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It’s only 10 games, people! That’s just 6.2% of the season! The San Francisco Giants’ 3-7 start, then, shouldn’t be cause for a complete fandom meltdown. Seriously! Okay… honestly. Okay… maybe. Look, it’s not great. It’s reflective of all the downside risks that were apparent when the team was cobbled together in the offseason. But let’s take a look at the other times the franchise has started a season 3-7 and see if we can find solace in history.

The 2026 Giants are the 21st team in franchise history to start a season 3-7 or worse. The worse starts were the 1916 squad’s 1-9 and in 1983, 1950 & 1951 when those teams started 2-8. Let’s take a look at The 3-7 club:

Is it accurate to say the Giants are off to their worst start ever? The Giants have had 21 seasons of 3 or fewer wins in their first 10 games out of 144 seasons, so it depends on how you feel about 21 out of 144 (14.5%) being reflective of rarity. I think it is. It’s as bad as their sole 100-loss season. It’s worse than the execrable 2017 team, which started the season 4-6. With a rookie manager and questionable bullpen to go with a brutal schedule to start the year, sometimes it’s fine to just go with the obvious.

Does that mean a turnaround is impossible? Not necessarily.

Now, I’m just looking at this from the pitching side for the moment just to get this post up and running. As you can see, this isn’t the worst of the worst starts in team history. Their 4.65 ERA certainly isn’t all that great. Not seen on this chart are the 90 strikeouts through 89 IP — that’s the third-most strikeouts a Giants pitching staff has had through the team’s first 10 games in franchise history. Only the 2022 (95) and 2023 (91) teams have had more. Those squads got off to 7-3 and 4-6 starts, respectively. That 98-loss 2017 team struck out 87 through those first 10 games.

That 90 strikeout total is in a three-way tie with Texas and Miami for 10th in MLB. So, there are some positives. It’s when you get to the hitting side that the situation feels inescapably dire.

That’s right. The Giants’ 26 runs through their first 10 games of a season is a top 10-worst total in franchise history, tied with that 100-loss 1985 team, but also the 2015 team, which we’ll be talking about momentarily. Only four times have the Giants scored so few runs to start a season and wound up with a winning record, and two of those times were before prior to World War I and World War II.

That’s the bad news. The good news is that we don’t have to focus on the lineup’s fecklessness to find some tangible hope. Yes, it’s only 10 games. There’s a long way to go, and in recent memory (as in the 21st century), these Giants teams proved that. Let’s quickly go through them to see if we can find examples that make us feel better about the 2026 team.

2015 (84-78, 2nd in NL West)

Fresh off their third title in five seasons, the champs stumbled out of the gate to a 9-13 April with a -28 run differential (66 scored / 94 allowed). It was largely a run it back squad save two notable exceptions: outfielder Nori Aoki and Casey McGehee, one of the worst acquisitions in team history. The Giants had traded for the 2014 NL Comeback Player of the Year in the offseason to replace Pablo Sandoval, and he proceeded to ground into 8 double plays in April. According to Baseball Reference, he was a -1.684 Win Probably Added. Which means he cost the team probably two wins in one month. It prompted former FanGraphs writer and baseball exec Dave Cameron to propose he be moved to the leadoff hitter just to limit his damage.

After their 9-13 start, though, they went 21-9 in May but then hovered around .500 the rest of the season (54-56). Remarkably, after April, the team had a +97 run differential (630-533). They ended the season with the fifth-most runs in the NL and were the second best defense, too. Their Pythagorean record of 89-73 should point to how this team should’ve continued the dynasty in a more meaningful way than the 2016 team that wound up slamming that window of contention shut.

Matt Duffy emerged, Brandon Belt and Joe Panik hit like All-Stars, and Buster Posey and Brandon Crawford gave MVP-worthy performances. That helped makeup for what was a sort of ramshackle pitching staff. Madison Bumgarner was an ace-ace (he even hit 5 home runs), but outside of Chris Heston’s no hitter, it was replacement-level pitching from Ryan Vogelsong, Tim Hudson, Tim Lincecum, and Yusmeiro Petit and the end of the line for Matt Cain. The bullpen was pretty stellar, though, with the third-best ERA in the NL (3.33).

If the 2026 Giants got to 84-78, they’d be in a great position for a Wild Card spot. All they need is a couple of MVP-type performances and a couple of All-Star caliber performances from the lineup, absent stellar pitching.

2009 (88-74, 3rd in NL West)

All you need to know about this season is that it marked the end of the only time the current Giants ownership group allowed a rebuild to happen. From 2005-2008, the Giants were trying to ride out the end of Barry Bonds’ marquee status while figuring out how to retool for their ballpark. Brian Sabean saw the Padres’ pitching and defense style as the key to unlocking success since replacing Barry Bonds in the aggregate is impossible.

The 2009 team was a pitching force. The two-headed monster of Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain picked up where it had left off. The bullpen was fantastic, too, with Jeremy Affeldt in particular a real standout.

They just couldn’t hit. They were so, so bad at hitting.

Such a bad hitting team.

A nightmare.

Their biggest offseason acquisition was Edgar Renteria, who won back a terrible line (.635 OPS in 510 PA) by grabbing the World Series for the Giants the following year. They also added Juan Uribe, which worked out great in part because Renteria struggled so much. The biggest trade deadline acquisitions where Freddy Sanchez and… Ryan Garko. Sanchez would, of course, pay off in 2010.

Their 657 runs scored is 106th of the 143 completed Giants seasons. So, not the worst, but among the worst. The 2011 team was actually worse at scoring runs (570), but most fans chalk that up to losing Buster Posey in May.

But this year’s team was proof of concept for 2010. Even after the gut punch of Ryan Spilborghs’ walk-off grand slam in August at Coors Field, the team was still in the playoff hunt come September. No Buster Posey yet, but Pablo Sandoval got some MVP votes and Uribe and Andres Torres emerged as great depth pieces.

So, all the 2026 Giants would have to do to compare to this team is get two MVP-level pitching performances from the rotation and be backed up by a stellar bullpen — oh, and at least one amazing performance from a hitter. In the past 10 years, only one Giant has matched or exceeded Pablo Sandoval’s 146 wRC+ performance from 2009: Mike Yastrzemski, who hit 58% better than the league average (158 wRC+) in… 2020. Rafael Devers has never had a season that good.

2000 (97-65 NL West champs)

Okay, this one ought to be pretty obvious. The Giants got off to a bad start because they struggled with the move from Candlestick to Pacific Bell Park. But at the end of the day, they had Barry Bonds, Jeff Kent, and Ellis Burks and just enough pitching to muddle through until they ran into the Marlins’ postseason buzzsaw. Any comparisons with this team would be inadequate and unfair to both eras. There is no Barry Bonds for so many reasons. The pitching and fielding environment is not comparable.

The other two times this century where the Giants got off to such a bad start it worked out about as bad as you would’ve expected. 2019’s 77-85 was the planned demolition of Farhan Zaidi’s first season, and it was only from the genius use </s> of sound sabermetrics principles that the team won those 77 games. The 2007 team was the first year of Bochyball and a year of transition for the franchise as Barry Bonds would play his final games.

Do these Giants have any of the talent and management reflected in the instances where the team was able to shrug off a bad start? Just looking at the situation, it seems pretty obvious that the most analogous situation is 2015. That definitely ignores that there was a Hall of Famer in the lineup, though. With all due respect to the current Giants, I don’t think that’s the case right now.

Comparing eras is never based in wisdom, but neither is fandom. We have to hope that things turn around for the team. We have to hope that the “small sample size” thing holds true in this case and that the Giants become competitive this season and go on a sustained run. They’re certainly not competitive now, and the only evidence to suggest that conditions might change is history.

It’s only 10 games, people! That’s just 6.2% of the season! The San Francisco Giants’ 3-7 start, then, shouldn’t be cause for a complete fandom meltdown. Seriously! Okay… honestly. Okay… maybe. Look, it’s not great. It’s reflective of all the downside risks that were apparent when the team was cobbled together in the offseason. But let’s take a look at the other times the franchise has started a season 3-7 and see if we can find solace in history.

The 2026 Giants are the 21st team in franchise history to start a season 3-7 or worse. The worse starts were the 1916 squad’s 1-9 and in 1983, 1950 & 1951 when those teams started 2-8. Let’s take a look at The 3-7 club:

Is it accurate to say the Giants are off to their worst start ever? The Giants have had 21 seasons of 3 or fewer wins in their first 10 games out of 144 seasons, so it depends on how you feel about 21 out of 144 (14.5%) being reflective of rarity. I think it is. It’s as bad as their sole 100-loss season. It’s worse than the execrable 2017 team, which started the season 4-6. With a rookie manager and questionable bullpen to go with a brutal schedule to start the year, sometimes it’s fine to just go with the obvious.

Does that mean a turnaround is impossible? Not necessarily.

Now, I’m just looking at this from the pitching side for the moment just to get this post up and running. As you can see, this isn’t the worst of the worst starts in team history. Their 4.65 ERA certainly isn’t all that great. Not seen on this chart are the 90 strikeouts through 89 IP — that’s the third-most strikeouts a Giants pitching staff has had through the team’s first 10 games in franchise history. Only the 2022 (95) and 2023 (91) teams have had more. Those squads got off to 7-3 and 4-6 starts, respectively. That 98-loss 2017 team struck out 87 through those first 10 games.

That 90 strikeout total is in a three-way tie with Texas and Miami for 10th in MLB. So, there are some positives. It’s when you get to the hitting side that the situation feels inescapably dire.

That’s right. The Giants’ 26 runs through their first 10 games of a season is a top 10-worst total in franchise history, tied with that 100-loss 1985 team, but also the 2015 team, which we’ll be talking about momentarily. Only four times have the Giants scored so few runs to start a season and wound up with a winning record, and two of those times were before prior to World War I and World War II.

That’s the bad news. The good news is that we don’t have to focus on the lineup’s fecklessness to find some tangible hope. Yes, it’s only 10 games. There’s a long way to go, and in recent memory (as in the 21st century), these Giants teams proved that. Let’s quickly go through them to see if we can find examples that make us feel better about the 2026 team.

2015 (84-78, 2nd in NL West)

Fresh off their third title in five seasons, the champs stumbled out of the gate to a 9-13 April with a -28 run differential (66 scored / 94 allowed). It was largely a run it back squad save two notable exceptions: outfielder Nori Aoki and Casey McGehee, one of the worst acquisitions in team history. The Giants had traded for the 2014 NL Comeback Player of the Year in the offseason to replace Pablo Sandoval, and he proceeded to ground into 8 double plays in April. According to Baseball Reference, he was a -1.684 Win Probably Added. Which means he cost the team probably two wins in one month. It prompted former FanGraphs writer and baseball exec Dave Cameron to propose he be moved to the leadoff hitter just to limit his damage.

After their 9-13 start, though, they went 21-9 in May but then hovered around .500 the rest of the season (54-56). Remarkably, after April, the team had a +97 run differential (630-533). They ended the season with the fifth-most runs in the NL and were the second best defense, too. Their Pythagorean record of 89-73 should point to how this team should’ve continued the dynasty in a more meaningful way than the 2016 team that wound up slamming that window of contention shut.

Matt Duffy emerged, Brandon Belt and Joe Panik hit like All-Stars, and Buster Posey and Brandon Crawford gave MVP-worthy performances. That helped makeup for what was a sort of ramshackle pitching staff. Madison Bumgarner was an ace-ace (he even hit 5 home runs), but outside of Chris Heston’s no hitter, it was replacement-level pitching from Ryan Vogelsong, Tim Hudson, Tim Lincecum, and Yusmeiro Petit and the end of the line for Matt Cain. The bullpen was pretty stellar, though, with the third-best ERA in the NL (3.33).

If the 2026 Giants got to 84-78, they’d be in a great position for a Wild Card spot. All they need is a couple of MVP-type performances and a couple of All-Star caliber performances from the lineup, absent stellar pitching.

2009 (88-74, 3rd in NL West)

All you need to know about this season is that it marked the end of the only time the current Giants ownership group allowed a rebuild to happen. From 2005-2008, the Giants were trying to ride out the end of Barry Bonds’ marquee status while figuring out how to retool for their ballpark. Brian Sabean saw the Padres’ pitching and defense style as the key to unlocking success since replacing Barry Bonds in the aggregate is impossible.

The 2009 team was a pitching force. The two-headed monster of Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain picked up where it had left off. The bullpen was fantastic, too, with Jeremy Affeldt in particular a real standout.

They just couldn’t hit. They were so, so bad at hitting.

Such a bad hitting team.

A nightmare.

Their biggest offseason acquisition was Edgar Renteria, who won back a terrible line (.635 OPS in 510 PA) by grabbing the World Series for the Giants the following year. They also added Juan Uribe, which worked out great in part because Renteria struggled so much. The biggest trade deadline acquisitions where Freddy Sanchez and… Ryan Garko. Sanchez would, of course, pay off in 2010.

Their 657 runs scored is 106th of the 143 completed Giants seasons. So, not the worst, but among the worst. The 2011 team was actually worse at scoring runs (570), but most fans chalk that up to losing Buster Posey in May.

But this year’s team was proof of concept for 2010. Even after the gut punch of Ryan Spilborghs’ walk-off grand slam in August at Coors Field, the team was still in the playoff hunt come September. No Buster Posey yet, but Pablo Sandoval got some MVP votes and Uribe and Andres Torres emerged as great depth pieces.

So, all the 2026 Giants would have to do to compare to this team is get two MVP-level pitching performances from the rotation and be backed up by a stellar bullpen — oh, and at least one amazing performance from a hitter. In the past 10 years, only one Giant has matched or exceeded Pablo Sandoval’s 146 wRC+ performance from 2009: Mike Yastrzemski, who hit 58% better than the league average (158 wRC+) in… 2020. Rafael Devers has never had a season that good.

2000 (97-65 NL West champs)

Okay, this one ought to be pretty obvious. The Giants got off to a bad start because they struggled with the move from Candlestick to Pacific Bell Park. But at the end of the day, they had Barry Bonds, Jeff Kent, and Ellis Burks and just enough pitching to muddle through until they ran into the Marlins’ postseason buzzsaw. Any comparisons with this team would be inadequate and unfair to both eras. There is no Barry Bonds for so many reasons. The pitching and fielding environment is not comparable.

The other two times this century where the Giants got off to such a bad start it worked out about as bad as you would’ve expected. 2019’s 77-85 was the planned demolition of Farhan Zaidi’s first season, and it was only from the genius use </s> of sound sabermetrics principles that the team won those 77 games. The 2007 team was the first year of Bochyball and a year of transition for the franchise as Barry Bonds would play his final games.

Do these Giants have any of the talent and management reflected in the instances where the team was able to shrug off a bad start? Just looking at the situation, it seems pretty obvious that the most analogous situation is 2015. That definitely ignores that there was a Hall of Famer in the lineup, though. With all due respect to the current Giants, I don’t think that’s the case right now.

Comparing eras is never based in wisdom, but neither is fandom. We have to hope that things turn around for the team. We have to hope that the “small sample size” thing holds true in this case and that the Giants become competitive this season and go on a sustained run. They’re certainly not competitive now, and the only evidence to suggest that conditions might change is history.

When Mariners prospect Colt Emerson signed his (then) record-breaking extension before ever appearing in an MLB game, much of the conversation focused on the risk the Mariners were taking, allocating such a long-term, significant chunk of payroll to a player who has yet to take a big-league at-bat.

Considerably less attention was paid to the risk Emerson was taking on – an easy thing to do when minting generational wealth before one of is of legal drinking age. But if the financial risk is somewhat less impactful for Emerson (what is a slight contract valuation difference between friends, especially some of those friends are inveterate proles from whom $10M/year is as outlandish a figure as $20M/year), the cultural risk is significant. José Ramírez bet on the perpetually-pesky Guardians and has received years of playoff appearances; Mike Trout signed up to be an Angel for life in 2019, only to miss the playoffs for the past decade, see his fellow generational superstar leave for the “cross-town” “rival,” and for internal organizational failures to be documented in excruciating detail in the press.

It’s a heady decision to make as a player deep in a major-league career, but even more so for young players signing the peak years of their 20s away to an organization, like the high-dollar long-term deals signed by Corbin Carroll with the D-Backs, Roman Anthony with the Red Sox, or Ronald Acuña with the Braves. The organization might choose a player, but the player has to choose that organization back.

That’s a trust that touches every level of the organization: from trusting the team’s commitment to winning baseball as shown in things like investing in good development and allocating organizational resources to the on-field product; to trusting the team to share your values about how to treat people and the surrounding environment. Luckily for the Mariners, they have a current track record with signing young players to extensions – Julio Rodríguez, followed by Cal Raleigh – that allows them to demonstrate firsthand what it means on and off the field to be a long-term Seattle Mariner. Raleigh, especially, has emerged as a team leader whose voice helps shape organizational decisions. It’s an appraisal Raleigh has earned, first with his daily dedication to the team’s operations, but also a right he’s granted as a stakeholder in the team’s future when he signed his extension.

It’s not hard to see Emerson, who possesses Raleigh’s same drive and a similarly keen mind, following in those footsteps. Emerson has spoken glowingly of Raleigh as a player and a person, as someone whose minor-league career he has sought to emulate.

“You just go around and look at the clubhouse, look at the guys in the clubhouse, and they’re role models,” said Emerson ahead of a game in Tacoma on Saturday. “Cal Raleigh, I mean, he shows up to the field at spring training at 5:30 in the morning, every morning. That’s the example that he sets, and that’s the example I follow and want to set, too.”

Emerson’s work ethic did stand out this spring, as he found himself shoulder-to-shoulder with seasoned veterans like Rob Refsnyder, Brendan Donovan, and Josh Naylor, all of whom were happy to have the rookie in their midst, eagerly absorbing their wisdom – listening more than he spoke, but not without contributing his own thoughts. The image of Emerson enmeshed among players several years his senior wasn’t a surprising one to Mariners President of Baseball Operations Jerry Dipoto.

“I think Colt is universally respected for how he goes about his business; for who he is as a person; the respect he has for his teammates; the way he prepares and his thoughtfulness,” said Dipoto in a meeting with the media after the contract was announced. “You can’t not appreciate that. And I know his teammates do. He got rave reviews from the veteran players in the spring.”

For Emerson, as is typical, he deflects the praise, makes it bigger than himself.

“There’s a lot of hard workers in the clubhouse,” he said. “Lot of hard workers in the minor leagues. And, that’s just a testament to the Mariners and how they pick guys. Everybody’s got the same goal. Everybody works really hard, and it’s cool to be able to do that. I don’t know too many organizations that have that type of culture.”

“The culture here is just so incredible.“

Emerson paused for a moment, the normally whip-quick shortstop at a rare loss for words.

”I can’t even describe it.” 

Emerson is young, but he’s not without experience in high-pressure environments. As a prep prospect, he played on the showcase circuit, and for Team USA. Shortly after Emerson was drafted, Scott Hunter, Mariners Director of Scouting, said the thing that stood out the most about Colt was a question not asked of Emerson himself but a boilerplate question asked of other prospects the Mariners were considering: which player from this process would you most want to be teammates with?

The answer, overwhelmingly: Colt Emerson.

Watching Emerson this spring, his leadership was obvious: certainly in high-profile moments, like watching him command the infield from the shortstop position; but in quieter moments, as well. How he took time to greet every person at the complex, from teammates to media members to custodial staff, by name if he knew it. How he held the curtain at the batting cages open for the next hitter to go through. A stray empty water bottle picked up and deposited in a nearby trashcan. The kind of leadership that’s still there when no one is looking.

The Mariners have had an opportunity to log these small moments of leadership by Emerson for years. They might not know exactly how Emerson performs on the field, but they absolutely know the person they are getting. That, along with the treasure trove of proprietary data to which they’re privy, might have given them the advantage in a deal that carries some degree of risk for both sides.

If anything, it’s Emerson who is taking a leap of faith, choosing to believe in the organization that has drafted him, developed him, and offered him stability – something that means a lot to the process-driven, routine-oriented infielder, who says he’s grateful for the opportunity to be able to focus on his singular goal when he’s on the field.

“For me, going out on the field every single day, I’m trying to do what the team needs to win. I like to say I’m a winning ball player every time I show up to the field,” says Emerson, invoking a favorite phrase. “So, given the security of being in the same city for the next eight years, just allows me to stay the same guy. I mean, I’m never planning to change as a person, so I’m just happy to go out there and be a winning ballplayer for the team and do whatever they need me to do.” 

It’s that stability and clarity of purpose that seems to matter to Emerson, even more so than the money – “I’m not a very materialistic person,” he said, noting that everything has “come so quickly” that he hasn’t had an opportunity to process it. Signing on with the Mariners at this stage in his career allows him to do the thing he most wants to do: focus on “being a winning ballplayer” without any outside distractions.

In a way, it’s something Emerson has been angling towards his whole career. Quick, deep cut Mariners trivia quiz: when the All-Star Game was in Seattle in 2023, who announced the Mariners’ first-round pick?

If you remember the adorable nine-year-old cancer survivor Tiago Viernes, good for you. Colt Emerson remembers Tiago, who is inextricably tied to the moment he knew he wanted to be a Seattle Mariner for a long time.

“When I got drafted in ‘23 and the All-Star game was in Seattle, and Tiago called my name, I knew it was special from that moment,” said Emerson.

“And from that moment on, I was just like: this is going to be my spot. You know? Or, I hoped so. And it ended up being [so], and that’s all part of God’s plan.“

“I’m just so thankful and grateful just for the opportunity, really.”

When Mariners prospect Colt Emerson signed his (then) record-breaking extension before ever appearing in an MLB game, much of the conversation focused on the risk the Mariners were taking, allocating such a long-term, significant chunk of payroll to a player who has yet to take a big-league at-bat.

Considerably less attention was paid to the risk Emerson was taking on – an easy thing to do when minting generational wealth before one of is of legal drinking age. But if the financial risk is somewhat less impactful for Emerson (what is a slight contract valuation difference between friends, especially some of those friends are inveterate proles from whom $10M/year is as outlandish a figure as $20M/year), the cultural risk is significant. José Ramírez bet on the perpetually-pesky Guardians and has received years of playoff appearances; Mike Trout signed up to be an Angel for life in 2019, only to miss the playoffs for the past decade, see his fellow generational superstar leave for the “cross-town” “rival,” and for internal organizational failures to be documented in excruciating detail in the press.

It’s a heady decision to make as a player deep in a major-league career, but even more so for young players signing the peak years of their 20s away to an organization, like the high-dollar long-term deals signed by Corbin Carroll with the D-Backs, Roman Anthony with the Red Sox, or Ronald Acuña with the Braves. The organization might choose a player, but the player has to choose that organization back.

That’s a trust that touches every level of the organization: from trusting the team’s commitment to winning baseball as shown in things like investing in good development and allocating organizational resources to the on-field product; to trusting the team to share your values about how to treat people and the surrounding environment. Luckily for the Mariners, they have a current track record with signing young players to extensions – Julio Rodríguez, followed by Cal Raleigh – that allows them to demonstrate firsthand what it means on and off the field to be a long-term Seattle Mariner. Raleigh, especially, has emerged as a team leader whose voice helps shape organizational decisions. It’s an appraisal Raleigh has earned, first with his daily dedication to the team’s operations, but also a right he’s granted as a stakeholder in the team’s future when he signed his extension.

It’s not hard to see Emerson, who possesses Raleigh’s same drive and a similarly keen mind, following in those footsteps. Emerson has spoken glowingly of Raleigh as a player and a person, as someone whose minor-league career he has sought to emulate.

“You just go around and look at the clubhouse, look at the guys in the clubhouse, and they’re role models,” said Emerson ahead of a game in Tacoma on Saturday. “Cal Raleigh, I mean, he shows up to the field at spring training at 5:30 in the morning, every morning. That’s the example that he sets, and that’s the example I follow and want to set, too.”

Emerson’s work ethic did stand out this spring, as he found himself shoulder-to-shoulder with seasoned veterans like Rob Refsnyder, Brendan Donovan, and Josh Naylor, all of whom were happy to have the rookie in their midst, eagerly absorbing their wisdom – listening more than he spoke, but not without contributing his own thoughts. The image of Emerson enmeshed among players several years his senior wasn’t a surprising one to Mariners President of Baseball Operations Jerry Dipoto.

“I think Colt is universally respected for how he goes about his business; for who he is as a person; the respect he has for his teammates; the way he prepares and his thoughtfulness,” said Dipoto in a meeting with the media after the contract was announced. “You can’t not appreciate that. And I know his teammates do. He got rave reviews from the veteran players in the spring.”

For Emerson, as is typical, he deflects the praise, makes it bigger than himself.

“There’s a lot of hard workers in the clubhouse,” he said. “Lot of hard workers in the minor leagues. And, that’s just a testament to the Mariners and how they pick guys. Everybody’s got the same goal. Everybody works really hard, and it’s cool to be able to do that. I don’t know too many organizations that have that type of culture.”

“The culture here is just so incredible.“

Emerson paused for a moment, the normally whip-quick shortstop at a rare loss for words.

”I can’t even describe it.” 

Emerson is young, but he’s not without experience in high-pressure environments. As a prep prospect, he played on the showcase circuit, and for Team USA. Shortly after Emerson was drafted, Scott Hunter, Mariners Director of Scouting, said the thing that stood out the most about Colt was a question not asked of Emerson himself but a boilerplate question asked of other prospects the Mariners were considering: which player from this process would you most want to be teammates with?

The answer, overwhelmingly: Colt Emerson.

Watching Emerson this spring, his leadership was obvious: certainly in high-profile moments, like watching him command the infield from the shortstop position; but in quieter moments, as well. How he took time to greet every person at the complex, from teammates to media members to custodial staff, by name if he knew it. How he held the curtain at the batting cages open for the next hitter to go through. A stray empty water bottle picked up and deposited in a nearby trashcan. The kind of leadership that’s still there when no one is looking.

The Mariners have had an opportunity to log these small moments of leadership by Emerson for years. They might not know exactly how Emerson performs on the field, but they absolutely know the person they are getting. That, along with the treasure trove of proprietary data to which they’re privy, might have given them the advantage in a deal that carries some degree of risk for both sides.

If anything, it’s Emerson who is taking a leap of faith, choosing to believe in the organization that has drafted him, developed him, and offered him stability – something that means a lot to the process-driven, routine-oriented infielder, who says he’s grateful for the opportunity to be able to focus on his singular goal when he’s on the field.

“For me, going out on the field every single day, I’m trying to do what the team needs to win. I like to say I’m a winning ball player every time I show up to the field,” says Emerson, invoking a favorite phrase. “So, given the security of being in the same city for the next eight years, just allows me to stay the same guy. I mean, I’m never planning to change as a person, so I’m just happy to go out there and be a winning ballplayer for the team and do whatever they need me to do.” 

It’s that stability and clarity of purpose that seems to matter to Emerson, even more so than the money – “I’m not a very materialistic person,” he said, noting that everything has “come so quickly” that he hasn’t had an opportunity to process it. Signing on with the Mariners at this stage in his career allows him to do the thing he most wants to do: focus on “being a winning ballplayer” without any outside distractions.

In a way, it’s something Emerson has been angling towards his whole career. Quick, deep cut Mariners trivia quiz: when the All-Star Game was in Seattle in 2023, who announced the Mariners’ first-round pick?

If you remember the adorable nine-year-old cancer survivor Tiago Viernes, good for you. Colt Emerson remembers Tiago, who is inextricably tied to the moment he knew he wanted to be a Seattle Mariner for a long time.

“When I got drafted in ‘23 and the All-Star game was in Seattle, and Tiago called my name, I knew it was special from that moment,” said Emerson.

“And from that moment on, I was just like: this is going to be my spot. You know? Or, I hoped so. And it ended up being [so], and that’s all part of God’s plan.“

“I’m just so thankful and grateful just for the opportunity, really.”

Here are five things to watch and predictions as the Mets and Diamondbacks play a three-game series at Citi Field starting on Tuesday night...

5 things to watch

How will Mets replace Juan Soto?

Soto left Friday night's game against the Giants in San Francisco ahead of the second inning due to a calf issue. Following an MRI, Soto was diagnosed with a minor calf strain and labeled day-to-day.

The Mets said on Saturday that the plan was to assess Soto in 48-72 hours and then determine next steps. On Monday, they made the next step, placing Soto on the 10-day IL (retroactive to Saturday) and noting that a typical return to play for this kind of injury is two-to-three weeks.

With Soto out, the Mets have multiple ways they can go.

They can use Jared Young (who went 3-for-3 on Sunday) in one of the corner outfield spots, along with Luis Robert Jr. in center field and Carson Benge in the other corner spot.

The Mets could also get Brett Baty, Mark Vientos, and Jorge Polanco all in the lineup by using Baty in a corner outfield spot while deploying Vientos and Polanco at first base and designated hitter. 

Francisco Lindor is in an offensive funk

Lindor is hitting just .135/.333/.243 with two extra-base hits (both triples) in 48 plate appearances over the first 10 games of the season.

On the plus side, Lindor has drawn a National League-leading 10 walks. And his incredibly low batting average on balls in play (.172) compared to his career BABIP (.291) suggests he has been very unlucky.

On the negative side, Lindor hasn't been hitting the ball particularly hard (34.5 percent hard hit percentage) and has been hitting the ball on the ground a ton (48.3 percent).

Lindor didn't have a full spring training of at-bats due to surgery for a stress reaction to his left hamate bone, so it's possible he's working off the rust.

It should also be noted that the surgery Lindor had is something that sometimes saps power for a period of time upon a player's return. 

The Mets' pitching has been elite

New York has allowed just 32 runs this season, with only the Yankees, Braves, and Reds giving up fewer.

A lot of that has to do with terrific starts to the season from Kodai Senga (3.09 ERA), Nolan McLean (2.61 ERA), and Clay Holmes (1.42 ERA).

The Mets also got a very strong outing from Freddy Peralta (one run in 5.1 innings) in his second start of the year after he was victimized by some bad luck (including a two-run homer that had an xBA of .030) on Opening Day.

If David Peterson rounds into form after allowing six runs (five earned) against the Giants after tossing 5.1 scoreless innings against the Pirates in his first start of the season, New York's rotation will be in great shape.

In the bullpen, four of the Mets' relievers (Devin Williams, Luke Weaver, Brooks Raley, and Huascar Brazoban) are unscored upon, while Tobias Myers (1.13 ERA and 0.38 WHIP in 8.0 innings) has been a multi-inning weapon.

The D-backs are giving up runs in bunches

The Diamondbacks' run differential was seriously dented when they allowed 17 runs to the Braves last Thursday.

But their pitching hasn't been very good overall, with Arizona allowing five runs or more in six of their 10 games.

Some of that damage came during a season-opening three-game sweep at the hands of the Dodgers, and the D-backs have faced two other contenders (the Tigers and Braves) since. So it's not like they've been getting victimized by also-rans. 

Against the Mets, Arizona will send out Zac Gallen (3.60 ERA in 10.0 innings), Ryne Nelson (5.79 ERA, four homers allowed in 9.1 innings), and Eduardo Rodriguez (0.00 ERA in 12.0 innings over his first two starts).

Mets must be careful with Corbin Carroll

Arizona has mustered just 35 runs this season, an average of 3.5 per game.

Unsurprisingly given that lack of overall production, key lineup cogs Ketel Marte (.578 OPS), Geraldo Perdomo (.577 OPS), Alek Thomas (.408 OPS), and Carlos Santana (.279 OPS) are off to slow starts.

Offseason acquisition Nolan Arenado (.426 OPS) is also struggling.

One player whose bat is sizzling? Carroll.

The dynamic outfielder is hitting .313/.410/.656 with two homers, two triples, one double, and nine RBI.

Predictions

Who will the MVP of the series be?

Bo Bichette

Bichette is starting to break out.

Which Mets pitcher will have the best start?

Nolan McLean

McLean has been largely dominant during his first two starts despite not having his best stuff in either one. 

Which Diamondbacks player will be a thorn in the Mets' side?

Ketel Marte

Marte's bat started to wake up on Sunday, as he went 2-for-5 with a pair of doubles. 

Here are five things to watch and predictions as the Mets and Diamondbacks play a three-game series at Citi Field starting on Tuesday night...

5 things to watch

How will Mets replace Juan Soto?

Soto left Friday night's game against the Giants in San Francisco ahead of the second inning due to a calf issue. Following an MRI, Soto was diagnosed with a minor calf strain and labeled day-to-day.

The Mets said on Saturday that the plan was to assess Soto in 48-72 hours and then determine next steps. On Monday, they made the next step, placing Soto on the 10-day IL (retroactive to Saturday) and noting that a typical return to play for this kind of injury is two-to-three weeks.

With Soto out, the Mets have multiple ways they can go.

They can use Jared Young (who went 3-for-3 on Sunday) in one of the corner outfield spots, along with Luis Robert Jr. in center field and Carson Benge in the other corner spot.

The Mets could also get Brett Baty, Mark Vientos, and Jorge Polanco all in the lineup by using Baty in a corner outfield spot while deploying Vientos and Polanco at first base and designated hitter. 

Francisco Lindor is in an offensive funk

Lindor is hitting just .135/.333/.243 with two extra-base hits (both triples) in 48 plate appearances over the first 10 games of the season.

On the plus side, Lindor has drawn a National League-leading 10 walks. And his incredibly low batting average on balls in play (.172) compared to his career BABIP (.291) suggests he has been very unlucky.

On the negative side, Lindor hasn't been hitting the ball particularly hard (34.5 percent hard hit percentage) and has been hitting the ball on the ground a ton (48.3 percent).

Lindor didn't have a full spring training of at-bats due to surgery for a stress reaction to his left hamate bone, so it's possible he's working off the rust.

It should also be noted that the surgery Lindor had is something that sometimes saps power for a period of time upon a player's return. 

The Mets' pitching has been elite

New York has allowed just 32 runs this season, with only the Yankees, Braves, and Reds giving up fewer.

A lot of that has to do with terrific starts to the season from Kodai Senga (3.09 ERA), Nolan McLean (2.61 ERA), and Clay Holmes (1.42 ERA).

The Mets also got a very strong outing from Freddy Peralta (one run in 5.1 innings) in his second start of the year after he was victimized by some bad luck (including a two-run homer that had an xBA of .030) on Opening Day.

If David Peterson rounds into form after allowing six runs (five earned) against the Giants after tossing 5.1 scoreless innings against the Pirates in his first start of the season, New York's rotation will be in great shape.

In the bullpen, four of the Mets' relievers (Devin Williams, Luke Weaver, Brooks Raley, and Huascar Brazoban) are unscored upon, while Tobias Myers (1.13 ERA and 0.38 WHIP in 8.0 innings) has been a multi-inning weapon.

The D-backs are giving up runs in bunches

The Diamondbacks' run differential was seriously dented when they allowed 17 runs to the Braves last Thursday.

But their pitching hasn't been very good overall, with Arizona allowing five runs or more in six of their 10 games.

Some of that damage came during a season-opening three-game sweep at the hands of the Dodgers, and the D-backs have faced two other contenders (the Tigers and Braves) since. So it's not like they've been getting victimized by also-rans. 

Against the Mets, Arizona will send out Zac Gallen (3.60 ERA in 10.0 innings), Ryne Nelson (5.79 ERA, four homers allowed in 9.1 innings), and Eduardo Rodriguez (0.00 ERA in 12.0 innings over his first two starts).

Mets must be careful with Corbin Carroll

Arizona has mustered just 35 runs this season, an average of 3.5 per game.

Unsurprisingly given that lack of overall production, key lineup cogs Ketel Marte (.578 OPS), Geraldo Perdomo (.577 OPS), Alek Thomas (.408 OPS), and Carlos Santana (.279 OPS) are off to slow starts.

Offseason acquisition Nolan Arenado (.426 OPS) is also struggling.

One player whose bat is sizzling? Carroll.

The dynamic outfielder is hitting .313/.410/.656 with two homers, two triples, one double, and nine RBI.

Predictions

Who will the MVP of the series be?

Bo Bichette

Bichette is starting to break out.

Which Mets pitcher will have the best start?

Nolan McLean

McLean has been largely dominant during his first two starts despite not having his best stuff in either one. 

Which Diamondbacks player will be a thorn in the Mets' side?

Ketel Marte

Marte's bat started to wake up on Sunday, as he went 2-for-5 with a pair of doubles. 

Who is he and where did he come from?

He’s Tyler Uberstine, and if you’ve been furrowing your brow at Greg Weissert coming in and letting another inherited runner score, he’s a guy you might want to get to know.

Uberstine, from Santa Monica, California, was selected by the Red Sox in the 19th round of the 2021 MLB Draft out of Northwestern and worked his way up the Major League system after initially stalling in single-A ball for three years. But a switch flipped following his Tommy John surgery and he consistently struck out more than a batter per inning his whole way up the ladder.

The Easter bunny had a surprise in store for Uberstine yesterday, as the 26-year-old came in to pitch the sixth inning and made his Major League debut, keeping it a 6-4 ball game against the Padres. He showcased his notable command and got his first Major League strikeout… and his second one, too! This gave the Red Sox the ability to tie the game up in the seventh.

Uberstine was surprisingly thrown back in to start the eighth and gave up his first Major League home run. That put him in a position to take the decision loss in his debut, but the managerial blunder shouldn’t take away what was a pretty good appearance: 2 2/3 innings pitched, 1 run, two strikeouts, three hits, and a walk.

What position does he play?

He’s a right-handed pitcher. He’s primarily been used as a starter since he was drafted, but he can provide multi-inning relief in the situation the Red Sox find themselves in currently, especially with Johan Oviedo, who very much was penciled into that role, going to the IL, and Garrett Whitlock’s wife giving birth to their second child. (Congrats to the Whitlock family!)

Is he any good?

He could be. Uberstine turns 27 on June 1, and so it’s cool to have a homegrown talent this side of 30 that really climbed his way to the Major League roster despite not never blowing anyone away. Now, he did have a health stumble by way of a Tommy John surgery in 2023, requiring him to miss most of that season, but his fastball remains at around 94 miles per hour. Unfortunately, he lacks a bit of command with the heater, which grades out at just 45 on the scouting scale. He also has a five-pitch arsenal, and his sinker tops 90. He’s best known for painting the top of the strike zone, as displayed in the second pitch in this video. His dependability since returning from Tommy John surgery and ability to adjust to batters quickly has likely led to his early-season debut above some other arms in the organization.

Tl;dr, just give me the stats.

Last year, in Double-A and Triple-A, he made 25 appearances, logging 137 strikeouts in 120 innings with a 3.58 ERA, while giving up 16 homers and walking 37 batters.

Show me a cool highlight.

When he has command, he really has it. Here’s another strikeout.

What’s he doing in his picture up there?

Practicing the ridiculous on-base celebration the Red Sox are doing this year, or at least the toned-down version, which our own Maura McGurk is totally right to criticize. I don’t long for others to get on turbulent plane rides, but it was a much better celebration following that trip to Denver.

What’s his role on the 2026 Red Sox?

You’re seeing it right now. He might eat some innings, and he’ll likely induce a lot of swings and misses. Last year, his whiff percentage was 38% in Triple-A. It’s notable that Uberstine was put into a game in which the Red Sox found themselves down by two runs, because getting them through those somewhat-trivial innings may be his primary job at first. It’s also totally likely that, if his impact is just menial, Payton Tolle’s time to rejoin the club in mid-May to buy the team another year of contr…. I mean, to help his development, may signal the end of Uberstine’s time on this squad, barring any sort of injury or horrendous play by any current member of the bullpen. But the best case scenario is that this draft pick carves out his own spot on the roster the same way he’s entered conversations to make his Major League debut in the first place.

Who is he and where did he come from?

He’s Tyler Uberstine, and if you’ve been furrowing your brow at Greg Weissert coming in and letting another inherited runner score, he’s a guy you might want to get to know.

Uberstine, from Santa Monica, California, was selected by the Red Sox in the 19th round of the 2021 MLB Draft out of Northwestern and worked his way up the Major League system after initially stalling in single-A ball for three years. But a switch flipped following his Tommy John surgery and he consistently struck out more than a batter per inning his whole way up the ladder.

The Easter bunny had a surprise in store for Uberstine yesterday, as the 26-year-old came in to pitch the sixth inning and made his Major League debut, keeping it a 6-4 ball game against the Padres. He showcased his notable command and got his first Major League strikeout… and his second one, too! This gave the Red Sox the ability to tie the game up in the seventh.

Uberstine was surprisingly thrown back in to start the eighth and gave up his first Major League home run. That put him in a position to take the decision loss in his debut, but the managerial blunder shouldn’t take away what was a pretty good appearance: 2 2/3 innings pitched, 1 run, two strikeouts, three hits, and a walk.

What position does he play?

He’s a right-handed pitcher. He’s primarily been used as a starter since he was drafted, but he can provide multi-inning relief in the situation the Red Sox find themselves in currently, especially with Johan Oviedo, who very much was penciled into that role, going to the IL, and Garrett Whitlock’s wife giving birth to their second child. (Congrats to the Whitlock family!)

Is he any good?

He could be. Uberstine turns 27 on June 1, and so it’s cool to have a homegrown talent this side of 30 that really climbed his way to the Major League roster despite not never blowing anyone away. Now, he did have a health stumble by way of a Tommy John surgery in 2023, requiring him to miss most of that season, but his fastball remains at around 94 miles per hour. Unfortunately, he lacks a bit of command with the heater, which grades out at just 45 on the scouting scale. He also has a five-pitch arsenal, and his sinker tops 90. He’s best known for painting the top of the strike zone, as displayed in the second pitch in this video. His dependability since returning from Tommy John surgery and ability to adjust to batters quickly has likely led to his early-season debut above some other arms in the organization.

Tl;dr, just give me the stats.

Last year, in Double-A and Triple-A, he made 25 appearances, logging 137 strikeouts in 120 innings with a 3.58 ERA, while giving up 16 homers and walking 37 batters.

Show me a cool highlight.

When he has command, he really has it. Here’s another strikeout.

What’s he doing in his picture up there?

Practicing the ridiculous on-base celebration the Red Sox are doing this year, or at least the toned-down version, which our own Maura McGurk is totally right to criticize. I don’t long for others to get on turbulent plane rides, but it was a much better celebration following that trip to Denver.

What’s his role on the 2026 Red Sox?

You’re seeing it right now. He might eat some innings, and he’ll likely induce a lot of swings and misses. Last year, his whiff percentage was 38% in Triple-A. It’s notable that Uberstine was put into a game in which the Red Sox found themselves down by two runs, because getting them through those somewhat-trivial innings may be his primary job at first. It’s also totally likely that, if his impact is just menial, Payton Tolle’s time to rejoin the club in mid-May to buy the team another year of contr…. I mean, to help his development, may signal the end of Uberstine’s time on this squad, barring any sort of injury or horrendous play by any current member of the bullpen. But the best case scenario is that this draft pick carves out his own spot on the roster the same way he’s entered conversations to make his Major League debut in the first place.