I'm back on the home run beat after a short IL stint, but ready to hit the ground running with a home run slate loaded with great hitting conditions and some pick-on pitchers to cash some MLB player props.
While everyone is rushing out the door to bet dingers in the Brewers-A's game, the real home run value can be found at Coors Field today, and I'm adding Seiya Suzuki to my slate alongside Josh Jung and Lars Nootbaar from my earlier picks.
These are my favorite MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, June 9.
UPDATE: Added another HR pick + parlay.
Best MLB home run props today
Player to hit a HR
Odds
Lars Nootbaar
+503
Josh Jung
+700
Seiya Suzuki
+390
đ˛Today's HR parlay
+22335
Home run pick: Lars Nootbaar (+503)
There is value in Lars Nootbaar, who returned to the lineup last week and looks fully healthy.
Over a small sample, he leads the team in HR/FB rate (20%), fly-ball rate (71.4%), and slugging percentage (.700), while ranking second in bat speed at 75.7 mph. He has already gone deep in just 13 plate appearances and added a double after a rehab stint in which he launched three home runs. With 15-mph winds screaming out to center field, heâs my favorite St. Louis Cardinals target at this price in a favorable home-run matchup.
Freddy Peralta ranks 33rd among starters in HR/FB rate over the last month, which plays well with Nootbaarâs ability to get the ball in the air. The bullpen behind him has also been giving up home runs lately and is generating a lot of fly-ball outs.
Nootbaar is an everyday player who could even find himself in the leadoff spot, which would give him a chance at an extra at-bat today. Itâs a play to +435. Ivan Herrera (+710) and Alec Burleson (+502) are also on the radar in this game.
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Where to watch: SNY, Cardinals.TV
Home run pick: Josh Jung (+700)
Kauffman Stadium might not be the best home run park, but 15-mph winds blowing out to left-center and temperatures pushing 90 degrees create a great environment for dingers today.
The Texas Rangers have the better side of the matchup against Stephen Kolek, who generates plenty of ground balls, but when hitters do get the ball in the air against him, it tends to leave the yard. He's also making his first start after returning from the family medical emergency list.
Josh Jung at +500 or better is my favorite way to attack this spot. He ranks among the team's Top 3 hitters in power metrics and has recorded a hit in 16 of his last 18 games while posting a .930 OPS.
He also just faced the Kansas City Royals three series ago and responded with three extra-base hits while slugging .786 during the matchup. The Royals' bullpen adds to the appeal, ranking in the bottom third of baseball in HR/9.
Evan Carter (+830) and Brandon Nimmo (+538) also project as +EV home run plays, per the player projections at Covers.
Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
Where to watch: Royals.TV, Rangers Sports Network
Home run pick: Seiya Suzuki (+390)
I want a Chicago Cubs bat in Denver in today's MLB picks, with 15-mph winds blowing out to right field and temperatures pushing near 90 degrees.
Itâs also a spot where Tomoyuki Sugano looks vulnerable, carrying a 7.58 xERA that sits well above his sub-4.00 surface ERA. This was a pitcher who had one of the worst HR/FB rates in baseball last season, and he wasn't even pitching at Coors half the time.
Seiya Suzuki at +390 projects as one of the top +EV home run options in this game, with a fair price closer to +300. He is part of a small group of Chicago hitters who have been swinging it well over the last two weeks, and he stands out with a price 150 points better than the others.
Even if Sugano manages to limit damage, the Colorado Rockies bullpen has been horrendous, posting a 10.20 ERA and 2.08 HR/9 over the last 14 days. Everyone might be looking at Las Vegas for dingers today, but the better value is in Colorado.
Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
Where to watch: Marquee, Rockies.TV
Josh Inglis' 2026 Transparency Record
HR picks: 13-105, -35.94 units
Todayâs HR parlay
Lars Nootbaar
Bet Now +22335
Josh Jung
Seiya Suzuki
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
For more than two decades, LeBron James has stacked accomplishments at a pace few athletes in any sport can match. Championships, MVP awards, Olympic gold medals, and the NBAâs all-time scoring record have all found their way onto his resume.
Yet when asked by TIME Magazine to identify the greatest achievement of his basketball life, LeBron didnât mention any of them.
LeBron James calls playing with son Bronny the greatest achievement of his career. IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect
âOut of all the sât Iâve done in basketball â thatâs the best accomplishment Iâve ever had,â James said, referring to sharing an NBA court with his son Bronny.
The comment came as part of TIMEâs profile naming James among the most influential figures in sports. But for LeBron, the defining chapter of his career has become something deeply personal.
When the Lakers selected Bronny James with the 55th pick in the 2024 NBA Draft it immediately sparked the debate about LeBronâs role in securing his son with the pick.
Critics dismissed Bronnyâs selection as pure nepotism.
James holds his son LeBron Jr. following the Cavaliers victory in Game Six of the Eastern Conference Finals in 2007. NBAE via Getty Images
In the interview LeBron James, once again, fired back at those critics.
âThe kid has earned his right to be a professional athlete,â he said. âThe thing youâre not going to do is throw stones at us as a family. Iâm not letting that sh-t slide.â
âSo if you want to talk about the kid,â James continued. âThat he shouldnât be an NBA player, I donât care about that. As long as you donât get to the fatherhood piece. I donât play those games.â
James and Bronny look downcourt against the Golden State Warriors. Getty Images
It is difficult to argue that LeBronâs standing within the Lakers organization didnât open doors for his son.
But, the claim of nepotism never stopped.
ESPN commentator and the Jamesâ family chief critic Stephen A. Smith repeatedly questioned Bronnyâs NBA readiness and famously pleaded with LeBron to stop putting his son in a difficult position. This led to a heated altercation at a game, during which LeBron approached Smith courtside and fiercely told him to âstop effing with my son.â
Boston Celtics star Jaylen Brown drew headlines after being caught on camera during Summer League saying he didnât believe Bronny was a professional-caliber player.
Colin Cowherd and others have criticized the Lakers for placing a developmental prospect under a spotlight few second-round picks ever experience.
The James warm up against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Getty Images
Bronny may never develop into a bonafide NBA star, but a more reasonable comparison is to other players selected near the end of the second round.
Patty Mills remains the gold standard from that draft slot, turning the 55th pick into a 16-year career while averaging 8.7 points per game and winning an NBA championship.
Bronny is nowhere near that trajectory yet, (2.7 points, 1.1 assists, and 0.6 rebounds in 8.1 minutes per game) but his early production and role are already comparable to, and in some cases ahead of, some players selected in the same range.
For a prospect drafted 55th overall, becoming a reliable rotation player would represent a significant achievement in its own right.
James shares the stage with sons LeBron Jr. and Bryce and wife Savannah Brinson in 2009. NBAE via Getty Images
Along the way, the Jamesâs have created several milestones that may never be duplicated. LeBron and Bronny became the first father-son teammates in NBA history, the first father-son duo to appear together in playoff games, and the first to record assists to one another during both the regular season and postseason.
Whether Bronny ultimately develops into a long-term NBA contributor remains to be seen. But if LeBronâs latest comments revealed anything, itâs that the accomplishment he values most isnât one measured by rings, points, or accolades.
For all the debates surrounding Bronnyâs career, LeBronâs position is remarkably clear. His son earned the opportunity. And if history is going to judge him, heâd rather be remembered for the opportunities he has created as a father, rather than simply as a basketball monolith.
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Elaine Shen was named the franchiseâs newest CFO on Tuesday, replacing former CFO Joe McCormack.
Shen will oversee all financial aspects for the Lakers, âshaping strategic growth, driving profitability and creating continued value for the global franchise,â the team said in its announcement.
New LA Lakers owner Mark Walter has hired Elaine Shen as new chief financial officer. Getty Images
McCormack has shifted to an executive advisory role for the Lakers as the senior vice president of finance.
Heâs been with the franchise since December 1988.
Shen joined the Lakers in 2016 and has held a variety of roles for the Lakers in both business and basketball operations.
Shen was most recently the Lakers associate chief financial officer and vice president of strategy and planning.
âElaine Shen is an exceptional leader and catalyst for success,â Lakers president of business operations Lon Rosen said in a statement.
âShe brings an artful and considerate approach to every table, combined with the ability to build consensus and make tough decisions. Elaine is a trusted advisor and the perfect modern CFO to help lead the next stage of transformation for the Los Angeles Lakers.â
The Lakers have made several other changes to their basketball and business operations departments since Mark Walter, the Dodgers controlling owner, officially became the majority owner of the Lakers in October:
It's the best day of the week for baseball. Tuesday.
We've got a full slate loaded with opportunities to cash in on some of the leagueâs best hitters to do damage at the plate.
My MLB player props for Tuesday, June 9, are eyeing Julio Rodriguez, Ian Happ, and Shohei Ohtani.
Best MLB player props today
Player
Pick
Odds
Julio Rodriguez
Over 1.5 total bases
-110
Ian Happ
Over 1.5 total bases
-124
Shohei Ohtani
Over 1.5 total bases
+111
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 total bases (-110)
First game of the day, the Seattle Mariners take on the Baltimore Orioles, and we're hyper-focused on Mariners center fielder Julio RodrĂguez as we back the over on his total bases prop this evening.
The young star has been terrorizing southpaws this season, posting a 173 wRC+, .987 OPS, 50% hard-hit rate, and a 12.5% barrel rate. Over his last 30 plate appearances against lefties, he's making 60% hard contact while batting .286 with a .571 SLG and .904 OPS.
Today marks Rodriguez's 52nd elite rating on Batters-Box. In his previous 51 elite ratings, he's gone Over this prop 45% of the time and has left the yard in 21% of those contests. He's also gone Over 1.5 total bases in seven of his last 10 elite-rated games.
The young slugger draws Trevor Rogers this evening, a pitcher against whom he owns an 80.2% arsenal coverage rating.
The lefty has allowed right-handed hitters to do just about whatever they want this season, surrendering 42.4% hard contact at home. Over the last 60 right-handed batters he's faced, opponents have posted a .320 xBA, .514 xSLG, and .340 xwOBA. During that same stretch, Rogers has allowed 45.8% hard contact, an 8.3% barrel rate, and a massive 68.8% elevation rate.
Anything below -120 for this prop is a go in my book. Don't want to lay the juice? Take his home run prop or a double prop for a little more value.
Time: 6:35 p.m. ET
Where to watch: MASN, SEAM
Ian Happ Over 1.5 total bases (-124)
My shirt is covered in drool because these numbers for Chicago Cubs switch-hitter Ian Happ to go over his total bases prop tonight at Coors Field are absolutely delectable.
The longtime Cub has been tearing the cover off the ball lately, batting .414 with a 1.034 SLG and 1.467 OPS over his last 30 at-bats against right-handed pitchers. During that stretch, he's generated 59.1% hard contact and a 13.6% barrel rate.
Happ draws seasoned Colorado Rockies sophomore Tomoyuki Sugano, who owns the worst pitcher rating on Batters-Box's current season rankings. The veteran Japanese right-hander is allowing 50.71% hard contact to opposing hitters while carrying just a 13.33% strikeout rate.
Left-handed bats have absolutely torched him recently. Over the last 60 lefties he's faced, opponents have posted a 49% hard-contact rate, 25.5% barrel rate, and 72.6% elevation rate. Those hitters have also produced a ridiculous .429 xBA, .977 xSLG, and .548 xwOBA during that span.
With this game at Coors Field, Happ carrying 78.7% arsenal coverage, and Sugano getting shelled, I have to be all over Mr. Happ's total bases tonight. If this number climbs, I'd pivot to his double and home run props instead.
Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
Where to watch: Marquee, COLR
Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Total Bases (+111)
We are really here for the value. Getting Shohei Ohtani to go Over 1.5 bases at +111 is a gift. I do not care if Jesus Christ in his prime is on the mound; Ohtani always has a chance.
He has cleared 2+ bases in eight of his last 10 elite-rated road spots.
If you want to pay the -125 price on his hits + runs + RBI prop, I fully endorse that as well. The trend is your friend there.
Over his last 30 plate appearances against right-handed pitching, Ohtani is hitting .423 with a .645 slugging percentage and a 1.154 OPS, while generating 63.2% hard contact. He also has a 73.7% arsenal coverage rate against Skenesâ pitch mix.
Even if Skenes has success early, once Pittsburgh goes to the bullpen, Ohtani is still in a strong position to do damage. The Pirates bullpen allows the highest hard-contact rate to left-handed hitters at home, and is also allowing an 82.8% elevation rate.
At +111, this feels like a steal. Even if it does not always hit, the price itself is the win. I would take this down to +100.
Do not forget to sprinkle on the home run as well; it's hovering around 4/1.
Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
Where to watch: SNP, SNLA
Colby Marchio's 2026 Transparency Record
Prop picks: 197-345-29, +1.30 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
Among the high-profile attendees was President Donald Trump, whose presence sparked a mix of reactions in the arena. Ahead of tip-off, the Jumbotron displayed President Trump during the national anthem. The crowd reacted with boos as Trump offered a military salute.
Trump watched the action from Knicks owner James Dolanâs private suite, accompanied by his granddaughter Kai, personal advisor Boris Epshteyn, and Cabinet secretaries Lee Zeldin, Sean Duffy and Doug Burgum. Trump's attendance made history as the first sitting president to attend an NBA Finals game.
After the game, before boarding Air Force One to return to the White House, President Trump was asked about the crowdâs response.
"It was, I think, mostly cheers," Trump said, offering his own interpretation of the mixed reception.
Security measures for Game 3 were at an all-time high due to the presidentâs attendance. According to the NYC Commissioner, a planned Game 3 watch party outside Madison Square Garden was canceled out of an abundance of caution. Fans entering the arena faced multiple checkpoints and were required to present tickets or passes and undergo airport-style screening with Transportation Security Administration magnetometers. Inside, Secret Service agents and NYPD officers were stationed throughout the venue.
The NBA Finals series, with the Knicks currently leading 2-1, continues at MSG for Game 4 on Wednesday, and eyes now turn to Game 4 at the Garden before the series shifts back to San Antonio, the lingering question is whether Trump will make a return appearance.
There has been no official word on Trump's status for Game 4 at this point, but signs are pointing toward no.
ESPN's senior NBA insider Shams Charania reported that Trump is not expected to attend due to scheduling conflicts.
The president did suggest last week that he could do both Game 3 and Game 4, but he also made reference to being busy with other things, "like a war." Additionally, the fact that the New York Police Department said it expects city watch parties to return for Game 4 would indicate Trump would might not attend.
Mikel Brown, Nate Ament, Sean Marks, Getty Images, NetsDaily Graphic
We are in the homestretch and news keeps breaking. Just before noon, Kevin OâConnor of Yahoo! Sports tweeted out the latest: a Brooklyn workout today pitting two prospects among those most mentioned as Nets possibilities, whether at No. 6 or later.
Itâs Karim Lopez of Mexico and the New Zealand Breakers vs. Nate Ament of Tennessee behind closed doors at HSS Training Center, as Lopez revealed to OâConnorâŚ
Karim Lopez and Nate Ament are working out for the Nets today, Lopez said on my podcast. Two potential lottery picks are going head-to-head for Brooklyn, who have the 6th pick.
âIâm going to Brooklyn,â he told OâConnor. âGoing up against Nate Ament. I think thatâs whoâs going to be in that workout. Iâm super excited about that. I feel like itâs going to be a good one. Iâm excited.â
Tje matchup shouldnât be that much of a surprise. Teams will often pair similar prospects in one-on-one workouts. The two are both 19, both in the 6â10â range, both probably still growing and both prospective NBA wings. Ament may be the better offensive player, Lopez the better defender.
Also, no surprise that the Nets are now working out the top lottery picks. The 2026 NBA draft is two weeks away from Tuesday, and buzz surrounding the Brooklyn Nets is heating up as fans eagerly await June 23-24 in Brooklyn. At the moment, the Nets have the No. 6 pick in the first round â their highest pick since the New Jersey Nets took Derrick Favors at No. 3 in 2010, as well as two seconds at No. 33 and 43. So itâs a big deal.
Last week, much of the attention centered on Nate Ament and his rapid rise as the potential favorite for the Nets. Things have changed since the weekend though with the focus returning to the four lead guards, in alphabetical order: Darius Acuff, of Arkansas, Mikel Brown Jr. of Louisville, Kingston Flemings of Louisville and Keaton Wagler of Illinois.
The big news was that two of the four have been worked out by the Nets brass in the past week: Acuff at HSS Training Center and Brown in Orlando where they also met with his family, as James Barlowe tweetedâŚ
Sources: The Brooklyn Nets and the Milwaukee Bucks have recently both visited Mikel Brown Jr in Orlando to watch workouts and meet with the family.
Brown Jr is scheduled to visit the Atlanta Hawks, Brooklyn Nets, Los Angeles Clippers and Dallas Mavericks before the draft. pic.twitter.com/ey9KYTbHtT
The news as described is significant for a number of reasons: the Nets traveled to see Brown and that he will be in Brooklyn at some point over the next two weeks. Teams can only workout and/or visit with prospects twice.
Flemings will do workouts for the Nets and Clippers, and he has worked out for both the Hawks and Bulls, sources said. He is the greatest unknown in terms of where he could end up in the lottery, especially with the Bulls and Grizzlies mentioned as frequent trade-up teams for him.
There was a lot of information in Siegelâs update including this about Brown:
The rumor around the NBA in recent days is that Mikel Brown Jr. and his camp have shut down workout invites outside of those already accepted, which likely signals that a team has promised him following individual meetings and workouts.
Just as likely however is that Brownâs agents also want to limit his workouts to a narrow range of teams, as Krysten Peek noted.
Shutting down workouts doesnât mean a promise. It typically comes down to scheduling conflict (especially if teams want players to come in last minute like June 18-20). The smoke around Ament and Mara that high feels just like that. Smoke. https://t.co/ZjGtvEvotv
Beyond that news, NetsDaily has been making our own calls to sources about where the Nets stand. Itâs no easy task. Sean Marks & co.
Who is the favorite at No. 6?
As I noted above, Ament was the story of last week in NetsWorld, which seemingly threw a large portion of the fanbase into a frenzy. And Siegel reported that at the moment, he, Brown and Acuff are the three names heâs heard most often associated with the Nets.
Last Monday, I reported that the Netsâ interest in Ament âappears to be gaining legitimate traction.â I also added that a few weeks ago, a source described him as a âdark horseâ to be selected by Brooklyn at No. 6, while touting his potential fit alongside Egor DĂŤmin, who the organization selected at No. 8 last year.
SOURCE: The Brooklyn #Netsâ interest in Nate Ament at No. 6 appears to be gaining legitimate traction.
One league source described Ament as a âpolarizing player,â though also someone who could be an ideal fit alongside Egor Demin due to the duoâs combination of size and shootingâŚ
The source also added, though, that the Tennessee product is viewed as a âpolarizing playerâ around the league.
At the very least, the Nets are intrigued, Iâm told. However, I wouldnât go as far as to say that he is the current favorite at No. 6 based on my conversations with league sources. I am under the belief that Louisvilleâs Brown is the current favorite. Itâs important to keep in mind, though, that we are still two weeks out from the draft and a lot can change.
Additionally, as one source told me, the Nets are one of the hardest teams to predict. Last year, they went against the consensus with each of their five first-round picks, making it quite difficult to get a pulse on who they will select at No. 6 this year.
At Louisville last season, Brown Jr. averaged 18.2 points per game, 3.3 rebounds, 4.7 assists, and 1.2 steals on 41.0% shooting from the field and posting a 34.4% clip from beyond the arc. As multiple sources have expressed, he is a Jordi FernĂĄndez-type player.
While he was limited to just 21 games (19 starts) last season due to a back injury, it isnât considered a long-term concern and rather something that can be addressed by an NBA medical team, Iâve been told. He stands at 6â5â and 190 pounds entering the pros.
Other names Iâve been told are in consideration at No. 6 include Michiganâs 7â3â center Aday Mara as well as the usual suspects: Wagler, Flemings, and Acuff.
Based on my conversations with scouts across the league, Acuffâs comparisons to Jalen Brunson and Stephon Marbury are legitimate.
Are the Nets more likely to trade up or down?
There are multiple teams within the top 10 of this yearâs draft who are interested in trading up into the top four, according to sources. If any teams are going to move out of the first four selections â and admittedly thatâs unlikely, the Memphis Grizzlies at No. 3 and the Chicago Bulls at No. 4 are the favorites to do so.
Brooklyn is expected to explore every option, including a move up or down the board, along with sticking and picking at No. 6 overall.
If the Nets do in fact decide to make a trade on draft night, keep an eye on the Bulls as an interesting partner. Owning picks No. 4 and 15, they have reported interest in moving down from No. 4 if they can get some immediate help, along with a potential slide up from No. 15.
As ESPNâs Bobby Marks pointed out, the Nets have the most draft assets through 2033, highlighted by a whopping 14 first-round picks over that span. Obviously, it is highly unlikely that the organization will make even close to all of those picks, meaning they could be better used as trade chips.
Overall, I suspect the Nets are more likely to trade down on draft night than to trade up if they donât stay at No. 6.
Who are sleeper targets for Brooklyn?
Currently, two of the Netsâ three picks in this yearâs draft come in the second round at Nos. 33 and 43 overall.
Each year, a few players fall to the second round and ultimately outplay their draft stock. For the most part, though, they are guys on two-way contracts right away or never truly get an opportunity to showcase their skill set.
Due to NIL, though, the pool of second-round players has become less and less enticing year after year. As one source described it, picking at No. 34 in the NIL era is equivalent to picking at No. 60 overall in the pre-NIL days.
That is how stark the contrast is in the pool of second-round talent since NIL has been introduced.
Two players who have the chance to be steals in the second round this year, though, include international point guards, Germanyâs Jack Kayil and Spainâs Sergio De Larrea, according to evaluators.
Standing at 6â3â and 175 pounds, Kayil spent 2025 playing for Alba Berlin of the German Basketball Bundesliga. De Larrea, 6â6â and 175 pounds, played with Valencia of the Spanish Liga ACB and the EuroLeague.
One scout went so far as to say that De Larrea would have been a lottery pick if he had been playing in the NCAA rather than in Spain.
Is Karim Lopez really in play at No. 6?
Similar to the Ament talk, the possibility of the Nets drafting Karim LĂłpez at No. 6 overall infuriates a large portion of the teamâs fanbase ⌠but as âs workout schedule shows, the Nets have serious interest in both.
The Nets have done extreme due diligence on the 19-year-old. Sean Marks has flown to Australia twice, once in November 2024 and again in November of this year to watch him play in person.
At 6â10â and 225 pounds, Lopez played in 31 NBL games for the New Zealand Beakers last season, averaging 11.9 points, 6.1 rebounds, 1.2 steals, and 2.0 assists, while shooting 50.2% from the field and 32.6% from beyond the arc.
League sources tell me theyâd be stunned if the Nets selected LĂłpez at No. 6. Taking him a trade-down scenario would make much more sense.
However, nothing can be ruled out. As I noted above, the Nets are an extremely hard team for even those around the league to predict what they will do because of their lengthy track record of going against the consensus.
How strong is this class?
Overall, this is an encouraging draft class.
While the second round lacks the depth seen in recent years, the strength of the 2026 class lies in its middle tier.
According to league sources, the talent pool in the No. 8 to No. 20 range is viewed as one of the strongest in decades, with some evaluators comparing it favorably to classes dating back to 2000.
Still, any true evaluation of this draft will take time. A prospectâs success depends on far more than talent alone, as development, fit, and roster infrastructure often play significant roles in determining long-term outcomes.
For now, though, there is legitimate reason for optimism surrounding this yearâs group.
There is maybe nothing as predictable and tedious in the NBA playoffs â and all of sports â than the coach of a losing playoff team ranting about the officiating. It's a cliche with the point of trying to plant a seed in the minds of the next referee crew, although that's not always how it comes off.
Knicks coach Mike Brown, the floor is yours.
"I never thought I would be in the NBA Finals and see a team get 24 free throw attempts in the second half to another team's eight. I don't think I complain much about officials or the fairness when it comes to the free throw attempts," Brown said in a rant before he was ever asked a question. "San Antonio is a great team. They are a great team, okay. It's going to lower our odds big time, big time, if we play Game 4 and in the second half, they get 24 free throw attempts to our eight. Maybe we were fouling. Maybe we were fouling. But they fouled, too."
Brown sounded too much like a guy making excuses. To be fair, he was clear to say "San Antonio won the game" and the Knicks could have played better, but his venting sounded a lot like a politician who attended Game 3 and likes to play to his base â and Knicks fans ate it up. In the immediate aftermath of the game, it became the narrative, at least the loudest one.
It also misses the point. The officiating has been uneven all series, but it has gone both ways (and did in Game 3).
San Antonio won Game 3 because it made adjustments that worked, and then played with more poise than the Knicks down the stretch. There were a few factors at play.
⢠Turnovers: New York had 13 turnovers, too many of them live ball, which became 21 Spurs points. The Spurs had eight turnovers that became seven Knicks points. San Antonio both took better care of the ball and got back in transition defense, resulting in the Spurs having more easy buckets.
⢠Better defense on KAT: San Antonio turned some of its defensive attention from Jalen Brunson (who is shooting 37% in this series and the Knicks are -13 for the series in his minutes) to Karl-Anthony Towns, who has been the hub of what has worked for New York. Victor Wembanyama and the Spurs were physical with him, not unlike how New York has been with Wembanyama. The result was 11 points on 4-of-10 shooting and much less impact (and the Knicks were still +6 in Towns' minutes in Game 3, and he is +31 now for the series).
⢠Spurs got into the paint. For two games, the term "spray" had entered the lexicon of Knicks fans as that's what Towns and Brunson were doing: Getting into the paint, then "spraying" the ball out to shooters. In Game 3, it was the Spurs getting into the paint and doing the damage (San Antonio sees it as a return to playing their way).
⢠Shooting. Mikal Bridges disappeared and was 1-of-5 from the floor. Landry Shamet was 1-of-7 from 3. Miles McBride only took two shots and missed them both. In the fourth quarter, Knicks not named Brunson or Anunoby shot 1-of-16. It's still a make-or-miss league and in Game 3 the Knicks missed. Call that an off night. If you want to speculate that the "it's a coronation" atmosphere at Madison Square Garden had something to do with it, go ahead, but the Knicks players would deny it. Who really knows why?
What we do know is the ball is now in the Knicks' court.
For the first time since April, the Knicks have lost a game, and the onus is now on them to adjust to a Spurs team we are watching grow and mature before our eyes. You can see the growth game-to-game. Brown and the Knicks are fully capable of countering that and retaking control of the series, but it's on them now to raise their game a level.
That, of course, makes life a little different for the clubâs amateur scouting staff leading up to the 2026 NHL draft. Barring a trade, the Flyers will pick at 21st overall. Itâs their lowest first-round spot since 2020.
So the Flyers know the draft is still critical to what they want to do, even when theyâre lower in the order.
âWeâve said it for a long time, we wanted to build a team that was going to be here for a long time; not just to go for it for a year or two,â general manager Danny Briere said last month. âThatâs still the same approach on my end.â
The Flyers have only five picks in this draft, which will be held June 26-27. The first round is Friday at 7 p.m. ET, while Rounds 2-7 are Saturday starting at 11 a.m. ET.
âIâll tell you how I feel about drafts and Iâll be totally blunt with you,â TSN director of scouting Craig Button said last Tuesday in a phone interview with NBC Sports Philadelphia. âI think itâs fâing bullsât when I hear about, âOh, this draft isnât as good.â Here are the numbers. Approximately 45 players from any draft will play 350 games or more in the NHL. It might be 47 one year, 42 another year. Thatâs the number â you get 45 players thatâll play 350 games or more with varying degrees of success.
âAnd I know this about the draft. The teams that get good players from the draft say it was a good draft. The teams that donât get good players from the draft say it wasnât a good draft. So when people start telling me about a draft ahead of time, I call bullsât.â
âWhat youâre trying to do is find a player that you feel has the potential to be an NHL player,â Button said. âThat might be a third-line center, that might be a second-line scoring winger. Hey, listen, maybe you get David Pastrnak, whoâs a superstar (drafted 25th overall in 2014).
âBut the focus has to be on, âOK, what type of player do we like, what type of player do we think the guy can be?â And then get after it and understand what the development path is, and then try to help that player be the best he can be. Put a stake in the ground and celebrate who youâre drafting.â
Before the draft arrives, weâre breaking down first-round targets for the Flyers.
Next up:
Ryan Lin
Position: Defenseman Height: 5-foot-11 Weight: 180 Shoots: Right Team: Vancouver
Scouting report
While his frame doesnât come across as imposing, Lin is a plus defender with strong offensive skills.
The Denver-bound prospect consistently has the puck, often making the right play up the ice or in the offensive zone. And when he doesnât have the puck, he can hold his own in coverage.
âHe has got the brain, he understands the way that defensemen play the game, transition and everything,â Button, a former NHL GM and scout, said. âI was a little bit harder on Ryan. When I say harder, in terms of watching him. What I realized, I think heâs a much better defender than he gets credit for. ⌠Thatâs why you watch players over a period of time in different scenarios.â
Lin put up over a point per game this season in the WHL, recording 14 goals and 43 assists through 53 games. He had a minus-19 rating, but that came on a Vancouver team that sported a minus-86 goal differential.
At the 2026 IIHF U-18 World Junior Championship that ended last month, Lin had six points (one goal, five assists) and a plus-7 rating in five games for Team Canada.
âIn Vancouver in the Western Hockey League, he was asked to drive offense,â Button said. âWhen youâre asked to do that, you better do that. And he did it well, he did it really well. So the team isnât as good and certainly he has got to do his part offensively; well, now youâre not asked to play defense as much. But Iâve seen him in other scenarios where he has been a really good, solid two-way defenseman.â
Button believes Lin has âa little bit of the Brandon Montour profile.â Montour owns a 73-point season and a Stanley Cup ring. The 32-year-old has played in 665 career NHL games.
If Lin is still there at No. 21, he would be a fine pick for the Flyers.
The club will draft the best player available, but it couldnât hurt to replenish on the back end. The Flyers have taken just four defensemen over the last two drafts. They havenât taken one in the first round since 2023, when they selected Oliver Bonk with their second pick.
Lin has the ingredients to be a top-four defenseman. His upside as a power play quarterback should also appeal to the Flyers. Theyâve had an NHL-worst power play over the last five seasons combined at 14.1 percent. Lin would give them a good option to run the point in the future.
The Maven wonders how Rangers fans feel about ex-Blueshirt bench boss Peter Laviolette getting the Kings head coaching gig.
Like many of Lavvy's NHL stints â remember, he broke in with the Islanders â Pete did some good things with the Rangers because he's got savvy, experience and a few other good qualities.
But he couldn't fix the Rangers clubhouse negativity and the fact that â whatever Pete's message â his troops reacted as if they had "heard that song before."
We wish him luck in L.A. but I don't expect any John Tortorella miracles!
PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - MAY 08: Joel Embiid #21 of the Philadelphia 76ers dribbles the ball during Game Three of the Second Round of the NBA Eastern Conference Playoffs against the New York Knicks at Xfinity Mobile Arena on May 08, 2026 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Emilee Chinn/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The NBA Draft is right around the corner and the Dallas Mavericks will have at least two picks later this month. If youâve read our first installment of Trade Talk, you know what it is weâre doing, but if not, the approach is simple. I curate a few trades from the variety of options we consider as a staff at Mavs Moneyball, then we bring them to our readers to join us in the debate.
Our current scenario is a big swing that MMBâs Bryan Porter put forth, where the Mavs take on a great player along with his massive contract and injury history, but replenish the cupboard in one fell swoop.
The trade proposal
The Mavericks send out P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson and Daniel Gafford in return for Joel Embiid, the 76ers 2026 first round pick (#22), 2028 first round pick (by way of the Los Angeles Clippers) and 2029 first round pick (top eight protected).
The discussion
Mike: Hoo-weee! You might give readers Anthony Davis PTSD with this trade proposal, given Embiidâs injury history. Amazingly, Ebiid is averages 32 games played per season over the past three years, which is about as many games as Davis accumulated in a Mavsâ uniform, so there is that. While the notion of Embiid might initially be a head-turner, thereâs actually quite a lot of value in this proposal. This is a single-shot move that replenishes the absolute dearth of Mavsâ picks over the next few years. Is that the crux of this proposal to you, or do you see Embiid as a value-add to the team?
Bryan: If the Davis trade came with this many picks, there might not have been caskets in front of the AAC. The picks are the point and restocking our barren asset chest is the crux of the deal as you said. However, over his last 25 games this season (including the seven playoff games he played against Boston and New York combined) Embiid averaged 28 points, eight rebounds and five assists per game on 53% shooting inside the arc, 37% from deep and 85% at the line with a 49.4% FTr. He averaged 33 minutes per game in that span too, so once heâs ramped up for a season, as long as you can keep him upright he can still give you dominant stretches of play depending on when you need them. Given we wouldnât need him for more then 28 minutes per game if that, Iâd like our chances of keeping him upright for 40 games and a playoff run.
Mike: Yeah, hard to argue that heâs not immediately the best center in Mavericks history (with all due respect to past centers, particularly Tyson Chandler). Just an absolutely dominant force even when heâs at 85% health. Had he played more to this point in his career, heâd be talked about as one of the most dominant big men in history. Unfortunately, in 12 seasons, he has yet to log 500 regular season games! Let that sink in for a minute. Maybe in some weird way that is just what the team needs? If Dallas is all-in for the future, his inconsistent availability may help future draft standing with those newly acquired picks. When he does play, he surely helps take pressure off Cooper Flagg. Pivoting to the outbound players, Gafford is replaced by Embiid (and hopefully Dereck Lively!), Thompson clearly just doesnât fit here anymore, and Washington is therefore the biggest loss I would argue. If we keep Naji Marshall, the sting of losing Washington is lessened, and this trade looks better and better. Really, itâs Dallas eating a massive (massive!) contract, but getting picks back in this yearâs deep draft as well as future years. My biggest fear is that Embiidâs salary really hampers the team for a couple years though.
Bryan: I agree, thatâs why the Sixers would have to shower the Mavericks with picks to entice them to take that salary on. No matter what Embiid has been in the past, giiving up three rotation players for one who likely wonât play 50 games in a season is a difficult ask. Pick #22 in this upcoming draft is fine, not great value but certainly useful. The lightly protected future pick could be something given the wacky, new three-year lottery structure, but the crown jewel would be the unprotected Clippers pick. Thatâs worth moving Washington for. Gafford isnât someone to raise a fuss about, especially as his salary gets a bump when his extension kicks in. Klay should want to be on a team closer to contention. Washington will be tough to lose, but the point of the picks is to eventually add cost-controlled replacements for all of these guys and some vets still on the roster (Kyrie, Naji, etc).
Mike: You make a great point about the new wonky draft rules for the next couple of years. I think thatâs going to have a major impact on how teams value picks for the next few years and itâs going to be real interesting to see what trades look like. If the protection on the 2029 pick was removed, this deal would be very hard to not at least consider heavily, if not jump at. I think my only hesitation is how much he straps the teamâs financial flexibility, but getting draft flexibility in exchange is enticing â picking young cost-controlled guys or trading those picks for a proven player allows Dallas to do a lot more than they can now in terms of draft capital. My jury is still out on this one, but Iâm certainly thinking a lot about it. Final word goes to you.
Bryan: The final word is simple: insurance. Before Iâd seriously consider this deal, Iâm looking through the contract language for any possible games played threshold out I can find and the moment I land on one that shortens this contract by even a year, Iâm calling this into the league and letting Embiid know face-to-face that he isnât finishing in Dallas, but weâll be happy to have him while heâs here. Heâs an all-time player who has given a lot to the game and the growth of it via social media, so I understand the weight of a player like that moving teams for the first time in his career. The least Iâd want to do is be honest with him about what this is.
I invite you to follow me @_80MPH on X, and check back often at Mavs Moneyball for all the latest on the Dallas Mavericks.
SEATTLE, WASHINGTON - JUNE 02: Colt Emerson #4 of the Seattle Mariners makes a catch for the final out against the New York Mets during the ninth inning at T-Mobile Park on June 02, 2026 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images) | Getty Images
In the last three weeks, Colt Emerson has made his MLB debut with the Seattle Mariners, notched his first MLB hit with a home run, hit his first career triple, hit three more home runs, and made some stellar plays at third base. Emerson still canât legally buy a beer yet, but his scorching first three weeks in the league are a big part of the Mariners getting their season on track with winning streaks, home run-fueled comebacks, and walk-off victories at home. Heâs become extremely important at work in a very short amount of time, so much so that when he was a late-scratch for Mondayâs game with back tightness, the collar-tugging was palatable around Mariners-ville.
Hopefully itâs nothing a couple days off wonât fix, but before that happened, I asked yâall in the FEED last week to submit your hottest takes regarding Emersonâs ceiling and floor as player. What audacious heights will he reach? Will his lows be trench-like or simply pedestrian? Letâs review some responses and throw some rankings on them using my patented and very scientific Mariners Hot Take Ranking System:
Poster SomethingTotallyIllogical says:
âHis three preseason ZiPs comps were the 20 y.o. seasons of Jurickson Profar, Roy White, and JP Crawford.
Profar, oscillation around replacement until steroids.
Roy White (1965-1979), 41 WAR career. First positive WAR in fourth season age 24. Median season 3 WAR, max 5.8.
JP, replacement level until arriving in Seattle age 24. Should be at 20 WAR career end-of-season. Median season 1.9 WAR, max 4.8.â
Hmmm, ZiPs here provides an interesting range of player comps with Profar being the floor, J.P. being the mid-to-upper range, and Roy White being a very high ceiling. Also, wow, Roy White. I was not familiar with your game! Dude played left field for 15 seasons for the Yankees, posted 6.8 WAR in 1970 while playing all 162 games. Sure, sign me up for that! Rating this take an IWAKUMA.
Poster jmozeika says:
âAs a ceiling I kind of have him in the Corey Seager but healthy range (so less down years, and more longevity).. maybe 55 career fWAR. Maybe slightly better than Corey Seager because of his discerning eye and better plate discipline.
The floor? Maybe a pre-2021 JP Crawford. Good glove, but the bat for some reason just doesnât stick. 1.5 to 2.0 fWAR during his prime years but falls out of usefulness as he ages out of his glove.â
Sure, healthy Corey Seager sounds smashing. I will also take that any day. And another J.P. mention but his not-s0-great seasons as his floor. Wouldnât be terrible, but a bit disappointing given Coltâs hot start. Rating this take a BOSIO.
Poster aubrey94 says:
âceiling I think J-Ram; there is no floor but Iâll say Adam Frazier.â
Iâve always wanted a Jose Ramirez on the Mariners. However, I do not want another Captain Slapdick. Bonus points for invoking the obvious LL floor meme. Rating this take as BRASH because it made me think of Colt knocking someone out like Ramirez did to Tim Anderson.
Poster volta-verve says:
âI think he could be a consistent 3/4 WAR guy. I expect him to be 10/20% better than league average with average or plus shortstop defense. His floor would be something like a league average batter with mediocre defense. His ceiling is unfortunately limited by his relative lack of power, but that could change if he grows into it. Heâs only 20. Best case scenario, he starts hitting 20/25 homers a year with plus shortstop defense, which is more of a 5/6 WAR player.â
In terms of projections, I find this to be both quite rational and very exciting. A plus-defensive shortstop posting 3 to 6 WAR a season? Oh, so early career Alex Rodriguez is back? Spectacular. Giving this one an BRASH because having a shortstop who rakes feels like the dream of every roster builder that so rarely comes true.
Poster Rumdoodle says:
âCeiling: Hall of Fame
Floor: Colt Emerson, Los Angeles Angel of Anaheim, Disneyland, Californiaâ
Well, someone had to say it. By it, I mean the Hall of Fame. Now thatâs a ceiling. A very high one. Combined with a floor that can only be described as a fate worse than death, I have no choice but to brand this take with a sizzling CLIFF LEE. The highest highs and lowest lows.
All right, wrapping it up here. Thanks to everyone who contributed their thoughts. Letâs cross our fingers for no IL trip for our boy Colt and go Mariners!
NEW YORK, NY - JUNE 8: Victor Wembanyama #1 of the San Antonio Spurs dunks the ball during the game against the New York Knicks during Game Three of the 2026 NBA Finals on June 8, 2026 at Madison in New York, New York. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE(Photo by Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images
The New York Knicks are mortal, and the 2026 NBA Finals will not end in a sweep.
The San Antonio Spurs beat the Knicks, 115-111, in Game 3 at Madison Square Garden. The Knicks had won 13 straight playoff games with most of them coming in a rout, but the vibes were cursed by Donald Trumpâs decision to attend the game and inconvenience everyone else in the arena. The Spurs came out hot in the first quarter, the Knicks roared back with a 42-point second quarter to take the lead going into halftime, and San Antonio held on in a tight second half to move the series to a 2-1 Knicks lead heading into a pivotal Game 4 on Wednesday.
This was a winnable game for New York, and in some ways it feels like the Knicks blew a golden opportunity to take a 3-0 death grip on the series. Thereâs still so much basketball left to be played. Letâs dive into why San Antonio was able to score its first win, and why the Knicks should still win Game 4.
Victor Wembanyamaâs lobs killed New York
Wembanyama was fantastic in the win, finishing with 32 points, eight rebounds, six assists, and five stocks. The Spurs got their superstar big man going by finally getting him to the basket. Of Wembyâs 11 made field goals, eight of them came in the restricted area, and many of those were on lobs from San Antonioâs guards.
Wembanyama did a better job setting real screens in this game, and that set up opportunities to slip the screen later in the game that consistently caught New York off guard.
Possibly the funniest Castle-Wemby lob possession we've gotten all postseason pic.twitter.com/V8VohqAli7
â Nekias (Nuh-KAI-us) Duncan (@NekiasNBA) June 9, 2026
When in doubt, just throw it up where only Wemby can get it.
Victor Wembanyama taps in the alley-oop lob by De'Aaron Fox, despite the pressure. 30 Points for Wemby. pic.twitter.com/qoQf4gmwkX
Wembanyama took 38 percent of his shots at the rim this year, which only ranked in the 33rd percentile of all big men. In the playoffs, thatâs moved up to 44 percent. Wembanyama had a four-point play in this game, and the outside shot will always be part of his game. Thatâs just who he is as a player. Still, the opposing defense wants to make Wemby a jump shooter, and when heâs actually determined to get to the rim is when heâs at his best. Game 1 showed the limitations of Wembanyamaâs handle in trying to create his own looks off the bounce. The Spurs wised up and used him as more of a play-finisher in Game 3, and it worked out to great effect.
Wembanyama is 7â5 (at least) with an 8-foot wingspan. The Spurs guards donât need an easy angle or the ability to throw a great pass to hit him. Just toss it up there, and Wemby is likely to come down with it.
Stephon Castle shut down Karl-Anthony Towns and added timely scoring
The Spurs did more cross-matching defensively in Game 3, and it finally helped slow down the Knicksâ offense. Wembanyama might be the best defender in the world, but he was getting cooked off the dribble by Karl-Anthony Towns earlier in this series. The Spurs responded by sticking Stephon Castle on Towns, and letting Wembanyama roam off the weakest shooter on the floor so he could make more plays near the rim.
Castle is listed as a guard, but heâs built more like a linebacker. He has a lower center of gravity to help him hold his ground defensively, and his quick hands were disruptive when KAT tried to dribble. Putting Castle on Towns lets the Spurs easily switch any action involving the big man, and it also takes away a lot of KATâs perimeter game because Castle is quick enough to press up on him but not get burned if he drives. This is potentially the biggest answer the Spurs have found in the series so far.
Castle led the Spurs in half-court matchups defending KAT in G3 (16). KAT only attempted 1 shot.
Some of that was doubling w/ a roaming C. Some of that was late-switching against the PnP. Some of that was shot-selection from other Knicks. Something for both teams to think about pic.twitter.com/JbSpJLzsie
Castle also brought it offensively to finish with 23 points and five assists on 8-of-14 shooting. He was also able to limit himself to only two turnovers, which has been his biggest problem throughout the postseason. Castle plays with so much power going downhill, using Eurosteps and slow steps to attack the basket. Itâs so hard to knock him off balance, and he has the strength to finish through contact when he gets into the paint.
There are obvious deficiencies in his skill set as a shooter and decision-maker, but Castle is a monster when it comes to attacking the rim, and the Spurs did a good job to help him play to his strengths in Game 3.
Castleâs three-point grenade with under two minutes left was the biggest shot of the game, turning a four-point San Antonio lead into a seven-point advantage.
Honestly, this one felt like a miracle, but as the old saying goes, itâs a make or miss league, and Castle hit a huge one when the Spurs really needed it.
Brunson is obviously an outstanding player and clutch god, but the Knicks can get into some bad habits when heâs pounding the air out of the ball. Heâs averaging 99.7 touches per game in the Finals, which is 23 more than any other player in the series, and 42 more than the next best Knick. Brunsonâs 5.57 average seconds per touch is an enormous number, with DeâAaron Fox coming in second in the series among normal rotation players at 4.53 in the same category.
Too much Brunson was a bad thing for the Knicks in prior years, and it feels like the Spurs coaxed him into trying to play the hero again in Game 3. San Antonio single-covered most of the game with Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, and Castle splitting the assignment for most of the night. Brunson still had 32 points on 25 shots, which is pretty damn good efficiency in a Finals game, and he drilled a three in the final seconds to give New York one last chance. He still finished the night -9 in 35 minutes, and the Spurs attacked him defensively at every opportunity.
It just feels like less is more when it comes to Brunson. The Knicks need him in crunch-time for sure, but he shouldnât feel the need to carry the offense all night.
The Knicks will still win Game 4 to take control of the series
The NBA Finals could easily be 2-1 Spurs right now, but Wembanyamaâs costly miscommunication with Castle on a turnover at the end of Game 2 (and subsequent missed game-winner) still has San Antonio fighting for its life in Game 4. The road team has won every game in this series so far, but I think the Knicks answer back on Wednesday. Hereâs why:
Landry Shamet isnât going to shoot as poorly as he did in Game 3, when he went 1-of-7 from three. Shamet has been red hot throughout the playoffs and finally had an off night. Heâll be better next time out.
Mike Brown worked the refs after the game, and I would bet that helps even out the free throw disparity from Monday. The Spurs shot 10 more free throws than the Knicks, and I donât expect that to happen again.
The Spurs only had eight turnovers in Game 3, while the Knicks had 13. New York is better at both taking care of the ball and forcing turnovers on defense across the bigger sample, and I would expect San Antonio to fumble away more possessions in Game 4.
DeâAaron Fox hit some big shots late, but he just hasnât been good enough in this series or these playoffs. He went 4-of-14 from the field in the win. I feel like the Spurs need consistently good offense from Fox to win the series, but he canât beat people off the dribble like he used to, and heâs never been a super reliable outside shooter. Credit Fox for coming through in the clutch, but he needs to be good all game, and I just donât think he has it in him anymore.
Game 4 is going to be a barnburner. Madison Square Garden will be ready.
The Cincinnati Reds visit the San Diego Padres this evening as they eye another victory behind ace Chase Burns.
With Burns on the mound and a favorable matchup looming for Cincy's offense, my Reds vs. Padres predictions have the road team prevailing at Petco Park.
Find out more in my MLB picks for Tuesday, June 9.
Who will win Reds vs Padres today: Reds (-119)
Chase Burns has put himself in the NL Cy Young conversation this year with a stellar 2.05 ERA and a 7-1 record. The Cincinnati Reds' right-hander has also pitched extremely well on the road this season, compiling a 2.71 FIP and averaging 12.30 Ks per nine innings against 1.80 walks per nine innings.
Meanwhile, the San Diego Padres are struggling immensely at the dish lately, carrying a .191 average and .109 ISO over the last seven days. They're not squaring up the baseball much right now, and San Diego's 23.9% strikeout rate is concerning against a guy like Burns.
On the other side, Lucas Giolito owns a 47.8% hard-hit rate across his last two appearances and an xERA north of six. The Reds have still generated a 38% hard-hit rate across their last six games, suggesting the Reds are capable of taking advantage if Giolito's struggles continue.
I'd play this up to -140.
COVERS INTEL: Giolito has walked 7.2 hitters per nine innings this season across four starts, so expect plenty of traffic on the basepaths tonight.
Reds vs Padres Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (+105)
Giolito is far from reliable, and San Diego's bullpen owns a 5.10 xERA over the last week. More importantly, the Padres relievers have allowed a 50% hard-hit rate during that span.
As for Cincinnati, its bullpen has posted a 5.26 FIP over the last two weeks while walking 4.80 hitters per nine innings. Burns has pitched beyond the sixth inning just once this season, so the Reds' relievers will likely be asked to cover multiple frames as well.
Burns has also allowed two earned runs in each of his last two starts. Even if he pitches well, the bullpens can push this game Over.
Playable to -110.
Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
ML/RL bets: 21-18, +1.92 units
Over/Under bets: 22-16, +2.25 units
Reds vs Padres odds
Moneyline: Reds -119 | Padres +110
Run line: Reds -1.5 (+156) | Padres +1.5 (-163)
Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+105) | Under 7.5 (-125)
Reds vs Padres trend
Cincinnati has hit the game total Over in 27 of its last 40 games (+12.55 Units / 28% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Reds vs. Padres.
How to watch Reds vs Padres and game info
Location
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Date
Tuesday, June 9, 2026
First pitch
9:40 p.m. ET
TV
Reds.TV, Padres.TV
Reds starting pitcher
Chase Burns (7-1, 2.05 ERA)
Padres starting pitcher
Lucas Giolito (2-1, 4.86 ERA)
Reds vs Padres latest injuries
Reds vs Padres weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
Midnight bedtime was entirely a public relations exercise to reconnect with fans â the same fans the ECB invites to one long piss-up at Lordâs
The laws of cricket run to 200-and-some pages. The International Cricket Councilâs Test playing regulations fill another 125, the anti-doping code packs another 66, the code of conduct is 44 more, illegal bowling actions 37, kit and equipment 36. Youâd be hard pressed to find one single rule anywhere among them as silly as the one we know Ben Stokes has just broken, which stipulates that players canât stay out past midnight. And yes, that does include ICC clothing regulation 19.45, which says that the maximum size of the manufacturerâs label permitted on ankle of playersâ socks is two square inches.
So far as we know, the only thing Stokes has done wrong is break this self-imposed curfew. That may change. The investigation may reveal more details about his alleged involvement in an altercation involving a rugby player. But if there was one very clear lesson from the last time Stokes was involved in a situation like this, at Embargo nightclub in 2017, itâs that itâs worth waiting for the facts. But the drums have already started thumping. Dread phrases like âhanging by a threadâ and âhard to see how he can continueâ were all over the press.