Top 25 Mets Prospects for 2026: Will Watson (9)

Will Watson inherited athletic genes from his father, Brad, who played football for Puget Sound University, and baseball skill from his stepfather, Pat, who played baseball at Pacific Lutheran University. He attended Burlington Edison High School in Burlington, Washington, where he played varsity baseball for three seasons, as well as basketball and cross-country track. He earned Washington All-State honors in his senior season in 2021, posting a 0.24 ERA in 29.2 innings with 57 strikeouts. He went undrafted and after graduating and attended California Lutheran University in 2022, where he posted a 1.82 ERA in 34.2 innings with 18 hits allowed, 13 walks, and 40 strikeouts. Additionally, he appeared in 36 games as an infielder and hit .247/.346/.371 with 7 doubles, 2 triples, 0 home runs, 4 stolen bases in 5 attempts, and drew 10 walks to 29 strikeouts.

He transferred from Cal Lutheran and attended San Joaquin Delta College in 2023, appearing in 19 games for them, starting five. He posted a 2.97 ERA in 57.2 innings for the Mustangs, allowing 31 hits, walking 21, and striking out 82. The Seattle Mariners selected the right-hander in the 20th round of the 2023 MLB Draft, the 607th player selected overall, but he elected not to sign with his hometown club. Instead, he transferred to the University of Southern California for his junior season. He appeared in 16 games for the Trojans, starting 9, and posted a 3.93 ERA in 50.1 innings with 44 hits allowed, 27 walks, and 46 strikeouts. The Mets selected Watson with their 7th round selection in the 2024 draft, the 203rd pick overall, and signed him for $281,300, just slightly below the MLB-assigned slot value of $283,800. He was assigned to the St. Lucie Mets and allowed one run in 2.2 innings, giving up 2 hits, walking 1, and striking out 3.

Based on his pitching profile, Amazin’ Avenue ranked Watson the Mets’ 22nd top prospect coming into the 2025 season and the right-hander did not disappoint. Initially assigned to the Single-A St. Lucie Mets, Watson posted a 3.66 ERA in 39.1 innings, allowing 30 hits, walking 21, and striking out 43. He was promoted to High-A Brooklyn at the beginning of June and spent most of the summer in Coney Island, posting a 1.70 ERA in 63.2 innings, allowing 45 hits, walking 28, and striking out 77. At the end of August, he was promoted to Double-A Binghamton and ended the year with the Rumble Ponies, posting a 3.44 ERA in 18.1 innings, allowing 13 hits, walking 9, and striking out 22. All in all, the 22-year-old posted a cumulative 2.60 ERA in 121.1 innings over 28 games- 23 starts- allowing 88 hits, walking 58, and striking out 142.

Watson is slightly on the smaller side for a pitcher, standing 6’1” and weighing 180-pounds, but he is athletic. The right-hander throws from a low-three-quarters arm slot with a long, whippy arm action through the back. He drops and drives and gets good extension off the mound but is prone to rushing his delivery and having his upper and lower halves come out of sync and flying out early, negatively impacting his command. While not violent per se, Watson also throws with effort, which could be a health concern in the future given his stature and also can negatively impact his command.

Watson utilizes a five-pitch mix, throwing a four-seam fastball, two-seam fastball, circle changeup, slider and cutter. He primarily relies on his fastball and slider combo, liberally sprinkling in his changeup, cutter, and sinker depending on the batter and the situation he finds himself in. He works better east-to-west on the strength of his slider, his command sometimes negatively affecting his ability to work in the upper parts of the strike zone with his four-seam fastball or the bottom of it with his changeup.

His four-seam fastball is an above-average pitch at present. Watson experienced a bit of a velocity boost upon going pro, something he attributes to having access to professional workout equipment and elite coaching, and the pitch now sits comfortably in the mid-90s rather than the low-to-mid-90s, topping out at 97 MPH. With above-average spin rates, Watson has been able to regularly post slightly above-average induced vertical break measurements with the pitch as well as slightly above-average run, though working up in the zone to take advantage of that rising life has not been intuitive for Watson, whose arm slot and command problems cause the pitch to play down up in the zone. His two-seam fastball sits in the same velocity band and is almost identical to his four-seam fastball except for the extra arm-side run that it has.

Watson’s slider is his primary strikeout pitch against right-handed batters. Sitting in the mid-80s, his slider has also seen a slight velocity bump since turning pro and has improved from a fringe average offering to a slightly above-average pitch as a result. While not his best secondary pitch, it is his go-to, featuring sharp gyroscopic break recently tightened up by his 2025 velocity gains, improving its shape. The right-hander is able to throw the pitch to both sides of the plate, backfooting it to left-handed hitters and throwing it away to right-handed hitters. Watson’s cutter, in a vacuum, is a below-average pitch, having recently learned it from fellow farmhand Joel Pintaro over the winter, but when used in conjunction with his slider, is an effective combination, as the cutter sets up the slider.

His circle changeup is his primary strikeout pitch against left-handed hitters. The pitch sits in the upper-80s, also slightly up as compared to his college days. With a high spin rate for a changeup, it has less tumble than average, but a lot more arm-side fade. Like his slider, Watson can throw it to both sides of the plate, generally working down in the zone.

2026 Mets Top 25 Prospect List

10) Jack Wenninger
11) Mitch Voit
12) Jonathan Santucci
13) Elian Peña
14) Zach Thornton
15) Nick Morabito
16) R.J. Gordon
17) Chris Suero
18) Dylan Ross
19) Ryan Lambert
20) Antonio Jimenez
21) Edward Lantigua
22) Eli Serrano III
23) Randy Guzman
24) Daiverson Gutierrez
25) Boston Baro

50 Most Notable Yankees Free Agent Signings: Roger Clemens (2007)

The Yankees of the mid-2000s were a team that had grown long in the tooth, particularly in the rotation. A team already leaning heavy on veterans: namely Mike Mussina, well into his thirties, and Randy Johnson, who had already blown out 40 candles. Ahead of the 2007 season, Johnson returned to Arizona, but the Yankees simply swapped out senior southpaws, bringing back a soon-to-be-35-year-old Andy Pettitte to take the Big Unit’s rotation spot.

So, what do you do when most of your best players are on the opposite side of 30? Sign a 44-year old starting pitcher a few months into the season. What’s one more?

Of course, said 44-year-old was Roger Clemens, one of the most prolific and dominant starting pitchers of all time. The Rocket had won a pair of titles with the Yankees in 1999 and 2000 before capturing the 2001 AL Cy Young Award. It seemed like he would retire a Yankee, as he told the media that ’03 would be his last season. But after the Yankees let Pettitte walk in free agency to the Astros, Clemens was convinced to change his mind and lead their rotation with Pettitte, just as he had in New York. It was a homecoming for the graduate of Houston’s own Spring Woods High School, and it turned out that Clemens had more in the tank, winning his seventh Cy Young in ’04 and having the case for another in ’05 with a league-leading 1.87 ERA for the NL champions.

Clemens kept considering retirement though, and despite pitching for Team USA in the inaugural World Baseball Classic, he chose to remain unsigned as Opening Day 2006 came and went. The Astros were determined to have him back, and on May 31st, they got their man on a prorated contract that also allowed him to skip certain road trips. Following another stellar season in his forties however, Clemens was again leaning toward retirement as he skipped Opening Day 2007.

Once more, the Rocket was convinced for another relaunch. But this time, he was coming back for one last ride in pinstripes. After showing up out of nowhere in George Steinbrenner’s box at Yankee Stadium and announcing his return mere days after Hughes’ injury, Clemens put together a perfectly cromulent final campaign in MLB — but the Yankees would fall in the Division Series for the third consecutive season.

Roger Clemens
Signing Date: May 6, 2007
Contract: One year, $28 million (prorated to $18.5 million)

First, we have to talk about the spectacle at the Stadium that May afternoon. The Yankees had gotten off to their typical-of-this-era cold start, going 9-14 in April and entering their Sunday matinée with the Mariners two games under .500. They’d endured a slew of injuries to start the season that had already cost their strength and conditioning coach his job. The most painful one yet hit rookie standout Phil Hughes, who had to be pulled from a no-hitter in the seventh with a hamstring strain on May 1st.

New York needed a morale boost. So, at the seventh-inning stretch, with the Yankees leading 3-0, Clemens made his dramatic re-entrance.

Clemens’ short speech was not an all-timer, but there was an undeniable show-business element to the whole affair that we rarely see in sports outside of pro wrestling. Of course, fans at the ballpark and watching on TV could watch the whole thing play out, but those tuning into WCBS’s radio broadcast of the game would need to be told what was happening.

Leave the honor to Suzyn Waldman.

Of course, we are big fans of Suzyn here on Pinstripe Alley, so it is with great appreciation that I say her introduction of Clemens was a bit much. “Oh my goodness gracious! Of all the dramatic things I’ve ever seen — Roger Clemens standing right in George Steinbrenner’s box, announcing he is back! Roger Clemens is a New York Yankee!” she proclaimed. It’s safe to say the former theatre actress appreciated the drama of the moment, but the soundbite would take on a life of its own.

Clemens signed a one-year deal valued at $28 million. It was prorated to $18.5 million though since he signed late and did not make his season debut until June 9th, and in the meantime, he tuned up in the minors with Tampa, Trenton, and Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.

Let’s go ahead and fast-forward to June 9th. The Yankees were in a similar spot to where they were when Clemens announced he was back, sitting at 28-31 and battling Baltimore and Toronto for second place in the AL East, well behind the front-running Red Sox (39-21). Thankfully, the Rocket was in good form after the long layoff.

With the Pirates in town, Clemens pitched six strong innings, allowing three runs on five hits while striking out seven batters in a 9-4 win.

After this game, the Yankees would go 65-37 the rest of the way, though not because Clemens was at the top of his game. To be sure, there were sprinkles of vintage Rocket here and there, like consecutive eight-inning, one run efforts to begin July — which helped pare down his ERA from 5.32 to 3.64, the lowest it would go during the year. The first of those, a victory over the Twins, was the 350th win of his MLB career.

Regrettably, there were also some ugly nights, like August 2nd, when two days before his 45th birthday, Clemens was chased from the game after allowing eight runs in the second inning (only three of them were charged as earned runs due to a two-out error by Robinson Canó). This was clearly not the same Clemens who had recently won further accolades in Houston despite his age. This Clemens could usually scrape by, but couldn’t lead a playoff rotation.

Still, the Yankees’s second-half surge had begun in earnest, and they polished off the regular campaign by going 19-8 in September, securing the American League Wild Card spot. Clemens finished his final season with an even 6-6 record across 18 appearances (17 starts and one relief appearance) and 99 innings. He pitched to a 4.18 ERA (108 ERA+) with 68 strikeouts and a 1.313 WHIP — not too shabby for a guy who was born when Eleanor Roosevelt was still alive. Clemens’ last regular season start, fittingly, came at Fenway Park, where he held his original team to one unearned run on two hits in six frames. The Yankees won, 4-3.

As the Wild Card team, the Yankees would travel to Jacobs Field to square off with Cleveland in the ALDS. Cleveland that year boasted an intimidating pitching staff led by AL Cy Young Award winner CC Sabathia and Roberto Hernández — then known under his nom de guerre, Fausto Carmona. But in Game 1, it was Cleveland’s bats who led the way, clobbering Chien-Ming Wang and the Yankee pitching staff in a 12-3 win. Then in Game 2, the infamous Midges Game of Joba Chamberlain lore, Carmona dominated and the Bombers were walked off by Travis Hafner in the 11th inning.

So the Yankees went back to the Bronx fighting for their playoff lives as Clemens got the ball for Game 3. His start didn’t go as he might have hoped, with Cleveland scoring a run in the first and the second. In the third inning, after striking out Víctor Martínez with a man aboard, Joe Torre came to the mound. The trainer came with him, and Clemens subsequently exited with a hamstring strain, walking off a major-league mound one last time.

Hughes was brilliant in relief as the Yankees came back to win Game 3, 8-4. That was unfortunately the last gasp of the Torre Era Yankees, and they fell 6-4 the following night. They had been eliminated in the ALDS for the third-straight season and the fourth time in six years.

The surprise return of Roger Clemens to the Bronx had all the pomp and circumstance of a hero returning home. But the Texan flamethrower, fighting against Father Time, provided only a modest boost for a team already fully-stocked with late-career stars. This would probably have been the end for Clemens regardless, but the decision was made for him two months after his final start, when he was named as a PED user in the Mitchell Report. He became a lightning rod that no one wanted to touch, and his Hall of Fame trajectory was perhaps permanently imploded.

That 2007 playoff series was the last the old Yankee Stadium would ever host. In a few short years, there would be a new Yankee Stadium. Both Clemens and the old yard would soon enter baseball’s past together, and Clemens was acutely aware of just how little time he had left in the House that Ruth Built. After his first start of the season, he told reporters, “I’ve got to take a little deep breath now… this Stadium’s not going to be around much longer. It sure is a joy.”


See more of the “50 Most Notable Yankees Free Agent Signings in 50 Years” series here.

The Freddy Peralta Trade and Why the Royals Can’t Afford Fear

In this episode of the Royals Rundown Podcast, Jeremy “Hokius” Greco breaks down one of the most intriguing moves of the MLB offseason: the New York Mets’ trade for Freddy Peralta. Using the Mets and Brewers as case studies, Jeremy examines how aggressive roster building contrasts with the growing risk aversion among mid-tier teams—including the Kansas City Royals.

The discussion explores what Peralta’s move means for Milwaukee’s long-term outlook, why teams in the Royals’ competitive tier often hesitate to spend, and how that caution can limit true contention. Jeremy argues that the current MLB landscape rewards teams willing to push beyond their comfort zones—and challenges the Royals to decide whether they want to follow or fall behind in an increasingly polarized league.

Email Jacob directly at: jm17971047@gmail.com

Need your Royals fix? Head to royalsreview.com for news, analysis, and to engage with Royals fans around the world! Follow us online:

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The Good Phight’s Community Prospect List: #5 – Aroon Escobar

Alright, now is when the fun really begins.

Aroon Escobar – 104
Dante Nori – 52
Francisco Renteria – 42
Gabriel Rincones – 34
Moises Chace – 10
Matthew Fisher – 6

The Phillies don’t have a deep farm system. On this, we can all agree. You can blame some of it on poor player development, where they have struggled to take players they have drafted and turn them into major league quality players. You can also blame some of that on trades, using the farm system as a way to bring back already developed major league talent, a maneuver that thins out a system rather quickly. What they have now is three clear cut top prospect, a fourth that might enter that tier this year and Escobar. He’s got the feel of former Phillies prospect Hao Yu Lee where he might be a good bat, but is he impact-ish? Can he play the field well enough?

Or is he the next big trade piece?

That’s going to be the question for the next several players on this list: will they be in the system long enough to debut with the Phillies, or will they be the next in a line of players that gets dealt in July?

Personally, as you can read from the below scouting report, Escobar seems like a bat that the team might want to hang on to to potentially fill in for Bryson Stott in a few years if he’s ready at something of a cheaper cost than it would be to extend Stott, but development isn’t linear. We’ll have to wait and see.

2025 stats(w/ Clearwater, Lakewood and Reading)

538 PA, .270/.361/.413, 82 R, 15 HR, 62 RBI, 24 SB, 10.4 BB%, 18.2 K%, 121 wRC+

Baseball Prospectus scouting report ($)

Escobar has a compact, quick right-handed swing. His analytic hit tool markers are also very good for a low-minors level: he makes a well above-average amount of contact and is aggressive within the strike zone without chasing at a concerning clip. So while there isn’t a “future batting champion” hit tool projection here, we feel pretty comfortable projecting an above-average outcome. And that projection comes with non-zero power output, as he clocked 15 homers across the minor-league season with a near-105 mph 90th-percentile exit velocity at Low-A, suggesting that pop is real.

Defensively, he settled in at second base for almost all of his 2025 action after bouncing around the infield previously.

With each new post, we’ll reveal who won the voting for that particular slot, then post new players for you to vote on, adding another one to the list each time until we get to our final tally of 20. Once we get to 20 top prospects, we’ll do an honorable mention post at the end. If a player gets traded to another team, we’ll just chuck him right on outta here and all the players will move up a spot. If a prospect gets acquired, we’ll ask where he should go on the list.

Probably the most important thing about this whole process – please vote. Give us a few minutes of your time, just click a button and then we can discuss other players and things in the comment section, but don’t forget – VOTE!

Weird Islanders: The Podcast! – Episode 79 – Robin Salo (with guest AJ DeVito)

Joined by Skates at the Stakes’ AJ DeVito, we remember defenseman Robin Salo, who never seemed to get a real chance with the Islanders and then disappeared without a trace.

Many sports fans have their favorite “pet prospects” that they root for to make it in the pros. Not only does AJ count Robin Salo as his favorite draft pick, he was the reason AJ became an Islanders fan in the first place. Highly touted by respected prospect watchers, Salo seemed to have all the tools to become an NHL regular. When he finally got to Long Island, all of that promise went unfilled as he got little playing time over the course of a few years. He would have flashes of talent then disappear for months due to healthy scratches and demotions to lovely Bridgeport. Once Salo finally left the Islanders to sign overseas, it felt like we barely knew him.

AJ tells us about his connection to and affinity for Salo, and we break down the mysteries surrounding him and how it all got so strange. Of course, we also examine the pairing of Robin Salo and Sebastian Aho, two guys who played the same position the same way on the same team and often felt like the same person. Along the way, AJ makes a bold prediction about Salo’s future that we’ll be interested to see come true.

Thanks again to AJ for coming on, and be sure to listen to he, Ryan and Jake at Skates at the Stakes.

WEIRD BONUS MATERIAL

  • Of all the Islanders prospects to get spotlighted by Scott Wheeler in his series on “The Gifted,” I don’t think anyone would have guessed Robin Salo would be one. And yet…
  • Maybe ol’ Scott was on to something. Salo made a big leap with Orebro of Liiga in Finland and got his ELC with the Islanders locked down. He would end up being one of the Infamous Innominate Islanders to play in the first ever game at UBS Arena.
  • Salo’s first NHL goal came in a game against the Flyers on ESPN (Warning: contains slight amounts of John Buccigross).

What makes a “Weird Islander?”

We’re always open to suggestions about other Weird Islanders to discuss. Remember the criteria. Candidates must fulfill one of the two of the following:

  • Played one (1) season or less for the Islanders or very short stints over multiple seasons.
  • Be a veteran NHLer who is not generally associated with his time on Islanders.

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Everything You Need To Know About Newest Washington Nationals Prospect Gavin Fien

After nearly 6 months of trade speculation, Paul Toboni finally got a MacKenzie Gore deal done, sending the left-hander to the Texas Rangers in exchange for 5 prospects. While none of the 5 prospects acquired for Gore are top 100 prospects on any major publications currently, they all have unique skillsets that could put them in those talks in the upcoming 2026 season.

Of the 5 prospects, the most highly touted is shortstop Gavin Fien, the 12th overall pick in the 2025 MLB Draft. Fien was MLB Pipeline’s 22nd-ranked prospect and my 15th-ranked prospect in the 2025 draft class, and was a favorite of many draft analysts who especially value summer circuit performance. In the summer of 2024, before Fien’s senior year, he demolished the top prep pitching in the country, hitting .450 with a 1.262 OPS in 68 plate appearances. The underlying numbers backed up Fien’s great success as well, most notably an 81st percentile contact rate, 90th percentile strikeout rate, and 97th percentile bat speed.

Fien seemed destined to skyrocket up draft boards, but an odd senior season at Great Oaks High School in California held that back somewhat. He still finished his senior season with a 1.056 OPS, but he got off to a slow start to the year and finished below his sophomore and junior years’ marks of 1.133 and 1.147. Even without a ridiculous senior campaign, Fien still made himself a lot of money in the draft, going 12th overall to the Texas Rangers for a signing bonus of 4.8 million, with reports he was under consideration by the Cardinals and Pirates with their first round picks, 5th and 6th overall, respectivelly, as well.

According to Joe Doyle of Over-Slot, a fantastic site that covers the MLB draft extensively, the Red Sox scouting department was enamored by Fien’s abilities pre-draft, and it seems likely he would have been their pick if he had made it to 15th overall. With Paul Toboni and many of his Red Sox colleagues now in DC, they bring in a prospect they were very high on in last year’s draft class, someone they saw the potential to be a star in.

Fien’s professional debut after the draft in 2025 was short, just 10 games at Low A, and while it wasn’t anything remarkable, as he hit .220 with a 75 wRC+, he did show part of the reason he was so beloved by many draft analysts. In his 10-game debut, Fien had 4 extra base hits, 3 doubles and 1 triple, showing off the power potential he’ll have as he matures into his 6’3” frame. He also did a solid job of pulling the ball, a skill that is key in maximizing power output for hitters like Fien.

Defensively, while Fien is listed as a shortstop, he is likely destined for third base in pro ball, where he should be a natural fit thanks to his strong arm. This coincides well with Eli Willits in the organization, who is at the same level and, currently, plays the same position as Fien. Expect Fien to make his Nationals organization debut with the FredNats this season, where he will play third base right next to Eli Willits at shortstop, a left side of the infield that fans will watch grow up together in the minor leagues for years.

Capitals vs Flames Prediction, Picks & Same-Game Parlay for Tonight’s NHL Game

The Calgary Flames will look to snap a two-game losing skid with the reeling Washington Capitals visiting the Scotiabank Saddledome on Friday, January 23.

With Washington needing to tighten up defensively, and Calgary a stringy first-period team on home ice, my top NHL picks and Capitals vs. Flames predictions are calling for a low-scoring first 20 minutes tonight. 

Capitals vs Flames prediction

Capitals vs Flames best bet: First period Under 1.5 (+105)

The Calgary Flames have allowed the second-fewest goals per home game (2.42) while sporting the seventh-highest team save percentage at five-on-five.

Calgary has also been particularly strong defensively in the first period with just 12 goals allowed across 24 home games.

It’s been a huge reason the first-period Under has cashed in 16 of the last 25 games at the Saddledome dating back to last season.

I’m also expecting to see the Washington Capitals attempt to batten down the hatches tonight.

The Caps have allowed 17 goals during their four-game losing streak, so with the Flames scoring the eighth-fewest first period goals (0.76 per game), look for the first 20 minutes to fly by with limited high-danger scoring chances for either tonight.

Capitals vs Flames same-game parlay

The Caps have allowed the third-most shots per game while ranking 28th in Corsi for percentage at 5-on-5 out of the holiday break, and wingers Yegor Sharangovich and Connor Zary have both been consistent shooters of late.

Sharangovich has two or more shots in each of his past four games for 11 total on 22 attempts, and Zary has at least a pair of shots in six of his past eight with a team-high 22 shots on 31 attempts.

Capitals vs Flames SGP

  • First period Under 1.5
  • Yegor Sharangovich Over 1.5 shots on goal
  • Connor Zary Over 1.5 shots on goal

Capitals vs Flames odds

  • Moneyline: Washington -135 | Calgary +110
  • Puck Line: Washington -1.5 (+180) | Calgary +1.5 (-220)
  • Over/Under: Over 6 (-110) | Under 6 (-110)

Capitals vs Flames trend

The first-period total has gone Under the number in 16 of the past 25 games at the Scotiabank Saddledome (+6.50 Units / 24% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Capitals vs. Flames.

How to watch Capitals vs Flames

LocationScotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, AB
DateFriday, January 23, 2026
Puck drop9:00 p.m. ET
TVSN1, MNMT

Capitals vs Flames latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Godfather of deferred MLB contracts? How Bobby Bonilla's infamous deal paved the way

They're all the rage these days, with teams using them to free up their cash flow, players using them for long-term security and tax advantages purposes, and fans using the practice as reason to lash out at the Los Angeles Dodgers’ payroll.

Deferred contracts.

Teams love them.

Players manipulate them.

And Bobby Bonilla takes great pride in them.

Bonilla, 62, the six-time All-Star and World Series champion who once was the game’s highest-paid player, wasn’t the first player to receive a deferred contract – but none are more famous.

He has become known as the godfather of deferrals, with Bonilla and former agent Dennis Gilbert orchestrating an ingenious deal a quarter-century ago with New York Mets that has become a trend-setter.

Everywhere you turn these days, players and teams are negotiating contracts with massive deferrals.

Bobby Bonilla spent parts of five seasons with the Mets.

Shohei Ohtani took it to a new level two years ago when he signed a 10-year, $700 million contract with the Los Angeles Dodgers, deferring a stunning $68 million a year without interest. The contract is reduced to $460 million in present-day value, saving the Dodgers $24 million a year in luxury taxes. And for Ohtani, it’s a savings of about $98 million, avoiding California taxes on the $68 million annual payments if he’s no longer a California resident in 10 years.

Free agent outfielder Kyle Tucker just signed a four-year, $240 million contract with the Dodgers, which not only included $30 million in deferrals, but a $64 million signing bonus that’s payable before he leaves for spring training. It’s a brilliant move considering the signing bonus won’t be subject to California taxes, saving about $9.2 million since he’s a Florida resident with no state taxes.

Tucker’s deal was a page out of Vladimir Guerrero’s playbook a year ago when he signed a 14-year, $500 million contract with the Toronto Blue Jays. He and his agents, Barry Praver and Scott Shapiro, negotiated an MLB record $325 million signing bonus. It allows Guerrero, a Florida resident, to be taxed at 15% of the bonus as opposed to the 53.5% of Canadian wages, saving him $123.5 million.

Veteran starter Max Scherzer still is being paid $15 million annually from the Washington Nationals in his original seven-year, $210 million contract, negotiated by Scott Boras in 2015.

The king of deferrals are the Dodgers, owned by Guggenheim, who have $1.0945 billion owed in deferrals to 10 different players from 2028-2047.

Look around, and virtually every major free-agent contract this winter has included deferrals.

  • Tucker, Dodgers: 4 years, $240 million, $30 million deferred.
  • Dylan Cease, Toronto Blue Jays: 7 years, $210 million, $64 million deferred.
  • Alex Bregman, Chicago Cubs: 5 years, $175 million, $70 million deferred.
  • Edwin Diaz, Dodgers: 3 years, $69 million, $13.5 million deferred.
  • Devin Williams, New York Mets: 3 years, $51 million, $15 million deferred.

The clubs pay less in luxury taxes and have more disposal income to enhance their roster,  while the players are able to use it to negotiate a larger contract, while lowering their personal tax burden.

“You’re seeing it everywhere now in the large contracts," says Robert Raiola, director of the sports and entertainment group at PKF O’Connor Davies, a CPA and business consulting firm. “The deferred money allows teams financial flexibility for current payroll and luxury tax management.

“And for the players, it’s a savings, because most states are not going to tax deferred money as long as the players are not performing services in that state when they receive that deferred money."

Certainly, Cease’s $210 million contract is a prime example benefiting the Blue Jays and himself. His deferrals reduce his contract to $184.63 million in present-day value, lowering the Blue Jays’ AAV for competitive balance tax purposes to $26.375 million instead of $30 million. And for Cease, he’s not only spared Canada’s stiff tax rate on his deferrals, but also on his $23 million signing bonus.

While players have now embraced deferrals, there’s an enormous difference between today’s deferrals and Bonilla’s deal from 2025. Bonilla was paid 8% interest on his $5.9 million buyout, paying him $1.19 million annually for 25 years through 2035. Bonilla, with the guidance of his former agent, turned $5.9 million into nearly $30 million.

The contract now has become legendary, with July 1 now being called “Bobby Bonilla Day’’ in baseball, the day he receives his annual check.

“It’s a beautiful thing," Bonilla tells USA TODAY Sports. “It gets so much publicity now, it's become bigger than my birthday."

Bonilla, 62, who was a special assistant for the Major League Baseball Players Association, now is a spokesman for the Players Trust, a non-profit arm of the union. They will have their annual Playmakers Classic event on Feb. 18 in Phoenix, sponsored by Fanatics, with proceeds from the event going towards youth development baseball programs across the country and abroad.

“What is there not to be excited about?"’ Bonilla said. “It's going to be an awesome interactive event, and we get to see the retired and active players, have some nice wine, smoke some cigars, and then mingle with all the sponsors and everything. It's just beautiful."

Certainly, at some juncture during the event, Bonilla once again will be ask about the famous contract, particularly by players who may be considering deferrals in their next contract. Bonilla says he won’t hesitate telling them it was one of the best financial decisions he ever made.

“I wasn't afraid to put the money away," Bonilla said. “Everybody’s wanting their stuff now. I wanted to make sure that I had money later on. I was really, was never extravagant. I wasn’t a hermit or anything. I bought what I wanted.

“I had a couple of cars.

“But I didn’t have 12 of them."

Bonilla and Mets owner Steve Cohen have talking about having an event every year on July 1 to celebrate the occasion, a Citi Field “Bobby Bonilla Day," but for now, it remains on the backburner

“Me and Steve have talked about it," Bonilla said, “but he’s busy trying to bring a championship to New York. Steve's going to do everything he can to make it happen. I know how badly Mets fans want that championship, but in this game, you just have to be patient."

Bonilla was on that ’92 Mets team that resembled last year’s edition of the Mets with their star talent, bloated payroll, and miserable failures. They had several aging stars on their 72-90 team like 36-year-old Eddie Murray, but it also included a young 24-year-old second baseman.

Bonilla never envisioned the kid would one day wind up in Cooperstown, N.Y.: Jeff Kent.

“He was a great second baseman, just a wonderful player," Bonilla said. “I’m so happy for him. He was certainly worthy of getting in."

Bonilla also played with 10-time Gold Glove center fielder Andruw Jones in Atlanta, who’s also being inducted into the Hall of Fame along with former Mets center fielder Carlos Beltran.

“He was so special, so gifted," Bonilla said of Jones. “This is how good he was: I’m in left field one day, and the first pop-up hit to me, I lose it. Andruw sees that I lost it, yells, “Don’t worry, Bo, I got it. I mean, I gave no indication I lost the ball, but he recognized that, flies over, catches it, and laughs. He saved my butt. That’s how good he was.’’

Still, as thrilled as Bonilla is for Kent and Jones, he hopes one day another former teammate and close friend will receive baseball’s greatest honor. Yep, Barry Bonds.

“You know how I feel about Barry getting in," Bonilla said. “He belongs. I don't know what the hang up is with everybody leaving Barry off. I mean, statistically no one's even close. He was just so good. He’s the best I’ve ever seen, and it’s just crazy he’s not in there. We all scratch our head.

“So, I'm going to keep advocating for BB because I want him in there so bad."

In the meantime, if you ever need to talk contracts, and the financial advantages of deferred money, Bobby Bo is your man.

Sure, he won’t make the Hall of Fame, but that contract sure might.

Follow Nightengale on X: @Bnightengale

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: MLB contracts and deferred money: How Bobby Bonilla's infamous deal set the trend

Nuggets vs. Bucks predictions: Odds, recent stats, trends and best bets for January 23

The basic storylines for this game are the Nuggets continued strong play despite a plethora of injuries to key players including perennial MVP Nikola Jokic and the Bucks’ struggles to keep a playoff spot within sight while their perennial MVP, Giannis Antetokounmpo, continues executing his exit strategy.

Denver has won five straight on the road. They knocked off the Wizards in Washington last night, 107-97. Peyton Watson led the way with a career-high 35 points and Jamal Murray added 24 to pace the attack. Milwaukee has lost four of their last five overall including Wednesday night at home to OKC. Giannis had 19 in the loss.

These teams met almost two weeks ago on January 11 in Denver with the Nuggets prevailing, 108-104. Giannis had 31 points to lead all scorers but Tim Hardaway Jr.’s 25 off the bench for Denver paced a balanced attack for the Nuggets in the win.

Lets take a closer look at the matchup and take into consideration lineups, injuries, and other factors affecting the line and total.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds courtesy of DraftKings recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

After 24 years, the NBA is back on NBC and Peacock, combining the nostalgia of an iconic era with the innovative future of basketball coverage. The NBA on NBC YouTube channel delivers fans must-see highlights, analysis, and exclusive and unique content. 

Game Details and How to Watch Live: Nuggets at Bucks

  • Date: Friday, January 23, 2026
  • Time: 9:30PM EST
  • Site: Fiserv Forum
  • City: Milwaukee, WI
  • Network/Streaming: Amazon Prime Video

Rotoworld has you covered with all the latest NBA Player News for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Game Odds: Nuggets at Bucks

The latest odds as of Friday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Denver Nuggets (+190), Milwaukee Bucks (-230)
  • Spread: Bucks -6.5
  • Total: 218.5 points

This game opened Bucks -4.5 with the Total set at 222.5.

Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NBA schedule! 

Expected Starting Lineups: Nuggets at Bucks

Denver Nuggets

  • PG Jamal Murray
  • SG Jalen Pickett
  • SF Spencer Jones
  • PF Peyton Watson
  • C Aaron Gordon

Milwaukee Bucks

  • PG Ryan Rollins
  • SG AJ Green
  • SF Kyle Kuzma
  • PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
  • C Myles Turner

Injury Report: Nuggets at Bucks

Denver Nuggets

  • Nikola Jokic (knee) is OUT for tonight’s game
  • Christian Braun (ankle) is OUT for tonight’s game
  • Cam Johnson (knee) is OUT for tonight’s game
  • Tamar Bates (foot) is OUT for tonight’s game

Milwaukee Bucks

  • Myles Turner (ankle) is probable for tonight’s game
  • Taurean Prince (neck) is OUT for tonight’s game
  • Kevin Porter Jr. (oblique) is OUT for tonight’s game

Important stats, trends and insights: Nuggets at Bucks

  • The Bucks are 9-11 at home this season
  • The Nuggets lead the NBA with a road record of 18-7 this season
  • The Bucks are 19-24 ATS this season
  • The Nuggets are 26-19 ATS this season
  • The OVER has cashed in 27 of the Nuggets’ 45 games this season (27-18)
  • The OVER has cashed in 17 of the Bucks’ 43 games this season (17-26)
  • Jamal Murray has scored 20 or more points in 14 of his last 15 games and at least 24 in 11 of the 15
  • Giannis is shooting 66.9% from the field and averaging 26.6PPG in January
  • Giannis is averaging 28.2 points, 9.9 rebounds, and 5.6 assists this season

Rotoworld Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NBA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals.
 
Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s Nuggets at Bucks’ game:

  • Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline
  • Spread: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Nuggets +6.5
  • Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total of 217.5

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Guardians News and Notes: Bazzana Ready for the WBC

Travis Bazzana was mentioned in MLB Pipeline’s preview for Australia’s WBC team. I found it funny that they acted like there was doubt if he would make the team… if Bazzana doesn’t make Australia’s team… we are in BIG trouble.

Chas McCormick, another interesting right-handed hitter who can play center, signed a minor-league deal with the Cubs. But, we’ve got Stuart Fairchild, so who cares? Right? Right?!

MLB Pipeline will reveal their top 100 prospects tonight at 8pm.

I noticed that ATC, the final FanGraphs’ projections system, released their 2026 projections. Only Jose Ramirez, Kyle Manzardo and Steven Kwan are projected for over 100 wRC+, and the pitching projections are mostly middling. I guess we will see if the Guardians can defy expectations yet again!

Best NBA Player Props Today for January 23: Double Trouble!

Let’s start the weekend off right with some NBA player prop pick winners. 

I’ve found my three favorites for today, which include some plus-money bets for some under-the-radar guys who should get some added opportunities.

Check out those and more NBA picks for Friday, January 23, below.

Best NBA player props today

PlayerPickbet365
Cavaliers Evan MobleyDouble-double<<+135>>
Grizzlies Cam SpencerOver 2.5 made threes<<+125>>
Nuggets Jalen PickettOver 4.5 rebounds<<+105>>

Prop #1: Evan Mobley double-double

+135 at bet365

Finding consistency has been difficult for the Cleveland Cavaliers, which is why they’re just 25-20. 

But they’ve won eight of their last 12 games, and surprise, surprise, that’s exactly when Evan Mobley returned to the starting lineup.

Mobley is averaging 16.3 points and 7.8 rebounds during that period, and I’m betting he has a productive night against the Sacramento Kings.

The Sacramento Kings rank dead last in rebounding rate and allow the fourth-most points in the paint per game. 

Mobley has two double-doubles in his last four games, and tonight looks like a perfect opportunity for him to get another.

  • Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio, NBC Sports California

Prop #2: Cam Spencer Over 2.5 made threes

+125 at bet365

The Memphis Grizzlies are a mess right now, and I’m not just talking about the Ja Morant drama.

The Grizz have six guys sidelined for tonight’s game against the New Orleans Pelicans, including Morant, and have lost eight of their last 11 games.

But somebody is going to have to put up some shots for Memphis, and I’m looking at shooting guard Cam Spencer.

The deadeye 3-point shooter is hitting a ridiculous 45.8% from deep, while the Pelicans allow the second-most threes per game. 

At this price, I love Spencer to drain a bunch of treys.

  • Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: FanDuel Sports Network Southeast, Gulf Coast Sports

Prop #3: Jalen Pickett Over 4.5 rebounds

+105 at bet365

The Denver Nuggets have had to get creative with their rotations thanks to all the injuries they’ve dealt with.

For instance, 26-year-old guard Jalen Pickett has now made eight starts in a row. And he’s made the most of it, averaging 8.9 points, 5.1 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game.

Let’s focus on his work on the boards because the Milwaukee Bucks rank next-to-last in rebounding rate despite having one of the best rebounders in the NBA.

Pickett has hauled down five or more boards in seven of those eight starts, and we’re still getting plus money on this bet.

  • Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Prime Video 

These props are available now at bet365, one of our best betting sites.

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This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here

MLB rich versus poor

Recent transactions and discussions in baseball have turned attention back to the age-old complaints about wealth disparities that have plagued Major League Baseball forever. It’s hard to tell whether the current situation is meaningfully different, historically speaking, or if this is simply the same debate we’ve been having my entire life. Still, there are a couple of notable factors that suggest the current gap may differ from those of the past.

I first became aware of the small-market versus big-market dynamic during the Yankees’ “Evil Empire” era in the early 2000s. It was easy to be frustrated by that version of the Yankees. They reached the World Series six times in eight seasons from 1996 to 2003 and won four championships. George Steinbrenner didn’t mind running enormous payrolls, and that approach really stood out in 2003 and 2004, when the Yankees’ payrolls were more than 60 percent higher than the second-highest team. They began to feel like they were in a class of their own, completely separate from the other 29 clubs.

The Yankees are no longer the focal point of baseball’s financial anxiety, but the question now is whether the Dodgers and Mets are worse than those Yankees teams.

If you look strictly at payroll compared to the next-highest team or to the bottom of the league, the answer is probably no. That 2004 Yankees team ran a payroll nearly six times that of the lowest spender—and more than six times if you include the luxury tax, though the tax structure was very different then. Today, the Dodgers and Mets are clearly above everyone else at over half a billion dollars apiece, but the Dodgers are only about 45 percent above the Phillies, so the gap isn’t as extreme as it was in 2003. Similarly, the lowest payroll in 2026 sits a little over $100 million, which is still far below the top but not the six-to-one disparity we saw between the Yankees and Rays back in the day.

Those gaps are still significant—just not larger or scarier than they were 20 to 25 years ago. What gives me pause are the two massive contracts that were just signed. Both the sheer dollar amounts and the structure of those deals make me think the path toward even larger disparities between rich and poor teams isn’t far off. Some of the other owners appear to agree and will push for a salary cap in the next round of CBA negotiations. The Kyle Tucker deal seems to be the one drawing most of their ire, but I want to start with Bo Bichette, because I think a lot of nuance there is getting lost.

From a headline perspective, the Bo Bichette deal looks simple: three years and $126 million, an average annual value of $42 million. That’s a lot of money for a player who has posted between 3.5 and 5 WAR in four of the last five seasons. But he actually received more than $42 million per year in effective value. Bichette can opt out after 2026, has another opt-out after 2027, and receives $5 million if he exercises either one. That’s wild. Opt-outs represent pure risk for teams—they only get exercised when the team would prefer they didn’t—and here the Mets have to pay him on the way out, too.

On top of that, Bichette was extended a qualifying offer, meaning the Mets are also surrendering draft-pick compensation to Toronto. This deal could realistically turn into a one-year contract in which the Mets pay $47 million and a draft pick for a player projected at roughly four wins. That’s more than $12 million per win in total value. It’s an incredibly rich deal, and the team is shouldering almost all the risk. If Bichette struggles again, as he did in 2024, the Mets are still on the hook for more than $40 million per year. No small-market team can sign a deal like that, but the Mets can, because they’re in New York and their owner has more money than anyone could possibly need.

The Dodgers’ deal with Kyle Tucker is similar, only with even bigger dollars. He receives $54 million up front, a $1 million salary this year, $65 million in 2027, and $60 million in each of the following two seasons. That’s $240 million over four years, a $60 million AAV, though $10 million is deferred in each of the final three seasons. After accounting for deferrals, the luxury-tax hit is $57.1 million per year. That’s an enormous number—larger than the annual tax hit for Shohei Ohtani (because of deferrals) and Juan Soto, who sits at $51 million and carries that hit for 15 years.

Tucker’s deal is much shorter, but it’s also incredibly steep. When you factor in the Dodgers paying dollar-for-dollar into the luxury tax at their current payroll level, you could argue they’ve effectively agreed to pay $114.2 million per year for Kyle Tucker. He’s a 4.5–5 WAR player, which works out to roughly $23 million per win. Now imagine what a Bobby Witt Jr. contract would look like if he’s viewed as a seven- or eight-win player—and then consider the chances of him still being a Royal after 2030 (spoiler: he won’t be). If the Dodgers can afford to pay three times the typical $8 million-per-WAR rate we’ve come to think of as standard, very few teams can realistically compete.

None of this is new, but it does present at least one possible silver lining. If other owners can force a salary cap, there may be a path toward greater balance and a more equitable game. On the other hand, it could also lead to a strike, and I really don’t want players in the middle and lower income tiers to get squeezed as collateral damage.

The cynical side of me suspects that owners are happy to point at the Dodgers and Mets so they can frame a salary cap as a principled stance, when in reality it’s another attempt to capture a larger share of league revenue. A salary cap paired with a salary floor—and a guaranteed percentage of league revenue for players—however, might offer a path toward a healthier overall baseball ecosystem.

How the Mets’ rotation looks with Freddy Peralta in it

It’s no secret that the Mets were looking for rotation help this winter. Mets’ starters posted a 4.13 ERA and a 3.95 FIP last season, which doesn’t look so terrible on the surface until you zoom into the latter half of the year. After June 13 (the day after Kodai Senga suffered the injury that would derail his 2025 campaign), Mets’ starters posted a 5.27 ERA, the fourth-worst mark in MLB. Beyond that, Mets’ starters tossed just 796 innings in 2025, which ranked fourth from the bottom in the sport. That also amounts to an average of just under five innings per game, which put an unnecessary strain on their bullpen and caused all sorts of problems for the team.

The Mets have overhauled their lineup and their bullpen this winter, but the rotation has been mostly untouched. That changed on Wednesday night when the Mets acquired Brewers’ starter Freddy Peralta in a four-player deal that also landed them pitcher Tobias Myers. With that, the club picked up that elusive ace who can slot at the front of their rotation, which immediately turned the team’s enigmatic rotation into a strength.

Peralta led the National League with 17 wins and finished fifth in Cy Young voting last year. Even better than his 2.70 ERA and his 204 strikeouts, he threw 176 2/3 innings and made 33 starts. For reference, David Peterson led the club with 168 2/3 innings, followed by Clay Holmes at 165 2/3, and then Senga at 113 1/3 innings. The 29-year-old made at least 30 starts in each of his previous three seasons and has recorded at least 165 innings in each of those seasons. For a team that is starved for a veteran pitcher who can give them valuable innings, Peralta gives the club exactly what they needed.

As for the rest of the rotation, it remains largely intact, although they have floated both Peterson and Senga in trade rumors this offseason. It is still conceivable that the club could deal one of them to fortify another position, but with their lineup and bullpen mostly set, it’s unlikely the team will be inclined to deal either player. That means that it’s very likely that the starters currently on the club’s 40-man roster will find themselves in the Opening Day rotation, with Peralta a leading contender to take the ball against the Pirates on March 26.

Nolan McLean, who burst onto the scene with a 2.06 ERA, a 2.97 FIP, and 57 strikeouts across in 48 innings across eight starts last year, will almost certainly be a guarantee to make the rotation, and you could make a strong case for him being the team’s number 2 starter. McLean, who fell two innings short of qualifying as a rookie, will garner a lot of Rookie of the Year buzz if he can match or exceed his performance last year, but he is no longer an unknown commodity around the league. Teams will certainly have a scouting report ready to go for the 24-year-old, and how he adjusts to that will determine how much success he has in his first true go-around in the majors.

Beyond the top two pitchers, there’s a lot of uncertainty but a lot of talent. Peterson had an All-Star season in the first half (3.06 ERA, 3.42 FIP, 20.5% K%, 8.1% BB% in 109 innings across 18 starts) but faltered after the break (6.34 ERA, 3.60 FIP, 21.2% K%, 10.1% BB% in 59 2/3 innings across 12 starts) as he blew past his career-high in innings. He is set to make $8.1 million in his final year before free agency, which is a relative bargain for a left-hander who has demonstrated his ability, but he remains a bit of an enigma. If he can recapture what he did in the first half, you could make a strong case for him slotting in at the three-spot.

Behind Peterson, Holmes was the team’s most reliable pitcher and steadiest hand in the rotation. The right-hander, who took the ball on Opening Day last year, signed as an experiment, an elite closer-turned-starter, and it paid immediate dividends for New York. After throwing right around 63 innings in each of his previous three seasons out of the pen, he threw over 165 frames, second-most on the team. He led the team with 12 wins and posted a 1.9 bWAR, the best of his career. He’s likely a guy whom the team won’t want to run too deep into games, and at points last year he was mostly limited to five innings, but he excelled at limiting the damage and keeping the Mets in games, which was a huge factor in his success.

The back-end of the rotation could be the deciding factor in whether the Mets have a great rotation or an average rotation. Sean Manaea and Senga have a wealth of talent but were derailed by injuries and poor performance last year. Both were expected to front the rotation in 2025 but instead became afterthoughts as the team flailed towards a late-season collapse. However, Manaea excelled in 2024 and Senga was an ace in 2023 and the first-half of 2025, so there is proof that they can be successful. A six-man rotation will keep their arms fresh and could help increase their impact.

All in all, a rotation of Peralta-McLean-Peterson-Holmes-Senga-Manaea is a strong group, and while it is high variance, the ceiling is extremely high for this set of starters. The team could look to sign or trade for another arm, but at this point it looks like the rotation may be set. Tobias Myers can also spot start in a pinch, and Jonah Tong can easily be stashed in Triple-A and ready to go at a moment’s notice, though his big league cup of tea last year proved that he needs a bit more seasoning in the minors.

David Stearns could have another big surprise up his sleeve, but for now he has done well to acquire a front-end starter that was sorely lacking. And along with his recent additions to the bullpen and lineup, he’s done well to overhaul this roster and put together a squad that should be competitive in a very tough National League field.

Mets analysis: How the Mets’ rotation looks with Freddy Peralta in it

It’s no secret that the Mets were looking for rotation help this winter. Mets’ starters posted a 4.13 ERA and a 3.95 FIP last season, which doesn’t look so terrible on the surface until you zoom into the latter half of the year. After June 13 (the day after Kodai Senga suffered the injury that would derail his 2025 campaign), Mets’ starters posted a 5.27 ERA, the fourth-worst mark in MLB. Beyond that, Mets’ starters tossed just 796 innings in 2025, which ranked fourth from the bottom in the sport. That also amounts to an average of just under five innings per game, which put an unnecessary strain on their bullpen and caused all sorts of problems for the team.

The Mets have overhauled their lineup and their bullpen this winter, but the rotation has been mostly untouched. That changed on Wednesday night when the Mets acquired Brewers’ starter Freddy Peralta in a four-player deal that also landed them pitcher Tobias Myers. With that, the club picked up that elusive ace who can slot at the front of their rotation, which immediately turned the team’s enigmatic rotation into a strength.

Peralta led the National League with 17 wins and finished fifth in Cy Young voting last year. Even better than his 2.70 ERA and his 204 strikeouts, he threw 176 2/3 innings and made 33 starts. For reference, David Peterson led the club with 168 2/3 innings, followed by Clay Holmes at 165 2/3, and then Senga at 113 1/3 innings. The 29-year-old made at least 30 starts in each of his previous three seasons and has recorded at least 165 innings in each of those seasons. For a team that is starved for a veteran pitcher who can give them valuable innings, Peralta gives the club exactly what they needed.

As for the rest of the rotation, it remains largely intact, although they have floated both Peterson and Senga in trade rumors this offseason. It is still conceivable that the club could deal one of them to fortify another position, but with their lineup and bullpen mostly set, it’s unlikely the team will be inclined to deal either player. That means that it’s very likely that the starters currently on the club’s 40-man roster will find themselves in the Opening Day rotation, with Peralta a leading contender to take the ball against the Pirates on March 26.

Nolan McLean, who burst onto the scene with a 2.06 ERA, a 2.97 FIP, and 57 strikeouts across in 48 innings across eight starts last year, will almost certainly be a guarantee to make the rotation, and you could make a strong case for him being the team’s number 2 starter. McLean, who fell two innings short of qualifying as a rookie, will garner a lot of Rookie of the Year buzz if he can match or exceed his performance last year, but he is no longer an unknown commodity around the league. Teams will certainly have a scouting report ready to go for the 24-year-old, and how he adjusts to that will determine how much success he has in his first true go-around in the majors.

Beyond the top two pitchers, there’s a lot of uncertainty but a lot of talent. Peterson had an All-Star season in the first half (3.06 ERA, 3.42 FIP, 20.5% K%, 8.1% BB% in 109 innings across 18 starts) but faltered after the break (6.34 ERA, 3.60 FIP, 21.2% K%, 10.1% BB% in 59 2/3 innings across 12 starts) as he blew past his career-high in innings. He is set to make $8.1 million in his final year before free agency, which is a relative bargain for a left-hander who has demonstrated his ability, but he remains a bit of an enigma. If he can recapture what he did in the first half, you could make a strong case for him slotting in at the three-spot.

Behind Peterson, Holmes was the team’s most reliable pitcher and steadiest hand in the rotation. The right-hander, who took the ball on Opening Day last year, signed as an experiment, an elite closer-turned-starter, and it paid immediate dividends for New York. After throwing right around 63 innings in each of his previous three seasons out of the pen, he threw over 165 frames, second-most on the team. He led the team with 12 wins and posted a 1.9 bWAR, the best of his career. He’s likely a guy whom the team won’t want to run too deep into games, and at points last year he was mostly limited to five innings, but he excelled at limiting the damage and keeping the Mets in games, which was a huge factor in his success.

The back-end of the rotation could be the deciding factor in whether the Mets have a great rotation or an average rotation. Sean Manaea and Senga have a wealth of talent but were derailed by injuries and poor performance last year. Both were expected to front the rotation in 2025 but instead became afterthoughts as the team flailed towards a late-season collapse. However, Manaea excelled in 2024 and Senga was an ace in 2023 and the first-half of 2025, so there is proof that they can be successful. A six-man rotation will keep their arms fresh and could help increase their impact.

All in all, a rotation of Peralta-McLean-Peterson-Holmes-Senga-Manaea is a strong group, and while it is high variance, the ceiling is extremely high for this set of starters. The team could look to sign or trade for another arm, but at this point it looks like the rotation may be set. Tobias Myers can also spot start in a pinch, and Jonah Tong can easily be stashed in Triple-A and ready to go at a moment’s notice, though his big league cup of tea last year proved that he needs a bit more seasoning in the minors.

David Stearns could have another big surprise up his sleeve, but for now he has done well to acquire a front-end starter that was sorely lacking. And along with his recent additions to the bullpen and lineup, he’s done well to overhaul this roster and put together a squad that should be competitive in a very tough National League field.

Colorado Rockies prospects: No. 25, Michael Prosecky

25. Michael Prosecky (89 points, 12 ballots)

When the Rockies signed Prosecky to a slightly over-slot $300k bonus after drafting him in the sixth round in 2022, most observers thought the left-handed pitcher would be ticketed for the bullpen. After all, that’s where the 6’3” hurler had distinguished himself in college as Louisville’s closer. Instead, the now 24-year-old made the transition to the starting rotation in his first full professional season and has stayed there ever since. As a prospect, Prosecky pairs a deceptive low to mid-90s fastball with a high spin rate curveball, slider, and change-up.

Mid-season 2025 Rank: HM

High Ballot: 20

Mode Ballot: 21, 22, 24, 25

Future Value: 35+, starting pitcher depth

Contract Status: 2022 Sixth Round, University of Louisville, Rule 5 Eligible, three options remaining

MLB ETA: 2026

After a strong 2023 spent in Low-A Fresno, Prosecky was delayed by elbow inflammation in 2024 until mid-June, which limited him to 48 2/3 innings across 14 games for a combination of the ACL team, Low-A, and High-A. The good news was that he struck out a sterling 14.4 batters per nine innings, albeit against younger competition. Prosecky also received an Arizona Fall League valedictory, where he threw an additional 15 13 innings with poor run suppression numbers (7.63 ERA, 2.02 WHIP, and 5.3 BB/9 rate) and strong strikeout numbers (13.5 K/9 rate). All told, across 22 appearances in four leagues in 2024, Prosecky ended up with 101 strikeouts in 64 innings pitched (14.2 K/9 rate), 30 walks (4.2 BB/9 rate), and 37 earned runs allowed (5.20 ERA).

In 2025, Prosecky went back to High-A Spokane, where he was 0.8 years older than league average. He stayed healthy and threw 88 2/3 frames of 3.86 ERA ball in 18 starts with a 1.26 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 rate, and 4.2 BB/9 rate. That’s a significant K/9 rate drop, but the run prevention numbers improved enough to earn Prosecky a post All-Star break promotion to Double-A Hartford, where he was 0.7 years younger than league average. In nine starts with Hartford, Prosecky posted a 4.97 ERA (4.81 xFIP) in 38 innings built on his 1.55 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 rate, and 5.4 BB/9 rate. Overall, it was nice to see Prosecky succeed against upper minors hitting.

Here’s Prosecky striking out ten in a start for Spokane last year:

Prosecky is ranked 22nd in the system by MLB Pipeline as a 40 FV player:

The 6-foot-3 left-hander does have the size and repertoire to potentially start, with a four-pitch mix. At his best, he runs his fastball up to 95-96 mph and can command it well, missing bats with it along the way. He has a slider that has late action with depth, a slower curve that he can use to steal a strike and an improving feel for his changeup as well.

Prosecky had thrown just 64 innings in college before topping 100 IP in 2023. The Rockies are hopeful that a now completely healthy Prosecky, who has generally been around the zone when he’s at his best, can hit the reset switch and start moving up the ladder again in 2025.

Eric Longenhagen of FanGraphs ranked Prosecky in the 35+ FV tier and 30th in the system on the strength of a 60 future grade curveball:

Prosecky only sits 91-93 mph, but hitters don’t seem to pick it up. The southpaw has a short, vertical arm stroke that helps his heater play as an in-zone bat misser despite below-average velocity. He hides the ball forever and it appears to jump on hitters very quickly. He throws a classic 12-to-6 curveball off of that, a pitch that’s virtually indistinguishable from his fastball until it starts to bend with huge, bat-missing depth. Those two pitches give Prosecky a lower-leverage reliever’s foundation. Prosecky’s arm stroke isn’t always well timed, and his strike-throwing results have been mixed during this try as a starter. In the 2024 Fall League, Prosecky was working with a second breaking ball, a slider in the 82-84 mph range that looked below average. There’s definitely more variance here than is typical for a guy who sits 92, but Prosecky is tracking like a low-leverage lefty.

Baseball Prospectus ranked Prosecky 20th in the system last January:

Prosecky fails to light up the radar gun but gets by thanks to plus carry on a low-90s heater. With a four-pitch mix, Prosecky has more of a typical starter’s repertoire. What he lacks is reps, as a reliever in college who then missed time due to injury. Colorado sent him to the Arizona Fall League, where he continued to miss bats but also yielded runs in an environment more friendly to older hitters. A full-health season would see Prosecky end next year having handled a decent chunk of time in Hartford, continuing to miss bats. His floor is lofty as a bullpen piece, but as long as he seems startable he’s performed enough to merit the looks.

Keith Law of the Athletic ranked Prosecky 14th in the org last February:

Prosecky was my sleeper for the Rockies last year, but after he went to an outside lab to try to boost his velocity, he came down with elbow inflammation and never got on track, throwing 63 innings total between the regular season and Arizona Fall League, with terrible results in the fall and in High A. Even when he did pitch, he was 90-94, down from 92-95 the year earlier; he barely used his slider; and his command was way off. When healthy, he’s got a four-pitch mix, with the slider his best offering and a changeup that could flash plus but didn’t sit there. There’s deception in his delivery to help the fastball play up as well, as long as he’s locating it. Let’s hope a full offseason of rest gets him back to his 2023 form, when he looked like he might be a mid-rotation starter.

It’s interesting to see the difference in evaluation on the curveball — for Law and MLB Pipeline, it’s Prosecky’s weakest pitch but for Longenhagen, it’s his best.

Prosecky has been a pleasant player-development surprise for the Rockies thanks to his jump up the pitcher role value spectrum and effectiveness in the role. He missed fewer bats in 2025 but took a step forward in run prevention at a higher level while throwing 126 2/3 innings. The Rockies didn’t protect Prosecky from the Rule 5 Draft this off-season but he wasn’t selected, so he will likely return to Hartford to begin 2026 and he will be a big league rotation option later in the season. I ranked Prosecky in the middle of my 35+ FV tier, 29th on my list.


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