ST PETERSBURG, FLORIDA - AUGUST 14: Gunnar Henderson #2 of the Baltimore Orioles celebrates with teammates in the dugout after hitting a two-run home run in the eighth inning against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field on August 14, 2026 in St Petersburg, Florida. (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The Orioles are currently in possession of a wild card spot. This is not something that I thought I would be writing in mid-August. The idea of the Orioles getting into this position has seemed improbable throughout the season due to all of their flaws. This only seemed less probable at the beginning of this month when Mike Elias traded away a few players, subtracting from the team’s already-longshot chances.
The Rays-Yankees-Rays gauntlet was supposed to be what would sink them, and maybe it still will, but three games into it, the Orioles have won three games and the competition has bumbled around so the O’s have themselves a wild card position. It’s hard to believe and it’s still true. Naturally, in this week’s podcast, I try to make sense of the O’s rising from the ashes like the phoenix, even though a sub-.500 team having a postseason place this deep into the season doesn’t make much sense at all.
As long as every other team is continuing to stay in the mediocre muck, maybe the record the Orioles need to get into the postseason is less daunting as it once seemed. Could 83 or even 82 wins end up doing it at this point? In this episode, I’m thinking about the math involved, what needs to keep going right for the Orioles, what could maybe start going better in another week or two, and I’m continuing to think about Gunnar Henderson, who is a crucial part of this effort.
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LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - JULY 10: Jaime Jaquez Jr. (L) and Kel'el Ware of the Milwaukee Bucks pose for photos as they sit courtside in the first half of a 2026 NBA Summer League game between the Bucks and the Miami Heat at the Thomas & Mack Center on July 10, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Welcome to SB Nation Reacts, a survey of fans across the NBA. Throughout the year we ask questions of the most plugged-in Bucks fans and fans across the country.
With the season inching closer and the preseason and regular season schedules released, it’s time to start thinking about the realities of the Milwaukee Bucks’ roster. And while there are moves yet to be made—the Bucks still have 17 rostered players and thus must trim that to 15 to begin the season—what better way to start than by considering, well, who starts?
Over the next week or so, we’ll break down the options at each position—and, of course, seek your insight too. But to set the scene, let’s first consider the Bucks’ (relatively) newly acquired talent, courtesy of Giannis, Bobby Portis, and the Miami Heat: Tyler Herro, Kel’el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., and Kasparas Jakučionis.
We’ve already profiled each of these players individually, detailing Herro’s homecoming, dissecting Jaquez’s old-school game, examining why Ware is primed to break out, and explaining why Jakučionis was a must-have acquisition. But considering their games and whether they start are two very different things.
Thus, we pose the question: how many of these Miami expats should Taylor Jenkins start?
For reference, the Heat went 43-39 last season, finishing 10th in the Eastern Conference standings. During the regular season, only Herro was a near-lock for the starting lineup, racking up 28 starts in 33 games. Ware was next, but he was part-time at best—34 out of 77. Of course, Jaquez was runner-up in the Sixth Man of the Year award, so he seldom started in his 77 appearances (just once, in fact). As for Jakučionis, he played 53 games, starting 12.
In the postseason, things mostly stayed the same. The Heat played just one game, losing an epic overtime Play-In battle to the Charlotte Hornets, 127-126, and Herro continued to start, putting up 23 points, three rebounds, and six assists. In somewhat of a surprise, Ware joined him, going for 12 points, 19 rebounds, four assists, and five blocks, while Jaquez did his usual thing off the bench (13 points, six rebounds, eight assists, a steal and a block). Jakučionis, on the other hand, collected a DNP-CD.
Context considered, how do you envision the ex-Heat quartet fitting in with the Bucks? Four players. Five starting spots. How many should Taylor Jenkins actually trust with a starting role?
Minnesota Wild forward and former Stanley Cup Winner Nicolas Aube-Kubel has now signed a deal overseas.
Aube-Kubel, 30, has agreed to terms on a contract with KHL club Dinamo Minsk for the 2026-27 season. It had been rumored for weeks but it has now been made official.
The 6-foot forward drew interest from KHL club Barys Astana earlier this month but now has signed with Dinamo.
He recorded two assists in six NHL games last year while posting 37 points in 62 AHL games with the Iowa Wild.
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The Los Angeles Dodgers (-233) hope a trip to Coors Field cures their recent struggles as they begin a three-game series with the Colorado Rockies on Monday night.
Blake Snell makes a rare appearance, whereas the Rockies trot out Tomoyuki Sugano, who is due for significant regression.
See why my Dodgers vs. Rockiespredictions and MLB picksfor Aug. 17 are backing the visitors in a rout.
Who will win Dodgers vs Rockies today: Dodgers -2.5 (-107)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have the second-best OPS (.762), wOBA (.333), and wRC+ (110) this year, yet have been slumping this month (84 wRC+).
Tomoyuki Sugano has navigated an unseemly 6.93 xERA en route to 12 wins and a 4.43 ERA.
The bill is coming due on both. Sugano can't walk this tightrope much longer, and L.A.'s lineup has the perfect matchup, in the perfect ballpark, to experience positive regression.
Blake Snell (120 Stuff+) should overpower a Colorado Rockies lineup with the second-worst wRC+ (82) against southpaws.
Dodgers vs Rockies Over/Under pick: Over 10.5 (-112)
Sugano has surrendered a .341 AVG and 1.196 OPS in prior meetings with L.A.'s projected lineup, so I expect a crooked number from the Boys in Blue.
Snell looked dominant in his last start (6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 10 Ks), although part of his effectiveness has come via an unreal 154 Stuff+ on his curveball. Benders don't operate optimally in Coors, so it wouldn't be a surprise to see a bit of regression from Snell in a strong, but not peak, start.
Neither bullpen has been trustworthy, so I'm counting on runs.
Dodgers vs Rockies home run prediction: Freddie Freeman (+344)
Out of the 24 home runs Sugano has allowed, 17 have been to left-handed hitters. His xERA jumps to 7.68 and his FIP to 6.49 when at a platoon disadvantage.
That's music to Freddie Freeman's ears, as he's crushed righties with .316/.392/.500 splits while hitting 11 of his 15 home runs.
Sugano's 22nd percentile groundball rate means Freeman has better odds than normal to let loud with a long fly ball.
JD Yonke's 2026 Transparency Record
ML/RL bets: 29-34, -9.7 units
Over/Under bets: 38-26, +10.1 units
Dodgers vs Rockies weather
It's Coors Field, so expect the typical bump in offensive expectations given the conditions.
Dodgers vs Rockies odds
Moneyline: Dodgers -233 | Rockies +223
Run line: Dodgers -2.5 (-104) | Rockies +2.5 (EVEN)
Over/Under: Over 10.5 (-108) | Under 10.5 (+104)
Dodgers vs Rockies trend
The Rockies have gone Over the total in 12 of their last 19 games. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Rockies.
How to watch Dodgers vs Rockies and game info
Location
Coors Field, Denver, CO
Date
Monday, August 17, 2026
First pitch
8:40 p.m. ET
TV
SNLA, Rockies.TV
Dodgers starting pitcher
Blake Snell (0-1, 5.00 ERA)
Rockies starting pitcher
Tomoyuki Sugano (12-5, 4.43 ERA)
Dodgers vs Rockies latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
ST PETERSBURG, FLORIDA - AUGUST 16: Pete Alonso #25 of the Baltimore Orioles celebrates a two RBI double in the top of the fifth inning against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field on August 16, 2026 in St Petersburg, Florida. (Photo by Parker Freedman/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Despite selling at the deadline, battling key injuries for months, and treading water all season long, the Orioles find themselves in sole possession of a playoff spot with less than a quarter of the schedule left to play. It has been an unlikely about face that has seen the O’s beat up on the AL’s best team and take advantage of a dip in form for just about every other team in the mix for the final wild card spot.
The Orioles have been one of the sport’s bigger disappointments to this point. They came into the season with aspirations of a deep playoff run after making several aggressive moves over the winter. But maintaining momentum has proven difficult. Their offense hasn’t been the juggernaut they hoped it would be, and several key injuries have cut into the depth they had built up. All of that has kept the O’s on the outside of the playoff picture for much of the summer, but that all changed over the weekend.
This recent improvement has perked up the ears of a fan base that had (understandably) written the team off a long time ago. Now, instead of begrudgingly turning our sporting attention towards football and the fall, we can lock back into baseball for a few weeks longer, at least. Can this team give us intriguing baseball heading into September? What about October? They have as good of a case to make as any of the AL’s many other mid-tier teams.
Their best hitters are producing
It’s not that the lineup has been “bad” this season, but they haven’t been nearly as good as they were supposed to be. The plan was for this to be a borderline Top 5 unit. Instead, they have fallen somewhere between 10th and 15th in MLB in most categories. Much of the blame for that underperformance goes to the team’s best hitters failing to reach their career averages. But there has been some improvement in that department recently.
Pete Alonso is leading the way with his 218 wRC+, four home runs and a .660 slugging percentage this month. Tyler O’Neill, signed prior to the 2025 season to be a mid-lineup threat, is having his best stretch as an Oriole, collecting a 163 wRC+ in August. Colton Cowser is still striking out a bunch, but he is balancing it with power (.633 slugging, three home runs in August). And, of course, there’s Gunnar Henderson.
Henderson was supposed to be an MVP candidate, in the conversation as the league’s top shortstop. It just hasn’t happened for him this season. That won’t matter as much if he can keep swinging the bat like the has the last two weeks. Since August 1, Henderson owns a 141 wRC+ and it deserves to be even higher. His .227 batting average and .409 slugging percentage are well below his .333 expected batting average and .610 expected slugging. The process for Henderson is solid right now. The results will follow.
Reinforcements are on the way
While it’s great that some of the highest paid and familiar players are carrying the offensive load right now, in order for the Orioles to maintain their hold on a playoff spot they are are going to need some help. Giving regular at-bats to Christian Franklin, Yohel Pozo, and Jeremiah Jackson probably won’t get it done.
Fortunately, the injury news in Birdland has been positive this week.
Samuel Basallo, nursing right shoulder inflammation since July 20, began a rehab assignment with Norfolk on Sunday. He went 1-for-4 with a double. It’s likely that he will need a few more days to knock the rust off before he returns to the Orioles everyday lineup. Getting his bat back into the catching mix will be a big boost over his current replacements. Pozo has good top line numbers (.286/.313/.500), but is playing well above his peripherals (.231 xBA, .308 xSLG). Carlos Narváez has provided good defense but nothing at the plate (.103/.161/.103) since joining.
Blaze Alexander, who has been out since July 13 with a hand fracture, took batting practice and fielding work over the weekend. He is expected to begin a rehab assignment sometime this week. Prior to his injury, Alexander was the Orioles hottest hitter. He had a .807 OPS on the season, which was weight down by a particularly poor April. From May 1 through his injury, Alexander was hitting .365/.414/.528 and had begun to take over the everyday job at third base, though he had spent time all over the field. His eventual return will allow Craig Albernaz to mix and match his lineup while greatly improving the team’s depth.
This is the most capable Orioles rotation in a long time
Mike Elias vowed that he would add a “frontline” starter this past offseason. The starter he identified to fill that void was Shane Baz, who the Orioles traded for from the Rays and then inked to a five-year extension through the 2030 season. Elias took some heat for it at the time since Baz wasn’t exactly a proven big league arm, though his talent was undeniable. Well, nearly five months into the 2026 season it is looking like a decent bit of business.
Baz has stayed healthy, made each of his starts, and leads the team with 139.1 innings pitched. FanGraphs credits him with 3.0 fWAR, which is also tops on the team and ranks 16th in MLB among starting pitchers. Baseball Reference is not as kind (1.5 bWAR). But no matter how you slice it, has been a positive influence on the team with his 103 ERA+ and 3.34 FIP.
Kyle Bradish, Trevor Rogers, and Brandon Young fill out the rest of the core quartet of the O’s rotation, and each of them have been above average arms for the team this year. Bradish, in his first full season after Tommy John surgery, has seen his strikeouts dip and walks rise but manages to compete each time out. Rogers’s season totals (4.15 ERA) obscure how good he has been since the start of June (13 starts, 77 innings, 2.45 ERA, 2.85 FIP). And Young may be the most dependable of the bunch. He has allowed more than three runs in a start just twice since May 1, and the Orioles are 14-3 in games he has pitched since then as well.
In times of turmoil for the offense, the rotation is what has kept the Orioles afloat. Since June 1, they have been worth 6.4 fWAR, the fourth-highest mark in the sport. Much of that comes from the 353.1 innings they have pitched, which is also fourth in MLB during that stretch. But there is quality (3.71 FIP, fourth in MLB) and depth that is hard to find elsewhere in the league.
The rest of the AL is simply bad
You can see the elements of a good team within these Orioles. But we also have 120+ games of data to suggest that these guys are, collectively, a middling club. That’s not an insult. It’s reality. And in this year’s American League it might be enough to make the playoffs anyway.
The Orioles are one of seven teams in the AL that is currently under .500 and within 2.5 games of the final wild card spot. All of them are flawed, and one of them is going to make the playoffs. Why not the Orioles?
The 563 runs the Orioles have scored is more than any other team in the AL East, and only two of the other teams (Twins, Tigers) in the mix for the final wild card spot have scored more. As discussed earlier, there is reason to think the lineup could be even more productive down the stretch.
The Orioles are the only one of the seven clubs in the middle of the AL that has a winning record (30-28) in games against teams above .500. Maybe that comes in handy this week with games against the Rays and Yankees on the docket.
Since July 1, the Orioles are 22-15, which is the fourth-best mark in the AL. The Tigers are the only team in the mix that has played better (23-15) from that date.
Long story short, while it has been an insanely frustrating season to follow up close, and there are clear holes on this roster that need to be cleaned up heading into 2027, there is also plenty of reason to think that these Orioles can squeeze their way into the playoffs this year.
SACRAMENTO, CA - AUGUST 16: Ezequiel Duran #20 of the Texas Rangers looks on in the dugout prior to the game between the Texas Rangers and the Athletics at Sutter Health Park on Sunday, August 16, 2026 in Sacramento, California. (Photo by Don Collier/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images
Good morning.
Shawn McFarland ponders what to make of the Texas Rangers after an abysmal road trip against baseball’s worst teams.
MLB dot com’s Theo DeRosa writes about the Rangers falling in the finale against the Athletics to become the first visiting team to lose a series in Sacramento since April.
McFarland checks out why Jacob Latz has barely appeared in August and it’s mostly because the Rangers have been pretty bad in August.
Aug 15, 2018; Philadelphia, PA, USA; Boston Red Sox manager Alex Cora (20) sits in the dugout before the start of a game against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
The latest reports coming out all but acknowledge that Alex Cora is going to be the next manager of the Phillies once the season ends.
Alex Cora, who turned down the job when Thomson was fired, is expected to be the Phillies’ next manager barring a World Series berth or title.
Bob Nightengale has been known to get things wrong from time to time, but considering that Cora was asked to be the manager when Rob Thomson was fired, this feels like it’s about right. Knowing that, with all the smoke that is surrounding the situation, what Alex Cora probably being the next manager mean to you? Does it move any kind of needle for you? Could he possibly get more out of the roster than what Don Mattingly has done now or Rob Thomson did in the future?
The Chicago Cubs and Wrigley View Rooftop—which the Cubs accuse of “parasitic” business practices—await a federal judge’s ruling on whether to permanently block Wrigley View Rooftop from selling tickets to view games, concerts and other events at Wrigley Field.
The two sides’ legal arguments have been refined as the Cubs and Wrigley View Rooftop vie to persuade U.S. District Judge Sharon Johnson Coleman to grant summary judgment. Each contends that after Coleman weighs the evidence and testimony shared during pretrial discovery, she’ll rule that there’s nothing for a jury to decide because the law clearly favors their side. The Cubs’ summary judgment motion includes a demand for a permanent injunction that would effectively end Wrigley View Rooftop’s business.
The Cubs sued Wrigley View Rooftop in 2024 for misappropriation, unjust enrichment, false advertising, infringement and related claims. Earlier this year, Coleman held that the Cubs’ claims are plausible. She stressed the Cubs have an established property right in the product of live Cubs games produced at Wrigley Field.
In doing so, Coleman emphasized a ruling from 1938 in favor of the Pittsburgh Pirates against a radio station that placed observers on the rooftop of a building adjacent to Forbes Field to watch the game for a broadcast without paying the Pirates.
Coleman is now weighing rival summary judgment arguments. Through a recent filing authored by Martin L. Roth and other attorneys from Kirkland & Ellis, the Cubs maintain the case is straightforward: Wrigley View Rooftop sells tickets to look into Wrigley Field and does so without the Cubs’ blessing, and that practice is illegal.
The team emphasizes that Wrigley View Rooftop’s business model—which centers on ticket sales and the sale of food, beverages and merchandise to ticket holders—is predicated on the Cubs spending money to show events in Wrigley Field. This is why the Cubs derisively describe Wrigley View Rooftop as a parasite, an organism whose survival depends on the host and that takes from the host without giving back.
The Cubs also maintain the federal Copyright Act, which can preempt state law claims, is not applicable since live ballgames “do not fall within the subject matter of copyright.” The team notes that games are not works of authorship like movies or books. Along those lines, the central issue in the case is not copyrighted broadcasts of Cubs games, but the games themselves.
Another defense argument the Cubs try to strike out is that they could solve the problem by simply blocking the view. The Cubs say that assertion is a red herring, since “the law does not reward misappropriation simply because the victim could try to stop it.” The team also argues that “requiring self-help” as a rule of law could spark “intolerable outcomes.” The Cubs pose a hypothetical: “How would a retail purse designer use self-help to police against bad actors selling ‘knock off’ bags on the streets of New York?”
As to the Cubs’ trademarks, the team maintains Wrigley View Rooftop has used them without permission and has sparked consumer confusion as to whether the Cubs are selling the rooftop tickets.
To further that point, the Cubs say testimony reveals some customers express confusion after learning that the seats they bought weren’t for Wrigley Field or sold by the Cubs.
“One customer,” the Cubs say, “even included a Wrigley Field seating chart to help orient [Wrigley View Rooftop’s] staff to where she wished to be seated.”
To bolster the false advertising claims, the Cubs insist Wrigley View Rooftop has “lied to consumers” by claiming an official partnership with the Cubs, with whom the company had a contractual relationship that ended in 2023. Another alleged misrepresentation by Wrigley View Rooftop is that it is the “last independently owned rooftop” when there are other entities that own rooftops.
Wrigley View Rooftop offers a very different account of the facts and law.
The company insists the Cubs demand a property right that the law doesn’t provide “the right to prohibit people on neighboring private property from witnessing live events that [the Cubs] knowingly and intentionally exhibit in a manner that is visible from such neighboring private property.”
Through a recent filing authored by Matthew De Preter and Gary P. Hollander of Aronberg Goldgehn Davis & Garmisa, Wrigley View Rooftop says there is no statute, ordinance, contract or court ruling that supports the existence of a right that converts a “public-facing, open-air, live event into privately controlled property that extends beyond Wrigley Field.”
Wrigley View Rooftop also rejects the “parasite” label.
The company emphasizes its operations are authorized by the City of Chicago’s municipal code and that it offers a service to the public—the chance to buy a ticket to experience “the unique rooftop experience of seeing live events from a Wrigleyville rooftop.” Relatedly, Wrigley View Rooftop contends there is no legal support for the proposition that the Cubs gain a property right merely because the two businesses might be competing for people willing to pay to watch Cubs games.
If Coleman sided with the Cubs, Wrigley View Rooftop argues, “the Cubs would unilaterally dictate which rooftops get to operate when and under what conditions, and nothing would stop [the Cubs] from demanding rooftops pay 50%, 100%, 1,000% of revenues, or any other exorbitant figure the Cubs demand, simply to operate in exact compliance with the City’s Ordinance.”
Further, Wrigley View Rooftop maintains, cases involving radio broadcasts and other transmissions of information are not analogous. The company says it doesn’t sell admission to Wrigley Field, doesn’t sell Cubs tickets, doesn’t credential journalists to report on Cubs games and doesn’t record or rebroadcast Cubs games. Wrigley View Rooftop maintains its business model is selling access to a Chicago-licensed rooftop venue on its property.
“Watching is not copying,” Wrigley View Rooftop argues. “Seeing is not rebroadcasting. Witnessing is not appropriating. Operating a lawful venue across the street from an open-air stadium is not misappropriation.”
If Coleman denies summary judgment, the case will proceed to trial. Although the Cubs’ situation is factually unique given Wrigley Field’s status as an open-air venue surrounded by rooftop buildings, the case could set important precedent for sports teams in their efforts to prevent viewing of their games through unauthorized means, such as drones and emerging technologies.
The case could also end by settlement at any point, with a plausible settlement involving Wrigley View Rooftop continuing operations but sharing some percentage of revenue with the Cubs. That is the arrangement the two businesses had between 2004 and 2023.
ATLANTA, GA - JUNE 06: Tyler Callihan #37 of the Pittsburgh Pirates shakes water off his face in the heat during the MLB game between the Pittsburg Pirates and the Atlanta Braves on June 6, 2026 at TRUIST Park in Atlanta, GA. (Photo by Jeff Robinson/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
Each time there is a rainout for a Braves game, whether we were at Atlanta-Fulton County Stadium, Turner Field, or Truist Park, there was always someone complaining that they should have a dome. My response have always been the same. Domed stadiums add a prohibitive cost to an already expensive item. That cost is almost always shared with the surrounding community, whether they enjoy our sports team or not. To have a dome, you’re taking hundreds of millions of dollars from people that are trying to make ends meet just so 3-6 times a year we can watch a ballgame without rescheduling. And I feel okay with that stance.
However, that was considering rainouts and their cancellations. Right now, I want to talk about the heat. It was 96 degrees in Atlanta yesterday, with a heat index in the 105-110 range. A game was played yesterday that started at 1:30 pm local time. I caught the end of the game yesterday. There weren’t a lot of people in the stands for the finish. In this game, Matt Olson hit a three-run home run in the eighth to counter the game-tying homer by the Diamondbacks. The Braves survived the August Raisel Iglesias Experience for the win. And the response was… eh. But I get it.
I spent about three hours outside yesterday in my corner of Braves Country. It’s hot, fam. I get it that a nickname for the city is Hot ‘Lanta. But come on, it’s hot for 65-70 home dates a year. This isn’t some rare occurrence like a rainout, although we have seen more than a few rain delays and cancellations.
The level of heat does make the dome argument a little easier. It’s a near-year-round occurrence. Then you look at Tampa, Miami, Houston, Dallas, and Phoenix. These are all cities with roundabout the same weather concerns, that play baseball in domes. Well, Florida is its own weather (and everything else) animal, but it’s similar.
You can justify the heat argument, but I don’t know about the money angle. Truist Park, sans the lid, cost somewhere in the 622-672 million dollar range. Domes can add 40% of the cost of construction. We would end up going to the public with a tab of 260 million dollars minus whatever the Braves kick in.
For my experience, only about 20 percent of the park is guaranteed to be shaded for the entire game. For the rest, you can hang in the concourse or pay up for the seats with air conditioning. Some parks help ventilation that allows the park to breathe, but not Truist. Something about that park helps it hold in the heat. It probably has something to do with it being surrounded by acres of concrete and steel, which they can’t really control.
So do the Braves need a dome? I mean, no but still. Maybe we could have giant Big Fogg fans in the aisles? It’s hot, y’all.
Inglewood, CA - March 25: LA Clippers forward Kawhi Leonard (2) dribbles against Toronto Raptors forward Scottie Barnes (4) during the first half of an NBA basketball game at Intuit Dome on Wednesday, March 25, 2026 in Inglewood, CA. (Eric Thayer / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)
While Kawhi Leonard was the driving force behind the Toronto Raptors’ first-ever NBA title in 2019, there was an entire operation behind him, constantly scheming to put the superstar in a position to succeed.
Vice President of Player Health and Performance, Alex McKechnie, became a household name among casual basketball fans when he coined and implemented the term “load management”. The season-long strategy was designed to keep Leonard healthy enough for an eventual post-season run. This meant devaluing certain stretches in the regular-season, often games falling in a back-to-back.
Despite not having their captain on the court, Toronto ultimately finished 2nd in the Eastern Conference with a 58-24 record. The Raptors’ home court was a tremendous advantage in the playoffs, particularly during the seven-game series against the Philadelphia 76ers. The 76ers finished as the third seed that year. It’s tough to envision Leonard’s bouncing game-winner anywhere but at Scotiabank Arena.
During that season, Toronto played in 12 back-to-back sets. This year, the Raptors have 15 on the schedule. The 2018-19 Raptors were an impressive 17-7 in back-to-back games. They were also 11-3 from October to December, an astonishing feat considering the roster was still trying to sort out its chemistry at the time.
By comparison, the Raptors finished 12-16 in back-to-back games last year.
When Leonard missed one of these contests, his team still produced, with Toronto accumulating a 12-3 record. Additionally, it seemingly didn’t matter which game of the back-to-back Leonard missed:
Missed the first game: 4-1
Missed the second game: 8-2
Leonard also sat in three entire sets of back-to-back games, with one a month from November to January.
Subsequently, Toronto often leaned on players like Norman Powell (earlier in the season) or Fred VanVleet as fill-in starters whenever Leonard sat. Factor in other options like Serge Ibaka, OG Anunoby and Jeremy Lin, and it’s easy to understand why that team was so successful without Leonard.
Does this year’s iteration of the team have the same luxury?
As it stands, it depends on what’s measured. Defensively, the Raptors are ready to support Leonard at an elite level. The combination of Jamal Shead, Ja’Kobe Walter, Collin Murray-Boyles, and Allen Graves is a relentless group. Offensively, it’s unfair to compare this year’s bench to the firepower that the championship team had. If Walter can make another significant jump in his development, that’ll certainly go a long way.
Toronto could also still make additions this off-season or make a trade-deadline move similar in value to when the team acquired Marc Gasol.
Regardless, the Raptors must improve their back-to-back record, especially in an Eastern Conference that is forecast to be a gauntlet.
The Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles wrap up a four-game set tonight, with the hosts sitting as a heavy -150 moneyline favorite behind left-hander Shane McClanahan.
But my Orioles vs Rays predictions are backing Baltimore to take the finale, with a reliable starter on the hill and its recent offensive surge proving to be key against McClanahan.
Who will win Orioles vs Rays today: Orioles (+140)
The Baltimore Orioles hand Brandon Young the ball tonight, and he has been reliable. The right-hander owns a respectable 3.76 FIP over his last five appearances while allowing just 0.92 HR/9 and a 35.6% hard-hit rate.
On the other side, Tampa Bay Rays starter Shane McClanahan has a 4.87 xERA over his previous three starts. While he has not allowed many homers, the left-hander has walked 4.85 hitters per nine innings, which is dangerous against a thriving Orioles offense with a 120 wRC+ over the last week.
McClanahan is making his first start since leaving his last outing on July 30 due to mid-back soreness.
Tampa Bay is also swinging it well, but Baltimore’s 103 wRC+ against lefties gives the Orioles an edge.
Play this down to +120.
COVERS INTEL: Young has also performed better on the road, posting a 3.44 FIP compared to a 4.35 mark at home. That gives Baltimore another edge as an underdog.
Orioles vs Rays Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (-112)
This total sits low at 7.5, and I’m targeting the Over with both lineups rolling. Baltimore’s wRC+ is well above average right now, and the Orioles also own a respectable .187 ISO over their last six contests.
Tampa Bay’s offense has been even hotter, posting a 134 wRC+ over the last week while slugging 10 home runs. Neither starter has been completely lights out, so this game could reach 4-5 runs before the bullpens enter.
There is more vulnerability late, too. The Rays’ relief corps owns a 5.18 FIP over its last 23.1 frames, while Baltimore’s bullpen has been better but not untouchable.
I’ll play the Over up to -130.
Orioles vs Rays home run prediction: Pete Alonso (+414)
Pete Alonso is showcasing his power lately. He has smacked two homers over his last six games while posting a .318 ISO during that span.
Alonso also owns a 68.4% hard-hit rate and 15.5% barrel rate over the last week. While McClanahan has limited homers lately, he is not completely untouchable, and the Rays’ bullpen gives Alonso another clear path. Tampa Bay’s relief corps has allowed 1.93 HR/9 over the last week, presenting an opportunity for Alonso to punish a mistake late.
I’ll play this pick down to +400.
Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
ML/RL bets: 50-62, -19.47 units
Over/Under bets: 62-47, +7.93 units
Orioles vs Rays weather
Weather should be a non-factor for Orioles vs. Rays because Tropicana Field is indoors. Even if outdoor conditions are warm and mostly clear, the controlled environment removes wind, humidity, rain, and ball-carry concerns. There should be no delay risk or meaningful weather impact on scoring.
Orioles vs Rays odds
Moneyline: Orioles +144 | Rays -150
Run line: Orioles +1.5 (-150) | Rays -1.5 (+144)
Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-108) | Under 7.5 (+104)
Orioles vs Rays trend
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.40 Units / 47% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Orioles vs. Rays.
How to watch Orioles vs Rays and game info
Location
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
Date
Monday, August 17, 2026
First pitch
6:05 p.m. ET
TV
MASN, Rays.TV
Orioles starting pitcher
Brandon Young (9-3, 3.33 ERA)
Rays starting pitcher
Shane McClanahan (9-6, 3.09 ERA)
Orioles vs Rays latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
CANADA - MAY 28: Strikes his aim: Dave Lemanczyk; who missed much of last season with an injury; opens the American League season tonight for Blue Jays against Seattle Mariners in th U.S. city. He says his only problem now is throwing strikes. (Photo by Doug Griffin/Toronto Star via Getty Images) | Toronto Star via Getty Images
Today marks Dave Lemanczyk’s 76th birthday.
Dave was a starting pitcher for the Blue Jays during their inaugural season. He started the second game in franchise history, recording the team’s first-ever loss.
He was a solid pitcher, selected from the Detroit Tigers in the Expansion Draft. The draft itself was something of a sucker’s bet; expansion teams got to choose from players the established clubs didn’t want. While we did get Jim Clancy, Ernie Whitt, Rico Carty, and Pete Vuckovich (who would later win a Cy Young, though not as a Jay), most of our selections were cast-offs.
Lemanczyk enjoyed a strong year, setting career highs in wins, starts, and innings pitched. He threw 252 innings, completed 11 games, won 13, lost 16, and posted a 4.25 ERA, leading the team in victories.
Dave was our Opening Day starter in 1978, but he made only 20 starts, finishing with a 4-14 record and a 6.26 ERA. The heavy workload from the previous season had taken its toll on his arm.
He bounced back in 1979, tossing a one-hitter against the Rangers in April. At the All-Star break, he was 8-5 with a 3.15 ERA and earned a spot on the All-Star team. However, after the break, injuries hampered his performance, and he finished the season 8-10 with a 3.71 ERA in 20 starts.
The Jays traded him to the Angels midway through the 1980 season. He was released after the year and retired from Major League Baseball at age 30, finishing with a 37-63 record (often pitching for struggling teams), a 4.62 ERA over 185 games, and 103 starts.
After his playing days, Dave became a scout for the Yankees but left after a couple of years to spend more time with his family. He briefly worked as an agent before opening a baseball academy and providing private lessons.
I don’t remember much about him, except that he was a big guy—listed at 6’4”. He’s one of those players I wonder about: what kind of career might he have had if managers had been more careful with pitchers’ arms? He’s someone I’d love to talk to and hear firsthand what it was like pitching for an expansion team.
Things didn’t get any better as Lemanczyk had a couple of run-ins with rookie manager Roy Hartsfield early on, and into the season.
“He set up so many fines that were just stupid,” he said. “I was the first guy fined. I skipped a parade so I could follow up on a great deal on apartment rentals (near Dunedin). There were around 10 units available and nine players ended up going in on it. We paid something like $400 a month, which was a much better deal than in the hotels they wanted us to stay in.”
PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - CIRCA 1977: Julius Erving #6 of the Philadelphia 76ers tries for a scoop-type layup over Johnny Davis #16 of the Portland Trailblazers during the NBA finals, May 22-June 3, 1977, at the Spectrum in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Blazers defeated the Sixers in six games to win their first NBA Championship. (Photo by James Drake/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Ken Burns, the brilliant documentarian, is fond of repeating a quote attributed to Mark Twain: “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.”
Burns usually says this in reference to landmark events that shaped the world in which we live, not something so trivial as the fortunes of a pro basketball team. Yet it can be applied to the Sixers at this point in their history.
The addition of LeBron James has seismic implications, and can be compared to the September 1982 trade for Moses Malone, which greased the skids for the franchise’s most recent championship the following spring. But given James’ stature, the better analogue might be the acquisition 50 years ago of Julius Erving.
The comparison is not perfect. Dr. J was acquired from the then-New York Nets for $6 million – half of which went to Roy Boe, the Nets’ cash-poor owner, to cover the territorial fees the Nets were required to pay after being absorbed with three other ABA teams into the NBA, when the leagues merged that summer of 1976. The rest went to Erving, who signed a new six-year contract.
James on the other hand joined the Sixers as a free agent recently, and a cut-rate one at that. He will be paid a mere $8 million over the next two years. He is also 41, and nearing the end of a career entering its 24th season. Erving was 26 when he was acquired by the Sixers, and at the very height of his powers.
“Forget the age, because age has nothing to do with it,” former Sixers player and coach Fred Carter said in a recent phone interview. “It’s the impact each one of them had on the whole sports platform in Philadelphia.”
Doc wound up playing the last 11 of his 16 professional seasons here, leading the Sixers to the Finals that first year and on three other occasions. And with Malone and Co. he collected that 1982-83 title.
LeBron is just passing through, just trying to enhance his already considerable legacy by chasing his fifth championship with his fourth different team. But like Dr. J he is an epic figure. And like Doc he is joining a superteam. That is the foremost comparison, the rhymingest rhyme in this piece of sporting history.
Carter, a Sixers backup guard in ‘76-77, was beginning the last of his eight NBA seasons when Erving arrived on opening night, and would remain with the team only through Dec. 8, when he was traded to Milwaukee. He believes James is coming to a team that has “far more talent” than that one, and added that if everyone stays healthy, “They could win 70 games.”
There was actually similar hype surrounding that ‘76-77 bunch. George McGinnis, a muscular forward, had come over from the ABA a year earlier, and had established himself as the franchise fulcrum. Doug Collins and Steve Mix had already played in All-Star Games by then, and Caldwell Jones had also been plucked from the ABA. Not to be forgotten, either, were young guns like Lloyd Free (still years away from his conversion to World B. Free) and Darryl Dawkins.
So the same questions face this group as that one: Can everybody coexist on the court? Will minutes and touches and shots become issues? That remains to be seen, but Carter, 81, believes James’ mere presence will change things.
“It puts everybody on notice that you’ve got to play the game the right way,” Carter said. “It’s not like you can dilly-dally and come not ready to play.”
Which happens, he added, to every team.
“Players,” he said, “take nights off.”
But that is far less likely to happen with a guy of James’ stature in town.
“Players that have any type of self-esteem, self-respect, will not take nights off,” said Carter, who also served as a Sixers assistant for six years (1987-93) and the team’s head coach for a season-plus after that. “That’s going to force Joel Embiid to play at a level higher than what he’s played at, which will help them tremendously. Because the last thing you want to do is have a 41-year-old guy out there, playing his heart out, and you’re out there half-stepping. That can’t be tolerated.”
The bottom line, Carter said, is this: “The price of poker just went up, and everybody’s got to ante up. … Guys have got to be playing at their highest level, because LeBron is here. The King is here.”
Again, it was a little different when Erving came to Philly. For one thing, his legend had largely spread by word of mouth in that pre-Internet, pre-cable, pre-streaming age. There was a lot of buzz about him, but few had seen video of him, and fewer still had seen him play live.
“I had heard that there was a guy who could walk literally on air,” Harvey Catchings, then a reserve center for the Sixers, said in a recent phone interview, “and he was just an incredible player.”
The Sixers had in fact faced Erving’s Nets in preseason play in the years before his arrival, but didn’t have a full read on him. Nor was it clear whether his game would translate to the more-established league.
“I did not believe the hype,” Mix said.
Others did. Pat Williams, the late Sixers general manager, always said that he described Dr. J as “the Babe Ruth of Basketball” while persuading team owner Fitz Dixon to pony up the cash to bring him aboard. The thing was, McGinnis had established himself as the Sixers’ version of Lou Gehrig the previous season, and for that reason Williams sought Big George’s blessing before finalizing the deal.
But as Catchings said, “What were you going to say? … At least they gave him the courtesy.”
Erving made his Sixers debut in the season opener against San Antonio, scoring 17 points off the bench in a 121-118 loss. Beforehand Mix had chosen to welcome the new guy by taping his hightops together and throwing them atop a light in the Spectrum locker room. (Carter has no recollection of Mix’s prank, though he did add this: “Steve was a jokester, so I can imagine Steve doing that.”)
“He was probably a little irked, I would think,” Mix said of Erving. “I went and got them down. I put them up, I got them down.”
Mix and Doc became fast friends. Roomed together on the road for years, in fact. They also remain close all these years later, and even coach together in the Big3.
But that season was a roller-coaster ride for everyone.
“I don’t know,” Mix said, “whether some of those guys knew how to play as a team.”
“Doc had to get his, Doug had to get his, Lloyd was trying to come into his own,” Catchings, 74, said. “Then you had Darryl. You had a lot of mouths to feed, and egos to feed.”
It reached a point where a Daily News columnist named Bud Shaw likened the Sixers’ offense to “a line at the delicatessen. You took a number and waited your turn at the counter. Every so often, somebody would take all the numbers and four other hungry stomachs would go home growling.”
Mix said Erving was the one who had to make the most sacrifices, the guy who had to tailor his game to everyone else’s. Even so, he made an immediate impression on his new teammates, who marveled at his physical gifts and improvisational abilities.
“It didn’t take but a minute,” Carter said. “Maybe half a minute.”
“You knew the guy could play,” Mix said. “Anybody who has an Afro like that has got to be able to play.”
“It wasn’t as good as Darnell Hillman or Artis Gilmore,” Mix said, naming two others who made the ABA-NBA transition, “but it was a good look.”
His demeanor was no less impressive.
“Just the way that he carried himself was just so different from anything that I had ever seen before,” Catchings said. “It wasn’t arrogance. It was just confidence.”
Erving averaged a team-best 21.6 points a game that first season, two-tenths more than McGinnis. And despite everything the Sixers won 50 games and knocked Boston and Houston out of the playoffs. Then they took a 2-0 lead over Portland in the Finals before getting “backwards swept,” as Carter put it – i.e., the Bill Walton-led Blazers won the last four games.
“We had the best talent,” Mix said. “Portland had the best team.”
It didn’t help that Dawkins squared off with Blazers enforcer Maurice Lucas late in Game 2, throwing a wild punch that caught Collins over the eye. Dawkins, incensed that none of his teammates appeared to have his back (Erving, for example, sat down at midcourt rather than getting involved in the fracas), then trashed the Spectrum’s home locker room.
Nor did it help that McGinnis played poorly in the Finals.
“I wish George was alive, because I don’t want to speak ill of the dead,” Catchings said, referring to McGinnis’ passing three years ago. “But George choked during the playoffs.”
By the time the Sixers returned to the Finals in 1980, they were a vastly different team. McGinnis, traded to Denver for Bobby Jones in ‘78, was gone. Maurice Cheeks, drafted with one of the picks acquired in the Carter trade to the Bucks, arrived that same year. Clint Richardson, who would become a valuable reserve, came in the following selection process.
They finally broke through after acquiring Moses from Houston, and the conclusion is a simple one: Adding a foundational piece like a Dr. J or an LBJ, while obviously significant, is only a start. The right pieces need to be arrayed around them, and sacrifices need to be made for the greater good. That wasn’t the case with the 1976-77 Sixers, and we will only find out in time if that is the case now.
Mix wonders if James is coming as much for business reasons as basketball reasons – if he wants to pick Josh Harris’ brain, then apply those lessons to his own off-court pursuits. Mix further believes, as many do, that LeBron can best be used as a playmaker, despite the fact that he will be playing, in effect, power forward.
As Mix put it, “I don’t expect him to average 20; 12 to 14 would be a good average for him, if he’s distributing.”
Hard to picture James scoring at such a paltry rate, even at his age. He has always been a force, not to mention a force multiplier. Certainly his impact will be felt, as was the case with Erving all those years ago. And certainly much of the history rhymes to this point. Now it’s a matter of adding a few more stanzas, of crafting the perfect ending, in a town where fairytales don’t always come true.
Framber Valdez lines up against a Pittsburgh Pirates lineup that has looked lost against lefties all season. On the other side, Dillon Dingler brings big right-handed power into a soft matchup with Carmen Mlodzinski.
Valdez and his ground-ball game headline a national-TV matchup as the Detroit Tigers visit the Pirates tonight. Detroit sits as a slim -116 favorite, with first pitch set for 7:05 p.m. ET at PNC Park.
The pitching matchup shapes my Tigers vs. Pirates predictions and MLB picks, which back Detroit on the moneyline, lean Over the total, and target a Tigers slugger to go deep on Monday, Aug. 17.
Who will win Tigers vs Pirates today: Tigers moneyline (-116)
Framber Valdez draws a favorable matchup against a Pittsburgh Pirates lineup that has struggled badly against left-handed pitching, and the Detroit Tigers moneyline is a manageable price to back. Pittsburgh is a strong offense against right-handers (.725 OPS) but much weaker against southpaws (.695 OPS).
Valdez carries a 4.26 ERA, but he allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts before his latest outing and recently tossed seven scoreless innings against Seattle. Pittsburgh counters with Carmen Mlodzinski, who owns a 3.79 ERA overall but has struggled to work deep, averaging only four innings per outing.
I’ll back the Tigers at close to a pick’em price, with Valdez holding a clear handedness edge and Mlodzinski unable to provide length.
I’d play Detroit to -125.
COVERS INTEL: The Pirates are just 10-26 in games started by left-handers and own a .689 OPS against southpaws, a glaring weakness with Valdez on the mound.
Tigers vs Pirates Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (+105)
I’ll take the Over at plus money since neither starter has been reliable enough lately to lay juice on a low-scoring game.
Mlodzinski carries a 5.06 ERA over his last five appearances, including four runs in 2 1/3 innings against Miami and five in three innings against the Mets, and his short outings open an early path to a Pittsburgh bullpen that owns a 4.24 ERA.
Valdez gives Detroit the pitching edge, but he hasn’t been untouchable either, with a 4.97 ERA over his last five starts. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, enters hitting .262 over its last 10 games.
At 8.5 and +105, I’d rather bet on Mlodzinski’s recent struggles and offense developing on both sides than pay -116 on the Under.
I’d play the Over down to -105.
Tigers vs Pirates home run prediction: Dillon Dingler (+510)
Dillon Dingler has been Detroit’s most prolific home run hitter this season, and his matchup with Mlodzinski is a strong long shot. Dingler has hit 26 home runs, with 22 against right-handed pitching, and he’s batting .274 against RHP.
Mlodzinski’s four-seam fastball is the clear path to damage. Hitters are batting .324 and slugging .550 against the pitch, which carries a -5 Statcast run value and a 58.6% hard-hit rate. Dingler punishes four-seamers, slugging .554 against them with a +7 run value and a .599 expected slugging.
Dingler’s season-long power against righties and his ability to attack Mlodzinski’s weakest offering make this price worth a shot.
At +510, I’d play this to +450 for a quarter unit.
Ethan Diamandas' 2026 Transparency Record
ML/RL bets: 1-2, -1.27 units
Over/Under bets: 1-2, -0.95 units
Tigers vs Pirates weather
PNC Park is a pitcher-friendly ballpark with a spacious outfield, and tonight’s forecast leans the same way on a mild Pittsburgh evening. Those conditions suit Valdez’s ground-ball game and reinforce the case for the Tigers moneyline.
Tigers vs Pirates odds
Moneyline: Tigers -108 | Pirates +104
Run line: Tigers -1.5 (+150) | Pirates +1.5 (-156)
Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+113) | Under 8.5 (-117)
Tigers vs Pirates trend
The Over is 4-0 in Pirates' last 4 games as a home underdog, a run of high scoring that backs tonight’s Over 8.5. Find more MLB betting trends for Tigers vs. Pirates.
How to watch Tigers vs Pirates and game info
Location
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
Date
Monday, August 17, 2026
First pitch
7:05 p.m. ET
TV
ESPN
Tigers starting pitcher
Framber Valdez (7-8, 4.26 ERA)
Pirates starting pitcher
Carmen Mlodzinski (6-5, 3.79 ERA)
Tigers vs Pirates latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
05 August 2026, Spain, Calvia: People are swimming at Bendinat Beach on the island of Mallorca. After a July marked by numerous heat waves, the sea temperature is currently 29 degrees, according to data from AEMET (the Spanish Meteorological Agency). Photo: Clara Margais/dpa (Photo by Clara Margais/picture alliance via Getty Images)
Hickory starter Jesus Lafalaise threw six shutout innings, striking out six and walking three. Louis Marinar struck out two in a shutout inning. Michale Trausch allowed three runs in 1.1 IP, walking one.
Pablo Guerrero was 2 for 6 with a double. Paulino Santana and Marco Argudin each had a hit. Kaden Carpenter was 2 for 6 with a double. Dewar Tovar was 2 for 5 with a double and a walk. Curely Martha had a hit. Kolby Branch doubled.
Hub City starter Enrique Segura allowed two runs in three innings, striking out six and walking three. J’Briell Easley struck out one in a scoreless inning. Owen Proksch allowed a solo homer in an inning of work, striking out one.
Casey Cook was 1 for 3 with a double, a walk and a stolen base. Paxton Kling homered. Marcos Torres doubled.
For Round Rock, Marc Church allowed a run in two innings, striking out six and walking one. Ben Peoples struck out one in a scoreless inning. Emiliano Teodo threw a scoreless inning. Wilian Bormie struck out one and walked one in a shutout inning.
Rehabbing Danny Jansen was 2 for 3 with a walk and caught seven innings. Cam Cauley had a hit and a stolen base. Alejandro Osuna was 2 for 4 with a homer and a walk. John Taylor had a double and a pair of walks. Logan O’Hoppe doubled.
COVERS INTEL: Sugano pitches to contact and often gets hit hard (
