Here are five things to watch and predictions as the Yankees open the 2026 season against the Giants in San Francisco on Wednesday...
5 things to watch
Will Max Fried's subpar spring carry over?
Fried's performance in his first year with the Yankees was so good that the loss of Gerrit Cole didn't hurt the team much. Fried was the ace of the staff and anchored arguably the best rotation in the majors.
Entering year two, Fried will have to shoulder that burden once again, at least in the early going. That's why his mediocre spring is a bit alarming. In three spring starts, Fried allowed seven earned runs across 14.1 innings (4.40 ERA). While his strikeouts are where they usually are, opposing teams got bat to ball for 12 hits.
In Fried's last start, he walked four batters in his five innings, which was his worst outing this spring. While Fried didn't pay too much mind to his struggles, the Yankees want to start the season on the right foot and a return-to-form for their Opening Day starter would help.
How will the other starters do?
With Cole and Carlos Rodon on the shelf to start the season, the other starters will need to step up behind Fried.
Schlittler will get one of the starts in San Francisco and the Yankees will lean on their playoff hero to take the next step in 2026. It's unclear who else will take the mound over the weekend, but it's likely Will Warren and Ryan Weathers. Meanwhile, the Yankees hope Luis Gil can return to the form he had in 2024.
Can Aaron Judge put the WBC behind him?
The captain was having a nice showing in the WBC before the knockout rounds began. But when the pressure hit, Judge didn't come through in the way many hoped he would.
In the championship game against Venezuela, Judge went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts. Worse off, his at-bats came in big spots that could have flipped the game in Team USA's favor.
For the tournament, Judge finished 6-for-27 (.222) with two home runs and five RBI. He walked six times and struck out seven.
It should be made clear that it's still March and hitters usually take a bit to get going -- as evident with Judge's so-so production in spring games -- but this team goes as far as Judge takes them. If he's not producing, this lineup will be hard-pressed to put up enough runs.
Unless....
Offense elsewhere
The Yankees are putting a lot of stock in the development of Ben Rice and Austin Wells this season. They believe there's plenty of offensive production still there to be mined, especially with Rice.
The young first baseman will see the bulk of the time at that position, giving the Yanks a dynamic bat. Depending on how manager Aaron Boone draws up his lineup, Rice could be batting behind Judge. He'll need to prove that he can be that protection Judge needs to see hittable pitches.
As for Wells, his defense is major league ready, but he regressed offensively last season. Wells did have a very good WBC playing for the Dominican Republic, and perhaps that can carry over and lengthen this lineup.
And then we have Trent Grisham. The Yankees' de facto leadoff man from a year ago, Grisham may not provide the same gaudy offensive numbers he gave them last season, but giving the team anything close to that will also help give Judge and this lineup opportunities to drive in runs.
New-look bullpen
The bullpen will have some returning faces, but there will be a lot of new ones as well.
Gone are Devin Williams and Luke Weaver, but David Bednar and Camilo Doval -- acquired last trade deadline -- are still here, and Fernando Cruz and Tim Hill have become mainstays. But what about the rest? This weekend should give us a clue as to how Boone will deploy his relievers, especially the new ones -- and who he trusts in which situations.
This will be especially crucial in Schlittler's start, as his oblique tightness earlier in camp set his progression back a bit. He won't be built up as much as the others, so we can expect Ryan Yarbrough or Paul Blackburn to help bridge the game for Schlittler.
Predictions
Who will the MVP of the series be?
Aaron Judge
Back in his home region, Judge will get off to a hot start in San Francisco.
Which Yankees pitcher will have the best start?
Max Fried
The Giants deploy a lot of left-handers, and Fried should be able to neutralize them.
Which Giants player will be a thorn in the Yankees' side?
Rafael Devers
The Yankees' old nemesis from when he was with the Red Sox. The slugger will see his first Opening Day as a Giant, but should be much more comfortable with the organization this year after being acquired midseason in 2025.