
I see a lot of discussion on this one. Craig Counsell has hit the point where he’s deciding between two less than optimal options. The Cubs had to decide between a tiring starter or a bullpen that has not even one lockdown arm out there. The closest thing they’ve had to a lockdown arm has both struggled recently and suffered an injury that has kept him out of action. When they finally did use relievers, Ryan Zeferjahn allowed a single and a walk to three batters faced and Jacob Webb allowed a walk and a sacrifice fly. As it is, Matthew Boyd ended up throwing exactly 100 pitches in the game.
If the Cubs are going to go deep this year, something that seems less likely all of the time, I envision something akin to the White Sox World Series run with the starters carrying an awful lot of the weight. The Cubs don’t have a Dodgers-level elite starting rotation, but the Cub rotation is light years beyond the bullpen. My formula involves the Cub starters going deep, the offense scoring 5+ runs in every win and the bullpen having very short outings in low to medium leverage spots (ignoring the upgrade every situation gets for the playoffs).
I will say this, I firmly believe that Craig Counsell should and will be a finalist for Manager of the Year. That said, I do think it is always fair to question the decisions made. You can be very good at your job and not get everything right. I love that years later Joe Maddon can concede that he probably should have gotten Aroldis Chapman out earlier in Game 6 and that the planning around Jon Lester’s relief appearance in Game 7 got away from him a bit. Both moves had a nexus in good decision making and then the game shifted radically and it turned out that different decisions might have been better. We’ll never know if done differently, they would have worked better. We do know that with the decisions he made, the Cubs won a World Series. There are always decisions that with the benefit of hindsight we can tell were wrong. But are they as easy with foresight?
Sadly, for the second straight day a Pete Crow-Armstrong homer becomes a footnote in a Cub loss. We are witnessing one of the best baseball season’s ever and he is inching closer every day to the single greatest season in Cubs history. It really is amazing and a whole lot of fun to watch. He had his 34th and 35th steals and 41st homer. A combined 76 and he is closing in on the largest combined total in franchise history. He is just the eighth player in baseball history to have a 40/35 season. There are just so many amazing ways to slice up the stats and highlight what he’s done — for example, 97 runs driven in, almost entirely out of the lead off spot. The second-most homers by a lefty in franchise history. I definitely do not want this season to end for fear that we’ll wake up out of the dream and he’ll revert to “only” being a star and not one of the greatest players alive.
The Cubs have lost all of their cushion. It’s going to be a dogfight to the end with the Phillies. The Cubs have to survive the rest of this series, recharge and then really get after it. Every game matters. I for one would like to see this season get at least as far as last season did and that’s going to greatly be facilitated by a home playoff series again in the Wild Card round. I still believe they can get there, but the road ahead is a rocky one. I’ve been using Fangraphs as my proxy for most likely outcomes and they have the Phillies finishing about one game better than the Cubs. That’s exactly what they need to do to get home field. So it’s that close. Let’s see about stealing a game or two in this series to help that out.
Three Positives:
- Matthew Boyd allowed one run on four hits and one walk in seven innings of work. He allowed a walk and a double in the eighth and both scored after he left. Terrific outing against an offense that typical thrives at home.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong had a single and a homer, got hit by a pitch, stole two bases and scored twice. He is a menace.
- Alex Bregman had two hits and drew a walk. He drove in a run.
Game 145, September 7: Brewers 4, Cubs 3 (81-64)

Reminder: Heroes and Goats are determined by WPA scores and are in no way subjective.
THREE HEROES:
- Superhero: Alex Bregman (.194). 2-3, BB, RBI
- Hero: Tyrone Taylor (.080). 1-2, 2B
- Sidekick: Pedro Ramirez (.079). 1-4, HR, RBI, R
THREE GOATS:
- Billy Goat: Ryan Zeferjahn (-.202). 0.1 IP, 3 BF, H, BB, R
- Goat: Nico Hoerner (-.201). 0-4
- Kid: Matt Shaw (-.120). 0-3, SH
WPA Play of the Game: Joey Ortiz’ double off of Matthew Boyd with a runner on first in the eighth inning, the Brewers down one. (.285)
Cubs Play of the Game: Alex Bregman’s single with runners on first and second with two outs in the seventh, giving the Cubs a one run lead. (.203)
Cubs Player of the Game:
Game 144 Winner: Pete Crow-Armstrong received 36 of 47 votes.
Rizzo Award Standings: (Top 5/Bottom 5)
The award is named for Anthony Rizzo, who finished first in this category three of the first four years it was in existence and four times overall. He also recorded the highest season total ever at +65.5. The point scale is three points for a Superhero down to negative three points for a Billy Goat.
- Alex Bregman +29
- Pete Crow-Armstrong +26.5
- Michael Conforto +14
- Ben Brown +13.5
- Javier Assad +12
- Jameson Taillon -13
- Seiya Suzuki -15
- Nico Hoerner -17
- Dansby Swanson -17
- Caleb Thielbar -17.5
Scoreboard Watching: Dodgers win (up 6.5 on Cubs). Braves lost (4.5 up on Cubs) to the Phillies (0.5 games up on Cubs). Diamondbacks beat the Royals (four back). Brewers win (8 up). Padres win (5.5 back). Four teams across baseball with more wins than the Cubs and two tied with them.
Up Next: Game Two Tuesday night. David Peterson (7-8, 5.39) vs. Jacob Misiorowski (14-5, 1.97). The Cubs actually hit him pretty well in Chicago last week. But Peterson got pounded. As always, not a great matchup on paper. But the Cubs win a good number of those.
















