Who Gets Bumped? – Projecting the Jazz Rotation with an Incoming Rookie

With all the excitement after the NBA Draft Lottery, and leading up to the NBA Draft, it’s very easy to forget that there is a very fine line we must walk when it comes to our roster. After the season the Jazz just had, I know that it’s hard to imagine what a fully healthy, functional, and lethal basketball team looks like but we do have some things to consider.

With the #2 pick in this year’s draft there are HUGE implications for the upcoming season and the franchise’s future. With that incoming rookie, there will be some shifts in the rotation that we must consider. There will be players that logged a lot of minutes for the Jazzmen last year that will not get the same kind of burn this year; it’s unfortunate, but eggs must be broken to make a championship omelet.

Even with us being so close to the NBA Draft, there hasn’t been any confirmation yet as to who the Washington Wizards will take #1 overall. With that in mind I think that, realistically, it will come down to the Jazz selecting BYU forward AJ Dybantsa or Kansas guard Darryn Peterson. While it may seem inconsequential, there are very different outcomes for each selection, and what it means for our role players that we came to know and love during this past season.

Option 1: Darryn Peterson

I think that this would be the best case scenario for everyone involved as it pertains to the rotation. My unconditional and irrational love for Isaiah Collier aside, Keyonte George is the point guard of the future for the Jazz and that means that we need a starting shooting guard. That Darryn Peterson guy? Pretty good, in my opinion.

He had an up-and-down season at Kansas marred with “injuries” or at the very least injury prevention measures, but with the report that Peterson and his team have resolved the cramping issues I don’t have any other option than to believe him. I don’t have any other choice to believe the he’s going to be healthy coming into the year, maintain that health throughout the entire 2026-2027 season, and end up on an All-Rookie team.

The most noticeable shift that would happen in the rotation would be Ace Bailey moving back to the bench, which causes a domino effect of Cody Williams, Brice Sensabaugh, and Elijah Harkless getting less minutes (assuming they all come back or don’t get traded). There were times that Williams, Sensabaugh, and Harkless were remarkable during the past season, but without the offensive upside that Peterson brings, it’s hard for me to argue that they get the same amount of (or more) minutes in good faith. Bailey is a bit of a different story.

Bailey really started to find his footing in the league during the last 20 games of the season. He averaged nearly 19 points, 5 rebounds, 2 assists, and 2 stocks (blocks + steals) a night, while shooting 36% from deep on a high volume of shots. He showed great consistency in that stretch as well; he scored in double figures in 19 of the 20 games, including three 30 point outings. In the final quarter of the season it seemed like Bailey was starting to figure the NBA game out. His defensive blunders still drove me up a wall, but his offensive feel and consistency was something to be admired. I would hate the relegate him to the bench after that kind of turnaround, but I don’t see another avenue. When compared to each other, it seems like Peterson is the more NBA level scorer, which would mean that Bailey would have to head back to the bench. He could be a great 6th man for us, though.

There is a small chance (and I mean microscopic) that we could trade Lauri Markkanen to the highest bidder, which would allow Bailey to play the small forward position, but if that trade were to happen I can’t image that it would be prior to the trade deadline. Without that certainty, I can’t imagine a world where both Bailey and Peterson get 30+ minutes a night. I think a more likely path would be for Peterson to get around 28 minutes a game, Bailey would get roughly 24 minutes a game, and Williams, Sensabaugh, and Harkless get minutes in the teens if not the single digits. As someone who has written a glowing article about Elijah Harkless it’ll be disappointing to see him not get any minutes (again, assuming he’s brought back) but I can’t say that it would be the wrong decision.

Option 2: AJ Dybantsa

I said before that it hasn’t been made clear what the Wizards will do with the No. 1 pick in this year’s draft, so in the rare chance the he isn’t selected by Washington, it would make sense for the Jazz to select the BYU product. The story writes itself, and while he isn’t a “home town kid,” it would be nice to see him continue his basketball career in Utah.

His selection by the Jazz is a tad more complicated than a Peterson selection. Dybantsa can play multiple positions, but the positions that he plays the majority of the time are… a bit full at the moment. Markkanen is slated to be our starting small forward, recently acquired Jaren Jackson Jr. is slated to be our starting power forward, and while we didn’t see Dybantsa play a ton of minutes at the center spot, that position is also locked up assuming that we can re-sign Walker Kessler.

Could he play the shooting guard role and have the rest of the rotation work out like we discussed with Peterson? Sure, I guess? He isn’t exactly a natural fit, though. Standing at 6’9”, he isn’t exactly shooting guard shaped. He also, to this point in his career, doesn’t space the floor incredibly well as he shot just 33% from three last year at BYU. If anything he would be like a DeMar DeRozan shooting guard, and unless it’s suddenly the early 2010’s again, I just don’t see that leading to winning basketball.

It also wouldn’t make any sense to have Dybantsa be selected as the No. 2 pick and be put on the bench behind Markkanen or Jackson Jr. I also don’t think that it would make sense to put either of them on the bench in favor of Dybantsa. If we were to select Dybantsa it would more than likely cause a series of trades, namely a Lauri Markkanen trade. He’s been in the rumor mill recently, and he’s been connected to the Detroit Pistons. Although the Pistons have future draft capital to trade, they are in the business of winning which would make their picks mostly useless, and they don’t own the rights to any juicy picks in the future. The trade would most likely consist of a sign-and-trade for Tobias Harris plus salary filler, and multiple first round picks. To be honest, I wouldn’t hate it. It opens up the space for Dybantsa to play immediately, it doesn’t relegate Ace Bailey to the bench, it would keep the bench piece’s minutes at a manageable level, but (respectfully) the drop-off from Lauri Markkanen to Tobias Harris is pretty steep for a team that’s trying to make their way back to the playoffs.

The Jazz have been known to slow-roll their players before; Bailey came off the bench for the first 10 games or so last year, and had the Jazz had anything close to a healthy season, maybe that first start for him would have come in February instead of November. I think that doing that with Dybantsa would be very complicated, but I can’t deny how excited I would be to see a bench unit led by him. If he were to be a bench player this upcoming year, we could very well get a repeat of 2005 when Ben Gordon won the 6th Man of the Year award while being a rookie. Is it likely? No. Is it complicated? Yes. Am I glad that I’m not the one making these decisions? Yes, but I wouldn’t mind the paycheck.


The postseason is wrapping up quickly which means that the offseason fun is upon us. We’ve got a lot of great stuff in the works here at SLC Dunk so be on the lookout for that! Who do you think we should draft? Who do you have winning the NBA Finals and how long do you think it’ll be until we hoist the trophy? Sound off in the comments!

Be kind. Tell somebody you love them.

Diamondbacks vs Mariners Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Seattle Mariners hope to extend a five-game winning streak by picking up a sweep over the Arizona Diamondbacks this afternoon.

Bryce Miller has been impressive since returning from injury, and my Diamondbacks vs. Mariners predictions explain his slider will neutralize the visitors while Merrill Kelly has a rough day.  

Here are my MLB picks for May 31.

Who will win Diamondbacks vs Mariners today: Mariners -1.5 (+155)

After a brutal start to the season, Merrill Kelly’s posted four consecutive quality starts with a .237 wOBA — but I’m not convinced.

I’m not buying it when a career ground-ball pitcher allowed fly balls (49.4%) and hard hits (41.4%) at the rate he did in those starts — especially not while posting a 0.60 GB/FB ratio

The Seattle Mariners rank sixth in HR/FB rate (14.6%) over the past two weeks with a 0.88 GB/FB ratio. 

Kelly ranks in the bottom percentile in both barrel rate and xERA. I’m backing the Mariners to punish him and cover up to +130.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Kelly’s fastball (7.9%) and cutter (11.1%) putaway rates have plummeted from last season, while Seattle’s 45.3% FB% against those pitches is the league’s seventh-highest this month. 

Diamondbacks vs Mariners Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (-114)

While I’m expecting the Mariners to win easily, I am taking the Under to -120.

Bryce Miller has added 2 to 3 mph onto all of his pitches and has tripled his slider usage from a season ago. That breaking ball is generating a 43.3% whiff rate thanks to an additional 2.6 inches of induced vertical break. 

That is a devastating equalizer against the Arizona Diamondbacks, who have a league-leading 48.2% pull rate over the last two weeks.

Seattle’s pen has been outstanding this month, ranking fourth in xFIP (3.56), sixth in K% (24.4%), and sixth in wOBA (.290).

Jason Ence's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 9-12, -3.94 units
  • Over/Under bets: 13-8, +4.28 units

Diamondbacks vs Mariners odds

  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks +133 | Mariners -138
  • Run line: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-156) | Mariners -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+100) | Under 7.5 (-104)

Diamondbacks vs Mariners trend

The Seattle Mariners have covered the run line in four of their last five games (+4.80 Units / 96% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Diamondbacks vs. Mariners.

How to watch Diamondbacks vs Mariners and game info

LocationT-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
DateSunday, May 31, 2026
First pitch4:10 p.m. ET
TVDBacks.TV, Mariners.TV
Diamondbacks starting pitcherMerrill Kelly
(5-3, 5.25 ERA)
Mariners starting pitcherBryce Miller
(1-0, 2.25 ERA)

Diamondbacks vs Mariners latest injuries

Diamondbacks vs Mariners weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

MLB Player Props & Best Bets for Today, May 31

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The New York Yankees and Los Angeles Dodgers both saw their win streaks snapped in dramatic finishes last night, and they’re among the likeliest bounce-back candidates on today’s loaded slate.

That leaves the Seattle Mariners with the longest current winning run in the majors, and my MLB player props target all three ballclubs, including wagers on a lights-out effort from Yoshinobu Yamamoto and more fireworks from Randy Arozarena.

Let’s get into my favorite MLB picks for May 31.

Best MLB player props today

Player PickOdds
Dodgers Yoshinobu YamamotoOver 6.5 strikeouts+116
Yankees Ben RiceOver 1.5 total bases-105
Mariners Randy ArozarenaOver 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs-105

Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 6.5 strikeouts (+116)

The Los Angeles Dodgers lead the majors in ERA and WHIP through the first third of the season — and the scariest part is that Yoshinobu Yamamoto is still ramping up to his very best stuff. His 0.98 WHIP ranks eighth in the league, and I'm buying into the consistency of his strikeout tallies.

Yamamoto has racked up 7+ Ks in five of his past seven outings, and his five-pitch arsenal (and 29% whiff rate) will keep the Philadelphia Phillies off balance today. He keeps his walks low — just 13 this year — and that's allowed him to pitch past the sixth inning in each of his last three starts.

It's also worth noting that the Phillies have scored three runs or fewer in six of their past eight games.

  • Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NBCS-Philadelphia, SportsNet-Los Angeles

Ben Rice Over 1.5 total bases (-105)

Put simply, Ben Rice is seeing pitches like soccer balls this week — and he's getting full value for his swings at the top of the New York Yankees lineup. Rice enters this afternoon's clash with the Athletics on a 10-for-17 tear across his last four games, including a homer, a triple, and three doubles.

He ranks second in the majors with a 1.047 OPS, and he's a standout hitter in just about every statistical category, from his .566 xSLG to his 17.7% barrel rate. 

Equally effective against righties and lefties this year, look for Rice to feast against A's starter Jacob Lopez, who drags in a 5.73 ERA and 1.77 WHIP, and I'll take these plus-money odds for another busy day on the bases.

  • Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: YES, NBCS-California

Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (-105)

After a couple of down years, Randy Arozarena looks back to his best at the plate this season for the Seattle Mariners, and his .292 batting average speaks for itself.

Watch for Arozarena to put an exclamation point on an impressive week here by cashing this Over. He's piled up eight hits across his past six games, cashing this combo prop in three of those outings, and I'm encouraged by his 4-for-8 mark against Arizona Diamondbacks starter Merrill Kelly.

Arozarena's savvy baserunning and his respectable 9.3% walk rate have contributed to 17 runs this month, and the RBI potential is off the charts with the in-form Mariners scoring a combined 40 runs in their last six contests.

  • Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: DBacks.TV, Mariners.TV

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Spurs invoiced the Thunder for greatness in Game 7; OKC couldn’t pay.

SAN ANTONIO, TX -MAY 28: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 of the Oklahoma City Thunder drives against Victor Wembanyama #1 of the San Antonio Spurs in the second half of Game Six of the NBA Western Conference Finals at Frost Bank Center on May 28, 2026 in San Antonio, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Ronald Cortes/Getty Images) | Getty Images

There is a particular kind of silence that settles in when the thing you thought was yours just walks out the door. Oklahoma City Thunder fans heard it Saturday night at the Paycom Center. The Spurs celebrated in their building, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had to stand at a podium and explain to the world why defending a championship is the hardest thing in professional basketball.

Welcome to the lesson, fellas. ICARUS FLEW TO TO CLOSE TOO THE SUN.

The Thunder spent this entire season trying to look like the next Warriors. Young core, MVP, homecourt terror, regular season dominance, the whole beautiful machine humming on all cylinders. Saturday night, San Antonio reminded them that the Warriors comparison does not start with the champagne. It starts when somebody brilliant spends all summer trying to destroy you. And then actually does it.

The box score tells the story plainly enough. Shai dropped 35 on 12-of-21 shooting. Your MVP doing MVP things when the lights are brightest, and they still lost by eight. I know the majority of NBA fans hate his foul baiting tactics, but Shai was the only OKC player I saw looking trustworthy with the ball in his hands last night. Is that a Shai problem? That is a roster problem, an injury problem, and most honestly, a “this is just hard” problem that no amount of regular season dominance prepares you for.

The Spurs showed up with the answer sheet.

Now look. I hear the injury argument. Jalen Williams played 33 games this season. Thirty-three. The man was essentially a rumor for most of the year, making cameos like a feature artist who couldn’t clear his schedule. Ajay Mitchell, gone. Injuries are real.

But when the Warriors lost Andrew Bogut in 2016, Steph Curry was on one knee, and Andre Iguodala had no back strength left, nobody cared. When they lost Klay Thompson and Kevin Durant and DeMarcus Cousins in 2019, the basketball world offered exactly zero sympathy. Injuries are not an asterisk when you’re chasing dynasty status. Injuries are the qualifying exam.

This is the part nobody warns you about when you win your first ring. The league does not reset. It recalibrates. Every front office opens a new document the morning after you hoist that trophy, and at the top it says one thing: how do we beat them. San Antonio built the young law firm of “Fox, Castle, & Harper” into a ballhandler gauntlet specifically because you need guards who won’t flinch when OKC’s defense is trying to suffocate everything you love. The Spurs did their homework all summer. They showed up Saturday with receipts.

And this is where I need the Thunder, and honestly anybody watching, to really hear something. LET ME TELL YA SOMETHIN’ BROTHER!!

Greatness is not an affectation. It is not something you wear as an accessory before you go to the club. You cannot put it in a TikTok and dance it up. Greatness is not even the destination at all; rather it’s the beginning of the work that actually costs you everything. The Warriors learned that over eight years and four championships. The Thunder just got the invoice on year two.

There is something genuinely compelling about watching two young, brilliant franchises carve each other up over seven games. Victor Wembanyama and SGA are going to sharpen each other into legends the same way Curry and LeBron made each other better by simply existing in the same era. That Western Conference rivalry is going to produce basketball that makes people put their phones face down on the table for years, and that is rare.

But right now, in this moment, the Thunder have to sit with a truth that hits different when you are the one holding the empty trophy case. The 24-1 start and the MVP talk does not protect you. Nothing protects you from the moment anothr team catches up to what you built, because they were always coming.

The Spurs are going to the Finals. The Thunder are going to the drawing board. They may have flown close to the sun and found out a wings melting tragedy, but the important thing is that they try to fly again. And I believe they will.

That is the part of dynasty building nobody puts on the parade shirt.

It would be nice if this was the aging curve’s fault

May 23, 2026; San Francisco, California, USA; San Francisco Giants third baseman Matt Chapman (left) and acting third base coach Ron Wotus (right) talk during the fifth inning against the Chicago White Sox at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-Imagn Images | Darren Yamashita-Imagn Images

Matt Chapman is having his worst start to a season ever at the plate. Through 57 games and 239 plate appearances, he’s slashing .234/.314/.322 with a 9.6% walk rate and 22.6% strikeout rate that comes to a wRC+ of 85, or 15% worse than the league average. He turned 33 on April 28th, so that must be it, right? He is on the wrong side of 30 and now we’ve got a front row seat to what appears to be a sudden and steep decline, a situation that befalls every player. But I’m writing this post to tell you he’s not hitting poorly because of his age.

The agonized cries of the ballknowers who flood social media with Giants chatter have been demanding that Buster Posey trade him since, like, April 1st, and while his plate appearances this season have either been disappointing or depressing — thus giving oxygen to the caterwauling — there’s not an analytical case to be made that he’s cooked, washed, or otherwise not a major leaguer. Yes, his Statcast page has more blue in it than a therapist’s waiting room, but the red streaks are really interesting markers pointing towards a vein of success that has yet to be mined in 2026.

That’s still a Gold Glove-caliber defender. He’s still got my favorite skill of his: fantastic sprint speed for a third baseman. Does the fact that his defense hasn’t degraded at all suggest that the career averages for his bat are still in there? Yes, absolutely. How could it mean otherwise? The physical skills are still present, and it’s not a fantasy, it’s being measured by lasers during game action.

To put that in some context, let’s look at Nolan Arenado. From age 22-31, he was probably the best third baseman in the National League on both sides of the ball. He was 21% better than the league average for 10 seasons and amassed 44.8 wins above average (per FanGraphs). His defense alone was +108.8 Defensive Runs Above Average. But he fell off beginning with his age 32 season (107 wRC+) and went down again the following season (103) before bottoming out last season (84). He’s revived himself in his age-35 season with Arizona (130), but let’s just look at that break between his last great season before this year (149 wRC+ at age-31) and the year where he fell off (age-32: 107 wRC+). In that case, he lost value on defense along with the bat.

I know defense isn’t a convincing enough data point when trying to prove that Matt Chapman hasn’t been finished off by the aging curve, but just keep that in mind as you consider the other data point: his bat speed. Look at how his 75.8 mph average compares to the league:

The defense, foot speed, and bat speed don’t indicate a body in the process of betraying the mind. His chase rate has gotten worse and his walk rate has gone down — but that’s the case for most of the Giants. Still not evidence that age has buried his bat for good.

Then there’s this: over his last 13 games (55 PA), he’s 14-for-48 with 6 doubles, 7 walks, and 8 strikeouts, good enough for a line of .292/.382/.417 (.798 OPS). No, the power isn’t back, but that doesn’t mean it’s gone, necessarily. The Giants have lost all their power this season, and it could be for many reasons. But before I speculate on that, I also want to look at Chapman’s season.

Games 1-14 (59 PA): .315/.373/.463 (.863 OPS)
Games 15-28 (59 PA): .250/.339/.288 (.627 OPS)
Games 29-42 (58 PA): .115/.207/.173 (.380 OPS)
Games 43-57 (63 PA): .250/.333/.357 (.690 OPS)

So, I cherrypicked a solid-looking span of games to get a sexier split, but overall, you can see how he’s been micro-streaking all season long. The absence of power is concerning, but this is where I think the non-age factors come into play; and, frankly, I think the implications are less preferable to Chapman simply aging out. Do the Giants have a good hitting plan? Do they scout well? Does the coaching staff have the trust of the players? Are they great support for the players? It would be hard to be worse than Bob Melvin’s staff, but at the end of the day, the Giants’ record speaks for itself, and if Hector Borg and Patrick Bailey can be scapegoated, it stands to reason that everyone is fair game. But from an “under the hood” standpoint, what’s afflicting Chapman has afflicted most Giants for most of the season and maybe confidence in his manager or the front office is an extra 2% that’s making this power slump drag on.

But maybe that’s why so many people out there want Chapman to be traded — let him go back to his career averages with some other team and no longer be the Giants’ problem. The trouble is, once you start liquidating players who can’t be helped by the current staff, you’ll probably run out of players very quickly. Matt Chapman was supposed to be a cornerstone player for the franchise in what was supposed to be a competitive window. Another year or two of Matt Chapman being MATT CHAPMAN wasn’t so outlandish a thought before the season and it isn’t one now and so people shouldn’t be so quick to abandon him.

Unless the Giants can get some really good prospects in return for him.

Yankees Birthday of the Day: Kenny Lofton

Kenny Lofton #12 of the New York Yankees is safe at home plate. The New York Yankees defeat the Tampa Bay Devil Rays 12-1 at the Tokyo Dome in Tokyo, Japan. (Photo by Tom Hauck/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Back in the days of Backyard Baseball 2001, Kenny Lofton was unstoppable. With his immense speed, pretty much every ball in play turned into a single, every single turned into a triple, and every ball hit vaguely in his general direction was caught. And so, when the Yankees, looking for another option in center field besides the aging Bernie Williams, signed Lofton to a two-year, $6.2 million contract, I had high hopes for the center fielder.

Needless to say, between injuries and underperformance, Lofton didn’t meet those lofty expectations, and his Yankees career wound up being little more than a footnote in what became, by the end, a journeyman-esque career.

Kenneth Lofton
Born: May 31, 1967 (East Chicago, IN)
Yankees Tenure: 2004

Raised in East Chicago, Indiana, by his grandmother, Lofton was a star basketball player in his youth, who also pitched and played center field on his school’s baseball team. He received a basketball scholarship from the University of Arizona, where, as the backup point guard to five-time NBA champion player and four-time NBA champion coach Steve Kerr, he averaged 4.8 points and 2.6 assists per game, and set the school record for steals. In fact, he is just one of two players to play in both the NCAA Final Four (1988) and the World Series (1995, 2002) — alongside, coincidentally, fellow East Chicago Washington High School alumnus Tim Stoddard.

Despite not being recruited to play college baseball, Lofton tried out, and made, the Arizona team in his junior year. More surprisingly, despite hardly playing — he appeared in just five games and had one official plate appearance — he was taken in the 17th round of 1988 draft by the Astros, who recognized the value of his speed and agility. Although his playing time was limited at first, as he remained at Arizona through 1989 in order to finish his degree and play out his final year of eligibility, Lofton shot through the Astros system, making his Major League debut on September 14, 1991.

Lofton was traded for the first time that winter, as Houston already had a center fielder in Steve Finley. He would go on to spend the next five years in Cleveland, where he lit up the league with his speed. His numbers themselves were impressive enough — a 316/.382/.437 slash line with 325 stolen bases (an average of 65 per year!), along with Gold Glove defense. But where Lofton really made his mark was the pressure he put on defenses, with his ability to punish even the slightest mistakes — such as here, where he scored from second on a passed ball during Game 6 of the 1995 ALCS, helping to send Cleveland to the World Series for the first time in 40 years.

Ahead of the 1997 season, Lofton was traded for the second time in his career, this time to the team that beat Cleveland in ’95, the Braves, in exchange for fellow acclaimed center fielder Marquis Grissom. GM John Hart feared to lose Lofton for nothing as a free agent, but after one year in Atlanta, he returned to Cleveland on a three-year, $24 million deal (the defending AL champs subsequently dealt Grissom to Milwaukee). While Lofton’s second stint in Cleveland wasn’t quite as dominant as his early career, he remained an immensely valuable player, earning two more All-Star nods.

Starting in 2002, Lofton entered the journeyman phase of his career. He signed a one-year deal with the White Sox, believing them to be a team on the rise and Cleveland a team on the decline, but was then sent to the Giants at the Trade Deadline. He had a good run in San Francisco and got the walk-off hit in NLCS Game 5 against the Cardinals to send Barry Bonds and company to the 2002 World Series, which they lost in a seven-game heartbreaker to the Angels. Lofton then signed with the Pittsburgh Pirates for the 2003 season, and was traded to the Cubs at the deadline, reuniting with his manager in San Francisco, Dusty Baker, before experiencing more playoff disappointment.

That winter, the Yankees signed Lofton to a two-year deal, pencilling him in as their Opening Day center fielder and potential successor to Bernie Williams in center field. A hamstring injury caused him to miss time early in the season, and he never quite got going after that. Splitting the center-field job with Williams—a timeshare that neither player felt particularly comfortable in—Lofton played just 83 games, posting a .275/.346/.395 slash line while stealing a career-low seven bases. His one highlight that year came, rather poetically, against Cleveland, as he recorded his 2,000th career hit.

He made just four plate appearances in the ALDS, then went 3-for-10 in the ALCS that we don’t like to talk about here at Pinstripe Alley.

After the season, the Yankees traded Lofton to the Phillies for reliever Félix Rodríguez. In theory, that closed the door on his Yankees story. In truth, though, we almost had a coda. When CC Sabathia, who had been teammates with Lofton in Cleveland, was a free agent in the winter of 2008-09, Lofton reportedly tried to dissuade him from coming to New York, saying only bad things about his time in the organization. (For what it’s worth, getting the clubhouse back in harmony was one of the goals that Brian Cashman outlined for CC in his pitch.)

As a member of the Phillies, Lofton had a bit of a bounceback year, posting a .335/.392/.420 slash line. That winter, he signed with the Dodgers, and the following year, he inked a deal with the Rangers to set the record for most teams played for by a position player. At the Trade Deadline, he was dealt one last time, returning him to Cleveland for his third stint, where he helped lead Cleveland past the Yankees in the infamous “midges” series, before blowing a 3-1 lead to the Red Sox in the ALCS — a fitting cap to Lofton’s inability to get a World Series ring throughout his career.

Lofton wanted to play in 2008 and 2009, but went unsigned both seasons, bringing his 17-year career to an end. He was named to Cleveland’s Hall of Fame in 2010, then fell off the National Baseball Hall of Fame ballot after just one season — a result that to this day has people using Lofton as evidence for the flaws in the HOF voting process, as he debuted on a crowded ballot with 10 eventual Cooperstown honorees, plus the controversial-but-elite Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens. BBWAA writers were limited to 10 names on each ballot, and Lofton fell by the wayside without earning the minimum five percent to remain under consideration.

Following his baseball career, Lofton started a television production company named FilmPool, Inc., through whom he has found himself in hot water. Four years ago, he was sued by a former employee for sending sexually explicit images to female employees and for firing an employee in retaliation for reporting the aforementioned images. As of now, the results of the case do not appear to be public.


See more of the “Yankees Birthday of the Day” series here.

Former Warriors forward celebrates another birthday with a Game 7 win

Spurs Victor Wembanyama celebrates with the Western Conference Finals MVP trophy. Harrison Barnes cheers him on in the background.
OKLAHOMA CITY, OK - MAY 30: Victor Wembanyama #1 of the San Antonio Spurs is awarded the Earvin "Magic" Johnson Trophy for Western Conference Finals Most Valuable Player after the game against the Oklahoma City Thunder during Game Seven of the NBA Western Conference Finals on May 30, 2026 at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Jesse D. Garrabrant/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

The San Antonio Spurs went on the road to defeat the Oklahoma City Thunder 111-103 in Game 7 of the Western Conference Finals on Saturday, upsetting the reigning champions in route to the NBA Finals. It was the 10th anniversary of the Golden State Warriors own Game 7 Western Conference Finals victory over the Thunder. The Dubs had comeback from 3-1 in the series while the Spurs completed a 3-2 comeback of their own. And there was one other connection between those Dubs and this year’s Spurs: Harrison Barnes whose birthday happens to be May 30th. So Barnes’ 24th and 34th birthdays were capped off by some of the most exciting Game 7 victories in recent NBA history.

It’s a testament to Barnes’ longevity that he played comparable roles on two Finals teams a decade apart. While Barnes only played three minutes yesterday, he was a mainstay in the Spurs starting lineup for the majority of the regular season, averaging 9.9 points on 45.6%/38.8%/82.9% shooting in 25.8 minutes per game across 77 contests (52 starts).

The Spurs hope to avoid the 2016 Warriors’ fate in the Finals. San Antonio is heavy favorites heading into the series with the New York Knicks, like the Dubs were against the Cavaliers in 2016 before losing in seven games. Barnes notoriously lost his three-point shot in the Finals (after shooting 52.6% from three against the Thunder) and would be replaced by Kevin Durant the following offseason. This go-around, Barnes three-point shot wavered early in the playoffs and Spurs head coach Mitch Johnson took him out of the starting lineup in favor of Julian Champagnie.

However the NBA Finals goes for Harrison Barnes and the Spurs, he can thank his teammates for making sure he had an excellent birthday.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Sunday, May 31

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  • UPDATE: Added another HR pick + parlay.

There’s no better way to spend your Sunday than sitting back and watching baseballs fly out of the park.

My MLB player props surrounding the home run market highlight Juan Soto, Matt Olson, and Casey Schmitt on May 31

Keep reading for the full breakdown below.

Best MLB home run props today

Player to hit a HROdds
Reds Juan Soto+273
Reds Matt Olson+325
Reds Casey Schmitt+370
💲Today's HR parlay+7350

Home run pick: Juan Soto (+273)

There hasn’t been a better all-around hitter in baseball over the past 15 days than Juan Soto. The New York Mets star is batting .372 with six dingers over that span.

Soto has absolutely mashed the baseball this season, sitting in the 99th percentile in xSLG, 97th percentile in Barrel%, and 93rd percentile in average exit velocity.

Soto has beaten up right-handed pitchers, with a .659 SLG and nine of his 12 homers coming vs. righties.

Miami Marlins starter Janson Junk has allowed six homers over his last five starts, while ranking in the 33rd percentile for hard-hit rate.

  • Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: SNY, Marlins.TV

Home run pick: Matt Olson (+325)

Matt Olson smacked his 16th home run of the season yesterday, the second most in the NL. The Atlanta Braves slugger will enjoy hitting out of Great American Ball Park this afternoon, which has the third-highest Park Factor in the majors (103).

Cincinnati Reds starter Nick Lodolo also has an arsenal that will play right into Olson’s wheelhouse. Lolodo’s sinker has an xBA of .421 and an xSLG of .764, yet he’s still throwing it 23% of the time. 

Olson has hit four of his home runs against the sinker, while batting .310 with a .643 SLG vs. that pitch.

  • Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Reds/TV, BravesVision

Home run pick: Casey Schmitt (+370)

Casey Schmitt has already equaled his 2025 home run total in just 50 games, with six of his 12 dingers coming in the last 13 games.

The San Francisco Giants are playing at Coors Field today, the most hitter-friendly venue in MLB by Park Factor (112).

Colorado Rockies starter Tanner Gordon ranks in the Bottom 5 percentile in Barrel rate and Bottom 17 percentile in hard-hit rate.

Schmitt has gone yard nine times vs. righties, while Colorado’s bullpen has also been weak, allowing 31 homers – the sixth most in the majors.

  • Time: 3:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NBCS-Bay Area, Rockies.TV
Chris Faria's 2026 Transparency Record
  • HR picks: 6-17, +4.14 units

Today’s HR parlay

Reds Juan SotoBet Now
+7350
Reds Matt Olson
Reds Casey Schmitt

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Reds turn to Nick Lodolo to salvage series against Braves

NEW YORK, NY - MAY 25: Nick Lodolo #40 of the Cincinnati Reds pitches during the game between the Cincinnati Reds and the New York Mets at Citi Field on Monday, May 25, 2026 in New York, New York. (Photo by Michael Mooney/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

The Atlanta Braves rolled into Great American Ball Park on Friday with the most wins in Major League Baseball and the league’s best winning percentage, too. So far, they’ve done nothing in their time in Cincinnati to diminish either count.

Atlanta claimed Friday’s series opener by the score of 8-3 and backed it up with a 5-2 win on Saturday, too. On Sunday, they’ll send Spencer Strider to the mound with a sweep on the mind.

Cincinnati will counter with lefty Nick Lodolo, who has slowly but surely begun to round into form after blister issues caused him to miss the entire month of April while recovering. His most recent outing against the New York Mets saw him finally dial-in the strike zone as he threw 6.0 IP of 6 H, ER, 0 BB, 7 K ball, the lone blemish against him being a 6th inning solo homer by Marcus Semien. Most important, though, were the lack of walks, as he’d walked 8 in just 9.2 IP across his previous two starts.

If there’s ever an indication that Lodolo is ‘on,’ it’s when he’s pounding the zone and not walking a soul, something he made a habit of during his breakout 2025. Cincinnati will hope upon hope that’s what they get from him on Sunday, as a loss would not only result in a sweep at home, but also would sink the Reds all the way back to the .500 mark for the season.

First pitch is set for 1:40 PM ET.

Here’s how the Reds will line up for the finale, with the return of Will Benson to the lineup to start and Spencer Steer again at 2B in lieu of the struggling Matt McLain:

Submit your Celtics questions for an open mailbag

BOSTON, MA - JUNE 17: Brad Stevens of the Boston Celtics talks to the media after the game against the Dallas Mavericks during Game 5 of the 2024 NBA Finals on June 17, 2024 at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2024 NBAE (Photo by Joe Murphy/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

The NBA Finals participants have been decided, but unfortunately the Boston Celtics are not among the participants. In some ways that was expected at the start of the season. In many ways, that is still a stinging disappointment based on how the regular season played out. So all of our attention is going to be focused on the path to getting back to this point in the playoffs and bringing home the trophy once again.

I don’t claim to have all the answers, but I’ve been doing this for a long time and I have no shortage of opinions that I’m happy to share. You know how this works at this point. You share your questions in the comments section below, I copy and paste them into an article and do my best to entertain and inform with my answers.

We can talk about trades, free agency, the draft, and just about everything else you can think of. In fact, feel free to entertain us with your off topic discussion ideas as well.

I’ll give it a few days before answering, so please share your thoughts below. Thanks!

Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Chicago Cubs are slight favorites over the St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday Night Baseball, and I’m willing to lay the short moneyline price.

This is a lefty-lefty starter matchup, but Matthew Liberatore’s quality-of-contact issues create the cleaner scoring path for Chicago. Jordan Wicks brings enough volatility to keep the total pointed Over.

Here are my Cubs vs. Cardinals predictions and MLB picks for Sunday, May 31.

Who will win Cubs vs Cardinals today: Cubs moneyline (-105)

I’m backing the Chicago Cubs on the moneyline and would play it to -120.

Matthew Liberatore’s contact profile is a bad fit against Chicago. His 5.00+ xERA, 9.8% barrel rate, and 43.9% hard-hit rate leave too much room for damage, and the Cubs have made a big jump in both metrics over the last week (5%+ increase in both)

Jordan Wicks is volatile enough to keep this uncomfortable, but the St. Louis Cardinals do not bring the same scoring ceiling. In a near coin-flip market, I prefer Chicago’s offense, especially with the Cubs showing signs of their contact quality turning back up.

Covers COVERS INTEL:The Cubs have an 11.4% walk rate, while the Cardinals' rate is just 8.7%. This is particularly significant with two erratic pitchers on the mound.

Cubs vs Cardinals Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-122)

I’m playing the Over because both lefties carry run-prevention risk, and I have a stronger conviction in the total than in the side. I would play this up to -132 at 8.5 and down to +100 at 9.

We talked about Liberatore above, and he’s a threat to give up a crooked number at any time. Wicks brings similar danger on the other side, allowing a .309 xBA, .493 xSLG, and 47.1% hard-hit rate against a St. Louis Cardinals lineup with the seventh-best expected slugging percentage.

Chris Hatfield's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 25-20, +4.64 units
  • Over/Under bets: 29-16, +15.29 units

Cubs vs Cardinals odds

  • Moneyline: Cubs -115 | Cardinals -105
  • Run line: Cubs -1.5 | Cardinals +1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9

Cubs vs Cardinals trend

The Cubs have cashed the first five innings (F5) team total Under in 15 of their last 20 games for +9.95 units and a 41% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Cardinals.

How to watch Cubs vs Cardinals and game info

LocationBusch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
DateSunday, May 31, 2026
First pitch7:20 p.m. ET
TVNBC
Cubs starting pitcherJordan Wicks
(0-1, 16.62 ERA)
Cardinals starting pitcherMatthew Liberatore
(2-3, 4.76 ERA)

Cubs vs Cardinals latest injuries

Cubs vs Cardinals weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Mason McTavish To Ottawa? Why The Trade Rumours Have Returned

Mason McTavish trade rumours to Ottawa are close to becoming an annual summertime tradition.

They were everywhere last year, and they made sense. McTavish was a restricted free agent and, as the summer heated up, so did the trade chatter around the league. By September, McTavish was still home in Ottawa, skating with the 67's, and waiting for a deal, either by contract or trade.

He finally got one, a six-year contract worth $42 million, which seemed to put questions about McTavish's future to rest for the foreseeable future.

Steve Warne and Gregg Kennedy discuss whether free agent forward Viktor Arvidsson might be a good fit in Ottawa.

Well, not so much, as it turns out.

For a second straight summer, from Pierre LeBrun to Bruce Garrioch, McTavish's name is splattered all over the news as a possible trade chip for Anaheim, with the Senators being mentioned as a possible destination.

But does it make sense? Anaheim just signed the guy long-term. Why would they consider moving him eight months later? And is he the right fit in Ottawa?

Let's dig in.

Anaheim's View

As a team, Anaheim had a fine season. McTavish and the Ducks went out and made the playoffs for the first time since 2018.

But with great money comes great expectations, and McTavish didn't meet them this season.

While the Ducks improved by 12 points in the standings, McTavish had 11 fewer points than he did the year before, dropping from 22 goals and 52 points in his contract year to 17 goals and 41 points this year.

He was also healthy-scratched twice in the playoffs, when it matters most, which is a huge red flag. 

Another angle is that the Ducks need help on the blue line if they're going to take the next step. They were loaded this season with good young forwards like Leo Carlsson, Cutter Gauthier, and Beckett Sennecke, along with veterans like Troy Terry, Mikael Granlund, Chris Kreider and Alex Killorn. But they need D.

Finally, GM Pat Verbeek still has to do some financial tap dancing this summer. Both Carlsson and Gauthier are restricted free agents and will be due massive raises. The 22-year-old Gauthier led the Ducks with 41 goals and 69 points. Carlsson was next with 29 goals and 67 points.

The Ducks also have decisions to make with veteran defencemen John Carlson, Radko Gudas and Jacob Trouba, who are all unrestricted free agents this summer.

So while Anaheim still values McTavish as an asset, there will need to be some sacrifice and restructuring one way or another. Maybe there's an opportunity for another team to buy low, but that's doubtful.

McTavish's stock dipped this season, but there would still be plenty of teams interested.

Ottawa's View

On the other hand, it's well documented why the Senators might have an interest in McTavish.

He was an outstanding junior prospect, starring for Team Canada at the 2022 World Juniors and leading the entire tournament with 17 points in seven games. He's 6-foot-1, 219 pounds, entering his fifth NHL season, and so far seems to be settling into a 40-to-50-point range. Though an argument could be made that his drop in production last season had a lot to do with missing training camp.

And of course, he has history with Ottawa and the Senators.

He spent last fall skating with the 67's. He's a Carp native. He played for Michael Andlauer and Steve Staios with the OHL's Hamilton Bulldogs, helping them win a championship.

Oh, and his father is Dale McTavish, who works as a pro scout for the Senators.

Sometimes home cooking and the comforts of home can turn a player around.

The Senators would also like to add another top-six forward. But not if he stays in that 40-to-50-point window he's occupied during his first four NHL seasons.

The Senators had six forwards this year who scored more points than McTavish did. He's certainly a player you'd like to add, any team would. But if you're taking on that salary and giving up important assets, you're doing so with the belief that he can produce 70-plus points, something he hasn't yet come close to doing.

Another forward would be nice, but is it Ottawa's biggest priority? The Sens went cold in the playoffs, but they were the league's ninth-highest-scoring team this season.

Meanwhile, they find themselves in the same pickle they were in two summers ago, needing to rebalance their blue line. With Nick Jensen possibly moving on and Jordan Spence emerging, the Senators are back to having a lot of puck movers, and not enough snarly, hard-to-play-against shutdown guys.

Oh, and the Senators may also need a reliable backup goalie who can play a lot of games. Where starter Linus Ullmark is concerned, as Guy Boucher liked to say, rest is a weapon.

There may be too many things working against the notion of bringing the kid from Carp home. But there are enough things that do make sense that it's worth some creative conversation over the summer.

By Steve Warne
The Hockey News 

This article was first published at The Hockey News Ottawa Senators site. For more THN Ottawa articles, click one of the latest stories below:

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Playoffs Exposed Canadiens’ Crying Need For A Second Line Center

While the Montreal Canadiens had a deeper-than-expected run in the playoffs this season, their success did expose one crying need: a second-line center. At the start of the regular season, rookie Oliver Kapanen inherited the role because of the team’s lack of options, and for most of the season, he did well.

Playing alongside Ivan Demidov, Juraj Slafkovsky or Alex Newhook, the Finn had a good rookie season, even though he slowed down considerably after the Olympics. In the first 57 games of the campaign, he had 18 goals and 31 points. After the Games, he could manage only four goals and six points in 25 matches.

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Given his lack of production at the tail end of the season, it wasn’t surprising that he couldn’t assume a top-six role in the playoffs, and given the lack of options, Jake Evans had to assume the role of second center during the postseason.

While the Ontarian is a good player who can help anywhere up and down the lineup, he doesn’t have the offensive instinct needed to assume such an offensive role. His performance of two goals and eight assists for 10 points in 19 games was remarkable, but had a player with more of a finishing touch played alongside a playmaker like Demidov, they likely would have had more than two goals. That would have proven very helpful as Montreal struggled to generate offense, especially in the Eastern Conference Final.

The answer won’t come internally, at least not for the upcoming season. Michael Hage has opted to spend another year in the NCAA, and it’s unlikely he would have been ready for such a high-profile role in any case. As for Owen Beck, if and when he makes it to the NHL, it’s likely to be as a bottom-six center.

As good a GM as Kent Hughes is, even he would be hard-pressed to find a second-line center on the free agent market. The best center of that free agent market class was going to be Evgeny Malkin, but he has already signed an extension with the Pittsburgh Penguins, meaning the top options will be 33-year-old Boone Jenner, who isn’t a top-six player, or Claude Giroux, who can play both wing or center but is already 38 years old.

If the GM wants to help his team down the middle, it looks like he will have to do it with a trade. Last off-season, he addressed a major organizational need by acquiring Noah Dobson from the New York Islanders, but he had two enticing first-round picks to work with at the time. This time around, he only has his own first-round pick, and given the team’s deep playoff run, we’re talking about a late pick.

That being said, the Canadiens do have a lot of interesting prospects on their hands. There’s the aforementioned Hage, Alexander Zharovsky, David Reinbacher, Adam Engstrom and, given Jakub Dobes’ performance in the playoffs, could Hughes explore the idea of trading one of his young goalies? It feels like teams could ask, but I doubt the GM will be ready to entertain the idea.

Was the trade that almost came to fruition before the trade deadline for a second-line center? It’s a possibility since Hughes said it would have been a significant deal. He has also said the idea could be revisited in the off-season, but is the GM he was talking with still in post? Brad Treliving has lost his job in Toronto, just like Patrik Alvin in Vancouver and Tom Fitzgerald in New Jersey. It’s a lot easier to pick up where you left off if your potential trading partner is still around.

Who could be a potential target for Hughes? Mason MacTavish from the Anaheim Ducks could be an interesting option. He signed a six-year contract with a $7 M cap hit last offseason, but he didn’t have the kind of season Anaheim was expecting from him, with 41 points in 75 games. He was even a healthy scratch at times. Robert Thomas’ name has made the rounds for some time now, but St. Louis Blues' GM Doug Armstrong is reportedly quite a demanding trade partner.

The most intriguing name on the market has to be Nico Hischier. The New Jersey Devils’ top center and captain is about to enter the final year of a contract that pays him $7.25 M per year. At the end of the next season, he’ll be a UFA. If he doesn’t intend to re-up in New Jersey, new GM Sunny Mehta could be forced to trade him. Of course, if he wants to get a good return, that would likely be a sign-and-trade deal, just like Dobson last season.

At 27, Hischier would fit right in with the Canadiens and bring a wealth of experience. Even if he’s only made the playoffs twice, he has played nine seasons in the NHL. He has never scored more than 80 points in a season and put up 66 points last year, but his production could certainly improve if he played alongside the talented Demidov.

With over four months to work with before the start of the next season, Hughes and Jeff Gorton will have a lot of time to explore various options, and it’s far from out of the question that they could pull the trigger on a deal that none of us saw coming.


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‘Flagmantle’ is no longer a joke. The Dockers are a team to love, fear and trust | Jonathan Horn

Brisbane threw a lot at Fremantle but the visitors had the answers. There’s a whiff of history about this side

“Flagmantle” is no joke now. There are some outstanding teams who haven’t really got warm yet. But the Dockers are the ones with the best and the most even spread of talent. The Dockers are the ones who have met every challenge, who can win in a dozen different ways, and who have reeled off one of the more impressive three-month streaks of recent years. The Dockers are the ones with the whiff of history about them.

A trip to the Gabba is no picnic and there was a view that the visitors could be got at on the weekend. Bookmakers, bless their benevolent souls, installed Brisbane as favourites. Fremantle had been up for a long time, were flying to the opposite point of the country, were missing several of their most important players and were up against a proud, still smarting opponent.

Continue reading...

2026 Cubs Heroes and Goats: Game 59

Things have been a little unpredictable lately with the Cubs. They won their least likely to win game in Pittsburgh while winning a couple where the matchup looked decent. So it’s always nice to win one that looks good on paper. Not only did the Cubs win this one, but it was pretty convincing. If you are someone who didn’t think the Cardinals would be good this year, then just about everything that you saw was on display tonight. They had some suspect defense that contributed to a couple of Cub rallies, their pitching was shaky and there was even a pretty sketchy baserunning decision.

On the other side, all of the things that can be good about this Cub team were on display. Ben Brown dominated, throwing seven. Another time, when he pitches this well, he might get a chance to start the eighth inning. His pitch count wasn’t immense and his pitches per inning was actually pretty low. But he’s still building his pitch count a bit and though I didn’t look at a weather report, he did look to have worked up a pretty good sweat and I saw shorts and tank tops at the park all of the way to the end. So I’ll guess it was a late spring St. Louis night where it was a bit hot and muggy. It wasn’t the right recipe for a rare push of a starter into the eighth inning, but it was adjacent.

Behind Ben, the defense made some nice plays to help keep him out of trouble and that pitch count low. And at the plate, the Cubs showed a bit of a relentless approach and a few timely hits. It shows up as just 3-for-14 with runners in scoring position and 14 left on base. But that’s because the Cubs managed 12 hits, drew thee walks, and were aided by three Cardinal errors. That’s a lot of traffic in a nine-inning game. Cardinal starter Kyle Leahy did a nice job escaping trouble in his 4.1 innings of work. The Cubs did virtually all of their damage with one out in this game, with just one run scoring on a sacrifice fly that was the second out of the inning.

Once again, the leverage went away from this game. Jacob Webb got the eighth inning in what was a three-run lead at the time. Daniel Palencia threw the ninth even though the lead was five by the time he got in there. There just haven’t been any save situations.

The team is 25-18 since starting the team at 7-9. It’s been a crazy path to get here, but that 25-18 stretch is more than a quarter of the season and would be a 94-win pace. So that’s a 94-win pace over their last 43 and an 88-win pace overall. If injuries do not derail this team too badly, I still think they can be a 91-win team (splitting the difference between those two numbers). It’s not always a work of art, but this team still does a lot of things well. If this team stays competitive like this, the front office will add at the deadline, even if it isn’t super flashy. The Brewers are definitely good again, but it remains to be seen if they are run away and hide good again this year. Their pitching looks better this year, but their offense doesn’t feel out of this world.

Buckle up, there’s a wild ride ahead over these last 103 games.

Three Positives:

  • Ben Brown threw seven innings, allowing three hits and a walk while striking out six. He looked very good. This Brown with a healthy Justin Steele and Cade Horton is a pipe dream, but it sure would have been interesting.
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong will have a cycle some day. He had four hits including a double and a homer in this one. He was also hit by a pitch and made some terrific defensive plays. This was his fourth career four-hit game and second against the Cardinals.
  • Ian Happ had a single and a double and scored a run.

Game 59, May 30: Cubs 6, Cardinals 1 (32-27)

Reminder: Heroes and Goats are determined by WPA scores and are in no way subjective.

THREE HEROES:

  • Superhero: Ben Brown (.280). 7 IP, 23 BF, 3 H, BB, ER, 6 K (W 2-2)
  • Hero: Pete Crow-Armstrong (.240). 4-5, HR, 2B, HBP, 2 RBI, 2 R
  • Sidekick: Nico Hoerner (.120). 2-6, RBI, SB

THREE GOATS:

  • Billy Goat: Seiya Suzuki (-.084). 1-5, 2B, R
  • Goat: Dansby Swanson (-.065). 0-3, 2 BB, R
  • Kid: Ian Happ (-.058). 2-5, 2B, R

WPA Play of the Game: With runners on first and second and one out, the Cubs up two, Ben Brown got Ivan Herrera to ground into an around the horn double play to end the inning. (.137)

Cardinals Play of the Game: With the bases loaded and two outs in the fourth, the game was scoreless. Kyle Leahy struck out Dansby Swanson. (.088)

Cubs Player of the Game:

Game 58 Winner: Ian Happ with 90 of 110 votes.

Rizzo Award Standings: (Top 5/Bottom 5)

The award is named for Anthony Rizzo, who finished first in this category three of the first four years it was in existence and four times overall. He also recorded the highest season total ever at +65.5. The point scale is three points for a Superhero down to negative three points for a Billy Goat.

  • Michael Busch +21
  • Ian Happ +10.5
  • Nico Hoerner +10
  • Alex Bregman/Brown +9.5
  • Jameson Taillon/Phil Maton -9
  • Matt Shaw -10
  • Dansby Swanson -13
  • Seiya Suzuki -27.5

Current Win Pace: 87.86 wins

Up Next: The third and final game of this series and an off day Monday after 10 straight games. With a win, the Cubs could win this series and salvage four wins over that 10 game stretch and distributing the four wins just about perfectly if you were only going to win four.

Jordan Wicks (0-1, 16.62, 4.1 IP) makes his second start of the season. He’ll hope to bounce back from a horrible first outing. The Cardinals did better against the Cub lefty Friday than they did against the Cub righty Saturday. Though that’s probably as much a Ben Brown thing as anything. Shōta Imanaga didn’t particularly get shelled Friday, but he did fail to come through in the biggest spots.

The Cardinals have 26-year-old lefty Matthew Liberatore (2-3, 4.76, 56.2 IP) starting. The former 16th overall pick by the Rays hasn’t won since May 7. Over his three non wins, he has allowed 11 runs in 14.2 innings of work. Neither of these guys is throwing well. The Cubs have a .731 OPS against left-handed pitchers, good for 10th overall. The Cardinals are at .689, 17th overall, so a bit of an edge for the Cubs. Liberatore had a really nice start against the Cubs in St. Louis last year and was the winner, allowing two runs over seven.

It feels like a slight edge for the Cardinals, but definitely winnable. Get this one and early win projections off of Fangraphs show the Cubs with a chance at five of six on the upcoming homestand. It’ll be fluid, but right at this very minute, the Cubs won’t face a team with a winning record after tomorrow until they see the Brewers at Wrigley Field on June 26. One team in there, the Blue Jays, is likely to be over .500 by the time they face the Cubs if their recent play is not a mirage.

I like the odds of the Cubs positioning themselves really well with a strong June.