Meet the Mets

It was good while it lasted. After winning two straight games, the Mets are back to their losing ways following a 4-3 loss to the Colorado Rockies last night. Freddy Peralta faltered late in the game, as he is wont to do, and the Mets failed to get enough clutch hits to overcome the deficit, as they are wont to do.

Choose your recap:Amazin’ Avenue, NY Post, MLB.com, Newsday, Daily News

Following an unremarkable start on Thursday night, the Mets optioned Christian Scott back to the minors and called up Carl Edwards Jr. to join the bullpen.

In case it wasn’t already clear, we won’t be seeing Francisco Lindor for quite a while.

David Stearns acknowledged the rough play of his team but expressed hope that they would turn it around.

It’s still early, but the questions continue to mount about this team.

The state of the starting rotation has been in flux for most of the season thus far, and that will likely continue.

Around the National League East

The Braves continue to roll and the Phillies continue to flounder, as Atlanta delivered the tenth straight loss to Philadelphia.

There’s not too much to be happy about in the Phillies clubhouse these days, but here is one positive: Zack Wheeler makes his return today.

The Marlins gave plenty of run support to Sandy Alcántara and defeated the Giants 9-4.

The Nationals pitching staff surrendered four runs in their final three of work and fell to the White Sox 5-4.

Around Major League Baseball

Stop me if you’ve heard this one before: Giancarlo Stanton is hurt.

The Blue Jays have removed Jeff Hoffman from the closer’s role for the moment.

Pirates rookie shortstop Konnor Griffin celebrated the end of his teen years with his first career home run.

The Cubs decided they were tired of beating up on underperforming NL East teams and defeated the Dodgers to bring their winning streak up to ten.

Eugenio Suárez will be missing some time due to an oblique strain.

Pete Crow-Armstrong previously played like an MVP candidate but has struggled for some time dating back to last year.

Yesterday at Amazin’ Avenue

Vasilis Drimalitis previewed the battle of giants that is this weekend’s series between Mets and Rockies.

Joe Sokolowski got to actually provide some post-win comments in the latest installment of This Week in Mets Quotes.

This Date in Mets History

David Wright became the all-time RBI leader in Mets history on this date in 2012.

Toledo Mud Hens 4, Omaha Storm Chasers (box)(F/5)

This one lasted just long enough as the Mud Hens seized the lead in the bottom of the fifth, and then the game became official as rain washed out the rest of the day.

Lael Lockhart Jr. was uncharacteristically wild in this one, walking four. He gave up a run in the third, and then two more in the fourth. Matt Seelinger cleaned up a little jam, and then Brenan Hanifee handled the top of the fifth.

So it was 3-0 headed into the bottom of the fourth. Jace Jung led off with a walk, and Eduardo Valencia launched his third homer of the year to make it a 3-2 game.

Hanifee immediately allowed a single and then a Josh Rojas double in the top of the fifth. A strikeout and a pair of ground outs got him out of the inning unscathed.

Ben Malgeri singled to open the bottom of the fifth, and by then the rain was really coming down and a half hour delay followed. It was still ominous when they resumed, but after Max Clark struck out, Gage Workman singled Malgeri to third. Workman stole second base, and the throw went into center field as Malgeri scampered home to tie the game, and the throw in from Drew Waters in center field also went awry as Workman roared around to score as well.

It wasn’t a walkoff, but it eventually functioned as one as the rain picked up again and the game was put into the books after five innings.

Malgeri: 2-3, R

Workman: 2-3, R, SB

Valencia: 1-2, R, 2 RBI, HR

Coming Up Next: It’s a 5:05 p.m. ET start on Saturday in Toledo as the Hens lead the series 3-1.

Binghamton Rumble Ponies 10, Erie SeaWolves 2 (box)

Dariel Fregio made his fourth start after getting promoted to Erie and converted to the rotation out of need. He was mauled for six runs as the Ponies ran roughshod over the SeaWolves on Friday.

The Ponies scored a run in each of the first three frames, two on solo shots, before the SeaWolves answered back in the fourth. Brett Callahan led off the top half with a walk and Chris Meyers singled. Andrew Jenkins reached on a fielders choice that forced Meyers at second, and Callahan scored on an Izaac Pacheco ground out.

Fregio gave up three straight singles in the bottom of the fourth, and Colin Fields had to take over. That did not work out as Fields allowed all three runs to score on two sac flies, and then a two-run homer from the Ponies’ A.J. Ewing. 7-1 Binghamton.

In the sixth, Peyton Graham was hit by a pitch and Callahan walked. Graham moved to third on a Meyers ground out and scored on a wild pitch. Otherwise it was a poor night for the offense.

Fields allowed two more runs in relief, and the Ponies added one against Eric Silva to complete the scoring. The SeaWolves only had two hits on the night.

Fregio (L, 0-1): 3.0 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, BB, 2 K

Fields: 2.0 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 2 K

Coming Up Next: The SeaWolves lead the series 3-1, with first pitch on Saturday set for 1:00 p.m. ET.

West Michigan Whitecaps 7, Lake County Captains 6 (box)

Rayner Castillo threw a great game, but the late innings got dicey until the Whitecaps stormed back to walk this one off in Comstock Park.

Castillo, our 25th ranked prospect in the offseason, had a down year in 2025 and has been up and down early on this year. The 21-year-old locked in on Friday night, two-hitting the Captains over five scoreless frames with five strikeouts.

The ‘Caps got on the board right away when Jackson Strong led off the bottom of the first with a single and scored on a Samuel Gil double. Nolan McCarthy launched a solo shot for his first with the Whitecaps in the fifth inning. Andrew Sojka followed him with a solid single to center and Clayton Campbell pumped an RBI double to center to make it a 3-0 lead.

Carlos Lequerica took over from Castillo with a snappy 1-2-3 sixth, but gave up a solo shot in the seventh. 3-1 ‘Caps.

Seth Chavez followed Lequerica, taking over in the eighth, and the Captains jumped all over him after the leadoff hitter reached on a Gil error from second base. They banged out five straight hits and a sac fly and it was a 6-3 Lake County lead with the smoke cleared.

Gil redeemed himself quickly by leading off the bottom half with a single, and Garrett Pennington made it count with a two-run blast that made it a 6-5 Lake County lead.

Lefty Ethan Sloan cleaned up the eighth and tossed a 1-2-3 top of the ninth. That was well as it set the Whitecaps up for the comeback. Campbell led off with a single and Hunter Dobbins reached on an error. Two fly outs followed, but Pennington got an 0-2 pitch on the outer edge and dumped it into right field for a two-run walkoff double. And the LMCU faithful rejoiced.

Pennington: 3-5, R, 4 RBI, 2B, HR, K, CS

McCarthy: 2-4, R, RBI, HR, K

Gil: 2-4, R, RBI, 2B, BB

Rainer: 1-4, 3 K

Castillo: 5.0 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 2 BB, 5 K

Coming Up Next: It’s a 2:00 p.m. ET start on Saturday with the series all tied up.

Tampa Tarpons 4, Lakeland Flying Tigers 3 (box)

Tampa rallied back to win on Friday, but I don’t care because RHP Kelvis Salcedo was back on the mound for his first start of the year.

The 20-year-old right hander broke out in a big way last summer, featuring huge stuff and advanced strike throwing. He had a minor meniscus clean up procedure this spring, so the Tigers started easing him back in with a two-inning outing in this one. Once he’s built up, Salcedo should be moving to West Michigan pretty quickly. He torched the Tarpons for two innings in this one, striking out five and allowing one single and a walk. His fourseamer was 94-95 mph, and he racked up plenty of whiffs on his slider in particular, getting 7 total whiffs on 15 Tarpon swings.

This is arguably the most exciting young pitcher in the system, at least of those who aren’t perpetually on the injured list. We’ll see.

Jordan Yost got the Flying Tigers started on Friday by leading off the bottom of the first with a deep drive to center field. He turned on the afterburners and raced around the bases for a triple off of lefty Justin West. Thayron Liranzo immediatley pulled a single to left for a 1-0 lead.

After the leadoff hitter reached on a Carson Rucker error to start the third, RHP Jose Guzman took over from Salcedo and did a nice job getting out of the inning, though most of the credit goes to Liranzo, who cut down the runner trying to steal third.

Zach MacDonald, one of the big stories early on this spring, crushed a 112.9 mph home run in the bottom of the third to make it 2-0. The 22-year-old outfielder now has six homers in 17 games and is showing off huge raw pop to go with his speed. He is still striking out a huge amount, however. Don’t get too excited. It’s just that center fielders with double plus raw don’t grow on trees.

Guzman was solid, while Charlie Christensen allowed a run in the top of the fifth. In the bottom half, Yost slapped a ground ball single the opposite way and advanced to third on a passed ball and a wild pitch. Liranzo lifted a fly ball to right field for a sac fly to make it 3-1.

After that it was all Tampa. Eliseo Mota gave up three runs, two earned in the late innings, and the Flying Tigers’ offense didn’t have an answer.

Yost: 2-4, 2 R, 3B, K

Liranzo: 1-3, 2 RBI

MacDonald: 1-4, R, RBI, HR, 3 K

Salcedo: 2.0 IP, 0 R, H, BB, 5 K

Coming Up Next: It’s a 6:00 p.m. ET start in Lakeland on Saturday.

The Atlanta Braves began the homestand on a high note and defeated the Philadelphia Phillies 5-3. For the first time in 19 years, the Braves have now won four straight over the Phillies to open a season. It was a solid night from both the lineup and the bullpen, but once again, Michael Harris II headlined the night with some later-inning heroics.

Though originally scratched from the lineup with quad tightness, he came to the plate as a pinch-hitter in the sixth inning and delivered a double to give the Braves the edge.

It was previously reported that Harris was day-to-day, but so far, that has not limited him from driving in runs for Atlanta. The Braves aim to ride this momentum and collect another series win tonight at 7:15 ET.

More Braves News:

Walt Weiss announced that though Raisel Iglesias has not started throwing yet, he is expected to return relatively soon. 

Isaiah Drake, Eric Hartman, and John Gil continue to be the heavy hitters for the Rome Emperors. More in the minor league recap.

MLB News:

The Cincinnati Reds will place DH Eugenio Suarez on the 10-day injured list due to a low-grade oblique strain. Fortunately, this injury does not appear to be overly serious.

From the Feed:

The Braves have already been successful in game one, so submit your picks on how many games the Braves win this series.

It’s more than fair to wonder whether Brayan Bello is on the verge of losing his spot in the starting rotation. Bello has been the Sox’ clear weak link, posting an ERA of exactly 9.00 after 5 starts this year. But with Sonny Gray and Johan Oviedo currently on the shelf, Alex Cora says Bello isn’t going anywhere, as the Red Sox plan to “stay the course.” That’s why, when Alex Cora pulled the unusual move of paying Bello a mound visit in the third inning last night, he didn’t remove him from the game but, rather, wanted him to improve his body language: “We’re here to compete, be prepared. We go out there and do our best. Regardless of the situation, you’ve got to keep competing and he actually did. I’ll give him that. But we’ve got to figure it out.” (Chris Cotillo, MassLive)

Speaking of staying the course, it doesn’t look like Caleb Durbin will be losing his job anytime soon, either, despite the fact that Durbin is the single-worst hitter by OPS in all of baseball right now. “I hate the comparison, but Dustin Pedroia was hitting .190 on May 15 in 2007,” Alex Cora said incorrectly, as Pedroia was actually .259 with an OPS over .700 on that date. “It’s still early in the season. There’s some trends that we like. He’s not chasing. Of course, he’s not hitting the ball hard — we know that — but he keeps working. He’s a good defender, too. We cannot forget that. Just got to keep playing.” (Peter Abraham, Boston Globe)

It’s not merely Bello and Durbin whom Cora is sticking by. The manager continues to believe in the roster at his disposal and is trying to block out the criticism: “You have to cancel the noise because it’s loud, very loud. Anywhere you look, they’re talking about us and how bad we are. Deservedly so. The record is the record. But I don’t think we have a bad team. We’re just going through a bad stretch.” (Chris Cotillo, MassLive)

At least they won’t have much time to dwell on last night’s lopsided loss in Baltimore. Due to bad weather expected in the mid-Atlantic, today’s game has been moved up from 4:05 PM to 12:05 PM (MLB)

But will Roman Anthony be back in the lineup for the earlier start? He is reportedly making progress with the sore back that has kept him out of the lineup for three straight games. “[He’s] feeling better, moving better,” said Cora. “Hopefully at one point during the weekend he plays. We’re not gonna rush it, but it was a better day for him.” (Ian Browne, MLB.com)

Anthony better get back into the lineup quickly, because this Red Sox season is beginning to be characterized by something even worse than bad baseball: fan apathy. (Rob Bradford, WEEI)

In what looked like it could be a laugher early, the Guardians were able to hold on for an 8-6 victory to open the series in Toronto, off the back of two 2-run home runs from Angel Martínez. It was Martínez’s first career multi-home run game.

The first inning started off with a bang, as Daniel Schneemann took Max Scherzer deep on the 8th pitch of the first at bat of the game. The Guardians weren’t done yet, though. After a José Ramírez walk and a Rhys Hoskins single, George Valera just missed a home run, as he hit a 2 run double off the very top of the high wall in right field, giving the Guardians a 3-0 lead. Then the very next hitter Angel Martínez took Scherzer deep, capping off a 5 run first inning.

Toronto was able to answer back in the bottom half. Nathan Lukes doubled off Gavin Williams to lead off the inning for Toronto, but he would leave with injury. (As of writing, the only available update was “left hamstring discomfort”.) The pinch runner Davis Schneider moved to 3rd on a sac fly and scored on a ground ball to short stop. Then with two outs and no one on base, Jesús Sánchez took The Big Rig deep, making it a 5-2 game. 

After a scoreless 2nd from the Guards, the Blue Jays were able to tack on one more on a solo shot from Kazuma Okamoto, closing the gap to just 2 runs. Then it was Angel Martínez to the rescue again. After falling behind 0-2, Martínez fouled off several pitches, working the count back to full. On the 11th pitch of the at bat, he took Scherzer deep again to right field for his second 2-run home run of the night. 

Gavin Williams was able to settle in after that, at one point retiring 11 Blue Jays in a row, before walking Davis Schneider in the 5th, who would go on to score on an Ernie Clement double. The Guards would tack on a big insurance run with an RBI fielder’s choice by Chase DeLauter, making it 8-4. The Jays would go on to score two more in the 6th on a bloop double by Andrés Giménez off Williams to bring the Jays closer at 8-6. Williams would get out of the inning though, and was done for the night. His final line was 6IP 6ER 7H 2BB 4K, and while not ideal from the pitcher most consider the Ace of this staff, he was able to keep the lead intact and get through 6 innings to help ease the load on the bullpen.

The Guardian’s bullpen then came in and got 6 hitters out in a row, with both Hunter Gaddis and Erik Sabrowski each throwing a 1-2-3 inning in the 7th and 8th respectively. After that, it was up to Cade Smith to close it out. It wasn’t without drama, as Okamoto led off the inning with a 112 mph laser beam high off the wall in left field, but a great play on the ball off the wall by Angel Martínez held Okamoto to a very long single. He was followed by known Guardian hater Andrés Giménez lining a single to RF, and it looked like the inning was set up perfectly for the Blue Jays. However, Cade Smith was able to get the pinch hitter Eloy Jiménez to hit a weak ground ball to José Ramírez, and the Guards defense got the very clutch 5-4-3 double play. Finally, with a runner on 3rd and 2 outs, Smith was able to get Schneider to pop out to second base to end the game and seal a series opening victory for the Guardians. 

The Guards will have a chance to take the series tomorrow afternoon, but they’ll have to take down Kevin Gausman, the Blue Jays Ace, to do it. It’ll be Joey Cantillo on the mound for Cleveland, with first pitch scheduled for 3:07pm.

Triple-A: Syracuse Mets (13-11)

SYRACUSE 3, WORCESTER 0 (BOX)

Three runs in the third were all the Mets needed in this one. Nick Morabito and Ji Hwan Bae drove basically all of the offense, compiling five hits and three walks atop the lineup. Meanwhile, six pitchers combined to shutout the Red Sox, including a perfect inning from the rehabbing A.J. Minter. Austin Warren also recorded two outs and has a 1.13 ERA on the season.

• CF Nick Morabito: 2-3, R, 2B, 2 BB, K, CS (1)
• LF Ji Hwan Bae: 3-4, R, RBI, BB, SB (5)
• RF Ryan Clifford: 0-4, RBI, K
• 1B Christian Arroyo: 1-3, RBI, BB, K
• 3B Vidal Bruján: 0-4
• DH Cristian Pache: 1-4
• SS Jackson Cluff: 0-3, BB, K
• C Hayden Senger: 0-4, 2 K
• 2B Yonny Hernández: 0-3, R, K
• RHP Daniel Duarte: 2.1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 3 K
• RHP Austin Warren: 0.2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 0 K, W (2-1)
• REHAB ALERT: LHP A.J. Minter: 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 0 K, H (2)
• RHP Dakota Hawkins: 3.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 4 K, H (1)
• RHP Dan Hammer: 0.2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 1 K, H (1)
• LHP Anderson Severino: 1.1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 0 K, S (3)

Double-A: Binghamton Rumble Ponies (7-11)

BINGHAMTON 10, ERIE 2 (BOX)

Four homers for the Rumble Ponies propelled them to a 10-2 win. A.J. Ewing launched a homer for the second consecutive day and now has an OPS over 1.000, and he sure looks the part of a top-end prospect. Chris Suero, Jose Ramos, and Nick Lorusso also went deep; Lorusso finished a triple shy of the cycle.

• 2B A.J. Ewing: 1-3, R, HR (2), 3 RBI, BB, E (3)
• C Chris Suero: 1-5, R, HR (4), RBI, K
• CF Eli Serrano III: 1-3, R, RBI
• LF Jose Ramos: 1-4, R, HR (3), 2 RBI, K
• DH Kevin Parada: 1-4, R, 2 K
• 3B Nick Lorusso: 3-4, 3 R, 2B, HR (2), RBI, K
• RF Matt Rudick: 1-3, R, BB, K
• SS Wyatt Young: 2-3, RBI
• 1B Vincent Perozo: 1-3, R, RBI, 2 K
• RHP Brendan Girton: 5.0 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 3 BB, 5 K, W (1-1)
• LHP Jefry Yan: 1.0 IP, 0 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 1 K
• RHP Saul Garcia: 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 2 K
• LHP Gabriel Rodriguez: 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 3 K
• RHP Ben Simon: 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 2 K

High-A: Brooklyn Cyclones (4-14)

HUDSON VALLEY 6, BROOKLYN 4 (BOX)

Despite a big day from Kevin Villavicencio, the Cyclones couldn’t rally back from an early deficit. Mitch Voit’s offense continues to be sluggish, and there’s not many other names of true note on the offensive side here. Hopefully there will be some reinforcement here down the line this season, but the current iteration of the team isn’t much fun.

• SS Mitch Voit: 1-4, K, SB (5)
• RF John Bay: 1-4, R, 2 K
• DH Daiverson Gutierrez: 0-4, K
• C Ronald Hernandez: 1-3, 2B, RBI, BB, K
• 3B Colin Houck: 0-4, 3 K
• 1B Yohairo Cuevas: 1-4, R, K, SB (2)
• 2B Kevin Villavicencio: 2-3, 2 R, HR (2), 2 RBI, BB, SB (2)
• LF Diego Mosquera: 0-4, 2 K
• CF Heriberto Rincon: 1-4, RBI, K
• RHP Irving Cota: 3.0 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 0 BB, 2 K, L (1-1)
• RHP Parker Carlson: 1.0 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 1 BB, 0 K
• RHP Garrett Stratton: 2.0 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 1 K
• RHP Hunter Hodges: 1.0 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 0 BB, 0 K
• RHP Felix Cepeda: 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 0 K

Single-A: St. Lucie Mets (9-10)

PALM BEACH 12, ST. LUCIE 4 (BOX)

Second straight ugly loss for the Mets to the visiting Cardinals. Ernesto Mercedes was the primary culprit, surrendering five runs while recording only a single out. Elian Peña continues to look real good though, so that’s something.

• SS Elian Peña: 1-3, R, 2B, 2 BB, 2 K, 2 SB (8)
• LF JT Benson: 1-4, R, 2B, BB
• RF Randy Guzman: 2-4, 2B, 2 RBI, 2 K
• 1B Julio Zayas: 0-4, 4 K, E (1)
• DH AJ Salgado: 2-4, R, HR (4), RBI
• 3B Sam Robertson: 0-4, 2 K
• CF Sam Biller: 2-4, R, 2B, K
• C Francisco Toledo: 0-4, 2 K
• 2B Vladi Gomez: 1-3, RBI, K
• RHP Cam Tilly: 4.0 IP, 5 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 1 BB, 4 K
• RHP Luke Jackson: 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 2 K
• RHP Ernesto Mercedes: 0.1 IP, 1 H, 5 R, 5 ER, 2 BB, 1 K, L (0-1)
• RHP Miguel Mejias: 0.2 IP, 2 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 1 BB, 2 K
• RHP Joe Scarborough: 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 2 K
• RHP Luis Alvarez: 1.2 IP, 1 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 2 BB, 2 K
• RHP Jorge De Leon: 0.1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 1 K

Rookie: FCL Mets (0-0)

NO GAME (SCHEDULE)

STAR OF THE NIGHT

Nick Morabito

GOAT OF THE NIGHT

Ernesto Mercedes

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Saturday’s MLB board is full of spots to attack — if you know where to look.

We’re locking in our top MLB picks and moneyline plays for Saturday, April 25, targeting pitching mismatches, fading overpriced favorites, and backing teams in strong form before the market fully adjusts.

MLB moneyline picks for April 25

Matchup	Pick
SEA vs STL	-138
CLE vs TOR	-133
BOS vs BAL	-113
MIA vs SF	-113
COL vs NYM	-186
MIN vs TB	+117
WSH vs CWS	+113
SD vs AZ	+100
ATH vs TEX	-133
LAA vs KC	-138
NYY vs HOU	-133
PIT vs MIL	+127
DET vs CIN	-104
PHI vs ATL	-127
CHC vs  LAD	-150

Prices courtesy of Polymarket as of 4-25.

Expert MLB moneyline picks for April 25

Mariners vs Cardinals: Mariners (-138)

Mariners win probability: 58%

Bryan Woo has been really solid to start the year, and that gives them a clear edge on the mound.

The Cardinals haven’t done enough offensively to scare you, and Liberatore tends to put guys on base, which can get him in trouble.

If Woo does his job, Seattle should be in control and win this one.

Guardians vs Blue Jays: Blue Jays (-133)

Blue Jays win probability: 57%

Kevin Gausman has been sharp and gives them the edge over Joey Cantillo, who’s been fine but not dominant.

The Jays are also hitting better right now, and Cleveland’s offense hasn’t done much to separate.

At home with the better arm, Toronto should take care of business.

Red Sox vs Orioles: Orioles (-113)

Orioles win probability: 53%

Garrett Crochet has been getting hit hard, and that’s a bad combo against an Orioles lineup with some pop.

Trevor Rogers isn’t perfect, but he’s been more stable, and Boston’s offense has been near the bottom.

Baltimore has the edge.

Marlins vs Giants: Giants (-113)

Giants win probability: 53%

Robbie Ray has been solid, and Miami’s offense drops off in this matchup.

The Marlins can hit, but Ray limits damage better than Pérez, and the Giants should do just enough at the plate.

This feels like a controlled, lower-scoring win for San Francisco.

Rockies vs Mets: Mets (-186)

Mets win probability: 65%

Not pretty, but New York has the edge.

Both starters have been bad, but Kodai Senga still has more upside than Quintana, and Colorado on the road is always a tough sell.

The Mets have the slightly safer path to outscore them.

Twins vs Rays: Twins (+117)

Twins win probability: 46%

Bailey Ober has been the more stable arm, and Tampa’s pitching hasn’t been as sharp as usual.

The Rays can hit, but Minnesota has been more consistent overall, especially at the plate.

If Ober holds things down, the Twins can get this done.

Nationals vs White Sox: Nationals (+113)

Nationals win probability: 47%

Neither team is great, but Washington’s lineup has been more productive, and Chicago’s pitching still gives up too much.

Jake Irvin isn’t perfect, but he’s facing an offense that hasn’t done much. Washington can outscore them here.

Padres vs Diamondbacks: Padres (+100)

Padres win probability: 50%

San Diego has been more reliable on the mound, and Arizona hasn’t done enough to earn trust.

Zac Gallen is solid, but the Padres' lineup can get to him, and their pitching does a better job limiting damage over nine innings.

Athletics vs Rangers: Rangers (-133)

Rangers win probability: 57%

Jeffrey Springs has been good, but Texas is the more complete team.

The Rangers' lineup is deeper, and they’ve been much better at preventing runs. 

Angels vs Royals: Angels (-138)

Angels win probability: 58%

Cole Ragans has struggled, putting too many runners on base, and that’s dangerous against a lineup with power.

Walbert Ureña isn’t dominant, but he should be steady enough. The Angels have the better path to control this game.

Yankees vs Astros: Yankees (-133)

Yankees win probability: 57%

Ryan Weathers has been solid, while Houston’s pitching has been a problem.

The Yankees' lineup is in a much better spot right now, and the Astros are giving up runs at a high rate.

That’s a tough combo to overcome.

Pirates vs Brewers: Pirates (+127)

Pirates win probability: 44%

Mitch Keller has been more reliable, and Pittsburgh’s lineup has shown a bit more pop.

Milwaukee can create pressure on the bases, but if Keller keeps things steady, the Pirates can grind out enough offense to win.

Phillies vs Braves: Braves (-127)

Braves win probability: 56%

Atlanta is rolling right now. The offense is producing, and Bryce Elder has been sharp, while Zack Wheeler hasn’t looked like himself. 

Philly isn’t hitting enough to keep pace.

Tigers vs Reds: Tigers (-104)

Tigers win probability: 51%

Detroit’s lineup has been more consistent, and while Jack Flaherty hasn’t been perfect, he’s still a step up from Brady Singer.

Cincinnati’s offense has been one of the weakest in the league.

Cubs vs Dodgers: Dodgers (-150)

Dodgers win probability: 60%

This is a strong matchup, but the Dodgers have the deeper lineup and a more complete team.

Even with some pitching questions, their offense can carry them at home.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.