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The dinger run continues with another +550 in the bag last night, pushing this homer heater to 8-16 SU for 20+ units over the last eight articles.

There's still a hole to climb out of, but with summer here, I'm letting the good times roll with home runs and MLB player props. 

I'm pushing a lot of chips into the middle in this Cubs vs. Mets game and taking a hitter on both sides in a great run environment with two of the hottest sticks in baseball. 

Let's also add friend of the show, Brandon Marsh, back to the card. He's been killing it in the Washington series and has a great setting to hit his third homer vs. the Nationals this week.

These are my favorite home run props for Thursday, June 25. 

Best MLB home run props today

Home run pick: Pete Crow-Armstrong (+335)

This is a little outside my usual price range, but we're talking about the hottest hitter in baseball, Pete Crow-Armstrong.

He leads the league in both slugging and wRC+ over the last two weeks, has crushed a league-best six home runs during that span, and paces all hitters with 10 bombs in June.

Citi Field is set up for offense tonight with 14-mph winds blowing out to center field, two taxed bullpens, and a pair of starters who have been generous lately.

Freddy Peralta has allowed 26 runs over his last 31 innings, and is coming off a start where he surrendered 10 runs and two homers. He may also be asked to wear some innings with the Mets missing several high-leverage bullpen arms.

The first three games of this series have already produced 43 runs, and I'm expecting the offenses to keep rolling Thursday night. I'm buying PCA at +300 or better. 

• Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where to watch: SNY, Marquee Sports Network

Home run pick: Bo Bichette (+504)

Bo Bichette is not the punching bag he was last month.

Over the last two weeks, he's been a Top-5 hitter in wRC+, slugging, and wOBA. He hit his 10th homer of the season last night and owns a 1.135 OPS over his last four series with eight multi-hit games in 12 contests.

The winds are blowing out to center field at 14 mph tonight, and this series has been nothing but runs through three games in two days.

Bichette lost Juan Soto, but Francisco Lindor is back and provides more punch to the lineup. The former Jay also gets a great matchup against left-hander Matthew Boyd.

Boyd is returning from injury, was pitching to a 6.00 ERA before going down, threw just 58 pitches in his last rehab start, and is backed by a bullpen that could be down four arms after yesterday's doubleheader.

Bichette has seen the lefty five times and taken him deep once. I am all-in on runs in this game, and this is my favorite home run prop on the home side. I'd play it down to +425.

• Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where to watch: SNY, Marquee Sports Network

Home run pick: Brandon Marsh (+670)

Oh look, it's me betting a Brandon Marsh home run again for the third straight day.

He cashed at +660 on Tuesday, and although he didn't go deep yesterday, he followed it up with a three-hit game — his second straight.

Over the first three games of this series against Washington, Marsh is 7-for-13 with two homers, and gets another great opportunity today to leave the yard for a third time in the series.

There are double-digit winds blowing out to left field, Marsh has already seen plenty of this bullpen (including a homer off closer Brad Lord), and Cade Cavalli is still pitching above his underlying numbers. Over the last month, he ranks among the bottom 40 starters in baseball in xERA.

Left-handed hitters are batting .303 against him this season with an .807 OPS, and the warmer weather appears to be catching up to him. Opponents own an .840 OPS against Cavalli in June, compared to an OPS below .700 earlier in the season.

I'm once again playing Marsh at any number that starts with +600.

• Time: 6:45 p.m. ET
• Where to watch: NBCSP, Nationals.TV

Today’s HR parlay

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The St. Louis Cardinals announced a change in the chain of command yesterday, but the majority of us believe this is how things were mostly run anyway. With the shift, though, my personal hope is that Bill DeWitt III and Anuk Karunaratne will defer all baseball related decisions to Chaim Bloom and his staff.

The press conference touched on some of those ideas, with Bloom mentioning that this team could play its way into a slight deviation from the plan but DeWitt Jr. also stating that rentals are off the table. Changing the plan would be a big shift after hearing that the long-term has always been the focus. The team’s recent play, though, may call for a pause on any of those additions and it appears more likely we will see players traded away.

Chaim Bloom could still buy and sell at this year’s deadline as the Cardinals sit in a postseason spot

On the latest episode of Cardinals on My Time, I had a trio of content creators break down seemingly all angles of what the Cardinals could do during this trade deadline. We touched on the typical trade pieces, but there was also some disagreement for who we think stays or goes. Let me know where you agree or disagree with what we said!

Thanks as always!

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Death. Taxes. This current era of the Atlanta Braves having nearly nothing go right for them whenever they’re in California. Petco Park has especially turned into a house of horrors for the Braves, as Atlanta has now lost nine straight games on the road against the Padres (if you’re including the 2024 NL Wild Card series) and haven’t looked particular inspiring in most of them.

What makes the following recap so disappointing is the fact that the Braves were heading into this series buoyed by the success that they had against the NL Central-leading Brewers during their most recent series at home. Now granted, the Braves did drop the final game of that series in ugly fashion but at the same time, the Braves kind of made that a habit during their successful run earlier this season. A series win is a series win, especially against a top-tier team like Milwaukee.

Unfortunately, the momentum did not carry over from Cobb County to California and now, things are back to looking bleak after a brief weekend respite. Let’s go ahead and get into this series.

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Monday, June 22

Padres 1, Braves 0

Michael King had been having a rough go of it on the mound for San Diego as he had come into this start having given up at least three runs in each of his past five starts. I’d have to imagine that his eyes lit up once he saw those navy blue “A” hats and the jerseys with the tomahawks across the chest because those seem to always inspire confidence in the San Diego hurler.

It felt a lot like 2024 on this particular night as Atlanta was unable to really get anything going against King as he tossed seven strong innings. Meanwhile, Atlanta’s pitching staff did a tremendous job of making San Diego’s lineup scuffle as well and we ended up having a predictable pitchers’ duel in Petco Park. Grant Holmes was once again unable to get deep into a start and while he did a great job of limiting San Diego’s damage, it was certainly annoying to see him give up a dinger to the currently-struggling Manny Machado

As such, since Atlanta’s offense was unable to make anything happen in response to the Machado homer, the Braves ended up having to deal with Adrian Morejon and Mason Miller, which meant that the Braves ended up losing by one run.

Tuesday, June 23

Padres 7, Braves 6

I’m not going to lie to you, the second inning of this game felt a LOT like 2025 when this team was seemingly allergic to success. That was when something truly rare for the Braves at Petco Park happened for them: A big inning. Atlanta put up four (yes, four!) runs in the second inning with Rowdy Tellez plating two RBI on a single, Michael Harris II smacking a double that brought in Drake Baldwin and Matt Olson welcoming Kyle Hart into the game (who inherited a bases-loaded mess from Griffin Canning) by walking the bases loaded. Atlanta was up 4-0 in the second inning! Life was good! I could taste colors! I could see sounds!

Then it was almost as if the Braves remembered the stadium and state that they were playing in and things went to pot almost immediately afterwards. In the immediate next frame, JR Ritchie proceeded to have a nightmare inning after getting the leadoff runner out. The next six runners all reached base safely as two consecutive walks turned into a horror inning for Ritchie. Once the smoke cleared, a four-run lead had quickly turned into a one-run deficit and frustration abounded in the visitors’ dugout.

Fortunately, Atlanta did respond after Ozzie Albies cashed in a Money Mike single by cracking a double to tie the game up and then Mauricio Dubón came up big yet again as he hit a dinger at Yuki Matsui’s expense to put Atlanta back in front.

However, this is California (and it’s Petco Park in particular) which means that the good times couldn’t possibly last for long. Carlos Carrasco ended up getting pressed into duty for two innings in this one and the second inning is when the other shoe finally dropped. Fernando Tatis Jr. came into this series with a grand total of two (2) homers across the entire season. He left this series with three, as his third homer of 2026 was hit off of Cookie Carrasco and it tied the game at six. The Braves ended up having to deal with Adrian Morejon and (two innings of) Mason Miller, which meant that the Braves ended up losing by one run in extras after Manny Machado (of course) walked it off.

Wednesday, June 24

Padres 5, Braves 2

The Braves did not have to deal with Adrian Morejon and Mason Miller since they were both down, but nonetheless, they were unable to make anything happen against David Morgan, Wandy Peralta and Jason Adam so the Braves ended up losing and getting swept in a three-game series for the first time all season. Joey Bart hit a home runs off of JP Sears in order to chase him from the game, so that was cool. Other than that, this was a fitting end to yet another horror show of a series in San Diego for the Braves.

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Yep, there’s no sugarcoating this. This is some bad baseball being played by the Braves at the moment. Never mind the fact that Petco Park has suddenly turned into a nightmare factory for Atlanta, the Braves are in a serious funk right now and it’s honestly starting to get annoying. It’s one thing to go through a slump like this — it happens to all teams and if it didn’t, we’d regularly see the best teams win around 120 games and winning 100 wouldn’t really be anything special. With that being said, it’s starting to get really concerning!

The Braves just need a spark right now and while there are plenty of candidates on this team who are clearly capable of doing something to really get the rest of the team going, it’s hard to see who’s going to do it at the moment. It also doesn’t help that any time the offense makes something happen, the Braves end up in a situation like we saw on Tuesday when any good times are extremely short-lived and they’re back in the mud again. Whether it’s the inconsistent offense or the unreliable starting pitching, there’s a lot that needs to be fixed at the moment.

Whatever the case may be, things have got to get fixed and soon. Considering how far ahead the Braves were in the standings not all that long ago, it’s actually kind of wild that it’s very much possible that the Phillies may catch and possibly even surpass the Braves in the NL East race soon. Atlanta still has the upper hand but if this continues for much longer, the once-inconceivable could happen and Atlanta could have a fight on their hands with not even the All-Star break having passed yet. That’s how quickly things have changed in this division and if the Braves want to avoid the nightmare scenario, they will have to find their groove quickly.

Unfortunately, there’s still one more California series left in this road trip which means that things could very get worse before they get better. There was a time when a series against the team of San Francisco’s caliber would’ve had both the team and the fans licking their chops at what’s to come. Now, it just feels like there’s a sense of foreboding doom at the moment. Again, it’s just a moment but it sure would be nice to see the Braves break out of this slump as soon as possible. I genuinely thought that we might’ve seen Atlanta break out of it with that series win against the first-place Brewers but the California nightmare has ensured that this slump continues for at least another few games.

The 2026 Colorado Rockies season has been bittersweet for me. I’m ecstatic that the team has been playing better and that the new front office has a clearer sense of direction, but I’m also saddened that my dad isn’t here to enjoy the climb.

I’ve missed being able to talk to him about the Rockies to lament losses, rejoice in the big wins, and theorize what the best course of action for the team is. My older brother and I will text each other about things happening during the game (usually venting frustrations about relievers giving up a lead), but there is still that missing piece for both of us. Even attending Rockies games since his passing has felt like there was an empty seat where he should have been with us, eating a hot dog and sipping a Coke.

June has turned into a particularly tough month as it marked a year since my dad passed away after his battle with cancer. June features my dad’s birthday, my parents’ wedding anniversary, and the anniversary of his passing, all within a week. Add in Father’s Day later in the month, and that’s a lot of emotional tolls to pay. I’ve thought about him a lot this month, and my mind has lingered on the idea of how much he would have loved the team’s new look this year, particularly in the player personnel.

My dad loved the Rockies and loved to cheer for the players. He’d have to rely on me to inform him about players initially, but would make his decision based on watching them play.

As I’ve watched the new faces of the 2026 Rockies, I couldn’t help but try to figure out some of the players that would likely be among his new favorites.

TJ Rumfield

There is no doubt Dad would absolutely enjoy watching TJ Rumfield. The rookie first baseman has been nothing short of amazing in his first year of big league action and has been a steadying presence at the Rockies’ most tumultuous position. His dedication to working hard and playing the game “the right way” is quite evident in his performance night after night. Dad always loved those players who spoke softly, worked hard at their craft, and let their play on the field do the talking. Rumfield so often reminds me of a mix of Todd Helton and DJ LeMahieu by his approach at the plate and the fact that I’m not sure I’ve heard him speak more than a single sentence at any given time. It’s hard not to admire the way Rumfield plays baseball and, hopefully, continues to have a fantastic season and career.

Troy Johnston

There is always a need for those fan favorite players that are mostly here for the vibes, with an added bonus of playing well. Troy Johnston checks those two boxes relatively easily. What makes Johnston such an easy player to root for is that he appears to be an infectiously joyful individual. In a world where so many star athletes approach the game like it’s a typical 9-5 because of their dedication to being the best, Johnston reminds us that it’s okay to have fun and be goofy. The defense may leave a lot to be desired, but his bat and clutch hits have been a joy to behold. I’ve also enjoyed those moments of levity where he hops into interviews to ask teammates why they are so handsome. Dad loved players like Johnston who become part of the heart and soul of a team, even for a short while.

Tomoyuki Sugano

There is always a love-hate relationship when it comes to a majority of Rockies pitchers. You rejoice when they are excellent, but curse them when they struggle. And yet, every once in a while, a pitcher comes along that you can’t help but root for every time out, no matter what, because of what he brings to the table. Tomoyuki Sugano is that type of pitcher. I can imagine that Dad would be skeptical of Sugano, like so many of us. Sure, he had a great career in Japan, but the home runs were an issue in 2025, and he’s old by baseball standards. It only took a couple of starts for Sugano to prove that he’s easily one of the most reliable and consistent starters for the Rockies this season. He is in the mold of the “old school” pitchers that pound the zone and locate very well, which my dad grew up following. When we would plan out our annual trip to Coors Field, a major part of it would be trying to figure out which starting pitcher we would see that day. Sugano is the pitcher Dad would be thrilled to see in person.

Moving forward

Through the rest of the 2025 season, the changes of the offseason, and the growth of 2026, I’ve longed for those days when I could recap what’s happening in the world of the Rockies with my dad. Having suffered through so many bad seasons, he deserved a year like 2026, where hope has begun to flourish, and that classic LoDo magic was re-conjured. He deserved to root for players like those listed above.

And yet, in a way, I can’t help but feel that this season is something of a gift from beyond for me. The team is full of players that he would adore, and he would cheer for each of them as much as he could. As I watch the players above alongside others not mentioned, I can feel like I’m still watching games with my dad, even if he isn’t here physically.

Baseball was the greatest source of bonding that I had with him, and I’m grateful that the 2026 Rockies and the new faces on the team have enabled me to enjoy that bond even more through one of the most difficult things I’ve ever experienced.

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Many years, the Seattle Mariners reaching the midway point of the season above .500 would be seen as a distinct success. Similarly, reaching Game #82 in first place by 2.5 games would be a state of abject glee. But the expectations are different in 2026, and the rubber match of Seattle’s series with the Pittsburgh Pirates will once again give Seattle a shot to win a series or drop to .500.

On the heels of Wednesday’s drubbing, the M’s will run out nearly the same lineup as a night ago against Pirates rookie RHP Bubba Chandler. Chandler entered 2026 as one of the sport’s top pitching prospects, albeit of a lesser caliber to Paul Skenes when he arrived on the scene a few years prior. Bryce Miller will oppose him, Seattle’s least-heralded hurler at times whose start to 2026 has been outright dominant.

Lineups

The lineup looks potent still, albeit with Cal Raleigh taking a DH day to let Mitch Garver work behind the dish. That puts Dominic Canzone on the bench for now.

Pittsburgh made a roster move before the game today, placing disciplined leadoff hitter INF Spencer Horowitz on the injured list with a hamstring strain and recalling INF Jack Brannigan in his place.

Game Information

First Pitch: 9:35 a.m. PDT

TV:Mariners.TV, with Aaron Goldsmith, Angie Mentink and sideline analyst Brad Adam

Radio: 710 AM Seattle Sports, with Gary Hill Jr. and Shannon Drayer

Today marks the 54th birthday of Carlos Delgado.

Carlos Delgado was born in Aguadilla, Puerto Rico. The Blue Jays signed him as an amateur free agent in 1988 when he was just 16. He climbed through the minor league system as a catcher. He quickly became our top prospect; he hit 30 home runs in Dunedin in 1992 at 20 years old and 25 the following season at Double-A Knoxville.

Carlos was called up to Toronto at the end of the 1993 season, the team’s second World Series-winning year, but he only appeared in a few games. Nonetheless, the Jays awarded him a World Series ring. The following season, Carlos began the year with Toronto and played most of the early games in left field. He started strong, posting a 1.028 OPS on April 24th with 8 home runs, but then struggled and was sent back to the minors in early June, hitting .215/.352/.438 at the time. Manager Cito Gaston was known for his lack of patience with young players, and it’s possible Delgado could have benefited from more time to adjust. Notably, Bill James predicted he’d be an MVP candidate by 2000, and Carlos fulfilled that potential several times.

In 1995, the Jays brought Delgado up at the end of April, but Cito used him mainly as a pinch hitter, and he didn’t hit much in the 25 at-bats he was given that month (it was more important to keep Joe Carter’s .300 OBP in the lineup). The Jays sent Delgado back down. They brought him back up in September, where he played more, but still didn’t hit much.

Finally, in 1996, Carlos got to stay up with the Jays for the entire season. DHing most of the time, he hit .270/.353/.490 with 25 homers and 82 RBI. After the season, the Jays traded John Olerud to make room at first base for Carlos.

Carlos opened 1997 as the DH while Joe Carter played first base, but by late May, Delgado took over at first and kept the job for the next eight years. He had a great year, hitting .262/.350/.528 with 30 homers and 91 RBI.

In 1998, Carlos played first base full-time, and his numbers took another big jump. He hit .292/.385/.592 with 38 homers and 115 RBI. He received MVP votes and finished fifth in the league in slugging average.

Delgado followed with another terrific season in 1999, hitting .272/.377/.571 and setting career highs in home runs (44), RBI (134), runs (113), and walks (86). He won his first Silver Slugger award and finished 12th in MVP voting. Additionally, he tied George Bell’s single-season team record for RBI. Delgado likely would have set a new record if he hadn’t broken his tibia after fouling a ball off his leg and missing the final ten games.

In 2000, Carlos played in all 162 games and led the league with 57 doubles. He hit .344/.470/.664, had 41 homers, and set a new team record with 137 RBI. Carlos also took 123 walks and led the league, being hit by a pitch 15 times. He made the All-Star team for the first time, came in 4th in MVP voting, won the AL Hank Aaron Award (for best hitter), and was the Sporting News Player of the Year. He also got his second Silver Slugger award. Also, Carlos finished 4th in the league in batting average, 2nd in on-base average, 2nd in walks, 2nd in slugging, and first in total bases.

His .664 slugging average is the Jays’ single-season record, and his .344 BA and .470 OBP are the second-best in Jays’ history. He also had the Jays’ season-highs in total bases, doubles, walks, extra-base hits, and runs created. He was AL Player of the Week twice and had a 22-game hit streak. He was one of seven Jays to hit 20 homers and one of three with 30.

Delgado appeared in all 162 games again in 2001. Although his numbers declined from the previous year, he still produced a solid .279/.408/.540 line with 39 home runs, 102 RBI, and 111 walks—impressive for what was considered a down season. It marked his fourth straight season with over 35 home runs and 100 RBI. He also recorded the first stolen base of his MLB career.

His numbers fell more in 2002. He hit .277/.406/.549 with 33 homers, 108 RBI, and 102 walks. He finished 4th in the league in OBP, 8th in slugging, and 4th in walks. Carlos was the first Jay to hit 30 homers in 6 consecutive seasons and 100 RBI in 5. He missed a game on August 4th to snap a streak of 432 straight games played. Then he went on the DL for just the second time in his career in late August with a stiff back.

Carlos had a bounce-back season in 2003, hitting .302/.426/.593 with 42 home runs and a new career and franchise high in RBI with 145, which led the league. He made the All-Star team, got the Silver Slugger award, and came second in the MVP voting. He finished 2nd in slugging, on-base, home runs, and walks.

It was his seventh straight year with 30 home runs, sixth with 100 RBI, and fifth with 100 runs. Among other achievements, he had 97 RBI at the All-Star break and four home runs in a game on September 25th. In addition, he reached base 334 times, setting another team record.

The 2004 season was Delgado’s last with the Blue Jays. He missed about a month due to a strained rib cage and, for the first time since 1997, didn’t reach 100 RBI. Still, he finished with 32 home runs and a .269/.372/.545 batting line.

After the season, Carlos was a free agent, and the team decided not to sign him. JP wanted to cut the salary, and Carlos had made $19.7 million in 2004. He signed a four-year contract with the Florida Marlins. When the team missed the playoffs, Carlos got the blame. I find bad organizations, and often fans, will blame the team’s best player for the team’s shortcomings.

After one season with the Marlins, they cut payroll and traded Delgado to the Mets for Mike Jacobs, Yusmeiro Petit, and Grant Psomas. Carlos then played four seasons for the Mets, making the playoffs for the first time in 2006 and losing to the Cardinals in the NLCS in 2007.

Carlos retired with a .280/.383/.546 line and 473 home runs in 2035 games. He was one and out on the Hall of Fame ballot, only getting 3.8% of the votes in 2015. He deserved better. He may have lost some votes because he would stay in the dugout for the God Bless America, making a silent protest against the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Rob Neyers’ Big Book of Baseball Lineups lists him as the best Jays first baseman and the worst defensive first baseman in the Jays’ history. Considering John Mayberry played first for us, that’s saying something. He’s right; Delgado was never very good with the glove, but we never had a better hitter.

Carlos was awarded the Roberto Clemente Award in 2006 for ‘good play and strong work in the community.’ He does work for many charities in Puerto Rico.

He has had his moments of controversy. He protested the war in Iraq by not standing during ‘God Bless America’ (he was ahead of his time). He said,” I feel so sad for the families that lost relatives and loved ones in the war. But I think it’s the stupidest war ever.”

He is married and has two children, a son and a daughter.

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It is also Mike Stanley’s birthday; he turns 63 today.

Stanley had a 15-year MLB career. He was an offence-first catcher, hitting .270/.370/.458 in 1467 MLB games, with 187 home runs. He was never a good defensive catcher, but when you can get a corner infielder’s type of bat from your catcher, you put up with the less-than-great defense.

Stanley signed with the Jays as a free agent before the 1998 season, hitting .240/.353/.472 with 22 home runs before being traded to the Red Sox at the trade deadline. The trade worked out well for the Red Sox, and they made the playoffs that year.

It didn’t do much for the Jays. We received Jay Yennaco and Peter Munro. Yennaco never made it out of the minors. Munro pitched in 40 games for the Jays, starting 5, and put up a 1-3 record and a 6.00 ERA.

Happy Birthday to both Carlos and Mike. I hope you both have a great one.