Taking stock of Jacob Misiorowski’s historic start

Milwaukee Brewers pitcher Jacob Misiorowski (32) warms up before their game against the Pittsburgh Pirates Saturday, April 25, 2026 at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Mark Hoffman/Milwaukee Journal Sentinel | Mark Hoffman/Milwaukee Journal Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

I’m not breaking news by telling you that Jacob Misiorowski is having a good season. He has made 14 starts (a little less than half of a full season), and here are his numbers, with bolds indicating he leads the NL and bold plus italic indicating he leads the majors:

  • 8-2, 1.34 ERA, 307 ERA+, 1.68 FIP, 0.736 WHIP, 4.3 H/9, 0.4 HR/9, 131 K, 13.6 K/9, 5.95 K/BB

I want to look a bit deeper into those numbers, and contextualize them within the long history of baseball.

ERA and ERA+

18 qualified starters (meaning they threw at least one inning per team game) have finished a season with an ERA better than 1.34 in AL/NL history. 16 of those happened in the era we know as “Deadball,” between 1900 and 1919. Of the remaining two, one was in 1880 and shouldn’t count: Tim Keefe of the Troy Trojans technically qualified for the ERA title with just 105 innings pitched, in which he had a 0.86 ERA… but Keefe’s teammate, Mickey Welch, threw 574 innings that season, so you understand why I don’t think 105 innings should count as “qualifying.” Both Keefe and Welch are in the Hall of Fame, by the way.

The one pitcher remaining is, as you know if you’re at all a baseball history buff, Bob Gibson in 1968, when he had a 1.12 ERA.

Of course, Gibson’s 1.12 ERA in 1968 was not the same as a 1.12 (or 1.34) ERA in 2026. Let’s take the same parameters—qualified AL/NL pitchers—and sort by ERA+, which includes adjustments for league-wide offense of the era and the ballpark. When we do that, most of the Deadball guys drop out—the top 19, instead of including 16 Deadballers, includes only four.

Gibson is still on the list, at number 10. Keefe is there too, but we discussed him. Guess who jumps to number one in this set? Yes, that would be Misiorowski in 2026. His 307 ERA+ would be the best by any qualified starting pitcher… ever.

The season that should be considered the all-time record for ERA+ by a starter is one that many of you witnessed: Pedro Martínez in 2000. Martínez had a 1.74 ERA in 2000, which ranks “just” 104th all time. But since offense was so jacked up during the Steroid Era, Martínez comes in with a 291 ERA+, the highest single-season mark ever for a qualified pitcher who threw more than 105 innings.

Also near the top is another incredible Steroid-Era accomplishment. Greg Maddux doesn’t just hold the number seven spot on this list, but he holds the number eight spot, too—in back-to-back years. Maddux had a 271 ERA+ in 202 innings in 1994 and a 260 ERA+ in 209 innings in 1995.

Misiorowski, right now, has a better ERA+ than all of them.

FIP and FIP-

Misiorowski’s 1.68 FIP would rank 15th all time, but again let’s get rid of those pesky Deadball pitchers. Do that, and only two pitchers rank ahead of where Misiorowski is right now: Martínez, again, but this time in 1999, and one you’ll enjoy: Corbin Burnes, with a 1.63 FIP in his Cy Young campaign in 2021.

FIP- is FanGraphs’ answer to ERA+ but for FIP and in reverse (lower is better). I’m going to filter out the 1800s because things are weird there, so the record for FIP- after 1900 belongs to Martínez in 1999 at 30. Next is Burnes in 2021 at 38. Third would be Misiorowski, whose FIP- this season is 40.

WHIP, H/9, and HR/9

Misiorowski’s 0.736 WHIP would be the best ever for a qualified starter, a fraction ahead of Martínez in 2000 (0.737). The next-lowest in a post-Deadball, non-2020 season is Justin Verlander at 0.803 in 2019.

Likewise, Misiorowski’s 4.3 hits allowed per nine innings would be a record by far. The lowest total in a non-2020 season is Nolan Ryan’s mark of 5.3 in 1972, which is percentage points ahead of Luis Tiant in 1968, Martínez in 2000, Ed Reulbach in 1906, and… Ryan in 1991. (That Ryan has two of the top five, 19 years apart, is wild.)

For homers allowed per nine, it is important to note that we live in a high-home-run era, so this isn’t approaching any history. But to give a little more context, Misiorowski’s mark of 0.4/9 would be beaten only by Burnes in 2021 and Sonny Gray in 2023 among seasons since 2020.

Strikeouts

Misiorowski probably isn’t going to threaten any strikeout records—Ryan can feel safe that his 383 strikeouts in 1973 will continue to stand as the post-1900 record. (A quick shout to Old Hoss Radbourn and his 441 strikeouts in 1884, the AL/NL record. Of course, he did that in 678 2/3 innings, so his 5.8 K/9 that season are slightly worse than what Jose Quintana had as a Brewer in 2025.)

However, Misiorowski has an outside chance at becoming the first pitcher since Gerrit Cole in 2019 to strike out 300 batters, something that’s happened only nine times this century (Verlander in 2019, Max Scherzer in 2018, Clayton Kershaw in 2015, Chris Sale in 2017, Curt Schilling in 2002, Cole in 2019, and Randy Johnson each year from 2000-02).

But those guys all threw way more innings than Misiorowski will throw this year. Cole’s 212 1/3 innings pitched in ’19 are the least ever for a player who struck out 300 batters. If we sort by strikeouts per nine, Cole jumps to the top (again ignoring 2020) at 13.8 per nine innings, a remarkable number. After Cole, it’s another pitcher this season, Dylan Cease, who is tied with (technically slightly ahead of) Misiorowski at 13.6. Only three other qualified starters have ever finished a season with 13 or more strikeouts per nine: Martínez in 1999, Johnson in 2001, and Spencer Strider in 2023.

Since Misiorowski is merely “good” rather than “historic” at preventing walks, his 5.95 strikeout-to-walk ratio will have to live with being merely excellent; that would rank 80th all time among qualified starters.

But those are whole seasons. What about 14-game spans?

It would be fair to point out that Misiorowski is unlikely to keep this pace all season. So how good, really, are these 14 games, if they’re only 14 games?

There are 42 instances in baseball history of a player striking out 131 batters with an ERA of 1.34 or lower over 14 starts, but many of those are tied up in the same streak; for example, when sorted by strikeouts, eight of the top nine on this list of 42 14-game stretches are all between August 3rd, 1999 and May 17th, 2000 by Martínez, all within the same span.

There are essentially 11 different pitching runs that can match up with Misiorowski’s:

  • Jacob deGrom in 19 starts from 9/16/2020 to 8/8/2022 (this wraps around a season-ending injury in 2021)
  • Martínez in 23 starts from 8/3/99 to 6/8/2000
  • Martínez again, partially overlapping the other: 14 starts from 4/30/2000 to 7/28/2000
  • Kershaw in 19 starts from 6/6/2015 to 9/19/2015
  • Kershaw again in 14 starts from 6/18/2014 to 9/2/2014
  • J.R. Richard in 20 starts from 7/25/1979 to 4/30/1980
  • Dwight Gooden in 16 starts from 8/11/1984 to 5/10/1985 (the end of his rookie season into his sophomore season)
  • Ryan in 15 starts from 8/18/1972 to 4/18/1973
  • Bob Gibson in two overlapping 14-game stretches from 7/21/1968 to 9/22/1968 and 8/9/1968 to 4/19/69
  • Finally, Rube Waddell in 14 starts from 7/9/1904 to 8/29/1904

A lot of these occur over more than one season, which could allow pitchers to benefit from pitching to batters from non-contending teams who’ve checked out down the stretch.

With that in mind, I want to talk about the season that reminds me most of Misiorowski’s 2026 season thus far, and it is the year in which I have been in the most awe during my fandom: deGrom’s 2021 season.

deGrom didn’t finish 2021 healthy, and I’m going to knock on all the wood right now to ensure that part of his 2021 season does not align with Misiorowski’s 2026. When 2021 started, deGrom was considered the most dominant pitcher in the majors; over the previous two seasons, he’d collected 58 of 60 first-place NL Cy Young votes, and his 2018 season in particular was one of the best of this century. He was third in Cy Young voting in the shortened 2020 season, but he struck out 13.8 batters per nine innings that year, which matches Cole’s record for strikeouts per nine in a full season.

But in 2021, deGrom hit a different level. In 15 starts and 92 innings, he had a 1.08 ERA, which translated to an unbelievable 373 ERA+. He struck out 146 batters, or 14.3 per nine innings. Almost more remarkably, he walked only 11 batters. His 13.27 K/BB wouldn’t just be a record—it would blow away the previous record. Under modern walk rules, no starting pitcher has finished with more than 11.63 K/BB in a season.* Heck, only seven relievers have ever finished a season with a K/BB ratio that high.**

*This is a great trivia question: the record holder for K/BB by a starter is…Phil Hughes, pitching for the Twins in 2014.
**One other all-timer actually bettered deGrom’s 13.27 K/BB in another injury-shortened season: Kershaw, in 149 innings in 2016, had 172 strikeouts to 11 walks.

deGrom had a 1.08 ERA, 1.24 FIP, 0.554 WHIP, and a microscopic 3.9 hits allowed per nine innings in those 15 games in 2021. I’d never seen anything like it. He was essentially pitching like the league’s best high-leverage reliever, except he was a starting pitcher. Unfortunately, that took a physical toll, and he managed only 20 starts over the next three years.

I don’t mean to be speculating on Misiorowski’s future health at all, so don’t read into that. The point is, deGrom’s 15-start 2021 season is the closest comparison that I can come up with for what Misiorowski has done in these 14 games, and when deGrom was pitching in 2021, I thought I was watching the most dominant starting pitcher in the history of the game.

What does it all mean?

We have no idea what the future holds for Misiorowski. Maybe he’ll pitch 20 years. Maybe he’ll get hurt. We have no idea.

But right now—not next year, not three years from now, but right now—Misiorowski is pitching like one of the best pitchers ever. And 14 games is a long time; I brought up those nine different pitchers who have had 14-game runs as good as Misiorowski for a reason. Martínez, Ryan, Waddell, and Gibson are in the Hall of Fame. Kershaw will be a near-unanimous selection. deGrom could yet make it, even if his status as a late bloomer and injury issues will make it a complicated case from an innings-pitched perspective. Only Gooden and Richard aren’t major Hall candidates, but there are extenuating circumstances in both cases. Richard’s career was cut short by a stroke suffered during his prime, mere weeks after his aforementioned streak ended. Gooden was considered one of the most talented players ever, but his career was derailed by substance abuse problems. (I could still make a Hall of Fame case, too.)

Misiorowski is a Hall-of-Fame talent. He is pitching at a Hall-of-Fame level, and the only players in the history of the game who’ve been as effective as him over a span this long are all either Hall of Famers or guys who make people say “you should’ve seen ______.”  

We have no way of knowing how long this will last, but right now, we are not living in a hypothetical world where Jacob Misiorowski could pitch like Randy Johnson someday. Right now, the only difference between Miz and Johnson is that Johnson pitched for 20 years.

No matter how long it lasts, we should all revel in this, because someday we will say: “you should’ve seen Miz.”

Shaikin: An Anaheim vision: The Anaheim Angels in a new stadium, next to a youth sports complex

A photo illustration of Angels player Mike Trout on the coast of California with an Angels marquee and the Angels ballpark.
As the Angels' stadium lease approaches its end, what does the future look like for the 150 acres the current stadium sits on? (Photo illustration by Tate Rudisill / Los Angeles Times; photos by Katelyn Mulcahy / Getty Images, Kirby Lee / Getty Images)

Civic pride, sure. But what is it really worth to the city of Anaheim to have its name on the hometown baseball team?

Hundreds of millions of dollars, the city has said. As the Angels’ stadium lease approaches its end, and as Anaheim prepares for negotiations either with Arte Moreno or a potential new owner, it’s worth keeping in mind.

So too is a concept floating around City Hall in Anaheim: What if we could put a new stadium and a youth sports complex next to one another?

Nothing is imminent, and even a bill winding its way through the state legislature would not necessarily require the Angels to return Anaheim to the team name.

Read more:Shaikin: As Angels fans urge Arte Moreno to sell the team, the least he can do is try to win

It’s leverage: If the Angels’ owner wants to build atop the stadium parking lots, the city can pursue an exemption to a state law that currently restricts what can be built there, which could mean more money for the team and its development partners. In exchange for the exemption, the team name would revert to the Anaheim Angels.

If that’s the carrot, this is the stick: The city would have to approve the zoning changes that could make the land “two to three times more valuable than it is as a parking lot,” Anaheim Mayor Ashleigh Aitken said.

Said Aitken: “There are no gifts. For an ownership to truly be a partner to the city in what that property could be, there is going to have to be some realization that Anaheim is not Los Angeles.”

The Angels’ stadium lease expires in 2032, and the team can extend it through 2038. A new owner could move the Angels — or at least leverage the threat of a move — but Anaheim offers a 150-acre site with what every owner in pro sports covets: land around the venue to turn the property into a year-round money-making operation.

The standard ballpark villages include restaurants, shops, hotels, homes, offices and entertainment venues. The Ducks are launching one, called OC Vibe, around Honda Center, and within walking distance of Angel Stadium.

What intrigues the city, for at least part of the parking lots around Angel Stadium: a youth sports park for all those travel ball teams. Ontario is building a 199-acre one around a minor league ballpark; Irvine has a 194-acre one up and running at its Great Park.

Katie Wright, who books sports events for Anaheim’s tourism bureau, said there would be a market if her city built a sports park.

“The demand for, specifically, soccer, baseball and softball is tremendous,” Wright told the Anaheim City Council in April. “They would be filled every single weekend, I think.”

What Anaheim has that Ontario and Irvine do not: Disneyland down the street for visiting families, a variety of restaurants within walking distance, and hotel rooms aplenty. In Anaheim, 40% of the city’s general fund comes from taxes on hotel rooms.

“With Angels baseball right next to a youth sports facility, to have the synergy of hotels and restaurants, and players interacting with the Little League kids and soccer fields,” Aitken said, “I just think it’s a unique opportunity.”

Everything old is new again: In 1996, Anaheim pitched a youth sports center called the “Little A” in part of the stadium parking lots as part of a ballpark village that never materialized.

What might be in the best interest of the city now might not be in that of the developer, whether that turns out to be the Angels or a real estate partner. While a sports park might drive tax revenues to the city, a developer might pay the most for land used for hotel and retail properties, said Louis Tomaselli, the Irvine-based executive managing director at JLL, a nationally prominent commercial real estate brokerage.

“A youth sports complex would likely be at or near the bottom from a land value perspective,” Tomaselli said.

Read more:Plaschke: Memo to Arte Moreno: Sell your fallen Angels

That’s all part of the negotiation, and for now the city of Anaheim has no party with which to negotiate. That leaves room for all sorts of brainstorming, including Aitken’s curiosity about flanking the development with high-rise residential buildings, similar to the condominiums that have risen next to Petco Park in San Diego. In some of them, you can watch the game from your balcony.

But let’s get back to the value of the Anaheim name on the baseball team.

“A lot of times, we get the question, ‘Exactly where is Anaheim?’” Wright, the Anaheim tourism official, told the City Council. “We’re always fighting to say, ‘We’re not L.A.’”

In 2005, when Anaheim sued the Angels after Moreno slapped the Los Angeles label on the team, the city commissioned experts that testified the name change would cost Anaheim nearly $200 million over the following decade and close to $400 million through 2029. The Angels dismissed both numbers as wildly high, but that is what the city presented in court.

I asked Sean Moran of Los Angeles-based Innovative Partnerships Group for an update. Moran estimated the worth of the Anaheim name at $26.5 million per year — or more than $500 million over the life of a 20-year deal — based on the value of references to the city on game broadcasts, digital and social media, highlight clips, betting sites, in fantasy leagues, and more.

“I don’t think you can put a monetary value on civic pride and respecting your fan base,” Aitken said. “So, if a new owner wants to come in and start fresh and really respect the fan base in Orange County, the name should not even be a negotiating point.

“It should be the first thing you do, out of respect for where this team is located, and the fan base that is so loyal in good times and bad.”

Perhaps. But, if I’m the new owner of the Angels and the city is on record saying its name on the team is worth hundreds of millions of dollars, the first thing I say to the city in negotiations is: You can get your name on the team for that $500 million, which would help me build a new ballpark that could cost $1.5 billion.

Who else could benefit from that? Moreno, as the need for a new owner to pay for a ballpark could lower the sale price.

Even without that exemption from state law, a new owner could pursue a fair amount of development on land Anaheim has failed to develop for 60 years, on a site the city’s own land use plan envisions as “an exciting mix of high energy uses while providing additional housing.” Or a new owner could simply inherit the existing lease and deal with potential development later.

Read more:Shaikin: As MLB proposes salary cap, Sacramento pursues team it might not be able to afford

You can start to get the shape of what the bargaining might look like. Avelino Valencia (D-Anaheim), the assembly member who introduced the bill in Sacramento intended to spur the return of the Anaheim Angels name, included a provision that says resolution would take precedence over legislation.

“If there is another outcome that takes place, in negotiations or deal-wise, there would be no need for this, right?” Valencia said.

All of that could be years down the road, so no sense arguing all the finer points now. Aitken promises a series of community meetings first, so that Anaheim residents can share how they envision the future of the Angel Stadium property, with or without a baseball stadium.

This should come up for discussion too: The Anaheim Angels name might be ideal for the city, but what, if anything, should the city give up to get it? The last time the city asked, Moreno just said no. If a new owner would be willing, should the taxpayers of Anaheim consider subsidizing the name?

Get the best, most interesting and strangest stories of the day from the L.A. sports scene and beyond from our newsletter The Sports Report.

This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.

Yankees prospects: Martin’s three-RBI day leads Somerset to extra-inning win

Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders: Postponed due to rain, doubleheader scheduled for Friday

Double-A Somerset Patriots:W, 5-4 (10) at Portland Sea Dogs

LF Jackson Castillo 1-4, 1 R, 1 BB, 2 K, 1 SB
CF Garrett Martin 2-4, 1 HR, 1 2B, 3 RBI, 1 R, 1 BB — solo shot in the fourth, two-run double in the ninth
DH Jace Avina 1-3, 1 R, 2 BB, 1 K, 1 SB
1B Nicholas Torres 0-5, 2 K, throwing error
RF DJ Gladney 0-4, 1 BB, 2 K
3B Coby Morales 0-4, 1 RBI, 1 BB, 2 K
C Manuel Palencia 0-5
2B Connor McGinnis 1-3, 1 R, 1 BB, 1 K
SS Owen Cobb 1-3, 1 R, 1 BB

Xavier Rivas 5.2 IP, 0 R, 2 BB, 8 K — his longest outing of the year, and second-most strikeouts
Michael Arias 0.1 IP, 3 R, 2 H, 1 BB (blown save)
Will Brian 1 IP, 1 R, 2 H, 3 K
Hayden Merda 1 IP, 0 R
Ben Grable 1.2 IP, 0 R, 1 BB, 3 K (win)
Chris Kean 0.1 IP, 0 R (save)

High-A Hudson Valley Renegades:L, 1-2 at Rome Emperors

2B Kaeden Kent 1-3, 1 CS
SS Core Jackson 0-4, 1 K
C Eric Genther 0-4, 1 K
1B Kyle West 0-4, 1 K
RF Wilson Rodriguez 0-3, 1 R, 1 BB
DH Roderick Arias 0-3, 1 BB, 2 K
3B Enmanuel Tejeda 1-2, 1 RBI, 1 BB, 1 K, 1 SB
LF Josh Moylan 0-3
LF Luis Durango 0-0
CF Camden Troyer 1-3, 1 K

Luis Serna 7 IP, 1 R, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K, 1 HR — back-to-back quality starts, rebounding from a bad first start in June
Wilmy Sanchez 1 IP, 0 R, 2 BB, 1 K
Luis Velasquez 0.2 IP, 1 R, 1 H, 1 BB, 1 K (loss)
Thomas Balboni Jr. 0 IP, 0 R, 1 H

Low-A Tampa Tarpons:L, 7-9 vs. Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

SS Jackson Lovich 0-4, 3 K
3B Bryce Martin-Grudzielanek 1-4, 1 2B, 1 RBI, 1 K, two fielding errors
2B Hans Montero 0-4, 2 K, missed catch
LF Logan Maxwell 1-3, 1 2B, 1 R, 1 BB, 1 K, 1 SB
RF JoJo Jackson 3-4, 1 3B, 1 RBI, 2 R, 1 K
CF Willy Montero 0-3, 1 R, 1 BB, 1 K
C Engelth Urena 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R, 1 BB, fielding error
DH Ediel Rivera 0-3, 1 R, 1 BB, 1 K
1B Austin Green 1-4, 2 RBI, 1 R, 1 K

Thatcher Hurd 4.1 IP, 3 R, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 8 K
Pedro Rodriguez 1.2 IP, 1 R, 3 H, 1 BB, 1 K
Matthew Tippie 0.2 IP, 4 R, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 1 K (blown save, loss) — an error kept the inning alive for all four runs, but he didn’t do himself any favors with two walks and a run-scoring wild pitch post-error
Jose Martinez 2.1 IP, 1 R, 1 H, 1 BB, 1 K

Florida Complex League Yankees: Off-day

Dominican Summer League Yankees: Off-day

Dominican Summer League Bombers: Off-day

Phillies News: Andrew Painter, Jonathan Bowlan, All-Star Futures Game

PHILADELPHIA, PA - JUNE 17: Philadelphia Phillies pitcher Andrew Painter #24 reacts during the game between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins on June 17th, 2026 at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. (Photo by Terence Lewis/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The Phillies simply couldn’t wait anymore. After another disastrous outing yesterday afternoon, the Phillies finally decided they’d seen enough and sent the struggling Andrew Painter to Triple-A. It’s been a rocky start to a career for the young right hander to say the least, as he owns a 7.06 ERA across his first 14 big league appearances. He will now try to find his command in Lehigh Valley in the hopes of possibly returning to the rotation later this year.

On to the links.

Phillies news:

MLB News:

Open Thread: Analytics reveal the Spurs had the best odds of winning the NBA Finals

SAN ANTONIO, TX - JUNE 13: Victor Wembanyama #1 of the San Antonio Spurs and Karl-Anthony Towns #32 of the New York Knicks looks on during the game during Game Five of the 2026 NBA Finals on June 13, 2026 at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE(Photo by Jesse D. Garrabrant /NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

The 2026 NBA season has officially ended and the New York Knicks were crowned the 2026 NBA Champions. After Game 5, Victor Wembanyama stated, “Our domination stints are absolute. We absolutely dominated for most of the series. But our errors, our mistakes, are punished so hard that we can’t have ups and downs like this.”

Wemby took some flack on social media for the comment. But mathematically speaking, he was correct.

“According to ESPN Analytics, in the 4 games the Spurs lost in the NBA Finals, they had a 91% chance of winning Game 1 up 13 midway through the 3rd, 72,8 chance of winning Game 2 up 2 points with 1 minute left in the 4th, a 99.6% chance of winning Game 4 up 20 points, and a 95.4% chance of winning Game 5 up 10 points with 7:54 left in the 4th.”

Obviously, there were problems closing out games which will be a major focus next season. But in three of the four games, the Spurs had over 90% chance of winning during the second half. The Knicks did the impossible while the Spurs did the unthinkable.

FYI: I ordered Midrange Theory By Seth Partnow. It should come next week. For anyone who wants to read and discuss along. Thanks for the suggestion Montreal. I assume zsals is in?


Welcome to the Thread. Join in the conversation, start your own discussion, and share your thoughts. This is the Spurs community, your Spurs community. Thanks for being here.

Our community guidelines apply which should remind everyone to be cool, avoid personal attacks, not to troll and to watch the language.

Know the draft prospect: Joshua Jefferson

MANHATTAN, KS - MARCH 08: Joshua Jefferson #2 of the Iowa State Cyclones goes to the basket between defenders David N'Guessan #1 and Coleman Hawkins #33 of the Kansas State Wildcats, in the first half at Bramlage Coliseum on March 8, 2025 in Manhattan, Kansas. (Photo by Peter Aiken/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Joshua Jefferson provides an instant injection of high-IQ basketball, physical rebounding, and unique frontcourt playmaking. Should the World Champion New York Knicks bite?

The Basics

  • School: Iowa State
  • Position: Power Forward
  • Height: 6’7.75” (barefoot) | 6’9″ (listed)
  • Weight: 246 lbs
  • Age: 23 (Born November 21, 2003)
  • 2025-26 Stats: 16.4 PPG, 7.4 RPG, 4.8 APG, 47.1% FG, 34.5% 3PT, 70.0% FT
  • Projected Draft Range: Late first to early second round (20–35)

The Numbers

Jefferson is one of the most bizarre and productive frontcourt anomalies in recent college basketball history. He became the first player in Big 12 history to rack up 450+ points, 250+ rebounds, 100+ assists, 70+ steals, and 25+ blocks in a single season. One number to take special note of is the 4.8 assists per game. For a guy built like a linebacker, carrying a 246-pound frame with a 6’10.75″ wingspan, operating as a primary hub of an offense is rare. He posted a 28% assist rate, ranking third among all forwards in college basketball.

Even better, he maintained nearly a 2:1 assist-to-turnover ratio (4.8 to 2.5), so he isn’t just hurling wild passes out of double teams. Combine that with a robust 1.6 steals per game (an 8.1% steal rate as a junior), and my, my, my, what an analytics darling!

Skills That Pay the Bills

  • High-Level Processing & Playmaking: Jefferson plays like a point guard trapped in a power forward’s body. He is an exceptional short-roll passer, an elbow handoff hub, and a guy who can grab a defensive rebound and lead the break himself. He drops bounce passes on a dime to cutters and processes defensive rotations a step ahead of everyone else.
  • Physicality and Functional Strength: At 246 pounds with a rock-solid lower base, Jefferson embraced contact against the collegiate opposition. He carves out position inside effortlessly, converts below-the-rim hooks, and boxes out with discipline, anchoring himself for 7.4 rebounds per game.
  • Defensive Event Generation: He might not be a vertical rim protector, but has very active hands. He anticipates passing lanes, strips bigs on the block, and triggers fast breaks.

Concerns

  • Functional Athleticism: The combine confirmed a 27-inch standing vertical and a 33-inch max vertical. He lacks pop and has heavier feet laterally. In space, quicker NBA wings are going to test his lateral agility, and he won’t rescue anyone as a weak-side shot-blocker.
  • Shooting Hesitancy: While his 3-point stroke ticked up to a respectable 34.5% on 3.1 attempts per game, the film shows a guy who frequently passes up wide-open looks to back down into a contested post-up. Scouts at the combine noted that while his mechanics look sound and tight, his confidence is streaky. A 70% free-throw clip also leaves some questions about his ultimate ceiling as a knockdown spacer.
  • Age & Ceiling: Turning 24 during his rookie season, Jefferson is an older prospect.

The Knicks Fit

Think of Jefferson as a hybrid connective piece who could be an ideal bench multi-tool. If Mike Brown could deploy Jefferson with the second unit, making as a secondary facilitator from the high post or elbow. He plays with the high-IQ, physical, dive-on-the-floor toughness that we love to see. Jefferson can give you backup power forward minutes, play small-ball center in ultra-specific configurations, and hit the glass hard. At worst? He hangs out in the G-League with Westchester while adjusting his defensive footwork to the pro pace.

NBA Comparison

  • Best-Case Comparison: James Johnson / Boris Diaw
  • Median Outcome: Kyle Anderson (Slower-paced, highly intelligent decision-maker who fills the stat sheet without elite verticality)
  • Low-End Outcome: Grant Williams without the lock-down lateral quickness

The Verdict

Drafting him at 24th seems like a stretch. But at 31st? Go for it.

Read all our draft profiles here.

Go Knicks!

DitD & Open Post – 6/18/26: Busy Summer Edition

MONTREAL, CANADA - APRIL 05: Jacob Markstrom #25 of the New Jersey Devils tends net during the third period against the Montréal Canadiens at the Bell Centre on April 5, 2026 in Montreal, Quebec, Canada. The New Jersey Devils defeated the Montréal Canadiens 3-0. (Photo by Minas Panagiotakis/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Here are your links for today:

Devils Links

“The New Jersey Devils are reportedly testing the market for veteran goaltender Jacob Markstrom. Finding a trade could be a tricky proposition. He is coming off a down season, he is set to earn $6 million for another two seasons, and he has a 20-team no-trade list. That combination could limit an already narrow list of matches. Whether GM Sunny Mehta can find a deal is anyone’s guess, but here are three destinations that could make sense.” [Infernal Access ($)]

“The New Jersey Devils had a disappointing offseason in 2025. It’s a significant reason why they missed the playoffs this season and why Sunny Mehta is taking over as GM. I don’t want to get fans too excited, but there’s potential for a much busier summer this year. There’s too much riding on next season, and I expect Mehta to make quite a few changes.” [Devils on the Rush ($)]

“Landing (Jordan) Spence wouldn’t magically fix every defensive shortcoming, but it would give the Devils balance across their pairs. Slide him into a second-pair role, and you suddenly have better depth in transition and on special teams which certainly moves the needle. With the Senators exploring options and Spence’s value still climbing, questions about (Simon) Nemec’s future in New Jersey, and the downgrade in trade protection for (Brenden) Dillon, the timing feels right.” [New Jersey Hockey Now]

“The Devils should have options — and appealing ones at that — if there is any smoke to the rumors about shopping Markstrom. The only concern that I have is that there needs to be a legitimate replacement.” [Devils’ Advocates]

Hockey Links

The Leafs and Golden Knights have new coaches:

And Spencer Carbery is sticking around in Washington:

We have trades:

“There are few teams more process-oriented than the Carolina Hurricanes, so it’s no surprise they finally found themselves hoisting the Stanley Cup this season. But as teams begin their annual tradition of copying the winner, what lessons should they focus on when trying to replicate the success of the Canes? Let’s look into it.” [Daily Faceoff]

“The race to July 1 is on. With the Stanley Cup now handed out to the Carolina Hurricanes, the 31 NHL teams trying to chase them down are entering a critical period for business. They will be digging through a free-agent class that lacks in star power but offers plenty of useful complementary players.” [The Athletic ($)]

Feel free to discuss these and any other hockey-related stories in the comments below.

Evaluating Sharks' trade for defenseman Michael Kesselring: ‘A very good gamble'

Evaluating Sharks' trade for defenseman Michael Kesselring: ‘A very good gamble' originally appeared on NBC Sports Bay Area

Editor’s note: Sheng Peng is a regular contributor to NBC Sports California’s Sharks coverage. You can read more of his coverage on San Jose Hockey Now, listen to him on the San Jose Hockey Now Podcast, and follow him on Twitter at @Sheng_Peng.

DETROIT — Everybody agrees that Michael Kesselring had a tough season.

But what’s Kesselring at his best? Three NHL scouts couldn’t quite agree.

The Sharks acquired the 26-year-old defenseman from the Buffalo Sabres on Wednesday, along with the No. 27 pick in the 2026 Draft, in exchange for the No. 20.

According to Puckpedia’s Perri Pick Value Calculator, the value difference between those seven first-round draft spots is roughly a mid-second rounder, meaning that Kesselring did not come cheaply to the Sharks.

This, despite just two assists in 34 games and many healthy scratches for Kesselring this past season.

But Kesselring is just 26, enjoyed a breakout 2024-25 campaign with the Utah Mammoth, and is a mobile 6-foot-5 right-hander. There’s not a lot of those in the NHL. That season, Kesselring saw the equivalent of second-unit power play usage and notched seven goals and 29 points, averaging 17:41 a night.

Can he return to that form…or be better for the Sharks?

“Has top-four potential,” Scout No. 1 said. “Good size, moves well, has some upside.”

There’s a reason why the Sabres wanted Kesselring, along with winger Josh Doan from the Mammoth, in a 2-for-1 swap last summer for point-per-game winger JJ Peterka.

Scout No. 2, however, isn’t as enamored with Kesselring: “Long. Third-pairing, certainly not second-pairing potential. Maybe he kills penalties?”

Per Stathletes, Kesselring had some turnover issues with the Mammoth in 2024-25, sporting a team defense-worst 5-on-5 Neutral Zone Turnovers Per 60. His Pass Completion percentage was also position-worst.

Those numbers were worse in Buffalo.

“Offensive vision is very average,” Scout No. 3 said. “He can get busy with the puck sometimes but wouldn’t consider him careless.”

This scout came in on the middle about Kesselring: “Ideally, he’s a bottom-pairing guy, but there is upside.”

What does he like?

“Big, mobile, and has a decent puck game with a heavy shot,” Scout No. 3 said. “Two-way guy for me. Can play on a second power play unit.”

Kesselring did lead Utah blueliners with 150 shots in 2024-25. And according to Stathletes, he paced this position in 5-on-5 Stretch Carries Per 60, which are puck carries of 30-or-more feet, along with Carries Leading to Shots, his or off his pass.

So Kesselring has clear ability with lugging and distributing the puck, but also must learn to be more reliable with it.

Defensively, Kesselring did lead that Mammoth defense in 5-on-5 Puck Battles Won Per 60, so he’s effective with his size.

All three scouts agree that Kesselring should be an improvement for what was a below-average Sharks defensive corps last season.

“He’s a clear upgrade over what they had last year,” Scout No. 3 said. “Makes them better, for sure.”

How much better?

Scout No. 3 thinks that Kesselring circa 2024-25 would’ve been San Jose’s third-best defenseman last year, behind Dmitry Orlov and Mario Ferraro, and ahead of John Klingberg, Vincent Desharnais, Sam Dickinson, Shakir Mukhamadullin, and company.

That’s faint praise.

But the Sharks have just two blueliners signed right now, Orlov and Dickinson, and now, a pair of RFA’s in Kesselring and Mukhamadullin.

So this is Kesselring’s chance to establish himself as an everyday NHL player…or not. Just don’t expect him to change the complexion of a San Jose defense that needs lots more help. He’s a very good gamble, that’s all.

“Like the player. Fills a need for the Sharks,” Scout No. 3 said. “Still has a good amount of upside.”

Download and follow the San Jose Hockey Now podcast

Kentucky Wildcats News: Jayden Quaintance Stock Dropping Ahead of NBA Draft

We’re just a few days away from the NBA Draft, and there are multiple storylines headed into Monday.

Will AJ Dybantsa go #1? What will the Oklahoma City Thunder do with two picks in the top 20? Will one of the teams in the top 5 trade out?

But another notable storyline headed into the draft is Jayden Quaintance, who is seeing his stock continue to fall. Some mock drafts have the former Wildcat falling as low as 25th overall after once being viewed as a near-certain lottery pick.

24 players received a green-room invite for the draft, and Quaintance was notably left off the list.

Jeremy Woo from ESPN has Quaintance going 25th to the Los Angeles Lakers, and noted the questions about Quaintance’s medicals could cause teams to pass on him.

“He is unanimously viewed as a first-round talent and is drawing consideration as high as the teens, but where he ends up might be predicated on how team doctors individually view his case,” Woo wrote.

The potential is certainly there for Quaintance to come in and be a strong rim protector off the bat, with the ability to be a lob threat on the offensive end. His defensive ability and potential could be enough for a team to take a chance earlier in the first round, but it looks like Quaintance might have to wait a little bit to hear his name called if things continue at this pace.

Tweet of the Day

UK is making a sizable investment in its new AD.

Headlines

What international scouts are saying about Nikola Kusturica – KSR

A lot to like about Kusturica.

Details on J Batt’s UK Contract – Herald Leader

A lot of incentives on the table.

Zoom Diallo bringing energy, leadership – Vaughts Views

Good to see from Kentucky’s new point guard.

CFP leaders facing questions over 24-team field – ESPN

Will the SEC and Big Ten agree on a 24-team playoff?

Ronaldo and Portugal stunned in matchup with Congo – Bleacher Report

An impressive showing by the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

Latest on the Protect College Sports Act – Yahoo Sports

Interesting read for those paying attention to this piece of legislation.

Could we actually see LeBron as a Warrior? – CBS Sports

I think he ultimately ends up back in LA, but it’s on the table.

U.S. Open Predictions – SI

Who do you have winning?

Burrow says Bengals remind him of 2019 LSU – ESPN

Burrow is feeling confident heading into the season.

Updated NBA Mock Draft – Yahoo

Will Dybantsa or Peterson be the #1 pick?

'Perfect appointment' – fan views as McInnes becomes Rangers manager

Your opinions
[BBC]

Rangers fans, we asked for your views on the departure of Danny Rohl and appointment of Derek McInnes as manager.

Here's what some of you said:

Heather: A true, dyed in the wool Rangers man. McInnes is in the mould of the great Walter Smith. I haven't been this excited for a Rangers team or season in years. Bring on the 2026/27 season.

Kenneth: Well he won't last long at Rangers as it's a different club, team and a different set of expectations. Rangers are expected to win, Hearts try to play to win. I doubt he will last till Christmas. He will be sacked because it's Rangers.

Matthew: Perfect appointment. He feels like the exact thing we've been missing, and his Scottish and Rangers identity is something we've been crying out for. He has proven in Scottish football that he can get the best out of his players, and that he is tactically astute. The most optimistic I've been in a long time.

John: Thanks to Rohl for his work and efforts. He appeared to be a good man and wish him well on his development. We now have a Scottish manager and a Rangers man. I personally would like to see a squad with a heavy Scottish core, the difficulty is offloading those who are surplus to our requirements. If this can be done, we will have a trimmer squad and the means to focus expenditure. Cannot wait.

Michael: Definitely the right man for the job and hopefully an appointment the fans will be patient with. I think he will hit the ground running but with so many squad changes needed, there could still be early issues but McInnes will get it right given a few transfer windows

Dave: The third manager in 12 months, time for someone to be given a good run at it. Lower the expectations of instant success and build a good team. Only then can Rangers hope to make a realistic challenge. I think McInnes could be the man to do it.

Did You Know: Seattle Has Already Retired A Jersey Number

​The Seattle Kraken’s off-season is underway, and while the Vegas Golden Knights fell to the Carolina Hurricanes in the Stanley Cup Finals, it felt like a good time to launch a new series: Did you know?

​This collection will feature articles about the Seattle Kraken, with facts, stories, and interesting tidbits fans may not know—or remember. ​


The past five seasons have produced several memorable moments. But the most interesting statistic is that, before the inaugural season even kicked off, the team had retired a jersey number. ​

The number that hangs in the rafters at the Climate Pledge Arena is 32.

​The story behind the retired number is that Kraken fans made 32,000 ticket deposits on the team's first day of existence. ​The team honored its fans by placing the number in the rafters of Climate Pledge Arena before its inaugural game. ​

At the time, Seattle Kraken CEO Tod Leiweke shared a message with fans before the first game.

"You did it. And we will never, ever forget," Leiweke said to NHL.com. "And tonight, we will retire the number 32. We will never forget what you've done. We will always be reminded that jersey flies from the rafters of this beautiful arena, and we honor you."

​The Kraken went on to lose 4-2 to the Vancouver Canucks in their home opener, after falling 4-3 to the Vegas Golden Knights in their first NHL game.

​The number not only represents the fanbase but also reflects that the Seattle Kraken are the 32nd team in the National Hockey League, added in 2021-22.

​In the last five seasons, the team made the playoffs once, in 2022-23.​

Number 32 remains in the rafters of Climate Pledge Arena, though it was never worn by a Kraken player.

​Leiweke had one more message for Kraken fans on that historic day: “Let’s go, Kraken!”​


2025-26 Season In Review: Kris Letang

PITTSBURGH, PENNSYLVANIA - MARCH 26: Kris Letang #58 of the Pittsburgh Penguins skates in the third period during the game against the Carolina Hurricanes at PPG PAINTS Arena on March 26, 2024 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Justin Berl/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Vitals

Player: Kris Letang
Born: April 27, 1987 (Age 39 season)
Height: 6’ 0”
Weight: 199 pounds
Hometown: Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Shoots: Right
Draft: Third round, 2005 NHL Draft, No. 62 overall, by the Pittsburgh Penguins
2025-26 Statistics: 74 games played, three goals, 31 assists, 34 total points, minus-4
Contract Status: Two years remaining on a six-year. $36.6 million contract with $6.1 million salary cap number

Story of the Season

Letang is the one member of the Pittsburgh Penguins’ big three that has really started to show signs of age and slowing down.

While Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin were still big-time contributors in 2025-26 and providing the Penguins with great value with their contracts, Letang simply did not. He has lost a step in his game and has not yet really adjusted to that, still having moments where he tries to play the way he did at his peak. It is not a good combination. While there were still some moments and individual games where Letang could put everything together and play like Kris Letang, those moments were few and far between.

The good news: Some of those moments came in extremely clutch situations, scoring overtime game-winning goals against both the Detroit Red Wings and Columbus Blue Jackets to help give the Penguins key points in their push for a playoff spot against teams they were competing with in the playoff race. The game-winning goal against Columbus in late November capped off a two-goal third period comeback win for the Penguins that was one of their best wins of the season (and also one of their two multiple goal come-from-behind wins in Columbus this season).

Monthly Splits

via Yahoo!

Letang had a solid start to the season in October, recording six points with a plus-8 rating in his first 12 games of the season. He also had a solid December with nine points in 14 games. But his November and March were both especially bad, both offensively and in terms of giving up goals, and played a big role in his overall down numbers for the season.

Regular season 5v5 advanced stats

Data via Natural Stat Trick. Ranking is out of 11 defensemen on the team who qualified by playing a minimum of 150 minutes.

Corsi For%: 48.8 (6th)
Goals For%: 49.1 (9th)
xGF%: 50.0 (9th)
Scoring Chance%: 48.6 (9th)
High Danger Scoring Chance%: 49.6 (9th)
5v5 on-ice shooting%: 9.8 (9th)
On-ice save%: .904 (5th)
Goals/60: 0.00 (11th)
Assists/60: 0.83 (7th)
Points/60: 0.83 (7th)

There is not a lot to love here about Letang’s perfomrance.

He did not score a single goal during 5-on-5 play, saw a serious drop in his playmaking with the assists, and was no longer an overly effective player in terms of driving position.

Making things even worse, he seemed to be the common denominator for a lot of his partner’s struggles.

Sam Girard was significantly better and more productive when he was not paired with Letang.

Ryan Shea was significantly better and more productive when he was not paired with Letang.

The only defenseman that seemed to have any meaningful success with Letang this season was Brett Kulak in their 278 minutes of 5-on-5 hockey together.

In other words, the 2025-26 season was finally the season that Kris Letang played like the player that his harshest critics always thought that he was. It only took 18 years, but it happened.

Charts n’at

This chart speaks to the above that the decline has been real for Letang. His decade+ days of being a quality No. 1 defenseman are a memory and his WAR ranking and offensive impact has been in sharp decline lately.

However, not all hope is gone. Letang can still move the puck within the offensive zone really well to create shot and chance assists. He is good with in-zone offense once the puck gets that far. Being so low in exit success rates with the inability to carry the puck as well as failing to deny entries and prevent chances defensively shows some areas that have become drastically limited for Letang in the aging process. He also somehow managed to score zero 5v5 goals this season, a bit of an anomaly considering he’s scored 4-10 5v5 goals each season since coming back from next surgery in 2017.

Even at an older age, Letang’s skating and burst is still reasonably good relative to the rest of the league. As a notorious workout/fitness freak, there’s no doubt that Letang is doing all that he can to keep his body in as top of shape as possible. Gotta give him a lot of credit for that, and all his endless work in the gym has certainly paid off to help him keep some power in his skating, even late in his career.

Highlights

Questions to Ponder

The two biggest questions regarding Letang are whether or not he can rebound in any way this season and find a way to be productive in a smaller role, and whether or not he will actually be on the team next season?

Letang has always seemed like the most likely of the big three to play elsewhere, and the Penguins might be open to moving him and his contract if the opportunity presents itself. That does not seem likely for a variety of reasons, ranging from Letang having a full no-movement clause and having the ability to veto any trade he does not want, as well as the fact there simply may not be a huge market for a 39-year-old defenseman counting more than $6 million per season against the salary cap and coming off arguably the worst season of his career.

Ideal 2026-27

It still seems likely that Letang will be a Penguin, but he is going to need to adjust his style of play and his role is going to need to change. He does not need to be the focal point of the defense or be the player pushing the pace of play, mostly because he does not really possess the skating or skills to do that anymore. If he can play an 18-minute per night role in more sheltered situations, while chipping in the occasional 5-on-5 goal, there might still be something here that they can use. He just needs to know his limitations. The Penguins also need to know his limitations.

Bottom line

Letang is a giant in Penguins history and one of the best, most important players to play for the franchise. There may have been a handful of better defensemen to briefly play for the Penguins (Paul Coffey, for example), but Letang has had the greatest career of any Penguins defensemen with the Penguins. He has won three Stanley Cups here, scoring a game-winning goal in a Stanley Cup clinching game, and consistently been one of the best overall defensemen in the NHL. He is a borderline Hall of Famer. All of that will always be important, even if he is not that version of himself at this stage of his career.

Pensburgh Grade: D+

2026 NBA mock draft: AI predicts every pick from the first round

There might still be a debate about the No. 1 pick in the 2026 NBA Draft. The early consensus centered around BYU's AJ Dybantsa. The analytics reportedly favored Duke's Cameron Boozer. The speculation has now shifted to Dybantsa or Kansas guard Darryn Peterson, or perhaps all three still being considered, with less than a week until the Washington Wizards are officially on the clock with the first selection of the draft.

But AI hasn't wavered in terms of the top of the 2026 draft class. Since the draft lottery was conducted last month, and the Wizards, Utah Jazz and Memphis Grizzlies wound up with the top three picks, Microsoft Copilot's AI chatbot has consistently churned out the same prospects for those first three choices when prompted by USA TODAY Sports.

The same is not true for most picks outside of the top four prospects (Dybantsa, Peterson, Boozer and North Carolina's Caleb Wilson). There was again a shift in selections made in the first AI mock draft since the conclusion of the NBA Finals, particularly in the latter half of the first half, based on the latest intel.

Here's a breakdown of Microsoft Copilot AI's latest 2026 NBA mock draft, including the chatbot's reasoning for making each first-round pick:

2026 NBA mock draft by USA TODAY Sports

You can compare AI's picks to the latest USA TODAY 2026 NBA mock draft by clicking here.

2026 NBA mock draft: AI picks entire first round

USA TODAY Sports asked Microsoft Copilot AI to generate a mock draft for the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft featuring only players eligible this year now that the NBA draft withdrawal deadline passed for college players. The chatbot was asked to base its selections on current mock drafts from reputable websites, as well as the latest intel on team needs, prospect analysis, pre-draft workouts and the most up-to-date draft withdrawal news.

Note: AI models still have issues with accuracy as seen in the mock draft below. Of particular note, Microsoft Copilot needed additional prompts after several picks were inaccurately assigned to teams. The average mock draft pick referenced for each player was compiled by USA TODAY Sports using 13 of the latest mock drafts from national websites around the country, including USA TODAY.

1. Washington Wizards: AJ Dybantsa, BYU

  • Average mock draft pick: 1
  • AI analysis: "A franchise-caliber scoring wing with elite shot creation tools, Dybantsa gives Washington the highest ceiling player in the class."

2. Utah Jazz: Darryn Peterson, Kansas

  • Average mock draft pick: 2
  • AI analysis: "A dynamic lead guard with two-way upside, Peterson offers Utah a primary initiator to build around long term."

3. Memphis Grizzlies: Cameron Boozer, Duke

  • Average mock draft pick: 3
  • AI analysis: "Boozer’s polished offensive game and physicality make him a plug-and-play frontcourt centerpiece."

4. Chicago Bulls: Caleb Wilson, North Carolina

  • Average mock draft pick: 4
  • AI analysis: "Wilson’s defensive versatility and upside swing potential fits a Chicago team in talent acquisition mode."

5. Los Angeles Clippers: Darius Acuff Jr., Arkansas

  • Average mock draft pick: 6
  • AI analysis: "Acuff brings explosive scoring and on-ball creation as a potential franchise point guard in a high-leverage slot."

6. Brooklyn Nets: Mikel Brown Jr., Louisville

  • Average mock draft pick: 7
  • AI analysis: "Brown’s scoring burst and rising pre-draft momentum make him one of the top offensive guard bets."

7. Sacramento Kings: Kingston Flemings, Houston

  • Average mock draft pick: 8
  • AI analysis: "With multiple guards in the same tier, Flemings gives Sacramento a high-upside playmaker without needing to trade up."

8. Atlanta Hawks: Nate Ament, Tennessee

  • Average mock draft pick: 10
  • AI analysis: "Ament’s size, shot creation and upside fit cleanly next to Jalen Johnson as Atlanta prioritizes building around versatile forwards and wing-driven offense."

9. Dallas Mavericks: Brayden Burries, Arizona

  • Average mock draft pick: 9
  • AI analysis: "Burries adds perimeter scoring and secondary playmaking to complement Cooper Flagg as Dallas reshapes its offensive hierarchy."

10. Milwaukee Bucks: Keaton Wagler, Illinois

  • Average mock draft pick: 5
  • AI analysis: "Wagler gives Milwaukee a needed infusion of shot creation as it balances contention with long-term backcourt planning."

11. Golden State Warriors: Aday Mara, Michigan

  • Average mock draft pick: 11
  • AI analysis: "Mara’s size and rim protection provide Golden State with a developmental anchor for its evolving frontcourt."

12. Oklahoma City Thunder: Hannes Steinbach, Washington

  • Average mock draft pick: 16
  • AI analysis: "Steinbach’s skill and versatility fit Oklahoma City’s model of adding multi-dimensional, high-IQ frontcourt players."

13. Miami Heat: Yaxel Lendeborg, Michigan

  • Average mock draft pick: 12
  • AI analysis: "Lendeborg’s toughness and readiness align with Miami’s preference for plug-and-play contributors."

14. Charlotte Hornets: Labaron Philon, Alabama

  • Average mock draft pick: 15
  • AI analysis: "Philon gives Charlotte another dynamic guard to complement its fast-paced, offense-first identity."

15. Chicago Bulls: Cameron Carr, Baylor

  • Average mock draft pick: 17
  • AI analysis: "Carr’s athleticism and scoring upside give Chicago another developmental wing to grow with its young core."

16. Memphis Grizzlies: Morez Johnson Jr., Michigan

  • Average mock draft pick: 13
  • AI analysis: "Johnson adds physicality and rebounding to a Memphis roster that values frontcourt toughness and depth."

17. Oklahoma City Thunder: Karim Lopez, New Zealand Breakers (NBL)

  • Average mock draft pick: 14
  • AI analysis: "Lopez offers long-term upside and positional flexibility as Oklahoma City continues to stockpile versatile talent."

18. Charlotte Hornets: Chris Cenac Jr., Houston

  • Average mock draft pick: 20
  • AI analysis: "Cenac strengthens Charlotte’s interior defense as it builds out a more balanced roster."

19. Toronto Raptors: Dailyn Swain, Texas

  • Average mock draft pick: 22
  • AI analysis: "Swain’s two-way profile fits Toronto’s continued emphasis on length, defense and position-less basketball."

20. San Antonio Spurs: Jayden Quaintance, Kentucky

  • Average mock draft pick: 21
  • AI analysis: "Quaintance’s defensive ceiling and physical tools align with San Antonio’s patient developmental timeline."

21. Detroit Pistons: Bennett Stirtz, Iowa

  • Average mock draft pick: 18
  • AI analysis: "Stirtz provides steady playmaking and leadership to help organize Detroit’s young roster."

22. Philadelphia 76ers: Ebuka Okorie, Stanford

  • Average mock draft pick: 24
  • AI analysis: "Okorie adds scoring punch and guard depth for a Philadelphia team still prioritizing offensive firepower."

23. Atlanta Hawks: Christian Anderson, Texas Tech

  • Average mock draft pick: 19
  • AI analysis: "Anderson gives Atlanta another shot-creator to complement its evolving wing-driven approach around Jalen Johnson."

24. New York Knicks: Allen Graves, Santa Clara

  • Average mock draft pick: 23
  • AI analysis: "Graves’ versatility and feel project well into a complementary role for a Knicks team focused on depth."

25. Los Angeles Lakers: Koa Peat, Arizona

  • Average mock draft pick: 25
  • AI analysis: "Peat’s size and scoring upside offer the Lakers a developmental forward with long-term potential."

26. Denver Nuggets: Henri Veesaar, North Carolina

  • Average mock draft pick: 27
  • AI analysis: "Veesaar provides Denver with a skilled backup center option to support its frontcourt rotation."

27. Boston Celtics: Meleek Thomas, Arkansas

  • Average mock draft pick: 26
  • AI analysis: "Thomas adds another scoring guard to Boston’s rotation, reinforcing its depth and offensive versatility."

28. Minnesota Timberwolves: Isaiah Evans, Duke

  • Average mock draft pick: 28
  • AI analysis: "Evans’ shooting and wing scoring bolster Minnesota’s perimeter offense."

29. Cleveland Cavaliers: Joshua Jefferson, Iowa State

  • Average mock draft pick: 30
  • AI analysis: "Jefferson’s energy and versatility give Cleveland a flexible piece in the frontcourt."

30. Dallas Mavericks: Tarris Reed Jr., UConn

  • Average mock draft pick: 29 (appeared in 11/13 mock drafts)
  • AI analysis: "Reed adds interior size and rebounding to support a Dallas core headlined by Cooper Flagg."

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: NBA mock draft 2026: AI predicts entire first round of NBA draft

Brett Callahan and John Peck keep hitting in SeaWolves’ loss

Rochester Red Wings 6, Toledo Mud Hens 5 (F/11)(box)

The Mud Hens battled through a bullpen game only to run out of pitching in the 11th inning, losing via walkoff to the Red Wings.

Woo-Suk Go got the start and went two innings. He surrendered a pair of runs on four hits and a walk, striking out five.

The Hens turned the tables pretty quickly. In the top of the fourth, Max Anderson led off with a walk and Eduardo Valencia doubled him to third with one out. Anderson scored on a Trei Cruz ground out, and Corey Julks singled in Valencia to tie the game.

In the fifth, Jace Jung led off with his 11th homer and two batters later, Cal Stevenson followed suit for a 4-2 lead.

Unfortunately the offense ran out of steam after that, and the bullpen leaked a run in the sixth and Matt Seelinger blew the save in the bottom of the ninth.

In the 10th, with Tyler Gentry starting at second base, Cal Stevenson flew out to right field, allowing Gentry to tag and take third, where he’d score on a wild pitch. That was all they’d get, and Seelinger couldn’t prevent the run in the bottom half. The Hens failed to push across a run in the 11th, and Gentry had to pitch, allowing a walkoff single on a 37 mph slider.

Jung: 2-4, R, RBI, HR, K

Valencia: 2-4, R, 2B, BB

Go: 2.0 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, BB, 5 K

Coming Up Next: The series is tied up heading into a 6:45 p.m. ET start on Thurday.

Harrisburg Senators 11, Erie SeaWolves 6 (box)

Former Tigers prospect Josh Randall spun a solid game against the SeaWolves on Wednesday, while Lael Lockhart Jr.’s outing fell apart late and the bullpen collapsed.

The SeaWolves did strike first, as singles from Justice Bigbie, Izaac Pacheco, and Aaron Antonini produced a run in the second inning.

Meanwhile, Lockhart rolled through the first three innings without much trouble, but he allowed a solo shot in the fourth and then three more runs in the fifth. Chris Meyers answered back with his third home run in his last three games in the sixth, but Wandisson Charles allowed two runs in the bottom half for a 6-2 lead.

In the seventh, the SeaWolves made a bigger push as Antonini led off with a double and scored on a one-out triple to the wall in center from Brett Callahan. John Peck doubled in Callahan to make it a 6-4 game, but that was all they’d get.

Meyers doubled and scored in the eighth, and Peck tripled and scored on a Bigbie ground out in the top of the ninth, but Tyler Owens gave up a run in the seventh and then four runs in the eighth as the Senators pulled away.

Peck: 3-5, R, RBI, 2B, 3B, K

Meyers: 2-3, 2 R, RBI, 2B, HR, 2 BB

Callahan: 2-5, R, RBI, 3B, K

Pacheco: 1-3, 2 BB, 2 K

Lockhart (L, 1-1): 4.2 IP, 4 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 2 K

Coming Up Next: The series is tied, with first pitch on Thursday set for 6:30 p.m. ET.

West Michigan Whitecaps vs. Lansing Lugnuts (cancelled)

They were washed out in West Michigan on Wednesday and the game cancelled. It’s a 6:45 p.m. ET start on Thurday night.

Dunedin Blue Jays 9, Lakeland Flying Tigers 5 (box)

The Flying Tigers swung the bats pretty well on Wednesday, but the pitching wasn’t there as the Blue Jays made it two in a row.

Cash Kuiper got the start, and he gave up a run in the first and two more in the third. In the bottom of the second, Anibal Salas and Jack Goodman singled and both scored on Hunter Dobbins triple. Jordan Yost was hit by a pitch, stole second, and scored on a Nick Dumesnil single in the third.

So it was all tied up at that point and stayed that way until the sixth when Salas smoked a drive over the right field wall for his fifth home run.

Unfortunately, in the seventh Antonio Florida and then Jan Carabello combined to surrender five runs as the Blue Jays seized control for good.

Beau Ankeney added a solo shot, his eighth on the year, in the eighth inning. Jatnk Diaz was wild in the ninth and gave up a run before this one ended.

Salas: 3-4, 2 R, RBI, 2B, HR, K

Kuiper: 3.1 IP, 3 R, 2 ER, 6 H, BB, 4 K

Coming Up Next: They’ll match up again at 11:00 a.m. ET on Thursday.

Has David Bednar shaken off his early struggles?

Jun 4, 2026; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees relief pitcher David Bednar (53) pitches against the Cleveland Guardians during the ninth inning at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images | Brad Penner-Imagn Images

Things are going well for the Yankees right now, all things considered. Even though the team is without their top hitter in Aaron Judge and one of their top pitchers in Max Fried, alongside a few other regulars in the lineup that could really be helping them out. Despite this, they’re sitting in first place in the AL East with the best record in the AL overall and have won four straight and eight of their last ten games. The team is rallying much like the 2019 team did when they were besieged by injuries, and they’ve gotten key improvements from some early slumpers.

One such area that the team has gotten a boost from has been the back of the bullpen, with David Bednar having not allowed a single run since exactly a month ago on May 18th. The Yankee closer has gotten into eight appearances since then, pitching 8.2 scoreless innings and striking out 11 while walking three and giving up four hits. His ERA has gone from north of five to a more stable 3.64 mark in the meantime, and outside of his multi-inning outing on June 8th Bednar has only been pushed into 20 pitches or more once during this stretch. The only knock you could give against his performance is that only three of these outings have been save opportunities, with one seeing Bednar enter in a tie game and the rest being big leads, but Bednar has converted all three of those saves and he earned the win in that tie game that went into extras.

The bullpen has been the weak spot of the roster all season, and Bednar’s sharp form would be a welcome reprieve from sweating out the Houdini acts he’s put the team through in the first couple of months on top of the other pain points in the ‘pen. One nice stretch of play might not be enough to shake the memories of Bednar’s tightrope act though, especially when shades of it could be seen in his last outing against Toronto when he was set up with a five-run lead but made it a little hairy with two loud pieces of contact to put runners on second and third. Bednar escaped that jam without any damage of course, but had that been a tighter contest I think it’s fair to say we’d all have been sweating as soon as the inning led off with a hit. On top of that, Bednar has only been put into back-to-back games twice during this run, and the second time it occurred is where the drama could’ve kicked off had the offense not erupted in the top of the inning.

There’s still a fair amount of pitchers in the bullpen that cause stress every time they take the mound this season, but as of late Bednar hasn’t been one of them. The team will be looking for reinforcements over the course of the next month or two, and the ‘pen is a prime candidate to see a couple of new faces, but Bednar’s recent play should keep him firmly in control of the closer’s role. Should the team be comfortable with that and look to add to their bridge to Bednar, or should they still consider swinging big for an arm that could step into the role should Bednar get into a funk again? Let us know what you think.


Before the Yankees go for the sweep tonight, we’ve got a full slate of stuff going on here. Josh starts us off with a look at the new AL MVP landscape with Aaron Judge all but guaranteed to fall short this time and Shohei Ohtani over in the NL now. Then Matt covers the Rivalry Roundup with the Rays crucially getting swept by the Dodgers, Jeff wishes one-time Yankee Félix Heredia a happy birthday, and Jonathan examines Gerrit Cole’s first five starts of the season to see how the former Cy Young winner has adapted post-Tommy John. John makes the case for Jasson Domínguez to hit leadoff for the Yankees, and Sam outlines what success would look like for Spencer Jones’ rookie season to round things out.

Today’s Matchup

New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox

Time: 7:05 p.m. EST

Video: YES Network, Chicago Sports Network

Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY