CLEVELAND, OHIO - APRIL 29: Cade Smith #36 and Bo Naylor #23 of the Cleveland Guardians celebrate the team's 3-1 win over the Tampa Bay Rays at Progressive Field on April 29, 2026 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Nick Cammett/Getty Images) | Getty Images
With yesterday’s victory over the Tampa Bay Rays, the Cleveland Guardians are back to a .500 record and back to the top of the AL Central. Gavin Williams pitched a phenomenal game yesterday in the 3-1 victory on 4 days of rest. The recap can be read here.
The Guardians are off today as the team travels out west to face off against the Oakland Athletics in a 3 game weekend series.
Nick and Quincy are exploring the questions we’ve all been asking; What’s wrong with Steven Kwan/Chase DeLauter.
Guardians beat reporter, Tim Stebbins, put out a piece looking at where the team is at in regards to the offense after a month of baseball.
Around the League:
The Braves walked it off against the Tigers. The Tigers are now 1 game under .500 and 0.5 games back in the AL Central.
Today’s Reflections are a bit here and there, but it all comes together in the end.
A few years ago, I was on one of my mini-MiLB baseball trip/music festival combos through southern Mississippi and the Florida panhandle (Biloxi Shuckers — 3.5 (giant casino in the outfield annoying); Pensacola Blue Wahoos — 4.25 (while Biloxi is on the water, Pensacola is almost in the water — the first base line/RF has a curved walkway that almost draws you from the game (hard for anything to make me do that)) both docked 0.5 for Biloxi having NO shade, and Pensacola minimal — glad we went in early May).
I knew I was passing through Crystal Springs, MS and that that was where Robert Johnson was from (our featured bluesman today). Saw there was a museum, so I stopped. The large room made the displays look limited, but it just gave you plenty of room to look everything over (surprise, we were the only visitors). I asked if they had any souvenirs or T-shirts. The lady said that they had a bunch left over from a festival they tried having several years before, and the vendor brought one size of T-shirts: 5X. I went ahead and bought one as a donation.
As we were leaving, the lady asked we liked music-related locations. I kind of was skeptical, but said sure and she sent us an hour down the road, luckily in the direction we were going. It was at Gillsburg, MS — the Lynyrd Skynyrd Monument Site. To say it was of such amazing detail and quality and just flat-out beautiful isn’t enough. SO highly recommended if you are in the middle of nowhere Mississippi.
Brett Taylor (North Side Baseball): Kyle Hendricks is Joining an MLB Front Office, But Somehow It Isn’t the Cubs. “How on earth did this happen? How is this possible? Everyone knew old friend/pitching genius Kyle Hendricks was going to join an MLB front office after his playing days were over, and frankly, I’d just assumed that it would OBVIOUSLY be the Chicago Cubs. ….. As you would guess, Hendricks will reportedly be working in pitching development with the Detroit Tigers. The Tigers. Not the Cubs. The Tigers.”
Brian Kelter (North Side Baseball): Was the Cubs’ Pitching Injury Crisis Inevitable? “The Cubs’ pitching depth has been annihilated by injuries. This isn’t luck. This is a risky plan gone awry.”
Patrick Mooney (The Athletic {$}): Where things stand with Dansby Swanson and Alex Bregman as Cubs near end of trip. “Cubs manager Craig Counsell explained that Bregman was out of the lineup with a sore toe. ….. Swanson then felt something while sliding to steal third base. Swanson had exited the game with a “left glute cramp.” It’s hard to give the Cubs the benefit of the doubt with injuries,“
Randy Holt (North Side Baseball): “Does Moisés Ballesteros’s Profile Indicate Looming Regression, or Continued Brilliance? “With a 216 wRC+ in 69 plate appearances, Ballesteros trails only Yordan Alvarez for the major-league lead. ….. Perhaps most encouraging about the start from Ballesteros is that virtually everything he’s producing is coming on the strength of exactly what we thought his skill set was. ….. Given how seamlessly the profile has manifested in nearly a full-time role, is it possible that his skill set could help him stave off what seems like inevitable regression?
Darragh McDonald (MLBTradeRumors.com): Cubs Claim Doug Nikhazy, Designate Ben Cowles For Assignment. “The Cubs have claimed left-hander Doug Nikhazy off waivers from the White Sox and optioned him to AAA Iowa. The Cubs designated IF Ben Cowles for assignment to open a 40-man spot.”
Ben Heyen (Sporting News): Cubs looking smart after not paying Kyle Tucker $240 million for 4 years. “The Cubs may have known what was coming, or they may have gotten lucky. But so far, Tucker’s deal with the Dodgers hasn’t worked out. …… So far, Tucker has been a below league average hitter. His OPS+ is just 96, which means he’s been 4% worse than the league average bat.”
Justin Bonhard (Sporting News): The Chicago Cubs are amongst the league’s best, and they have not reached their full potential yet. “The Cubs have gotten it done with their bats, as they have the third-best batting average in all of baseball at. 263 as a team. To go along with the contact, they have made the most of their hits with some power, as their 37 homers as a team are the sixth-most in MLB. When (PCA catches fire), the possibilities for this team are endless, and their true potential will be revealed.”
Max Ralph (MLB.com): Suzuki offers hilarious BP impressions of Ballesteros, Swanson: “Suzuki (a righty) did an over-the-top impression of Ballesteros’ unique left-handed swing, featuring a sizable leg kick with his hands held high, for teammates during pregame batting practice. The slugger also took his shot at Cubs shortstop Dansby Swanson, who recognizably puts the bat on his shoulder and leans back a bit before digging into his stance. Swanson also tends to fall toward home plate after a swing and miss, which Suzuki displayed perfectly, before mocking Swanson’s wide-legged gait back toward the dugout. (VIDEO enclosed);
Matt Sullivan (Sporting News): Cubs have a huge Pete Crow-Armstrong hitting problem. “So far this season (prior to Tuesday), Crow-Armstrong is hitting .241 with one home run, which is thanks in large part to how he’s struggling to barrel up any baseballs this season. He had 59 barrels last year, but this season he’s barreled up just four baseballs. His offensive presence has been minimal at best this season, with his 82 OPS+ showing just how far below league-average he is offensively.”
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Food For Thought:
More than 100 years ago, a child was born in Mississippi – a dirt-poor, African-American who would grow up, learn to sing and play the blues, and eventually achieve worldwide renown. In the decades after his death, he has become known as the King of the Delta Blues Singers, his music expanding in influence to the point that rock stars of the greatest magnitude – the Rolling Stones, Bob Dylan, Eric Clapton, the Allman Brothers – all sing his praise and have recorded his songs.
That child was Robert Johnson, an itinerant blues singer and guitarist who lived from 1911 to 1938. He recorded 29 songs between 1936 and ‘37 for the American Record Corporation, which released eleven 78rpm records on their Vocalion label during Johnson¹s lifetime, and one after his death.
Like many bluesmen of his day, Johnson plied his craft on street corners and in juke joints, ever rambling and ever lonely – and writing songs that romanticized that existence. But Johnson accomplished this with such an unprecedented intensity, marrying his starkly expressive vocals with a guitar mastery, that his music has endured long after the heyday of country blues and his own short life.
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Not open for business? The threat of a 2027 stoppage hangs over MLB. | (Icon Sportswire/Getty Images)
The high likelihood of a 2027 work stoppage has been floating in the background for a while now, tied to the upcoming expiration of the current collective bargaining agreement.
How will this affect our Sox?
The easy answer is that it depends a lot on where they are in their timeline. The more honest answer is that uncertainty alone is part of the problem.
If the South Siders are still in a rebuild, a work stoppage could be a real gut punch. Lost time means fewer reps for prospects, fewer opportunities to evaluate talent at the major league level, and a disrupted rhythm for Chris Getz and the front office that’s trying to figure out what it actually has. We know how important development is, especially for teams like the Sox, leaning on young players to take that next step.
On the other hand, if 2027 is supposed to be part of a competitive window, the stakes are even higher. A shortened season or delayed start compresses everything. Hot starts matter more. Slumps hurt more. Depth gets tested differently. And for a team that’s trying to prove it belongs, losing even a part of a season can feel like losing an entire opportunity.
Then there’s the financial side. We know that the White Sox aren’t a team that operates at the very top of the spending scale, and uncertainty tends to make cautious teams even more cautious. A looming or ongoing work stoppage could impact free-agent decisions, extensions (Munetaka Murakami), or even mid-tier signings — the exact types of moves that often shape how competitive this team can realistically be.
There’s also a lingering memory factor here. The 2021–22 MLB lockout didn’t just delay the season — it froze pretty much the entire offseason and created a weird, rushed sprint once things resumed. Teams that were prepared adapted. Others looked like they were playing catch-up from day one. It’s not hard to imagine a similar dynamic playing out again.
And maybe the biggest thing? Momentum.
Baseball is a sport that thrives on routine and rhythm. For an organization like the White Sox, which has spent the last few years trying to develop a new clubhouse identity, that kind of interruption could hit harder than it would for a more established contender.
At the same time, there’s an argument that a stoppage could level the playing field a bit. Every team deals with the same pause. Every roster gets thrown off schedule. In theory, it creates a reset button. But resets aren’t always neutral. Some teams need continuity more than others.
So the question isn’t just will a 2027 work stoppage affect the White Sox — it’s how it would hit them.
If it lands during another transitional year, it could slow everything down. If it lands right as they’re turning the corner, it could derail something meaningful. If it lands when they’re already struggling well, then it might just blend into the background noise.
That’s the unfortunate part of all this. The impact of something like a work stoppage isn’t just about the league; it’s about timing, and the White Sox haven’t exactly given anyone a clear sense yet of where that timing will fall.
How much do you think a potential 2027 work stoppage would impact the White Sox specifically, or is it just one of those league-wide issues that ends up affecting everyone the same?
SAN FRANCISCO, CA - AUGUST 27: A view of the San Francisco Giants Clubhouse Store before a MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and the Chicago Cubs on August 27, 2025 at Oracle Park in San Francisco, CA. (Photo by Matthew Huang/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
Good morning, baseball fans!
According to reporting from Gabe Fernandez of SFGate, the San Francisco Giants have removed a food item that was both popular and controversial from availability at Oracle Park.
The Giants were among a handful of teams who had released a “9-9-9 challenge” concession package earlier this season. The challenge is essentially to eat nine hot dogs and drink nine beers over nine innings. I think you’re technically supposed to do one of each per inning.
The package was, ostensibly, quite a steal at $54.99 for nine of each item. Or at least it would have been if they were full size. But the package apparently included miniature sized hot dogs and beers. Which might be a gimmicky version of the challenge, and probably better for the health of anyone adventurous enough to try it, but it didn’t exactly live up to expectations that many fans may have had.
But I guess that’s okay, because according to Fernandez’ reporting, the park quietly stopped selling the packages earlier this month. Whether that was more to do with the fan reaction, lack of inventory, or if they’ve just decided it’s probably not a good idea on the whole. Who can say. They certainly didn’t, because they did not respond to SFGate’s request for a comment.
Question of the day: Would you be willing to try the “9-9-9 challenge” if they become available again?
Personally, I don’t think I would be interested, even if they increased the sizes to match the actual spirit of the challenge. There are some things best done in moderation, especially at my age. But if any of you young whippersnappers ever get a chance to try it, you’ll have to let us know how it goes.
What time do the Giants play today?
The Giants wrap up their three-game road series against the Philadelphia Phillies later this morning at 10:05 a.m. PT.
ST LOUIS, MISSOURI - APRIL 13: Nolan Gorman #16 of the St. Louis Cardinals fields the ball against the Cleveland Guardians at Busch Stadium on April 13, 2026 in St Louis, Missouri. (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images) | Getty Images
In the comments, when discussing Jordan Walker, Memphis Myke wondered if it mattered that Jordan Walker had minimal protection in the lineup, since he’s followed by Nolan Gorman. Who hasn’t really hit at all this year. Gorman does have a surprisingly high number of RBIs though considering his poor hitting thus far. He has 18 RBIs in 29 games. And not that he’d play in 162 games, but that’s 100 RBIs over a full season.
Breaking news: RBIs don’t tell you how good a hitter is. Also Gorman driving in runs has not a lot to do with protection as it pertains to Jordan Walker. Pitchers don’t see Gorman on deck and see the RBIs and think “well now I have to pitch to Jordan Walker.” They see the .214 average, the .357 slugging, and the 79 wRC+. You’d rather face him than Jordan Walker.
I instinctively said that protection is a myth. I read an article years ago on this very site that looked at the performance of the #2 hitters in front of Albert Pujols, and they didn’t really play much differently in that spot than in other parts of the lineup. I could not find that article. I did find an article by Tom Tango, however, talking about protection.
And his conclusions were indeed that pitchers pitched a little differently to hitters if there was a strong hitter behind them versus not. If you have a weak hitter behind you, they will probably pitch around you. Both BB% and K% increase with a weak hitter. Interestingly though, if you actually make contact with the ball, there’s no difference. What he terms a protected hitter is not seeing better pitches to hit. Pitchers still don’t want to give a good hitter a pitch to hit, and it doesn’t matter how good the hitter is behind him.
The entire point of protecting a batter is to improve his offensive output (wOBA) by forcing the opposing pitcher to pitch to him. And indeed, we saw above that opposing pitchers pitch to protected hitters, something that is evidenced by the fewer walks. However, when the ball is put into play, we see no significant difference between how the two sets of hitters perform. The unprotected hitters have a wOBA of .395 (counting only balls that are hit), compared with .391 for protected hitters. The difference of .004 is not statistically significant.
…..
However, what we hoped to find was that, when pitchers pitch around the corners, batters tend to make worse contact (if they make contact at all). And we don’t see this. Instead, we again find that, if walks are ignored, the two types of hitters perform equivalently in wOBA. (The slight increase in strikeouts is compensated by a slight increase in the fraction of balls hit well when contact is made.) In short, we simply cannot find any evidence to suggest that the pitcher’s approach has any significant impact on the batter’s stats, aside from the obvious changes in walks and strikeouts.
So a couple of interesting takeaways here. The good news is that it doesn’t seem like the hitter behind him matters at all when it comes to contact quality. His batted ball data should not be affected. His overall performance should be the same. But it could also explain the strikeouts and the higher walk rate this season. Again though, pitchers saw what Jordan Walker was doing, and then adjusted the way they pitched to him. This had nothing to do with a weaker hitter behind him. If prime Albert Pujols was behind him, they’d try their best to avoid Walker hitting the ball.
In an interesting twist, the early returns on Nolan Gorman’s defense are very, very good. Unsustainably good certainly. But if he’s good on defense at 3B, then he’ll have an MLB job for quite a while, even if it doesn’t end up being on the Cards. A defense-first 3B who once jacked 27 homers? Yeah that guy would get lots of chances. Of course, we don’t know if he’s actually a good defender. Way too small of a sample size.
But, just to illustrate the importance of him being a good defender, I wanted to present what a +5 defender at 3B looks like with different offensive outcomes. Last year for example, it could have been the yips, but he was -6 OAA in 410 innings. The offensive bar is quite high if your defense is that bad. It would take a lot of faith in Nolan Gorman the hitter that I just don’t think people have.
But maybe he can reach a much lower bar and maybe if he does reach that, he still has a frustrating way to be an average overall player. Hey these are the kinds of things that we need to find out. Prior to last season, he had a combined 126 innings at 3B in the majors. Then, like I said, I think something mental was going on, because he kept throwing it wildly off, and that’s not been an issue this season. He has pretty much passed the eye test, and certainly it’s obvious how much better he is than last year. It’s not like we’re seeing the same thing and getting wildly different results.
So I will present a few different outcomes just to illustrate the importance of him actually being good on defense. I’ll show you Gorman as 85 wRC+ hitter, which would be a career low, as a 95 wRC+ hitter, a 105 wRC+ hitter, and just for fun a 120 wRC+ hitter. And we’ll see how each of those hitting lines work with a -5 defender at 3B, a neutral defender at 3B, and a +5 defender at 3B. We’ll start with more or less worst case scenario:
85 wRC+, -5 defender = 0.5 WAR (per 600 PAs)
95 wRC+, -5 defender = 1.2 WAR
105 wRC+, -5 defender = 2 WAR
120 wRC+, -5 defender = 3 WAR
Not ideal, although I will point out he doesn’t need to be an especially good hitter to still be average here. My faith in Nolan Gorman the batter is not very high, but a 105 wRC+ isn’t crazy to imagine for me. He’s done it twice in his career. That said, not a super appealing profile here. Gorman won’t get 600 PAs if he’s a 105 wRC+ hitter and a bad defender, so he wouldn’t reach 2 WAR. Let’s take the conservative approach, probably what we’re “supposed” to do in this situation, assume an average defender:
85 wRC+, 0 defender = 1 WAR
95 wRC+, 0 defender = 1.8 WAR
105 wRC+, 0 defender = 2.5 WAR
120 wRC+, 0 defender = 3.6 WAR
Again, remember where Gorman was at last year. I would have for sure taken it if you could guarantee me Gorman was an average defensive 3B. With this version, predictably, his offense dictates how good he is. Below average hitter, he’s more of a bench player. Average or better and he’s a starting caliber player.
85 wRC+, +5 defender = 1.6 WAR
95 wRC+, +5 defender = 2.3 WAR
105 wRC+, +5 defender = 3 WAR
120 wRC+, +5 defender = 4.1 WAR
And the best case scenario is he’s a genuinely good defender, because even the career low wRC+ is a solid sub, if not necessarily someone you want as your starter. If he gets close to average offensively, he is solidly in above average player territory. And if we combine that with good hitting, then he’s either a great trade candidate or someone you hold onto.
My approach to Gorman turned into “trade him even if he breaks out” because I didn’t trust him to maintain his production. If he’s a good defender, this does change somewhat. He goes from fool’s gold to a high floor guy who might hit 40 homers one year. If I have to bank on him being a good hitter, I’m not a fan. If being a good hitter is just a bonus, then I can roll with that. Doesn’t even matter if it’s unlikely he becomes a good hitter.
Apr 29, 2026; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Braves first baseman Matt Olson (28) does an interview with reporter Wiley Ballard after a walk-off two-run home run against the Detroit Tigers in the ninth inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images | Brett Davis-Imagn Images
In case you weren’t watching, the NL East leading Braves won yet another baseball game last night. They will end April without losing a series. And Matt Olson won it in the ninth. In case you haven’t seen it, where have you been?
Let’s take it all in again. There aren’t a lot of pictures in the CMS for this, but the ones in there are great. I’ll add a few screengrabs. First, watch the usher/support staff guy. He was the second one to know it was gone.
These blurry images of the guy beside him in the Clemson/Auburn themed Braves hat.
This one goes straight into the Louvre.
Here’s Olson, about as animated as you will see him.
HOUSTON, TEXAS - APRIL 16: Ezequiel Tovar #14 of the Colorado Rockies in action during an at bat in the fourth inning against the Houston Astros at Daikin Park on April 16, 2026 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Kenneth Richmond/Getty Images) | Getty Images
It hasn’t all been perfect, however. Tyler Freeman, TJ Rumfield, and Kyle Karros have shown some good signs amongst their overall mixed start, but the list of outright disappointments for this team so far is astonishingly small.
Given his track record the biggest underperformance so far for the 2026 Rockies is probably Ezequiel Tovar and the .193/.228/.294 triple slash line he had heading into Wednesday.
The obvious answer as to what is holding Tovar’s offensive potential back is easy to diagnose: He chases too many pitches outside the zone. So far this season, he leads the league in terms of swinging at pitches outside the zone with a mind boggling 48.7% chase rate.
That’s right, Tovar is swinging at just under half of the would-be balls he sees.
The thing is, that’s not really too different from his career averages.
Swinging at pitches he shouldn’t be has been Tovar’s most obvious flaw for his entire career. During his 3.7 fWAR season in 2024, he had a 44.1% Chase %, which was second in MLB behind only Ceddanne Rafaela of the Red Sox. It has been worse in 2026, but not by a significant margin that would explain the stark difference in productivity between the two seasons.
What’s interesting is that Tovar is actually making contact with pitches outside the zone more than he ever has. His chase contact rate has ballooned from being in the 46-48% range each of the past three seasons all the way up to 57.9% so far this year.
That sounds like a good thing. However, simply making contact with the ball does not necessarily mean it’s just a matter of time before his BABIP luck evens out. That may be some of it — as his overall BABIP is noticeably lower than his career average — but the quality of the contact also needs to be addressed.
In 2026, he is fouling off 25.1% of all pitches he sees while all of his previous seasons were in the 22% range. To go along with that spike in foul balls, his hard hit % has dropped nearly 3%, his average exit velocity has decreased nearly 2 mph, and his line drive percentage has dropped nearly 7%.
The biggest year-over-year change in Tovar’s stat line is his first-pitch swing percentage. In 2024, Tovar began 68.2% of his plate appearances with a strike, in 2025 he did so on 66.4%, and so far in 2026, it has been a truly wild 77.2%. That is a substantial increase, and all of it is accounted for by his 12.9% increase in first-pitch swings up to 59.6%.
Essentially, Tovar seems to be firing at the first pitch, finding himself behind in the count, and quickly adopting a two-strike mentality where he tries to fight off all the borderline pitches. This is a recipe for lots of contact without any productive results to show for it.
The solution is clearly for him to get better plate discipline, see the ball better, and make better swing decisions.
That’s much easier said than done.
We’ve now got over three seasons worth of data on Tovar, and it’s safe to say his poor plate discipline is part of his game and here to stay. He’s not suddenly going to become a patient hitter.
With all of that being said, the place to start is probably trying to get him to agree to simply not swing at the first pitch unless it’s a meatball right down the middle. This would likely give him some breathing room later in the count and reduce the strikeout pressure on every pitch. That one simple change is likely not a magic bullet to solve all of his problems but it absolutely would help.
A close game in which the Isotopes fell just short of catching up to the early runs from the Chihuahuas. Parker Mushinkski did not perform well as the opener and was pulled after only two outs and three runs. Gabriel Hughes pitched the bulk of the innings and allowed another four runs alongside eight strikeouts. The offensive side was more favorable with both Sterlin Thompson and Cole Carrigg reaching base three times and Carrigg even stole three bags.
Pitching and the long ball was the story of the night in Reading. The Yard Goats scored six runs on only six hits and five walks thanks to home runs from all of Bryant Betancourt, Aidan Longwell, and Roc Riggio. On the mound Konnor Eaton, Carlos Torres, Austin Smith, and Sam Weatherly completed the nine inning relay race only allowing two runs while striking out twelve despite none of them pitching more than four innings.
Jeff Criswell made his first official appearance on a rehab assignment after undergoing Tommy John surgery early last year. Given that it was his first appearance back, the two runs allowed were less important a measure than simply the fact that he was able to get through a full inning. He was followed by six great innings from Jackson Cox who struck out nine and only allowed one more run. At the plate, the best performance was from Tevin Tucker who had a walk, double, and stolen base.
This wasn’t quite a pitchers duel. JB Middleton walked six in 2.2 innings to start off the game for the Yard Goats but Seth Clausen did record a perfect two inning save to preserve the lineup’s hard work. At the plate there were more good performances than not: Clayton Gray was on base four times, Clayton Fossum had two doubles, Roldy Brito had a couple hits including a double. The thing you really want to see, however, is Ethan Holliday at the plate with the bases loaded in the second inning.
Seth Dowdle takes a quick look at Edouard Julien’s career leading up to his trade to Colorado this offseason and how that has led into his hot start with the Rockies. Dowdle gives credit to the Paul DePodesta-led front office for identifying Julien as exactly the type of bat this team needed.
Mark Knudson, on the other hand, gives credit where it’s due to the Bill Schmidt-led front office for having taken a chance on Mickey Moniak after a poor start to his career. Knudson makes the case that Moniak could end up being the Rockies representative at the All-Star game this year, which is only really in question because of how many other players are also off to hot starts.
Thomas Harding talked with Ryan Feltner about being placed on the Injured List and his next steps. Feltner does not make his injury sound overly serious and appears to be attempting to follow in the footsteps of José Quintana and Kyle Freeland with a minimum stay on the IL.
CLEARWATER, FL - MARCH 13: Baltimore Orioles Outfielder Ike Irish (97) and Infielder Wehiwa Aloy (95) walk back to the dugout before the spring training game between the New York Yankees and the Philadelphia Phillies on March 13, 2026 at BayCare Ballpark in Clearwater, Florida. (Photo by Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
It’s almost impressive that the Tides lineup managed to go 0-for-12 with runners in scoring position, largely squandering their nine hits and five walks. Jud Fabian drove in two of the runs with his sixth home run of the year. He also walked once and scored twice. Creed Willems and Jhonkensy Noel had one RBI apiece. Jonathan Rodríguez and Christian Encarnacion-Strand each had two hits. Encarancion-Strand added a walk and now has a .905 OPS on the year.
There was some good and some bad on the mound. Nestor German started and deliver four mixed innings. He only allowed one run on three hits and two strikeouts, but also issued six walks. Dietrich Enns coughed up a run over two innings while striking out three. Alex Pham also allowed one run in his two frames. But it was Josh Walker that really struggled, recording just two outs and allowing four runs, which included a walk-off three-run shot.
Chesapeake had just four hits. One of them was a home run by Aron Estrada, his third of the year. Adam Retzbach and Ethan Anderson contributed one double and one run apiece. Thomas Sosa had the team’s only other RBI.
Five different Baysox took the mound in this one. Luis De León started and went 3.1 innings, allowing five runs (four earned) on four hits, three walks, four strikeouts, and two home runs. His ERA is up to 6.52 on the year. Micah Ashman had the most impressive outing of the day, striking out three over 1.2 shutout innings. Yaqui Rivera followed with a perfect frame, setting down all three batters he faced on strikes. Eric Torres gave up two runs (one earned) over 1.2 innings before Carlos Tavera recorded the final out of the eighth inning.
High-A: Frederick Keys 5, Brooklyn Cyclones (Mets) 0
All but one Frederick hitter reached based at least once in the winning effort. Ike Irish and Wehiwa Aloy both hit their four home runs of the season. Irish’s was a two-run shot while Aloy’s was just a solo. Colin Tuft had two hits, a walk, two stolen bases, and a run scored. Victor Figueroa doubled and drove in a run. Braylin Tavera went 1-for-4 with an RBI and two stolen bases. Leandro Arias walked twice and stole a bag.
The Keys pitchers had a great day. JT Quinn delivered five shutout innings, giving up just three hits and two walks while striking out five. Michael Caldon worked 2.2 shutout innings in relief. Joe Glassey wrapped up the game by recording the final four outs, which included three strikeouts.
Low-A: Hill City Howlers (Guardians) 4, Delmarva Shorebirds 0
The Shorebirds’ tough season continued here. Their lineup collected just two hits, both of which were singles. Joshua Liranzo and Andrés Nolaya had one each. DJ Layton, the team’s lead-off hitter, did walk twice, but he was also picked off and caught stealing after one of them. The team went hitless in the five at-bats they had with a runner in scoring position.
Brayan Orrantia allowed four runs in his 4.2 innings of work, but only two of the runs were earned due to the three errors that the Delmarva defense made behind him. Orrantia made one of the errors himself. Adrian Heredia allowed one of the runners he inherited to score but then worked 1.1 shutout innings of his own. Riley Cooper struck out four over two perfect frames. Kenny Leiner came on in the ninth to pitch and allowed the two batters he faced to reach base before rain ended the game right there.
Who will win Tigers vs Braves today: Tigers moneyline (+115)
The market is overvaluing Atlanta Braves starter Bryce Elder’s 1.95 ERA while ignoring a 3.77 xFIP that signals massive regression.
Elder’s 16th-percentile velocity (91.8 mph) and 28th-percentile whiff rate are a death sentence against a Detroit Tigers "heart of the order" that is currently nuclear.
Over the last week, Spencer Torkelson (323 wRC+) and Riley Greene (219 wRC+) have punished mistakes, and their elite plate discipline (10% BB rate) will force Elder into the zone.
Getting plus-money on an overpriced pitcher primed for regression is the ultimate value play.
COVERS INTEL:The Detroit offense ranks fifth with a 133 wRC+ across their last seven games.
Tigers vs Braves Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (+100)
While the bullpens remain relatively fresh after Wednesday’s efficient relief outings, this getaway-day total is still too low.
Elder’s lucky .238 BABIP faces a Detroit offense featuring three hitters with wRC+ marks north of 190 this week.
On the other side, Framber Valdez faces an Atlanta lineup that has historically punished him, highlighted by Ozzie Albies' career 1.300 OPS in the matchup.
With 65% humidity and the wind blowing out at Truist Park and two starters who rely heavily on contact management, expect the "expected" power metrics to finally manifest in a high-scoring finale.
Phil Naessens' 2026 Transparency Record
ML/RL bets: 4-9, -4.20 units
Over/Under bets: 5-7, -2.16 units
Tigers vs Braves odds
Moneyline: Tigers +108 | Braves -113
Run line: Tigers -1.5 (+144) | Braves +1.5 (-194)
Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-100) | Under 8.5 (-117)
Tigers vs Braves trend
The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+4.40 Units / 17% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Tigers vs. Braves.
How to watch Tigers vs Braves and game info
Location
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Date
Thursday, April 30, 2026
First pitch
12:15 p.m. ET
TV
DSN, BravesVision
Tigers starting pitcher
Framber Valdez (2-1, 3.41 ERA)
Braves starting pitcher
Bryce Elder (3-1, 1.95 ERA)
Tigers vs Braves latest injuries
Tigers vs Braves weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
BOSTON, MA - APRIL 21: Caleb Durbin #5 of the Boston Red Sox throws down his helmet after striking out to end the seventh inning against the New York Yankees at Fenway Park on April 21, 2026 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo By Winslow Townson/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The Red Sox have been no stranger to slow starts in recent years, but 2026 takes the cake. As April comes to an end, the team has an abysmal 12-19 record, the manager’s been fired, hit pieces are starting to trickle out about the infighting, Garrett Crochet just landed on the IL, and the offense couldn’t hit water if they fell out of boat. The notion of “it’s early” has gone from a comforting restoration of confidence to a threat they’re going to ruin your entire summer.
So with the Red Sox thankfully out of games to play in April with today’s off day, the question becomes: is this the worst Red Sox April of all time? By pure win percentage, that honor goes to the 1932 team, which started 3-11 (baseball season started a bit later back then) on their way to 111 losses. But that team was supposed to be terrible. It was their 14th straight losing season after winning the World Series in 1918. The 2026 team was supposed to be good.
When I think of recent underachieving Red Sox squads, my mind immediately goes to 2011 and 2019. That 2011 team started off 0-6, but by the end of April they were starting to balance things out a bit and were up to 11-15. The 2019 team meanwhile, which doesn’t get nearly enough hate, was also four games under .500 at the end of April at 13-17. In other words, the 2026 Sox are almost twice as many games under .500 as those other two were. The 2012 Bobby Valentine Sox? They were 11-11 on April 30th. So yeah, this is miserable!
Talk about this and whatever else you’d like, and as always, be good to one another (even if the Red Sox aren’t good to you)!
The Pittsburgh Penguins' playoff run came to an end on Wednesday night, as they lost to the Philadelphia Flyers in overtime by a 1-0 final score. The Penguins showed great heart after going down 3-0 in the series by winning Games 4 and 5, but they just fell short in Game 6.
Now, the offseason is here for the Penguins, and it should be a very big summer in Pittsburgh. The Penguins have several pending unrestricted free agents (UFAs) to make decisions about this summer.
However, there appears to be a good chance that these three pending UFAs won't be back for the Penguins next season.
Stuart Skinner, G
After losing the Penguins' crease during the playoffs to Arturs Silovs, it is certainly fair to wonder if Stuart Skinner's time in Pittsburgh could be coming to an end. This is especially so when noting that the Penguins also have top goalie prospect Sergei Murashov looking NHL-ready.
In 27 games this season for the Penguins after being acquired from the Edmonton Oilers, Skinner had a 12-9-5 record, a 2.99 goals-against average, and an .885 save percentage.
Kevin Hayes, RW, C
Kevin Hayes is another Penguins pending UFA who likely won't be back next season. The 33-year-old forward became the odd man out on Pittsburgh's roster this season and was scratched several times because of it.
In 28 games this season with the Penguins, he had four goals, eight points, and a minus-1 rating. He did not play in a single postseason game for the Pens.
Connor Clifton, D
It would not be particularly surprising if the Penguins let Connor Clifton leave in free agency. The 31-year-old was scratched often this season by the Penguins, and that included multiple times during the playoffs.
With this, it would not be shocking if the Penguins looked to add a younger upgrade for their right side over Clifton. In 50 games this season, Clifton had two goals and four assists. He also had zero points and a minus-3 rating in three playoff games.
Now the series might be turning in the Rockets’ favor after winning two straight games and closing the gap after the Lakers built a 3-0 lead to start the series.
As a former player, Lakers coach JJ Redick understands how turnovers can happen throughout the game, but he recognized how they impacted his team’s overall performance.
“It's hard because the players see stuff on the court and it's easy for us to look back on film or armchair quarterback it,” Redick said. “I do think we had two of those turnovers where we get a stop and we throw the ball ahead out of bounds. Those are the kind of ones that you wish you had back.
“But the turnovers, they come in all shapes and sizes and it's about limiting them and you certainly have to give your guys freedom to make basketball plays. I would say in general, though, turnovers of aggression are okay. Turnovers of passivity are not.”
Marcus Smart was responsible for the Lakers’ early start offensively, providing eight of the team’s first 10 points, but it was the guard being responsible for six of the team’s 15 total turnovers that was glaring on the stat sheet.
“I had six turnovers, and that’s unacceptable for me,” Smart said after the game. “Especially with only two assists, especially against this team.”
The Rockets would score 18 points off turnovers. Houston trailed by as many as 11 points in the first half against Los Angeles before closing the gap and outscoring the Lakers 30-19 in the second quarter.
The Rockets took a 51-47 lead into the locker room at halftime.
The Lakers stumbled in the second half, allowing for the Rockets to build up a 13-point lead.
LeBron James tried to rally the Lakers in the final minutes of regulation but it was the team’s ongoing struggles that continued to make the difference.
Rui Hachimura nailed a 3-pointer that helped the Lakers try and gather some momentum as the crowd began to get loud, but Hachimura was called for a foul down on the other end of the court.
The cheers from the Los Angeles crowd quickly turned to boos as Tari Eason was at the free-throw line for the Rockets. He misses the first but makes the second.
The Rockets would lead the Lakers 88-81 with 4:13 left in regulation.
Houston overcame a late surge by the Lakers, with what was an 11-1 scoring run after, with four quick points by Reed Shepard.
“Reed Sheppard made a pull-up jumper to put them up five,” James said. “We come down, I turn the ball over, put them up seven. They’re just bang-bang plays.”
Austin Reaves returns from injury
In the loss, Austin Reaves' return was one of the only bright spots for the Lakers on Wednesday.
Reaves had 22 points and six assists off the bench after returning from a nine-game absence. He was sidelined with a left oblique muscle strain injury.
Reaves remained grateful about returning to the court, having even counted down the days in which he wasn’t able to participate.
While he did express how happy he was to return to the court, Reaves was not shy about critiquing his process toward returning for the Lakers.
“I wish I could get a little bit more of a rhythm before jumping into the fire like that, but I had a lot of fun out there,” Reaves said.
Will the Lakers clinch the series?
History is still on the Lakers’ side.
Teams with LeBron James on the roster have won 24 consecutive series when taking a 2-0 lead, according to ESPN.
When do Lakers play next?
The Lakers will travel to Houston for Game 6 of the series. The game is set for Friday, May 1, at 6:30 p.m. PT (9:30 p.m. ET). The game will be streamed on Prime.
PORT ST. LUCIE, FLORIDA - MARCH 19, 2026: Mitch Voit #55 of the New York Mets bats during the second inning of a spring training Spring Breakout game against the Tampa Bay Rays at Clover Park on March 19, 2026 in Port St. Lucie, Florida. (Photo by Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images) | Diamond Images/Getty Images
You’ll notice a theme in last night’s games: poor offense and poorer pitching. Will Watson got lit up for seven runs on four hits and four walks over three innings pitched, and only Nick Lorusso collected more than one hit in the first game.
The second game was less painful offensively, with Jacob Reimer, Eli Serrano III, and Jose Ramos all having decent days at the plate. But Brian Metover (a top tier last name for a NY prospect) gave up three runs in just a third of an inning and the Rumble Ponies couldn’t recover.
Hey, Mitch Voit got two hits and two stolen bases and the bullpen didn’t allow a run in four and a third innings pitched! That’s about as much optimism as can be mustered in this shutout loss to the Keys, as Joel Díaz was rocked for five runs.
The most offense in the entire system was St. Lucie, who lost the closest game of the day by just a skinny run. Elwis Mijares took the walk-off loss in minor league doubleheader extras (aka the eighth inning). JT Benson hit a three-run homer, too.
Apr 29, 2026; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Pistons guard Ausar Thompson (9) and Orlando Magic forward Paolo Banchero (5) goes for the rebound in the second half during game five of the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs at Little Caesars Arena. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images | Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images
In Wednesday’s Brotherhood Playoff Action, Detroit beat Orlando, 116-109, Cleveland took down Toronto, 125-120, and Houston handled Los Angeles, 99-93.
The story of the night was Paolo Banchero’s 45-point eruption for the Magic. He shot 17-31/6-11 and also grabbed 9 rebounds, and handed out 7 assists. Wendell Carter had 9 points, 4 rebounds, and 4 assists.
Brandon Ingram had just 1 point for the Raptors before leaving with an injury. RJ Barrett had 25 points, 12 rebounds, and 5 assists, but that was somewhat overshadowed by a shoving match he had with Cleveland’s James Harden.
Luke Kennard did not play well for the Lakers, scoring just 1 point in 31 minutes.
On Thursday, Jalen Johnson and the Hawks, down 3-2, face elimination if the Knicks win. Jayson Tatum and the Boston Celtics, up 3-2, have a chance to eliminate Philadelphia with a win.
Finally, Tyus Jones and the Denver Nuggets, down 3-2, need a win against Minnesota to get to Game 7.
MONTREAL, CANADA - APRIL 26: Jake Guentzel #59 of the Tampa Bay Lightning crashes into goaltender Jakub Dobes #75 of the Montréal Canadiens during the second period in Game Four of the First Round of the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs at the Bell Centre on April 26, 2026 in Montreal, Quebec, Canada. The Tampa Bay Lightning defeated the Montréal Canadiens 3-2. (Photo by Minas Panagiotakis/Getty Images) | Getty Images
With the month of April about to be in the books, we’re nearing the end of the first round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs.
Six of the eight series have been incredibly hard fought with either high levels of quality hockey, entertaining hockey, or burning hatred between the two sides.
The Carolina Hurricanes have been idle for four full days going on five days after completing a sweep of the Ottawa Senators, and while we now know their first round opponent will be the Philadelphia Flyers, we still don’t know much else about who will be in the mix in round two.
Here’s the state of play around the league outside of Carolina’s four-game sweep:
Eastern Conference
Philadelphia Flyers def. Pittsburgh Penguins, 4-2
The Flyers became the third team to advance to the second round on Wednesday night with a 1-0 overtime win over the Pittsburgh Penguins, meaning they will be Carolina’s opponent in round two.
Philadelphia avoided becoming the fifth team in NHL history to blow a 3-0 series lead in the playoffs, as Pittsburgh was just one more goal away from forcing a decisive Game 7 on home ice.
More coming on the Flyers later today, but this sets up an interesting off-season in the Steel City, as Evgeni Malkin is set to be an unrestricted free agent, and while he turned back the clock in the regular season, the tone about extending his career in Pittsburgh has been noncommittal from both sides since training camp.
Kyle Dubas did a good job putting a solid team together this year, but he will have his work cut out for him in his bid to give Sidney Crosby another shut in the playoffs next year.
Buffalo Sabres lead Boston Bruins, 3-2
Speaking of being on the verge of blowing leads, things looked over and done for the Bruins after a humiliating 6-1 loss at home in Game 4 to go down 3-1.
Then, Jeremy Swayman and David Pastrnak did what they usually do in Game 5 in Buffalo, as Swayman bounced back from Game 4 and Pastrnak delivered a silky smooth overtime winner to quiet the Buffalo crowd and send the series back to Beantown for Game 6 Friday night.
For the Sabres, the season they snapped what was by far the longest playoff drought in the NHL should have felt like house money, but this team was too good all year to accept a first-round exit against an inferior opponent.
Now, the pressure is squarely on for a largely inexperienced group to close the door on a savvy but flawed Bruins squad.
Montreal Canadiens lead Tampa Bay Lightning, 3-2
There are a few strong contenders, but for me, this has been the best series of the first round. Three of the five games have been decided in overtime, and the other two were one-goal games that came down to the wire.
Tampa Bay seemed to grab momentum when Brandon Hagel’s sixth goal of the series late in the third period of Game 4 gave them a win that tied the series, as of course the Vegas-favored and more experienced Lightning finding their footing and heading back home would give them a major edge, right?
Wrong. The Canadiens went to Florida and stunned the Bolts on Wednesday night, as Tampa goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy let in one of the worst game-winners you’ll see all postseason in a 3-2 loss to put his team’s backs against the wall.
For all the talk of Montreal’s top line of Nick Suzuki, Cole Caufield and Juraj Slafkovsky being elite, it was the team’s forward depth that won them the game Wednesday as Brendan Gallagher, Kirby Dach, and Alexandre Texier came up with the club’s goals.
The fourth one is the hardest to win, and Tampa Bay won’t go down without a fight, but the Canadiens are a very, very dangerous team.
Western Conference
Colorado Avalanche def. Los Angeles Kings, 4-0
While it may have been a little bit surprising that the Hurricanes swept a Senators team down the stretch, there is absolutely zero surprise that the Avalanche did away with the Kings in four games.
The Presidents’ Trophy winners are the favorites to lift Lord Stanley, and everyone knows it, and Colorado really wasn’t tested here despite delivering a solid all-around performance. Fresh off his first 100-point season, though, former Hurricanes Martin Necas was held without a goal and limited to just two assists. His playoff struggles in Carolina were well-documented, and against tougher teams, the Avs will need him to be a factor in producing offensively.
On the other side, what a phenomenal career for retiring Kings center Anze Kopitar. It was great to see him get his due respect this season and then in the handshake line after Game 4.
Another former Hurricane who has something to do with Martin Necas (can’t quite recall exactly why) and his team are facing elimination here, as Mikko Rantanen and a hobbled Stars team just can not muster a goal at 5-on-5.
Dallas’ power play is keeping them in the series, but Minnesota has brought an all-around game backstopped by the phenomenal play of rookie goalie Jesper Wallstedt. Olympic gold medalist Matthew Boldy has been a revelation for the Wild, as has the top pairing of his fellow gold medalists in Quinn Hughes and Brock Faber.
The Stars had a 2-1 series lead, but an overtime win at home for Minnesota in Game 4 followed by a relatively comfortable 4-2 win on the road in Game 5 have allowed the Wild to flip the script.
This series was always going to be a close one between two teams that deserved better fates than losing in the first round. The Wild have a chance to knock out the Stars on home ice on Thursday for the opportunity to take their shot at the Avalanche.
Vegas Golden Knights lead Utah Mammoth, 3-2
This a series with a clear-cut villain against a squad pretty much everyone wants to see win.
Just like in the last series, a 2-1 lead for one team has been flipped to a 3-2 lead for the other, as the Golden Knights have come up with back-to-back overtime wins to push the Mammoth to the brink.
Neither team is getting much in the way of quality goaltending, as Carter Hart and Karel Vejmelka have both struggled mightily. Vejmelka and Utah failed to hold on to 4-3 third-period leads in both Games 4 and 5, and it looks like that might cost the Mammoth their season.
Game 6 is slated for Friday night at 10:00 PM EST from Salt Lake City, and if you can stomach the lack of sleep, that promises to be one of the best games of the postseason.
Anaheim Ducks lead Edmonton Oilers, 3-2
This series sort of mirrors the one between Boston and Buffalo, but in this instance, instead of being a just-okay Bruins squad, the team looking to come back is the two-time reigning Western Conference champion Oilers.
Led by a valiant effort from Connor McDavid in Game 5, the Oilers cut a 3-1 series deficit to 3-2 behind strong play in net from Connor Ingram after looking like a team with nothing left in the tank through four games.
The Ducks are going to be one of the forces of the next decade or so in this league. Leo Carlsson and Cutter Gauthier are a phenomenal one-two offensive punch, and Jackson LaCombe is the new Jaccob Slavin in that he’s this generation’s outstanding defenseman on a smaller market team that the national media is realizing has been overlooked for a bit.
While Anaheim’s future is promising, they could make their present intriguing too if they can find a way to deliver a knockout blow to the Oilers in Orange County on Thursday night.
COVERS INTEL:
