NHL season preview: Predicting where Bruins finish in 2026-27 standings originally appeared on NBC Sports Boston
The Boston Bruins defied expectations last season to make the 2026 Stanley Cup playoffs just one year after finishing with the NHL’s fifth-worst record.
Can they surpass expectations again?
You won’t find too many people outside of Boston who are predicting the Bruins to reach the playoffs during the 2026-27 season, which starts Tuesday night when the B’s host the rival New York Rangers at TD Garden.
The Daily Faceoff views the Bruins as “playoff long shots.”The Athletic’s analytics model has the Bruins finishing 25th in the standings with just 87 points, as well as a mere 25 percent chance of reaching the playoffs. MoneyPuck’s model gives the B’s a 39.2 percent chance of playoff qualification — only four East teams have worse odds. HockeyStats predicts the Bruins to earn 94 points and barely miss the playoffs.
One of the most common arguments against the Bruins making the playoffs is the fact that the Atlantic Division includes so many good teams. And that’s definitely true. Many of these teams improved over the summer. You could make a legitimate argument for reaching the playoffs for all eight of the teams. The Maple Leafs finished last in the division a year ago, but a healthy Auston Matthews, plus the offseason additions of No. 1 pick Gavin McKenna, forward Kirill Marchenko, defenseman Darren Raddysh and goalie Sergei Bobrovsky suddenly have fans in Toronto feeling excited again.
The Florida Panthers finished seventh in the division last year, largely due to many of their best players missing a ton of games due to injuries. But with a healthy roster and the offseason addition of forward Brady Tkachuk, the Panthers are a popular pick to win the Stanley Cup for a third time this decade.
Despite the tough road ahead, my prediction for the Bruins ahead of the upcoming season is they make the playoffs as the second wild card team in the Eastern Conference.
The primary source of optimism for the Bruins is the goaltending. Jeremy Swayman consistently gives the B’s a chance to win. He was voted a Vezina Trophy finalist for the first time in his career last season, and after an impressive showing in the 2026 playoffs, there’s no reason to believe his performance will dip in a meaningful way going forward.
The combination of Swayman and Michael DiPietro might end up being one of the league’s top goalie duos. DiPietro played fantastic for the Providence Bruins each of the last three years and won the AHL’s MVP award in 2025-26. He could be a big upgrade over Boston’s previous backup netminder Joonas Korpisalo.
The acquisition of top-six forward JJ Peterka should pay immediate dividends for Boston, too. He has scored 25-plus goals in each of the last three seasons, and he should hit the 30-goal mark this season, especially if he plays alongside David Pastrnak. Peterka’s offensive skill and speed represent an upgrade over Viktor Arvidsson.
Pastrnak, if healthy, should be able to tally 100-plus points for the fifth straight year. His 71 assists last season ranked fifth in the league and were a new career high. His growth as a playmaker has been remarkable, especially when you consider the fact that the talent around him is less than what many other players of his caliber skate with every night. NHL Network recently ranked Pastrnak as the eighth-best player in the sport.
Morgan Geekie scored a career-high 39 goals last season. Some experts point to his high shooting percentages and claim he’s long overdue for a regression, but his shot is elite, and he’s more of a shot quality over shot quantity player. Pavel Zacha posted career highs in goals and points last season, but he’s also playing for a new contract. He has all the motivation needed to continue producing at a high level.
The Bruins ranked 10th in goals scored last season but found it difficult to score in the playoffs against the Buffalo Sabres. Boston averaged just 1.25 goals scored over the last four games of that first-round series. Many critics of the Bruins’ roster see a similar scoring regression coming in the 2026-27 regular season. One stat they point to is Boston ranking No. 2 in goals scored above expected last season.
A couple younger players will play a role in ensuring that regression either doesn’t happen or isn’t steep.
Top prospect James Hagens has an impressive offensive skill set and could even challenge for the Calder Trophy. He should provide a nice boost to the power play, too, with his playmaking ability and accurate shot. Fraser Minten had an impressive first full NHL campaign in 2025-26 and could hit the 25-goal mark this coming season. Marat Khusnutdinov should reach another level, too.
Frederic Brunet, who scored 12 goals for the AHL’s Providence Bruins last season, made the Opening Night roster. The 23-year-old defenseman’s offensive-minded skill set should help the B’s create more scoring chances from the blue line.
“Well, obviously just the skill set from Hagens. Hopefully that continues to grow and he becomes a point-producer in the game and has the details all dialed in,” Bruins president Cam Neely said at a press conference Monday. “Brunet, hopefully he can add a little bit more offensive punch on the blue line for us, be a steady defender, move the puck well, good first pass, get up in the play. Those are the things that I anticipate the growth of those two players.”
John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY SportsThe Bruins have a better and deeper roster than they did last season. The three franchise pillars of Pastrnak, Swayman and top defenseman Charlie McAvoy are surrounded by a good mix of veterans and young players. The ceiling of this Bruins team likely will be decided by the growth and improvement of players such as Hagens and Minten. If they exceed expectations and become important pieces of the puzzle earlier than expected, the B’s could surprise a lot of people again.
Sure, it wouldn’t be a huge surprise if the Bruins missed the playoffs. The division — and the East as a whole — is loaded with good teams. An injury to a key player or two could also prove very difficult to overcome. Losing McAvoy for the first six games due to suspension is a tough setback.
But there’s absolutely enough talent up and down the roster, combined with very good coaching from Marco Sturm, for the Bruins to be in the hunt for a wild card spot. Is this team capable of winning a round in the playoffs? Potentially. But getting into the tournament would be enough to grade the 2026-27 season as a success.
“We’re looking to see some of our players improve upon last year,” Neely said Monday. “All those things combined, some guys had a taste of playoffs for the first time. It’s a nice feeling to be in the playoffs, but obviously, you want to win the last game of the season.
“So, we’ve got some work to do in that regard, but as I mentioned earlier, I thought our group did a really nice job of laying a foundation to get back to where we want to be as an organization. It’s just got to be competing every night. You may not play well every night, but you’ve got to compete every night.”
































