Raptors travelling similar 2019 path ahead of game vs. Grizzlies

TORONTO, CANADA - OCTOBER 21: Kawhi Leonard #2 of the Toronto Raptors high fives before the game against the Chicago Bulls on October 21, 2026 at the Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Mark Blinch/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

When the Toronto Raptors take the court at Scotiabank Arena to play the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday, it’ll be a matchup between two teams that, for better or worse, have been subverting expectations.

Here are three storylines to consider ahead of the 7:30 p.m. EST tip-off on Sportsnet.

Travelling down a similar path

For the most part, when the Raptors square up against teams they should beat, results typically go in their favour. Toronto is 5-1 against teams under .500. Unfortunately, when the competition level shifts into a higher gear, that’s when things begin to unravel for the Raptors. Toronto is a lowly 0-4 against teams above .500.

That specific trend will have to change when the Raptors defend home court against the Grizzlies. The silver lining is that the Raptors are 2-1 at home, albeit during a stretch when teams are still shaking off their pre-season rust.

There’s noticeable discourse surrounding the Raptors’ current record against better competition, but looking back at their 2019 championship season, it wasn’t that different of an experience.

While Toronto was 17-5 in games without Kawhi Leonard, ten of those wins came against non-playoff teams. The quality of their wins obviously didn’t matter at the finish line in 2019, and by default, this year’s team shouldn’t be criticized for it either.

As long as the Raptors continue to take care of business and Leonard is healthy during the post-season, they’ll have a chance. Once Leonard returns, that’s when the bar should be raised.

Life without Kawhi

The Raptors and Leonard experience has always meant that there are two iterations of the team. In 2019, it was a multi-pronged attack fuelled by one of the deepest rosters in league history.

But what does that mean for the 2026-27 Raptors?

While it’s an unreliable two-game sample size with Leonard, the results in shot distribution is a bit surprising.

Field goal attempts per game with Leonard and without

  • Scottie Barnes: 22.5 / 18.8
  • Jakob Poeltl: 2.0 / 4.5
  • Immanuel Quickley: 14.0 / 13.7
  • RJ Barrett: 15.0 / 17.2
  • Ja’Kobe Walter: 8.0 / 8.7
  • Allen Graves: 3.0 / 3.7
  • Collin Murray-Boyles: 6.5 / 8.0
  • Jamal Shead: 2.5 / 5.7
  • Jamison Battle: 0.5 / 2.2

It turns out that Barnes is more aggressive when Leonard is on the court. This revelation might lean into the theory that a superstar raises everyone’s game. Ideally, Barnes is at least being just as involved in the offence, regardless of whether Leonard is playing.

Using this smaller sample size, Quickley, Walter and Graves are involved in the same way with or without Leonard. The most shocking player is Walter, who is universally accepted as visually looking more involved, especially as the default starter when Leonard is missing.

The largest uptick in usage applies to Poeltl, Barrett, Murray-Boyles, Battle and Shead. Poeltl’s involvement can be somewhat attributed to health. It makes sense that Barrett is taking advantage of the opportunities and his aggressive approach leans into a Leonard-less environment.

Murray-Boyles should always see more attempts, as should Battle. While Shead’s added usage can sometimes work against the Raptors, it’s great seeing him be more aggressive.

Grit and Cold Grizzlies

After reeling off six consecutive victories to begin the season, the Grizzlies have come back to Earth. Memphis is 0-3 in November, with losses against the New Orleans Pelicans, Indiana Pacers and the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Grizzlies boast a fun team capable of unexpected performances. Ty Jerome might be a household name by the end of the year and is an early fantasy basketball league winner. Meanwhile, Cameron Boozer is authoring one of the most impressive starts to a rookie campaign.

It’s the exact kind of team capable of catching the Raptors by surprise.

Yankees 2026 Roster Report Cards: Jasson Domínguez

SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA - SEPTEMBER 06: Jasson Dominguez #24 of the New York Yankees runs to the dugout during the first inning against the San Diego Padres at Petco Park on September 06, 2026 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Orlando Ramirez/Getty Images) | Getty Images

It’s 2023 and the calendar has just flipped over to September. The Yankees are already out of the playoff race as they take the field in Houston. In an effort to inject some youth into the lineup and some excitement into the fanbase for the final month of a disappointing season, they’ve called up their much-hyped top prospect Jasson Domínguez for his MLB debut. With his first swing in the major leagues, Domínguez crushes an opposite field two-run home run into the Crawford Boxes off future first ballot Hall of Famer Justin Verlander. At just 20 years old, you could allow yourself to dream about just what heights this budding star might hit. Fast-forward three years, and now the question facing the 23 year old is whether he has a future with the Yankees.

Grade: F

2026 Statistics: 57 games, 222 plate appearances, .225/.267/.368, six home runs, 14 RBI, 4.5 BB%, 21.6 K%, 76 wRC+, -1 OAA, -0.2 fWAR, -0.2 rWAR

2027 Contract Status: Pre-arbitration

In the subsequent years since that scintillating debut, Domínguez missed the majority of the 2024 season to Tommy John surgery. He got his first real run out at the major league level in 2025, but those 123 games exposed his serious shortcomings on defense. At least his bat produced at a slightly above average level to provide a nominal floor, but the trapdoor opened and swallowed him up in 2026.

What makes it worse is that Domínguez had a real opportunity to prove he belonged in the majors with Aaron Judge missing almost 100 games with a broken rib and a subsequent calf injury and Cody Bellinger losing a month to a hamstring injury over the summer. Not only did Domínguez fail to grab that opportunity, but his beleaguered play raised serious doubts about his viability as a major leaguer and opened the door for fellow top prospect Spencer Jones to leapfrog him on the outfield depth chart.

Domínguez spent the first month at Triple-A before getting called up on April 27th. He struggled to the tune of a .617 OPS and 70 wRC+ with one home run in 32 plate appearances before landing on the 10-day IL with a left shoulder AC joint sprain. It would be another five weeks before he returned to the major league roster, by which point Judge’s extended absence had begun, seemingly creating an opportunity for consistent playing time.

Jasson got a decent run of starts over the next two months and looked fairly serviceable in his first month back from his shoulder injury. From June 13th through July 10th, Domínguez slashed .255/.293/.447 with four home runs and six stolen bases — good for a 105 wRC+ in 100 plate appearances. However, with the Yankees desperate for production against left-handed pitching, the trade deadline acquisition of Heliot Ramos along with Jones’ gradual improvements against big league pitching and steadier defensive play further squeezed Domínguez out of the outfield picture. With just a 53 wRC+ across his subsequent 80 PAs after July 10th, Domínguez was demoted to Triple-A on August 4th, where he would stay for a month.

This culminated in the worst four-game stretch of Domínguez’s career upon his recall on September 5th. Jasson made a pair of high profile errors against the Padres and Rockies, leading to a swift demotion just five days later. And it was the nature of the errors that led to the immediate loss of patience, both resulting from complete lapses in concentration as the Yankees were making one final push to try to chase down the Rays in the division.

Domínguez would not appear in another major league game in the regular season and would be left off the postseason roster. All told, 2026 was a year of alarming regression for a young player who should have been making progress on both sides of the ball. He finished the year below replacement level, his 76 wRC+ the worst on the team among hitters with at least 100 PAs. He saw his walk rate plummet from 9.6-percent in 2025 to a measly 4.5-percent in 2026, resulting in an OBP drop from .331 to .267 — both marks placing him in the seventh percentile or worse among MLB hitters with at least 220 PAs. He posted a career-low 5.6-percent barrel rate and saw his average exit velocity drop 2.5 mph and his hard-hit rate nosedive from 49.6-percent to 39.1-percent.

The defense remains the biggest concern, and it has gotten to the point where you seriously worry when even a routine fly ball is hit in his direction. He was well below average in his initial reaction to a batted ball and among the league’s worst in the routes that he took. It snowballed to the point that he looked devoid of confidence when approaching a ball in the outfield, as we saw with the above pair of examples.

At this point, there are only three facets of Jasson’s game that give you hope. At 93.3 mph, his arm strength places in the 94th percentile of MLB outfielders. His sprint speed remained intact, placing in the 85th percentile at 28.8 ft/s. And despite the regressed batted ball results, his 74.5 mph average swing speed places him in the 85th percentile of MLB hitters. The raw tools are there, but his process prevents him from making the most of them.

Still at just 23 years old, one would think there is plenty of time for Domínguez to piece things back together. It remains to be seen whether that happens in pinstripes. As my colleague Andrés wondered last week, this offseason could determine whether Domínguez’s future lies with the Yankees. Nothing he did in 2026 offers faith in the once-bright prospect regaining the team’s trust.

Arizona Diamondbacks News, 11/9: Waiting zone

A bus stop sign is seen in Luczyce, Poland, on May 1, 2026. The sign, known as Przystanek autobusowy, indicates a designated boarding point for local and regional bus services. (Photo by Marcin Golba/NurPhoto via Getty Images) | NurPhoto via Getty Images

Team news

[SI] 3 Bold Predictions For Diamondbacks in Free Agency – 1. Diamondbacks only marginally decrease payroll – or not at all. Despite wanting to reduce costs, Kendrick has still often jumped at the chance to add quality players with hopes to keep Arizona as competitive as possible. While the D-backs might be looking to cut down on costs this offseason, it would be a surprise to see a major reduction — and it would not be a surprise to still see them find ways to invest in the roster. In fact, it feels more likely than not their lowered payroll will still manage to rival previous years.

[Roundtable.io] Why Diamondbacks Should Pursue Bednar – Given the recent comments of owner Ken Kendrick expressing his desire to trim payroll, outbidding the Yankees may be easier said than done, but nothing is impossible. Given Bednar’s production, it would behoove the Diamondbacks to inquire about him. If the new Collective Bargaining Agreement institutes a salary floor that requires teams to spend a certain amount, Kendrick may not be able to trim payroll anyway. That opens up a more realistic path to acquiring Bednar or someone of his caliber.

[Fansided] Ranking Ketel Marte suitors that he and Arizona would actually accept – Given how he’s acted in recent years, the Diamondbacks might want to move on from Marte, but there’s a potential issue: the 33-year-old has a full no-trade clause, meaning that if he doesn’t want to go anywhere, he won’t. Chances are, Marte probably won’t want to go to any teams that were on his former five-team no-trade list (Yankees, Pirates, Cardinals, Giants, Athletics), and the Diamondbacks won’t want to send him to a team that could hurt them (mainly their NL West rivals), or teams that don’t have enough to offer. These potential suitors could be appealing enough both to Marte and to Arizona if a trade is the route both sides choose to go down.

[ESPN] D-backs’ Corbin Carroll has elbow surgery, should be ready for spring training – Carroll had surgery this week to remove loose bodies in his right elbow and should be ready for the scheduled start of spring training in February. The team confirmed the surgery on Friday. A full recovery is expected to take about eight weeks. The three-time All-Star hit .239 with 22 homers, 78 RBIs, 33 doubles and a league-high 17 triples last season despite battling multiple injuries, including hamate bone surgery that caused him to miss much of spring training. He also dealt with back soreness during the last few months of the season, which was part of the reason he struggled in the second half after a hot start.

[Dbacks.com] What D-backs are looking for from AFL, winter ball participants – Nathan Hall, OF. Injuries — including hamstring issues and a right arm injury — have severely limited Hall’s professional repetitions since he was taken in the fifth round of the 2025 Draft. The Arizona Fall League offered an extended opportunity for him to compete, showcase his power and prove his defensive range. “He’s done a really good job of improving his contact quality since coming into pro ball, even though he’s had limited reps,” Slivka said. “I think it’s a testament to the work that he did when he was coming back from those injuries, because the swing quality and contact quality are much better than they were in college.”

Below, Hall talks about his time in the Arizona Fall League, competing with the top Minor Leaguers and more

[Burn City Sports] How Diamondbacks’ Moreno, Carroll took different paths to Silver Slugger finalist spots – Although the two players took different routes to their nominations, both made their impact throughout the 2026 season. Moreno established himself as one of the league’s top offensive catchers, while Carroll continued to showcase the combination of power and speed that has made him one of Arizona’s biggest offensive threats. With both players among the NL finalists, Arizona has another opportunity to add to their award history when the Silver Slugger winners are announced on Nov. 17.

And, elsewhere…

[NY Post] MLB pitch-rigging case witness testifies he stopped getting tips after Shohei Ohtani interpreter scandal – Luis de Aza Baez, an Uber driver, told prosecutors that starting in 2023, he got information about Clase’s pitches from the big-leaguer’s associate, Enoc Pena, with the tips coming through a group chat titled “Uber Inc.,” which included other drivers at the time. When De Aza Baez tried again during the 2024 season, however, he was told that “what was going on with Ohtani, there was no more information like that.” In March 2024, Ohtani was surrounded by controversy after it was reported that millions of dollars were sent from the superstar’s bank account to an illegal bookmaking scheme.

[Reddit] I have never played baseball but I am confident I could enter the game up one in the bottom of the 9th and finish the game without allowing an earned run – This is probably borderline genius. That is all.

Finally, something you might have missed. On Halloween, David Peralta made his pitching debut in the Venezuelan league! You may remember, he originally came up as a pitching prospect before switching to the outfield, playing indy ball and eventually making it to the big leagues there for the Diamondbacks. Well, it looks like things have gone full circle, as he pitched for the Braves de Margarita against the Tigres de Aragua. Admittedly, he came in with two outs in the ninth, and it took him four attempts to get the final out, allowing two hits and a walk. But he stranded those base-runners, leaving the bases loaded on a fly-ball to right.

Resident Evil

  • Rating: B-
  • Dir: Zach Cregger
  • Star: Austin Abrams, Zach Cherry, Kali Reis, Paul Walter Hauser

I have never played the video-game franchise. I am, however, a big fan of the Milla Jovovich films. Despite critical disdain – not least from fans of the game – I would say, at their best, they are close to peak action-horror. Are they schlock? Sure. Empty cinematic calories? Absolutely. So? I was thus somewhat resistant to the idea of this reboot. By the end though, I’d been somewhat won over. This isn’t a good adaptation of the game either, by most accounts. But it does capture the spirit of video games, especially when played by a fairly stupid person. For a lot of the time, this could legitimately be retitled, Poor Decisions: The Movie.

Read more

Will this be a weirder-than-usual GM Meeting?

ATLANTA, GA - JULY 18: Atlanta Braves General Manager Alex Anthopoulos and Derek Schiller, President and CEO of the Atlanta Braves speaks to the media before the game against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Truist Park on July 18, 2023 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Matthew Grimes Jr./Atlanta Braves/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Even with the lockout looming-slash-pending, the GM Meetings are still happening in Las Vegas this week.

Will they be weirder than usual? More action, because the lockout is pending? Or, less action, because teams and/or players have been instructed to keep their jets on a substantially cool setting as a labor negotiating position?

The MLB.com article noted that a ton of money in huge deals was handed out ahead of the last CBA. This isn’t a very strong free agent market, but teams could still hand out a lot of cash to Tarik Skubal and Trevor Rogers… provided that there’s any interest in doing so ahead of the lockout itself.

Alex Anthopoulos always says that these meetings are places to lay groundwork for deals rather than complete deals themselves, but his view isn’t a unaninmous one. So, more action, less action, or the same amount of action? What say you?

Detroit Tigers News: Japanese player scouting, Max Scherzer, Chris Sale

TORONTO, CANADA - SEPTEMBER 27: Max Scherzer #31 of the Toronto Blue Jays celebrates against the Cincinnati Reds during the fifth inning of their MLB game at Rogers Centre on September 27, 2026 in Toronto, Canada. (Photo by Mark Blinch/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Happy Monday, everyone! Not a ton of news stories to update you on, but we’ve got little bits to make sure you’re in the know about everything going on in baseball. The Tigers are keeping an eye on some Japanese free agents; a former Tiger may not be retiring the way many expected he would; and a former All-Star might be taking an unexpected stance in MLB and MLBPA’s labor disagreement.

That and more below, so let’s just jump right into it.

Detroit Tigers News

  • The Tigers are scouting some Japanese talent this offseason and were evidently also interested in signing Shota Imagana at one point. The Tigers have been one of many teams showing interest in Teruaki Sato and Kaima Taira, but it remains to be seen how serious they actually are about acquiring fresh international talent.

MLB News

  • I don’t care that this isn’t technically directly related to baseball, it’s still very, very cute.
  • A throwback to World Cup shenanigans.
  • The best free agents available by position.

Monday Morning Texas Rangers Update

PHOENIX, ARIZONA - SEPTEMBER 12: Joc Pederson #3 of the Texas Rangers stands in the dugout before the MLB game against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on September 12, 2026 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Good morning.

The GM meetings begin this week in Las Vegas and Mark Feinsand writes that there is potential for it to be busier than usual with the impending lockout looming next month.

Mike Axisa checks out a handful of under-the-radar free agents, one of which is recent Rangers leadoff hitter Joc Pederson.

The 20th annual Fall Stars Game was played yesterday in Arizona Fall League action and MLB dot com’s Jesse Borek and Tim Crowley write about how each prospect fared, including a quartet of Rangers farmhands.

Have a nice day!

Tyler Wells pitched so well that the Orioles “had” to trade him

HOUSTON, TEXAS - JULY 17: Adley Rutschman #35 of the Baltimore Orioles and Tyler Wells #68 of the Baltimore Orioles react after a win against the Houston Astros at Daikin Park on July 17, 2026 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Alex Slitz/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Orioles never seemed like they were entirely sure what to do with Tyler Wells. Count him as a starter for a potentially competitive rotation? Stick him in the bullpen and let him rip? It went back and forth for a while, with a long layoff due to Tommy John surgery in the middle there. Heading into 2026, the O’s had finally committed to Wells as a reliever. The results were so great that when trade deadline season arrived, Wells generated enough interest that the Orioles “had to” trade him.

They didn’t actually have to trade Wells, of course, just like they didn’t have to trade Adley Rutschman or Dean Kremer. They could have held onto him if they believed he could be a good part of the 2027 Orioles bullpen. Mike Elias decided that getting back one of the prospects he traded to the Rays in the Shane Baz deal – pitching prospect Michael Forret – was worth parting with Wells. The 6’8” righty went on to pitch in the World Series with his new team.

It’s not much surprise that Wells had managed to bring about trade interest. He was getting masterful results that were getting better as the season went along. By July, Wells was frequently in the mix of where you could call him the Orioles closer, or at least an Orioles closer. He pitched 14 games that month, picking up four saves and a win. Wells went multiple innings more than once. He had a 1.10 ERA in July.

That’s probably what did it for the trade interest. Other teams would want Wells, not just for the rest of this season but knowing they could control him for 2027 for relatively cheap – projected around $4 million. Elias would be tempted to think it was the time to sell high on a potentially volatile relief asset. That’s what he ended up doing, bringing back a pitcher who was at the Triple-A level and could be close to making a difference for the MLB team.

The thing about Wells that makes him volatile is that he is an extreme fly ball pitcher. This was already true prior to this year, when Wells was typically at a ground ball rate around just 33% for his career; average pitchers are usually in the low-40s. Zack Britton, at the peak of his powers for the Orioles in 2016, had a ground ball rate of exactly 80%. For pitchers, ground balls are great. They’re most often outs. The hits are typically singles and they definitely don’t end up as homers.

In 2026, Wells ended up with a ground ball rate at 26.5%. Among pitchers with at least 50 innings pitched, Wells was literally in the bottom 5 in the league for ground ball rate. For a pitcher who was as homer-prone as Wells had been before this season, that’s a real potential problem area. There’s a small margin for error there. Slip just a little bit and you’re giving up dingers left, right, and center.

Wells mostly did not slip up this year. Just 8% of his fly balls allowed went for home runs, close to a third less than the league average of about 11%. There is an element of luck to this that will probably not carry over into 2027.

Yet there was a lot of skill and a lot of good pitching too. Wells’s Statcast page for 2026 has a whole heck of a lot of red. He was great at getting batters to swing at pitches outside of the strike zone, great at getting them to swing and miss, great at avoiding walks, and great at not having batters hit the ball hard. All of these are good ways to avoid giving up a lot of homers! Assuming you can duplicate this – which, with the Rays, his odds are probably better than if he’d stayed with the Orioles.

All of this allows Wells to succeed even when some of the predictive stats don’t believe in him as much. Counting his time with both the Orioles and Rays, Wells had a 2.38 ERA. That puts a reliever among the game’s elite for that season.

With Fielding Independent Pitching, a stat that tries to take defense out of the equation by just considering what a pitcher can control, Wells was at a still decent but much less exciting 3.38. A stat that spins further off of this, xFIP, which normalizes the home run rate, put it higher at 4.03. Make that number an ERA and that’s basically Anthony Nunez’s season-long number in 2026. Not much interesting about any reliever with a 4+ ERA.

What’s the real Wells for 2027 going to be? If he loses just a little bit of the edge going into his age 32 season, it could go a lot worse for him. If he duplicates this, Elias could end up looking like an idiot. It wouldn’t be the first time, even if we limit the discussion to the Orioles trading a reliever to the Rays.

Maybe both teams will be happy with what they get out of the trade, if Forret becomes some kind of solid pitcher for the Orioles – maybe as soon as next year – and Wells helps the Rays again next year. There are such things as win-win trades out there.

What veteran for veteran trade would you make?

ATLANTA, GA - SEPTEMBER 30: Brandon Marsh (16) of the Philadelphia Phillies strikes out in the first inning during the Atlanta Braves versus Philadelphia Phillies game 2 of the National League Wild Card Series on September 30, 2026 at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by David J. Griffin/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

This was an interesting little nugget from the baseball world yesterday.

The rest of that should read “However, sources say pending free agents could be moved for each other as a way to balance the risk.“

That’s interesting because the Phillies have some of those players that would qualify for this. One can look at the arbitration eligible crop for examples – Brandon Marsh, Orion Kerkering to name two – while others on the roster are very clearly veterans that, while not “impending free agents” are veterans that could be moved.

What veteran for veteran trade would you make?

Rays Off-season Trade Target: LHP Nick Lodolo

Sep 8, 2026; Los Angeles, California, USA; Cincinnati Reds pitcher Nick Lodolo (40) delivers to the plate against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

In resetting the bullpen for 2027, there is one lefty that might represent a reasonable snag for the Tampa Bay Rays.

Nick Lodolo’s recent injuries and middling results could create a buying opportunity, particularly if the Reds aren’t convinced he has another level to reach. His projected $5.7 million salary for 2027 is affordable enough for the Rays to take a chance on a pitcher who already has a major-league track record, but the Reds’ willingness to move him – and the prospect cost – would determine whether he is a realistic target.

There are a few areas of Lodolo’s arsenal that could benefit from some adjustments, but he already does several things really well. The first is his unique, low-slot delivery from the left side. He further adds to this deception by throwing the ball across his body with a long arm action.

Another strength of Lodolo is the consistency of his pitch locations. This is measured by something I call “command deltas.” His location consistency of most of his pitches has been comfortably above-average throughout his career:

Lodolo’s breaking ball showed roughly average location consistency in previous seasons, but that consistency declined in 2026. He experimented with a new grip in July, around the same time the location data began to deteriorate. The timing raises the possibility that he hasn’t fully developed a feel for the new shape, although the available data can’t establish whether the grip change is responsible.

If the new shape isn’t producing a meaningful improvement in movement or results, reverting to the previous grip would be worth considering. Here’s Lodolo’s heat map for his breaking ball from March through June of this year:

And then July through the end of the year:

Lodolo’s changeup has limited velocity and VAA separation from his fastballs, potentially limiting its ability to disrupt hitters’ timing and generate swings and misses.

An alternative grip could help him create a more distinct offering, though any change would need to be evaluated by its resulting movement, location, and performance. Lodolo currently employs a more traditional offspeed grip that looks similar to a circle-change:

Lodolo could experiment with alternative changeup grips, including a spiked or split grip, to see whether he can create greater movement and separation from his fastballs. His current offspeed pitch has about six mph of velocity separation, so there may be an opportunity to develop a more distinct offering. Whether a new grip produces better depth, more velocity separation, or improved swing-and-miss would need to be evaluated through testing.

Regardless, Lodolo’s release traits give him a foundation for continuing to attack left-handed hitters with his fastball and breaking ball.

Adding some changeups could provide a different speed and movement profile, giving hitters another look without requiring a wholesale change to his existing approach. It would also fit with the Rays’ recent interest in using offspeed pitches against same-handed hitters.

His approach against righties is a little too fastball-heavy. He throws a fastball roughly 50% of the time against right-handed hitters, split between his four-seamer (30%) and two-seamer (20%). Against right-handed hitters, Lodolo’s four-seamer has substantially outperformed his two-seamer: it has allowed a .300 wOBA and generated a 26.4% whiff rate, compared with a .442 wOBA and 14.4% whiff rate on his two-seamer. Shifting more of his fastball usage toward the four-seamer looks like his clearest opportunity for improvement. His two-seamer could still be thrown front-door to righties early in counts when they’re less likely to swing, and an adjustment in position on the rubber could create a difficult angle on those pitches to make them more effective even if hitters do swing.

Nick Lodolo is already a good major-league pitcher, with distinctive release traits and a foundation of consistent pitch location. For the Rays, he could be an affordable trade target with several plausible avenues for improvement:

  • Evaluate whether his new breaking-ball grip offers enough movement or performance gains to justify the decline in location consistency, and consider returning to his previous grip if it doesn’t.
  • Experiment with alternative changeup grips to create more separation from his fastballs, judging any changes by their movement, command, and ability to generate swings and misses.
  • Introduce the changeup more often against left-handed hitters as a secondary look, and test whether greater usage against righties can generate more chase and whiffs.
  • Against righties, shift fastball usage toward the more effective four-seamer and reduce reliance on the two-seamer, while retaining the latter as a situational option.

Lodolo wouldn’t need every adjustment to work for the trade to pay off. The appeal is that he already has a major-league foundation, and the Rays could explore several targeted changes without needing to overhaul his entire arsenal.

In the lab: A long look at center field

NEW YORK, NY - OCTOBER 07: Trent Grisham #12 of the New York Yankees stands for the National Anthem prior to Game Three of the American League Division Series presented by Booking.com between the Tampa Bay Rays and the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday, October 7, 2026 in New York, New York. (Photo by Mary DeCicco/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

One of the biggest positions of emphasis for the Houston Astros has to be center field. One of the things I like to do is take a look at past results while also defining our terms. There are a number of metrics we will look at in this edition and some of you will be unfamiliar with some of them. Obviously, we start with the standard SLASH statistics (AVG/OBP/SLG) and go from there.

We can derive a few different numbers from those including isolated power and isolated patience. ISO power is calculated by subtracting batting average from slugging percentage. Isolated patience is derived by subtracting batting average from on base percentage. We can then take those two and add them together for the basis of secondary average. Secondary average includes a base running element we will not include. However, we can take that product and add it to batting average and divide by two to get a number I will call real offensive value (ROV). If secondary average is everything a hitter does that does not include batting average then averaging that number with batting average should give us an overall look at the player’s contributions.

Finally, we get bases per out. Those of you that have been frequent readers are familair with the stat, but we will reset in case anyone is new to this. You take total bases, walks, stolen bases, and hit by pitches and then divide that sum by the total number of outs a player accrues. Any time we take a look at a position this winter we should start by looking where the league is on these numbers and where the Astros were to get a frame of reference to go on.

SLASHISOpowISOpatROVBPO
MLB AVG.244/.311/.400.156.074.237.673
Astros CF.217/.283/.371.154.066.219.607

Obviously, the Astros have their own secret sauce in how they look at these things. They are armed with servers and advanced software. I am armed with a ten year old Macbook. However, all of these numbers show the same thing to varying degrees. The Astros center fielders were decidedly below average when compared to the MLB universe. Keep in mind the MLB universe includes every positions and both part time players and regular players. So, finishing this far under average at a position like center field is not promising.

The goal should be to get back to the MLB average. Anything above and beyond that is gravy. Assuming this team keeps everyone we would surmise that Yordan Alvarez, Jeremy Pena, Isaac Paredes, and Carlos Correa are all significantly above average. Yainer Diaz, Christian Walker, and Jose Altuve are closer to the league average. So, if the Astros can get average performance out of center field and left field then they will have an offense that is significantly above average overall.

Internal Candidates

There are three players that likely will challenge for the position as it stands now. We can presume that Jake Meyers is likely out since he has been DFAed. There is always the possibility that he could stick on a minor league contract and get an opportunity, but we will look at Brice Mathews, Lucas Spence, and Zach Cole. Since Mathews is the only one to get extensive major league time, we will look at their numbers from their collective minor league careers.

SLASHISOpowISOpatROVBPO
Brice Matthews.248/.368/.439.191.120.280.949
Lucas Spence.237/.358/.402.165.121.262.840
Zach Cole.241/.347/.454.213.106.280.885

Keep in mind we are talking about minor league numbers. These will include all the way down to A ball and through AAA. This is probably a Jimmy Price question. I do not have a minor league to major league decoder ring. All I know is that in all likelihood, most players will not produce at the big league level what they produced at the minor league level. Cole barely produced an .801 OPS during his minor league career. The other two did not get there. So, the likelihood of any of these guys being significantly above average is probably not all that good.

Keep in mind that the average OPS was .718, so I suppose there is hope that one of them could turn some magic beans into ML average performance. Obviously, Spence is the darling after his September performance, but he has the least impressive minor league numbers of the three. His K rate is the only one under 25 percent though, so he might have the upper hand coming into camp.

Free Agent Options

SLASHISOpowISOpatROVBPO
Lane Thomas.239/.310/.413.174.071.242.695
Luis Robert.256/.312/.450.194.056.253.740
Trent Grisham.217/.319/399.182.102.252.702
Cedric Mullins.241/.312/.410.169.071.241.714
Daulton Varsho.226/.293/.416.190.067.242.675

All five of these players have one thing in common. They all have had one really magical season that has captivated scouts and fans alike. It is tempting to look at the back of their baseball card and dream about them repeating that one season. These numbers are their career numbers and probably closer to what fans can hope for. Ironically, Mullins and Varsho demonstrate a significant difference between ROV and BPO. BPO has a base running element and Mullins is obviously more of a threat there.

On the surface, all five look like they are better than the league average. That is of course assuming that each can reach their career averages in 2027. It also assumes they can stay healthy which we know is an issue in some cases. Finally, it does not even include their fielding numbers. So, there is a ton that goes into these decisions, but at first blush it would appear like any of them would be better than what the Astros threw out there last season for much of the season.

Trade Candidates

This is my least favorite portion of the analysis. I hate speculating on who might be available. So, we are combining Spotrac’s trade list and adding Jarren Durran who the Red Sox and Astros flirted around last season. Boston is one of the rumored destinations for Jeremy Pena, so there is always the possibility that Durran could be coming back. This does not include any AA or AAA level players that could be close to being ready that could be involved in a theoretical deal.

SLASHISOpowISOpatROVBPO
Jarren Duran.254/.314/.432.176.060.245.736
Evan Carter.215/.307/.368.153.092.230.673
Colton Cowser.219/.305/.394.175.086.240.677
Nathan Lukes.267/.328/.399.133.061.231.626

Duran is similar to the free agents above. He has one really good season to his name and that is buttressing his numbers some. Last season he produced a .207/.266/.361 slash line, but that includes a .210 ROV and .586 BPO, So, acquiring Duran is a bet on two things. First, that he will bounce back from that season and come closer to 2024 and 2025 when he played at an all-star level. Secondly, it is a bet that he can continue to be a plus defender. He can become a free agent in 2029 under current rules, so you would be getting two more years of club control.

The other three have varying levels of fielding ability, but none of them are likely to be even average performers offensively. Such a trade would have to be part of a larger package where you are settling for an overall average cnterr fielder and hopefully improving another slot at the same time. So, if you are trading for a big league center fielder then you are probably going to be disappointed. There are likely minor league options though.

Final Thoughts

It looks like the best bet will come in free agency. However, this is where things get dicey. The Astros are already up against the tax threshold as it stands. They likely have wants in the rotations, at left field, and maybe in the bullpen if they allow Bryan Abreu to walk. So, it is nice to say go out and pay for a guy, but that money might be spoken for.

Obviously, that can change if players like Christian Walker, Jeremy Pena, and/or Josh Hader are dealt. That presents opportunities to get a center fielder in exchange or at least clear out enough salary to allow them to sign one of the guys above. All five would present upgrades over the numbers put up last season. Some will be better than others but also more expensive than others. It’s part of the fun task that Randy Flores has in outfitting this team for next season.

Mets Morning News: Award Week

Meet the Mets

The National League Rookie of the Year Award will be handed out tonight and Carson Benge is one of the three announced finalists for the honor.

After a failed season, it’s only natural for the Mets to make some changes and additions for next year, and the General Managers Meetings are the perfect place to start.

Around the National League East

Just in case enough things didn’t go well for the Braves, Chris Sale in the red and blue has been better than at any point in his career.

Headed by Paul Toboni, the shrewd Nationals might have come out of the Foster Griffin deal with a robbery named Will Dion.

Around Major League Baseball

The General Manager Meetings take place this week in Las Vegas which might be more important than usual considering the sport is three weeks and a day from locking out for months.

At the same time, MLB is having their annual BBWAA Awards week and the quartet of ceremonies kicks off tonight with the Rookies of the Year.

Someone who suffered during the last sustained work stoppage in 1994, Pedro Martinez weighed in on the battle between the owners and the MLBPA.

Despite never making an All Star team and only reaching free agency at the age of 32, Seiya Suzuki might be the best hitter available on the market this offseason.

For the rest of the free agent field, it’s only fair to put together a collection of the best players at each position and MLB dot com was naturally on that.

The Home Run Derby happened! Well, not that one. Blue Jays prospect Aaron Parker won the Arizona Fall League Home Run Derby with 19 total homers.

Yesterday at Amazin’ Avenue

Grace Carbone reviewed the final days of David Peterson, New York Met.

This Date in Mets History

Happy birthday to certified Mets Legend Joe Nunnally.

Podcast: The Orioles need to sign a good outfielder

SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA - SEPTEMBER 30: Seiya Suzuki #27 of the Chicago Cubs looks on before game two of the National League Wild Card Series against the San Diego Padres at Petco Park on September 30, 2026 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Orlando Ramirez/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Orioles outfield situation was an absolute mess in the 2026 season. Though the team has moved on from a couple of players who participated in that disaster this year, a few remain projected for starting roles as things stand right now. It is imperative that this change.

In this week’s episode of the podcast, my message is simple. The Orioles need to sign a good outfielder! They don’t have a lot of leeway to try to get cute with upside plays on cheaper, likely-mediocre options. They can’t keep waiting around for their stagnated “core” players to get back on a positive track. The best way that they can solve their problems is to spend a bunch of David Rubenstein’s money on who they think will be the best of the top free agent outfield options.

Will Mike Elias actually do this? That’s the question. In a fit of optimism that I’m not completely wasting my time by doing so, I spend this week talking about the cases for guys like Seiya Suzuki, Randy Arozarena, and Ian Happ:

If the above player isn’t displaying, view this article in Incognito Mode or check it out on the show’s page.

This is my weekly podcast about whatever is going on lately with the Orioles. If you enjoyed this episode, please make sure to subscribe. You can get the show on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you prefer to access your podcasts.

How are you feeling about the way things are going with the Orioles as we head towards the start of the free agency period? Answers could make it into the mailbag section of a future episode of the podcast.

NHL power rankings: Blackhawks, Sharks call players-only meetings

The defending Stanley Cup champion Carolina Hurricanes and the Connor McDavid-led Edmonton Oilers continue to roll.

At the other end of the latest USA TODAY NHL power rankings, the San Jose Sharks and Chicago Blackhawks have called players-only meetings.

The Sharks did it after a 7-2 loss to the Los Angeles Kings on Nov. 4 while the Blackhawks had an even worse loss, 9-2 to the Hurricanes on Nov. 7.

San Jose lost its next two games after the meeting by closer 4-1 and 4-3 scores as their losing streak hit five games. Chicago (six-game losing streak) has four days off before facing the Buffalo Sabres on Thursday, Nov. 12.

"We've got to utilize these next four days here," coach Jeff Blashill said. "We've got to make this a kind of bottom point of the year."

Blashill is in the second year of his contract with the Blackhawks while Sharks coach Ryan Warsofky recently signed a contract extension.

Here are the latest NHL power rankings from USA TODAY Sports:

NHL power rankings

The number in parentheses represents the change from the previous power rankings two weeks ago:

32. Vancouver Canucks (0)

Goalie Leevi Merilainen is getting most of the recent starts with Kevin Lankinen continuing to struggle. He gave up five goals in his most recent start and has a 6.03 goals-against average. Merilainen is at 3.52.

31. Chicago Blackhawks (0)

Captain Connor Bedard said the players-only meeting was called to give "ourselves a chance to get some frustrations out," though he added, "There's a lot of belief, a lot of love for each other. We're a tight-knit group." Sportsnet's Elliotte Friedman reported that the Blackhawks are exploring trades to help the team. He added that injured defenseman Bowen Byram remains out while he waits to see a specialist.

30. Philadelphia Flyers (-1)

The Flyers, who won three in a row after their 0-6-3 start, are 1-4-2 in their last seven games. They continue to be among the lowest-scoring teams in the league despite 10 goals from Matvei Michkov. Travis Konecny and Owen Tippett have returned from injury.

29. San Jose Sharks (-11)

The Sharks have one win in their last eight games, against the last-place Canucks. Macklin Celebrini has five points in his last three games, and Warsofsky has been juggling lines to try to get the NHL's third-worst offense going.

28. Pittsburgh Penguins (-4)

Sidney Crosby (1,773 points) has moved past Marcel Dionne for sixth place in all-time scoring. He's 24 points behind Ron Francis, a former Penguin.

27. Los Angeles Kings (+3)

Adrian Kempe had two goals and two assists in his return from injury on Nov. 4. The Kings are still without Kevin Fiala and Mats Zuccarello.

26. Calgary Flames (+2)

Defenseman Kevin Bahl will have season-ending surgery for a ruptured Achilles tendon. He had been averaging a team-high 21:56 in ice time.

25. Winnipeg Jets (-3)

The Jets have won three in a row after ending their nine-game losing streak, including a record comeback against the Monreal Canadiens. But the biggest potential news of the week won't happen because Devils goalie Connor Hellebuyck won't play in his return to Winnipeg.

24. Columbus Blue Jackets (+3)

Forward Valeri Nichushkin had a big game with a goal and assist against his former Avalanche team. Those were his lone points in his last five games. He has two goals in 15 games.

23. Detroit Red Wings (+2)

The Red Wings have gone 2-4 since center Dylan Larkin announced he would no longer suit up for the team amid his trade request. Larkin had submitted a list of 10 teams where he would accept a trade. He is suspended without pay, losing more than $41,000 a day.

22. St. Louis Blues (-1)

Defenseman Philip Broberg has moved into the Blues' scoring lead with seven points in his last six games.

21. Toronto Maple Leafs (-10)

The Maple Leafs have lost five of their last six games as the injuries pile up. Forward Kirill Marchenko and defenseman Morgan Rielly are out with lower body injuries.

20. New York Islanders (0)

Defenseman Logan Stanley delivered a big slash and cross-check to New Jersey Devils captain Nico Hischier on Nov. 7, earning the maximum allowed fine of $3,865.98.

19. Washington Capitals (-2)

Alex Ovechkin continues to be off to a slow start in his final NHL season. He has a goal and three assists in 15 games, with no points and 13 shots in his last seven games.

18. Buffalo Sabres (+5)

The Sabres fell below .500 at home with a loss to the Vegas Golden Knights. They finished 26-10-5 at home last season while ending their record 14-season playoff drought. They are 4-1-3 on the road this season.

17. Anaheim Ducks (+9)

Cutter Gauthier set an NHL record with multiple power play goals in three consecutive games. He had a chance to become the first NHL player with three consecutive hat tricks but was held to one goal in the third game. Two games later, he picked up another hat trick. That gives him 13 goals his last six games after starting the season with two goals in his first 11 games.

16. Florida Panthers (-2)

Forward Brady Tkachuk dropped the gloves with Boston's Nikita Zadorov two seconds into Saturday's game. Tkachuk ended the games with 25 penalty minutes while picking up a couple misconducts.

15. Seattle Kraken (-3)

Berkly Catton has taken the team scoring lead by recording three goals and seven assists during an eight-game point streak. He has 14 points in 16 games after getting 17 last season as a rookie. The Kraken head to Finland to face the Hurricanes.

14. New York Rangers (+2)

Goalie Joonas Korpisalo picked up a win in his Rangers debut after returning from a preseason injury. His full game ended 12 consecutive appearances by Dylan Garand since Igor Shesterkin's season-ending injury. James Reimer was pulled in his lone start during Garand's streak.

13. Utah Mammoth (-7)

Logan Cooley has two hat tricks in his last five games and 10 goals in his last eight games. He had started the season with one goal in his first 10 games.

12. Nashville Predators (+7)

Shane Wright is still seeking his first point with the Predators after being acquired in a trade from the Kraken. Nashville gave up forward Matthew Wood in the trade for Wright, the fourth overall pick in the 2022 draft.

11. Colorado Avalanche (+4)

Defenseman Cale Makar will be examined on Nov. 9 after leaving practice early. Coach Jared Bednar said he is expected to accompany the team on its road trip.

10. Ottawa Senators (-1)

Goalie Linus Ullmark has been activated from the injured list after missing eight games. Samuel Ersson stopped 76 of the last 80 shots he faced to pick up three consecutive wins.

9. Dallas Stars (-1)

The Stars continue to roll on the ice, but their plans for an arena project in Plano, Texas, took a hit when voters rejected Proposition A.

8. Vegas Golden Knights (-3)

Trevor Connelly has moved into a tie for the rookie scoring lead with 12 points. A recent three-game goal streak gives him seven on the season.

7. Montreal Canadiens (+6)

The Canadiens blew a 4-0 lead with 2:31 left in regulation in an overtime loss to the Jets but they still have a 10-game point streak. Six of those games were played without captain Nick Suzuki, who had three points in his return from injury.

6. Tampa Bay Lightning (+1)

Lightning star Nikita Kucherov shocked the hockey world when he told the team he wouldn't re-sign and asked for a trade. The 2025-26 NHL MVP has seven points in five games since his request. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay lost center Brayden Point to an undisclosed injury in their Nov. 8 game.

5. New Jersey Devils (+5)

The Devils have decided Hellebuyck won't play on Nov. 10 in his return to Winnipeg. "Connor Hellebuyck was adamant that he felt a duty to play on Tuesday in Winnipeg," GM Sunny Mehta said in a statement. "However, in our estimation, playing in this game would potentially give us a reduction in our expected win probability." Hellebuyck said he was disappointed but understood the decision.

4. Boston Bruins (-3)

Forward James Hagens, one of this season's top rookies, was placed on the injured list and will be out a couple weeks. He was cross-checked by Penguins defenseman Samuel Girard. Hagens has 12 points in 17 games this season. Mikey Eyssimont was called up and scored a goal in his first game.

3. Minnesota Wild (+1)

Kirill Kaprizov remains on a tear with a league-best 16 goals. The Wild are expected to get back defenseman Brock Faber soon. He had surgery for a fractured skull when he was hit in the head by a puck in preseason.

2. Edmonton Oilers (0)

McDavid has extended his season-opening assist streak to 18 games, an NHL record. The league's leading scorer has more assists (37) than the No. 2 scorer (teammate Leon Draisaitl (34) has points. McDavid needs five more games to tie Wayne Gretzky's record assist streak.

1. Carolina Hurricanes (0)

The league-leading Hurricanes have won six of their last seven games as they head to Helinski, Finland, for two games against the Kraken. Leading scorer Sebastian Aho is from Finland, along with Jesperi Kotkaniemi and Juuso Valimaki.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: NHL power rankings: Blackhawks, Sharks call players-only meetings

Dodgers notes: Shoki Oda, Aaron Bates, MLB lockout

TAIPEI, TAIWAN - SEPTEMBER 12: Shoki Oda #11 of Team Japan interacts with Ritora Yamada #2 of Team Japan in the first inning during the BFA U18 Asian Baseball Championship Super Round game between Chinese Taipei and Japan at Taipei Dome on September 12, 2026 in Taipei, Taiwan. (Photo by Gene Wang - Capture At Media/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Japanese right-hander Shoki Oda is one of the most interesting names of the offseason, as the 18-year-old right-hander is meeting with MLB teams, including the Dodgers.

The lure of a larger bonus in the U.S. than what they might get in the NPB draft has led to some Japanese teenagers to jump stateside. Yuri Karasawa talked about this trend as well as Oda as a guest of Ben Lindbergh on an episode of the Effectively Wild Podcast last week.

Karasawa went deeper into Oda with Jordan Shusterman and Jake Mintz on the Baseball Bar-B-Cast podcast.

Eric Longenhagen at FanGraphs scouted several Japanese players available this winter, and wrote, “My sources tell me Oda is more likely to sign after the new international signing period begins in 2027 rather than try to sneak in before the end of 2026.”


Aaron Bates and the Dodgers couldn’t come to an agreement on a contract extension which led to the hitting coach and the team parting ways last week after a dozen years coaching in the organization. Bates told Maddie Lee of the Los Angeles Times he was initially surprised by the split, but otherwise took the high road:

“Processing it, I think that there’s always a time and a place, and I think that things run their course,” Bates said. “But I have nothing but amazing things to say about the Dodgers organization and people.”

Ken Rosenthal and Evan Drellich at The Athletic spoke to several baseball agents, who are aligned with one another on at least one thing — MLB should not have a salary cap. This quote is from Rafa Nieves, agent of Teoscar Hernández and others:

“The league proposals, and the way they are trying to bully the players, have united them,” Nieves said. “A year or two ago, I would have maybe answered differently. … But when you come up with these proposals, just insulting them, it is going to wrangle them together. Which is what I have noticed: They’re more united, they’re more together, they’re getting more informed.”

Atlanta Braves News: AFL All-Star Game, Chris Sale’s Historic Time with Braves, More

ATLANTA, GA - OCTOBER 06: Atlanta pitcher Chris Sale (51) tips his cap during the NLDS game 3 between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Atlanta Braves on October 6th, 2026 at Truist Park in Atlanta, GA. (Photo by Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Over the past several weeks, many eyes have been on the future of Major League Baseball on the Arizona Fall League. And for the Braves, two of the more impressive talents this year have been Tate Soutisene and Brigg Mckenzie. Both prospects participated in the AFL All-Star game, wrapping up a really successful AFL for both players. This was a continuation of an impressive 2026 season for both players, and what the Braves hope will be a continued ascension in development.

Braves News

JR Ritchie made his MLB debut this season and pitched several times for the Braves. However, much more often than not, he did not look ready to be reliable as a member of the rotation.

Chris Sale’s production as a Brave so far in his career has been quite historic.

MLB News

With the December 1st lockout almost guaranteed to occur, the GM Meetings this week could serve as a “Winter Meetings Lite”. There could be more rumors and actions than usual this year as teams look to get some offseason work done.