained quiet for much of this game, thanks in large part to San Fran starter Blade Tidwell’s solid day on the mound. Houston struck first, but the Giants clawed back thanks to homers from Jung Hoo Lee and Drew Gilbert. After completing nine innings knotted at three, the Astros took charge in their half of the tenth, thanks to RBI from Jeremy Peña and Isaac Paredes.

Texas Rangers (59-59) 4, Los Angeles Angels (45-73) 1 (10 innings): Not unlike their counterparts in the Lone Star state, the Rangers took a win in 10 innings to open up their week. Mike Trout’s 20th homer of the season and a RBI knock from Elias Díaz had this game squared up after regulation. In the Texas half of the tenth, singles from Brandon Nimmo and Jake Burger were the fuel that pushed them past the Angels in a hard-fought AL West battle. For Texas, Mackenzie Gore also racked up nine Ks in his 5.1 innings of solid work.

Dodgers vs Royals Prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for August 11

The Dodgers (71-48) squeezed out a 6-5 win over the Royals (49-71). Kansas City has now dropped four out of the last five games, while Los Angeles has won two out of three games after a season-long seven-straight losses.

Blake Snell will make his long awaited return after being injured his season debut back on May 9. Snell only lasted 3.0 innings and allowed four earned runs on six hits. The Dodgers' pitching has a 5.24 ERA (26th) and a .243 OBA (T-14th), so Snell's return is needed down the stretch, as well as the possibility of Shohei Ohtani on the mound.

Kansas City has scored three or fewer runs in six out of the last seven games. The Royals have started August hitting .238 (17th) with 37 runs scored (17th). The only positive of Kansas City during this nine-game stretch 49 strikeouts (best) and the fourth-fewest walks (23). The Royals have a 5.88 ERA (29th) and are allowing opponents to hit .277 (27th).

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Game details & how to watch Royals at Dodgers

  • Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2026
  • Time: 10:10 PM EST
  • Site: Dodger Stadium 
  • City: Los Angeles, CA
  • Network/Streaming: MLB TV 

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Royals at the Dodgers

The latest odds as of Tuesday:

  • Moneyline: Los Angeles Dodgers (-272), Kansas City Royals (+218)
  • Spread: Royals +1.5 (+104), Dodgers -1.5 (-121)
  • Total: 8.5

Probable starting pitchers for Royals at Dodgers 

  • Tuesday's pitching matchup (August 11): Michael Wacha vs Blake Snell
  • Royals: Michael Wacha  

2026 stats: 144.0 IP, 5-8, 3.44 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 112 K, 41 BB

  • Dodgers: Blake Snell  

2026 Stats: 3.0 IP, 0-1, 12.00 ERA, 2.67 WHIP, 5 K, 2 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not

  • Freddie Freeman has recorded a hit in 17 of his last 19 games
  • Shohei Ohtani is batting .324 to start August (11/34)
  • Mookie Betts is hitting .194 in August (6/31)
  • Isaac Collins is hitting .160 in August (4/25)
  • Jac Caglianone is hitting .417 in August (15/36) with four home runs

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Royals at Dodgers

  • Los Angeles is 49-70 ATS, ranking third-worst
  • Kansas City is 55-65 ATS, ranking fourth-worst
  • Los Angeles is 63-55-1 to the Under, ranking 10th-best
  • Kansas City is 62-55-3 to the Under
  • Los Angeles is 20-37 ATS at home, ranking second-worst
  • Kansas City is 27-34 ATS on the road, ranking fourth-worst

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Dodgers and the Royals

Rotoworld Bet Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Tuesday's game between the Dodgers and the Royals:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Dodgers on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Dodgers at -1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Under on the Game Total of 8.5

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LeBron James set to return to L.A. on Christmas Day for Lakers-76ers matchup

The Lakers will see a familiar face for its annual Christmas Day game this season.

LeBron James, who signed with the Philadelphia 76ers last month, will be making his return to Los Angeles on Dec. 25 when the Lakers host Philadelphia at Crypto.com Arena, the NBA revealed Tuesday morning in what it called a “sneak peek” of the 2026-27 schedule. The game is scheduled to tip off at 2 p.m. on ESPN and ABC.

The full schedule will be revealed Thursday.

The league also unveiled its opening week slate, with the Lakers set to open the season by hosting the Golden State Warriors on Oct. 21 in a game scheduled for 7 p.m. on ESPN.

Read more:LeBron James chooses the Philadelphia 76ers, will sign a two-year, $8-million deal

James, entering an unprecedented 24th season in the NBA, will also figure prominently in the opening week broadcast schedule as the 76ers will take on the New York Knicks on Oct. 20 at Madison Square Garden on NBC and Peacock. The game will be James’ first with his new team and will feature the Knicks raising a banner to mark their first NBA championship since 1973.

Two days later, the 76ers will play their home opener against the Cleveland Cavaliers, the team that drafted James in 2003, in game that will be broadcast on ESPN.

James’ new team was always going to have a prominent place on the schedule, and NBA commissioner Adam Silver even said last month that he wanted league’s career scoring leader to announce his decision because teams and networks were calling to ask when the schedule would be completed.

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This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.

Mets vs Braves Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Atlanta Braves are -130 favorites to even their series against the New York Mets tonight.

With Martin Perez poised to regress, my Mets vs. Braves predictions and MLB picks see value in backing the road team to win again in Game 2 on Tuesday, Aug. 11.

Who will win Mets vs Braves today: Mets moneyline (+110)

Martin Perez is sporting a 1.42 ERA over the past month despite a 3.87 xFIP and 4.37 SIERA. Regression is about to come knocking, and the New York Mets are a great bet to force the issue.

They have hit lefties extremely well over the last 30 days, ranking fourth in ISO and sixth in wOBA.

New York plated at least three runs against Perez in the last two matchups, and I expect more of the same tonight.

Nolan McLean is in excellent form, posting a 31% K-rate and 3.02 xFIP across the last 30 days.

Back New York to +100.

Covers COVERS INTEL:Perez ranks in the 39th percentile in xERA, and should have trouble slowing down a red-hot Mets offense.

Mets vs Braves Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-110)

Perez has held opponents to a .184 batting average on balls in play and stranded more than 90% of baserunners the past month. 

He's been around a long time and owns a career .303 BABIP and 71.4 LOB%. Suffice to say, these results are not sustainable. 

The Mets are a likely candidate to bring those numbers back to earth in their current form.

While McLean is an excellent pitcher, he possesses a 4.01 ERA against teams ranking Top 10 in xwOBA and OPS against righties — and the Atlanta Braves fit the criteria.

Play to -113.

Mets vs Braves home run prediction: Mike Yastrzemski (+625)

Mike Yastrzemski is riding a power surge. He owns a strong 22.5% barrel rate over his past 10 games and has hit 11 balls at least 300 feet during that span.

He's left the yard a couple of times along the way while picking up four additional near home runs. 

He's been disciplined at the plate, posting a 7% swinging strike rate. That should help him hang in there against McLean and his high-end strikeout prowess.

I’d back this down to +575.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 75-67, -6.70 units
  • Over/Under bets: 78-58-6, +10.79 units

Mets vs Braves weather

The bats will see a slight boost with temperatures in the 80s and winds blowing west.

Mets vs Braves odds

  • Moneyline: Mets +110 | Braves -130
  • Run line: Mets +1.5 (-190) | Braves -1.5 (+160)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-105) | Under 8.5 (-115)

Mets vs Braves trend

New York has won 11 of its last 15 away games (+8.20 units, 53% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Mets vs. Braves.

How to watch Mets vs Braves and game info

LocationTruist Park, Cumberland, GA
DateTuesday, Aug. 11, 2026
First pitch7:15 p.m. ET
TVSNY, BravesVsn
Mets starting pitcherNolan McLean
(8-7, 3.51 ERA)
Braves starting pitcherMartin Perez
(7-6, 3.14 ERA)

Mets vs Braves latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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