The Los Angeles Lakers will play their sixth straight road game when they visit the Washington Wizards on Friday night.
Luka Doncic has been phenomenal during L.A.’s current road trip, and my Lakers vs. Wizards predictions call for a monster performance at Capital One Arena.
Here are my best free NBA picks for this cross-conference showdown on January 30.
Lakers vs Wizards prediction
Lakers vs Wizards best bet: Luka Doncic triple-double (+500)
This one comes with big plus-money odds, and I’m happy to take it as tonight’s best bet based on Luka Doncic’s recent surge in statistics.
Doncic is averaging 33.6 points, 7.7 rebounds, and 8.7 assists on the season. Across his last five games (all on the road), he’s averaged 35.6 points, 8.8 rebounds, and 9.4 assists.
He has one triple-double on the Los Angeles Lakers’ current road trip, but he’s come within two rebounds of another triple-double twice and within three rebounds once more in five games.
"Luka Legend" ranks seventh all-time in triple-doubles with 87 in 488 appearances, reaching that mark in 17.8% of games played. That implied probability gives us +460 odds, but this one is even more profitable at +500.
Doncic recorded a triple-double in each of his last two matchups with the Washington Wizards, and he’s done so in three of 12 against Washington in his career. The Wizards sport one of the Association’s most generous defenses, so I like Luka’s chances of recording another triple-double.
Lakers vs Wizards same-game parlay
Washington has won and covered in two straight, and the Wizards are 5-1 ATS across their last six.
Across the last 10 games, the Lakers rank in the Bottom 3 in defensive rating and Bottom 4 in points per game allowed. Washington's defense has improved as of late, but the team has given up the second-most points per game overall this season.
Lakers vs Wizards SGP
Luka Doncic triple-double
Wizards +9
Over 230
Our "from downtown" SGP: Not shy about Kyshawn
Over the last eight games, Kyshawn George leads his team in points, rebounds, and assists, and he's averaged 32.6 PRA. In that span, he's hit the Over on this combo line six times, including four straight at home.
Lakers vs Wizards SGP
Luka Doncic triple-double
Wizards +9
Over 230
Kyshawn George Over 29.5 points + rebounds + assists
Lakers vs Wizards odds
Spread: Los Angeles -9 (-110) | Washington +9 (-110)
Moneyline: Los Angeles -350 | Washington +275
Over/Under: Over 230 (-110) | Under 230 (-110)
Lakers vs Wizards betting trend to know
The Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in eight of their last 30 games (-16.40 Units / -47% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Lakers vs. Wizards.
How to watch Lakers vs Wizards
Location
Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.
Date
Friday, January 30, 2026
Tip-off
7:00 p.m. ET
TV
Spectrum SportsNet, Monumental SN
Lakers vs Wizards latest injuries
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Throughout the year, every NHL team holds thematic nights; Halloween, Christmas, Hockey Fights Cancer, Pride, Veteran Appreciation night, you name it, they have it. On Thursday night at the Bell Centre, while the province was buzzing about finally having the Battle of Quebec back, the Montreal Canadiens celebrated the Lunar New Year.
With all due respect, once the NHL green-lighted the idea of letting the Colorado Avalanche play in their Quebec Nordiques blue alternate jersey, the January 29 night should have been about nothing else. I know, the calendar for theme nights had already been out for some time, but the actual date of the 2026 Lunar New Year is February 17. Couldn’t the celebration have been pushed back to the first home game after the Olympics? February 26 is closer to the actual date than January 29.
It has now been over 30 years since the Quebec Nordiques were uprooted from la belle province and landed in Denver, Colorado. Seven months later, the newly minted Colorado Avalanche even got another one of the province’s jewels, one of the best goaltenders ever to play the game, in one of the most lopsided trades in professional sports history: Patrick Roy. Just over a year after the move, on June 10, 1996, the Avalanche did what the Nordiques never could do: they won the Stanley Cup.
Joe Sakic, the Nordiques’ fanbase favourite, got to raise the Stanley Cup in Miami, when passionate fans had been dreaming of seeing him do that at the Colisee de Quebec through seven seasons, five of which ended before the spring dance, talk about rubbing salt in an open wound. That moment broke two fan bases’ hearts, both Quebec and Montreal. The former Nordiques won too late, while the former Hab was instrumental in giving the old enemy its first win.
I grew up in Quebec, but I was never a Nordiques fan, unlike my dad. You see, he made the mistake of introducing me to hockey when I was six years old in 1986, when a young netminder led the Canadiens to the Stanley Cup. Watching number 33 make all those saves, I became hooked on hockey and on the Habs, much to my dad’s chagrin. It wasn’t all bad for him; he had a whale of a time in 1993 when the Nordiques took a 2-0 lead in their series with the Habs. By the end of that series of course, I had become unsufferable, teasing him mercilessly as Montreal went on to win the next four games and claim the Stanley Cup a few weeks later.
When St-Patrick came back to Montreal to play with the Avalanche, I was on a school field trip to the game, and yes, on that day, I wore a Nordiques jersey like the rest of our group, the only time I did that in my life. Kudos to my geography teacher for getting that field trip approved. From the south shore of Quebec all the way to Montreal in a school bus, the Nordiques fan in him thought it was worth it. I guess there was kind of a geographical element to it, after all, we all went to the La Pointe-A-Calliere museum in the afternoon, even though our level of interest wasn’t quite the same.
For people even older than me, and yes, there are plenty of those, bringing up the Nordiques means talking about the epic Good Friday battle or arguing about whether Alain Cote’s goal was good, or so many Christmas parties arguing over which team was the best. The two-minute opening video montage was good, but we needed more. That rich history deserved all the spotlight on Thursday night.
If the NHL won’t let Quebec get a new team, that’s the very least that could have been done. I wanted to hear Un club de dindes, Le but, Bob Bissonette songs; it needed to be all about the Battle of Quebec, and it wasn’t. That was a wasted opportunity. Just like not playing Ca va bien when the Habs retreated to their dressing room leading 3-1 after 20 minutes.
The NBA is taking over Sunday nights on NBC and Peacock. Sunday Night Basketball makes its debut on February 1 with two exciting matchups. First, at 7:00 PM ET, the Los Angeles Lakers head to the "World's Most Famous Arena" to take on the New York Knicks. Then, at 9:30 PM, it's the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets. Live coverage begins at 6:00 PM with Sunday Night Basketball in America on NBC and Peacock.
See below for additional information on how to watch each game and follow all of the NBA action on NBCSN and Peacock. Peacock will feature 100 regular-season games throughout the course of the 2025-2026 season.
The Lakers and Knicks will meet for the first time this season at Madison Square Garden, marking the first of two matchups between the teams. They will face off again in Los Angeles in March.
Last season, the Lakers swept the series, earning a 128-112 win on February 1 and a 113-109 overtime victory on March 6. LeBron James led the way in the first matchup, while Luka Doncic and James both powered the Lakers with 30-plus point performances in the second win. Doncic was named a Western Conference All-Star starter and is slated to make his sixth All-Star appearance on February 15. He currently leads the league in scoring and also tops Los Angeles in assists and steals.
The Knicks are led by Jalen Brunson, who tops New York in points and assists. He was named an All-Star starter for the second year in a row, becoming the first Knick to earn consecutive starts since Carmelo Anthony, who did so five straight times from 2012-16.
Peacock NBA Monday will stream up to three Monday night games each week throughout the regular season. Coast 2 Coast Tuesday presents doubleheaders on Tuesday nights throughout the regular season on NBC and Peacock. On most Tuesdays, an 8 p.m. ET game will be on NBC stations in the Eastern and Central time zones, and an 8 p.m. PT game on NBC stations in the Pacific and often Mountain time zones.
Check local listings each week. Both games will stream live nationwide on Peacock. NBC Sports will launch Sunday Night Basketball across NBC and Peacock on Feb. 1, 2026. For a full schedule of the NBA on NBC and Peacock, click here.
How to sign up for Peacock:
Sign up here to watch all of our LIVE sports, sports shows, documentaries, classic matches, and more. You'll also get tons of hit movies and TV shows, Originals, news, 24/7 channels, and current NBC & Bravo hits—Peacock is here for whatever you’re in the mood for.
NBA on NBC 2025-26 Schedule:
Click here to see the full list of NBA games that will air on NBC and Peacock this season.
WASHINGTON, DC - JANUARY 29: Kyle Kuzma #18 of the Milwaukee Bucks drives to the basket as Bilal Coulibaly #0 of the Washington Wizards plays defense during the game on January 29, 2026 at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Stephen Gosling/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images
With a 109-99 victory over the spiraling Milwaukee Bucks, the Washington Wizards have their third two-game winning streak of the season.
This one was an offensive struggle. Not in the sense that either team played well on offense — more like what the bricklaying did to my basketball sensibilities. The teams combined to miss 55 three-point shots, shooting a combined 18-73 — “good” for 24.7%. Bilal Coulibaly missed one so badly, I rewinded several times convinced it had to have been blocked or tipped. If it was, I couldn’t find the evidence.
Wizards big man Alex Sarr gathered a career-high 17 rebounds in the team’s win over the Milwaukee Bucks. | NBAE via Getty Images
With their all-world star Giannis Antetokounmpo sidelined with a calf injury, the Bucks continued their drop in the standings. Giannis trade rumors are the number one topic around the NBA — so ubiquitous that the guys on Thinking Basketball briefly touched on it.
Just before tipoff, I had a classic, “There’s your problem!” moment when I realized the Bucks were starting three former Wizards — Ryan Rollins (who’s playing well this season), Bobby Portis (who’s been okay), and Kyle Kuzma (who’s been not much good).
The Wizards won with an atrocious 43.8% effective field goal percentage because they dominated rebounding battle (61-43 overall; 18-7 on the offensive glass) and got to the free throw line. The Wizards owned the boards despite playing a smaller lineup most of the night. In the 16 minutes Alex Sarr (17 rebounds; 7 offensive) rested, head coach Brian Keefe used a center-less lineup.
Give some credit to the opponent — Doc Rivers teams eschew pursuit of offensive rebounds in favor of getting back on defense. This approach may have had more merit in the past. Nowadays, teams In recent years, coaches (led by former Knicks coach Tom Thibodeau) have figured out a way “tag up” to pursue offensive boards without getting killed by fast breaks. Rivers has stuck to what worked for him in the past.
“Tagging up” is a system whereby offensive players immediately make physical contact with a defensive player as soon as a shot goes up. The strategy — developed by Aaron Fearnes in the Australian National Basketball League (he’s currently coaching the NCAA Charlotte 49ers) — increases the offense’s chance of getting the rebound while simultaneously matching up and creating pressure points to stymie transition opportunities. The concept has entered the NBA in recent years with the influx of international assistant (and head) coaches.
There was a lot to like from the Wizards in this one. Even accounting for a talent-deficient Bucks roster, the Wizards made life difficult for Milwaukee on the offensive end. On many possessions, the Bucks had to run multiple actions to get a shot. At times, you could see Milwaukee players rush a meh look early in the shot clock because they had a sliver of an opening.
One of the cool things in this one was that it was the youngsters making plays late to secure the win.
Thoughts & Observations
One of my favorite defensive plays came in the second half. Coulibaly was pressuring Rollins full court and got called for a foul. Before the inbounds, Coulibaly and Rollins had some friendly-looking former teammate kind of interaction. Then when the play started, Coulibaly stepped around and in front of him and top locked — denying Rollins the ball and wrecking Milwaukee’s play and then the possession. It was excellent defense made more impressive by how casual it looked.
A game after struggling against the massive Donovan Clingan, Sarr bounced back to control the action inside against Myles Turner and Portis. Sarr finished with career highs in offensive rebounds (7) and total rebounds (17). His previous high was 15, which he did twice — both this season.
Kyshawn George shot poorly but played a strong overall game — 5 rebounds, 5 assists, 2 steals, a block, and just 1 turnover and 1 foul. George improving his decision-making is one of the big X factors for the team’s future.
Jamir Watkins has a very long ways to go on the offensive end (he shot 1-7 last night), but he’s already a plus defender. He had another open court strip when pressuring the ball at midcourt.
In the not good news category: Tre Johnson rolled his ankle when Rollins did a Bruce Bowen closeout. No word yet on how much time Johnson will miss. On the “quick return” side: he’s 19-years-old, which should dramatically accelerate his healing time. On the “it might take a while” side: the team is happy to lose games and has given guys plenty of time to recover from injuries so far. My guess is he’ll miss at least a game or two.
Four Factors
Below are the four factors that decide wins and losses in basketball — shooting (efg), rebounding (offensive rebounds), ball handling (turnovers), fouling (free throws made).
The four factors are measured by:
eFG% (effective field goal percentage, which accounts for the three-point shot)
OREB% (offensive rebound percentage)
TOV% (turnover percentage — turnovers divided by possessions)
FTM/FGA (free throws made divided by field goal attempts)
FOUR FACTORS
BUCKS
WIZARDS
LGAVG
eFG%
46.9%
43.8%
54.3%
OREB%
14.0%
33.3%
26.1%
TOV%
8.8%
12.7%
12.8%
FTM/FGA
0.071
0.260
0.209
PACE
102
99.5
ORTG
97
107
115.5
Stats & Metrics
PPA is my overall production metric, which credits players for things they do that help a team win (scoring, rebounding, playmaking, defending) and dings them for things that hurt (missed shots, turnovers, bad defense, fouls).
PPA is a per possession metric designed for larger data sets. In small sample sizes, the numbers can get weird. In PPA, 100 is average, higher is better and replacement level is 45. For a single game, replacement level isn’t much use, and I reiterate the caution about small samples sometimes producing weird results.
POSS is the number of possessions each player was on the floor in this game.
ORTG = offensive rating, which is points produced per individual possessions x 100. League average so far this season is 115.5. Points produced is not the same as points scored. It includes the value of assists and offensive rebounds, as well as sharing credit when receiving an assist.
USG = offensive usage rate. Average is 20%.
ORTG and USG are versions of stats created by former Wizards assistant coach Dean Oliver and modified by me. ORTG is an efficiency measure that accounts for the value of shooting, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers. USG includes shooting from the floor and free throw line, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers.
+PTS = “Plus Points” is a measure of the points gained or lost by each player based on their efficiency in this game compared to league average efficiency on the same number of possessions. A player with an offensive rating (points produced per possession x 100) of 100 who uses 20 possessions would produce 20 points. If the league average efficiency is 114, the league — on average — would produced 22.8 points in the same 20 possessions. So, the player in this hypothetical would have a +PTS score of -2.8.
Players are sorted by total production in the game.
FORT MYERS, FL - FEBRUARY 20: Alex Hoppe #96 of the Boston Red Sox poses for a photo during the Boston Red Sox Photo Day at JetBlue Park at Fenway South on Tuesday, February 20, 2024 in Fort Myers, Florida. (Photo by Daniel Shirey/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images
In mechanical engineering, it’s common knowledge that Contraptions (sometimes referred to informally as “Machines”) are fed by Fodder. The term of venery for an individual piece of Fodder is Pile. Some examples in a sentence: “When new Fodder joins the Pile, it’s better for everyone; The Contraption was beginning to hunger.” or, “Alex Hoppe, The Contraption demands to be fed, and as a recent addition to the Pile of Fodder, you are its chosen fuel, its sustenance, its very lifeblood. Prepare to be Contrapted.”
That, at least, is the hope that anyone who follows the Mariners should have upon reading “Seattle has acquired [pitcher they have not heard of] in exchange for [a minor-league just-a-guy hitter].” The organization has developed quite the reputation as a pitching lab. That reputation is justly earned. From drafting an entire rotation’s worth of MLB starting pitchers in just four drafts to being a career-changing destination for the castaway and the non-tendered, Seattle has proven that they’ve built something special.
They’ve built a smooth, well-oiled Machine. A Contraption, carefully engineered to take, for example, pitchers like Alex Hoppe and transform them into, for example, pitchers like 2021-2023 Paul Sewald.
What is a pitcher like Alex Hoppe? Hoppe, acquired from Boston this off-season, is a 2022 6th round draft pick that has steadily risen through Boston’s farm as a pure relief pitcher. He comes without pedigree, never landing on Boston’s top 30 prospects list. He’s mostly been a middle relief guy, only ever recording six saves in a season. He’s achieved mostly acceptable results thus far without ever really excelling.
There’s almost no easily-accessible video of him besides this one Instagram reel from Boston’s Player Development account.
So, from afar, his repertoire stands out to me as looking almost like the antithesis of modern pitch design philosophy.
What’s sexy in pitching these days? Low-slot, high-band rising fastballs with an absurd IVB or VAA, if you’re a pronator, or a seam-shifted wake sinker that tumbles if you’re a supinator (or both, if you’re Bryan Woo). Hoppe throws a four-seamer that doesn’t get an insane amount of ride, and given the 52.3° arm angle, has a pretty poor VAA. He also has a cutter that shows solid cut and acceptable ride.
Also sexy: frisbee sweepers with bonkers horizontal movement and almost no drop, and perhaps even positive IVB. Hoppe throws a sharp, downward 11-5 slider that bites sometimes, but can also be a bit slack-jawed. This means that it overlays with his cutter quite a bit in movement profile.
As for offspeed pitches, the tumbling, low-spin splitters or the Skenesian splinkers are hot, as is the new “kick change”. Last season, Hoppe sported a new changeup that’s relatively mediocre, and was deployed exclusively against lefties.
Today’s pitch-design landscape feels like an arms race – some team or player builds something new and weird, identifies some trait or movement that makes life hell for hitters, and leans into it. Everyone else follows suit, and suddenly everywhere you look, you’re seeing these new pitches, or new varieties of old ones. Hoppe’s offerings, by comparison, are simple and unextraordinary.
That isn’t necessarily a problem, but what definitely is, is that he has not demonstrated the ability to control the ball – he ran a 12.3 BB% rate in AA/AAA last season. For a relief pitcher, that is…not good!
At this point, Hoppe is rather raw, but that’s okay. Being polished and already flashing above-average pitches with good stats isn’t a prerequisite for becoming Contrapted. The opposite is probably more true – what makes the Mariners pitching development team so uniquely good at this is their ability to see things that others don’t.
What do they see in Hoppe? There’s a few things that catch my eye.
The first major one is that arm angle. His average arm angle of 52.3° is well more than a standard deviation higher than the mean arm angle (about 36° for pitchers with over 300 pitches thrown last season).
This is a chart showing arm angle distribution from MLB last season, controlling for the top 5 outliers on both ends for data cleanliness. Hoppe currently lives in the third right-most of these bars, with an arm angle higher than about 90% of the sample. Not quite outlier-high, but pretty dang high.
Another thing that catches my attention is that while he ranks quite highly in Whiff%, Chase% and K%, he allows very high exit velocity and Hard-Hit% – he more or less turns batters into Khris Davis. He might be in the category of “effectively wild”. Luckily, because his groundball rate is also exceptionally high, (55% vs 42% average in MLB last season), he hasn’t been punished for that…yet.
He had a pretty high BABIP last season (.347), which, in the face of letting batters make powerful contact with the ball, makes sense, but it’s also indicates some unluckiness. He also had a generous difference between his xwOBA (.278) and his wOBA (.318), once again showing that he may have underperformed last season relative ot his true talent.
It’s hard for us to say, from the outside, what the keen, hawk-like eyes of The Contraption have identified in Hoppe as ideal sustenance. Perhaps they prize that higher arm angle in a moment of low angles. A lot of the pitchers at the higher end of that spectrum have been raising theirs even further over the last couple of years, and no one on the Mariners besides another relatively new acquisition, Luke Jackson, has an arm angle over 44°. Maybe they’ve identified biomechanical tweaks that could enable him to control the zone, while also adjusting the pitch profile. As a reliever, after all, you’re really ever just one lights-out pitch away from being an impact arm.
If it were any other organization, I would feel silly for thinking this much about a reliever acquired for a 14th-round catcher. It would be safe to say that we simply swapped org guys. It’s still a decently likely outcome. With Seattle, though, it’s hard not to think that he’s been deemed Contraptable, and in a year or two they’ll have created yet another high-leverage bullpen arm out of simple Fodder.
PS: I’d be remiss if I didn’t include this. Shoutout Sweezo #sweezo
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - OCTOBER 29: Blake Snell #7 of the Los Angeles Dodgers reacts during the fifth inning against the Toronto Blue Jays in game five of the 2025 World Series at Dodger Stadium on October 29, 2025 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Luke Hales/Getty Images) | Getty Images
In arguably the greatest World Series of the decade, the Dodgers went all in with their starting pitching to get the job done in a back-and-forth seven game series against the Toronto Blue Jays. This included Yoshinobu Yamamoto pitching on zero days rest to complete Game 7, while other starters such as Blake Snell and Tyler Glasnow were given little time to recuperate for their efforts in the final two games of the series.
For Snell, the toll taken to his arm has been heavy this offseason, and as reported by Jack Harris of the California Post, it has limited his throwing program since the series’ conclusion. This could potentially render Snell unavailable for the beginning of the season, as the team is attempting to prioritize having their entire rotation at maximum health by opening day.
“You want to ramp up, but I gotta take my time and get healthy… I feel like I’m doing the right thing. I feel good. I’ve been throwing. It feels better. In the postseason, I gave everything I had for that. But on the front end of spring, I’ll have to be patient and let my body get to 100%.”
Snell notably spent four months on the injured list after his first two starts in a Dodger uniform last year, and the hope for both sides is to avoid having history repeat itself.
Links
Miguel Rojas took to his Instagram story to announce that he will not be representing Team Venezuela for the World Baseball Classic. In a statement translated from Spanish, Rojas wrote, “I am very sad today… a real shame to not be able to represent my country and to put the flag on my chest. In this occasion, age wasn’t just a number.” Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports that the main reason for Rojas’ decision was due to insurance issues.
Game 3 of the 2025 World Series will go down as one of the longest postseason games in baseball history, and for president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman, emotions flared up during the 18-inning marathon. Friedman recounted his flare-up during an appearance on the Dodgers Territory podcast.
“Something I’m not very proud of; I may or may not have spiked a barstool in that Game 3, and it’s because of the range of emotions. Will Smith hits a ball to center that in my mind is definitely a homer, and Varsho goes back and catches it. The excitement of the homer to the catch next inning, I might have let the barstool slip.”
Andrew Friedman says he spiked a barstool during Game 3 of the World Series. 😂 pic.twitter.com/HghVi7tawU
Welcome to this edition of the Vancouver Canucks post-game analytics report. This recurring deep dive breaks down the analytics behind each Canucks game as recorded by Natural Stat Trick. In this article, we look back on Vancouver’s most recent 2-0 victory over the Anaheim Ducks.
Despite winning the game, the Ducks were the better team from an analytics perspective. Anaheim finished with a 28-19 even-strength scoring chances advantage while also winning the even-strength high-danger scoring chances battle 13-6. In the end, though, the Canucks found the only two goals while Tolopilo stood on his head in the victory.
The heatmap from the game shows the Ducks' ability to crash the net all night. Tolopilo faced 11 high-danger chances and was able to stop them all. As for Vancouver, they created seven high-danger shots, with the game-winning goal being registered as a medium danger shot.
Vancouver Canucks vs. Anaheim Ducks, January 29, 2026, Natural Stat Trick.
To wrap this game up, Tyler Myers had a strong game from an analytics perspective. During his 15:40 of even-strength ice time, he posted an xGF% of 63.69% with the team winning the scoring chances battle 7-3. Myers also played a role on the penalty kill, as Anaheim only registered one shot in his 1:07 of ice time.
Jan 29, 2026; Vancouver, British Columbia, CAN; The Vancouver Canucks celebrate their first goal in the third period against Anaheim Ducks at Rogers Arena. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Morris-Imagn Images
The Canucks wrap up their homestand on Saturday as they welcome the Toronto Maple Leafs to Rogers Arena. Toronto picked up the win the last time these two teams met by a 5-0 score. Game time is set for 4:00 pm PT.
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I used to be a “small Hall” guy—generally believing that the hallowed halls of Cooperstown should be reserved for “the best of the best of the best—sir!” Then I saw this in 2023…
Truth be told, I wouldn’t have checked the box next to Scott Rolen’s name on the HOF ballet. But seeing his emotional reaction to telling his parents he made it in softened my stance. While I still would probably be a small Hall voter in a strictly balloting sense if given a vote, I no longer complain too much about the results. Who am I to begrudge these moments of joy in a world where such things are hard to come by?
Funny enough, I wouldn’t have voted for any of the three 2026 National Baseball Hall of Fame inductees. But they’re in now, so let’s take a brief look at their key stats/accomplishments, career versus our Twins, and why I’d not have punched their ticket.
Why not: Purely stats-wise, he’s a little sub-par across the board. Kinda one of those “a few supernova seasons and a bunch more okay ones” player. Poor with the leather, Kent was also a surly fella—once vehemently blaming a 2002 wrist injury on “slipping and falling while washing my truck” when really he was tooling around on his motorcycle and had an accident.
Why not: Jones was really good at two things: CF defense and power. I’d argue not quite enough for enshrinement. I think he gets a lot of press for being 19 years old and playing in a World Series (1996), and for his age he truly was a phenom. But the rest of his career is a little iffy outside of glove & pop.
Why not: This one is tougher because Beltran’s career on the field probably is Hall-worthy (solid average, power, speed, & defense). Maybe not slam-dunk HOF, but better than a lot of folks already inside. Yet, I still can’t quite get over his role in the Houston Astros sign-stealing scandal. I know this gets complicated because of Carlos Correa, but I truly do hold Beltran more accountable in that debacle for being a veteran presence who was still largely masterminding/championing the cheating behind the scenes.
Again, congratulations to all these new members of the MLB HOF club! I visited Cooperstown back in 2001 (I saw Kirby’s plaque!) and would love to get back to upstate New York someday—perhaps tag-teaming it to see the Rod Serling Memorial statue in Binghamton.
As my mind’s eye turns to Spring Training, hope stirs. What once seemed so far away is now just around the corner, even though it hasn’t moved one iota (for those keeping score at home, iota is the smallest letter in the Greek alphabet and is proxy for really, really small amount). My mind wanders to considering the possibilities for young Tink Hence, one of my personal favorites. He reminds me a bit of Carlos Martinez, another personal favorite from years past, both in stature and in stuff.
In the abbreviated 2020 draft, the Cardinals drafted a 2-way player out of a Pine Bluff, Arkansas HS by the name of Markevian “Tink” Hence with their Comp-B pick (end of 2nd round). Arkansas. I wonder if he grew up a Cardinal fan? Perhaps listening via KDPX – Pine Bluff? He was converted to full-time pitcher and quickly received a lot of prospect accolades normally reserved for 1st rounder. Since, he has been listed in various Top-100 publications anywhere between 47th and 84th. Not too shabby.
This off-season, he has fallen out of the Top-100. This isn’t a lack of stuff, it is more about his availability, as he has only accumulated 257 IP over 5 minor league seasons, averaging just over 50 IP per year. One can look at this stat alone and wonder if he has a starter’s trait.
Coming into the 2026 season, people are left to ponder several unknowns.
Is he a potential star?
Baseball American (BA) now ranks him with a 55 scouting grade (above average), so his star potential is seen as diminished, but not absent. They rate him as high risk, which adjusts his scouting grade down to 40. Yuk. Individually, his FB and SL are grade 50, command is graded 50 and his change is graded at 60 (excellent!). Fangraphs is a little more bullish on his slider and change, giving the Change an FV of 70!
BA ranks him 15th in the Cardinal organization. No longer a prospect darling, he is in that typical saddle of prospect fatigue that so often occurs when initial hype is excessive and success isn’t immediate.
Beyond the scouting grades, it is hard to evaluate his stuff anymore. His Statcast data dates back to 2022 (ancient history!), and I’m not sure he is that pitcher anymore. Suffice to say, he would have had lots of red on his Statcast/Savant page. Good K-rate, north of 25%, decent walk-rate, good at suppressing hard contact (80th to 90th percentile). Since, he has pitched at High-A and AA, which do not support Statcast data collection. We will get a new look at the pitcher he has become when he hits Memphis.
Is he a starter or a reliever?
The IP totals in his minor league career suggest durability is lacking. He has yet to cross 100 IP in a season and has not regularly exceeded 5 IP in his starts. In the modern game, these aren’t significant concerns for young starters, but the time spent on the IL is.
His pitch mix and command says starter. His durability says reliever. His career arc begins to lean that way (see next paragraph). High leverage reliever is a sought after commodity in MLB, no?
Reports are the Cardinals are having that starter/reliever conversation internally. Their focus seems to be to get him to the place where he can start and finish a season healthy, and work from there. This seems sound.
Is he running out of time?
He is only 23 years old and projects to start this season at AAA, where he will be young for the league. In that sense, it is way too early to give up on such a dynamic arm.
That said, one of the challenges of drafting high school pitchers is the requirement that they be added to the 40-man roster after their 4th professional season. Hence was added last year. This means they had to burn one of his 3 minor league option-years last year, in what turned out to be a lost year. He has 2 such option-years left, and a second will undoubtedly get used when he is assigned to AAA around the middle of 2026 Spring Training. That will leave 1 remaining option, ostensibly to be used in the 2027 season (if needed. One can hope!).
Even if he were to join the major league team in either 2026 or 2027, given his relatively low innings build up, it is easy to imagine that he would not be on the MLB roster for an entire season. They will need to manage his innings and that is difficult to do at the major league level. Those options will be needed, and that safety blanket will come off in 2028, when he will be out of options. He will be merely 25 years old then and potentially the poster-boy for why teams shouldn’t draft HS pitchers.
Even the most optimistic innings projections would be unlikely to project him as built up much over 100 IP by 2028. So, in the race to build up his arm before he runs out of options, he appears to be running out of time.
Also, related to the time scale, is the fact that he is occupying a 40-man roster spot. It’s one thing to give a 40-man spot to a prospect, but quite another to not have that spot producing at either level. At some point, the Cardinals are going to face needing a roster spot for a different prospect and will have to choose between a high-upside/low availability option like Hence, or another prospect. That decision will be a bit tougher this next off-season, when the 40-man is refined yet again, especially if there has been any slippage in his stuff as the injuries have accumulated.
What kind of innings build up can a pitcher like this accept?
The Cardinals have a pretty complicated database that captures baseline (chronic, steady-state) workloads for pitchers and also acute (recent) workloads. They use this database to manage innings (and pitches) and protect pitcher health. Tink’s prior workloads likely present a unique challenge in this regard, as his pattern is a bit unusual, particularly for a starter. They are likely wondering …
What exactly is his baseline heading into 2026?
The average of 50 IP? That 21 IP from last year is artificially low, because he threw bullpens with some frequency, even though he didn’t get in games. They count this and factor it in, although it is lower stress, so not that low.
How about the 79 IP from the 2024 season? The 96 IP from 2023? Since they count more than innings, they really can’t put a single IP number on a target to shoot at. Pitch stress, max effort throws, high pitch count innings and things like that factor into workload calcs. But I’d bet they are looking at 80-100 IP as the high side of a target range this year. I’d also bet they start him but use him as more an opener (2 or 3 IP) to begin the season and work from there. While lower inning counts might be to his benefit, irregular usage is likely not his friend and he still needs to build experience, in addition to stamina.
Given health, 20-25 appearances might be a nice target, with 20 starts averaging 4 IP each (lower at the start of the season, higher toward the end), with a handful of MLB opener/bulk inning appearances to nudge that number up. Basically, once per week. They might set up framework like that. Within his MiLB starts, they would likely shorten them if stress pitches go up or if he has excessively long innings or if his velo drifts, as it can do. They do this with a lot of young pitchers anyway, but probably a bit moreso with him.
What does his future look like?
One could say 2026 is a big season for him, but really, any season is big for every prospect.
Because of his relative lack of experience, he is very likely to start the 2026 in the minors, most likely at AAA, which is where he was targeted last year before injuries derailed that trip.
Because of his 40-man spot and diminishing options, he is equally likely to see some time at the major league level. Because of the difficult innings management challenge they will face with him this season, it would seem more likely that they might spot him into starter/opener situations that they can control the timing and duration such appearances (such as 27th man for double headers, or a planned extra rest day for the rest of the rotation. They could slot him in as an opener or a bulk innings guy and return him to Memphis immediately after using him, where they can manage his innings. They could pretty much do this once a month throughout the season, without exceeding the limit of 5 minor league assignments in a single season. More practically, I wouldn’t expect to see any of these appearances before June. He will be one of nine (or so) pitchers at Memphis on the 40-man roster, and he wouldn’t seem to be first in line for promotion.
Beyond that, health, durability and performance will dictate, as it does with all pitchers. If he maintains health and given how starters are used in the modern game, it doesn’t appear that they need to make a permanent starter vs. reliever decision, but his path to the MLB will almost certainly start in the bullpen.
I will seek him out in Spring Camp at the end of February. I hope to see him pitch, at least in live BP if not in a game.
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - OCTOBER 17: Jose Quintana #62 of the Milwaukee Brewers pitches during the first inning against the Los Angeles Dodgers in game four of the National League Championship Series at Dodger Stadium on October 17, 2025 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Luke Hales/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The Yankees offseason hasn’t been as bad as the average fan believes: it has been worse. All kidding aside, things haven’t been explosive on the player acquisition front, but the Bombers have done plenty of work. They brought back Cody Bellinger, Trent Grisham, Amed Rosario, Tim Hill, Ryan Yarbrough, and Paul Blackburn while also trading for Ryan Weathers and taking a few chances in the form of minor league deals.
After adding Weathers, their rotation depth for the first few weeks of the 2026 campaign looks as follows: Max Fried, Luis Gil, Cam Schlittler, Will Warren, Weathers, and Yarbrough.
That group has, in that order, an established ace, a ‘broken’ former Rookie of the Year, an exciting second-year young star, and three serviceable mid-to-backend options with upside, some with more upside than others. Keep in mind, things will improve dramatically when Gerrit Cole and Carlos Rodon rejoin the staff at some point in the first couple of months of the 2026 campaign, but until that happens, there are real depth concerns with the aforementioned group.
Given the inexperience of some of those pitchers (Schlittler, Warren) plus the injury-related concerns of others (Gil, Weathers), it’s clear that the Yankees could stand to add at least one more capable starter before the start of the season.
We are not talking about another ace (although that would be nice!). But Spring Training always brings injuries with it, and the Yanks are a couple of strains away from having to rush Elmer Rodríguez to the majors or use a mediocre Triple-A option for spot starts. Counting on Cole and Rodon to be aces immediately upon returning would also not be fair.
That’s where a pitcher like José Quintana comes in. The veteran left-hander is not a sexy name, but the Yanks don’t necessarily need one. They need reliability and pitching know-how, and Quintana offers both.
In 2025, Quintana was limited to 131.2 innings due to a left shoulder impingement and a calf strain, yet he was able to offer reliable production while on the mound. His 3.96 ERA was more than serviceable, and even though his 4.81 FIP told another story, the lefty was able to keep the Brewers in more games than they probably expected.
Quintana is 37 and, as a result, is not expected to command a hefty salary or a multi-year deal, which certainly appeals to a team like the Yankees. And his run-prevention skills are not exclusive to last season: his career ERA is a fine 3.76, and his mark over the last four campaigns is an even better 3.53 in 543.1 frames.
In fact, here are his ERA finishes since 2022:
2022: 2.93
2023: 3.57
2024: 3.75
2025: 3.96
That’s consistency right there. That’s a pitcher who repeatedly hits his spots when he is locked in and is not afraid to pitch when the lights shine the brightest.
Quintana is far from dominant, though. He pitches to contact, ranking in the seventh percentile in both whiff rate and strikeout rate last year. In fact, his Statcast profile is more blue than red:
Still, 543.1 innings is definitely proof that, when he’s healthy, the crafty lefty has gotten outs consistently in recent seasons, even if his underlying stuff is far from over-powering.
He relies heavily on his sinker, which he throws 44 percent of the time, and also on a mix of changeups, curveballs, four-seamers, and slurves as his secondary pitches. As long as Quintana’s sinker averages between 90 and 91 mph, he will probably be able to offer solid backend production for a contender, and so far, there haven’t been any signs of a relevant velocity drop. He has been around that range for the last three years.
Maybe the Yankees don’t want to spend anymore and are happy with their current group. Perhaps they bring in another arm via trade. But Quintana gives them a rather inexpensive option if they want to go that route, and while it wouldn’t be wise to expect a 3.50 ERA with a strikeout per inning, somewhere around a 3.80 ERA and a 4.20 mark with plenty of weak contact would be enough to meet expectations and provide cover while the Yankees wait for their injured starters to come around.
Former Rockie and current TV personality Ryan Spilborghs, left, moderates a panel with Rockies pitching coach Alon Lichmann and assistant pitching coach Gabe Ribas at Rockies Fest on Jan. 24. 2026 at Coors Field. | Joelle Milholm
As one of the 5,000 Rockies fans to hear from the new front office and coaching staff and lean into the new-look Rockies organization at Rockies Fest on Jan. 24, I was struck by three things:
A genuine feeling of optimism
Consistent messaging
The emergence of three new core values that feel like the new direction is real
First, a genuine feeling of optimism.
Coming off 119 losses, it almost seems impossible, but I was inspired by the new Rockies leaders. Everyone I heard from who came to Colorado from other organizations mentioned being excited about the challenge of finding a way to win in Colorado’s unique environment. They were also all focused on winning, which wasn’t always communicated so clearly from the previous front office.
“I was having a good time in the NFL and everything else, but the chance to be here in Denver, to be around this fan base that has supported this team — I mean, even during the last couple years — looked pretty amazing,” said president of baseball operations Paul DePodesta. “And then to be able to, hopefully, do what we want to do, which is build not just a good team out in the field, but a championship organization, that’ll be a championship contender, year in, year out, and do that here, I think it’d be incredibly special.”
Second, the consistency from the top down on the new vision for baseball in Colorado.
From DePodesta and GM Josh Byrnes and his assistants to the research and development department and players and coaches, everyone talked about winning and the excitement to explore new ideas on how to do it for pitchers and position players from Single-A to MLB.
Third, three core principles of that winning vision came up over and over again in various sessions: learning from failure, embracing curiosity and sticking with the process.
While all three values are closely linked, since there was so much discussion of the trio, I’ll focus on failure this week, and curiosity and sticking with the process next week.
I first heard failure come up when former Rockie turned announcer Ryan Spilborghs was moderating a panel with some of the new pitching coaches and members of the R&D department. Considering the Rockies have struggled to develop players in the past, despite calling themselves a draft-and-develop team, there was a consistent theme around helping players learn to learn from and bounce back from setbacks.
“We also like it when players fail. We, like, in general, we want, you want a pitcher to stink for a month and figure it out after that. You don’t want it always to be, like, you’re dominating, dominating, dominating ’cause you’re gonna get your teeth kicked when you get here [MLB],” Spilborghs said to kick off the discussion on failure. “So you have to have that background of, ‘Okay, when I fail, this is what I did to get out of it.’ … Failure is a huge, huge advocate for learning and to get better.”
New pitching coach Alon Leichman, who worked on pitching coach staffs for the Marlins, Reds and Mariners before coming to Colorado, also mentioned how beneficial it is to have Minor League teams in Double-A Hartford, which has an altitude of 30 feet, and Triple-A Albuquerque, which sits at 5,312 feet. His biggest reason why the change is helpful is more exposure to failure.
“It can be really helpful because it lets them have an opportunity to fail. You know, they go from Connecticut to now altitude, and it’s kind of like a test run for them of what it’s gonna be like over here,” Leichman said. “So, it’s a super important level setting. We’re hoping that they come, learn from their failures. Once they come here, it’s not the first time they are experiencing it.”
Understanding the new focus on growing from failure, especially since it’s such a part of the game of baseball, made it easy to understand why the new front office and coaching staff wanted to sign pitcher Michael Lorenzen. The RHP is an 11-year veteran with a 4.08 career ERA who has pitched for the Reds, Angels, Tigers, Phillies, Rangers and Royals. He represents the rare free agent pitcher who willingly signs a deal to pitch in Colorado.
Lorenzen credits his routine to his longevity, in addition to his love for problem-solving and ability to make and monitor adjustments. Considering the Rockies have recorded the worst team ERA in MLB every season since 2022, there is a big problem to be solved.
“One thing I do love is problem-solving and growing as a pitcher, and I have grown as a pitcher by failing,” Lorenzen said in a panel with other members of the Rockies pitching staff. “So I feel like that’s why I’ve been able to stick around for as long as I have, and Colorado just seems untapped in that area. So we’re gonna fail a little bit, but we have a good coaching staff that has been brought in and a new front office that has been brought in to hopefully make that learning curve a lot shorter than normal.”
Gabe Ribas, the new assistant pitching coach, was on the same page. Ribas has dealt with his fair share of helping develop prospects and coach MLB pitchers as he spent the last five years as the director of pitching for the Detroit Tigers and four years as a pitching coordinator with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
“A wise person once said to me, ‘You do not want them experiencing failure for the first time at the Major League level.’ That is a recipe for disaster,” Ribas said. “… So nobody should panic when they get their teeth kicked in in Fresno or Albuquerque or Harford or wherever. That’s all part of the learning curve.”
Ribas then looked out to the audience and talked about the lessons that failure can teach us all outside of the game of baseball.
“You know, I would do a poll in this room. How many people have walked away from something successful going, ‘Man, I learned so much.’ Right?” Ribas said. “It’s when you get beat up. It’s how you respond. That sparks learning and curiosity. And anything that’s worth having is hard. And they’re gonna experience that.”
Over the last few seasons, the Rockies have experienced more failure than success. Since 2021, their 504 losses are the most in MLB. Now, it’s time to learn from that failure, keep learning from that failure, fail and bounce back and do it all over again.
It takes resiliency and curiosity to make that process work, which we’ll dive into next week.
Patrick Saunders admits to being optimistic, but doesn’t believe the Rockies will improve as much as the headline hopes. He also shares his thoughts on Kris Bryant’s status, if he thinks Germán Márquez will return, who will lead the team in saves and more.
New legislation in Colorado could include an element that could help make life at Coors Field a little more affordable for Rockies fans. The “captive-audience pricing” element of House Bill 1012 would lower food prices at places like stadiums, where food is usually outrageously expensive.
Jul 21, 2024; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers catcher Austin Barnes (15) celebrates after hitting a home run against the Boston Red Sox during the fifth inning at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jonathan Hui-Imagn Images
The Mets rank fifth on Kiley McDaniel’s list of all thirty farm systems at ESPN, and he notes that they had the top system in baseball before trading Jett Williams and Brandon Sproat to the Brewers.
Keith Law isn’t nearly as high on the Mets’ system as he ranked it twelfth in his list at The Athletic.
Jonah Tong will not play for Canada in the upcoming World Baseball Classic.
Joey Votto and Clayton Kershaw are set to join NBC as the network returns to covering baseball this year.
Yesterday at Amazin’ Avenue
As our top prospects list for 2026 was set before the Mets’ trade for Freddy Peralta and Tobias Myers, Steve Sypa wrote up Brandon Sproat, who ranked fifth on that list.
This Date in Mets History
The late Davey Johnson, whose managerial stint with the Mets brought the team one of its two World Series titles, was born on this date in 1943.
Keith Law also ranks all 30 farm systems. (The Athletic sub. req.) Law likes the Cubs’ system a bit more than McDaniel, but McDaniel does point out that the Cubs system is down for the right reasons.
PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - SEPTEMBER 13: Salvador Perez #13 of the Kansas City Royals celebrates with Maikel Garcia #11 (right) after hitting a two-run home run in the first inning against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on September 13, 2025 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Heather Barry/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Garcia was named Thursday to Team Venezuela ahead of the upcoming tournament. He is the second Royals player on the team — catcher/first baseman Salvador Perez will captain the Venezuelan squad when the WBC begins in early March…
Now, Garcia will display his talent on a global scale. He joins a Venezuelan team that includes MLB stars Ronald Acuña Jr., Jackson Chourio and Wilyer Abreu, among others.
Four other Royals are taking part in the World Baseball Classic. Shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. will represent the United States; first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino and outfielder Jac Caglianone will play for Italy; and pitcher Seth Lugo will suit up for Puerto Rico.
MLB.com has not picked up the story yet, but the official Twitter account of Team Dominican Republic announced another Royal addition yesterday afternoon:
— Selección Dominicana de Béisbol (@_losdominicanos) January 29, 2026
Guess who has two thumbs and tickets to a Team Italy game featuring Vinnie and Jac? They’ll be playing Team Brazil, which has on its coaching staff – you guessed it: Frank Stallone!
Wait, that would be silly. Of course, it’s the “first Brazilian-born player to win a World Series”. He’s the author of many triples and a notable walk-off grand slam: it’s Paulo Orlando!
Speaking of Salvy, he’s reminding everyone to come to Royals Rally on Saturday:
ICYMI, the Royals signed Eli Morgan to a minor league deal yesterday. Max has you covered.
It’s only a quick mention, but Dan Szymborski (Szymborski! Szymborski!) updated ZIPS. Guess who is currently projected to have 83 wins and end up in 2nd-ish in the AL Central?
The AL Central is a fairly low-ceiling environment, so each team has some realistic chance to prevail. The Tigers are good, but their lineup is short on actual stars, and the natural risk of pitcher injury means that they don’t get 100% Tarik Skubal in a lot of their simulations. And without 100% Skubal, this team looks a lot less intimidating. The Royals have some holes, but the left side of the infield is crazy-good and the pitching is on relatively safe ground. The Guardians have lineup concerns and a rather low-impact, though stable, starting rotation, and ZiPS doesn’t believe the Twins are anywhere near as bad as much of baseball thinks.
The division is weak enough that there’s even a chance that the White Sox steal the thing. The team isn’t actually good at the moment, but unlike last season, they haven’t larded the April lineup with a bunch of older retreads. Every starting hitter, with the probable exception of Andrew Benintendi, has some cognizable breakout potential. Taking a risk like signing Munetaka Murakami is exactly what the White Sox should be doing, and I don’t often say the White Sox are doing exactly what the White Sox should be doing.
One of the local schools is doing a musical version of Shrek for their spring play. I didn’t realize there were six movies in the franchise, with a seventh, Shrek 5, set to come out in 2027. So, with my trusty library card, I set out to watch the entire Shrek oeuvre (or at least the feature film portion of it). If you’ve missed the 2000-word Friday Rumblings screeds or movie reviews: we’re back, baby!
Shrek (2001) – The original still holds up. If you had asked me for the best animated movies of the first decade of the 2000s, the list would have basically been films from the legendary Pixar Eleven and Shrek. And it still feels almost as fresh as when it came out. It was still creative to subvert expectations, rather than cliché, and this movie starts it in the opening sequence. The movie does this with humor, mixing timeless comedy tropes like the odd couple with amazing jokes like the Muffin Man gag or Disney shade. It’s immature, but not too gross, most of the time. And it works on multiple levels with tons of jokes that go right over kids’ heads. The plot starts out as a buddy pic that is deftly turned on its head when Fiona enters the picture, adding an unexpected romance plot. Even the heart of the movie, a moral about acceptance, is askew from what you expect. Setting more trends, it mixed modern and classic music in a way that Disney was not doing at the time, and it’s the first credit sequence sing-along I can remember. I guess if you wanted to make a complaint, the animation looks a little dated. But it’s not bad – it’s just limited, a lot like the original Toy Story. There are scenes where it leans into a hand-drawn animation style to make up for the lack of polygons that computers could push back then – you can see the textures are lacking if you compare it to future movies, but that almost feels like complaining that The Ten Commandments doesn’t look as sharp when viewed in 4K. While Dreamworks had the critically acclaimed The Prince of Egypt in its early years, this was the runaway hit they needed to compete with Disney and Pixar and it won the Animated Feature Film Oscar over Pixar’s Monsters, Inc.
Shrek 2 (2004) – I remember thinking at the time that this movie had one of the biggest cases of sequelitis that I can remember. Upon rewatch, I may have been over the top of that assessment, but the sequelitis is definitely there. It’s just not as fresh: there are a lot of parodies in the opening – cheap jokes but not creative, original ones. Our main duo falls into and out of character. Meanwhile, the plot smashes together the cliches of “meet the parents” and “swamp (farm) boy goes to the California big city”. I don’t care for cringey humor, where we drag our characters through awkward or embarrassing situations for laughs. There was very little in the first movie, but the sequel is swimming in it, particularly in Act 2. Similarly, we had the tired trope of a communication misunderstanding between Donkey and Shrek for 10 minutes before things were sorted out. It’s just wasted screen time. That said, the movie still has its charms. There are a number of creative scenes like the parent dinner, the Fairy Godmother reveal, and the introduction of a character worthy of spinoffs: Puss in Boots. The movie takes a while to get out of the gate, but it mostly comes together in the second half. Sure, there are missteps like the “Hero” gingerbread scene going on too long, but it starts to feel more like the freshness and heart of the first one.
Shrek The Third (2007) – This one has the worst ratings of the entire franchise and it earns them. I know I said the last one had sequelitis, but there are moments where this movie felt like it was created by a committee of studio executives. It starts with a reasonable enough premise: Charming wants revenge and gets the villains to join forces, but it doesn’t do much with that. For much of the movie, Shrek, Donkey, and Puss are off on another adventure while Fiona gets sidelined (again), save for some pregnancy jokes. We jump into a college coming-of-age movie that didn’t belong and then shoehorn in a mentoring journey with Arthur to get Shrek over parenting fears. It’s lacking in sincerity so you never really buy Arthur’s turn, and there are just too many other plots going on, none of which feel organic. And a lot of the jokes just go on too long in this movie. There are times when the series tries to remind you that it’s not just a sequel replaying the greatest hits – Shrek slams the door on Puss trying to reuse the eyes joke from the last movie, for instance. Act 3 is decent, between the play-within-a-play and the rescue. The movie made gobs of money – it ended its run as the 3rd highest-grossing animated movie of all time. However, it’s starting to feel like the franchise’s time is almost up.
Shrek Forever After (2010) – After the critical failure but commercial success of its predecessor, the fourth Shrek movie plays it safe. The setup is eminently relatable and well done for any parent: Shrek has a midlife crisis. That leads us to Rumpelstiltskin and a mostly paint-by-numbers “It’s a Wonderful Life” plot. It’s very predictable, eminently safe, and a little more cringe than any of the previous movies. If you look closely, it’s never really resolved, except to pat Shrek on the head and tell him: “be glad for what you have because it could always be worse”. However, even with this worn, formulaic plot, there’s a freshness that comes from putting our characters in a new situation. To the writers’ credit, the characters rarely feel like caricatures – a trap that’s almost impossible to avoid after so many sequels. There were no chances taken to make it as fresh as the first or even second, but it goes down much smoother than the third movie.
Puss in Boots (2011) – A spinoff of a kindof interesting side character of a series that was a bit long in the tooth? Expectations were low. But Antonio Banderas, Salma Hayek, and Zach Galifanakis treat this as more than a mere payday and really elevate the film. The movie is sharp, fun, and pretty – but this is the first movie in the series that has felt light and airy, almost forgettable. There’s an origin story, betrayal, adventure, more betrayal, romance, more adventure, and exultation. You want the movie to slow down a little and let the scenes breathe, but then it probably loses its wit and charm.
Hey, we’re only at like 1500 words and that includes the Royals stuff. Hmm…
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (2022) – Where. did. this. come. from? Shrek is still the best movie in the franchise, but this is easily the second-best. This was a spinoff of a tired series that had languished for more than a decade. And they came up with something that took a one-note side character through a meaty movie that combines some of the best qualities of The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly; The Wizard of Oz; and the Spider-Verse? What?
The movie starts with an action set piece that would feel right at home in the Spider-Verse movies* – full of fast action and faster quips. However, the movie quickly leaves behind the airy nothingness of its predecessor for serious reflection. That’s because death arrives, both literally (Puss dies) and… um, literally (the Anton Chigurh-like wolf that chases him thereafter).
*sidebar: Can 2027 get here already? Beyond the Spider-Verse is my most anticipated movie of anything announced. Please, please, please, stick the landing, Lord and Miller.
Reviews remind me just how concise and wordsmithy that professional critics can be. I’m going to let a couple that are cited on Wikipedia do a better job than I could:
IGN’s Rafael Motamayor gave a rating of 9 out of 10 and wrote: “Puss in Boots: The Last Wish mixes stunning animation with a poignant, surprisingly mature story to deliver the Shrek franchise’s answer to Logan we didn’t know we needed.” …Nate Richard of Collider gave the film an A−, saying: “Nothing in Puss in Boots: The Last Wish feels lazy, it more than justifies the long wait. It is not only one of the best animated films of the year, but it’s one of DreamWorks’ best and one that will strike a chord with moviegoers of all ages. It’s equal parts exciting and hilarious as well as earnest, it never feels like it is talking down to anyone.”
It’s a good analogy: Logan for kids, an unexpectedly thoughtful spin-off that’s better than much of the original series. And it doesn’t dumb things down for the kids in the audience. Sure, it meets them with “kid” situations they can relate to, but the ideas are “adult”.
After Puss realizes he is down to his last of his nine lives, the movie asks a lot of big questions. Puss has to deal with a crisis of self. He also has to fight his fear of death, which is a screen-realistic portrayal of crippling anxiety. There’s also a forced reflection on death, legacy, and what you want most out of life, particularly with limited time. He has to face his past mistakes and regrets. And, again, very little of this is simplified or dumbed down for the kiddos.
It’s not perfect. After the fast start, it takes some effort to get out of Act 1. While others praised it, I was distracted by the Spider-Verse animation style. It felt out of place in this franchise, particularly since it was only used for the action sequences. Jack Horner is generically evil and there are little vestigial bits like Ethical Bug that exist only for jokes. Unexpectedly, though, some simple-looking characters fuel the heart of the movie, specifically Perrito and Goldilocks and the Three Bears. The end is somewhat predictable, but there are enough surprises and a Pixar-level tug at the heartstrings to make it all work.
I don’t think I could name another franchise where the 6th movie is in the running for best in the series. That just doesn’t happen. It’s funny, it’s smart, it’s thoughtful – it’s just well done. The end even serves as a tease for Shrek 5, and I’m lowkey excited for it now.
Yes, yes, I know “All Star” by Smash Mouth was overplayed, but this was a great character introduction:
Sep 23, 2025; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Pittsburgh Pirates outfielder Oneil Cruz (15) high fives teammates after hitting a two-run home run in the second inning against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. Mandatory Credit: Katie Stratman-Imagn Images | Katie Stratman-Imagn Images
The much anticipated 2026 World Baseball Classic will be starting in early March with teams finalizing their rosters as the tournament approaches. The Pirates’ centerfielder Oneil Cruz is the latest addition to the Dominican Republic team.
Cruz will be participating in his first ever WBC as he joins a loaded Dominican lineup. The Pirates’ centerfielder had hinted at the possibility of participating during Pirates’ Fest, but it was officially confirmed this week.
Since coming into the league Cruz has spent his winters working out back in his native Dominican Republic, and has close ties to several of the players on the team.
— World Baseball Classic (@WBCBaseball) April 9, 2025
“Three or four days after the season or when I got to the Dominican, I started working right away with Wilton Guerrero, Vladimir Guerrero Sr.’s brother, down in the Dominican,” Cruz said. “He helped me a lot with the outfield stuff and hitting stuff. Basically no break.”
During the annual Pirates’ Fest, Cruz acknowledged his shortcomings during the 2025 season, stating that he felt that he had no time to relax this offseason and had to get to work.
“The season that I had last year, it was not my best season,” Cruz said. “I just went home, no time to relax. I went right to work. Just to work on the stuff that I was having trouble with last year and work on my body again. No time to relax. Just focus on what I need to do to get better.”
Cruz is one of the most physically gifted players in MLB, but Pirates’ fans have been waiting for him to take the next step in his career and really come into his prime. Being on this stacked Dominican team could be a great opportunity for him to be around incredible talent and get some valued experience playing in a high stakes tournament.
Oneil Cruz will play in the 2026 World Baseball Classic! 🇩🇴
The Dominican Republic last won the WBC in 2013 and with the roster they have this year are going to be hard to beat as they’re one of the best teams in international play. Players like Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Fernando Tatis Jr. and Seranthony Domínguez are just a few of the top talent that will be apart of this Dominican roster.
Fellow Pirate Paul Skenes will be representing Team USA during the WBC as the Americans will be looking to win the title on home soil.
The Dominican Republic is full of fire power throughout their lineup and rotation, and Cruz should be a welcomed addition to an already stacked roster.