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If you stopped watching the San Diego Padres against the Pittsburgh Pirates after Nick Pivetta and Paul Skenes were replaced on the mound, you would wake up today looking to see if the Padres were able to scratch out a run or two against the Pittsburgh bullpen to come back and win the game. They did not, but things got much worse.

Pivetta delivered five innings of well-pitched baseball. He allowed two runs on four hits with one walk and eight strikeouts. It is the type of performance Padres fans should expect from a frontline starter. It is also the type of performance that those same fans would expect to see their offense produce enough runs to win a game. Against most pitchers that may be the case, but Skenes is not most pitchers. As good as Pivetta was, Skenes was better. The Pittsburgh ace completed 6.1 innings allowing one run on two hits with two walks and six strikeouts. His one mistake – a one-out 2-2 pitch in the top of the seventh inning to Xander Bogaerts that went 383 feet to left field for a solo home run.

The Padres were unable to do much, but the pitching kept the score, 2-1 until the bottom of the eight inning when Adrian Morejon entered the game. On most nights it is a quick 1-2-3 and the San Diego batters are getting ready to tie the game in the top of the ninth. That was not the case on Wednesday. Morejon lasted 1/3 of an inning and allowed five runs, four of which were earned, on five hits with the one out in his appearance coming on a strikeout.

The Padres stepped to the plate in the top of the ninth inning trailing 7-1 and went down in order to end the game with Jackson Merrill and Manny Machado striking out before Bogaerts grounded out to end the game. San Diego will look to win the series in Pittsburgh this morning at 9:35 a.m. PST.

Padres News:

• The Padres pitchers are doing what they can with Joe Musgrove and Yu Darvish not in the rotation. The likes of Walker Buehler and German Marquez are trying fill the back of the rotation roles until reinforcements arrive, resulting in some tough decisions for Stammen and the San Deigo front office. The hope is the offense can start producing that will allow the pitching staff to compete without having to be perfect.

• Stammen stepped in to the role of manager with no managerial experience at the major league level – at any level for that matter. After three-and-two-thirds series in, how would Gaslamp Ball readers grade his performance so far?

• Joe Musgrove is trying to get back to the San Deigo rotation and that cannot come soon enough for a team that needs a boost to kickstart its season.

• Kyle Hart made some adjustments during his time in the San Diego minor league system last season and it appears to be paying dividends at the MLB level this season.

• Dennis Lin of The Athleticput together his first piece since soliciting information rom Padres fans and it would lead anyone to believe he has more to come in future articles.

Baseball News:

• Fans in Los Angeles went to see a baseball game between the Angels and the Atlanta Braves and what they got was a boxing match that resulted in ejections for both sides.

• Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Yoshinobu Yamamoto dominated the Toronto Blue Jays, and the Toronto manager did not stick around to see it.

• Amed Rosario hit two home runs to help the New York Yankees earn yet another win.

• Minnesota Twins pitcher Taj Bradley struck out 10 Detroit Tigers batters and outdueled Tarik Skubal en route to the win.

• The Boston Red Sox sent their ace Garrett Crochet up against the Milwaukee Brewers and their young fireballer Jacob Misiorowski and the veteran propelled the Red Sox to victory.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have completely transformed their lineup for the 2026 season, but there is still a debate as to who should be playing third base for the club between Jared Triolo and Nick Gonzales. While neither one of these players will likely be long term answers to fill this vacancy, the Pirates should prioritize playing Gonzales over Triolo.

The way that the roster is currently constructed there is an emphasis on having a strong offense to support a stellar pitching staff. To build this lineup the Pirates did take some liberties with sacrificing overall team defense to compensate for what was the worst offense in baseball a year ago. With that in mind it’s clear that Gonzales has more of a roll on a team that is willing to sacrifice some defense with the goal of scoring more runs and being able to frustrate opposing pitchers from top to bottom in a lineup.

Over the last couple of seasons, there has been few utility defenders as versatile as Triolo. He was the first utility man recipient of the Gold Glove Award in 2024 and can play nearly anywhere in the field. With the departure of fellow Gold Glover Ke’Bryan Hayes, Triolo was the incumbent at the hot corner. Triolo also regularly played at third when Hayes was injured or out of the lineup, so there is definitely a case to be made for him to be the Pirates’ regular third baseman.

Even with his credentials however, the positives do not outweigh the negatives in the case of Triolo. The 28-year-old Houston alum is absolutely the best defender on Pittsburgh’s roster, but offensively, he is mostly dead weight in the team’s lineup. His power is inconsistent and he doesn’t get on base at a very high rate. Before he was placed on the ten-day IL Triolo had a batting average of .217 and is only a career .236 hitter. He has just one extra base hit in 2026 and just one RBI.

Gonzales on the other hand would not be considered an elite defender. While capable he certainly does not have the range and versatility that Triolo has. However, Gonzales has gotten off to a red hot start this year at the plate. In nine games the New Mexico State product is slashing .297/.350/.351 with a .701 OPS, 11 hits and seven RBIs. Gonzales has the third most RBIs on the team and this season seems to always find a way to deliver a clutch base hit when the Pirates absolutely need a spark. In Pittsburgh’s most recent contest against San Diego Gonzales deliver with a bases loaded two-run single in the eighth inning to stretch the Pirates’ lead and ignited a five run inning for the Buccos. He’s far from an offensive superstar, but he does find a way to clutch up with consistent contact.

While neither of these players are consistent power threats the consistency that Gonzales has over Triolo for pure contact is still very valuable to this lineup. It was only six years ago when Gonzales was one of the best hitters in college baseball, and now really seems to be coming into his own at the major league level. He fits in perfectly between power threats like Oneil Cruz and Brandon Lowe as more of a small ball type of player who can consistently get on base and keep runners moving on the base pads.

To reiterate, neither one of these players are likely long term answers to be Pittsburgh’s every day third baseman, but for the time being Gonzales and his play style are more complimentary to the Pirates’ lineup than Triolo.

What do yinz think? Who would you want to see be the Pirates’ third baseman? Let us know in the comments!

Good morning! The Red Sox won a baseball game last night, which is something we haven’t gotten to say much this year. It was a close one, and another game where the bullpen played a key role. Holding onto leads has been tough for the Sox so far. Like, real tough:

But Zack Kelly of all people got the job done last night, so how are you feeling about the bullpen now that Garrett Whitlock’s back? The Red Sox front office treated it like it wasn’t much of a concern this offseason, but bullpens have a way of luring you into a false sense of security.

Talk about the pen or whatever else you want in this space and, as always, be good to one another.

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It's a getaway day in the MLB schedule, with plenty of early-afternoon games and the latest first pitch just 7:40 p.m. ET.

We've got MLB best bets for today spanning the entire slate, with the best prices available at Polymarket — a prediction market that allows users from coast-to-coast to join in on the baseball action.

Read on to see what our expert's MLB picks are today, along with more best bets from the Covers staff.

MLB expert picks for today

Pick	Odds
Josh Inglis: LAD/TOR u7.5	+108
Jon Metler: TEX ML	+117
Joe Osborne: NYY -1.5	+100
Neil Parker: PHI ML	-127

Prices courtesy of Polymarket.

Josh Inglis' expert pick: Dodgers/Blue Jays Under 7.5

Price: 48¢ (+108) at Polymarket

Back to the Under in this Dodgers vs. Blue Jays matchup on getaway Wednesday afternoon. It’s a strong pitching duel between Shohei Ohtani and Dylan Cease, which is baked into the number... but there are additional factors supporting the Under: Toronto is off tomorrow and can lean on its top bullpen arms, plus its offense is in the worst of slumps — while LA could rest key bats with travel ahead of a Friday series. This sets up as a quick-paced game with limited run production.

Jon Metler's expert pick: Rangers moneyline

Price: 46¢ (+117) at Polymarket

The Rangers are listed as 46% underdogs against Bryan Woo and the Seattle Mariners, and I’m definitely hitting that number — I believe the Rangers should be closer to 53% favorites in this spot. MacKenzie Gore has adjusted his release point since joining Texas, making it even more difficult for left-handed hitters to square him up. With Brendan Donovan setting the table at the top of the lineup and Josh Naylor hitting in the middle — both left-handed bats — it’s fair to question how Seattle will generate offense, especially with Cal Raleigh and Julio Rodríguez struggling at the plate as their primary right-handed threats. On the other side, Corey Seager and Jake Burger both profile well against Woo’s high-velocity, high-spin four-seam fastball.

Joe Osborne's expert pick: Yankees -1.5

Price: 50¢ (+100) at Polymarket

The Yankees have won eight games this season, covering the run line in every one of them, and that trend should continue tonight given the clear pitching edge here. Their lineup has dominated Luis Severino, posting a .963 OPS across 65 at-bats, and he was obliterated for 13 earned runs with 19 baserunners allowed in two starts against them last season. Will Warren was far more effective at home last year, while New York’s bullpen ranks first in FIP. Meanwhile, the A’s bullpen owns an 8.06 ERA over the past week — including four runs allowed to New York yesterday — and the Yankees have scored 5+ runs in six straight games.

Neil Parker's expert pick: Phillies ML

Price: 56¢ (-127) at Polymarket

Phillies veteran Aaron Nola is throwing it back, parlaying two solid showings in the World Baseball Classic into a respectable start to the 2026 season (3.18 ERA and 2.42 xFIP). He's facing a San Francisco lineup that is averaging just 3.0 runs per game, while ranking last in wOBA against righties, plus Giants starter Tyler Mahle has allowed a 17.9 barrel percentage and 42.9% hard-hit rate through two starts. With the Philadelphia lineup checking in sixth in wOBA against right-handed arms, I’m expecting the Phillies to break out at the dish after being blanked Tuesday.

More MLB best bets for today

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Admittedly, there is nothing more challenging than doing analysis on the fly. All numbers that appear in the lab during the regular season are a snapshot in time. In April, the impacts of one or two games can have quite an effect on the overall numbers. However, we are trying to look at things holistically and when that happens the numbers have a little more value.

Coming into play the Rockies, the Astros had the number one offense in MLB. They were number one in almost every category. The most telling category is walks. It seems foolish to say, but nothing gets more giddy and excited than walks. It is the single most underappreciated stat in baseball. Certainly, the season is only two weeks old, but the change has been noticeable.

Before I dive into the numbers I should make a few admissions. First, my username for SBNation is “VBallretired”. I took that name because I am a retired volleyball coach. Admittedly, my career as a coach was short. I quit coaching when my daughter was very young because I wanted to see her grow up. I’ll never regret that decision. I say all that to say that I know how difficult coaching is. I also know that what happens on the field or court is not always a reflection of the message you are giving to the players.

Alex Cintron and Troy Snitker were the guys for the last several years (since 2018 for Cintron). I am not in the clubhouse. I am not an insider. I don’t know the message that was being communicated. I can only see the results. The results were pretty clear. The Astros were less selective overall, more aggressive early in counts, and not particularly effective in situational hitting situations with men on base. Those are the facts. Whether they were coached to do those things or not is unknown.

As a former coach, I can attest to the fact that some teams take to your core message and resemble the kind of team you envision. Some teams don’t. I definitely get it. So, I will not completely crap on Cintron and Snitker except to say that the team was not effective offensively and it was time for a new voice (or voices). Sometimes people’s voices get drowned out for whatever reason. However, the numbers below are a testament to the idea that coaches can have an effect. A number of fans and analysts didn’t think it mattered. Players are who they are. That is certainly true to a certain extent, but it is not universally true.

We are looking at three process numbers do demonstrate what has been happening in the early going. The first number is chase rate. As a reminder, 30 percent tends to be around the league average. We are comparing each player’s 2025 rate with the 2026 rate. So, league norms are not necessarily relevant. The second number is swing percentage. it is followed by zone percentage which is the percentage of pitches that actually wind up in the zone. 50 percent tends to be average on both counts. Again, we are more interested in 2025 versus 2026. Numbers are accurate through the end of the Athletics series.

I should start with the usual caveats and disclaimers. I use the word aggregate because it is the numerical average of all of the numbers. It doesn’t represent differences in who actually gets the plate appearances. It also doesn’t represent the actual roster employed last season. In particular, Nick Allen is much more patient than Mauricio Dubon, so we included Allen because coaches have to be graded based on what they do with what they have and not based on what they have.

Dans Brown’s job is to give Joe Espada the very best roster he can. Espada’s job is to employ that roster to maximum effect. From there, the hitting and pitching coaches are charged with getting as many of their charges to hit or pitch their very best. Given all of those caveats we can begin to digest these numbers to figure out what they might mean long-term.

We will start on the right hand side of the ledger. The zone percentage represents the percentage of pitches that hitters see in the zone. Clearly, teams are not challenging Astros hitters very much. Of course, there are multiple reasons for that. On the one hand, it could be a bigger trend based on past performance. If I were coaching against the Astros, I would probably tell me pitchers to test the Astros hitters and their strike zone judgment. In particular, Diaz, Altuve, and Pena have been free swingers. Why give them a lot to hit?

On the other hand, they have gone up against three teams so far. Even if we include the Rockies, we would see four teams expected to be near the bottom of the standings. The Red Sox might be the notable exception to that rule, but no one has high hopes for the Athletics, Angels, or Rockies pitchers. So, maybe they are just incapable of getting it in the zone consistently.

Either way, the Astros have responded by swinging less often and chasing less often. I’m certain that the actual 2025 numbers would be worse than what we see above. So, the difference is that much more stark. It clearly reflects the messaging going to hitters. Of course, only those inside the clubhouse would know whether the message has changed considerably. Often the key to good coaching is not the message itself, but in how it is communicated. Clearly, the message is the right one and so far it is being communicated in a way most of the hitters can digest. From here, Joe Espada will need to manipulate the lineups to take fuller advantage of those performing and Brown will need to shape the roster by possibly moving some of these guys not performing. That is the way this whole thing works. Of course, the rubber will meet the road when the Astros finally see a good pitching staff in Seattle.

1963
On this date, one of the biggest “what if’s” in franchise history took place.

As per the rules at the time, the White Sox had to choose between two pitchers signed to “bonus baby” contracts, as only one player signed to a deal for more than a certain amount of money could remain in the organization; the other would have to be waived.

With that in mind, rookies Bruce Howard and Denny McLain square off in an intrasquad game to see who would be released and who got promoted to Double-A Lynchburg. Howard won, 2-1. McLain got his walking papers and was claimed by Detroit the following week. He’d go on to win 131 big league games, including 31 in 1968.  

Howard won 26 in his career, and never could find consistent success. He was traded to the Orioles in November 1967. 

1984
After 559 starts in the National League, Tom Seaver made his American League debut in a 7-3 mauling by the Tigers at Comiskey Park. The loss came a day after the South Siders were no-hit by a Detroit team that got out the gate hot and didn’t stop until they won the 1984 World Series. Seaver lasted just 4 1⁄3 innings, surrendering five earned runs, including a solo homer to Kirk Gibson.

After his debut loss, Seaver was defeated again, and took a 7.71 ERA into his third start. The future Hall-of-Famer corrected himself on the season, however, ending up with a 15-11 record and 3.95 ERA/105 ERA+/4.1 WAR. At age 39, he led the White Sox pitchers in wins and was second in WAR.

1991
It was always a “House of Horrors” for the White Sox, but on this day they got the last laugh.

The Sox spoiled the last Orioles home opener in Memorial Stadium by ripping Baltimore, 9-1. Sammy Sosa clubbed homers in the second and eighth innings to lead the rout, driving in five runs on the afternoon. Jack McDowell went the distance for the win, striking out 10.

1995
With teams ramping up quickly to fill out rosters as the labor impasse that cancelled the 1994 World Series ended, the White Sox signed free agent outfielder Mike Devereaux and southpaw starter Jim Abbott for the season.

Devereaux was signed for $1,350,000 and served as the team’s primary right fielder (1.8 WAR, .306/.352/.465, 115 OPS+) before being dealt to contending Atlanta for minor league center fielder Andre King on August 25.

Abbott, famously a star hurler with just one hand, signed for $2 million and had a renaissance season, going 6-4 with a 3.36 ERA and 2.6 WAR in just 17 starts. He was dealt back to his original club, the California Angels, on July 27. Abbott also would mount a comeback with the White Sox in 1998, after sitting out 1997.

2014
The White Sox hit six home runs, including the first two of José Abreu’s career, in a 15-3 rout of the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. Avisaíl García adds two homers, with Tyler Flowers and Alexei Ramírez getting one apiece. The White Sox scored 11 times in the final three frames, turning a 4-3 squeaker into a 15-3 romp. Jim Margalus covered the rout for South Side Sox.

2021
The Legend of Yermín Mercedes grew, as he clubbed the third-longest home run ever at new Sox Park. Coming against Brad Keller of the Royals, the 485-foot clout was hit in the rain, and in Yermín’s very first 2021 at-bat in front of his home fans.

2025
In just his second career start, Shane Smith threw a no hitter for 5 ⅔ innings, becoming the first MLB pitcher with a least 11 ⅔ innings pitched in his first two starts to allow no more than four total bases. The last pitcher to accomplish this stingy feat was also a South Side hurler: Shovel Hodge, in 1920.

The losing continues for the Detroit Tigers, who dropped their third straight on Tuesday night to the Minnesota Twins, 4-2. To make matters worse, it was the second-straight Tarik Skubal start wasted in defeat.

The ace southpaw struggled in his third game of the 2026 campaign, lasting just 4 1/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on eight hits — plus he issued his first two walks of the season. It doesn’t help that Detroit’s offense has been as robust as a wet noodle, and so now Minnesota is up two games to none in this week’s four-game series.

The Tigers can still force a split, but they need to get things going on Wednesday night behind their high-priced lefty, Framber Valdez. The free agent acquisition has paid off so far, and hopefully, his success continues into his third start.

Opposite him is right-hander Baily Ober, who is no stranger to the Motor City Kitties. Detroit won both games against him last year, tallying 10 earned runs on 14 hits (five home runs) but just one walk with nine strikeouts in 11 innings over those two matchups.

Can the Tigers heat up and snap schneid? Tune in on Wednesday night to find out.

Detroit Tigers (4-7) vs. Minnesota Twins (5-6)

Time (ET): 7:40 p.m. ET
Place: Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota
SB Nation Site:Twinkie Town
Media: Detroit SportsNet, MLB.TV, Tigers Radio Network

Game 12: LHP Framber Valdez (1-0, 0.75 ERA) vs. RHP Bailey Ober (0-0, 6.75 ERA)

VALDEZ

OBER

After the fisticuffs between Reynaldo Lopez and Jorge Soler, Walt Weiss had a bit of a problem. He had to get 4 1/3 from his bullpen, but ideally, while preserving a small lead. If the game were a blowout already, it would be easy to sacrifice Jose Suarez and move on from there, but that wasn’t a good tactical option in a close game.

When I saw Tyler Kinley coming in, I started to do some math in my head — between Kinley and three “good relievers,” you could straightforwardly get either 3 1/3 or maybe more, depending on whether Kinley came back out after ending the fifth. You’d need Kinley for a full frame to get to 4 1/3. So, I started to think along the lines of, “Okay, fine, these guys are gonna have to pitch more than an inning, and that’s how we solve this problem.”

But that’s not what happened either. Kinley got two outs, one in the fifth, and one in the sixth. Dylan Lee finished the sixth. Robert Suarez was thrown in to face the scary part of this lineup in the seventh, but he was only asked to go an inning. Then we got an “Aaron Bummer in not-meaningless leverage” sighting, but a hit-by-pitch and a “oh rats we used all our ABS challenges already” sequence led to the tying run coming to the plate, so Walt Weiss, Jeremy Hefner and company went with Raisel Iglesias for the remainder of the game. Iglesias even stayed in as the Braves tacked on multiple runs in the top of the ninth.

While we’ve seen a lot of these things before (Iglesias for more than an inning, pitchers for less than an inning for handedness reasons, Aaron Bummer in non-awful leverage, a better reliever pitching earlier to face off against tougher batters), we generally haven’t seen them combined in this fashion. While the starting pitching decisions still trend towards the lackadaisical, we can at least say that Walt Weiss and company are being a lot more aggressive with their bullpen and bench decisions than we’ve seen in the past from this team.

If you were watching last night (which I know is a tough sell given the time for many of you), did the bullpen management surprise you as it happened?