Senga, who has been on the IL since April 28 while dealing with lumbar spine inflammation, is beginning a rehab assignment.
The right-hander will start for A-level St. Lucie on Friday, with the expectation that he'll throw roughly 50-to-60 pitches.
Before he landed on the IL, the situation with Senga in the rotation had become untenable, with him being unable to pitch more than 3.1 innings in any of his last three starts.
While Senga has been out, the Mets have lost Clay Holmes to a long-term fibula injury, which conceivably changes the calculus regarding the plan for Senga once he's activated.
New York's rotation currently consists of Nolan McLean, Freddy Peralta, and Christian Scott, with David Peterson also factoring in every fifth day and rookie Zach Thornton in the rotation on a start-to-start basis. Jonah Tong, who has been with Triple-A Syracuse all season, is in consideration to come up to pitch this weekend against the Marlins in Miami.
As far as Senga, the Mets could theoretically move him to the bullpen when he returns, but that seems like a very poor fit given his routines.
Following back-to-back appearances for Triple-A Syracuse on Tuesday and Wednesday, Minter is set to pitch again for Syracuse on Saturday. If all goes well, Minter could be activated following that outing.
Minter missed most of last season after needing surgery for a torn left lat muscle.
His return would give the Mets another option at the back end of the bullpen, and could potentially put the roster spot of the struggling Craig Kimbrel in jeopardy.
Young, who is in the middle of a rehab assignment with Syracuse, feels good physically, with Mendoza noting that it is now a matter of getting his timing down.
The left-handed hitter excelled for New York earlier this season, hitting .350/.391/.450 in 23 plate appearances over 11 games.
DETROIT — Detroit Tigers ace Tarik Stubal threw another bullpen session, his third since his rehab program from elbow surgery began.
The two-time American League Cy Young Award winner underwent a non-invasive procedure on his left pitching elbow on May 6 to remove a loose body. He threw his latest bullpen session prior to Detroit’s home game against Cleveland.
Manager A.J. Hinch called it a “great step” but stopped short of saying when Skubal might return to action.
“There are little hurdles to clear along the way when you come back from a procedure,” Hinch said. “As much as we described it as simple, it’s still a procedure.”
Skubal used his full arsenal while throwing a total of 35 pitches, taking a breather in-between to simulate a break between innings.
“His velocity was as high as it’s been since his throwing started,” Hinch said. “He sat down and came back and did like a simulated second inning. That’s encouraging and it’s full stuff.”
Skubal will travel with the team during its weekend series in Baltimore and throw another bullpen session. The team’s medical and coaching staff will determine his next step afterward.
Skubal is 3-2 with a 2.70 ERA in seven starts this season. He’ll be a free agent after the season.
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - MAY 06: Ryan McMahon #19 of the New York Yankees strikes out during the game against the Texas Rangers at Yankee Stadium on May 06, 2026 in the Bronx borough of New York City. (Photo by Ishika Samant/Getty Images) | Getty Images
At the 2025 Trade Deadline, one of the Yankees’ primary acquisitions was for a defense-first third baseman. Ryan McMahon, who had spent the past nine seasons with the Colorado Rockies, was known as one of the game’s finest defenders at the hot corner, one that could hit enough to get by in the majors, culminating in his first All-Star selection in 2024.
I will put my hand up: I liked adding RyMac to the fold. His glove gave him a solid floor, and he had enough pop with the bat to float around league-average and contribute a big hit now and then. Now, a good chunk into his first full season in the Bronx, it’s clear that something is not working for McMahon at the plate. He’s not putting the ball in play with much authority, and the basepaths are proving difficult to reach in 2026. He was never a bat-first guy, but at third base, at least some pop at the plate is expected, and it simply isn’t coming for the Yankees.
It took McMahon 17 games to get his first extra-base hit of the season, which in all fairness, was a clutch homer against the Royals. The pressure to produce that sort of hit is hammered home by Michael Kay’s “Ohhhh, did he need that!”
The issue arises in the fact that this hit did not really open the floodgates for McMahon, as he’s only amassed a handful of extra-base hits in his 137 plate appearances to this point. Now, all homers or doubles count the same, but you’ll notice that this homer wasn’t exactly a no-doubter. It was a wall-scraper the other way into left field. Unfortunately for McMahon this season, that seems to be all that he can buy.
Don’t mistake this chart for for Isaac Paredes’, these are all of Ryan McMahon’s extra-base hits this season — three doubles and four homers. Notably, all but one of these hits are to the opposite field, and rather extremely so. Not only has it been difficult for the Yankee third baseman to turn up the slug, but when he does, he’s not exactly doing himself any favors with a spray chart like this.
A pulled fly ball is the best category of hit a batter can ask for, something that McMahon cannot seem to find in his bat for 2026, and it’s clearly reflecting in his numbers. His 62 wRC+ would be an easy career worst since becoming a gular in 2018, as he’s reaching base at a miniscule .259 clip, strikes out 30 percent of the time, and is walking less than he ever has in his career. 2026 has been a rough go for McMahon at the plate, and his lack of production at the plate has necessitated the need for improvement at the hot corner for New York. Manager Aaron Boone hasn’t hesitated to play righty platoon partner Amed Rosario against same-handed pitching on occasion during McMahon’s deeper slumps.
For McMahon specifically, the production we’re seeing is a particular downgrade for him. Although his premier attributes have never come with the bat, the Yankees can and should reasonably expect a little pop from their third baseman. Instead of the guy who’s posted five consecutive 20-homer seasons, the Yankees have seen this version of McMahon. His production is substandard for anywhere on the diamond, but when considering the position he occupies, and the fact that he has been a consistent contributor for the better part of a decade, the trend becomes all the more troubling.
McMahon still hits the ball fairly hard (80th percentile in average exit velocity), and does so at a good rate (81st percentile hard-hit rate). But it’s clear that this sort of output is not all created equal, as his extra-base hits are fine in isolation, but they become part of a larger, more worrisome trend in the big picture. A full rebound with the bat feels less and less likely as time goes on, but nothing is out of question, as McMahon at least has a fine track record to back it up. But, as things stand, 2026 has been full of far more questions than answers for McMahon and the Yankees.
May 1, 2026; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Rockets forward Jabari Smith Jr. (10) warms up prior to game six of the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs against the Los Angeles Lakers at Toyota Center. Mandatory Credit: Erik Williams-Imagn Images | Erik Williams-Imagn Images
In sports, there are three types of players. Those who are great regular season players, who take their greatness to a whole other level in the playoffs. Then there are great regular season players who flame out in the postseason. Lastly, there are the players who are average to good regular season players, who step their game up when it matters most, including in the playoffs. In my opinion, Jabari Smith Jr. is lining up to become that kind of player, and in 2025-2026 he showed us glimpses.
A lot of what is required to be successful in the postseason is mental. In the playoffs, every team is good and made up of good players. In the course of a seven-game series, there are no more secrets about what you or your opponent are going to try to do, it’s about executing your gameplan better, and imposing your will mentally and physically. Now I won’t say that physically Jabari Smith Jr. imposed his will on these playoffs, but he has the mentality that you need to win. Sadly, there were moments in the series against the Lakers that he looked like the only player who cared.
In the series against the Golden State Warriors last season, Jabari’s first taste of playoff basketball, he was extremely efficient on the offensive end but not nearly aggressive enough, taking less than five shots per game. This postseason, Jabari knew he’d have to be more of a factor with Kevin Durant missing all but one game in the series, and the team being down 0-3 in the series as a result. Yes, he stepped up his point production slightly in the playoffs, but honestly, it wasn’t enough. The team needed more from him offensively.
That being said, Jabari Smith Jr. took more than 14 shots per game in the series. The issue being that he only shot 38.3 percent from the field, including 37.3 percent from three. He played hard defensively as he always does, but let’s face it for a man of his stature he should be more of a factor on the boards. I don’t believe watching him on the court that it is from lack of effort, which is why I won’t be too harsh on the young man in this review. I think he has what it takes to be a contributor on a winning team, he just needs to finally put it together in his upcoming fifth season.
If he can combine the efficiency of his first playoff series with the aggressiveness and sense of urgency he showed in his second playoff series, then he will be one of those impact players in the postseason. I think at this point Jabari’s ceiling is a fringe All-Star ultimately on the outside looking in, unless the Rockets are just grossly misusing him, I don’t see him being much more than that. However, I can’t explain enough how big of a fan I am of his mental makeup. His 15.8 points per game in the regular season is fine with me, as long as he can bump it up to 18-19 points per game in the postseason. His 7.9 rebounds per game is cool with me, as long as it turns into 9-10 rebounds in the postseason. He doesn’t have to shoot 50 percent from the field and 45 percent from three like he did in the 2024-2025 playoffs, but he needs to be close.
Since Jabari Smith Jr. was drafted third overall in 2022, he’s been on a personal mission to prove to himself that he belongs. With Paolo Banchero winning rookie of the year, Chet Holmgren already being a key contributor to an NBA Championship, and the eyes of many wondering if the Rockets made the right choice selecting him third overall, you can see that the spirit is willing with Smith, the question… Is he really that dude? I think he can be, because I see how hard he works, I see how badly he wants it, the only thing left for him to answer to me is, is he willing to go take it. Because no one is going to hand it to him. If he can match his on-court production with that dog mentality I sense in him, then I hope he’s still wearing a Rockets jersey when it happens.
Vegas stole home-ice advantage with a 4-2 win in Game 1, but can they make it two straight over the Avs?
Our featured Golden Knights vs. Avalanche predictions and NHL picks for Friday, May 22 predict a bounce-back win for Colorado, forecasting a heavily targeted, high-shot-volume night for Vegas starter Carter Hart.
UPDATE: Added prediction who will win & goal scorer pick.
Additionally, Vegas goalie Carter Hart recorded 2.44 goals saved above expected Wednesday, which will prove to be an unsustainably level of play as the series progresses.
Golden Knights vs Avalanche Best bet: Carter Hart Over 28.5 saves (-125)
Vegas Golden Knights No. 1 Carter Hart is turning in a solid postseason with a tidy .918 save percentage, and while he isn’t going to pile up 2.44 goals saved above expected nightly as he did in Game 1, Hart just needs to make the saves he should to hit this Over.
The Colorado Avalanche led the way in shots per game (33.7) during the regular season, and the Avs are leading the postseason in both shots per 60 minutes overall and at 5-on-5.
So, with Colorado facing an 0-1 series deficit, I’m anticipating the Avalanche picking up where they left off after piling up an eye-popping 38 shots in Game 1.
The Avalanche dominated 5-on-5 play in Game 1 with a 59.3 Corsi For percentage and 63.6 expected goals percentage, and linemates Nazem Kadri, Valeri Nichushkin, and Ross Colton combined for respective 66.8% and 80.7% marks.
Nichushkin scored in the series opener to climb to 34 points across his past 47 postseason games, and Kadri has recorded 40 points through his past 43 playoff contests, so I like this duo to have a say again in Game 2.
Golden Knights vs Avalanche SGP
Avalanche moneyline
Nazem Kadri Over 0.5 points
Valeri Nichushkin Over 0.5 points
Golden Knights vs Avalanche Game 2 goal scorer pick
Jack Eichel (+220)
Vegas center Jack Eichel paced the team in individual expected goals (1.38) in Game 1, and he’s now up to 4.38 ixG and 11 high-danger scoring chances during his 10-game goal drought. Additionally, his 2.6 shooting percentage during the 2026 playoffs is way below his 10.2% mark across 690 regular-season games.
The Avalanche have won 11 of their last 13 games (+7.95 Units / 33% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Golden Knights vs. Avalanche.
How to watch Golden Knights vs Avalanche
Location
Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Date
Friday, May 22, 2025
Puck drop
8 p.m. ET
TV
ESPN
Golden Knights vs Avalanche latest injuries
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The Arizona Diamondbacks (25-23) and Colorado Rockies (19-31) start a four-game series at Chase Field. Arizona enters on a four-game winning streak, while Colorado has lost two straight.
Arizona has climbed over .500 on the season and is coming off a sweep of San Francisco. The Diamondbacks outscored the Giants 23-8 and have scored at least five runs in four consecutive games. Arizona has won five straight home games and is 15-9 at home on the season.
Colorado has the second-worst record in baseball and has dropped three of the past four games and eight of the past 11. Over the last week, the Rockies are hitting .216 (25th) with one home run (last). The pitching staff hasn't been much better either. Colorado's pitchers own a 6.17 ERA (27th) over the last six games and the worst OBA (.324).
Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.
Game details & how to watch Rockies at Diamondbacks
Date: Thursday, May 21, 2026
Time: 9:40 PM EST
Site: Chase Field
City: Phoenix, AZ
Network/Streaming: MLB TV
Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.
The Diamondbacks’ Corbin Carroll is hitting .285 with 45 hits and 89 total bases over 158 at-bats
The Diamondbacks’ James McCann is hitting .203 with 12 hits and 17 strikeouts over 59 at-bats
The Rockies’ Troy Johnston is hitting .324 with 47 hits and 66 total bases over 145 at-bats
The Rockies’ Ezequiel Tovar is hitting .205 with 33 hits and 48 strikeouts over 161 at-bats
Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!
Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Rockies at Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks are 30-18 ATS this season, ranking third-best
The Rockies are 26-24 ATS this season
The Diamondbacks are 25-21-2 to the Over
The Rockies are 26-23-1 to the Under
The Diamondbacks are 15-7 ATS at home, ranking second-best
The Rockies are 13-12 ATS on the road and 9-16 on the ML
Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Rockies and the Diamondbacks
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Thursday's game between the Rockies and the Diamondbacks:
Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Diamondbacks on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Diamondbacks at -1.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Under on the Game Total of 9.5
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UPDATE: Added a +775 SGP & who will win prediction!
The San Antonio Spurs may not have won the battle, but they’ve got the inside track on the war with the Western Conference finals locked at 1-1 heading to Texas tonight.
After winning the series opener, San Antonio struggled through a disjointed road loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Injuries, turnovers, and OKC’s physical approach to slowing down Victor Wembanyama all took their toll.
Our Thunder vs. Spurs predictions for Game 3 see Wembanyama pushing back, especially with the unknown status of San Antonio’s backcourt stars.
Thunder vs Spurs prediction Game 3 prediction tonight
Who will win Thunder vs Spurs Game 3?
Spurs: If De’Aaron Fox and/or Dylan Harper can come back from injury in Game 3, the path is cleaner for the Spurs. San Antonio’s turnover troubles could be solved with steady hands in the backcourt. On the year, this was a tough team at home.
The Spurs are 36-10 SU as hosts (57.6% ATS) and are a solid 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS on their own floor when coming off a loss in the previous game. Considering how sideways Game 2 got, San Antonio was still within five points in the final minutes. That shows just how good the Spurs truly are.
Thunder vs Spurs best bet: Victor Wembanyama Over 25.5 points (-105)
After taking 21 of his 25 shots in the paint in Game 1, Wembanyama attempted just 8 of 16 FGAs in the key on Wednesday.
The constant abuse wore him down late and contributed to a more passive outing. He also reached the foul line only twice despite plenty of questionable contact.
With the San Antonio Spurs home for Game 3, I expect a more aggressive Wembanyama and friendlier whistles from the officials.
COVERS INTEL: Wembanyama sees a near 3-point uptick in scoring at home compared to the road, and Game 3 projections sit as high as 27+ points. Those forecasts include injured guards De’Aaron Fox and Dylan Harper. Should one or both guards sit, Wemby shoulders more of the scoring load.
Thunder vs Spurs same-game parlay
De’Aaron Fox has missed the last two games with an ankle injury, and Dylan Harper is fighting through a bum leg. That said, I have more confidence in those guards coming back than OKC’s Jalen Williams, who re-aggravated a hamstring injury in Game 2.
The Spurs played poorly and had bad luck, yet still stuck around on Wednesday. Getting back home helps settle things down, especially in the turnover department.
With Williams out, Oklahoma City needs another scorer to step up. Chet Holmgren has had issues against the Spurs this season, carrying over to a 7-for-17 start to this series. He did make two triples in Game 1, and his ability to stretch the floor with his shooting is vital to the Thunder.
After missing minutes in Game 2, Chet gets a wake-up call and knocks down two or more 3-pointers in Game 3.
Our "from downtown” same-game parlay: Lone Star Shootout
After a physical Game 2 took its toll on both rosters, the Spurs and Thunder are missing complementary pieces to their offense. That means they’ll lean extra hard on their star players.
I expect more scoring from the stripe from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Victor Wembanyama after the refs swallowed their whistles in Game 2. Points with the clock stopped are a recipe for Overs.
Thunder vs Spurs odds tonight
Spread: Oklahoma City +2 (-110) | San Antonio -2 (-110)
Moneyline: Oklahoma City +110 | San Antonio -130
Over/Under: Over 217.5 (-110) | Under 217.5 (-110)
Thunder vs Spurs betting trend to know
San Antonio is 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS at home when coming off a loss in the previous game this season. Find more NBA betting trends for Thunder vs. Spurs.
How to watch Thunder vs Spurs
Location
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
Date
Friday, May 22, 2025
Tip-off
8:30 p.m. ET
TV
NBC, Peacock
Thunder vs Spurs latest injuries
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CINCINNATI, OHIO - MAY 13: PJ Poulin #50 of the Washington Nationals points towards Curtis Mead #45 of the Washington Nationals after a win in the tenth inning against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on May 13, 2026 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Caleb Bowlin/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The Washington Nationals made a somewhat surprising move in the bullpen. With Clayton Beeter coming back from the IL, the Nats decided to option PJ Poulin to Triple-A. On the surface, this move seems pretty odd. Poulin leads the Nats in appearances with 23 and has posted a solid 2.91 ERA.
The Nationals have optioned PJ Poulin to Triple-A Rochester.
— Nationals Communications (@NationalsComms) May 21, 2026
However, when you look under the hood, things make more sense. Despite Poulin’s low ERA, the underlying metrics agreed that he was getting lucky. Poulin’s xERA and xFIP are both 5.46, while his FIP is 5.51. You have to believe that the Nats front office was looking at those numbers when they decided to send Poulin down.
Frankly, if you watch Nats games on a consistent basis, you do not need those fancy stats to tell you that Poulin was flirting with disaster. Poulin rarely had a shutdown outing and was consistently dealing with traffic on the bases. He also issued 14 walks in 21.2 innings, which is not ideal for a guy without overwhelming stuff.
The strikeout to walk rate is also something the Nats considered when sending him down. For the season, Poulin has 6.65 K/9 and 5.82 BB/9. Having nearly as many walks as strikeouts is not a recipe for long term success. Last season, Poulin actually did show some swing and miss stuff with 9.85 K/9. However, the whiffs have not been a big part of his game this season.
While PJ Poulin hasn't been charged with an earned run in any of his last 9 appearances, he's walked a batter in 6 of his last 7 and has allowed half of the first batters he's faced to reach this year.
Nearly 6 (5.8) BB/9 without strikeout stuff (6.6 K/9) is a tough way to live. https://t.co/Id4Zryc67Y
— Stars and Strikes – Daily Nats Content (@starsstrikesbb) May 21, 2026
This season it just felt like Poulin did not really trust his stuff as much. He was constantly nibbling and trying to throw the perfect pitch instead of just attacking guys. Maybe that was due to a slight drop in velocity forcing him to try and be perfect. Poulin usually got out of the jams he put himself in, but the lefty was putting himself in bad spots too often.
Interestingly, I thought Poulin was at his best this year when he was opening games. He was an opener 5 times, and posted a 1.42 ERA with just one walk in 6.1 innings. However, when Poulin was put in higher leverage spots, he really struggled to throw strikes.
Another factor here is Richard Lovelady, who has a lot of similarities to Poulin. It felt like Lovelady started to eat into Poulin’s role. Both are lower slot lefties who rely on funk rather than velocity. Like Poulin, Lovelady allows his fair share of baserunners, but he can get ground balls and whiffs when he needs them more consistently than Poulin.
I do not want to knock Poulin too much while he is down here. He is still a solid arm and is very likely to be back in the big leagues at some point. There are going to be injuries and guys who start to struggle. When that happens, Poulin is going to be an arm the Nats will turn to again. He just needs to attack hitters some more and get back to doing what he did at the end of last season.
As for Clayton Beeter, it will be interesting to see what his role is. Beeter also has walk issues, but has dynamic swing and miss stuff. He was the de facto closer at the beginning of the season, but it feels like Gus Varland has taken that mantle. Beeter will be in the mix for high leverage looks, but I do not think he will be the big dog in the bullpen the way he was to start the year.
We just need to see more strikes from him. Beeter has the best raw stuff in this bullpen, but he can be erratic. However, when Beeter is on, he can be absolutely lights out. Beeter looked good on his rehab assignment in AAA, making two scoreless appearances. At his best, Beeter can be a real weapon.
The Nats are going to have to make another bullpen decision soon as well. Cole Henry is also on the mend, and has looked good during his rehab assignment. If he gets his spot in the bullpen back, who will the Nats send down? Paxton Schultz seems like an obvious candidate, but I wonder if Mitchell Parker could be in trouble. With Andrew Alvarez sticking in the big leagues, can the Nats afford to carry three long relievers?
There are some interesting conversations to be had with this bullpen. For the first time in a while, it feels like the Nats have a lot of options. Sure, none of the options are amazing, but they have plenty of guys who have shown they can have success in the big leagues if they are on their game. I am curious to see how the bullpen shakes out as we go through this season.
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - MAY 13: Kyle Hurt #63 of the Los Angeles Dodgers pitches during the ninth inning against the San Francisco Giants at Dodger Stadium on May 13, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Some of the plans for the Dodgers’ bullpen went out the window in an unceremonious fashion quite early on, but the unit continues to function at a high level. Among other things, that’s down to the emergence of Kyle Hurt as one of the top setup men in the National League—a big statement for a young pitcher whose not only role, but mere presence on the big league roster this season, was undefined heading into spring training.
After striking out 12 hitters in 7.1 innings in spring training, Hurt impressed but ultimately couldn’t land a spot on the Opening Day roster. It wasn’t until Ben Casparius hit the shelf that Hurt joined the club, and firstly, amidst Edwin Díaz’ injury, and also partially just through his own merit, Hurt began climbing up the leverage ladder in the bullpen.
Yet another success story of the Dodgers utilizing their vast resources to work the trade market in their favor, a former Marlins farmhand, Hurt relies on a four-seam fastball that hurts hitters. He throws it over 60% of the time with a 22.0% SwSt%, one that puts him in the 97th percentile. As it is the case with pitchers that generate a lot of swing-and-miss action on their four-seamers, Hurt throws it upstairs quite often, relying on batters swinging underneath it, and so far in 2026, they’re 6 for 32 on the pitch with 12 strikeouts and just one extra-base hit. To complement that heavy four-seamer, Hurt has a changeup. While generally it’d be reasonable to express some concern about how the splits would translate against same-handed batters having the changeup as your primary off-speed pitch, Hurt is able to find success against righties and lefties.
Something that’s appealing about what Hurt is doing now, but more importantly, when it comes to the sustainability of his success, is that the tall right-hander is attacking the zone with everything he throws. He’s not nibbling around the edges too much. Hurt throws his changeup in the zone (43.6%) more than the MLB average (33.9%), and it’s not as if he is thriving because hitters have been passive and will eventually adjust. On the contrary, the swing rate against Hurt’s changeup (60.0%) is well above Hurt’s (45.6%).
Attacking the zone is so important because if you can accomplish that while still being able to generate the constant swing-and-misses that Hurt has been able to, you find yourself as one of only four relievers in baseball with a strikeout rate of over 30% and a walk rate below 5%.
The recent series against the Padres, particularly the matchups against Mason Miller, showed how oftentimes when dealing with the elite relievers, you’re at the mercy of a momentary loss of command from them. All of the threat and action that the talented Dodgers offense generated against Miller basically came from him pitching against himself more so than anything else. Obviously, Hurt still has a long way to go. We’re evaluating a sample size of 14 innings, but out of that, the sky is the limit with his tools. It’s no surprise that before the start of the year, when we asked you here who was the reliever you were most excited about seeing called up to join the Dodgers bullpen in 2026, Hurt won it quite easily. And to think that a key chunk of this bullpen consists of a couple of players acquired for the services of Dylan Floro some years ago. You could not ask for anything more.
A historic rally set the tone for the Eastern Conference Finals, and now all eyes turn to Game 2 as our NBA player prop projections zeroes in on the Cavaliers vs. Knicks matchup at Madison Square Garden — highlighting several high-value betting opportunities as Cleveland looks to regroup.
By analyzing the data against current market lines, we’ve identified where the strongest edges exist.
If you’re building your card, here are the model’s top NBA picks for Thursday, May 21.
Cavaliers vs Knicks computer picks for Game 2
Cavaliers
Knicks
Mitchell u26.5 points -112
Brunson o27.5 points -110
Harden o18.5 points -112
Towns o11.5 rebounds +100
Allen o7.5 rebounds -112
Bridges o1.5 3-pointers +100
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Cavaliers Game 2 computer picks
Donovan Mitchell Under 26.5 points (-112)
Projection: 25.64 points
Donovan Mitchell looked every bit the steady force while the Cleveland Cavaliers controlled most of Game 1 against the New York Knicks — until the fourth quarter hit, when he managed just three points the rest of the way in an overtime collapse.
He still finished with 29 points, clearing this prop line even in defeat, but the current projection feels a bit shaken—perhaps too hesitant to trust that Mitchell can deliver a bounce-back performance and lead a Game 2 redemption.
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James Harden Over 18.5 points (-112)
Projection: 20.31 points
James Harden’s Game 1 showing was a letdown—no sugarcoating it. The Cavaliers veteran managed just 15 points on 5-of-16 shooting, a far cry from what Cleveland needs.
Whether it was fatigue from a quick series turnaround or the Knicks simply locking him down, the Cavs won’t stand a chance unless Harden sharpens up in Game 2. Another 31% shooting night—or anything close to it—won’t cut it if Cleveland hopes to steal one on the road.
span style="font-size: 14px;"🔥/span spanBet harden Now at bet365!/span
Jarrett Allen Over 7.5 rebounds (-112)
Projection: 7.68 rebounds
Evan Mobley has been so productive that the Cavaliers may have lost sight of Jarrett Allen a bit and that can’t happen, especially after Game 1.
Cleveland needed strong contributions from both bigs to avoid the collapse they suffered, but Allen was quiet, finishing with just 10 points and seven rebounds in the opener.
If the Cavs want to steady themselves in Game 2, they’ll need to get him more involved offensively and bring a much more aggressive presence on the glass after hovering over this prop line on Tuesday.
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Knicks Game 2 computer picks
Jalen Brunson Over 27.5 points (-110)
Projection: 27.94 points
Everyone’s talking about Jalen Brunson — and for good reason.
He once again played the hero in Game 1, erupting for 38 points and powering the Knicks to a stunning overtime win. His fiery leadership has been the driving force behind New York’s playoff surge, and the buzz has only grown louder since Tuesday’s comeback.
Don’t expect that hot streak to cool off now. In Brunson, you can trust with clearing this points prop line.
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Karl-Anthony Towns over 11.5 rebounds (+100)
Projection: 11.93 rebounds
Karl-Anthony Towns opened the series with a strong 13-point, 13-rebound double-double and has been a force on the glass all postseason. He’s now hit double-digit rebounds in seven of New York’s 11 playoff games, consistently controlling the boards.
With Towns dominating down low, expect him to keep that momentum rolling at home and clear this rebounding prop once again.
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Mikal Bridges Over 1.5 3-pointers (+100)
Projection: 1.73 3-pointers
Mikal Bridges delivered a strong two-way showing in the Knicks’ Game 1 win, finishing with 18 points on 64% shooting Tuesday night, including a couple of treys at a 50% clip from deep.
With New York riding high, Bridges should once again find his rhythm — making the Over on his 3-point prop a live play in Game 2 tonight.
span style="font-size: 14px;"🔥/span spanBet bridges Now at bet365!/span
How to watch Cavaliers vs Knicks Game 2
Location
Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Date
Thursday, May 21, 2026
Tip-off
8 p.m. ET
TV
ESPN
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DETROIT, MI - APRIL 22: Franz Wagner #22 of the Orlando Magic handles the ball while defended by Caris LeVert #8 of the Detroit Pistons during the game during Round One Game Two of the 2026 NBA Playoffs on April 22, 2026 at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Brian Sevald/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images
There were 13 former Michigan Wolverines players that logged minutes in the NBA in the 2025-26 season. With the playoffs winding down, let’s take a look at how every Michigan alum performed this year.
Franz Wagner (Orlando Magic)
Wagner is definitely the best former Wolverine in the NBA right now. Despite being injured for more than half the season, he still proved to be a high-level performer, posting 20.6 points, 5.2 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game. Unfortunately, Wagner went down with a calf injury in the first round of the playoffs and was forced to miss the final three games of the series, but he will continue to be a cornerstone of the franchise going forward.
Hardaway is well over a decade into his pro career and is still a very effective contributor. In his first season with the Nuggets, he led Denver in scoring off the bench with 13.5 points per game on 40.7 percent shooting from three-point territory. Playing a key veteran role and shooting at a high clip from beyond the arc, Hardaway should continue to be an impactful player in the years to come. He is set to be a free agent this summer, but there’s no doubt he’ll have a number of suitors.
Poole had an up-and-down season in his first year with the Pelicans, falling in and out of the lineup and playing just 39 games. After playing a significant role on the Golden State Warriors en route to winning a championship in 2022, Poole was dealt to the Washington Wizards and is now trying to find his footing in New Orleans. He averaged 13.4 points per game with the Pelicans this year.
Robinson was a much-needed addition for the Pistons this season, bringing one of the NBA’s premier sharpshooters back to the state that he played in college. Following a successful stint with the Miami Heat from 2018-25, Robinson scored 12.2 points per game and shot a red-hot 41 percent from three this year. The former Big Ten Sixth Man of the Year has carved out a solid role for himself after going undrafted.
Wolf was selected late in the first round last summer following his lone season at Michigan, and he immediately showed why he was one of the Big Ten’s most versatile players, scoring 22 points, four assists and four rebounds early in his rookie year. Later in the season, he was thrust into the starting lineup due to injury and he scored a career-high 23 points and nine rebounds in March. Following a solid debut season, there’s no doubt he will be a part of the Nets’ future.
Diabaté experienced a breakout season in fourth year in the NBA, racking up career-highs including 7.9 points, 8.7 rebounds and 1.0 blocks in 26 minutes per game on 63.1 percent shooting from the field. The former All-Big Ten Freshman honoree has seemingly found a home in Charlotte, showing major strides this season and eventually earning the NBA’s Hustle Award. Now, he will attempt to build on his breakout campaign next season and beyond.
The winner of the 2025-26 @Kia NBA Hustle Award is… Moussa Diabaté!
The award honors a player who makes the effort plays that do not often appear in the box score but help determine team success. pic.twitter.com/ktNJlBCfZF
LeVert came to the Pistons with hopes of being a secondary playmaker off the bench, but he ended up having a much lesser role than expected and played a career-low 19.2 minutes per game. He also averaged single-digit scoring for just the second time in his career, posting 7.4 points per game. The 2016 first-round pick showed he can still be a valuable player though, erupting for a season-best 24 points and four rebounds in a playoff game this month.
Wagner’s pro career has been a bit overshadowed by his younger brother, but he has carved out a role with the Magic as well. Wagner was selected in the first round of the 2018 NBA Draft and has spent the last six seasons in Orlando. Coming off a season-ending ACL injury, he returned to the court after missing nearly two full years. In 36 games, Wagner averaged 6.9 points and 3.2 rebounds per game and will now enter free agency.
Howard is another former lottery pick from Michigan, and although he hasn’t exactly hit the ground running to start his career, he has displayed glimpses of impressive upside. Most notably, Howard went off for a career-high 30 points, including a 22-point fourth quarter in November. Howard scored 5.5 points per game on a career-best 37.2 percent shooting from three-point range in a slightly expanded role off the bench, so perhaps he’ll continue to make strides next season.
Bufkin hasn’t quite been able to carve out a consistent role in three years in the NBA, but he was one of the best players in the G-League this season by averaging 24.8 points and 4.4 assists in 17 games with the South Bay Lakers. He was eventually called up to the NBA, scoring 2.9 points per game in 16 appearances with the Lakers. In the final weeks of the season, Bufkin was waived by the Lakers, so he’ll try to find a new home this summer.
Houstan was one of the highest-rated recruits in Michigan history and went onto be a second-round pick in the 2022 NBA Draft. After playing the first three years of his pro career with the Magic, Houstan spent this past season with the Atlanta Hawks on a two-way contract, splitting time between the NBA and G-League. In 18 games with the Hawks, Houstan averaged just 2.3 points on 53.8 percent from three. Unfortunately, he was waived late in the season and is currently a free agent.
CALEB. HOUSTAN. 🤯
He drills the game-winning triple in OT for the Hawks!
Livers spent the first three seasons of his career with his hometown Pistons before signing with the Phoenix Suns last summer. He wasn’t really a part of Phoenix’s rotation for most of this season, putting up just 1.8 points and 1.7 rebounds in 36 appearances. Livers has proven he can be a relatively effective option off the bench with the Pistons, scoring 6.6 points per game in his first two seasons, but he hasn’t been able to recreate that success the last two years.
Goldin went undrafted after receiving All-Big Ten recognition in his only season with Michigan, but he quickly signed a two-way contract with the Miami Heat. He put up 23 points and nine rebounds in his G-League debut and eventually made his NBA debut in December. Goldin wasn’t much of a factor with the Heat, averaging only 0.8 points per game, but his G-League statistics — 11.3 points, seven rebounds, two blocks — were impressive.
BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS - APRIL 19: Starting pitcher Garrett Crochet #35 of the Boston Red Sox throws during the first inning against the Detroit Tigers at Fenway Park on April 19, 2026 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Jaiden Tripi/Getty Images) | Getty Images
After throwing two simulated innings yesterday in a bullpen session, injured Red Sox ace Garrett Crochet has declared himself free of the shoulder inflammation that landed him on the IL. That’s great! What’s less great is that he also declared that his mechanics are out of whack. Crochet will take a few days off, throw another bullpen over the weekend, and likely be out until early June as he works out the kinks. “I feel like everyone that goes on the IL, it’s always a little longer than they want it to be. I’m not exempt from that,” he said. “It’s definitely taken longer than I had hoped it would when I initially went on the IL, but it’s part of it. Right now, I’m just trying to be a good cheerleader.” (Alex Speier, Boston Globe)
Barring any further injuries, Crochet’s return will likely mean that someone is going to get bounced from the Red Sox rotation. If the Sox base things purely on performance, that person would unquestionably be Brayan Bello, who, after two promising appearances in a bulk role following an opener, once again struggled as a conventional starter his last time out. Manager Chad Tracy said the Sox may go back to the opener strategy for Bello, but it will be decided on a case-by-case basis, depending in large part on the health and availability of the arms in the bullpen. (Justin Turpin, WEEI)
When Garrett Crochet does return, will he return to an improved offense? Jarren Duran broke out in a big way in Kansas City over the past three days, providing some hope that Willson Contreras and Wilyer Abreu might finally get some help in the lineup. “I’m trending in the upward direction, and I’m just trying to stay simple and do stuff to help the team win,” said Duran. (Ian Browne, MLB.com)
But his bat wasn’t the only thing Duran was handling well last night, he also made a great catch at the wall. “I’m willing to get hurt to make a play for my pitchers,” he said. (Christopher Smith, MassLive)
It’s great that Duran’s willing to go all out on defense, but getting hurt wouldn’t exactly help the Red Sox at this point. And, speaking of getting hurt, Trevor Story still hasn’t decided on whether he’s getting surgery, and seems to be doing a little opinion shopping in the meantime:
Red Sox SS Trevor Story went to Philadelphia for a third opinion on his sports hernia. "They're getting his opinion and still waiting on that and what he wants to do," Chad Tracy said.
With the way he was playing, an extended absence by Trevor Story wouldn’t be the worst thing in the world. But it would be nice to get Roman Anthony back in the lineup, even though he may have been asked to do too much for this Red Sox team this year. (Chad Finn, Boston Globe)
ATLANTA, GA - MAY 15: Spencer Strider #99 of the Atlanta Braves stands on the field during the first inning against the Boston Red Sox at Truist Park on May 15, 2026 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin D. Liles/Atlanta Braves/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Back in 2022-2023, the pitching matchup in tonight’s Braves-Marlins series finale would’ve been heralded far and wide. Things are a little different these days, but that doesn’t mean that either team will have an easy path to a victory. The Braves can no longer lose this series after yesterday’s victory, but they can indeed still win it, and that’s what they’ll try to do as Spencer Strider faces off against Sandy Alcantara in Miami.
From 2021-2023, Alcantara was not just a workhorse, but a dominant hurler. He pitched 619 frames across 93 starts in that span, going from 4.3 fWAR in 2021 to 5.9 in 2022, before wearing down into something worse but still above-average in 2023 (3.0 fWAR). Part of that wearing down was his elbow ligament making a sad face late in 2023, as he missed most of September of that season, and all of 2024, with Tommy John Surgery and the associated recovery. Alcantara’s 2025 comeback campaign was a mixed bag at best — the righty had a career 78/90/94 line through 2023 (ERA-/FIP-/xFIP-), including a 73/82/85 line during the ‘21-’23 span mentioned. He stumbled around to a 126/103/101 line last year, giving the Marlins durability (31 starts) but less in the way of length (“just” 174 2/3 innings) or effectiveness.
In 2026, things are better for him in some ways, but not others. He’s once again pitching more deeply into games — 63 2/3 innings in ten starts — on the order of what he managed in 2021 and 2023 (but not 2022, where he averaged over seven frames per outing in his Cy Young-winning campaign). His ERA- and FIP- look better, both at 86… but his xFIP- is at 102. He’s running a career-low strikeout rate of just 16.9 percent at the moment, but riding high due to a teeny-tiny HR/FB.
He’s also been somewhat inconsistent in decently-long stretches. He had three nice outings to start 2026, including a complete game shutout of the White Sox, but then gave up four homers (the only four homers hit off him so far this year) in two starts, part of a bigger six-start stretch where he had a very blah 150/119/123 line. But, he then bounced back to dismantle the playing-very-good-ball Rays last Saturday, with a 6/0 K/BB ratio in what was arguably his best start since coming back from surgery, and perhaps his best start since winning the Cy Young Award back in 2022.
The Braves and Alcantara have a ton of history, as he’s made 16 starts against them in his career. His aggregate line includes a 3.99 FIP and 4.38 xFIP in 100 2/3 innings versus the Braves, which is notably worse than his performance overall. Even last year, facing a moribund team while perhaps still recovering himself, Alcantara’s performance wasn’t dominant: one good start, one okay start, and one where the Braves, diminished as they were, roughed him up.
On the flip side, the Braves will have Spencer Strider vying to suppress the Miami attack in the way that Chris Sale was able to on Wednesday. Strider’s three starts so far this season have also been a mixed bag: a struggle in his season debut at Coors Field, an evisceration of the Dodgers in Los Angeles, and then, most recently, a meh start against the Red Sox with a 4/3 K/BB ratio where he lasted 5 1/3 innings. On the season, Strider’s line is an appropriately-silly-for-three starts 60/90/101. I guess that makes this a pretty fitting matchup with Alcantara, as a battle of starters-that-are-currently-fortunate-to-have-a-low-HR/FB and who were once dominant, but are now working their way back to something more than mid-rotation candidates.
Strider has five career outings against the Marlins, though two were relief appearances in 2022. He completely obliterated them in two separate starts in 2023, and had a weirdly meh outing where he nonetheless went seven frames against them last season. There wasn’t much doubt about this, but Strider’s effectiveness in this one is going to be based on his own mechanics rather than any shared history.
Game Info
Game Date/Time: Thursday, May 21, 6:40 p.m. EDT
Location: loanDepot (Stupid Capitalization) Park, Miami, FL
The Cubs, as you know, have had multiple pitching injuries.
That list got a bit longer Wednesday when Edward Cabrera left the game with a blister. Fortunately, that’s not usually a serious injury. Maybe he misses a start, maybe not.
The Cubs are not alone in having many rotation starters injured. Look at the Blue Jays, for example — and Toronto has had a rough time of it, currently sitting tied for third place in the AL East, 11.5 games out of first place at 22-27. At least the Cubs are still well over .500 at 29-21.
In the comments in the recap to Wednesday’s debacle, BCB reader D98 reminded everyone that the Brewers acquired a starting pitcher early in the season last year (April 7, to be exact) who turned out to be pretty good.
That guy was Quinn Priester, who in 20 games for the Pirates (14 starts) in 2023-24, had posted a 6.46 ERA, 1.585 WHIP and allowed 19 home runs in 94.2 innings. He’d been so bad that the Pirates traded him to the Red Sox for Nick Yorke, a bench player who currently has a .555 OPS in 27 games for Pittsburgh. The Red Sox gave up on Priester after one start and sent him to Milwaukee for two minor leaguers, neither of whom has played above Double-A.
Priester — who was a former No. 1 draft pick — turned out to be really good in Milwaukee, posting a 3.32 ERA, 1.239 WHIP and 13 wins in 29 games (24 starts). He’s currently on the IL, rehabbing from thoracic outlet syndrome issues.
It’s my thought that no one could have possibly known Priester would be that good when he was acquired. In fact, after his first five Brewers appearances he had a 5.79 ERA, which included getting absolutely pounded by the Cubs in this game.
Obviously, he turned things around and was a key piece for Milwaukee, including in the postseason.
So now I’m asking you: Can you identify someone like this, under the radar, who the Cubs might be able to acquire now? Any pitcher with any sort of reputation (Freddy Peralta, for example) isn’t going to be available in mid-May.
And don’t say “Well, I don’t have access to the Cubs’ internal scouting reports.” That’s pretty obvious.
I’m asking you to speculate, think about guys who might turn it around if given a chance, who the Cubs could get right now for a couple of prospects similar to the ones the Brewers sent to Boston for Priester.
Basically, here’s a discussion topic for an off day. Have at it.
Nolan Arenado reacts to an RBI double. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images) | Getty Images
It may seem obvious that the Diamondbacks are better than the Rockies. Up front, my expectation is for the Diamondbacks to win this four-game series against the Rockies. Nevertheless, let’s compare the teams. Top-level comparisons follow.
The 3-game Series at Coors. In the previous two seasons, these teams split their games at Coors, but the Diamondbacks won more games at Chase (where this series is played, as you know). So, after Kelly’s complete game win, I was hoping the Diamondbacks would sweep the Rockies at Coors (which would open the door for a rare sweep of a four game series at Chase). Instead, the Diamondbacks won the series with 2 wins and 1 loss.
Offense.This season through 16 May, the Diamondbacks had more runs scored per game (4.37 vs 4.20), despite the Rockies batters having more games at Coors. The Diamondbacks OPS+ was only slightly better than the Rockies (94 vs 91) Both were below average, which surprised me.
Runners Left On Base. In games through 16 May, despite an increased runners left on base in May, the Diamondbacks had the second lowest runners left on base of 6.18 per game (The Padres were lowest with 6.09 per game). The Rockies were higher (6.59 per game).
Defense. In games through 16 May, the Diamondbacks defense is on a much higher level than the Rockies defense (9 vs negative 3 outs above average (OAA), and 17 vs 9 Defensive Runs Saved (DRS).
Bullpens. This season through 16 May, the bullpens are nearly equal in shutdown performances by the bullpen (49 vs 47). Very slight edge to the Diamondbacks.
Starting Pitcher Matchups. An extremely amazing streak was that from 5 to 15 May, the Diamondbacks rotation had quality starts in 8 of their 10 games. For this series, the matchups are advantage Diamondbacks.
Saturday’s Game Could Be Interesting
In Saturday’s game, two batters have favorable matchups with starting pitchers.
Mickey Moniak (Rockies) has 2 homers and 5 RBIs in 12 PAs against Zac Gallen. Recently (13 May) he was a single short of hitting for the cycle! He was the first overall draft pick in 2016.
Nolan Arenado (D-backs, former Rocky) has 2 homers and 3 RBIs in 28 PAs against Jose Quintana. Recently (15 May), he hit a double and walked four times (that’s 100% on base)! He won a silver-slugger five times, won a gold-glove ten times, and won a platinum glove six times.
Pitching Matchups.
Thursday, 6:40 PM MST. Eduardo Rodriguez will face TBD. On 20 May, the Rockies selected the contract of AAA long reliever Keegan Thompson. Perhaps he will start the game or the game will be a bullpen game.
Friday, 6:40 PM MST. Michael Soroka will face Tomoyuki Sugano.
Saturday, 7:10 PM MST. Zac Gallen will face Michael Lorenzen.
Sunday, 1:00 PM MST. Ryne Nelson will face Jose Quintana.
My view is that these matchups favor the Diamondbacks.
Four comparisons of starting pitchers, who will probably not face each other in this series (but in my mind might have faced each other).
Eduardo Rodriguez vs Tomoyuki Sugano. Looking at earned runs and innings pitched, these two pitchers are similar because this season each was pulled from three games when they still had a shot at a quality start. This season, Rodriguez has more quality starts (4 vs 2).
Michael Soroka vs Michael Lozenzen. Looking at their last four games, they each had a clunker of 7 or 8 earned runs. Nevertheless, Soroka had a better ERA in the four games (4.64 vs 8.55).
Zac Gallen vs Jose Quintana. In their last four games, they each have one quality start. The difference is that Quintana had a better ERA in those four games (3.37 vs 7.08).
Ryne Nelson vs Tanner Gordon. Looking at only their last four games, Nelson had the better ERA (2.73 vs 6.06). On the other hand, Gordon had higher strikeouts per batter faced (24.6% vs 21.3%). Although Gordon may strikeout more batters, I’m expecting Nelson to allow less earned runs.