Sunday's massive 15-game MLB slate offers numerous player prop betting opportunities that we are eager to take advantage of.
I'm targeting three sluggers in great spots and terrific plus-money odds for James Wood, Yordan Alvarez, and Jonathan Aranda to have big days at the dish.
Read on for my MLB player props and MLB picks for Sunday, June 14.
Wood’s 2026 profile is pure elite material, sitting at a 100th percentile .627 xSLG and an absurd 25.4% Barrel %.
The massive catalyst? He’s lifted his launch angle to 10.5°, turning those rockets into extra-base hits.
Now enter Hancock. He features a fastball-heavy mix over 61% of the time, which plays right into Wood’s hands (4.8 combined Run Value against 4-seamers and sinkers).
Hancock doesn’t miss bats, doesn't chase, and surrenders a dangerous 90.4 MPH average exit velocity (18th percentile).
Wood has at least two total bases in three of his last four games, and is a strong bet to +100.
Alvarez has been elite in 2026 (.327 AVG, .658 SLG, .744 xSLG, 100th percentile), backed by a 94.9 MPH exit velocity and 19.1% Barrel rate.
Kolek leans on a fastball-sinker combo more than half the time, and Alvarez has crushed both (.806 SLG vs four-seamers, .488 vs sinkers, positive Run Values on each).
Kolek's 17.4% K rate means plenty of balls in play, and a bonus for Alvarez. Play this prop to -105.
Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
Where to watch: Space City Home Network, Royals.TV
Rodriguez has been brutal in 2026 (8.10 ERA, 6.66 xERA, .306 xBA allowed, 52.0% hard-hit rate allowed), and opponents are slugging .596 against his four-seamer, which he throws 52% of the time.
The Tampa Bay Rays slugger has punished four-seamers before (.353/.569 last year) and brings a strong power profile (.372 xwOBA, .473 xSLG, 11.7% Barrel rate, 45.6% hard-hit rate) and declining whiff rate on the pitch this season (20%). Play this one to +105.
Time: 4:07 p.m. ET
Where to watch: Angels.TV Rays.TV
Phil Naessens' 2026 Transparency Record
Prop picks: 6-2, +9.95 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JUNE 14: New York Knicks fans climb on buses as they celebrate after they win the NBA Finals in Times Square on June 14, 2026 in New York City. The New York Knicks lead the San Antonio Spurs 3-1 and could win the franchise's first NBA championship since 1973 if they win tonight.(Photo by Adam Gray/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Your New York Knicks are the 2026 NBA champions. Full stop.
And hey, it was very obvious from the moment the final buzzer sounded inside that sad-for-the-hosts arena in San Antonio, that the thing that mattered the most to everybody in New York City was going outside. Going mad outside.
There will be two banners. There will be a proper parade. There will surely be a whole lot of summer to review and replay and comment on Jalen Brunson’s historic 45-point Game 5 masterpiece.
Now, though? Now it’s the New Yorkers who stuck around for 53 years who are getting all the spotlight they too deserve.
You know why? Cause before Game 5 tipped off on Saturday evening, the Knicks were -500 to win the series on FanDuel. That’s cool! But you know what and why, too? The damn oddsmakers had the Knicks as the underdogs at +172 to close it out in San Antonio, as 5.5-point underdogs. To hell with that, fam.
New York beat the San Antonio Spurs 94-90, finishing the Finals in five games and ending a five-decade-plus championship drought. Brunson won Finals MVP after scoring 45 points in the clincher. The damn Knicks did it again and came back from a 16-point deficit on the road, in a closeout game. What’s not to love!?
The NBA showed Knicks fans celebrating in Central Park as the title became a reality.
Right after the game and during Josh Hart’s presser, James Dolan briefly interrupted the Knickerbocker to send a message to the New York masses. “Stay safe out there,” he said. Good luck with that! (But stay safe out there, fam)
— Bart Trzynadlowski (@BartronPolygon) June 14, 2026
ABC7NY captured fans celebrating after Game 5, with New York City finally getting to release everything that had been eating them since 1973.
New York Knicks fans celebrate their victory after Game 5 of the NBA Finals basketball series against the San Antonio Spurs, Saturday, June 13, 2026, in New York. (AP Photo/Heather Khalifa) pic.twitter.com/QwrRdmVmYw
Breaking911 posted the Times Square scene, which looked like every Knicks fan in the city had agreed to meet in the same spot to lose their minds collectively.
CBS wasn’t lucky avoiding F-bombs, with a fan out of her mind making it clear what she was feeling, and the reporter nearly collapsing live in reaction to the best statement ever.
An F-bomb derails a CBS News New York live report on Knicks fans celebrating the championship. pic.twitter.com/CANmwEmahX
Acyn shared aerial footage of New Yorkers celebrating on fire escapes, balconies, and pretty much every available surface.
More aerial footage of the celebration in New York: You see people out on their fire escapes, on their balconies, clinging on the side pic.twitter.com/dRuMCiicdn
Want some hope as a hapless New York Jets or New York Mets fan, as I am? The Knicks’ victory might already be breeding a new generation of banana/football/baseball throwers!
Knicks fan threw a banana into the crowd and it promptly came back to him 😭🍌👏 pic.twitter.com/A2nEDctZoJ
Time to go round the grounds on this sleepy Sunday, Lancashire making a better fist of things this morning at Stanley Park, 31-1. The sun is even straining to come out from net curtain clouds. Matt Milnes has swapped to the north end.
Harry Singh, slip catcher extraordinaire, is caught by his Kent counterpart, Ben Dawkins, off Hasan Mahmud’s first over of the day. Lancashire 19-1.
Jun 13, 2026; San Antonio, Texas, USA; New York Knicks center Karl-Anthony Towns (32) celebrates with his teammates after the Knicks defeat the San Antonio Spurs during game five of the 2026 NBA Finals at Frost Bank Center. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images | Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
The NBA Finals have officially wrapped up, and the New York Knicks are NBA champions once again.
After a 53-year drought, and a total of 19,312 days since the Knicks last hoisted the trophy, they can do it now. The city that never sleeps will certainly not rest after this historic playoff run. With only three losses and two series sweeps, the NBA has crowned them champions, and for the third time in four years, a former Kentucky Wildcat will add a ring to their finger and an NBA title to their personal biography
This year, following Jamal Murray in 2023, and Cason Wallace and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in 2025, Karl-Anthony Towns is officially an NBA champion. Towns averaged 13 PPG, 10.6 RPG, and played a huge role in slowing down what seemed to be an unstoppable force in Victor Wembanyama.
After the finish that nobody wants to speak of at Kentucky, KAT is finally able to get at least a little bit of the monkey off his back and is now a champion.
During the postgame celebration with Ernie Johnson, Towns had some words to share with the world about the Knicks’ big-time accomplishment.
“You know, you work your whole life for this moment. Throughout my career, I’ve seen myself fall down, people tell me to stay down, and I got back up. Even when I was in the mud, and I kept putting my left foot in front of my right foot. I kept trusting God, I kept trusting my faith, I kept trusting the work.” Towns shared with TNT’s Ernie Johnson.
KAT also shared on ESPN during postgame coverage, “It is written. This was written for New York, and we went and got it done today, and it’s because of all the brothers here, all the fans — Y’all heard my story, y’all know my story, and I just want to say, Thank you, Momma, I appreciate you getting me one.”
Karl-Anthony Towns has always been a fan favorite for Kentucky fans. He played for one of the most loved teams in program history, the 2014-2015 Kentucky Wildcats, which nearly had the greatest season any team has ever had at the college level. Towns has always had that infectious smile and endless joy that always seem to make people love him.
Towns tragically lost his mother in 2020 due to complications of COVID-19, which was very hard on their family and loved ones and still is. So, it was only right that on the big stage on this night, he would bring up his late mother and mention her at the peak of his playing career.
From being traded away from the team that drafted him No. 1 in 2015, to an NBA champion, it’s quite the roller coaster ride. Hats off to you, NBA champion, Karl-Anthony Towns!
CLEVELAND, OHIO - MARCH 27: Thomas Bryant #3 of the Cleveland Cavaliers reacts during the second quarter against the Miami Heat at Rocket Arena on March 27, 2026 in Cleveland, Ohio. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Thomas Bryant, fresh off a trip to the NBA Finals with Indiana, was meant to provide additional depth to the Cleveland Cavaliers frontcourt. He fell just short of that goal, but the underlying issue might have been outside of his control.
All grades are based on our usual expectations for each player.
Regular Season Stats
6.2 points
3.4 rebounds
0.6 assists
50.6% FG
35.9% 3PT FG
80.3% FT
Bryant’s fit in Cleveland seemed straightforward. He’s a 6’9” center who plays with strength and physicality. He can also space the floor, knocking down 34% of his career three-point attempts. Bryant should have fit nicely with either Evan Mobley or Jarrett Allen.
This didn’t translate to the real world. Bryant mostly clogged things up offensively and his lack of defensive mobility was jarring when placed on a Cavalier team that wasn’t equipped to defend around him. Cleveland was in the 36th percentile for defensive rating when Bryant was alone at center (no Mobley or Allen).
Bryant can be a passable defender when he’s on a team that’s loaded full of versatile and switchable wings. A defense that can contain the perimeter and limit dribble penetration is one that Bryant can slot into as a big who protects the paint. Cleveland was missing that all season. Their point-of-attack defense was shoddy, at best. Often leaving Bryant stuck in space, trying to cover gaps that are outside of his pay range.
Then on offense, a dynamic game plan that’s predicated on ball movement is the type of system that Bryant fits in. Indiana exemplified this. The Cavs did not. Especially in the back half of the season, when stationary spacing became their motto. That style doesn’t work with Bryant.
For this, I think we can conclude that Bryant’s fit in Cleveland was never as good as it might have looked on paper. The Cavs, in my opinion, need to find an athletic forward who can create plays off the dribble to pair with either Mobley or Allen. That’s to say, Bryant’s archetype is not the one this team was missing. I think that context is important when evaluating a role player who underwhelmed.
Bryant’s best moments came when his three-point shot was falling, or when he was stirring the crowd into a frenzy by celebrating like a maniac whenever anything remotely positive happened. His energy was infectious, and you can’t say the man didn’t care about winning. He played every game with an intensity that was unfortunately not always matched by his teammates, particularly in the first half of the season.
The Australian Cricketers’ Association has halted Big Bash League privatisation, pledging to reject the current plan without an improved deal for players.
TORONTO, CANADA - JUNE 13: Cody Bellinger #35 and Ben Rice #22 of the New York Yankees celebrate after their team defeated the Toronto Blue Jays in their MLB game at the Rogers Centre on June 13, 2026 in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. (Photo by Mark Blinch/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Good morning to a new New York everybody. The Yankees squared things up in their series against the Blue Jays thanks to a timely two-run homer from Paul Goldschmidt and the return of Jasson Domínguez proving fruitful with a solo blast, securing the win after Cam Schlittler gave the team seven strong with just one run allowed. However, even on a Yankees page like this we have to acknowledge the monumental achievement that is the New York Knicks winning the NBA Finals after 53 long years, besting the San Antonio Spurs 4-1 with yet another comeback win in the fourth quarter. The vibes in the city are sky-high, and hopefully with the stage now fully clear for baseball in the city the Yankees can ride that momentum into being the boys of summer.
We’ve got a relatively quiet day to wrap up the weekend before getting into the rubber match against Toronto. Jonathan wishes former Yankee Chase Whitley well on his birthday and reminisces on his career, Kevin covers the Rivalry Roundup featuring a Tampa Bay loss that puts the Yanks back in the driver’s seat in the AL East, and John has the weekly social media spotlight featuring plenty from that Knicks run with Yankees past and present making cameos at the games.
Today’s Matchup:
New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays
Time: 1:37 p.m. EST
TV: YES, Sportsnet1, TVA Sports
Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Questions/Prompts:
1. Does Will Warren do better or worse than the five innings and three runs he gave up in his previous meeting with the Blue Jays this year?
2. If you’ve been a Knick fan throughout this drought, what were the emotions that came up when they finally won the title? Where does Jalen Brunson rank in your All-Time Knick leaderboard after delivering a Finals MVP?
Toledo outhit St. Paul on Saturday, but the Mud Hens still fell to the Saints 6-1 thanks to nine walks.
All six runs for St. Paul came with Carl Edwards Jr. on the mound for Toledo. Edwards had five of the nine walks and gave up a three-run homer to ruin what was otherwise a solid bullpen day.
Konnor Pilkington got the start, striking out four over two innings. Jack Little and Tanner Rainey each gave two innings of no-hit ball, with the latter allowing just one walk. Woo-Suk Go worked around a base hit in the eighth, and Tyler Gentry worked around a walk in the ninth.
Max Clark drove in the only Mud Hens run of the game, singling Cal Stevenson home in the third. Besides that little rally, Toledo stayed fairly quiet until the sixth, when Gage Workman led off with a double. The big hit never came, though, and Toledo suffered an unfortunate loss.
Some late bullpen struggles ruined a great start from Max Alba and cost the Erie SeaWolves a sixth straight win on Saturday, as the Akron RubberDucks mounted a comeback and finished off a 5- 4 win.
Alaba was efficient, getting through five scoreless frames while allowing just two hits and a walk. He struck out four along the way before turning things over to Wandisson Charles in the sixth. Alba’s 14 whiffs induced were the fourth most across Double-A today.
Charles got into trouble right away, giving up a one-out double and walking the bases loaded. He’s lucky that Akron only managed one run off him. Justice Bigbie threw a runner out at home for the second out, and Charles got out of the jam with a strikeout, preserving a 2-1 lead.
Chris Meyers gave Erie an early lead, blasting a solo homer in the second. An error put Peyton Graham with two outs in the fifth. He stole second — his 30th of the year — and Brett Callahan drove him in.
Bigbie followed up his fielding heroics with a leadoff home run in the sixth to put the SeaWolves back up by two, and Meyers took a bases-loaded walk in the seventh to make it 4-1.
Charles went 1-2-3 in the seventh, but Dariel Fregio had a complete meltdown with two outs in the eighth. The sequences went: single, two-run homer, double, double to tie the game. Erie couldn’t capitalize on a one-out triple from Aaron Antonini in the bottom half, and Tyler Owens gave up the lead in the ninth.
The SeaWolves loaded the bases in the bottom of the ninth, but E.J. Exposito flied out to center to end the game.
Meyers: 1-4, HR (2), R, 2 RBI, BB, K
Bigbie: 1-3, HR (3), R, RBI, 2 BB
Pacheco: 2-4, 2B (9), BB, K
Liranzo: 1-3, 2 BB, K
Coming Up Next: The SeaWolves can get back in the win column on Sunday at 1:35 p.m. ET.
Lake County Captains 9, West Michigan Whitecaps 8 (box)
A five-run eighth nearly led to a West Michigan win on Saturday, but Lake County walked it off, 9-8, with a two-run ninth.
The ball was flying early for both teams. Garrett Pennington hit a two-run homer in the top of the first, and Dean Curley answered with a solo shot for Lake County in the bottom half of the inning. Caleb Shpur brought in Andrew Sojka in the second to give the Whitecaps a 3-1 lead, but a four-spot for the Captains in the fourth swung momentum the other way.
Once again, the big inning caught up to Rayner Castillo. Three straight hits, including back-to-back doubles, put Lake County in front, and the bullpen came in to relieve Castillo in the fifth. Juanmi Vasquez struck out four over 1.2 innings, but he gave up a pair of singles and a run in the sixth.
Duque Hebbert went 1-2-3 in the seventh, but he couldn’t replicate that after a long top of the eighth for West Michigan. Bryce Rainer sparked the rally with a solo home run.
After that shot from the Whitecaps’ shortstop, Lake County walked the bases loaded. Woody Hadeen evened the score at six runs apiece with a two-run single, and Jackson Strong tripled home two, making it an 8-6 game.
Jackson Strong stays hot with a 2-run triple into the right corner that puts the Whitecaps up 8-6. pic.twitter.com/603ybNsfyq
Hebbert immediately gave a run back in the bottom of the eighth, allowing a leadoff home run. Jalen Evans took over for him with two outs. Evans struck out the first batter he faced, but everything fell apart in the ninth. He hit Jace LaViolette to open the frame, threw a wild pitch, gave up a single, walked the bases loaded and gave up the tying run on a groundout to short.
A wild pitch sealed it for Lake County. What a way to lose…
Rainer: 2-5, HR (5), R, RBI, 3 K
Pennington: 2-4, HR (11), R, 2 RBI, 2 K
Strong: 3-4, 2B (6), 3B (2), R, 3 H, 2 RBI, BB
Coming Up Next: West Michigan can still tie the series on Sunday at 4 p.m. ET.
Caleb Leys only gave up one run over five innings, but the Lakeland Flying Tigers’ offense didn’t provide any run support until the eighth. The Clearwater Threshers took control of the series 3-2, with a 2-1 win on Saturday.
Leys was solid, generating a 32% CSW on his changeup. The southpaw only struck out three, but he also only walked one in his first time working through the fifth inning. It was in that fifth frame that Leys gave up the first run of the ball game.
Jose Guzman walked in the second run, which ended up deciding the game; otherwise, he worked around four hits and two walks over two innings. No strikeouts, though. Eliseo Mota went 1-2-3 in the eighth with a pair of strikeouts.
Lakeland had base hits in each of the first three innings but couldn’t score. The best opportunity came in the second after back-to-back two-out singles from Carson Rucker and Hunter Dobbins, but Newremberg Rondon couldn’t get it done.
Jordan Yost led off the fifth with a single, but Jude Warwick erased it with a double play right after. Lakeland finally got on the board in the eighth, thanks to a leadoff triple from Warwick and a sacrifice fly from Edian Espinal.
Yost: 1-4
Warwickr: 2-4, 3B (3), R
Leys (L, 0-4): 5.0 IP, R, ER, 3 H, BB, 3 K
Coming Up Next: Lakeland is looking to tie things back up in the series finale Sunday at noon ET.
Owen Hall (2024, Round 2) got hammered over 3.1 innings, giving up a home run in each of the first two frames and six earned runs overall. Both balls were center-cut and dispatched appropriately. Still, he managed four strikeouts before turning things over to the bullpen with a 6-3 lead and two men in scoring position.
Leonardo Rossell took the loss, allowing both runners to score and two more under his own ledger. Bryce Alewine (2024, Round 18) gave up one more run in the sixth.
Patrick Lee had two of the club’s six hits, including a three-run homer in the second. Lee’s OPS is above 1.500 through four games of his rehab assignment, so it’s only a matter of time until he’s back with the Whitecaps. Stephen Hrustich doubled in a run, and Steven Madero homered, too.
This one was picked up in progress from Friday. The Tigers plated six runs in the bottom of the third, which is when lightning delayed the game. Most of the runs came on singles, and the Tigers didn’t score again after the third. A four-run seventh for the Twins gave them a scare, but the rally came up short.
The game stayed close until the fifth, when the Twins scored seven runs to run away with it. The Tigers still had a couple of runs left in them, but nowhere near the dozen needed to make a comeback. Enny Rodriguez homered in the sixth, and Randy Santana did the same in the seventh.
A three-spot in the fifth was enough for the Tigers to take this one. Alexander Bertiz went four innings and gave up just one run. Jesus Miranda got the win in relief of Bertiz, with three strikeouts over 1.2 hitless innings. Dariel Morillo logged his second save of the summer.
The nine-hole hitter, Diego Orro, tripled in two of the three runs and scored himself on an RBI single from Sterling Bazil.
MILWAUKEE - 1970: Jon McGlocklin #14 of Milwaukee Bucks and Earl Monroe #33 of New York Knicks reach for the ball during a game circa 1970 at the MECCA Arena in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 1970 NBAE (Photo by Vernon Biever/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images
With the New York Knicks having won the 2026 NBA championship Saturday night, it’s a good time to look back at one of the great stars from the last Knicks teams to win a championship, Earl “the Pearl” Monroe.
Monroe played college basketball for Clarence “Bighouse” Gaines at Winston-Salem State in the early 1960s, in the waning days of segregation. Wake Forest assistant coach Billy Packer, despite being warned not to, went over to Whitaker Gymnasium, and Winston-Salem Memorial Coliseum (now Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum) when Monroe began drawing bigger crowds. He found Monroe mesmerizing.
Monroe was then drafted by the Baltimore Bullets in 1967, where he became a sensation. However, they traded him to the Knicks in 1971, and in 1973, the Knicks won their second NBA title, with the first having come in 1970.
Monroe dazzled the league with what for his day was an astonishing bag of tricks. He may look somewhat dated now, but he was a brilliant force for the Knicks.
He played for New York until he retired in 1980.
He was an extraordinary talent, and more so because he played for his entire career with significant arthritis in his knees. Monroe has had dozens of surgeries, and the last time we saw him make a public appearance, he was using forearm crutches.
This video asks how good was he? Well, as you’ll see, he was brilliant.
KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - MARCH 13: Forward Joshua Jefferson #5 of the Iowa State Cyclones lays the ball up against Ivan Kharchenkov #8 of the Arizona Wildcats in the first half during the semifinals of the Big 12 Tournament at T-Mobile Center on March 13, 2026 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Welcome back to the third edition of the Mock Draft Dive, where we’re looking at who draft pundits predict the Celtics to take in the upcoming draft.
We are less than two weeks out from the draft, and with Giannis rumors swirling and the Finals close to their conclusion, everything feels up in the air. Do the Celtics even stand pat at No. 27? It’s a divisive question, and one we’ve pretty much experienced on an annual basis since Brad Stevens took over team-building decision-making.
But what’s a mock draft dive without a pick to talk about? Let’s just all embrace the hypothetical for now. First we looked at the prospects of selecting Karim Lopez (which is seeming more unlikely with each passing week), then Arizona’s Koa Peat (that still feels possible). Now, we turn to the faux-front office decision of selecting Iowa State’s Joshua Jefferson based on a mock from Sam Vecenie of The Athletic.
Here’s what Sam had to say about the selection:
“Jefferson’s basketball IQ is exceptionally high, something that would play well in Boston under Joe Mazzulla’s scheme, where quick decision-making is critical. He defends well and makes fast decisions on that end, plus he passes exceedingly well. His range is seen as somewhere from the 20s into the early second round.”
-Sam Vecenie
As far as non-lottery prospects go, Jefferson was pretty high up there for one of my favorite scouting reports to build. And dogonnit (I’m not allowed to swear on the blog, but imagine I’m swearing), the fit makes a good deal of sense.
A passing maestro with a well-rounded game, what Jefferson lacks in top-tier athletic traits he makes up for with a high IQ and an unselfish play style. At 22 years old and with 130 college games under his belt, Jefferson closed his second season at Iowa State averaging 16 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists on the way to All-American and All-Big 12 honors.
The Iowa State star’s passing is the obvious focal point of his game, translating into his post-ups, off-the-dribble kickouts and transition outlets. His touch is impeccable, and his vision among the very best in this class, if not the best in the class.
I wish I could properly explain just how instinctual his playmaking is. Arguably the most entertaining thing about watching Jefferson no-look a pass to a cutter is not actually the play itself, but what comes immediately after: the opponent’s sluggish reaction.
Watch a highlight reel and count how many times you see a group of defenders crowding the paint physically melt into their shoes as they stare at an uncontested layup that snuck right past them.
Imagine thinking you have all the bases covered. Everyone’s communicating, shifting to the ball, closing off passing lanes. Maybe you send help on the ball to ramp up pressure as the shot clock dwindles. Yeah, maybe they get a shot off, but it won’t be a good one, and then, in less than a second, the ball hits Jefferson’s hands and is instantly re-routed into unaccounted space.
How defeating.
As the central figure to head coach T.J. Otzelberger’s offense, Jefferson made the lives of his teammates so much easier. There are great post passers out there, there are forwards that can run a delay action and hit cutters from the top of the arc, and there are fast break kick-starters that can push the ball ahead. Jefferson did all of that, all the time, in every game I watched.
For the Celtics specifically, I’m imagining that passing impact coming as a short-roll threat, something the Celtics lost a bit of after their free agency overhaul last summer.
The Celtics aren’t just looking for a playmaking forward though. It’s Jefferson’s calling card, but what about the rest of his offense?
As a shooter, he’s clearly been putting in the work to grow that part of his game, and his confidence doesn’t appear to be a significant issue, but there are big questions about how much of a threat he is as an outside shooter.
Jefferson attempted 110 3-pointers this past season after just 147 attempts across his first three years in college, and he was just okay. He shot 34.5% from deep, largely coming out of pick-and-pops. Those are the threes you want to see Jefferson look comfortable shooting.
If he can pick-and-pop, and a defense has to respect it, that only makes things easier when he’s looking to keep the ball moving.
But the shot has to be respected. And at the moment, I can’t imagine a defense putting too much attention towards a hard closeout.
Beyond his outside shooting, Jefferson loves to get into a post-up, but the way he sets up shop actually makes it a more reasonable transition into the NBA game, even if it’s not something you’d see a ton of as his usage and volume gets significantly cut down.
He’s not a “take it on the block and clear out” kind of player. He’s capable of working his way into the paint with a live dribble, and he’s generally quick to make a decision of attacking through the defender with intent to score or pushing the ball back out to a shooter.
On defense, Jefferson is a good rebounder and a capable shot-blocker, but his lack of vertical pop certainly hurts his chances of being a high-level rim protector.
A lot of his best interior defense came in help situations, finishing the play by swooping in for a swat attempt. Tasked with defending a back-down big, he’s probably not going to deter too many rim attempts.
Iowa State often utilized him as a help defender, taking advantage of non-shooters left in the corner, but in pick-and-roll coverages, it was a lot of hedges and drops, both of which he was adept at without giving up advantages. While he doesn’t play too high above the ground, he does move his feet well when dropping back.
He anticipates passes well when roaming, and is a disciplined straight-up shot-contestor, so he should be at the very least a serviceable power forward option, but it does pose an interesting question of how he fits in Boston on that end.
In their current form, the Celtics preferred Neemias Queta to be the roamer protecting the rim, and in an ideal world, a switchable power forward would take the brunt of the interior ball-stopping to buy time for Queta to provide shot-blocking reinforcements.
Jefferson is sort of like if the versatility of Kyle Anderson was placed in a more traditional power forward form. He has one elite skill in his playmaking, a few quality skills in his post scoring and help defense, and some question marks in his outside shooting and athletic makeup.
One of the draft’s older prospects, he offers a high floor for early rotation opportunities, which works for the Celtics if they’re opting for an “improve on the fringes” offseason philosophy.
Consider me on-board with the pick if that’s the route they ultimately go.
Where do you stand on Jefferson as a possible Celtics selection?