It was a sucker punch.
All week, every national media pundit and baseball writer insisted the Phillies were “heavy favorites” to land free agent infielder Bo Bichette. All week, momentum was building. Meanwhile, negotiations continued. While nothing is ever certain until the dotted line is signed, it sure felt like Bichette was already wearing red and white pinstripes.
And then, a sucker punch to the gut.
After losing out on free agent outfielder Kyle Tucker to the Dodgers, the Mets pivoted and signed Bichette to a surprise, three-year, $126 million contract with an average annual value of $42 million a season. The deal includes opt outs and the end of every year, essentially giving Bichette the option of spending three years in New York with a $42 million AAV, or testing the market again, all by the time he turns 30.
The Phillies, it appears, made a legitimate, longer-term offer that the Bichette camp said it wanted.
After five days of negotiations, the Phils made the offer his camp wanted. Unfortunately, either because Dave Dombrowski and/or John Middleton dragged their feet, or because Bichette and his agent were using the Phillies and slow-playing the market until Tucker signed, New York swooped in and stole Bichette out from under their noses.
Now, not only did the Dodgers land the best free agent outfielder on the market this off-season, the Mets snagged the best infielder and a prime Phillies target, all within a span of less than 24 hours.
However it happened, Dave Dombrowski didn’t land the plane. The results are devastating.
Almost immediately after the Bichette-to-NY news, J.T. Realmuto reportedly agreed to a new contract with the Phillies. It likely was not a coincidence.
Realmuto and his agent had to be quietly smiling to himself somewhere saying, “Oh, I guess you guys need me now, don’t you?”
So, after showing it was willing to pony up $30 million a year over a seven year period for Bichette, is there anyone else the Phillies might give that money to?
The options aren’t great. Harrison Bader could return, especially if it’s just along the lines of a three-year, $45 million contract or something. Eugenio Suarez is a third baseman with a lot of pop (48 HRs, .228 AVG in ‘25), and outfielder Cody Bellinger, whose left-handed bat doesn’t feel like a great fit in this lineup and teams like the Yankees and Blue Jays likely still willing to give him a seven-year deal for too much money.
Not knowing exactly what happened during the negotiations, it’s difficult to make assumptions. But with each passing day a deal wasn’t consummated, and talking heads on TV telling us it almost certainly would, it sure feels in retrospect like Bichette’s agent was using the Phillies to get what he wanted elsewhere.
What does that say about the front office? I guess Don Mattingly, the new bench coach, couldn’t trump the money, huh?
One issue the Phils will have to come to grips with is opt-outs.
So, here we are. Unable to swing any creative trades or haul in Bichette in free agency, Dombrowski is going to run the same roster back again in 2026. The fanbase, understandably, is not excited. In fact, it’s fair to say Phillies fans are crushed by missing out on this player in a way I don’t remember them being for any other free agent over the last 10-15 years.
Dombrowski did a great job convincing John Middleton to spend more money than he planned. He just couldn’t land the player.