Buster Posey, sir, please sign a two-year extension ASAP

SAN FRANCISCO, CA - APRIL 22: San Francisco Giants President of Baseball Operations Buster Posey looks on in the dugout before a game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Francisco Giants on April 22, 2026 at Oracle Park in San Francisco, CA. (Photo by Matthew Huang/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Hello, Mr. Future Hall of Famer, sir, Mr. Buster Posey Man. I am but a lowly sports blogger doing that thing that bad baseball columnists do and writing you an open letter. Here’s why.

It’s unfathomable that there’s just 17 months or so remaining on your deal to be the Giants’ President of Baseball Operations. It seems like you just got here and it feels too soon to run away from the scene of a potential crime. That three-year deal you signed up for has always felt like hedging at best and at worst the length of a deal, say, The Music Man might’ve signed. Yes, you’ve got trouble! Trouble with a capital T!

I wouldn’t blame you or the rest of ownership and especially Tony Vitello if y’all were having second thoughts about this embarrassing 20-30 situation. That doesn’t mean I think the President of Baseball Operations and his manager hire should be able to walk away after accidentally burning down the house. Oh no. Everyone involved in the fire should be made to smoke the entire pack of cigarettes that led to it. Tony Vitello might just have to lose 300 games before returning to the NCAA and you might have to create even more negative history with the team failing to record a winning season for 5+ seasons.

The state of the major league team might be dire, but that doesn’t mean anyone should be on a hot seat. You shoved aside Farhan Zaidi because you wanted the responsibility of setting the course for the future of the Giants. It was the right call in one respect (Zaidi is no longer in the baseball industry) but with the easy part out of the way, it’s time to see if your vision can survive the harsh elements thrown at you by reality. You took the keys away and now you’ve stalled the engine. It’s time to see if you can recover.

The team is losing. The fans are booing. Industry types have seen the San Francisco Giants and now wonder aloud, “What are they doing?” Yes, the sensationalism has begun, as the Giants — an irrelevant franchise for a decade now — finally has some good grist for the content mill. Not history-defining losing a la the White Sox or Rockies of recent years, but cataclysmically awful performance from an organization that has blithely turned away from some tenets of the modern game like scouting and stats to reimagine itself as a team from your championship days or whatever.

At least, that’s what it looks like from the outside. I’m sure the organization still does scouting reports and provides them to the players, but when I watch the team play, I don’t see much in the way of understanding what the opponent is doing or anticipation of what they might do. It’s true that I could live 10,000 years and still not accumulate .000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001% of the baseball knowledge that you possess, Good Sir, my obvious better in every way imaginable, but as a mouth-breathing consumer of your product, it’s a very dumb team you’ve put together. As in, they play dumb and look dumb while doing so. I doubt that’s your vision! But also, there’s no chance you’re going to turn things around in the next 17 months. It’s not a rebuild, as you suggest, but it’s more of the same that we’ve seen since 2020.

I’ll close with two much stronger points. In your recent KNBR hit, you talked up how much talent there is brewing in the farm system right now, which you hope to add to with the upcoming draft. This is an unassailable fact at the moment and you yourself are the evidence that the Giants have at some point in their San Francisco history been able to draft and develop All-Star talent. You might be the one who breaks the curse of the franchise’s overall track record on that front, however. In the San Francisco era, it really has happened so few times that the farm system has been as reliable as luck. You ought to be around to see those prospects develop and graduate to reap the full reward of your work. That usually doesn’t happen in three years!

You also owe it to yourself to stick around so you can master how to manage a bench and 40-man roster!

Your “we’re in the memory making business” line needn’t be repeated back to you mockingly because it was a great line; but right now, the memory would be that you made a mess and walked away from the business. Why not stick around and setup the Giants to be relevant again in the 2030s?

Golf influencer shares emotional video watching fiancé’s MLB debut from ‘work trip’

Rays pitcher Chase Solesky threw his first-ever MLB strike this week, and nobody was more excited to see it than his fiancée, golf influencer Averee Dovsek.

In a video the social media personality shared with her 36,000 Instagram followers on Tuesday, Dovsek could be seen getting emotional as she watched her future husband live out his dream while she was on a work trip in Maryland.

Solesky got into Tampa Bay’s game against the Orioles in the top of the sixth inning, and as broadcasters were going over his pitching resume, Dovsek, who was taking in the action on a TV inside a restaurant, jumped up and down repeatedly with a big smile on her face.

“POV,” she wrote in a caption on the footage. “You are on a work trip in Maryland but your fiancé makes his MLB debut.”

Averee Dovsek and Chase Solesky got engaged in March. Instagram/averee_dovsek

Solesky went three innings, recorded four strikeouts, gave up six hits, walked one and allowed two earned runs. He was awarded his first-career hold after the Rays ultimately locked things up, 16-6,

In the afterglow of the big game, Solesky made time to drop by Dovsek’s comment section to shout her out for all her support.

Chase Solesky went three innings in his MLB debut earlier this week. Getty Images

“I love you more than anything,” he wrote. “I can’t wait to give you the biggest squeeze in the world! I couldn’t do it without you! I cannot wait for you to be my wife!”

The milestone moment was a long time coming for Solesky, who had toiled in the minor leagues since 2019, when the White Sox took him in the 21st round of the MLB draft.

And for Dovsek — who got engaged to Solesky in March — it’s clearly an evening she’ll never forget.

Braves at Marlins game thread: May 21

MIAMI, FLORIDA - MAY 20: Ronald Acuña Jr. #13 of the Atlanta Braves reacts after advancing to third during the sixth inning against the Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on May 20, 2026 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Carmen Mandato/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Braves go for another series win. Worst they can do is a split in this four-game set.

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Ducks' Troy Terry needs hip surgery, might not be ready for start of next season

ANAHEIM, Calif. (AP) — Anaheim Ducks forward Troy Terry needs hip surgery that could endanger his availability at the start of next season.

Terry has a chronic hip impingement, the Ducks revealed Thursday in their postseason injury report. Anaheim's first playoff season since 2018 ended last week in the second round with a six-game loss to the Vegas Golden Knights.

The Ducks haven't finalized a date for Terry's hip surgery or a definite timeframe for his recovery.

Terry has been Anaheim's most consistent offensive player for the past half-decade, scoring at least 19 goals and 50 points each year. He scored 57 points last season before adding three goals and eight assists in 12 playoff games — the first postseason contests of his career.

The team also confirmed that goal-scoring forward Cutter Gauthier played with two fractured vertebrae in his back during the postseason. Gauthier was hurt in late March, but only missed five games before returning and eventually scoring 12 points in the postseason.

Captain Radko Gudas sprained his ankle in the Ducks' playoff opener and didn't return to the lineup, but he would have been available if Anaheim had advanced to another round. So would forward Ryan Poehling, who has been cleared after incurring a concussion from an illegal hit by Vegas defenseman Brayden McNabb, who was suspended for a game.

Defenseman Pavel Mintyukov sprained a ligament in his knee, but he will be ready for training camp.

___

AP NHL: https://apnews.com/NHL

Why Angels keep changing name — and why it could happen again

The Los Angeles Angels have been a chaotic mess lately. First, owner Arte Moreno was going to sell the team, then he wasn’t, then fans showed up shirtless and started demanding he sell it. Earlier this year, they had a rat infestation. Over the weekend, a Dodgers fan wrangled an opossum. Now, they might have to change their name … again. 

Let’s start at the beginning. 

The Los Angeles Angels might have another new name if Assembly Bill 2512 passes. MLB Photos via Getty Images

The “Angels” nickname was never random. It traces back more than a century to the old Los Angeles Angels of the Pacific Coast League. A powerhouse club that played near downtown LA from the early 1900s until the Dodgers arrived from Brooklyn in late 1957 and began playing here in 1958. 

The name itself is pretty straightforward. It’s the English translation of “Los Angeles,” which literally means “The Angels.” Coincidentally, the franchise has deeper historical roots to Southern California long before MLB and the Dodgers moved West. 

Did you know that when they played at Dodger Stadium from 1962 to 1965, the Angels were the ones to call it Chavez Ravine? A name that is still used to this day.

In 1961, famous cowboy actor and singer Gene Autry, who had been living in Los Angeles making movies since the 1930s, secured an MLB expansion franchise.

He wanted to keep the continuity from the PCL team, but Dodgers owner Walter O’Malley held the rights to the Angels’ name. He ultimately sold it to Autry for $350,000, and the Los Angeles Angels were reborn.

Then came all the rebrands. 

The team became the California Angels after moving to Anaheim in 1966 with the purpose of marketing itself statewide. The name remained until Disney bought the team in 1997 and changed the name to the Anaheim Angels after raising public funds to help renovate the stadium. 

When Moreno bought the team in 2005, he wanted to chase the lucrative Los Angeles media market. That’s when the most awkward name in sports was created, “The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim.” Thankfully, the name was shortened to its current iteration — the Los Angeles Angels — in 2016. 

Now, nearly two decades later, California lawmakers are trying to drag the franchise back toward Anaheim Angels again. If Assembly Bill 2512 passes, the Angels could once again be forced to go back to the Anaheim Angels, whether Moreno likes it or not. 

So, that’s the strange history behind the franchise that was born in Los Angeles, raised in Anaheim, marketed to all of California and forever caught in an identity crisis between Hollywood and Orange County.


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Report: Pirates promoting promising young first base/outfield prospect

BRADENTON, FLORIDA - MARCH 20, 2026: Esmerlyn Valdez #85 of the Pittsburgh Pirates runs to first base after being walked with the bases loaded during the third inning of a spring training Spring Breakout game against the Detroit Tigers at LECOM Park on March 20, 2026 in Bradenton, Florida. (Photo by Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images) | Diamond Images/Getty Images

The Pittsburgh Pirates are promoting one of the biggest power-hitting bats in the organization to the Major Leagues.

First baseman/outfielder Esmerlyn Valdez is expected to join the Pirates in Toronto on Friday before the Pirates begin a three-game series against the Blue Jays. BBWAA member Francys Romero was first to report the promotion.

Regarded as the 9th-best prospect in the system by MLB Pipeline, Valdez crushed Triple-A pitching.

In 46 games, Valdez hit .253 with 10 doubles and 10 home runs during his first season at the highest level of the minor leagues.

Valdez totaled 29 runs driven in and held an impressive 33 walks compared to 41 strikeouts. 

Valdez, 22, has combined to hit 58 home runs over the last three seasons, including 22 in Single-A Bradenton during the 2024 campaign and 26 between High-A Greensboro and Double-A Altoona last year.

Regarded by MLB Pipeline as owning a 60-grade power tool, Valdez signed as an international free agent during the 2020-21 signing period.

The right-handed batter rocketed through the minors over the last three seasons and adds another power threat to an offense that has hit 50 home runs after only 117 all of last season.

The Pirates demoted outfielder Billy Cook to Triple-A Indianapolis as a corresponding move, according to Jośe Negron of DK Pittsburgh Sports. 

The Pirates promoted No. 4 prospect, outfielder Jhostynxon Garcia at the start of the Cardinals series after Ryan O’Hearn injured his quadriceps.

Garcia recorded three hits in his first nine at-bats and his first-career RBI in Wednesday’s victory. 

Pittsburgh will send Bubba Chandler, Paul Skenes, and Bubba Chandler to the mound against the Blue Jays.

The Short Porch is wondering if Pete Crow-Armstrong should have faced a stiffer penalty for his altercation with a fan

The Crosstown Classic is not for the faint of heart. It doesn’t matter which team is winning more coming into the games, or which team has the better roster on the field. There is something about the North Side v. Southside that just inspires a whole other level of competition between the Cubs and White Sox, to say nothing of the fans. So it’s really not all that surprising that Cubs centerfielder Pete Crow-Armstrong found himself in the middle of an ill-advised interaction with a fan from the Southside after failing to make a very difficult catch during the series.

Al already wrote up the kerfuffle from a “right vs. wrong” standpoint. You should read the whole thing, and the comments. I’ll just say upfront I agree with Al that it was a teachable moment for a player who often wears his heart on his sleeve (and y’all know I have a soft spot for guys who wear their heart on their sleeves). But today’s short porch is devoted to a different question, specifically, what should MLB’s penalty for PCA have been in the aftermath of the altercation? MLB landed on a $5,000 fine for “comments made to a fan” after Sunday’s Crosstown Classic loss at Rate Field, but every baseball group chat and DM I’m in was much more torn. Half the fans of other teams thought he should have been suspended for at least a game. To be clear, I personally think MLB’s penalty was the correct result, but it did get me thinking about the threshold for suspending a player.

The video of the exchange is uncomfortable viewing and it seemed like an ill-advised engagement with a fan from my vantage point. The full picture matters here: a female White Sox fan began booing Crow-Armstrong and yelling “you suck” when he was just feet away after he missed a potential highlight-reel catch, and PCA responded with a profane and frankly crude verbal comeback that he acknowledged immediately was indefensible in terms of word choice. Crow-Armstrong apologized Monday for his language, saying he didn’t think “any of the women in my life would think I would say those kinds of words regularly” and adding that he was bothered by the idea of young kids seeing the exchange on social media. That’s a start, but honestly, it’s pretty clear he does use those words to at least some women who aren’t in his life, and that’s a double standard that is more than a little troubling.

Additionally, there’s the being a role model of it all. PCA is an electric player who has a lot of young fans. Two of my dear friends celebrated their son’s fourth birthday recently. They are huge Cubs fans and I may or may not have bought that kiddo his first Cubs jersey before he was born. He proudly wore a hyphenated last name No. 4 jersey to celebrate his big day. I admit I wondered what his parents thought of that interaction and MLB’s response. To PCA’s credit, he seems to understand and appreciate the weight of that responsibility, but I wonder if a $5,000 fine for someone who recently signed a six-year contract extension to be the face of the Cubs in center field through 2032.

In terms of the MLB history here, the suspension threshold in MLB player-fan altercations has historically been anchored to physical contact or escalating aggression. Anthony Rendon received a four-game suspension in 2023 after grabbing an Oakland Athletics fan by the shirt through the guardrail and taking a swipe at his cap. Dennis Santana was ultimately suspended three games last season after actually leaping up and taking a swing at a fan near the Pirates’ bullpen during a doubleheader in Detroit. PCA’s interaction with the White Sox fan is obviously in a different category than either of those instances. That said, Tim Anderson received a one-game suspension in 2022 for an obscene gesture towards a fan, which doesn’t seem all that far off from what happened with PCA.

So I ask you, BCB, should PCA have been suspended for his altercation on the South Side or was a fine with no suspension the right answer?

Where to watch Montreal Canadiens vs. Carolina Hurricanes Game 1 NHL playoffs: Live stream, start time, TV channel for Thursday, May 21

The Montreal Canadiens and Carolina Hurricanes open the Eastern Conference finals. Montreal advanced after defeating the Buffalo Sabres in seven games. The Hurricanes swept the Philadelphia Flyers in four games. The puck line is set at Carolina -1.5 with an over/under of 5.5 goals.

  • Date: Thursday, May 21

  • Time: 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT

  • Where: Lenovo Center, Raleigh, NC

  • TV Channels: TNT, HBO, Spor, CBC

  • Live Stream:ESPN+ | Follow on Yahoo Sports

  • Spread: Carolina Hurricanes -1.5

  • Moneyline: Carolina Hurricanes -202 (64.1%) / Montreal Canadiens +167 (35.9%)

  • Over/Under: 5.5

Cavaliers vs Knicks Props & NBA Playoffs Game 2 Best Bets

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Ever lose a bet and come away even more convinced you were right? It’s a risky mindset—but sometimes it holds up.

That’s the case here. The New York Knicks played far from their best in Game 1 and still walked away with an overtime win over the Cleveland Cavaliers. Those busted Tuesday tickets might just be setting the stage for Thursday cashes.

These Cavaliers vs. Knicks props and NBA picks are doubling down on a pair of Game 1 angles, with confidence that New York’s shooting bounces back in Game 2 on Thursday, May 21.

Best Cavaliers vs Knicks props for Game 2

PlayerPickbet365
Knicks Karl-Anthony TownsOver 1.5 3-pointers+125
Cavaliers James HardenOver 17.5 points-120
Knicks Jalen BrunsonOver 6.5 assists+110

Game 2 Prop #1: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 3-pointers

+125 at bet365

Karl-Anthony Towns hit just one 3-pointer in Game 1, yet this price has fallen to +125 now from +145 then. Why? Because he took five 3-pointers.

With the New York Knicks center, the question to consider in these moments is not how many 3-pointers he will make but how many 3-pointers he will take. He has made a career from beyond the arc, even if sometimes reluctant to chuck from deep.

Towns shot 36.8% from beyond the arc this season while taking 4.8 threes per 36 minutes. Through 11 postseason games, Towns has shot 44.1% from beyond the arc while taking just 3.8 threes per 36 minutes.

Simply enough, Towns hardly needed to play or play well in the seven games closing out the Hawks and the 76ers. He needs to play and play well against the Cleveland Cavaliers.

If Towns takes five 3-pointers again tonight, making at least two is far more likely than not.

Game 2 Prop #2: James Harden Over 17.5 points

-120 at bet365

The jokes the last two days have been fair. Is Donovan McNabb or Phillip Rivers the more apt NFL comparison to James Harden’s postseason career? Has a former MVP ever been described as a “journeyman” before?

Harden was Cleveland’s weak link in its fourth quarter collapse. He should be lampooned.

But he is also still James Harden. He cleared this prop in five of seven games against the Pistons, a better defense than the Knicks even if no one in New York would agree with that. For that matter, he cleared it in six of seven games against the Raptors.

Is James Harden a clutch player? No.

Has there been an overreaction to his Tuesday struggles? Very much so.

Much like Towns’ five 3-point attempts, the most notable Harden stat is that he took 16 shots in Game 1, going 1-for-8 from deep. No matter how poorly Harden plays, there is no reason to think he will shoot that poorly again, creating some value for us here.

Game 2 Prop #3: Jalen Brunson Over 6.5 assists

+110 at bet365

The Knicks really escaped on Tuesday, huh? Through three quarters, they shot 4-of-22 from deep, 18.2%. Not to get too far into the math here, but that is bad.

From the field, they shot 26-for-60, 43.3%. Again, not so good.

Then New York went 6-for-9 from deep in the fourth quarter and in overtime, part of going 16-for-28 from the field.

Jalen Brunson ended with six assists. Imagine if the Knicks had not been absolute garbage for three quarters and he then had to go nuclear in the fourth quarter.

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Wolves Player Suspended For Dirty Hit On Griffins' Amadeus Lombardi

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Not only did the Grand Rapids Griffins stave off elimination from the Calder Cup Playoffs thanks to their overtime victory over the Chicago Wolves on Tuesday evening, but they'll now face a shorthanded Wolves squad in Game 4 of the Central Division Finals. 

On Thursday, the AHL's Player Safety Committee today announced that Wolves defenseman Charles Alexis Legault has been suspended for Game 4 because of his dangerous hit from behind on Griffins forward Amadeus Lombardi. 

Immediately after the hit, Griffins forward Carter Mazur stepped in to defend his teammate, sparking a melee on the ice. 

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The Griffins eventually prevailed by a 4-3 score in overtime thanks to a highlight-worthy goal from forward Michael Brandsegg-Nygård. 

Lombardi was selected with the 113th pick by the Detroit Red Wings in the 2022 NHL Draft, and has registered three assists in seven AHL postseason games this spring after having scored 16 goals with 26 assists in 47 regular-season contests this season.

Game 4 between the Griffins and Wolves will be played at Allstate Arena in Rosemont, IL beginning at 8:00 p.m. ET on Thursday. 

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Where to watch Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New York Knicks Game 2 NBA playoffs: Live stream, start time, TV channel, odds for Thursday, May 21

The Cleveland Cavaliers will try to even their Eastern Conference finals series against the New York Knicks. The Knicks won the opener in overtime on Tuesday after rallying from a 22-point deficit in the fourth quarter — the second-largest fourth-quarter comeback in NBA playoff history. New York is 6.5-point favorites in Game 2.

  • Cleveland Cavaliers: 52-30 (#2 in Eastern Central)

  • New York Knicks: 53-29 (#2 in Eastern Atlantic)

  • Spread: New York Knicks -6.5

  • Moneyline: New York Knicks -238 (67.6%) / Cleveland Cavaliers +196 (32.4%)

  • Over/Under: 216.5

Game 1: Knicks 115, Cavaliers 104 (OT)
Game 2: Cleveland at New York (Thursday May 21, 8 p.m. ET, ESPN)
Game 3: New York at Cleveland (Saturday May 23, 8 p.m. ET, ABC)
Game 4: New York at Cleveland (Monday May 25, 8 p.m. ET, ESPN)
Game 5: Cleveland at New York (Wednesday May 27, 8 p.m. ET, ESPN)*
Game 6: New York at Cleveland (Friday May 29, 8 p.m. ET, ESPN)*
Game 7: Cleveland at New York (Sunday May 31, 8 p.m. ET, ESPN)*

*if necessary

Tarik Skubal sets record straight on ‘unprecedented’ injury rehab

Tarik Skubal pitches for the Detroit Tigers in a baseball game.
Skubal pitching at home against the Brewers in April.

Tigers fans were given hope that injured ace Tarik Skubal could be back as soon as next week. 

The reigning American League Cy Young winner threw a bullpen session on Thursday, the third of his rehab schedule, leading to speculation he could return from elbow surgery well ahead of schedule.

However, Skubal himself quickly debunked those theories.

If you’re not in those conversation, I wouldn’t trust anything you see,” he said, per The Athletic. “Now, I get it. I want to be back as fast as I can, too. What’s going on right now is kind of unprecedented. I don’t know in the history of the game if there’s been a surgery 15 days ago and I’m throwing a one-inning hypothetical start.

Tiger’s ace Tarik Skubal pitching in April. Getty Images

“So I get it. I want to be back as fast as possible. I also want to be healthy. It does me no good to come back fast, and then something happens, and I go back on the shelf again. But it is kind of day by day. It is how I feel and how I bounce back. Tomorrow, how I wake up, how I feel is going to be important.”  

The surgery — a non-invasive procedure to remove a loose body from his left elbow on May 6 — has a recovery time of around 2-3 months. Skubal seems to be way ahead of schedule, with the bullpen session jumpstarting hope for fans and pundits.

One possible reason for the quick recovery time was that Skubal underwent a new procedure called the “NanoNeedle Scope 2.0,” with Dr. Neal ElAttrache using a microscopic needle that would result in less scarring and inflammation. 

“This is really almost like receiving a shot,” Skubal’s agent, Scott Boras told the “Baseball Tonight” podcast. “We think that’s going to be a much shorter period (of rehabilitation).”

Skubal pitching at home against the Brewers in April. Getty Images

Skubal has pitched seven games this season with a 3-2 record and a 2.70 ERA. The Tigers would like to have an arm of his quality back as soon as possible.

The Tigers are struggling in the AL Central, sitting ten games behind .500. The start of the season has been a disaster for the playoff-hopeful squad.

There is no timetable for his return — at least nothing official.

“There are little hurdles to clear along the way when you come back from a procedure,” manager A.J. Hinch said Thursday. “As much as we described it as simple, it’s still a procedure.”

Austin Riley, Cole Young, more fantasy baseball hitters who could be in for a power surge

I like home runs. I don't think I'm alone there. They're helpful for my fantasy teams, but also fun to watch. So I thought it would be fun to dig into some hitters who should be hitting more home runs than they currently are. For that, I made a custom leaderboard.

I looked at some stats that often lead to home runs: hard-hit rate, barrel rate, pull rate, HR/FB rate, bat speed, launch angle, and pull air rate. Then I deleted any hitter who was clearly below average in each of the categories. I know this isn't an exact science because there are hitters who can hit home runs without elite barrel rates or hitters like James Wood who can mash home runs despite having the 9th-lowest pull rate among qualified hitters. Still, I was looking for hitters who were doing everything necessary to get home runs but still had a HR/FB rate that was below average.

I also created two separate leaderboards for hitters who had all the quality of contact metrics we wanted but didn't pull the ball enough or lift the ball enough, because that could give us even more hitters to look out for who could do a home run streak with a slight adjustment.

At the end, I think we had an intriguing list of hitters who could see some positive home run regression. Some of these guys are already on your team, some are on the waiver wire, and others are just producing average results for other teams. Maybe this gives you a push to go out and grab a hitter who gets hot in the summer heat and lifts your team up the standings.

Fantasy Baseball Hitter Targets

The league averages are a 39.6% hard-hit rate, 8.2% barrel rate, 10.8% HR/FB ratio, and 16.5% Pull Air rate.

NameTeamHardHit%Barrel%HRHR/FBPull Air%
Logan O'HoppeLAA0.4090910.09090910.03225822.7
Cole YoungSEA0.4076920.06923130.05454524.6
Gabriel MorenoARI0.4347830.11594220.06896624.6
Isaac CollinsKCR0.4333330.130.07317123.3
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC0.4603170.07936550.09090918.3
Josh BellMIN0.4274190.10483950.09090927.4
Yoán MoncadaLAA0.40.07692330.10344820
Nolan GormanSTL0.4807690.09615450.11111129.8
Chase DeLauterCLE0.4055940.0699370.11666719.6
Curtis MeadWSN0.4675320.09090940.12121220.8
Austin RileyATL0.4692310.170.12280718.5
Spencer TorkelsonDET0.432990.1443360.12529.9
Carter JensenKCR0.439560.09890160.13333324.2
Juan SotoNYM0.50.17346960.13333318.4
Casey SchmittSFG0.4655170.14655280.13559329.3
Coby MayoBAL0.4578310.08433750.13888931.3
Corbin CarrollARI0.4695650.1391370.1427
Brent RookerATH0.4675320.15584460.15789519.5

Some of these names should not surprise you. Saying that Juan Soto, Brent Rooker, Corbin Carroll, and Logan O'Hoppe are likely to hit more home runs makes sense because we know they are quality hitters with good power production, or, in O'Hoppe's case, a power-centric hitter who should have more than one home run at this stage in the season. Still, they qualified, so they get listed here.

Austin Riley - 3B, Atlanta Braves

I did draft this on Wednesday night, so it's nice to see Riley come through with a home run on Wednesday. We can say all we want about his struggles, but he has a 10% barrel rate, a nearly 47% hard-hir rate, and an above-average Pull Air%. His bat speed is still elite, and he's swinging and missing less than he did last season. I think his pull rate may be a bit too high at 47% (41.1% is the league average), and he's chasing more than he has since 2020, but I think the bigger issue is that he's being too passive in the zone. His zone swing rate is down 5%, and his swing rate in the heart of the zone is down 6%. To me, that screams that this is more of a mental issue than a physical one. I expect Riley to turn it on.

Cole Young - 2B, Seattle Mariners

Not a lot of people think about Cole Young as a power hitter, and I know his 7% barrel rate is below-average, but a lot of things in his batted ball profile tell me that more power is coming. He has a better-than-league-average hard-hit rate, he pulls and lifts the ball more than average, and has a nearly 25% Pull Air rate. That should get the most out of his average 71.7 mph bat speed. His 111.3 max exit velocity shows that he has the ability to drive the ball out of the yard, and his 5.4% HR/FB ratio tells us that positive regression is coming, even if he doesn't make any meaningful changes. I think a strong second half is coming for Young.

Isaac Collins - OF, Kansas City Royals

I know Collins is another player who might be odd to see on this list, but look at what we have right now: a 10% barrel rate, a 43% hard-hit rate, a 42% pull rate, a 45.6% fly ball rate, and a 23.3% Pull Air%. All of this is the profile of a player who is hitting the ball hard and getting it in the air to the pull side. He also has a 73.3 mph bat speed, which is above-average bat speed. He also doesn't chase out of the zone and has a 9.2% swinging strike rate. He simply needs to be a bit more aggressive. A 20% called strike rate is now great, and he's swinging at pitches in the heart of the zone just 63% of the time, down from 76% last year. I'm not sure why that's the case, but the batted ball profile looks really good.

Nolan Gorman - 2B/3B, St. Louis Cardinals

I feel like we do this every year with Gorman. We know he can hit for power, but he does have a 48% hard-hit rate, a 9.6% barrel rate, a 51% pull rate, and a nearly 30% Pull Air Rate. Yet, his HR/FB rate is basically league average. That profile with a 72.7 mph bat speed and 112 max exit velocity should lead to above-average home runs. Gorman has also flattened his swing this year and started swinging more often in the zone. That hasn't changed his contact profile much, but a hitter like Gorman who swings and misses a lot probably needs more bites at the apple, so I'm happy to see him being more aggressive in the zone. Could he be a .230 hitter with 25 home runs? I think that's feasible for him.

Curtis Mead - 1B/2B/3B, Washington Nationals

I just wish Mead got more at-bats. He has a 47% hard-hit rate, a 9% barrel rate, 21% Pull Air Rate, and a 72.8 mph bat speed. He looks to pull the ball often and gets it in the air 43% of the time. We haven't seen elite exit velocities from him so far, but he has just a 6.7% swinging strike rate and an 88.4% zone contact rate for his career. A player who can hit the ball with that kind of quality and also make consistent contact deserves more playing time to see if it can be for real.

Casey Schmitt - 1B/2B/3B, San Francisco Giants

Projections will tell you that Schmitt is not for sure, but I think he is. He has a 46.5% hard-hit rate, 14.6% barrel rate, 29.3% Pull Air rate, and 72.4 mph bat speed. All of which are above average. He looks to pull and lift the ball and has flattened his swing a bit this season, which has allowed him to square the ball up more often. He's always been an aggressive hitter and has a 90.5% zone contact rate with just a 10% swinging strike rate, so there's a good feel for the barrel here. I did notice that his swing rate in the heart of the zone is down by 9%, so I'm not sure what's up with that. Maybe it's all early in the count? Still, he has a 96% contact rate on pitches in the heart of the plate, so if he stops being so passive there, we could get even more production.

Coby Mayo - 1B/3B, Baltimore Orioles

It's a small sample size, but in the last 11 games, Mayo is hitting .265/.359/.471 with two home runs and six RBI. On the season, he has a 46% hard-hit rate, 8.4% barrel rate, and 31.3% Pull Air rate with a 116.5 mph max exit velocity that tops anybody on this list. His bat speed is elite; he's actually making contact in the zone 5% more often than last year, and his swinging strike rate is 12.4%, which is fine for somebody with his power. He's being more passive in the zone, which is not something I love to see, and I want to see more than a 66% swing rate at pitches in the heart of the strike zone. Maybe this was just about adjusting an approach that he's starting to do in recent weeks? Just keep an eye on his playing time with Jackson Holliday back.

Hitters Who Need to Hit More Fly Balls

A reminder that the league-average flyball rate is 38.6%

NameTeamHRHR/FBFB%
Roman AnthonyBOS10.050.263158
Edouard JulienCOL20.0909090.268293
Fernando Tatis Jr.SDP000.273438
Heliot RamosSFG40.1212120.277311
Bryan ReynoldsPIT40.1142860.286885
Yandy DíazTBR70.1590910.295302
Ketel MarteARI50.1162790.307143
Garrett MitchellMIL20.0952380.308824
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR30.063830.311258
Jac CaglianoneKCR50.1666670.315789

All of these hitters had good quality of contact, but hit far fewer fly balls than the league average, which has led to relatively poor home run production. You know that guys like Yandy Diaz and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. are going to be on here, but this has also hurt Roman Anthony, Fernando Tatis Jr., and Jac Caglianone this year. Cags has a well-above-average HR/FB rate, so he really needs to get the ball in the air more. If any of these players start to lift more consistently, it's something to pay attention to.

Hitters Who Need to Pull the Ball More

A reminder that the league-average pull rate is 41.1%

NameTeamHRHR/FBPull%
Owen CaissieMIA30.120.238806
Jackson ChourioMIL10.06250.282051
Bobby Witt Jr.KCR70.1129030.292208
Rafael DeversSFG50.1063830.32
Marcell OzunaPIT50.094340.343137
Amed RosarioNYY40.1481480.365079
Dominic CanzoneSEA40.1290320.368421
Ryan McMahonNYY30.0882350.375
Mark VientosNYM60.1363640.376147
Tyler SoderstromATH50.0862070.376923

These are hitters who have above-average contact quality (hard-hit, barrel rate, etc.) but are not pulling the ball enough. Now, this is not so simple because sometimes the quality of contact comes from the fact that they aren't looking to pull, but it also limits the power potential of players like Rafael Devers and Tyler Soderstrom. That being said, there are also guys like Pete Alonso, who technically qualified for this list but has more than enough power to hit the ball out without pulling it, so he has a better-than-average HR/FB rate. Still, I wanted to keep these players on the list, so you could see who might fall into some more power if they start to pull the ball a bit more.

Hitter Due for Home Run Regression

A reminder that the league-average HR/FB rate is 38.6%

NameTeamHRHR/FB
Ben RiceNYY160.375
Munetaka MurakamiCHW170.361702
Luke RaleySEA100.357143
Kyle SchwarberPHI200.333333
Dalton RushingLAD70.318182
Aaron JudgeNYY160.313725
Oneil CruzPIT100.27027
James WoodWSN120.26087
Nathaniel LoweCIN60.26087
Drake BaldwinATL130.26
Max MuncyLAD120.255319
Paul GoldschmidtNYY50.25
Jordan WalkerSTL130.245283
Colson MontgomeryCHW130.240741

Lastly, I wanted to cover some hitters whose HR/FB ratio is unsustainably high. I know some hitters will outperform the league average HR/FB ratio, but what these guys are doing right now is so far above the average that it's bound to come down, except for maybe Aaron Judge, who is the exception to most power rules and has a career 31.7% HR/FB ratio. Even Kyle Schwarber has a career 25.8% HR/FB, so he's vastly outproducing that right now. That means some of these guys could be interesting "sell high" candidates if you can get a large return for them; although, you obviously should not treat this as a list of players you MUST sell. Some of them will continue to outperform the league in HR/FB, just not at this rate.

'The Crowd In Buffalo Is Incredible': Jack Hughes Praise Sabres Fans

Despite losing in the second round of the playoffs to the Montreal Canadiens, the Buffalo Sabres had themselves a very special 2025-26 season. They not only made the playoffs for the first time since 2011, but also finished the regular season at the top of the Atlantic Division standings and defeated the Boston Bruins in the first round. 

With how this season went for the Sabres, there is no question that Sabres fans' passion for the club skyrocketed. Due to this, they have landed some praise from New Jersey Devils star Jack Hughes. 

During a recent appearance on the Pat McAfee Show, Hughes gave Sabres fans a shout-out.

"The first thing I take from that whole series, that crowd in Buffalo is incredible," Hughes said. "I think that place is off the hook. They were down 2-0 early (in Game 7), and then when they got that first one, and then when Dahlin scored, the roof kind of popped off." 

It is hard to disagree with Hughes here, as there is no question that the energy in the Sabres' building was incredibly high throughout the post-season. It is understandable that it was with how exciting of a year it was for the Sabres.

Now, the Sabres will be looking to build off their excellent season by taking another step forward in 2026-27. 

Cavaliers vs Knicks Same-Game Parlay for Tonight's NBA Playoffs Game 2

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Whether you’re riding high off the New York Knicks’ crazy comeback or wallowing in disbelief at the Cleveland Cavaliers’ collapse, we now know that anything can happen in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference finals.

My Cavaliers vs. Knicks same-game parlay isn’t discounting Cleveland – even if everyone else is – and looks up to big man Jarrett Allen to anchor the Cavs' attack. I’m also going Under on a staple of New York’s postseason success, as adjustments may limit his minutes tonight.

Here are my best NBA picks and SGP predictions for May 21.

Our best Cavaliers vs Knicks SGP for Game 2

SGP leg #1: Cavaliers +6.5

The Cleveland Cavaliers were playing fantastic basketball coming into the Eastern Conference finals, having won four of their last five while eliminating the top-seeded Pistons. And the Cavs kept that up for about 36 minutes in Game 1, before the wheels came off in the fourth quarter. Cleveland knows it can hang with the New York Knicks and is mentally tough after a loss, going 27-9 SU when coming off a defeat this season. The Cavs are also 5-2 ATS as an underdog coming off a loss.

SGP leg #2: Jarrett Allen Over 20.5 points + rebounds

Considering how much trouble New York had with Joel Embiid inside in Round 2, Cleveland should have leaned into big man Jarrett Allen more in Game 1. He didn’t have a bad game, but seemed forgotten at times. He’ll often get matched with smaller forwards, and projections for Game 2 call for 13+ points and as many as 10+ rebounds from the 7-footer. He grabbed seven boards in Game 1 – six on the offensive glass – and was in position for 17.0 rebounding chances.

SGP leg #3: Josh Hart Under 12.5 points

Josh Hart’s defense is a staple of this New York run, but his lack of offensive pop is being exposed. Cleveland is choosing to guard Hart with 7-footer Jarrett Allen and begging Hart to shoot from outside. His minutes took a hit in Game 1 with Landry Shamet offering a better two-way return, and his Game 2 forecasts all come in below his 12.5-point scoring total.


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