Wednesday Rockpile: The optimistic improvement of the 2026 Colorado Rockies

DENVER, CO - SEPTEMBER 1: Colorado Rockies players, from left, center fielder Jake McCarthy (31), left fielder Mickey Moniak (22), center fielder Cole Carrigg (16), and shortstop Ryan Ritter (8) celebrate the win after a game between the Baltimore Orioles and the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on September 1, 2026 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

During the 2024 and 2025 seasons, it seemed like the Colorado Rockies were finding ways to make the record books in the worst ways imaginable every day. It was so frequent that I took it upon myself to try to chronicle those records and statistics, compiling them into articles to cap off the 2024 and 2025 seasons.

I entered 2026 expecting to do the same thing, preparing a document that the Purple Row crew and I could add to throughout the year. To my joyous surprise, I won’t be writing that dubious history article again. Despite the Rockies becoming the first team since the 1965 New York Mets to have four consecutive 100-loss seasons, there wasn’t a lot of notable historical failings for the club. Instead of being historically awful, they were mostly just bad in 2026, which is a milestone in its own right.

Rather than dig through the weeds to find more reasons to point the finger at how far this team has to go, let’s look at the improvement for the club that inspires some inkling of hope for the future.

The record

I know it seems asinine to celebrate the fact that a team lost only 104 games, but considering that the Rockies lost 119 a year ago, that 15-game improvement feels remarkable.

Remember how they didn’t have 10 wins until June 2 last season? Well, the 2026 club managed to secure the 10th win on April 22. The 2025 squad’s 43rd and final win didn’t come until September 21, during their final home game of the season. The 2026 team secured their 43rd win on July 31 and were up to 45 wins at the end of a three-game sweep of the Kansas City Royals on August 2.

The separation of a few weeks between when the 2025 squad lost their 100th game (Game No. 139) and when the 2026 team lost their 100th (Game No. 157) shows a team that made some steady improvement. The fact that it was a real possibility in the middle of August that the team could avoid 100 losses made the collapse through the end of the season all the more painful.

Considering where the team started coming into the year, 104 losses is still some positive momentum, even if it’s ugly to look at.

Offensive improvement

The majority of improvements for the 2026 season are thanks to the offense. While still flawed in ways, the Rockies batters made a massive leap forward under Brett Pill and Jordan Pacheco.

In 2025, the Rockies offense was the worst in franchise history. Compared to the rest of baseball, Colorado ranked:

  • 23rd in AVG (.237)
  • 30th in OBP (.293)
  • 24th in SLG (.386)
  • 29th in runs scored (597)
  • 25th in HR (160)
  • 29th in K% (25.9%)
  • 30th in BB% (6.7%)
  • 30th in wRC+ (75)
  • 30th in fWAR (-3.0)

Across the board, the Rockies were not a good offensive team last season. So, the emphasis of the new front office and coaching staff was to boost production and approach at the plate through a new philosophy and personnel.

The results ended up speaking for themselves. At the end of the 2026 season, the Rockies ranked:

  • 4th in AVG (.254)
  • 7th in OBP (.322)
  • 5th in SLG (.417)
  • 7th in runs scored (752)
  • 19th in HR (180)
  • 21st in K% (22.8%)
  • 27th in BB% (8.1%)
  • 29th in wRC+ (91)
  • 30th in fWAR (8.0)

In the basic counting stats, the Rockies saw such incredible improvement. Instead of being a bottom feeder in most every single category, they managed to put the ball in play more and get on base. It helped by having an influx of talent for the season and a better overall lineup.

The team still strikes out too much and walks too little, but the fact that they were able to get back toward the league average in both of those categories is an important step forward for the club. The Rockies were at their best when they were able to draw walks and get base hits to drive in runs.

They scored nearly 150 more runs in 2026 than they did last season. The run differential still wasn’t great at -192, but considering the Rockies had a historically bad -424 differential last season, that’s a promising improvement that could get better if the Rockies can get the entire offense working cohesively and more consistently.

Road warriors

Part of the significance for the offense was that they looked like a more competent team on the road. Despite the natural regression for the offense away from Coors Field, where there was much more offensive output, the road offense was actually one of the best for the franchise since 2002.

The Rockies batted .237 on the road this season, which actually ranked 11th for the franchise since the introduction of the humidor at Coors Field, with the .704 OPS ranking sixth. In 2025, the Rockies had a .203 AVG and .589 OPS, which was by far one of, if not the worst, road offenses in team history.

The key factor was that they managed to score more runs on the road. Their 346 road runs ranked 21st in baseball this season but ranked third for the club since 2002 and most since they scored 340 road runs in 2009. If the pitching had been better, there is no doubt that the Rockies could have won more than 25 games on the road this season.

Bits and pieces of the pitching

Pitching, particularly starting pitching, was the major flaw of the Rockies in the 2026 season, a theme that carries throughout team history. The rotation was truly awful this season and took a nosedive over the final two months. However, there are some inklings of positive notes from the pitching staff this season.

The offense did a lot of heavy lifting to improve the 2026 Rockies, but the bullpen held its own for most of the season. The Rockies pitching staff had a league-worst 5.59 ERA, but the relievers had a 4.80 ERA, which ranked 27th in baseball. Compared to the 5.18 ERA for the bullpen in 2025, that’s a steady improvement with room for more growth, especially with the infusion of some young arms like Mark Manfredi and Nick Frasso.

The Rockies also proved that struggling arms could find new life in the bullpen. Chase Dollander found a groove starting the year as a bulk reliever out of the bullpen before carrying over into the rotation. Antonio Senzatela was one of the best relievers in baseball to start the season after struggling so long in his career as a starter. Ryan Feltner found a new gear coming out of the bullpen to end the season as a bulk reliever. Jordan Romano reestablished his ability to be a high-leverage reliever worthy of closer opportunities.

While he faded down the stretch, Tomoyuki Sugano (菅野 智之) brought a stabilizing, reliable veteran presence to the rotation and recorded 12 wins in the year, the most for a starter since 2021. There were plenty of lessons to be learned from top to bottom for the pitching staff.

Something that shouldn’t be overlooked is that the Rockies made incremental progress in walks allowed. An 8.7% rate in 2025 improved slightly to 8.3% in 2026, which isn’t much, but it’s enough to take the Rockies from 11th-highest to 21st-highest.

If the Rockies could improve their ability to miss bats and start getting more strikeouts across the board, it would certainly help complement the slight improvement in walks allowed.

A long way to go

Ultimately, it’s clear the Rockies have a long way to go. However, they are trending in the right direction in some areas. The offense has a clearer identity and a group of players capable of doing good things. TJ Rumfield and Cole Carrigg, along with Kyle Karros, headlined a group of young hitters that can make a big impact. You had experienced players like Jake McCarthy and Willi Castro put together extraordinary bounce-back seasons. You had the explosive power of Hunter Goodman and Mickey Moniak (when he’s healthy).

2026 mostly boiled down to finding an offensive baseline that works. There is plenty of work to do to take the next step offensively, but you can see the path forward.

The pitching is another story. The franchise has to find a way to build a pitching pipeline, complemented by better acquisitions. We saw hints of what a competitive rotation can do for the club back in April, but things quickly went off the rails. Adjustments and recalculations will have to be made, and new experiments need to be conducted, but you can see potential in the arms and what could be if things start clicking.

Either way, 2026 was a step in the right direction and, if nothing else, gave me hope that things can get better.


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Yankees Birthday of the Day: Johnny Allen

NEW YORK - MAY 17, 1932. The starting pitching staff of the New York Yankees pose in the dugout on May 17, 1932. They are (L-R) Johnny Allen, George Pipgras, Red Ruffing, and Lefty Gomez. (Photo by Mark Rucker/Transcendental Graphics, Getty Images) | Getty Images

Sometimes it is easy to forget that professional athletes are human. They all have lives outside of their jerseys and had a journey to get to the biggest stage. Some players’ paths to the majors stand out from others. Johnny Allen has one of those stories that feels too human to be a professional athlete, much less a World Series champion.

John Thomas Allen
Born: September 30, 1904 (Lenoir, NC)
Died: March 29, 1959 (St. Petersberg, FL)
Yankees Tenure: 1932-1935

The first part of Allen’s life was less than ideal, as his father passed away suddenly while he was still a young child. Facing hard times, Allen’s mom had to make the tough decision to send him and some of his siblings to an orphanage. Allen would grow up in that orphanage. When he was a teen, he lost some of his toes when a shotgun accidentally fired into his foot. However, while at the orphanage, Allen started playing baseball.

After graduating from Thomasville High School in North Carolina, Allen took a job and went to work in Sanford. As a young adult, Allen started playing baseball again and quickly made a name for himself on the local scene as a fiery and dominant pitcher. It took a few years, but Yankees scouts would eventually find and sign Allen in 1929.

The Yankees sent Allen to Jersey City for the 1930 season. The 25-year-old went 12-16 with a 3.98 ERA at the Double-A level. Then, in 1931, Allen split time with Jersey City and Toronto and went a very impressive 21-9. That performance earned him a spring training invite.

Allen broke spring training with the Yankees for the 1932 season. In his rookie year, at the young age of 27, Allen would go 17-4 with a 3.70 ERA in 192 innings. The Yankees faced the Cubs in the World Series, the same one that featured Babe Ruth’s famous “Called Shot.” Allen started Game 4 of the series but only got two outs and gave up three runs. Despite his rough outing, the Yankees were able to come back in the finale and complete the sweep. The 1932 World Series featured a record number of future Hall of Famers, including 13 players, both managers (Joe McCarthy for the Yankees and Rogers Hornsby for the Cubs), and even an umpire in Bill Klem.

In his sophomore season, Allen remained primarily in the starting rotation but had a bit of a sophomore slump, seeing his ERA rise to 4.39 and his record slip to 15-7. The Yankees finished the season in second place and out of the postseason. Allen went into the offseason feeling like he deserved more innings and money from the Yankees. He finally agreed to a contract after a long holdout.

The holdout was left to sour in the mind of ownership as Allen was plagued by injuries in 1934. Limited to only 13 games, Allen posted a 5-2 record with a 2.89 ERA across 71.2 innings. The team missed out on the playoffs again despite a 94-60 record.

1935 saw Allen bounce back in a big way. He went 13-6 in 23 starts and was able to log 67.0 innings with a 3.61 ERA. He led the American League in allowing the fewest hits per nine innings at an 8.0 clip and strikeouts per nine innings with 6.1. However, after constant clashes and outbursts, including destroying furniture after bad games, the Yankees decided they had had enough of Allen. Despite being 50-19 in pinstripes, the Yankees dealt Allen to Cleveland for Monte Pearson and Steve Sundra.

Although Pearson turned out to be a heckuva find, Allen did enjoy the best years of his career in Cleveland from 1936 to 1941 following his trade from New York. His tenure by Lake Erie was highlighted by a historic 1937 season in which he pitched to a 15-1 record, a then-record for the highest single-season winning percentage at .938. Allen would be named Major League Player of the Year by The Sporting News. In the Land, Allen compiled a stellar 67-34 record with a 3.65 ERA and earned his sole All-Star selection in 1938.

After his time in Cleveland, the remainder of Allen’s playing career became a journey. In December 1941, the front office traded him to the St. Louis Browns, where he went 18-7 with a 3.21 ERA over two seasons. In 1943, the Brooklyn Dodgers purchased his contract, transitioning Allen to the National League for the first time. He spent two and a half seasons in Brooklyn’s bullpen.

The Dodgers traded Allen to the New York Giants in July 1944 for pitchers Bill Sayles and Andy Karl. Allen closed out his 13-year Major League career with the Giants in 1945. When he retired, Allen hung ’em up with a lifetime 142-75 record, a 3.75 ERA, and a reputation as one of the fiercest competitors of his era.

After his playing days ended, Allen ended up working his way up the ranks as a minor league umpire. He additionally worked in real estate and as an automobile tag inspector. Allen was inducted into the North Carolina Sports Hall of Fame, posthumously, in 1977.

Happy birthday, Johnny!


See more of the “Yankees Birthday of the Day” series here.

MLB Wild Card Round day 2: Open Thread

SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA - SEPTEMBER 28: A detailed view of signage on the field during National League Wild Card Series workouts by the San Diego Padres and the Chicago Cubs at Petco Park on September 28, 2026 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Orlando Ramirez/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Postseason baseball is back, and unfortunately the Detroit Tigers aren’t part of it. For some, that really kills the interest level, and I get it. On the other hand, sports are amplified by the bright lights of the playoffs and World Series, and there is little better than postseason baseball in my opinion. So, pick a team or just see whose bandwagon you feel like jumping on along the way. Even without the Tigers, it’s going to be a really fun month of baseball, and potentially instructive in regard to the challenges facing the Tigers to get back to the playoffs.

All four Wild Card series are best-of-three, with the two top teams in each league waiting for their divisional round opponents. The home team stays the home team for the whole series, and there are no off days in an effort get to the full rounds without putting the top teams on the shelf for more than a few days.

Here are the times for Game 2 of each series, all of which are being broadcast through Peacock. If necessary, Game 3 schedules will be announced as required to take advantage of prime time. I never minded the old all-or-nothing Wild Card games, but it is fun that every series becomes win or go home for one team after the first game. We’ll see which of Tuesday’s winners can close it out today.

2:00 p.m. ET Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves

5:00 p.m. ET Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros

8:00 p.m. ET Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees

10:00 p.m. ET Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres

The Phillies looked to have Game 1 of their series under control, but the Braves wouldn’t go away. Austin Riley launched a three-run shot off of closer Jhoan Duran in the eighth inning to seize a two-run lead and held on to win.

Both teams went with a bullpen game in this one, as White Sox pitching shut down the Astros and kept Yordan Alvarez in check. The White Sox’s offense cashed in some early runs and then added on after Houston threatened to get back into the game in the middle innings.

Cam Schlittler, the presumed AL Cy Young award winner, was pretty masterful for the Yankees as he shut down Boston over 6.1 scoreless frames with 10 punchouts. The Yankees built an early lead against lefty Peyton Tolle, but the game was close until they got to the Red Sox bullpen late and pulled away with a 9-0 victory.

Finally, the Padres lit up former Tigers’ lefty Matt Boyd while right-hander Michael King took a no-hitter into the seventh before it was broken up. The Cubs bullpen couldn’t contain the damage as the Padres poured it on to win 8-0 in Game 1 at Petco Park.

Maple Leafs Lineup Changes: Bo Groulx Enters Lineup Against Islanders But Scratch Remains A Mystery

After the Toronto Maple Leafs' 3-2 loss to the Montreal Canadiens on Tuesday, they are back at it with the second half of a back-to-back against the New York Islanders on Wednesday.

Following an optional morning skate at Scotiabank Arena, head coach Jim Hiller revealed that Bo Groulx will be making his season debut for the Maple Leafs against the Islanders. However, he wouldn't reveal who would be coming in for the 26-year-old.

Groulx was one of the two Maple Leafs who skated in the morning, along with defenseman Nick Blankenburg, who will be an extra for the second straight game.

Last season, Groulx played 13 games for Toronto in the NHL. He scored three goals and five points in that span, making a name for himself on the main roster.

The majority of his time last season was spent in the AHL with the Toronto Marlies. He had a great season in the American League, notching 28 goals and 52 points in 59 appearances. He added eight goals and 14 points in 23 Calder Cup playoff games, helping his team win the title.

Unfamiliar Teammates, Darren Raddysh Turnovers, And Other Takeaways From Maple Leafs' Season Opener Against CanadiensUnfamiliar Teammates, Darren Raddysh Turnovers, And Other Takeaways From Maple Leafs' Season Opener Against CanadiensDropping the season opener to the Montreal Canadiens on Tuesday, here are the biggest takeaways from the Toronto Maple Leafs' 3-2 defeat to kick off 2026-27.

The other change for the Maple Leafs against the Islanders will be in the crease. On the second night of a back-to-back, Anthony Stolarz will be the starting goaltender, after Sergei Bobrovsky was between the pipes on Tuesday.

Bobrovsky ended the loss to Montreal, stopping 21 of 24 shots on goal, earning a .875 save percentage.

Stolarz registered an .893 SP and a 3.28 goals-against average in 26 games last season. The year before that, he recorded a .926 SP and a 2.14 GAA in 34 appearances for Toronto.

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Two Celtics players forming close bond as training camp kicks off

BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS - SEPTEMBER 28: Payton Pritchard #11 and Mike Conley #45 of the Boston Celtics pose for photos during Boston Celtics Media Day at Auerbach Center on September 28, 2026 in Boston, Massachusetts. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images) | Getty Images

BOSTON — At the start of Celtics practice, Payton Pritchard and Mike Conley dribble up the court in tandem. They share a laugh, and then Conley motions Pritchard toward the basket so they can begin another session of work together.

On paper, Pritchard and Conley have plenty of similarities: both are undersized, 6’1 point guards. Both are crafty scorers who rely on their footwork over their athleticism. Both are consistent three-point shooters (Conley has shot 38.7% from beyond the arc in his career; Pritchard has shot 39.4%).

But they’re at completely different points in their careers, and both are leaning into it.

Pritchard, who is 28 years old, is smack in the middle of his athletic prime and fresh off his best-ever season, in which he averaged career-highs of 17 points and 5.2 assists per game.

Conley is a decade older than Pritchard; he’ll be turning 39 next month. And he’s in the twilight years of his illustrious basketball journey; last year, he came off the bench for the very first time, averaging 4.5 points per game in 18.4 minutes. Seasons and rotations are unpredictable, but the expectation is that he’ll play a more limited on-court role again in Boston this year.

Still, the two undersized point guards are working closely together at Celtics training camp. And they’ve hit it off off the court, too.

“I love him as a person,” Pritchard said. “Great human being.”

Pritchard is excited for the chance to work with someone who’s had so much sustained success throughout his career; Conley is impressed by Pritchard’s indefatigable work ethic and unwavering desire to learn.

“Payton’s a menace, man,” Conley said. “He’s an absolute crazy person when it comes to trying to improve his game. I’ve been impressed with just the awareness to ask questions. He’s constantly asking, like, ‘What is your thought process with this? How do you break this down? I’m not as good at this, but I want to be good at that.’”

The two have worked closely together over the past couple of weeks. They have different scoring styles, but also similar limitations; both guards are listed at 6’1 and have relied on their craftiness to carve out successful NBA careers.

Pritchard is hell-bent on extracting as much knowledge from the longtime Minnesota Timberwolves guard.

“Tremendous career and player,” Pritchard said of Conley. “And just so many things he does well: passing the ball, [he] gets in the paint. Now, he shoots more floaters than I would; I’m more of a pull-up jumper, we talk about that. But just the way he sees the game, he’s somebody [that] when I get on the bench or outside the game, just seeing what he sees and picking his brain.”

Luka Garza knows Conley and what he brings to the table from a mentorship standpoint particularly well. Garza and Conley were teammates on the Timberwolves for three seasons and now reunite in Boston after one year apart.

“He’s the best,” Garza said. “He’s able to connect with every guy on the team. He has just a rare skill, but also just is the same, man. Every day, he shows up with a consistent, positive energy.”

Conley knows that’s one of his biggest value-adds to the Celtics: “My best thing is being able to connect with the guys; being able to share my experiences and help guys in real time, be another coach on the floor, be another coach on the bench.”

Pritchard thinks he’ll benefit a lot playing alongside such an accomplished point guard; Conley was an All-Star in 2021 and averaged double-digit points for a whopping 18 consecutive seasons, establishing himself as a model of consistency with the Memphis Grizzlies (2007-2019), Utah Jazz (2019-2023), and Timberwolves (2023-2026).

“I can really benefit — he’s somebody I looked up to, and somebody I hope, at the end of my career, if I can have a similar type of career and have as much success as he has, then that’s a very successful career,” Pritchard said. “So, I listen to everything he says.”

Conley, meanwhile, has been very impressed with Pritchard’s desire to pick his brain.

“[He’s] really shown that humility, shown that he’s willing to grow and be a better player,” he said. “But I mean, he’s got everything in his game, all the tools, his ball handling, his ability to score at his size, the strength, his balance. He’s gonna have a big year.”

Canadiens: Anderson Must Be Signed To A New Contract, But It Can’t Be A Big One

One thing was made abundantly clear in the Montreal Canadiens’ first game of the season against the Toronto Maple Leafs: Josh Anderson plays an important role on the team. It wasn’t just that he scored the goal that let the Habs tie it up in the first frame; he was absolutely flying out there, determined to make an impact. If anyone doubted he deserved an alternate captaincy after Brendan Gallagher’s departure, those doubts should have been eased. On Monday night, he was a general leading his troops into battle.

Granted, one good game doesn’t make a season, but Anderson picked up right where he left off in the playoffs with gritty, physical play. The winger landed four hits, more than anyone else on the team. Watching him play, Jeff Gorton’s words from the third episode of the rebuild came back to me: “This is why we’ll never trade Andy.” The executive said that in a game against the Boston Bruins, when the big winger set the tone by dropping the gloves early against Tanner Jeannot. The Habs eventually won that December 23 game 6-2.

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As things stand, the power forward is in the final year of a 7-year deal with a $5.5 million cap hit. When Marc Bergevin signed him to that deal, he hoped Anderson would be a 30-goal-per-year scorer; that didn’t happen. Early in his contract, and during the rebuild, there were rumblings that he should be moved; his name was in a lot of rumors, and he absolutely hated being asked about the possibility. He was clear about his intentions back in 2022:

We’re in a tough situation right now, but I think that we have the right people to make this thing work. I love it here in Montreal; I signed a long-term deal for a reason: to stay in Montreal and to win here. So, I’m obviously very excited about that, and like I said, I think we have the right people to make that happen.
- Anderson back in 2022

Even though he never became the offensive producer the team hoped for, he became one of the few players on the roster to provide the all-important sandpaper. Who else would have dared to drop the gloves against Tom Wilson in the 2025 playoffs? It gave us one of the most memorable moments of that postseason, with the tussle ending up on the Washington Capitals' bench between two periods.

For all those reasons, Anderson needs to stay, but the Canadiens must find a way to fit him into his rightful place in the Habs’ salary structure. The salary cap may be going up, and the Canadiens are in an enviable position from that standpoint, but they have to stay there. Kent Hughes just signed Alex Newhook to a four-year contract extension with a $5.55 million cap hit. Last season, the Newfoundlander put up 25 points in 42 games, and if he stays healthy, he’ll be counted on for around 50 points.

As for Anderson, he put up 23 points in 72 games last year. The organization knows what he brings, and his ceiling is clear. He won’t be a massive offensive contributor, but he’ll contribute in other ways. At the end of June, the Anaheim Ducks gave tough guy AJ Greer, who put up 32 points and 113 penalty minutes, a four-year contract with a $4.25 cap hit; that’s a strong comparable for the rugged forward. Term-wise, four years may be a bit much for the 32-year-old; a two- or three-year contract would probably be the right fit. Given that every Hab has bought into the notion that they need to take less money for the good of the team, Anderson will likely do the same. A $4 million AAV would be ideal, given the salary cap is still rising, and it feels like that will soon be the average earned by bottom-six players.

Does he have to be signed right away? Probably not, but he’d likely want to put the uncertainty behind him and play hockey, though being made alternate captain permanently shows the organization is committed to him and values what he brings.


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Roundtable: Which NBA team rises up? Who falls?

INDIANAPOLIS, IN - SEPTEMBER 28: (EDITORS NOTE: This image was created using a Kaleidoscope lens.) Tyrese Haliburton #0 of the Indiana Pacers poses for a portrait during NBA media day on September 28, 2026 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Zach Barron/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

We’re looking more broadly for today’s roundtable, since there’s just not much interesting happening with our Dallas Mavericks. Name one team who will outperform compared to last year and one team who might tumble down the standings.

Brian: It’s going be difficult to settle on one team to rise up the standings from last year to this one, given the season for optimism. I believe in the Grizzlies, Jazz and, to a much lesser degree, the Mavericks to make big strides in 2026-27. A combination of internal development, roster changes both in the draft and free agency, and a much-needed coaching change in Dallas should propel them all from where they ended last year.

A lot of teams at the top of last year’s Western Conference standings shored up weaknesses and/or doubled down on strengths. One team in last year’s play-in picture seemed to not do much of either. That team is the Golden State Warriors, and they should be terrified that they are going to stink in what could be Stephen Curry’s last year in his prime. They struck out in the LeBron sweepstakes this summer, are snakebitten by injuries even before the starting line between Butler and Moody, and have an average age somewhere around the 30 that Steph dons every night. Things are looking a bit bleak for the blue and gold. On the bright side, they’ll benefit from the play of wily vet-I mean, newly drafted rookie- Yaxel Lendeborg.

David: The Indiana Pacers are due for a massive bounce back. With Tyrese Haliburton returning, they’re going to look competent on offense, and year two of Ivica Zubac at center should be a lot better.  On the flip side, I think Houston is in for a wake-up call this year. Their roster is weird and clunky, and Durant is not getting younger. I think they have a season that makes them make a choice about the direction of their future.

Dalton: Call it a homer take if you must, but so long as Cooper Flagg stays healthy and Kyrie Irving plays at least 50-ish games, I think the Mavs could nearly double their win total from last year. For better or worse, I’m officially predicting 50-32. I think Dusty May’s style of offense will make Mavs fans happy.

I agree with Bryan on the Warriors. They remind me so much of the Mavs in Dirk’s twilight years. Big fish hunting every summer, in pretty much all the rumors, but ultimately nothing to show for it. And like Dirk, Steph is too loyal to leave despite all of that. Given that the Warriors’ peak was much higher than the Mavs’, winning four titles, the end of Steph’s career kinda gives me Chris Kaman PTSD. I think Golden State finally falls all the way off this year.

Ben: The Pacers will be much improved if Haliburton is healthy all year. They won 19 games and if they get back to being just an average team, that’s an improvement of more than 20 wins. That’ll be huge.

I don’t see any obvious candidates for a huge regression anywhere, so I’m gonna go out on a limb just on a hunch: the Spurs will have a season from hell. I don’t know exactly what’ll go wrong, and they’re too talented to have a huge drop-off, but I’m thinking they’ll have about 10 wins less than the 62 they finished with last year. If they win 67, well, then I’ll say this was all reverse psychology to make them more motivated.

Tyler: The Pacers are the correct answer. But, let’s get nuts for a second. Many of the most improved teams in the league this year will be all the teams who are positioning themselves for the draft. Because Adam Silver has made a mockery of the NBA lottery, you no longer can be plain bad and get the first pick, you’ve gotta be in the Chicago Bulls zone to have the best chance. Of that group, give me the Brooklyn Nets to actually be most improved. They have a great coach in Jordi Fernandez, a roster of, well, stat stuffing veterans who will be looking to get numbers, and they don’t have incentive to be awful! They’ll poke around and be sneaky competitive.

As for the regression candidates, I’m thinking the Detroit Pistons. I love Cade Cunningham just as much as anyone (shout out DFW high school hoops!), but the vibes around Detroit with the whole Jalen Duren situation just seem bad. Plus, some of the turnover on that roster has me asking questions. They won’t come close to the 60-win threshold of last year’s team.

Kirk: I agree with Dalton here. It’s not a normal zone for me, being positive about the Dallas Mavericks, but here we are. I suspect at least a 10 win improvement for the guys.

On the other side of things, I believe the Detroit Pistons are going to collapse somewhat. This Duren non-signing is the sort of thing which can poison a team, even if it’s a fight between him and management. The Pistons spam that pick and roll action and he’s at the center of it. The Pistons are also right not to pay him what he wants. Detroit’s superpower last year was playing harder than everyone else and I don’t think they bring that same fire.

Cavs season preview: Jaylon Tyson – Is there more to uncover?

CLEVELAND, OH - SEPTEMBER 28: Jaylon Tyson #20 of the Cleveland Cavaliers poses for a portrait during NBA media day on September 28, 2026 at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland, Ohio. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Lauren Leigh Bacho/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

Jaylon Tyson was one of the only things going right for the Cleveland Cavaliers at the start of last season.

Everything that could go wrong for Cleveland was trending that way. Darius Garland lost a toe. De’Andre Hunter lost his mind. And Lonzo Ball lost… everything.

The perfect 15-0 record that Cleveland had to begin the previous season had turned into a 15-11 start that made everything feel like it was on the brink of disaster.

Tyson was their lifeline.

His sophomore breakout kept them afloat and provided a beacon of hope. He was a nightly energizer who paired hustle with elite three-point shooting. Without his timely performances, last season might have been DOA.

But as the year went on, Tyson’s impact faded.

Inexperience and mental errors led to him falling out of the rotation. The goodwill Tyson built at the start of the season wasn’t enough to keep him on the court during their run to the Eastern Conference Finals. He looked out of place.

Entering year three, Tyson will need to carry forward the early success from last season while identifying what went wrong near the end. Let’s break down how that can happen.

Last Year’s Leap

Tyson nailed the most important checkpoint in his development last season.

He went from being a questionable shooter — to one of the best role players in the league. Tyson improved his rookie numbers by 11%, finishing in the league’s 98th percentile for three-point shooting.

Adding a legit outside shot to his game made all the difference for Tyson.

He was able to slot comfortably into any lineup and provide the type of floor-spacing that flourishes in today’s NBA. Tyson not only buried 45% of his attempts from the corner, but matched that efficiency from above the break, as well. This made him the all-around off-ball threat he needs to be.

Other strengths from Tyson’s sophomore season included his ability to pass and create out of short-roll. This made his pairing with Donovan Mitchell and James Harden seamless, and gave Tyson an outlet to still be a creator even if he isn’t initiating the play himself.

Finally, Tyson proved he can impact winning on the margins. He molded himself into being a scrappy, physical defender who could disrupt opponents whenever he wasn’t veering too hard into foul trouble (more on that later). His hustle puts him over the top when everything is going as planned.

The foundations of a true 3-and-D wing were laid during Tyson’s sophomore season. Getting there requires sustaining this growth and polishing the rest of his game.

Where to Improve

The Cavs are counting on Tyson to maintain his presence as a shooter. This was the skeleton key that unlocked everything else for him.

But even if he shoots the same percentage next season, Tyson still has room to increase his volume.

Tyson was in the 38th percentile for three-point frequency last season. That’s too low for a player who was drilling 45% of his attempts. The good news is, Tyson can afford to sacrifice some of that efficiency in favor of more volume. He shot so well last season that even a modest regression would keep him above league average.

Expanding his game should be the goal. Tyson can be quicker to pull the trigger and more adept at creating for himself. A pull-up jumper or downhill drive would go a long way to making him a three-level scoring threat.

As for defense, Tyson needs to stay focused.

He led the Cavs in fouls last season and constantly put himself into trouble by overreacting or being too physical away from the ball. There’s value in pushing the line on physicality. But knowing when to reel it in is a skill that hopefully comes with experience.

Tyson has the tools to be a good defender. He’s a strong, passable athlete who isn’t afraid of anyone. He just needs to understand that less is sometimes more. Being in the right spot at the right time is more valuable than sprinting to recover a blown rotation.

Conclusion

Tyson has a strong future even if he maxes out as the player he was last season.

He’s a quality floor spacer who can occasionally handle the ball and will play hard as hell on defense. He might frustrate you with a bad foul or a blown rotation — but at least you know his heart is in it.

Still, a stagnation in Tyson’s development would feel frustrating. He’s so close to being one of the league’s premier role players.

A small bump in any aspect of his development would get him there. Whether it’s a more refined approach to defense or slightly expanding his offensive game, Tyson is knocking on the door of being the type of player every NBA team needs.

Ex-Lakers star D’Angelo Russell leaves NBA for surprising China opportunity

An image collage containing 2 images, Image 1 shows Los Angeles Lakers guard D'Angelo Russell dribbles the ball on the court, Image 2 shows Los Angeles Lakers player D'Angelo Russell grabs his head in frustration during a game against the Washington Wizards

D’Angelo Russell is taking his talents to China.

News broke on Wednesday that the 30-year-old former Los Angeles Lakers guard signed a deal with the Shanghai Sharks of the Chinese Basketball Association. This comes after he was released by the Memphis Grizzlies earlier in September.

The Lakers selected Russell with the No. 2 overall pick of the 2015 NBA Draft. He never quite lived up to the hype in Los Angeles in his first two seasons, flashing occasional glimpses of greatness that never translated to consistent production.

Los Angeles Lakers guard D’Angelo Russell (1) moves the ball up court against the Golden State Warriors during the first half in game three of the 2023 NBA playoffs at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on May 6, 2023. USA TODAY Sports via Reuters Con

Russell was then traded to the Brooklyn Nets before the 2017-18 season and went on to find some success over the next several seasons with Brooklyn, the Golden State Warriors, and the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Lakers brought Russell back to Los Angeles as part of a massive three-team blockbuster trade in February 2023, which involved former lakers guard Russell Westbrook being traded to the Utah Jazz.

The former Ohio State standout fared better in this second tenure in Los Angeles, including scoring 18 points per game in the 2023-24 season.

Russell’s most infamous moment came off the court, though. In 2016, he secretly recorded his Lakers teammate, Nick Young, essentially admitting to cheating on his then-girlfriend Izzy Agalea. This caused a severe breach of trust that Russell never recovered from.

Him going to China might mean Russell’s NBA days are over.

Brooklyn Nets guard D’Angelo Russell reacts in the first half of a game against the Boston Celtics at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, N.Y., Saturday, March 15, 2025. Corey Sipkin for the NY POST
Los Angeles Lakers guard D’Angelo Russell reacts during the fourth quarter of a game against the Washington Wizards at Staples Center in Los Angeles, Tuesday, March 28, 2017. The Wizards won 119-108. USA Today Sports

Brady House took a step forward in 2026 for the Nationals but the best is yet to come

DETROIT, MI - SEPTEMBER 23: Brady House #12 of the Washington Nationals bats during the game between the Washington Nationals and the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on Wednesday, September 23, 2026 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Zack Belsky/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

In the next edition of my player grading series, I wanted to talk about a player I have been thinking about quite a bit these past couple of days. Brady House did not have a full scale breakout in 2026, but he took a substantial leap forward. He made serious improvements and has put himself in position to fully break out in 2027.

Heading into the season, there was cautious optimism around House, especially after a monster Spring Training. However, he did really struggle in his first taste of big league action. In 2025, House hit just .234 with a .574 OPS in 73 games. He showed his whiff and chase issues, while also not displaying the power that made him a top prospect.

That put a lot of pressure on House entering 2026. He needed to take a step forward in order to maintain a spot in the Nats future. The best way to describe House’s season is that he held serve. He did not become a star, but he did enough to keep his spot as the third baseman entering next season.

A theme of House’s career is that he gets a little bit better every year without taking a massive jump. That happened again this year. Rather than getting overwhelmed in the big leagues, House held his own. On the season, House hit .247 with a .710 OPS, which is solid but not mindblowing by any means.

There was one area where House was elite though, and that was hitting left handed pitching. On the year, House hit .350 with a .975 OPS against southpaws. He has established a floor as a platoon masher with great tools. Moving forward, he will have to show more against right handed pitching though.

House got protected against righties, but he still got ample opportunities. In 220 AB’s against righties, House hit just .200 with a .586 OPS. Whenever Blake Butera talks about House, he emphasizes that the approach against righties is something that needs to improve.

However, Butera has also said that the 23 year old is just scratching the surface of his potential. This is an idea that I buy into as well. You can see the talent with House, he just needs more consistency.

One thing that stands out to me is House’s batted ball data. His xwOBA, xBA, xSLG, average exit velocity, barrel rate and hard hit rate all rank at least in the 63rd percentile. House actually underperformed his xwOBA by 20 points this season, showing there is more in the tank.

Despite not having great chase or whiff numbers, House makes enough hard contact to make up for that. He also found a way to cut that chase rate by over 2% compared to 2025. This new found discipline helped House’s walk rate go from 2.9% to 8.2%. 

Honestly, you can divide House’s season into two parts. After making the team and starting the first six weeks, House was sent down to AAA, where he played 50 games. Before he got sent down, House was hitting .227 with a .681 OPS. That was an improvement on 2025, but still left plenty to be desired. He hit for more power, but still struck out a lot.

In the minors, House was able to work on some things. He hit over .300 in Rochester and was able to develop. House actually hit for the cycle in one game down on the farm. He did his thing and waited for his next shot.

After Curtis Mead got traded, House got that opportunity and was rock solid. He hit .268 with a .738 OPS in the second half. House only hit three home runs, but he was driving the ball from gap to gap. He posted a 104 wRC+ and only struck out 23% of the time. 

With 10 home runs on the year, House made strides towards tapping into his impressive raw power. However, I still think there is a lot more to come. While a lot of Nats were pulling and elevating the ball more, House’s GB rate and air pull percentage stayed stable. Hopefully that is an element of his game that will improve in 2027.

If House can elevate more consistently, there is every reason to believe he can be a 25 home run bat. As we saw with that moonshot against Eury Perez, when House gets a hold of a baseball, it flies out of the stadium. The key will be getting to that A swing on a more consistent basis.

Like a lot of his offensive game, House got better against fastballs in 2026, but still could use further improvement. We saw with that swing against Perez, he can time up the heater. House just cannot do it every time right now.

Honestly, the most disappointing part of House’s game in 2026 was his defense. After grading out as a positive defender in 2025, House posted -4 outs above average this year. It was particularly ugly at the beginning of the season. In fact, his defensive struggles were a big reason he got sent down.

To his credit, I thought House’s defense looked a lot better once he came back. There were not as many errors and the routine plays became routine. House has all the tools to be an above average defender, and I think that will happen in time.

Overall, this was a solid but not spectacular season for House. He posted 0.6 fWAR and 0.7 bWAR. That is a step in the right direction, but he has not made it quite yet. With how he finished the season, I have faith in House to make further improvements.

Given his slow but steady progression as a pro, I think House will establish himself as a solid but not spectacular starter in 2027. My expectation is a .740 to .750 OPS with 20-22 homers and around 2-2.5 WAR. House will not get a super high grade, but he had a solid season. As the saying goes, C’s get degrees and I think Brady House had a C+ season.

Season Grade: C+

Murphy at catcher while others shift around in Braves lineup

The Atlanta Braves offense has been hot and cold all season long. This has led to multiple shifts in not only which players are in the lineup, but also where they hit in the lineup. This makes sense because if it is not working, there is not reason to keep it the same.

In the game yesterday the Braves were able to score five runs and had opportunity to score even more based on the fact that they were able to produce more base runners than some may have assumed they would based on the pitching matchup.

Today the Braves are taking a similar approach that was sometimes deployed in the regular season of constructing a lineup based on the starting pitcher.

In today’s lineup the only player difference is that Sean Murphy will be in and Mike Yastrzemski is out, but there has been a massive shift where the players are hitting in the lineup. We see Ronald Acuña move up to leadoff, Ozzie Albies shift from sixth to third, Matt Olson shifts down to fourth, Austin Riley shifts from seventh to sixth, and the biggest one is Michael Harris shifting from fifth to seventh.

This shifts may seem odd at first, but the Braves have a decent sample size against Cristopher Sánchez and the lineup seems to be constructed based on that. Ronald Acuña has a 1.000 OPS against him in sixteen ABs, Ozzie Albies has a .500 average and 1.193 OPS in eighteen ABs, and Austin Riley has a 1.104 OPS in fifteen ABs. This would explain some of the shifting. On the flip side of the coin, Michael Harris has a .321 OPS against Sánchez in fifteen ABs.

This is the point where analytical teams are likely in the ear of the manager, and this lineup is set to get to Sánchez the best way they can.

The Phillies were bound to have a different lineup since Sale is a LHP and Mahle is a RHP.

This is indeed the case as Brandon Marsh and Justin Crawford will both be getting the start today. Tyler Mahle faced the Phillies twice already this month and held them to only one run over thirteen innings while only walking one and inducing twenty-three ground balls.

On paper the Braves have the edge, but this is playoff baseball where anything can happen. The Braves lead MLB in wRC+ in the ninth inning and are in the top eight in the eighth inning. If they can get to the bullpen early, it could be the X factor.

First pitch is at 2:00 EDT.

Braves vs. Phillies LIVE updates: Lineups, predictions for NL wild card Game 2

The Philadelphia Phillies have their backs to the wall as they take on the Atlanta Braves in Game 2 of their National League wild card playoff series this afternoon.

The Phils saw a 3-2 lead disappear in one swing of Austin Riley's bat in the series opener yesterday, as the Braves rallied for a 5-3 victory that put them on the verge of advancing to the NL division series.

Needing a win to stay alive, the Phillies' season now hinges on the left arm of Cristopher Sanchez (18-7, 2.91 ERA), who led the National League in wins and was the NL's starting pitcher in the All-Star Game.

He'll be opposed by right-hander Tyler Mahle (7-10, 3.99 ERA), who went 4-1 with a 1.99 ERA in nine starts for the Braves after they acquired him from the San Francisco Giants at the trade deadline.

USA TODAY Sports will follow all the action with updates and analysis.

Phillies vs Braves box score

Where to watch Phillies vs Braves today

  • Game time: 2 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: NBC
  • Live stream: Peacock

Stream Phillies vs Braves on Peacock

MLB payrolls

01:32 PM ET, September 30 2026

While eight of MLB's final 12 teams are in the top 10 end-of-season payrolls, based on figures from the MLB Labor Relations Department and obtained by USA TODAY, the remaining four are among baseball’s lowest spenders.

That includes the teams with the best records in each league, the Milwaukee Brewers and the Tampa Bay Rays. The Brewers’ payroll entering the postseason is $143.5 million, good for 19th in MLB. The Rays’ $98.3 million total is No. 25.

USA TODAY Sports' Jared Beilby takes a closer look.

Austin Riley homer wins Game 1

01:22 PM ET, September 30 2026

Austin Riley had the worst season of his career: .219 average, .654 OPS and 201 strikeouts. His postseason history isn't much better. He entered Tuesday hitting .232 in 36 playoff games.

That was all forgiven with one swing Tuesday. Riley hit a three-run homer off Jhoan Duran to give the Braves a two-run lead heading into the ninth.

Is Zack Wheeler available for Phillies?

12:41 PM ET, September 30 2026

Don't count on it.

Braves lineup vs Phillies

12:29 PM ET, September 30 2026

Philadelphia will be throwing left-handed ace Cristopher Sanchez.

Phillies lineup vs Braves

12:22 PM ET, September 30 2026

Atlanta will be throwing right-handed starter Tyler Mahle.

The Phillies changed their batting order to have the right-handed bat of Alec Bohm to break up the run of lefties Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper and Bryson Stott. Bohm moves up from fifth to the cleanup spot.

Phillies vs Braves predictions and odds

12:05 PM ET, September 30 2026

See our staff's complete predictions for the wild-card round:

  • Bob Nightengale: Braves in 3
  • Gabe Lacques: Braves in 2
  • Jesse Yomtov: Phillies in 2

Odds courtesy of BetMGM as of Wednesday, Sept. 30 at 11:52 a.m. ET:

  • Phillies -1.5 (+150), Braves +1.5 (-185)
  • Moneyline: Phillies -118, Braves -102
  • Over/under: 7.0 runs

Phillies vs Braves starting pitchers

11:49 AM ET, September 30 2026
  • Phillies — Cristopher Sanchez: 18-7 with a 2.91 ERA in 33 starts; 231 strikeouts in 207 innings pitched
  • Braves — Tyler Mahle: 7-10 with a 3.99 ERA in 27 starts; 137 strikeouts in 149 innings pitched

Phillies vs Braves wild-card schedule

11:20 AM ET, September 30 2026

Wild card series at Truist Park in Atlanta. Game 3 time subject to change.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Braves vs. Phillies LIVE updates: Lineups, predictions for NL wild card Game 2

Our editors independently choose our recommendations. Some content is produced with paid support from a third party, however our editorial decisions remain independent. If you buy through our links, the USA TODAY Network may earn a commission. Prices and availability may change.

Game Preview: Avalanche Open Season With Kings Rematch

DENVER — The wait is over.

The Avalanche are back at Ball Arena, the Stanley Cup is still the goal, and their first opponent of the new season just happens to be the team they swept out of the playoffs four months ago.

Colorado opens its 31st season in Denver on Wednesday night against the Los Angeles Kings, giving the Avalanche a chance to start a new season in a building that should be buzzing from the opening faceoff.

And there’s no shortage of familiar faces or interesting storylines.

Nathan MacKinnon is coming off a 53-goal, 127-point season and has continued to produce against Los Angeles. He has two goals and five assists in his last four regular-season games against the Kings, along with four points in Colorado’s four-game playoff sweep.

Cale Makar is fresh off signing an eight-year, $163.2 million extension to remain in Colorado. He has one goal and five assists in his last four regular-season games against Los Angeles and scored once in each of Games 3 and 4 of last season’s playoff series.

Then there’s Martin Necas.

Necas opened last season’s matchup against the Kings by firing a wicked wrist shot past Darcy Kuemper for the first goal of Colorado’s 4-1 win. He scored twice that night and finished with four goals and four assists in seven games against Los Angeles when combining the regular season and playoffs.

So, yes, there are plenty of reasons to be excited about seeing this group back on the ice.

But the Kings have some players Colorado will have to keep an eye on, too.

Adrian Kempe led Los Angeles in goals, assists and points last season, finishing with 36 goals and 73 points. He had three assists in the three regular-season meetings against Colorado before adding a goal and two assists in the playoff series.

Quinton Byfield finished second on the Kings with 24 goals and 49 points. He was held without a point in the regular-season meetings with Colorado but picked up two assists in the playoffs.

Alex Laferriere scored 21 goals and finished with 44 points last season. He also failed to register a point against Colorado during the regular season, but found another gear in the playoffs with four assists.

Colorado managed to keep Byfield and Laferriere quiet during the regular season. The Avalanche will get an early look Wednesday at whether that trend continues.

The goaltending matchup could be another interesting part of the night.

Mackenzie Blackwood, who is expected to start for Colorado, has a 5-3-2 career record against the Kings with a 2.12 goals-against average and a .930 save percentage.

Scott Wedgewood has been even better statistically. He is 6-2-0 in eight career games against Los Angeles with a 2.00 goals-against average and a .933 save percentage.

Wedgewood also played a big role the last time these teams met. He stopped 24 of 25 shots in Game 4 as Colorado completed the sweep, finishing the series with a .950 save percentage.

Los Angeles has a familiar option of its own.

Anton Forsberg appears likely to be part of the Kings' crease rotation after putting together a strong 2025-26 season. He started all four games of the playoff series against Colorado and was arguably Los Angeles' best player in the matchup.

Darcy Kuemper is also back, although the Kings' goaltending situation remained unsettled coming out of training camp. Kuemper struggled after returning from a midseason injury last year, while Forsberg emerged as the team's postseason starter.

There’s a pretty good Colorado connection as well. 

Forsberg won the Calder Cup with Jared Bednar and the Lake Erie Monsters in 2016. Kuemper, meanwhile, was part of the Avalanche team that won the Stanley Cup in 2022.

And Bednar signed a four-year contract extension Wednesday morning, keeping him behind the Colorado bench through the 2030-31 season.

Tonight will also mark the highly anticipated NHL debut of T.J. Hughes, the former University of Michigan standout who has been one of Colorado’s most impressive players throughout training camp. Hughes capped his preseason with a four-point performance in Saturday’s 5-2 win over the Winnipeg Jets at Ball Arena, scoring a hat trick in the process.

The Avalanche and Kings have plenty of history, but that doesn't matter now. The playoff series is over, the slate is clean, and the Avalanche are back.

The Kings get the first crack at them — again.

Image

2026 Cubs Playoff Heroes and Goats: Seiya Suzuki is the Superhero vs. the Padres

This is the kind of thing I was talking about down the stretch. I felt the Cubs wouldn’t be backed down or awed by the situation. This is an experienced club. At the end of the day, this didn’t come down to injured pitchers or one eyed third basemen. It didn’t come down to one team scuffling a bit or another one that is on a major role. It came down to exactly one scenario. The Cubs needed to have a pitcher good enough to shove for seven innings against a good offensive team. They needed one because the Padres had one.

With the stuff that modern pitchers have, when they are clicking on all cylinders and not making any mistakes, it is very difficult to get anything going. For what it was worth, their hitters did have patience. They drew three walks from Michael King, who was pumping the strike zone with frisbees. When you see a hitter who is among the best in the game and in a good groove himself like Alex Bregman flailing with half swings at where the ball maybe used to be, it’s not hard to understand how mystifying King was. You definitely hat tip to him.

Is there some chance that maybe if Cub pitching were matching zeroes that he’d have at least broken a sweat? Sure. It was unfortunate that the Padres ambushed Cub starter Matthew Boyd and jumped on him instantly. A hat tip to the Padre scouting department. They had a plan as a team and they executed it. They’d clearly prepared for Boyd. They swung early and often and as was noted on the broadcast, they were able to recognize balls and strikes and only swing at the strikes. They were amazingly prepared.

That was about as unfortunate a game as you could possibly get in a short series. Not only did you lose and make the Padres feel even more confident about their game planning, you didn’t force them to use any significant reliever. They have a fully stocked bullpen that was already known to be lethal. In the short history of these three game Wild Card series, the team that has won the first game has won almost every series. I have no doubt that will level off at a lower level than it’s at so far, but it is the simple math of the format. One win gives you so many advantages in the series. Given that you had to give the Padres the edge in the first place (home field, better record, better pitching), you’d have to make them overwhelming favorites to advance at this point.

Again, the Cubs won’t back down. If Game 2 unfolds more like an ordinary game, the Cubs will be in the fight. But the Cubs were always a good, not great team. This is a tough assignment if this team is going to hold off the offseason.

Turn the page. Slow the game down. Do what you do. Hope it is enough.

Three Positives:

  • Nico Hoerner had two of the three Cub hits.
  • Seiya Suzuki had the other hit and drew a walk.
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong had a walk and stole a base. What almost was, he came very close to robbing that first homer. One wonders if it would have shifted the energy at all.

Wild Card Game 1, September 29: Padres 8, Cubs 0

Reminder: Heroes and Goats are determined by WPA scores and are in no way subjective.

THREE HEROES:

  • Superhero: Seiya Suzuki (.083). 1-3, BB
  • Hero/Sidekick: Michael Conforto/Jacob Webb (.000). Conforto: 0-1; Webb: 1.1 IP, 5 BF, 2 H

THREE GOATS:

  • Billy Goat: Matthew Boyd (-.203). 4 IP, 17 BF, 5 H, BB, 4 R, 4 K (L 0-1)
  • Goat: Ian Happ (-.074). 0-3, BB
  • Kid: Pedro Ramirez (-.057). 0-4

WPA Play of the Game: Fernando Tatis Jr. homered on the first pitch in the bottom of the first. (.105)

Cubs Play of the Game: Seiya Suzuki reached on a throwing error by Xander Bogaerts and was awarded second leading off the second inning. (.062)

Note: 18 of the 75 WPA events recorded for this game were recorded at .000.

Cubs Player of the Game:

Up Next: Game 2 in San Diego will see Kevin Gausman for the Cubs. Kevin was 9-12 with a 4.51 in the regular season. He did have a 4-2 record as a Cub, but also posted a 4.83 ERA and had the Cub longball problem, allowing 11 homers in only 50.1 innings. It’s obvious the Cubs need to add more talent to their pitching staff in 2027. It’s even more obvious that they need to examine everything in their training and medical department to determine if any amount of their injury woes could have been prevented or lessened. But also, the Cubs need to look at if there is a further issue with some of their approach. Gausman is an exhibit of a pitcher with a long track record who allowed almost as many homers with the Cubs (11) as with the Blue Jays (15), despite throwing more than 70 percent of his innings with the Jays.

Nick Pivetta (3-2, 2.86) starts for the Padres. Pivetta missed most of this year with a right elbow injury. The 33-year-old righty was excellent when healthy. He made four starts in September, throwing a total of 18.2 innings and allowing three runs on 15 hits. He struck out 18 and walked two. He got up to 87 pitches in his last start and that’s usually the threshold where a pitcher is pretty much good to go. I imagine if he is in a groove, they’d let him approach 100 pitches. And with a fully loaded bullpen and blood in the water, if he struggles at all, I imagine they’ll happily try to steal a game with their bullpen. I have no doubt the Padres could run this game as a bullpen game and still be able to bring their key guys back again for game three.

I thought Gausman should have started that first game. I have to wonder about his health after that diving play he made in his last game. Hopefully the Cub bats can get in the fight. It’s still since July 30 that the Cubs won a game without hitting a homer. Teams that hit more homers tend to win games. Teams that don’t score any runs continue to lose every time. So it’s now or never.

Ex-Red Sox Xander Bogaerts, Jordan Hicks, and more got in the playoff action yesterday

SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA - SEPTEMBER 29: Xander Bogaerts #2 of the San Diego Padres celebrates after hitting a solo home run against the Chicago Cubs during the fourth inning in game one of the National League Wild Card Series at Petco Park on September 29, 2026 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Orlando Ramirez/Getty Images) | Getty Images

In case you didn’t know, there were three other games played yesterday besides the one in which the Red Sox offense laid an egg against Cam Schlittler while the team wasted its most electric pitcher. I’m of course talking about the start of the NHL season!

I kid, I kid, but in all seriousness, there were plenty of big moments to choose from in Tuesday’s action around the league. Let’s take a look.

Braves 5, Phillies 3 (BOX SCORE)

Even with the results of Tuesday’s game, I am very glad the Red Sox-Yankees rivalry has the prestige to garner an 8:00 first pitch so I can be safely out of work when the game’s on. I definitely did not have the radio on listening to Phillies-Braves at 2:00 on a Tuesday afternoon. Anyone else who definitely didn’t may have missed Austin Riley’s three-run home run turn a 3-2 game on its absolute head. The Phillies pitching staff, led by starter Jesus Luzardo, cruised through seven innings and Jhoan Duran was easily navigating through the Braves lineup – until he wasn’t and ran into Michael Harris II who started the rally. Chris Sale had the no decision in this one but he looked great in 6 1/3 innings, striking out nine even with the three runs allowed.

White Sox 6, Astros 3 (BOX SCORE)

Jordan Hicks and David Sandlin, partners in the “get Jordan Hicks off my baseball team” trade, both provided valuable outings in relief as the White Sox pulled ahead against the Astros. Hicks got the decision win! Even another ex-Red Sox, Sean Newcomb, got in on the action (though he allowed two runs.) The two-run home run Newcomb allowed, though, was the only extra-base hit the White Sox would allow on the night. It’s so funny looking at the White Sox lineup and recognizing so many former Red Sox, but it’s good to see some experiencing playoff action, as well.

Padres 8, Cubs 0 (BOX SCORE)

Pete Crow-Armstrong is the surefire NL MVP. The Cubs lineup on Tuesday, though, was punchless, and the wind was taken from them very early this game. How early? How about the first two batters both taking Matthew Boyd deep? After Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado each put a ball in the seats, Michael King, working with a lead, was electric. He took a no-hitter into the seventh. He benefitted from another former Red Sox player in Xander Boegarts hitting a home run. The Padres’ bullpen would complete the shutout with Joe Musgrove, once one of the best emerging pitchers in the game, returning from a lengthy Tommy John recovery, which was a super cool moment for anyone still awake at 1 in the morning. This was a shellacking, but unlike the game at Yankee Stadium, it was never remotely close, not even for a minute.