All hands will be on deck Thursday night as the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies have the stage to themselves in the final game of MLB's wild card playoff round.
Tied 1-1 in the best-of-three series after a pair of nail-biting finishes, the winner of the third and deciding game in suburban Atlanta will advance to the National League division series against the two-time defending World Series champion Los Angeles Dodgers.
The Phillies will have right-hander Aaron Nola (7-12, 4.67 ERA) on the mound, while the Braves will counter with an opener in left-handed reliever Ray Kerr (0-0, 1.47 ERA).
USA TODAY Sports will chronicle all the action and provide instant analysis on the game.
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First pitch between the Braves and Phillies is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, Oct. 1.
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Why the Braves are starting Dominic Smith over Sean Murphy in Game 3
07:34 PM ET, October 1 2026Dominic Smith has been in the majors for 10 seasons. This week was his first taste of the postseason, and he struck out in both pinch-hit at-bats.
Tonight, he's the Braves designated hitter in an elimination game.
Walt Weiss benched Sean Murphy, who doubled at 111 miles per hour off the bat and walked in Game 2. Drake Baldwin is catching.
Weiss' reason is simple: Aaron Nola.
Smith, a former Met who saw plenty of Nola in the National League East, is 11-for-41 (.268) against the Phillies' Game 3 starter with six doubles and a homer. Murphy is 3-for-17 with eight strikeouts.
The season numbers make it harder to understand, though. Smith hit .345 through his first 45 games, then .187 over his last 63. Murphy hit .182 in 33 games.
Smith does have one more useful split. He hit .355 with runners in scoring position and two outs.
If Zack Wheeler comes out of the Phillies bullpen, Smith is a career .382 hitter against him.
Where is Robert Suarez? Why the Braves haven't used him in the playoffs
07:24 PM ET, October 1 2026Robert Suarez saved 40 games for San Diego last season. Atlanta gave him $45 million over three years to set up Raisel Iglesias.
He hasn't thrown a pitch in this series.
For three months he was worth the money. Suarez had a 0.56 ERA through his first 31 games with the Braves. Then he went on the injured list June 26 with right elbow inflammation. He missed 78 games, came back Sept. 23 and gave up a run in each of his two outings before the season ended.
So when Atlanta led 3-1 in the eighth inning of Game 2, manager Walt Weiss went to Dylan Lee. Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper greeted him with back-to-back 400-plus foot home runs.
Afterward, Weiss said Suarez has pitched two innings in three months and wasn't going to move ahead of the relievers who got the Braves there.
Lee Didier Fuentes and Iglesias have now pitched two nights in a row. Suarez hasn't pitched since Sept. 26.
Will Zack Wheeler pitch in relief tonight? His bullpen history
07:11 PM ET, October 1 2026Zack Wheeler has come out of the bullpen once in his major league career.
It was Game 7 of the 2023 NLCS. Arizona led 4-2 in the seventh inning when Wheeler entered on short rest. He threw 1 2/3 scoreless innings and struck out one. The Phillies lost by that same score, and the Diamondbacks went to the World Series.
Tonight, he's expected to do it again. Aaron Nola starts, and interim manager Don Mattingly has said everyone is available. Wheeler would be on three days' rest after throwing 97 pitches in the regular0season finale. He has never started a game on short rest.
Wheeler has a 2.18 ERA in 12 postseason games. Among pitcher who have faced at least 250 batters in October, his 0.73 WHIP is the best in history. Only Mariano Rivera has held hitters to a lower OPS.
Wheeler,36, came back from thoracic outlet surgery this season.
The risk of a bullpen game in an elimination game
06:59 PM ET, October 1 2026Ray Kerr missed all of 2025 after Tommy John surgery and didn't return to the majors until Aug. 17.
Tonight he starts a winner-take-all playoff game.
The left-hander is an opener, expected to cover only the first couple of innings before Grant Holmes takes over. Kerr had a 1.47 ERA in nine appearances this season. Against the Phillies in September, he threw 6 1/3 scoreless innings and allowed two hits.
Atlanta tried this exact plan Sept. 25 at Miami. Kerr threw three scoreless innings, Holmes followed and the Braves lost 3-0.
October has been split on the idea of openers. Facing elimination in the 2024 NLDS, the Dodgers started reliever Ryan Brasier, used eight pitchers and shut out the Padres 8-0. They went on to win the World Series. In the 2018 World Card Game, Oakland opened with Liam Hendricks. Aaron Judge hit a two-run homer off him in the first inning, and the Yankees won 7-2.
The Braves bullpen goes into this game having carried a heavy workload the last two games.
Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper match Babe Ruth and Lou Gehrig postseason feat
06:38 PM ET, October 1 2026, Kristie AckertKyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper did something in Game 2 that hadn't happened in October in 98 years.
Their back-to-back homers off Braves left-hander Dylan Lee in the eighth inning marked only the second time in postseason history that two left-handed hitters went back-to-back against a lefty, according to baseball writer Jayson Stark.
The other pair was Babe Ruth and Lou Gehrig. They did it off St. Louis Cardinals left-hander Bill Sherdel in the seventh inning of Game 4 of the 1928 World Series. Ruth's homer tied the game 2-2, Gehrig's put the Yankees ahead for good, and New York won 7-3 to finish the sweep.
Schwarber and Harper's homers tied Wednesday's game 3-3 with the Phillies six outs from elimination. According to the Elias Sports Bureau, it was only the second time a team facing elimination hit back-to-back homers in the eighth inning or later to tie or take the lead. The 2019 Washington Nationals were the other, with Juan Soto and Anthony Rendon in Game 5 of the NLDS against the Dodgers.
Who is pitching for Braves?
05:53 PM ET, October 1 2026, Jesse YomtovLeft-hander Ray Kerr is starting for the Braves in the winner-take-all Game 3. The 32-year-old had a 2.47 ERA in 18.1 regular seasons.
"Obviously pretty tough left-handed top of the order," Braves manager Walt Weiss said of the Phillies lineup. "Ray has thrown the ball well against these guys, and it's been recent. I think two different outings within a week, three, three-plus each time, scoreless, did a nice job.
Keeps a right-handed starter away from that top of the order for a minute. Ray has thrown the ball really well, done a nice job for us.
Could Chris Sale make an appearance out of the bullpen?
"All hands on deck. I don't ever divulge who's available, who's not before a game," Weiss told reporters. "But yeah, it's an elimination game, so we'll see how these guys feel."
Braves amped for Game 3
05:37 PM ET, October 1 2026, Jesse Yomtov"The vibes are good. It's the only game that's being played today," Braves outfielder Mauricio Dubon said pregame. "Everybody is going to be watching. Phillies and Braves fans hate each other. So it's going to be really fun.
Who is pitching for Phillies?
05:28 PM ET, October 1 2026, Jesse YomtovAfter using lefties Jesus Luzardo in Game 1 and Cristopher Sanchez in Game 2, the Phillies will turn to right-hander Aaron Nola to start Game 3. .
He's been excellent down the stretch, with a 2.93 ERA and 1.16 WHIP during his final 11 starts in the regular season. Plus, he'd make the start on his normal schedule after last taking the mound Saturday, Sept. 26 for one inning against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Wheeler, who delivered six strong innings in the regular-season finale on Sunday, Sept. 27 to get the Phillies into the playoffs, would presumably be available out of the bullpen on three days' rest.
– Steve Gardner
Phillies lineup today
04:53 PM ET, October 1 2026, Jesse Yomtov- Trea Turner (R) SS
- Kyle Schwarber (L) DH
- Bryce Harper (L) RF
- Alec Bohm (R) 1B
- Bryson Stott (L) 2B
- Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF
- Edmundo Sosa (R) 3B
- J.T. Realmuto (R) C
- Justin Crawford (L) CF
Past World Series winners (2016-2025)
04:30 PM ET, October 1 2026- 2025: Los Angeles Dodgers (def. Toronto Blue Jays, 4-3)
- 2024: Los Angeles Dodgers (def. New York Yankees, 4-1)
- 2023: Texas Rangers (def. Arizona Diamondbacks, 4-1)
- 2022: Houston Astros (def. Philadelphia Phillies, 4-2)
- 2021: Atlanta Braves (def. Houston Astros, 4-2)
- 2020: Los Angeles Dodgers (def. Tampa Bay Rays, 4-2)
- 2019: Washington Nationals (def. Houston Astros, 4-3)
- 2018: Boston Red Sox (def. Los Angeles Dodgers, 4-1)
- 2017: Houston Astros (def. Los Angeles Dodgers, 4-3)
- 2016: Chicago Cubs (def. Cleveland Indians, 4-3)
Braves lineup today
04:24 PM ET, October 1 2026, Jesse Yomtov- Drake Baldwin (L) C
- Ronald Acuña Jr. (R) RF
- Matt Olson (L) 1B
- Michael Harris II (L) CF
- Mauricio Dubón (R) SS
- Mike Yastrzemski (L) LF
- Austin Riley (R) 3B
- Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
- Dominic Smith (L) DH
Bryce Harper praises Alec Bohm
04:09 PM ET, October 1 2026, Jesse Yomtov"I'm proud of him. He's been through the wringer this year, on and off the field. No person or player or anybody should have to go through those situations," Bryce Harper said after Game 2 of teammate Alec Bohm, who has been the subject of criticism and incessant trade rumors in recent years.
Bohm hit the go-ahead home run in the 10th inning of Game 2 on Wednesday, helping the Phillies force the winner-take-all Game 3.
"This team, we're so close. We're more close throughout the year than we are to our wives and our kids. We travel around, we're with each other more," Harper said. "I played with him for a long time, and for him to have that moment, obviously in that situation, I'm super proud of him, super happy for him.
"It just goes to show, it doesn't matter what happens during the year, what your numbers look like or anything else. It's what have you done for me lately. Today he's one of the best players and probably one of the favorites in Philadelphia right now."
Phillies vs Braves predictions
04:00 PM ET, October 1 2026, Jesse Yomtov- Bob Nightengale: Phillies 5, Atlanta 3 – The stars saved the Phillies’ season in Game 2. They’ll do it again, with Aaron Nola on the mound and Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber providing the fire power.
- Gabe Lacques: Braves 7, Phillies 6 – One more bullpen pratfall does in the Phillies for good.
- Steve Gardner: Phillies 5, Braves 3 – Zack Wheeler, Aaron Nola (or both) keep the Braves bats quiet just long enough for the Phillies to eke out the win.
- Jesse Yomtov: Phillies 6, Braves 2 – Phils build a big enough lead early that their bullpen can't blow it and hang on to win their first playoff series since 2023.
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What time is Phillies at Braves?
03:50 PM ET, October 1 2026The Braves host the Phillies on Thursday, Oct. 1. First pitch is scheduled for 8 p.m. (ET).
This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Phillies vs Braves LIVE updates from do-or-die Game 3, where to watch
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