MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Monday, June 22

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A new week brings a fresh slate of opportunities!

I'm backing Shohei Ohtani, Jake Bauers, and Kyle Stowers to go deep in my favorite MLB player props and home run predictions for Monday, June 22. 

Best MLB home run props today

Player to hit a HROdds
Dodgers Shohei Ohtani+201
Brewers Jake Bauers+324
Marlins Kyle Stowers+445
💲Today's HR parlay+6832

Home run pick: Shohei Ohtani (+201)

The No. 1-rated hitter on the slate having a very “meh” price tag to leave the yard makes complete sense. If you can find a boost, this is the prop to use it on. Los Angeles Dodgers slugger Shohei Ohtani has strong trends when elite, especially in the home run department. In 133 elite-rated road games on Batters-Box, Ohtani has left the yard 28.57% of the time.

On top of that, he's posting a near 70% elevation rate while generating 77% hard contact and a 31% barrel rate over his last 30 road plate appearances.

Ohtani draws Minnesota Twins right-hander Zebby Matthews, against whom he has nearly 90% arsenal coverage. Matthews owns one of the weakest pitcher ratings on the slate and has struggled badly against lefties. Over his last 60 lefties faced, he carries a 9.00 ERA and 7.01 xERA while allowing 48% hard contact, a 16% barrel rate, and a 70% elevation rate.

If you want extra protection on Ohtani, adding his double makes sense. I expect him to boom tonight against Matthews.

  • Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: MNNT, SportsNet Los Angeles

Home run pick: Jake Bauers (+324)

Milwaukee Brewers first baseman Jake Bauers has been producing more hard contact than anyone in baseball over his last 30 plate appearances, generating 77% hard contact and a 15.4% barrel rate vs right-handed pitching. Zooming out to his last 60 plate appearances, he still holds a 73% hard contact rate and a 13.3% barrel rate, while posting a .596 SLG and a .428 wOBA.

This evening, he draws Cincinnati Reds right-hander Brady Singer, a matchup he sees well with 82% arsenal coverage. At home this season, Singer owns a 5.61 xERA and 5.33 xFIP, allowing 42.2% hard contact and a 14.1% barrel rate to opposing hitters. Those bats have produced a .280 xBA, .527 SLG, and .380 xwOBA.

Bauers’ batting average has been a bit low despite consistently barreling the ball. He feels due for extra bases tonight, whether it's going into the stands or one off the wall. Either way, this is a strong spot for power production, with the double worth a look as insurance.

  • Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: CINR, BREW

Home run pick: Kyle Stowers (+445)

Miami Marlins outfielder Kyle Stowers enters today with one of the best matchup ratings in this game, while having one of the best home run trends when elite. In 21 elite ratings at home, the Marlin homers 28.57% of the time. 

Stowers has been on a tear over his last 10 games, generating 63.2% hard contact, a 26.3% barrel rate, and elevating the ball 63.2% of the time. He also owns a .667 SLG, 1.109 OPS, and .471 wOBA in that stretch.

Stowers draws Texas Rangers starter Kumar Rocker, against whom he has nearly 70% arsenal coverage. Rocker enters today with the worst hard contact rating on the day, giving up the most among today's starters. He has also consistently struggled against left-handed hitters, who over his last 60 faced are producing 51% hard contact, a 12.2% barrel rate, and a 67% elevation rate. 

With Rocker allowing a ton of hard contact and elevation, and Stowers producing it at a high level, +445 is a price worth backing Stowers at.

  • Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: MIAMI, RSN
Colby Marchio's 2026 Transparency Record
  • HR picks: 62-208, +18.5 units

Today’s HR parlay

Dodgers Shohei Ohtani Bet Now
+6832
Brewers Jake Bauers
Marlins Kyle Stowers

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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The Best Cards to Buy in 2026 Bowman Baseball Right Now

The Best Cards to Buy in 2026 Bowman Baseball Right Now

2026 Bowman delivered another deep 1st Auto class, and these are the names I keep coming back to at their current market prices. This is not a checklist of the most expensive or highest-ranked cards in the set. Instead, it is a breakdown of where the true value lives right now, profiles whose tools and raw upside completely outrun what the market is asking.

Every player highlighted below is a bet on projection rather than a finished stat line. We are targeting loud raw power and impact among the bats, alongside a mix of ceiling and pitchability among the arms. Some are high-upside swings while others represent steadier bets, but each is a foundational 1st Bowman Chrome autograph I would happily buy at today’s number and hold. A handful of honorable mentions round out the group as cards I like just a notch below my primary targets.

What follows is a short, honest read on each: the profile, where the bat or arm is trending, and the role I expect them to grow into.

About the Author:Andrew Dahl is the founder of Prospect Pulse, the ultimate Bowman Chrome Market Edge platform for serious collectors. Built specifically for 1st Bowman Chrome Auto hobbyists, Prospect Pulse provides live eBay auction tracking, comp-based pricing, and portfolio tools powered by an analysis of over 400,000+ sales across 2,000+ prospects.

Edward Florentino

Florentino is a big, long-levered corner outfielder with a projectable 6-foot-3 frame. His plus raw power is the clear carrying tool, supported by elite-for-his-age exit velocities and a left-handed swing built for natural loft. This allows him to lift the ball with pull-side authority to all fields. The hit tool is advanced for his age, anchored by high in-zone contact and patient, disciplined plate appearances that drive strong walk totals, though his bat can occasionally be tested up in the zone.

Defensively, he profiles best in right field, where his average arm strength fits the position, though first base remains a realistic fallback as he continues to fill out. He runs efficiently on the bases and has posted high steal totals, but his pure footspeed will likely settle into an average grade as he matures physically. He projects as a middle-of-the-order corner regular whose offensive ceiling carries the profile.

Grades: Hit: 50 | Power: 60 | Speed: 45 | Field: 50

2026 Bowman Chrome-Edward Florentino-1st Bowman On Card Base Auto-Pirates - Picture 1 of 2

Justin Gonzales

  • Hobby Ranking (courtesy of @BigBobsCards): #30

  • Avg Price: $59

Gonzales is a towering, right-handed corner outfielder whose carrying tools are massive raw power and a cannon of an arm, built on a tight-end frame that is still filling out. He pairs an advanced, disciplined approach with surprising contact ability for his size, showing a willingness to work counts and utilize the opposite field. Sharpening his recognition of secondary pitches is the next crucial step to letting the bat play to its full potential.

The thump is entirely real, featuring top-of-the-charts exit velocities to all fields; flattening a groundball-heavy bat path will be the key to turning that raw juice into over-the-fence game production. He moves adequately for his size without being a true base-stealing threat, and his arm fits cleanly in right field. He projects as an everyday corner power bat once his swing decisions fully catch up.

Grades: Hit: 50 | Power: 55 | Speed: 45 | Field: 45

2026 Topps Bowman Chrome Justin Gonzalez Bowman 1st Base Auto CPA-JG Red Sox - Picture 1 of 2

Roldy Brito

  • Hobby Ranking (courtesy of @BigBobsCards): #54

  • Avg Price: $35

Brito is a compact, twitchy switch-hitter whose elite speed headlines a well-rounded set of tools from an athletic, up-the-middle frame. His carrying asset shows up immediately on the bases; his aggressive, high-volume stealing has prompted the organization to leverage his speed by sliding him from the middle infield out to center field.

At the plate, he pairs above-average bat-to-ball skills from both sides with sound, patient swing decisions, peppering line drives gap to gap while his game power climbs steadily toward average over-the-fence impact. Defensively, he handles multiple spots up the middle and in the outfield, where his actions and range play well even if his arm offers only modest carry. He projects as a dynamic everyday regular and table-setter, with his speed and feel to hit anchoring the profile.

Grades: Hit: 55 | Power: 50 | Speed: 65 | Field: 55

2026 1st Bowman Chrome Roldy Brito Prospect Base Auto Autograph RC SP Rockies - Picture 1 of 2

Juan Sanchez

  • Hobby Ranking (courtesy of @BigBobsCards): #98

  • Avg Price: $28

Sanchez is a big-framed, 6-foot-3 right-handed infield prospect whose calling card is loud, projectable power from a balanced swing. Signed by Toronto out of the Dominican Republic, he debuted with a thunderous 2025 line and has been pushed aggressively to full-season ball at just 18 years old, where his impact bat plays best inside the zone.

The hit tool is the ultimate swing factor here: his contact output can come and go as he adjusts to stateside arms, but the in-game thump projects as a true offensive driver. A plus arm anchors his defensive value and points toward a comfortable long-term home at third base, complemented by steady hands and reliable actions on the dirt. He is a station-to-station runner who will not lean on his legs. He projects as a power-hitting corner regular if the bat matures.

Grades: Hit: 50 | Power: 60 | Speed: 40 | Field: 45

2026 Bowman Chrome Prospects Juan Sanchez 1st Bowman Chrome On Card Auto - Picture 1 of 2

Dasan Hill

  • Hobby Ranking (courtesy of @BigBobsCards): #26

  • Avg Price: $12

Hill is a projectable 6-foot-5 left-hander whose lanky, still-filling frame and dramatic velocity climb give him one of the loudest arms in the minor leagues. The fastball is the headliner, sitting mid-90s and touching triple digits with real carry up in the zone. It pairs beautifully with a changeup that flashes plus, featuring heavy fade and a near-50% miss rate at its best.

His low-80s sweeper provides a second genuine swing-and-miss weapon with sharp two-plane bite, while a high-70s curveball serves as an effective chase offering. Hill misses bats at every level, posting strikeout rates north of 30 percent throughout his climb. The walk rate remains the gating skill, and tightening his strike-throwing is the central focus of his development. He projects as a mid-rotation starter if the command sharpens, with a high-leverage left-handed bullpen role as a fallback.

Grades: Fastball: 60 | Slider: 60 | Changeup: 55 | Command: 45

2026 Bowman Chrome Dasan Hill 1st Bowman Base Auto #CPA-DH Minnesota Twins - Picture 1 of 2

Honorable Mentions

Marek Houston

  • Hobby Ranking (courtesy of @BigBobsCards): #160

  • Avg Price: $21

Houston is a tall, athletic shortstop whose calling card is plus defense, characterized by smooth, easy actions, deft hands, an excellent internal clock, and the slot versatility to fire accurate throws from any angle—even when off-balance. He pairs that elite glove with a disciplined, contact-oriented bat, working a short, direct stroke to control the strike zone and spray line drives gap to gap.

His present strength points more toward a doubles-and-on-base profile than over-the-fence thump, meaning the hit tool and approach will carry his offensive value. On the bases, he is an above-average runner with the instincts to steal in volume, and his accurate arm deepens the defensive package. He projects as an everyday shortstop whose glove anchors the profile while a steady, professional bat keeps him in the lineup.

Grades: Hit: 55 | Power: 45 | Speed: 55 | Field: 60

David Shields

  • Hobby Ranking (courtesy of @BigBobsCards): #24

  • Avg Price: $15

Shields is a projectable 6-foot-2 left-hander with a graceful, repeatable delivery and a feel for pitching well beyond his teenage years. His calling card is command: he locates all three offerings to both sides of the plate and pounds the zone with elite efficiency. His fastball sits around 90 mph with life and natural deception, playing up through extension and pinpoint placement rather than overpowering velocity, leaving plenty of room for more as he matures physically.

The low-80s slider is his best secondary offering—a swing-and-miss breaker that anchors the arsenal—while his circle changeup has grown into a real weapon with armside fade. He misses bats in bunches and limits free passes despite being young for his level. He projects as a back-end starter, with mid-rotation upside if the fastball velocity ticks up.

Grades: Fastball: 45 | Slider: 55 | Changeup: 50 | Command: 60

David Davalillo

  • Hobby Ranking (courtesy of @BigBobsCards): #84

  • Avg Price: $8

Davalillo is a lean, control-driven right-hander whose profile is anchored by a plummeting low-80s splitter that grades as a true out-pitch. The offering kills spin and falls off the table, generating a spectacular swing-and-miss rate in the mid-to-upper-50 percent range. His fastball sits in the low-90s and can reach the mid-90s, but it works primarily because of his command and his ability to change eye levels rather than pure velocity.

A sweeping slider gives him a reliable second breaking offering, and he rounds out a deep mix with a curveball, changeup, and cutter, throwing all of them for strikes with advanced sequencing and feel. His strike-throwing is a genuine carrying trait, evidenced by elite walk rates as he climbed into the upper minors. He projects as a high-floor back-end starter whose splitter and command let the entire profile play up.

Grades: Fastball: 45 | Slider: 55 | Splitter: 65 | Command: 55

The Bottom Line

Step back and a clear pattern emerges: every name on this list is a bet on tools and projection rather than a finished stat line. Because the professional samples are still small, we are buying the physical frame, the carrying tool, and the upward developmental arrow—not a proven track record.

Among the bats, the through-line is real raw power and impact from the international ranks, with the hit tool acting as the crucial swing factor that determines how much of that power translates into games. Among the arms, the choice splits between raw projection and velocity in Dasan Hill, versus advanced pitchability and command in David Shields and David Davalillo.

What makes the timing work right now is the price. Most of these cards have seen their market values settle just over five weeks after release. Historically, this is the exact window where you want to buy a foundational 1st Bowman Chrome autograph. If even a couple of these profiles click, there is far more room above today’s prices than below them.

Luka Dončić texted Jalen Brunson after the Knicks won the NBA Finals

INDIANAPOLIS, IN - FEBRUARY 18: Former Dallas Mavericks teammates Luka Doncic #77 and Jalen Brunson #11 of the New York Knicks pose for a portrait before the NBA All-Star Game as part of NBA All-Star Weekend on Sunday, February 18, 2024 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2024 NBAE (Photo by Juan Ocampo/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

As far as all-time fumbles by a franchise go, the Mavericks going from having a young backcourt pairing of Luka Dončić and Jalen Brunson to having neither and nothing to show for it is near the top of the list.

It’s two of the more inexplicable moves in recent NBA history. Dallas watched Brunson excel throughout the 2021-22 season, including the playoffs, and let him walk. Then, two-and-a-half years later, they handed Luka on a silver platter to the Lakers.

Despite both being done dirty by the Mavs — or maybe even because of it — Brunson and Luka have kept a friendship throughout the years. So, when Brunson was on the verge of an NBA title in the Finals, Luka reached out to him, as he recently confirmed in a Spanish interview with the YouTube channel DrafteadosNBA.

Given how close he is with so many past and current teammates, it really seems like Luka is one of the best guys in the league. From Brunson to Dorian Finney-Smith to Kyrie Irving to Rui Hachimura and Austin Reaves, Luka has so many teammates he’s close with.

Luka did an interview in Slovenia where he revealed he did not watch the Finals, but mainly because the games came on in the middle of the night. He was clearly paying attention to the scores and cheering on his former teammate.

The hope is that, next spring, it’s Brunson sending texts to Luka encouraging him to finish off a Finals win and congratulating him on his first title.

You can follow Jacob on Twitter at @JacobRude or on Bluesky at @jacobrude.bsky.social.

Trae Young to sign four-year extension to remain with Wizards

BOSTON, MA - MARCH 14: Trae Young #3 of the Washington Wizards looks on during the game against the Boston Celtics on March 14, 2026 at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Brian Babineau/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

Washington Wizards guard Trae Young intends to sign a maximum contract extension to remain in the nation’s capital, ESPN’s Shams Charania reportedMonday.

The reported four-year, $212 million max contract comes days after Young declined his $48.97 million player option for the 2026-27 season.

Young’s cap hit will rise by roughly 5% in each season of his four-year, $212M contract extension with the Wizards, sources tell Bullets Forever. The contract culminates with a player option in Year 4.

ESPN reported that Young’s contract was “equal to the max he could’ve signed elsewhere,” which signals Young had a solid free agent market that forced Washington’s front office to offer more money than some originally expected.

Young’s market changed following the league’s updated lottery rules, which brought other teams into the mix. The Wizards signed Young at a comparative league value, giving him the maximum amount opposing teams could’ve offered in free agency.

Washington could’ve offered Young an additional $75 million but signed him for one less year and significantly less money.

Young, 27, was acquired by Washington in a January trade that sent CJ McCollum and Corey Kispert to the Atlanta Hawks. The nine-year veteran averaged 15.2 points and 6.2 assists while shooting 59.5% from the field across five appearances with the Wizards last season.

Young missed 67 games due to several injuries, most notably a quad contusion and an MCL sprain that forced him to miss nearly two months following the trade. Back irritation and another quad contusion caused Young to miss the team’s final 15 contests.

The Oklahoma product was selected with the No. 5 pick in the 2018 NBA Draft and led the Hawks to the Eastern Conference Finals in 2021. His best season came in 2021-22 when he averaged 28.4 points and 9.7 assists en route to All-NBA Third Team honors.

Michael Winger revealed on the Ryen Russillo Show that Washington’s front office ranked Young as the top 2026 free agent. Rather than wait for Young to decline his player option and test free agency, the Wizards used their abundance of cap space to acquire him via trade.

Wizards general manager Will Dawkins applauded Young’s court vision and said the organization acquired him to serve as the team’s floor general. With an extension inked, Young’s role is now official as the team’s PG of the future.

“You just see the playmaking, the scoring, the presence that he has for naturally moving and sharing the ball,” Dawkins said in March.

The four-time All-Star guard has averaged at least 25 points and nine assists per game five times in his career. There have only been 16 such seasons in NBA history.

Young led the league in assists three times and is the league’s current active leader in assists per game. He ranks third all time in that category behind Magic Johnson and John Stockton.

Dawkins also praised Young’s desire to be in Washington — a feeling Young shared during a recent appearance on “The Pivot” podcast.

“I wanted to go [to Washington],” Young said. “It’s not like [Atlanta] just shipped me to Washington. Because that wasn’t the case.”

Young projects as Washington’s starting point guard alongside Anthony Davis and Alex Sarr. That leaves openings in the team’s starting unit for two of the following players: Kyshawn George, Bilal Coulibaly, Tre Johnson and whoever Washington selects with the No. 1 pick.

No matter the starting lineup, Young believes the Wizards are ready to ascend behind their young core and group of veterans poised for a better season.

“I know our team is gonna be ready,” Young said on The Pivot. “We have young guys who have been through the rebuilding stage. They went through a lot of losing the last few years, and they’re tired of losing. I want to be there with them when we’re winning.”

Oilers re-sign defenseman Connor Murphy to a 5-year, $20.5 million contract

The Edmonton Oilers re-signed defenseman Connor Murphy to a five-year contract worth $20.5 million on Monday.

The team announced the deal roughly 24 hours after extending center Jason Dickinson for the next five seasons at $20 million. Murphy and Dickinson joined Edmonton in separate deals from Chicago as pending unrestricted free agents ahead of the trade deadline in early March.

Murphy, like Dickinson, improved the Oilers’ ability to keep the puck out of their own net. Their goals-against average was 3.34 in the 62 games before acquiring them and dropped to 2.90 in the final 20 games of the regular season with them.

That number shot up to 4.33 in a first-round loss to Anaheim, though that also included goaltenders Tristan Jarry and Connor Ingram combining for a playoff-worst .866 save percentage.

General manager Stan Bowman could address the goaltending situation via trade or free agency, and he and the front office need to hire a coach after firing Kris Knoblauch, who led consecutive trips to the Stanley Cup in 2024 and ’25.

Re-signing Murphy, 33, is part of the organization’s commitment to being better defensively in an effort to finally get Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl their first championship after more than a decade in the NHL together. Murphy has skated in 840 games in the league with the Coyotes, Blackhawks and Oilers.

White Sox activate C Kyle Teel from IL and send C Edgar Quero to Triple-A Charlotte

CHICAGO — The Chicago White Sox activated Kyle Teel from the 60-day injured list on Monday and optioned fellow catcher Edgar Quero to Triple-A Charlotte.

Teel is expected to make his season debut in the opener of a three-game series against AL Central-leading Cleveland.

The 24-year-old Teel strained his right hamstring while playing for Italy in the World Baseball Classic. Then he hurt his right knee while playing for Charlotte on a rehab assignment.

Teel, a first-round pick in the 2023 amateur draft, was acquired by Chicago in the Garrett Crochet trade in December 2024. He hit .273 with eight homers and 35 RBIs in 78 games last year in his first action with the White Sox.

Teel spent four games with the Knights on his second rehab stint, going 8 for 16 with a homer and four RBIs.

The White Sox are back at home after going 1-5 on a six-game trip. They were one game back of the Guardians going into the series.

Quero has struggled at the plate in his second major league season, batting just .187 with two homers and 15 RBIs in 55 games. He was acquired in a July 2023 trade with the Los Angeles Angels.

Panthers Protecting Top-10 Pick In 2026 From Blackhawks Changed NHL Landscape

During the 2025-26 season, it was revealed that the 2026 first-round pick that the Chicago Blackhawks received from the Florida Panthers in the Seth Jones trade was top-10 protected. It was initially believed not to be, but it was sorted out during the year. 

The reason that it was even a conversation was because of the fact that Florida was in the midst of a tough year, despite being the back-to-back Stanley Cup champions. Injuries to consequential players really brought them down, and that pick ended up being 9th overall. 

The first-round pick became a 2027 selection for Chicago when the 2026 pick became unavailable to them. That also pushed back a first-round pick that Florida promised to the Boston Bruins in the Brad Marchand trade back one year. 

On Sunday night, a trade was announced that shocked the NHL world. Florida acquired Brady Tkachuk from the Ottawa Senators in exchange for draft picks. One of those was the top-10 protected pick that was going to go to the Blackhawks. 

Kyle Davidson allowing that pick to be protected changed the landscape of the entire league. Brady will join his brother, Matthew Tkachuk, and a healthy Florida Panthers team ready to make another Stanley Cup run, and having the 9th overall pick played a big role in that deal getting done. 

Did anyone think the Panthers would be in line for a top-ten pick when they acquired Seth Jones ahead of their second straight Cup run? No, they didn’t. That’s even more of a reason, however, to make sure that the pick isn’t protected just in case. Now, Florida has eyes on its third Cup in four years.

Next year, the pick is unprotected, but it is even less likely now that it will be a pick in the top third of the 2027 NHL Draft.

Multiple teams have and will be affected by this choice as the years go on. Not only are all the teams mentioned above going to be impacted, but anyone Florida plays and beats in the playoffs as a result of adding Brady to their lineup will be impacted.

There is also a chance that Ottawa flips some of those draft picks for help to replace Brady. They have come too far in their rebuild to let one trade request set the clock extremely far back. 

Not that it was ever likely, but Brady Tkachuk would have been an incredible addition for the Blackhawks due to his age, position, pedigree, and style of play, but it won't happen now. Instead, management led by Kyle Davidson must figure out their own play to add a star forward to pair with Connor Bedard on the top line. 

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The optics of the Dusty May hire

ANN ARBOR, MICHIGAN - APRIL 11: Head Basketball Coach Dusty May of the Michigan Wolverines speaks on stage during the Michigan Men's Basketball National Championship celebration at Crisler Arena on April 11, 2026 in Ann Arbor, Michigan. (Photo by Aaron J. Thornton/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Dallas Mavericks have officially hired Dusty May out of the college ranks to guide the team and young star Cooper Flagg into the future. Merely two-and-half months after leading Michigan to the National Championship, May departs Ann Arbor to continue his meteoric rise through the basketball world.

Tyler Edsel has a must-read piece that will tell you all you need to know (and then some) about the Mavs’ new head coach. The tangibles and pedigree are objectively digestible. May is a winner who catapulted Florida Atlantic to heights previously unseen, then helped Michigan cut down the nets for the first time in over 30 years. There are, of course, some fears that go along with a college coach jumping to the NBA, as David Trink articulates by way of the historical track record of such occurrences.

Simply put, May is an unknown quantity in the NBA, despite his impressive track record. Despite that, I would strongly contend that it doesn’t matter. Putting aside the successes of his past and any speculation as to how his future in the NBA will play out, there is an entirely different perspective I can’t help but think about – this is a massive win for the Dallas Mavericks no matter what.

The Mavericks continue to announce their new world order

Weeks ago it was reported that Dallas touched base with both May and Duke’s Jon Scheyer, with both being deemed longshots. From there, news broke about a variety of NBA assistants that were in the running and it appeared likely that would be the direction the Mavs took. Dallas would not be getting a big name ready to make the jump. Then, out of nowhere, May was hired.

This is a massive get for the Mavericks and it comes at a perfect time. Virtually no one expected May to make a move to the NBA. He had it made for at least a few more seasons in Michigan after coming off the National Championship. Dallas’ pursuit of him (and Scheyer) were reported and then almost simultaneously dismissed as a pipe dream. Actually landing May is a statement by the organization.

Masai Ujiri was a breath of fresh air – a first step toward the Mavericks having a professional basketball front office for the first time in years. The immediate follow up was expected to be the always-controversial results of the Draft. No matter the selection, there would be both supporters and detractors. However, Dallas swerved everyone with what I personally view as an indisputable win as the follow-up to the hirings of Ujiri and GM Mike Schmitz. Dallas got their guy despite him being such a longshot, and as intangible as “the get” is, it comes with juice that indicates the new regime in Dallas can make waves. Yes, the production needs to be there on the court, but May has plenty of time to find success as the Mavs rebuild around Flagg. For now, Dallas’ newly minted front office getting “their guy,” who just so happens to be the biggest coaching name in basketball outside the NBA (until a few hours ago), is a huge win for the Mavs. If nothing else, it puts the Mavs in a favorable spotlight and continues to scrub the stain of the past regime as the Mavs further build good will with the fan base. If May’s talents translate to the NBA level (which personally, I feel they will), this hiring could be paying dividends for years to come.

I invite you to follow me @_80MPH on X, and check back often at Mavs Moneyball for all the latest on the Dallas Mavericks.

Monday Morning Minnesota: The “In Buck We Trust” Edition

PHOENIX, ARIZONA - JUNE 20: Byron Buxton #25 of the Minnesota Twins reacts after hitting a grand slam homerun during the fifth inning of the MLB game against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on June 20, 2026 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Jeremy Chen/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Summer has officially started, and the Twins are feeling hot, with a 5-1 record last week! A sweep against the Rangers and a 2-1 series win over the Diamondbacks that was filled with homers and runs galore put the team at 38-41, only 3.5 games out of the AL Central lead behind two teams in Cleveland and Chicago that have dealt with significant injuries as of recent. Byron Buxton earned AL Player of the Week honors to start the week and added a couple more homers, including a grand slam against Arizona. He also reiterated his commitment to the team, telling Dan Hayes at The Athletic, “I don’t give a f—“ about trade rumors. Buxton currently sits second in the AL in homers, 6th in wRC+, and is a Gold-Glove caliber center fielder – sounds like a potential MVP candidate to me!

The Past Week on Twinkie Town:

  • Check out The Feed, where you can add your discussions about the Twins!
  • We’re starting a new segment called Daily Questions! Provide your opinion on the Twins and debate with the community!
  • Game threads and recaps are back! Commiserate with your fellow fans as we experience the season together.
  • Zach Koenig takes time to thank Byron Buxton for all his accomplishments over the last couple of years.
  • Aidan Thomas reviews the state of the catcher position in the Twins farm system.
  • With new faces showing up on the major league roster every day, Matt Monitto lists the remaining jersey numbers that have yet to be claimed in Twins history.

Elsewhere in Twins Territory:

  • Aaron Gleeman at AaronGleeman.com looks at the reliever that might be putting an end to the revolving door at closer.
  • Eleanor Hildebrandt at the Star Tribune provides context on why customer service at Target Field for today’s game might be a bit different, with concession stand workers going on strike.
  • Theo Tollefson at Zone Coverage checks in on outfield Alan Roden and how he’s playing now that he’s back from injury.
  • Betsy Helfand at the Pioneer Press looks at how Mick Abel’s setback impacts the Twins’ plan for the rotation.

In the World of Baseball:

  • The Yankees have maintained their lead atop the American League, with a two-game cushion over the Tampa Bay Rays. The Guardians and White Sox are separated by a game in the AL Central lead, while the Mariners continue to hold the top spot in the West. The Blue Jays now occupy the third wild-card slot.
  • The Dodgers, who are coming to town to face the Twins, are now tied with Atlanta for the NL Central lead. Milwaukee is 1.5 games behind, and the Cardinals, Phillies, and now Cubs have the three wild-card spots.
  • With all the recent Tarik Skubal trade rumors, Mike Petriello at MLB.com explains the simple reason why Skubal might remain in Detroit.
  • The MLB owners provided their latest proposal in the CBA battle, this time with a shocker of overhauling the draft process, most notably, making high-schoolers ineligible for the draft and implementing an international draft. Kiley McDaniel and Jeff Passan at ESPN have a deeper dive into the offer.
  • Dan Szymborski at Fangraphs looks at the financial impacts on players with the newest owners’ proposal.

Lakers linked to Thunder guard Lu Dort as trade rumors heat up

Basketball players Aleksej Pokusevski of the Lakers and Lu Dort of the Thunder in action on the court.
The Lakers reportedly contacted the Thunder about Lu Dort as Oklahoma City weighs tough roster decisions before the NBA Draft.

The Los Angeles Lakers are scrambling for ways to improve a roster that was overwhelmed by the Oklahoma City Thunder in the playoffs, and one of the players who helped eliminate them may now be on their radar.

According to NBA insider Marc Stein, the Lakers have reached out to Oklahoma City about the availability of veteran wing Lu Dort as they explore potential offseason upgrades.

The Lakers reportedly contacted the Thunder about Lu Dort as Oklahoma City weighs tough roster decisions before the NBA Draft. Getty Images

“I’m also told that the Lakers have called the Thunder about swingman Lu Dort’s availability,” Stein reported on his Substack.

The inquiry comes at a fascinating time for the reigning Western Conference powerhouse. Oklahoma City is facing a roster crunch with 15 players already under contract and two first-round picks in the upcoming draft. That situation has fueled speculation that the Thunder could consider moving Dort after exercising his $17.2 million team option.

Luguentz Dort #5 of the Oklahoma City Thunder looks on during the game against the San Antonio Spurs NBAE via Getty Images

The 27-year-old has long been viewed as one of the NBA’s premier perimeter defenders. He earned First Team All-Defense honors during Oklahoma City’s championship run in 2025 and has built a reputation as one of the league’s toughest assignments for opposing stars.

For a Lakers team that finished near the bottom half of the league defensively and struggled to contain Oklahoma City’s athletic wings during the postseason, Dort’s skill set is an obvious fit.

The challenge, however, is convincing the Thunder to move him.

While Dort’s offensive production dipped last season to 8.3 points and 3.6 rebounds per game, his defensive value remains significant. Oklahoma City still views him as a key contributor, and any trade would likely require meaningful assets from a Lakers team that is already limited in draft capital.

Luka Doncic #77 listens to LeBron James #23 of the Los Angeles Lakers Getty Images

There are also questions about whether Dort’s offense would complement a roster built around Luka Dončić. After shooting better than 41 percent from three during Oklahoma City’s title season, Dort’s efficiency slipped considerably in 2025-26, raising concerns about spacing alongside the Lakers’ stars.

Still, the reported interest reveals Los Angeles’ priorities this offseason. The Lakers are expected to pursue defensive-minded wings and frontcourt help, with veteran centers Walker Kessler, Mitchell Robinson and Robert Williams III also reportedly on their radar.

Whether a deal ultimately materializes remains uncertain, but the Lakers have clearly identified the type of player that is on their radar.

MLB Predictions and Moneyline Picks for Monday, June 22

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With 13 games on the slate, there are a plethora of betting angles to attack. However, we've decided to deliver a moneyline pick for every matchup.

Find out what games you should add to your MLB picks for June 22.

MLB moneyline picks for June 22

MatchupPick
YankeesYankees
vs
TigersTigers
Yankees
-122
RoyalsRoyals
vs
RaysRays
Rays
-178
RangersRangers
vs
MarlinsMarlins
Marlins
-117
PhilliesPhillies
vs
NationalsNationals
Nationals
-111
AstrosAstros
vs
Blue JaysBlue Jays
Astros
+113
CubsCubs
vs
MetsMets
Cubs
-113
BrewersBrewers
vs
RedsReds
Brewers
-142
GuardiansGuardians
vs
White SoxWhite Sox
Guardians
-104
DodgersDodgers
vs
TwinsTwins
Dodgers
-148
DiamondbacksDiamondbacks
vs
CardinalsCardinals
Cardinals
-142
Red SoxRed Sox
vs
RockiesRockies
Rockies
+115
OriolesOrioles
vs
AngelsAngels
Orioles
-150
BravesBraves
vs
PadresPadres
Braves
+100

Prices courtesy of Polymarket as of 6-22.

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Expert MLB moneyline picks for June 22

Yankees vs Tigers: Yankees (-122)

Yankees win probability: 55%

I am not fading the Gerrit Cole train against this inconsistent Detroit Tigers lineup. While the offense has shown some life over the last few games, the New York Yankees have been rolling as well.

Tigers southpaw Framber Valdez has a sub-5.00 ERA at home this season, but he now draws a Yanks lineup filled with lefties who can handle left-handed pitching. I trust Cole & Co. offense to jump on Valdez early and build some insurance runs.

Royals vs Rays: Rays (-178)

Rays win probability: 64%

I do not care if this is the game in which the Kansas City Royals break out. This team has been a disappointment, and I have very little confidence in them right now.

Drew Rasmussen has been excellent, posting a 1.69 ERA, 0.69 WHIP, and a 2.44% barrel rate over his last five outings. The Tampa Bay Rays should be in a strong position to carve up Michael Wacha, who has a 5.58 ERA over his last five starts.

Rangers vs Marlins: Marlins (-117)

Marlins win probability: 54%

I have an MLB player prop from this game, but let’s cut to the chase: With Kumar Rocker on the mound for the Texas Rangers, I automatically lean toward the Marlins.

Over his last five starts, he is allowing 45% hard contact with a 5.25 ERA. Tyler Phillips has not been much better, but I trust the young Fish more in this spot at home.

Phillies vs Nationals: Nationals (-111)

Nationals win probability: 52%

I am not eager to fade the Philadelphia Phillies coming off a strong series against the Mets, especially with a potential Sunday Night hangover in play.

If the Washington Nationals can execute their game plan, they have a chance to get out to an early lead against Alan Rangel, while Foster Griffin works to keep things steady on the mound.

This sets up as a strong spot for one of baseball's more exciting offenses to get rolling. Washington’s right-hander has posted a 1.93 ERA over his last five outings, and it will be interesting to see if he can keep that form going in this matchup.

Astros vs Blue Jays: Astros (+113)

Astros win probability: 47%

Despite Toronto Blue Jays right-hander Dylan Cease being dominant this season, I think fading this Houston Astros lineup isn't a risk worth taking, given how well they have been seeing the ball over their last few games.

I am not overly concerned about Hunter Brown’s return turning into a disaster here, especially with Yordan Alvarez leading the way with an elite rating today. If he gets going, the rest of the offense tends to follow.

Cubs vs Mets: Cubs (-113)

Cubs win probability: 53%

The New York Mets return home after a Sunday Night Baseball loss, while the Chicago Cubs arrive with a full day of rest and momentum at the plate. 

Chicago’s offense has been clicking lately and will look to apply early pressure against Kodai Senga. Even with some uncertainty in the Cubs’ bullpen, the edge here is with their offense in this spot.

Brewers vs Reds: Brewers (-142)

Brewers win probability: 59%

The Milwaukee Brewers are in a strong spot in Cincinnati against Brady Singer, who enters with poor matchup grades in both wOBA and ISO.

Milwaukee’s lineup grades out elite on Batters-Box with five elite-rated bats and one strong hitter, giving them a clear edge at the plate. Singer has struggled at home this season, posting a 5.61 xERA and 5.33 xFIP while allowing 42.2% hard contact and a 14.1% barrel rate.

Milwaukee counters with Brandon Woodruff, who has been excellent on the road with a 2.84 ERA and 1.03 WHIP, limiting damage consistently with minimal hard contact. Despite the juice, Milwaukee looks like the side in a small park matchup.

Guardians vs White Sox: Guardians (-104)

Guardians win probability: 51%

The Chicago White Sox return home after cooling off from wins over the Dodgers and Braves, but Anthony Kay on the mound does not inspire much confidence.

The Cleveland Guardians counter with Gavin Williams, who has been steady of late. This matchup leans toward Cleveland behind the stronger pitching performance.

Dodgers vs Twins: Dodgers (-148)

Dodgers win probability: 59%

The Los Angeles Dodgers face Minnesota Twins right-hander Zebby Matthews, who has struggled badly against lefties with a 9.00 ERA, 7.01 xERA, and heavy hard contact allowed.

Los Angeles brings six elite-rated left-handed bats into a prime matchup. Even with Eric Lauer on the mound, this sets up as a strong Dodgers offensive spot.

Diamondbacks vs Cardinals: Cardinals (-142)

Cardinals win probability: 57%

The St. Louis Cardinals are in a strong spot at home against Merrill Kelly, who has struggled badly against lefties, allowing heavy hard contact, barrels, and elevated damage recently.

St. Louis brings an elite-rated lineup into a favorable matchup, while Andre Pallante has been steady at home. This sets up well for the Cardinals.

Red Sox vs Rockies: Rockies (+115)

Rockies win probability: 46%

I may have some Colorado Rockies bias in my blood, I will admit it. I just think this offense is scrappy, annoying in the best way, and always feels like they are in every game, no matter the score.

Right now, they have been seeing the ball really well over their last 30 at-bats vs. right-handed pitching. Five hitters are batting over .300, six have an OPS above .783, and six also carry an OBP above .333.

The Red Sox have been better lately, but I trust Colorado’s offense to be more consistent in this spot.

Orioles vs Angels: Orioles (-150) 

Orioles win probability: 60%

According to Batters-Box, the Orioles enter today with seven hitters carrying at least a strong rating against Angels left-hander Sam Aldegheri, who has been better at home this season.

However, over his last three outings, he owns a 7.00 ERA, 1.78 WHIP, a 14% walk rate, and a 14% strikeout rate. With a nearly fully elite-rated offense in this spot, it is hard to overlook the data.

Braves vs Padres: Braves (+100)

Braves win probability: 50%

What a game this should be, with both offenses running cold and both pitchers coming off some rough recent outings. I am typically anti-Padres due to their inconsistency at the plate, so I lean toward the more complete offense in this spot.

Despite their recent struggles, I still think the Atlanta Braves are the better team here.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Michigan, keep Josh Schertz on speed dial in case interim trial run fails

Michigan chose continuity. It also faced reality. Hiring a college basketball coach in late June is not ideal timing.

The Wolverines, according to multiple reports, will promote Mike Boynton Jr. to interim coach to succeed Dusty May, who’s leaving for the NBA’s Dallas Mavericks.

The key word in that sentence? “Interim.”

That suggests this is a trial run — as it should be.

If Boynton can keep Michigan’s roster together, the Wolverines possess enough talent after signing an elite recruiting class to pursue another deep NCAA Tournament run. Achieve that, and Boynton can shed the interim label.

But, this job is too good for Michigan to commit to Boynton being anything more than a one-year experiment.

Never mind Michigan isn’t a blue blood, it boasts top-tier resources, and money matters more than ever in the buy-a-player landscape. If Boynton wobbles as interim, Michigan should open the job next spring to a full search that ought to attract top candidates.

Keep Saint Louis coach Josh Schertz on speed dial. Schertz would have been a natural heir to May if the job had opened two months ago.

The good news for Michigan? Schertz isn’t going anywhere between now and March. Schertz passed on Syracuse and NC State to stay at SLU — perhaps, because he figured something better would open if he showed patience.

Well, Michigan would fit the bill as something better.

Schertz and May are good pals, too. Before SLU faced May’s Wolverines in the second round of the NCAA Tournament, Schertz spoke of his yearslong friendship with May, calling him “an incredible resource.”

“We’re always picking each other’s brain,” Schertz said then.

Josh Schertz would fit Michigan's past playbook of hiring Dusty May

May climbed the ladder from video coordinator to becoming best coach in college basketball. Schertz also knows how to grind. He spent more than a decade coaching in Division II before Indiana State smartly hired him.

Schertz would’ve been an appropriate and qualified successor to his friend. He’s more accomplished than Boynton, who proved a valuable assistant to May, but who made just one NCAA Tournament appearance in seven seasons coaching Oklahoma State, a tenure that quickly got sideways as the FBI investigated assistant coach Lamont Evans for taking bribes.

Schertz’s resume, by comparison, includes multiple D-II Final Fours, an NIT runner-up finish at Indiana State after the NCAA selection committee snubbed the Sycamores, and winning an NCAA Tournament game in his second season at SLU, while setting a school record for wins.

If Schertz outperforms Boynton this season, make the switch.

No need for Michigan to reinvent the hiring wheel. Hiring Schertz next spring would amount to dusting off the “Hire Dusty” playbook by targeting a coach who's proven himself in the NCAA Tournament, but who hasn't peaked yet. May took Florida Atlantic to the NCAA Tournament in consecutive seasons and reached a Final Four before Michigan plundered him. He needed just two seasons to take Michigan to the pinnacle.

Don't get distracted by Billy Donovan

Let Kentucky pine over Billy Donovan. Donovan’s past performance at Florida indicates potential for a high ceiling, but he last coached in college more than a decade ago. His inexperience within the landscape of NIL and transfer free agency would make him a riskier hire than you’d expect for someone with his resume.

Instead of Donovan, Michigan could target a savvy coach on the rise who’s won big without Michigan’s resources — someone like Schertz.

Schertz's brand of up-tempo, unselfish offense that tilts toward the 3-pointer suits the modern game.

“When you look at a lot of our metrics and analytics, we mirror each other (in style),” May said last season, while comparing his Wolverines to Schertz’s Billikens.

Put Michigan’s checkbook in Schertz’s hand, and see if he could replicate his friend’s success.

Mike Boynton is a low-risk trial move

Making Boynton the interim for this season amounts to a low-risk option. If he crushes it, keep him. If not, you’ve burned just one season, and Michigan would be positioned to pursue top candidates at a better stage in the calendar.

While I’d put Schertz near the top of the watch list, the list also should include names like Mark Byington (Vanderbilt), Ben McCollum (Iowa), T.J. Otzelberger (Iowa State) and Grant McCasland (Texas Tech). Like Schertz, they're in-their-prime coaches in their mid to late 40s or early 50s.

If this job had opened in April, I’d have hired any of those guys ahead of Boynton, but the job opened in late June.

That’s a recipe for an in-house interim coach — with a head coach watch list stashed away in Michigan’s top drawer.

Blake Toppmeyer is a columnist for the USA TODAY Network. Email him at BToppmeyer@gannett.com and follow him on X @btoppmeyer.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Josh Schertz makes sense at Michigan if Mike Boynton fizzles

On this date in Penguins history: 2012 NHL Draft held in Pittsburgh

PITTSBURGH, PA - JUNE 22: A general view Consol Energy Center during Round One of the 2012 NHL Entry Draft on June 22, 2012 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Brian Babineau/NHLI via Getty Images) | NHLI via Getty Images

It was an electric night in Pittsburgh 14 years ago as the Penguins played host to the 2012 NHL Draft, which was held at PPG Paints Arena.

Then known as the Consol Energy Center, the arena was only a couple of years old and Pittsburgh had landed the NHL Draft for the first time since 1997, when it was held at the Civic Arena.

Heading into the 2012 NHL Draft, the Penguins had just flamed out of the playoffs in dramatic fashion, losing to the Philadelphia Flyers in a series that no one needs to be reminded of.

Pittsburgh was slated to pick 22nd in the draft, but a lot of drama was swirling ahead of the event and during the offseason in general surrounding the contract of pending free agent Jordan Staal.

When the opening night of the draft arrived, Ray Shero made his splash move, dealing Jordan Staal to the Carolina Hurricanes for the No. 8 overall pick that evening, Brandon Sutter, and Brian Dumoulin.

NHL Commissioner Gary Bettman certainly enjoyed the moment with his ability to hype up the crowd with his “and” thrown in there a couple times after the “for those of you in the building, you’ll be particularly interested.”

With the 8th pick, the Penguins selected defenseman Derrick Pouliot, who ultimately turned out to be a disappointment for Pittsburgh fans.

Brandon Sutter played three seasons for the Penguins and then was dealt by Jim Rutherford to Vancouver as a package that helped bring Nick Bonino to Pittsburgh.

Bonino and Dumoulin each won back-to-back Stanley Cup titles in Pittsburgh.

In Carolina, Jordan Staal singed a 10-year deal worth $60 million, later adding another four years with the Hurricanes, now having played the second most games in franchise history.

Staal recently made history by becoming the oldest Conn Smythe Trophy winner while leading Carolina to the 2026 Stanley Cup.

Knicks 2026 NBA Draft Primer: Targets, how free agency factors in, and more

A Knicks primer on the 2026 NBA Draft:

WHERE DO THEY PICK?

The world champs have the No. 24, No. 31, and No. 55 picks in this week’s draft.

Of note, the Knicks have been talking to teams about deals that include the No. 24 pick as recently as Tuesday morning.

WHO HAVE THEY WORKED OUT IN THE NO. 24 TO NO. 31 RANGE?

Michigan PF Morez Johnson Jr.

Arkansas guard Meleek Thomas

Duke wing Isaiah Evans

St. John’s big man Zuby Ejiofor

UConn forward Alex Karaban

Arkansas forward Trevon Brazile

Houston guard Emanuel Sharp

South Florida big Izaiyah Nelson

Virginia big Ugonna Onyenso

WHAT ARE POSITIONS OF NEED?

That depends on what the Knicks plan to do in free agency. 

Mitchell Robinson, Landry Shamet, Jordan Clarkson, Jeremy Sochan, Mohamed Diawara (restricted), Ariel Hukporti (restricted), Kevin McCullar Jr. (restricted) and Trey Jemison (restricted) are free agents. Jose Alvarado has a player option. Miles McBride is eligible for an extension.

Apr 30, 2026; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; New York Knicks center Mitchell Robinson (23) shows emotion after a play against the Atlanta Hawks in the second quarter during game six of the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs at State Farm Arena.
Apr 30, 2026; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; New York Knicks center Mitchell Robinson (23) shows emotion after a play against the Atlanta Hawks in the second quarter during game six of the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs at State Farm Arena. / Brett Davis - Imagn Images

If Robinson and Shamet are back, the Knicks probably look at size on the wing or a player who can handle the ball. Ejiofor has some fans in the organization. If they think they are losing Robinson or Hukporti, maybe the Knicks draft a center? Tarris Reed Jr. from UConn would be a strong pick in New York’s range.

**Owner James Dolan said recently on WFAN that he doesn’t want to spend into the second apron. I have to think that Dolan was mistaken, referencing the penalties a team incurs when it is in the second apron for three out of five seasons. The Knicks would need to get into the second apron to re-sign Robinson and Shamet. So it wouldn’t make sense for the club to limit spending at below the second apron. Especially a team coming off of a championship whose best player (Jalen Brunson) took a pay cut to help build out the roster. If Dolan is serious about the second apron, it will significantly impact the Knicks’ offseason.

WHO HAVE THEY WORKED OUT IN THE NO. 55/UNDRAFTED FREE AGENT RANGE?

St. John’s forward Dillon Mitchell 

Miami guard Tre Donaldson 

George Washington center Rafael Castro 

Texas Tech guard Donovan Atwell 

Marshall forward Wyatt Fricks 

Missouri forward Mark Mitchell 

Alabama forward Amari Allen 

Kansas guard Melvin Council Jr. 

Hofstra’s Cruz Davis

Here is a full list of players who worked out for the Knicks.

HOW DID THE KNICKS GET THEIR PICKS?

The No. 24 pick is their own first-rounder – which is a rarity for the franchise. As things currently stand, the next time the Knicks have their own first round pick is in 2030. They will send their 2027, 2029 and 2031 first-rounders to Brooklyn as part of the Mikal Bridges trade. They also have a first-round pick swap with the Nets in 2028.

The No. 31 pick is from Washington as part of the 2022 NBA Draft night trade of the No. 11 pick to Oklahoma City. The Knicks will get Washington’s second-round pick in 2026 and 2027 as part of that trade. The deal was executed as part of an effort to clear enough cap space to sign Brunson in free agency.

The No. 55 pick is New York’s own selection. Including the 2026 draft, the Knicks have at least six second-round picks in the next three drafts.

Rui Hachimura could be ‘odd man out’ for Lakers in free agency

LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - FEBRUARY 24: Rui Hachimura #28 of the Los Angeles Lakers looks on after a three-point basket as teammates celebrates during the second quarter of an NBA game against the Orlando Magic at Crypto.com Arena on February 24, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images) | Getty Images

While the Lakers are set to potentially have a lot of cap space this summer, it comes with a lot of moving parts attached.

That cap space is only created if the team renounces the cap holds on certain players — namely LeBron James — and only matters if they have players they want to sign or acquire via trade. It’s going to be a juggling act for the Lakers that could, and likely will, leave someone as the odd man out.

Could that be Rui Hachimura? The wing is set for a big payday after a strong regular season and playoffs as a shooter. In a recent piece for ESPN, Dave McMenamin revealed that some around the league wonder if Rui might have to look elsewhere for that payday.

The biggest unknown is swingman Rui Hachimura. The 28-year-old forward followed up a strong regular season (11.5 points per game on 51.4% from the field and 44.3% from 3) with a brilliant playoffs (17.5 points on 54.9% overall and 56.9% from 3) while playing on an $18.3 million expiring deal.

Several league sources told ESPN they believe Hachimura could be the odd man out and that he might need to explore the market to find a desired deal.

The market for Rui is almost certainly going to be at the mid-level exception, given how few teams have cap space. That will allow the Lakers an idea of what to expect in his next contract and plan accordingly.

But Rui and the rest of the free agents aren’t obligated to wait on the Lakers. If he wants a deal quickly while the team wants to wait to see how things across the league play out, that deal might have to come from some other team.

Having said all that, Rui sounded like someone who has enjoyed his time with the Lakers and the team appears to have interest in retaining him, so they could make him a priority in free agency and ensure a deal is done early.

However, things can change quickly in free agency, which could hurt the Lakers as much as it could benefit them.

You can follow Jacob on Twitter at @JacobRude or on Bluesky at @jacobrude.bsky.social.