Kansas City Royals news: 2026 season thawing in Florida, Arizona

Now is prime time for the first stab at a Kansas City Royals roster projection. David Lesky started his take over at Inside the Crown with a good layout of the process.

Every year at the start of spring, I like to take stock of where the Royals roster is at that moment. What we see on February 10 (or whatever day I’ve started in the past) is generally a good chunk of what we’ll see on Opening Day, but there are always some surprise entrants. This year’s Royals roster is filled with some guaranteed spots, but there are still roster battles, both on the bench and among starters. Some of those battles may be more ceremonial than anything, but sometimes those become very real.

Today I’m going to start with the position players and tomorrow I’ll shift to the pitchers. Today, I’m going to include last year’s stats with each player. In another round, I’ll shift to some projections, including maybe even my own if I ever get those done. I look at this as a running piece that I’ll do every couple of weeks or when there’s a reason to make a shift and I’ll run it right up to probably around March 19 or so.

Jaylon Thompson has the latest from pitchers and catchers reporting on Tuesday, including asking Michael Wacha about the fence movement in Kauffman Stadium.

The offense should make a significant leap in 2026. That is due to both the new additions and the club’s decision to move the outfield fences in at Kauffman Stadium. The Royals expect an influx of extra-base hits as the changes are tailored to their lineup.

In the same vein, the pitchers welcome the new challenge. “I’m not even thinking about it really,” Wacha said. “As a pitcher, at least for me, you know, I’m going to stick to what’s worked for me. I tend to be more of a flyball pitcher, but I feel like I’m able to get weak contact at times as well. Hopefully, rely on that weak contact and get a bit more swing and miss than I did last year. I’m not too worried about it though.”

The MLB Pipeline crew is not too worried about Carer Jensen’s chances of making the Royals’ Opening Day roster.

Carter Jensen, C, Royals (MLB No. 18)
Callis: 100 percent

Mayo: 100 percent: That’s an easy one.

The Royals took to social media to announce that royals.tv is open to subscribers!

With an influx of teams being available through mlb.tv adjacent services, there is rightfully a flood of questions with few answers. How do you prefer your explanation? Perhaps from the source itself, MLB.com.

“We are proud of the award-winning production MLB has offered clubs while increasing the reach of the games, enhancing production features, and offering greater access to the players and game,” MLB Deputy Commissioner for business and media Noah Garden said in a release. “Additionally, we are listening to our fans who want blackouts eliminated. MLB’s in-market streaming option allows us to remove a point of friction for the fans.”

For the 15 non-RSN teams, MLB.TV subscription prices will be the same as last year — $99.99 per season or $19.99 per month. Fans can bundle a club’s local streaming service with an MLB.TV out-of-market subscription — giving them access to the entire league’s local games — for $199.99 per season or $39.99 per month, a 20% savings off individual pricing of the two services.

Hard to go wrong with AP, in my mind.

Those who subscribe to Spectrum, DirecTV, Fubo TV, Hulu Live TV and Verizon Fios have access to ESPN Unlimited subscription as a part of their TV plan. The rest, including cord-cutters, pay $29.25 per month for all of the ESPN networks. The local in-market streaming products for 14 teams whose games are produced by MLB will be available on the MLB site and through the teams. So far those teams are the Arizona Diamondbacks, Cincinnati Reds, Cleveland Guardians, Colorado Rockies, Kansas City Royals, Los Angeles Angels, Miami Marlins, Milwaukee Brewers, Minnesota Twins, San Dieg

For all the catch-alls, Forbes is a good way to go, too.

Technically There’s No Double-Dip Subscription Required
There has been some reporting that, under this new agreement, customers are locked into a dual-subscription model to access MLB.TV. Users may choose to retain ESPN Unlimited and access the wide range of other sports options available there, but there’s no requirement. Again, you have the option to opt out at any time.

CBS Sports’ R.J. Anderson has a way-too-early 2027 free agent rankings, with Kris Bubic rounding out his top ten of the group.

As with Rogers, this is an aggressive rank that Bubic will have to earn — with both quality and quantity. He’s thrown 162 innings total at the big-league level over the last three seasons, with nearly three-quarters of those coming in 2025. Bubic was sensational when he was healthy, but he had his campaign end prematurely on account of a strained rotator cuff. Stay tuned.

Caleb Moody laments about Kansas City not making a deal like Monday’s between the Boston Red Sox and Milwaukee Brewers.

For the Royals, a name like Durbin would’ve given even more cover at second over their questionable duo of Jonathan India and Michael Massey and Monasterio and his 111 wRC+ in 2025 provided a versatile infield upgrade over current utility options like Nick Loftin and Tyler Tolbert.

And while the Royals top trade piece from their starting pitching surplus, Kris Bubic, may not exactly match the Brewers return of Harrison – given the latter’s remaining team control and prior prospect pedigree – it’s not as if Bubic is their only tradeable starter.

Kevin O’Brien is not too worried about blocking metrics painting a picture of Jensen behind the plate in 2025.

An encouraging trend is that Jensen has bounced back in minimizing passed balls in his repeat of a level the following season. He improved by 15 points in High-A from 2023 to 2024. He improved by 16 points from 2024 to 2025 in Double-A. An encouraging part of his trend was that, while he had some regression in Omaha, he kept it below 0.20 (unlike his first stints in High-A and Double-A in 2023 and 2024, respectively).

Thus, while Jensen has some work to do, he will have plenty of time to improve his blocking skills during Spring Training in Surprise, Arizona. Thus, he should see some improved blocking metrics at the MLB level as a result, especially as he gets a bigger sample of innings behind the plate for the Royals in 2026.

Is he an old friend if he never pitched for the big-league club?

The Texas Rangers are giving away bloody Nolan Ryan jersey replicas later this spring.

Here is Robbie Dudzinski using Python and the Markov process to break down an at-bat. Call me a baseball math sadist.

Justin Verlander is back in all-too-familiar threads with the Detroit Tigers on a one-year, $13 million deal.

The injury bug is already biting the New York Mets, as star shortstop Francisco Lindor’s hand injury casts doubt on 2026 status.

Singles savant Luis Arraez finds a home with the San Francisco Giants on a one-year, $12 million pact.

Cincinnati Reds catcher Tyler Stephenson won his arbitration case, earning a $6.8 million salary for the 2026 season.

In case you need a reminder, Kyle Boddy knows ball.

All that glitters is not gold, or as durable as the precious metal, when it comes to the Olympic medals.

Luck and timing are impossible to account for in fantasy sports. Here is an interesting experiment in fantasy football about what could have been.

Baseball is nearly here, but even football has an offseason.

How two mid-market Midwest teams were anything but mid at the NBA trade deadline.

Joe Posnanski is back talking about FROGs again, this time with a basketball lens.

In Milan, Milo and Tina are taking stoats to the next level.

Nielsen’s final numbers are in for Sunday night’s Super Bowl viewership, with the game and halftime show falling shy of record marks and initial estimates.

A new type of Rocky is coming to theaters this year in Project Hail Mary.

Today’s song of the day is tiptoeing by senses.

MLB News: Justin Verlander, Cody Bellinger, MLB broadcasts, World Baseball Classic

Happy Wednesday, everyone! Tigers fans got an unexpected surprise yesterday when the team announced a one-year deal with Justin Verlander. Verlander, who began his career in Detroit, was a beloved former ace for the club, and the reunion—that might be more of a farewell tour—feels like an appropriate next chapter for both Verlander and the club.

In today’s news bites we’ll also look at Paul Goldschmidt’s reunion with the Yankees, plus the lockout-proof contract Cody Bellinger signed with the Bronx Bombers. We’ll also explore how the World Baseball Classic managed to help form some of the best pitching we’ve seen in MLB, and also puzzle out precisely how we’re all supposed to watch baseball this season.

Let’s get right into it!

And tomorrow will be a better day than today, Buster. Make it so.

One SEC conspiracy theory dies after Alabama's Charles Bediako loses in court

Down South, one big conspiracy theory has nothing to do with the moon or JFK.

Instead, the yearslong whopper that ran rampant within SEC terrain centered on conference commissioner Greg Sankey being an “Alabama homer.” A native New Yorker turned elephant backer. Secretly wrote all of his “A’s” in script handwriting.

Professional provocateur James Carville once alleged “collusion” between the SEC office and Alabama. Some might say the Ragin’ Cajun, an LSU alumnus, was the one suffering from bias, but I digress.

Here lately, Sankey sure is acting funny for a supposed “Alabama homer.” He must have forgotten his SEC office in Birmingham, aka East Tuscaloosa, operates as a Roll Tide cabal.

Or, maybe Sankey was just never the full-fledged Alabama homer some fans of rival teams made him out to be. Like most conspiracy theories, this one lacked sufficient proof.

Those old Alabama-SEC collusion claims shriveled last week. Sankey turned heel on Alabama and sided with the NCAA in a lawsuit to determine whether the Tide could continue playing former pro basketball player Charles Bediako in their march toward March.

Days after Sankey filed an affidavit supporting the NCAA, a judge in Alabama ruled against Bediako and in favor of the NCAA. This halted the NBA G League dropout’s days of dunking on college dudes.

Judge Daniel Pruet used legalese to explain his decision, language like Bediako “failed to establish that he would suffer irreparable harm” if he did not receive his desired ruling. He also cited NCAA bylaws.

NCAA “rules do not permit a student-athlete to participate in collegiate basketball, leave for the NBA, and return to the collegiate arena,” Pruet wrote. “All the evidence in the record indicates that the (NCAA) has consistently applied this specific rule.”

Left unwritten: The SEC commish casting his lot with the NCAA surely didn’t help Bediako.

Greg Sankey as 'Alabama homer' theory loses steam

So, what gives? Is Sankey an Alabama homer or a hater?

Neither.

He’s an SEC homer. That comes with the job. If Sankey and his office seemed like an Alabama homer before, maybe that’s because Nick Saban ruled college football. Saban’s high tides (and bountiful trophies) lifted the SEC’s boats.

If Sankey had to stump and maneuver a bit on behalf of Saban’s Alabama, well, that’s just good business.

Three years ago, Sankey summoned every ounce of propaganda he could muster while campaigning for the SEC’s champion, which wound up being Alabama, to get the final College Football Playoff spot, at the expense of undefeated Florida State.

Playoff rejection would have been costly to the SEC’s brand, ego, prestige and earnings. Anyway, what was good for Alabama also was good for the SEC, and it wasn’t particularly bad for college sports. It was just bad for Florida State and the ACC.

What Greg Sankey wrote in Charles Bediako affidavit

In this case, Bediako playing was fine for Alabama, but not especially beneficial to the SEC, on the whole. He didn’t even transform Alabama into a top national championship contender. He just made Alabama better than it was without him.

Bediako playing wasn’t ideal for Auburn when the former pro scored 12 points in Alabama’s 96-92 rivalry win, his final game before the judge’s ruling.

Other SEC teams aren’t playing guys who left college, declared for the NBA draft, played in the G League, and returned to college hoops years later, in violation of NCAA bylaws. As other teams follow the rules, Bediako and Alabama tried to sidestep them in court.

“Permitting former professional athletes to return to (college) competition creates a competitive disadvantage and fundamental unfairness for current student-athletes,” Sankey wrote in his affidavit in support of the NCAA.

Sankey has spent his career working within college sports. He worked in compliance on his way up the ladder. I suspect, at his core, he believes rules are good, a lack of rules is bad, rule-by-lawsuit is messy, and an ability to enforce eligibility rules is key to successful operation of any league.

Alabama coach Nate Oats and Bediako’s lawyer will point to the duplicity of the NCAA restricting Bediako from playing while permitting international players who previously played in foreign pro leagues or in the NBA G League, before later enrolling in college.

Hypocritical? Maybe.

Muddy? Absolutely.

Grounds for an injunction? Not according to an Alabama judge.

When Bediako left Alabama, declared for the draft and signed an NBA contract, NCAA rules said he wouldn’t be allowed to return to college ball. The rules still say that.

A healthy debate can be had about what it really means to be a pro athlete, when an NBA G Leaguer sues to get back in a college uniform, where he can earn more money. Amateurism is dead. Bediako wanted to leave one paycheck from the NBA G League for a better paycheck in college.

An Alabama homer would say, what’s the problem with that?

Sankey saw a problem. He’s no Alabama homer, after all.

Blake Toppmeyer is a columnist for the USA TODAY Network. Email him at BToppmeyer@gannett.com and follow him on X @btoppmeyer.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: By siding with NCAA vs Alabama, Greg Sankey debunks conspiracy theory

If you could only attend one regular season Mets game this year, which one would it be?

NEW YORK, NY - OCTOBER 18: A general view outside the stadium prior to Game 5 of the NLCS presented by loanDepot between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the New York Mets at Citi Field on Friday, October 18, 2024 in New York, New York. (Photo by Rob Tringali/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

This post is part of a series of daily questions that we’ll ask the community here at Amazin’ Avenue throughout the month of February. We hope you find the questions engaging and that our prompts can spark some fun conversations in the comments. We’ll see you there and plan to have staff chiming in, too.

If you could only attend one regular season Mets game this year, which one would it be?

Which Yankees offseason decision makes you most nervous?

TAMPA, FL - FEBRUARY 15: Senior vice president and general manager Brian Cashman of the New York Yankees speaks during the 2024 Grapefruit League Spring Training Media Day at George M. Steinbrenner Field on Thursday, February 15, 2024 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Mike Carlson/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Good morning, all! It’s a welcome day in Yankeeland, as pitchers and catchers officially report to spring training today. Of course, that oft-cited countdown following the last out of the World Series only means so much since plenty were already in camp a little early and dudes jogging around and lifting weights hardly feels like the true siren sound of baseball on the horizon. But it is a milestone nonetheless! Exhibition games will begin the Friday after next, and Opening Day on March 25th in San Francisco will be here in a blink.

On to today’s question. The offseason isn’t fully in the books since some notable players like Zac Gallen, Rhys Hoskins, Lucas Giolito, and Zack Littell remain available. But for the Yankees’ sake, it probably is; they don’t seem likely to make any further additions, barring a surprise trade or an end-of-spring swap to supplement the bench/back of the bullpen. So we can start to look in the rearview mirror with more confidence.

The Yankees made a number of different decisions this offseason that run the gamut on roster spots from “passive acceptance” to “active choice.” So which one makes you most nervous for the sake of the 2026 season? Is it not adding to the rotation depth beyond Ryan Weathers? Rolling the dice on outfielders Cody Bellinger and Trent Grisham to remain as good as they were in 2025 while sitting out the Kyle Tucker sweepstakes? Losing two key relievers from the already-shaky 2025 bullpen and declining to make any obvious impact moves out there? Retaining Aaron Boone as manager?

There’s no shortage of options. I think leaving the rotation in such a dodgy place is the winner for me, given that all of Carlos Rodón, Gerrit Cole, and Clarke Schmidt will begin 2026 on the IL, and both Weathers and Luis Gil absolutely qualify as injury risks on their own.


Today on the site, Matt will remember a minor-but-infamous Yankees reliever from the early 2010s as part of our Yankees Birthdays series, Josh will critique The Shredder’s list of top MLB first basemen, and Peter will welcome back Cole in his 2026 Yankees preview post.

A Brief History of Star Player Trades in the NHL And Why the Devils Trading a “Core Player” Is A Bad Idea

NEWARK, NJ - OCTOBER 18: New Jersey Devils center Jack Hughes #86 celebrates with New Jersey Devils defenseman Luke Hughes #43 after scoring a goal during a game between the Edmonton Oilers and New Jersey Devils at Prudential Center on October 18, 2025 in Newark, New Jersey. (Photo by Andrew Mordzynski/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The New Jersey Devils season has not gone according to plan. They’re unlikely to make the playoffs when they return from the Olympic break. And because this is supposedly a “win now” team, missing the playoffs entirely is an unacceptable result. People are looking for someone to point the finger at and blame for the shortcomings of the team.

We can all agree that there are issues with this team. Where we don’t necessarily agree is where the biggest issues lie and the way to go about fixing it. I think I’ve made my viewpoint perfectly clear where I blame Tom Fitzgerald more than anyone, and I don’t think any of this changes until the Devils clean house with their front office and scouting departments. That doesn’t necessarily mean that I don’t think Sheldon Keefe is a big part of the problem (he is) or that the players are blameless (they’re not), but much like when weeds pop up in your front lawn, you’re not going to get rid of them until you literally get to the root of the issue. To me, that’s Fitzgerald.

Where I struggle to get on the same page as some of my Devils fan brethren is when it comes to blaming the players. I would agree that there are very few players, if any, on the Devils that have had a good year. My list would probably be Cody Glass and maybe Arseny Gritsyuk and that’s about it. I would also agree that when it comes to the “core players”, they haven’t been anywhere near good enough this season. And with all due respect to the supporting cast, its the Devils “core players” that would significantly move the needle one way or the other in regards to how good this team actually is. It’s not surprising with them all having bad years that the team is bad.

Where I disagree is wanting to cut bait with said players.

For reasons that I don’t quite understand, there are Devils fans who don’t like Jack and Luke Hughes. There are Devils fans who suggest that Nico Hischier is a “bad captain”, whatever that means. Depending upon how wide-ranging you want your “core” to be, Jesper Bratt, Timo Meier, Dougie Hamilton, and others have had their flaws as hockey players picked apart as much as anybody else on the roster, because that’s what we do as fans when the team underperforms. It has to be someone’s fault, after all. And with the core of this team being together for several seasons now and only have one (1) second round appearance to show for it, fans get restless, throw their arms up in disgust, declare that you can’t win with these guys, and it’s time to trade them.

Never mind the fact that if the player(s) is as bad as you’re telling me he is, why would any other team want them?

Never mind the fact that you’re telling me that the player(s) is bad and needs to be traded while also simultaneously trying to tell me this other team will definitely give up their superstar player in exchange for him.

I’m not saying that the Devils should continue what they’re doing indefinitely when it hasn’t worked. But it also doesn’t take a genius to suggest that trading away good players isn’t the answer either. So this week, I’m going to take a brief historical look at trades where a team gave away a star player for one reason or another, why it hasn’t worked out for them, and why it also won’t work out for the Devils if they were foolish enough to go down that road.

For purposes of this exercise, I’m only going to include deals in the salary cap era. I’m not really all that interested in going back to when the Oilers traded away Wayne Gretzky or Mark Messier, but spoiler alert, the Oilers didn’t win those deals when they got rid of future first-ballot Hall of Famers. Shocking, I know.

Maple Leafs Trade Mitch Marner to the Golden Knights for Nic Roy

This one feels a little bit like cheating since Marner was technically a free agent who was clearly leaving, but the circumstances leading up to it actually share a lot of parallels to what the Devils are currently going through.

The Maple Leafs went through season after season of being unable to to reach a Conference Final, let alone a Stanley Cup Final. They changed the coach several times. They changed the GM. They changed the supporting cast on the roster time and time again. But the core was essentially the same throughout with Auston Matthews, John Tavares, Mitch Marner, William Nylander, and Morgan Reilly as the constants for the Leafs from the late 2010s up until last season.

The Leafs had yet another season where they came up short and “something simply had to change because you can’t keep running it back” in regards to the core. After all, they’ve already changed the GM, the coach, and the supporting cast several times over. Matthews is the new captain and he recently re-signed so he’s not going anywhere. Nylander is signed long-term so neither was he. Same goes for Reilly. So the only pieces that could theoretically change were pending UFAs Tavares (who took a discount to stay) and Marner. Marner was deemed the whipping boy or scapegoat or however you want to phrase it, and he was as ready to move on from the Leafs as the Leafs were ready to move on from him.

How’s that working out for Toronto this season? Not great.

There are other reasons why Toronto will likely miss the playoffs this season….Anthony Stolarz has been injured and hasn’t been very good when he has played, and the Leafs supporting cast is still average. But perhaps no reason is bigger than Toronto essentially letting a player who was a consistent 25-30 goal scorer and chipped in 60+ assists leave for essentially nothing but a bottom six center.

I like Nic Roy. He’s a solid option to have further down in your lineup. But he’s no Mitch Marner, who is having a typical Mitch Marner season in Vegas for a team that is likely playoff-bound. And while it remains to be seen what Marner and the Knights do once they get there, I doubt he’s all that upset about getting out of the Toronto pressure cooker. Especially given where he wound up.

Toronto failed to replace the production that a departing Marner provided, and it’s a big part of the reason why they’re going to miss the playoffs. That’s not to say that they still can’t eventually replace Marner’s production going forward, but as we already know, there’s no player with Marner’s level of production that is hitting the UFA or trade market this summer, and even if there were, there’s no guarantee Toronto gets them.

Maple Leafs Trade Phil Kessel (And Stuff) to the Penguins for Mostly Spare Parts

Long before Marner was the scapegoat for Toronto’s failures, there was Phil Kessel.

Toronto missed the playoffs during Kessel’s last few years there. “It was time to move on” from a player like Kessel, who has a mercurial personality to begin with. Add in the fact that the Toronto media did everything they could to run Kessel out of town and Leafs management finally obliged with this doozy of a trade.

Toronto sent Kessel, Tyler Biggs, Tim Erixon, and a conditional 2nd round pick to the Penguins for Kasperi Kapanen, one-time almost a Devil Scott Harrington (who was later in the Timo Meier trade), Nick Spaling, a conditional first round pick (later flipped for Frederik Andersen), and a third round pick (James Greenway).

Kapanen was the most notable piece that the Leafs got back, and he was ok with 90 points over 202 games for Toronto before being later dealt back to Pittsburgh. Harrington was later dealt to Columbus and was a journeyman defenseman. Spaling was a checking line forward who was flipped at the deadline later that year. Greenway never played in the NHL, and the first round pick was flipped for Frederik Andersen who was mostly good for Toronto before he too was eventually run out of town for Toronto’s failures as a team. Toronto hasn’t gotten past the second round of the playoffs since making this trade, and actually tanked for a couple seasons in the immediate aftermath of said deal, which did land them Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner.

Is a handful of good seasons by the goaltender and a handful of ok seasons by Kapanen enough of a return for a top line scoring winger in his prime who fit the Penguins like a glove and was a key part of two Stanley Cup winning teams there (and three if we count his final season in Vegas?). Especially when the Leafs wound up accomplishing nothing of significance for the period that Andersen and Kapanen were there before they were eventually moved? Who’s to say?

Sabres Trade Jack Eichel to Golden Knights for Alex Tuch, Peyton Krebs, and Picks

The backstory with Eichel’s falling out with the Sabres is well documented. The Sabres were a perennial loser with him. Eichel got injured and needed neck surgery. Both sides disagreed on how to proceed with the specific neck surgery that Eichel would get. Eichel, who was already annoyed with the organization given the state of the team throughout his tenure there, got fed up and requested a trade. The Sabres eventually obliged once the situation became untenable, sending him (along with a 3rd rd pick) to Vegas for Alex Tuch, Peyton Krebs, a first round pick (eventually used on Noah Ostlund) and a second round pick (later flipped to Minnesota for Jordan Greenway).

Eichel eventually got the surgery he wanted, returned to the lineup for the Golden Knights, and has been been better than a PPG #1 center for the Golden Knights since. Eichel was a key member of their championship team in 2022-23 and had a legitimate case for the Conn Smythe award that eventually went to Jonathan Marchessault.

Buffalo got an excellent player on a good contract in Tuch, although he is a pending UFA so it remains to be seen where his future lies. But Krebs hasn’t really developed into anything more than a fourth line center. Ostlund has been ok in his first full NHL season and Greenway has been an average at best bottom six winger. That’s not exactly the type of return you’re looking for when you’re trading away a borderline Top 5 center in the entire league.

Needless to say, Buffalo has mostly struggled since trading Eichel. Their playoff drought will probably come to an end this season, as they’ve been white hot since firing the GM who made that trade. Which is weird, because I’ve been told time and time again that you can’t possibly expect the team to play better after making a change like that.

Generally speaking though, I would disagree with anyone who suggests that Buffalo has been better off without Eichel. They’ll probably make the playoffs this year, but the Eichel trade isn’t the reason why. That’s not to say that Tuch hasn’t been good, because he certainly has been. But Vegas winning a Cup almost immediately with Eichel and Eichel remaining an elite level center for them for the remainder of his prime trumps anything Buffalo has accomplished post-trade.

Bruins Trade Joe Thornton to the Sharks for Marco Sturm, Wayne Primeau, and Brad Stuart

People in Boston might retroactively try to claim that trading away Joe Thornton was the catalyst for the Stanley Cup championship team they would eventually build that won in 2011.

They’re entitled to their opinion, but that would be revisionist history.

Thornton, who was Boston’s captain when traded and had just signed a 3-year deal the previous offseason, became a punching bag in Boston due to his leadership style and Boston’s failures in the playoffs. The two sides had a contentious contract negotiation the previous summer with each side unhappy with the other, but Thornton eventually put pen to paper on a new three year deal.

With the Bruins struggling in the first season post-lockout, they traded Thornton to the Sharks for three players and no draft picks. Sturm was ok as a Bruin, with 193 points in 302 games over parts of five seasons. But Primeau and Stuart were depth pieces who ultimately left Boston as free agents.

Meanwhile, Thornton immediately turned the Sharks season around with a Hart Trophy season and a playoff appearance. Including the split season between Boston and San Jose, Thornton totaled 970 points over his next 937 games, which is a Hall of Fame-caliber career in and of itself. The Sharks never won a Stanley Cup while Thornton was there….call it a byproduct of playing in the same era as Chicago and Los Angeles when they were winning championships if you want….but the Sharks were a consistent playoff team throughout his 15 years in Northern California. Meanwhile, Boston got nothing of note in return for a future first ballot Hall of Famer in his prime.

None of us have a crystal ball to tell us whether or not Boston eventually wins a Cup had they kept Thornton. We know they won one in 2011 without him, but that team was also significantly better than the ones Thornton was on. Tim Thomas won a Vezina that year. They had Hall of Famers up and down their lineup with a young Patrice Bergeron and Brad Marchand playing alongside Zdeno Chara and Mark Recchi. Guys like Milan Lucic, David Krejci, and Nathan Horton were young and in their primes. Blake Wheeler and Tyler Seguin would go on to become stars in the league themselves. That Boston team was loaded.

If the argument is that trading Thornton allowed Boston to sink to the bottom of the standings and allocate resources elsewhere, I would disagree with that. Boston was really only bad for a two year stretch in the mid 00s. Bergeron and Thomas were already on the roster when Thornton was dealt. Marchand was drafted in the third round the following season. They did wind up signing Chara that following offseason. While it would be foolish to suggest Chara wasn’t a big part of why the Bruins turned things around, who Boston later acquired after the fact doesn’t exactly make up for what has been universally accepted as one of the worst trades in modern NHL history.

Flames Trade Matthew Tkachuk to the Panthers for Jonathan Huberdeau, MacKenzie Weegar, Cole Schwindt, and a 2025 first round pick (Cullen Potter)

Of course, I fully expect the one trade everyone in the comments section who wants to trade Jack and Luke Hughes, Nico Hischier, and Jesper Bratt to point to would be this one.

Context matters however.

The Flames didn’t necessarily want to trade Matthew Tkachuk. They knew how good he is. But the Flames found themselves in that position where they didn’t have much of a choice after Johnny Gaudreau left in free agency and Tkachuk made it clear that he wasn’t going to re-sign in Calgary when his contract was up in a year. Tkachuk had a fairly limited list of teams he was willing to sign a contract extension with (side note, New Jersey wasn’t one of those teams on his list even though his cousin is Devils GM Tom Fitzgerald). And even with that, Calgary probably did better than most of the other teams on this list in terms of getting quality NHL players in return.

That’s not to necessarily say they did great though. Huberdeau has been unable to replicate the 115 point season he had in his final season in South Florida and is in the middle of a long-term deal that Calgary handed him which pays him $10.5M AAV. Weegar has been a top pairing defenseman for the Flames but has struggled this year and is also in the middle of a long-term deal that Calgary handed him. Schwindt hasn’t really taken off as an NHL player and is now back with Florida while the jury is out on what Potter will be. But in the bigger picture, Calgary has been doing their own retool or rebuild or whatever one wants to call it since Tkachuk and Gaudreau left. They haven’t made the playoffs since this trade, and probably aren’t heading there anytime soon as they continue to shop veteran players like Nazem Kadri and Blake Coleman, among others.

Of course, all of that pales in comparison to Tkachuk, who was a key member of a Florida Panthers team that reached the Stanley Cup Final in three consecutive seasons since he arrived and won twice.

I don’t know if in an alternate universe if Bill Zito and the Panthers wind up winning a Stanley Cup had Tkachuk gone to St. Louis or Vegas or Tampa Bay instead. Saying they might have won anyways diminishes Tkachuk’s contributions when he was a key piece of that team. But it’s not like Florida didn’t have a good team prior to that trade. A lot of key players like Sasha Barkov, Sam Bennett, Sergei Bobrovsky, Aaron Ekblad, Gus Forsling, Anton Lundell, Eetu Luostarinen, Brandon Montour, Sam Reinhart, and Carter Verhaeghe were already there. Huberdeau and Weegar were the odd men out, but it’s also in a trade to get Matthew Tkachuk.

Zito had an opportunity to make a franchise-defining trade and certainly has no regrets after the fact. Nor should he. But this is also a particularly perfect set of circumstances that played out in his favor and Calgary still wound up doing better than most teams in terms of getting an actual return for trading away a star player. I don’t think this is one that is easily duplicated, in part because most teams aren’t looking to trade away a “Tkachuk-type” if they have one. And even if a team is trading that type away, its usually because they know they’re going to lose the player if they don’t trade him, and the list of destinations is fairly limited.

How Does This Pertain To the Devils?

I could keep going on bad trades that sent a star player out of town, such as the deal that sent Jeff Carter to Los Angeles (helping spur two championship runs for the Kings) or the Roberto Luongo trade that sent him from Florida to Vancouver (where he was runner up for the Hart and Vezina in his first year and helped lead Vancouver to a Cup Final appearance), but I think you get the point.

The purpose of this article isn’t to say the Devils should definitely not trade (insert player name here). When you’ve been as mediocre as the Devils have been for the last several years, I do think you should approach this situation with an open mind.

That said, there’s quite a few things that need to be said.

It’s hard to get talented players in this league. The Devils have never historically been a premiere free agent destination, and as we’re seeing with the Devils the last few years, building a team through free agency is tough to do. You’re paying market rate for said players who are more of the supporting cast types than franchise players, you’re in a position where you probably have to get a little uncomfortable by giving them an extra year and/or no-trade protection, and we’re dealing with players in their 30s when their best years might already be behind them. The superstar players that actually move the needle rarely make it to free agency in their prime, and in the rare cases they do, they’re not picking New Jersey. That includes Dougie Hamilton, who is closer to being a really good supporting cast member than a true #1 defenseman.

Teams that have star players aren’t going to easily give them up. There’s usually extenuating circumstances that lead to the “why” the trade is happening. The team wants to cut costs, or they know the player is going to be a free agent and they’re unlikely to keep them. Maybe there’s bad blood between management and the player for whatever reason, such as the one I pointed out with Eichel. Maybe its a situation where in a hockey-crazy market, the team listens to their fanbase in regards to who not to bring back because its easier to run a smear campaign after the player left town than it is to build a winner around said player. Giving up on talent should be viewed as a last resort, and should only be considered once other options have been exhausted.

And even when you do decide to give up on said player? You’re probably not going to come close to winning said trade. You’re probably going to get a late first round pick back. Maybe two if you’re lucky because one of the picks may have a “if the team wins the Stanley Cup, you get a first round pick” condition attached to it. You’ll likely get a prospect back, but it probably won’t be THE prospect you want from said team because that player has been deemed untouchable by his current team. And you might get a young player back, but that player won’t be nearly as good as the one you’re trading away.

While all this is going on, you’ll continue to lose hockey games because it turns out said player you’re giving up on wasn’t actually part of the problem in the first place. To make matters worse, you’ll probably see said player celebrate newfound success with their new team because their management team and/or coaching staff actually knows what they’re doing and knows how to put players like that in a position to succeed. Tom Fitzgerald has made plenty of mistakes in his time as Devils general manager, but how much worse would things be if he had given up on difference makers like, say, Sam Bennett or Carter Verhaeghe too early instead of Jesper Boqvist and Vitek Vanecek. But hey, maybe those prospects and magic beans you’re getting back will pan out someday.

Nobody is saying that Jack or Luke Hughes, Nico Hischier, Jesper Bratt, Timo Meier, Dougie Hamilton, or whoever else you want to consider to be a “core” piece of the Devils moving forward is as good as the players listed in the historical examples above. But when you start giving up on players, you better be right about that because the consequences if you are wrong are more significant than giving up on a coach, or a GM, or changing around the supporting cast. Especially when there’s been zero inclination of said players actually wanting out of this situation. The Devils shouldn’t be looking to push their so-called core pieces out the door. Those are the types of unforced errors that can set the franchise back half a decade or longer.

This isn’t the NHL video game where you can propose trading the Hughes brothers to Minnesota to complete the Hughes triforce there, or try pawning off Jesper Bratt on Ottawa for Brady Tkachuk because “we need a Tkachuk-type”. Star player for star player trades aren’t commonplace for a reason. And no, I’m not interested in trading Jack Hughes for some draft picks and a B-level prospect because “you gotta shake up the core” or because he’s “always hurt” or you don’t like the answers he gives to the media. I’d rather have Jack Hughes, who we all know can be a game-breaking talent, flaws and all. If Luke Hughes is as bad as everyone has told me he was this year (and he’s not nearly that bad, to be clear), who is giving you anything worthwhile that’s worth accepting when he’s making $9M AAV for six more years? I’d rather bet on the player and that he’ll ultimately be the player the Devils projected him to be when they drafted him than sell on the player for 30 cents on the dollar.

Nico Hischier might be different in that he’ll be entering his contract year next year. I would expect that he ultimately signs a contract extension, but its not a lock that he does. If, and only if, he decides not to sign would I even entertain a trade pertaining to the Devils captain. But what I’m not doing is trading a guy that people tell me is a bad captain when those people have no idea what they’re talking about when it comes to dynamics in the room when they’re not actually in said room.

I’m not drawing a definitive line in the sand when it comes to everybody else in the Devils roster because I do think there’s something to the idea that the mix itself isn’t working and hasn’t worked. But I also believe the Devils have good players on this roster who are having bad years. I don’t know what the reason for that necessarily is, whether its injury-related, a coaching structure that is way too conservative, bad luck, or some combination of the above. But we’ve seen enough good hockey from Jesper Bratt, for example, over the years to where I don’t think he just forgot how to play hockey in his age-27 season.

I’m not saying the Devils shouldn’t consider trading Bratt, or Hamilton, or Meier, or Dawson Mercer, or Simon Nemec, or whoever. I’m not even saying any or all of them are “core players”. I’m saying that it’s easier to change everything else around the players. It’s easier to find a new GM who actually does think skill is important and isn’t just loading up on grinders who play “playoff style hockey”. It’s easier to find a coach who strikes the right balance where maybe you’re not always selling out for offense like they did under Lindy Ruff, but you’re also not suppressing offense for the sake of defense either like they are under Sheldon Keefe. It’s easier to swap out your supporting cast until you find a better mix of players to compliment the skill players you do have.

At the end of the day, you need talented players in order to win in this league. You’re not winning without good players. One shouldn’t be so quick to discard said players because you don’t think they don’t fit the mold of what you think a winning hockey player looks like.

But with that said, if you want to go ahead and trust the regime that whiffed on the Alex Holtz and Chase Stillman picks with more draft capital that they’ll get it right this time, by all means. If you want to trust the regime that can’t figure out how to build a winning team at the AHL level or develop that favorite prospect of yours that definitely would’ve made it if he only got a chance, go for it.

I’d rather keep the bird in the hand than take my chances with the two in the bush.

Final Thoughts

It’s true that the Devils best players need to be better than what we’ve seen this year. You’re only going to go as far as your best players take you. But the reality of the situation is that almost across the board, the majority of the team is having a bad year. Nobody has been good enough.

It’s also true that the Devils need to do a better job of building a team around the handful of good players they do have instead of kicking those players to the curb because you’re sick of them like a petulant child would be with a toy he got on Christmas that he didn’t like. If it means a GM change and bringing in somebody who has a better vision of what a winning team looks like than the crew currently in charge, so be it. If it means bringing in a coach who knows how to allow the team’s best players to be their best players, so be it.

Maybe the Devils ultimately don’t wind up winning anything with this particular “core”, regardless of who is in it, when its all said and done years from now. But they haven’t exhausted all of their options yet trying to build around said core either. Selling low on good players who are all having a bad year isn’t the answer. The Devils shouldn’t consider trading any core player until it’s absolutely necessary.

As bad as things are, we’re not even close to that point yet.

Steve Smith set for shock appearance at T20 World Cup after Mitch Marsh injury

  • Captain sidelined out by testicular injury in the nets

  • Champion batter rushed to Sri Lanka as squad cover

Steve Smith has answered a last-minute SOS and could make a shock appearance at the T20 World Cup following a testicular injury to skipper Mitch Marsh.

Marsh has been ruled out of Australia’s T20 World Cup opener against Ireland in Colombo after sustaining a direct hit to the box at training earlier this week.

Continue reading...

Which former Lions player would you love to see the team reunite with?

Former Tigers catcher Ivan Rodriguez is greeted by Justin Verlander after he threw out the first pitch before the game against the Red Sox on Friday, April 7, 2017, at Comerica Park. Tigers 040717 Kd 9 | Kirthmon F. Dozier via Imagn Content Services, LLC

On Tuesday, it was announced that pitcher Justin Verlander had signed a one-year deal with the Detroit Tigers, reuniting him with the team that drafted him a mere 22 years ago. Verlander was traded from Detroit to Houston in 2017, where he won a pair of World Series, before joining the San Francisco Giants last year. Now he returns to Detroit after nine years away in the hopes of winning one more World Series for a franchise that hasn’t won a title since 1984.

The Detroit Lions are similarly trying to make a jump from playoff contender to champion. And while the league isn’t rife with former Lions players who could help the team get over the hump in a reunion, there are certainly some familiar faces who could help.

So today’s Question of the Day is:

Which former Lions player would you welcome back for a one-year re-signing?

My answer: I won’t give a comprehensive list, because that would take away all the fun from you guys, but here are three that jump to mind for me, all of whom are unrestricted free agents in 2026:

  • G Kevin Zeitler
  • S Ifeatu Melifonwu
  • DL Da’Shawn Hand

Do I expect any of those players to re-sign with Detroit? Seems unlikely, although Melifonwu would certainly make sense given Detroit’s uncertainty at safety.

Let me hear which former Lions you’d love to see the Lions reunite with. Doesn’t matter if they’re free agents or not! Scroll down to the comment section and share your answer!

Maple Leafs' Easton Cowan To Receive Championship Rings At Wednesday's Knights Game

Toronto Maple Leafs forward Easton Cowan is set to receive some new bling on Wednesday from his junior club, the OHL's London Knights.

The 20-year-old, along with former London teammates Denver Barkey, Sam Dickinson, and Kasper Halttunen, will be given their 2025 Championship rings before the Knights' game against the OHL's Guelph Storm.

London won both the OHL Championship and the Memorial Cup last spring.

The Knights unveiled both rings on Jan. 15. One sported the Knights' logo surrounded by what looks to be diamonds, and the other was engraved with the player's number in the centre.

Cowan tallied three goals and seven points in five games at the Memorial Cup, earning the tournament's MVP honor.

Cowan played parts of four seasons with the Knights from 2022 to 2025. In 175 games with London, Cowan tallied 84 goals and 220 points. He holds the Knights' record for playoff points, tallying 32 goals and 64 assists for 96 points in 60 postseason games.

The Mount Brydges, Ontario, native also had a historic (unofficial) point streak in his final season with London, scoring points in 65 consecutive games. The OHL deemed the streak unofficial because it spanned across two seasons.

Now in the NHL with the Maple Leafs, Cowan's debut season has had its ups and downs.

The rookie has seven goals and 10 assists through 43 games this season, while averaging 13:31 of ice time. He's played on every forward line with the Maple Leafs and also gets power play time.

Easton Cowan Takes In London Knights Game As Maple Leafs' Olympic Break BeginsEaston Cowan Takes In London Knights Game As Maple Leafs' Olympic Break BeginsCowan returned to Canada Life Place in London, Ontario, to watch his former club take on the Kitchener Rangers.

However, the forward was a healthy scratch in Toronto's final three games before the Olympic break.

"As we talked about, (Cowan) needed a little bit of a reset. I think the break will do him well. Nothing changes there," Maple Leafs head coach Craig Berube said ahead of Toronto's final game before the break against the Edmonton Oilers.

"There are young guys in the league who don't play all the time. There are times they do, but there are times when they don't, and they have little breaks here and there. They benefit from it."

Nevertheless, Wednesday will be a night Cowan will remember for a long time as he caps off a historic junior career with the Knights.

Florida Panthers At The 2026 Winter Olympics: Team Latvia

The men’s hockey tournament at the 2026 Winter Olympics begins on Wednesday.

There will be no shortage of Florida Panthers players and staffers participating in the games taking place in Milan.

In fact, no NHL team has more players who will be on the ice during the Olympics than the Panthers, who have 10 players suiting up.

That includes a pair of Panthers who will be representing one of the most hockey-crazed nations in the world: Latvia.

Veteran defenseman Uvis Balinskis and young forward Sandis Vilmanis are the two Florida players who will represent their Latvian homeland.

Additionally, Balinskis was recently named an alternate captain on Team Latvia, along with longtime captain Kaspars Daugavins and fellow alternate Zemgus Girgensons.

Both Balinskis and Vilmanis appear poised to see plenty of ice time with Latvia.

During early practices, Balinskis was seen skating on the top Latvian defensive pairing with Kristians Rubins while Vilmanis was placed on the left side of the top forward line, along with winger Eduards Tralmaks and Girgensons at center.

Latvia opens their Olympic schedule on Thursday against the United States at 3:10 p.m. ET, followed by a matchup with Germany on Saturday at 6:10 a.m. ET and then a battle with Denmark on Sunday at 1:10 p.m. ET.

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Florida Panthers At The 2026 Winter Olympics: Team Canada

Photo caption: Jan 16, 2026; Raleigh, North Carolina, USA; Florida Panthers defenseman Uvis Balinskis (26) celebrates his goal with left wing Sandis Vilmanis (95) against the Carolina Hurricanes during the second period at Lenovo Center. (James Guillory-Imagn Images)

Who do you expect to make the Rays starting rotation?

TORONTO, CANADA - SEPTEMBER 28: Ian Seymour #61 of the Tampa Bay Rays pitches in the first inning of their MLB game against the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on September 28, 2025 in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. (Photo by Cole Burston/Getty Images) | Getty Images

DRaysBay works best as a place for community and conversation. Accordingly, in the lead up to the new season, we are posting “Daily Questions” in the month of February. I look forward to seeing you in the comment section!


Pitchers & Catchers begin to report to Spring Training today, so I can think of no more timely a question than this! Who do expect to make the Rays starting rotation?

Your options from the 40-man include:

  • RHP Joe Boyle
  • LHP Steven Matz
  • LHP Shane McClanahan
  • RHP Ryan Pepiot
  • RHP Drew Rasmussen
  • LHP Joe Rock
  • RHP Jesse Scholtens
  • LHP Ian Seymour

Then there are the non-roster invites:

  • RHP Ty Cummings
  • RHP Roel Garcia III
  • RHP Brody Hopkins
  • RHP Ty Johnson
  • RHP TJ Nichols
  • RHP Chase Solesky
  • RHP Austin Vernon
  • RHP Jake Woodford
  • RHP Logan Workman

Orioles news: Orioles hold first workout of spring

Orioles President of Baseball Operations Mike Elias welcomes the media and VIPs to the new facility. The Baltimore Orioles unveiled their new Player Development Complex to the media on Monday, Feb. 9, 2026. The 47,700 square-foot facility includes indoor batting cages and infield, a biomechanics lab, new outdoor covered batting cages and more fan access areas. | Mike Lang / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Good Morning Birdland,

Pitchers and catchers have arrived to Sarasota! Spring is here (kind of). We can soon stop worrying about all of the offseason storylines, and instead talk about actual baseball.

Get a look at these guys! In this post from the Orioles’ Instragram alone, you can see Dean Kremer, Samuel Basallo, Kyle Bradish, Trevor Rogers, Shane Baz, Yennier Cano, Luis De Léon, Ryan Helsley, Trey Gibson, and Yaramil Hiraldo. And the in this one you can also see Adley Rutschman, Keegan Akin, Dietrich Enns, Rico Garcia, Cade Povich, and Maverick Handley, among others already mentioned.

By the end of September, I was annoyed by all of them! The season was a disappointment and a drag. But the winter weather has cooled my anger. I am ready to be hurt again.

But before we get to that, there is still the settling of the rotation to sort out. We got some news there on Tuesday.

We learned that Justin Verlander will not be joining the team. He is headed back to Detroit, where he spent the first 13 seasons of his career. That’s nice for him.

USA Today’s Bob Nightengale reported yesterday that the Orioles are one of four teams still in the mix for free agent pitcher Zac Gallen. Nightengale is the same guy that reported Gallen had already agreed to a deal with the Cubs way back in December, so take his words with a boulder of salt.

Mike Elias told the media yesterday that his front office continues to be “plugged in” on the pitcher market, but also said that he believes the existing rotation is “very strong and very talented.” That sounds like a guy that doesn’t love the available external options, and would prefer to wait for an in-season trade.

That logic is fine if the team can actually make it to July in a competitive position. He made a similar bet a year ago, and it didn’t pan out. This roster does feel better prepared to make a run than the one 12 months ago, but nothing is guaranteed.

A variable to consider in this are the Orioles young pitchers. We have seen Povich and Brandon Young. Both can fill in here and there, but I’m not sure anyone wants them to be full-time members of the rotation. Next up is Gibson and De Leon. Gibson is likely to get a chance at some point in 2026. If he is the real deal, all that talk of adding another pitcher will seem silly. But we won’t know that until June at the earliest. De Leon is a bit farther off, but potentially even more talented. Odds are that both of them could be in the rotation by sometime in 2027. But how much that helps the team in the near term is unclear, and that is frustrating for those that want the team to strike now.

Links

Time for the first Orioles workout | Roch Kubatko
A whole bunch of quotes from new skipper Craig Albernaz. He sounds confident in his crew! But what else is he going to say? On the first day of spring training every team feels like a World Series winner.

Mike Elias has confidence in Orioles pitching staff but doesn’t rule out an addition | The Baltimore Banner
If the Orioles are good, they are going to add to the pitching staff. But it has always felt like that addition was going to come from a trade, rather than the free agent market. Elias doesn’t like paying top-dollar for arms. He has said as much. If a discount isn’t available, he is usually going to prefer to make a swap for a younger option with team control.

Coby Mayo’s future with the Orioles feels more uncertain than ever | The Baltimore Sun
The fact that Mayo hasn’t been moved, paired with the trade for Blaze Alexander last week, feels like something could be afoot. Is someone hurt? Or do the Orioles just plain to cycle through infielders all summer? It is odd. But it is also not uncommon for Elias to let prospects wilt on the vine a bit rather than dealing them.

Elias: O’s ‘plugged in’ with SP market, could still add another arm | MLB.com
Elias also mentions here that Mayo is going to move around this spring, including first base, third base, and corner outfield! That’s a bit of news, even if it is unsurprising given the roster makeup.

Orioles birthdays

Is it your birthday? Happy birthday!

  • Gregory Soto turns 31 today. The lefty just spent parts of two seasons with the Orioles from 2024-25, accumulating a 4.33 ERA and 0.2 bWAR over 68 total appearances. He was traded to the Mets last summer and is now with the Pirates.
  • César Cabral is 37. His Orioles career lasted two games, both of which came in 2015 as a reliever.
  • The late Brian Matusz (b. 1987, d. 2025) was born on this day. Selected fourth overall in 2008, Matusz transitioned to a bullpen role early in his big league career, eventually turning into one of the game’s better lefty specialists. He was particularly dominant against Hall of Famer David Ortiz, who went 4-for-29 with 13 strikeouts against Matusz in his career.
  • Matt Lindstrom is 46 years old. The reliever’s time in Baltimore was short, spanning just 34 games in 2012. He was eventually dealt to the Diamondbacks in exchange for postseason hero Joe Saunders.

This day in O’s history

1987 – The Orioles sign Ray Knight, the MVP of the Mets’ recent World Series win, to a one-year, $475,000 deal plus incentives. Knight had turned down an $800,000 offer from the Mets earlier in the offseason.

Where do StL Cardinals fans think the Reds will finish in 2026?

PITTSBURGH - JULY 14: Outfielder Alfonso Soriano #12 of the Washington Nationals on the field before a game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on July 14, 2006 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The Pirates defeated the Nationals 7-4. (Photo by George Gojkovich/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Continuing my series of articles that take a look at NL Central teams using several different projection systems, I now zoom in on the Cincinnati Reds. Last week I noticed that the Pirates could have problems scoring runs, but the Reds are here to outdo them. I will re-do the Pirates article down the road, and there’s plenty of time for that and more work to do with some of their recent acquisitions. I should not have scoffed at the Pirates, because now they’ve made some upgrades that may put them over the edge vs the Reds and Cardinals. The dust of the offseason is still settling, and pitchers and catchers will be reporting soon, but the actual season is still sort of distant… foggy at best.

This week I have decided to add in OOPSY projections, because the name is super funny (projections often get it wrong) and in the spirit of this series over the years, I try to bring in as many projection systems as possible. This is just as much an exercise for me as it is for you, so I hope you dig this poring over data that you could probably look up, but it’s fun to read about and compare/contrast these different systems, no?

I have left out systems like PECOTA because they are not too accurate and are not readily available on fangraphs. Last fall I analyzed the projections from last year and found ZiPS and The Bat to be most accurate, but I could be suffering from just looking at one year and one team. But anyway, I’m incorporating ZiPS, Depth Charts which was actually pretty accurate last time I wrote this, The Bat X (*or the Bat for pitchers), and now OOPSY because it’s been known to be pretty accurate too. It incorporates a lot of statcast data so I want to include it.

So I’ve been spitballing here, getting to know what the other teams the Cardinals are directly competing with are going to look like this year, on paper at least. Last year the Reds were a playoff team. I had them pegged as about as good as they were, but maybe not to make the postseason. Can they repeat a wild card this year and appease their fans after an early playoff exit? Or were they more of a fluke team in 2025…

The Reds key producer from their position player side is still Ely De La Cruz, who’s consensus projection is over 4 WAR. He is a defensively pretty good shortstop with 20+ HR power. Most of the projections think he will hit at least as well as last year, but none of them outside of OOPSY have him topping what he did in 2024, where he was definitely a little better hitter than he was last season. That said, he is still going to derive a lot of value from being a plus on defense at shortstop. Ely De La Cruz is no Masyn Winn defensively, but he is the better hitter. I must note however, that OOPSY sees De La Cruz 2026 as the potential breakout player many saw him as when he was a rookie.

Where do the projection systems agree on De La Cruz? ZiPS and Fangraphs DC are closest to agreement, with The Bat X pessimistic and OOPSY being high on the hopium.

Matt McLain is a more defense forward player over at the keystone for Cincinnati. He should quietly put up over 2 WAR while hitting a little below league average. Run preventing middle infield for the Reds.

Where do the projections agree? Depth Charts and OOPSY both have him at 2.4 WAR in 2026. ZiPS is more optimistic and The Bat X doesn’t think much of Matt.

Perhaps more exciting, 22 year old Sal Stewart will be a player to watch out for: ZiPS says 2.7 WAR but Depth Charts thinks more like 1.5 WAR. The other systems are more in line with DC so it would appear ZiPS is the outlier and that maybe Stewart isn’t that exciting.

Eugenio Suarez is also sort of exciting, because he is the addition to the team largely at DH. Suarez is a low batting average high power hitter. He will most likely not hit as many home runs as he did last year, but he will add 30+ home run power to the Reds lineup. That certainly has helped a lineup that could use some blast power. He will surely hit a lot of home runs in Cincinnati, but he strikes out so much that he’s going to be around a 110 wRC+ hitter. He should be about a 1.4 WAR player according to a consensus, none of them see him as a breakout player.

So far, neither the Reds or Pirates position player roster is projected for as much WAR as the Cardinals, but both team’s starting rotations are twice as good as the Cardinals rotation. In fact, the Reds and Pirates rotations should be about equal in value, with Pittsburgh’s rotation having a higher upside, and the Reds’ rotation locking in with five 2+ WAR pitchers lead by Hunter Greene, who will likely finish with around 3.4 WAR. Where am I getting all these numbers? Well, from these four projections systems. Basically, the whole Reds starting rotation is at the least, pretty darn good.

  • Reds might have the lowest projected position player total in the NL Central before the season starts
  • Very solid rotation that stacks up with Pittsburgh’s minus the elite ace… likelihood to be slightly better overall than the Pirates’
  • Suarez could make or break this team, but so could Ely De La Cruz… if he goes over 5 WAR their chances increase. If Suarez hits 50 HR this year, their chances increase even more.
  • Andrew Abbott or Chase Burns could surprise as the team ace, but my bet’s still on Greene

I’m going to go out on a limb and predict the Reds as battling it out for last place with the Pirates and Cardinals… And it might be only the Cardinals they can beat, leaving the Redbirds in the basement. I won’t be making my final “predictions” until around the WBC, with the Brewers and Cubs still to go and re-do’s on both the Pirates and Cardinals. My methodology is to look at each team’s top 20 players, with a minimum of 11 position players.

Next week I will take a look at the Milwaukee Brewers!

1977

Continuing along with another series I’ve been writing, about every year of music and culture in my life. As a musician and baseball fan, I’ll be focusing on mostly music, and some baseball factoids, but also movies and the current events of the time. I have found my favorite albums from 1975 and 1976, so on to 1977…

1977 was Jimmy Carter’s first year as president. When he was on the campaign trail in 1980, I actually got to meet the man as a child, and it is one of my first memories actually, meeting a president. One of the best presidents in history, if you ask me, but I’m also judging him on his whole life, not just his presidency. Anyhow, he was sworn in on January 20th, 1977.

There was a solar eclipse back in 1977. Cambodia and Vietnam fought each other. A huge part of my childhood began with the release of Star Wars, although I didn’t see it until I was a little older. They would show this movie in the theaters years after it came out. They still do and how many times it will be re-released is anyone’s guess. It was so popular that it was a box office hit FOR SIX YEARS. Probably not until The Empire Strikes Back debuted. May 25, 1977 was its original release date.

On July 13, 1977 Somalia declared war on Ethiopia, and NYC had an electricity blackout that lasted into the next day, resulting in looting and arson. Around July 21st, the Libyan-Egyptian war broke out. On August 4, 1977 Jimmy Carter created the US Dept of Energy. The military controlled government of Uruguay turned power back over to the people through general elections. The first test flight of the Space Shuttle Enterprise was successful.

The Big Ear radio telescope at Ohio State University received a transmission from deep space. Three members of Lynyrd Skynyrd died in a plane crash. October 26, 1977 is considered the date of the elimination of smallpox.

Punk rock started to hit the mainstream.

In baseball, the first year of familiar franchises the Seattle Mariners and Toronto Blue Jays was 1977. This was baseball’s third expansion. Prior to that, the Seattle Pilots relocated to Milwaukee and became the Brewers. I did not know that! The NL did not expand, and remained at 12 teams until the Colorado Rockies and Florida Marlins were introduced to the world in 1993. In what would’ve been both a popular and very unpopular world series, the Yankees beat the Dodgers. It ended a fifteen year Yankee drought and was their 21st world series championship.

The Royals and Phillies had more wins than the Yankees 100 in the regular season, but just by a game or two. The Cardinals and Cubs were mid level teams in the NL East, with the Phillies and Pirates being the two teams to beat. The Cincinnati Reds finished second to the LA Dodgers in… the NL West?? ok!

Rod Carew and George Foster were the MVPs, Sparky Lyle (baseball name!) and Steve Carlton were the Cy Young Award winners, Eddie Murray and Andre Dawson were the rookies of the year, and Rollie Fingers got his fingers on a Relief Man of the Year Award (along with Bill Campbell in the AL).

Back to Rod Carew: he batted .388!!!!! What?? George Foster was no slouch either, hitting 52 HR and knocking in 149 RBI for the Reds of the west. Nolan Ryan threw 341 strikeouts, not to be outshined by the hitters. The NL won the All-Star Game.

Bob Watson, John Mayberry, and Jack Brohamer (another baseball name!) all hit for the cycle in 1977! Willie Stargell reached 400 home runs vs the Cardinals in 1977, and Lou Brock stole his 900th stolen base on September 30th! Lou Brock also surpassed Ty Cobb in stolen bases just 7 SB prior to #900.

The Cardinals attendance went back up in numbers this season with an above .500 team that finished just ahead of the Chicago Cubs. The first Mariners game ever was a loss to the Angels, while the first Blue Jays game ever had Toronto over the Chicago White Sox. A Canadian pitcher playing for Boston, Ferguson Jenkins, threw the first shut out in Exhibition Stadium vs the Blue Jays, in their first month of existence. The White Sox selected Harold Baines as the #1 pick in the 1977 MLB draft.

Top 10 Albums of 1977

#1: Heart – ‘Little Queen’ This is my album of the year for 1977. I’ve always liked the song “Barracuda” as does everyone I know. Roger Fisher is one of my favorite unsung guitar heroes, and the Wilson sisters are among my favorite singers of any genre. I think both their 1975 album and this one are perfect albums, but ‘Little Queen’ is their best album of all. An absolute classic of the rock genre. Ahem.

#2: Rush – ‘A Farewell To Kings’ this particular album is many Rush fan’s favorite one, but it’s not my favorite Rush album. However, it is REALLY good still, for me it’s all about three songs: “Closer To The Heart”, “Xanadu”, and “Cygnus X-1” being among the best rock songs of all time. The rest of the album ain’t bad either and it flows start to finish. I struggled putting this album this highly on the list, but man, those three songs are just life changing. Farewell!

#3: Fela Kuti & Africa ’70 – ‘Zombie’ here is my sleeper pick, that I would not have even ranked in my top 10 without research… even though I’m familiar with Fela Kuti I need to know the discography better. Speaking of mid 70’s funk and punk, this is perhaps the most funk punk album of all time. The sound is mostly funk, but the spirit is very punk. The genre is called Afrobeat. The Nigerian government hated this album and Kuti’s own elderly mother was thrown out a window resulting in her death, while his commune was destroyed by the military. Fela Kuti was severely beaten in the process, but survived. ‘Zombie’ has made a couple of different major top 100 of the 1970’s music lists. An absolutely legendary album.

#4: Wire – ‘Pink Flag’ Funny thing is, I actually have met a member of The Wire at The Gingerman, an old bar neighboring The Metro in Chicago. He was having a drink at the bar talking to a cool younger lady. I think that bar is now known as the G-Man, an idiocracy level downgrade for a name of a bar, but whatever. They always had a good jukebox. So far I have been reviewing some proto punk albums, and this is the one that has struck me as most influential. Its production and sound sound much clearer and louder than other albums from this time period, every layer is really apparent in their sound. Not only is it awesome, but it’s the very first Wire album, showing poise and maturity from the get go. This is another album that I was unfamiliar with prior to this writing that I am glad to have found. I am sure I have heard it before but have neglected it since. It’s almost as if they’re inventing new genres of alt rock with every track.

#5: MX-80 Sound – ‘Hard Attack’ This album should be in every punk rock fan’s collection, but it’s not. The only reason this isn’t ranked higher than ‘Pink Flag’ is that the production isn’t nearly as cool, and the music is a little more jammy, but this is a proto punk masterpiece collection of songs from a band in 1977. Blending in multiple other genres as the band finds its way, creating new paths in the process. This is so far ahead of its time, cannot really overstate it.

#6: Talking Heads – ‘77’ Speaking of debuts from important bands such as Wire, here is the debut from Talking Heads! I mostly love this because of bassist Tina Weymouth’s playing, but the whole band is really good, and it’s a really fun listen. It’s more of a prediction of what is to come from this band, but it’s among the very best releases of 1977.

#7: Television – ‘Marquee Moon’ At the roots of punk rock are many different genres presented in different ways. I am not sure what other genre you would file Television under, other than that they kind of sound post-punk, already. Same with Wire, but, Television might be the only band that blended some prog rock into their punk sound, and even a little classic rock too, but making it all sound fresh and new.

#8: Rennaissance – ‘Novella’ described as symphonic prog, I find this album to be more relaxing than either genre. This is put on a sunny, cool afternoon, but stay inside watching the sun glint through the leaves music. Just space out to this and relax, thinking of other times, other places… and yes, I like some more obscure prog rock, too. I would have more King Crimson on the list but their first era ended prior to my birth! And by the way, if you love mellotron like I do, you need to hear this.

#9: The Residents – ‘Fingerprince’ is a hodgepodge of early Residents tracks, from what I can tell. One youtube reviewer said, “this is what insanity sounds like” and I tend to agree. There are parts of this album that invented early Primus sounds… Primus even covered them. But this is the only band I would compare to Chrome from this time, so that’s pretty cool. I have only discovered this album recently so I would have more to say about it, but it surely deserves a spot on this list, along with these other bands inventing new sounds!

#10: Iggy Pop – ‘The Idiot’ + ‘Lust For Life’ Iggy Pop or Bowie in this slot, and I pick Iggy here. Bowie had a trilogy, but I’d rather hear these two Pop albums.

See you next week with the Brewers and 1978. May the fruit of our labors be blessed.

Chicago Cubs history unpacked, February 11

On Mondays, Wednesdays, and Fridays, Bleed Cubbie Blue is pleased to present a Cubs-centric look at baseball’s colorful past. Here’s a handy Cubs timeline, to help you follow the various narrative paths.

“Maybe I called it wrong, but it’s official.” — Tom Connolly, HoF Umpire.

So long, Bill*, hello, Bobby,and other stories.

Today in baseball history:

  • 1911 – The Chicago Cubs acquire second baseman Dave Shean from the Boston Rustlers for third baseman Scotty Ingerton and pitcher Big Jeff Pfeffer. This is the second time that Boston has traded with the Cubs for Big Jeff. (2)
  • 1914 – Declining to remain with the Chicago Cubs as a player after being fired as manager, second baseman Johnny Evers is traded to the Boston Braves for second baseman Bill Sweeney and cash considerations. Evers will have one good season left, leading the “Miracle Braves” to the National League pennant and winning the Chalmers Award for Most Valuable Player. Meanwhile, Sweeney will sour in Chicago.
  • 1962 – Before the start of spring training, Don Zimmer and right-hander Bob Miller, both who reside in the St. Pete area, become the first players to don a Mets jersey when they model the club’s away uniform tops for a photo shoot at Huggins Field. The expansion team’s inaugural third baseman, who will be traded to the Reds in May for southpaw Bob Miller, poses with his nine year-old son Tommy on his shoulders.
  • 1974 – Forty-eight major-league players invoke the new arbitration procedure established to settle contract differences. Pitcher Dick Woodson (seeking a contract for $29,000) and the Twins (offering $23,000) are the first to present their respective cases to Detroit lawyer and labor arbitrator Harry H. Platt, who must decide on one of the monetary amounts presented. Woodson wins. (2)
  • 1977 – The Chicago Cubs trade two-time National League batting champion Bill Madlock* and infielder Rob Sperring to the San Francisco Giants for outfielder Bobby Murcer, third baseman Steve Ontiveros, and a minor league pitcher. In 1976, Madlock led the NL with a .339 mark, while Murcer hit 23 home runs and 90 RBI. Madlock leaves Chicago having hit .336 for them, which ties him with Riggs Stephenson for the top career average in team history. (3)
  • 2006 – Avoiding an arbitration hearing, starting pitcher Carlos Zambrano (14-6, 3.26) and the Cubs agree to a one-year deal worth $6.5 million. After earning $3.76 million last season, the emotional right-hander had asked for $7.2 million, with Chicago offering $6 million. (1)
  • 2015 – Little League International decides to strip the Jackie Robinson West team of Chicago, IL of its United States Championship won at the 2014 Little League World Series because it used players from outside its territory and manipulated district boundaries in order to field a stronger team. Various officials from the district are also suspended for their actions. (2)

Cubs Birthdays:Jimmy RyanRed ShannonHal RiceChris KitsosWillie SmithTom VeryzerDave SwartzbaughBrian Matusz.

Today in History:

  • 55 – Tiberius Claudius Caesar Britannicus, heir to the Roman Emperorship, dies under mysterious circumstances in Rome, clearing the way for Nero to become Emperor.
  • 385 – Siricius, bishop of Tarragona, elected as Bishop of Rome; first to style himself Pope.
  • 1809 – American inventor Robert Fulton patents the steamboat.
  • 1907 – Passenger ship Larchmont sinks by Block Island, off Rhode Island, 322 die.
  • 1938 – World’s first science fiction TV program is a broadcast of the play R.U.R. by Karel Čapek.
  • 1990 – Nelson Mandela is released after 27 years of imprisonment in South Africa.

Common sources:

*pictured.

Some of these items spread from site to site without being fact-checked, and that is why we ask for verifiable sources, in order to help correct the record.

Tiger Talk: On a scale of 1 to 10, how amped are you about the Tigers?

The Detroit Tigers took a rollercoaster ride on Tuesday on the news that Justin Verlander will be returning to his original franchise for a Hall of Fame-bound swan song in 2026. While that marked the apex of the day, the following news that Reese Olson is out for the year with surgery brought things back to earth.

Maybe missed among the big moves was the finalization of Framber Valdez’s contract, which along with JV’s return to the D, gives the Motor City Kitties a formidable starting five heading into spring training. The Tigers also added outfielder Austin Slater on a minor league deal.

That is a lot to take in on one day, with Detroit’s pitchers and catchers set to report to Lakeland on Sunday. What felt like a mostly meh offseason finally has some spark — and just in time.

So Tigers fans, how are you feeling out there? It feels like forever since Chris Ilitch greenlit some big offseason moves, and despite PECOTA’s bearish outlook, this could actually turn out to be a season to remember for the Olde English D.

On a scale of 1 to 10 — with 1 being the 2003 Tigers and 10 being the 1984 edition of the D — how excited are you now with less than two weeks until the first spring training game? Let us know in the comments below!

In full disclosure, I am somewhere around a seven… but there is a lot of upward momentum right now.