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The Los Angeles Dodgers own the league’s best win percentage against sub-.500 teams, and I expect them to build on it this afternoon as 63% favorites.

Let’s break down why with my Dodgers vs. Tigers predictions and MLB picks for Sunday, Aug. 30, with first pitch at 1:40 p.m. ET.

Who will win Dodgers vs Tigers today: Los Angeles Dodgers (63%)

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

The Detroit Tigers have fallen off a cliff offensively. They sit 28th in OPS vs. RHP over the last 20 games, and it’ll be tough to claw their way out of their struggles against Tyler Glasnow.

The veteran righty has managed a 2.10 ERA over four starts vs. teams that ranked Bottom 15 in OPS the prior 20 games.

Hitting for power against Framber Valdez and his extreme ground-ball profile will be a challenge for the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The good news is they shouldn’t need it. They sit sixth in average and 10th in xwOBA against southpaws this month.

Play L.A. to 65%.

COVERS INTEL:Tyler Glasnow is sporting a .246 xwOBA, the second lowest of any season in his career.

Dodgers vs Tigers Over/Under pick: Pick (53%)

Offense should be hard to come by this afternoon.

Glasnow has suppressed runs effectively against struggling offenses, and the Dodgers have a bullpen that sits seventh in xERA this month backing him up. There is no easy path to scoring for the Tigers.

Valdez forces a lot of balls in the dirt at the worst of times, and he has hit a new level the past 30 days. He has forced a ground-ball rate of 60.2%, making it difficult to hit for power — as evident by his 0.57 HR/9.

I’d play this to 56%.

Dodgers vs Tigers home run prediction: Teoscar Hernandez (13%)

The arrow points up for Teoscar Hernandez.

Relative to his season outputs against Valdez’s pitch mix, his exit velocity is up 3.3 mph, while his hard-hit rate has spiked 7.9% over the last 25 at-bats.

Hernandez has historically hit lefties very well, and he owns a .263 ISO against Valdez over 19 career at-bats.

He's taken high-end southpaws like Chris Sale and Payton Tolle at least 350 feet this month. He’s been knocking on the door, and this is a nice look.

Dodgers vs Tigers weather

Temperatures are expected to sit in the 70s with winds blowing west and showers expected. Boost to the pitchers.

Dodgers vs Tigers odds

• Moneyline: Dodgers 63% | Tigers 38%
• Run line: Dodgers -1.5 (49%) | Tigers +1.5 (52%)
• Over/Under: Over 7.5 (48%) | Under 7.5 (53%)

Dodgers vs Tigers trend

Detroit has cashed the game total Under in 13 of the last 20 games (+6.40 units, 29% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Tigers.

How to watch Dodgers vs Tigers and game info

Dodgers vs Tigers latest injuries

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The ins and outs of Saturday night in the Dodgers minor leagues.

Player of the day

Emmet Sheehan continued to roll in Triple-A, this time with seven strikeouts in 5 2/3 innings. Sheehan allowed a run, the only tally against him in his last three starts for Oklahoma City, with five hits and two walks against him on Saturday.

Sheehan in his last three games has allowed one run in 17 1/3 innings, with 24 strikeouts and six walks.

Triple-A Oklahoma City

Zach Ehrhard homered in the eighth inning, giving the Comets a win over the El Paso Chihuahuas (Padres).

After catching three games this week, Will Smith doubled twice in his four at-bats on Saturday as the designated hitter.

Justin Wrobleski joined the Comets on a rehab assignment and got four outs in relief, his expected role once he rejoins the Dodgers in September and into October. Wrobleski allowed a run on three hits in the eighth inning, then got the first out of the ninth, and struck out two in his outing.

In the seventh inning for El Paso, old friend Brent Honeywell allowed the tying and go-ahead runs to score thanks to a pair of errors in a 25-pitch frame. It was his first game action in 22 months, since Game 4 of the 2024 World Series, batting injuries for the better part of two years in between.

Double-A Tulsa

The Drillers scored four runs in the 11th inning to top the Midland RockHounds (A’s). Tulsa struck out 19 times on the night but also had 16 hits and nine walks in 11 innings, plating 10 runs.

Taylor Young doubled home a run in the 11th inning, after singling with three walks, reaching base five times with a stolen base. Jake Gelof homered and had a sacrifice fly before his two-run single adding insurance runs in the 11th, giving him four RBI on the night.

Elijah Hainline also homered for Tulsa. Jose Izarra, playing right field, doubled twice and stole a base. Kole Myers singled twice, walked twice, and stole a base.

Josue De Paula doubled, singled, and scored a pair of runs. His second run came as the free runner in the 10th inning, his 100th run scored of the season. De Paula is one RBI away from the century mark there as well, after previous career highs of 69 runs scored and 62 RBI, both set in 2024.

Jacob Kmatz, acquired from the Tampa Bay Rays at the trade deadline in the Hunter Feduccia/Jack Suwinski swap, allowed only one run on three hits in his first eight appearances for Tulsa. But on Saturday, Kmatz allowed a run on three hits to tie things up in the eighth. But it could have been a lot worse, as the run was already in and the bases were loaded with nobody out, but Kmatz induced a force out at home, an easy flyout, and a strikeout to strand three.

Payton Martin returned after two and a half weeks on the injured list, and struck out three in two scoreless innings of relief working around a single and walk. It’s just the fifth appearance out of the bullpen in 76 career games in four professional seasons pitching. Martin in his previous seven starts before landing on the IL allowed 33 runs in 31 1/3 innings.

High-A Great Lakes

The Loons scored in five of eight innings at home to blow out the Lansing Lugnuts (A’s). Mairo Martinus hit a three-run home run and Charles Davalan hit a two-run shot. Martinus, like De Paula in Double-A, scored his 99th and 100th runs on the season on Saturday.

Eduardo Quintero and Emil Morales each doubled and singled, with Morales up to 115 RBI in 111 games this season between Great Lakes and Class-A Ontario. Not to be outdone, third baseman Eduardo Guerrero had three hits, driving in two and scoring a pair.

Isaac Ayon accepted that bounty of offense and allowed just a run on three hits in his five innings for the win.

Class-A Ontario

Catcher Conner O’Neal and Ching-Hsien Ko each homered in the ninth inning, breaking a tie in the Tower Buzzers’ road win over the Stockton Ports (A’s). Ko’s was a two-run shot.

Ontario didn’t score until the seventh inning on a solo home run by second baseman Kellon Lindsey. The 2024 first-round draft pick homered six times in his first 59 professional games between last year and this year. But since July 18, Lindsey has eight home runs in his last 33 games, hitting .250/.413/.508.

Starter Luis Gamez on the day before his 20th birthday closed out his teens in style with four scoreless innings and six strikeouts, working around four walks and a single.

Jecsua Liborius struck out two in a scoreless ninth inning to earn his 11th save.

Saturday scores

• Oklahoma City 3, El Paso 2
• Tulsa 10, Midland 6 (11 innings)
• Great Lakes 13, Lansing 5
• Ontario 4, Sotckton 1

Sunday schedule

• 10:05 a.m PT: Great Lakes (Jacob Frost) vs. Lansing (Tucker Novotny)
• 11 a.m.: Tulsa (TBA) at Midland (Ben Hansen)
• 4:05 p.m.: Oklahoma City (Charlie Barnes) vs. El Paso (Sean Boyle)
• 5 p.m.: Ontario (Charlie West) at Stockton (Josiah Romero)

It took until August 29th, but the Washington Nationals finally got their first walk off win. The hit came from Dylan Crews, a guy who really needed a big moment, making things even better. After the game, Crews said that this was probably his best moment since becoming a big leaguer. It is a big statement, but it is tough to disagree.

Since being the number two overall pick, Dylan Crews’ pro career has not been as smooth as most anticipated. After being good, not great in the upper minors, Crews was rushed to the big leagues where he has struggled. It was so bad that Crews did not make the team out of camp.

Since being recalled in mid May, Crews has had some moments, but has not put it all together. For the season, the former LSU star is hitting .223 with 10 homers and a .660 OPS. However, he came up to the plate in the bottom of the 10th inning with a clean slate. The bases were loaded with two outs. It was up to Dylan Crews to end this game and finally give the Nats a walkoff.

That is exactly what the 24 year old did, ripping a low liner just past the second baseman. This was the swing that Dylan Crews desperately needed. As he got mobbed by his teammates, he smiled in a way that we have not seen him smile since he was an LSU Tiger.

For a guy who has been humbled by the baseball gods for the first time in his life at the MLB level, that had to feel so good. Crews said the gatorade shower was colder than he expected and he almost fell over from the direct hit. However, I have a feeling that none of this bothered him.

All season long, the Nats have really struggled to get that big hit late in games. For an offense that has been so explosive, this has been a weird phenomenon. Even yesterday, it felt like a lot of guys were pressing. After the Marlins erased the Nats 4-0 lead, it seemed like the Nats bats were in a state of shock like we have seen so many times this season.

After Orlando Ribalta put up a 0 in the 10th, the offense looked like they were ready to send things to the 11th. CJ Abrams struck out on 3 pitches and Abimelec Ortiz popped up the first pitch. It just looked like more of the same from this Nats offense.

However, Jose Tena and Daylen Lile both put together outstanding AB’s, which Crews made sure to point out. Both of them worked crucial walks, which set up DC3 for his big moment. Crews told me that his plan of attack was to try and get on top of Michael Petersen’s rising fastball and hit a low liner. That is exactly what he did and Crews called game.

Moments like this make it harder to give up on the number 2 pick. Even though the results have not come yet, you can see the talent. I am still not 100% sure if he puts it all together in DC, but there is a reason you give players like this a lot of chances. Hopefully this can be a catalyst for him moving forward.

This last month of play is important for a lot of Nationals players, but Crews might be at the top of the list. He needs to prove he can hit right handed pitching and show consistency at the big league level. Crews’ pedigree and flashes will give him plenty of opportunity, but he does not have forever to figure it out.

A strong finish to the season could establish Crews as an everyday starter in a still crowded Nats outfield. Before yesterday, he never had that one moment that fans could cling on to. However, that changed in a big way. When the Nats needed a hero with the bases loaded and two outs, Dylan Crews was the guy who delivered.

That was what we were supposed to get when he was drafted out of LSU. He was known for his clutch hitting and leadership. It has been a very slow burn so far, but who knows, maybe we just saw the turning point in Dylan Crews’ Washington Nationals career.

The Mariners continued to prove the doubters correct yesterday by losing an incredibly winnable game and securing a series loss in Toronto. Logan Gilbert will go against Max Scherzer at 10:37 PST to try to find some momentum to take to Boston.

In Mariners news…

• Ben Clemens at Fangraphs took a good hard look at what exactly has been going wrong for Julio this season.

Around the league…

• Athletics shortstop Jacob Wilson will be getting surgery to repair his persistent shoulder injury in a couple weeks. Wilson has only played eighty games this season and has been unable to match his All-Star rookie season when he’s been on the field. It is currently unclear if Wilson will miss any of the 2027 season.
• Padres infielder Luis Rengifo had to be carted off the field with a sprained knee after he planted awkwardly to make a throw home. Rengifo will undergo a full evaluation back in San Diego as soon as possible.
• The New York Mets placed outfielder Luis Robert Jr. on waivers yesterday. Robert is owed slightly under $5 million for the rest of the season.
• On Friday, it was reported by Mark Feinsand that the Cubs had DFA’d relief pitcher Hoby Milner. It turned out that the Cubs hadn’t DFA’d Milner but had instead placed him waivers, an error that Feinsand quickly corrected about three hours later. Then, about 25 hours after that correction, the Cubs announced they had DFA’d Hoby Milner. Truly hilarious series of events.
• Former Mariners pitcher Justin Topa was DFA’d by the Yankees after the first game of their doubleheader yesterday to make room for the return of Max Fried.
• Former Mariner Cade Marlowe signed a minor league contract with the Angels yesterday, rejoining the franchise after being released by them on Friday following Marlowe exercising his opt-out.
• Jarred Kelenic landed with his sixth organization yesterday when the Yankees singed him to a minor league contract and assigned him to Triple-A Scranton.

Nick’s pick…

• The flyover before a rugby match in Cape Town cut it extremely close, with one of the pilots bringing the plane within twelve meters of the roof of the stadium!

We’ll start with a Heroes and Goats Note for those of you who follow the minutia. Trent Thornton’s disaster Friday ended up landing as the fifth-worst WPA game score of the season by a Cub pitcher, leaving Webb with the top four spots. Going backward through history, Daniel Palencia had two of the top four last year. Hector Neris had two of the three worst scores in 2024. I could not immediately eyeball the closer in 2023. In 2022, David Robertson won the Rizzo Award. In 2021, Craig Kimbrel finished fourth. We don’t talk about the 2020 season. In 2019, Kimbrel had the two worst WPA game scores. In 2018 Pedro Strop won the Rizzo. In 2017, Wade Davis finished fourth for the Rizzo and also had the worst WPA game score of the year. So there is a quick and dirty tour of relievers and Heroes and Goats. They do get a lot of opportunity to accumulate WPA. The best ones do anyway. 100 H&G points, the first ever issued to all of you who can eyeball the closers in those boring Cub years where I didn’t immediately identify them (without going to any source).

Now back to the regularly scheduled action. Today was a flashback to an era gone by for me. Not because so many Cubs greats were in attendance at the game. I just thought my favorite TV show was showing a rerun today. It was the one where the good guys kicked butt start to finish. Not really a classic Hollywood script. Oh, there was a little fake inserted drama there towards the end of the first act. Where it seemed like this would be another tired episode where the bad guys had all of the fun. But really, just an old school romp for the good guys. At least when your favorite show is in reruns, they show a classic. I’m always here for it when the superstar hits three homers.

If you didn’t watch the Marquee broadcast with sound, you missed the line of the day. Greg Maddux was interviewed early and confirmed that he does still watch a fair bit of baseball. But then he said without missing a beat that he turns the sound off and just watches the game. I think Boog nearly choked on that one. He definitely didn’t miss it and asked a clarifying question to which Maddux quickly added that he does listen when John Smoltz is calling the game. I could also clearly picture his straight face when talking about PitchCom and that back in the day they got a LITTLE latitude off the plate. I think whole rivers ran between batters and the corners of the plate at times when those 90’s Braves teams were pitching. As if they weren’t lethal enough.

Listening to Maddux, Anthony Rizzo and Jon Lester all visit was fun. It was an entertaining broadcast. All joking aside, it ended up being one of the more entertaining games of the year. While this script has played out in SO many games this year, obviously it never gets old. I don’t know that there is much value to running the score up. I don’t imagine Seiya Suzuki is going to reminisce about the day he teed off on a position player. But the game goes on and I can’t see not trying to succeed regardless of what the guys on the other side are doing. The Cubs have split their last six games, getting shut out once. Also, they’ve scored 55 runs over that time. So unbelievable. This team has an immense ability to pile it on.

I’m pretty sure the drama has left the room. Pete Crow-Armstrong is going to be the MVP. We’ve seen all of the experts change lanes over the last few weeks. Pete has so many impressive statistics. I see where Shohei Ohtani is going to maybe start pitching some innings down the stretch. I’m not sure it matters. People are using Pete to dump on WAR as a stat (including Anthony Rizzo). But he’s also right with the league leaders on WPA and he just has so many metrics pointing his way. He seems very likely now to reach 40/40. At some point, the defense and baserunning offsets Ohtani’s pitching numbers enough for him to win.

While I’m ranting on statistics and awards, let me say something about Sal Stewart. First, a disclaimer, I don’t watch nearly enough other baseball to have a hands on opinion regarding NL Rookie of the Year. Sal Stewart’s case is heating up because he leads the majors in runs batted in. Let’s flip Alex Bregman and Sal Stewart for a second. Stewart is a rookie on the Cubs, batting third and he bats with more traffic than any player in the major leagues. I don’t recall if Bregman is still there, but I know he was. But, in that spot, Stewart’s RBI would largely be context driven because he’s just batting with traffic all of the time. But they aren’t flipped. Stewart plays for the Reds. He might see the most traffic of any player on the Reds. The Reds are fourth from the bottom in on-base percentage. They have fewer men on base than all but two NL teams. And Stewart leads the league in RBI. Yes, RBI need context. The context is holy cow. If there are other reasons for Stewart not being RoY, that’s fine. But do not discount than man’s RBI. It’s impressive. (That stat by the way, Bregman has batted with 419 runners on base. Sal Stewart has batted with 365 runners on base, which is just nominally over an average number of runners – 357).

THREE POSITIVES:

• I miss having something on PCA every day. He tailed a little for a while there. Such are the problems when you unlock god-mode in a game, right? He was back in the zone today though. Four hits, three homers, six runs driven in four runs scored. Now fourth in the majors in homers, none of the top 10 have even 20 steals. OPS is second. I understand the value of pitching. But Ohtani would have to be throwing a ton of innings. Pete has the Jordan argument. He is the best offensive player in the National League. Also he is arguably the best defensive player in the National League. Also, we’ve moved away from this definition a fair bit, but the Dodgers are one of the best teams in baseball if Ohtani misses the entire season injured. The Cubs are ordinary without Pete. Their pitching manages what it does (which isn’t great anyway) in large part because balls go to die in center.
• Carson Kelly, double, homer, walk, four runs driven in, three scored.
• Alex Bregman, single, double, homer, hit by pitch, three runs driven in, run scored.
• I could list a half dozen other players easily, but I just HAVE to hat tip Tyrone Taylor for a four-hit game with three runs scored and Ryan Zeferjahn, four up and four down while the game was still competitive.

Game 136, August 29: Cubs 17, Reds 5 (77-59)

Reminder: Heroes and Goats are determined by WPA scores and are in no way subjective.

THREE HEROES:

• Superhero: Pete Crow-Armstrong (.238). 4-6, 3 HR, 6 RBI, 4 R
• Hero: Alex Bregman (.156). 3-5, HR, 2B, HBP, 3 RBI, R
• Sidekick: Pedro Ramirez (.113). 2-3, 2 BB, 3 R

THREE GOATS:

• Billy Goat: Kevin Gausman (-.138). 5 IP, 23 BF, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 R, 7 K (W 3-1)
• Goat: Michael Busch (-.053). 0-6
• Kid: Nico Hoerner (-.041). 1-5, RBI

WPA Play of the Game: Eugenio Suarez’s two-run homer in the second. Yeah, that’s never happened before. Cut the Cub lead to one. (.141)

Cubs Play of the Game: Alex Bregman’s two-run homer in the first. Extended the Cub lead to three. (.135)

Note: 88 WPA events were recorded in this game. 19 of them registered .000. Nico Hoerner’s RBI single was the last event that registered any WPA.

Cubs Player of the Game:

Game 135 Winner: Seiya Suzuki received 24 of 38 votes.

Rizzo Award Standings: (Top 5/Bottom 5)

The award is named for Anthony Rizzo, who finished first in this category three of the first four years it was in existence and four times overall. He also recorded the highest season total ever at +65.5. The point scale is three points for a Superhero down to negative three points for a Billy Goat.

• Pete Crow-Armstrong +29
• Alex Bregman +22
• Ben Brown +13.5
• Javier Assad +12
• Shōta Imanaga +11
• Edward Cabrera -12.5
• Jameson Taillon -13
• Nico Hoerner -15
• Dansby Swanson -17
• Caleb Thielbar -18.5

Scoreboard Watching: Brewers win (up eight on Cubs ). Phillies win (one back of Cubs). Diamondbacks split a double header (five behind Cubs). Dodgers lost (four ahead of Cubs). Padres lost (five back). Braves won (four up).

Up Next: 1-1 to start this 13 game stretch. The Cubs can win the series Sunday night. Shōta Imanaga (8-9, 3.78) was flipped with Gausman and given extra rest after a rough start in Seattle that the Cubs ended up winning by 17 after he left. He’s still 3-1 with a 2.65 over his last seven. He definitely has shown signs of wearing down, allowing eight earned runs in 12.2 innings over his last three starts. It would be great to get him back on track. Hopefully the wind is a little more tame after two big offensive days in a row.

23-year-old righty Chase Burns (14-3, 2.77) goes for the Reds. He’s tailing a bit (3-2, 3.41 over seven) and allowed five runs in 3.2 innings last time against the lowly Giants. Kudos to the Giants, I can’t remember too many times in my years where I’ve looked for a negative adjective for them. Chase has missed the Cubs so far this year. They saw him briefly last year in September in relief. He allowed three hits and a run in 1.1 innings. Nico Hoerner was the only current Cub who had a hit against him (an RBI single). Looking through his numbers, the Angels got him for five runs in 5.1 innings in April, the Pirates got him for five runs in six innings in June, the Guardians got him for five runs (one earned) in five innings in July, and the Nationals got him for five runs in 5.1 early August. He’s been roughed up in three of his last six starts and two of those were on the road. He’s 6-2 with a 3.53 on the road. He’s 9-3 with a 2.81 at night.

With this pitching matchup, Fangraphs still has the Cubs at 53.3 percent to win this game. That may even be tweaked upwards after a lopsided win in the series. I think the Cubs can win this one. But Imanaga has got to limit the damage and the Cubs have to work the pitch count.

Saturday’s action in the Atlanta Braves system was headlined by another dominant outing from Daniel Brooks for Rome. The other big story is the fact that Eric Hartman crossed the 50 stolen base mark, and kept going. Same story for Luis Guanipa, though it was the 40-steal mark for him. We also got homers from Dixon Williams, Manuel Campos, Carter Beck, and Juan Mateo. On the pitching side Luis Arestigueta followed up his strong two start run with another, and Luis Vargas had a lights out relief appearance.

Gwinnett Stripers 13, Louisville Bats 7

• David McCabe, 1B: 4-6, 2 2B, 2 R, 2 RBI, .444/.433/.815
• Brett Wisely, 2B: 2-2, 2 HR, 3 BB, 5 R, 4 RBI, SB, .282/.402/.434
• Lizandro Espinoza, CF: 4-5, R, RBI, SB, .333/.410/.545
• Cedric De Grandpre, SP: 5 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 1 ER, 3 BB, 5 K, 4.00 ERA

Box Score

Statcast

Cedric De Grandpre was the starter, and didn’t quite seem to have his best command in this one. Through five innings Cedric allowed four runs, though only one was earned, on seven hits and three walks. He also struck out five with nine whiffs, but earned his first Triple-A win. Danny Young pitched a scoreless inning next, before Blake Burkhalter got two scoreless innings with four strikeouts and seven whiffs. Tyler Uberstine pitched the ninth inning, but was tagged for three runs.

Brett Wisely had a monster game, though both David McCabe and Lizandro Espinoza had big games as well. Wisely went two for two with two home runs, walked three times, stole a base, scored five times, and batted in four runs as he filled up the boxscore. McCabe and Espinoza each had four-hit games, with McCabe picking up a pair of doubles, two runs scored, and two batted in, while Espinoza scored a run, batted one in, and stole a base. That gives Espinoza 31 steals in just 46 games played on the season. Jose Azocar also homered, while Rowdy Tellez, DaShawn Keirsey Jr., and Cal Conley all had two-hit games, with Conley doubling. Jim Jarvis was hitless in four at bats, but drew two walks.

Columbus Clingstones 7, Chattanooga Lookouts 3

• Alex Lodise, SS: 4-5, 2B, 2 R, RBI, .333/.367/.467
• John Gil, 2B: 2-5, R, RBI, .286/.377/.385
• Owen Carey, RF: 1-3, 2 BB, .261/.337/.409
• Luis Vargas, RP: 3 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 7 K, 3.28 ERA

Box Score

Columbus got a bullpen game in this one, though one of the relievers used stood out in a big way. Shay Schanaman went the first three innings and didn’t allow any runs to score as he struck out three and whiffed 11. Then came a huge performance from Luis Vargas, who over three innings allowed just one hit and no walks as he struck out seven and whiffed 13 in 46 pitches. Hayden Harris allowed all three Lookouts runs in his inning of work, leading to Duncan Davitt picking up a save for pitching two scoreless innings with three strikeouts. Combined the four relievers allowed just five hits and two walks with 14 strikeouts.

The biggest prospects had the biggest days for the Columbus offense. Alex Lodise continues his great run to end the season, as he went four for five with a double, scoring two runs and batting one in. John Gil had the other multi-hit game, going two for five, while Owen Carey was one for three but did draw a pair of walks. Eric Hartman went one for five, but stole two bases – giving him 51 steals on the season. Adam Zebrowski added a triple in the win.

Rome Emperors 12, Greenville Drive 2

• Luis Guanipa, LF: 3-5, 2 R, 2 SB, .236/.252/.396
• Conor Essenburg, RF: 0-2, 2 BB, R, 3 SB, .211/.396/.316
• Carter Beck, CF: 1-4, HR, BB, R, 3 RBI, .190/.306/.357
• Dixon Williams, DH: 1-4, HR, 2 R, 2 RBI, SB, .236/.334/.463
• Daniel Brooks, SP: 4 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 5 K, 0.00 ERA

Box Score

Daniel Brooks continued his dominance over A-ball here as he went four more scoreless innings in his second High-A start. In this one Brooks allowed two hits and no walks as he struck out five and whiffed 11. He has now allowed just three runs (two earned) over 36 innings between Rome and Augusta. Brooks left with his pitch count at 59, throwing 44 strikes. Both of the Greenville runs scored off of Logan Samuels, as he pitched the next two innings out of the pen. The game was finished off by two scoreless frames from David Rodriguez and one from Tyler Schoff.

The Rome offense had a fun evening here, as seven guys had at least one hit and all nine reached base safely in a game that saw four home runs and a perfect 6 for 6 in stolen base attempts. The homers came from Carter Beck, who hit his first with Rome, and Dixon Williams, who also added a steal to give him 21 homers and 29 steals on the year. The other two came from Will Verdung and Colin Burgess. Luis Guanipa had a three-hit game that included two runs scored and two steals, taking him to 41 on the season. Conor Essenburg was hitless in two at bats, but did draw a pair of walks and stole three bases – giving him 10 on the season. Burgess and Cade Doughty also added multi-hit games in the win, with Doughty having a double.

Myrtle Beach Pelicans 6, Augusta GreenJackets 5

• Manuel Campos, SS: 1-4, HR, R, 2 RBI, .218/.235/.346
• Juan Mateo, 2B: 2-4, HR, R, 2 RBI, .251/.330/.363
• Caleb Klein, CF: 2-5, R, .322/.438/.339
• Luis Arestigueta, SP: 5 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 6 K, 6.55 ERA

Box Score

Luis Arestigueta came into this game after going his last two starts, not allowing any runs over 11 innings. He did allow one run over five innings, though it was unearned, on just two hits and no walks. That means he hasn’t allowed an earned run over his last 16 innings in three starts. He struck out six and also had six whiffs, though he had better command today than he had in those last two fairly effectively wild outings. Nico Wagner followed and allowed four runs (three earned) over three innings, and Kade Woods allowed one run during his inning.

The top of the order did most of the damage for the Jackets tonight, as Juan Mateo and Manuel Campos each homered and drove in a pair of runs. The Mateo homer was just his sixth of the year, but the fourth of August for him as he is seeing a late season spike in power fairly similar to John Gil last year. Whether he can continue that power into next year is still up for debate, though I do have belief that he can continue to grow the power in his game. Campos’ homer was his second here and fourth in 67 games between Augusta and the FCL. Caleb Klein added a two-hit night, while Nick Montgomery and Dominic Kibler each doubled, with Montgomery also drawing a walk.

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There is so much to dive into this afternoon in the MLB player propsmarket.

Join me as I break down three of my favorite MLB picks for Sunday, Aug. 30, including why Max Scherzer is going to shove against Seattle.

Best MLB player props today

Player	Pick	Odds
Zebby Matthews	Over 2.5 earned runs	-115
Max Scherzer	Under 2.5 earned runs	-149
Parker Messick	Under 5.5 strikeouts	+126

Zebby Matthews Over 2.5 earned runs (-115)

Still have no idea what a "Zebby" is, but we're fading it once again.

Minnesota Twins right-hander Zebby Matthews enters Sunday with the worst pitcher rating on the day, drawing a fully elite-rated Chicago White Sox lineup, per Batters-Box. Matthews has improved over his last few starts, but he is still allowing over 54% hard contact over his last five outings.

The White Sox bats have been on fire all week and have yet to cool down, as they have a 124 wRC+, .350 wOBA, and .785 OPS over their last six games. All six of their elite-rated hitters today will bat from the left side, and Matthews has struggled against lefties all season, owning a 5.57 ERA and 4.50 xERA while allowing a 12.2% barrel rate and 1.69 HR/9.

With the White Sox not looking ahead to a day off, they should be fully focused on this afternoon's matchup. Take this down to -125.

• Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
• Where to watch: MNNT, CHSN

Max Scherzer Under 2.5 earned runs (-149)

The old man has a chance to shove this evening against the Seattle Mariners, as they have been ice cold at the dish as of late and most of the season.

Toronto Blue Jays right-hander Max Scherzer really only has to worry about a few left-handed bats that have been seeing the ball pretty well in their last 30 at-bats versus right-handed pitching. However, six of their nine batters are batting below .185 during that stretch, generating little to no hard contact or barrels.

Despite Father Time calling Scherzer's name, he has done a very good job limiting hard-hit and barreled balls in his last five starts. On top of that, he owns a 3.31 xERA during that span.

If the old-timer gets lit up by a lineup that owns an 81 wRC+, .620 OPS, and 27.4% strikeout rate over their last six games, tip your cap. The Blue Jays are trying to end the season strong with a possible playoff berth, and Mad Max should be locked in this afternoon.

Take this down to -150.

• Time: 1:37 p.m. ET
• Where to watch: Sportnet, SEAM

Parker Messick Under 5.5 strikeouts (+126)

Cleveland Guardians left-hander Parker Messick has been outstanding in his rookie season, being an absolute strikeout machine. However, it seems like a tough road for him to surpass 5.5 strikeouts this afternoon, as he draws a Kansas City Royals lineup that makes a lot of contact and does not strike out much.

Not to mention, they are on a heater at the dish over their last 12 games. During that stretch, they own a 17.4% strikeout rate, 145 wRC+ and an .863 OPS.

Even against southpaws, the Royals do not strike out at a high rate. Over their last 30 at-bats versus a left-handed pitcher, more bats have a walk rate above 10% than they have hitters with strikeout rates above 21%.

If you want to play it safe and get 6.5, but pay some juice, go for it, but Messick should stay under six strikeouts with how well the Royals have been. Take this down to +110.

• Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
• Where to watch: ROYL, CLEG

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

The San Diego Padres were able to build a 6-3 lead over the Tampa Bay Rays thanks to a three-run top of the seventh inning. The Rays responded with a four-run bottom of the seventh inning, which handed the Padres a 7-6 loss at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburgh on Saturday. The loss is critical to San Diego’s push for the postseason, but even worse was the loss of Luis Rengifo who was injured and carted off the field in bottom of the seventh.

Bradgley Rodriguez started the seventh inning on the mound for the Padres with a 6-3 lead. San Diego appeared to have the recipe for a win in place. Rodriguez would work the seventh and pass the ball to Adrian Morejon in the eighth and eventually Mason Miller in the ninth if it was still a three-run game to secure a win. Rodriguez immediately got into trouble with a walk and back-to-back singles to load the bases. Yandy Diaz then lined a ball over the head of Jackson Merrill in centerfield that one-hopped the wall. Merrill threw the ball back to the infield where Rengifo took the ball at second base.

Tampa Bay had a runner caught between second and third and Rengifo ran toward him. At the same time, the runner on third base sprinted toward home and when Rengifo planted to stop his momentum and throw to the plate, he suffered what manager Craig Stammen said after the game was a knee sprain. The throw from Rengifo sailed past home plate and allowed the tying runs to score to tie the game at 6-6.

After a long injury delay and Rengifo being driven off the field while lying on his back on the cart, Stammen replaced Rodriguez with Adrian Morejon since there were no outs in the inning and the winning run on third base. Morejon induced a groundout for the first out of the inning and then allowed an intentional walk to setup the double play possibility. Morejon struck out Ryan Vilade for the second out of the inning but then allowed a single to Chandler Simpson which put the Rays ahead of the Padres, 7-6. The inning ended on a strikeout one batter later.

San Diego appeared deflated after the injury to Rengifo and surrendering the lead and went down in order in the top of the eighth. Manny Machado drew a one-out walk in the top of the ninth, but Ty France followed with a strikeout and Merrill grounded out to end the game.

The Padres will have an opportunity to salvage the series today at 10:40 a.m. before they depart for a three-game set with the Cincinnati Reds to finish the road trip.

Padres News:

Padres DSL team is in position to win back-to-back titles.

Baseball News:

• Pete Crow-Armstrong hit three home runs and led the Chicago Cubs to a blowout win over the Reds.

• The New York Mets placed center fielder Luis Robert Jr. on waivers.

• Laars Nootbaar helped the Arizona Diamondbacks win the first game of a doubleheader with the San Francisco Giants with a pinch-hit grand slam. The Giants bounced back to win Game 2.

• Josh Rojas drives in four runs to lead the Kansas City Royals over the Cleveland Guardians.

• The Chicago White Sox slipped past the Minnesota Twins, 3-2.

• The Washington Nationals got a walk-off win in the 10th inning over the Miami Marlins.

• The Atlanta Braves got their sixth consecutive win with a 2-1 win over the Colorado Rockies.

• Jake Bennett delivered a scoreless outing to lead the Boston Red Sox over the New York Yankees in the first game of their doubleheader. The Yankees bounced back to win the second game.

• The Philadelphia Phillies topped the Los Angeles Angels, 4-2.

There’s whiplash-inducing, and then there’s whatever the Braves have done in August. The month started with five wins in a row, the bulk of an eight-game winning streak. Then there was a stretch where the Braves won just one of five series, including suffering a sweep at the hands of the Twins. But, they’re reeling off another winning streak as August draws to a close, having won six in a row. They swept the Dodgers at home (first time sweeping the Dodgers since 2013!) and can pull off another sweep if they win today. Another odd thing: the Braves haven’t had a win by a differential of three or more runs since August 12; their last seven wins have all been either one-run or two-run affairs in the end.

To help keep the winning streak going, the Braves will rely on Trade Deadline pickup Tyler Mahle. The journeyman right-hander has a 109/101/94 line (ERA-/FIP-/xFIP-) for the season as a whole. As a Brave, that line has been a much healthier 37/73/80, though it’s only been four starts. The Braves have split those four games, but not for any real fault of Mahle’s, who’s been great in three of them, only struggling against the Twins. The Braves have reworked Mahle’s arsenal a bit, having him throw more splitters and less of his other non-four seam offerings; the result has been a bunch more whiffs, including in the zone.

This will be Mahle’s third outing against the Rockies this season, as he faced them in back-to-back starts in July. He acquitted himself pretty well (though he lasted only 4 1/3 at Coors Field) with a combined 9/3 K/BB ratio in 11 1/3 innings across those two starts.

Starting opposite Mahle for Colorado will be Mason Adams, a 26-year-old right-hander acquired from the White Sox in the Brenton Doyle trade. Adams was a 2022 senior sign that has nonetheless progressed towards the majors on the back of an extreme pitchability profile that’s given him a fair bit of minor league success amid a progression of serious injuries, including Tommy John Surgery last spring. He made his MLB debut last week against the Nationals, and put together a 5/3 K/BB ratio in four frames, with Daylen Lile tagging him for a homer. Adams threw a diversified four-pitch mix (four-seamer, sinker, sweeper, curve) in that start; the Braves should be prepared for a fairly straightforward fastballs-in-zone, breakers-out-of-it profile.

Game Info

Game Date/Time: Sunday, August 30, 1:35 p.m. EDT

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

TV/Streaming: BravesVision

Radio: 680 AM / 93.7 FM The Fan, Los Bravos

Johnny Lindell was born in Colorado, but was raised in California. From an early age and through high school he showed to be a promising athlete starring for Monrovia High School in football, track, and of course baseball. The 6-foot-4 right-handed pitcher caught the eye of Yankees scouts and was signed as an amateur free agent in 1936 receiving a bonus of $150.

John Harlan Lindell

Born: August 30, 1916 (Greeley, CO)

Died: August 27, 1985 (Newport Beach, CA)

Yankees Tenure: 1941-1950 

After signing with the Yankees, Lindell started working his way through the farm system. In his first season in the minors he posted a 17-8 record. Despite his large frame Lindell was known for his breaking balls, depending on his curve and slider to produce outs. In 1940 Lindell went 18-7 with a 2.70 ERA in the American Association with the Yankees’ farm team in Kansas City.

Lindell’s performance in 1940, as well as a strong spring, landed Lindell on the opening day roster as a reliever. However, that promotion turned into a cup of coffee as Lindell was sent back down to the minors after only appearing as a pinch-hitter. Lindell would spend 1941 in Newark with the Yankees’ top farm club. He went 23-4 with a league-leading 2.05 ERA and then picked up three more victories in the playoffs. The Sporting News named Lindell the 1941 Minor League Player of the Year for that performance.

Heading into the 1942 season the Yankees and the rest of the majors were dealing with players leaving to serve in World War II. It was thought the top pitching prospect would win a starting job. However, Lindell seemed to have that Quad-A type stuff and was stuck out in the bullpen. Lindell finished the 1942 season going 2-1 with a 3.76 ERA in 52.2 innings. The Yankees lost the World Series loss to the St. Louis Cardinals that season and Lindell did not make an appearance in the postseason.

Prior to the 1943 season, skipper Joe McCarthy decided that Lindell did not have a fastball worthy of the show, but decided Lindell was a good enough hitter to try him out in the outfield. With starters Joe DiMaggio and Tommy Henrich in the service Lindell not only made the club but was a starting outfielder. Lindell got off to a great start and was selected to the 1943 All-Star team. His final slash line on the season was .245/.329/.365 and he led the league in triples with 12. The Yankees would face the Cardinals in a rematch of the previous Fall Classic and this time the Yankees would prevail in five games. 

The best season of Lindell’s career would come the following season in 1944. Lindell hit .300, set his career high with 18 home runs, had 103 runs batted in, and again led the league in triples this time with 16. The team finished in third place, however, and missed the postseason. Lindell was off to a solid start in 1945, but was drafted into the military that June and would serve until March of 1946. 

With all the boys returning in 1946 Lindell found himself in a crowded outfield with no sure spot in the lineup. Lindell appeared in 102 games shuffling around in a utility role as the Yankees went 87-67 on the season, finishing in third and missing the playoffs.

An injury to Charlie Keller in 1947 put Lindell back into a regular role. Lindell posted solid number over the course of the regular season, but really entered a zone in the World Series. Facing the Brooklyn Dodgers, Lindell went 9-for-18 at the plate and led the team with seven runs batted in. The Yankees would take the series in seven games.

The Yankees moved Yogi Berra to the outfield before the 1948 season and welcomed back a healthy Keller. This again crowded the grass and pushed Lindell into a utility role. Playing in only 88 games, Lindell slashed .317/.387/.511 with 13 home runs. The team finished third again and missed the playoffs. 

Lindell’s playing time continued its downward projection in 1949. Despite the limited role Lindell got to play the hero at the end of the season helping the Yankees take down the Red Sox to claim the pennant. The Yankees would face and defeat the Brooklyn Dodgers this time in five games giving Lindell his third ring as a Yankee.

Heading into 1950 Lindell was still the Yankees’ fourth outfielder. However, that would change in May as he was sold to the St. Louis Cardinals. Lindell struggled at the plate following the move, and this led to him being sent back down to the minors. In June the Cardinals traded Lindell to the Brooklyn Dodgers for Glen Moulder. While bouncing around in the minors Lindell started pitching again, now throwing a knuckleball. Prior to the 1951 season, Lindell landed in the Pirates’ organization.

In 1953 Lindell was back on a major league roster throwing a knuckleball for the Pirates. Now 36, Lindell went 5-16 with a 4.71 ERA. On the last day of August that season Lindell was purchased by the Philadelphia Phillies. Rounding out the year with the Phillies, Lindell went 1-1 with a 4.24 ERA. Lindell started the 1954 season with the Phillies and appeared in a handful of games as a pinch hitter before being released. 

That release ended his playing career. After that, Lindell took a position as the athletic director of the 7-Up Foundation back in California. Lindell passed away from lung cancer in 1985.

It’s no small feat to win multiple World Series titles, especially contributing as a quality hitter after coming up as a promising pitcher. Lindell filled whatever role the team needed him in, and his name will forever be a part of the era that saw the team cement their spot atop the sport’s history books. Happy birthday Johnny!

Here's what happened in Mets Land on Saturday, in case you missed it...

• Nolan McLean allowed just an unearned run over 7.0 innings, Jared Young had a big day at the plate, and the Mets beat the Astros, 6-2
• Juan Soto was activated off of the IL, saying it feels "really cool" to be back with his teammates on the field
• The Mets placed outfielder Luis Robert Jr. on waivers, giving other teams 48 hours to claim him, meaning they would take on the remaining $3 million on his contract for the remainder of the season
• SNY MLB Insider Chelsea Janes caught up with Bo Bichette,who has turned things around this reason but remains non-committal about his opt-out in the offseason
• Jonah Tong continues to make a case to be called up in September, pitching seven one-hit innings for Triple-A Syracuse

Good morning, folks..

The Texas Rangers fell to the Milwaukee Brewers yesterday by a score of 5-3.

Evan Grant’s game story talks about the Rangers’ recent road struggles.

Skip Schumaker thinks Evan Carter can learn from watching the Brewers’ lefthanded hitters.

David Laurila has his Sunday Notes column up at Fangraphs.