The NHL offseason is in full swing as the finish line on the Stanley Cup Final is now within sight after three games. The NHL Combine is in the books, the Gold Star prospect showcase is a week and a half away, the Draft is just over two weeks away, and free agency will begin on July 1.
The salary cap ceiling is expected to increase significantly from $88 million in 2024-25 to $95.5 million in 2025-26 and is projected to continue rising year after year for the next few years. Teams are now in positions foreign to them when compared to the last handful of seasons, as now the majority of NHL clubs have considerable cap space to spend.
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The most high-profile pending unrestricted free agent on the market is Toronto Maple Leafs forward Mitch Marner, and he may be one of the most prolific free agents in NHL history.
With the increased number of teams now able to afford Marner’s projected cap hit (7 years, $12,952,528 AAV), most of the league has been speculated as having interest in the 28-year-old, 100-point-producing former Selke finalist.
From contenders like the Carolina Hurricanes, Vegas Golden Knights, and Los Angeles Kings to the teams looking to make the jump into playoff contention like the Utah Mammoth, Columbus Blue Jackets, and Anaheim Ducks to the teams at the bottom of the standings like the Chicago Blackhawks and San Jose Sharks, and every team in between, it seems like most teams in the NHL are showing or could show interest in adding Marner to their roster, and rightfully so. He’s special, and special players aren’t often made available on the open market.
James Mirtle of The Athletic recently wrote about the nine most intriguing teams in the NHL heading into the offseason, citing the Anaheim Ducks as one of the nine. After making a considerable jump in the standings (59 points to 80), seeing the future core become the current core, and the hiring of Joel Quenneville as head coach, Ducks general manager Pat Verbeek has been given the green light by ownership to spend big in free agency—to the salary cap ceiling, if necessary—and the mandate to make the playoffs in 2025-26 after seven consecutive seasons on the outside looking in.
Mirtle reported “chatter” around the draft combine indicating the Ducks will send an offer Marner’s way that would make him the highest-paid player in the NHL, should he choose to sign it.
“Some of the chatter is that (the Ducks will) potentially be the high bidder for Mitch Marner, with an unheard-of average annual value north of the $14 million that Oilers’ Leon Draisaitl currently makes as the NHL’s highest-paid player,” Mirtle wrote.
The Ducks were notably rejected by a pair of unrestricted free agents—Steven Stamkos and Jonathan Marchessault—in the summer of 2024 after reportedly offering them each more term and AAV than they ended up signing for with the Nashville Predators. It seems the Ducks are preparing themselves to return to the table this summer as the NHL’s high bidder, this time hoping to reel in a bigger, younger fish.
The Ducks aren’t as close to contending for the Stanley Cup as some of the teams they’ll be reportedly bidding against in the Marner sweepstakes and they don’t have the tax advantage (if one believes there’s an advantage for teams who play in states without state income tax) of others, so submitting the offer with the most term and dollar amount will give them their greatest chance of signing him.
The Ducks have to leverage what they have if they truly intend to land Marner this summer: cap space, a willingness to spend that cap space, and a willingness to get creative, if necessary.
The Ducks demonstrated unique creativity when they structured Frank Vatrano’s three-year, $18 million contract extension during the 2024-25 season that will see him paid $900k every year for ten years, starting in 2035. His contract was structured this way to decrease his AAV from $6 million to $4.57 million. It will be worth monitoring whether the Ducks go a similar route with their potential offer for Marner.
Sticker shock will undoubtedly follow a contract offer for Marner with an AAV north of $14 million. It will give some pause, as the Ducks have several core pieces (Leo Carlsson, Cutter Gauthier, Trevor Zegras, Jackson LaCombe, Pavel Mintyukov, Olen Zellweger) who may require substantial new contracts in the summer of 2026. That’s a bridge the Ducks may have to cross if/when they get there, as that is one of the better problems to have: too many young, talented players who’ve taken steps toward stardom and need big-money deals.
The Ducks are in a position within their build where their goal is to push for the playoffs, and Marner would be the biggest piece to help them get there. His potential signing would immediately become the largest and perhaps the most impactful transaction in franchise history, and he would immediately become a top-five talent (maybe higher) in franchise history.
It’s a shot worth taking, regardless of potential ramifications down the road. There’s a high likelihood that Mitch Marner doesn’t sign with the Anaheim Ducks. However, it would be in their best interest to offer the biggest contract on the table and, if he chooses to reject, force him to pass on becoming the highest-paid player in the NHL.
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Photo Credit: Luther Schlaifer-Imagn Images
