Which Brewers top prospect will get the call next?

SURPRISE, - MARCH 17: Luke Adams #5 of the Milwaukee Brewers catches the ball during the 2024 Spring Breakout Game between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Kansas City Royals at Surprise Stadium on Sunday, March 17, 2024 in Surprise, Arizona. (Photo by Zac BonDurant/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

In recent years, it’s felt like there’s always another exciting Brewers prospect knocking on the door.

When Jackson Chourio made his major league debut on Opening Day 2024, he was the No. 2 prospect in baseball and the best prospect the Brewers had had in years. A little over a year later, Jacob Misiorowski made his major league debut and quickly became one of the best pitchers in baseball. Brewers fans began this season clamoring for Cooper Pratt and Luis Lara, and both have more than held their own since arriving in Milwaukee.

Even with the graduations of those four prospects, along with numerous others, Milwaukee’s farm system is still considered to be one of — if not the best — in baseball. Reinforcements are coming, whether that be in September or at the start of next season.

There are six position players who stand out to me as realistic candidates to be the next top prospect to make their major league debut. Let’s take a look at them:

Andrew Fischer

Fischer, a slightly older prospect (21 when drafted), played three years in college and was seen as a remarkably developed hitter heading into the draft. He’s putting up power numbers that we haven’t seen in the Brewers’ farm system in a long, long time, carrying a 1.021 OPS into the final weeks of August while hitting 37 home runs between High-A Wisconsin (20) and Double-A Biloxi (17).

Fischer seems like the perfect candidate for a late-season promotion, but — simply put — the issue is that he’s struck out way too much all year, especially with Biloxi (35.2%).

Now, a high strikeout rate doesn’t mean you can’t be a productive — even great — major league hitter. And, as some Brewers fans have pointed out, striking out a lot might be an acceptable tradeoff for a team that currently ranks last in the majors in home runs. However, successful sluggers who strike out a lot are usually either extreme outliers in another area or great at not chasing pitches out of the zone. That second profile is one you see in a lot of “three true outcomes” sluggers, guys like Kyle Schwarber and Munetaka Murakami, who have terrible strikeout and whiff rates but are selective enough to force pitchers to challenge them in the zone.

Fischer’s chase rate in Double-A does suggest that he could be that type of hitter, but you never know. For every Schwarber, Murakami, or Joey Gallo, there’s a Keston Hiura who can’t figure it out at the big-league level despite great production in the minors. Would the Brewers, an organization that has historically tended to be fairly conservative with prospect promotions and professed a “bites at the apple” approach, risk messing with the development of their massively talented 2025 first-round pick just to make a deeper run this year? I doubt it.

The final thing to consider with Fischer is the organizational depth chart around him. Fischer is a corner infielder whose eventual defensive home is probably first base. While Jake Bauers might end up priced out of Milwaukee after the season he’s had, the Brewers should still have Andrew Vaughn next year (arbitration results and lockout notwithstanding). They’ll also have Luke Adams and Blake Burke, both of whom have had great seasons with less concerning strikeout rates and are already in Triple-A.

Having said all this, Fischer is probably one of the least likely players on this list to be the next top prospect called up, but I also wouldn’t completely rule it out. He’s been electric all year, and 37 home runs are 37 home runs. If the Brewers decide the offense needs a spark down the stretch, there isn’t another player in the organization who has shown an ability to provide it quite like Fischer has.

Blake Burke

Since changing his swing to prioritize getting the ball in the air more often, Burke has become an absolute monster at the plate. He destroyed Double-A pitching this year, hitting for average (.285), getting on base (.367), hitting 30 home runs, and, somewhat surprisingly for a first baseman, stealing 28 bases. His 23.6% strikeout rate also looks significantly better than Fischer’s, and Fischer is probably his main competition for the “power-hitting corner infielder” call-up should the Brewers decide they need that profile. Burke also has the advantage of already being in Triple-A, having been promoted a couple of weeks ago.

The immediate problem for Burke is finding somewhere to play.

Burke will be a first baseman, and coming out of college, a lot of scouts saw him as a future DH-only guy. While he’s been much better than that with Biloxi and should eventually be at least a fringe-average defender at first base, he doesn’t have great range and wouldn’t be able to play the outfield or third base at the level the Brewers would want. While Fischer, in practice, probably isn’t much more flexible than Burke, in theory he is. If Milwaukee needed a bat who could also play third base — or maybe even the outfield — in a pinch, Burke wouldn’t be the guy. Since the Brewers aren’t hurting for first basemen in Triple-A or the majors, that matters a little bit.

Luke Adams

There’s something very Brewers about Adams potentially being the next guy promoted. He was a 12th-round pick in 2022, has never been considered one of the flashiest prospects in the organization, and has basically forced his way up the system’s rankings by getting on base and hitting the ball hard.

Adams sort of reminds me of Pratt and Lara in a way. Like Pratt and Lara, Adams has been surrounded by flashier, higher-ranked prospects who play his position, but he’s just kept producing and working, and it’s led to him knocking on the door of the big leagues.

Adams doesn’t have the prospect pedigree of Made or Fischer, and he hasn’t put up the same ridiculous power numbers as Burke, but he checks just about every other box. He’s already in Triple-A. He can play both corner infield spots. Most importantly, he has a .906 OPS with 13 home runs in 202 Triple-A at-bats. If the Brewers need a corner infielder or bench bat and want someone who has produced both in Triple-A and throughout his career, Adams is their guy.

Jett Williams

If I had written this article this offseason, Williams probably would have been the obvious answer after the Brewers traded their ace from the previous season to acquire him and Brandon Sproat.

Instead, his first year in the Brewers organization has been relatively disappointing. Williams hasn’t hit particularly well in Triple-A, and, maybe more importantly, several players have seemingly passed him on the organizational depth chart.

He started the season in Nashville alongside Cooper Pratt. Pratt got called up first. When David Hamilton went down, the Brewers went with Lara and Greg Jones. Then, when Pratt and Ortiz both got banged up and seemingly created another opportunity to give Williams some run, he reaggravated his wrist and went on the IL.

Williams posted an .867 OPS in Double-A last year, but only a .718 OPS in 151 at-bats with the Mets’ Triple-A affiliate — a number roughly in line with his .724 OPS in 359 at-bats this year. I still really like Williams as a prospect. He can play both the infield and outfield, has power and speed, and gets on base even when he isn’t hitting particularly well. He’s versatile and has been productive enough that he’ll eventually get his call-up, but he hasn’t forced the Brewers’ hand thus far.

Josh Adamczewski

I know this is a little crazy. Jesús Made, the No. 1 prospect in baseball, whose OPS has hovered around .800 all year in Double-A, has played more games at the level than Adamczewski. In fact, Adamczewski had played just 16 games above Low-A coming into this season. By all conventional wisdom, if I’m going to pick a dark horse, someone below Triple-A and with less than 37 home runs, it should be Made, not Adamczewski.

But bear with me.

The case for Adamczewski is simple: he hits the cover off the ball. Against everybody, at every level. At every level in which he’s had more than 60 at-bats, he’s posted a .900 OPS — except for his .872 OPS in 46 games this year. That’s what his numbers look like while adjusting to what many consider the hardest jump in the minor leagues.

I’m not box-score scouting, either. He has a fast, compact swing that should be able to handle velocity while allowing him to adjust to off-speed offerings without throwing off his timing.

Legitimately beautiful swing:

To reiterate, this is my dark horse pick. I don’t think the Brewers are going to call up Adamczewski anytime soon. He came up as a second baseman but has played exclusively in the outfield with Biloxi, so it’s not like there’s a natural fit for him on the major league roster. I just think that if the Brewers wanted to throw a Double-A bat into the lineup and see if they could capture lightning in a bottle, Adamczewski might actually be their best bet for immediate production.

Honorable mention: Tyson Hardin

This might be a bad analogy, but you can think of Hardin a little like Adamczewski — a late-round pick who rose to become a top 10 organizational prospect not because of overwhelming raw talent or athleticism, but because of skill and consistent production. At least, all of that was true before the last two months. Hardin has been getting blown up since the start of July and now has a 5.14 ERA through 16 starts (though his 4.29 xERA and 3.43 FIP indicates some bad luck). Even with guys like Logan Henderson, Robert Gasser, Shane Drohan, etc. now in Milwaukee, Hardin probably wouldn’t get the call over Coleman Crow or Brandon Sproat.

So, who’s next?

If I had to guess right now, I’d say Adams.

He’s already in Triple-A, can play multiple positions where he could be called upon in case of injury, and has played well enough to deserve an opportunity. The Brewers have options at the corner infield spots, but they’re thin if anyone goes down, as we just saw when they had to sign and start guys like Jihwan Bae, Greg Jones, and Braden Shewmake. Andrew Vaughn has played double-digit games at third base, and Gary Sánchez has played first base. Adams wouldn’t be a downgrade.

Editor’s Note: Adams is currently on the injured list, and it isn’t completely clear how severe his injury is, though it seems likely we’ll see him back on the field in the next couple of weeks. He still seems like a solid candidate to join the team as Milwaukee’s 14th position player come September.

While that’s my answer, the more interesting takeaway might be that there isn’t an obvious one. Pratt and Lara have already graduated, and the Brewers still have several legitimate prospects who could realistically enter the major league conversation between now and next season. A year ago, Brewers fans were waiting for Pratt and Lara. Now they’re here, and there’s already another group coming up behind them.

And behind that group are Made, Peña, Fischer, Braylon Payne, Brady Ebel, and plenty of others. It’s a good time to be a Brewers fan.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: Series Preview

TORONTO, CANADA - AUGUST 16: Dylan Cease #84 of the Toronto Blue Jays delivers a pitch against the New York Yankees in their MLB game at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. (Photo by Cole Burston/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Having wrapped up a road trip with a series victory in Baltimore, the Yankees are now set to return home this weekend. While every game at this stage of the season matters, the Blue Jays are coming to town seemingly rejuvenated in the playoff race.

These two teams met just last weekend in Toronto. The Blue Jays ended up taking two out of three, but all were close. (Seemingly every Yankees’ game is close because the offense can’t generate enough offense to pull away from teams.) With the AL a mediocre mess outside the top, Toronto has worked its way back into the playoff picture, so they’ll be hoping to continue what they did last weekend, while the Yankees will hope to try and keep cutting into their deficit to the Rays in the AL East standings.

Before things get going tonight, here’s a look at the expected pitching matchups for the next couple days.

Friday: Cam Schlittler vs. TBD (7:05 pm ET)

Obviously, Schlittler has been absolutely incredible this season and is on the shortlist for possible AL Cy Young winners. The only real negative about his year is the home/road splits, where he has a 3.95 ERA while allowing a .725 OPS in the Bronx, compared to 1.14 and .467 on the road. That being said, he is coming off an excellent outing at Yankee Stadium, striking out 11 Braves while allowing one run in seven innings. We shall see what this start has in store.

With Toronto having multiple starters on the IL on top of trading away Kevin Gausman at the deadline, they’ve been having some bullpen games, as we saw when the Yankees faced them last weekend. That’s presumably what the case will be in this game. The Yankees were held to just one run on four hits in that game, so it’s hard for them to fare much worse, should this indeed be a Johnny Wholestaff outing.

Saturday: Ryan Weathers vs. Dylan Cease (1:35 pm ET)

Injuries have prevented the likes of Weathers and Will Warren from exiting the rotation, as the Yankees still can’t get their theoretical A+ rotation all healthy at once. That being said, Weathers has absolutely held up his end of the bargain of late. Over his last four outings, he has a 0.69 ERA in 26 total innings. That included a one run in 7.1 innings against this very Blue Jays team last weekend.

We’ll miss a possible battle of Cy Young contenders by one day, as Toronto’s — Cease — will go on Saturday. The Yankees came out victorious in the game in total, but Cease certainly looked the part last Sunday. He struck out 10 Yankee hitters in 6.2 innings, allowing just two runs on two hits.

Sunday: Carlos Rodón vs. José Soriano (1:35 pm ET)

Rodón made his return from the IL earlier this week against the Orioles. He did well enough, going four innings while allowing one run on two hits, with the run coming on a homer. He did only throw 66 pitches, meaning he probably won’t be going for a full outing in this appearance either.

Despite trading Gauman, the Jays still picked up Soriano from the Angels to add to their rotation. For the season, he has a 3.29 ERA and a 3.78 FIP, with 2.76 and 3.88 marks since going to Toronto. The Yankees missed him when these teams met last weekend, and they also didn’t face him prior to the trade when he was still with the Angels. The last time the Yankees saw Soriano was last June, where he shut them out over seven frames.

Mets Morning News: A quick three-game trip to the South Side

Sean Manaea #59 of the New York Mets pitches during the game between the Washington Nationals and the New York Mets at Citi Field on Saturday, August 15, 2026 in New York, New York.

Meet the Mets

The Mets had the day off yesterday after taking their series from the Padres, and having won 11 of their past 15 games, they’re set to play the first-place White Sox in a three-game series in Chicago this weekend.

That 11-4 record since the break is tied with the Rays for the best record in baseball over that span.

Awful Announcing ranked SNY’s booth third in baseball, which isn’t a slight but is factually incorrect, as GKR are the best.

Speaking of excellent Mets broadcasters, the team is set to honor Howie Rose with a retirement ceremony ahead of its final home game of the season on September 20.

Around the National League East

The Good Phight writes that the Dodgers’ struggles present an opportunity for the Phillies.

Grand Holmes and the Braves shut out the White Sox to avoid what would’ve been a postponement-delayed sweep at the hands of Chicago.

Jacob deGrom looked fantastic as he struck out ten, walked one and gave up just one hit in six scoreless innings as the Rangers beat the Nationals.

Around Major League Baseball

The Mariners lost to the Brewers yesterday afternoon, but Seattle is set to call up Kade Anderson, one of the best pitching prospects in the sport.

Mark Walter’s financial dealings—as they pertain to his ownership of the Dodgers—have been an issue in the past, and those allegations have resurfaced in light of the probe currently affecting him.

The Yankees completed a sweep of the Orioles.

Zach Neto had quite the night at the plate as the Angels scored 18 runs in a win over the Astros.

The Reds committed a two-out error in the ninth inning, handing their rival Cardinals a victory in the process.

Reds rookie Sal Stewart has a shot at reaching the 100 RBI mark.

With a win over the Giants, the Guardians won a series at home for the first time since June. The American League Wild Card race is something else.

A great start from Shane Bieber helped the Blue Jays defeat the rival Rays.

It’s rare to find a series between two American League teams that has no playoff implications, but they do exist. The Royals beat the A’s for their fifth-straight win.

Here are MLB.com’s latest hitter power rankings.

Yesterday at Amazin’ Avenue

We shared the latest episode of Today Your Love, Tomorrow the World Series.

This Date in Mets History

Tom Seaver made a fantastic start at Shea Stadium on this date in 1977, but it would’ve been even better if he had made it for the Mets rather than against them.

Braves News: Grant Holmes throws shutout, Luke Sinnard promoted, and more

ATLANTA, GA - JULY 19: Grant Holmes #66 of the Atlanta Braves gives high fives before the game against the Texas Rangers at Truist Park on July 19, 2026 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Matthew Grimes Jr./Atlanta Braves/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Atlanta Braves earned their 75th win of the season after Thursday’s 2-0 win over the Chicago White Sox. Grant Holmes and Austin Riley allowed Atlanta to avoid the sweep during the makeup game. Holmes got the start, lasting six innings and allowing just one hit. He walked three and struck out three. 

Austin Riley drove in both of the Atlanta runs. He doubled in the third and singled in the seventh to give the Braves the edge. Though a makeup game, the Braves desperately needed this win following a tough series with the Minnesota Twins. 

The Braves are back in action this afternoon, as the weekend series kicks off with the Milwaukee Brewers. 

More Braves News:

Pitching prospect Luke Sinnard has been promoted to Double-A and will suit up for the Columbus Clingstones. 

Brett Sears struck out eight on Wednesday in Double-A. More in the minor league recap. 

MLB News:

The Arizona Diamondbacks are transferring Ketel Marte from the restricted list to the 10-day injured list. He is currently dealing with inflammation in his knee.

Athletics shortstop Jacob Wilson is likely done for the season. He has been dealing with a shoulder injury and is headed to Sacramento to see a doctor. 

The San Francisco Giants placed righty Keaton Winn on the 15-day IL with right elbow neuritis. The move is retroactive to August 19.

From the Feed:

Predict the outcome of the Braves-Brewers series here.

How to watch the San Francisco Giants vs Boston Red Sox: Live stream info, schedule, preview

Head to NBC and Peacock this Sunday, August 23, for double the MLB action. First, at 3:00 PM ET, it's the San Francisco Giants vs Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. Then, at 4:00 PM, the Cincinnati Reds face the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. See below for additional information on how to watch both games.

Click here to sign up for Peacock!

Play-by-play Jason Benetti will be on the call for Sunday's Giants vs Red Sox game, alongside four-time All-Star outfielder Hunter Pence and former Red Sox infielder Lou Merloni.

Ahmed Fareed will host the pregame show alongside Anthony Rizzo, who will also provide “Inside the Pitch” commentary from the batter’s perspective during the game.

How to watch the San Francisco Giants vs Boston Red Sox:

  • Where: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
  • When: Sunday, August 23
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBC
  • Live Stream: Peacock

What other MLB games are on Peacock this Sunday?

Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks - 4:00 PM ET on NBCSN and Peacock

brewerscelebragepowerranks.jpg
The Padres crack the top 10 this week while chaos continues to rule the crowded American League playoff picture.

How to watch MLB on NBC and Peacock:

MLB Sunday Leadoff is a weekly Major League Baseball showcase featuring live Sunday daytime games. It highlights marquee matchups throughout the regular season and streams primarily on Peacock, with some games also airing across NBC Sports and NBC.

MLB Sunday Night Baseball is a weekly primetime Major League Baseball showcase, featuring marquee matchups each Sunday night during the regular season. The games air on NBC and Peacock and anchor NBC Sports’ Sunday night programming lineup.

NBC Sports will also stream one out-of-market game each day of the 2026 MLB season nationally on Peacock. Telemundo Deportes will present all NBCUniversal-produced MLB games in Spanish, with Universo televising all games broadcast on NBC.

How to sign up for Peacock:

Sign up here to watch all of our LIVE sports, sports shows, documentaries, classic matches, and more. You’ll also get tons of hit movies and TV shows, Originals, news, 24/7 channels, and current NBC and Bravo hits for whatever suits your mood.

MLB on NBC 2026 schedule:

Click here to see the full list of MLB games that will air on NBC and Peacock this season.

Why are some MLB games unavailable to stream on Peacock?

Due to territorial blackout restrictions, select regular season, special event, and Postseason games may be unavailable on Peacock. Television territory blackout restrictions apply regardless of whether a Club is home or away and regardless of whether a game is televised in that Club's home television territory. For more information, visit Peacock’s Help Center.

What devices does Peacock support?

You can enjoy Peacock on a variety of devices. View the full list of supported devices here.

What live sports can I stream on Peacock?

Peacock offers one of the most comprehensive live sports streaming lineups available today, bringing together the NFL, NBA, MLB, WNBA, Premier League, NCAA football, NCAA basketball, golf, motorsports, and major global sporting events in a single service.

Check out the latest MLB player news here!

How to watch the Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Live stream info, schedule, preview

This Sunday afternoon features two exciting MLB games on NBC and Peacock. The action starts at 3:00 PM ET, when the San Francisco Giants take on the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. Then, at 4:00 PM, it's the Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. See below for additional information on how to watch both games.

Click here to sign up for Peacock!

Dave Flemming will call Sunday's Reds vs Diamondbacks MLB Sunday Leadoff game alongside five-time All-Star outfielder Luis Gonzalez, 1990 NL All-Star pitcher Jeff Brantley, and reporter Caroline Pineda.

How to watch the Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks:

  • Where: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
  • When: Sunday, August 23
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBCSN
  • Live Stream: Peacock

What other MLB games are on Peacock this Sunday?

San Francisco Giants vs Boston Red Sox - 3:00 PM ET on NBC and Peacock

brewerscelebragepowerranks.jpg
The Padres crack the top 10 this week while chaos continues to rule the crowded American League playoff picture.

How to watch MLB on NBC and Peacock:

MLB Sunday Leadoff is a weekly Major League Baseball showcase featuring live Sunday daytime games. It highlights marquee matchups throughout the regular season and streams primarily on Peacock, with some games also airing across NBC Sports and NBC.

MLB Sunday Night Baseball is a weekly primetime Major League Baseball showcase, featuring marquee matchups each Sunday night during the regular season. The games air on NBC and Peacock and anchor NBC Sports’ Sunday night programming lineup.

NBC Sports will also stream one out-of-market game each day of the 2026 MLB season nationally on Peacock. Telemundo Deportes will present all NBCUniversal-produced MLB games in Spanish, with Universo televising all games broadcast on NBC.

How to sign up for Peacock:

Sign up here to watch all of our LIVE sports, sports shows, documentaries, classic matches, and more. You’ll also get tons of hit movies and TV shows, Originals, news, 24/7 channels, and current NBC and Bravo hits for whatever suits your mood.

MLB on NBC 2026 schedule:

Click here to see the full list of MLB games that will air on NBC and Peacock this season.

Why are some MLB games unavailable to stream on Peacock?

Due to territorial blackout restrictions, select regular season, special event, and Postseason games may be unavailable on Peacock. Television territory blackout restrictions apply regardless of whether a Club is home or away and regardless of whether a game is televised in that Club's home television territory. For more information, visit Peacock’s Help Center.

What devices does Peacock support?

You can enjoy Peacock on a variety of devices. View the full list of supported devices here.

What live sports can I stream on Peacock?

Peacock offers one of the most comprehensive live sports streaming lineups available today, bringing together the NFL, NBA, MLB, WNBA, Premier League, NCAA football, NCAA basketball, golf, motorsports, and major global sporting events in a single service.

Check out the latest MLB player news here!

Florida Panthers Announce Date For Annual Training Camp Fan Fest

A new Florida Panthers hockey season is right around the corner.

Over the next few weeks, Panthers players will continue to migrate down to South Florida ahead of the team’s annual training camp, which will be held at the Baptist Health IcePlex in Fort Lauderdale.

Every year during camp, the Panthers host a Training Camp Fan Fest, and this year’s event will take place on Saturday, Sept. 19.

The fun will begin at 10 a.m. and last throughout the afternoon.

Florida’s Training Camp Fan Fest is open to the public and free to attend, with all seating and parking available on a first-come, first-served basis.

Fans will have the opportunity to watch the Panthers during the day’s on-ice workouts and interact with mascots Stanley C. Panther and Viktor E. Ratt and the Florida Panthers Dance Team.

Additionally, there will be family-friendly games and activities for fans to enjoy, public skating sessions at 2:15 p.m. and 7 p.m., new items for sale in Pantherland and more.

For more info on the Panthers’ Training Camp Fan Fest, click here.

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In The Lab: Breaking Down Rotation and Bullpen Usage

I like doing statistical analysis for two primary reasons. There are two main biases that it combats and we are all prey to those biases at one time or another. The first form of bias is what I would call immediacy bias. A great example of that is the string of short starts that the Astros are currently going through. The temptation is to assume that this has been constant throughout the season when that is almost never the case. There are ebbs and flows to these things, so looking at overall numbers can help us combat that bias.

The second bias is a local bias. We watch the Astros. Some of us watch them religiously. So, when we are watching one team 162 times a season and the other teams maybe a handful of times, it is easy to look at what your local group is doing and assume that it is either really good or really bad. We simply don’t have anything to compare it to. This becomes important when we are looking at relative strengths and weaknesses of a team. This can come into play in terms of game to game strategy or long-term questions about how the team should be structured.

We call this the lab because I like to start with observations that can be formed into a testable hypothesis. In this case, the hypothesis is that the Astros overly rely on their bullpen for innings because their starters do not go deep enough into games. We can test that simply by comparing them with the rest of the American League to see if that is true comparatively. We will start with the starting pitchers only in terms of innings pitched and ERA.

InningsERA
Yankees676.13.38
Tigers658.23.43
Rays621.13.64
Guardians699.23.73
Mariners726.13.83
Red Sox651.03.94
Blue Jays602.24.23
Rangers653.24.25
Orioles674.14.31
White Sox541.04.41
Angels639.24.45
Royals621.14.50
Twins670.14.55
Astros615.25.12
Athletics616.05.32

I should note that the most significant thing here is not that the Astros are 14th in starter ERA, but the gap between them and the Twins for 13th place. As my grandfather used to say, they are so far down in the cellar that they have to pipe light to them. Certainly, if one were to apply park effects to these numbers you could make an argument that the Astros rotation has been the worst in the American League this season when adjusted for inflation.

It shouldn’t be any surprise that they are 13th in starter innings. The White Sox low total is jarring, but the rest of the group kind of settles in. There are three teams within 15 innings of the Astros on the season. Over the course of 120 games, 15 innings is not a completely significant sum. These numbers serve to answer our main question: are our observations valid? The simple answer is yes. This team doesn’t pitch as deeply into games as most of the other teams in the league. The overall numbers include those first couple of months when things were rough, but on balance this has not been even an average starting rotation.

Obviously, we need some more information before we decide whether the lack of starting innings is a good thing or bad thing. Most would reflexively state it isn’t, but I would caution people before making that conclusion. Throughout baseball history, bullpen ERAs typically outpace starting pitching ERA when taken collectively. So, we should expect a positive differential. I’ll throw in the starting to reliever differentials so we see what is happening throughout the league.

InningsRERASERADiff
Red Sox478.12.953.940.99
Yankees449.13.023.380.36
Blue Jays537.23.754.230.48
Tigers466.23.783.43-0.35
White Sox583.23.784.410.63
Astros511.23.905.121.22
Guardians425.03.923.73-0.19
Orioles454.14.144.310.17
Rays503.24.153.64-0.51
Mariners394.24.243.83-0.41
Angels479.04.284.450.17
Rangers457.24.374.250.12
Twins460.14.714.550.16
Royals449.05.234.50-0.73
Athletics508.05.785.32-0.46

Someone once said there are lies, damn lies, and statistics but that was obviously a gross simplification. Numbers are what they are and there is nothing that will change them. The question comes in how we interpret them. The Astros are third in bullpen innings. That is a fact and there is nothing that can change that. The question comes in how we choose to interpret that information.

Conventional wisdom would say that leading in bullpen innings is a bad thing. This is usually where the old-timers wax poetic about how pitchers used to finish their games back when men were men and sheep were nervous. I’d offer a different outlook. I’d simply say that you want to maximize your best performers as much as you possibly can. That means every manager has a different task, The managers with a negative differential are seeing their pens do worse than their starters. So, they should maximize starter innings as much as possible. The teams with positive differentials should maximize bullpen innings.

The best managers are the ones that can adapt to what their teams are actually doing. The Astros have the largest differential in the American League and likely the biggest in baseball. It may seem counterintuitive, but they should probably lean into that as they have lately. Obviously, there are workload concerns that can’t be ignored, but as a simple proposition, the pen is the best part of their pitching staff and that has been true even more so since May 1st.

Of course, this has broader implications in terms of roster construction. What is peculiar about this team is that you have a group of pitchers that have been effective in relief, but not effective as starters. That list includes Tatsuya Imai, Cristian Javier, and Kei-wei Teng. There is another group of pitchers that have worked heavier workloads in multi-inning opportunities. It’s a challenge for any manager, but this team may actually be better sticking to four and five inning starts and letting the pen carry the load. They run the risk of running out of gas, but the alternative is throwing out the worst rotation in the American League and hoping things work out.

Rugby brain injury case brought back from brink of collapse after high court ruling

  • Governing bodies had asked for ruling to end cases

  • Judge says claimants ‘blameless’ for missing documents

The legal action over brain injuries in rugby has been brought back from the brink of collapse after the high court ruled to give a reprieve to hundreds of claimants who had been struck out from the case.

More than 500 claimants had breached a court order by failing to disclose necessary neurological testing information to the defendants. The players’ representative, Susan Rodway KC, had said they were “staring into the precipice” at the most recent hearing, but the judge, Senior Master Cook, has now decided, with “some hesitation”, to allow all the affected claims to continue.

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Santiago Espinal signs minor league deal with Diamondbacks

LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - MAY 08: Santiago Espinal #21 of the Los Angeles Dodgers at bat during a 3-1 win over the Atlanta Braves at Dodger Stadium on May 08, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Dodgers roster has been a carousel of All-Star (both current and former) talent playing nearly every day and the taxi squad members whose role is equally vital to the team’s success.

One of those former taxi squad members, Santiago Espinal, has found a new home within the NL West. Espinal signed a minor league deal with the Arizona Diamondbacks on Thursday, as per an announcement from the Triple-A Reno Aces via X.

It’s been a chaotic 2026 season for Espinal, who initially latched onto a minor league deal with the Dodgers and eventually made the opening day roster. He played in 36 games with the big league squad, slashing .268/.276/.375 with a home run and seven RBI across 60 plate appearances. He was released by the Dodgers on June 18 before signing a minor league deal with the Texas Rangers on July 2, only to once again be released 26 days later. Espinal slashed .262/.333/.310 with six RBI with the Triple-A Round Rock Express.

Links

Right now the biggest talking point for the Dodgers outside of Shohei Ohtani’s battle for MVP is the turbulent, lackluster first year of the Kyle Tucker experience. As the Dodgers prepare to open a three-game set against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday, all eyes will be pointed towards Tucker and whether he’ll continue to underperform at home or possibly find his old, pre-Dodger self at the plate.

Mookie Betts and Miguel Rojas both sat down and spoke about Tucker’s difficult season in the most recent episode of the On Base with Mookie Betts podcast, where Rojas touched on having his teammate’s back despite the challenges.

“I have all my confidence in Tucker… I am a true believer that when you feel good, you play good. When you’re going out there everyday knowing the guys have your back, it’s a good feeling… I really want him to believe that the opinions that matter are the ones that are to your left and to your right.”

Bill Shaikin of the Los Angeles Times reports that Cox customers will finally be able to watch Dodger games on SportsNet LA.

On Friday, for the first time in 13 years, Cox subscribers within the Dodgers’ broadcast territory will be able to watch the team on their local television home. Fans can find SportsNet LA on Channel 63 in Orange County, Channel 54 in Palos Verdes, Channel 36 in Santa Barbara and Channel 50 in Las Vegas.

Johnathan Mayo, Jim Callis and Sam Dykstra of MLB.com picked Josue de Paula as the Dodgers prospect most likely to get a big league callup this year.

Vancouver Canucks 2026-27 Player Preview: Nikita Tolopilo

Welcome to The Hockey News Vancouver Canucks site's 2026–27 player preview article series. This series will outline the expectations for every player projected to play for Vancouver during the 2026–27 season. Today's player is Canucks goaltender Nikita Tolopilo. 

Tolopilo's 2025-2026 Season 

Tolopilo started to establish himself as an NHL goaltender last year with Vancouver. The 26-year-old started 18 games and finished with a record of 6-11-2. Tolopilo also posted a save percentage of .881 and a goals against average of 3.61. 

Last season, Tolopilo also played 19 games in the AHL. He finished with a record of 8-8-3, pushing his all-time record to 48-35-6. During his time with the Abbotsford Canucks last year, Tolopilo also recorded a save percentage of .897 with a goals against average of 3.07. 

Tolopilo's 2025-26 Letter Grade 

For his efforts in the 2025–26 season, The Hockey News' Canucks site gave Tolopilo a C grade. While he took some steps forward in his development, he also had some difficult games in both the NHL and the AHL. It is also important to note that Vancouver's defensive system caused Tolopilo issues as he faced plenty of odd-man rushes throughout the campaign. 

Tolopilo's 2026-27 Predictions  

Tolopilo is in a difficult situation heading into the 2026-27 season. If Thatcher Demko is healthy, he will most likely be the Canucks' third stringer, which could limit his play time. While he is on the older side, Tolopilo needs as many reps as possible to show that he can be an impactful backup at the NHL level. 

As for the AHL, that is not tricky scenario as Tolopilo requires waivers. Based on his pedigree and size, another team will likely put in a claim if he hits the wire. Unless injuries occur, Tolopilo will most likely be used as a practice goaltender next year. 

Bold prediction: Tolopilo plays at least 15 games in 2026-27. 

Mar 30, 2026; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Vancouver Canucks goaltender Nikita Tolopilo (60) warms up before a game against the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-Imagn Images
Mar 30, 2026; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Vancouver Canucks goaltender Nikita Tolopilo (60) warms up before a game against the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-Imagn Images

Canucks 2026–27 Player Previews: 

Victor Mancini

Kevin Lankinen

Filip Chytil

Thatcher Demko

Jonathan Lekkerimäki

Elias Pettersson (D)

Marco Rossi

Max Sasson

Jamie Oleksiak

Drew O'Connor

Luke Schenn

Paul Cotter

Brendan Gallagher

Liam Öhgren

Tom Willander

Jake DeBrusk

Zeev Buium

Brock Boeser

Filip Hronek

Elias Pettersson

Make sure you bookmark THN's Vancouver Canucks site and add us to your favourites on Google News for the latest news, exclusive interviews, breakdowns, and so much more. Also, don't forget to leave a comment at the bottom of the page and engage with other passionate fans through our forum. This article originally appeared on The Hockey News.

Latest From THN’s Vancouver Canucks Site:

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Vancouver Canucks 2026-27 Player Preview: Victor Mancini

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Orioles minor league recap 8/21: Kjerstad stays hot, Eyanson keeps dealing

CLEARWATER, FLORIDA - MARCH 13, 2026: Heston Kjerstad #13 of the Baltimore Orioles bats during the third inning of a spring training game against the Philadelphia Phillies at BayCare Ballpark on March 13, 2026 in Clearwater, Florida. (Photo by Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images) | Diamond Images/Getty Images

Triple-A: Nashville Sounds (Brewers) 7, Norfolk Tides 0

Heston Kjerstad reached base in all four plate apperances, but Norfolk never managed to bring him home. Kjerstad tripled and also worked a walk. Bryan Ramos and José Barrero added the other two singles.

Tides starter Juaron Watts-Brown failed to complete three innings during a disappointing day. The former Blue Jays prospect allowed a two run homer in the first. He posted a zero in the second, but things unraveled in the third. Brown threw only 38 of 73 pitches for strikes.

Yaqui Rivera tossed 2.1 scoreless innings of relief. Nick Raquet added a pair of zeros, and Yaramil Hiraldo did not allow a run in the ninth.

Double-A: Richmond Flying Squirrels (Giants) 2, Chesapeake Baysox 0

Anthony Eyanson continued to look the part with seven strong innings. Eyanson held Richmond off the scoreboard until they broke through with a broken-bat RBI single in the sixth. Eyanson finished the day with 7 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 8 K, 0 BB.

Eyanson was technically outdueled by Richmond. Yunior Marte, San Francisco’s 25th ranked prospect according to MLB Pipeline, pitched six scoreless frames. It’s a tough way for Eyanson to pick up his first loss at Double-A.

Anderson De Los Santos singled to bring the tying run to the plate in the ninth, but the Baysox failed to make it more interesting than that. Wehiwa Aloy pinch hit and grounded out to end the game.

Thomas Sosa finished 2-for-4 with a double. He was the only Chesapeake player to record multiple hits or anything more than a single.

High-A: Frederick Keys vs.Wilmington Blue Rocks (Nationals) — PPD

“Wet Grounds” was the official designation. The game will be made up as part of a doubleheader today.

Low-A: Hickory Crawdads (Rangers) 7, Delmarva Shorebirds 4

Harrison Kreiling started the game with 3.1 scoreless innings, but Connor Gehr coughed up seven runs (six earned) over 3.2 innings of bulk relief. Gehr was done in by three Hickory home runs.

Ty Head finished 1-for-3 with a walk and solo homer from the leadoff spot. Eric Booth Jr. singled and added a sacrifice fly in the eighth inning. Jemone Nuel and Adriander Mejía both doubled, and Jaide Lo Re managed a walk in four plate appearances.

Box scores

Friday’s Games

Norfolk: vs Nashville, 6:35. Starter: Cade Povich (1-4, 6.40 ERA)

Chesapeake: vs Richmond, 7:05 pm. Starter: Patrick Reilly (0-2, 5.60 ERA)

Frederick: Game 1, at Wilmington, 4:30 pm. Starter: Kyson Witherspoon (4-5, 4.46 ERA)

Frederick: Game 2, at Wilmington, TBD Starter: TBD

Delmarva: at Hickory, 7:00 pm. Starter: Esteban Mejia (0-7. 9.13 ERA)








Kansas City Royals news: The City Council approves ballpark funding

The City Council approved a $600 million funding commitment for a downtown ballpark on Thursday.

More information about the financing will be published tomorrow ahead of the TIF Commission’s meeting, officials said. The City Council would be expected to vote on creating a TIF district and on formally issuing bonds for the stadium.

The council is also expected to vote on a related rezoning plan in September that would set flexible standards for future redevelopment in Crown Center.

The Royals are pursuing a $1.9 billion new stadium that would anchor a $3 billion entertainment district in the city’s urban core.

The Royals have committed to privately pay for $760 million of the project’s cost. The city and the team also plan to apply for state funding that could total roughly $540 million.

City staff said construction work could begin early next year and the completed stadium could open in time for the 2030 baseball season.

Kansas City Star columnist David Hudnall thinks the deal is being rushed through.

Consider these other giant red flags:

If the projections are wrong, that’s the city’s problem. The Royals aren’t guaranteeing the bonds. Kansas City is. If the taxes dedicated to the stadium fall short, the city still owes the money.

That’s what happened with the Power & Light District, where Kansas City has spent roughly $10 million a year on average since 2006 covering debt payments that district revenues couldn’t. If the same thing happens here, that money will have to come from somewhere else in the city budget. That means less funding for roads, parks, trash pickup, public safety or other basic services.

Maikel Garcia injured his hamstring in Thursday’s win.

Preston Farr updates his Royals prospect list.

Behind the top of the farm, the depth of the system has taken a slight hit. Sure, there are fringe prospects who could reach another tier, such as Ramon Ramirez (questions on position), Yandel Ricardo (inconsistent), and Justin Lamkin (injury).

For the most part, however, it’s a bunch of 40 FV prospects with a handful more who could blossom into better as they age. The largest upswing further down the farm has without question been the international influx. Since the arrival of Johnny DiPuglia in 2024, the Royals have done tremendously well. Gomez and Chourio headline that crop, but Ricardo and others such as Freddy Contreras, Jaider Suarez, and Warren Calcaño round out what’s becoming a solid international pipeline for the Royals. 

Matt Snyder at CBS Sports looks at which bad teams can turn things around next year.

I was burned by this Royals team in 2026, but there are plenty of good players here. Bobby Witt Jr. is capable of an MVP season, and we’ve seen enough from Carter Jensen and Jac Caglianone to believe they could be All-Stars next year if things break right. Vinnie Pasquantino is capable of a better season, too. On the pitching end, they’ll have Seth Lugo and Michael Wacha back, while Noah Cameron looks like a star right now. A midseason return of Cole Ragans will help bolster the rotation, and maybe they find outside-organization help or someone like Justin Lamkin hustles on his way to the majors. The AL Central isn’t exactly a juggernaut division, either.

Awful Announcing has their broadcaster rankings, with the Royals’ team at #25.

Additionally, some viewers feel there are “too many cooks in the kitchen” due to a large, rotating cast of secondary analysts. Sideline reporter Howard is noted as a “promising” addition who is still finding her own voice. Overall, one’s tolerance for Hudler appears to be the deciding factor in how one appreciates these broadcasts.

“Eric Hosmer has been an incredible addition to the team, adding new stories while also diving much deeper into the strategy and player mindset of the game than what’s been the norm for years,” wrote one grader. “Rex Hudler is still a lovable Kansas City treasure, but the Hosmer/Hudler contrast has been a welcome change of pace for KC.”

Yirsandy Rodriguez at Royals Keep thinks Steven Cruz has a fastball problem.

Craig Brown writes about the wins over the A’s and their bad bullpen.

The Phillies claim former Royals pitcher Andrew Hoffmann off waivers.

The Royals officially released Starling Marte.

Braves pitcher Grant Holmes loses his no-hit bid in the seventh inning against the White Sox.

Sal Stewart could soon become just the seventh rookie since 2000 with 100 RBI.

Dane Myers drops the final out, leading the Reds to blow a wild game against the Cardinals.

Athletics shortstop Jacob Wilson is likely done for the year with a shoulder injury.

The Orioles are frustrated about replay involving home runs and the foul pole.

The Phillies sign former All-Star pitcher Nestor Cortes Jr.

Diamondbacks brass calls Ketel Marte’s absence “bizarre” and want an apology from him.

The AL Wild Card race is a competitive balance mess.

The players with high expectations that are running out of time to meet them.

What to know about the investigation into Dodgers owner Mark Walter.

MLS may be planning a drastic playoffs overhaul.

Walmart promises price cuts after a $2.9 billion tariff refund.

The Odyssey is now the highest-grossing R-rated movie ever.

South Korea wants to go to the moon.

Your song of the day is Ol’ Dirty Bastard with Shimmy Shimmy Ya.

SF Giants Community: This is a Willy Adames appreciation post

CLEVELAND, OHIO - AUGUST 20: Willy Adames #2 of the San Francisco Giants celebrates with teammates after hitting a two-run home run during the fourth inning against the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on August 20, 2026 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Nick Cammett/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Good morning, baseball fans!

The San Francisco Giants may have lost yesterday’s game against the Cleveland Guardians, but that doesn’t mean there wasn’t anything to celebrate.

Willy Adames hit a two-run home run in the top of the fourth inning, scoring Rafael Devers and giving the Giants their only two runs of the game.

But this wasn’t just any home run, this was Adames’ 200th career home run! That is absolutely an accomplishment worth celebrating. So today, we’re doing a Willy Adames appreciation post to celebrate!

Great job, dude! And keep it up!

What time do the Giants play today?

The Giants head east to begin a three-game weekend series against the Boston Red Sox tonight at 4:10 p.m. PT.

5 reasons the Suns could make Vegas look foolish

PHOENIX, ARIZONA - MARCH 21: Devin Booker #1 of the Phoenix Suns during the second half against the Milwaukee Bucks at Mortgage Matchup Center on March 21, 2026 in Phoenix, Arizona. The Bucks defeated the Suns 108-105. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Chris Coduto/Getty Images) | Getty Images

As we find ourselves buried in the unrelenting sands of the desert known as the NBA offseason, we can’t help ourselves. We begin projecting forward, wondering what could happen with the Phoenix Suns during the 2026–27 season. It’s only natural to dive into the statistics we already have and attempt to project what they might mean moving forward. Such is the cycle of sports.

We’ve already looked at five reasons why the Suns could fall short next season, so now it’s time to explore the other side of the equation. Why might they exceed expectations?

And what exactly are those expectations? We can all set our own. Maybe it’s securing a playoff spot and a top-six seed. Maybe it’s making a run to the Western Conference Finals. Maybe it’s winning a championship. All are viable expectations depending on how optimistic you want to be. For this exercise, though, I’m going to use the baseline provided by the oddsmakers in Las Vegas, where the Suns’ win total sits around 38.5.

So let’s talk about the five biggest reasons why Phoenix could exceed that number.

The Suns don’t need traditional positions 

Yes, I understand the argument that the Suns don’t have a true point guard or a true power forward if you’re looking at the traditional expectations, archetypes, and historical significance of those positions. But this is where I remind everyone that simply because we don’t view this roster as having a traditional point guard or power forward doesn’t mean those roles don’t exist within the confines of the modern NBA.

Look at the two teams that played in the NBA Finals last season. Would you define Jalen Brunson as a traditional point guard? Maybe in terms of size, sure, but that’s about it. He ranked 16th in the NBA in assists last season at 6.8 per game. Since becoming a primary starter in 2021, his final season in Dallas, he has averaged 6.3 assists per game, which ranks 21st over that span.

He was also 14th in the NBA in scoring last season at 26.0 points per game. Brunson is a score-first point guard who possesses the ability to create for others, but distribution isn’t his primary role. That sounds very similar to what Devin Booker has been asked to do in the past, what he’ll be asked to do again this season, and something he has done successfully. Booker averaged 26.1 points last season, which ranked 13th, along with 6.0 assists, which ranked 29th. What separates Brunson from Booker is his ability to operate effectively in the clutch, but from an overall archetype standpoint, they aren’t all that different.

Then look at the power forwards who started in the NBA Finals last season. Were they big, bruising, 6’10” traditional power forwards? No. They were 6’7” OG Anunoby and 6’7” Julian Champagnie. So the idea that the power forward position has to be filled by some massive bruiser is rooted more in how we historically think about the position than how it functions in the modern NBA, where the ability to spread the floor is at a premium.

And yes, I understand that spreading the floor and consistently shooting the three point ball at a high percentage could be a weakness for this team. Of that there is no doubt. But that’s exactly why I think No. 2 on this list is so important.

The Suns’ depth gives them a margin for error 

The Phoenix Suns are deep. In my opinion, it’s unbelievably impressive how they’ve navigated the cap sheet while still maintaining that level of depth. I guess that’s what happens when Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal are no longer on the roster. Sure, you’re still paying Bradley Beal $19.4 million not to play for the team, but you’re no longer paying him roughly $30 million more than that. That creates a significant amount of money to work with, and over the past two seasons, the Suns have done a stellar job of filling out the roster with both veterans and young prospects.

That depth is going to matter. From a three-point shooting perspective, Phoenix has options. Luke Kennard, Collin Gillespie, Jordan Goodwin, and the potential of what Rasheer Fleming can become all give the Suns shooting that can come off the bench and contribute.

They’re deep at the five. They have multiple wings that can come in and confidently contribute. The guard room has options as well, and all of that exists while the team also has two-way players capable of filling similar roles.

That depth also matters because every team eventually faces adversity. We can sit here all summer and project what this team is going to be, but you never truly know until you get punched in the mouth. You have to adjust to what the season gives you, and one thing the season will undoubtedly provide is injuries. That’s unavoidable. The fact that Phoenix has depth across multiple positions is something to appreciate because it gives them the ability to absorb injuries, provide rest when needed, and still remain competitive on a nightly basis.

And that’s especially important because of the new anti-tank rules. Which brings me to point No. 3.

The Western Conference has opened the door for Phoenix 

You can already see it in the preseason projected over/unders across the league. The new anti-tanking rules, which will ultimately incentivize winning rather than losing, are going to have a profound effect on how teams operate. If you finish with one of the three worst records in the league, you no longer get more lottery balls. You get fewer.

What that means is a struggling team in March is no longer going to sit all of its starters in an effort to improve its lottery odds. Those teams are going to compete because they’ll want to avoid falling into that relegation zone. Which means there are no nights off.

For a team like the Suns, which did a good job beating up on bad teams last season, that creates some concern. But when you look at the entire landscape of the Western Conference, not only the teams projected to live near the bottom, I think the conference is weaker than it was a season ago.

Oklahoma City is now flirting with the second apron and has to move off key pieces in an effort to become more fiscally responsible. Lu Dort is now with Atlanta, as is Aaron Wiggins. Isaiah Joe was sent to Detroit. Yes, Oklahoma City has players waiting in the wings to replace them, but I don’t think this is the same plug-and-play Thunder team we saw a season ago.

The Denver Nuggets also appear to have taken a step backward. They traded Peyton Watson because they couldn’t afford to keep him after making a poor financial decision to re-sign Christian Braun. Minnesota completely pivoted as well. LaMelo Ball, who has never won a playoff game, is now running point for a team that once possessed tremendous size and depth but no longer has Julius Randle or Naz Reid.

Who knows what the Lakers are going to be? Having Luka Doncic on your team feels like it guarantees you 50 wins, but Luka and Austin Reaves as a defensive backcourt isn’t something I’m particularly afraid of. Houston is relying on a healthy Fred VanVleet to improve its chances next season, and there’s something about having Kevin Durant on your team that reminds us success is never guaranteed.

The Western Conference is weaker. Players like LeBron James, Kawhi Leonard, several Thunder players, and Julius Randle have gone East. That creates an opportunity for Phoenix. And part of that opportunity leads me to reason No. 4.

Continuity could be the Suns’ biggest advantage 

This is one of the biggest reasons I believe the Phoenix Suns are going to be better than they were last season, and why I’m happily taking the over on 38.5 wins.

Yes, there were periods of instability last year, and much of that was driven by injuries. You can show me all of the statistics from the back end of the season and try to point the finger at Jalen Green as the primary reason things didn’t work. I don’t buy that.

Green played a grand total of 32 games, but only 27 of them came with Devin Booker, 12 with Dillon Brooks, and 16 with Mark Williams. You can look at last season and pull whatever conclusions you want from that sample size, but my response is that there simply wasn’t enough time to fully understand what this team was or allow them to showcase what they could become while learning from the mistakes they made along the way.

Now you’re bringing back four of the five starters from last season, and that matters. There is familiarity. There is an understanding of spacing. There is camaraderie that you can’t quantify on any website. Basketball Reference isn’t going to show you a chemistry metric, and that is where opportunity exists for Phoenix. So many teams across the NBA will spend the first couple of months figuring out the basics of chemistry. The Suns already possess a good portion of that, and I think that advantage will manifest itself throughout the season.

The other side of the conversation is that Phoenix is still relying on progress to improve. Several players had career years, and now you’re asking them to improve again. You’re asking the youth to showcase development and continue fanning the flames of one of the pillars this organization is trying to build around.

Easier said than done? Absolutely. But continuity makes that progression easier to obtain. Roles are more established. Expectations are clearer. There is less instability. And for the first time since Monty Williams, the Suns are bringing back the same head coach for a second season. That matters too.

Although there is one guy who wasn’t on the team last season…

Miles Bridges changes what the Suns can do 

I honestly believe this one. I understand who and what Royce O’Neale and Grayson Allen were, but in my opinion, Royce O’Neale plus Grayson Allen does not equal Miles Bridges plus Luke Kennard. That is an upgrade for this team. You now have more offensive options, players who can do more than stand in the corner and wait for a three. 

Miles Bridges possesses a gravity that is going to affect everyone around him, and players like Devin Booker and Jalen Green should benefit from it. If Bridges has the ball, whoever is defending Booker has to be cognizant of what is happening. Miles isn’t going to stand behind the arc like Royce O’Neale and wait to fire away. He can put pressure on the rim, and when he does, defenses will naturally collapse. When defenses collapse, they’re doing it off of other players on the floor. Booker, Green, Brooks, and Williams can all benefit from that. Bridges can be a willing passer, and I expect him to be one within this offense.

Bridges is also a reclamation project, someone looking to resurrect his career, and I believe Phoenix is the right place for him. This is an organization that will do everything it can to put him in a position to succeed. Ultimately, it comes down to him executing both on and off the court, and that could be a defining factor for the Suns as a whole next season. Bridges has shown throughout his career in Charlotte that he can play in a multitude of different ways. That Swiss Army knife ability may need to shift from night to night depending on the opponent, and, given his experience, I believe he can adapt.

I’m looking forward to seeing what he looks like within the confines of this offense, these schemes, and this roster.


Yes, it’s all speculation at this point. We won’t truly know what this team is until they tip off on October 21 in Portland. But I do believe there is reason for optimism.

I can also recognize the arguments for why this team could falter. My challenge with many of those arguments comes from something I’ve learned over multiple years of doing this. We tend to look at previous statistical results and use them to project forward. And that makes sense. You identify trends and assume those trends will continue in the same direction. The problem is that I did the same thing last offseason, and I was wrong. I did it the two offseasons before that as well.

The lesson I’ve learned is that you can’t rely solely on previous statistical results to dictate what will happen next in the NBA. Continuity and chemistry don’t have clean metrics attached to them, yet both play vital roles in the success or failure of a team. Last year’s Suns had an abundance of chemistry. The team before that was almost completely devoid of it.

So while statistics should always be part of the conversation when trying to understand what a player or team could become, they can’t be the end-all, be-all of the argument. These points of view are much more nuanced than that. They depend heavily on the ecosystem a player is operating within, not simply what he did last season in Charlotte.

And that’s ultimately why I’m willing to take the over on 38.5 and believe they will be better than last season’s 45-37 record. It isn’t because the Suns suddenly solved every problem, or because the numbers guarantee some dramatic turnaround. It’s because the context around those numbers has changed. Phoenix has more depth, more continuity, more versatility and, in Miles Bridges, another player capable of changing how defenses have to operate. Sometimes the best projection isn’t based on what happened last season, but on what has changed since.