MLB Player Props & Best Bets for Today, Aug. 14

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Happy Friday, everyone! It is time to kick off the weekend on a high note by taking a few player props with a ton of upside.

Join me as I break down three of my favorite MLB player props for Aug. 14, including why I expect another big day at the dish from Griffin Conine.

Best MLB player props today

Player PickOdds
Marlins Griffin ConineTo record 1+ Hit-131
Angels Grayson RodriguezOver 2.5 Earned Runs-106
Orioles Baltimore OriolesFirst Five Team Total Over 1.5 -115

Griffin Conine to record 1+ hit (-131)

Cincinnati Reds right-hander Chase Burns has been fantastic this season, owning a 2.58 ERA and 1.13 WHIP on the year. However, has he been that good to where a red-hot hitter like Miami Marlins outfielder Griffin Conine should be -131 to record a hit? Likely not.

Conine is tied for the fifth-highest barrel rate among players over their last 10 games at 25%. During that stretch, he also has a .594 SLG, .313 ISO and 20% ground-ball rate.

At home this season, Burns is allowing left-handed hitters to elevate the baseball nearly 70% of the time, while they are producing a 33% hard-hit rate.

For a guy to do the bare minimum at -131, this is a great price. If you are not in the juice-paying business, take his Over 1.5 Hits, Runs and RBI prop.

  • Time: 6:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: CINR, MIAM

Grayson Rodriguez Over 2.5 earned runs (-106)

The worst-rated pitcher on the day takes on the highest-rated offense. Los Angeles Angels right-hander Grayson Rodriguez owns the worst pitcher rating on Batters-Box, and he draws a fully elite Kansas City Royals lineup featuring five elite-rated bats.

Rodriguez has struggled all season long, owning a 7.36 ERA and 1.64 WHIP while allowing a 45.66% hard-hit rate and 10.4% barrel rate to opposing hitters. The Royals are peppered with left-handed hitters, and Rodriguez owns a 6.35 xERA against lefties this season.

Despite the disappointing season from the Royals, they should be able to keep this one fun and exciting with everyone in that lineup in a great spot this evening. This is playable down to -110, or find their first five team total over 2.5 at plus money.

  • Time: 9:38 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ABTV, ROYL

Orioles first five team total Over 1.5 (-115)

With the Tampa Bay Rays likely going with Steven Matz as the opener and Jesse Scholtens to follow, the Baltimore Orioles offense needs to be backed this evening.

Despite the underwhelming season for the Orioles, they still rank 17th in first-five scoring, putting up around 2.44 runs. Over the team's last six games, the offense owns a 123 wRC+, along with a .349 wOBA, .795 OPS and .209 ISO. During that stretch, they are producing a 47.7% hard-hit rate and 10.5% barrel rate.

The Bird offense is humming at the moment.

Scholtens owns the worst pitcher rating on Batters-Box's default ratings, with a poorly rated matchup ISO, hard contact and ground-ball rate. Matz, meanwhile, has struggled at home this season, posting a 6.75 ERA across 11 games and allowing 21 runs over 28 innings.

We just need two runs!

This is a complete misprice. Take this down to -135.

  • Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: RAYS, MASN
Colby Marchio's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Prop picks: 396-765, -12.4 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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The worst offense in a winning streak in Yankees’ history

The Yankees’ offense hasn’t been particularly great lately. Ahead of Wednesday’s game against the Mariners, in which they actually cracked double digits, they had averaged just 3.1 runs per game on their recent home stand. Yet in spite of that, they had also gone 4-3 through Tuesday, which is not what you’d expect in a run where a team puts up essentially a run and half less than the overall MLB average on the season.

The fact that the Yankees have managed to tread water despite getting that little offensive production got me thinking. I wanted to find the best run by a Yankees’ team from history despite not doing much scoring, and I think I might’ve found it.

The 1903 American League season was the first ever one for the team then known as the New York Highlanders. The 1903 team wasn’t bad, and they very nearly won the AL pennant the following year, but the pre-Babe Ruth Highlanders/Yankees teams aren’t particularly fondly remembered, as they didn’t exactly accomplish much. To be fair to them, this streak we’re about to talk about was also in the Dead Ball Era, so bad offensive stats now wouldn’t necessarily translate to bad then. However, they had one very odd run in June.

On June 9, 1903, the Highlanders were hosting the St. Louis Browns. Despite recording six hits, none of which went for extra bases, New York scored three runs and won 3-1, with St. Louis chipping in with a couple errors. That’s because Jack Chesbro — whose real opus was in 1904, but was also good in ‘03 — held St. Louis to one run on six hits, keeping them off the board for the final seven innings.

In the Highlanders’ next game, two days later, the Tigers opened up a 2-0 lead in the second inning. Meanwhile, it took until the fifth inning for New York to get on the board and they were trailing 3-1 going into the eighth. However, they scored two runs in the eighth, and walked it off in the ninth. The winning hit came courtesy of pitcher Jesse Tannehill, who went 3-for-4 on the day. Again though, all their hits were just singles, with none of the nine going for extra bases.

The next game came two days later, again against Detroit. Chesbro was back on the hill on just three days rest, because this was 1903. While this time around, New York took leads of 1-0 and 2-1, they again required a walk-off to win the game, with Willie Keeler providing it in the bottom of the ninth in a 3-2 victory. This particular game should not have required that, though. This time around, the Highlanders recorded eight hits, including two doubles and six walks. However, they managed to leave 10 runners on base before finally coming away with the win.

After two days off, the Highlanders then hosted the White Sox in games on June 16th and 17th. Both of those particular games finished 1-0 to New York, with Clark Griffith — also the team’s manager — and Barney Wolfe each pitching complete game shutouts. For the third time in four games, they also won via walk-off in the game on the 17th. Jimmy Williams hit an RBI single as one of just four Highlanders’ hits in the game.

The Highlanders continued their stretch of not scoring much in their next game, but the pitching couldn’t keep up, as they lost 7-0 to end the winning streak. They finally scored a decent amount of runs in the game following that, putting up six against Cleveland.

Over the course of the 1903 Highlanders’ five-game win streak from June 9-17, they scored just 12 runs on 33 hits and 10 walks. Collectively as a team, they hit .217/.270/.237. The current Yankees’ offense can be a bit of a chore to watch, but I’d prefer they not try and match the 1903 version’s exploits.

Red Sox News & Links: John Henry is “never selling” the Boston Red Sox

BOSTON, MA - APRIL 20: John Henry, principle owner of the Boston Red Sox watches the game against the Detroit Tigers with his wife Linda Pizzuti Henry and her son Xander at Fenway Park on April 20, 2026 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo By Winslow Townson/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Did Payton Tolle have the best start of his career yesterday in Toronto? By many measures, yes. The 8 innings he threw tied his career high, having also thrown 8 against the Braves back in May. It was the fifth time in his career he held the opposition lineup to 0 runs (he still has yet to allow fewer than 0 runs in a single game — that’s something he’ll need to work on in the offseason), and the fifth time he’s held them to no more than 2 hits. His game score of 80 also tied the best mark of his career, previously set with a 7-inning shutout against the Yankees in June. Where he was lacking, though, was in strikeouts. In the 23 starts Tolle has made in his career, he struck out more than the 4 he did yesterday in 15 of them. But in the case of yesterday’s start, the lack of strikeouts just showed his versatility. (Chris Cotillo, MassLive)

Tolle’s dominant outing came at a great time, not only because the Sox needed to stop a losing skid, but because the bullpen took a major hit. As we feared, Garrett Whitlock was placed on the IL with right elbow inflammation. The inflammation has reportedly been growing over the last few weeks, though as of now it’s not considered serious enough to warrant an MRI. (Tim Healey, Boston Globe)

With Whitlock on the shelf, is the bullpen going to get a boost in the form of Garrett Crochet at any point soon? Don’t count on it. “It’s not a lot,” Chad Tracy said of the throwing he’s been doing. “It’s been light throwing right now, and see how he continues to react to that before they start backing him up.” (Dan Morrison, Yahoo)

We have slightly more positive news on Roman Anthony, however. He’s been down in Florida, having recently progressed to hitting off of a high-velocity pitching machine. Now, Chad Tracy says the Sox are going to “talk through” the idea of bringing him back to Boston to continue his rehab, which, you know, great. It’s always nice to talk things over. (Rodney Knuppel, NESN)

Does Willson Contreras need to talk things over with Red Sox Nation after he was booed in Fenway Park recently? Not according to Contreras, who doesn’t seem bothered by it. “Something’s bothering my leg. That’s why I didn’t run the other day when the fans booed me. Man, didn’t run one time and they boo anybody. Which is good. But I don’t care. I think it’s part of baseball. They have the right to boo, they have to yell, they have a right to do everything.” (Chris Cotillo, MassLive)

If Willson ever does need some advice on how to handle booing, he can always turn to John Henry. And when Henry’s gone, he’ll have Linda and the kids, apparently. That’s because, according to Sam Kennedy, the Sox are going to be in their hands for a long time. “John Henry, Linda Henry, the Henry family are never selling the Boston Red Sox. And that’s a soundbite you can play forevermore. I’d bet anything on that.” (Scott McLaughlin, WEEI)

Giants call up Jonah Cox and Turner Hill

Jonah Cox diving to make a catch.
PHOENIX, ARIZONA - JUNE 29: Jonah Cox #53 of the San Francisco Giants makes a diving catch during the third inning of the MLB game against the Arizona Diamondbacksat Chase Field on June 29, 2026 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The San Francisco Giants made a series of moves on Friday, ahead of their series opener against the Colorado Rockies, as they’re bringing up a pair of youngsters to replace a pair of youngsters.

As was reported on Thursday, the Giants are calling up outfielder Turner Hill to make his MLB debut. Hill is a tremendous story, as the 27-year old went undrafted in 2023 but has steadily rose through the ranks with strong defense, good base stealing, and sensational contact skills. He was on a 26-game hitting streak in AAA Sacramento, and in 88 games at the level this year posted a .950 OPS and a 148 wRC+, with just an 8.5% strikeout rate. The Giants are surely excited to get a long look at him over the next six weeks as they try to figure out which of their young players can contribute in 2027.

Joining Hill is Jonah Cox, who makes his return to the Majors following a brief stint in AAA. Cox was shockingly called up straight from AA in June, but played sparingly and looked fairly overmatched (while he collected a home run and a double off of position players, he hit just 5-24 with 15 strikeouts against MLB pitchers). The hair-on-fire 25-year old, who is arguably the best defensive outfielder in the system and the best base stealer, was injured in July, and got his first taste of AAA during a rehab assignment. After finishing that rehab assignment he was optioned back to AAA. In 11 games with Sacramento, Cox hit a stunning 22-47 with six extra-base hits and five walks, albeit some underlying metrics that should still give the Giants a little pause about his readiness for success at the next level.

With Jung Hoo Lee playing almost every game in right field, it seems likely that left and center will be handled by Hill and Drew Gilbert when a right-hander is on the mound, and by Cox and Victor Bericoto when facing a lefty.

Hill and Cox replace outfielder Grant McCray and second baseman Nate Furman, who were both optioned back to Sacramento. It’s especially tough news for McCray, who has to feel that his time with the organization might be nearing an end (though he has another option year after this one). While McCray had a huge home run in late July, he’s looked wholly uncomfortable in the batter’s box since getting called back to the Majors. He hasn’t collected a single hit in August, and since the last game of July he’s gone 0-20 with five walks and eight strikeouts. He’s hitting just .081/.227/.162 on the year, for a 22 wRC+, and has also hit below average when in AAA this season.

As for Furman, he barely got on the field, and will have to wait to collect his first Major League hit. He was called up right before the trade deadline, presumably to give the team an option if Luis Arráez were traded mid-game. But given that he’s limited to just second base, and that the Giants are clearly invested in seeing if Osleivis Basabe or Christian Koss can emerge as a viable backup infielder option, there just wasn’t playing time for the lefty, whose proper developmental place was always in AAA. Furman got into just five games in his two weeks with the Giants, and hit 0-6 with two walks and a strikeout.

Chris Sale set to kick off Diamondbacks series for Braves

NEW YORK, NY - AUGUST 08: Chris Sale #51 of the Atlanta Braves pitches during the game between the Atlanta Braves and the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on Saturday, August 8, 2026 in New York, New York. (Photo by Jonathan Pensiero/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Welcome back, Braves Country!

It’s nice to come back refreshed after a series win. And even better when it’s against the division rivals, the New York Mets.

Now, the Atlanta Braves are looking for a repeat against the Arizona Diamondbacks with Chris Sale on the mound.

Sale’s stats speak for themself. Holding a 2.20 ERA, it’s no secret that Sale is the weapon that’s holding the pitching rotation together. He’s also 12-7 for the season and has shown consistency in his usual six-inning stint, tallying over eight strikeouts in his appearances since July 23.

The question is, which version of the Braves are set to show up against Arizona’s Brandon Pfaadt?

Currently holding a 3.36 ERA and 1.20 WHIP, Pfaadt hasn’t allowed a single run across his last three appearances. He’s also been producing quality outings with his six-pitch arsenal ready to execute.

It’ll be a pitchers’ duel on the mound with two quality starters who’re performing to the best of their ability.

Check back in with us in a few hours to see how both teams’ offenses fare against these arms before first pitch.

Game Info

Game Time: Friday, August 14, 7:15 PM ET

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Watch: BravesVision

Radio/Audio: 680 AM/93.7 FM The Fan, La Mejor 1600/1460/1130 AM

Brewers Reacts Survey Results: Odd man out in the outfield

SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA - AUGUST 11: Garrett Mitchell #5 of the Milwaukee Brewers hands a glove and cap to Luis Lara #18 during the second inning against the San Diego Padres at Petco Park on August 11, 2026 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Orlando Ramirez/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Welcome to SB Nation Reacts, a survey of fans across the MLB. Throughout the year we ask questions of the most plugged-in Brewers fans and fans across the country. Sign up here to participate in the weekly emailed surveys.

In this week’s Reacts survey, we asked fans which of Milwaukee’s three young outfielders — Sal Frelick, Garrett Mitchell, and Luis Lara — should be the “odd man out” against right-handed pitching upon Frelick’s return from injury, which is expected to happen in the next week or so. The results had one clear frontrunner:

With 101 voters in total, roughly 71% voted for a Mitchell-Lara combo, followed by Frelick-Mitchell (21%) and Frelick-Lara (8%). That means overall, more than 90% of fans want to see Mitchell in the game, nearly 80% want Lara, and just under 30% want to see Frelick.

It probably shouldn’t come as much of a surprise given the results of these three players.

Mitchell has been a serviceable center fielder, and he’s also been an above-average hitter (.251/.351/.404 for a 109 OPS+), something that neither Frelick nor Lara can say. The fact that Milwaukee’s offense has scuffled over the last few weeks makes that even more important at this point in the season.

Lara, the youngest of the trio at just 21, has been great on defense, and he’s also held his own at the plate, even if he hasn’t shown much pop. Over 28 games, he’s hitting .233/.329/.329 with five doubles, a triple, 11 RBIs, nine runs, and a pair of steals.

Frelick, currently rehabbing at Triple-A Nashville, was, in season’s past, be considered one of the elite corner outfield defenders, but he hasn’t been all that good this year, and the arm injury that has him on the IL is not a good sign either. He also hasn’t been all that good at the plate, hitting just .236/.301/.330 and compiling -0.2 bWAR over 90 games.

Frelick has also only appeared at DH during his rehab assignment, indicating he isn’t ready on the defensive side quite yet. Given his lack of value at the plate, it’s hard to see a spot for Frelick until he can provide his formerly above-average defense or find a groove offensively. He’s been decent (albeit in just 17 plate appearances) in his four rehab appearances, hitting .273/.500/.364 with three hits, including a double, two hit-by-pitches, and three walks compared to one strikeout.

With Frelick on the cusp of returning to the majors, we’ll have a solid answer to this question sooner than later.

Have something else you want to say? Keep the conversation going in the comments, and be sure to check out FanDuel Sportsbook for all your betting needs.


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Angels series preview: A battle of two of the worst teams in baseball

MIAMI, FL - AUGUST 07: Los Angeles Angels center fielder Mike Trout (27) checks the video board afer striking out in the second inning during tha game between the Los Angels of Anaheim and the Miami Marlins on Friday, August 7, 2026 at LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL (Photo by Peter Joneleit/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The Angels have been a franchise adrift in the 12 years since the Royals beat them in the 2014 ALDS, but they may finally be embarking on a true rebuild after firing general manager Perry Minasian and replacing him with John Mozeliak. The team was aggressive selling off pieces at the trade deadline, dealing outfielder Jo Adell, starting pitcher José Soriano, and relievers Ryan Zeferjahn, Brent Suter, and Kirby Yates. That leaves a roster with a few talented players, such as future Hall of Famer Mike Trout, but with plenty of unproven hitters and relievers.

The Royals and Angels are very evenly matched this year, with very similar records and run differentials. The Angles are riding a three-game win streak, but have dropped 13 of their last 20 overall.

Kansas City Royals (49-73) vs. Los Angeles Angels (48-74) at Angel Stadium, Anaheim, CA

Royals: 4.12 runs scored/game (24th), 5.06 runs allowed/game (27th)

Angels: 4.10 runs scored/game (25th), 4.78 runs allowed/game (21st)

Who’s hot

  • Rookie Wade Meckler is hitting .341/.408./455 in his last 14 games.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. is hitting .343/.410/.429 since coming off the Injured List.

Who’s not

  • Moisés Ballesteros is hitting .167/.231/.167 in the 10 games since he was acquired from the Cubs.
  • Nick Loftin is hitting just 6-for-40 (.150) in his last 13 games.

Interesting splits:

  • Mike Trout is hitting just .230/.371/.364 at home this year.
  • Salvador Perez is a career .313/.357/.515 with five home runs in 34 games at Angel Stadium.

Seth Lugo has never lost to the Angels, going 2-0 in five games. Grayson Rodriguez has the second-worst ERA in baseball of any pitcher with at least 50 innings. Randy Dobnak has the eighth-biggest positive gap between ERA and FIP among any pitcher with 30+ innings. Reid Detmers has a 2.39 ERA in five starts since the All-Star break, but the Angels have lost all five games. Noah Cameron has allowed five runs in his last four starts for a 1.57 ERA. Opponents are hitting .383 against Ryan Johnson’s sinker this year.

Ben Joyce throws 101 mph, the second-fastest heater in baseball. Lefties are hitting .105/.244/.132 against Samy Natera Jr. The Angels have just 18 saves, the fewest in baseball.

The Angels finally appear to be rebuilding, but its a process that is just beginning and will likely take years to complete. In the meantime, the Royals have an opportunity to win some games against a team struggling as much as they are.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Game Discussion Friday

CHICAGO, IL - JULY 05: Matthew Liberatore #32 of the St. Louis Cardinals pitches during the game between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on Sunday, July 5, 2026 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by George Gaza/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

The St. Louis Cardinals enter the lair of the enemy Friday afternoon when they challenge the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. Matthew Liberatore will get the start for the Cardinals while the Cubs will depend on RPH Clay Holmes. First pitch scheduled for 1:20pm central time and the game broadcast will be available through Apple TV.

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Mariners vs. Astros prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for August 14

The AL West race takes center stage tonight at Daikin Park as the Houston Astros (62-60) open a three-game series against the Seattle Mariners (57-65). Houston enters the weekend in first place in the division, holding a five-game lead over Seattle. That lead could well be in jeopardy as the Mariners have dominated the season series winning seven of eight games to date.

 

The Astros return home after a six-game road trip, while the Mariners limp into Houston having lost six of their last seven. This is a crucial stretch for both these teams. Houston tonight begins a nine-game homestand entirely against AL West opponents. Seattle is in the midst of a 15-game stretch that includes games against the Yankees (1-2), Astros, Brewers, Phillies, and Cubs. With the sands streaming through the hourglass of the season, this stretch will prove vital for each side.

 

Tonight's pitching matchup features a pair of right-handers: George Kirby for Seattle against Peter Lambert for Houston. Kirby enters at 8-9 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.27 WHIP across 132 innings. He has struck out 112 batters while walking only 28. Kirby has allowed just 16 home runs. Lambert has quietly been one of Houston's most effective starters, posting an 8-6 record with a 3.09 ERA and 1.15 WHIP over 113.2 innings. He has recorded 111 strikeouts while limiting opponents to just 87 hits all season. Kirby enters Friday having allowed just 16 home runs as well.

 

With Houston trying to strengthen its grip on the AL West and Seattle needing a strong weekend to climb back into contention, this series opener carries postseason implications despite both clubs sitting below the level many expected entering the season. The matchup between Kirby and Lambert should make for a low-scoring affair, as two of the better-performing starters in the division square off in a game that could set the tone for the remainder of this critical three-game series.

 

Lets dive into tonight’s matchup and find a sweat or two.

 

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

 

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

 

Game Details and How to Watch: Mariners vs. Astros

  • Date: Friday, August 14, 2026
  • Time: 8:10PM EST
  • Site: Daikin Park
  • City: Houston, TX
  • Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, Mariners.TV, SCHN

 

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

 

The Latest Odds: Mariners vs. Astros – August 14

The latest odds as of Friday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Seattle Mariners (+106), Houston Astros (-114)  
  • Spread: Mariners -1.5 (+167), Astros +1.5 (-203)
  • Total: 8.0 runs

 

Starting Pitchers and their Stats: Mariners vs. Astros for August 14

  • Mariners: Geroge Kirby
    Season Totals: 132.0 IP, 8-9, 3.68 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 112K, 28 BB
  • Astros: Peter Lambert
    Season Totals: 113.2 IP, 8-6, 3.09 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 111K, 44 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not! Mariners vs. Astros

  • Isaac Paredes is 7-16 (.438) in his career against George Kirby
  • Yordan Alvarez is just 4-22 (.182) against Kirby
  • Julio Rodriguez is 3-5 (.600) including 1 HR in his career against Peter Lambert
  • Yordan Alvarez is 12-40 (.300) in August but just 1-17 over his last 5 games
  • Christian Walker was 0-10 in the series against San Francisco
  • Josh Naylor has hit safely in 4 straight games (6-13)
  • Cal Raleigh is 4-34 (.118) in August
  • Randy Arozarena has hit in 3 straight games (3-11) including 2 HRs

 

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

 

Top Betting Trends & Insights: Mariners vs. Astros

 

  • The Mariners are an MLB-worst 45-77 on the Run Line this season
  • The Astros are 62-60 on the Run Line this season
  • The OVER has cashed 59 times in games involving Seattle this season (59-56-7)
  • The OVER has cashed 64 times in games involving the Astros this season (64-52-6)

 

Expert picks & predictions: Mariners vs. Astros for August 14

Rotoworld Bet Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

 

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

 

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s game between the Mariners and the Astros:

 

  • Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Astros on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Run Line.
  • Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total OVER 8.0.

 

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
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British cyclist Finlay Tarling, 19, dies in Volta a Portugal accident

  • Teenager involved in an accident in Portugal

  • Rider’s NSN Development Team ‘heartbroken’

Finlay Tarling, the younger brother of Netcompany Ineos rider, Josh Tarling, has been killed while racing in stage eight of the Volta a Portugal.

Although the details are yet to be confirmed, reports in the Portugese and French media suggest that the 19-year-old Welsh rider was hit by a non-race vehicle travelling on the course in the opposite direction to the peloton.

Continue reading...

Former Blackhawks Defenseman Still Looking For A New Home

It has now been a month and half since the start of NHL free agency. While this is the case, there are still multiple players who remain unsigned.

Among the top defensemen who are still free agents at this point in the summer is former Chicago Blackhawks blueliner Matt Grzelcyk. 

With Grzelcyk being a well-respected veteran defenseman, it seems possible that he could land a professional tryout (PTO) or a one-year contract from an NHL team before the start of training camp. NHL clubs are always on the hunt for defensive depth, so the 32-year-old could very well generate some interest. 

Grzelcyk spent last season with the Blackhawks and served well as a veteran mentor for their younger players. In 69 games with Chicago in 2025-26, he posted zero goals and 12 points. This was after he had a career year with the Pittsburgh Penguins in 2024-25, as he posted a career-high 40 points in 82 games. 

Given Grzelcyk's solid resume, it would not be shocking if he gets another opportunity in the NHL. However, with the Blackhawks signing veteran defenseman Ian Cole this off-season, a return to Chicago seems unlikely.

MLB Home Run Props & Predictions Today: Best HR Picks & Parlay for Aug. 14

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The weekend is here! Let's kick it off by cashing some nukes!

Here are my favorite MLB home run props and predictions from tonight's schedule, featuring Jac Caglianone and Yordan Alvarez.

Below, I'll explain why Alvarez is an appealing pick against the Mariners in Houston with my MLB picks on Friday, Aug. 14.

MLB home run props for today

Player to hit a HROdds
Astros Yordan Alvarez+276
Royals Jac Caglianone +307

Home run prediction: Yordan Alvarez (+276)

Saying someone is "due" is so overused in this space, but Houston Astros slugger Yordan Alvarez has not hit a home run since July 28th. Yes, 17 days ago. The big fella has gone into a bit of a slump, but has still been generating quality contact. Over his last five games, he has a 50% hard-hit rate and 21.4% barrel rate.

Alvarez enters Friday with the number one matchup rating on Batters-Box, where he has left the yard nearly 37% of the time in 19 home games this season. Overall, through 41 elite ratings in 2026, he has homered in 26.83% of those games.

Seattle Mariners right-hander George Kirby has allowed 2.57 HR/9 to his last 60 left-handed hitters faced, while those hitters are elevating the baseball at nearly a 78% clip.

Again, is anyone ever due for anything? Nope, but this looks like a pretty good spot for Alvarez.

Playable to +250.

  • Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: SCHN, SEAM

Home run prediction: Jac Caglianone (+307)

We are kicking off our Friday by backing the Italian Stallion from Kansas City, Mr. Jac Caglianone, who finds himself in a delectable spot against Los Angeles Angels right-hander Grayson Rodriguez.

The Kansas City Royals slugger enters today with an elite rating on Batters-Box's current-season dataset. He not only covers 100% of Rodriguez's pitch mix, but he has also left the yard on 30.43% of his 23 elite ratings this season.

Caglianone has been seeing the ball extremely well over his last 30 plate appearances against right-handed pitchers, owning a .333 BA, .667 SLG and 1.034 OPS while producing a 58% hard-hit rate and 12% barrel rate. On top of that, over his last five games, he is generating nearly a 60% hard-hit rate and an 18% barrel rate.

With how poorly Rodriguez has been against left-handed hitters this season, the big fella is in a great spot to go deep tonight on the road. Take this down to +275 at the most.

  • Time: 9:38 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ROYL, ABTV
Colby Marchio's 2026 Transparency Record
  • HR picks: 99-351, +10.3 units

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The Right Stuff: Mariners at Astros Series Preview

SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA - AUGUST 10: Jeremy Peña #3 of the Houston Astros (L) reacts with Yordan Alvarez #44 after winning against the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park on August 10, 2026 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Thien-An Truong/Getty Images) | Getty Images

It’s hard to believe after losing their series in New York, but the Mariners actually gained half a game in the Wild Card standings after salvaging a win on Thursday. The division is still the clearest path to the playoffs for Seattle since there are only two teams to leap frog in the AL West instead of six in the Wild Card race. That makes this series against the Astros a huge make-or-break moment for the M’s. A series win would be a big step forward. A sweep would catapult the team back into the thick of the division race. No pressure.

GameTimeMariners StarterAstros StarterMariners Win%Astros Win%
Game 1Friday, August 14 | 5:10 pmRHP George KirbyRHP Peter Lambert54.3%45.7%
Game 2Saturday, August 15 | 4:10 pmRHP Emerson HancockRHP Hayden Wesneski48.0%52.0%
Game 3Sunday, August 16 | 4:20 pmRHP Bryan WooRHP Hunter Brown48.6%51.4%
*Game odds courtesy of FanGraphs
OverviewMarinersAstrosEdge
Batting (wRC+)99 (9th in AL)105 (2nd in AL)Astros
Fielding (FRV)-34 (15th)-4 (8th)Astros
Starting Pitching (FIP-)93 (5th)121 (14th)Mariners
Bullpen (FIP-)96 (5th)105 (12th)Mariners

The Astros have managed to scramble to the top of the thoroughly mediocre AL West standings by going 15-9 since the All-Star break, the fourth best record in the AL during the second half of the season. Combined with a solid month of June, they’ve more than made up for their dismal start to the season. The team’s underlying metrics don’t really support such a strong effort, even during this hot streak over the last few weeks. Perhaps sensing the precarious state of their roster, they only made one move at the trade deadline, trading Spencer Arrighetti to the Blue Jays for Daulton Varsho. It was a bit of a surprise to see them neglect their pitching staff, though they have gotten a bunch of pitchers back from injury recently.

PlayerPositionBatsPAK%BB%ISOwRC+
Jeremy PeñaSSR32220.5%6.5%0.184132
Yordan AlvarezDHL53017.2%15.8%0.299187
Isaac Paredes3BR48814.1%9.4%0.161118
Jose Altuve2BR40920.0%8.1%0.15195
Daulton VarshoCFL40219.7%8.5%0.12986
Christian Walker1BR48423.1%8.7%0.213114
Taylor TrammellLFL18929.6%9.5%0.187110
Cam SmithRFR43824.4%8.0%0.17194
Yainer DiazCR23815.5%3.8%0.14688

With so many warts across the roster, it certainly seems like the Astros will only go so far as Yordan Alvarez can carry them. And to be honest, he might just drag the team into the playoffs by himself. He has a very good chance to win the first AL Triple Crown since Miguel Cabrera did it in 2012 and possibly even an extremely rare MLB Triple Crown, leading all of baseball in batting average, home runs, and RBI. His supporting cast is filled with familiar names, though many of them are diminished from their peaks during Houston’s heyday. Jeremy Peña is the one guy who has significantly improved over the past few years, though a few minor injuries have limited him to just 74 games this season. Varsho was a very smart pickup since the team’s outfield has been a huge weakness all season long. Unfortunately, he’s collected just four hits in nine games as an Astro.

Probable Pitchers 

Updated Stuff+ Explainer 

PitcherIPK%BB%HR/FB%GB%ERAFIP
Peter Lambert113.223.5%9.3%8.5%38.2%3.093.87
George Kirby13220.6%5.2%10.8%44.9%3.683.66
PitchUsage vRHBUsage vLHBVelocityStuff+Whiff+BIP+xwOBA
Four-seam29.0%32.8%93.998120830.325
Sinker20.5%0.8%93.391341480.287
Cutter5.7%13.6%91.58371980.328
Changeup13.5%30.9%87.0801141080.228
Curveball2.1%6.4%79.987
Slider15.5%11.8%85.610279820.272
Sweeper13.7%3.8%82.7102831290.289

From a previous series preview:

After struggling to make much of an impact with the Rockies to start his career, Peter Lambert signed a one-year deal with the Yakult Swallows of NPB last year. He didn’t exactly excel, but he showed enough promise outside the oppressive environment in Colorado to earn a minor league deal with the Astros this offseason. He’s been pressed into service thanks to all the injuries Houston has dealt with and he’s looked pretty solid across four starts this year. He developed a straight cutter in Japan and that pitch has been a solid addition to his repertoire. He’s also got an excellent changeup to round out his deep arsenal. 

Against all odds, Lambert has been one of the Astros’ most consistent starters this year. Back in May, he held the Mariners to three runs in seven innings while striking out six.

PitcherIPK%BB%HR/FB%GB%ERAFIP
Hayden Wesneski18.216.0%8.0%8.7%36.4%3.864.31
Emerson Hancock12122.7%6.1%10.6%41.7%3.353.72

The Astros picked up Hayden Wesneski in the Kyle Tucker trade with the Cubs a few years ago. He promptly blew out his elbow just six starts into his time with the Astros and missed more than a year rehabbing from Tommy John surgery. As a prospect in Chicago’s organization, his huge sweeper stood out as his best pitch but he struggled with a pretty mediocre fastball. Houston has asked him to emphasize his sinker and cutter at the expense of his four-seamer and that’s been a useful trade-off so far. He’s made three starts since returning from his elbow injury in late July and his command has been a little shaky so far.

PitcherIPK%BB%HR/FB%GB%ERAFIP
Hunter Brown63.224.9%13.0%16.3%55.9%3.684.45
Bryan Woo132.124.4%5.2%8.3%37.4%4.153.13
PitchUsage vRHBUsage vLHBVelocityStuff+Whiff+BIP+xwOBA
Four-seam24.4%41.0%96.210599920.228
Sinker40.8%19.3%95.91121411570.304
Changeup2.1%15.2%87.581151620.434
Curveball17.4%22.2%83.41051071140.289
Slider15.3%2.4%90.387

Hunter Brown missed two months of the season with a shoulder injury and he hasn’t looked like his dominant self since returning in mid June. His command has regressed significantly and he’s developed a bit of a home run problem despite running the highest groundball rate of his career. His issues all stem from his rusty command. He’s having trouble locating his secondary pitches around the zone and he’s leaving too many of his fastballs in the middle of the zone instead of getting them up where the pitch is much more effective. The Astros have needed him to anchor their injury riddled rotation so he’s been forced to figure out his issues on the fly.


The Big Picture:

TeamW-LW%Games BehindRun DiffRecent Form
Astros62-600.508-27L-L-W-L-W
Rangers60-620.4922.0-41L-W-L-L-L
Mariners57-650.4675.0-26L-L-L-L-W
Angels48-740.39314.0-83L-L-W-W-W
Athletics47-740.38814.5-180W-W-L-L-L
TeamW-LW%Games BehindRun DiffRecent Form
Yankees68-530.562+8.0+89W-L-W-W-L
Red Sox65-560.537+5.0+86L-L-L-L-W
Tigers60-610.496+90W-W-W-L-W
Rangers60-620.4920.5-41L-W-L-L-L
Twins60-630.4881.0-38L-W-L-W-L
Guardians59-630.4841.5-30L-L-L-W-L
Blue Jays59-640.4802.0-61L-W-W-W-L
Orioles58-630.4792.0-36L-W-L-W-L
Mariners57-650.4673.5-26L-L-L-L-W

The Rangers lost their four-game series to the Angels this week, losing three straight to finish the series and drop out of the final Wild Card spot. They’re playing in Sacramento this weekend. The Tigers now hold that third Wild Card spot after beating the Guardians this week. Another divisional matchup is on deck for them this weekend against the White Sox.

The Nationals Head to Queens, Looking to Climb Back into Playoff Contention

WASHINGTON, DC - AUGUST 13: Cade Cavalli #24 of the Washington Nationals talks to the media after the Nationals defeated the Chicago Cubs at Nationals Park on Thursday, August 13, 2026 in Washington, District of Columbia. (Photo by Alyssa McDaniel/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

The Nationals avoided a sweep with a dominant 7-0 victory over the Cubs on Thursday afternoon, finishing their six-game home stand with a 4-2 record. Cade Cavalli carried a no-hitter into the seventh inning and finished with eight scoreless innings, allowing only one hit and two walks while striking out 10.

Abimelec Ortiz provided the biggest swing with a three-run home run, his fourth of the season and third in four games. The win improved the Nats to 60-63, three games below .500 and five games out of a Wild Card spot.

Starting tonight against the Mets, the Nats’ next 17 games are against teams not in playoff position, with the only club above .500 in that stretch being the Marlins, sitting at 62-60. If the Nats are going to shock the baseball world and be a playoff club this season, their best opportunity to throw their name firmly back in the mix begins now.

Despite their record, the Mets recently completed a 6-3 road trip and have produced one of baseball’s best offenses since the beginning of August. The Mets lost their final two games in Atlanta, including a 6-3 defeat on Wednesday, but Luis Torrens, Luis Robert Jr., and Bo Bichette all homered in the series finale. The Nats currently lead the season series 4-3 over the Mets, with two series still to be played.

Game One – Friday 7:10 PM ET

WSH: LHP Andrew Alvarez (2-3, 3.76 ERA)
NYM: RHP Robert Stock (0-2, 10.13 ERA)

Alvarez looked sharp in his last start against the Reds, allowing one run on three hits and one walk over 5 ⅓ innings. He extended his home-run-free streak to 51 ⅔ innings and will look to keep it going tonight against a Mets lineup with some pop.

The 36-year-old Stock struggled badly in his last start against Pittsburgh, allowing eight runs on nine hits and five walks over three innings in a 9-0 loss. He had previously held Miami to one run across five innings in his first major-league appearance since undergoing thoracic outlet surgery, but his command disappeared as he became fatigued against the Pirates.

Game Two – Saturday 4:10 PM ET

WSH: TBD
NYM: LHP Sean Manaea (4-5, 4.13 ERA)

The Nationals have not yet announced a starter for Saturday afternoon. Trevor Williams or Brad Lord could be options based on the rotation schedule, but the Nats will likely wait until after Friday’s game before confirming their plans.

Manaea delivered his best start of the season Sunday against Pittsburgh, allowing one run over seven innings while striking out 11 in an 11-1 Mets victory. The veteran left-hander has allowed two runs or fewer in four consecutive starts and has recorded a 3.03 ERA with 32 strikeouts across 29 ⅔ innings since the All-Star break.

Game Three – Sunday 1:40 PM ET

WSH: RHP Jake Irvin (2-6, 5.79 ERA)
NYM: RHP Christian Scott (3-3, 3.45 ERA)

Irvin struggled in his last start against the Cubs, allowing five runs on four hits and two walks over 3 ⅓ innings. He needed 88 pitches to record 10 outs and took the loss in Chicago’s 8-6 victory. Irvin will look to provide more length in the series finale for the Nats.

Scott allowed four runs over four innings against the Braves on Monday, surrendering two home runs while striking out six, though the Mets still earned an 8-5 victory behind an early offensive outburst. The Nats will look to rough up Scott in a similar manner in the series finale.

The Yankees Rotation Depth Inventory: August

NEW YORK, NY - JUNE 21: Elmer Rodríguez #71 of the New York Yankees takes the field prior to the game between the Cincinnati Reds and the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on Sunday, June 21, 2026 in New York, New York. (Photo by Daniel Shirey/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

With Carlos Rodón scheduled to make a second rehab start this week, one of the the biggest questions among Yankees prognosticators is whether Will Warren or Ryan Weathers should bounce to the bullpen once he returns. It’s a delightful rarity in the modern game to have a glut at starting pitcher. Still, as close as the Yankees seem to be to having too much starting pitching, the injury bug is always lurking. As the Yankees make their playoff push, it’s still within reason that they could need to call on support from Triple-A, as they did last year when Cam Schlittler emerged late as a vital force in their October rotation.

In the event that the team needs a replacement, let’s take a look at the reinforcements available to them down at Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.

Elmer Rodríguez

Rodríguez has been the Yankees’ default spot starter all year, filling in four times across three stints in the big leagues. He’s been consistent, tossing between 4 and 4.2 innings and allowing between 1-3 runs each time out. His xERA of 5.77 implies he’s pitched into some good luck, though, as does his untenable 10:11 K:BB ratio, making him a dodgy choice to fill in for an extended period.

Rodríguez has been down at Triple-A for nearly two months since his last call-up and has pitched well, posting a 2.62 ERA with just one home run allowed in his last seven starts, though his 21 free passes in 34.1 innings demonstrate control is still an issue. The rookie is also stretched out to throw as many as 90 pitches, which could prove valuable in a pinch.

Brendan Beck

Like Rodríguez, Beck has been called up to provide some length this year, first in a bulk outing behind Paul Blackburn and then as a true starter. That second outing was a disaster in which the Stanford product allowed five runs (including three home runs) in 3.2 innings, looking overmatched against the Twins’ offense.

Beck has been much more effective down at Scranton/Wilkes-Barre, where he’s posted a 1.33 ERA at 35:8 K:BB ratio over his last five starts. He’s stretched out as well, throwing a season-high 94 pitches his last time out. That should be enough to keep him in the mix should a need arise, though he hasn’t shown much upside as a long-term play.

Bullpen Day!

Everyone’s favorite — the placeholder approach. In the event only a single spot start is needed due to a doubleheader, a desire to give each starter an extra day of rest, or a short-term injury, the Yankees may choose to use one reliever as an opener and another as a bulk guy. Ryan Yarbrough — the only Yankee stretched out for a long relief role now that Blackburn is a back-end reliever — would be the obvious choice for the latter role.


Elmer Rodríguez and Brendan Beck are viable depth options with the potential to provide big league-caliber innings if needed. Neither is likely to contribute in a regular capacity this year. Should the rest of the group remain healthy upon Rodón’s return, the Yankees might consider sending Warren, whose performance has been uneven but who has had stretches of excellence over the past two seasons, down to Triple-A instead of bouncing him to the bullpen, keeping him stretched out as a rotation option down the stretch.