Steve Borthwick’s response to stinging defeat in Scotland is to hand a first start to English rugby’s young tyro
A week can be a long time in the Six Nations, never mind in politics. One minute England are contemplating title showdowns in Paris, the next they face a must-win game against Ireland to remain in contention. A swift riposte to the defeat in Scotland last weekend is required urgently and Steve Borthwick’s team selection reflects the management’s desire for a significant gear change.
It has clearly played straight into the hands of Henry Pollock, whose ambition to start for England is about to be realised after seven caps off the bench. His promotion reflects the need to re-energise all involved in the Murrayfield meltdown, as does the starting return of Tom Curry and Ollie Lawrence, Tommy Freeman’s shift back to the wing and Marcus Smith’s bench resurrection.
SACRAMENTO, CALIFORNIA - SEPTEMBER 09: Rob Refsnyder #30 of the Boston Red Sox is congratulated by teammates after he hit a three-run home run against the Athletics in the top of the first inning at Sutter Health Park on September 09, 2025 in Sacramento, California. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Rob Refsnyder was one of the worst players in MLB from 2015-2021. He’s now a crucial member of the Mariners’ title run.
Refsnyder posted -1.0 fWAR in the seven years that followed his MLB debut in 2015. It wasn’t just one bad season but the slow accumulation of negative value across several years and teams. He was 31 years old with a career 71 wRC+ and no discernible skills when he signed a minor league deal with the Red Sox in 2022, his ninth organization in 10 years.
Then he got good:
From 2022 to 2025, Refsynder posted a 124 wRC+ in 936 plate appearances. Sure, he wasn’t a full-time player, averaging fewer than 250 plate appearances a season. But he found his niche as a short-side platoon option, with a 155 wRC+ against lefties, sixth best in MLB.
“I really don’t know why [it’s taken so long]. I mean, I’ve never stopped working along the way. I’ve always understood that I had to be objective and recognize when my swing wasn’t good, or that my results weren’t good. I’ve always known that I had to improve as a hitter.”
Just before Christmas, the Mariners gave Refsnyder his first real payday, a bit more than $6 million for one year; modest by the standards of free agency, but still a near doubling of his career earnings at the age of 35, now with his 11th organization.
He’s become crucial, too. One of the biggest concerns for the Mariners’ roster right now is the handedness of their lineup. They have six everyday players:
Three lefties: Josh Naylor, Brendan Donovan, J.P. Crawford
Two righties: Julio Rodríguez, Randy Arozarena
One switch hitter: Cal Raleigh
Then they have three spots up for grabs. The top options are all lefties: Dom Canzone, Luke Raley, Cole Young and Colt Emerson each provide big upside with a variety of skillsets. The righty options are likely lesser: Victor Robles, Ryan Bliss, Leo Rivas and Andrew Knizner have more tenuous futures in MLB. Refsnyder provides necessary length against lefties while offering positional versatility, having played six positions throughout his career.
To be clear, the Mariners aren’t projected to be bad against lefties. Rodríguez, Raleigh, Arozarena and now Refsnyder are a competitive group on their own. Even with the handedness concerns, the Mariners are still projected 10th in MLB with a 106 wRC+ against lefties. That’s a bit worse than their projected 114 wRC+ against righties (second only to the Dodgers’ extraordinary mark of 121), but it’s still enough to make them one of the top lineups in MLB. That’s to say, Mariners’ weaknesses at this point are relatively minor; “handedness” is the type of thing only great teams get to worry about.
While Refsnyder doesn’t quite move the needle, he’s not really meant to. His inclusion on this roster is a sign the Mariners are serious about contending in 2026. He’s spent a decade desperate to get better anyway he can. It seems the Mariners are finally on board.
HOUSTON, TEXAS - JANUARY 16: Mike Conley #10 of the Minnesota Timberwolves looks on during the game against the Houston Rockets at Toyota Center on January 16, 2026 in Houston, Texas. User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Kenneth Richmond/Getty Images) | Getty Images
It was all but official about two weeks ago at the NBA trade deadline.
Now, it’s official.
As reported by numerous sources, Mike Conley is returning to the Minnesota Timberwolves. For those of you curious about the timeline and why this signing is just happening now, here’s a general breakdown.
February 3 @ 1:24 pm: Mike Conley traded to the Chicago Bulls as part of a salary dump for the Wolves to get under the first apron.
February 4 @ 1:56 pm: Conley traded to the Charlotte Hornets as part of the Coby White transaction.
February 5 @ 8:55 am: Wolves trade for Ayo Dosunmu.
February 5 @ 2:15 pm: Conley waived by the Hornets.
February 6 @ 10:15 am: Conley reported to re-sign with the Wolves after buyout.
February 17 @ 11:52 am: Officially signed with the Wolves.
Why was there an 11-day delay in Conley coming back to rejoin his team? Essentially, it was a simple dollars and cents situation. The Wolves waited to re-sign him after the All-Star break because his prorated veteran minimum rate now affords Minnesota to sign another minimum player in addition to Conley. Had they signed him back on February 6th, the Wolves likely would have been capped at 14 players instead of the option of adding a 15th due to their cap situation.
Something like that.
On to basketball. Though the veteran has seen his play spiral downwards this season, but what he brings to Minnesota goes much beyond what happens on the hardwood. The former NBA All-Star (2021) and All-Defensive Team (2013) point guard has been a cliché “locker room presence” that has helped guide Minnesota to two straight Western Conference Finals. Players like Anthony Edwards and Rudy Gobert have openly talked about wanting the 38-year-old back.
It will be interesting to see how Wolves Head Coach Chris Finch handles his return. It’s no secret that Finch would trust Conley with his life. However, the addition of two-way dynamo Ayo Dosunmu, increased consistency from Bones Hyland, and the imminent return of Terrence Shannon will likely interfere with Finch’s desire to run Conley onto the court.
Someone will have to sacrifice.
In this current season, Conley has averaged the seventh most minutes (18.5) on the team despite being 11th in Win Shares per 48 minutes. He’s suffering career lows across the board. Conley’s 32.1% mark from beyond the arc is his worst ever, despite a career-high in three-point rate. A once undeniably reliable float game is now unrecognizable, shooting a horrendous 32.6% from two-point range on a not nice 6.9% mark within three feet of the hoop.
In the meantime, almost everyone is happy to see Conley back in a Wolves uniform despite his flaws on the court. Let’s turn those tears of sadness into tears of happiness. As Ricky Rubio once said, “Change this face, be happy!”
Baseball: World Series: Los Angeles Dodgers minority owner Magic Johnson talks to the media following victory vs Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. Game 7. Toronto, Canada 11/1/2025CREDIT: Erick W. Rasco (Photo by Erick W. Rasco/Sports Illustrated via Getty Images) (Set Number: X164793 TK1)
Declarations from the uninformed aside, it was a bit of an ask for the agency working with Zero Emissions Transit, the non-profit running the Dodgers Gondola project, to kill the project.
The writing was on the wall when the vote on this project was placed on the Consent calendar at the Metro Board meeting. Consent calendars generally include noncontroversial items or those a governing body wants to vote on with little to no debate.
While the Los Angeles City Council voted 12-1 to urge L.A. Metro to terminate the project in the weeks before the meeting, there was uncertainty about whether Mayor Bass would approve or veto the resolution, given that she sits on the Metro Board. We finally have an answer as to what she did: nothing.
“The way the council feels is important to me,” Bass told The Times. “But, if a member from that district is passionate about a project, then the other members are in support of that.
“There is much more time for things to be worked out. I just did not feel that it was appropriate to stop it now.”
The backers of the Dodgers Gondola project must still obtain approval from various local and state agencies before the LA City Council has the final say. The project was projected to cost $500 million in 2023; it is an open question how much it will cost now. While the Bass Compromise of 2024 states that no public funds will be used for the project, the project’s financing plan has not yet been made public.
Accordingly, it seems increasingly likely that Metro will use its bus fleet rather than the Gondola during the rapidly approaching 2028 Olympic Games, given the near impossibility of obtaining all required approvals and completing construction in time.
As it stands, the project will limp on in the background as the 2026 Spring wears on until its next reckoning at a relevant agency.
Johnson’s September Remarks to LASEC
As an aside, it is time to address comments by Magic Johnson that largely went unnoticed by the Dodgers fanbase before the recent rounds of votes on the status of getting to and from Dodger Stadium. Specifically, Johnson was a speaker at the 11th Annual Dodgers All-Access Gala, hosted by the Los Angeles Sports and Entertainment Commission (LASEC).
Senior Editor of Dodger Blue Matt Borelli first reported Johnson’s comments back in September. Unfortunately, I could find no video of Johnson’s comments to the LASEC, so we will have to rely entirely on Mr. Borelli’s reporting:
Dodgers part-owner and Los Angeles Lakers legend Magic Johnson recently conceded that the Dodger Stadium parking lots will likely always be an issue.
“There’s so many memories about coming to this stadium,” Johnson began in response to a fan’s question at the 11th annual Dodgers All-Access event.
“Thank God that we kept this stadium. You go to a lot of new ballparks, but they don’t have what we have. It’s special. You know who you’re sitting next to. We’re never going to solve the parking thing, so let’s not talk about it. We can’t solve it.
“Every minute that we’re in the car, it’s worth it when we get here and watch this game. Now, we all have the same issue going home, so we ain’t going to solve that either. Don’t ask me about those two situations. They haven’t solved it since we’ve been here, we’re not going to solve it because we’re the owners now.
“But, what would you rather have? A competitive team winning the division every year, or going home early? Getting to the park earlier, easier. I think I’d rather have the team that’s won our division 11 out of 12 years. Two World Series, been to the World Series four times. I think I’d rather have that and I’ll deal with the other things.
“But when we go to other cities like New York and Atlanta, that traffic is bad too. Everybody thinks we’re the only ones that have bad traffic. Like I said, I’m going to take that as long as we’re winning.”
[emphasis added.]
For starters, even in the most charitable light, Johnson’s statement about the parking lots is wrong and borders on nonsensical. By that logic, Johnson’s statement, if hypothetically applied to other aspects of running Dodger Stadium, amounts to learned helplessness (and arguably negligence), which is unacceptable regardless of the circumstances.
While I vehemently disagree with what Johnson said, if forced to play Devil’s Advocate, I can see where he is coming from on a single point.
Dodger Stadium has certain traffic issues inherent to its location and construction. When you build a stadium on a hill next to a residential neighborhood, with various bottlenecks of traffic on the hill, with freeway layouts that would not even pass muster in the computer game SimCity in a major metropolitan area, traffic is a given.
However, simply saying you cannot solve it or saying fans and ownership should not talk about it, while implicitly supporting the Dodgers Gondola project by having a gondola car on stadium property for nearly three years now, is laughable.
In the above hypotheticals, ownership would likely be pilloried by the press and the fanbase, and rightfully so. Moreover, we have a concrete example to the contrary; ownership implemented subsequent remedial measures to prevent further falling concrete, and, by all accounts, even with how loud Dodger Stadium was during the 2025 postseason, there were no additional incidents.
Short of herculean and borderline impossible efforts by the City and County of Los Angeles, not to mention using multiple state and federal agencies, while Johnson does have a point about there being issues getting to and from Dodger Stadium, things can be done, provided there is buy-in from multiple stakeholders, including the citizen neighbors of Dodger Stadium.
If this series of essays has had a fault, it has been being too focused on why the Gondola Project is generally a bad idea and less on alternatives or conversations that the city and team should be having. While the City of Los Angeles waits for the Gondola Project to reemerge into the public sphere, the next series of essays on this topic shall focus on certain unsaid truths, alternatives like Dodger Stadium Express, and what could and should be done about what most would say is the worst part about being a Dodgers fan: getting to and from Dodger Stadium.
DENVER, COLORADO - AUGUST 16: Kris Bryant #23 of the Colorado Rockies looks on in the dugout wearing a customized hat for MLBs Players Weekend during a game between the Colorado Rockies and the San Diego Padres at Coors Field on August 16, 2024 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Spring training for the Rockies this year is surprisingly full of hope on multiple levels, but for Kris Bryant, last year’s struggles continue.
Bryant has been plagued with injuries since arriving in Colorado, but the most severe has been a debilitating degenerative lower back condition. Somedays Bryant is unable to lift even simple household items, let alone swing a bat and run the bases.
“Some days it’s hard to grab the toothpaste in front of me,” he told the media on Tuesday. “It’s not like that every day, but those days it’s like you just wish you had some type of answer.”
Bryant reported to the Colorado Rockies complex in Scottsdale, Arizona today with the rest of the position players in preparation for the first full team workout of the spring. He is entering the fifth season of a seven-year, $182 million contract signed prior to the 2022 season following the departure of franchise stalwarts Nolan Arenado and Trevor Story.
The former National League Rookie of the Year, MVP, and World Series champion vowed the struggling Rockies could turn things around with his help when he first arrived. Now, after playing just 170 games to the tune of -1.6 wins above replacement, that vow has evaporated and Bryant is unsure of his own future.
Bryant has undergone multiple treatments since his diagnosis, including a spinal ablation and multiple rounds of physical therapy. However, he hasn’t performed any baseball activities since he was shut down last April and his progress has been limited.
“Usually in the progression you start with the exercises, then you move to running,” Bryant said. “Any time my feet hit the ground, I just feel like I could probably fall over.”
While Bryant isn’t ready to give up on returning to baseball just yet, it’s difficult to foresee him back on the field when he describes the pain he experiences every day.
“There are a lot of different sensations I’m feeling,” he said. “It just feels like I’m being electrocuted in my whole body. It’s not ideal. It’s pretty miserable. Maybe this is part of old age, even though I’m not even old.”
#Rockies Kris Bryant talked to media this morning here in Scottsdale. Here he talks about pain and next steps. pic.twitter.com/CWa8H9bR5J
The 34-year-old Bryant is starting the season on the 60-day injured list and will likely return home to Las Vegas later this week to continue his treatments and search for a way to alleviate his pain. However, Rockies manager Warren Schaeffer suggested he will still have a presence with the club, even if he isn’t playing.
“KB has done so much in this game, and he has gone through so many experiences; of course, he can help young players when he’s around,” Schaeffer said. “It’s to the benefit of the young players, just his willingness to talk with them about hitting in certain situations and how to handle their business on a daily basis. He’s been through it at a very high level. He’s done big things in this game. There’s no taking that away and there’s huge value in that.”
Schaeffer also made sure the media knew Bryant has the team supporting him.
“I know there are various opinions out there, but it’s really hard for him to not be able to play, to want to play, and just not be able to feel good,” he said. “It affects him at home. He wants to be a father to his kids, and he’s having a tough time even bending over. It’s just a really hard thing to go through.
“Everybody in our clubhouse is going to support Kris Bryant.”
Despite a clear desire to return to baseball, Bryant has also avoided—at least publicly—addressing his future in depth.
“I honestly try not to let myself get there, because when you’re going through it every single day, you just try to make it day to day,” he said. “A lot of people out there with chronic pain, you don’t want to think so far in the future because you’re just trying to get through the day. So I haven’t let myself get there.”
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - FEBRUARY 12: LeBron James #23 of the Los Angeles Lakers looks on during a game against the Dallas Mavericks at Crypto.com Arena on February 12, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Wally Skalij/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The union between LeBron James and the Lakers has been a long and prosperous one, but with no contract for next season and retirement questions swirling, what happens next is a mystery.
LeBron will be an unrestricted free agent this summer, and he can either retire as a Laker, go to another team, or return to LA for another season.
Retirement will be entirely up to LeBron, and so far, he hasn’t decided whether that’s the route he wants to take. If James wants to play for other teams, he will most certainly find a franchise that will take him. The Cavs, for example, would reportedly “gladly welcome” LeBron back.
When it comes to the Lakers, his desire to return is clear. LA has been his home for eight years, and his son plays for the team. If the Lakers make the right trades this summer, it could be the best place for him to pursue his fifth title.
If James wants to play a 24th season, he would be welcomed back in L.A., sources told ESPN.
Pelinka declared before the start of this season that he would love it if James retired a Laker, and, sources told ESPN, that sentiment was meant to reflect a 2026 retirement or a 2027 retirement, if James intends to extend his career.
While rumors swirl, the Lakers have consistently said they’d welcome LeBron back if that’s what he wants.
LeBron is in a rare position where he truly has all the options available and can pick whichever one is best for him. The Lakers are known for treating their stars right and making an effort to ensure things end on good terms.
LA signed Kobe Bryant to a two-year, $48.5-million contract extension back in the summer of 2013 when few thought that was the right financial decision. However, it mattered to the franchise that Bryant remain in LA and also for him to be the highest-paid player.
While LeBron’s scenario is different, it is similar. James is a legend in his own right, helped LA win a championship and has been the face of the franchise during most of his tenure.
Whether his career concludes this season, next season, or in a couple of years, the Lakers ideally want it to be a happy ending. And, if LeBron wants one more dance in LA, the Lakers will gladly oblige.
Andrew Saalfrank shakes hands with Gabriel Moreno. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Who will pitch in the bullpen?
The answer to that question changed after my third draft of this article.
Part one is my first snapshot of opening day bullpen pitchers from FanGraphs.
Part two is my latest prediction of the opening day bullpen pitchers, which is mostly the same as FanGraphs, but with differences.
PART ONE – FIRST SNAPSHOT.
Per FanGraph’s Roster Resource, a snapshot of the opening day bullpen included:
Ryan Thompson
Andrew Saalfrank
Kevin Ginkel
Brandyn Garcia
Andrew Hoffman
Drey Jameson
Taylor Clarke
Jonathan Loáisiga
Let’s focus on those eight pitchers.
Two team-specific ways to look at bullpen results.
At a top level, each pitcher’s team specific results from last season will provide insight into this season.
For the pitchers expected to be in the bullpen, two basic statistics are:
limiting homers.
maximizing strikeouts per walk.
Data was obtained from Stathead and Baseball Reference.
As a starting point, let’s look at their 2025 pitching against the top three teams for homers and top three teams for minimizing strikeouts per walk. For each statistic, each pitchers’ results against the other teams were excluded.
Homers per PA. The best batters played for the Yankees, Dodgers, and Mariners. These three teams know best how to hit homers. The three-team average was .041 homers per PA.
When the eight Diamondbacks’ bullpen pitchers pitched against those three teams, their combined homers per PA was .054. My conclusion is that the bullpen was worse than average in preventing homers, when homers were a strength of the other team.
(Strike Outs minus Walks) per PA. The best batters played for the Blue Jays, Padres, and Royals. These three teams know best how to minimize strikeouts compared to walks. The three-team average was .103 (K-BB)/PA.
When the eight Diamondbacks’ bullpen pitchers pitched against those teams, their combined (K-BB)/PA was .045. My conclusion is that the bullpen was very much worse than average in maximizing strikeouts compared to walks, when doing the opposite was a strength of the other team.
So far, the 2025 results of anticipated bullpen pitchers are not encouraging. But the Diamondbacks don’t often play the best teams (except in the playoffs). In general, most games will be pitched against teams in the NL West. The next step is to compare the bullpen pitchers’ results against other teams in the NL West.
Will the bullpen limit homers against teams in the NL West?
In general, most games will be pitched against teams in the NL West. The next step is to compare the bullpen pitchers’ homers allowed against other teams in the NL West.
Homers per PA. In the NL West (excluding the Diamondbacks) the four-team average was batting .030 homers per PA. When the eight Diamondbacks’ bullpen pitchers pitched against those four teams, their combined homers per PA was .030. In the NL West, the eight bullpen pitchers were average.
Homers per PA, if Dodgers are excluded. It is arguable that the Dodgers are a home run powerhouse, and therefore NL West results against non-Dodgers teams could be more impactful. The next step is to compare the bullpen pitchers’ homers allowed against the other three teams in the NL West, (excluded the Dodgers).
In the NL West (excluding the Diamondbacks and Dodgers) the three-team average was batting .027 homers per PA. When the eight Diamondbacks’ bullpen pitchers pitched against the remaining three teams, their combined homers per PA was .019. In the NL West excluding the Dodgers, the eight bullpen pitchers were very much better than average.
Will the bullpen limit (K-BB)/PA against teams in the NL West?
In the NL West (excluding the Diamondbacks) the four-team average was .14 (K-BB)/PA. When the eight Diamondbacks’ bullpen pitchers pitched against those four teams, their combined (K-BB)/PA was .09. In the NL West, the eight bullpen pitchers were worse than average in maximizing strikeouts compared to walks.
PART TWO – LATEST PREDICTION.
My view of who will be the opening day bullpen pitchers follows.
Ryan Thompson
Kevin Ginkel
Brandyn Garcia
Taylor Clarke
Jonathan Loáisiga
Kade Strowd
Paul Sewald
Michael Soroka
The biggest assumptions are that Jameson gets optioned to AAA, Loáisiga makes the opening day roster, and Soroka gets pushed from the rotation to the bullpen. The assumptions are reasonable, but by no means certain. Let’s focus on these eight pitchers. The big question is whether they would outperform the first snapshot despite the loss of Saalfrank.
The following table compares the first snapshot pitchers to my latest predicted pitchers. The remarkable improvement is in strikeouts minus balls [(K-BB)/PA]. Circled in green is the NL West stat, which shows that the latest bullpen moves made a significant predicted impact. Data from Stathead, Baseball Reference.
To answer our overall question, unlike the earlier bullpen snapshot, my latest predicted pitchers will make a significant positive impact in games against teams in the NL West.
Summary.
PART ONE. Based on a preliminary first snapshot of who will be the opening day bullpen pitchers, looking at limiting homers and maximizing strikeouts minus walks, two conclusions were:
The eight bullpen pitchers as a group were worse than average in preventing homers, when homers were a strength of the other team.
The eight bullpen pitchers as a group were worse than average in maximizing strikeouts compared to walks, when doing the opposite was a strength of the other team.
Looking at the bullpen pitching in the NL West, conclusions were:
The eight bullpen pitchers as a group were average in preventing homers.
Excluding the Dodgers, the eight bullpen pitchers as a group were very much better than average in preventing homers.
The eight bullpen pitchers as a group were worse than average in maximizing strikeouts compared to walks.
PART TWO. Several changes happened; Saalfrank was injured, Sewald & Stowd were acquired, and Gallen was acquired. Based my latest prediction of who will be pitching in the bullpen, the changes in who will pitch in the bullpen made a significant positive impact on predicted strikeouts minus walks, especially for the NL West.
BRONX, NEW YORK - DECEMBER 21: Aaron Judge #99 of the New York Yankees speaks to the media as Hal Steinbrenner looks on during a press conference at Yankee Stadium on December 21, 2022 in Bronx, New York. (Photo by Dustin Satloff/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The Yankees almost always have one of the highest payrolls in the sport. Even as the Mets and Dodgers have shown them that there’s another level to spending, the Yankees routinely are big players in free agency, and some of the greatest free agent signings in history have signed on to play in the Bronx.
Some of those signings, as you’ve seen earlier in this series, were the Yankees trying to retain their own talent. A downside to the way the Yankees operate is that a lot of their stars hit free agency. Bernie Williams, Derek Jeter, Mariano Rivera, and Robinson Cano had all hit free agency in the 25 years prior, and while the first three were all retained, Robbie Cano went to Seattle for a contract that didn’t age well.
So when Aaron Judge declined an extension offer in spring training and bet on himself, only to put up one of the greatest seasons in modern history, the Yankees were forced into winning a bidding war for an MVP superstar hitting free agency. There were some tense moments along the way, but Judge was wooed back to his chambers in the end.
Aaron Judge Signing Date: December 7, 2022 Contract: 9 years, $360 million
We all know the story of Judge’s path to free agency, but for the sake of posterity, here’s a quick refresher. A three-sport athlete in high school, the 6-foot-7 behemoth attended Fresno State and flashed incredible raw tools that made him a first-round pick in 2013.
After being a low-level top-100 prospect in the minors, Judge was promoted to the majors on August 13, 2016, as the corresponding move to Alex Rodriguez’s retirement. He would homer in his first at-bat in a memorable moment with Tyler Austin, but otherwise struggled in his first cup of coffee in the bigs.
An offseason of uncertainty was all there would be for his career, as he snagged the starting right field spot in spring training and had one of the greatest rookie seasons in MLB history, smashing a then-rookie record 52 home runs and coming second in a controversial AL MVP race.
A few injury-plagued seasons and a healthy, solid 2021 season later, Judge was one year away from free agency. He was one of MLB’s best hitters and a very good defender in right field when healthy, but the health was still a question, as was the fact he was going to be 31 at the start of his next contract. How would his body hold up?
After almost no contract negotiations prior, things heated up prior to the 2022 season. Judge and the Yankees nearly went to a messy arbitration, but avoided it (unlike a certain team from Detroit with their star in 2025). After unsuccessful negotiations that spring, Judge shut down the possibility of an in-season extension and Brian Cashman made a bold move: going public with a contract offer.
Barring a significant change in the next few hours, Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees will not strike a contract extension before his deadline of first pitch today, sources tell ESPN. The Yankees have proposed a deal for more than $225 million, but the sides remain apart.
Was a seven-year, $213 million pact a fair deal for Judge’s resume entering the 2022 season? I think you can make the case, but this was an interesting leverage ploy for the long-tenured GM, trying to get fans to side against Judge and provide a negotiating cushion if the hulking all-star faltered and came back to the table.
This ploy… did not work. Despite a slow April by his standards, Judge unlocked something new with his game, going from a perennial 40-home run, 5-6 WAR hitter to the best hitter in the world overnight. 62 home runs, 11 WAR, his long-awaiting first AL MVP award. A man who was known early in his career for striking out way too much nearly won the Triple Crown, that’s how sensational he was.
This was, objectively, a disaster for Yankees’ brass. By going public in spring, they hurt their relationship with Judge and his agent, Page Odle, and now would have to pay up for a player who had suddenly become the best free agent in a generation.
There were several suitors. Fortunately, one of them wasn’t newly-minted Mets’ owner Steve Cohen, for whatever reason. In hindsight, maybe Cohen should’ve used his tremendous wealth to go after Judge instead of giving Justin Verlander even more AAV at the exact same time.
The most logical suitor? His hometown San Francisco Giants, who he grew up rooting for as a kid. They wanted to make a big free agent splash, and he was the logical choice. They were willing to give him the godfather offer, nine years and $360 million. It would be the biggest free agent contract in MLB history.
The second big suitor was the late Peter Seidler and the San Diego Padres, who met with Judge at December’s Winter Meetings. An official offer being given out is disputed, but several reports in the years since have suggested that Judge was presented with a deal worth over $400 million. While Seidler’s relentless desire to make his team better, regardless of market size, is admirable, Judge never seemed that interested.
There was relative silence aside from this on Judge’s free agency early on. That was until Tuesday night, when Jon Heyman shocked the baseball world… with a typo.
“Arson Judge” was quickly deleted and corrected, but the message stood. Judge was heading to San Francisco. Mass panic ensued… for about five minutes. Heyman corrected and apologized for jumping the gun. Nobody knows who leaked the information to Heyman, but for those who were online during that time, it was potentially the most panic-inducing few minutes in Internet history for Yankees fans.
The Yankees had an eight-year, $320 million offer on the table for Judge, but with better offers from the Giants and Padres on the table, he wasn’t accepting that. Impatient, and probably fearful after the Heyman news, Hal Steinbrenner called Judge from Italy, wanting to get this done right now. Using his unbridled authority, he went around Cashman and directly offered Judge the ninth year and the captaincy. For the first time since Jeter hung up the cleats in 2014, the Yankees had a captain. Judge agreed to the deal, which was announced Wednesday morning.
On a personal note, I remember exactly where I was when I got the notification. I was in a high school history class. My history teacher was also a big Yankees fan, and we had talked about the team and Judge’s free agency before and after class. After he talked about the anniversary of Pearl Harbor to start the class, I blurted out that Judge had re-signed. It was definitely bad timing, and that’s on me, but it’s something that I’ll remember as part of the frantic process for a long time.
Judge is well on his way to not only having his No. 99 retired and enshrined in Monument Park, but being a first-ballot Hall of Famer. Despite Dodger Stadium severely injuring his toe in 2023, Judge has picked up two more MVPs and logged back-to-back 10 WAR seasons in his first three seasons of the nine-year deal, while continuing to be the face of baseball’s most historic franchise.
See more of the “50 Most Notable Yankees Free Agent Signings in 50 Years” series here.
KANSAS CITY, MO - OCTOBER 29: Buster Posey #28 and Madison Bumgarner #40 of the San Francisco Giants celebrate after defeating the Kansas City Royals to win Game Seven of the 2014 World Series by a score of 3-2 at Kauffman Stadium on October 29, 2014 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images) | Getty Images
We all have regrets. That includes baseball teams like the Royals, who have the moves that didn’t pan out, the moments that didn’t go their way, the pivotal decisions that could have worked out differently.
Time travel stories and alternate histories are some of my favorite genres of fiction. What if a man decides to take the subway instead of a cab, does he miss meeting the love of his life? If a butterfly flaps its wings in China, does that lead does that somehow lead to a tornado halfway across the world? Small choices can echo in ways we never anticipate.
Baseball is like that, too. A draft pick goes one slot earlier. A manager sticks with a pitcher one batter too long. A front office pulls the trigger on a trade, or decides not to. A runner is held up, or maybe he’s sent and is thrown out.
Royals history is full of “sliding door” moments. What moment in Royals history would you change? Would it be Game 7 of the 2014 World Series? Would you pull Dan Quisenberry in the 1980 World Series? Or perhaps you’d like to change a small transaction that could have allowed the team to be competitive in seasons that didn’t pan out. Re-do a draft? Pull the trigger on a trade? Keep a manager who was fired?
SACRAMENTO, CA - MARCH 22: AJ Green #20, Gary Trent Jr. #5 and Kevin Porter Jr. #3 of the Milwaukee Bucks looks on during the game against the Sacramento Kings on March 22, 2025 at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2025 NBAE (Photo by Rocky Widner/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images
In the Bucks’ third preseason game, not only did Giannis make his preseason debut, but so did the starting lineup of Kevin Porter Jr., AJ Green, Gary Trent Jr., and Myles Turner around the two-time MVP. Playing these three guards together is curious, and a bit unconventional: Trent and Green have (or at least had, last year) overlapping skillsets, and neither was big enough to be a true three. But a similar small-ball “death lineup” with the three guards was so effective late last year that it became the talk of the offseason: Marques Johnson called the guard trio “the triumverate” in his appearance on our podcast Deer Diaries, as well as on his own, Hear District.
After Damian Lillard went down with deep vein thrombosis late in the year and missed the last fourteen games, the lineup of Porter, Green, Trent, Giannis, and Bobby Portis in Brook Lopez’s stead became an increasingly key part of victories, particularly during their season-ending eight-game win streak. It never started a game, but was the closing lineup for several important wins, notably against Minnesota and Detroit. We didn’t actually see that much of those five—after all, Porter didn’t join the team until February—but by the numbers, it was perhaps their most successful group, according to two sources:
Cleaning The Glass: 88 possessions, 151.1 offensive rating, 96.6 defensive rating, +54.6 net rating
NBA.com ranked KPJ/Green/Trent/Giannis/Portis eighth in the entire league among lineups that played at least 30 minutes. CTG ranks it 100th percentile in net rating and offensive rating, and 95th in defensive rating. Compare these numbers with every lineup that played more minutes than them:
Lineup
Poss.
Net
%tile
ORtg
%tile
DRtg
%tile
Lillard/Jackson/Prince/Giannis/Lopez
653
-2.2
34th
110.9
27th
113.0
52nd
Lillard/Prince/Kuzma/Giannis/Lopez
428
+6.7
57th
116.4
45th
109.6
64th
Lillard/Trent/Prince/Giannis/Lopez
388
+1.3
44th
122.4
68th
121.1
22nd
Rollins/Prince/Kuzma/Giannis/Lopez
294
+13.0
73rd
130.3
89th
117.2
34th
Lillard/Green/Trent/Portis/Lopez
250
+20.4
86th
122.8
70th
102.4
87th
Lillard/Green/Prince/Giannis/Lopez
225
+16.9
80th
115.0
40th
89.2
93rd
Lillard/Trent/Prince/Portis/Lopez
167
+3.7
51st
120.4
63rd
116.7
37th
Lillard/Trent/Middleton/Giannis/Portis
112
+34.1
98th
141.1
99th
107.0
74th
Lillard/Green/Trent/Giannis/Lopez
108
+17.7
82nd
125.9
78th
108.3
70th
Lillard/Jackson/Middleton/Giannis/Lopez
96
-4.5
30th
107.3
18th
111.8
56th
Porter/Green/Trent/Kuzma/Sims
96
+4.2
51st
106.3
17th
102.0
88th
Lillard/Green/Trent/Kuzma/Sims
92
-27.2
3rd
101.1
8th
128.3
8th
If Doc had given them more run, they’d still probably be elite, even with some regression. Among groups with at least 100 possessions, the league’s best was the Clippers’ James Harden, Kris Dunn, Norm Powell, Amir Coffey (lol), and Ivica Zubac at +47.7 in 121 possessions. Hell, with the minimum set to 88 possessions, the Portis group was still tops—the only higher net belonged to one also broken up last offseason: Fred VanVleet, Amen Thompson, Dillon Brooks, Tari Eason, and Alperen Sengun in Houston. No other lineup came very close to these Bucks and Rockets “death lineups,” unless you lowered the threshold even further to find ones like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Lu Dort, Aaron Wiggins, and Jalen Williams in OKC at +63.0 in 73 possessions.
Of course, Lopez left this offseason, and Turner assumed his mantle. The logic went that slotting Turner alongside Giannis and the guards, rather than Portis or Lopez, would work. Ergo, if you ask most Bucks fans online last offseason which five players they wanted Doc Rivers to play from the jump this year, their answer was Porter/Green/Trent/Giannis/Turner. That’s indeed what they got, as we saw in the season opener against Washington. But we haven’t seen it at a tipoff since, thanks in part to KPJ’s and Giannis’ injuries, plus Ryan Rollins’ emergence. In fact, since Porter sprained his ankle on opening night, that fivesome has played just 10 more minutes in only two games.
It’s been exceptional in the little time we’ve seen it: Cleaning The Glass, which filters out heaves and garbage time, has their net rating at +43.2 in 37 possessions, with a 154.1 offensive rating (both rank in the 100th percentile leaguewide) and a 110.8 defensive rating (85th). NBA.com has them at +48.9 in 17 total minutes this year, with an offensive rating of 156.8 and a defensive rating of 107.9. When asked how Porter, Green, and Trent were gelling so far in the preseason, here was Doc from his comments on October 12th, when we first saw them start with Giannis and Turner:
“They like it… They gotta keep moving to ball… there’ll be nights where we can’t go with three guards. When we go with [Kyle Kuzma] or [Amir Coffey] or [Taurean Prince]. But for the most part, we think we can do it. Our guards got a lot of toughness about them, so we think we can do it.”
Well, it turns out there were a lot of those nights, but Doc isn’t necessarily wrong. In all lineups where the three guards have played together, CTG gives them a +3.8 net in 129 possessions, though that’s based on defense: their defensive rating is 105.5, in the 97th percentile. Perhaps because of Trent’s decline, their offensive rating is a putrid, way down in 11th. That’s still a good lineup, but of course, these stats are buoyed by the opening-night starting five that includes Giannis. Remove that lineup from the equation, and you have eight with even stinkier offense—a 91.3 offensive rating (oth)—and elite defense—a 103.3 defensive rating (99th). That results in a -12.0 net over 92 possessions (8th). None of those eight other lineups include Giannis, meaning he’s barely played alongside these three guards this year.
Milwaukee has used last year’s +54.6 net “death lineup” (featuring Portis only once this year), not even for a full minute. That’s not too surprising because of injuries to two of its key members, so what about its effectiveness with Turner? Given his similar scoring ability and vastly superior defense to those of Portis, it’s easy to infer that swapping Turner in would work swimmingly. Similar formula: three guards with three-and-D capability, a big who also has an outside shot, and two ballhandlers, one of whom is freaking Giannis Antetokounmpo.
Nevertheless, I’m probably not the only one who both wanted the KPJ/Green/Trent/Giannis/Turner quintet on opening night, but also wondered if the success with Portis—and by extension, starting three guards—was a mirage. So I decided to do a little exercise comparing lineups from one year to the next around the league and see how they fared. But I had some parameters to set, given how relatively little the Portis group actually played. Even though they use minutes instead of possessions and don’t filter out garbage time, here I used NBA.com’s stats because I could set my minimum to 30 minutes.
Given the amount of annual roster turnover in the NBA, it’s not easy to find lineups that succeeded significant action in their first year and kept it up with a similar or larger minute load the following season. Trickier yet was to find a killer group that went from much more limited exposure—like our Portis example—to a modestly featured group. Or from under 100 minutes to a starting lineup that played most of the season. It would be even more cumbersome to go back years and years using these parameters. For now, let’s stick to 2023–24 and 2024–25, so we have full-season data. How did groups translate their success in limited playing time to the next league year? Here’s what I found:
Lineup
Team
MP
23–24 Net
MP
24–25 Net
Diff.
Mitchell/Allen/Strus/Garland/Wade
CLE
55
19.8
48
8.3
-11.5
LeVert/Niang/Mitchell/Struss/Mobley
CLE
42
10.4
72
-18.5
-28.9
SGA/Dort/Joe/Holmgren/J. Williams
OKC
101
16.0
53
4.7
-11.3
SGA/Dort/Wiggins/Holmgren/J. Williams
OKC
34
20.2
31
8.6
-11.6
SGA/Dort/Joe/Wallace/J. Williams
OKC
32
31.1
58
33.2
+2.1
Horford/White/Pritchard/Hauser/Tatum
BOS
31
50.8
38
-9.6
-60.4
Horford/White/Porzingis/Brown/Tatum
BOS
118
16.2
36
-9.4
-25.6
Horford/Holiday/Porzingis/Brown/Tatum
BOS
55
13.6
36
10.1
-3.5
Horford/Holiday/Porzingis/Brown/White
BOS
56
17.2
77
11.4
-5.8
Horford/Holiday/Porzingis/Tatum/White
BOS
87
13.0
56
8.0
-5.0
Horford/Holiday/Pritchard/Tatum/Hauser
BOS
105
16.8
31
10.2
-6.6
Holiday/Tatum/Kornet/Pritchard/Hauser
BOS
96
33.7
38
38.8
+5.1
Brown/White/Kornet/Pritchard/Hauser
BOS
34
20.9
39
7.8
-13.1
Holiday/Porzingis/Brown/Tatum/White
BOS
623
11.0
357
0.0
-11.0
Turner/Nembhard/Toppin/Haliburton/Nesmith
IND
36
19.3
47
26.7
+7.4
Turner/Siakam/Nembhard/Haliburton/Mathurin
IND
104
0.2
435
11.9
+11.7
Gordon/Jokic/Murray/Porter/Braun
DEN
28
8.6
426
10.6
+2.0
VanVleet/Brooks/Green/Sengun/Thompson
HOU
27
17.9
323
-7.6
-25.5
I threw in a weaker example from 2023–24—the +0.2 net Pacers group with Siakam—because of all the lineups I found that stayed together over both seasons, that one improved the most, from net-neutral to solidly above average. Granted, a few of these were only moderately successful in the first place, though it comes as little surprise that the best teams are generally keeping these groups together—it’s why those teams are good, after all. On the surface, the stats aren’t very encouraging; only five of the 18 lineups improved. And on average, their net dropped by 10.6 points per 100 possessions.
The good news is that 12 of these 18 lineups were at least productive (for reference, CTG says any lineup with a net of +10 or better was at least in the 64th percentile last year). And all these teams had at least one in 2023–24 that was really good, at +15.1 or better in at least 100 possessions, the top 20% of the league. Only three of those lineups improved in 2024–25, but the really elite groups—+31 or better, 95th percentile on up—stayed elite, except for the Boston example with Pritchard.
It’s worth pointing out that several more of the best 2023–24 lineups were broken up by player movement, most notably with Julius Randle and Isaiah Hartenstein leaving the Knicks, plus Josh Giddey leaving the Thunder. But much like the Bucks did with Turner, those teams replaced those guys with serious talent, so let’s see if any of the best 2023–24 lineups benefited from a personnel upgrade the following season. This will be a bit inexact (New York was especially tricky because of the Mikal Bridges acquisition), but I sought out successful 2023–24 lineups from teams that incorporated a high-profile offseason acquisition into similar 2024–25 lineups, or at least lineups that featured prominent returning players. I considered some other moves, like Paul George to Philadelphia, but there was too much turnover on these teams’ rosters between seasons to find similar-enough lineups. Anyway, onto the numbers, with offseason additions in bold (for the Knicks’ purposes, we’ll treat Quentin Grimes for Cam Payne as a wash):
Lineup
Team
MP
23–24 Net
MP
24–25 Net
Diff.
Anunoby/Hart/McBride/Grimes/Achiuwa
NYK
41
20.9
Anunoby/Hart/McBride/Payne/Towns
NYK
39
10.6
-10.3
Anunoby/Hart/Brunson/Grimes/Achiuwa
NYK
41
45.5
Anunoby/Hart/Brunson/McBride/Towns
NYK
84
34.4
-11.1
Randle/Grimes/Robinson/Hart/Brunson
NYK
109
-12.2
Towns/Anunoby/Payne/Hart/Brunson
NYK
98
25.7
+37.9
Randle/Anunoby/Hartenstein/Hart/Brunson
NYK
41
60.2
Towns/Anunoby/Payne/Hart/Brunson
NYK
98
25.7
-34.5
SGA/Wallace/Joe/J. Williams/K. Williams
OKC
55
35.6
SGA/Wallace/Joe/J. Williams/Hartenstein
OKC
38
-24.1
-59.7
SGA/Dort/Joe/Wallace/J. Williams
OKC
32
31.1
SGA/Dort/Hartenstein/Wallace/J. Williams
OKC
316
15.9
-15.2
SGA/Dort/Giddey/Wallace/J. Williams
OKC
35
-3.4
SGA/Dort/Hartenstein/Wallace/J. Williams
OKC
316
15.9
+19.3
SGA/Dort/Joe/J. Williams/Holmgren
OKC
101
16.0
SGA/Dort/Hartenstein/J. Williams/Holmgren
OKC
167
15.0
-1.0
SGA/Dort/Giddey/J. Williams/Holmgren
OKC
799
10.2
SGA/Dort/Hartenstein/J. Williams/Holmgren
OKC
167
15.0
+4.8
SGA/Wallace/Joe/Wiggins/J. Williams
OKC
42
5.8
SGA/Wallace/Hartenstein/Wiggins/J. Williams
OKC
30
-1.9
-7.7
Conley/Gobert/Towns/Edwards/McDaniels
MIN
641
7.9
Conley/Gobert/Randle/Edwards/McDaniels
MIN
714
3.2
-4.7
Conley/Gobert/Towns/Edwards/Alexander-Walker
MIN
124
7.6
Conley/Gobert/Randle/Edwards/Alexander-Walker
MIN
45
31.2
+23.6
Alexander-Walker/Gobert/Towns/Edwards/McDaniels
MIN
106
6.4
Alexander-Walker/Gobert/Randle/Edwards/McDaniels
MIN
146
8.0
+1.6
Alexander-Walker/Reid/Towns/Edwards/McDaniels
MIN
44
44.5
Alexander-Walker/Reid/Randle/Edwards/McDaniels
MIN
78
-3.5
-48.0
Coincidentally, these examples are all teams that added a new big man. These lineups’ net dropped by an average of 7.5 points per 100—better, but still not good. Again, most of the new lineups were great overall, though: eight of the 14 were at least +15.0. And ones that were excellent in small sample sizes were generally still great with more playing time. As before, these are some of the league’s teams, adding to groupings that already proved effective.
You might think I’ve strayed from the premise of this article a bit, but there were plenty of three-guard lineups above in OKC and New York. In part two, we’ll figure out whether three guards is still a look Milwaukee should use, with or without Turner. Spoiler alert: Gary Trent Jr. is exactly not part of the answer. And we’ll see if these patterns still hold when other teams add a prominent big man to their lineups, much like the Bucks did this offseason.
ATHENS, GA - JANUARY 31: Guard Blue Cain #0 of the Georgia Bulldogs looks to pass the ball during the college basketball game between the Texas A&M Aggies and the Georgia Bulldogs on January 31, 2026, at Stegeman Coliseum in Athens, GA. (Photo by Jeffrey Vest/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
Second round draft picks move around a lot and are usually not valued very highly. But, as things currently stand, it looks like the Washington Wizards will be selecting two or three players in the second round of the 2026 NBA Draft.
Players drafted in the second round rarely end up factoring into a team’s long term plans. Nikola Jokic (No. 41, 2014), Manu Ginobili (No. 57, 1999), Draymond Green (No. 35, 2012) and Jalen Brunson (No. 33, 2018) are the exceptions, not the rule, and more often than not second round picks end up fizzling out after a few seasons of toiling between the G-League and the NBA.
Despite the relatively low chances of success, there is still legitimate talent after the first 30 picks. From this year’s Rising Stars Game, Memphis Grizzlies guards Cam Spencer (No. 53, 2024) and Jaylen Wells (No. 39, 2024) were both taken in the second round.
For second round prospects, I generally look at guys who I think have a specific skillset that would allow them to play a small role in a rotation rather than more “boom or bust” players.
Here are a few sleepers the Wizards could target in this year’s second round that could make a real impact on their NBA roster:
Motiejus Krivas, 7’2” Junior Center from Arizona
TUCSON, ARIZONA – FEBRUARY 14: Motiejus Krivas #13 of the Arizona Wildcats posts up on JT Toppin #15 of the Texas Tech Red Raiders during the second half at McKale Center at ALKEME Arena on February 14, 2026 in Tucson, Arizona. (Photo by Chris Coduto/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Motiejus Krivas has flown a bit under the radar this season for No. 4 Arizona, who were undefeated before two recent back-to-back losses to Kansas and Texas Tech. The freshman duo of forward Koa Peat and guard Brayden Burries have gotten most of the headlines, but Krivas has arguably been the Wildcats’ most important player, anchoring their defense as one of the country’s best rim protectors.
The Lithuanian native, who played in the Lithuanian second division before making his way to the United States college basketball and has lots of experience at the international level, is averaging 11.1 points, 8.7 rebounds and 1.9 blocks per game while shooting 59.4% from the field and 79.2% from the free throw line. Krivas is the exact type of high floor, low ceiling type of player teams should be targeting in the second round. A player with that combination of size, shot-blocking and touch around the rim should be able to stick around as a backup center for almost any NBA team.
Arizona's Motiejus Krivas is quickly becoming the poster boy for an incredibly valuable intersection of length and offensive rebounding
over his first 9 games of the season Krivas has logged an 18.1% offensive rebounding rate, good for 6th among all high major players
Jan 28, 2026; Athens, Georgia, USA; Georgia Bulldogs guard Blue Cain (0) dribbles against Tennessee Volunteers guard Amari Evans (1) at Stegeman Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images | Dale Zanine-Imagn Images
Georgia basketball often takes a back seat to the football team down in Athens, but the Bulldogs have put together a solid season and are currently projected to be a 10 seed in ESPN’s Joe Lunardi’s latest bracketology. Blue Cain is one of the biggest reasons why. Cain has elite athleticism, can pour in points and is truly elite at finishing around the rim, averaging 13.6 points, 5.3 rebounds, 2.4 assists and 1.4 steals per game.
The biggest knock on Cain is his three point shooting. This season, Cain is shooting 27.9% from three but is making up for it with an impressive 62.1% two-point field goal percentage. There is hope that Cain could develop a three though. He shot 34.1% and 35.0% from three the past two seasons and is an 89.4% shooter from the free throw line. If Cain bulks up a bit and his shot becomes more consistent, it is easy to envision his role as a microwave scorer off the bench, similar to a Donte DiVincenzo or an early-career Immanuel Quickley.
Blue Cain is such a fun offensive operator.
An aggressive bucket-getter who’s really stepped up his offensive production in recent games. Plays with great pace and control, putting pressure on defenses downhill — just needs to steady that three-point consistency to take another… pic.twitter.com/qKDL9j5Ig6
Kashie Natt, 6’3” senior guard from Sam Houston State
I am not going to lie, this is a bit of an outside-the-box prospect. Low-major college players like Kashie Natt who spent three seasons at a junior college are rarely, if ever considered potential NBA players. Natt’s highlights recently came across my Twitter timeline, and I have not been able to stop thinking about his defensive potential. Despite his non-traditional background, Natt has one of the most fascinating skillsets in all of college basketball and could carve himself out a role in the NBA if he is given the chance.
At 6’3”, 190 pounds, Natt is averaging 2.1 steals, 0.6 blocks and 7.4 rebounds in just 24.9 minutes per game. He has a ridiculous 4.7% steal rate and 2.9% block rate. Natt can also hold his own on the offensive side of the ball, averaging 10.7 points per game while shooting 41.8% from three. Natt’s defensive instincts and on-ball prowess are tantalizing, and even if he is not able to be a league-average shooter, should be enough to earn him a spot on most NBA rosters. Natt is certainly a risk, but it may be worth taking a shot for someone with his defensive potential in the second round.
Sam Houston State's 6'3 Kashie Natt has been an absurd defensive catalyst at the MM level this season.
He's averaging 10.3 PPG, 7.3 RPG (which ranks second in D1 for anyone shorter than 6'5) 2.3 APG, 2.9 stocks per game on 45/44/77 splits
Jan 27, 2026; Raleigh, North Carolina, USA; NC State Wolfpack guard Jr. Paul McNeil (2) dribbles the ball during the first half of the game against the Syracuse Orange at Lenovo Center. Mandatory Credit: Jaylynn Nash-Imagn Images | Jaylynn Nash-Imagn Images
I have had my eye on Paul McNeil ever since I was on the broadcast of the 2024 Capital Classic high school All-Star game and saw him hit a buzzer-beater three to give his team the victory. After a disappointing freshman season at N.C. State that saw him struggle to carve out his spot in the rotation, McNeil has thrived this year under new head coach Will Wade. The best part of McNeil’s game is his shooting, and that usually translates well to the next level. He can create his own shot off of the dribble and uses a high release to be able to get his shot off through traffic and above taller defenders.
McNeil is averaging 13.6 points per game while shooting an ACC-best 43.5% from three on 7.2 attempts per game. He can be a bit of a streaky scorer though. McNeil’s best game of the season came in December when he scored 47 points on 11-17 shooting from three and was a perfect 12-12 from the free throw line against Texas Southern. On the flip side, he has also had multiple zero point performances this season. His perimeter shotmaking should be enough to get him looks during the second round this year despite some of those consistency issues and concerns about his slight frame and defensive deficiencies.
paul mcneil jr. has a strong case as the 2026 draft's best 3pt shooting prospect; he's authoring one of the best wing shooting seasons in recent history, currently making 42.9% of his 15.2 3pa/100 and 80.2% at the line (32.4 FTr)
WASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 16: Jurickson Profar #7 of the Atlanta Braves at bat against the Washington Nationals during the first inning in game two of a split doubleheader at Nationals Park on September 16, 2025 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Scott Taetsch/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The outfield figures to be a position of strength for the Atlanta Braves as they head into the 2026 season. The signing of Mike Yastrzemski could end up being a bit of a coup, as Yaz can provide some solid production at any part of the outfield. As a matter of fact, Yaz figures to play a major role in the outfield this season. As mentioned in my article from Friday centered around Alex Anthopoulos talking to the media, the Braves figure that he’ll be starting in the outfield against right-handers. Yaz is a career .246/.336/.473, 120 wRC+ hitter against right-handers with numbers that aren’t particularly comparable against left-handers, so it makes sense that he’d be getting more of a look against right-handed pitchers.
Naturally, this means that Jurickson Profar won’t be an everyday starter in left field. He could still fill in those gaps with DH appearances, since that also appears to be part of the plans that both Alex Anhtopoulos and Walt Weiss have in store for him in 2026. Let’s check in (via this report from Braves beat writer Mark Bowman of MLB.com) and see how Profar, himself, feels about potentially being more of a DH going forward:
…He certainly doesn’t seem thrilled about the likelihood he will open this season as the Braves’ primary designated hitter.
Asked if he was familiar with the DH spot, Profar chuckled and said, “I don’t know, we’ll see.”
Profar was then asked, “DH isn’t your favorite spot?” This time, he grimaced, laughed and said, “Let’s see. Let’s see. Let’s see. I’m just here to help the team.”
Braves manager Wait Weiss understood and appreciated Profar’s response.
“To be honest, I don’t think any player is raising their hand, unless they’re a full-time DH, to say, ‘Yeah, I mean, that’s what I want to do,'” Weiss said. “He’s a great teammate. We’ve had this conversation. [Braves president of baseball operations Alex Anthopoulos] even called him before he signed [outfielder Mike] Yastrzemski to clear it with him.”
The good news is that even if he doesn’t particularly seem thrilled about it, Profar is going to give this a shot and try to make sure that everything works out. He may not be excited about it but it still seems like the right move to make. Even though Profar certainly made his fair share of highlight-reel catches during his first half-season as a member of the Braves, those were the outlier plays in a season where he finished with -8 Outs Above Average as an outfielder — good for placing in just the eighth percentile of all outfielders in 2025. Profar has never graded out well as a defender so this feels like an ideal shift for Profar to make from playing in the outfield to transitioning into more of a DH.
With that being said, you still don’t play the game on paper and while Profar seems like a great fit for the role, it won’t work if he’s not willing to help make it work. Again, there’s no tangible signs that he’s going to be anything less than professional in this regard but it still could be one of those things that could come to mind if he has a rough patch as a DH during the upcoming season.
There’s also the idea that Yaz wouldn’t be strictly replacing Profar in the outfield as well. Yastrzemski can play the entire outfield, which means he’d be available to give Michael Harris II and Ronald Acuña Jr. a break in the outfield so that they could DH as well. It’s not like this’ll be an exclusive situation for Profar and that’ll definitely be the case once Ha-Seong Kim returns and that could allow Marucio Dubón to start branching out into the outfield (center field in particular) instead of simply focusing on being the starting shortstop. There are plenty of options out there for the Braves to best utilize their squad once they’re completely healthy — even now with Kim gone, this is still a deeper team than last season.
Still, it’ll be very interesting to see how this goes with Mike Yastrzemski and Jurickson Profar going forward. The plan for Yaz to start and bat against right-handers while Profar moves to the DH seems like an ideal one in theory but we’ll have to see how it plays out on the field. What do y’all think would be the best way to go about deploying these players once the season rolls around? Let us know!
The Chicago Blackhawks and the rest of the National Hockey League don't return to game action until next week, but they are going to start ramping up practices this week. On Tuesday, it was an optional skate, as it will be on Wednesday.
Teuvo Teravainen is still over in Milan, as his Finnish team is set to take on Switzerland on Wednesday in the quarterfinal.
There is some news to report on the North American side of things as well. For one, goalie prospect Stanislav Berezhnoy has been suspended for 20 games for violating the AHL/PHPA Performance Enhancing Substances Program's terms.
“We were informed last week that Stanislav tested positive for a prohibited substance under the AHL/PHPA’s Performance Enhancing Substance Program." Blackhawks GM Kyle Davidson said. "While Stanislav did not knowingly take a prohibited substance, we believe his positive test is a result of a supplement he was consuming at the time. Stanislav has taken full responsibility for the situation, and the organization praises him for the maturity and accountability he has shown. The Blackhawks organization fully supports Stanislav and knows he will use this as an opportunity to grow as he continues his development.”
When something like this happens, there is a chance that it was not known by the player as it was happening. Still, responsibility will be taken by Berezhnoy for this mistake.
In other news, the Blackhawks sent out season ticket renewals on Tuesday. There is going to be a roughly two percent increase in the prices.
The NHL schedule is expanding to 84 regular-season games in 2025-26, but the Blackhawks will still only play 41 home games because they are scheduled to host what they are calling a "special event".
With the Winter Classic already scheduled for St. Lake City between the Utah Mammoth and Colorado Avalanche, and one Stadium Series game set between the Dallas Stars and Vegas Golden Knights in Dallas, it is unlikely to be an outdoor game.
It could be a trip to Europe, which would be Chicago's first since 2019, when they went to Berlin and Prague. With this team coming from a big market with the hype of being an "up and coming team", this isn't the last time the league will put them on a big stage.
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Say what you may about Vancouver Canucks prospect Jonathan Lekkerimäki’s 2025–26 season, but you can’t deny that the forward has stepped things up offensively at the AHL level. The forward has bounced up and down from the NHL to AHL, but currently remains with the Abbotsford Canucks as Vancouver remains on break during the 2026 Winter Olympics.
Lekkerimäki continued flexing his offensive talents with a two-goal performance during Abbotsford’s 5–3 win against the Ontario Reign on Monday afternoon, keeping his overall stats on the season to a point-per-game at the AHL level. Through 20 games with Abbotsford this season, Lekkerimäki has scored a grand total of 13 goals.
Lekkerimäki’s two goals from Monday afternoon’s performance have propelled him up to 10th all-time in Abbotsford Canucks history in goals-scored, tying him with Sheldon Rempal with 33 total. Aside from Rempal, no other member of this list has played less than 100 games when logging this stat.
With two more goals, Lekkerimäki can leapfrog his way to ninth in franchise history, passing Max Sasson’s 34 total goals-scored. The current franchise leader in goals scored is Linus Karlsson, who has scored 70 in 164 games. If he is able to score five more goals in the AHL this season — which will depend on whether he rejoins the Canucks after the Olympic break or not — Lekkerimäki could finish the season with the eighth-most, surpassing Aatu Räty’s 38.
Abbotsford embarks on a five-game road trip beginning on February 18 with a rematch against the Reign in Ontario. From there, they will face the Henderson Silver Knights on February 20 and 21, before taking on the Calgary Wranglers on February 27 and March 1.
Jan 27, 2026; Vancouver, British Columbia, CAN; Vancouver Canucks forward Jonathan Lekkerimaki (23) handles the puck against the San Jose Sharks in the second period at Rogers Arena. Mandatory Credit: Bob Frid-Imagn Images
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INGLEWOOD, CA - OCTOBER 24: A generic basketball photo of the Official Wilson basketball before the game between the Phoenix Suns and the LA Clippers on October 24, 2025 at Intuit Dome in Los Angeles, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2025 NBAE (Photo by Jim Poorten/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images
Oh? Is that a soapbox over there? Well, it would be rude of me not to step upon it for a few moments, so step I shall…
I have some news that I’m not sure everybody knows to be true. This may come as a shock. This may come as a surprise. Or you may have already navigated to this level of philosophical understanding as it pertains to NBA roster construction. We’ll see shortly. That news? The perfect roster in the NBA sounds great in theory, but it does not actually exist.
Did you drop your tea? Is that blood boiling, making your face red, or were you out in the sun too long at the Goldfield Mine Ghost Town this past Saturday? Sunblock. You should use it.
It’s true. The perfect roster? Not a thing. One team wins the championship every year, and even that fan base can rattle off a list of things they wish were better. A little more shooting here, a little more size there, another defender they trust when things get tight. That is the reality of the league, and quite honestly, sport in general. There is always room to improve. Perfection is the pursuit, but it is not attainable. The goal is to be as perfect as possible, knowing perfection cannot be reached.
Even if you somehow checked every box on paper, size, speed, rim pressure, shooting, defense, and versatility, there is still a hard truth waiting for you. A basketball game only has 48 minutes. There are only so many possessions, only so many lineups, only so many moments where the right five can be on the floor together. You can build the cleanest roster imaginable, but if the wrong guys are playing at the wrong time against the wrong opponent, you can still walk off the floor with a loss.
That is the part that never shows up in roster diagrams or trade deadline grades. Talent matters, construction matters, but timing, trust, and deployment matter just as much. The league is littered with great rosters that never quite figured that part out.
This is the time of year when a few predictable things happen, and for whatever reason, a lot of people still struggle to grasp how the machinery actually works. One of them is the tension between chasing short term improvement and protecting long term viability as a franchise. Every team has needs. That part is obvious. And every time a player hits the buyout market after the trade deadline, the cycle begins all over again.
We have entered the “Every Guy Who Gets Waived Should Be a Sun” part of the season 🤦♂️
Fans rush to their phones, hit the message boards, and start building the case. This is the guy! This is the piece! This is the move that fixes everything that has been bothering us since November! Positional need solved! Fate altered! Season saved!
Rotations, chemistry, and fit are treated like minor details that will sort themselves out later, because the idea of the player is doing a lot more work than the reality ever could.
I never knew so many people thought, nay, BELIEVED that Jeremy Sochan was the answer to every Suns question. Ultimately, he signed with the Knicks. And just you wait for the monstrous impact he’ll have with New York this season. And wait. And wait…
What gets lost in all of the noise is the basic math of where this Suns’ season actually is. This team is already two-thirds of the way through the year. Roles have been defined. Minutes have been carved out. Trust has been built, or not built, over months of reps. There are only so many minutes to go around, and dropping a new player into the middle of that ecosystem, even one who checks a positional or archetypal box, does not automatically translate to success.
Basketball is not a plug-and-play sport at this stage of the calendar. Fit matters. Timing matters. Chemistry matters. And the idea that a buyout addition is going to swoop in and change the trajectory of a team without disrupting the balance that already exists is more wishcasting than strategy. It feels productive, it feels proactive, but more often than not, it ignores the reality of how late in the process we actually are.
The other piece that tends to get forgotten during buyout season is the simplest one, and it gets ignored every single year. The player who is available is available for a reason. He was bought out. Teams do not walk away from impact players for fun.
There are plenty of reasons why a buyout happens. Maybe the player does not match the team’s timeline. Maybe there was a quiet agreement to let him go so the organization could prioritize youth or pivot in a different direction. Maybe the situation simply ran its course. All of that can be true at the same time.
But the reality still holds. If that player was truly moving the needle, he would still be on a roster. What you are most often talking about with buyout additions is the fourteenth or fifteenth man, someone filling depth, insurance, or situational minutes. Year after year, we go through this cycle, and year after year, the results look the same. Buyout players rarely decide a game. They rarely swing a playoff series. They almost never change a championship path.
It is not impossible, but it is incredibly uncommon. The buyout market is not where seasons are saved or transformed. It is where margins are adjusted, bodies are added, and options are created. Expecting anything more than that is setting yourself up to be disappointed by something that was never designed to carry that kind of weight in the first place.
I do get a kick out of it, honestly. The Suns move some size in Nick Richards, even if it is at a different position, and suddenly everyone is begging for size like there is a mythical power forward wandering the buyout market who can step in, play 25 minutes a night, and magically solve every structural issue on the roster.
Suns fans: Oso can’t shoot, Royce O’Neal is too small to play the 4, Ryan Dunn can’t shoot, Play Rasheer Fleming!!!
Also Suns fans: Sign Sohan now!! (He’s a worse 3 point shooter than Ryan Dunn, he’s maybe an inch taller at most and shoots free throws with 1 hand)
It shows up in the reaction to the Haywood Highsmith signing. Why not a power forward? It is a fair question on the surface. But in the same breath, who exactly are we talking about? There is no player sitting out there waiting to be signed who checks every box and slides cleanly into a real rotation role this late in the season. That is not how the NBA works.
Whoever you bring in right now, Highsmith included, is living at the end of the bench. He is not walking in and claiming steady minutes. The Suns took a swing on Highsmith because they want to see what he can be as a wing option looking ahead, not because he is some immediate fix. That is long-term thinking. That is roster management with the offseason in mind, where other decisions can open pathways for a player like him to matter more.
But so much of the conversation is trapped in short-term panic. We need a power forward. We need size. And in that urgency, people miss the bigger picture. This is not an argument that the Suns do not need one. It is an argument that the player people are dreaming about does not exist. Size, speed, rim pressure, shooting, lockdown defense. If you find someone with two of those traits, that is a win. And even then, he is still competing for minutes in a rotation that already has priorities baked in.
Development is still a priority for this organization. Chemistry is still the oil to their engine. The Suns did not get to this point by accident, and the idea that the fifteenth man on the bench is going to swing the season continues to amaze me every year. I guess that is sports. Everyone chasing the idea of a perfect roster with no flaws, even though it has never existed.
And for a Suns team that is exceeding expectations, it is still surprising how quickly that context gets lost in the noise.
That is fandom, though. It lives in conversation, in debate, in the constant search for how things could be better, because there is always room to get better. That part is healthy. That part is fun. Where it goes sideways is when those conversations turn into calling each other idiots instead of actually engaging with the ideas.
The truth is, armchair GMs — myself very much included — would benefit from stepping back and seeing the whole picture more often, rather than locking onto one perceived flaw and treating it like the root of all evil. Every roster has holes. Every night presents a different problem. Every matchup exposes something. That is the NBA. That is the season. That is the sport.
Focusing on a single deficiency without context ignores how teams actually function, how minutes are distributed, how chemistry develops, and how progress is rarely linear. Improvement is usually incremental, sometimes invisible, and almost never solved by one name scribbled onto the end of the bench.
So argue. Debate. Dream about upgrades. That is part of the joy. But maybe do it with a little more curiosity and a little less certainty, because the picture is always bigger than the one weakness staring us in the face.