Here’s how the Royals make the playoffs in 2026

Bobby Witt Jr stands with his bat over his shoulder looking toward the pitcher
SCOTTSDALE, AZ - MARCH 20: Bobby Witt Jr. #7 of the Kansas City Royals prepares on deck during the game between the Kansas City Royals and the San Francisco Giants at Scottsdale Stadium on Friday, March 20, 2026 in Scottsdale, Arizona. (Photo by Brendon Baranov/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Over the course of the offseason, I settled on a new framing device for how to look at a baseball team and its chances of making the playoffs. The common thought around baseball goes like this: “You’re going to win 54 games, you’re going to lose 54 games. It’s what happens in the other 54 that determines where you end up.” I like to think about winning enough of those 54 games to reach the postseason as answering a sufficient number of “ifs.”

You will win a game if the starting pitcher does well, if the bullpen can lock it down, if the offense can score runs, or if you can get a little lucky. Those statements can all be broken down into more specific questions, and, of course, for any given game, you don’t need all of those if-statements to come true, but you need enough of them to work out. And so it is with the season. That’s why projection systems are so conservative by nature, because you’d have to be nearly perfect to be expected to win 108, and have nearly the worst outcome imaginable to lose that many. But the number of potential answers a team has can make a big difference.

For example, every team that wants to succeed needs to try to answer that first “if” every night; they’ve got to send a starting pitcher to the mound. Last year, the Royals had six possible answers that they felt pretty good about when the season started. That ended up not being enough, and people called it bad luck with injuries. The Dodgers suffered more injuries to their starting rotation, but still won the World Series. Why? Because they had more “ifs” they could use when they rolled snake eyes.

There’s also the matter of the quality of the ifs, of course. In computer programming, an “if statement” is followed by a list of possibilities separated by an AND or an OR. If the options are combined with and, everything has to go right to continue (also known as “returning true”); if they’re combined with an OR, you only need one of them to return true. When I was younger, the ifs would go something like, “If Mark Teahen can move to second AND he can still play good defense AND he can continue improving his bat into his late 20s AND he doesn’t slow down AND someone else can play third, first, left, and rightfield, the Royals can win! That’s simply too many ifs for one player to answer, so you’re not going to get to follow through.

If you prefer betting metaphors, it’s the difference between betting a six-legged parlay and having six individual bets. In the parlay, they’ve all got to cover for you to win any money. If you do six individual bets, and you win some of them, you can still make a profit. (Remember this when you’re considering whether to play a parlay or not, please. Parlays are a sportsbook’s best friend and a bettor’s worst enemy.)

The 2026 Royals have a series of if questions to answer, but there are a lot fewer ANDs than we’ve become accustomed to as Royals fans. And the Royals have as many potential options as they’ve had in the history of my fandom to plug in for the ORs.

If the starting pitcher does well

The bare minimum number of answers necessary for this question is five – the number of starters in a rotation at any given time. However, the reality has always been that you’re going to need more than five; probably closer to ten or even fifteen correct answers over the course of a full season. For each starting pitcher, you basically have to answer two more if questions: if he is healthy and if he pitches well. Here’s how the Royals began 2025:

  • Cole Ragans
    • Extremely likely to pitch well
    • Unlikely to be healthy
  • Seth Lugo
    • Likely to pitch well
    • Likely to be healthy
  • Michael Wacha
    • Likely to pitch well
    • Likely to be healthy
  • Michael Lorenzen
    • Not particularly likely to pitch well
    • Likely to be healthy
  • Kris Bubic
    • Quite likely to pitch well
    • Unlikely to be healthy
  • Noah Cameron
    • Unlikely to pitch well
    • Likely to be healthy
  • Alec Marsh
    • Unlikely to pitch well
    • Was hurt before the season started
  • Kyle Wright
    • Unlikely to pitch well
    • Extremely unlikely to be healthy, injured shortly into the season

The Royals simply didn’t have enough guys who were likely to satisfy both criteria, and that ended up bearing out in the end. However, things are different in 2026. Ragans, Wacha, and Lugo are all back and in roughly similar positions as last year. Noah Cameron and Kris Bubic are back, but you’d expect more out of both of them than you did entering last season, as long as they remain healthy. They lost Lorenzen, Marsh, and Wright, but look who they added:

  • Ryan Bergert
    • Likely to pitch well
    • Not particularly likely to be injured
  • Stephen Kolek
    • Likely to be average
    • Not particularly likely to be injured
  • Bailey Falter
    • Unlikely to pitch well
    • Likely to be healthy
  • Luinder Avila
    • Unlikely to pitch well
    • Not particularly likely to be injured
  • Ben Kudrna
    • Unlikely to pitch well
    • Likely to be healthy
  • Mitch Spence
    • Unlikely to pitch well
    • Likely to be healthy
  • Mason Black
    • Unlikely to pitch well
    • Likely to be healthy

Now, don’t get hung up on how many of those guys are unlikely to pitch well, because not all of them need to. The 2026 Royals don’t have any more ifs for their rotation than the 2025 team did, but they have more potential answers. Soren Petro has spent a lot of time on the Kauffman Corner podcast this offseason asking how things might have gone differently for Luke Hochevar if the Royals had had guys who could start games instead of him, allowing him to shift to the bullpen earlier in his career than he did. If one of these guys turns into a modern-day Luke Hochevar – looking at you, Mason Black – the Royals won’t have to ask if; they’ll be able to find out because they do have someone else who can step into the rotation and give it a shot.

If the bullpen can lock it down

We don’t need to go through that whole exercise from above with every reliever; there are too many of them. But trust me when I say the Royals have more options with better chances of returning true than they’ve ever had before under manager Matt Quatraro. Any of Carlos Estévez, Lucas Erceg, John Schreiber, Alex Lange, Nick Mears, or Matt Strahm might have been the best reliever on the roster at the start of 2024. Heck, this year’s version of Steven Cruz or Luinder Avila might have been, too, and they’re both starting the year in the minors. James McArthur was the Royals’ closer for much of that year, and even if he gets healthy and starts pitching better than he did that season, he might not be able to find much time on the big league roster because of how much more talent the team has available this year. John Schreiber was last year’s third-best reliever and might be this year’s seventh-best.

When you have enough potential answers, the likelihood of getting one right goes way up; that’s just probability. The likelihood of rolling a six on a standard die is 16.7%; the likelihood of rolling at least one six on two standard dice is 30.5%; the likelihood of rolling at least one six on three standard dice is 42.1%. You can never get all the way to 100% probability, no matter how many dice you add, but still, more dice give you better odds, and the Royals have a lot of dice in 2026.

Last year, Carlos Estévez led all of MLB in saves. But if he had gotten injured, the only likely solution for closer would have been Lucas Erceg, who wasn’t pitching as well in 2025 as he did after being acquired in 2024. After him would have been John Schreiber, who isn’t as bad as Royals fans sometimes think, but doesn’t seem likely to thrive in the closer role for very long. But, while there is some concern about Estévez to start the year, there are still half a dozen other guys after him and Erceg who are at least as good as Schreiber that you can try out at the closer job for a short time without feeling like you’re stretching too far. That includes Strahm, who has been one of the best relievers in baseball over the past three years. If those guys are healthy and pitching well, then they get a chance to come up sixes in the earlier innings, instead, shortening games in a way that the 2015 Royals enjoyed with the option to try out a variety of guys in the fifth and sixth innings because they knew HDH had the back three locked down.

If the offense can score runs

Let’s list the questions the offense needs to answer:

  • If Bobby Witt Jr. can be a star
  • If Maikel Garcia can be close to as good as he was last year
  • If Vinnie Pasquantino can continue to be an RBI machine
  • If Salvador Perez can fight off Father Time for another year
  • If Jonathan India can bounce back to be playable
  • If Isaac Collins can continue to show elite plate discipline
  • If Kyle Isbel can still be a defensive force in center field
  • If Jac Caglianone can live up to the projections this time
  • If Carter Jensen can look like the guy he was in September
  • If Lane Thomas can mash lefties again
  • If Starling Marte can hit
  • If Michael Massey can find his form from 2024 and stay healthy

That’s a lot of ifs, but reading through that list, a lot of them feel pretty likely, yes? Last year, the list included things like “If MJ Melendez’s swing change works” and “If Jonathan India can hit at the highest level he’s ever hit AND play two brand new positions competently”. Things that we either did or should have assumed wouldn’t work. Last year also included “If Bobby Witt Jr. can be a superstar”, which is very different from just being a star, which he still was last year, and feels like his floor.

In a lot of these cases, we’re just asking the players to continue doing what they’ve done. One of the meme-able complaints about Dayton Moore was his seeming belief that everyone would do better next year, and that’s how the team would win. The 2026 Royals mostly don’t need to get better; they just need to be as good as they have recently been.

And, once again, not all of these have to happen. The most obvious example of this is that only one of the three out of Isaac Collins, Lane Thomas, and Starling Marte has to hit to make left field significantly better than last year. When Melendez and Renfroe didn’t succeed last year, the Royals were forced to turn to John Rave and Drew Waters. Now, instead of the first guys through the door, Waters might be gone entirely, and Rave might be third or fourth choice in the minors after several viable-seeming options in the bigs. Second base still looks like a problem because while the team only needs to find success with India or Massey to fix second base, neither seems particularly likely. Still, if everything else works out, that leaves only one hole in a lineup. And a lineup that goes eight deep is still a lineup you can win with.

You want to know what has to happen for the Royals to make the playoffs? So does the team! The old saying goes that no battle plan survives first contact with the enemy. Every year, the Royals have made a plan to get to the postseason. This year, though, when the Royals’ plans inevitably go awry, they have given themselves more options than ever to figure it out. What needs to happen for the Royals to make it to the playoffs? No one knows for sure, but the Royals seem likely to have answers, regardless.

Mariners News, 3/24/26: Bryce Miller, Pete Crow-Armstrong, and Spencer Strider

MESA, AZ - MARCH 22: Pete Crow-Armstrong #4 of the Chicago Cubs bats during the game between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Chicago Cubs at Sloan Park on Sunday, March 22, 2026 in Mesa, Arizona. (Photo by Zach Gardner/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Happy Tuesday! The Mariners concluded this year’s Spring Training with a 3-10 loss to the San Diego Padres, but a solid outing from starter Luis Castillo was one of the game’s highlights. Castillo pitched five innings and only gave up one run on four hits with five strikeouts. 

We are just two sleeps away from 2026 Opening Day, and first pitch can’t come any sooner. The Mariners will be faced with a number of difficult roster decisions before then, however, including J.P. Crawford’s position at shortstop and Bryce Miller’s rotation spot. With both players battling injuries and a little uncertainty with their status, who do you think will occupy those positions on the Mariners’ Opening Day roster?

In Mariners news…

Around the league…

Arizona Diamondbacks News 3/24: Last Exhibition Before It Counts

PHOENIX, AZ - SEPTEMBER 24: Ildemaro Vargas #6 of the Arizona Diamondbacks celebrates with teammates in the dugout during the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on Wednesday, September 24, 2025 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Shayna Goldberg/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Diamondbacks News

National League Wild Card landscape: What teams do the Diamondbacks have to compete with? by Alex Weiner [Arizona Sports]

The National League has a clear favorite, three rebuilding clubs and a large swath of teams that range from young and promising to perennial contender, which should create a competitive atmosphere.

On Fangraphs, the Los Angeles Dodgers are projected to lead the NL with 96 wins, but there are 10 teams between 77 and 88 wins where a few breaks can cluster the group together.

One Last-Minute Move the Diamondbacks Could Still Make Before Opening Day by Alex D’Agostino [SI]

There don’t tend to be many legitimately good free agent left-handed relievers just floating out there, unsigned. A move to acquire one would likely either require a trade or taking a flyer on a potential under-the-radar arm. 

One option that is available, as much as D-backs fans might groan at it: former Diamondback Andrew Chafin was recently let go by the Minnesota Twins. 

Chafin pitched to an elite 2.41 ERA in 42 games for the Twins and Nationals in 2025. He posted a 3.51 ERA in 62 games in 2024, one year following his departure from Arizona.

Diamondbacks’ Opening Day roster becomes clear, and there are no left-handed relievers by Alex Weiner [Arizona Sports]

“We feel very comfortable with some reverse split guys that can go out there and attack left-hand hitters,” Lovullo said. “The reason for this decision, and this is what I told Brandyn, is that our main pillar is filling up the strike zone. I felt like that was a little inconsistent. … He’s going to be in our bullpen in no time. So that’s the reason.”

Morillo and Ginkel were two arms Lovullo pointed to who could go after lefties, and Hoffmann had reverse splits in the minor leagues, as well.

Around the League

Best mound visit of Baumler’s life – finding out he’s a Major Leaguer by Dave Sessions [MLB]

Baumler induced groundouts from the first two batters he faced, Starling Marte and Jonathan India, before Schumacher suddenly sprung from the dugout steps and went out to the mound for a chat. The Rangers’ infielders converged and Schumaker broke the good news to Baumler – to a visit then filled with laughs and smiles.

Baumler did not allow a run in 9 1/3 innings over eight Cactus League appearances for the Rangers this spring, striking out 10 and walking two. At three levels in Baltimore’s farm system last season, Baumler ​​posted a combined 2.04 ERA in 39 2/3 innings.

MLB Opening Day 2026: A guide to the offseason chaos by Jorge Castillo, Bradford Doolittle, Alden Gonzalez, Jesse Rogers, David Schoenfield [ESPN]

Opening week of the 2026 MLB season has arrived — after an offseason when chaos reigned supreme.

Not long after their historic late-season collapse, the New York Mets started an offseason overhaul that continued throughout the winter. Fresh off their 2025 World Series appearance, the Toronto Blue Jays added an ace to their rotation, the Baltimore Orioles brought in a slugging bat to anchor their lineup, and the Chicago Cubs finally made the big-name free agent signing their fans had been craving.

But in the end, it was the two-time reigning champion Los Angeles Dodgers who sent shock waves through the sport by signing the offseason’s No. 1 free agent to a record deal.

2026 Positional Power Rankings: Bullpen (No. 16-30) by Michael Rosen [FanGraphs]

28. Diamondbacks

With A.J. Puk and Justin Martinez both on the shelf for the foreseeable future, Kevin Ginkel — who, to be clear, posted a 7.36 ERA in 2025 while battling intermittent shoulder issues — started the offseason in the pole position to handle much of the team’s high-leverage work. Then his fastball was down two ticks this spring, and he got lit up, so that might’ve been the end of high-leverage Gink.

At least Paul Sewald is back in town. He appears to have added a cutterish pitch to his two-pitch arsenal, and his velocity has actually been up a bit in his brief spring action. Given the trend lines of these two, I’d pick Sewald to emerge as the preferred early-season closer option, but there are a few guys who are perhaps primed to seize the title as they gain a bit more big league experience.

JJ Wetherholt To Make Cardinals’ Opening Day Roster by Darragh McDonald [MLB Trade Rumors]

The news on Wetherholt is notable but not surprising. It has seemed all winter long as though the Cards had planned for him to get a shot in the big leagues. They cleared out their roster this winter by trading guys like Willson ContrerasNolan Arenado and Brendan Donovan. Those trade were partly for cost savings but also to open some playing time for younger players as the Cards are rebuilding and need to assess their young guys in a major league environment.

Wetherholt was one of the main guys who needed some room. The seventh overall pick of the 2024 draft, he climbed to the cusp of the majors last year. He split his time between Double-A and Triple-A, making 496 plate appearances in total. His 14.5% walk rate was excellent and almost as high as his 14.7% strikeout rate. He produced a combined .306/.421/.510 batting line, which translated to a 154 wRC+. He stole 23 bases on the year. His defense at shortstop was considered good enough for him to stay there as a big leaguer but he also played some second and third base.

As the 2026 season drew closer and the annual top 100 lists came out, Wetherholt was in the top 10 of most of them. But at the beginning of the season, the Cards had a fairly crowded infield. Masyn Winn is one of the best defensive shortstops on the majors and is controlled for another four seasons. They had Arenado at third. Donovan could bounce around the diamond but played second base more than any other spot.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates Sent Down Konnor Griffin by Michael McDermott [Mike’s Hardball Blueprint]

In the Prospect Promotion Incentive era, it’s tempting for the Pirates to play their top prospect. A first-place Rookie of the Year finish in 2026, or becoming an MVP finalist by 2028, would have netted Pittsburgh a first-round pick. Considering the Dodgers and Mets are spending like there’s no tomorrow, it would easily be a Top 30 selection.

However, we also have to remember that even with the potential reward of a first-rounder, the six-plus years of control are more valuable. The draft pick is merely a bonus if the timing lines up right for an elite prospect.

2026 Orioles positional preview: Outfield

BALTIMORE, MD - SEPTEMBER 25: Dylan Beavers #12 of the Baltimore Orioles hits a walk off home run during a baseball game against the Tampa Bay Rays at the Oriole Park at Camden Yards on September 25, 2025 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Mitchell Layton/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The outfield was a problem for the Orioles last year. Early-season injuries to Colton Cowser and Tyler O’Neill meant that the team rarely had their “first string” options all available at the same time. This did allow Ramón Laureano to break out and become a valuable trade chip, but the rest of the replacements struggled to find any consistency.

Orioles President of Baseball Operations Mike Elias made the outfield a priority this offseason. He dealt Grayson Rodriguez, and his four years of team control, to the Angels in exchange for veteran slugger Taylor Ward, a player that the GM had apparently been coveting for years. Ward is only expected to be in Baltimore for one year since he hits free agency after the season, but he should provide added power and durability to a lineup that could use both.

Leody Taveras was the other offseason addition. His spot on the roster is not locked in though. He would be the fifth outfielder on the squad, a luxury that many teams don’t utilize. His argument to make the Opening Day team would include his versatility, ability to play centerfield, speed on the bases, and a switch-hitting bat to complement Colton Cowser’s lefty stick.


Dylan Beavers

Beavers enters the year with a little bit of a Rookie of the Year buzz. He posted a .934 OPS in Triple-A Norfolk last year, and then had an intriguing 35-game cup of coffee with the Orioles at the end of the year in which he had a .375 on-base percentage. Those performances gave his prospect status a big boost, placing him onto several “Top 100” lists for the first time in his career.

What the rookie’s exact role will be on the team is tough to pin down. He has experience at all three outfield spots, but fits best in the corners. How often will he start ahead of O’Neill and Ward? It’s unclear. At a minimum, he should enter most games at some point to serve as a defensive replacement or pinch runner.

Colton Cowser

The 2025 season was a nightmare for Cowser. He broke his thumb in the first week of the year, forcing him to miss two months. Shortly after returning in June, he fractured his ribs. In what was supposed to be a breakout season for Cowser, he struggled to stay on the field and underperformed (.196/.269/.385) when he was healthy.

It seemed possible going into the offseason that the Orioles would pursue a center field upgrade, pushing Cowser to fight for playing time in the corners. Instead, they added Ward and made Cowser their de facto starting center fielder. It’s a big role in a crucial campaign.

Tyler O’Neill

The Orioles need more out of O’Neill in 2026 than they got in his debut season. Last year, he only played in 54 games, hit nine home runs, and posted a .684 OPS. That’s not good value for the $16.5 million he is earning per season.

O’Neill is making too much money to simply be a platoon bat, but the Orioles could look to protect him a bit more in the season ahead. That could mean getting subbed out in the late innings or seeing more regular time at DH. Beavers is going to deserve regular playing time as well, so some sort of partnership with O’Neill makes sense.

Taylor Ward

The addition of Ward came out of, well, left field. Rodriguez was a player that Orioles fans had grown attached to and still believed in quite a bit. Ward, playing his baseball on the west coast, was a relative unknown that is also due to hit free agency soon. It didn’t seem to make much sense at first blush.

Now, several months and a full spring training removed from the move, things are starting to click. Ward has been a well above-average hitter for five years now and has experience hitting towards the top of a batting order. A nice showing down in Sarasota (.894 OPS) doesn’t hurt either. Meanwhile, Rodriguez is opening the season on the IL for the Angels, citing “dead arm” and further diminished velocities for the decision. There is still plenty of time for this deal to go sideways, but right now it is looking much more logical for the Orioles.

Depth

Whether or not any other dedicated outfielders make the Opening Day squad will depend on how the front office and manager Craig Albernaz feel about the rest of their bench. The roster math right now is tight, depending on if they go forward with 12 or 13 pitchers out of the gate. Unless there is an unreported injury or a potential trade in the next two days, they will probably not be able to carry all of the bench players that have been discussed throughout the spring. Bryan Ramos, who is exclusively an infielder, would seem to be the odd man out despite his strong showing this spring.

Taveras did not have a great spring. He finished with a .205/.226/.304 batting line. But at this point in his career, his value is not in his bat. It’s more about being a late-game upgrade on defense or the bases. Is that worth his $2 million salary? Or could the team get just as much value out of a combination of Beavers, Blaze Alexander, and the eventual call-up of Enrique Bradfield Jr.?

Alexander, acquired from the Diamondbacks right before spring training, is making the team and is likely to see plenty of time at second base as Jackson Holliday rehabs his broke hamate bone. But the O’s used him in center field some this spring, and the Diamondbacks gave him time there last season. Using him as the backup in center would save a roster spot.

It’s a similar consideration for Jeremiah Jackson in the corners. The 25-year-old had a really good camp (.847 OPS), which comes on the heels of an impressive post-trade deadline showing with the big league team last summer (.775 OPS, five home runs). They could use his bat off the bench. Most of his professional work has come on the infield, but he played 34 games in right field last year.

Bradfield is being treated like a player that the Orioles plan to count on rather soon. As of this writing, he is still on the team’s roster and took part in both of their exhibition games against the Nationals this week. With the glove and on the bases, he is ready for the big leagues. But his bat needs some work. He OPS’ed just .512 in 15 games at Triple-A last year, and went 1-for-12 this spring. That doesn’t sound like a player that will make an Opening Day roster, but a strong showing in Triple-A to begin the season could earn him a ticket to Baltimore sometime in the first half of the year.

Heston Kjerstad began the spring on fire, but cooled off in the second half of March. Now he is dealing with hamstring tightness. All of this combines to leave him off of the Opening Day roster and likely to get his first action of the year at Triple-A Norfolk. But if he proves he has shaken the health issues from a season ago, he should get another shot in Baltimore at some point in the year, especially if the offense needs an influx of power.

Reed Trimble was a somewhat surprising addition to the 40-man roster this winter. The 25-year-old has been a legitimate prospect ever since the Orioles selected him 65th overall back in 2021, but his development has been rather slow. That said, he was Rule 5 draft-eligible in December, so it seems the Orioles were worried enough about losing him that they didn’t want to risk it. He hit .257/.352/.503 in Double-A last year, and then spent a month in Triple-A. His ceiling is probably that of a toolsy reserve that can provide solid defense at all three outfield spots. He will need to prove himself in Norfolk first.


The Orioles do not project to be elite at any one outfield position in 2026. But at a minimum they should be serviceable across the board. FanGraphs gives the following projections by position:

  • LF: 2.8 fWAR, sixth-best in MLB
  • CF: 3.0 fWAR, 13th in MLB
  • RF: 2.4 fWAR, 11th in MLB

That would represent significant improvement in left (0.8 fWAR in 2025) and center (1.2 fWAR in 2024), while it would be about the same production in right (2.5 fWAR in 2025) from a season ago. The Orioles would take that. Ultimately, this team is going to go as far as their infielders, led by Gunnar Henderson and Pete Alonso, can take them. But they need the outfield to show a certain level of competency and health that they didn’t in 2025.

SB Nation Reacts survey: How did Jed Hoyer do this offseason?

Jed Hoyer with his big offseason acquisition, Alex Bregman | | Getty Images

Welcome to SB Nation Reacts, a survey of fans across MLB. Throughout the year we ask questions of the most plugged-in Cubs fans and fans across the country. Sign up here to participate in the weekly emailed surveys.


We’re just two days from Opening Day of the 2026 regular season. The Cubs will face the Nationals at Wrigley Field.

Cubs President of Baseball Operations Jed Hoyer has done another makeover of the team over the winter, with Kyle Tucker departing and Alex Bregman arriving being the biggest change.

But Hoyer also acquired a potential top starter, Edward Cabrera, in trade. And despite the departure of key 2025 relievers like Drew Pomeranz and Brad Keller, Hoyer has acquired four relievers in free agency who all have had success in the past: Phil Maton, Hoby Milner, Jacob Webb and Hunter Harvey.

In the past, Hoyer’s had good luck putting together bullpens, so I think that should work out pretty well.

In this week’s SB Nation Reacts survey, I’d like you to give Hoyer a grade. Honestly, I think this offseason rates an “A,” and I’ve never been a big fan of Hoyer. But he’s put together a win-now type of team that should be able to build on last year’s 92-win club and should be the favorite to win the NL Central.

Cast your vote below and we’ll have the results later this week.

Pelicans vs Knicks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

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Zion Williamson is putting in work since the All-Star break, pushing the New Orleans Pelicans out of the Western Conference basement with 10 wins in their last 16 games.

With no first-round draft pick, New Orleans lacks an incentive to tank down the stretch, and Williamson is stacking the box score with points, rebounds, and assists.

Our Pelicans vs. Knicks predictions single out that latter stat — assists — with my NBA picks calling for Zion to pump up his playmaking at MSG tonight.

Pelicans vs Knicks prediction

Pelicans vs Knicks best bet: Zion Williamson Over 2.5 assists (-115)

Since coming off a minutes restriction in January, Zion Williamson has been a force, but he’s done so with the New Orleans Pelicans being selective about his usage, running the offense through him — not necessarily for him.

For all his sound and fury at the rim, Williamson is an underrated passer.
 
He generates 6.3 potential assists per game, trickling down to an average of 3.3 dimes. He’s dished out 3+ assists in 21 of his last 34 outings, including four helpers in the loss at Cleveland on Saturday.

Tonight’s player projections range between 3.4 and 4.4 assists for Zion.

Pelicans vs Knicks same-game parlay

The New York Knicks are in pursuit of the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference, which would earn them home court if they run into Boston in the playoffs. Game models have the Knicks getting by the Pelicans tonight.

Mikal Bridges is one of the streakiest scorers in the NBA. New York's small forward seems to have snapped another cold shooting slump with a 6-for-11 night and 14 points in the win over Washington. He’s projected for a similar stat line tonight.

Pelicans vs Knicks SGP

  • Knicks moneyline
  • Zion Williamson Over 2.5 assists
  • Mikal Bridges Over 12.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Zion’s Garden Party

Superstars tend to get up to play at MSG. Zion’s projections lean toward 21 points and three assists, and let’s not forget how explosive a shot blocker he is. The Pelicans have also been one of the better ATS bets over the past month and a half.

Pelicans vs Knicks SGP

  • Pelicans +8.5
  • Zion Williamson Over 20.5 points
  • Zion Williamson Over 2.5 assists
  • Zion Williamson Over 0.5 blocks

Pelicans vs Knicks odds

  • Spread: Pelicans +8.5 | Knicks -8.5
  • Moneyline: Pelicans +280 | Knicks -360
  • Over/Under: Over 231.5 | Under 231.5

Pelicans vs Knicks betting trend to know

The Pelicans have covered the spread in 20 of their last 30 games for +10.10 units and a 31% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Pelicans vs. Knicks.

How to watch Pelicans vs Knicks

LocationMadison Square Garden, New York, NY
DateTuesday, March 24, 2026
Tip-off7:30 p.m. ET
TVGCSEN, MSG

Pelicans vs Knicks latest injuries

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Two clutch teams, one brutal ending as Pistons edge Lakers in thrilling finish

DETROIT, MI – MARCH 23: Luka Doncic #77 of the Los Angeles Lakers drives to the basket as Daniss Jenkins #24 of the Detroit Pistons plays defense during the game...

Two clutch teams walk into a bar…

And instead of ordering drinks, they start trading daggers.

Not the loud, reckless kind that comes early in games when legs are fresh and defenses are polite. No, these are the quiet, suffocating possessions that define reputations — the kind that happen when the clock bleeds, the crowd leans, and every decision carries weight.

That’s who the Los Angeles Lakers and the Detroit Pistons have been all season. Not just good teams. Not just surprising teams. Clutch teams. Cold-blooded, mathematically undeniable closers.

Detroit’s Ronald Holland shoots against LA’s Luka Dončić at Little Caesars Arena, March 23 in Detroit, Michigan. Getty Images

Entering Monday night in Detroit, the Lakers owned the best winning percentage in clutch games in the NBA at 22–6 — a staggering .786 mark that isn’t just elite, it’s historic. We’re talking about the best clip in over two decades.

Across the floor stood a Pistons team with a different but equally dangerous profile. Detroit had 25 clutch wins — now 26, the most in the league — and a .676 winning percentage in those same moments. 

Advanced metrics only reinforced the inevitability. The Lakers ranked No. 1 in clutch offensive rating and No. 1 in net rating. Detroit sat comfortably in the top tier at No. 7 and No. 5 respectively. Zoom out even further, and it gets almost absurd: Los Angeles was 24–6 in single-digit games; Detroit 27–7. In games decided by three points or less, the Lakers were 8–2, the Pistons 9–5.

So when these two collided inside Little Caesars Arena, there was no mystery. No guesswork. This wasn’t going to be a blowout. This wasn’t going to be decided by halftime, even though Detroit thought it would be.

This was always going to come down to one possession.

And it did.

Dončić is the very embodiment of why the Lakers have owned late-game situations all year. NBAE via Getty Images

The Lakers, short-handed without Marcus Smart and Rui Hachimura, spent the first half looking like a team that forgot its identity somewhere over the Midwest. Down 16, disjointed, a step slow. But here’s the thing about teams that live for those clutch moments — they don’t panic. They bend but don’t break.

“We’ve been able to bend and not break, and tonight was another example of that,” head coach JJ Redick said. “We’re a good basketball team and we have to continue to play together.”

They bent all the way back into the game, erased the deficit, and with just over 30 seconds left, even stole a one-point lead. 

But Detroit didn’t blink.

Without Cade Cunningham — their All-NBA engine — the Pistons leaned on Daniss Jenkins, who authored the kind of night that turns role players into folk heroes. Thirty points. Four free throws in the final stretch. No hesitation. No fear.

And suddenly, the narrative tightened like a noose.

Because on the other side stood Luka Dončić, the very embodiment of why the Lakers have owned late-game situations all year. Western Conference Player of the Week. Ten straight games with 30-plus points. Forty-one such performances this season. The first player this season to eclipse 2,000 total points. A human avalanche who had just poured in 100 points across two nights like it was a casual inconvenience.

This is the part where the script usually is written by him.

Down one, 12 seconds left, ball in his hands — a 14-foot pull-up from the left wing. The kind of shot Dončić makes in empty gyms, crowded arenas, probably in his sleep.

Missed.

Detroit rebounds. Jenkins sinks two free throws. Now it’s 113–110, and the air inside the building shifts from tension to anticipation.

“It was good basketball and they made one more shot,” Austin Reaves said, blunt and honest in his assessment. 

One more chance. One more possession. One more moment for the league’s most prolific closer.

Dončić again. Spinning. Fading. Launching a three at the buzzer that never had a chance.

And just like that, the Lakers’ nine-game winning streak vanished into the Detroit night.

Here’s the uncomfortable truth about clutch teams: Being clutch doesn’t mean you always win. It means you live on the edge so often that eventually, gravity wins one.

Even your best player misses from time to time. But on this night, it was the Pistons with the steadier hand — without their best player, no less. 

“They’re the No. 1 team in the east, even without their All-NBA player being out,” LeBron James said. “We gave ourselves a chance, and that’s all you can ask for.”

Maybe that’s true. Maybe.

LeBron James and Dončić walk off the court after their loss to the Detroit Pistons. Getty Images

But for a Lakers team that has built its identity on finishing games, “a chance” feels like a consolation prize.

Because when you’re the best clutch team in basketball, expectations don’t stop at the opportunity. They demand the result.

And Monday night in Detroit, against a team cut from the same late-game cloth, the Lakers learned something brutal and simple:

Sometimes, the other guy is just as clutch.


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Yankees' likely 2026 Opening Day roster returning nearly every key piece from 2025 offensive juggernaut

Here the Yankees are again, about to start a season that must only end one way, lest they let tradition down again.

Here they are, returning nearly every key piece from the 2025 offensive juggernaut that tied for most wins in the American League, wondering if they will regret not changing something. Here they are, as in so many years before, wondering what magic touch will finally turn a very good season into good enough.

Their full 26-man roster is not fully set yet, but the parts that are do look familiar. At least 21 of the 26 players set to make the Opening Day roster were also in the organization at the end of last season. Depending on how they decide to structure their bullpen between now and their opener Wednesday night, that number could go as high as 24.

To the extent that any unit has been overhauled, that bullpen comes closest to qualifying. Both Devin Williams and Luke Weaver signed with the Mets, leaving vacancies at the back end.

But David Bednar, Camilo Doval, Tim Hill, and Fernando Cruz will return to late-inning duties. Paul Blackburn and Ryan Yarbrough, also returners, will be the swing men. Brent Headrick, the lefty acquired from Minnesota midway through last season, remains with the major league team and therefore seems to be a finalist for one of the bullpen jobs remaining. So is righty Jake Bird, who struggled after the Yanks plucked him from Colorado at least year’s trade deadline, but has yet to be jettisoned from the MLB spring training roster.

The only potential outside addition to the Opening Day bullpen, therefore, would be Rule 5 pick Cade Winquest – New York’s first such pick in 15 years – who must make the active roster or be returned to the St. Louis Cardinals. Manager Aaron Boone said earlier this week that he has "shown enough to keep himself in the mix and warrant us taking him."

If they do, and they carry Bird and Headrick with him, they will need room for nine relievers – more than a five-man rotation normally allows when teams carry the usual 13 pitchers. But the Yankees will not be using a five-man rotation to start the season, Boone told reporters Sunday. Their schedule is such that they do not need a fifth starter for the first few weeks of the season, so the man projected to be that fifth starter – recent Rookie of the Year Luis Gil – is now in limbo.

Boone said Sunday that the Yankees have not yet decided what to do with Gil. They could use him in a piggyback role with another starter. They could also option him to the minors. Sending Gil to Triple-A could make sense on multiple levels: he could use a low-stakes start or two to ensure the adjustments that served him so well in his last outing can stick. And his spot on the active roster could allow the Yankees to keep all four relievers vying for the final three bullpen spots, allowing them to evaluate them against regular season competition before making any decisions.

That Gil is the odd man out means the Yankees are making room for one of their only big league newcomers, 26-year-old lefty Ryan Weathers. They acquired Weathers from the Marlins in a trade that brought them a high-end talent that multiple organizations have failed to turn into a consistent high-end performer. But Weathers’ stuff is explosive, and despite some rough spring training line scores, the Yankees will give him a chance to make that leap.

Otherwise, the rotation will be totally familiar – but this year, it should get deeper as the year goes on. Gerrit Cole remains on track for a June 1 return, and he will start Tuesday’s spring training finale against the Chicago Cubs in Mesa. Weathers will throw the bulk of the Yankees’ innings in that game, meaning that, for what it's worth, weeks before Cole’s return, Weathers is the one currently taking his turns.

Carlos Rodon entered this spring expected back from his offseason surgery before Cole, and neither he nor the Yankees have suggested anything happened in the last few weeks to alter that timeline. He has thrown multiple sessions of live batting practice, and he will stay in Tampa to continue throwing while the Yankees open their season on the West Coast. Max Fried will serve as the lone ace in the meantime, anchoring a rotation that will also include Weathers, postseason breakout Cam Schlittler, and steady Will Warren.

"The depth that we have pitching, I don’t think we have had that in quite a long time," Aaron Judge said. "If you count the guys that are injured and coming back: Rodon, [Clarke] Schmidt, and Cole. You add those guys, we’re 11, 12 starting pitchers deep. So that’ll be nice."

Also nice, as running things back go, is that three-time MVP Judge will once again be anchoring a familiar outfield so productive that if those in it hit like they did in 2025, "running it back" will leave the Yankees with three of the top 12 outfielders by weighted runs created plus.

One could envision a world in which their lineup gets even better than the one that led the majors in scoring last year. For example, imagine if Giancarlo Stanton could contribute at last year’s .944 OPS pace over more games than the 77 he was healthy enough for last year. Had he had enough at-bats to qualify, that OPS would have made Stanton fifth-best in baseball, trailing only Judge, Shohei Ohtani, George Springer, and Cal Raleigh.

Obviously, a new year also means the Yankees could find themselves with an even less healthy Stanton. They could also find themselves with a healthy, but less productive version of the 36-year-old slugger -- though his four homers and several near-misses in 26 spring training at-bats suggest he is at least entering the season in top form.

Center fielder Trent Grisham does not have the track record of year-over-year production to make a repeat of his 2025 breakout feel like a sure thing. But if for some reason his production dips too far, Jasson Dominguez will be a short drive away in Scranton ready to prove his standout spring training deserved a big league roster spot. And if injuries test their depth, Spencer Jones will be towering behind him, politely waiting his turn.

The only newcomer offensively is Randal Grichuk, the veteran outfielder the Yankees signed in late February as a right-handed platoon option who can spell starters in the corner outfield spots and owns an .819 career OPS against lefties. He will join Amed Rosario, who proved a trustworthy at-bat as a utilityman down the stretch, on the bench with fellow returners Paul Goldschmidt and J.C. Escarra. Goldschmidt will spell Ben Rice, though how much will likely depend on Rice’s production. Like catcher Austin Wells, Rice is still new enough to regular big league duty that he does not qualify as a lock for the same level of production that he provided last year.

Still, either could be even better this year. Perhaps when Anthony Volpe returns from shoulder surgery around May, he will produce better than he did last year, too. Familiarity can occasionally lead to evolution. If it doesn’t, they will have options at the trade deadline.

And of course, things can change quickly in the final days and hours before Opening Day rosters are due. For example, a few innings into their Grapefruit League finale, the Yankees announced they had traded Jorbit Vivas to the Washington Nationals for minor league pitcher Sean Paul Liñan. Vivas was acquired in the deal that sent Trey Sweeney to the Dodgers. The move clears a spot on the Yankees’ 40-man roster. As of late Sunday night, it was not clear how they plan to use it.

Braves agree to terms with Spectrum to carry BravesVision

A Spectrum store in New York, US, on Friday, May 16, 2025. Charter Communications Inc. has agreed to combine with privately held Cox Communications in a deal that would unite two of the biggest US cable providers. Photographer: Yuki Iwamura/Bloomberg via Getty Images | Bloomberg via Getty Images

I don’t know how to make this post any longer, because for whatever reason, Charter/Spectrum decided to announce this news with a weird tweet-of-an-image with no details. Now, you have to gaze at it too.

There are no details, whatsoever. This was probably going to happen at some point this week given that Opening Day happens in just a few days, and I guess today was the day.

So, if you still have cable, and that cable is Spectrum, then I guess now you have access to most Braves games through your cable carrier. If you don’t, and are still at sea about this whole thing, I guess ask in the comments and we’ll try to get you sorted.

Despite this news, we haven’t received word on whether any other Braves have suffered a debilitating injury today.

Mets' likely 2026 Opening Day roster amounts to a convincing statement of October intent

Whatever happens to the Mets in 2026, this year will be different.

If the season goes well, it will be for different reasons than the last time things went well forSteve Cohen and David Stearns, in 2024. So many emotional engineers of that magical pennant push are gone now. On the field, this team will have different strengths.

If this season goes poorly, it will be for different reasons than those that undermined Cohen and Stearns' plans last year. So many emotional engineers of that…well, whatever it was…are gone now, too. Off the field, this team will be supported by a new collection of clubhouse pillars.

The Mets' season-opening roster is not yet official. Carlos Mendoza said Tuesday that the Mets are still weighing their options for final spots on the bench and in the bullpen and acknowledged that he expects the front office is looking at outside options for both. But as of Tuesday morning – or roughly two baseball business days before their roster will be due – their Opening Day roster amounts to a convincing statement of October intent.

No, relying on an inexperienced first baseman and third baseman (Jorge Polanco and Bo Bichette, respectively) does not necessarily scream defense the way one might have expected after Stearns stated "run prevention" as a priority this winter. One could argue that effectively replacing Edwin Diaz with two back-end relievers who struggled at times last year, Devin Williams and Luke Weaver, will leave the bullpen in worse shape.

But Tobias Myers will provide a much-needed reliable innings eater. Huascar Brazoban is versatile, if occasionally volatile. Brooks Raley and Luis Garcia have track records of consistency. And whether the Mets choose to give the last spot in that bullpen to lefty Richard Lovelady or bounce back candidate Bryan Hudson, they have veteran lefty A.J. Minter on track to return early in the season.

And after watching a banged-up starting rotation underperform for most of the second half in 2025, this year’s Mets have unmistakable depth.

Trading for Freddy Peralta gave them an ace to pair atop the rotation with Nolan McLean, who was neither as proven nor as ready this time last year. Kodai Senga looks revived, with good health and the velocity that comes with it, so much so that Juan Soto called him the Mets' "ace" just days before camp ended. Clay Holmes looked downright nasty at times in camp and should be better equipped to maintain consistency through a full year in the rotation than he was in his first year back to starting in 2025.

Their depth is so solid that Sean Manaea and his salary of $25 million has been pushed into a piggyback/reliever role after a rough spring in which his velocity dipped to confounding levels. Both he and Myers could provide regular starts should the Mets need them, but they might not: former highly touted prospect Christian Scott, back from Tommy John surgery, might very well be the Mets' first call after an impressive spring. And while beloved savant Jonah Tong looked at times this spring like he could benefit from some more minor league tinkering, he has now been in the majors before, too.

New York Mets pitcher Christian Scott (46) pitches during spring training
New York Mets pitcher Christian Scott (46) pitches during spring training / Jim Rassol - Imagn Images

If fragile pitching depth was the Mets' biggest issue in 2025, their second-biggest issue was lineup inconsistencies – that feeling that they could not string together hits when they needed them, despite the third-best OPS in baseball with runners in scoring position.

At worst this lineup will be different, and sometimes shakeups help on their own.

At best, this lineup should be more dynamic, a little less boom or bust thanks to the arrival of Bichette, one of the game’s best contact hitters who has a knack for hitting with runners in scoring position. He should get plenty of chances while hitting behind Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto. And the switch-hitting Polanco had one of the 30 lowest strikeout rates in baseball last year. It is no knock on Pete Alonso or Brandon Nimmo to note their strikeout rates were much higher. Even Marcus Semien, who is coming off one of the worst offensive years of his career and might be seeing his hit tool weathered somewhat by age, is far less prone to strikeouts than those veterans he is replacing.

New center fielder Luis Robert Jr., on the other hand, is a boom-or-bust type. But if he is healthy, he could also be the most explosive offensive threat the Mets have played in center field in quite some time. Their decision to name rookie Carson Benge the Opening Day right fielder provides cover to Robert or Francisco Alvarez should both swing and miss regularly, too: Benge said he hates striking out, and he plays like it. His bat-to-ball skills should ensure the Mets never go more than a batter or two without a real threat to put the ball in play.

And speaking of Alvarez, the Mets might just have a different version of him this year, too: the 24-year-old responded to his up-and-down 2025 with a potent spring. If he unlocks the 30 home run power visible in every spring with the consistency to use it for a full season, this Mets lineup has a chance to be one of the sport’s most formidable.

Their bench, as currently constructed, looks sturdy. Luis Torrens is as reliable a backup catcher as can be. Tyrone Taylor is an elite defensive center fielder who took promising at-bats all spring. Brett Baty looks ready to continue his late 2025 offensive breakout, and his newly honed ability to play around the infield and in the outfield will give him a chance to find regular at-bats. Whether his fellow young infielder Mark Vientos can find them too remains to be seen.

As for the final spot on the bench, the Mets are still making decisions. Mendoza said they will bring infielder Vidal Brujan, the versatile Jared Young, and veteran catcher Ben Rortvedt back to Flushing as they weigh their final options. None are as inspiring an option as outfielder Mike Tauchman had become this spring before tearing his meniscus last week. Perhaps the Mets will look to find a similar veteran bat with power on the always active end-of-spring market.

Regardless of who they choose, the Mets have already made their choice: when a beloved core was not working, Stearns made the moves to remodel it. When the starting rotation fell apart before their eyes, the Mets made a big move for Peralta and what might be the smartest one by holding onto Senga. Perhaps they will find they need more frontline starting pitching as the year goes on. If they do, they have money and prospects to acquire it at the trade deadline.

Either way, the Mets who take the field against Paul Skenes and the Pirates Thursday will represent a new era for the annual World Series hopefuls. The old core wasn’t working. Whether the new faces are the right ones, only time will tell.

Every MLB team, ranked by their 2026 World Series chances on Opening Day

GLENDALE, ARIZONA - MARCH 20: Shohei Ohtani #17 of the Los Angeles Dodgers smiles on deck in the second inning during a Spring Training game against the San Diego Padres at Camelback Ranch on March 20, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by Brandon Sloter/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Opening Day is upon us.

The march to the World Series begins tonight, when the New York Yankees take on the San Francisco Giants. More teams join the action on Thursday, and by this weekend all 30 MLB teams will have begun the long journey to October.

Unfortunately for some teams, that journey may end quicker than hoped.

Ahead of the start to the 2026 MLB season, let’s take a look at each team’s chances of winning a World Series, by stacking the teams in tiers and ranking their chances from the Colorado Rockies to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Humphrey Bogart tier

30. Colorado Rockies
29. Chicago White Sox
28. Washington Nationals
27. Los Angeles Angels
26. Miami Marlins
25. St. Louis Cardinals

Baseball’s rich history offers many memorable quotes.

We begin our look at all 30 teams with one from Humphrey Bogart, the legendary actor who had this to say about the game. Or, at least attending a game.

A hotdog at the ballgame beats roast beef at the Ritz.” 

It might be a long season for these six teams, but still, their fans will get to sit in the sun and enjoy those dogs, at least a few times this season.

The true longshots

24. Minnesota Twins
23. Tampa Bay Rays
22. Athletics
21. Arizona Diamondbacks

Each team in this tier could make a run at the playoffs if things break their way. For the Twins, if they can get a healthy Byron Buxton for 162 games, the lineup builds from there. The Rays get to move back home and could put up some impressive numbers in that park, particularly Junior Caminero. The young talent on the Athletics roster could surprise this season, particularly since they get to play their home games in Sutter Health Park again this year, which could lead to massive numbers for Nick Kurtz.

The Diamondbacks need pitching help, but Corbin Carroll, Ketel Marte, and Geraldo Perdomo form a rather potent trio.

The Pittsburgh Pirates

20. Pittsburgh Pirates

That’s right, we are putting the Pittsburgh Pirates into a tier of their own.

The Pirates might be the most fascinating team in baseball. In Paul Skenes, Pittsburgh has a bonafide ace. While the Pirates had arguably — or inarguably — the worst offense in baseball a season ago, they added Brandon Lowe, Marcell Ozuna, and Ryan O’Hearn in the offseason which should bolster production. And waiting in the wings? Two rising stars in Jhostynxon Garcia and Konnor Griffin.

In fact, other analysts have the Pirates pegged for a massive step forward. MLB.com contributor Travis Sawchik believes Pittsburgh will score 150+ more runs this season than in 2025, while FanGraphs has Pittsburgh slated for 136 more runs.

That kind of improvement in production could see the Pirates finish with a winning record for the first time in a decade, and reach the playoffs as well. In fact, FanGraphs has Pittsburgh finishing at 82-80, making a playoff berth still a longshot, but a possibility.

Something Pirates fans have not seen in a long time.

Playoffs?

19. Cleveland Guardians
18. San Francisco Giants
17. Kansas City Royals
16. Cincinnati Reds
15. San Diego Padres
14. Texas Rangers
13. Houston Astros
12. Baltimore Orioles
11. Detroit Tigers
10. Milwaukee Brewers

These are all teams that should make a playoff push this season, and at least be in the list of “buyers” come MLB trade deadline time.

Leading the way are the Detroit Tigers, led by ace Tarik Skubal, who is seeking his third-straight Cy Young Award. Detroit also added workhorse Framber Valdez, and they sport a bullpen that should earn them some wins over the course of the season. The Orioles are another fun team to watch in this tier, as Baltimore loaded up in the offseason with names such as Pete Alonso, Taylor Ward, Ryan Helsley, Shane Baz, and Andrew Kittredge. There is still a sense around the Inner Harbor that the Orioles need to add a true ace at the deadline, but a sense of urgency has finally settled in around this organization.

Then there are the Brewers, who finished with the best record in baseball a year ago.

National League Contenders

9. Atlanta Braves
8. Chicago Cubs
7. Philadelphia Phillies

Here are three teams that should not be satisfied with getting in, but should be thinking about winning the league.

The Atlanta Braves are poised for a full year with a healthy Ronald Acuña Jr., on a roster with talent beyond the star outfielder. The Chicago Cubs have a roster filled with young talent and added Alex Bregman in the offseason. Then there are the Philadelphia Phillies, who have won 90 games in each of the past four seasons, look to have a rotation built to win in the fall and into the playoffs, and could have their next big star in Justin Crawford, who made the Opening Day roster.

American League Contenders

6. Boston Red Sox
5. Toronto Blue Jays
4. Seattle Mariners

Red Sox fans frustrated by the organization missing out on both Kyle Schwarber and Pete Alonso — and seeing Alex Bregman leave town for Chicago — soothed their nerves by watching Roman Anthony belt bombs in the World Baseball Classic. But can this offense hit enough to make a deep run in the fall?

Toronto also saw a key departure, with homegrown star Bo Bichette leaving for the New York Mets. But the Blue Jays brought in Dylan Cease, Kazuma Okamoto, Cody Ponce, and Tyler Rogers, adding those players to a team that was just a few feet away from perhaps winning a World Series. Of course, the news that. Trey Yesavage is starting the year on the IL (with no timetable on Shane Bieber as well) is not the best way to begin a season.

As for the Mariners, who pushed the Blue Jays to Game 7 in the ALCS, Cal Raleigh, Josh Naylor, and Julio Rodriguez are back. And it is just a matter of time until top prospect Colt Emerson joins them.

In a New York Minute

3. New York Mets
2. New York Yankees

Now we get to talk about the two teams in New York.

The Mets made the big splash ahead of 2025, inking Juan Soto to a record-breaking deal in December of 2024. While his slow start changed the narrative a bit, Soto still finished the year with 43 home runs and a slash line of .263/.396/.525.

But when the playoffs began, that expensive roster was watching from home.

That led to even more additions, as the Mets added Bichette, Freddy Peralta, Marcus Semien, and Devin Williams. While Pete Alonso is now in Baltimore, this is a potent lineup given the additions around Soto and Francisco Lindor. And with Kodai Senga looking strong so far this spring, expectations should be high in Queens.

As for the Yankees, this was a rather unconventional offseason for Brian Cashman and company. Rather than make big moves of his own, Cashman tinkered only marginally with a roster that won 93 games a year ago. Getting both. Gerrit Cole and Carlos Rodon back should help as well, and given the talent already in the building, you can understand Cashman’s approach.

The Los Angeles Dodgers

1. Los Angeles Dodgers

Two consecutive titles, a drive for a third, the best player on the planet, and the highest payroll in the game?

Yes, until we see reason to stop believing, the Los Angeles Dodgers are your favorites for another World Series.

Tiger Woods to play TGL match final for his Jupiter Links with a title on the line

PALM BEACH GARDENS, Fla. (AP) — Tiger Woods has put himself into the lineup Tuesday night for his Jupiter Links team in the TGL final, waiting until the last day to make his first appearance in the tech-infused indoor league.

Woods has been at every match as a captain and a cheerleader while recovering from a seventh back surgery last October. He has gone more than a year since competing anywhere because of a ruptured Achilles tendon in March 2025.

Jupiter Links lost the opening match Monday night in the best-of-3 final against Los Angeles and now has to win two matches at the SoFi Center.

Wood said last week after Jupiter won to reach the finals he has been trying to play the matches.

“I’ve been trying to come back. But it just hasn’t worked out that way,” he said. “I’ve had a bad run of injuries last year. I think it’s been a year and a few days since I blew out my Achilles. And so then I’ve had two back operations. So it’s been a little rough go. But the guys here, this team, we have so much fun, I really don’t want to screw up the lineup, I just want these guys to keep playing.”

Woods will be replacing Kevin Kisner, who was on the losing end of the decisive hole in singles. Jupiter had a 5-4 lead when Los Angeles threw the hammer — meaning the hole was worth two points — for the par-5 closing hole.

Sahith Theegala had the length to easily reach the green in two and set up a two-putt birdie. Kisner, who has spent most of March in the booth for NBC's coverage of the PGA Tour, drove into the rough, laid up in the rough and hit wedge that didn't quite reach the green. His birdie chip from 20 feet to tie the hole — and win the match — narrowly missed to the left.

Woods joins Tom Kim and Max Homa for Jupiter Links. Akshay Bhatia had been filling in as an alternate, but he is in New Delhi this week on a sponsor invitation to play the Hero Indian Open.

___

AP golf: https://apnews.com/hub/golf

Senators Win Again In New York But Lose Two More Defensemen To Injury

This is getting ridiculous.

Just when the Ottawa Senators have clawed their way back within striking distance of a playoff spot, injuries have completely ravaged their blue line.

Already down three defensemen due to injury (Jake Sanderson, Nick Jensen, and Dennis Gilbert), the Senators lost both Thomas Chabot and Lassi Thomson on Monday night, which took almost all the shine off the club's 2-1 road win over the New York Rangers.

But ironically, despite finishing the game with just four defensemen, it was one of the great defensive performances in Senators' history.

Ottawa allowed just nine shots in the game, the fewest they've allowed in a game in their 34-year history. As for the Rangers, an original six team that's been around for 100 years, they've never had fewer shots in a game than they did on Monday versus Ottawa. Never.

That says a lot about the state of the Rangers and the complete team buy-in from the Senators.

James Reimer, who was probably able to catch up on some reading and answer a few texts during the game, got his fourth win in as many starts.

Shane Pinto, the Senators' lone New Yorker in their lineup, got the Sens on the board with a power play goal. In the second, Warren Foegele got his fifth goal in nine games as a Senator and it turned out to be his third game-winning goal for his new club.

Meanwhile, for the four D that remained, Jordan Spence, Tyler Kleven, Artem Zub and Nikolas Matinpalo, it was a simply a fantastic performance.

The Senators are now just two points behind the Red Wings for the second Wild Card with a game in hand. The two clubs go head to head in Detroit on Tuesday, but with all the injuries, their best four remaining defensemen exhausted, and the idle Red Wings being home and fully rested, the Sens wish they were meeting under better circumstances.

Now let's retreat to the Senators' black and blueline, which has been clobbered at exactly the wrong time.

Since Sanderson went down, Chabot has been back to logging heavy minutes, playing nearly half the game every night. But at the end of the first, he left this game in obvious pain on Monday night after taking a cross-check to the right wrist area from Rangers forward J.T. Miller, who's as nasty with lumber as anyone in the league.

While Miller's stickwork in this case was the kind you see a few times every game, it's hard to imagine why the cross-checking penalty exists if not for ones that potentially end an opponent's season.

That's only speculation, of course, but when TV cameras caught Chabot with a splint and a sling on his right arm afterward, it's fair to say that his season is in jeopardy.

Image credit: @TSNSteveLloyd
Image credit: @TSNSteveLloyd

Chabot has had injuries with that same wrist for parts of three seasons before he finally went under the knife. We're not in Josh Norris shoulder territory yet, but it's getting there. 

As for Thomson's apparent lower-body injury, you have to feel for the former Sens first-rounder. He waited two and a half to years to get back to the NHL, at a time when there's finally all kinds of opportunity to play.

Now Thomson will need someone to fill in for him, as will Chabot.

“They’ll both be out for a while,” head coach Travis Green told the media after the game. “That’s about all I can say about it right now.”

Meanwhile, the Senators have done all they can in sheltering 2024 first-rounder Carter Yakemchuk. It's not their plan A, by any means, but they have no choice but to bring him up on Tuesday morning to make his NHL debut on Tuesday night in Detroit. 

The other callup is anyone's guess.

In the AHL, Ottawa natives and righties Cam Crotty & Jorian Donovan are both injured, although Donovan, who hasn't played since March 7, is nearing a return. Left shots Samuel Bolduc and Ryan O' Rourke were both acquired after the NHL trade deadline so they're ineligible.

The good news is that Jake Sanderson might be back in the next week. But time is running out on the season, and as far as healthy players on NHL contracts go, that leaves only Yakemchuk, Tomas Hamara, and Djibril Toure left.

They also have Scott Harrington, who has over 200 games of NHL experience and has also been Yakemchuk's D partner for a lot of the season. However, he's on an AHL contract. If the Sens signed him to an NHL deal, it's believed he could play, but not in the playoffs if they get there.

And thanks to this overload of injuries on D, that's now a big if. If Travis Green can still steer this team into the playoffs under these miserable circumstances, he deserves the next two Jack Adams Trophies.

Steve Warne
The Hockey News 

2026 predictions: Mariners shock the world

On a mission: Julio Rodríguez looks to build on the excellent start to his career by bringing Seattle its first World Series. | (David Durochik/Getty Images)

This time of year is always a good time. Even when expectations for the White Sox are low, the weather is much better, baseball is returning, and we can have fun predicting how the season will pan out.

We will start with catcher Kyle Teel, 24, whose MLB career got off to a fast start in 2025 (.273/.375/.411, 125 wRC+, 1.9 fWAR in 78 games). Teel provided an unexpectedly large spark last season, as his bat was quite reliable even though he plays a premium position. Unfortunately, Teel suffered a Grade 2 right hamstring strain that will keep him out for the first few weeks of the regular season. However, Teel gives White Sox fans plenty to look forward to. Before the injury, Teel contributed to Team Italy’s surprising success during the World Baseball Classic. Teel was excellent in a small sample size, finishing 4-for-6 with a homer and a double. Both of his extra-base hits came against Team USA pitchers, as he took Nolan McLean deep before doubling against Ryan Yarbrough. Teel looks poised to build on the strong start to his career, and he will barely miss out on leading the White Sox in WAR. If not for his injury, I would have picked him to lead the team.

Speaking of the team leader in WAR, that will be shortstop Colson Montgomery, 24, who also kicked off his career with a bang in 2025 (.239/.311/.529, 129 wRC+, 2.7 fWAR in 71 games). Prior to Montgomery’s promotion, he was not exactly crushing it in Triple-A Charlotte, but he turned up the volume immediately at the highest level. Despite playing in less than half a season’s worth of games, Montgomery launched 21 homers, narrowly finishing behind Lenyn Sosa (22) for the team lead.

Munetaka Murakami, 26, will also provide a lot of pop with his bat. Murakami has made a joke of NPB pitching. By season, his wRC+ marks were as follows from 2021 through 2025: 166, 225, 154, 156, and 211. He played only 56 games in 2025 due to an oblique injury. The White Sox signed Murakami to a two-year, $34 million contract over the offseason, which was a lower price than most expected him to command. The primary concerns about his game are that many are bearish on his ability to hit high velocity, avoid strikeouts, and provide decent defense. Murakami will also primarily play first base, a less premium position than third base, where he mainly played in NPB. However, he will launch plenty of homers and get on base enough to be a valuable part of the White Sox lineup.

On the pitching side, Shane Smith, 25, will lead the way in the starting rotation. Smith, a Rule 5 draft pick, posted a 3.81 ERA and a 4.10 FIP in 146 1/3 innings in 2025, resulting in 2.2 fWAR. That total was enough to lead the 2025 White Sox pitching staff, and he will repeat that feat in 2026.

As for the bullpen, Grant Taylor, 23, will take a large step forward. Taylor had an unusual line in 2025 (4.91 ERA, 1.42 FIP in 36 2/3 innings), resulting in 1.7 fWAR, which is based heavily on FIP. Taylor averaged 13.25 strikeouts per nine innings, a sky-high total. At the same time, he fell victim to some tough luck, as opposing hitters had a .420 BABIP. Although Taylor generated many whiffs, when he was not doing that, hitters often found ways to reach base. In 2026, Taylor will allow less sharp contact, have better luck on balls in play, and maintain a high strikeout rate to assert himself as one of MLB’s top relievers.

In terms of the overall team, the White Sox will improve by 10 games, which would normally be fantastic, but in this case, it only gets them to 70-92. The South Siders will get off to a decent start, taking advantage of a soft April schedule to finish the month 15-16. With nobody in the AL Central racing out of the starting blocks, some fans will fantasize about postseason possibilities. However, reality will set in, and May will open with a rough trip to San Diego, which will cause the White Sox to fall out of contention quickly.

In the second half of the season, although playoff hopes will be long gone, pitchers Noah Schultz and Hagen Smith will make positive impressions at the start of their MLB careers. In addition, Braden Montgomery will earn a September call-up and post a 110 wRC+ during his first month against MLB pitching.

Around the league, the Mariners broke their 23-season streak without winning the AL West when they won the division in 2025. This year, they will make it back-to-back division titles, and Julio Rodríguez will emerge as a dark-horse MVP contender.

In a highly competitive AL East race, the Yankees will emerge from the pack, holding off strong Red Sox and Blue Jays squads to earn the top seed.

Last year, the Tigers blew a 99.9% chance of winning the AL Central as their cold September coincided with a Cleveland hot streak. This time, the Tigers will avoid blowing a late lead and will win their first division title since 2014. The Royals will sneak in as the final Wild Card team, right behind Boston and Toronto.

In the NL, spearheaded by the offseason pickup of catcher Seby Zavala, the Dodgers will win the West again. Elsewhere in the division, the Giants will exceed expectations and make the postseason for the first time since their excellent 2021 season.

In the East, the Mets will slay some demons by winning their first division title since 2015. Meanwhile, after being baseball’s most disappointing team in 2025, the Braves will earn a Wild Card spot, and they will be joined by the rival Phillies.

Finally, the North Siders will take the Central’s only playoff spot by taking full advantage of an unremarkable division.

The Dodgers will handily defeat the Mets in the NLCS to advance to the World Series and earn an opportunity to pull off a three-peat. On the other side, the ALCS will be highly competitive, with the Mariners repeatedly trading blows with the Yankees. However, Bryan Woo will lead a pitching staff that proves to be too much for the Yankees’ lineup to overcome.

That will set up an epic battle between two teams with very different histories. On one hand, the Dodgers have won 12 of the last 13 NL West titles, with the one “loss” occurring during a 106-56 season in which San Francisco went 107-55. On top of that, the Dodgers will be looking to win their third consecutive World Series and their fourth in the last seven years. By contrast, the Mariners have won only four division titles ever, and they have never advanced to the World Series. Of course, the Dodgers will be favored, and nearly everyone will expect them to win. In a twist of fate, however, the Mariners will come out on top. Seattle’s pitching staff will continue its run of dominance, and with Rodríguez, Josh Naylor, and Cal Raleigh leading the way, the Mariners will outpace the powerhouse Dodgers to win their first World Series.

Brewers Reacts Survey: A look at the Brewers’ young pitchers

Syndication: Journal Sentinel

Welcome to SB Nation Reacts, a survey of fans across the MLB. Throughout the year we ask questions of the most plugged-in Brewers fans and fans across the country. Sign up here to participate in the weekly emailed surveys.

We’re back with another Brewers Reacts Survey, and in this week’s edition, we’re asking fans which young pitcher they’re most excited to see this season!

The Brewers have become known as a sort of pitching factory, developing young arms into solid rotation pieces. The latest wave of pitchers looking to join that group includes several top prospects, including Robert Gasser (team No. 17), Kyle Harrison (former top 100 prospect), Logan Henderson (team No. 7), and Brandon Sproat (team No. 5/MLB No. 100).

Gasser, 26, debuted for the Brewers back in 2024 with a great start, pitching to a 2.57 ERA with 16 strikeouts over 28 innings in five starts before going down with an arm injury that kept him out until late in 2025. He made a pair of starts late last year, with six runs allowed (only two earned) over 5 2/3 innings. He had a rough spring training up to his last outing on Saturday against the Padres, when he went six scoreless frames with seven strikeouts. Still, he finished with a 5.11 spring ERA over 12 1/3 innings.

Harrison, 24, debuted in 2023 with the Giants but hasn’t yet found much success in the majors, with a 4.39 ERA and 191 strikeouts over 194 2/3 innings. The former third-round pick came over to the Brewers in the Caleb Durbin trade this offseason and has flashed a new kick-change in the spring, albeit with limited box score success (7.45 ERA over 9 2/3 innings, but 15 strikeouts).

Henderson, 24, had a similar path to Gasser, debuting in 2025 with five great outings, sporting a 1.78 ERA and 33 strikeouts over 25 1/3 innings. He went back to the minors and pitched to a solid 3.59 ERA with 87 strikeouts over 77 2/3 innings before going down with an arm injury. He’s continued to deal with the injury into the spring (though he did allow just one run with four strikeouts over six innings).

Lastly, Sproat, 25, is the highest-ranked arm in this group. Acquired in the Freddy Peralta trade with the Mets, Sproat pitched to a 4.24 ERA with 113 strikeouts in 121 innings at Triple-A last year. He also had a quick cup of coffee with the big league squad, pitching to a 4.79 ERA with 17 strikeouts over 20 2/3 innings. He made three appearances this spring, allowing five runs over nine innings with 10 strikeouts.

Note: Harrison and Sproat are both in the rotation to begin the season, while Gasser and Henderson will both start the year at Triple-A Nashville.

So, who are you most looking forward to seeing this season? Weigh in below and check back for results later this week!