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After sweeping yesterday's props, we're looking to run it back tonight.

I found two Miami Marlins bats that I think are set for a big night. I also see Orioles slugger Pete Alonso getting the evening started on the right foot.

Here are my three favorite MLB player props for August 4.

Best MLB player props today

Player	Pick	Odds
Pete Alonso	Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI	-144
Griffin Conine	Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI	+103
Owen Caissie	1+ hits	-154

Pete Alonso Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-144)

You like delicious trends?

What if I told you that, when rated elite on Batters-Box, Baltimore Orioles slugger Pete Alonso goes Over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBI 62% of the time? That's across 137 elite-rated games over the last three seasons.

Want more? In 58 elite-rated home games during that same span, he's gone Over this prop nearly 70% of the time.

Tonight, Alonso draws a mouthwatering matchup against Los Angeles Angels right-hander Grayson Rodriguez, who has been tormented by right-handed hitters this season. Across the last 60 right-handed batters he's faced, they've produced a 51.2% hard-hit rate, 19.5% barrel rate, and 68.3% elevation rate. They also own a .386 xBA, .778 xSLG, and .341 ISO during that stretch.

Alonso has also been scorching over his last 10 games, posting a .300 batting average, .318 xBA, 146 wRC+, and .617 SLG. During that span, he's generated a 62.5% hard-hit rate, 15.6% barrel rate, and 84.7% contact rate.

Backing one of the hottest bats in this Orioles lineup is a must tonight. I'd play this down to -150, or look for a boost.

• Time: 6:35 p.m. ET
• Where to watch: MASN, ABTV

Griffin Conine Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (+103)

It's another lovely day to back the son of "Mr. Marlin," Griffin Conine.

The Miami Marlins outfielder draws a great matchup against Atlanta Braves right-hander Grant Holmes. Not only does Conine carry an elite Batters-Box rating, but he also covers nearly 90% of Holmes' pitch mix.

Over his last 10 games, Conine has generated a 70% elevation rate, 60% hard-hit rate, and 15% barrel rate. During that span, he's also posted a 244 wRC+, .508 SLG, and .950 OPS.

Holmes, on the other hand, has struggled over his last three starts, recording a 5.52 ERA, 5.69 xERA, and 1.64 WHIP while allowing a 40% hard-hit rate and 14% barrel rate. The last 30 left-handed hitters he's faced have produced a .377 xBA, .661 xSLG, and .439 ISO.

I think Conine is in a great spot to go over his hits, runs, and RBI prop tonight. Don't pay juice for this one.

• Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
• Where to watch: BravesVsn, MIAM

Owen Caissie 1+ hits (-154)

We just need the bare minimum from Owen Caissie, who has been just as hot as Conine.

Over his last 60 at-bats against right-handed pitching, Caissie has generated a 53% hard-hit rate and a massive 26.5% barrel rate. On top of that, he's posted a .667 SLG, 1.000 OPS, and .389 ISO.

Caissie enters Tuesday with an elite Batters-Box rating while carrying 53.3% arsenal coverage against Grant Holmes. Even with the lower arsenal coverage, he still owns excellent expected numbers against Holmes' secondary offerings.

Against sliders and curveballs, Caissie has produced at least a .263 xBA while generating 50% hard contact.

Right-handed hitters have also been feasting against Holmes. Over the last 30 right-handed batters he's faced, they've generated a 40% hard-hit rate, 12% barrel rate, and 64% elevation rate. During that stretch, they've also posted a .319 xBA, .614 xSLG, and .362 xwOBA.

Through 14 elite Batters-Box ratings this season, Caissie has recorded at least one hit 64.29% of the time. I'd play this down to -160, but if you can find the same price on Over 0.5 hits, runs, and RBI, I'd rather go that route.

• Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
• Where to watch: BravesVsn, MIAM

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This week, Gabe and I talk about the Cardinals’ recent 3-7 stretch that the team has continued to endure out of the All-Star break; we also play everyone’s favorite game of “stay or go” with all of the primary names being discussed before Monday’s deadline; finally, we finish up with a destination for 1 Cardinals player and team match we’d like to see and 1 across the sport and team match.

We will visit with Jeff Jones of the Belleville News Democrat and potentially David Gasper of the Brewers’ daily podcast to talk about the deal that sent Dustin May and JoJo Romero to Milwaukee yesterday. We are also anticipating potential sit-downs with Cardinals Assistant GM Rob Cerfolio, Cardinals Broadcaster Stefan Carey, and St. Louis Post-Dispatch lead Cardinals beat writer Derrick Goold.

I apologize again for no transcript; I will get back to it next week. These last couple of weeks have been late-night, last-minute projects in order to keep up with the consistency of the show!

Spotify:

YouTube:

-Thanks for listening

Meet the Mets

The trade deadline came and went yesterday, and the Mets were very busy. After making additonal trades over the weekend, they completed their fire sale by shipping off Brooks Raley to the Phillies, Ben Rortvedt to the Dodgers, Luke Weaver to the Pirates, and Clay Holmes and Tyrone Taylor to the Cubs for five minor league players.

The Mets’ total haul from the deadline included thirteen players for eight departing players, nine of whom will now be in the Mets’ top 30 prospects.

“We added a tremendous amount of talent,” said David Stearns in a media availability immediately following the trade deadline yesterday afternoon. Stearns also said the Mets explored a strategy similar to the Blue Jays to add cost controlled starting pitching, but didn’t “line up” on prices.

“It’s the possibility of what he can do for us in the second half,” Stearns said of holding onto Luis Robert Jr.—the only player reportedly on the trading block who the Mets did not part with. “The understanding that there is a club option [$20 million], and the excitement of of still having here him here for the next two months of the season.”

John Harper of SNY gave the Mets a B- as an overall grade for their trade deadline, noting that scouts had a more favorable view of the Mets’ trades than prospect rankings alone might indicate, but criticizing David Stearns for not following in the Blue Jays’ steps by acquiring cost controlled starting pitching to signal a desire to compete in 2027.

Brooks Raley left the Mets with the second-lowest ERA in team history among pitchers with more than 100 appearances for the team.

“Although things didn’t work out as we all hoped, I want to thank the fans, my teammates, and the Mets organization for the love that they showed me. I want to wish everyone the best on their journey,” Freddy Peralta wrote in an Instagram post following his trade to the Rays.

Hudson Valley native Sammy Stafura, who the Mets acquired from the Pirates for Luke Weaver, grew up a huge Mets fan. “I’m ready to get after it, I am one of the biggest mets fans ever and will give the Mets everything I have,” he said. The Mets took on $2 million of Luke Weaver’s salary for this season and $6 million of next year’s salary to complete the deal.

Anthony DiComo of MLB.com provided more details about Jefferson Rojas, acquired from the Cubs for Clay Holmes and Tyrone Taylor, who now slots in as the Mets’ top prospect ahead of Jonah Tong, per MLB Pipeline.

With the departure of nearly a third of the team, the Mets made some promotions to fill out their now-depleted roster. Jefry Yan—he of the exuberant mound celebrations—was called up to the big leagues. Dedniel Núñez and Nate Lavender, who both spent time this season rehabbing injuries, were also recalled. To round out the new look pitching staff, Xzavion Curry was also brought back and Chayce McDermott, acquired from the Dodgers for Ben Rortvedt, will also be in the big league bullpen. To take Tyrone Taylor’s place on the position player side, Cristian Pache was called up.

Down on the farm, Mitch Voit was named Eastern League Player of the Week and MJ Melendez led the Syracuse Mets in home runs in July.

Around the National League East

Derek Hill hit a go-ahead grand slam in the seventh, as the Phillies bested the Nationals 6-3.

In addition to bolstering their bullpen by acquiring Raley from the Mets, the Phillies also added to their lineup by trading for Luis Arráez from the Giants.

The addition of Arraez means that the Phillies are shuffling their defensive alignment, which most notably includes Bryce Harper returning to the outfield.

Nolan Hoffman, who the Phillies designated for assignment, was acquired by the Royals for for minor league right-hander Manuel Colon and cash considerations.

The Braves added to their bullpen as well, acquiring left-handed reliever Brent Suter from the Angels for infielder Nacho Alvarez Jr. The Braves also made a couple of deals with other buyers, sending catcher Joey Bart to the White Sox for Duncan Davitt and Eli White to the Red Sox for Tyler Uberstine.

The Mets weren’t the only NL East team to deal a reliever to the Pirates. The Pirates got lefty Lake Bachar from the Marlins for three prospects. The Marlins were wheeling and dealing, acquiring Victor Vodnik from Rockies for Connor Norby and Aiden May. They also dealt Liam Hicks to the Rays for Brayden Taylor, Adrian Santana, and Jacob Kisting and traded reliever Braxton Garrett to the Cubs for minor league infielder Jonathon Long and minor league righty Jace Beck.

The whole NL East was part of the action at the deadline; the Washington Nationals traded All-Star pitcher Foster Griffin to the Guardians for a package of four players: lefties Will Dion and Josh Hartle, righty Kendeglys Virguez, and OF Nick Mitchell.

Around Major League Baseball

Predictably, there were a whole lot of trades yesterday around baseball. I will summarize many of them here, but you can check them all out with MLB.com’s handy tracker. And ESPN handed out grades for every trade.

The Angels received top shortstop prospect Arjun Nimmala, outfielder Eddie Micheletti and right-hander Angel Rivero from the Blue Jays for José Soriano. They also dealt Jo Adell to the Guardians for catching prospect Jacob Cozart and right-handed reliever Ryan Zeferjahn to the Cubs for catcher Moisés Ballesteros and righty Mason McGwire. At the buzzer, they sent veteran reliever Kirby Yates to the Pirates, completing Pittsburgh’s new look bullpen, in exchange for right-handed pitching prospect Kyle Robinson.

The Guardians also bolstered their lineup via a trade for Nathaniel Lowe from the Reds in exchange for pitching prospect Alejandro Rivera.

The Orioles were active sellers, trading three-time All-Star catcher Adley Rutschman to the division rival Red Sox for right-handed pitching prospects Anthony Eyanson and Kyson Witherspoon, outfielder Enddy Azocar, and catcher Carlos Narváez. They also dealt outfielder Taylor Ward to the Mariners for four players and reliever Tyler Wells to the Rays for righty Michael Forret.

The Blue Jays received infielder Josh Smith and righty Josh Stephan from the Rangers for left-hander Adam Macko and Spencer Arighetti from the Astros for Daulton Varsho, trying to lock in cost-controlled pitching to contend next year.

The Rockies traded Brenton Doyle to the White Sox for righty Mason Adams and infielder Carlos Vielma; the latter was a recent international signing by Chicago.

The Dodgers acquired Kris Bubic from the Royals for right-hander Carlos Duran.

The Giants dealt Robbie Ray to the Padres for shortstop Joniel Hernandez and righty Miguel Mendez. San Francisco also sent outfielder Heliot Ramos to the Yankees, providing the right-handed bat New York was seeking, in exchange for left-hander Henry Lalane and infielder Kaeden Kent. The latter is the son of newly-inducted Hall of Famer Jeff Kent.

The very busy Giants also dealt left-handed reliever Erik Miller to the also very active Red Sox for infielder Marcelo Mayer.

It wouldn’t be an MLB trade deadline without A.J. Preller doing A.J. Preller things. One of the last deals to be reported at the deadline was the Padres’ acquisition of Casey Mize and Gage Workman from the Tigers in exchange for Kash Mayfield and Jackson Wolf.

The Brewers got Dustin May and reliever Jo Jo Romero from the Cardinals in exchange for minor league outfielders Alexander Frías and Josiah Ragsdale. The Brewers also solidified their bullpen by obtaining Antonio Senzatela from the Colorado Rockies for left-hander Mark Manfredi and infielder Juan Martínez.

The Cardinals acquired left-handed reliever Caleb Ferguson in a trade with the Reds for $250,000 in international bonus space.

In an interesting non-trade, Jacob deGrom invoked his no-trade clause to block a deal by the Rangers, electing to stay in Texas.

Yesterday at Amazin’ Avenue

Lukas Vlahos provided breakdowns on the trade returns for A.J. Minter, Huascar Brazobán, Brooks Raley, and Luke Weaver.

Linus Lawrence broke up the deadline monotony with the latest edition of Monday Stat Party.

This Date in Mets History

Joel Youngblood made history by getting hits for two different teams in two different cities on this date in 1982.

Were they necessarily the Trade Deadline moves that fans wanted or even predicted? Not really; catcher is still a concern and the bullpen blew up last night’s stirring rally. Still, one can’t pin complete complacency on the Yankees front office, which, in the end, went out there and acquired multiple pieces to boost their playoff chances. The addition of Heliot Ramos, much like the one of Luis García Jr., was with an eye on the now and another one in the future. Instead of focusing on rental pieces, the Yankees added two controllable pieces to strengthen a lineup absolutely reeling amidst many key absences.

Unlike García, though, Ramos comes to the Yankees partially looking to recapture the production levels that saw him make the All-Star Game in his first full season back in 2024. This isn’t to say the current version of Ramos isn’t a productive player and wouldn’t represent an improvement for the Yankees in their current dire outfield situation. It’s just that, unlike García, who is peaking at the moment, there is more to Ramos than the league-average 100 wRC+ he has put up in 74 games this season.

First things first, let’s start with what we know. Ramos is a lefty killer, a fact that in and of itself makes him a valuable acquisition to this increasingly lefty-heavy lineup, particularly with no Aaron Judge for who knows how long at this point. Even in this 2026 campaign, which has seen his worst numbers with the bat, Ramos has an .835 OPS versus southpaws, somewhat in line with his career numbers in 386 games:

vs. RHP: .249/.305/.389
vs. LHP: .279/.345/.501

Supposing he maintains that, which there is no reason for us to think we wouldn’t, the balance of this lineup when healthy grows a bit, but it might not be enough to justify the deal. After all, Henry Lalane is a pretty appealing (if risky) prospect who the Yankees parted with as the headlining piece of the package going to San Francisco.

Now we move on to expectations of improvements and how Ramos might go about recuperating his better form. A bit of a free swinger by nature, Ramos has suffered in 2026 from an increased tendency to smash the ball on the ground, subutilizing his natural skill of hitting the ball hard consistently. Ramos’ 53.6-percent ground-ball rate this season is not only well above league average, but a drastic shift from the 43.3-percent and 44.4-percent marks he put up in the two previous campaigns. In terms of quality of contact, his hard-hit rate in the 85th percentile is as good as it’s ever been. Unsurprisingly, this seems to strictly be an issue versus righties.

As consistently as Ramos hits barrels, though, with a career average above 11 percent, he also sprays the ball to all fields, but even by his standards, a Pull AIR rate under nine percent is surprisingly low—only 10 of his 25 extra-base hits have come to the pull side. While that can be tweaked, even at his best, García was not a pull-heavy hitter, far from it. What he can’t keep doing is hitting the ball on the ground as often as it has.

Now addressing how Ramos fits into this roster, similarly to the García deal, the initial adjustment is rather simple, but further questions arise once this team gets healthier. First and foremost, entrusting left field in Yankee Stadium to a subpar defender isn’t the ideal move. Against left-handers, the risk-reward should pay off, but the production needs to be better versus right-handers to justify an everyday role before the injured starters return. In the meantime, look for Ramos to take plenty of at-bats in right field with Jasson Domínguez now demoted.

Obviously, you take any hitting improvements you can get right now. Although considering the club had already added García, who figures to eventually eat into a lot of DH at-bats, it’s easy to become concerned about the potential return of Judge, Bellinger, and company. Is the club planning for worse as a form of due diligence or because time has passed and the outlook hasn’t gotten more positive as we’d hoped? For all of these reasons, now, more than ever, though, the Yankees need these reinforcements to hit the ground running.

Giants 5, Rangers 1

• Well that was unpleasant.
• And there’s now a six game losing streak, which is especially unpleasant.
• Five errors allowed in the game.
• Five errors! Who does that?
• Well, the 2026 Texas Rangers, on trade deadline day, is the answer, it would appear.
• Cal Quantrill didn’t pitch badly. He pitched pretty well, in fact. He got a Quality Start.
• Quantrill gave up three runs, but only one was earned. That one was very earned, being a Jung Hoo Lee home run.
• Lee also homered off of Peyton Gray in the eighth. And he had a sacrifice fly off of Nolan Kingham, making his major league debut, in the ninth.
• But the two unearned runs came in the second, when the clown ball began, with Daniel Susac reaching on an E5 and then Brandon Nimmo turning a Drew Gilbert single into a triple (well, not technically a triple, it was a single and an E9, but you know what I mean), and then Osleivis Basabe hitting a sacrifice fly to score Gilbert.
• Hey, Osleivis Basabe! You remember him, right? He was part of the package sent to Tampa in the Nathaniel Lowe deal.
• He spent 31 games in the majors with the Rays in 2023, and has been in the minors since, until the Giants called him up last week.
• He’s got a 1274 OPS in five games for the Giants.
• Lowe was traded to the Guardians on deadline day, incidentally. He’s having a pretty good season as a platoon 1B/DH, slashing .286/.363/.522 against righthanders this season. He has all of two starts against lefty pitchers, and 25 plate appearances against lefties. He’s 2 for 24 against them with a walk. So yeah, best let him just face righthanders.
• You may be wondering why I’m dwelling on Osleivis Basabe and Nathaniel Lowe. The answer is, well, would you rather think about this game?
• The Rangers losing bums me out. Its less fun to write about the Rangers when they are playing badly than when they are playing well.
• The Rangers had all of seven hits on the day. That’s more than the Giants had, though. The Rangers also, as you probably guessed, had more errors than the Giants.
• I’m wondering if the Rangers have ever had a 1-7-5 box score line. Not enough to go dig around and spend the time to figure out the answer to the question, though.
• Over half of the Rangers hits were by Ezequiel Duran, who had an impressive 4 for 4 game, including a home run that kept the Rangers from being shut out.
• Having one player have more than half of your hits is generally not a good thing. For one, it means that your team probably didn’t have many hits, if one player who gets 4 or maybe 5 plate appearances in a game can have over half of them. For two, it means that you aren’t likely stringing hits together…it means your sequencing is off.
• At least the Astros lost.
• Cal Quantrill touched 95.1 mph with his sinker, averaging 93.5 mph, and hit 94.3 with his fastball, averaging 93.3 mph. Ben Peoples touched 96.9 mph with his fastball. Peyton Gray topped out at 92.6 mph with his fastball. Nolan Kingham’s fastball hit 96.6 mph.
• Ezequiel Duran’s home run was 110.2 mph. Evan Carter had a 104.3 mph groundout. Joc Pederson had a 101.1 mph single. Alejandro Osuna had a 1003. mph groundout. Corey Seager had a 100.2 mph groundout.
• Okay, let’s shake it off, hit re-set, start over. Bang the side a couple of times and see if that works.